Ontario general election, 2014

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Ontario general election, 2014

← 2011 June 12, 2014 (2014-06-12) 2018 →

107 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Ontario
54 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout 51.3% (Increase3.1pp)[1]

  First party Second party Third party
  Hon Kathleen Wynne MPP Premier of Ontario (cropped2).jpg Tim Hudak 2014.jpg Horwath infobox.PNG
Leader Kathleen Wynne Tim Hudak Andrea Horwath
Party Liberal Progressive Conservative New Democratic
Leader since January 26, 2013 June 27, 2009 March 7, 2009
Leader's seat Don Valley West Niagara West—Glanbrook Hamilton Centre
Last election 53 seats, 37.65% 37 seats, 35.45% 17 seats, 22.74%
Seats before 48 37 21
Seats won 58 28 21
Seat change Increase10 Decrease9 Steady
Popular vote 1,862,907 1,506,267 1,144,576
Percentage 38.65% 31.25% 23.75%
Swing Increase1.00pp Decrease4.20pp Increase1.01pp

Ontario Provincial Election 2014 Riding Results Map.svg
Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. Riding names are listed at the bottom.

Premier before election

Kathleen Wynne
Liberal

Premier-designate

Kathleen Wynne
Liberal

The Ontario general election of 2014 was held on June 12, 2014, to elect the members of the 41st Parliament of Ontario. The Liberal Party won a majority of seats in the legislature, allowing its leader, Kathleen Wynne, to continue as premier, moving from a minority to majority government. This was the Liberals' fourth consecutive win since 2003 and an improvement from their performance in the 2011 election.[2] The Progressive Conservatives under Tim Hudak were returned to the official opposition; following the election loss, Hudak announced his resignation as Progressive Conservative leader.[3] The New Democratic Party under Andrea Horwath remained in third place, albeit with an improved share of the popular vote.

The election was called on May 2, 2014, by Lieutenant Governor David Onley,[4] upon the recommendation of Wynne following the announcement that the NDP, whose support was critical to the survival of the Liberal's minority government in the Legislative Assembly, would vote against the Liberals' proposed budget.[5]

With the election, Wynne became the first gay woman to lead her party to a majority victory in an Ontario general election.[6]

Results[edit]

Summary analysis[edit]

Number of seats held by party in the Legislative Assembly of Ontario (2014).
Popular vote
party year votes change
Liberal 2011
  
37.65% +1.00pp
2014
  
38.65%
Conservative 2011
  
35.45% -4.20pp
2014
  
31.25%
NDP 2011
  
22.74% +1.01pp
2014
  
23.75%
Green 2011
  
2.92% +1.92pp
2014
  
4.84%
Libertarian 2011
  
0.45% +0.36pp
2014
  
0.81%
Others 2011
  
0.79% -0.09pp
2014
  
0.7%


Seat totals
Liberal
58
Conservative
28
NDP
21
Elections to the Legislative Assembly of Ontario - seats won/lost by party, 2011-2014
Party 2011 Gain from (loss to) 2014
Lib PC NDP
    Liberal 53 7 3 (5) 58
    Conservative 37 (7) (2) 28
    New Democratic 17 5 (3) 2 21
Total 107 5 (10) 9 3 (7) 107

Pairing off the top three parties, swings were calculated to be:

  • PC to Liberal: 2.6%
  • PC to NDP: 2.6%
  • Liberal to NDP: insignificant

Regional analysis[edit]

Elections to the Legislative Assembly of Ontario - seats won by region (2014)
Party Toronto 905 Belt Ham/Niagara Central East Midwest Southwest North Total
    Liberal 20 14 4 5 7 4 1 3 58
    Conservative 2 1 6 7 6 4 2 28
    New Democratic 2 2 5 1 5 6 21
Total 22 18 10 11 14 11 10 11 107
Elections to the Legislative Assembly of Ontario - change in seats by region (2011-2014)
Party Toronto 905 Belt Ham/Niagara Central East Midwest Southwest North Total
    Liberal 3 1 4 1 (3) (1) 5
    Conservative (1) (2) (4) (2) (9)
    New Democratic (3) 1 1 1 3 1 4

Detailed analysis[edit]

58 28 21
Liberal PC NDP
Party Votes Seats
Liberal 1,862,907
38.65%
Increase 1.00%
58 / 107 (54%)
Progressive Conservative 1,506,267
31.25%
Decrease 4.20%
28 / 107 (26%)
New Democratic 1,144,576
23.75%
Increase 1.01%
21 / 107 (20%)
Green 233,269
4.84%
Increase 1.92%
0 / 107 (0%)
Libertarian 38,956
0.81%
Increase 0.36%
0 / 107 (0%)
Retention swing analysis between parties for the 2014 Ontario general election, compared to the results from the previous 2011 election.
Gallagher index for the results of the Ontario general election, 2014. There is significant distortion noted in the Liberal results.
Polling station in Toronto for the Ontario general election, 2014.
Summary of the standings of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario
Party Party leader Candidates Seats Popular vote[7]
2011 Dissol. 2014 Change # % Change
Liberal Kathleen Wynne 107 53 48 58 +5 1,862,907 38.65% +1.00%
Progressive Conservative Tim Hudak 107 37 37 28 -9 1,506,267 31.25% -4.20%
New Democratic Andrea Horwath 107 17 21 21 +4 1,144,576 23.75% +1.01%
Green Mike Schreiner 107 0 0 0 - 233,269 4.84% +1.92%
Libertarian Allen Small 74 0 0 0 - 38,956 0.81% +0.36%
Freedom Paul McKeever 42 0 0 0 - 12,381 0.26% +0.05%
Family Coalition Eric Ames (interim) 6 0 0 0 - 4,288 0.09% -0.13%
None of the Above Greg Vezina 8 * 0 0 - 4,247 0.09% -
  Independents and no affiliation 14 0 0 0 - 3,854 0.08% -
Communist Elizabeth Rowley 11 0 0 0 - 2,290 0.05% +0.02%
Canadians' Choice Bahman Yazdanfar 4 0 0 0 - 1,293 0.03% +0.027%
Vegan Environmental Paul Figueiras 5 0 0 0 - 907 0.02% +0.012%
People's Political Party Kevin Clarke 5 0 0 0 - 894 0.02% +0.012%
Northern Ontario Heritage Edward Deibel 3 0 0 0 - 892 0.02% =
Special Needs Danish Ahmed 3 0 0 0 - 709 0.01% -0.01%
Confederation of Regions vacant 2 0 0 0 - 551 0.01% =
Trillium Bob Yaciuk 2 * 0 0 - 397 0.01% -
Equal Parenting Dennis Valenta 2 * 0 0 - 366 0.01% -
Socialist Michael Laxer 2 0 0 0 - 361 0.01% =
Ontario Moderate Party Yuri Duboisky 2 * 0 0 - 335 0.01% -
Pauper John Turmel 3 0 0 0 - 194 <0.01% =
  Declined Vote[8] 31,399 0.64% +0.59%
  Vacant 1
Total 616 107 107 107 4,851,333

