Opinion polling for the 2019 Finnish parliamentary election

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In the run up to the 2019 parliamentary elections in Finland, various organizations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Finland. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, held on 19 April 2015, to the present day.

Graphical summary[edit]

By party[edit]

5 poll average of finnish opinion polls from April 2015 to the election 2019. Each line corresponds to a political party.

Poll results[edit]

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The table uses the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if that date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

The Sipilä Cabinet is composed of the top three parties from the previous election: Centre (Kesk), National Coalition (Kok) and Finns (PS) parties. But after the split of the Finns Party, Blue Reform (Sin) took the party's place in the Sipilä Cabinet.

Date Polling Firm VAS SDP VIHR SFP KOK KD KESK SIN PS Others Lead Gov. Opp.
Election result (14 Apr) Ministry of Justice 8.2 17.7 11.5 4.5 17.0 3.9 13.8 1.0 17.5 4.9 0.2 (31.8) (63.3)
1–9 Apr Taloustutkimus 8.7 19.0 12.2 4.9 15.9 4.3 14.5 0.8 16.3 3.4 2.7 (31.2) (65.4)
3–7 Apr Kantar TNS 9.6 19.5 12.0 4.4 17.5 4.1 14.4 1.1 15.0 2.4 2.0 (33.0) (64.4)
25 Mar–3 Apr Tietoykkönen 9.1 19.6 13.3 3.9 17.0 4.1 14.7 2.0 13.4 2.9 2.6 (33.7) (63.4)
6 Mar–26 Mar Taloustutkimus 9.8 20.1 13.0 4.3 15.8 3.5 14.4 0.9 15.1 3.1 4.3 (31.1) (65.8)
18 Feb–15 Mar Kantar TNS 8.9 21.0 14.0 4.4 18.1 4.2 14.3 1.2 11.1 2.8 2.9 (33.6) (63.6)
8 Mar The Sipilä Cabinet announces its resignation due to failed health care reform
6 Feb–5 Mar Taloustutkimus 8.9 21.3 13.7 4.7 16.2 3.5 14.1 1.8 13.3 2.5 5.1 32.1 65.4
18 Feb–3 Mar Tietoykkönen 9.0 21.3 13.2 4.1 18.1 4.1 14.1 2.3 11.2 2.6 3.2 34.5 62.9
14 Jan–14 Feb Kantar TNS 8.7 20.8 13.6 4.3 18.6 4.0 14.7 1.0 11.4 2.9 2.2 34.3 62.8
14 Jan–5 Feb Taloustutkimus 8.6 20.1 14.6 4.0 17.3 3.6 15.6 1.4 12.0 2.7 2.8 34.3 62.9
14–28 Jan Tietoykkönen 8.9 21.0 13.0 4.2 19.7 4.3 14.4 2.1 9.9 2.5 1.3 36.2 61.3
13 Dec–11 Jan Kantar TNS 9.4 20.9 12.9 4.3 19.5 4.0 15.6 1.1 9.7 2.6 1.4 36.2 61.2
10 Dec–8 Jan Taloustutkimus 9.5 21.2 13.6 2.5 19.6 4.2 16.1 1.0 10.2 2.1 1.6 36.7 61.2
2018
5–18 Dec Tietoykkönen 9.1 20.7 12.9 4.1 19.6 3.9 15.5 1.8 9.7 2.7 1.1 36.9 60.4
13 Nov–12 Dec Kantar TNS 9.6 21.4 13.4 4.4 19.4 4.1 15.6 1.2 8.6 2.3 2.0 36.2 61.5
12 Nov–4 Dec Taloustutkimus 8.5 21.5 13.9 4.0 19.1 4.1 17.0 1.5 8.1 2.3 2.4 37.6 60.1
14–23 Nov Tietoykkönen 9.3 21.4 13.6 4.5 19.8 3.7 15.1 2.2 8.4 2.0 1.6 37.1 60.9
15 Oct–12 Nov Kantar TNS 9.7 22.4 12.5 4.4 19.7 4.0 15.4 1.2 8.7 2.0 2.7 36.3 61.7
