Next Israeli legislative election

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Elections for the twenty-first Knesset must be held by 5 November 2019, but could happen earlier if the government chooses to hold early elections.[1]

Electoral system[edit]

Further information: Elections in Israel

The 120 seats in the Knesset are elected by proportional representation in a single nationwide constituency. The electoral threshold for the election is 3.25%. In almost all cases, this is equivalent to a minimum party size of four seats, but on rare occasions a party can end up with three.[2]

Opinion polls[edit]

Date Poll Likud
 
Yisrael
Beiteinu
Yesh
Atid
Zionist
Union
Jewish
Home
Shas
 
UTJ
 
Meretz
 
Joint
List
Kulanu
 
2015 election results 30 6 11 24 8 7 6 5 13 10
2016
3 Jun Jerusalem Post/Smith Poll[3] 27 8 19 15 11 6 8 6 13 7
29 May Geocartography/Kol Chai[4] 27 8 21 8 14 4 10 8 13 7
27 May Smith/Reshet Bet[5] 28 8 19 15 10 7 8 6 13 6
17 May Geocartography/Channel 1[6] 27 9 24 11 8 4 10 8 13 6
17 May Panels/Maariv[7] 26 11 18 13 14 7 7 7 11 6
16 May Midgam/Ipanel[8] 27 9 18 17 10 6 7 6 13 7
16 May Midgam/Statnet[9] 25 9 20 13 12 5 5 6 14 9
25 Mar Smith/Reshet Bet[10] 26 8 19 17 11 7 7 6 12 7
24 Mar Dialog[11] 27 7 20 15 12 7 7 5 13 7
9 Mar Teleseker/Channel 1[12] 25 8 21 15 12 7 7 6 13 6
5 Mar Midgam/Channel 2[13] 26 8 19 18 11 6 7 5 13 7
26 Feb Smith/Reshet Bet[14] 27 7 18 19 11 6 6 6 13 7
19 Feb Panels[15] 27 10 18 15 12 7 7 6 12 6
28 Jan Maagar Mochot[16] 30 9 18 18 9 8 6 5 13 4
21 Jan Channel 10[17] 27 10 16 15 13 7 7 4 14 7
1 Jan Midgam/Yediot Achranot[18] 25 8 18 18 12 6 7 6 13 7
2015
30 Nov Maagar Mochot[19] 31 8 15 20 9 8 6 5 13 5

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Weekend Perspective: The undecided factors of the next election". Knesset Jeremy. 10 April 2016. Retrieved 13 April 2016. 
  2. ^ "With Bader-Ofer method, not every ballot counts". The Jerusalem Post. 16 March 2014. 
  3. ^ https://knessetjeremy.com/2016/06/03/jerusalem-postsmith-poll-likud-27-yesh-atid-19-zionist-union-15-joint-list-13-bayit-yehudi-11-yisrael-beitenuutj-8/
  4. ^ "Geocartography Poll: Likud 27, Yesh Atid 21, Bayit Yehudi 14, Joint List 13, UTJ 10, Zionist Union 8". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 29 May 2016. 
  5. ^ "Smith Poll: Likud 28, Yesh Atid 19, Zionist Union 15, Joint List 13, Bayit Yehudi 10; Scenario Poll: Kahlon+Saar+Yaalon 25, Likud 21". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 27 May 2016. 
  6. ^ "Channel 1 Poll: Likud 27, Yesh Atid 24, Joint List 13, Zionist Union 11". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 20 May 2016. 
  7. ^ "Maariv Poll: Likud 26, Yesh Atid 18, Bayit Yehudi 14, Zionist Union 13, Joint List 11, Yisrael Beitenu 11; +3 Yaalon Scenario Polls". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 17 May 2016. 
  8. ^ "Channel 2 Poll: Likud 27, Yesh Atid 18, Zionist Union 17, Joint List 13, Bayit Yehudi 10". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 16 May 2016. 
  9. ^ "Channel 10 Poll: Likud 25, Yesh Atid 20, Joint List 14, Zionist Union 13, Bayit Yehudi 12; 22% of Zionist Union voters moved to Yesh Atid". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 16 May 2016. 
  10. ^ "Smith/Reshet Bet Poll: Likud 26, Yesh Atid 19, Zionist Union 17, Joint List 12, Bayit Yehudi 11". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 25 Mar 2016. 
  11. ^ "A Dialog/Haaretz Scenario Poll". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 24 Mar 2016. 
  12. ^ "Teleseker/Channel 1 Poll: Likud 25, Yesh Atid 21, Zionist Union 15, Joint List 13, Bayit Yehudi 12". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 9 Mar 2016. 
  13. ^ "Midgam Poll: Likud 26, Yesh Atid 19, Zionist Union 18, Joint List 13, Bayit Yehudi 11". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 5 Mar 2016. 
  14. ^ "Smith Poll: Likud 27, Zionist Union 19, Yesh Atid 18, Joint List 13, Bayit Yehudi 11". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 26 Feb 2016. 
  15. ^ "Panels Poll: Likud 27, Yesh Atid 18, Zionist Union 15, Bayit Yehudi 12, Joint List 12". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 19 Feb 2016. 
  16. ^ "Maagar Mochot Poll: Likud 30, Zionist Union 18, Yesh Atid 18, Joint List 13, Kulanu 4". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 28 Jan 2016. 
  17. ^ "Thursday Channel 10 Poll: 27 Likud, 16 Yesh Atid, 15 Zionist Union, 14 Joint List, 13 Bayit Yehudi". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 24 Jan 2016. 
  18. ^ "Last Poll of 2015: Likud 25, Herzog 18, Lapid 18, Joint List 13, Bayit Yehudi 12". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 1 Jan 2016. 
  19. ^ "First Public Poll since March: Likud 31, Zionist Union 20, Yesh Atid 15, Joint List 13, Bayit Yehudi 9". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 3 Dec 2015. 

External links[edit]