Principal races[edit]

Party candidates in 2nd place
Party in 1st place Party in 2nd place Total
Lib PC NDP
Liberal 43 15 58
Progressive Conservative 22 6 28
New Democratic 14 7 21
Total 36 50 21 107
Principal races, according to 1st and 2nd-place results
Parties Seats
 Liberal  Progressive Conservative 65
 Liberal  New Democratic 29
 Progressive Conservative  New Democratic 13
Total 107

Marginal seats[edit]

The following seats had a margin of victory of less than 5 percentage points in the election:

Marginal constituencies (Ontario general election, 2014)[9]
Constituency Rank of parties Margins Result
1st 2nd 3rd 1st vs 2nd 1st vs 3rd
Barrie 40.7% 36.1% 16.3% 4.6% 24.4%   Lib gain
Beaches—East York 40.1% 39.0% 13.9% 1.1% 26.2%   Lib gain
Durham 36.5% 34.3% 24.1% 2.2% 12.4%   Lib gain
Kitchener—Conestoga 36.4% 33.3% 21.2% 3.1% 15.2%   PC hold
Parkdale—High Park 40.8% 40.0% 12.8% 0.8% 28.0%   NDP hold
Sudbury 42.2% 39.4% 13.8% 2.8% 28.4%   NDP gain
Thornhill 44.0% 43.8% 8.1% 0.2% 35.9%   PC hold
Windsor West 41.4% 38.5% 14.4% 2.9% 27.0%   NDP gain

Maps[edit]

Timeline (2011-2014)[edit]

Seat changes[edit]

40th Legislative Assembly of Ontario - Movement in seats held from 2011 to 2014
Party 2011 Gain/(loss) due to 2014
Resignation Byelection hold Byelection upset
Liberal 53 (8) 3 48
Progressive Conservative 37 (2) 1 1 37
New Democratic 17 4 21
Vacant 1 1
Total 107 (9) 4 5 107
Changes in seats held (2011-2014)
Seat Before Change
Date Member Party Reason Date Member Party
Kitchener—Waterloo April 27, 2012 Elizabeth Witmer  PC Resignation[a 1] September 6, 2012 Catherine Fife  New Democratic
Vaughan August 1, 2012 Greg Sorbara  Liberal Resignation[a 2] September 6, 2012 Steven Del Duca  Liberal
London West February 14, 2013[10] Chris Bentley  Liberal Resignation[a 3] August 1, 2013[11] Peggy Sattler  New Democratic
Windsor—Tecumseh February 14, 2013 Dwight Duncan  Liberal Resignation[a 4] August 1, 2013 Percy Hatfield  New Democratic
Ottawa South June 12, 2013[12] Dalton McGuinty  Liberal Resignation August 1, 2013 John Fraser  Liberal
Scarborough—Guildwood June 27, 2013[13] Margarett Best  Liberal Resignation August 1, 2013 Mitzie Hunter  Liberal
Etobicoke—Lakeshore July 2, 2013[14] Laurel Broten  Liberal Resignation[a 5] August 1, 2013 Peter Milczyn  PC
Niagara Falls September 24, 2013[15] Kim Craitor  Liberal Resignation February 13, 2014[16] Wayne Gates  New Democratic
Thornhill December 31, 2013[17] Peter Shurman  PC Resignation February 13, 2014 Gila Martow  PC
Brampton—Springdale March 25, 2014[18] Linda Jeffrey  Liberal Resignation[a 6]  Vacant

Other developments[edit]

