Finnish parliamentary election, 2019

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Finnish parliamentary election, 2019
Finland
2015 ←
2019 → 2023
outgoing members ←

All 200 seats to the Parliament
101 seats needed for a majority
  First party Second party Third party
  Juha Sipilä Timo Soini Petteri Orpo
Leader Juha Sipilä Timo Soini Petteri Orpo[1]
Party Centre Finns National Coalition
Leader since 2012 1997 2016
Last election 49 seats, 21.1% 38 seats, 17.7% 37 seats, 18.2%

  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
  Antti Rinne Ville Niinistö Li Andersson
Leader Antti Rinne Ville Niinistö Li Andersson[2]
Party Social Democratic Green League Left Alliance
Leader since 2014 2011 2016
Last election 34 seats, 16.5% 15 seats, 8.5% 12 seats, 7.1%

  Seventh party Eighth party
  Anna-Maja Henriksson Sari Essayah
Leader Anna-Maja Henriksson[3] Sari Essayah[4]
Party Swedish People's Christian Democrat
Leader since 2016 2015
Last election 9 seats, 4.9% 5 seats, 3.5%

Prime Minister before election

Juha Sipilä
Centre

Elected Prime Minister

TBD

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Finland in April 2019.[5]

Background[edit]

The incumbent government was formed by a three party Center-right coalition, composed of the Centre Party, Finns Party and National Coalition Party.[6] On 28 May 2015, the parliament elected Juha Sipilä as prime minister by a vote of 128–62.[7]

Electoral system[edit]

Electoral districts in the 2015 election

The 200 members of the Eduskunta are elected using proportional representation in 13 multi-member constituencies, with seats allocated according to the d'Hondt method. The number of elected representatives is proportional to the population in the district six months prior to the elections. Åland has single member electoral district and its own party system.[8]

Electoral district Seats
01 Helsinki 22
02 Uusimaa 35
03 Finland Proper 17
04 Satakunta 8
05 Åland 1
06 Tavastia 14
07 Pirkanmaa 19
08 South-East Finland 17
09 Savonia-Karelia 16
10 Vaasa 16
11 Central Finland 10
12 Oulu 18
13 Lapland 7

Opinion polls[edit]

Graphical summary[edit]

5 poll average of finnish opinion polls from April 2015 to the election 2019. Each line corresponds to a political party.

Poll results[edit]

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The table uses the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if that date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

The Sipilä Cabinet is composed of the top three parties from the previous election: Centre (Kesk), National Coalition (Kok) and Finns (PS) parties.