3 Oct–6 Nov Taloustutkimus 9.2 22.7 11.3 4.3 20.2 3.5 16.5 1.1 9.8 1.4 2.5 37.8 60.8
3 Nov Pekka Haavisto is elected as the interim leader of the Green League
12–30 Oct Tietoykkönen 9.5 22.0 12.9 4.2 19.9 3.8 15.2 2.3 7.7 2.5 2.1 37.4 60.1
24 Oct Touko Aalto announces his resignation from the Green League's leadership
17 Sep–11 Oct Kantar TNS 9.8 22.0 12.0 4.4 19.6 3.8 15.7 1.4 9.1 2.2 2.4 36.7 61.1
10 Sep–2 Oct Taloustutkimus 9.8 22.6 11.6 3.7 18.9 4.1 17.6 1.1 9.3 1.3 3.7 37.6 61.1
14–27 Sep Tietoykkönen 9.5 22.2 12.3 4.3 19.9 3.9 15.1 2.5 7.9 2.4 2.3 37.5 60.1
20 Aug–14 Sep Kantar TNS 9.6 21.4 12.9 4.5 19.7 3.9 15.5 1.6 8.7 2.2 1.7 36.8 61.0
13 Aug–4 Sep Taloustutkimus 9.1 20.3 12.6 4.3 19.0 3.5 17.8 1.6 9.4 2.4 1.3 38.4 59.2
13–25 Aug Tietoykkönen 9.1 21.9 13.1 4.2 19.8 3.7 15.5 2.1 8.0 2.6 2.1 37.4 60.0
16 Jul–16 Aug Kantar TNS 9.6 21.7 13.7 4.3 20.2 4.1 15.5 1.2 7.9 2.0 1.5 36.9 61.3
9 Jul–7 Aug Taloustutkimus 7.7 21.2 13.6 4.3 19.8 3.8 17.8 0.8 8.7 2.3 1.4 38.4 59.3
11 Jun–12 Jul Kantar TNS 9.6 22.1 13.2 4.3 20.2 4.2 15.3 1.3 7.8 2.0 1.9 36.8 61.2
6 Jun–3 Jul Taloustutkimus 8.6 20.3 13.9 3.3 19.7 3.6 16.6 1.1 10.3 2.6 0.6 37.4 60.0
6–26 Jun Tietoykkönen 9.4 20.2 13.9 4.6 19.7 3.9 15.9 2.6 7.8 2.0 0.5 38.2 59.8
14 May–10 Jun Kantar TNS 9.2 21.6 13.5 4.5 19.7 3.9 15.8 1.7 8.0 2.1 1.9 37.3 60.7
2 May–5 Jun Taloustutkimus 8.9 20.0 14.4 3.9 19.3 3.4 17.6 1.7 8.3 2.5 0.7 38.6 58.9
18–31 May Tietoykkönen 9.0 21.2 13.1 4.8 19.5 4.3 15.1 2.5 7.9 2.6 1.7 37.1 60.3
16 Apr–11 May Kantar TNS 8.7 21.2 14.2 4.4 20.5 3.8 15.7 1.7 7.7 2.1 0.7 37.9 60.0
19 Apr–2 May Tietoykkönen 8.7 21.8 13.2 4.6 19.5 4.0 15.9 2.1 8.0 2.2 2.3 37.5 60.3
3–26 Apr Taloustutkimus 9.1 20.0 14.9 3.7 20.2 3.3 17.0 1.5 8.5 1.8 0.2 38.7 59.5
19 Mar–12 Apr Kantar TNS 8.9 21.4 14.0 4.2 20.6 3.5 15.7 1.6 8.1 2.0 0.8 37.9 60.1
1–27 Mar Taloustutkimus 9.0 20.2 14.2 3.5 21.5 3.3 16.3 1.5 9.2 1.3 1.3 39.3 59.4
16–26 Mar Tietoykkönen 8.7 21.0 13.3 4.4 19.9 3.9 16.1 2.0 8.2 2.5 1.1 38.0 59.5
19 Feb–15 Mar Kantar TNS 8.5 20.8 14.5 4.1 21.1 3.2 15.9 1.4 8.5 2.0 0.3 38.4 59.6
7–28 Feb Taloustutkimus 8.9 21.0 14.5 2.9 20.0 3.3 17.0 1.6 8.5 2.3 1.0 38.6 59.1
14–26 Feb Tietoykkönen 8.8 19.6 13.6 4.8 20.5 3.9 15.5 2.3 8.7 2.3 0.9 38.3 59.4
22 Jan–15 Feb Kantar TNS 9.1 19.0 14.4 4.2 21.7 3.4 16.3 1.3 8.6 2.0 2.7 39.3 58.7
28 Dec–6 Feb Taloustutkimus 8.1 18.7 14.0 4.6 20.8 3.2 17.4 1.6 9.6 2.0 2.1 39.8 58.2
19–29 Jan Tietoykkönen 8.6 19.2 14.5 4.6 20.9 3.9 15.4 2.7 8.2 2.0 1.7 39.0 59.0
28 Jan Sauli Niinistö wins the presidential election
12 Dec–18 Jan Kantar TNS 8.8 19.0 15.5 4.4 21.9 3.4 15.6 1.5 8.1 1.8 2.9 39.0 59.2
2017
29 Nov–27 Dec Taloustutkimus 8.8 17.8 14.0 4.6 19.8 4.0 17.8 2.3 8.6 2.3 2.0 39.9 57.8
8–18 Dec Tietoykkönen 9.0 20.1 13.7 4.8 20.8 4.1 16.2 1.8 7.8 1.7 0.7 38.7 59.5
