Opinion polling for the 2015 Finnish parliamentary election

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In the run up to the 2015 Finnish legislative election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Finland. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 17 April 2011, to the day the next election was held, on 19 April 2015.

Graphical summary[edit]

Taloustutkimus opinion polling since 2011 election.

Poll results[edit]

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The table uses the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if that date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

Date Polling Firm KOK SDP PS KESK VAS VIHR SFP KD Others Lead
23 Mar–15 Apr Taloustutkimus 16.9 15.1 16.7 24.0 8.3 8.8 4.6 3.5 2.0 7.1
8 Apr–12 Apr TNS Gallup 17.0 17.0 16.2 23.0 8.5 8.1 4.6 3.7 1.9 6.0
27 Mar–1 Apr Tietoykkönen 16.2 17.0 16.6 23.5 8.4 8.1 4.3 4.1 1.8 6.5
25 Feb–19 Mar Taloustutkimus 16.1 16.2 14.6 24.9 8.5 8.9 4.5 3.9 2.4 8.7
16 Feb–12 Mar TNS Gallup 16.8 16.9 15.2 24.7 8.4 8.6 4.2 3.3 1.9 7.8
5–11 Mar Tietoykkönen 17.3 16.4 16.8 23.5 8.3 8.2 4.1 3.6 1.7 6.2
2–24 Feb Taloustutkimus 16.2 16.8 15.4 24.9 8.8 8.8 4.0 3.3 1.8 8.1
19 Jan–12 Feb TNS Gallup 16.9 17.1 14.1 26.2 8.5 8.3 4.2 3.2 1.5 9.3
28 Jan-3 Feb Tietoykkönen 17.8 16.5 15.3 25.4 8.2 7.8 4.0 3.6 1.4 7.6
29 Dec–27 Jan Taloustutkimus 16.3 17.2 14.8 26.0 8.2 8.3 4.2 3.5 1.5 8.8
15 Dec–15 Jan TNS Gallup 17.2 16.5 14.5 25.9 8.8 8.4 4.1 3.3 1.3 8.7
2014
3–27 Dec Taloustutkimus 17.1 15.3 13.3 26.8 8.9 9.4 3.7 3.9 1.7 9.7
17 Nov-12 Dec TNS Gallup 16.7 16.9 14.2 26.1 8.1 8.9 4.2 3.5 1.4 9.2
3 Nov-2 Dec Taloustutkimus 17.3 16.1 14.3 26.7 8.9 8.3 4.0 3.3 1.1 9.4
23 Nov-26 Nov Tietoykkönen 17.7 15.8 15.7 26.6 8.4 8.1 3.1 2.9 1.7 8.9
21 Nov TNS Gallup 17.4 16.4 16.2 24.5 8.0 8.3 4.3 3.6 1.3 7.1
30 Sep-28 Oct Taloustutkimus 19.4 15.2 15.1 25.5 7.9 9.1 3.6 2.7 1.5 6.1
22 Sep-16 Oct TNS Gallup 19.4 16.2 16.1 22.3 8.7 8.2 4.2 3.6 1.3 2.9
10 Oct-16 Oct Tietoykkönen 18.5 15.1 16.5 23.4 8.0 8.9 4.2 3.8 1.6 4.9
2 Sep-25 Sep Taloustutkimus 20.4 15.2 16.6 23.3 8.3 7.8 4.6 3.0 0.8 2.9
21 Aug-26 Aug Tietoykkönen 20.8 14.7 16.0 21.3 9.9 8.4 4.1 3.1 1.7 0.5
5 Aug-28 Aug Taloustutkimus 21.2 15.8 17.1 21.3 8.2 8.1 3.7 3.4 1.2 0.1
15 Jul–12 Aug TNS Gallup 22.1 14.9 15.9 19.9 9.3 8.7 4.5 3.4 1.3 2.2
1 Jul-30 Jul Taloustutkimus 21.8 13.8 16.4 20.9 9.3 8.8 3.9 3.4 1.7 0.9
2 Jun–25 Jun Taloustutkimus 20.3 14.8 17.9 19.5 9.3 9.0 4.2 3.8 1.2 0.8
26 May–11 Jun TNS Gallup 20.5 14.9 17.2 20.3 9.0 8.5 4.4 3.9 1.3 0.2
5–27 May Taloustutkimus 20.1 15.0 18.9 19.5 8.5 9.3 4.4 3.2 1.1 0.6
2–29 Apr Taloustutkimus 20.2 15.8 17.6 21.0 8.8 8.2 4.1 3.7 0.6 0.8
5 Mar–1 Apr Taloustutkimus 20.3 15.5 17.8 20.9 7.7 8.7 4.3 3.5 1.3 0.6
25 Feb–22 Mar TNS Gallup 19.5 16.3 17.2 21.5 7.5 8.9 4.3 3.5 1.3 2.0
3 Feb–4 Mar Taloustutkimus 19.4 15.5 16.9 22.8 7.7 9.0 4.2 3.4 1.1 3.4
13 Jan–8 Feb TNS Gallup 19.2 16.2 17.0 22.4 7.6 8.5 4.2 3.5 1.4 3.2
1–28 Jan Taloustutkimus 18.7 15.5 17.8 23.6 7.5 8.1 3.8 3.7 1.3 4.9
2013
27 Nov–23 Dec Taloustutkimus 19.1 15.9 17.4 23.9 7.0 8.2 3.8 3.1 1.6 4.8
19 Dec TNS Gallup 18.0 16.7 17.5 23.0 7.9 7.9 4.4 3.3 1.3 5.0
30 Oct–26 Nov Taloustutkimus 18.3 15.4 17.2 24.1 7.4 9.0 4.1 3.2 1.3 5.8
