Next Australian federal election

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Next Australian federal election

← 2022 On or before 24 May 2025 (half-Senate)
On or before 28 September 2025 (House of Representatives)

All 151 seats in the House of Representatives
76 seats are needed for a majority
40 (of the 76) seats in the Senate
Opinion polls
  Anthony Albanese portrait (cropped).jpg Peter-Dutton-2022.jpg
Adam-Bandt-profile-2021 (Cropped).png
Leader Anthony Albanese Peter Dutton Adam Bandt
Party Labor Liberal/National Coalition Greens
Last election 77 seats 58 seats 4 seats
Current seats 77 seats 57 seats 4 seats
Seats needed Steady Increase 19 Increase 72

Incumbent Prime Minister

Anthony Albanese
Labor



The next Australian federal election will be held some time in or before 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. All 151 seats in the House of Representatives and likely 40 of the 76 seats in the Senate will be contested. It is expected that at this election, the Labor government of Prime Minister Anthony Albanese will be seeking re-election to a second term in office, opposed by the Liberal/National Coalition under Leader of the Opposition Peter Dutton.

Background[edit]

Previous election[edit]

At the previous election in May 2022, the Labor Party, led by Anthony Albanese, formed government winning 77 seats in the House of Representatives, enough for a three-seat majority, whilst the Liberal/National Coalition claimed 58 seats and went into opposition. A record number of 16 seats were won by other parties and independents; four to the Greens, one each to Centre Alliance, Katter's Australian Party and the remaining 10 by independents forming the crossbench.[1]

In the Senate, Labor made no gains and remained steady at 26 seats overall, whilst the Coalition lost some seats and retained only 32 seats. The Greens made gains and increased their share of seats to 12. One Nation maintained at 2 seats, Centre Alliance and Rex Patrick Team each lost their sole Senate seat, while Jacqui Lambie Network gained a second seat. David Pocock was also elected as an independent Senator, while United Australia Party also gained a Senate seat. This meant the Labor required 13 additional votes to pass legislation.[2]

Composition of parliament[edit]

The 47th Parliament opened on 26 July 2022. The Liberal Party entered the parliament with a new leader, with former defence and home affairs minister Peter Dutton replacing the outgoing prime minister Scott Morrison.[3]

On 23 December 2022, Nationals MP for Calare Andrew Gee left the party and became an Independent, following the party's decision to publicly oppose an Indigenous Voice to Parliament. This meant that the Crossbench increased to 17 seats with the Coalition decreasing to 57 seats.[4]

State of electorates[edit]

Redistribution[edit]

The Australian Electoral Commission is required, one year after the first sitting day for a new House of Representatives, to determine the number of members to which each State and Territory is entitled. If the number in any state changes, a redistribution will be required in those states. A redistribution will be postponed if it would begin within one year of the expiration of the House of Representatives.

Voter registration[edit]

Enrollment of eligible voters is compulsory. Voters must notify the AEC within 8 weeks of a change of address or after turning 18. The electoral rolls are closed for new enrollments or update of details about a week after the issue of writs for election.[5] Enrollment is optional for 16- or 17-year-olds, but they cannot vote until they turn 18,[6] and persons who have applied for Australian citizenship may also apply for provisional enrollment which takes effect on the granting of citizenship.[7]

Election date[edit]

Election type Earliest date Latest date

Simultaneous half-Senate and House of Representatives

3 August 2024 24 May 2025
House of Representatives 28 September 2025
Half-Senate 3 August 2024 24 May 2025
Double dissolution
(requires trigger)
29 March 2025

The election of senators must take place within one year before the terms expire for half-Senate elections,[8] so that the writs for a half-Senate election cannot be issued earlier than 1 July 2024. Since campaigns are for a minimum of 33 days, the earliest possible date for a simultaneous House/half-Senate election is Saturday, 3 August 2024.[9] The latest that a half-Senate election could be held must allow time for the votes to be counted and the writs to be returned before the newly elected senators take office on 1 July 2025. The previous election's writs were returned on 24 June 2022, 34 days after the 2022 federal election.[10] Using this time frame, the last possible date for a half-Senate election to take place is Saturday 24 May 2025.

A double dissolution (a deadlock-breaking provision to dissolve both houses of parliament) cannot be called within six months before the date of the expiry of the House of Representatives.[11]

The constitutional and legal provisions which impact on the choice of election dates include:[12][13]

  • Section 12 of the Constitution says: "The Governor of any State may cause writs to be issued for the election of Senators for that State."[14]
  • Section 13 of the Constitution provides that the election of senators shall be held in the period of twelve months before the places become vacant.[8]
  • Section 28 of the Constitution says: "Every House of Representatives shall continue for three years from the first sitting of the House, and no longer, but may be sooner dissolved by the Governor-General."[15] Since the 47th Parliament of Australia opened on 26 July 2022, it will expire on 25 July 2025.
  • Section 32 of the Constitution says: "The writs shall be issued within ten days from the expiry of a House of Representatives or from the proclamation of a dissolution thereof."[16] Ten days after 25 July 2025 is 4 August 2025.
  • Section 156(1) of the CEA says: "The date fixed for the nomination of the candidates shall not be less than 10 days nor more than 27 days after the date of the writ."[17] Twenty-seven days after 4 August 2025 is 31 August 2025.
  • Section 157 of the CEA says: "The date fixed for the polling shall not be less than 23 days nor more than 31 days after the date of nomination."[18] Thirty-one days after 31 August 2025 is 1 October 2025, a Wednesday.
  • Section 158 of the CEA says: "The day fixed for the polling shall be a Saturday."[19] The Saturday before 1 October 2025 is 28 September 2025, which was the latest possible date for the lower house election.