14 Nov–10 Dec Kantar TNS 9.3 19.0 15.4 4.4 22.2 3.3 14.8 1.6 8.0 2.0 3.2 38.6 59.4
1–28 Nov Taloustutkimus 8.0 19.7 14.2 3.5 22.3 3.6 17.4 1.1 8.4 1.8 2.6 40.8 57.4
16 Oct–13 Nov Kantar TNS 8.8 19.0 15.7 4.4 21.4 3.3 15.1 1.6 8.7 2.0 2.4 38.1 59.9
4–31 Oct Taloustutkimus 9.0 18.4 14.0 4.9 22.8 3.4 17.4 1.3 6.9 1.9 4.4 41.5 56.6
18 Sep–14 Oct Kantar TNS 8.2 18.1 16.1 4.4 21.9 3.3 15.4 1.3 9.3 2.0 3.8 38.6 59.4
11 Sep–3 Oct Taloustutkimus 8.3 17.3 16.6 3.5 21.7 3.9 15.8 1.5 9.9 1.5 4.4 39.0 59.5
21 Aug–19 Sep Kantar TNS 7.9 17.8 16.7 4.5 21.1 3.2 16.1 1.3 9.2 2.2 3.3 38.5 59.3
21 Aug–5 Sep Taloustutkimus 8.2 15.6 17.8 4.5 20.8 3.3 16.2 1.4 10.3 1.9 3.0 38.4 59.7
17 Jul–18 Aug Kantar TNS 8.4 17.3 17.5 4.5 20.7 3.5 17.3 1.7 7.0 2.1 3.2 39.7 58.2
24 Jul–15 Aug Taloustutkimus 7.7 15.9 17.6 4.8 20.8 3.7 17.3 1.6 8.8 1.8 3.2 39.7 58.5
26 Jun–18 Jul Taloustutkimus 9.2 18.5 16.0 4.7 20.4 3.9 16.7 0.7 8.1 1.8 1.9 37.8 60.4
19 Jun–14 Jul Kantar TNS 8.9 19.6 15.5 4.4 21.0 3.3 16.4 2.5 6.3 2.1 1.4 39.9 58.0
13–20 Jun Taloustutkimus 8.0 17.1 15.1 4.0 21.3 3.7 17.0 2.3 9.7 1.8 4.2 40.6 57.6
17 Jun Touko Aalto wins the leadership of the Green League
22 May–16 Jun Kantar TNS 8.6 19.0 14.9 4.3 21.2 3.3 16.8 3.9 6.1 1.9 2.2 41.9 56.2
Date Polling Firm VAS SDP VIHR SFP KOK KD KESK PS Others Lead Gov. Opp.
13 Jun The Finns Party splits and Blue Reform continues working in the Sipilä Cabinet
12 Jun–13 Jun Tietoykkönen 9.1 17.8 14.1 5.5 20.2 4.2 17.0 10.4 1.7 2.4 47.6 50.7
10 Jun Jussi Halla-aho wins the leadership of the Finns Party
10 May–6 Jun Taloustutkimus 8.8 17.7 15.1 4.8 20.5 3.7 18.4 9.0 2.0 2.1 47.9 50.1
24 Apr–19 May Kantar TNS 8.6 18.7 14.3 4.6 20.6 3.7 17.7 9.4 2.4 1.9 47.7 49.9
10 Apr–9 May Taloustutkimus 7.7 18.6 14.6 4.5 21.1 3.6 18.4 9.6 1.9 2.5 49.1 49.0
9 Apr Finnish municipal elections were held
16 Jan–11 Feb TNS Gallup 9.1 21.6 11.1 4.8 18.4 3.5 19.8 9.1 2.6 1.8 47.3 50.1
19 Dec–11 Jan TNS Gallup 8.5 21.7 12.1 4.4 18.7 3.6 19.9 8.6 2.5 1.8 47.2 50.3
2016
14 Nov–08 Dec TNS Gallup 8.2 20.8 11.2 4.6 18.4 3.5 20.8 9.9 2.6 0 49.1 48.3
2–29 Nov Taloustutkimus 8.6 21.1 12.6 4.0 18.9 3.6 20.4 8.5 2.3 0.7 47.8 49.9
17 Oct–11 Nov TNS Gallup 7.9 20.4 11.6 4.6 18.6 3.5 20.9 10.1 2.4 0.5 49.6 48.0
5 Oct–1 Nov Taloustutkimus 8.7 21.2 13.6 4.0 18.8 3.4 19.6 8.5 2.2 1.6 47.1 50.9
19 Sep–14 Oct TNS Gallup 7.9 21.3 11.8 4.7 17.7 3.5 20.9 9.7 2.4 0.4 48.3 49.2
12 Sep–04 Oct Taloustutkimus 8.8 20.5 14.0 4.3 17.1 3.8 20.5 9.2 1.8 0 46.8 51.4
22 Aug–15 Sep TNS Gallup 8.6 20.2 12.6 4.6 17.9 3.3 20.9 9.6 2.3 0.7 48.4 49.3
15 Aug–06 Sep Taloustutkimus 9.3 20.0 13.6 4.7 17.7 3.6 20.7 8.4 2.0 0.7 46.8 51.2
18 Jul–18 Aug TNS Gallup 9.6 19.1 12.9 4.8 17.3 3.7 20.6 9.5 2.5 1.5 47.4 50.1