7–29 Oct Taloustutkimus 18.1 16.9 17.4 23.2 7.6 8.4 3.9 3.5 1.0 5.1
23 Oct TNS Gallup 18.2 16.2 18.9 21.8 7.7 8.3 4.4 3.4 1.1 2.9
9 Sep–2 Oct Taloustutkimus 18.4 15.3 18.8 22.6 7.2 9.3 3.9 3.3 1.2 3.8
6 Aug–4 Sep Taloustutkimus 18.3 15.0 19.3 23.8 7.7 8.4 3.8 2.8 0.9 4.5
15 Aug TNS Gallup 18.7 16.3 18.7 21.9 7.3 8.2 4.2 3.5 1.2 3.2
2–31 Jul Taloustutkimus 18.8 15.6 18.0 22.8 7.2 8.4 4.4 3.6 1.2 4.0
29 May–26 Jun Taloustutkimus 18.4 16.1 18.6 21.5 7.5 9.3 4.0 3.5 1.1 2.9
29 Apr–28 May Taloustutkimus 19.2 16.5 17.4 21.7 8.0 8.0 4.1 3.8 1.3 2.5
4–25 Apr Taloustutkimus 19.2 16.2 18.6 19.4 9.0 9.1 4.2 3.2 1.1 0.2
11–27 Mar Taloustutkimus 19.8 18.0 18.4 18.3 8.5 9.0 4.1 3.1 0.8 1.4
11 Feb–7 Mar Taloustutkimus 20.8 18.2 18.1 17.2 8.2 8.7 4.3 3.2 1.3 2.6
7–29 Jan Taloustutkimus 21.9 18.7 17.7 17.1 7.9 8.9 3.9 3.1 0.8 3.2
2012
3–27 Dec Taloustutkimus 21.0 17.9 18.0 17.8 7.9 8.7 4.3 3.4 1.0 3.0
1–24 Oct Taloustutkimus 20.9 18.5 15.3 17.3 8.5 9.1 3.9 4.0 2.5 2.4
3–19 Sep Taloustutkimus 21.5 19.9 17.2 15.9 7.8 8.9 4.3 3.2 1.3 1.6
7–29 Aug Taloustutkimus 22.7 18.7 15.8 16.6 8.2 9.4 4.3 3.2 1.1 4.0
3 Jul–1 Aug Taloustutkimus 20.8 20.3 17.5 15.5 8.0 8.5 4.4 3.7 1.3 0.5
4–27 Jun Taloustutkimus 21.6 20.8 15.6 16.5 7.5 8.2 3.9 3.7 2.2 0.8
7–31 May Taloustutkimus 21.7 20.5 15.9 16.7 7.7 8.8 3.7 3.6 1.4 1.2
3–26 Apr Taloustutkimus 22.6 19.1 14.1 16.4 8.9 10.4 3.7 3.2 1.6 3.5
5–29 Mar Taloustutkimus 22.6 17.3 15.8 16.7 8.1 11.0 3.5 3.7 1.3 5.3
30 Jan–23 Feb Taloustutkimus 22.1 16.0 16.1 17.7 7.9 11.4 4.1 3.5 1.3 4.4
2–26 Jan Taloustutkimus 23.1 16.3 17.4 15.6 9.0 9.6 3.8 4.1 1.1 5.8
2011
7–28 Dec Taloustutkimus 22.7 16.4 19.9 16.2 8.5 7.6 3.9 3.6 1.2 2.8
9–17 Nov Taloustutkimus 24.3 17.6 19.9 13.9 7.0 7.9 4.1 3.9 1.4 4.4
10 Oct–3 Nov Taloustutkimus 24.4 17.1 21.4 13.1 7.4 7.7 4.1 3.7 1.1 3.0
15 Aug–13 Sep Taloustutkimus 23.7 18.6 21.1 12.6 8.0 7.4 3.8 3.6 1.3 2.6
5 Jul–10 Aug Taloustutkimus 21.4 19.8 22.0 13.2 7.6 7.4 3.9 3.4 1.3 0.6
6–29 Jun Taloustutkimus 21.1 18.1 23.0 13.8 8.0 7.2 4.1 3.1 1.6 1.9
9–31 May Taloustutkimus 21.5 18.8 20.6 14.3 7.7 7.6 4.3 3.8 1.4 0.9
17 Apr 2011 Election Results 20.4 19.1 19.1 15.8 8.1 7.3 4.3 4.0 2.3 1.3

Seats[edit]

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 101 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Finnish Parliament.

101 seats needed for majority
Date Polling Firm KOK SDP PS KESK VAS VIHR SFP KD Others
19 Apr 2015 ScenariPolitici[note 1] 36 34 35 51 15 15 8 5 1
21 Mar 2015 Accuscore[note 2] 34 35 36 53 16 14 9 2 1
3 Nov 2014–19 Mar 2015 Taloustutkimus[note 3] 33 35 31 56 17 15 8 4 1
14 Mar 2015 Accuscore 34 34 36 55 16 14 8 2 1
26 Feb 2015 Accuscore 34 34 36 56 16 14 8 1 1
21 Feb 2015 Accuscore 35 34 35 57 15 14 8 1 1
23 Jan 2015 Accuscore 35 33 36 56 15 15 8 1 1
2 Jun–2 Dec 2014 Taloustutkimus 42 31 37 50 17 12 8 2 1

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ Counted by ScenariPolitici, but based on various polls by different polling firms. Åland's MP is the other.
  2. ^ Counted by Accuscore, but based on various polls by different polling firms. Åland's MP is the other.
  3. ^ Not a single poll, but based on five separate Taloustutkimus polls. Åland's MP is the other.