Newfoundland and Labrador general election, 2015

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Newfoundland and Labrador general election, 2015
Newfoundland and Labrador
2011 ←
members		 November 30, 2015 → 50th
All 40 seats in the 48th General Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador
21 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Leader Paul Davis Dwight Ball Earle McCurdy
Party Progressive Conservative Liberal New Democratic
Leader since September 13, 2014 November 17, 2013 March 7, 2015
Leader's seat running in
Topsail - Paradise		 running in
Humber - Gros Morne		 running in
St. John's West
Last election 37 seats, 56.1% 6 seats, 19.1% 5 seats, 24.6%
Current seats 28 16 3
Incumbent Premier

Paul Davis
Progressive Conservative

The 2015 Newfoundland and Labrador general election, formally the 49th Newfoundland and Labrador general election, will elect members of the House of Assembly in the Canadian province of Newfoundland and Labrador. The Progressive Conservative Party led by Kathy Dunderdale formed a majority government in the previous election, while the Liberal Party formed the Official Opposition.[1]

The election was originally scheduled for October 13, 2015, under Newfoundland and Labrador's House of Assembly Act, mandating a fixed election day on the second Tuesday in October in the fourth calendar year after the previous election. However, the House of Assembly amended the act in June 2015, to delay the election until November 30, 2015, so that the election campaign would not overlap with the federal election scheduled for October 19, 2015.[2]

Party leadership[edit]

Following the provincial election Liberal leader Kevin Aylward announced his resignation as leader. Aylward was unable to win a seat in the legislature and announced on October 26, 2011, he would step down once his successor was chosen.[3] On December 15, 2011, the Liberal Party announced that Dwight Ball would become Leader of the Opposition and interim Liberal leader effective January 3, 2012.[4][5] Party president Judy Morrow announced in December 2011, that the party was not likely to hold a leadership convention until sometime in 2013. On November 17, 2013 Dwight Ball was elected leader of the Liberal Party.[6]

On January 22, 2014, Kathy Dunderdale announced she was resigning as Premier of Newfoundland and Labrador and leader of the Progressive Conservative Party (PC Party) later that week and that Finance Minister Tom Marshall would replace her until the party selected a new leader.[7] On January 24, 2014, Marshall was sworn in as the province's 11th Premier.[8] Marshall had previously indicated that he would not be seeking re-election as the member of the House of Assembly for Humber East and therefore would not contest the leadership of the Progressive Conservative Party. The party held their leadership convention on September 13, 2014.[9]

Timeline[edit]

2011
2012
  • January 3, 2012: Dwight Ball becomes interim leader of the Liberal Party of Newfoundland and Labrador.[10]
  • September 13, 2012: Progressive Conservative MHA Tom Osborne announces that he has left the party and will sit as an independent.[11]
2013
2014
2015

Party standings[edit]

e • d Summary of the current standings of the House of Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador
Party Leader Seats
2011 Current
Progressive Conservative Paul Davis 37 28
Liberal Dwight Ball 6 16
New Democratic Earle McCurdy 5 3
Vacant N/A 0 1
Total 48 48

Candidates by district[edit]

Bold incumbents indicates cabinet members and party leaders are italicized. The Premier is in Bold and Italicized. Other candidates who are italicized means they are seeking nomination in the district and have not been formally nominated.

  • All candidate names are those on the official list of confirmed candidates; names in media or on party website may differ slightly.
  • Names in boldface type represent party leaders.
  • † represents that the incumbent is not running again.
  • § represents that the incumbent was defeated for nomination.
  • ₰ represents that the incumbent ran in another district and lost the nomination
  • ‡ represents that the incumbent is running in a different district.

St. John's[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  PC   Liberal   NDP   Other
Mount Scio Rhonda Churchill Herder Dale Kirby Sean Panting Dale Kirby
St. John's North
St. John's Centre Lynn Sullivan Gerry Rogers Gerry Rogers
St. John's East-Quidi Vidi Paul Antle Lorraine Michael George Murphy†
St. John's East
St. John's West Dan Crummell[41] Siobhan Coady[41] Earle McCurdy[41] Dan Crummell
Virginia Waters-Pleasantville Bernard Davis Bob Buckingham Lorraine Michael‡
Signal Hill-Quidi Vidi
Waterford Valley Tom Osborne Alison Coffin John Dinn
Kilbride
Merged District
Tom Osborne
St. John's South
Windsor Lake Cathy Bennett Cathy Bennett
Virginia Waters

