Northern Syria Buffer Zone

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Northern Syria Buffer Zone
Syrian-Turkish border, Syria
TypeDemilitarised zone
Length115 kilometres (71 mi)
Site information
Controlled bySyrian Democratic Forces and SDF Military Councils
Open to
the public
No
ConditionCurrently being established
Site history
Built by
In usesince 16 August 2019 (2019-08-16)
EventsSyrian Civil War

The Northern Syria Buffer Zone, also referred to as the Safe Zone or Peace Corridor is a demilitarized zone (DMZ) being established on the Syrian-Turkish border as of August 2019. The original purpose of the DMZ was to prevent another Turkish invasion of Northern Syria.[1]

Background[edit]

The Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) are an armed participant in the Syrian Civil War and serve as the armed forces of the Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria. The SDF is composed of numerous groups, most prominent among them being the YPG and YPJ and their political branch, the PYD, which Turkey considers a branch of the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK),[2][3] an organization which Turkey considers a terrorist group and with which it has engaged in armed conflict since the breakdown of peace negotiations in 2015. For this reason, Turkey views the entire SDF as nothing more than an extension of the PKK. This has led Turkey to intervene twice against the group, first by invading Northern Syria to prevent the linking of SDF-held areas and later by starting a full-scale attack against the SDF in Afrin. As a result of the Turkish operations, Turkey has established an occupation zone in northern Syria, which was made the target of an SDF insurgency. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has frequently expressed a desire to forcefully remove the SDF from the Syrian-Turkish border.[4][5]

On the other hand, the SDF became one of the United States' main Syrian partners in the military intervention against ISIL, leading to U.S. troops being stationed along SDF-held territories, thus preventing a Turkish invasion.[6][7] At the same time, US President Donald Trump has expressed his intention to disengage from the Syrian Civil War, initially ordering all US personnel in Syria to be withdrawn,[8] before later deciding to leave a small contingent, at the behest of his military advisors.[9] Nonetheless, the US is keen on maintaining good relations with Turkey, which had by that point already been strained by the refusal of the US to extradite Turkish dissident Fethullah Gülen (whom Turkey accuses of masterminding the 2016 Turkish coup d'état attempt) and the Turkish purchase of S-400 missile systems from Russia,[10] as Turkey is considered NATO's key member in the Middle East.[11][12][13]

The US and Turkey had previously clashed diplomatically over the issue of the SDF-held city of Manbij, with Turkey wanting to purge the city of the YPG units stationed there. The result was a 'Manbij Roadmap' being agreed to by Turkey and the US, which would eventually entail in a YPG withdrawal from the city.[14] The roadmap, however, was never implemented and the YPG never withdrew. Turkey accused the US of dragging its feet and sabotaging the implementation of the roadmap, vowing to never enter into a similar deal in the future.[15][16]

Relations between Turkey and the SDF became increasingly hostile in mid 2019, with the SDF joining forces with the Syrian Government to defeat a small-scale Turkish invasion at Tell Rifaat.

The negotiation process[edit]

Preliminary negotiations and initial failure[edit]

During summer of 2019, the Turkish president announced that Turkey could "no longer wait" and would not tolerate continued SDF presence on the Turkish-Syrian border.[17] He stated that if the US did not agree to a deal that would remove the SDF from those areas, Turkey would unilaterally launch a full-scale invasion against SDF-held territories east of the Euphrates river, establishing a Turkish-occupied "security zone" along the border - something that US leadership viewed as "unacceptable".[18][19] With the Turkish army massing along the border, the Trump Administration decided to enter into negotiations with Turkey over establishing a "safe zone", which would fundamentally address the SDF presence in Northern Syria. The two sides initially failed to make any headway, with the US initially offering a 10–15 kilometres (6.2–9.3 mi)-deep zone under joint US-Turkish control, while Turkey demanded a 30–50 kilometres (19–31 mi)-deep zone under sole Turkish control.[20][21][22]

Deal reached[edit]

