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Opinion polling for the 2015 United Kingdom general election

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Opinion polling for the 2015 United Kingdom general election was carried out by various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. The opinion polls listed range from the previous election on 6 May 2010 to the election on 7 May 2015.

In the event, the actual results proved markedly different from those indicated by the opinion polls in the final weeks, and even last few days, of the campaign. Although an extremely tight race between Labour and the Conservatives was expected, the actual results showed a stronger-than-expected performance from the Conservatives, with Labour producing lower figures than expected.

Graphical summary

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Guide to tables

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Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and its background is shaded in the leading party's colour. The "lead" column shows the percentage point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a poll result is a tie, the figures with the highest percentages are shaded and displayed in bold.

"Green" in these tables refers to combined totals for the green parties in the United Kingdom, namely the Green Party of England and Wales, the Scottish Greens, and, for polls of the entire UK rather than just Great Britain, the Green Party Northern Ireland. The three parties share a commitment to environmental policies, but are independent of one another, with each contesting elections only in its own region.

National poll results

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Most national opinion polls do not cover Northern Ireland, which has different major political parties from the rest of the United Kingdom. This distinction is made in the tables below in the area column, where "GB" means Great Britain (England, Scotland and Wales), and "UK" means the entire United Kingdom. Plaid Cymru only stand candidates in Wales and the Scottish National Party (SNP) only stand candidates in Scotland.

2015

[edit]
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Grn Others Lead
7 May 20152015 general election[a]37.8%31.2%8.1%12.9%3.8%6.3%6.6
5–7 MayPopulus[1]3,91734% 34%9%13%5%6%Tie
6 MaySurvation[2][b]1,04537%31%10%11%5%6%6
30 Apr – 6 MaySurveyMonkey[3]18,13134%28%7%13%8%9%6
5–6 MayLord Ashcroft3,02833% 33%10%11%6%8%Tie
5–6 MayIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,18636%35%8%11%5%5%1
4–6 MayYouGov/The Sun10,30734% 34%10%12%4%6%Tie
5–6 MayComRes/Daily Mail, ITV News Archived 18 May 2015 at the Wayback Machine1,00735%34%9%12%4%6%1
4–6 MaySurvation/Daily Mirror[c]4,08831% 31%10%16%5%7%Tie
3–6 MayICM/The Guardian[d]2,02334%35%9%11%4%7%1
3–6 MayICM/The Guardian[e]1,56035% 35%9%11%3%7%Tie
1–6 MayPanelbase Archived 18 May 2015 at the Wayback Machine[4]3,01931%33%8%16%5%7%2
4–5 MayOpinium2,96035%34%8%12%6%5%1
4–5 MayYouGov/The Sun2,14834% 34%9%12%5%6%Tie
4–5 MaySurvation/Daily Mirror1,50433%34%9%16%4%4%1
3–5 MayComRes/Daily Mail, ITV News Archived 22 October 2015 at the Wayback Machine1,01135%32%9%14%4%6%3
3–5 MayBMG/May2015.com, New Statesman1,00934% 34%10%12%4%6%Tie
3–4 MayYouGov/The Sun1,66433% 33%10%12%5%6%Tie
30 Apr – 4 MayTNS1,18533%32%8%14%6%6%1
2–3 MayYouGov/The Sun1,78934%33%9%12%5%7%1
1–3 MayLord Ashcroft1,00132%30%11%12%7%9%2
1–3 MayPopulus2,05434% 34%10%13%5%5%Tie
1–2 MayYouGov/Sunday Times1,96734%33%8%13%5%7%1
1–2 MaySurvation/Mail on Sunday2,12831%34%8%17%4%6%3
30 Apr – 1 MayYouGov/The Sun1,57533%34%8%14%5%5%1
30 Apr – 1 MaySurvation/Daily Mirror1,11733%34%9%16%3%5%1
29–30 AprYouGov/Sun on Sunday1,97034%35%9%12%5%6%1
29–30 AprPopulus2,01633% 33%9%15%4%5%Tie
29–30 AprYouGov/The Sun1,72934%35%8%12%5%6%1
29–30 AprPanelbase Archived 13 May 2015 at the Wayback Machine1,02032%34%8%17%4%7%2
28–30 AprComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror Archived 14 May 2015 at the Wayback Machine1,00233% 33%8%13%7%6%Tie
28–30 AprOpinium/The Observer1,95635%34%8%13%5%5%1
28–29 AprYouGov/The Sun1,82335%34%9%12%4%6%1
26–29 AprIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,01035%30%8%10%8%9%5
27–28 AprComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail Archived 18 May 2015 at the Wayback Machine1,00535% 35%7%11%6%6%Tie
27–28 AprYouGov/The Sun1,74934%35%9%12%4%6%1
26–27 AprYouGov/The Sun2,12735%34%9%12%5%6%1
25–27 AprBMG/May2015.com[5]1,01335%32%11%14%3%5%3
23–27 AprTNS1,18634%33%7%15%5%5%1
25–26 AprYouGov/The Sun2,09633%34%8%14%5%6%1
24–26 AprLord Ashcroft1,00336%30%9%11%7%7%6
24–26 AprICM/The Guardian1,00435%32%9%13%5%6%3
24–26 AprPopulus2,07233%36%8%14%5%4%3
24–25 AprYouGov/Sunday Times2,27132%34%9%14%6%5%2
24–25 AprSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,00433%30%9%18%4%6%3
23–24 AprYouGov/The Sun1,59433%35%8%13%6%5%2
21–24 AprOpinium/The Observer1,96434%33%9%13%6%5%1
22–23 AprPopulus2,05132%35%8%14%5%6%3
22–23 AprYouGov/The Sun1,83433%35%8%13%6%6%2
22–23 AprSurvation/Daily Mirror1,20533%29%10%18%4%6%4
21–23 AprPanelbase1,01231%34%7%17%4%7%3
21–22 AprComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail Archived 30 April 2015 at the Wayback Machine1,00336%32%8%10%5%9%4
21–22 AprYouGov/The Sun2,06033%34%7%14%5%6%1
20–21 AprYouGov/The Sun1,79935%34%7%13%5%6%1
19–20 AprYouGov/The Sun2,07834%35%7%13%5%6%1
16–20 AprTNS1,19932%34%8%15%5%6%2
18–19 AprYouGov/The Sun1,67534%35%8%13%5%6%1
17–19 AprLord Ashcroft1,00234%30%10%13%4%9%4
17–19 AprPopulus[permanent dead link]2,04832%34%9%15%4%6%2
17–19 AprICM/The Guardian1,00334%32%10%11%5%8%2
17–18 AprYouGov/Sunday Times1,78033%36%8%13%5%5%3
16–17 AprOpinium/The Observer1,95536%32%8%13%5%6%4
16–17 AprYouGov/The Sun1,71334% 34%9%14%5%5%Tie
16–17 AprSurvation/Daily Mirror1,31434%33%7%17%3%6%1
15–16 AprPopulus Archived 17 April 2015 at the Wayback Machine2,04833%34%9%14%4%5%1
15–16 AprYouGov/The Sun1,93934% 34%7%14%5%6%Tie
14–16 AprPanelbase Archived 20 April 2015 at the Wayback Machine1,02533%34%8%16%4%5%1
14–15 AprYouGov/The Sun1,89434%35%8%13%5%6%1
12–15 AprIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,00033%35%7%10%8%7%2
13–14 AprYouGov/The Sun1,84233%35%8%13%5%6%2
12–13 AprYouGov/The Sun2,44433%34%8%13%6%5%1
9–13 AprTNS1,19234%32%9%14%5%6%2
11–12 AprYouGov/The Sun1,71733%36%7%13%5%6%3
10–12 AprLord Ashcroft1,00333% 33%9%13%6%8%Tie
10–12 AprICM/The Guardian1,04239%33%8%7%7%5%6
10–12 AprPopulus[permanent dead link]2,03633% 33%8%15%5%6%Tie
10–11 AprYouGov/Sunday Times1,88734% 34%7%13%6%6%Tie
9–10 AprYouGov/The Sun1,78233%35%8%13%5%5%2
8–9 AprOpinium/The Observer1,91636%34%7%11%6%6%2
8–9 AprPopulus2,02031%33%8%16%6%7%2
8–9 AprYouGov/The Sun1,93835%34%8%12%4%6%1
8–9 AprSurvation/Daily Mirror1,11131%35%9%15%4%6%4
7–9 AprPanelbase Archived 16 April 2015 at the Wayback Machine1,01331%37%8%16%4%4%6
7–8 AprComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail Archived 16 April 2015 at the Wayback Machine1,01334%33%12%12%4%6%1
7–8 AprYouGov/The Sun1,87134%35%8%13%5%5%1
6–7 AprYouGov/The Sun1,67233%35%8%14%5%5%2
2–7 AprTNS1,20730%33%8%19%4%7%3
2–6 AprPopulus2,00831%33%10%15%4%7%2
3–4 AprYouGov/Sunday Times1,90634%33%10%13%4%6%1
2–3 AprOpinium/The Observer1,97433% 33%7%14%7%5%Tie
2–3 AprSurvation/Daily Mirror1,20731%33%9%18%3%6%2
1–2 AprYouGov/The Sun1,58337%35%7%12%5%4%2
31 Mar – 2 AprPanelbase Archived 3 April 2015 at the Wayback Machine1,00633% 33%7%17%5%5%Tie
31 Mar – 1 AprPopulus2,05732%34%9%15%5%5%2
31 Mar – 1 AprYouGov/The Sun1,67836%34%8%13%4%5%2
30–31 MarYouGov/The Sun1,56635%36%7%12%5%5%1
30 Mar Dissolution of Parliament and the official start of the election campaign
29–30 MarYouGov/The Sun2,00135% 35%8%12%5%5%Tie
26–30 MarTNS1,19733%32%8%16%5%7%1
28–29 MarComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail Archived 19 September 2015 at the Wayback Machine1,00536%32%9%12%5%7%4
27–29 MarLord Ashcroft1,00436%34%6%10%7%6%2
27–29 MarPopulus2,00434%34%8%15%4%5%Tie
27–28 MarYouGov/Sunday Times1,79932%36%8%13%6%5%4
25–26 MarPopulus2,04931%33%9%16%5%6%2
25–26 MarYouGov/The Sun1,69836%34%7%13%5%5%2
24–26 MarPanelbase Archived 14 May 2015 at the Wayback Machine1,00734% 34%5%15%6%6%Tie
24–25 MarOpinium/The Observer1,95934%33%8%13%7%3%1
24–25 MarYouGov/The Sun1,61034%35%8%12%6%5%1
24–25 MarSurvation/Daily Mirror1,00732%33%8%18%4%5%1
23–24 MarYouGov/The Sun2,00635% 35%8%12%6%4%Tie
22–23 MarYouGov/The Sun1,64134% 34%8%12%6%5%Tie
18–23 MarYouGov/The Times8,27134%33%8%14%5%6%1
20–22 MarComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail Archived 2 April 2015 at the Wayback Machine1,00135% 35%8%10%7%6%Tie
20–22 MarLord Ashcroft1,00333% 33%8%12%5%9%Tie
20–22 MarPopulus2,03531%33%9%16%5%5%2
20–21 MarSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,00830%34%10%17%3%6%4
19–20 MarYouGov/Sunday Times1,53233%35%8%14%5%5%2
18–19 MarOpinium/The Observer1,97936%33%7%14%6%4%3
18–19 MarPopulus Archived 2 April 2015 at the Wayback Machine2,02031%34%9%17%5%4%3
18–19 MarYouGov/The Sun2,29335%33%8%13%6%5%2
17–18 MarYouGov/The Sun1,75233%34%8%14%6%5%1
16–17 MarYouGov/The Sun1,83034%36%7%12%6%5%2
15–16 MarYouGov/The Sun1,68333%35%7%13%7%5%2
13–16 MarTNS1,18833%32%7%17%4%7%1
13–15 MarLord Ashcroft1,00231%29%8%15%8%9%2
13–15 MarICM/The Guardian1,00136%35%8%9%4%8%1
13–15 MarPopulus2,04134% 34%8%15%5%5%Tie
12–13 MarYouGov/Sunday Times1,66934% 34%7%14%5%6%Tie
11–13 MarComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday Archived 22 March 2015 at the Wayback Machine2,00233%35%7%16%4%5%2
11–12 MarPopulus2,04129%32%8%18%6%7%3
11–12 MarYouGov/The Sun1,61933%32%7%16%6%6%1
10–12 MarOpinium/The Observer1,94733%35%7%14%7%5%2
10–11 MarYouGov/The Sun1,72834%35%7%14%5%5%1
8–11 MarIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,02533%34%8%13%6%6%1
9–10 MarYouGov/The Sun1,59833%31%8%15%6%6%2
8–9 MarYouGov/The Sun1,74535%31%8%14%6%6%4
6–8 MarLord Ashcroft1,00334%30%5%15%8%7%4
6–8 MarPopulus2,02632%33%9%15%6%6%1
5–6 MarYouGov/Sunday Times1,75434%33%8%15%5%5%1
3–6 MarOpinium/The Observer1,96134% 34%8%14%7%5%Tie
4–5 MarPopulus Archived 2 April 2015 at the Wayback Machine2,06331%33%8%16%5%5%2
4–5 MarYouGov/The Sun1,74831%35%6%15%8%4%4
3–4 MarYouGov/The Sun1,54434% 34%8%14%6%4%Tie
2–3 MarYouGov/The Sun1,70136%34%5%14%6%5%2
1–2 MarYouGov/The Sun1,86635%32%7%15%6%5%3
27 Feb – 1 MarLord Ashcroft1,00334%31%7%14%7%8%3
27 Feb – 1 MarPopulus2,05632%34%8%14%5%7%2
26–27 FebYouGov/Sunday Times1,95934% 34%8%14%5%5%Tie
25–27 FebPopulus Archived 27 February 2015 at the Wayback Machine2,00531%33%9%16%6%5%2
25–26 FebYouGov/The Sun1,63833%34%8%13%6%6%1
24–26 FebOpinium/The Observer1,94834%35%6%14%6%6%1
24–25 FebYouGov/The Sun1,58133% 33%8%15%6%5%Tie
23–24 FebYouGov/The Sun1,52035%33%6%14%7%5%2
23 FebSurvation/Daily Mirror1,04628%34%10%19%4%5%6
22–23 FebYouGov/The Sun1,77233% 33%8%13%7%5%Tie
20–23 FebComRes/Daily Mail Archived 24 February 2015 at the Wayback Machine1,00434%32%8%13%8%6%2
20–22 FebLord Ashcroft1,00432%36%7%11%8%6%4
20–22 FebPopulus2,05934% 34%9%15%6%6%Tie
19–20 FebYouGov/Sunday Times1,56833%34%8%13%6%6%1
17–20 FebOpinium/The Observer1,97535%33%6%15%7%5%2
18–19 FebPopulus2,01131%32%9%17%6%5%1
18–19 FebYouGov/The Sun1,56432%33%9%15%6%5%1
17–18 FebYouGov/The Sun1,74332%34%8%14%6%5%2
16–17 FebYouGov/The Sun1,54833%34%6%15%7%5%1
15–16 FebYouGov/The Sun1,58032% 32%6%16%8%5%Tie
12–16 FebTNS1,19328%35%6%18%7%6%7
13–15 FebLord Ashcroft1,00430%31%9%16%8%6%1
13–15 FebPopulus2,01231%33%10%15%5%5%2
13–15 FebICM/The Guardian1,00036%32%10%9%7%7%4
12–13 FebYouGov/Sunday Times1,62032%35%7%15%7%5%3
11–12 FebComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday Archived 14 February 2015 at the Wayback Machine2,01732%34%7%16%4%7%2
11–12 FebPopulus2,05531%34%9%14%6%6%3
11–12 FebYouGov/The Sun1,59231%34%7%15%7%6%3
10–12 FebOpinium/The Observer1,96933%35%8%14%6%6%2
10–11 FebYouGov/The Sun1,76432%33%7%15%7%6%1
9–10 FebYouGov/The Sun1,67733%35%6%13%8%5%2
8–10 FebIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,01034%36%6%9%7%8%2
8–9 FebYouGov/The Sun1,55234%33%7%14%7%6%1
6–8 FebLord Ashcroft1,00334%31%9%14%6%6%3
6–8 FebPopulus2,00333%34%8%15%4%4%1
5–6 FebYouGov/Sunday Times1,66832%33%7%15%8%5%1
3–6 FebOpinium/The Observer1,94732%34%7%15%8%4%2
4–5 FebPopulus2,05631%34%8%16%5%6%3
4–5 FebYouGov/The Sun1,71932%33%9%15%5%5%1
3–4 FebYouGov/The Sun1,74934%33%6%13%7%7%1
2–3 FebYouGov/The Sun1,70533% 33%7%14%7%5%Tie
1–2 FebYouGov/The Sun1,63033%35%7%14%6%5%2
30 Jan – 2 FebPopulus2,04031%34%8%14%5%6%3
29 Jan – 2 FebTNS1,18227%33%6%18%8%8%6
30 Jan – 1 FebLord Ashcroft1,00231% 31%8%15%9%6%Tie
29–30 JanYouGov/Sunday Times1,55032%35%7%15%6%5%3
27–30 JanOpinium/The Observer1,97532%33%5%18%6%6%1
28–29 JanPopulus2,02034%35%10%14%4%3%1
28–29 JanYouGov/The Sun1,59334% 34%6%14%7%5%Tie
27–28 JanYouGov/The Sun1,54833% 33%6%16%7%5%Tie
26–27 JanYouGov/The Sun1,65534%33%7%14%7%5%1
25–26 JanYouGov/The Sun1,65634%33%6%15%7%5%1
23–26 JanTNS-BMRB/BBC Radio 4 Woman's Hour Archived 3 February 2015 at the Wayback Machine97528%39%4%14%8%7%11
25 JanSurvation/Daily Mirror1,01431%30%7%23%3%6%1
23–25 JanComRes/The Independent[permanent dead link]1,00131%30%8%17%7%7%1
23–25 JanPopulus2,03934%35%9%13%6%3%1
22–25 JanLord Ashcroft1,00132% 32%6%15%9%6%Tie
22–23 JanYouGov/Sunday Times1,57832% 32%7%15%7%6%Tie
21–22 JanPopulus2,04932%36%9%13%6%4%4
21–22 JanYouGov/The Sun1,64031%33%7%17%8%4%2
20–21 JanYouGov/The Sun1,64533%34%6%14%8%5%1
19–20 JanYouGov/The Sun1,57032%30%8%15%10%5%2
18–19 JanYouGov/The Sun1,74732% 32%8%15%7%6%Tie
16–19 JanICM/The Guardian1,00230%33%11%11%9%7%3
15–19 JanTNS1,18831% 31%8%16%7%7%Tie
16–18 JanLord Ashcroft1,00429%28%9%15%11%8%1
16–18 JanPopulus2,03635%36%8%13%4%4%1
15–16 JanYouGov/Sunday Times1,64731%32%7%18%7%4%1
14–15 JanYouGov/Sun on Sunday1,76331%33%7%16%7%6%2
14–15 JanComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday[permanent dead link]2,02333%34%7%18%3%5%1
14–15 JanPopulus2,07032%35%9%14%6%4%3
14–15 JanYouGov/The Sun1,66032% 32%6%16%8%6%Tie
13–15 JanOpinium/The Observer1,96628%33%7%20%6%6%5
13–14 JanYouGov/The Sun1,83432%34%6%15%7%6%2
12–13 JanYouGov/The Sun1,78232%33%7%14%7%6%1
11–13 JanIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,01033%34%8%11%8%6%1
11–12 JanYouGov/The Sun1,64932%33%6%17%6%6%1
9–11 JanLord Ashcroft1,00234%28%8%16%8%6%6
9–11 JanPopulus2,05632%37%10%13%4%4%5
8–9 JanYouGov/Sunday Times1,68432% 32%7%18%6%5%Tie
7–8 JanPopulus2,04633%34%8%14%6%5%1
7–8 JanYouGov/The Sun1,75333% 33%8%13%7%6%Tie
6–8 JanTNS1,20128%35%6%18%5%8%7
6–7 JanYouGov/The Sun1,70732%33%7%15%7%6%1
5–6 JanYouGov/The Sun1,76933% 33%7%13%8%5%Tie
4–5 JanYouGov/The Sun1,72831%34%7%14%8%6%3
2–4 JanPopulus2,04634%36%9%12%5%5%2
30 Dec 2014 – 2 Jan 2015Opinium/The Observer1,97032%33%8%17%4%7%1