St. John's suburbs[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  PC   Liberal   NDP   Other
Cape St. Francis Kevin Parsons Geoff Gallant Mark Gruchy Kevin Parsons
Conception Bay South Barry Petten Steve Porter Rex Hillier‡
Mount Pearl North Steve Kent Randy Simms Steve Kent
Mount Pearl-Southlands Jim Lester Paul Lane Paul Lane
Mount Pearl South
Conception Bay East – Bell Island David Brazil Danny Dumaresque[42] David Brazil
Topsail - Paradise Paul Davis Rex Hillier Paul Davis
Topsail

Avalon Peninsula[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  PC   Liberal   NDP   Other
Carbonear—Trinity—Bay de Verde Steve Crocker Steve Crocker
Trinity—Bay de Verde
Merged District
Sam Slade§
Carbonear-Harbour Grace
Ferryland Keith Hutchings Jeff Marshall Mona Rossiter Keith Hutchings
Harbour Grace-Port de Grave Glenn Littlejohn Pam Parsons Glenn Littlejohn
Port de Grave
Harbour Main Betty Parsley Raymond Flaherty Tom Hedderson†
Placentia—St. Mary's Judy Manning Sherry Gambin-Walsh Felix Collins†

Eastern Newfoundland[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  PC   Liberal   NDP   Other
Bonavista Glen Little Neil King Glen Little
Bonavista South
Burin-Grand Bank Carol Anne Haley Darin King†
Grand Bank
Placentia West-Bellevue Calvin Peach Mark Brown Calvin Peach
Bellevue
Merged District
Clyde Jackman†
Burin—Placentia West
Terra Nova Sandy Collins Sandy Collins
Terra Nova
Merged District
Ross Wiseman†
Trinity North

Central Newfoundland[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  PC   Liberal   NDP   Other
Baie Verte-Green Bay Kevin Pollard Brian Warr Kevin Pollard
Baie Verte—Springdale
Exploits Clayton Forsey Jerry Dean Clayton Forsey
Fogo Island-Cape Freels Eli Cross Derrick Bragg Eli Cross
Bonavista North
Gander John Haggie Lukas Norman Vacant
Fortune Bay—Cape La Hune Tracey Perry Bill Carter Mildred Skinner Tracey Perry
Grand Falls-Windsor—Buchans Al Hawkins Susan Sullivan†
Grand Falls-Windsor—Buchans
Merged District
Ray Hunter†
Grand Falls-Windsor—Green Bay South
Lewisporte-Twillingate Derrick Dalley Derek Bennett Wade Verge†
Lewisporte
Merged District
Derrick Dalley
The Isles of Notre Dame

Western Newfoundland[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  PC   Liberal   NDP   Other
Burgeo—La Poile Andrew Parsons Andrew Parsons
Corner Brook Gerry Byrne Holly Pike Vaughn Granter
Humber West
Humber—Gros Morne Graydon Pelley Dwight Ball Mike Goosney Jim Bennett₰
St. Barbe
Merged District
Dwight Ball
Humber Valley
Humber—Bay of Islands Ronald Jesseau Eddie Joyce Eddie Joyce
Bay of Islands
St. Barbe—L'Anse aux Meadows Chris Mitchelmore Chris Mitchelmore
The Straits-White Bay North
St. George's—Humber Scott Reid Stelman Flynn§
Humber East
Merged District
Scott Reid
St. George's-Stephenville East
Stephenville—Port au Port Tony Cornect John Finn Tony Cornect
Port au Port

Labrador[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  PC   Liberal   NDP   Other
Cartwright—L'Anse au Clair Lisa Dempster Lisa Dempster
Labrador West Nick McGrath Graham Letto Ron Barron Nick McGrath
Lake Melville Keith Russell Perry Trimper[43] Keith Russell
Torngat Mountains Randy Edmunds Randy Edmunds

MHAs not running again[edit]

Opinion polls[edit]