On 7 August 2019, Turkey said it reached a framework deal with the United States, that would prevent a unilateral Turkish invasion of northern Syria. The initial first steps reportedly included the creation of a 'joint operations centre', which would coordinate the establishment of a "peace corridor" along the Syrian side of the Syrian-Turkish border, while still leaving details about the size and scope of the "peace corridor" undefined and ambiguous.[23][24][25]

First patrol and ongoing disagreement[edit]

On 8 September 2019, hours after Turkish Armed Forces and United States Armed Forces conducted a first joint patrol near the Syrian town of Tell Abyad,[26] President Erdogan cited "continuous disagreements" with the U.S. over the deal. He said the U.S. seems to be "looking for a safe zone for the terrorist organization," not for Turkey.[27]

Terms of the deal[edit]

A map of the Tigris and Euphrates rivers, between which the buffer zone is established.
Map of the Tigris and Euphrates rivers, between which the buffer zone is established

In mid August 2019, the head of the Syrian Democratic Forces revealed that the two sides had agreed on the specifics of the safe zone deal. They were listed as follows:[28][29][30][31][32][33][34][35]

  • A buffer zone (also referred to as "safe zone" or "peace corridor" by some parties)[a] would be established in the areas between the Tigris and Euphrates rivers (notably excluding the Manbij area) in Northern Syria, totaling in about 115 km of the border between the two countries.
  • The zone would be 5 kilometres (3.1 mi) deep in most areas, while in a few limited areas would be expanded to 9–14 kilometres (5.6–8.7 mi)[b] deep. The expanded part of the zone would be located between the towns Serêkanî and Tell Abyad. The 14 km portion of the zone may be extended by 4 kilometres (2.5 mi) in the last stage of the implementation of the deal, reaching 18 kilometres (11 mi) at its deepest point and being designated as a security belt. Within the "security belt" regular SDF (including YPG and YPJ) units would be allowed to remain in their positions, but would have to withdraw all heavy weapons. No hostile actions or acts of aggression would be permitted within the buffer zone.
  • YPG and YPJ forces would withdraw from the 5-9-14 km area of the buffer zone entirely, leaving the areas they withdraw from under the military control of the SDF military councils and the civil control of the Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria (the latter of which represents a confirmation of the status quo).
  • Turkish reconnaissance aircraft would be allowed to monitor the zone, but Turkish warplanes would not be allowed to enter and no airstrikes would take place.
  • The SDF would dismantle the border fortifications it has constructed along the Syrian-Turkish border.
  • The US and Turkey would conduct joint military patrols along the buffer zone, but would not occupy territory. Separate Turkish patrols would not be permitted.
  • The joint US-Turkish operations center would oversee the implementation of the deal and coordinate actions between the two parties.
  • Some of the Syrian refugees currently housed in Turkey would start to be relocated to the areas within the zone.[c]
  • Turkey would refrain from any incursions into Northern Syria.
  • Turkey would not establish any observation posts in Northern Syria, as it had done in Idlib. All observation posts would have to be built on the territory of the Republic of Turkey.

The SDF later clarified that the majority of the zone would include rural areas and military positions, but would not cover cities and towns.[36][37]

Implementation timeline[edit]

On 14 August 2019, Turkish observation drones began surveillance flights over the buffer zone.[38]

Syrian Democratic Forces dismantling border fortifications in northern Syria under the supervision of U.S. soldiers, 22 August 2019

On 22 August, the SDF began dismantling border fortifications along the Syrian-Turkish border under U.S. supervision.[39][40]

On 24 August, Turkish defense minister Hulusi Akar reported that the U.S.-Turkish combined joint operations center (CJOC) was fully operational, adding that joint helicopter flights would begin that same day.[41]

On 26 August, Turkish president Recep Tayyip Erdoğan stated that joint U.S.-Turkish patrols within the zone would begin "soon".[44][45]

On 27 August, the first stage of the planned Kurdish withdrawal came into effect, with YPG units leaving their positions and withdrawing along with their weapons from Tell Abyad and Ras al-Ayn.[46][47][48][49]

On 31 August, Turkish president Erdoğan threatened that Turkey would "implement its own plans" if Turkish soldiers are not allowed to control the buffer zone in Northern Syria within two or three weeks.[d][50][51][52]