2014

[edit]
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Grn Others Lead
19–23 DecOpinium/The Observer[f]2,00329%33%6%19%6%7%4
21–22 DecYouGov/The Sun1,64232%36%6%16%5%5%4
19–21 DecPopulus2,05135% 35%9%12%4%5%Tie
18–19 DecSurvation/Daily Mirror1,00930%33%10%21%3%3%3
18–19 DecYouGov/Sunday Times2,10932%34%6%15%8%5%2
16–19 DecOpinium/The Observer1,42729%36%6%16%5%8%7
17–18 DecPopulus2,06934%35%9%13%4%4%1
17–18 DecYouGov/The Sun1,98130%35%6%16%8%4%5
16–17 DecYouGov/The Sun2,08733% 33%8%14%7%5%Tie
15–16 DecYouGov/The Sun2,02133%34%6%16%6%5%1
12–16 DecICM/The Guardian1,00128%33%14%14%5%6%5
14–15 DecYouGov/The Sun1,64832%34%6%14%8%6%2
13–15 DecIpsos Mori/Evening Standard1,01232%29%9%13%9%8%3
11–15 DecTNS1,18028%35%5%19%7%6%7
12–14 DecComRes/The Independent[permanent dead link]1,00229%32%12%16%5%6%3
12–14 DecPopulus2,07434%36%10%12%5%4%2
11–12 DecYouGov/Sunday Times1,94132% 32%7%16%7%5%Tie
10–12 DecComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent on Sunday[permanent dead link]2,01433%34%8%18%2%5%1
10–11 DecPopulus1,14034%35%9%14%4%3%1
10–11 DecYouGov/The Sun2,08832%34%7%14%7%6%2
9–10 DecYouGov/The Sun1,98333% 33%6%15%7%5%Tie
8–9 DecYouGov/The Sun1,95932% 32%8%15%7%5%Tie
7–8 DecYouGov/The Sun1,92534%33%6%15%6%6%1
5–7 DecLord Ashcroft1,00130%31%8%19%5%7%1
5–7 DecPopulus1,32333%36%8%15%4%4%3
4–5 DecYouGov/SundayTimes1,83832% 32%6%17%7%7%Tie
3–4 DecOpinium/The Observer1,94029%34%6%19%6%6%5
3–4 DecPopulus1,27133%35%9%14%4%5%2
3–4 DecYouGov/The Sun1,66331%32%7%15%8%6%1
2–3 DecYouGov/The Sun1,92532%31%6%17%7%6%1
1–2 DecYouGov/The Sun1,91232%33%7%16%7%5%1
30 Nov – 1 DecYouGov/The Sun1,76332% 32%8%15%6%6%Tie
28–30 NovComRes/The Independent[permanent dead link]1,00528%31%9%18%7%7%3
28–30 NovLord Ashcroft1,00330%32%7%16%6%8%2
28–30 NovPopulus2,05332%35%9%14%5%5%3
27–28 NovYouGov/Sunday Times2,01832%34%7%15%6%6%2
26–27 NovPopulus2,04832%37%9%14%4%5%5
26–27 NovYouGov/The Sun1,97031% 31%8%17%6%6%Tie
25–27 NovTNS1,19430%31%6%19%6%8%1
25–26 NovYouGov/The Sun2,06733%32%6%16%7%5%1
24–25 NovYouGov/The Sun1,89032%33%7%16%6%6%1
23–24 NovYouGov/The Sun1,64130%34%6%18%6%6%4
14–24 NovLord Ashcroft[g]20,01130%33%7%19%6%5%3
21–23 NovLord Ashcroft1,00427%32%7%18%7%8%5
21–23 NovPopulus2,04931%36%9%15%5%4%5
20–21 NovYouGov/Sunday Times1,97033% 33%7%16%6%5%Tie
19–21 NovYouGov/The Sun on Sunday2,31433%34%8%15%5%4%1
20 NovRochester and Strood by-election (UKIP gain from Con)
19–20 NovPopulus2,01333%36%9%14%4%4%3
19–20 NovYouGov/The Sun1,99534%33%7%15%6%5%1
18–20 NovOpinium/The Observer1,94830%33%7%19%4%7%3
18–19 NovYouGov/The Sun1,90634%33%7%14%6%6%1
17–18 NovYouGov/The Sun1,97532%34%7%15%6%6%2
16–17 NovYouGov/The Sun1,58933%32%7%15%8%6%1
14–17 NovOpinium Archived 20 March 2015 at the Wayback Machine[6]1,94734%33%5%18%5%6%1
14–16 NovLord Ashcroft1,00429%30%9%16%7%9%1
14–16 NovPopulus2,05435%36%7%11%5%6%1
13–14 NovYouGov/Sunday Times1,97531%33%7%18%5%6%2
12–14 NovComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror[permanent dead link]2,00030%34%8%19%3%6%4
12–13 NovPopulus2,05233%35%9%13%4%5%2
12–13 NovYouGov/The Sun2,00333%32%8%15%6%6%1
11–12 NovYouGov/The Sun1,97232%35%7%15%6%4%3
10–11 NovYouGov/The Sun2,14333%34%7%15%6%6%1
9–10 NovYouGov/The Sun1,65632%33%6%17%6%6%1
8–10 NovIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,01132%29%9%14%7%9%3
7–9 NovICM/The Guardian1,00231%32%11%14%6%6%1
7–9 NovLord Ashcroft1,00530%29%10%16%7%8%1
7–9 NovPopulus2,04734%36%8%13%4%5%2
7 NovSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,02029%34%6%23%4%4%5
6–7 NovYouGov/Sunday Times2,02233% 33%7%16%6%5%Tie
4–7 NovOpinium/The Observer1,98029%32%9%19%4%7%3
5–6 NovPopulus2,01133%35%9%14%4%4%2
5–6 NovYouGov/The Sun2,04132%33%8%15%7%5%1
4–5 NovYouGov/The Sun2,04732%33%7%17%7%5%1
3–4 NovYouGov/The Sun1,98832%34%7%15%6%6%2
2–3 NovYouGov/The Sun1,65233%34%8%15%5%5%1
31 Oct – 2 NovLord Ashcroft1,00230%29%10%16%6%9%1
31 Oct – 2 NovPopulus2,01934%35%9%13%4%4%1
31 Oct – 1 NovSurvation/The Mirror2,01227%31%9%24%3%6%4
30–31 OctYouGov/Sunday Times1,80831%32%7%18%6%6%1
29–30 OctPopulus2,03534% 34%8%15%5%3%Tie
29–30 OctYouGov/The Sun1,88333%32%7%15%7%6%1
28–29 OctYouGov/The Sun1,97231%34%6%17%7%5%3
27–28 OctYouGov/The Sun2,05232%33%8%17%5%5%1
26–27 OctYouGov/The Sun1,62932% 32%8%18%6%4%Tie
24–26 OctComRes/The Independent[permanent dead link]1,00230% 30%9%19%4%7%Tie
24–26 OctLord Ashcroft1,00331% 31%7%18%5%7%Tie'
24–26 OctPopulus2,00434%36%8%13%3%4%2
23–24 OctYouGov/Sunday Times2,06933% 33%7%16%6%6%Tie
21–24 OctOpinium/The Observer1,97233% 33%6%18%4%5%Tie
22–23 OctPopulus2,02933%35%9%15%3%4%2
22–23 OctYouGov/The Sun2,02034% 34%6%15%6%5%Tie
21–22 OctYouGov/The Sun2,05231%33%7%17%6%6%2
20–21 OctYouGov/The Sun2,10332%33%8%16%5%5%1
19–20 OctYouGov/The Sun1,72731%33%7%15%6%8%2
17–19 OctLord Ashcroft1,00028%31%7%18%8%8%3
17–19 OctPopulus2,05834%36%9%13%3%5%2
16–17 OctYouGov/Sunday Times1,96632%35%7%16%5%6%3
15–16 OctComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday[permanent dead link]99629%31%7%24%5%5%2
15–16 OctComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday[permanent dead link]1,00431%34%7%19%4%5%3
15–16 OctPopulus2,03133%35%10%14%4%3%2
15–16 OctYouGov/The Sun2,04531%32%8%18%7%4%1
14–15 OctYouGov/The Sun2,13331%33%7%19%5%5%2
13–14 OctYouGov/The Sun2,14430%34%8%18%5%5%4
11–14 OctIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,00230%33%8%16%5%8%3
12–13 OctYouGov/The Sun1,78231%34%7%17%4%7%3
10–12 OctLord Ashcroft1,00128%32%8%19%5%8%4
10–12 OctICM/The Guardian[7]1,00131%35%11%14%4%6%4
10–12 OctPopulus2,06735%36%9%13%3%4%1
10 OctSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,00331% 31%7%25%2%4%Tie
9–10 OctYouGov/Sunday Times2,16732%34%9%16%5%5%2
9 OctClacton by-election (UKIP gain from Con) and Heywood and Middleton by-election (Lab hold)
8–9 OctLord Ashcroft5,05931%34%8%18%4%5%3
8–9 OctPopulus2,05534%35%9%13%4%5%1
8–9 OctYouGov/The Sun2,04930%35%9%15%5%5%5
7–9 OctOpinium/The Observer1,96828%35%9%17%4%7%7
7–8 OctYouGov/The Sun1,86233%34%7%14%6%6%1
6–7 OctYouGov/The Sun2,15532%34%8%15%5%6%2
5–6 OctYouGov/The Sun1,73935%33%8%13%4%7%2
3–5 OctLord Ashcroft1,00232%30%7%17%7%6%2
3–5 OctPopulus2,03731%37%8%15%3%4%6
2–3 OctYouGov/Sunday Times2,13036%34%7%13%5%5%2
1–2 OctPopulus2,01433%38%8%13%3%4%5
1–2 OctYouGov/The Sun2,13335%34%6%14%5%6%1
30 Sep – 1 OctYouGov/The Sun2,06831%38%7%15%5%4%7
29–30 SepYouGov/The Sun2,10631%36%7%15%5%6%5
28–29 SepYouGov/The Sun1,71531%36%7%16%4%6%5
26–28 SepComRes/Independent1,00729%35%10%15%4%7%6
26–28 SepLord Ashcroft1,00032% 32%8%17%4%8%Tie
26–28 SepPopulus2,02434%36%7%14%5%3%2
25–26 SepYouGov/Sunday Times1,99231%36%6%15%6%6%5
24–26 SepComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday[permanent dead link]2,00329%35%7%19%4%6%6
23–26 SepOpinium/The Observer1,98432%34%7%17%4%6%2
24–25 SepPopulus2,03433%37%9%13%3%4%4
24–25 SepYouGov/The Sun1,97231%37%7%13%5%7%6
23–24 SepYouGov/The Sun2,11733%37%7%13%5%5%4
22–23 SepYouGov/The Sun2,14131%37%7%15%5%5%6
21–22 SepYouGov/The Sun1,67133%35%7%14%5%6%2
19–21 SepLord Ashcroft1,00427%33%9%17%6%8%6
19–21 SepPopulus2,04833%37%9%12%4%4%4
18–19 SepYouGov/Sunday Times2,12631%36%7%16%5%5%5
18 SepScottish independence referendum ("No" wins)
17–18 SepPopulus2,26832%36%9%15%4%5%4
17–18 SepYouGov/The Sun2,07233%35%8%14%5%5%2
16–17 SepYouGov/The Sun2,02933%36%8%13%5%5%3
12–17 SepLord Ashcroft8,05330%35%7%19%5%6%5
15–16 SepYouGov/The Sun1,97734%37%7%12%6%4%3
12–16 SepSurvation/Bright Blue1,05229%34%11%18%4%4%5
14–15 SepYouGov/The Sun1,70331%35%7%15%6%5%4
12–14 SepICM/The Guardian1,00233%35%10%9%7%6%2
12–14 SepLord Ashcroft1,00433% 33%9%14%6%6%Tie
12–14 SepPopulus2,05234%35%9%13%3%5%1
12 SepSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,09031%35%8%19%3%4%4
11–12 SepYouGov/Sunday Times1,90032%35%7%15%6%6%3
10–11 SepPopulus2,01033%37%9%13%2%4%4
10–11 SepYouGov/TheSun2,06831%35%7%16%5%6%4
9–11 SepOpinium/The Observer1,96029%37%7%19%4%5%8
9–10 SepYouGov/The Sun2,12232%38%6%14%5%5%6
8–9 SepYouGov/TheSun2,09930%36%8%16%5%5%6
6–9 SepIpsos MORI1,01034%33%7%15%6%5%1
7–8 SepYouGov/The Sun1,72431%36%8%16%5%4%5
5–7 SepLord Ashcroft1,00128%35%8%18%6%5%7
5–7 SepPopulus2,05834%36%9%12%4%6%2
4–5 SepYouGov/Sunday Times1,96133%35%7%15%4%5%2
3–4 SepPopulus2,02632%38%8%14%4%4%6
3–4 SepYouGov/The Sun2,04332%36%7%16%5%4%4
2–3 SepYouGov/The Sun2,10333%36%7%14%5%5%3
1–2 SepYouGov/The Sun2,06832%35%8%15%5%4%3
31 Aug – 1 SepYouGov/The Sun1,70434%35%7%14%5%6%1
29–31 AugComRes/Independent[permanent dead link]1,00128%35%9%17%6%5%7
29–31 AugPopulus2,01032%36%9%15%3%5%4
28–29 AugYouGov/Sunday Times2,01032%36%7%16%4%4%4
26–29 AugOpinium/The Observer1,97430%36%7%16%4%7%6
27–28 AugPopulus2,00635%34%8%13%5%4%1
27–28 AugYouGov/The Sun2,04633%36%7%13%5%6%3
26–27 AugYouGov/The Sun2,12934%35%7%14%6%5%1
25–26 AugYouGov/The Sun2,02133%37%8%13%5%5%4
22–25 AugPopulus2,06232%38%8%15%3%4%6
21–22 AugYouGov/Sunday Times1,86634%36%8%14%5%3%2
20–22 AugComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday[permanent dead link]2,05832%34%8%18%3%5%2
20–21 AugPopulus2,06533%39%9%11%3%4%6
20–21 AugYouGov/The Sun2,02833%38%8%12%5%4%5
19–20 AugYouGov/The Sun2,07034%38%9%11%4%4%4
18–19 AugYouGov/The Sun2,03636%37%9%12%3%3%1
17–18 AugYouGov/The Sun1,71033%38%8%12%4%4%5
15–17 AugPopulus2,04932%37%9%14%3%5%5
14–15 AugYouGov/Sunday Times2,01934%38%7%13%4%4%4
12–15 AugOpinium/The Observer1,96328%32%10%21%4%6%4
13–14 AugPopulus2,01832%35%9%14%5%7%3
13–14 AugYouGov/The Sun1,98435% 35%8%12%5%5%Tie
12–13 AugYouGov/The Sun2,11634%36%10%12%4%5%2
11–12 AugYouGov/The Sun1,94235%38%8%11%4%3%3
10–11 AugYouGov/The Sun1,67633%37%8%12%5%4%4
9–11 AugIpsos MORI1,00333% 33%7%13%7%6%Tie
8–11 AugPopulus2,03133%37%9%12%3%5%4
8–10 AugICM/The Guardian1,00231%38%12%10%4%5%7
7–8 AugYouGov/Sunday Times1,94333%37%8%13%4%4%4
6–7 AugPopulus2,05036%35%9%11%3%5%1
6–7 AugYouGov/The Sun2,01633%38%7%12%4%5%5
5–6 AugYouGov/The Sun1,94434%37%9%12%4%4%3
4–5 AugYouGov/The Sun1,97733%38%8%12%4%5%5
3–4 AugYouGov/The Sun1,61734%38%6%13%4%5%4
1–3 AugLord Ashcroft1,00230%33%8%18%6%5%3
1–3 AugPopulus2,02135%37%9%12%3%4%2
31 Jul – 1 AugYouGov/Sunday Times2,08335%38%7%12%4%4%3
29 Jul – 1 AugOpinium/The Observer1,97932%35%7%15%5%7%3
30–31 JulPopulus2,02735%36%8%13%4%4%1
30–31 JulYouGov/The Sun2,02334%38%8%13%4%3%4
29–30 JulYouGov/The Sun2,10035%37%8%12%4%4%2
28–29 JulYouGov/The Sun2,00434%35%8%12%6%5%1
27–28 JulYouGov/The Sun1,65833%39%8%12%4%4%6
25–27 JulComRes/Independent[permanent dead link]1,00127%33%8%17%7%6%6
25–27 JulLord Ashcroft1,00032%34%9%14%6%5%2
25–27 JulPopulus2,02433%37%9%12%4%5%4
24–25 JulYouGov/Sunday Times1,74135%36%8%13%5%3%1
23–24 JulPopulus2,03535%37%9%9%4%6%2
23–24 JulYouGov/The Sun2,06535%38%8%11%4%4%3
22–23 JulYouGov/The Sun1,89734%38%8%12%4%4%4
21–22 JulYouGov/The Sun1,90434%37%7%14%5%4%3
20–21 JulYouGov/The Sun2,10734%38%9%11%4%5%4
18–20 JulLord Ashcroft1,00727%35%7%17%7%7%8
18–20 JulPopulus2,03532%37%9%13%4%5%5
17–18 JulYouGov/Sunday Times2,07832%37%9%13%5%4%5
16–18 JulComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror[permanent dead link]2,05431%34%9%17%4%5%3
16–17 JulPopulus2,00735% 35%8%14%3%5%Tie
16–17 JulYouGov/The Sun2,03832%39%8%13%4%4%7
15–17 JulTNS BMRB Archived 28 October 2014 at the Wayback Machine1,19129%36%7%19%9%7
15–17 JulOpinium/The Observer1,96730%34%9%17%4%5%4
15–16 JulYouGov/The Sun2,10733%36%9%13%4%4%3
14–15 JulYouGov/The Sun2,07234%38%6%13%4%5%4
12–15 JulIpsos MORI1,00032%35%8%12%8%5%3
13–14 JulYouGov/The Sun1,74535%38%8%10%4%5%3
11–13 JulICM/The Guardian1,00034%33%12%9%4%7%1
11–13 JulLord Ashcroft1,00032%36%7%14%6%6%4
11–13 JulPopulus2,05534%37%9%12%5%3%3
10–11 JulYouGov/Sunday Times1,96333%38%9%12%4%4%5
9–10 JulPopulus2,05234%36%8%12%3%7%2
9–10 JulYouGov/The Sun2,02234%37%8%12%5%4%3
8–9 JulYouGov/The Sun2,03432%36%10%12%5%4%4
7–8 JulYouGov/The Sun2,07231%38%8%12%5%6%7
6–7 JulYouGov/The Sun1,65034%37%9%13%4%3%3
4–6 JulLord Ashcroft1,00527%34%11%15%6%7%7
4–6 JulPopulus2,05331%38%9%14%4%4%7
3–4 JulYouGov/Sunday Times2,09534%36%8%13%5%4%2
