Opinion polling for the 2020 Polish presidential election

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During the weeks leading up to the 2020 Polish presidential election, various organizations carry out opinion polling to gauge voters' intentions in Poland. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous presidential election, held on 24 May 2015, to election day.

First round[edit]

2020 Polish presidential election I round AVERAGE
Poll source Date(s) administered Don't know/
Abstain
Others
Duda
PiS[1]
Trzaskowski
PO
Biedroń
LEFT
Kosiniak-Kamysz
PSL
Bosak
KWiN
Hołownia
IN
LATE POLL:
IPSOS LATE POLL
28 June 2020 - 1.6%[a] 42.5% 30.3% 2.5% 2.5% 7.1% 13.5%
EXIT POLL:
IPSOS 21:00 UTC+2
28 June 2020 - 1.6%[b] 41.8% 30.4% 2.9% 2.6% 7.4% 13.3%
28 June 2020 28 June 2020 (first round)
IBSP 25-26 June 2020 - 1.14% 42.31% 31.03% 2.54% 1.69% 7.41% 13.88%
Indicator 23-26 June 2020 - - 41.1% 30.2% 3.8% 5.4% 7.2% 12.3%
IBRiS 25 June 2020 - 1.0% 41.2% 30.7% 3.9% 4.1% 7.2% 12.0%
Estymator 24–25 June 2020 - 1.1% 42.7% 28.4% 3.6% 6.3% 7.6% 10.3%
Kantar 24–25 June 2020 8% - 40% 27% 3% 2% 7% 13%
Pollster 24–25 June 2020 - 1.30% 41.27% 30.30% 3.35% 5.81% 7.23% 10.74%
PGB Opinium 23–25 June 2020 - 0.7% 40.5% 29.7% 3.8% 7.0% 7.3% 11.0%
CBOS 15–25 June 2020 14% - 45% 20% 2% 4% 4% 11%
IBRiS 24 June 2020 6.6% 1.3%[c] 41.1% 26.4% 4.9% 5.4% 4.6% 9.7%
IPSOS 22–23 June 2020 4% 1%[d] 40% 27% 4% 5% 7% 10%
Social Changes 19–23 June 2020 - 2%[e] 41% 29% 4% 4% 7% 13%
Pollster 22 June 2020 - 0.76% 41.38% 29.86% 2.93% 6.55% 7.34% 11.18%
Maison & Partners[f] 19–22 June 2020 5.5% - 33.1% 28.2% 6.2% 3.4% 7.8% 15.8%
IBRiS 20 June 2020 4.7% 1.2%[g] 41.0% 27.1% 4.2% 7.3% 5.6% 8.9%
IBRiS 19–20 June 2020 1.2% - 43.1% 27.4% 4.5% 7.5% 6.2% 10.1%
United Survey 19 June 2020 5.9% 0.2% 41.5% 28.3% 2.2% 8.0% 5.4% 8.6%
Estymator 18–19 June 2020 - 0.9% 44.6% 29.3% 2.1% 6.9% 7.3% 8.9%
IBRiS 18 June 2020 4.5% 1.3%[h] 41.3% 28.2% 3.8% 8.3% 4.6% 8.1%
Kantar 17–18 June 2020 6% - 40% 32% 2% 3% 7% 10%
Pollster 16–17 June 2020 - 1.58% 40.82% 30.28% 3.28% 6.06% 6.24% 11.74%
IPSOS 16–17 June 2020 6% - 40% 30% 2% 4% 7% 10%
Social Changes 12–16 June 2020 - 2%[i] 39% 28% 3% 6% 7% 15%
Maison & Partners[f] 12–15 June 2020 5.0% - 37.0% 28.4% 4.0% 4.4% 6.3% 14.8%
PGB Opinium 12–15 June 2020 - - 40.5% 28.9% 3.8% 8.6% 7.3% 10.6%
Estymator 12–13 June 2020 - 0.5% 44.1% 28.3% 2.7% 6.6% 7.1% 10.7%
IBRiS 12–13 June 2020 3.6% - 40.7% 28.0% 3.0% 9.7% 7.1% 7.8%