On 4 September, the SDF's Ras al-Ayn military council (comprised of local fighters loyal to the SDF) began joint patrols with U.S. personnel around the town, following the withdrawal of regular SDF units from the area a week prior.[53]

  • Turkish president Erdogan described the buffer zone as "nothing more than a name".[54] Despite Erdogan's statement, his spokesman stated that Turkey had already completed its preparations for the implementation of the "U.S.-Turkish joint operational plan".[55]
  • An SDF executive council co-chair stated that the buffer zone had gone off to a "good start," but insisted that Turkey must withdraw its troops from the border before "calm could prevail".[56]

On 5 September, U.S. and Turkish helicopters conducted a third round of joint aerial reconnaissance patrols within the buffer zone.[57]

  • The Turkish president expressed his desire to resettle one million refugees (out of the 3.6 million residing in Turkey at that point) within the buffer zone. He accused the international community, namely the European Union, of not providing help with the refugee burden. He threatened to "open the gates", implying to let all of the refugees freely emigrate, if Turkey did not receive support for its plans in the buffer zone. He then demanded that joint U.S.-Turkish (ground) patrols within the zone begin by the last week of September.[58][59][60][61]

On 6 September, Turkish defense minister Hulusi Akar announced that joint U.S.-Turkish ground patrols within the zone were due to begin on Sunday, 8 September.[62][63]

On 8 September, Turkish Armed Forces and United States Armed Forces conducted their first joint ground patrol starting from the perimeter of Tell Abyad, close to the Turkish town of Akçakale.[64][65] Six Turkish armored vehicles were involved in the patrol, along with several American armored vehicles, with the US vehicles leading the way. The patrol headed to a Kurdish-controlled base to inspect it and to ensure that trenches and sand berms had been removed.[66]

  • The Syrian government vehemently condemned the initiation of joint patrols, stating that it viewed them as representing a flagrant violation of the country's national sovereignty and territorial integrity.[67][68]
  • The Turkish President expressed dissatisfaction with the buffer zone, accusing the United States of creating the buffer zone for the benefit of the YPG, instead of Turkey.[69][70]

On 10 September, Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlüt Çavuşoğlu accused the United States of "stalling" the implementation of the zone and reasserted the threat that Turkey would unilaterally invade Northern Syria, if it deemed it necessary. He further demanded that the safe zone be expanded to 32km, rather than the 5-9-14 model being implemented at that point by the US and SDF.[71][72]

On 12 September, the U.S. military was reported as considering the proposition of sending about 150 additional troops to Northern Syria in an attempt to "reduce tensions" between the SDF and Turkey.[73][74] A Pentagon spokesman however stated that the US "posture" in Syria would remain "unchanged".[75]

On 18 September, Turkish President Erdogan stated Turkey was seeking to settle 2 to 3 million refugees within the border zone (up from one million from his 5 September statement). He reiterated the repeated Turkish threat to "implement [Turkey's] own plans" if he deemed that "no results [had] come" from the deal in two weeks.[76][77][78][79]

On 19 September, the US military was reported to have continued arming YPG forces, despite repeated Turkish objections. The United States Department of Defense confirmed that it was continuing to supply "tailored" arms and vehicles to the Syrian Democratic Forces in general, stating that it was providing monthly reports to Turkey as to what arms and vehicles were sent to the group.[80][81][82]

Reactions[edit]

National[edit]