2–3 JulPopulus2,02934%35%9%14%4%4%1
2–3 JulYouGov/The Sun1,61135%36%8%12%4%4%1
1–3 JulOpinium/The Observer1,94629%35%7%18%5%6%6
1–2 JulYouGov/The Sun1,99135%37%8%12%5%3%2
30 Jun – 1 JulYouGov/The Sun2,07333%38%8%11%5%5%5
29–30 JunYouGov/The Sun1,72935%37%8%12%3%5%2
27–29 JunComRes/Independent[permanent dead link]1,00530%32%7%18%5%8%2
27–29 JunPopulus2,04933%37%10%12%4%4%4
27–29 JunLord Ashcroft1,00633%31%9%15%6%6%2
27 JunSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,00027%36%7%22%5%3%9
26–27 JunYouGov/Sunday Times1,93633%37%8%14%5%3%4
25–26 JunPopulus2,02134%35%8%13%5%5%1
25–26 JunYouGov/The Sun1,99633%38%8%13%4%4%5
24–25 JunYouGov/The Sun2,04432%37%7%14%5%5%5
23–24 JunYouGov/The Sun1,98433%36%8%15%4%4%3
22–23 JunYouGov/The Sun1,65232%36%9%15%4%4%4
20–22 JunLord Ashcroft1,00628%33%9%17%7%6%5
20–22 JunPopulus2,06232%37%9%13%3%5%5
19–20 JunYouGov/Sunday Times2,01632%38%8%14%5%4%6
18–19 JunPopulus2,03234%36%8%13%3%6%2
18–19 JunYouGov/The Sun2,09733%37%8%15%3%4%4
17–19 JunOpinium/The Observer1,94631%35%7%17%5%5%4
17–18 JunYouGov/The Sun2,06634%38%7%13%5%3%4
16–17 JunYouGov/The Sun1,89734%37%7%13%4%6%3
14–17 JunIpsos MORI1,00131%34%8%14%8%5%3
15–16 JunYouGov/The Sun1,69632%36%10%14%5%4%4
13–15 JunICM/The Guardian[7]1,00131%32%10%16%6%5%1
13–15 JunLord Ashcroft1,00129%35%8%15%6%7%6
13–15 JunPopulus2,03633%37%9%13%4%4%4
12–13 JunYouGov/Sunday Times2,10633%37%8%13%5%4%4
11–13 JunComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror[permanent dead link]2,03432%34%7%18%4%5%2
11–12 JunYouGov/The Sun on Sunday2,33733%36%8%14%5%4%3
11–12 JunPopulus2,05132%35%8%15%5%5%3
11–12 JunYouGov/The Sun2,18332%38%8%12%5%5%6
10–12 JunTNS BMRB Archived 11 October 2014 at the Wayback Machine1,19529%35%6%23%7%6
10–11 JunYouGov/The Sun2,15734%36%6%14%5%5%2
9–10 JunYouGov/The Sun1,97435%37%8%12%3%5%2
8–9 JunYouGov/The Sun1,68531%37%7%15%5%5%6
6–8 JunLord Ashcroft1,00328%32%8%17%7%8%4
6–8 JunPopulus2,03935%36%9%14%3%4%1
5–6 JunYouGov/Sunday Times2,13433%37%7%14%5%4%4
4–6 JunPopulus2,00634%35%9%14%5%4%1
5 JunNewark by-election (Con hold)
4–5 JunYouGov/The Sun2,10731%37%8%15%5%4%6
3–5 JunOpinium/The Observer[permanent dead link]1,95031%35%6%19%4%5%4
3–4 JunYouGov/The Sun1,95132%37%7%13%5%5%5
2–3 JunYouGov/The Sun1,96232%36%8%14%5%4%4
1–2 JunYouGov/The Sun1,74030%36%8%17%5%4%6
30 May – 1 JunLord Ashcroft[8]1,00025%34%6%19%7%8%9
30 May – 1 JunPopulus2,06232%37%10%13%3%5%5
29–30 MayYouGov/Sunday Times2,09033%36%7%15%4%5%3
28–29 MayPopulus2,01034%35%9%14%4%4%1
28–29 MayYouGov/The Sun2,12331%38%7%16%4%5%7
27–28 MayYouGov/The Sun2,10932%36%9%14%5%5%4
26–27 MayYouGov/The Sun2,07932%34%8%15%5%5%2
23–26 MayPopulus2,06034%36%9%14%3%4%2
23–25 MayLord Ashcroft[8]1,00029%31%8%17%7%10%2
22–26 MayEuropean Parliament election
23 MaySurvation/Mail on Sunday1,01727%32%9%23%3%6%5
22–23 MayYouGov/Sunday Times1,89834%35%9%13%5%5%1
20–23 MayOpinium/The Observer1,96832%33%7%19%4%5%1
22 MayLocal elections in England and Northern Ireland
21–22 MayPopulus2,04534%36%9%14%3%4%2
21–22 MayYouGov/The Sun1,92234% 34%9%14%5%4%Tie
20–21 MayYouGov/The Times, The Sun6,12433%36%9%13%4%5%3
19–20 MaySurvation/Daily Mirror1,10628%34%9%20%3%6%6
19–20 MayYouGov/The Sun1,87433%35%11%13%3%5%2
18–19 MayYouGov/The Sun1,74033%37%9%11%6%4%4
16–18 MayComRes/Independent[permanent dead link]1,00830%35%8%14%5%8%5
16–18 MayLord Ashcroft[8]1,00629%35%9%14%5%7%6
16–18 MayPopulus2,02635%34%8%14%3%6%1
15–16 MayYouGov/Sunday Times1,89234%37%9%13%4%3%3
14–15 MayComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror[permanent dead link]2,04529%33%8%19%4%7%4
14–15 MayYouGov/The Sun2,08334%36%8%13%4%5%2
14–15 MayPopulus2,04332%36%10%13%3%6%4
13–14 MayYouGov/The Sun1,96832%35%10%13%4%5%3
12–13 MayYouGov/The Sun1,97734% 34%8%15%3%5%Tie
11–12 MayYouGov/The Sun1,68035%36%9%14%3%5%1
10–12 MayIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,00331%34%9%11%8%7%3
9–11 MayICM/The Guardian[7]1,00033%31%13%15%4%5%2
9–11 MayLord Ashcroft[8]1,00134%32%9%15%5%6%2
9–11 MayPopulus2,05635%36%8%13%3%5%1
9 MaySurvation/Mail on Sunday1,00528%33%10%20%3%6%5
8–9 MayYouGov/Sunday Times1,90531%38%9%13%4%5%7
7–8 MayPopulus2,00632%36%8%16%4%5%4
7–8 MayYouGov/The Sun1,87534%35%8%13%4%6%1
6–8 MayOpinium/The Observer1,99729%33%9%20%4%5%4
6–7 MayYouGov/The Sun1,85834%37%8%13%3%5%3
5–6 MayYouGov/The Sun1,93334%35%9%14%3%5%1
2–5 MayPopulus2,03433%36%8%14%4%5%3
2–3 MaySurvation/Daily Mirror1,00533%34%8%18%4%3%1
1–2 MayYouGov/Sunday Times1,94533%36%9%15%4%3%3
30 Apr – 1 MayYouGov/The Sun on Sunday1,84433%36%10%15%2%4%3
30 Apr – 1 MayPopulus2,06034%35%9%14%3%5%1
30 Apr – 1 MayYouGov/The Sun1,81333%36%10%14%3%4%3
2 Apr – 1 MayPopulus/Financial Times18,44834%36%10%13%3%4%2
29–30 AprYouGov/The Sun1,89831%37%9%15%3%5%6
28–29 AprYouGov/The Sun1,80432%37%9%14%3%5%5
27–28 AprYouGov/The Sun1,62932%37%10%15%2%4%5
25–27 AprPopulus2,05232%35%10%15%3%5%3
24–25 AprYouGov/Sunday Times1,83531%36%9%15%4%5%5
22–25 AprOpinium/The Observer1,96532%34%7%18%3%6%2
23–24 AprPopulus2,05535% 35%9%13%3%5%Tie
23–24 AprYouGov/The Sun2,07232%38%8%14%4%4%6
22–23 AprYouGov/The Sun2,14332%37%10%15%2%4%5
21–22 AprYouGov/The Sun2,19034%37%10%12%2%5%3
17–21 AprPopulus2,04933%36%10%13%3%4%3
16–17 AprYouGov/The Sun1,88433%35%11%15%2%4%2
15–16 AprPopulus2,06934%35%9%14%3%5%1
15–16 AprYouGov/The Sun2,16633%39%9%11%3%5%6
14–15 AprYouGov/The Sun2,16234%37%10%13%2%4%3
13–14 AprYouGov/The Sun1,54133%38%9%12%3%5%5
11–13 AprComRes/The Independent[permanent dead link]1,00030%36%9%12%4%9%6
11–13 AprICM/The Guardian[7]1,00032%37%12%11%2%6%5
11–13 AprPopulus2,01133%35%11%13%2%6%2
10–11 AprYouGov/Sunday Times2,03632%38%8%14%2%6%6
9–10 AprComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror[permanent dead link]2,00329%35%7%20%4%5%6
9–10 AprPopulus2,05134%35%11%12%2%6%1
9–10 AprYouGov/The Sun2,11132%38%8%14%2%5%6
8–10 AprOpinium/The Observer1,97230%36%7%18%3%6%6
8–9 AprYouGov/The Sun2,06133%36%10%14%2%5%3
7–8 AprYouGov/The Sun2,14433%37%10%13%2%4%4
6–7 AprYouGov/The Sun1,74833%36%10%14%2%5%3
5–7 AprIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,00231%37%9%15%3%4%6
4–6 AprPopulus2,03434%37%9%14%3%4%3
4 AprSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,00129%36%10%20%2%4%7
3–4 AprYouGov/Sunday Times1,99834%39%9%12%2%4%5
2–3 AprPopulus2,06733%37%10%13%2%5%4
2–3 AprYouGov/The Sun2,07632%38%10%13%3%4%6
1–2 AprYouGov/The Sun2,14832%38%10%13%2%5%6
31 Mar – 1 AprYouGov/The Sun1,98133%37%10%12%2%6%4
30–31 MarYouGov/The Sun1,69634%37%11%13%2%5%3
28–30 MarPopulus2,00834%37%10%11%3%5%3
5–30 MarPopulus/Financial Times16,42434%37%9%12%3%5%3
27–28 MarYouGov/Sunday Times1,91633%40%9%11%2%5%7
27–28 MarPopulus2,06635%37%8%12%3%5%2
25–28 MarOpinium/The Observer1,93632%33%10%15%3%7%1
26–27 MarYouGov/The Sun2,03935%36%10%11%3%4%1
25–26 MarYouGov/The Sun2,07035%37%9%11%2%5%2
24–25 MarYouGov/The Sun1,95835%38%10%10%2%5%3
23–24 MarYouGov/The Sun1,55836%38%10%10%2%4%2
21–23 MarComRes/Independent Archived 30 June 2025 at the Wayback Machine1,02431%36%9%11%5%8%5
21–23 MarPopulus2,03934%35%10%13%2%6%1
20–21 MarYouGov/Sunday Times2,10336%37%9%11%2%5%1
20–21 MarSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,00034%35%9%15%2%5%1
19–20 MarPopulus2,12234%38%9%12%2%5%4
19–20 MarYouGov/The Sun1,90434%39%10%10%2%5%5
18–19 MarYouGov/The Sun2,08833%38%11%11%3%4%5
17–18 MarYouGov/The Sun2,28434%38%11%11%3%4%4
16–17 MarYouGov/The Sun1,91932%40%9%11%3%4%8
14–16 MarPopulus2,05332%36%10%13%3%6%4
13–14 MarYouGov/Sunday Times1,94633%40%8%12%2%4%7
12–13 MarComRes/Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror[permanent dead link]2,00132%35%9%16%3%5%3
12–13 MarPopulus2,05334%35%10%13%2%6%1
12–13 MarYouGov/The Sun2,09833%38%11%10%2%6%5
11–12 MarOpinium/The Observer1,97130%35%10%16%3%6%5
11–12 MarYouGov/The Sun2,09535%37%9%13%2%4%2
8–12 MarIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,00032%35%13%11%5%4%3
10–11 MarYouGov/The Sun2,04034%38%10%12%2%4%4
7–11 MarICM/The Guardian[7]1,00335%38%12%9%3%3%3
9–10 MarYouGov/The Sun3,19532%39%8%13%3%5%7
7–9 MarPopulus2,05834%38%9%12%3%4%4
6–7 MarYouGov/Sunday Times2,02932%39%10%14%2%3%7
5–6 MarPopulus2,02534%37%9%12%3%5%3
5–6 MarYouGov/The Sun1,83331%40%9%13%3%4%9
4–5 MarYouGov/The Sun1,86834%37%10%11%3%5%3
3–4 MarYouGov/The Sun2,04134%38%9%13%2%4%4
2–3 MarYouGov/The Sun1,86832%41%8%12%1%6%9
28 Feb – 2 MarComRes/Independent[permanent dead link]1,00430%38%10%11%4%7%8
28 Feb – 2 MarPopulus2,05534%37%10%12%3%4%3
27–28 FebYouGov/Sunday Times2,09833%38%9%13%2%5%5
25–28 FebOpinium/The Observer1,94629%34%10%19%3%5%5
26–27 FebPopulus1,13133%38%9%13%3%5%5
5–27 FebPopulus/Financial Times14,20333%37%10%14%3%3%4
26–27 FebYouGov/The Sun1,86834%39%8%12%3%4%5
25–26 FebYouGov/The Sun2,06234%40%10%11%3%4%6
24–25 FebYouGov/The Sun1,93633%39%10%11%3%4%6
23–24 FebYouGov/The Sun1,77333%38%10%13%2%5%5
21–23 FebPopulus2,05232%37%10%15%2%4%5
20–21 FebYouGov/Sunday Times2,14132%39%8%12%2%6%7
19–20 FebPopulus2,06632%38%9%13%3%5%6
19–20 FebYouGov/The Sun1,75634%39%9%12%2%4%5
18–19 FebYouGov/The Sun1,76633%37%10%12%3%5%4
17–18 FebYouGov/The Sun1,75833%40%8%12%3%4%7
16–17 FebYouGov/The Sun1,64533%40%9%11%2%5%7
14–16 FebPopulus2,03133%38%10%13%3%3%5
13–14 FebYouGov/Sunday Times1,86832%39%9%12%3%6%7
11–14 FebOpinium/The Observer1,96928%37%8%17%2%8%9
13 FebWythenshawe and Sale East by-election (Lab hold)
12–13 FebPopulus2,01532%38%9%14%3%4%6
12–13 FebComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror[permanent dead link]2,03132%37%9%15%2%5%5
12–13 FebYouGov/The Sun1,89633%39%9%12%2%5%6
11–12 FebYouGov/The Sun1,82632%39%8%13%2%6%7
10–11 FebYouGov/The Sun1,89934%39%10%11%2%4%5
9–10 FebYouGov/The Sun1,68533%39%10%12%2%4%6
7–9 FebICM/The Guardian[7]1,00234%38%10%11%3%5%4
7–9 FebPopulus2,01334%36%11%12%3%4%2
6–7 FebYouGov/Sunday Times1,52135%39%10%10%3%3%4
5–6 FebPopulus2,01533%36%9%15%2%5%3
5–6 FebYouGov/The Sun1,91132%38%10%14%2%4%6
4–5 FebYouGov/The Sun1,90235%39%9%10%2%4%4
3–4 FebYouGov/The Sun1,94233%39%8%13%3%4%6
2–3 FebYouGov/The Sun1,74133%38%11%11%1%6%5
1–3 FebIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,01231%38%12%10%3%6%7
31 Jan – 2 FebPopulus2,04332%41%11%9%3%4%9
30–31 JanYouGov/Sunday Times1,88534%39%8%11%3%5%5
28–31 JanOpinium/The Observer1,97229%36%8%17%3%6%7
29–30 JanPopulus2,04432%39%11%10%3%4%7
29–30 JanYouGov/The Sun1,94232%42%8%12%2%4%10
28–29 JanYouGov/The Sun1,88435%38%10%11%2%4%3
27–28 JanYouGov/The Sun1,81434%37%9%12%3%5%3
26–27 JanYouGov/The Sun1,38135%37%9%13%2%5%2
24–26 JanComRes/Independent1,00232%33%9%14%5%7%1
24–26 JanPopulus2,05233%40%11%8%3%5%7
23–24 JanYouGov/Sunday Times1,85932%39%9%13%2%5%7
22–23 JanPopulus2,05132%40%11%9%3%5%8
22–23 JanYouGov/The Sun1,84035%38%8%12%2%5%3
21–22 JanYouGov/The Sun1,84332%40%8%12%3%5%8
20–21 JanYouGov/The Sun1,96134%38%9%13%3%3%4
19–20 JanYouGov/The Sun1,68232%40%11%12%2%3%8
7–20 JanLord Ashcroft20,05830%38%8%16%3%5%8
17–19 JanPopulus2,02732%39%12%9%3%5%7
16–17 JanYouGov/Sunday Times1,95733%39%8%13%2%5%6
15–16 JanComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent[permanent dead link]2,02930%35%8%19%3%5%5
15–16 JanPopulus2,03933%40%13%9%2%3%7
15–16 JanYouGov/The Sun1,98132%39%10%12%2%5%7
14–16 JanOpinium/The Observer1,93030%36%8%17%3%6%6
14–15 JanSurvation/Sky News1,00530%34%12%18%2%4%4
14–15 JanYouGov/The Sun1,89333%39%10%12%2%4%6
13–14 JanYouGov/The Sun2,00034%37%9%13%2%5%3
11–14 JanIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,03530%39%13%11%3%4%9
12–13 JanYouGov/The Sun1,76233%38%11%12%2%4%5
10–12 JanICM/The Guardian[7]1,00532%35%14%10%3%6%3
10–11 JanPopulus2,07933%38%12%9%3%5%5
9–10 JanYouGov/Sunday Times1,90431%40%9%14%2%4%9
8–9 JanPopulus2,01233%40%11%8%3%5%7
8–9 JanYouGov/The Sun1,88732%38%9%13%2%6%6
7–8 JanYouGov/The Sun1,95832%38%9%13%3%5%6
6–7 JanYouGov/The Sun1,97232%37%10%14%3%4%5
5–6 JanYouGov/The Sun1,72932%40%9%12%2%5%8
3 JanSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,00131%35%11%16%2%5%4
30 Dec 2013 – 2 Jan 2014Opinium/The Observer1,93930%37%8%17%3%5%7