Polling Firm Date of Polling Link Progressive Conservative Liberal New Democratic
Corporate Research Associates August 11–September 2, 2015 [1] 27 48 25
Abacus Data/VOCM June 17–21, 2015 [2] 21 53 25
Corporate Research Associates May 11–June 1, 2015 [3] 27 50 22
Corporate Research Associates February 9–March 2, 2015 [4] 31 56 13
Abacus Data February 17–25, 2015 [5] 32 57 9
Corporate Research Associates November 5–30, 2014 [6] 29 60 10
MQO October 20–25, 2014 [7] 28 62 11
Corporate Research Associates August 7–September 1, 2014 [8] 26 58 15
Abacus Data/VOCM July 28–August 1, 2014 [9] 34 48 16
Corporate Research Associates May 12–31, 2014 [10] 29 53 16
Corporate Research Associates February 11– March 4, 2014 [11] 33 53 13
Abacus Data/VOCM January 27–30, 2014 [12] 34 49 15
Corporate Research Associates November 7–30, 2013 [13] 29 52 19
MQO October 22–26, 2013 [57] 29 52 18
Corporate Research Associates August 8–31, 2013 [14] 26 41 33
Corporate Research Associates May 8–30, 2013 [15] 27 36 37
Corporate Research Associates February 11–March 8, 2013 PDF 38 22 39
MQO January 21–27, 2013 [58] 36 28 35
Corporate Research Associates November 13-December 1, 2012 [59] 46 23 31
Corporate Research Associates August 9–September 2, 2012 PDF 45 22 33
Environics Research Group June 19–29, 2012 PDF 35 26 38
Corporate Research Associates May 10–June 4, 2012 PDF 49 18 33
Corporate Research Associates February 13–29, 2012 HTML 54 18 28
Corporate Research Associates November 9–29, 2011 PDF 60 13 26
Election 2011 October 11, 2011 – 56.1 19.1 24.6