Date Event
October 6, 2011 Election held for members of the Ontario Legislature in the 40th Legislative Assembly of Ontario.
November 22, 2011 The 40th Legislative Assembly of Ontario opens with a Speech from the throne.[19]
March 28, 2012 Dwight Duncan presents the Government's first minority budget, requiring support from at least one of the other two parties to ensure passage and avoid an early election.
April 10, 2012 NDP Leader Andrea Horwath makes several demands to be met in exchange for her party to support the Liberal budget, which support is necessary for the approval of the budget following Tim Hudak's outright rejection of it.[20]
June 15, 2012 Premier Dalton McGuinty states he will drop the writ if his budget is not passed.[21]
June 20, 2012 The budget bill is passed, after the NDP agrees to abstain, avoiding a summer election.[22]
October 15, 2012 Dalton McGuinty announces his resignation as Premier of Ontario and as Leader of the Ontario Liberal Party.[23]
January 26, 2013 Kathleen Wynne is elected Leader of the Ontario Liberal Party.[24]
February 11, 2013 Wynne is sworn in as Premier, and a new cabinet is sworn in.[25]
February 20, 2013 Wynne resumes the 40th Legislative Assembly of Ontario with a Speech of the Throne.
May 1, 2014 Progressive Conservative leader Tim Hudak announces that his caucus will be voting against the Liberals' budget, proposed earlier that day.
May 2, 2014 NDP leader Andrea Horwath announces that the NDP will be voting against the Liberals' proposed budget, triggering a spring election.[5] Following this, Premier Wynne formally asks Lieutenant Governor David Onley to dissolve the legislature and call an election for June 12, 2014.[26]
June 12, 2014 The Liberal Party wins a majority, claiming 58 ridings in the Ontario election.[27] Tim Hudak announced that he is stepping down from his leadership of the PC party.[28]
June 14, 2014 A judicial recount has been requested in the riding of Thornhill.[29]
June 24, 2014 A judge confirms results in Thornhill are in favour of the Progressive Conservatives.[30]

Opinion polls[edit]

Voting intention polls released throughout the election campaign were distinctly inconsistent and contradictory,[31][32][33][34] as shown in the graph and table below. During much of the campaign, different pollsters persistently disagreed, frequently by important margins, on whether the Liberals or Progressive Conservatives held the lead, though by the final days most polls showed the Liberals marginally to comfortably ahead. Still, polls completed on the last day of the campaign by Ipsos Reid and EKOS showed vastly divergent support for the NDP, at 30% and 19%, respectively. Also of note, although four different pollsters released results among "likely voters" alongside their results among all eligible voters in an effort to better predict the outcome of the election based on expected voter turnout, in all cases the former proved to be overall poorer predictors than the latter.[35]

General opinion polls[edit]

Evolution of voting intentions during the 2014 Ontario general election campaign. Dots represent results of individual polls. Lines connect successive polls by the same polling firm. Dashes on June 12 represent election results.

1 Innovative Research states, for Province Wide Online Survey, "Margin of error not applicable, online samples not random."
2 Data shown above for campaign-period polls are top-line results, typically among all eligible voters. However, certain pollsters additionally report results among "likely voters" in an effort to better predict the actual outcome of the election. When available, these alternative results are shown in the following table:

Likely voters[edit]

Pre-campaign period[edit]

Evolution of voting intentions since the 40th Ontario general election on October 6, 2011. Points represent results of individual polls. Trend lines represent three-poll moving averages.

Incumbent MPPs not running for re-election[edit]

Liberals

Progressive Conservative

Candidates by region[edit]

East[edit]

Ottawa[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green   Libertarian Other
Carleton—Mississippi Mills Rosalyn Stevens Jack MacLaren John Hansen Andrew West Jack MacLaren
Nepean—Carleton Jack Uppal Lisa MacLeod Ric Dagenais Gordon Kubanek Coreen Corcoran Lisa MacLeod
Ottawa Centre Yasir Naqvi Rob Dekker Jennifer McKenzie Kevin O'Donnell Bruce Faulkner Larry Wasslen (Communist) Yasir Naqvi
Ottawa—Orléans Marie-France Lalonde Andrew Lister Prosper M'Bemba-Meka Bob Bell Gerald Bourdeau Phil McNeely
Ottawa South John Fraser Matt Young Bronwyn Funiciello Matt Lakatos-Hayward Jean-Serge Brisson Espoir Manirambona (Communist)

John Redins (Special Needs)

John Fraser
Ottawa—Vanier Madeleine Meilleur Martin Forget Hervé Ngamby David Bagler Phillip Richard Madeleine Meilleur
Ottawa West—Nepean Bob Chiarelli Randall Denley Alex Cullen Alex Hill Matthew Brooks Bob Chiarelli

Eastern Ontario[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green   Libertarian Other
Glengarry—
Prescott—Russell
Grant Crack Roxane Villeneuve Robertson Isabelle Sabourin Raymond St. Martin Darcy Donnelly

Marc-Antoine Gagnier (Independent),
Carl Leduc (Freedom)

Grant Crack
Kingston and the Islands Sophie Kiwala Mark Bain Mary Rita Holland Robert Kiley Jonathan Reid (Freedom) John Gerretsen
Lanark—Frontenac—
Lennox and Addington
Bill MacDonald Randy Hillier Dave Parkhill Cam Mather Randy Hillier
Leeds—Grenville Christine Milks Steve Clark David Lundy Steve Bowering Harold Gabriel Steve Clark
Prince Edward—Hastings Georgina Thompson Todd Smith Merrill Stewart Anita Payne Lindsay Forbes Todd Smith
Renfrew—Nipissing—
Pembroke
Rod Boileau John Yakabuski Brian Dougherty Benjamin Wright

Chad Beckwith-Smith (Independent),
Murray Reid (Conf of Regions)

John Yakabuski
Stormont—Dundas—
South Glengarry
John Earle Jim McDonell Elaine MacDonald Sharron Norman Shawn McRae Jim McDonell

Central Ontario[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green   Libertarian Other
Barrie Ann Hoggarth Rod Jackson David Bradbury Bonnie North Darren Roskam Rod Jackson
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound Ellen Anderson Bill Walker Karen Gventer Jenny Parsons Caleb Voskamp Jamie Spence (Freedom) Bill Walker
Dufferin—Caledon Bobbie Daid Sylvia Jones Rehya Rebecca Yazbek Karren Wallace Daniel Kowalewski Sylvia Jones
Durham Granville Anderson Mike Patrick Derek Spence Halyna Zalucky Conner Toye John O'Toole
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock Rick Johnson Laurie Scott Don Abel Arsalan Ahmad Laurie Scott
Newmarket—Aurora Chris Ballard Jane Twinney Angus Duff Andrew Roblin Jason Jenkins

