Next Queensland state election

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Next Queensland state election
Queensland
2015 ←

All 89 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Queensland
45 seats needed for a majority
  AnnastaciaPalaszczuk1.jpg LawSpr.jpg
Leader Annastacia Palaszczuk Lawrence Springborg
Party Labor Liberal National
Leader since 28 March 2012 (2012-03-28) 8 February 2015 (2015-02-08)
Leader's seat Inala Southern Downs
Last election 44 seats 42 seats
Current seats 43 seats 42 seats
Seats needed Increase2 Increase3
TPP @ 2015 51.1% 48.9%
TPP Polling 49% 51%
Preferred Premier 59.5% 40.5%

Incumbent Premier

Annastacia Palaszczuk
Labor

The next Queensland state election is scheduled to be held in or before 2018 to elect all 89 members to the unicameral Legislative Assembly of Queensland. The first-term Labor government, currently led by Premier of Queensland Annastacia Palaszczuk, will attempt to win a second term. The Liberal National opposition is currently led by Opposition Leader Lawrence Springborg.

Labor is governing as a minority government in a hung parliament with confidence and supply support while retaining the right to vote on conscience from crossbench independent MP Peter Wellington as well as the support of the Independent member for Cook, Billy Gordon, who was expelled from the Parliamentary Labor Party over a failure to disclose criminal history.[1]

Previous election[edit]

At the 2015 election, Labor won 44 seats, the most of all parties, but short by one of commanding a majority in the Legislative Assembly. The Liberal National Party, despite winning a record majority of 78 at the previous election, won 42 seats. Katter's Australian Party won two seats, and the independent member for Nicklin, Wellington, retained his seat.[2]

Wellington gave confidence and supply support to Labor to form government, giving it the majority of 45 out of 89 seats in parliament, and consequently the previous Liberal National government under the leadership of Campbell Newman, who lost his seat of Ashgrove, lost office after one term.

Polling[edit]

Poll results[edit]

Legislative Assembly polling
Date Firm Primary vote TPP vote
ALP LNP Green Other ALP LNP
December 2015 Newspoll[3] 41% 39% 8% 12% 52% 48%
16 Oct 2015 Morgan[4] 34.5% 42% 11.5% 12% 49% 51%
Sep 2015 Newspoll[5] 41% 38% 9% 12% 53% 47%
28–31 Aug 2015 Morgan[6] 38.5% 41.5% 12% 8% 52% 48%
19–20 Aug 2015 Galaxy[7] 40% 39% 10% 11% 52% 48%
19–21 Jun 2015 Morgan[8] 39.5% 42% 9.5% 9% 51.5% 48.5%
22–24 May 2015 Morgan[9] 34% 44% 11% 1% 48% 52%
22 May 2015 ReachTEL[10] 37.6% 45.6% 9.4% 7.4% 48% 52%
19–20 May 2015 Galaxy[11] 40% 39% 9% 12% 52% 47%
10–12 Apr 2015 Morgan[12] 40% 40.5% 9.5% 10% 52.5% 47.5%
8–9 Apr 2015 Galaxy[11] 39% 42% 7% 12% 50% 50%
31 Jan 2015 election 37.5% 41.3% 8.4% 12.8% 51.1% 48.9%
26–29 Jan 2015 Newspoll[13] 37% 41% 6% 14% 48% 52%
9–26 Jan 2015 Essential[14] 38% 39% 7% 16% 50% 50%
16–18 Jan 2015 Morgan[15] 37% 39.5% 10% 13.5% 49.5% 50.5%

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Billy Gordon: Queensland Labor thrown into turmoil after Cook MP admits to undisclosed criminal history". ABC News. 29 March 2015. 
  2. ^ "2015 Election Results Summary". Electoral Commission of Queensland. Retrieved 15 February 2015. 
  3. ^ William Bowe (24 December 2015). "Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor in Queensland". Poll Bludger. Crikey. 
  4. ^ "Popular Premiers Mike Baird & Daniel Andrews have large leads in NSW & Victoria while other States are close". Roy Morgan Research. Roy Morgan Research. Retrieved 17 October 2015. 
  5. ^ "Newspoll". News Corp. 28 September 2015. Archived from the original on 28 September 2015. 
  6. ^ "Popular Premiers Mike Baird & Daniel Andrews have large leads in NSW & Victoria while other States except Tasmania are close". Roy Morgan Research. 3 September 2015. Retrieved 3 September 2015. 
  7. ^ "LABOR MAINTAINS LEAD IN QUEENSLAND". Galaxy Research. 24 August 2015. 
  8. ^ "Mike Baird & Daniel Andrews have large leads in NSW & Victoria while Annastacia Palaszczuk regains lead in Queensland". Roy Morgan Research. 25 June 2015. 
  9. ^ "Honeymoons continue for NSW Premier Baird & Victorian Premier Andrews while the honeymoon is over for Queensland Premier Palaszczuk". Roy Morgan Research. 27 May 2015. 
  10. ^ "Queensland Poll". 22 May 2015. 
  11. ^ a b "Voters warming to Palaszczuk government". 23 May 2015. 
  12. ^ "NSW Premier Mike Baird enjoys clear honeymoon lead; Voters in Queensland back Premier Palaszczuk after strong stance on Billy Gordon". Roy Morgan Research. 15 April 2015. 
  13. ^ "26–29 Jan 2015 QLD state Newspoll" (PDF). Newspoll. 31 January 2015. 
  14. ^ "7 The Essential Report - Queensland State Election" (PDF). news.com.au. 29 January 2015. Retrieved 29 January 2015. 
  15. ^ "Queensland State Election too close to call with only a week to go but Mike Baird set to be re-elected Premier in NSW". Roy Morgan Research. 22 January 2015. Retrieved 25 January 2015.