2013

[edit]
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Grn Others Lead
20–22 DecPopulus2,01335%37%12%9%3%4%2
19–20 DecYouGov/Sunday Times1,88634%40%9%11%2%4%6
18–19 DecPopulus2,05532%40%12%8%3%5%8
18–19 DecYouGov/The Sun1,78434%39%11%12%1%3%5
17–18 DecYouGov/The Sun1,93734%38%10%11%2%5%4
16–17 DecYouGov/The Sun1,79133%41%10%11%2%3%8
15–16 DecYouGov/The Sun1,66636%38%8%11%2%5%2
13–15 DecComRes/Independent[permanent dead link]1,00332%37%9%10%5%7%5
13–15 DecPopulus2,05833%40%13%8%2%4%7
12–13 DecYouGov/Sunday Times1,84632%38%9%13%2%6%6
11–13 DecComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent[permanent dead link]2,02729%36%8%18%4%5%7
10–13 DecOpinium/The Observer1,94930%37%8%16%4%5%7
11–12 DecPopulus Archived 13 December 2013 at the Wayback Machine2,02433%38%13%9%3%4%5
11–12 DecYouGov/The Sun1,90235%39%9%11%2%4%4
10–11 DecYouGov/The Sun1,91633%39%9%13%2%4%6
9–10 DecYouGov/The Sun1,85234%39%9%12%2%4%5
8–9 DecYouGov/The Sun1,76633%38%10%13%2%4%5
7–9 DecIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,01133%37%9%10%5%6%4
6–8 DecICM/The Guardian[permanent dead link]1,00132%37%12%9%3%6%5
6–8 DecPopulus Archived 13 December 2013 at the Wayback Machine2,02733%41%11%7%3%5%8
5–6 DecYouGov/Sunday Times1,80234%39%10%11%3%3%5
4–5 DecPopulus Archived 3 December 2013 at the Wayback Machine2,03834%38%13%7%3%5%4
4–5 DecYouGov/The Sun1,83329%41%9%14%2%5%12
3–4 DecYouGov/The Sun1,94334%40%10%10%3%4%6
2–3 DecYouGov/The Sun1,93532%40%9%12%3%4%8
1–2 DecYouGov/The Sun1,69932%38%10%12%2%6%6
29 Nov – 1 DecPopulus2,01233%40%10%9%3%5%8
28–29 NovYouGov/Sunday Times1,79630%38%10%15%2%5%8
26–29 NovOpinium/The Observer1,94128%35%8%19%4%6%7
27–28 NovPopulus Archived 3 December 2013 at the Wayback Machine2,02535%38%12%7%3%5%3
27–28 NovYouGov/The Sun1,81733%39%8%14%2%4%6
26–27 NovYouGov/The Sun1,88832%39%10%13%2%4%7
25–26 NovYouGov/The Sun1,91932%39%10%12%3%4%7
24–25 NovYouGov/The Sun1,68132%40%10%12%2%4%8
22–24 NovComRes/Independent Archived 30 June 2025 at the Wayback Machine1,00232%37%9%11%3%8%5
22–24 NovPopulus2,07534%39%12%7%2%6%5
21–22 NovSurvation/Daily Star1,00629%36%10%18%3%4%7
21–22 NovYouGov/Sunday Times1,86733%40%9%11%2%5%7
20–21 NovPopulus2,02833%38%11%11%2%5%5
20–21 NovYouGov/The Sun1,90932%39%10%12%2%5%7
19–20 NovYouGov/The Sun1,86532%40%9%12%3%4%8
18–19 NovYouGov/The Sun2,10834%38%10%11%2%5%4
17–18 NovYouGov/The Sun1,65032%39%11%12%2%4%7
15–17 NovPopulus2,01032%41%10%9%2%6%9
14–15 NovYouGov/Sunday Times1,85133%39%10%12%2%4%6
13–15 NovComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent[permanent dead link]2,02329%35%10%17%5%4%6
13–14 NovPopulus2,05131%40%11%10%3%5%9
13–14 NovYouGov/The Sun1,76532%40%10%13%2%3%8
12–14 NovOpinium/The Observer1,94628%37%9%16%4%6%9
12–13 NovYouGov/The Sun1,99831%39%9%13%2%6%8
11–12 NovYouGov/The Sun2,03232%42%8%10%3%5%10
10–11 NovYouGov/The Sun1,75233%40%9%11%3%4%7
9–11 NovIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,01932%38%8%8%7%8%6
7–11 NovTNS BMRB Archived 13 July 2014 at the Wayback Machine1,21030%38%8%12%4%7%8
8–10 NovICM/The Guardian1,00430%38%13%10%3%7%8
8–10 NovPopulus2,05331%39%11%10%3%6%8
4–10 NovLord Ashcroft8,05330%39%8%16%3%5%9
7–8 NovYouGov/Sunday Times1,87834%39%10%11%2%4%5
6–7 NovPopulus2,01932%39%12%9%3%5%7
6–7 NovYouGov/The Sun1,80633%39%10%11%2%5%6
5–6 NovYouGov/The Sun1,82533%40%9%12%3%4%7
4–5 NovYouGov/The Sun1,87634%40%8%11%2%6%6
3–4 NovYouGov/The Sun1,74733%40%9%12%2%4%7
1–3 NovPopulus2,01434%39%10%10%3%4%5
25 Sep – 3 NovPopulus14,70134%39%12%9%3%3%5
31 Oct – 1 NovYouGov/Sunday Times1,88532%41%8%12%2%5%9
29 Oct – 1 NovOpinium/The Observer1,95731%37%7%16%3%6%6
30–31 OctPopulus2,01533%40%11%9%2%5%7
30–31 OctYouGov/The Sun1,67135%39%9%10%2%5%4
29–30 OctYouGov/The Sun1,86233%40%8%11%2%6%7
28–29 OctYouGov/The Sun1,95633%39%10%11%2%5%6
27–28 OctYouGov/The Sun1,73631%40%9%12%3%5%9
25–27 OctComRes/Independent1,00328%36%11%12%5%8%8
25–27 OctPopulus2,06533%38%12%9%3%5%5
25 OctSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,00029%35%12%17%2%5%6
24–25 OctYouGov/Sunday Times1,91333%39%9%12%3%5%6
23–24 OctPopulus2,01134%39%11%10%3%3%5
23–24 OctYouGov/The Sun1,67732%38%10%13%3%5%6
22–23 OctYouGov/The Sun1,89532%39%9%11%3%5%7
21–22 OctYouGov/The Sun2,08932%40%10%13%2%3%8
20–21 OctYouGov/The Sun1,73533%38%9%13%2%4%5
18–21 OctSurvation/Free Speech Network1,00429%37%10%16%3%4%8
18–19 OctPopulus2,01834%37%14%8%3%4%3
17–18 OctYouGov/Sunday Times2,31133%39%10%11%2%5%6
16–18 OctComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent2,00132%35%9%16%3%5%3
15–18 OctOpinium/The Observer1,93627%38%9%17%4%4%11
16–17 OctPopulus2,04333%39%12%9%2%5%6
16–17 OctYouGov/The Sun1,88534%40%9%11%2%4%6
15–16 OctYouGov/The Sun1,91435%39%8%12%2%3%4
14–15 OctYouGov/The Sun1,80534%39%9%11%2%5%5
12–15 OctIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,00435% 35%9%10%4%7%Tie
13–14 OctYouGov/The Sun1,85737%38%10%10%2%3%1
10–14 OctTNS BMRB Archived 6 December 2014 at the Wayback Machine1,20734%36%9%13%3%5%2
11–13 OctPopulus2,04234%39%12%8%3%4%5
11–13 OctICM/The Guardian[7]1,00434%38%12%8%3%5%4
11 OctSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,01727%37%11%18%2%5%10
10–11 OctYouGov/Sunday Times1,77334%39%9%11%3%5%5
9–10 OctPopulus2,01334%39%12%8%3%4%5
9–10 OctYouGov/The Sun1,85933%40%10%11%2%4%7
8–9 OctYouGov/The Sun1,90732%38%11%13%3%3%6
7–8 OctYouGov/The Sun1,87933%39%10%10%3%5%6
6–7 OctYouGov/The Sun1,65535%39%9%10%3%3%4
4–6 OctPopulus2,05033%40%10%10%3%4%7
3–4 OctYouGov/Sunday Times1,98533%38%11%13%2%3%5
1–4 OctOpinium/The Observer1,94831%36%7%15%4%7%5
2–3 OctPopulus2,01433%38%11%10%3%5%5
2–3 OctYouGov/The Sun1,88335%38%9%10%2%5%3
1–2 OctYouGov/The Sun1,76534%40%9%10%3%4%6
30 Sep – 1 OctYouGov/The Sun1,91431%41%8%12%2%5%10
29–30 SepYouGov/The Sun1,71733%39%11%13%2%3%6
27–29 SepComRes/Independent1,00133%37%11%11%3%5%4
27–29 SepPopulus2,00636%39%11%7%3%4%3
26–27 SepYouGov/Sunday Times1,89531%42%9%13%2%4%11
25–26 SepPopulus2,01534%37%12%9%2%6%3
25–26 SepYouGov/The Sun1,84033%40%9%11%2%5%7
24–25 SepYouGov/The Sun1,91932%41%8%11%3%4%9
23–24 SepYouGov/The Sun1,90534%39%10%10%3%4%5
22–23 SepYouGov/The Sun1,76332%40%10%12%2%3%8
14 Aug – 22 SepPopulus14,61633%38%12%9%3%5%5
20–22 SepPopulus2,03633%39%14%9%2%3%6
19–20 SepYouGov/Sunday Times1,95633%37%11%11%3%5%4
17–20 SepOpinium/The Observer1,92929%36%7%17%4%7%7
18–19 SepPopulus2,04333%39%11%9%3%5%6
18–19 SepComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent[permanent dead link]2,00328%36%10%17%4%5%8
18–19 SepYouGov/The Sun1,87834%35%11%11%3%5%1
17–18 SepYouGov/The Sun1,85336% 36%10%12%2%4%Tie
16–17 SepYouGov/The Sun1,79233%37%9%13%3%4%4
15–16 SepYouGov/The Sun1,63634%37%10%12%3%5%3
12–16 SepTNS BMRB Archived 17 March 2016 at the Wayback Machine1,22429%39%9%14%2%7%10
13–15 SepICM/The Guardian[dead link][dead link][dead link][dead link][permanent dead link][permanent dead link][permanent dead link][permanent dead link][permanent dead link][permanent dead link][7]1,00032%36%14%9%4%5%4
13–15 SepPopulus2,05333%40%11%9%2%5%7
12–13 SepYouGov/Sunday Times1,90333%38%9%12%3%5%5
11–12 SepPopulus2,01834%41%10%7%3%5%7
11–12 SepYouGov/The Sun1,81934%38%8%13%3%5%4
10–11 SepYouGov/The Sun1,71932%39%10%12%2%4%7
9–10 SepYouGov/The Sun1,57933%39%9%11%3%5%6
8–9 SepYouGov/The Sun1,61533%38%8%14%3%4%5
7–9 SepIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,00034%37%10%11%3%5%3
6–8 SepPopulus2,02534%37%13%9%2%5%3
5–6 SepYouGov/Sunday Times1,91634%38%9%12%3%4%4
3–6 SepOpinium/The Observer1,94230%35%7%17%4%7%5
4–5 SepPopulus2,03633%37%14%8%3%4%4
4–5 SepYouGov/The Sun1,89131%38%10%13%2%6%7
3–4 SepYouGov/The Sun1,93033%39%10%12%2%5%6
2–3 SepYouGov/The Sun1,97833%37%9%13%3%5%4
1–2 SepYouGov/The Sun1,71733%40%9%12%2%5%7
29 Aug – 2 SepTNS BMRB Archived 6 December 2014 at the Wayback Machine1,23028%39%11%13%3%7%11
30 Aug – 1 SepLord Ashcroft1,00530%35%11%14%4%6%5
30 Aug – 1 SepComRes/Independent[permanent dead link]2,00031%37%12%10%4%6%6
30 Aug – 1 SepPopulus2,02034%38%12%8%3%4%4
30–31 AugYouGov/Sunday Times1,82231%41%9%13%2%4%10
30 AugSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,00229%37%11%17%2%5%8
28–29 AugPopulus2,04133%39%12%9%2%5%6
28–29 AugYouGov/The Sun1,95433%37%10%12%3%5%4
27–28 AugYouGov/The Sun1,88634%37%11%12%2%5%3
26–27 AugYouGov/The Sun1,99134%39%8%12%2%5%5
23–26 AugPopulus2,04433%37%13%10%2%5%4
22–23 AugYouGov/Sunday Times1,94932%38%10%13%3%5%6
20–23 AugOpinium/The Observer1,94729%36%8%18%4%5%7
21–22 AugPopulus2,05030%38%12%12%3%5%8
21–22 AugYouGov/The Sun1,87132%39%11%10%2%5%7
20–21 AugYouGov/The Sun1,85834%37%9%13%3%4%3
19–20 AugYouGov/The Sun1,94032%39%10%12%3%4%7
18–19 AugYouGov/The Sun1,72931%38%10%14%3%6%7
16–18 AugPopulus2,03432%38%12%11%3%4%6
15–16 AugYouGov/Sunday Times1,86632%38%10%13%3%5%6
14–15 AugPopulus2,05036%39%10%8%2%5%3
14–15 AugYouGov/The Sun1,86534%39%9%11%2%5%5
14–15 AugComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent2,00128%37%8%19%3%5%9
13–14 AugYouGov/The Sun1,91432%38%11%13%2%4%6
12–13 AugYouGov/The Sun1,96035%38%10%11%2%5%3
11–12 AugYouGov/The Sun1,66033%40%8%13%2%5%7
10–12 AugIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,00730%40%10%11%6%3%10
9–11 AugICM/The Guardian[7]1,00132%35%14%10%3%5%3
9–11 AugPopulus2,01433%39%12%10%2%4%6
8–9 AugYouGov/Sunday Times1,83433%41%9%10%3%4%8
7–8 AugYouGov/The Sun1,73534%38%9%12%2%5%4
6–8 AugOpinium/The Observer1,94529%36%9%17%3%6%7
6–7 AugYouGov/The Sun1,88431%39%11%11%4%4%8
5–6 AugYouGov/The Sun1,97932%39%10%11%2%5%7
4–5 AugYouGov/The Sun1,68434%38%11%12%2%5%4
2–4 AugPopulus2,00633%38%12%9%3%5%5
2 AugSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,00128%36%11%18%1%6%8
1–2 AugYouGov/Sunday Times1,95232%38%10%13%2%5%6
31 Jul – 1 AugPopulus2,02729%40%11%12%3%5%11
31 Jul – 1 AugYouGov/The Sun1,99534%40%10%11%3%2%6
30–31 JulYouGov/The Sun1,86933%38%10%14%2%3%5
29–30 JulYouGov/The Sun1,86934%40%11%10%2%4%6
28–29 JulYouGov/The Sun1,75133%40%10%12%2%3%7
26–28 JulPopulus Archived 4 December 2014 at the Wayback Machine2,04934%39%11%8%3%5%5
25–27 JulComRes/Independent[permanent dead link]1,00134%37%10%12%4%4%3
25–26 JulYouGov/Sunday Times1,85733%39%10%11%2%5%6
23–26 JulOpinium/The Observer1,93528%39%8%16%3%6%11
24–25 JulPopulus2,00532%39%11%10%3%5%7
24–25 JulYouGov/The Sun1,81732%38%11%11%3%5%6
23–24 JulYouGov/The Sun1,92635%39%8%11%3%4%4
22–23 JulYouGov/The Sun1,96832%39%11%12%2%4%7
21–22 JulYouGov/The Sun1,71035%38%11%10%2%4%3
18–22 JulTNS BMRB Archived 6 December 2014 at the Wayback Machine1,23228%38%9%16%2%7%10
19–21 JulPopulus Archived 4 December 2014 at the Wayback Machine2,04932%39%12%9%2%6%7
18–19 JulYouGov/Sunday Times1,87732%39%10%11%2%5%7
17–18 JulYouGov/The Sun1,86633%38%11%11%2%5%5
17–18 JulPopulus Archived 4 December 2014 at the Wayback Machine2,00431%39%12%10%3%4%8
16–17 JulYouGov/The Sun1,87431%37%12%13%3%5%6
15–16 JulYouGov/The Sun1,96532%38%10%12%2%6%6
14–15 JulYouGov/The Sun1,70131%40%11%11%2%7%9
12–14 JulICM/The Guardian[9]1,00336% 36%13%7%3%5%Tie
12–14 JulPopulus2,04431%38%13%10%4%4%7
11–12 JulYouGov/Sunday Times1,85730%41%10%13%2%4%11
11–12 JulSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,00628%36%9%20%4%3%8
10–12 JulOpinium/The Observer1,95127%38%6%19%4%6%11