Dorian Baxter (Cdns' Choice),
Bob Yaciuk (Trillium)

Frank Klees
Northumberland—
Quinte West
Lou Rinaldi Rob Milligan Kira Mees Gudrun Ludorf-Weaver Rob Milligan
Peterborough Jeff Leal Scott Stewart Sheila Wood Gary Beamish

Andrea Gar Quiano (Socialist),
Wayne Matheson (Freedom),
Gerard Faux (Pauper),
Brian Martindale (Independent)

Jeff Leal
Simcoe—Grey Lorne Kenney Jim Wilson David Matthews Jesseca Dudun Jim Wilson
Simcoe North Fred Larsen Garfield Dunlop Doris Middleton Peter Stubbins Garfield Dunlop
York—Simcoe Loralea Carruthers Julia Munro Laura Bowman Peter Elgie Craig Wallace Julia Munro

905 Belt[edit]

Durham & York[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green   Libertarian Other
Ajax—Pickering Joe Dickson Todd McCarthy Jermaine King Adam Narraway Kyle Stewart Joe Dickson
Markham—Unionville Michael Chan Shan Thayaparan Nadine Kormos Hawkins Myles O'Brien Allen Small Michael Chan
Oak Ridges—Markham Helena Jaczek Farid Wassef Miles Krauter Emilia Melara Karl Boelling Gennady Vilensky (Trillium) Helena Jaczek
Oshawa Esrick Quintyn Jerry Ouellette Jennifer French Becky Smit Jerry Ouellette
Pickering—
Scarborough East
Tracy MacCharles Kevin Gaudet Eileen Higdon Anthony Navarro Scott Hoefig Matt Oliver (Freedom) Tracy MacCharles
Richmond Hill Reza Moridi Vic Gupta Adam DeVita Rachael Lave Igor Bily Yuri Duboisky (Moderate) Reza Moridi
Thornhill Sandra Yeung Racco Gila Martow Cindy Hackelberg David Bergart Gene Balfour Erin Goodwin (Freedom) Gila Martow
Vaughan Steven Del Duca Peter Meffe Marco Coletta Matthew Pankhurst Paolo Fabrizio Steven Del Duca
Whitby—Oshawa Ajay Krishnan Christine Elliott Ryan Kelly Stacey Leadbetter Douglas Thom (Freedom) Christine Elliott

Brampton, Mississauga & Oakville[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green   Libertarian Other
Bramalea—Gore—
Malton
Kuldip Kular Harjit Jaswal Jagmeet Singh Pauline Thornham Jagmeet Singh
Brampton—Springdale Harinder Malhi Pam Hundal Gurpreet Dhillon Laila Zarrabi Yan Elizabeth Hill (Communist) Vacant
Brampton West Vic Dhillon Randeep Sandhu Gugni Gill Panaich Sayyeda Ebrahim Luis Chacin

Ted Harlson (Freedom),
Dan Sullivan (FamilyCoalition)

Vic Dhillon
Mississauga—
Brampton South
Amrit Mangat Amarjeet Gill Kevin Troake Kathy Acheson Richard Levesque

Robert Alilovic (Independent),
Kathleen Vezina (NOTA)

Amrit Mangat
Mississauga East—
Cooksville
Dipika Damerla Zoran Churchin Fayaz Karim Linh Nguyen Levko Iwanusiw Dolly Catena (EPP) Dipika Damerla
Mississauga—Erindale Harinder Takhar Jeff White Michelle Bilek Vivek Gupta Chris Jewell

Nabila Kiyani (FamilyCoalition),
Greg Vezina (NOTA)

Harinder Takhar
Mississauga South Charles Sousa Effie Triantafilopoulos Boris Rosolak Lloyd Jones James Judson Andrew Weber (NOTA) Charles Sousa
Mississauga—Streetsville Bob Delaney Nina Tangri Anju Sikka Scott Warner Dave Walach Alexander Vezina (NOTA) Bob Delaney
Oakville Kevin Flynn Larry Scott Che Marville Andrew Chlobowski David Clement Silvio Ursomarzo (Freedom) Kevin Flynn

Toronto[edit]

Scarborough[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green Other
Scarborough—Agincourt Soo Wong Liang Chen Alex Wilson Pauline Thompson Kevin Clarke (People's) Soo Wong
Scarborough Centre Brad Duguid David Ramalho Carol Baker Edward Yaghledjian Brad Duguid
Scarborough—Guildwood Mitzie Hunter Ken Kirupa Shuja Syed Jeffrey Bustard

Richard Kerr (Libertarian),
Khalid Mokhtarzada (Freedom),
John Sawdon (Cdns' Choice)

Mitzie Hunter
Scarborough—Rouge River Bas Balkissoon Raymond Cho Neethan Shan George Singh Amir Khan (NOTA) Bas Balkissoon
Scarborough Southwest Lorenzo Berardinetti Nita Kang Jessie Macaulay David Del Grande

Tyler Rose (Libertarian),
Jean-Baptiste Foaleng (Independent)

Lorenzo Berardinetti

North York and North Toronto[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green   Freedom Other
Don Valley East Michael Coteau Angela Kennedy Akil Sadikali Christopher McLeod Wayne Simmons Michael Coteau
Don Valley West Kathleen Wynne David Porter Khalid Ahmed Louis Fliss Tracy Curley

Dimitrios Kabitsis (Communist),
Patrick Boyd (Libertarian),
Brock Burrows (Independent),
Rosemary Waigh (Vegan Environ.)