11 Jul–09 Aug Taloustutkimus 9.8 18.9 13.7 4.3 17.6 4.3 21.8 7.6 2.0 2.9 47.0 50.8
20 Jun–15 Jul TNS Gallup 9.0 18.7 13.3 4.9 17.8 3.4 21.1 9.5 2.3 2.4 48.4 49.3
08 Jun–05 Jul Taloustutkimus 9.2 18.2 14.1 4.3 18.6 3.6 21.1 8.6 2.3 2.5 48.3 49.4
16 May–16 Jun TNS Gallup 8.2 20.6 13.6 4.7 17.0 3.7 20.9 9.1 2.2 0.3 47.0 50.8
12 Jun Anna-Maja Henriksson wins the leadership of the Swedish People's Party
11 Jun Petteri Orpo wins the leadership of the National Coalition Party
9 May–7 Jun Taloustutkimus 8.3 20.1 14.8 4.2 17.7 3.5 20.2 9.0 2.2 0.1 46.9 50.9
6 Jun Li Andersson wins the leadership of the Left Alliance
12–14 May TNS Gallup 9.0 22.0 11.4 4.3 17.7 3.4 20.7 9.3 2.2 1.3 47.7 50.1
4 Apr–3 May Taloustutkimus 8.5 21.5 13.5 4.5 17.0 3.6 20.4 8.5 2.5 1.1 45.9 51.6
14 Mar–11 Apr TNS Gallup 8.7 21.7 11.7 4.4 17.1 3.7 20.6 9.7 2.4 1.1 47.4 50.2
7–30 Mar Taloustutkimus 8.3 20.3 12.5 4.7 17.1 3.6 21.7 9.5 2.3 1.4 48.3 49.4
15 Feb–11 Mar TNS Gallup 8.3 21.4 10.9 4.5 17.4 3.5 21.5 10.2 2.3 0.1 49.1 48.6
3 Feb–1 Mar Taloustutkimus 8.9 22.9 10.7 4.5 16.9 3.9 20.7 9.0 2.5 2.2 46.6 50.9
18 Jan–14 Feb TNS Gallup 8.5 21.2 10.8 4.3 18.0 3.7 21.4 9.9 2.2 0.2 49.3 48.5
11 Jan–2 Feb Taloustutkimus 8.6 21.5 12.3 4.1 17.3 3.4 20.9 9.8 2.1 0.6 48.0 49.9
14 Dec–14 Jan TNS Gallup 7.9 22.8 11.1 4.5 17.9 4.2 19.7 9.6 2.3 3.1 47.2 50.5
2015
7–29 Dec Taloustutkimus 7.3 22.7 11.7 3.9 18.7 3.4 21.4 8.9 2.0 1.3 49.0 49.0
16 Nov–10 Dec TNS Gallup 8.4 21.1 11.3 4.3 17.7 3.5 20.9 10.8 2.0 0.2 49.4 48.6
9 Nov–1 Dec Taloustutkimus 8.1 21.0 12.6 4.6 18.3 3.5 21.6 8.9 1.4 0.6 48.8 49.8
19 Oct–12 Nov TNS Gallup 8.0 19.6 11.6 4.3 18.4 3.5 21.6 11.0 2.0 2.0 51.0 47.0
12 Oct–3 Nov Taloustutkimus 7.4 20.7 12.2 4.4 18.3 3.4 21.7 9.8 2.1 1.0 49.8 48.1
14 Sep–16 Oct TNS Gallup 8.6 18.3 11.5 4.4 17.7 3.9 22.2 11.4 2.0 3.9 51.3 46.7
7 Sep–6 Oct Taloustutkimus 8.3 18.3 12.7 4.8 18.0 4.0 21.7 10.7 1.5 3.7 50.4 48.1
10 Aug–10 Sep TNS Gallup 7.8 15.0 11.1 4.8 18.0 3.5 22.3 15.6 1.9 4.3 55.9 42.2
10 Aug–1 Sep Taloustutkimus 7.6 14.4 12.4 4.2 18.9 2.9 23.0 15.0 1.6 4.1 56.9 41.5
28 Aug Sari Essayah wins the leadership of the Christian Democrats
13 Jul–7 Aug TNS Gallup 7.2 14.2 11.4 4.7 17.6 3.1 23.2 16.7 1.9 5.6 57.5 40.6
7 Jul–4 Aug Taloustutkimus 7.8 14.5 12.7 3.9 18.2 2.7 23.1 15.6 1.5 4.9 56.9 41.6
15 Jun–9 Jul TNS Gallup 7.9 14.7 9.8 4.5 18.2 3.3 21.9 17.6 2.1 3.7 57.7 40.2
3 Jun–1 Jul Taloustutkimus 8.4 14.6 11.5 4.5 17.3 3.4 22.7 15.6 2.0 5.4 55.6 42.4
18 May–11 Jun TNS Gallup 7.8 14.8 10.0 4.5 18.5 3.2 21.0 18.0 2.2 2.5 57.5 40.4
4 May–2 Jun Taloustutkimus 7.5 15.0 10.5 4.5 16.7 3.1 23.1 17.5 2.1 5.6 57.3 40.6
20 Apr–15 May TNS Gallup 6.8 15.1 9.3 4.6 18.0 3.4 21.1 19.2 2.5 1.9 58.3 39.2
19 Apr 2015 Election Results 7.1 16.5 8.5 4.9 18.2 3.5 21.1 17.7 2.5 2.9 57.0 40.5