10–11 JulComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent[permanent dead link]2,02128%36%8%18%4%6%8
9–10 JulYouGov/The Sun1,95532%37%11%12%3%4%5
8–9 JulYouGov/The Sun1,93831%39%10%13%3%4%8
7–8 JulYouGov/The Sun1,93834%40%10%10%2%4%6
4–5 JulYouGov/Sunday Times1,66033%39%11%12%2%4%6
3–4 JulYouGov/The Sun1,79231%39%11%12%2%5%8
3 JulSurvation/Mirror1,08523%36%10%22%4%5%13
2–3 JulYouGov/The Sun1,92332%40%9%13%2%4%8
1–2 JulYouGov/The Sun1,96732%40%9%12%3%4%8
30 Jun – 1 JulYouGov/The Sun1,62033%38%8%12%2%6%5
27–28 JunYouGov/The Sunday Times1,96733%38%11%11%2%5%5
25–28 JunOpinium/The Observer1,95427%37%7%19%3%7%10
26–27 JunYouGov/The Sun1,92033%39%10%13%3%2%6
25–26 JunYouGov/The Sun1,91531%42%11%10%3%4%11
24–25 JunYouGov/The Sun1,86032%40%11%11%2%4%8
23–24 JunYouGov/The Sun1,69432%39%9%12%3%4%7
21–23 JunComRes/Independent1,00030%36%10%14%5%4%6
20–21 JunYouGov/Sunday Times1,91631%39%10%13%3%4%8
19–20 JunYouGov/The Sun1,87231%39%11%14%2%3%8
18–19 JunYouGov/The Sun1,84732%38%10%13%2%4%6
17–18 JunYouGov/The Sun1,92131%38%10%12%2%6%7
16–17 JunYouGov/The Sun1,70531%40%10%13%2%4%9
13–14 JunYouGov/Sunday Times1,89730%39%10%14%2%5%9
12–14 JunOpinium/The Observer1,94227%36%7%20%3%8%9
12–13 JunComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent[permanent dead link]2,04126%35%10%19%4%6%9
12–13 JunYouGov/The Sun1,86132%39%10%12%2%5%7
11–12 JunYouGov/The Sun1,92630%38%11%12%3%5%8
10–11 JunYouGov/The Sun1,87430%38%9%16%3%4%8
9–10 JunYouGov/The Sun1,68928%39%11%15%2%5%11
8–10 JunIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,02331%35%10%12%4%8%4
6–10 JunTNS BMRB Archived 29 November 2014 at the Wayback Machine1,20827%36%8%19%3%7%9
7–9 JunICM/The Guardian1,00229%36%12%12%2%8%7
6–7 JunYouGov/Sunday Times1,83630%40%9%14%2%5%10
5–6 JunYouGov/The Sun1,90532%39%10%13%3%3%7
4–5 JunYouGov/The Sun1,93930%39%10%14%3%4%9
3–4 JunYouGov/The Sun1,97430%40%10%14%2%4%10
3 JunYouGov/The Sun1,38731%38%10%16%2%3%7
30 May – 3 JunTNS BMRB Archived 29 November 2014 at the Wayback Machine1,19024%37%10%19%3%7%13
31 May – 2 JunLord Ashcroft1,00727%37%9%15%12%10
30–31 MayYouGov/Sunday Times1,87930%39%10%15%2%4%9
28–31 MayOpinium/The Observer1,94826%37%6%21%4%6%11
30 MaySurvation/Sun on Sunday1,00725%36%10%20%4%5%11
29–30 MayYouGov/The Sun1,92830%38%11%14%3%4%8
28–29 MayYouGov/The Sun1,91530%37%11%14%3%5%7
17–29 MayLord Ashcroft20,06227%38%9%18%3%5%11
27–28 MayYouGov/The Sun1,99529%39%10%15%3%5%10
24–26 MayComRes/Independent[permanent dead link]1,00030%34%10%17%2%7%4
24 MaySurvation/Mail on Sunday1,12124%35%10%22%4%5%11
23–24 MayYouGov/Sunday Times1,83930%40%10%14%2%4%10
22–24 MayComRes/Open Europe2,00326%37%9%20%3%5%11
22–23 MayYouGov/The Sun1,67129%42%11%13%2%4%13
21–22 MayYouGov/The Sun1,81029%39%11%16%1%4%10
20–21 MayYouGov/The Sun1,91427%38%10%16%4%5%11
19–20 MayYouGov/The Sun1,77031%39%10%14%2%4%8
17–18 MaySurvation/Mail on Sunday1,00024%35%11%22%0%8%11
16–17 MayYouGov/Sunday Times1,80929%40%9%14%3%5%11
15–16 MayComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent[permanent dead link]2,01729%35%8%19%4%5%6
15–16 MayYouGov/The Sun1,77431%39%9%15%2%4%8
14–16 MayOpinium/The Observer1,95527%37%7%20%4%5%10
14–16 MayTNS BMRB Archived 29 November 2014 at the Wayback Machine1,26428%37%7%18%4%6%9
14–15 MayYouGov/The Sun1,88630%40%10%14%2%5%10
13–14 MayYouGov/The Sun1,90030%40%10%15%2%3%10
12–13 MayYouGov/The Sun1,74831%38%10%14%2%5%7
11–13 MayIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,00931%34%10%13%5%8%3
10–12 MayICM/The Guardian1,00128%34%11%18%2%7%6
9–10 MayYouGov/Sunday Times1,94530%39%9%16%3%3%9
8–9 MayYouGov/The Sun1,87630%39%10%14%2%4%9
7–8 MayYouGov/The Sun1,93127%38%11%17%2%5%11
6–7 MayYouGov/The Sun2,00029%39%9%16%2%5%10
2–3 MayYouGov/Sunday Times1,95930%40%11%12%2%5%10
2 MayLocal elections in England and Wales; South Shields by-election (Lab hold)
1–2 MayYouGov/The Sun1,85132%43%9%10%1%5%11
30 Apr – 2 MayOpinium/The Observer1,95128%35%9%17%4%7%7
30 Apr – 1 MayYouGov/The Sun1,78433%39%10%13%2%3%6
29–30 AprYouGov/The Sun1,89130%39%11%14%2%4%9
28–29 AprYouGov/The Sun1,63230%39%11%14%3%4%9
26–28 AprComRes/Independent[permanent dead link]1,00132%38%9%13%4%4%6
26–28 AprSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,00129%36%12%16%3%5%7
25–26 AprYouGov/Sunday Times1,89831%40%11%11%3%5%9
24–25 AprYouGov/The Sun1,83632%40%11%12%2%3%8
23–24 AprYouGov/The Sun1,99731%39%10%11%3%5%8
22–23 AprYouGov/The Sun1,93433%40%10%12%3%3%7
21–22 AprYouGov/The Sun1,72232%39%11%13%2%4%7
18–19 AprYouGov/Sunday Times1,90332%40%11%10%2%5%8
17–18 AprYouGov/The Sun1,91233%40%10%11%2%5%7
16–18 AprOpinium/The Observer1,96929%35%8%17%4%7%6
16–17 AprYouGov/The Sun1,93730%41%10%12%2%5%11
15–16 AprYouGov/The Sun1,95233%40%10%11%2%4%7
13–15 AprIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,01029%38%10%15%4%4%9
14–15 AprYouGov/The Sun1,60931%39%12%12%2%4%8
12–14 AprICM/The Guardian1,00532%38%15%9%2%5%6
12–13 AprAngus Reid Public Opinion2,00427%39%8%16%3%7%12
11–12 AprYouGov/Sunday Times1,98231%42%12%11%2%3%11
10–11 AprComRes/Independent/Sunday Mirror Archived 11 December 2024 at the Wayback Machine2,01230%38%8%15%3%6%8
10–11 AprYouGov/The Sun1,97632%42%9%11%2%4%10
9–10 AprYouGov/The Sun2,03528%42%12%11%2%5%14
8–9 AprYouGov/The Sun1,89333%41%10%10%2%4%8
7–8 AprYouGov/The Sun1,76530%40%12%12%2%4%10
4–8 AprTNS BMRB Archived 29 November 2014 at the Wayback Machine1,18425%40%10%14%4%7%15
4–5 AprYouGov/Sunday Times1,99130%40%11%13%2%4%10
3–4 AprYouGov/The Sun2,01330%42%11%12%2%4%12
2–4 AprOpinium/The Observer1,94828%38%8%17%3%6%10
2–3 AprYouGov/The Sun1,99433%41%9%11%2%4%8
1–2 AprYouGov/The Sun1,75730%43%11%10%3%3%13
27–28 MarYouGov/The Sun1,91829%42%11%13%2%3%13
26–27 MarYouGov/The Sun1,86730%40%12%13%2%3%10
25–26 MarYouGov/The Sun2,04730%39%13%12%2%3%9
24–25 MarYouGov/The Sun1,65530%41%13%11%2%4%11
21–25 MarTNS BMRB Archived 29 November 2014 at the Wayback Machine1,20427%37%10%17%3%7%10
22–24 MarComRes/Independent[permanent dead link]1,00328%38%12%14%3%5%10
21–22 MarYouGov/Sunday Times1,93730%41%12%12%2%3%11
20–21 MarYouGov/The Sun1,92532%41%11%10%2%4%9
19–21 MarOpinium/The Observer1,95828%38%9%16%2%7%10
19–20 MarYouGov/The Sun1,94230%41%11%12%1%5%11
18–19 MarYouGov/The Sun1,92031%41%11%11%2%4%10
17–18 MarYouGov/The Sun1,77932%40%11%10%2%4%8
14–18 MarTNS BMRB Archived 29 November 2014 at the Wayback Machine1,20526%39%13%13%2%6%13
14–15 MarYouGov/Sunday Times1,91829%41%12%12%2%4%12
13–14 MarComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent[permanent dead link]2,01528%37%9%17%4%5%9
13–14 MarYouGov/The Sun1,96230%42%11%11%2%5%12
12–13 MarYouGov/The Sun1,87131%40%11%12%3%4%9
11–12 MarYouGov/The Sun1,96929%43%11%12%1%4%14
10–11 MarYouGov/The Sun1,68432%40%11%11%1%5%8
9–11 MarIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,00927%40%11%13%4%5%13
7–11 MarTNS BMRB Archived 29 November 2014 at the Wayback Machine1,19125%38%11%15%3%7%13
8–10 MarICM/The Guardian1,00231%39%15%7%2%6%8
7–8 MarYouGov/Sunday Times1,52531%41%12%11%1%4%10
6–7 MarYouGov/The Sun1,86532%41%11%11%2%4%9
5–7 MarOpinium/The Observer1,95027%39%8%17%3%6%12
5–6 MarYouGov/The Sun1,96431%41%11%12%2%4%10
4–5 MarYouGov/The Sun1,90629%42%11%12%2%4%13
3–4 MarYouGov/The Sun1,72731%40%12%12%1%5%9
28 Feb – 4 MarTNS BMRB Archived 29 November 2014 at the Wayback Machine1,19429%38%11%14%3%6%9
28 Feb – 1 MarYouGov/Sunday Times1,89731%42%10%11%2%3%11
28 FebEastleigh by-election (LD hold)
27–28 FebYouGov/The Sun1,76129%42%12%11%2%4%13
26–27 FebYouGov/The Sun1,96632%43%11%8%1%5%11
25–26 FebYouGov/The Sun1,92532%42%12%9%1%5%10
24–25 FebYouGov/The Sun1,70432%44%10%8%2%4%12
22–24 FebYouGov/The Sunday Times1,96432%43%11%9%2%3%11
22–24 FebComRes/Independent1,00531%43%8%9%4%5%12
20–21 FebYouGov/The Sun1,92031%45%11%9%2%2%14
19–21 FebOpinium/The Observer1,95629%41%8%13%2%7%12
19–20 FebYouGov/The Sun1,96833%43%9%10%2%3%10
18–19 FebYouGov/The Sun1,85529%44%11%11%1%4%15
17–18 FebYouGov/The Sun1,71332%41%12%8%2%4%9
14–18 FebTNS BMRB Archived 29 November 2014 at the Wayback Machine1,21129%38%11%12%3%7%9
14–15 FebYouGov/Sunday Times1,87132%43%12%9%1%3%11
13–14 FebComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent[permanent dead link]2,00231%36%8%14%4%6%5
13–14 FebYouGov/The Sun1,89231%42%11%10%2%3%11
12–13 FebYouGov/The Sun1,94632%42%9%9%3%4%10
11–12 FebYouGov/The Sun1,90232%43%10%9%2%4%11
10–11 FebYouGov/The Sun1,69131%42%11%9%2%5%11
9–11 FebIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,01830%42%7%9%4%8%12
7–11 FebTNS BMRB Archived 29 November 2014 at the Wayback Machine1,19731%41%10%10%3%5%10
8–10 FebICM/The Guardian1,00129%41%13%9%2%6%12
7–8 FebYouGov/Sunday Times1,93032%41%11%9%2%5%9
6–7 FebYouGov/The Sun1,91733%41%11%9%2%4%8
5–7 FebOpinium/The Observer1,95329%39%8%14%4%5%10
5–6 FebYouGov/The Sun1,95531%42%12%9%1%4%11
4–5 FebYouGov/The Sun1,96232%42%11%8%2%5%10
3–4 FebYouGov/The Sun1,71230%45%11%9%2%3%15
31 Jan – 4 FebTNS BMRB Archived 29 November 2014 at the Wayback Machine1,19928%41%10%11%3%7%13
31 Jan – 1 FebYouGov/Sunday Times2,03034%41%12%8%1%4%7
30–31 JanYouGov/The Sun1,91432%44%10%8%2%3%12
29–30 JanYouGov/The Sun1,93933%42%10%7%2%5%9
28–29 JanYouGov/The Sun1,97133%42%11%8%2%4%9
27–28 JanYouGov/The Sun1,72735%41%10%9%2%3%6
25–27 JanComRes/Independent[permanent dead link]1,00232%39%10%10%5%4%7
25 JanSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,00531%38%10%14%2%5%7
24–25 JanYouGov/Sunday Times1,94335%41%12%7%1%4%6
24–25 JanAngus Reid Public Opinion2,00430%39%10%12%3%6%9
23–25 JanComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent2,03533%39%11%10%2%5%6
23–24 JanYouGov/The Sun1,84333%43%10%9%2%3%10
22–24 JanOpinium/The Observer1,94928%41%8%14%3%6%13
22–24 JanTNS BMRB Archived 29 November 2014 at the Wayback Machine1,23731%41%8%12%3%6%10
22–23 JanYouGov/The Sun2,04531%43%11%10%2%
3%
BNP: 1%
12
21–22 JanYouGov/The Sun2,11931%41%12%10%2%
3%
BNP on 1%
10
20–21 JanYouGov/The Sun1,67533%42%10%10%2%
2%
BNP on 0%
9
18–20 JanICM/The Guardian1,00133%38%15%6%2%5%5
17–18 JanYouGov/Sunday Times1,91233%42%11%7%2%5%9
16–17 JanYouGov/The Sun1,88734%44%9%8%2%
3%
BNP on 1%
10
15–16 JanYouGov/The Sun1,88033%42%12%8%2%
3%
BNP on 0%
9
14–15 JanYouGov/The Sun2,00732%44%10%9%2%
3%
BNP on 0%
12
13–14 JanYouGov/The Sun1,71431%44%11%9%2%
3%
BNP on 0%
13
12–14 JanIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,01530%43%8%9%3%8%13
11–14 JanTNS BMRB Archived 29 November 2014 at the Wayback Machine1,19831%37%9%13%3%7%6
10–11 JanYouGov/Sunday Times1,99531%44%11%8%2%4%13
10–11 JanAngus Reid Public Opinion2,01527%42%10%11%3%6%15
8–11 JanOpinium/The Observer1,96431%41%7%12%2%9%10
9–10 JanYouGov/The Sun1,97131%42%11%10%2%
3%
BNP on 0%
11
8–9 JanYouGov/The Sun1,98033%43%10%10%2%
2%
BNP on 0%
10
7–8 JanYouGov/The Sun2,05032%44%10%9%2%
3%
BNP on 1%
12
6–7 JanYouGov/The Sun1,75032%41%11%9%2%
5%
BNP on 1%
9
4–7 JanTNS BMRB Archived 27 May 2014 at the Wayback Machine1,22129%39%10%12%3%7%10
5 JanSurvation/Mail on Sunday79029%38%11%16%3%4%9
3–4 JanYouGov/The Sun1,98832%43%10%9%2%
4%
BNP on 1%
11
2–3 JanYouGov/The Sun2,00532%43%10%9%2%
4%
BNP on 1%
11
1–2 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,760 31% 43% 11% 9% 2%
4%
BNP on 0%
12