Kathleen Wynne
Eglinton—Lawrence Michael Colle Robin Martin Thomas Gallezot Lucas McCann Michael Bone Erwin Sniedzins (Independent) Michael Colle
Willowdale David Zimmer Michael Ceci Alexander Brown Teresa Pun David Zimmer
York Centre Monte Kwinter Avi Yufest John Fagan Josh Borenstein Laurence Cherniak Monte Kwinter

Toronto & East York[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green   Libertarian   Freedom Other
Beaches—East York Arthur Potts Nicolas Johnson Michael Prue Debra Scott Alex Lindsay Naomi Poley-Fisher Michael Prue
Davenport Cristina Martins Lan Daniel Jonah Schein Daniel Stein Nunzio Venuto Franz Cauchi

Mariam Ahmad (Communist),
Troy Young (People's)

Jonah Schein
St. Paul's Eric Hoskins Justine Deluce Luke Savage Josh Rachlis John Kittredge Mike Rita Eric Hoskins
Toronto Centre Glen Murray Martin Abell Kate Sellar Mark Daye Judi Falardeau Chris Goodwin

Lada Alekseychuk (Special Needs),
Drew Garvie (Communist),
Robin Nurse (People's),
Harvey Rotenberg (Vegan Environ.),
Bahman Yazdanfar (Cdns' Choice)

Glen Murray
Toronto—Danforth Rob Newman Naomi Solomon Peter Tabuns Rachel Power Thomas Armstrong Tristan Parlette

Elizabeth Rowley (Communist),
Ali Azaroghli (People's),
Simon Luisi (Vegan Environ.),
John Richardson (Cdns' Choice)

Peter Tabuns
Trinity—Spadina Han Dong Roberta Scott Rosario Marchese Tim Grant Andrew Echevarria

Paul Figueiras (Vegan Environ.),
Dan King (Special Needs)

Rosario Marchese

Etobicoke & York[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green   Libertarian   Freedom Other
Etobicoke Centre Yvan Baker Pina Martino Chris Jones George Morrison Alexander Bussmann Andrew Kuess

John Martins (People's),
Felicia Trigiani (Vegan Environ.)

Donna Cansfield
Etobicoke—Lakeshore Peter Milczyn Doug Holyday P. C. Choo Angela Salewsky Mark Wrzesniewski Jeff Merklinger

Natalie Lochwin (Socialist),
Ian Lytvyn (Moderate)

Doug Holyday
Etobicoke North Shafiq Qaadri Tony Milone Nigel Barriffe Kenny Robertson Allan deRoo James McConnell Shafiq Qaadri
Parkdale—High Park Nancy Leblanc Jamie Ellerton Cheri DiNovo Tim Rudkins Redmond Weissenberger Melanie Motz Matthew Vezina (NOTA) Cheri DiNovo
York South—Weston Laura Albanese Andrew Ffrench Paul Ferreira Jessica Higgins Eric Compton Abi Issa (Independent) Laura Albanese
York West Mario Sergio Karlene Nation Tom Rakocevic Keith Jarrett Kayla Baptiste Wally Schwauss (Independent) Mario Sergio

Hamilton, Burlington & Niagara[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green   Libertarian Other
Ancaster—Dundas—
Flamborough—Westdale
Ted McMeekin Donna Skelly Alex Johnstone Raymond Dartsch Glenn Langton Barry Spruce (Freedom) Ted McMeekin
Burlington Eleanor McMahon Jane McKenna Jan Mowbray Meredith Cross Charles Zach Andrew Brannan (Freedom) Jane McKenna
Halton Indira Naidoo-Harris Ted Chudleigh Nik Spohr Susan Farrant Kal Ghory Gerry Marsh (FamilyCoalition) Ted Chudleigh
Hamilton Centre Donna Tiqui-Shebib John Vail Andrea Horwath Peter Ormond

Bob Mann (Communist),
Peter Melanson (Freedom)

Andrea Horwath
Hamilton East—
Stoney Creek
Ivan Luksic David Brown Paul Miller Greg Zink Mark Burnison Britney Johnston (Freedom) Paul Miller
Hamilton Mountain Javid Mirza Albert Marshall Monique Taylor Greg Lenko Hans Wienhold Brian Goodwin (Freedom) Monique Taylor
Niagara Falls Lionel Tupman Bart Maves Wayne Gates Clarke Bitter Ralph Panucci John Beam (NOTA) Wayne Gates
Niagara West—Glanbrook David Mossey Tim Hudak Brian McCormack Basia Krzyzanowski Stefanos Karatopis Geoff Peacock (Freedom) Tim Hudak
St. Catharines Jim Bradley Mat Siscoe Jennie Stevens Karen Fraser Nicholas Dushko

Saleh Waziruddin (Communist),
Dave Unrau (Freedom)

Jim Bradley
Welland Benoit Mercier Frank Campion Cindy Forster Donna Cridland Andrea Murik Cindy Forster

Midwestern Ontario[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green   Libertarian Other
Brant Dave Levac Phil Gillies Alex Felsky Ken Burns Rob Ferguson

Brittni Mitchell (Freedom),
John Turmel (Pauper)

Dave Levac
Cambridge Kathryn McGarry Rob Leone Bobbi Stewart Temara Brown Allan Dettweiler Rob Leone
Guelph Liz Sandals Anthony MacDonald James Gordon Mike Schreiner Blair Smythe Juanita Burnett (Communist) Liz Sandals
Haldimand—Norfolk Karen Robinson Toby Barrett Ian Nichols Anne Faulkner Brad Mottashed Toby Barrett
Huron—Bruce Colleen Schenk Lisa Thompson Jan Johnstone Adam Werstine Max Maister