Date Polling Firm KESK KOK PS SDP VIHR VAS SFP KD Others Lead Govt-Opposition
20 Jun–15 Jul TNS Gallup 21.1 17.8 9.5 18.7 13.3 9.0 4.9 3.4 2.3 2.4 48.4 – 49.3
08 Jun–05 Jul Taloustutkimus 21.1 18.6 8.6 18.2 14.1 9.2 4.3 3.6 2.3 2.5 48.3 – 49.4
16 May–16 Jun TNS Gallup 20.9 17.0 9.1 20.6 13.6 8.2 4.7 3.7 2.2 0.3 47.0 – 50.8
9 May–7 Jun Taloustutkimus 20.2 17.7 9.0 20.1 14.8 8.3 4.2 3.5 2.2 0.1 46.9 – 50.9
12–14 May TNS Gallup 20.7 17.7 9.3 22.0 11.4 9.0 4.3 3.4 2.2 1.3 47.7 – 50.1
4 Apr–3 May Taloustutkimus 20.4 17.0 8.5 21.5 13.5 8.5 4.5 3.6 2.5 1.1 45.9 – 51.6
14 Mar–11 Apr TNS Gallup 20.6 17.1 9.7 21.7 11.7 8.7 4.4 3.7 2.4 1.1 47.4 – 50.2
7–30 Mar Taloustutkimus 21.7 17.1 9.5 20.3 12.5 8.3 4.7 3.6 2.3 1.4 48.3 – 49.4
15 Feb–11 Mar TNS Gallup 21.5 17.4 10.2 21.4 10.9 8.3 4.5 3.5 2.3 0.1 49.1 – 48.6
3 Feb–1 Mar Taloustutkimus 20.7 16.9 9.0 22.9 10.7 8.9 4.5 3.9 2.5 2.2 46.6 – 50.9
18 Jan–14 Feb TNS Gallup 21.4 18.0 9.9 21.2 10.8 8.5 4.3 3.7 2.2 0.2 49.3 – 48.5
11 Jan–2 Feb Taloustutkimus 20.9 17.3 9.8 21.5 12.3 8.6 4.1 3.4 2.1 0.6 48.0 – 49.9
14 Dec–14 Jan TNS Gallup 19.7 17.9 9.6 22.8 11.1 7.9 4.5 4.2 2.3 3.1 47.2 – 50.5
2016
7–29 Dec Taloustutkimus 21.4 18.7 8.9 22.7 11.7 7.3 3.9 3.4 2.0 1.3 49.0 – 49.0
16 Nov–10 Dec TNS Gallup 20.9 17.7 10.8 21.1 11.3 8.4 4.3 3.5 2.0 0.2 49.4 – 48.6
9 Nov–1 Dec Taloustutkimus 21.6 18.3 8.9 21.0 12.6 8.1 4.6 3.5 1.4 0.6 48.8 – 49.8
19 Oct–12 Nov TNS Gallup 21.6 18.4 11.0 19.6 11.6 8.0 4.3 3.5 2.0 2.0 51.0 – 47.0
12 Oct–3 Nov Taloustutkimus 21.7 18.3 9.8 20.7 12.2 7.4 4.4 3.4 2.1 1.0 49.8 – 48.1
14 Sep–16 Oct TNS Gallup 22.2 17.7 11.4 18.3 11.5 8.6 4.4 3.9 2.0 3.9 51.3 – 46.7
7 Sep–6 Oct Taloustutkimus 21.7 18.0 10.7 18.3 12.7 8.3 4.8 4.0 1.5 3.7 50.4 – 48.1
10 Aug–10 Sep TNS Gallup 22.3 18.0 15.6 15.0 11.1 7.8 4.8 3.5 1.9 4.3 55.9 – 42.2
10 Aug–1 Sep Taloustutkimus 23.0 18.9 15.0 14.4 12.4 7.6 4.2 2.9 1.6 4.1 56.9 – 41.5
13 Jul–7 Aug TNS Gallup 23.2 17.6 16.7 14.2 11.4 7.2 4.7 3.1 1.9 5.6 57.5 – 40.6
7 Jul–4 Aug Taloustutkimus 23.1 18.2 15.6 14.5 12.7 7.8 3.9 2.7 1.5 4.9 56.9 – 41.6
15 Jun–9 Jul TNS Gallup 21.9 18.2 17.6 14.7 9.8 7.9 4.5 3.3 2.1 3.7 57.7 – 40.2
3 Jun–1 Jul Taloustutkimus 22.7 17.3 15.6 14.6 11.5 8.4 4.5 3.4 2.0 5.4 55.6 – 42.4
18 May–11 Jun TNS Gallup 21.0 18.5 18.0 14.8 10.0 7.8 4.5 3.2 2.2 2.5 57.5 – 40.4
4 May–2 Jun Taloustutkimus 23.1 16.7 17.5 15.0 10.5 7.5 4.5 3.1 2.1 5.6 57.3 – 40.6
20 Apr–15 May TNS Gallup 21.1 18.0 19.2 15.1 9.3 6.8 4.6 3.4 2.5 1.9 58.3 – 39.2
19 Apr 2015 Election Results 21.1 18.2 17.7 16.5 8.5 7.1 4.9 3.5 2.5 2.9 57.0 – 40.5

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Nyt se ratkesi – Stubb sivuun, Petteri Orpo on kokoomuksen uusi puheenjohtaja". Ilta-sanomat. 11 June 2016. Retrieved 11 June 2016. 
  2. ^ "Li Andersson kruunattiin virallisesti puheenjohtajaksi". Iltalehti. 2016-06-11. Retrieved 2016-06-11. 
  3. ^ "Anna-Maja Henriksson valittiin Rkp:n puheenjohtajaksi – ”Me teimme sen. Me rikoimme lasikaton!”". Helsingin sanomat. 12 June 2016. Retrieved 12 June 2016. 
  4. ^ "Kristillisdemokraattien uusi puheenjohtaja on Sari Essayah – haluaa malliksi Saksan sisarpuolue CDU:n". Helsingin Sanomat. 28 August 2015. Retrieved 29 August 2015. 
  5. ^ Upcoming Elections 2015-2030, Vaalit.fi, accessed 3 June 2015.
  6. ^ Sipilä opts for right-leaning government, YLE News 7 May 2015, accessed 3 June 2015.
  7. ^ "Juha Sipilä valittiin äänin 128-62 pääministeriksi". Verkkouutiset. 2016-05-28. Retrieved 2016-03-03. 
  8. ^ Electoral Districts, Vaalit.fi, accessed 3 June 2015.