2012

[edit]
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Grn Others Lead
21–27 Dec Opinium/The Observer 1,965 29% 39% 8% 15% 4% 5% 10
19–23 Dec ICM/The Guardian[dead link][dead link][dead link][dead link][permanent dead link][permanent dead link][permanent dead link][permanent dead link][permanent dead link][permanent dead link][9] 1,002 32% 40% 13% 7% 3% 5% 8
20–21 Dec YouGov/Sunday Times 1,661 33% 43% 10% 8% 1% 5% 10
19–20 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,923 33% 41% 11% 10% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
8
18–19 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,556 30% 43% 11% 10% 2%
4%
BNP on 0%
13
17–18 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,816 32% 43% 9% 10% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
11
16–17 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,633 31% 43% 9% 11% 2%
3%
BNP on 1%
12
13–17 Dec TNS BMRB Archived 6 December 2014 at the Wayback Machine 1,190 30% 43% 7% 12% 4% 4% 13
15–16 Dec ComRes/The Independent on Sunday; The Sunday Mirror 2,002 28% 39% 9% 14% 4% 6% 11
14–16 Dec Populus/The Times 1,512 28% 41% 10% 11% 3% 7% 13
13–14 Dec YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,794 33% 45% 9% 8% 2% 3% 12
12–13 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,736 33% 43% 9% 10% 2%
4%
BNP on 0%
10
11–13 Dec Opinium/The Observer 1,968 29% 39% 8% 14% 4% 6% 10
11–12 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,805 31% 44% 12% 9% 2%
3%
BNP on 0%
13
10–11 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,897 31% 43% 10% 9% 2%
4%
BNP on 0%
12
9–10 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,729 33% 42% 10% 8% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
9
8–10 Dec Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,023 35% 44% 9% 7% 3% 2% 9
6–10 Dec TNS BMRB Archived 6 December 2014 at the Wayback Machine 1,171 26% 41% 8% 16% 3% 6% 15
6–7 Dec YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,779 33% 42% 10% 9% 2% 4% 9
5–6 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,899 32% 42% 10% 9% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
10
4–5 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,784 32% 44% 9% 10% 2%
3%
BNP on 0%
12
4 Dec Angus Reid Public Opinion 2,005 28% 42% 10% 11% 3% 6% 14
3–4 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,743 30% 44% 11% 10% 1%
4%
BNP on 1%
14
2–3 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,584 31% 43% 11% 10% 2%
3%
BNP on 1%
12
29 Nov – 3 Dec TNS BMRB Archived 15 December 2014 at the Wayback Machine 1,172 28% 40% 10% 12% 2% 8% 12
30 Nov – 1 Dec YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,773 31% 44% 10% 10% 2% 4% 13
29 Nov Croydon North by-election, Middlesbrough by-election and Rotherham by-election (all Lab holds)
28–29 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,854 32% 42% 10% 10% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
10
27–29 Nov Opinium 1,949 29% 38% 9% 13% 3% 8% 9
27–28 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,842 32% 44% 11% 8% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
12
26–27 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,910 31% 43% 9% 11% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
12
25–26 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,624 34% 43% 9% 8% 1%
5%
BNP on 1%
9
22–26 Nov TNS BMRB Archived 6 December 2014 at the Wayback Machine 1,212 31% 41% 8% 10% 3% 7% 10
22–23 Nov YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,812 33% 44% 9% 8% 2% 4% 11
21–22 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,808 31% 43% 10% 9% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
12
20–21 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,691 33% 41% 9% 10% 3%
4%
BNP on 1%
8
19–20 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,627 33% 42% 10% 8% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
9
18–19 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,552 32% 42% 9% 9% 2%
6%
BNP on 2%
10
16–18 Nov ICM/The Guardian[dead link][dead link][dead link][dead link][permanent dead link][permanent dead link][permanent dead link][permanent dead link][permanent dead link][permanent dead link][9] 1,001 32% 40% 13% 7% 2% 6% 8
15–16 Nov YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,893 33% 44% 9% 8% 2% 4% 11
14–16 Nov TNS BMRB Archived 6 December 2014 at the Wayback Machine 1,156 31% 39% 11% 7% 4% 8% 8
15 Nov Cardiff South and Penarth by-election (Lab hold), Corby by-election (Lab gain from Con) and Manchester Central by-election (Lab hold)
14–15 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,746 33% 43% 8% 9% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
10
13–14 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,864 35% 42% 8% 7% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
7
13 Nov Opinium 1,957 32% 39% 8% 10% 3% 8% 7
12–13 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,828 34% 44% 9% 7% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
10
10–13 Nov Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,014 32% 46% 9% 3% 4% 6% 14
11–12 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,583 35% 39% 10% 8% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
4
8–12 Nov TNS BMRB Archived 6 December 2014 at the Wayback Machine 1,161 31% 41% 9% 9% 3% 7% 10
8–9 Nov YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,642 32% 44% 8% 8% 2% 5% 12
7–8 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,859 33% 44% 9% 7% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
11
6–7 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,873 34% 45% 8% 6% 3%
4%
BNP on 1%
11
5–6 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,816 35% 42% 9% 7% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
7
4–5 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,608 35% 44% 8% 7% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
9
1–5 Nov TNS BMRB Archived 27 April 2019 at the Wayback Machine 1,194 31% 42% 9% 8% 3% 7% 11
1–2 Nov YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,851 35% 42% 9% 7% 2% 5% 7
31 Oct – 1 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,743 33% 44% 9% 7% 3%
4%
BNP on 1%
11
31 Oct – 1 Nov Opinium 1,966 30% 41% 9% 10% 3% 7% 11
30–31 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,824 33% 44% 9% 8% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
11
29–30 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,936 32% 44% 9% 8% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
12
28–29 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,681 33% 43% 9% 8% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
10
25–29 Oct TNS BMRB Archived 16 December 2014 at the Wayback Machine 1,164 31% 42% 11% 8% 2% 6% 11
25–26 Oct YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,858 35% 42% 9% 7% 3% 3% 7
24–25 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,785 33% 44% 10% 6% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
11
23–24 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,818 33% 43% 9% 8% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
10
20–24 Oct Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,005 33% 43% 9% 6% 3% 6% 10
22–23 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,637 34% 42% 9% 8% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
8
21–22 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,666 32% 45% 8% 8% 3%
4%
BNP on 1%
13
19–22 Oct ICM/The Guardian[dead link][dead link][dead link][dead link][permanent dead link][permanent dead link][permanent dead link][permanent dead link][permanent dead link][permanent dead link][9] 1,000 32% 43% 11% 5% 2% 7% 11
18–22 Oct TNS BMRB Archived 16 December 2014 at the Wayback Machine 1,154 30% 44% 8% 7% 3% 8% 14
18–19 Oct YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,734 32% 43% 9% 9% 2% 5% 11
17–18 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,830 34% 42% 10% 9% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
8
16–18 Oct Opinium 1951 31% 40% 9% 10% 4% 6% 9
16–17 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,749 33% 42% 9% 7% 3%
6%
BNP on 1%
9
15–16 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,766 34% 43% 9% 7% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
9
14–15 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,704 34% 43% 9% 7% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
9
11–12 Oct Angus Reid Public Opinion 2,009 31% 43% 8% 8% 3% 7% 12
11–15 Oct TNS BMRB[permanent dead link] 1,196 29% 42% 7% 10% 4% 8% 13
11–12 Oct YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,902 33% 43% 10% 6% 2% 5% 10
10–11 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,761 35% 42% 8% 7% 2%
6%
BNP on 2%
7
9–10 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,912 34% 41% 8% 10% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
7
8–9 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,899 33% 45% 9% 6% 3%
5%
BNP on 2%
12
7–8 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,697 34% 44% 8% 7% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
10
4–5 Oct YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,782 31% 45% 8% 8% 3% 4% 14
3–4 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,745 32% 43% 10% 8% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
11
2–4 Oct Opinium 1,965 30% 41% 9% 11% 4% 5% 11
2–3 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,641 31% 45% 10% 7% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
14
1–2 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,726 34% 42% 9% 8% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
8
30 Sep – 1 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,710 34% 43% 9% 7% 7 9
27–28 Sep YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,671 35% 40% 10% 7% 3% 6% 5
26–27 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,891 31% 43% 11% 8% 4%
4%
BNP on 1%
12
25–26 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,760 32% 41% 9% 9% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
9
25 Sep Opinium 1,969 29% 39% 10% 10% 4% 8% 10
24–25 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,764 31% 44% 9% 9% 3%
4%
BNP on 1%
13
23–24 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,739 32% 43% 9% 7% 3%
6%
BNP on 1%
11
20–21 Sep YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,608 34% 43% 8% 8% 2% 5% 9
19–21 Sep TNS BMRB Archived 14 December 2014 at the Wayback Machine 1,140 28% 44% 8% 7% 5% 8% 16
18–21 Sep Opinium 1,964 30% 42% 8% 10% 4% 6% 12
19–20 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,906 35% 41% 9% 7% 3%
5%
BNP on 2%
6
18–19 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,710 33% 45% 10% 7% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
12
17–18 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,744 34% 43% 8% 8% 3%
4%
BNP on 1%
9
16–17 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,731 33% 45% 10% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
12
15–17 Sep Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,006 30% 41% 13% 4% 8% 4% 11
13–14 Sep YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,671 34% 44% 9% 7% 3% 4% 10
12–13 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,594 34% 43% 8% 7% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
9
11–12 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,703 33% 42% 11% 7% 1%
6%
BNP on 1%
9
10–12 Sep Opinium 1,961 32% 40% 10% 9% 3% 6% 8
10–11 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,682 31% 44% 9% 8% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
13
9–10 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,871 31% 42% 10% 8% 2%
7%
BNP on 2%
11
6–7 Sep YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,860 33% 43% 10% 7% 2% 5% 10
5–6 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,311 33% 45% 8% 6% 3%
4%
BNP on 1%
12
4–5 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,474 33% 45% 8% 7% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
12
3–4 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,698 34% 40% 10% 7% 3%
6%
BNP on 1%
6
2–3 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,716 33% 44% 8% 7% 2%
6%
BNP on 2%
11
30–31 Aug Opinium 1,947 31% 42% 8% 9% 3% 7% 11
30–31 Aug YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,739 35% 41% 9% 7% 2% 5% 6
29–30 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,653 33% 42% 10% 8% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
9
28–29 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,763 32% 44% 9% 6% 3%
7%
BNP on 1%
12
27–28 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,695 32% 44% 10% 8% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
12
24–26 Aug ICM/The Guardian[dead link][dead link][dead link][dead link][permanent dead link][permanent dead link][permanent dead link][permanent dead link][permanent dead link][permanent dead link][9] 1,006 34% 39% 15% 4% 2% 7% 5
22–23 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,684 32% 44% 10% 7% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
12
21–22 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,674 33% 42% 10% 6% 2%
6%
BNP on 2%
9
20–21 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,743 34% 44% 8% 8% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
10
19–20 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,725 34% 44% 8% 7% 3%
4%
BNP on 1%
10
16–17 Aug YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,687 32% 43% 10% 7% 2% 6% 11
15–16 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,720 35% 44% 8% 6% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
9
14–15 Aug Angus Reid Public Opinion 2,012 30% 41% 11% 9% 3% 6% 11
14–15 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,711 34% 43% 10% 6% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
9
13–14 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,758 34% 44% 10% 7% 1%
4%
BNP on 1%
10
12–13 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,742 34% 42% 9% 6% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
8
11–13 Aug Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,007 32% 42% 11% 4% 4% 7% 10
9–10 Aug YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,704 34% 42% 8% 8% 2% 5% 8
8–9 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,751 33% 42% 9% 9% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
9
7–9 Aug Opinium 1,960 31% 40% 10% 10% 3% 6% 9
7–8 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,715 33% 42% 11% 6% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
9
6–7 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,733 33% 44% 9% 8% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
11
5–6 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,738 34% 44% 10% 6% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
10
2–3 Aug YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,787 32% 44% 10% 8% 2% 4% 12
1–2 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,654 33% 44% 8% 9% 2%
3%
BNP on 0%
11
31 Jul – 1 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,744 32% 43% 10% 8% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
11
30–31 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,704 34% 42% 10% 6% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
8
29–30 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,736 33% 44% 9% 7% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
11
26–27 Jul YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,751 33% 42% 9% 8% 3% 5% 9
25–26 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,702 33% 42% 9% 7% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
9
24–25 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,766 33% 44% 9% 7% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
11
23–24 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,745 33% 44% 9% 7% 3%
4%
BNP on 1%
11
22–23 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,730 33% 43% 9% 8% 1%
6%
BNP on 1%
10
19–20 Jul YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,617 34% 43% 11% 7% 3% 3% 9
18–19 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,658 34% 42% 9% 7% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
8
17–18 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,774 33% 43% 8% 7% 2%
7%
BNP on 1%
10
16–17 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,690 34% 43% 8% 7% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
9
15–16 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,724 33% 44% 9% 8% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
11
14–16 Jul Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,006 31% 44% 12% 5% 3% 5% 13
13–16 Jul Opinium 1,951 32% 41% 9% 8% 4% 6% 9
12–13 Jul YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,752 34% 43% 9% 7% 3% 5% 9
11–12 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,759 34% 42% 9% 7% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
8
10–11 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,696 35% 42% 9% 8% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
7
9–10 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,697 33% 43% 11% 6% 3%
4%
BNP on 1%
10
8–9 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,721 35% 44% 7% 6% 3%
5%
BNP on 0%
9
5–6 Jul YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,712 32% 43% 8% 8% 3% 5% 11
4–5 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,762 35% 43% 8% 8% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
8
3–5 Jul Opinium 1,956 30% 40% 9% 9% 4% 8% 10
3–4 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,761 33% 44% 8% 7% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
11
2–3 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,730 35% 42% 10% 7% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
7
1–2 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,748 34% 44% 8% 8% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
10
28–29 Jun YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,760 34% 43% 9% 6% 2% 5% 9
27–28 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,764 32% 43% 10% 7% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
11
26–28 Jun Opinium 1,959 31% 42% 8% 9% 4% 6% 11
26–27 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,751 31% 45% 9% 7% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
14
25–26 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,614 34% 42% 11% 7% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
8
24–25 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,697 32% 43% 11% 7% 1%
5%
BNP on 1%
11
22–24 Jun ICM/The Guardian[9] 1,002 34% 39% 14% 3% 3% 7% 5
21–22 Jun YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,734 34% 43% 9% 8% 2% 5% 9
20–21 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,642 33% 43% 8% 8% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
10
19–20 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,752 34% 41% 10% 8% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
7
18–19 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,727 34% 44% 7% 6% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
10
17–18 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,716 33% 44% 7% 8% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
11
15–17 Jun Populus/The Times[10] 1,503 33% 41% 9% 5% 5% 7% 8
14–15 Jun YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,761 32% 44% 9% 8% 3% 5% 12
13–15 Jun ComRes/Independent on Sunday; Sunday Mirror[permanent dead link] 2,014 32% 42% 9% 8% 3% 6% 10
13–14 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,711 31% 43% 9% 8% 3%
6%
BNP on 2%
12
12–13 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,675 31% 43% 9% 9% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
12
11–12 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,699 33% 43% 8% 8% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
10
10–11 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,763 31% 45% 9% 9% 3%
6%
BNP on 2%
14
9–11 Jun Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,016 31% 40% 10% 6% 5% 8% 9
8–11 Jun Opinium 1,962 31% 42% 9% 8% 4% 6% 11
7–8 Jun YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,667 34% 42% 7% 9% 3% 5% 8
6–7 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,827 34% 43% 8% 6% 3%
6%
BNP on 1%
9
5–6 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,766 34% 43% 8% 7% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
9
31 May – 1 Jun YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,546 32% 42% 8% 7% 4% 5% 10
30–31 May YouGov/The Sun 1,694 31% 45% 9% 8% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
14
29–30 May Angus Reid Public Opinion 2,005 29% 45% 9% 8% 3% 6% 16
29–30 May YouGov/The Sun 1,670 32% 44% 9% 7% 3%
6%
BNP on 1%
12
28–29 May YouGov/The Sun 1,670 32% 45% 8% 8% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
13
27–28 May YouGov/The Sun 1,743 33% 44% 8% 7% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
11
25–28 May ComRes/The Independent[permanent dead link] 1,001 34% 42% 11% 4% 3% 9% 8
24–25 May YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,640 31% 43% 8% 8% 3% 6% 12
23–24 May YouGov/The Sun 1,681 34% 42% 8% 7% 4%
5%
BNP on 1%
8
22–23 May YouGov/The Sun 1,682 32% 42% 9% 9% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
10
21–22 May YouGov/The Sun 1,727 32% 43% 8% 9% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
11
20–21 May YouGov/The Sun 1,705 32% 44% 7% 8% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
12
18–20 May Populus/The Times[10] 1,500 33% 41% 10% 5% 3% 10% 8
18–20 May ICM/The Guardian[9] 1,002 36% 41% 11% 4% 3% 6% 5
17–18 May YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,683 32% 43% 8% 9% 2% 6% 11
16–17 May ComRes/Independent on Sunday; Sunday Mirror[permanent dead link] 2,038 32% 41% 11% 7% 3% 6% 9
16–17 May YouGov/The Sun 1,757 31% 44% 7% 9% 3%
6%
BNP on 1%
13
15–17 May Opinium 1,957 30% 41% 9% 10% 3% 7% 11
15–16 May YouGov/The Sun 1,751 31% 45% 9% 8% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
14
14–15 May YouGov/The Sun 1,692 32% 43% 8% 9% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
11
13–14 May YouGov/The Sun 1,720 31% 45% 7% 8% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
14
12–14 May Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,006 33% 43% 9% 6% 3% 7% 10
10–11 May YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,663 31% 43% 10% 8% 2% 7% 12
9–10 May YouGov/The Sun 1,825 34% 44% 7% 7% 3%
5%
BNP on 0%
10
8–9 May YouGov/The Sun 1,708 31% 44% 9% 8% 3%
6%
BNP on 1%
13
7–8 May YouGov/The Sun 1,658 31% 44% 8% 8% 3%
6%
BNP on 1%
13
5–7 May TNS-BMRB Archived 10 February 2019 at the Wayback Machine 1,207 30% 43% 10% 4% 13% 13
3–4 May YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,798 31% 43% 9% 8% 3% 6% 12
3 May Local elections in England, Scotland and Wales
2–3 May YouGov/The Sun 1,745 32% 41% 9% 9% 4%
5%
BNP on 1%
9
1–2 May YouGov/The Sun 1,749 33% 43% 8% 8% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
10
30 Apr – 1 May YouGov/The Sun 1,744 32% 41% 9% 8% 4%
6%
BNP on 1%
9
29–30 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,763 35% 42% 8% 7% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
7
27–30 Apr Opinium 1,769 32% 39% 8% 10% 4% 7% 7
26–27 Apr YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,717 29% 40% 11% 10% 3% 7% 11
25–27 Apr ComRes/The Independent 2,048 34% 39% 10% 9% 2% 6% 5
25–26 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,717 31% 43% 9% 9% 2%
7%
BNP on 2%
12
24–25 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,817 32% 43% 9% 8% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
11
23–24 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,787 32% 43% 8% 8% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
11
22–23 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,651 32% 45% 8% 7% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
13
21–23 Apr Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,002 35% 38% 12% 4% 4% 7% 3
20–23 Apr Opinium 2,233 31% 38% 11% 8% 4% 8% 7
20–22 Apr ICM/The Guardian[9] 1,000 33% 41% 15% 3% 2% 7% 8
19–20 Apr YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,715 33% 41% 11% 8% 2% 5% 8
18–19 Apr ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror[permanent dead link] 2,048 34% 40% 11% 6% 3% 5% 6
18–19 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,722 32% 45% 8% 7% 3%
6%
BNP on 1%
13
17–18 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,745 32% 41% 10% 8% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
9
16–17 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,799 32% 41% 8% 9% 3%
7%
BNP on 1%
9
15–16 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,783 32% 43% 8% 9% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
11
13–16 Apr Opinium 1,957 32% 37% 9% 10% 4% 8% 5
13–15 Apr Populus/The Times[10] 1,003 33% 42% 11% 4% 3% 9% 9
12–13 Apr Angus Reid Public Opinion 2,010 29% 41% 11% 8% 3% 8% 12
12–13 Apr YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,650 33% 39% 10% 7% 2% 8% 6
11–12 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,686 35% 41% 9% 7% 3%
6%
BNP on 1%
6
11 Apr TNS-BMRB Archived 16 March 2015 at the Wayback Machine TBC 32% 42% 10% 9% 7% 10
10–11 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,727 35% 41% 8% 6% 3%
7%
BNP on 2%
6
9–10 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,661 36% 40% 9% 6% 2%
7%
BNP on 1%
4
4–5 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,744 33% 42% 8% 7% 3%
7%
BNP on 2%
9
3–4 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,742 32% 42% 9% 8% 3%
6%
BNP on 1%
10
2–3 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,744 34% 42% 8% 6% 2%
7%
BNP on 1%
8
1–2 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,732 33% 43% 8% 6% 3%
7%
BNP on 1%
10
30–31 Mar YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,567 33% 42% 8% 7% 3% 7% 9
29 Mar Bradford West by-election (Rsp gain from Lab)
28–29 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,701 34% 44% 8% 5% 2%
7%
BNP on 2%
10
27–28 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,807 34% 44% 10% 6% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
10
26–27 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,682 33% 43% 9% 7% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
10
25–26 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,734 35% 42% 9% 6% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
7
23–26 Mar ComRes/The Independent[permanent dead link] 1,010 33% 43% 11% 3% 10% 10
23–25 Mar Populus/The Times[10] 1,500 34% 38% 11% 4% 5% 8% 4
22–23 Mar YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,721 35% 42% 10% 6% 2% 6% 7
22–23 Mar ICM/Sunday Telegraph[9] 1,000 37% 38% 13% 4% 5% 4% 1
21–23 Mar Opinium 1,957 34% 39% 8% 9% 3% 7% 5
21–22 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,835 34% 42% 9% 6% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
8
20–21 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,757 36% 41% 10% 5% 2%
6%
BNP on 2%
5
19–20 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,748 35% 43% 9% 4% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
8
18–19 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,685 36% 42% 9% 5% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
6
17–19 Mar Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,014 35% 38% 12% 3% 5% 7% 3
16–18 Mar ICM/The Guardian[9] 1,000 39% 36% 15% 1% 2% 7% 3
15–16 Mar YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,727 38% 40% 9% 5% 3% 6% 2
14–15 Mar ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror[dead link][permanent dead link] 2,010 37% 40% 10% 6% 3% 4% 3
14–15 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,741 37% 42% 8% 5% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
5
13–14 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,738 38% 41% 9% 5% 3%
4%
BNP on 1%
3
12–13 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,747 36% 43% 9% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
7
11–12 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,801 36% 41% 9% 6% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
5
9–12 Mar Opinium 1,955 38% 36% 10% 7% 3% 6% 2
8–9 Mar YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,707 37% 42% 9% 5% 2% 5% 5
7–8 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,730 37% 42% 8% 4% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
5
6–7 Mar Angus Reid Public Opinion 2,018 32% 40% 10% 7% 2% 9% 8
6–7 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,723 38% 41% 9% 6% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
3
5–6 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,736 37% 41% 9% 6% 3%
4%
BNP on 1%
4
4–5 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,729 36% 41% 11% 5% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
5
2–5 Mar TNS-BMRB[permanent dead link] 1,198 35% 38% 11% 8% 8% 3
1–2 Mar YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,664 40% 39% 9% 5% 2% 5% 1
29 Feb – 1 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,787 39% 39% 8% 5% 3%
6%
BNP on 1%
Tie
28–29 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,778 38% 40% 9% 5% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
2
27–28 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,729 40% 39% 9% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
1
26–27 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,741 38% 40% 9% 6% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
2
25–27 Feb Ipsos MORI/Reuters 1,002 35% 41% 12% 2% 4% 6% 6
24–26 Feb ComRes/The Independent[dead link][permanent dead link] 1,001 37% 40% 13% 3% 3% 4% 3
23–24 Feb YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,697 38% 40% 10% 5% 2% 5% 2
22–23 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,690 39% 38% 10% 4% 3%
7%
BNP on 2%
1
21–23 Feb Opinium 1,959 35% 39% 10% 6% 5% 6% 4
21–22 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,731 38% 40% 8% 5% 3%
7%
BNP on 1%
2
20–21 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,715 37% 41% 9% 5% 2%
6%
BNP on 2%
4
19–20 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,764 39% 38% 10% 5% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
1
17–19 Feb ICM/The Guardian[dead link][dead link][dead link][dead link][permanent dead link][permanent dead link][permanent dead link][permanent dead link][permanent dead link][permanent dead link][9] 1,013 36% 37% 14% 3% 3% 7% 1
16–17 Feb YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,772 37% 41% 7% 6% 3% 6% 4
15–16 Feb ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror[dead link][permanent dead link] 2,014 39% 38% 10% 5% 3% 5% 1
15–16 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,738 39% 39% 9% 5% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
Tie
14–15 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,828 39% 40% 9% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
1
13–14 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,725 40% 39% 9% 5% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
1
12–13 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,772 38% 42% 9% 4% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
4
10–13 Feb Opinium 1,960 36% 36% 10% 7% 4% 7% Tie
9–10 Feb YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,753 38% 39% 9% 4% 4% 6% 1
8–9 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,644 38% 41% 9% 4% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
3
7–8 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,763 40% 38% 10% 4% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
2
6–7 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,651 37% 42% 9% 5% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
5
5–6 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,697 41% 40% 8% 5% 1%
5%
BNP on 1%
1
2–3 Feb YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,659 39% 40% 9% 5% 3% 4% 1
1–2 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,654 39% 41% 8% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
2
31 Jan – 1 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,701 38% 40% 8% 5% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
2
30–31 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,722 39% 40% 9% 4% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
1
29–30 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,977 40% 38% 10% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
2
27–30 Jan Opinium 1,958 38% 36% 8% 6% 4% 8% 2
27–29 Jan ComRes/The Independent[dead link][permanent dead link] 1,001 37% 38% 14% 3% 2% 6% 1
26–27 Jan YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,716 39% 40% 8% 5% 2% 5% 1
24–25 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,715 38% 40% 9% 6% 3%
4%
BNP on 1%
2
23–24 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,693 40% 38% 9% 5% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
2
22–23 Jan Angus Reid Public Opinion 2,009 35% 37% 11% 6% 3% 7% 2
22–23 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,766 39% 40% 8% 6% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
1
21–23 Jan Ipsos MORI/Reuters 1,007 38% 38% 12% 3% 4% 5% Tie
20–23 Jan TNS-BMRB[permanent dead link] 1,300 37% 40% 10% 2% 11% 3
20–22 Jan Populus/The Times[10] 1,503 37% 38% 13% 2% 2% 8% 1
20–22 Jan ICM/The Guardian[dead link][dead link][dead link][dead link][permanent dead link][permanent dead link][permanent dead link][permanent dead link][permanent dead link][permanent dead link][9] 1,003 40% 35% 16% 2% 2% 5% 5
19–20 Jan YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,711 41% 36% 9% 5% 3% 6% 5
18–19 Jan ComRes/Independent on Sunday[dead link][permanent dead link] 2,050 38% 38% 11% 5% 3% 4% Tie
18–19 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,752 41% 38% 8% 6% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
3
17–18 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,699 40% 39% 7% 5% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
1
15–17 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,707 39% 40% 8% 4% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
1
15–16 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,726 40% 40% 9% 5% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
Tie
13–15 Jan Opinium 1,983 37% 37% 9% 6% 4% 8% Tie
12–13 Jan YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,761 38% 40% 9% 5% 2% 7% 2
11–12 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,761 41% 40% 8% 4% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
1
10–11 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,709 40% 38% 10% 4% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
2
9–10 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,767 40% 40% 10% 4% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
Tie
8–9 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,727 39% 41% 10% 3% 2%
5%
BNP on 0%
2
5–6 Jan YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,715 38% 40% 10% 5% 2% 5% 2
4–5 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,766 39% 41% 11% 3% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
2
3–5 Jan Opinium 1,963 36% 37% 9% 7% 4% 7% 1
3–4 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,772 38% 42% 10% 5% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
4
2–3 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,762 39% 41% 9% 4% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
2