Dennis Valenta (EPP),
Andrew Zettel (FamilyCoalition)

Lisa Thompson
Kitchener Centre Daiene Vernile Wayne Wettlaufer Margaret Johnston Ronnie Smith Patrick Bernier John Milloy
Kitchener—Conestoga Wayne Wright Michael Harris James Villeneuve David Weber David Schumm Michael Harris
Kitchener—Waterloo Jamie Burton Tracey Weiler Catherine Fife Stacey Danckert James Schulz Catherine Fife
Oxford Dan Moulton Ernie Hardeman Bryan Smith Mike Farlow Devin Wright Tim Hodges (Freedom) Ernie Hardeman
Perth—Wellington Stewart Skinner Randy Pettapiece Romayne Smith Fullerton Chris Desjardins Scott Marshall

Matthew Murphy (Independent),
Irma DeVries (FamilyCoalition),
Robby Smink (Freedom)

Randy Pettapiece
Wellington—Halton Hills Dan Zister Ted Arnott Michael Carlucci Dave Rodgers Jason Cousineau Mitch Sproule (Freedom) Ted Arnott

Southwestern Ontario[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green   Libertarian Other
Chatham-Kent—Essex Terry Johnson Rick Nicholls Dan Gelinas Ken Bell Douglas McLarty Rick Nicholls
Elgin—Middlesex—London Serge Lavoie Jeff Yurek Kathy Cornish John Fisher Clare Maloney (Freedom) Jeff Yurek
Essex Crystal Meloche Ray Cecile Taras Natyshak Mark Vercouteren Taras Natyshak
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex Mike Radan Monte McNaughton Joe Hill James Armstrong Matt Willson

Dave Durnin (Freedom),
Bob Lewis (NOTA),
Marinus Vander Vloet (FamilyCoalition)

Monte McNaughton
London—Fanshawe Marcel Marcellin Chris Robson Teresa Armstrong William Sorrell Tim Harnick

Paul McKeever (Freedom),
Ali Aref Hamadi (Independent)

Teresa Armstrong
London North Centre Deb Matthews Nancy Branscombe Judy Bryant Kevin Labonte

Dave McKee (Communist),
Salim Mansur (Freedom),
Michael Spottiswood (Pauper)

Deb Matthews
London West Nick Steinburg Jeff Bennett Peggy Sattler Keith McAlister Al Gretzky (Freedom) Peggy Sattler
Sarnia—Lambton Anne Marie Gillis Bob Bailey Brian White Kevin Shaw Andrew Falby Bob Bailey
Windsor—Tecumseh Jason Dupuis Brandon Wright Percy Hatfield Adam Wright Timothy Marshall Percy Hatfield
Windsor West Teresa Piruzza Henry Lau Lisa Gretzky Chad Durocher Helmi Charif (Independent) Teresa Piruzza

Northern Ontario[edit]

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Green   Libertarian Other
Algoma—Manitoulin Craig Hughson Jib Turner Michael Mantha Alexandra Zalucky Richard Hadidian Michael Mantha
Kenora—Rainy River Anthony Leek Randy Nickle Sarah Campbell Tim McKillop Sarah Campbell
Nickel Belt James Tregonning Marck Blay France Gélinas Heather Dahlstrom France Gélinas
Nipissing Catherine Whiting Vic Fedeli Henri Giroux Nicole Peltier Derek Elliott Patrick Clement (Independent) Vic Fedeli
Parry Sound—Muskoka Dan Waters Norm Miller Clyde Mobbley Matt Richter Andy Stivrins (Freedom) Norm Miller
Sault Ste. Marie David Orazietti Rod Fremlin Celia Ross Kara Flannigan Austin Williams David Orazietti
Sudbury Andrew Olivier Paula Peroni Joe Cimino Casey Lalonde Steve Wilson J. David Popescu (Independent) Rick Bartolucci
Thunder Bay—Atikokan Bill Mauro Harold Wilson Mary Kozorys John Northey Joe Talarico Ed Deibel (N.Ont. Heritage) Bill Mauro
Thunder Bay—Superior North Michael Gravelle Derek Parks Andrew Foulds Joseph LeBlanc Tamara Johnson Paul Sloan (N.Ont. Heritage) Michael Gravelle
Timiskaming—Cochrane Sébastien Goyer Peter Politis John Vanthof Cody Fraser Gino Chitaroni (N.Ont. Heritage) John Vanthof
Timmins—James Bay Sylvie Fontaine Steve Black Gilles Bisson Bozena Hrycyna Fauzia Sadiq (Conf of Regions) Gilles Bisson
  • † Indicates MPP not running for re-election.