Seats[edit]

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 101 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Finnish Parliament.

101 seats needed for majority
Date Polling Firm VAS SDP VIHR SFP KOK KD KESK SIN PS Others
9 Apr 2019 Taloustutkimus[note 1] 16 45 26 7 36 5 33 29 2
26 Mar 2019 Taloustutkimus[note 2] 16 47 27 7 40 4 35 22 1
5 Mar 2019 Taloustutkimus[note 3] 15 49 26 7 41 4 36 21
5 Feb 2019 Taloustutkimus[note 4] 16 49 26 7 39 3 38 20 1
10 Jan 2019 Taloustutkimus[note 5] 15 47 25 7 43 5 42 15
2015 Election - 12 34 15 9 37 5 49 0 38 1

Preferred Prime Minister polling[edit]

Some opinion pollsters have asked voters which party leader they would prefer as Prime Minister.

Date Polling Firm Li Andersson Antti Rinne Pekka Haavisto Touko Aalto Ville Niinistö Anna-Maja Henriksson Petteri Orpo Sari Essayah Juha Sipilä Paavo Väyrynen Sampo Terho Jussi Halla-aho Timo Soini
25 Mar–2 Apr 2019 Taloustutkimus 7 14 21 2 12 3 10 1 8
27 Mar 2019 Kantar TNS 5 15 22 16 14 9
17 Feb 2019 Kantar TNS 8 12 18 15 10 1 9
5 Jan 2019 Taloustutkimus 5 12 22 1 16 4 13 1 5
12-17 Jan 2018 Kantar TNS 13 8 3 17 12 2 9
7 Nov 2017 Taloustutkimus 12 8 8 25 15 7
28–29 Jun 2017 Taloustutkimus 6 11 4 1 19 3 21 13
19–28 Jun 2017 Taloustutkimus 15.3 8.3 30.6 26.4 6.9 8.3
19–31 Dec 2016 Taloustutkimus 15.5 22.5 2.8 19.7 25.4 7.0 7.0

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ Counted based on six most recent polls. Åland's single MP is not included.
  2. ^ Counted based on six most recent polls. Åland's single MP is not included.
  3. ^ Counted based on six most recent polls. Åland's single MP is not included.
  4. ^ Counted based on six most recent polls. Åland's single MP is not included.
  5. ^ Counted based on six most recent polls. Åland's single MP is not included.