Candidates[edit]

Candidates for either house must be formally nominated with the Electoral Commission. The nomination for a party-endorsed candidate must be signed by the Registered Officer of a party registered under the Electoral Act. 100 signatures of eligible voters are required for an independent candidate as per section 166 of the Commonwealth Electoral Act 1918. A candidate can nominate for only one electorate, and must pass a number of qualifications.

A deposit of $2,000 will be required for a candidate for the House of Representatives or the Senate, which is refunded if the candidate is elected or gains at least 4% of the first preference vote.[20][21] Between 10 and 27 days must be allowed after the issue of writs before the close of nominations.[17]

Parties[edit]

The table below lists party representation in the 47th Parliament.

Name Ideology Party leader House seats Senate seats
Australian Labor Party Social democracy Anthony Albanese
77 / 151
26 / 76
Coalition[a] Liberal Party Liberal conservatism Peter Dutton
57 / 151
32 / 76
National Party Agrarianism David Littleproud
Australian Greens Green politics Adam Bandt
4 / 151
12 / 76
Jacqui Lambie Network Tasmanian regionalism Jacqui Lambie
0 / 151
2 / 76
Pauline Hanson's One Nation Hansonism Pauline Hanson
0 / 151
2 / 76
Centre Alliance Social liberalism None
1 / 151
0 / 76
Katter's Australian Party Agrarianism None[b]
1 / 151
0 / 76
United Australia Party Right-wing populism None[c]
0 / 151
1 / 76
Independents
11 / 151
1 / 76

Opinion polling[edit]

Primary vote[edit]

Graphical summary of opinion polls for voting intention.

Two-party preferred[edit]

Graphical summary of opinion polls for two-party preferred voting intention.

See also[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ The Coalition formally comprises the Liberal Party and National Party. Federal parliamentary members of the Liberal National Party of Queensland and Country Liberal Party (Northern Territory) sit in the party room of either the Liberal or National parties according to the individual members' preference or internal party arrangements.
  2. ^ Robbie Katter is party leader but is not contesting the federal election.
  3. ^ Craig Kelly is party leader but is not a member of the 47th parliament.

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Australian Federal Election 2022 Live Results". ABC News. Retrieved 2 June 2022.
  2. ^ "Senate Results". ABC News. Retrieved 22 June 2022.
  3. ^ Hitch, Georgia (30 May 2022). "Peter Dutton elected new Liberal Party leader, Sussan Ley becomes deputy leader". ABC News.
  4. ^ Paul Karp (23 December 2022). "Nationals MP Andrew Gee quits party citing its opposition to Indigenous voice". The Guardian.
  5. ^ "Section 155: Date for close of Rolls". Commonwealth Electoral Act 1918. Australasian Legal Information Institute (AustLII). Archived from the original on 31 July 2017. Retrieved 2 April 2021.
  6. ^ "Enrol to vote". Australian Electoral Commission. Archived from the original on 1 October 2019. Retrieved 23 April 2021.
  7. ^ Commonwealth Electoral Act 1918, s. 99A.
  8. ^ a b "Section 13: Rotation of Senators". Commonwealth of Australia Constitution Act 1900. Australasian Legal Information Institute (AustLII). Archived from the original on 17 April 2021. Retrieved 2 April 2021.
  9. ^ Lundie, Rob; Schatz, Laura; Muller, Damon (13 January 2020). "'So when is the next election?': Australian elections timetable as at January 2020". Parliamentary Library of Australia, Parliament of Australia. Retrieved 2 April 2021.
  10. ^ "AEC returns writs for 2022 federal election". Australian Electoral Commission. 24 June 2022. Retrieved 26 July 2022.
  11. ^ "Section 57: Disagreement between the Houses". Commonwealth of Australia Constitution Act 1900. Australasian Legal Information Institute (AustLII). Retrieved 2 April 2021.
  12. ^ Lundie, Rob (25 June 2009). "Australian elections timetable". Parliamentary Library of Australia, Parliament of Australia. Archived from the original on 8 January 2011.
  13. ^ Riga, Jessica (10 April 2022). "Prime Minister Scott Morrison announces May 21 election". ABC. Archived from the original on 9 April 2022. Retrieved 9 April 2022.
  14. ^ "Section 12: Issue of writs". Commonwealth of Australia Constitution Act 1900. Australasian Legal Information Institute (AustLII). Archived from the original on 29 February 2020. Retrieved 2 April 2021.
  15. ^ "Section 28: Duration of House of Representatives". Commonwealth of Australia Constitution Act 1900. Australasian Legal Information Institute (AustLII). Archived from the original on 18 August 2021. Retrieved 2 April 2021.
  16. ^ "Section 32: Writs for general election". Commonwealth of Australia Constitution Act 1900. Australasian Legal Information Institute (AustLII). Archived from the original on 18 August 2021. Retrieved 2 April 2021.
  17. ^ a b "Section 156: Date of nomination". Commonwealth Electoral Act 1918. Australasian Legal Information Institute (AustLII). Archived from the original on 4 March 2016. Retrieved 2 April 2021.
  18. ^ "Section 157: Date of polling". Commonwealth Electoral Act 1918. Australasian Legal Information Institute (AustLII). Archived from the original on 31 July 2016. Retrieved 2 April 2021.
  19. ^ "Section 158: Polling to be on a Saturday". Commonwealth Electoral Act 1918. Australasian Legal Information Institute (AustLII). Archived from the original on 4 March 2016. Retrieved 2 April 2021.
  20. ^ The Electoral Legislation Amendment (Modernisation and Other Measures) Act 2019, which came into effect on 1 March 2019.
  21. ^ Candidates Handbook – Federal elections and by-elections (Version 8) (PDF). Australian Electoral Commission. 2 October 2020. p. 6. ISBN 9781921427367. Retrieved 2 April 2021.