Issues[edit]

Economy[edit]

Unemployment in Ontario was a major political issue. In particular, the manufacturing sector had shrunk by about 30% or more than 300,000 jobs since 2002.[44]

The Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario proposed a plan called "Million Jobs Plan", outlining their strategy for job creation and economic growth. By reducing tax, government services, energy costs and regulations the PCs projected to create a cumulative 507,488 jobs over eight years.[45] The plan also called for the reduction of 100,000 civil service jobs. Economists and critics noted fundamental mathematical errors with the PCs' projections. They held, even if the PCs' own data were correctly tabulated, only 50,000 extra jobs would be created (in addition to the 500,000 that would be created anyway without any policy change).[46]

The Ontario Liberal Party proposed the 10 year "Jobs and Investment Plan", which proposed infrastructure investments as their main strategy to create jobs.[47]

The Ontario New Democratic Party platform called for targeted tax credits and incentives to encourage job creation.[48]

The Green Party of Ontario policy proposal stated that it would "focus on your job by lowering payroll taxes for small businesses" as well as investing in transit infrastructure and subsidising energy-saving home improvements.[49]

The Ontario Libertarian Party called for mass privatization, lower taxes and general deregulation, eliminating many business requirements such as permitting, insurance and certification that they considered to be interfering with job creation.[50] Their platform called for government spending to be limited to "only core functions of government; defending life, liberty, and property"[51] and as such would have eliminated industry subsidies or incentives of any kind, particularly in the energy sector.[52]

The Communist Party of Ontario called for raising the minimum wage to $19/hr as well as introducing a guaranteed annual income, nationalization of the domestic steel industry, and investments in public housing, infrastructure and social programs, while shifting taxes from lower to higher income-earners and businesses.[53]

Transit[edit]

Due to rapid urban and suburban expansion in southern Ontario, traffic congestion had been increasing greatly. A 2013 study by the CD Howe Institute determined that it was costing $7.5-11 billion annually for the economy of Toronto alone.[54][55]

The Liberals promised $29 billion in infrastructure spending, $15 billion of which would go towards building new transit (mostly LRT) lines in the GTHA, based on the outline of Metrolinx's The Big Move plan, as well as an LRT in Ottawa.[56][57] A high-speed rail line crossing the province from the southeast into Quebec was also planned. The PCs promised to finish building the Eglinton Crosstown, but cancel all the other planned lines, and instead focus on quickly expanding GO service.[58] The NDP plan was similar to the Liberal plan, but included an extra $1 billion to get certain projects built faster.[56]

Endorsements[edit]

Media endorsements[edit]

The following media outlets made endorsements during the campaign:

Liberal

Progressive Conservative

New Democratic Party

Explicitly not endorsing any party

Public figure endorsements[edit]

The media has reported the following endorsements by public figures during the campaign:

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ "STATISTICAL SUMMARY" (PDF). Elections Ontario. June 13, 2014. Retrieved April 28, 2018. 
  2. ^ "Ontario election 2014: Liberals return to power with majority". CBC News. June 12, 2014. Retrieved June 12, 2014. 
  3. ^ "Ontario election 2014: Tim Hudak to step down". CBC News. June 12, 2014. Retrieved June 12, 2014. 
  4. ^ "Ontario election 2014: Wynne vows to re-introduce budget - Toronto - CBC News". CBC News. 2014-05-02. Retrieved 2014-05-29. 
  5. ^ a b "Ontario Election Seemingly On Way As NDP Won't Support Budget". Huffington Post. May 2, 2014. Retrieved May 2, 2014. 
  6. ^ Loriggio, Paola (14 June 2014). "Sexuality a 'non-issue' during Wynne's election campaign: expert". National Post. Canadian Press. Retrieved 21 June 2014. 
  7. ^ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on 2014-06-25. Retrieved 2014-07-12. 
  8. ^ Bostelaar, Robert. "Declined ballots jump 1,300% in Ontario election". Ottawa Citizen. Retrieved 20 June 2014. 
  9. ^ "Summary of Valid Votes cast for each Candidate" (PDF). Elections Ontario. June 12, 2014. 
  10. ^ "Energy Minister Chris Bentley to resign his seat". Toronto Star. February 8, 2013. Retrieved February 11, 2013. 
  11. ^ "Ontario byelections: NDP wins 2, PCs take 1 seat". CBC News. August 1, 2013. Retrieved August 1, 2013. 
  12. ^ Criger, Erin (June 12, 2013). "Dalton McGuinty officially resigns as MPP". City News. Retrieved June 13, 2013. 
  13. ^ "Toronto MPP Margarett Best resigns from legislature". CBC News. June 27, 2013. Retrieved June 29, 2013. 
  14. ^ "Liberal cabinet minister Laurel Broten quits". CBC News. June 23, 2013. Retrieved June 24, 2013. 
  15. ^ "Liberal MPP Kim Craitor resigns, setting up byelection". Toronto Star. September 24, 2013. Retrieved September 24, 2013. 
  16. ^ "NDP takes Niagara, Tories keep Thornhill in Ontario byelections". CBC News. February 13, 2014. Retrieved February 14, 2014. 
  17. ^ "Former PC finance critic Peter Shurman resigns as MPP". The Canadian Press. December 10, 2013. Retrieved December 10, 2013. 
  18. ^ "Linda Jeffrey leaving Queen's Park for Brampton mayoral bid". CBC News. March 24, 2014. Retrieved March 27, 2014. 
  19. ^ "MPPs return to work Nov. 21 to elect new Speaker". Toronto Star. November 2, 2011. 
  20. ^ "Horwath makes her budget demands". Toronto Sun. April 10, 2012. 
  21. ^ "Ontario budget: Dalton McGuinty warns NDP to curtail budget demands or face an election". Toronto Star. June 16, 2012. 
  22. ^ "Summer election avoided as Ontario budget bill passes". MetroNews. June 20, 2012. 
  23. ^ Morrow, Howlett, Adrian, Karen (Oct 15, 2012). "Ontario Premier Dalton McGuinty resigns". The Globe and Mail. Toronto. Retrieved Oct 15, 2012. 
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  26. ^ "Ontario election called for June 12 as Kathleen Wynne's Liberals lose support of NDP | National Post". News.nationalpost.com. 2014-05-02. Retrieved 2014-05-29. 
  27. ^ Once again, Kathleen Wynne settles the debate
  28. ^ Tim Hudak to step down as PC leader
  29. ^ Verstraten, Katelyn. "Ontario election reversal: Thornhill goes PC, not Liberal, after "data entry error"". Toronto Star. Torstar. Retrieved 15 June 2014. 
  30. ^ "Ontario election reversal: Thornhill goes PC, not Liberal, after "data entry error"". CityNews. CityNews. Retrieved 2015-09-26. 
  31. ^ "The dirty secret of political polling: It's now mostly a guess". The Globe and Mail. May 29, 2014. Retrieved June 16, 2014. 
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  33. ^ "Polls apart". NOW Magazine. June 5, 2014. Retrieved June 16, 2014. 
  34. ^ "From one pollster to another: Stop trying to predict elections". The Globe and Mail. June 11, 2014. Retrieved June 16, 2014. 
  35. ^ "Ontario election post-mortem: likely voter models fall flat, eligible tallies good". ThreeHundredEight. June 13, 2014. Retrieved June 16, 2014. 
  36. ^ "Rick Bartolucci makes 'family decision' to leave politics". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. February 7, 2013. Retrieved February 7, 2013. 
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  38. ^ "MPP Gerretsen will not run in next provincial election". CKWS. October 25, 2013. Retrieved October 25, 2013. 
  39. ^ "Changing of the Liberal Guard". Ottawa Citizen. January 28, 2013. Archived from the original on January 31, 2013. Retrieved February 6, 2013. 
  40. ^ "John Milloy, Veteran Ontario Liberal Cabinet Minister, Won't Run Again". Huffington Post. February 28, 2014. Retrieved March 2, 2014. 
  41. ^ "MPP Frank Klees won't seek re-election". Toronto Star. January 21, 2014. Retrieved January 21, 2014. 
  42. ^ Statement by Newmarket - Aurora MPP Frank Klees, dated: January 21, 2014, retrieved May 28, 2014
  43. ^ "Two veteran Ontario politicians say they won't run in next election". CTV news. February 28, 2014. Retrieved March 2, 2014. 
  44. ^ "The future looks bleak for Ontario's manufacturing sector". theglobeandmail.com. The Globe and Mail. 2013. Archived from the original on 2014-06-10. Retrieved 2014-05-28. 
  45. ^ "How the Ontario Tories screwed up the 'Million Jobs Plan'". theglobeandmail.com. The Globe and Mail. 2014. Archived from the original on 2014-06-10. Retrieved 2014-05-28. 
  46. ^ "Tim Hudak defends math used in PCs' million jobs plan". cbc.ca. CBC. 2014. Archived from the original on 2014-06-10. Retrieved 2014-05-19. 
  47. ^ "2014 Ontario Liberal Party Platform". ontarioliberalplan.ca. Ontario Liberal Party. 2014. Archived from the original on 2014-06-10. Retrieved 2014-05-19. 
  48. ^ "2014 Ontario New Democratic Party Platform". ontarioliberalplan.ca. Ontario New Democratic Party. 2014. Archived from the original on 2014-06-10. Retrieved 2014-05-19. 
  49. ^ "2014 Ontario Green Party Platform" (PDF). gpo.ca. Ontario Green Party. 2014. Archived (PDF) from the original on 2014-06-10. Retrieved 2014-05-19. 
  50. ^ "2014 Libertarian Platform – Jobs: Secure & Rewarding". Ontario Libertarian Party. Archived from the original on 2014-06-10. Retrieved 2014-06-10. 
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  52. ^ "2014 Libertarian Platform – Energy: Cheaper & Abundant". Ontario Libertarian Party. Archived from the original on 2014-06-10. Retrieved 2014-06-10. 
  53. ^ "2014 Ontario Communist Party Platform". communistpartyontario.ca. Communist Party of Canada (Ontario). 2014. Archived from the original on 2014-06-10. Retrieved 2014-05-19. 
  54. ^ Toronto gridlock may cost economy up to $11B, C.D. Howe says. CBC. 2013-07-13.
  55. ^ Gridlock is costing Toronto up to $11 billion yearly—here’s how to fix it. Canadian Business. 2013-07-11.
  56. ^ a b Ontario parties' transit plans reveal politics and paralysis. CBC. 2014-05-28
  57. ^ Majority gives Liberals freer hand with public transit. The Globe and Mail. 2014-06-13.
  58. ^ Tim Hudak vows to scrap light rail lines, cancel GO electrification. CBC. 2014-05-16
  59. ^ "Kathleen Wynne has earned a fresh mandate in Ontario: Editorial". Toronto Star. 2014-06-06. Archived from the original on 2014-06-08. Retrieved 2014-06-06. 
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  68. ^ "Editorial: We endorse Tim Hudak, for Ontario". Toronto Sun a member of Canoe Sun Media. 2014-06-08. Retrieved 2014-06-08. 
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  71. ^ "The NDP - for now". Sudbury Star. 2014-06-10. Retrieved 2014-06-11. 
  72. ^ "The Spectator's View: Picking the least unappealing option". Hamilton Spectator, June 11, 2014
  73. ^ "Stark choices for Ontario voters". The Kitchener-Waterloo Record, a division of Metroland Media Group. 2014-06-07. Retrieved 2014-06-09. 
  74. ^ Don Peat (2014-06-05). "Deputy Mayor Norm Kelly endorses Wynne". Toronto Sun. Retrieved 2014-06-10. 
  75. ^ Mississauga Mayor Hazel McCallion endorses Kathleen Wynne. CBC News. 2014-05-14.
  76. ^ "Kitchener Mayor Carl Zehr endorses Kathleen Wynne". CBC. 2014-06-09. Retrieved 2014-06-11. 

External links[edit]