2011

[edit]
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Grn Others Lead
21–22 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,721 40% 40% 9% 4% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
Tie
20–21 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,767 40% 40% 10% 4% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
Tie
20–21 Dec ICM/The Guardian 1,003 37% 36% 15% 3% 2% 10% 1
19–20 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,759 39% 40% 10% 4% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
1
18–19 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,721 38% 42% 9% 3% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
4
16–19 Dec TNS-BMRB 1,231 35% 38% 11% 3% 13% 3
16–18 Dec Populus/The Times[10] 1,516 35% 39% 12% 2% 4% 10% 4
15–16 Dec YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,724 39% 42% 9% 4% 2% 5% 3
15 Dec Feltham and Heston by-election (Lab hold)
14–15 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,744 41% 40% 10% 4% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
1
14–15 Dec ICM/The Sunday Telegraph 1,008 40% 34% 14% 3% 2% 5% 6
13–14 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,751 40% 38% 10% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
2
12–13 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,704 41% 39% 10% 3% 2% 5% 2
11–12 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,724 39% 40% 10% 4% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
1
10–12 Dec Ipsos MORI/Reuters 530 41% 39% 11% 2% 2% 6% 2
9–11 Dec ComRes/The Independent 1,002 38% 38% 12% 2% 4% 6% Tie
8–9 Dec YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,698 38% 39% 11% 5% 2% 5% 1
6–7 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,757 35% 42% 9% 6% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
7
5–6 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,686 37% 41% 10% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
4
4–5 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,699 36% 42% 11% 4% 1%
6%
BNP on 2%
6
1–2 Dec YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,702 35% 43% 9% 6% 2% 5% 8
30 Nov – 1 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,748 36% 41% 11% 4% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
5
29–30 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,769 37% 42% 9% 6% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
5
29–30 Nov ICM/The Sunday Telegraph 1,005 38% 36% 14% 2% 2% 8% 2
28–29 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,742 38% 41% 9% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
3
27–28 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,723 37% 39% 9% 6% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
2
24–28 Nov TNS-BMRB Archived 15 December 2014 at the Wayback Machine 795 35% 38% 9% 5% 4% 9% 3
25–27 Nov ComRes/The Independent 1,001 37% 39% 10% 3% 3% 7% 2
24–25 Nov YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,696 34% 43% 11% 5% 2% 5% 9
23–24 Nov Angus Reid Public Opinion 2,006 33% 42% 8% 7% 3% 7% 9
23–24 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,718 35% 40% 9% 8% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
5
22–23 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,700 35% 40% 11% 6% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
5
21–22 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,714 35% 42% 9% 6% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
7
20–21 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,748 36% 40% 9% 7% 3%
6%
BNP on 1%
4
19–21 Nov Ipsos MORI/Reuters 1,006 34% 41% 12% 3% 4% 6% 7
18–21 Nov Opinium 1,963 36% 37% 9% 7% 4% 4% 1
18–20 Nov Populus/The Times[10] 672 33% 41% 13% 4% 3% 7% 8
18–20 Nov ICM/The Guardian[9] 1,005 36% 38% 14% 4% 4% 4% 2
17–18 Nov YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,700 36% 40% 9% 7% 2% 6% 4
16–17 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,741 34% 40% 11% 7% 2%
BNP on 1%
6
15–16 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,684 36% 41% 10% 6% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
5
14–15 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,682 36% 42% 7% 5% 3%
7%
BNP on 1%
6
13–14 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,780 37% 40% 9% 6% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
3
10–11 Nov YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,751 36% 41% 9% 5% 2% 6% 5
9–10 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,737 35% 42% 8% 7% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
7
8–9 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,796 36% 40% 10% 7% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
4
7–8 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,703 35% 40% 10% 6% 3%
6%
BNP on 1%
5
6–7 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,715 36% 41% 9% 6% 1%
6%
BNP on 1%
5
4–7 Nov Opinium 1,962 34% 38% 10% 6% 3% 8% 4
3–4 Nov YouGov/Sunday Times 1,561 35% 41% 9% 5% 2% 7% 6
2–3 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,678 36% 41% 8% 7% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
5
1–2 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,718 37% 41% 8% 6% 2% 5% 4
31 Oct – 1 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,673 35% 41% 9% 6% 2%
7%
BNP on 2%
6
30–31 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,702 39% 41% 8% 5% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
2
27–31 Oct TNS-BMRB 1,261 36% 37% 11% 4% 12% 1
28–30 Oct ComRes/The Independent 1,001 34% 38% 14% 4% 5% 6% 4
27–28 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times 1,676 36% 39% 8% 7% 2% 6% 3
26–27 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,672 35% 42% 9% 6% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
7
25–26 Oct YouGov/The Sun[permanent dead link] 1,672 35% 41% 10% 6% 3% 6% 6
24–25 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,717 36% 40% 9% 7% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
4
23–24 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,764 36% 40% 9% 6% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
4
22–24 Oct Ipsos MORI/Reuters 1,002 34% 38% 12% 4% 4% 7% 4
21–24 Oct Opinium 1,957 33% 39% 9% 8% 4% 7% 6
21–23 Oct Angus Reid Public Opinion[permanent dead link] 2,003 33% 41% 10% 7% 2% 8% 8
21–23 Oct ICM/The Guardian[9] 1,003 35% 39% 13% 3% 3% 7% 4
20–21 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times 1,727 36% 38% 10% 6% 3% 6% 2
19–20 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,675 36% 41% 10% 6% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
5
18–19 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,739 35% 41% 9% 6% 3%
6%
BNP on 1%
6
17–18 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,638 38% 42% 9% 4% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
4
16–17 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,629 37% 40% 9% 6% 2%
7%
BNP on 2%
3
14–16 Oct Populus/The Times[10] 1,511 33% 41% 8% 5% 3% 12% 8
13–14 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times 2,464 39% 42% 8% 5% 3% 4% 3
12–13 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,495 37% 42% 9% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
5
12–13 Oct ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror 2,004 37% 39% 10% 6% 3% 6% 2
11–12 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,640 36% 42% 9% 6% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
6
10–11 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,526 37% 41% 8% 6% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
4
9–10 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,740 36% 40% 11% 5% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
4
7–10 Oct Opinium 1,962 36% 37% 8% 7% 5% 8% 1
7–9 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times 2,448 38% 42% 9% 5% 2% 4% 4
5–6 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,723 37% 41% 10% 5% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
4
4–5 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,644 37% 41% 9% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
4
3–4 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,525 38% 42% 9% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
4
2–3 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,747 37% 42% 9% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
5
29–30 Sep YouGov/Sunday Times 2,333 36% 42% 10% 4% 3% 5% 6
27–30 Sep Opinium 1,947 33% 40% 9% 6% 4% 8% 7
28–29 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,547 38% 41% 9% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
3
27–28 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,627 37% 43% 9% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
6
26–27 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,754 37% 43% 8% 5% 2%
6%
BNP on 2%
6
25–26 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,500 39% 41% 8% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
2
23–25 Sep ComRes/The Independent[permanent dead link] 1,000 37% 36% 12% 4% 3% 8% 1
22–23 Sep YouGov/Sunday Times 2,636 36% 42% 11% 4% 2% 5% 6
21–22 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,456 36% 42% 10% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
6
20–21 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,601 35% 41% 9% 5% 3%
6%
BNP on 1%
6
20–21 Sep ICM/The Guardian 1,007 37% 38% 14% 3% 2% 7% 1
19–20 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,468 36% 41% 10% 5% 2%
6%
BNP on 2%
5
18–19 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,611 36% 42% 10% 4% 2%
6%
BNP on 2%
6
15–16 Sep YouGov/Sunday Times 2,474 36% 42% 9% 5% 2% 5% 6
14–15 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,731 38% 41% 9% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
3
13–15 Sep Opinium 1,960 33% 36% 9% 8% 4% 9% 3
13–14 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,619 37% 41% 10% 6% 2%
6%
BNP on 2%
4
12–13 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,429 35% 43% 10% 5% 3%
4%
BNP on 1%
8
11–12 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,655 37% 41% 10% 4% 2%
6%
BNP on 2%
4
10–12 Sep Ipsos MORI/Reuters 1,008 35% 37% 13% 3% 3% 9% 2
9–11 Sep Populus/The Times[10] 757 34% 38% 12% 5% 3% 9% 4
8–9 Sep YouGov/Sunday Times 2,724 38% 41% 9% 5% 2% 6% 3
7–8 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,627 36% 42% 10% 5% 3%
6%
BNP on 2%
6
6–7 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,554 36% 42% 9% 6% 3%
6%
BNP on 2%
6
5–6 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,552 38% 40% 9% 4% 3%
6%
BNP on 2%
2
4–5 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,796 37% 43% 9% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
6
2–5 Sep Opinium 1,952 36% 37% 9% 7% 4% 7% 1
2–4 Sep ComRes/The Independent Archived 30 June 2025 at the Wayback Machine 1,000 37% 38% 11% 2% 6% 6% 1
1–2 Sep Angus Reid Public Opinion[permanent dead link] 2,005 33% 39% 11% 7% 2% 8% 6
1–2 Sep YouGov/The Sunday Times 2,696 38% 39% 10% 5% 3% 4% 1
31 Aug – 1 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,588 36% 42% 10% 5% 3%
4%
BNP on 1%
6
30–31 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,783 37% 42% 10% 4% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
5
29–30 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,449 39% 40% 10% 4% 2%
6%
BNP on 2%
1
25–26 Aug YouGov/The Sunday Times 2,657 38% 41% 9% 5% 2% 6% 3
24–25 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,530 37% 42% 9% 4% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
5
23–24 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,709 36% 43% 9% 4% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
7
22–23 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,585 37% 44% 9% 4% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
7
21–22 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,619 35% 44% 9% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
9
20–22 Aug Ipsos MORI/Reuters 476 34% 40% 15% 3% 5% 4% 6
19–21 Aug ICM/The Guardian 1,004 37% 36% 17% 2% 1% 7% 1
18–19 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times 2,464 36% 40% 11% 5% 2% 6% 4
16–19 Aug Opinium 1,978 37% 38% 9% 6% 4% 7% 1
17–18 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,608 36% 44% 9% 5% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
8
17–18 Aug ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror[permanent dead link] 2,028 38% 40% 11% 5% 2% 6% 2
16–17 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,783 35% 44% 9% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
9
15–16 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,665 36% 42% 10% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
6
14–15 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,847 35% 43% 9% 5% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
8
11–12 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times 2,656 36% 43% 9% 5% 1% 5% 7
10–11 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,075 35% 43% 9% 5% 2%
6%
BNP on 2%
8
9–11 Aug Opinium 1,963 34% 38% 9% 8% 4% 7% 4
9–10 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,700 36% 43% 9% 5% 2%
6%
BNP on 2%
7
8–9 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,864 36% 43% 9% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
7
7–8 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,743 36% 44% 9% 4% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
8
4–5 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times 2,425 35% 44% 9% 4% 2% 5% 9
3–4 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,748 36% 42% 10% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
6
2–3 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,657 35% 43% 10% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
8
1–2 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,776 36% 45% 8% 4% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
9
31 Jul – 1 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,820 35% 42% 11% 5% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
7
28–29 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times 2,529 35% 44% 10% 4% 2% 6% 9
27–28 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,699 36% 42% 11% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
6
26–27 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,733 36% 43% 8% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
7
25–26 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,615 35% 44% 9% 5% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
9
24–25 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,783 37% 41% 10% 4% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
4
22–24 Jul ComRes/The Independent[permanent dead link] 1,002 34% 40% 13% 4% 4% 6% 6
21–22 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times 2,749 35% 43% 10% 5% 2% 4% 8
20–21 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,684 36% 44% 9% 5% 2%
3%
BNP on 1%
8
19–20 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,853 35% 43% 11% 4% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
8
19–20 Jul Angus Reid Public Opinion 2,002 34% 41% 10% 6% 3% 7% 7
18–19 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,696 36% 43% 8% 6% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
7
17–18 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,810 37% 42% 9% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
5
16–18 Jul Ipsos MORI/Reuters 1,001 32% 39% 11% 4% 5% 9% 7
15–17 Jul ICM/The Guardian[9] 1,003 37% 36% 16% 3% 2% 6% 1
15–17 Jul Populus/The Times[10] 800 34% 39% 11% 3% 3% 10% 5
14–15 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times 2,046 36% 42% 11% 4% 2% 5% 6
13–14 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,577 36% 43% 9% 4% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
7
13–14 Jul ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror[permanent dead link] 2,009 36% 40% 10% 5% 3% 6% 4
12–13 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,578 35% 43% 10% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
8
11–12 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,655 37% 42% 9% 4% 2%
6%
BNP on 1%
5
10–11 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,571 35% 43% 10% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
8
7–8 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times 2,741 35% 44% 8% 5% 2% 5% 9
6–7 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,759 37% 43% 8% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
6
5–6 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,839 35% 43% 9% 5% 3%
6%
BNP on 2%
8
4–5 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,738 35% 43% 10% 5% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
8
3–4 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,864 37% 43% 9% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
6
30 Jun – 1 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times 2,785 36% 42% 9% 5% 2% 6% 6
30 Jun Inverclyde by-election (Lab hold)
29–30 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,707 37% 42% 8% 5% 3%
6%
BNP on 2%
5
28–29 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,699 37% 41% 10% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
4
27–28 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,573 36% 43% 8% 6% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
7
26–27 Jun YouGov/The Sun 3,007 37% 42% 10% 4% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
5
24–26 Jun ComRes/The Independent[permanent dead link] 641 36% 40% 11% 3% 4% 6% 4
23–24 Jun YouGov/Sunday Times 2,767 36% 43% 9% 4% 2% 6% 7
22–23 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,834 37% 42% 9% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
5
21–22 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,774 36% 42% 9% 5% 3%
6%
BNP on 2%
6
20–21 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,732 37% 42% 8% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
5
19–20 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,847 37% 43% 9% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
6
17–19 Jun ICM/The Guardian[9] 1,000 37% 39% 12% 2% 3% 7% 2
16–17 Jun YouGov/Sunday Times 2,451 37% 42% 10% 5% 2% 5% 5
15–16 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,691 37% 43% 9% 4% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
6
15–16 Jun ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror[permanent dead link] 1,457 37% 37% 11% 4% 3% 8% Tie
14–15 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,773 36% 42% 9% 5% 3%
5%
BNP on 1%
6
13–14 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,706 37% 42% 10% 4% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
5
12–13 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,928 37% 42% 10% 4% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
5
10–12 Jun Populus/The Times[10] 1,508 39% 40% 9% 3% 3% 6% 1
9–10 Jun YouGov/Sunday Times 2,728 37% 42% 9% 5% 2% 5% 5
8–9 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,861 37% 43% 8% 4% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
6
7–8 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,693 37% 42% 9% 4% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
5
6–7 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,704 36% 44% 8% 4% 2%
6%
BNP on 2%
8
5–6 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,667 37% 43% 9% 4% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
6
2–3 Jun YouGov/Sunday Times 2,579 37% 42% 9% 4% 2% 6% 5
1–2 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,935 36% 42% 9% 5% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
6
31 May – 1 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,657 39% 41% 9% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
2
30–31 May YouGov/The Sun 2,845 37% 42% 9% 5% 2%
7%
BNP on 2%
5
27–29 May ComRes/The Independent[permanent dead link] 607 37% 37% 12% 4% 3% 7% Tie
26–27 May YouGov/Sunday Times 2,723 37% 43% 9% 5% 2% 5% 6
25–26 May YouGov/The Sun 2,756 37% 43% 8% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
6
24–25 May YouGov/The Sun 2,795 37% 41% 10% 4% 2%
6%
BNP on 2%
4
23–24 May YouGov/The Sun 2,442 38% 42% 9% 4% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
4
20–24 May Ipsos MORI/Reuters 1,008 35% 42% 10% 2% 6% 6% 7
22–23 May YouGov/The Sun 2,823 38% 42% 10% 4% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
4
19–20 May YouGov/Sunday Times 2,691 37% 42% 8% 4% 3% 5% 5
18–19 May YouGov/The Sun 2,256 38% 40% 10% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
2
17–18 May YouGov/The Sun 2,064 36% 42% 9% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
6
16–17 May YouGov/The Sun 2,515 39% 41% 9% 4% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
2
15–16 May YouGov/The Sun 2,601 38% 41% 10% 3% 2%
7%
BNP on 2%
3
12–13 May YouGov/The Sunday Times 2,286 36% 41% 9% 4% 3% 6% 5
11–12 May ComRes/Independent on Sunday & Sunday Mirror[permanent dead link] 1,460 38% 39% 11% 4% 3% 6% 1
9–10 May YouGov/The Sun 2,341 38% 40% 9% 6% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
2
8–9 May YouGov/The Sun 2,530 38% 42% 8% 4% 2%
7%
BNP on 2%
4
6–9 May Opinium 1,964 35% 38% 9% 7% 4% 8% 3
6–8 May Populus/The Times[10] 1,504 37% 39% 11% 2% 3% 9% 2
5–6 May YouGov/Sunday Times 2,056 36% 41% 10% 5% 2% 5% 5
5 May Local elections in England and Northern Ireland; National Assembly for Wales election; Scottish Parliament election; Alternative Vote referendum ("No" wins); Leicester South by-election (Lab hold)
4–5 May YouGov/The Sun 2,087 37% 39% 10% 4% 2%
6%
BNP on 2%
2
3–4 May YouGov/The Sun 5,725 36% 40% 11% 6% 2%
6%
BNP on 2%
4
2–3 May YouGov/The Sun 2,365 37% 42% 10% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
5
28 Apr – 1 May ComRes/Independent[permanent dead link] 606 34% 37% 15% 3% 5% 6% 3
27–28 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,070 36% 41% 12% 4% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
5
26–27 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,666 36% 42% 10% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
6
25–26 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,617 36% 41% 10% 6% 2%
6%
BNP on 2%
5
20–21 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,629 36% 42% 10% 6% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
6
19–20 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,346 36% 43% 9% 4% 3%
4%
BNP on 1%
7
18–19 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,431 36% 43% 9% 4% 2%
6%
BNP on 2%
7
17–18 Apr YouGov/The Sun 3,637 36% 42% 9% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
6
15–17 Apr Ipsos MORI/Reuters 1,000 40% 40% 9% 3% 3% 5% Tie
14–15 Apr YouGov/Sunday Times 2,735 37% 41% 9% 5% 2% 5% 4
13–15 Apr ComRes/Independent on Sunday & Sunday Mirror[permanent dead link] 1,533 35% 39% 10% 6% 4% 4% 4
13–14 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,555 36% 42% 10% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
6
12–13 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,813 35% 44% 10% 4% 2%
6%
BNP on 2%
9
11–12 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,258 37% 42% 9% 5% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
5
10–11 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,649 36% 42% 10% 5% 2%
6%
BNP on 2%
6
8–11 Apr Angus Reid Public Opinion 2,023 31% 42% 11% 6% 3% 7% 11
8–10 Apr Populus/The Times[10] 1,509 36% 40% 11% 4% 3% 8% 4
7–8 Apr YouGov/Sunday Times 2,206 36% 43% 9% 4% 2% 6% 7
6–7 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,199 35% 44% 10% 4% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
9
5–6 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,034 36% 42% 10% 5% 2%
6%
BNP on 2%
6
4–5 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,530 37% 42% 9% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
5
3–4 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,484 37% 42% 9% 4% 3%
5%
BNP on 2%
5
31 Mar – 1 Apr YouGov/Sunday Times 2,226 36% 42% 11% 5% 2% 5% 6
30–31 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,175 35% 42% 10% 5% 2%
6%
BNP on 2%
7
29–30 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,202 35% 45% 9% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
10
28–29 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,198 36% 42% 10% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
6
27–28 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,391 36% 44% 9% 4% 1%
6%
BNP on 1%
8
25–27 Mar ComRes/The Independent[permanent dead link] 1,000 35% 41% 13% 4% 3% 4% 6
24–25 Mar YouGov/Sunday Times 2,214 38% 41% 11% 4% 2% 4% 3
23–24 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,456 37% 41% 11% 4% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
4
23–24 Mar ICM/The Guardian[9] 1,014 37% 36% 16% 2% 2% 7% 1
22–23 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,485 36% 42% 10% 5% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
6
21–22 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,026 35% 42% 9% 5% 2%
6%
BNP on 2%
7
18–21 Mar Angus Reid Public Opinion 2,023 32% 41% 10% 8% 10% 9
17–18 Mar YouGov/Sunday Times 2,682 37% 43% 9% 5% 2% 5% 6
16–17 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,295 35% 43% 10% 5% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
8
15–16 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,666 35% 43% 10% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
8
14–15 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,595 35% 45% 9% 5% 1%
4%
BNP on 2%
10
13–14 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,634 35% 44% 9% 5% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
9
11–13 Mar Ipsos MORI/Reuters 1,000 37% 41% 10% 3% 3% 6% 4
10–11 Mar YouGov/Sunday Times 2,067 33% 44% 10% 7% 2% 5% 11
9–10 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,195 34% 45% 9% 6% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
11
8–9 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,436 36% 42% 9% 6% 1%
5%
BNP on 2%
6
7–8 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,346 36% 44% 10% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
8
6–7 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,614 36% 42% 9% 6% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
6
4–6 Mar Populus/The Times[10] 1,511 35% 41% 11% 5% 4% 7% 6
3–4 Mar YouGov/Sunday Times 2,413 35% 43% 10% 4% 2% 5% 8
3–4 Mar Angus Reid Public Opinion 2,007 33% 41% 10% 6% 10% 8
3 Mar Barnsley Central by-election (Lab hold)
1–2 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,458 36% 41% 11% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
5
28 Feb – 1 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,126 34% 43% 11% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
9
27–28 Feb YouGov/The Sun 2,549 36% 43% 10% 3% 2%
6%
BNP on 2%
7
25–27 Feb ComRes/The Independent[permanent dead link] 1,007 35% 39% 12% 3% 5% 6% 4
24–25 Feb YouGov/Sunday Times 2,325 36% 44% 10% 3% 2% 5% 8
23–24 Feb YouGov/The Sun TBC 38% 42% 10% 10% 4
22–23 Feb YouGov/The Sun 2,487 36% 44% 11% 3% 2%
4%
BNP on 2%
8
21–22 Feb YouGov/The Sun 2,372 37% 43% 9% 4% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
6
20–21 Feb YouGov/The Sun[permanent dead link] 2,630 36% 42% 11% 11% 6
21–23 Feb ICM/The Guardian[9] 1,000 35% 38% 18% 2% 1% 6% 3
18–20 Feb Ipsos MORI/Reuters 1,002 33% 43% 13% 3% 3% 5% 10
17–18 Feb YouGov/Sunday Times 2,464 37% 41% 10% 3% 2% 6% 4
16–17 Feb YouGov/The Sun 2,643 36% 42% 10% 4% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
6
15–16 Feb YouGov/The Sun TBC 35% 45% 10% 10% 10
14–15 Feb YouGov/The Sun 2,502 37% 44% 10% 4% 2% 4% 7
13–14 Feb YouGov/The Sun 2,736 36% 44% 10% 4% 2%
4%
BNP on 2%
8
10–11 Feb YouGov/Sunday Times 2,419 35% 45% 9% 4% 2% 5% 10
9–10 Feb YouGov/The Sun 2,474 35% 44% 10% 4% 2%
6%
BNP on 2%
9
9–10 Feb ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror[permanent dead link] 2,009 36% 42% 11% 5% 2% 4% 6
8–10 Feb Angus Reid Public Opinion 2,019 34% 40% 11% 6% 9% 6
8–9 Feb YouGov/The Sun 2,339 36% 43% 10% 4% 1%
6%
BNP on 2%
7
7–8 Feb YouGov/The Sun 2,483 35% 43% 10% 5% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
8
6–7 Feb YouGov/The Sun 2,278 37% 43% 9% 4% 3%
3%
BNP on 1%
6
4–6 Feb Populus/The Times[10] 1,510 36% 39% 11% 3% 4% 7% 3
3–4 Feb YouGov/Sunday Times 2,283 36% 42% 10% 5% 3% 3% 6
2–3 Feb YouGov/The Sunday Times 2,051 37% 44% 9% 3% 2% 5% 7
1–2 Feb YouGov/The Sun 2,409 36% 44% 9% 4% 2%
4%
BNP on 2%
8
31 Jan – 1 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,922 39% 44% 8% 4% 1%
5%
BNP on 2%
5
30–31 Jan YouGov/The Sun 2,032 40% 42% 8% 4% 1%
6%
BNP on 2%
2
28–30 Jan ComRes/The Independent[permanent dead link] 1,002 34% 43% 10% 2% 4% 7% 9
27–28 Jan Angus Reid Public Opinion/Sunday Express 2,323 32% 43% 11% 4% 10% 11
27–28 Jan YouGov/Sunday Times 2,234 39% 43% 8% 4% 1% 5% 4
26–27 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,835 38% 44% 8% 4% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
6
25–26 Jan YouGov/The Sun 2,139 39% 41% 10% 5% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
2
25–26 Jan Angus Reid Public Opinion/PoliticalBetting.com 2,010 33% 41% 12% 6% 9% 8
24–25 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,816 37% 43% 10% 4% 2%
4%
BNP on 2%
6
23–24 Jan YouGov/The Sun 2,003 37% 42% 11% 4% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
5
21–24 Jan Ipsos MORI/Reuters 1,162 33% 43% 13% 4% 3% 4% 10
21–23 Jan ICM/The Guardian[9] 1,000 35% 39% 15% 2% 3% 5% 4
20–21 Jan YouGov/Sunday Times 1,699 39% 43% 9% 5% 2% 3% 4
19–20 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,860 36% 43% 10% 5% 2%
4%
BNP on 2%
7
18–19 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,993 37% 42% 9% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
5
17–18 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,884 39% 44% 8% 3% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 3%
Other on 1%
5
16–17 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,977 37% 42% 9% 5% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
5
13–14 Jan YouGov/The Sunday Times 1,865 37% 43% 9% 4% 3% 4% 6
13 Jan Oldham East and Saddleworth by-election (Lab hold)
12–13 Jan ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent on Sunday[permanent dead link] 2,006 36% 40% 10% 5% 3% 6% 4
12–13 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,884 41% 41% 8% 4% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
Tie
11–12 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,812 36% 43% 9% 5% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
7
10–11 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,857 40% 41% 7% 5% 2%
4%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 0%
1
8–10 Jan YouGov/Sunday Times 2,283 40% 43% 8% 4% 2% 3% 3
7–9 Jan ComRes/The Independent[permanent dead link] 1,000 34% 42% 12% 2% 5% 5% 8
6–7 Jan Angus Reid Public Opinion 2,010 35% 40% 12% 5% 2% 7% 5
6–7 Jan YouGov/Sunday Times 1,797 38% 41% 10% 4% 2% 4% 3
5–6 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,862 39% 43% 7% 4% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
4
4–5 Jan YouGov/The Sun TBC 40% 41% 10% 7% 1
3–4 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,876 40% 42% 8% 4% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
2