  •  Syria — The Syrian Government strongly condemned and categorically rejected the deal, dubbing it a "blatant attack" on the nation's national sovereignty, as well as a violation of international law.[83][84][e]
  •  Turkey — Turkish foreign minister Mevlüt Çavuşoğlu warned that Turkey would not allow the plans for the implementation of the buffer zone to "stall" and cautioned that Turkey would not tolerate a repetition of the unenforced Manbij roadmap. Cavusoglu further pleged to clear the buffer zone of "YPG terrorists".[85][86] Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan expressed dissatisfaction with the size, scope and implementation timeline of the deal numerous times and has threatened to void the agreement, as well as allow free refugee migration to Europe, if the deal's terms are not altered and interpreted more in line with Turkey's vision for the zone.[87][88][89][90]
  •  United States — The US embassy in Turkey released a statement, in which it noted that US and Turkish military delegations had met and agreed to work together to address Turkey's 'security concerns'.[91]
  •  Russia - Russia warned of what it deemed were efforts to divide northeastern Syria and added that any legitimate agreement would require the approval of the Syrian Government. Russia urged dialogue between the Syrian Government and Rojava as a means to prevent the partition of Syria.[92][e] However, several weeks later, during a visit by Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan in Moscow, Russian President Vladimir Putin expressed his support for a buffer zone in principle, stating that Turkey had been shouldering a "huge refugee load" and had "legitimate concerns" over the security of its southern borders.[93] Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov commented that Russia "always supports" de-escalation agreements, but insisted that all such agreements "respect Syria's sovereignty and territorial integrity as well as the rights of the Arab tribes, traditionally living around the Euphrates." [94]
  •  Iran - Iran condemned the agreement, considering it a "provocative and worrying step", which it deemed to violate the principles of international law and the Charter of the United Nations.[95][96][e]
  •  Denmark - Shortly before joint US-Turkish ground patrols within the zone were due to begin, Denmark announced that it would be sending Danish army troops and medical personnel to SDF-held areas in Northern Syria, in what the Danish Government dubbed a move assist SDF and 'residual' U.S. forces in their fight against ISIL.[97][98] The United States Department of Defense welcomed this announcement.[99]

Non-state groups and organizations[edit]

  • Syrian Democratic Forces — The SDF announced support for the deal, stating that they were ready to support its implementation and would "strike to ensure the success of efforts towards implementing the understanding ... with the Turkish state".[100][101] At the same time, the co-chair of the foreign relations department at the Syrian Democratic Council has stated that the SDF would not tolerate any advance of Turkish troops, nor of their allied armed groups.[102]
  •  Syrian opposition - The Syrian opposition, of which Turkey is one of the largest backers, supported the Turkish position by demanding that the safe zone be expanded to between 30–40 kilometres (19–25 mi). The opposition Syrian Interim Government aspired to one day control the zone, stating that they had three files of 120 pages each, which documented a plan to govern the zone, should they somehow come to occupy it at some point in the future.[103][f]

See also[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ The SDF objects to the terms "safe zone" and "peace corridor", as they deem the areas they control to already be safe and peaceful. Those two terms are instead often used by the Turkish and US authorities to refer to the zone.
  2. ^ Turkey has expressed dissatisfaction with the 9-5-14km model being established and has demanded it to be expanded to 32km. The United States has ignored the demand, while the SDF has categorically rejected it.
  3. ^ Exactly which persons would be allowed to enter remains a contentious topic, as the SDF insists that any resettled refugees that previously fought for Jabhat Al-Nusra, ISIL or other designated terrorist groups would have to stand trial. The SDF further insists that only refugees that previously lived in those areas be allowed to resettle. Turkey, on the other hand, demanded that over 1 million refugees be resettled in the zone. Turkey later increased it's demand to 2 to 3 million refugees.
  4. ^ No provision was made in the deal for Turkish control over the buffer zone, nor for standalone Turkish patrols within it, as of the time the Turkish President made this statement. This places the statement in direct contradiction with the previously reported terms of the deal.
  5. ^ a b c Neither the Syrian Government, nor its Russian and Iranian allies were included in the negotiations. Their condemnation of the agreement stems primarily from the fact that two foreign nations (namely Turkey and the United States) had negotiated a demilitarized zone entirely within Syrian territory, without any input from the Syrian government or its backers.
  6. ^ No provision is made in the deal for any expansion of the areas governed by the Syrian Interim Government, which at that time had been confined exclusively to the Turkish occupied areas of Syria. The SDF categorically opposes any such expansion and considers the entry of Turkish-backed opposition groups to be a 'red line' in negotiations. The deal explicitly states that the areas of the buffer zone are to remain under the military and civil control of the Rojava government and the SDF military councils.

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