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Dunderdale leads N.L. Tories to majority". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. October 12, 2011. Retrieved October 15, 2011. 
  2. ^ "Provincial election set for Nov. 30". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. 8 June 2015. Retrieved 18 June 2015. 
  3. ^ a b "Kevin Aylward resigning as Liberal leader". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. October 26, 2011. Retrieved December 6, 2011. 
  4. ^ "Dwight Ball named Liberal Party leader". The Telegram. December 14, 2011. Retrieved December 15, 2011. 
  5. ^ "Ball new interim N.L. Liberal leader". CBC News, December 15, 2011.
  6. ^ "No rush for Liberal leadership race". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. December 2, 2011. Retrieved December 6, 2011. 
  7. ^ a b "Kathy Dunderdale confirms stepping down as N.L. premier". CBC News. Retrieved January 22, 2014. 
  8. ^ "Tom Marshall sworn in as 11th premier". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. 24 January 2014. Retrieved 24 January 2014. 
  9. ^ a b "Tories to pick new leader in early July". CBC News. Retrieved February 6, 2014. 
  10. ^ a b "Dwight Ball wants to lead Liberals into 2015 vote". CBC News. December 15, 2011. Retrieved December 17, 2011. 
  11. ^ "Osborne brushed off as 'deadwood' as PCs stick together". CBC News. September 14, 2012. Retrieved September 16, 2012. 
  12. ^ "Jones resigns provincial seat for federal by-election". CBC News. April 8, 2013. Retrieved April 8, 2013. 
  13. ^ "Long-serving MHA Eddie Joyce named Opposition leader". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. 19 July 2013. Retrieved 19 July 2013. 
  14. ^ "Eddie Joyce named Opposition Leader". The Western Star. 18 July 2013. Retrieved 19 July 2013. 
  15. ^ "Tom Osborne joins Liberals". CBC News. 29 August 2013. Retrieved August 29, 2013. 
  16. ^ "Kennedy resigns from government". CBC News. 2 October 2013. Retrieved October 2, 2013. 
  17. ^ "N.L. NDP Leader Lorraine Michael facing caucus revolt". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. 21 October 2013. Retrieved 21 October 2013. 
  18. ^ "Mixed messages from NDP caucus, executive". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. 22 October 2013. Retrieved 24 October 2013. 
  19. ^ "Michael calls for 2014 leadership review". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. 26 October 2013. Retrieved 26 October 2013. 
  20. ^ "Kirby, Mitchelmore quit NDP caucus after leadership row". CBC News. October 29, 2013. Retrieved October 29, 2013. 
  21. ^ "Dwight Ball wins Liberal leadership". CBC News. November 17, 2013. Retrieved November 17, 2013. 
  22. ^ "Liberals Reclaim Carbonear Harbour Grace". CBC News. November 26, 2013. Retrieved November 26, 2013. 
  23. ^ "Tory MHA Paul Lane crossing the floor". NTV. January 20, 2014. Retrieved January 20, 2014. 
  24. ^ "Dale Kirby, Christopher Mitchelmore cut NDP ties". CBC News. Retrieved February 2, 2014. 
  25. ^ "Dale Kirby and Christopher Mitchelmore join Liberals". CBC News. Retrieved February 4, 2014. 
  26. ^ "Kathy Dunderdale to step down as MHA". CBC News. Retrieved February 28, 2014. 
  27. ^ "Cathy Bennett wins Virginia Waters byelection". CBC News. Retrieved April 9, 2014. 
  28. ^ "Bill Barry withdraws from Tory leadership race". CBC News. Retrieved April 17, 2014. 
  29. ^ "Lorraine Michael:'We're new, we're movingforward'". CBC News. Retrieved June 4, 2014. 
  30. ^ "Joan Shea stepping down as MHA". CBC News. Retrieved June 4, 2014. 
  31. ^ a b "Frank Coleman Quits Weeks Before Swearing In As N.L. Premier". The Huffington Post. Canadian Press. June 16, 2014. Retrieved June 16, 2014. 
  32. ^ "Liberal Scott Reid wins byelection in St. George's-Stephenville East". CBC News. Retrieved August 26, 2014. 
  33. ^ "Charlene Johnson: Tories 'not a sinking ship". CBC News. Retrieved September 5, 2014. 
  34. ^ "Newfoundland Tories restart leadership contest with Sept. 13 vote". The Globe and Mail. June 20, 2014. Retrieved June 20, 2014. 
  35. ^ "French Bids Farewell to Political Life". VOCM. Retrieved September 19, 2014. 
  36. ^ "Former premier Tom Marshall has stepped down from provincial politics". The Telegram. Retrieved November 3, 2014. 
  37. ^ "Liberal Rex Hillier wins C.B.S. byelection". CBC News. Retrieved November 5, 2014. 
  38. ^ "Steve Crocker sweeps Trinity-Bay de Verde byelection for Liberals". CBC News. Retrieved November 25, 2014. "Liberal Stelman Flynn wins Humber East byelection". CBC News. Retrieved November 25, 2014. 
  39. ^ a b "Lorraine Michael stepping down as NDP leader". CBC News. Retrieved January 6, 2015. 
  40. ^ "Kevin O'Brien Responds to Previous Comments About Prime Minister". VOCM. July 3, 2015. Retrieved July 3, 2015. 
  41. ^ a b c McLeod, James (16 June 2015). "McCurdy running in St. John’s West". The Telegram. Retrieved 24 June 2015. 
  42. ^ McLeod, James (21 December 2015). "Dumaresque seeking Liberal nomination in Conception Bay East-Bell Island". The Telegram. Retrieved 28 September 2015. 
  43. ^ Liberal Party of NL Tweet
  44. ^ "Judy Manning afraid to test electorate, says Edward Roberts". CBC News. October 2, 2014. Retrieved October 2, 2014. 
  45. ^ "Vaughn Granter leaving provincial politics". CBC News. October 19, 2015. Retrieved October 19, 2015. 
  46. ^ "Tom Hedderson won't seek re-election in Harbour Main". CBC News. October 22, 2015. Retrieved October 22, 2015. 
  47. ^ Norman, Rudy (22 January 2014). "Hunter welcomes Premier's resignation". Advertiser. Retrieved 24 January 2014. 
  48. ^ "Clyde Jackman decides to retire this provincial election". CBC News. September 4, 2015. Retrieved September 4, 2015. 
  49. ^ "VIDEO: Darin King Leaving Politics After Term Ends". VOCM News]. September 18, 2015. Retrieved September 18, 2015. 
  50. ^ "Susan Sullivan will not seek re-election". CBC News]. October 18, 2015. Retrieved October 16, 2015. 
  51. ^ Wells, Karen (19 March 2015). "Verge not seeking re-election in Lewisporte District". The Pilot. Retrieved 25 March 2015. 
  52. ^ "Finance Minister Ross Wiseman leaving politics". CBC News. July 31, 2015. Retrieved July 31, 2015. 
  53. ^ "Defeated Liberal MHA plans to revive Daniel's Harbour law practice". The Telegram. 21 August 2015. Retrieved 21 August 2015. 
  54. ^ "Scott Reid defeats fellow MHA Stelman Flynn for Liberal nomination". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. 21 July 2015. Retrieved 21 July 2015. 
  55. ^ "Slade Considers Options After Losing Liberal Nomination Battle". VOCM. 30 July 2015. Retrieved 30 July 2015. 
  56. ^ "NDP's George Murphy says he will not seek re-election this fall". CBC News. June 22, 2015. Retrieved June 22, 2015. 
  57. ^ "NDP support plummets, Liberals make gains: CRA poll". CBC News. December 4, 2013. 
  58. ^ McLeod, James (February 1, 2013). "NDP, PCs in statistical tie in MQO poll". The Telegram. Retrieved June 13, 2014. 
  59. ^ "Support for NL PC Government Stable, Remains Highest in Atlantic Canada". Corporate Research Associates Inc. December 5, 2012. Retrieved June 13, 2014. 
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