2010

[edit]
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Grn Others Lead
22–23 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,635 39% 41% 9% 5% 2%
5%
BNP on 3%
SNP/PC on 1%
Other on 1%
2
21–22 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,695 41% 42% 8% 3% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
1
20–21 Dec YouGov/The Sun 2,032 40% 42% 9% 4% 2%
3%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 1%
Other on 1%
2
19–20 Dec YouGov/The Sun 2,039 40% 43% 8% 3% 2%
3%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 1%
Other on 1%
3
17–20 Dec Angus Reid Public Opinion 2,003 35% 41% 9% 5% 3% 7% 6
16–19 Dec ICM/The Guardian[9] 736 37% 39% 13% 2% 2% 7% 2
17 Dec Opinium 37% 37% 12% 14% Tie
16–17 Dec YouGov/Sunday Times 1,966 39% 42% 9% 4% 2% 4% 3
15–16 Dec ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror[permanent dead link] 2,017 37% 39% 11% 5% 2% 6% 2
15–16 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,922 41% 41% 9% 5% 1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
Tie
14–15 Dec YouGov/The Sun 2,022 42% 40% 8% 3% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
2
13–14 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,810 39% 42% 9% 4% 1%
4%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 1%
Other on 1%
3
12–13 Dec YouGov/The Sun 2,092 41% 42% 9% 4% 2%
3%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 0%
1
10–12 Dec Ipsos MORI/Reuters 1,004 38% 39% 11% 4% 4% 6% 1
10 Dec Opinium 37% 36% 12% 15% 1
9–10 Dec YouGov/Sunday Times 1,937 40% 42% 9% 3% 1% 6% 2
8–9 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,982 41% 39% 11% 3% 2% 4% 2
8 Dec Opinium 38% 37% 11% 14% 1
7–8 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,966 41% 41% 8% 3% 2%
4%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 0%
Tie
6–7 Dec YouGov/The Sun 2,109 42% 39% 9% 4% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
3
5–6 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,991 42% 39% 10% 3% 1%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
3
2–3 Dec YouGov/Sunday Times 1,916 41% 39% 10% 5% 2% 3% 2
2 Dec Opinium 38% 34% 13% 15% 4
1–2 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,934 40% 40% 11% 3% 1%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
Tie
30 Nov – 1 Dec YouGov/The Sun 2,080 41% 38% 11% 3% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
3
29–30 Nov Angus Reid Public Opinion 2,004 35% 40% 13% 4% 8% 5
29–30 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,975 40% 40% 10% 4% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
Tie
28–29 Nov YouGov/The Sun 2,114 40% 40% 10% 4% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
Tie
26–29 Nov ComRes/The Independent[permanent dead link] 1,006 36% 40% 12% 2% 4% 6% 4
26 Nov Opinium 37% 35% 14% 14% 2
25–26 Nov YouGov/Sunday Times 1,711 40% 40% 9% 4% 2% 5% Tie
24–25 Nov YouGov/The Sun 2,024 42% 39% 10% 3% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
3
23–24 Nov YouGov/The Sun 2,053 40% 40% 9% 4% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
Tie
22–23 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,968 42% 40% 10% 3% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
2
21–22 Nov YouGov/The Sun 2,080 41% 38% 11% 4% 2%
4%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 0%
3
19–21 Nov ICM/The Guardian[9] 1,000 36% 38% 14% 3% 2% 7% 2
18–19 Nov YouGov/Sunday Times 1,967 40% 38% 11% 4% 2% 5% 2
17–19 Nov ComRes/Sunday Mirror/The Independent on Sunday[permanent dead link] 2,015 37% 38% 13% 4% 3% 5% 1
17–18 Nov YouGov/The Sun 2,007 40% 40% 11% 3% 1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 3%
Other on 0%
Tie
17 Nov Opinium 38% 34% 13% 15% 4
16–17 Nov YouGov/The Sun 2,082 40% 40% 11% 3% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
Tie
15–16 Nov YouGov/The Sun 2,050 37% 42% 10% 5% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
5
14–15 Nov YouGov/The Sun 2,050 40% 42% 10% 3% 1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
2
12–14 Nov Ipsos MORI/Reuters 1,005 36% 39% 14% 2% 4% 5% 3
11–12 Nov YouGov/Sunday Times 1,930 39% 41% 10% 3% 1% 5% 2
10–11 Nov YouGov/The Sun 2,013 40% 40% 10% 4% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
Tie
9–10 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,933 42% 37% 11% 4% 1%
5%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 3%
Other on 1%
5
9 Nov Opinium 39% 33% 14% 14% 6
8–9 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,936 40% 39% 13% 3% 1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
1
7–8 Nov YouGov/The Sun 2,109 42% 39% 11% 4% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
3
5 Nov Nigel Farage is elected leader of the UK Independence Party (UKIP)
4–5 Nov YouGov/Sunday Times 1,954 40% 39% 12% 3% 2% 5% 1
3–4 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,980 40% 39% 11% 3% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 3%
Other on 1%
1
2–3 Nov YouGov/The Sun 2,036 40% 40% 9% 3% 2%
5%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 3%
Other on 1%
Tie
1–2 Nov YouGov/The Sun 2,006 41% 40% 11% 3% 1%
3%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 0%
1
31 Oct – 1 Nov YouGov/The Sun 2,132 41% 39% 11% 4% 1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
2
29–30 Oct ComRes/The Independent[permanent dead link] 1,000 35% 37% 16% 2% 4% 6% 2
29 Oct Opinium 38% 35% 13% 14% 3
28–29 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times 2,058 42% 37% 13% 3% 1% 4% 5
27–28 Oct Angus Reid Public Opinion 2,015 35% 37% 15% 3% 2% 8% 2
27–28 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,986 41% 39% 11% 3% 2%
6%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 3%
Other on 1%
2
26–27 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,108 41% 39% 12% 2% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
2
25–26 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,651 40% 38% 12% 2% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
2
24–25 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,967 40% 40% 11% 3% 1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
Tie
22–24 Oct ICM/The Guardian[9] 1,002 39% 36% 16% 1% 1% 7% 3
22–24 Oct Populus/The Times[10] 1,000 37% 38% 15% 3% 3% 5% 1
21–22 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times 1,845 41% 40% 10% 2% 2% 5% 1
21–22 Oct ICM/News of the World[9] 1,025 40% 36% 16% 2% 1% 5% 4
20–21 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,874 41% 40% 10% 3% 1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
1
19–20 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,936 41% 39% 11% 2% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
2
18–19 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,099 42% 39% 11% 2% 1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
3
17–18 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,991 41% 39% 12% 2% 1%
3%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 1%
Other on 1%
2
17 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times Archived 6 March 2016 at the Wayback Machine 41% 39% 11% 8% 2
15–17 Oct Ipsos MORI/Reuters 1,009 39% 36% 14% 3% 3% 5% 3
14–15 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times 1,898 41% 39% 11% 3% 1% 5% 2
13–15 Oct ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror 2,009 40% 34% 14% 12% 6
13–14 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,838 42% 38% 12% 3% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
4
12–13 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,959 41% 40% 11% 3% 1% 4% 1
11–12 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,047 43% 36% 12% 3% 1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
7
10–11 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,090 42% 38% 12% 2% 1%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
4
7–8 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times 1,890 42% 38% 12% 3% 1% 4% 4
6–7 Oct ICM/Sunday Telegraph 1002 38% 34% 18% 2% 2% 6% 4
6–7 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,903 42% 38% 12% 3% 1%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
4
5–6 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,955 42% 40% 11% 3% 1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
2
4–5 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,057 43% 39% 11% 2% 1%
3%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 0%
4
3–4 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,108 41% 39% 12% 3% 1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
2
30 Sep – 1 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times 1,796 39% 41% 11% 2% 2% 4% 2
30 Sep – 1 Oct Angus Reid Public Opinion[permanent dead link] 2,004 35% 38% 16% 4% 7% 3
29 Sep – 1 Oct ComRes/The Independent[permanent dead link] 2,035 39% 36% 15% 4% 3% 10% 3
29–30 Sep YouGov/The Sun 3,127 41% 39% 12% 3% 1%
4%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 0%
2
28–29 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,916 41% 39% 12% 3% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
2
28–29 Sep ICM/The Guardian[9] 1,005 35% 37% 18% 3% 1% 6% 3
27–28 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,896 41% 40% 12% 2% 1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
1
26–27 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,948 39% 40% 12% 3% 1%
6%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 3%
Other on 1%
1
25 Sep Ed Miliband is elected leader of the Labour Party
23–24 Sep YouGov/Sunday Times 1,905 39% 38% 15% 3% 2% 4% 1
22–23 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,013 41% 37% 13% 2% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
4
21–22 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,649 43% 36% 14% 2% 1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
7
20–21 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,963 39% 39% 13% 3% 1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
Tie
19–20 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,156 42% 38% 11% 3% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
4
17 Sep Opinium 37% 35% 13% 15% 2
16–17 Sep YouGov/Sunday Times 1,984 41% 39% 13% 3% 1% 3% 3
14–16 Sep ComRes/Sunday Mirror/The Independent on Sunday[permanent dead link] 2,028 37% 35% 15% 13% 2
15–16 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,996 41% 38% 12% 3% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
3
14–15 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,971 42% 39% 12% 2% 2%
2%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 1%
Other on 0%
3
13–14 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,913 40% 39% 12% 2% 1%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 3%
Other on 0%
2
12–13 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,108 41% 38% 12% 2% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
3
10–12 Sep Populus/The Times[10] 1,508 39% 37% 14% 2% 2% 5% 2
10–12 Sep Ipsos MORI/Reuters 1,004 37% 37% 15% 2% 3% 6% Tie
9–10 Sep YouGov/Sunday Times 1,858 42% 38% 14% 2% 1% 3% 4
8–9 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,948 42% 37% 14% 2% 1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
5
7–8 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,967 43% 38% 12% 2% 2%
3%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 1%
Other on 1%
5
6–7 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,089 42% 38% 13% 2% 1%
4%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 0%
4
5–6 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,089 42% 37% 13% 3% 1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
5
3–5 Sep ComRes/The Independent 1,000 38% 34% 18% 10% 4
2–3 Sep YouGov/Sunday Times 1,849 42% 37% 12% 3% 2% 4% 5
1–2 Sep YouGov/The Sun[permanent dead link] 42% 37% 12% 9% 5
31 Aug – 1 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,923 43% 37% 12% 3% 2% 3%
2%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
6
30–31 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,548 43% 38% 11% 2% 1%
4%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 0%
5
26–27 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times 1,872 41% 37% 13% 3% 1% 4% 4
25–26 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,046 42% 37% 12% 3% 1% 5%
2%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
5
24–25 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,030 42% 37% 12% 2% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
5
23–24 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,011 41% 38% 13% 3% 1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
3
22–23 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,088 41% 39% 12% 4% 2%
3%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 0%
2
19–20 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times 1,953 41% 38% 12% 3% 1% 4% 3
18–19 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,970 41% 37% 14% 3% 1%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
4
17–18 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,095 44% 36% 12% 2% 1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
8
16–17 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,059 42% 37% 14% 2% 1%
4%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 1%
Other on 1%
5
15–16 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,125 41% 37% 15% 2% 1%
3%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 1%
Other on 1%
4
13–15 Aug ICM/The Guardian[9] 1,001 37% 37% 18% 2% 2% 4% Tie
13–15 Aug ComRes/Daily Mirror/GMTV[permanent dead link] 939 39% 33% 15% 2% 3% 8% 6
13 Aug Opinium 39% 30% 16% 15% 9
12–13 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times 1,865 42% 37% 13% 2% 1% 4% 5
11–12 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,000 42% 37% 14% 3% 1%
4%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 0%
5
10–11 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,940 41% 37% 15% 2% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
4
9–10 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,008 42% 38% 14% 2% 1%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
4
8–9 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,241 40% 36% 15% 3% 1%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
4
6–8 Aug ComRes/The Independent Archived 30 June 2025 at the Wayback Machine 1,004 39% 33% 16% 2% 4% 7% 6
5–6 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times 1,906 42% 36% 13% 3% 1% 4% 6
4–5 Aug YouGov/The Sun[permanent dead link] 44% 36% 13% 7% 8
3–4 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,137 42% 36% 13% 3% 2%
4%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 1%
Other on 1%
6
2–3 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,101 41% 36% 13% 3% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
5
1–2 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,216 42% 38% 12% 2% 1%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
4
29–30 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times 1,885 42% 38% 12% 2% 1% 4% 4
27–28 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,900 42% 36% 14% 3% 2%
3%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 0%
6
26–27 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,028 42% 37% 14% 2% 1%
4%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 0%
5
25–26 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,143 42% 35% 15% 3% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
7
23–25 Jul ICM/The Guardian[9] 1,009 38% 34% 19% 1% 2% 5% 4
23–25 Jul Ipsos MORI/Reuters 1,009 40% 38% 14% 8% 2
22–23 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times 1,891 41% 36% 14% 3% 2% 4% 5
21–22 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,104 43% 35% 15% 2% 1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
8
20–21 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,101 44% 35% 13% 2% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
9
19–20 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,143 43% 35% 14% 2% 1%
3%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 0%
8
18–19 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,007 42% 35% 15% 2% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
7
15–16 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times 2,023 40% 37% 15% 2% 1% 4% 3
14–15 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,620 43% 34% 15% 2% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
9
13–14 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,185 43% 34% 15% 3% 1%
3%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 0%
9
12–13 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,173 42% 35% 15% 3% 2%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
7
11–12 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,227 42% 35% 15% 2% 2%
4%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 1%
Other on 1%
7
9 Jul Opinium 38% 34% 16% 12% 4
8–9 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times 2,019 42% 34% 17% 2% 1% 5% 8
7–8 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,165 42% 35% 16% 3% 1%
3%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 0%
7
6–7 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,731 40% 36% 17% 2% 1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
4
5–6 Jul YouGov/The Spectator 2,214 41% 35% 16% 2% 2% 5% 6
5–6 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,972 41% 36% 15% 2% 2%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
5
4–5 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,424 40% 36% 16% 2% 1%
4%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 0%
4
2 Jul Opinium 37% 33% 18% 12% 4
1–2 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times 2,233 41% 36% 16% 2% 1% 4% 5
30 Jun – 1 Jul YouGov/The Sun[permanent dead link] 42% 35% 16% 7% 7
29–30 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,138 42% 36% 15% 2% 2%
2%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 1%
Other on 0%
6
28–29 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,881 42% 36% 15% 2% 1%
3%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 0%
6
27–28 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,503 42% 35% 16% 1% 2% 4%
5%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
7
25–27 Jun ComRes/The Independent[permanent dead link] 1,003 40% 31% 18% 3% 2% 6% 8
24–25 Jun YouGov/Sunday Times 2,038 43% 36% 16% 2% 1% 3% 7
23–24 Jun YouGov/The Sun[permanent dead link] 43% 34% 17% 5% 9
23–24 Jun ICM/Sunday Telegraph 1,006 41% 35% 16% 2% 1% 4% 6
22–23 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,641 42% 34% 17% 3% 2% 2% 8
22–23 Jun Populus/The Times 1,003 39% 33% 18% 3% 2% 4% 6
21–22 Jun YouGov/The Sun[permanent dead link] 2,295 41% 37% 15% 2% 1% 4% 4
20–21 Jun YouGov/The Sun[permanent dead link] 2,042 41% 33% 18% 3% 1% 3% 8
18 Jun Opinium 40% 31% 19% 10% 9
18–20 Jun Ipsos MORI/Reuters 1,002 39% 31% 19% 2% 4% 6% 8
18–20 Jun ICM/The Guardian[permanent dead link] 1,000 39% 31% 21% 1% 2% 5% 8
17–18 Jun YouGov/Sunday Times[permanent dead link] 1,491 39% 34% 19% 3% 1% 4% 5
16–17 Jun ComRes/The Independent on Sunday[permanent dead link] 1,004 36% 30% 23% 3% 2% 5% 6
10–11 Jun YouGov/Sunday Times[permanent dead link] 1,482 40% 32% 18% 3% 1% 5% 8
1–9 Jun Harris Interactive/Metro 1,906 36% 30% 25% 9% 6
4 Jun Opinium 42% 28% 19% 11% 14
28–31 May ComRes/The Independent[permanent dead link] 1,000 37% 33% 21% 4% 3% 2% 4
21–23 May ICM/The Guardian[permanent dead link] 1,001 39% 32% 21% 2% 1% 5% 7
21 May Opinium 38% 29% 21% 12% 9
20–21 May YouGov/Sunday Times 1,477 39% 32% 21% 2% 1% 4% 7
13–14 May YouGov/Sunday Times[permanent dead link] 1,489 37% 34% 21% 8% 3
12–13 May ICM/Sunday Telegraph 1004 38% 33% 21% 1% 2% 6% 5
12–13 May ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror[permanent dead link] 1,010 38% 34% 21% 2% 3% 2% 4
6 May 2010 2010 general election[a] 36.9% 29.7% 23.6% 3.1% 1.0% 5.7% 7.2

Exit poll

[edit]

An exit poll, collected by Ipsos MORI and GfK for the BBC, ITN and Sky News, was published at 22:00 at the end of voting. It interviewed around 22,000 people across a sample of 133 constituencies.[11]

Parties Seats Change
Conservative Party 316 Increase 10
Labour Party 239 Decrease 19
Scottish National Party 58 Increase 52
Liberal Democrats 10 Decrease 47
Green Party 2 Increase 1
UKIP 2 Increase 2
Others[h] 23 Steady
Hung Parliament
(Conservatives 10 seats short of majority)

Sub-national poll results

[edit]

Polling was conducted separately in the constituent countries of the United Kingdom. Of the 650 seats in the House of Commons, England had 533, Scotland had 59, Wales had 40 and Northern Ireland had 18.

Leadership approval polling

[edit]

Methodology

[edit]

Each polling organisation uses slightly different methodology in their collection of data; a brief description of each company's methods is as follows:

  • Angus Reid Public Opinion collects its data through online internet surveys, and demographically weights its data to be representative of the whole population in terms of age, gender, social class, the region of the country lived in and newspaper readership. Past vote weighting is used, and is calculated separately for respondents from Scotland and respondents from England and Wales, whilst those saying they do not know how they will vote are asked which party they are leaning towards, and any responses to this are used as a full response, whilst those still unsure being discounted from the final calculation of levels of party support.[12]
  • BMG Research[13] is a Birmingham-based social research company which carried out its first political poll from 25 to 27 April 2015 for PoliticsHome,[14] May2015[15] and the Electoral Reform Society, with the voting intention questions being commissioned by May2015.[5] BMG carries out its fieldwork online and weights for past vote and likelihood to vote with people who did not vote at the previous general election weighted down by 50%.[16] BMG Research is not a member of the British Polling Council but is applying for membership and abides by BPC rules in carrying out opinion polls. It is recognised by the BPC as a market researcher.[17][18]
  • ComRes uses both telephone interviews and online surveys to collect its data; all polls will be conducted using one method exclusively. It is not shown explicitly in the tables in this article whether a particular poll has been conducted by telephone or online but in general those polls with the smaller samples (~1,000) are telephone polls and those with the larger samples (~2,000) were conducted online. The data tables will confirm how the poll was conducted. Whatever the data collection method, all respondents are weighted according to gender, age, social class, household tenure, work status, number of cars owned and whether or not they have taken a foreign holiday in the previous three years. Both telephone and online polls are weighted according to past vote in the last general election, whilst telephone polls also use data from the last 12 ComRes telephone-conducted opinion polls. ComRes compensates for those respondents who says they do not know by asking them instead which party they most clearly identify with, whilst all respondents are weighted according to likelihood to vote on a scale of one to ten, with respondents saying their likelihood of voting is less than four being discounted entirely, and respondents saying their likelihood is more than five being progressively weighted, with a five-out-of-ten likelihood being weighted as half a response and a ten-out-of-ten likelihood being weighted as one whole response.[19]
  • ICM also collects its data through telephone interviews, and also demographically weights its respondents according to their gender, age, social class, household tenure, work status and the region of the country they live in. It weights respondents according to the levels of support a party received in the previous general election and the last 25 ICM opinion polls and, if a past vote is given, this is used to allocate a response to those who say they do not know how they will vote, although such a response is counted as only half of one whole response. ICM also weights its respondents as to how likely they say they are to vote, with respondents who say they are certain to vote given a higher weighting than those who are not as certain, while if a respondent did not vote at the previous general election, their turnout weighting is automatically reduced by half.[20]
  • Ipsos MORI collects its data through telephone interviews, and weights its respondents to be demographically representative of gender, age, social class, work status, work sector, household tenure and the region of the country they live in. Data is not weighted according to the way respondents voted at the previous general election, any respondents who say they do not know how they will vote are discounted, and only the responses of people who says they are certain to vote are included in the final calculation of levels of support for each party.[21]
  • Lord Ashcroft commissions and publishes polls as Lord Ashcroft Polls. On 12 May 2014 he published the first in a series of opinion polls to be published weekly up to the 2015 UK general election.[22] These polls are carried out by telephone, and are past-vote weighted with an allowance for false recall. They are also weighted for likelihood to vote, with a proportion of Don't Knows reallocated to how respondents said they voted at the 2010 general election. The Conservatives, Labour, Liberal Democrats and UKIP are prompted for. Lord Ashcroft does not disclose the organisations which carry out his fieldwork, but states that a number are used.[23] Initially, the methodology of the weekly Ashcroft National Poll was said to be similar to that used by Populus before they moved to polling online.[24] He is not a BPC member; he was initially invited to join[25] but the BPC now states that he is not eligible as he does not work for multiple clients.[26]
  • Opinium surveys are conducted online via web interviewing, drawing a sample of responses from the company's panel of around 30,000 people. This sample is representative of the adult population of Great Britain in the areas of age, gender, regional location, working status and social grade, as according to the latest Office for National Statistics data. Responses from different demographic groups are handled appropriately to compensate for differential response rates in these different groups.[27]
  • Populus conducts its surveys over the telephone, and weights all respondents according to gender, age, social class, household tenure, work status, the number of cars they own, and whether they have taken a foreign holiday in the past three years, to be representative of the whole electorate. Respondents are weighted according to their past vote and the levels of support for each party recorded in the previous 20 Populus opinion polls. Respondents who say they do not know how they will vote are allocated according to how they voted at the last general election, at a reduced weighting of 0.5 for previous Conservative or Labour voters and 0.3 for previous Liberal Democrat voters. All respondents are also weighted according to how likely they are to vote, with those certain to vote given the highest weighting.[28]
  • Survation opinion polling is achieved through online surveys, and all data is weighted to represent the wider population of Great Britain in terms of gender, age, socio-economic group, religion, how the respondent previously voted, and stated likelihood of voting in the next general election. Respondents who are either undecided or refuse to state how they would vote are excluded from the final results, unless they have provided details of how they have voted in the past, in which case, that information is used to adjust the results.[29]
  • TNS-BMRB[i] interviews a representative sample of adults aged 18+. All interviews are conducted in respondents' homes, although the voting intention data is collected using self-completion methods. The data is weighted twice: firstly to match population totals for age, sex, social grade, working status, presence of children, 2010 voting patterns and region; and secondly, for voting intention questions only, an additional 'likelihood-to-vote' weight is applied.[30]
  • YouGov collects its data through an online survey, and weights its respondents to be representative of the population as a whole in terms of age, gender, social class, identification with a political party, region of the country and newspaper readership. Respondents are weighted according to how they voted in the previous general election in order to achieve a sample that is reflective of each party's level of support at that election, whilst those respondents who say they do not know who they will vote for are discounted from calculating levels of support for each party.[31]

See also

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Notes

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  1. 1 2 GB results only; excludes Northern Ireland.
  2. Published after election day.
  3. Headline figures published to one decimal place: Con 31.4% Lab 31.4% UKIP 15.7% LD 9.6% Green 4.8 SNP 4.7% Plaid 0.4 Others 1.9%
  4. Final General Election 2015 prediction poll published 7 May 2015 with an additional 463 respondents added to the data published the previous day
  5. Preliminary prediction poll published 6 May 2015
  6. The question asked was "Thinking of the general election in May, for which party will you vote?" rather than Opinium's usual "If there were a general election tomorrow, for which party would you vote?"
  7. This is the VI portion (turnout weighted, Table 4) of Lord Ashcroft's NHS poll, released in January 2015. "VQ.2 If there was a general election tomorrow, which party would you vote for? Base: All respondents expressing an intention to vote (Turnout weighted)"
  8. This includes the 18 seats in Northern Ireland.
  9. Since December 2014, TNS's polls have been mostly branded as TNS or TNS Global.

References

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  1. Parker, George (5 May 2015). "Parties struggle to break UK election deadlock". Financial Times. Retrieved 11 May 2015.
  2. Lyons Lowe, Damian (8 May 2015). "Snatching defeat from the jaws of victory". Survation. Archived from the original on 10 May 2015. Retrieved 8 May 2015.
  3. Balz, Dan (7 May 2015). "Cameron expected to emerge victorious, survey finds". The Washington Post. Archived from the original on 8 May 2015. Retrieved 11 May 2015.
  4. Trevelyan, Mark (6 May 2015). "Panelbase poll on election eve puts Labour 2 points ahead". Reuters. Archived from the original on 6 March 2016. Retrieved 11 May 2015.
  5. 1 2 "BMG Research expands into political polling". 29 April 2015. Archived from the original on 18 May 2015. Retrieved 29 April 2015.
  6. See also "Opinium poll that "slipped out" has CON ahead with the LDs down on 5%". politicalbetting.com. Archived from the original on 21 November 2014. Retrieved 22 November 2014.
  7. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 ICM adjust for don't know/refusers by reallocating a proportion of those to the major party they tend to support. Percentage for Greens is based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers.
  8. 1 2 3 4 Lord Ashcroft adjusts for don't know/refusers by reallocating a proportion of those to the party they tend to support. Before 2 Jun 2014 Ashcroft percentages for Greens are based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers.
  9. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 ICM adjust for don't know/refusers by reallocating a proportion of those to the major party they tend to support. Percentage for UKIP and Greens is based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers.
  10. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Populus adjust for don't know/refusers by reallocating a proportion of those to the major party they tend to support. Percentage for UKIP and Greens at this date is based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers.
  11. "Election 2015: The highs and lows of election exit polls". BBC News. 3 May 2015. Retrieved 18 February 2026.
  12. "Angus Reid Public Opinion Methodology" (PDF). Angus Reid Public Opinion. 20 July 2011. Archived from the original on 10 November 2011. Retrieved 26 July 2011.
  13. "BMG Research". 4 February 2016. Archived from the original on 4 February 2016. Retrieved 4 February 2016.
  14. "PoliticsHome". 4 February 2016. Archived from the original on 3 February 2016. Retrieved 4 February 2016.
  15. "May2015". 4 February 2016. Archived from the original on 5 February 2016. Retrieved 4 February 2016.
  16. Wells, Anthony (29 April 2015). "BMG, MORI Scotland, Ashcroft constituencies and ComRes marginals". UK Polling Report. Archived from the original on 1 May 2015. Retrieved 2 May 2015.
  17. "Election 2015: New exclusive poll puts Tories three points ahead of Labour". May2015.com. 29 April 2015. Archived from the original on 5 May 2015. Retrieved 5 May 2015.
  18. "Election 2015: New exclusive poll puts Labour and Tories on exactly 33.7 per sent each". May2015.com. 5 May 2015. Archived from the original on 7 May 2015. Retrieved 5 May 2015.
  19. "Public Polling Methodology". ComRes. Archived from the original on 15 July 2011. Retrieved 26 July 2011.
  20. "July Poll for the Guardian" (PDF). ICM Research. Archived from the original (PDF) on 18 March 2012. Retrieved 26 July 2011.
  21. "Data Collection". Ipsos MORI. Archived from the original on 10 August 2011. Retrieved 26 July 2011.
  22. "Tories lead in my first weekly national poll". Lord Ashcroft Polls. 12 May 2014. Archived from the original on 19 May 2014. Retrieved 19 May 2014.
  23. "Sheffield Hallam, Doncaster North and Thanet South". Lord Ashcroft Polls. 7 February 2015. Archived from the original on 9 February 2015. Retrieved 9 February 2015.
  24. "Ashcroft – CON 34, LAB 32, LDEM 9, UKIP 15". Anthony Wells. Archived from the original on 18 October 2014. Retrieved 2 November 2014.
  25. "Minutes of the Annual General Meeting 2013". British Polling Council. Archived from the original on 19 May 2014. Retrieved 19 May 2014.
  26. Curtice, John (16 April 2015). "Reading the Polls: Election 2015 and The British Polling Council". British Polling Council. Retrieved 1 May 2015.
  27. "Political Polling". Opinium Research LLP. Archived from the original on 30 January 2012. Retrieved 18 April 2012.
  28. "Populus sampling and weighting methodology". Populus. Archived from the original on 2 October 2011. Retrieved 26 July 2011.
  29. "Survation Poll The Budget Aftermath for the Mail on Sunday". Survation. Archived from the original on 27 May 2012. Retrieved 27 March 2012.
  30. "TNS BMRB Methodology". TNS BMRB. Retrieved 17 December 2012.[permanent dead link]
  31. "Panel Methodology". YouGov. Archived from the original on 5 October 2011. Retrieved 26 July 2011.
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