Pollster 9–10 June 2020 - 1.51% 41.17% 28.14% 5.22% 4.99% 4.97% 14.00%
Kantar 5–10 June 2020 11% - 38% 27% 4% 6% 6% 8%
Social Changes 5–9 June 2020 - 1%[j] 40% 29% 4% 4% 7% 15%
N/A[k] N/A June 2020 12% 5% 36% 31% 2% 8% N/A[l] 6%
IBRiS 5–6 June 2020 5.2% 0.1%[m] 42.7% 26.6% 3.4% 7.4% 6.9% 7.7%
Estymator 3–4 June 2020 - 0.4% 43.1% 25.3% 2.6% 6.8% 7.4% 14.4%
CBOS 22 May–4 June 2020 13.4% 0.8% 48.6% 16.2% 1.8% 4.3% 4.2% 10.7%
3 June 2020 Election is announced to be held on June 28th. The campaign starts
Pollster 2–3 June 2020 - 1% 40% 28% 4% 6% 7% 14%
Social Changes 29 May–2 June 2020 - 1%[n] 41% 29% 5% 5% 6% 13%
IBRiS 29–30 May 2020 5.0% - 41.0% 26.1% 2.3% 7.1% 6.5% 12.0%
United Survey 29 May 2020 4.0% - 41.2% 27.0% 2.2% 7.0% 6.6% 12.0%
SWPS 28–29 May 2020 - 1% 32% 25% 6% 5% 9% 22%
PGB Opinium 26–29 May 2020 7.6% 0.4%[o] 36.5% 25.0% 3.5% 8.4% 6.5% 12.0%
Pollster 26–27 May 2020 - 1.74% 38.94% 26.60% 5.14% 5.46% 5.71% 16.41%
Social Changes 22–25 May 2020 - 1%[p] 40% 27% 4% 5% 6% 17%
Maison & Partners[f] N/A May 2020 - - 40.9% 23.2% 3.7% 3.5% 6.9% 17.5%
IBRiS 22–23 May 2020 6.1% - 41.0% 26.7% 3.0% 8.2% 5.0% 10.0%
IBRiS 22–23 May 2020 7.1% - 42.3% 23.2% 2.7% 9.3% 4.0% 11.4%
Estymator 21–22 May 2020 - 1.1% 44.8% 22.1% 3.1% 9.2% 5.6% 14.1%
PBS 19–20 May 2020 - - 35% 21% 8% 5% 13% 19%
Kantar 18–19 May 2020 12% 4%[q] 39% 18% 2% 3% 8% 15%
Maison & Partners[f] 15–18 May 2020[r] 10% - 34% 17% 6% 6% 7% 21%
15–18 May 2020[s] 6% - 43% 15% 5% 5% 8% 20%
Social Changes 11–18 May 2020 - 2%[t] 41% 21% 5% 7% 6% 18%
Pollster 15–17 May 2020 - 2.13%[u] 43.76% 16.54% 5.51% 9.73% 6.45% 15.88%
IBRiS 16 May 2020 7.7% - 43.2% 16.0% 6.8% 9.6% 6.8% 9.9%
United Survey 15 May 2020 7.1% - 43.7% 14.0% 5.2% 9.8% 6.9% 13.3%
Kantar Public 15 May 2020 6% 1%[p] 51% 11% 3% 6% 5% 17%
15 May 2020 Rafał Trzaskowski is declared as a new candidate of the Civic Coalition
Estymator 14–15 May 2020 - 1.3% 52.7% 10.2% 5.7% 11.8% 7.8% 10.5%
Poll source Date(s) administered Don't know/
Abstain
Others
Duda
PiS[1]
Kidawa-Błońska
PO
Biedroń
LEFT
Kosiniak-Kamysz
PSL
Bosak
KWiN
Hołownia
IN
Social Changes 12–14 May 2020 - 1%[v] 49% 5% 4% 12% 7% 22%
10 May 2020 Election de iure takes place despite no voting is held. The campaign ends
IBRiS 8–9 May 2020[w] 3.1% 0.0%[x] 45.0% 4.5% 2.6% 16.6% 9.0% 19.2%
6 May 2020 Postal election is announced to be cancelled in May
Social Changes 6–7 May 2020[w] - 4%[y] 54% 5% 5% 9% 8% 15%
6–7 May 2020[z] - 4%[y] 64% 2% 3% 7% 7% 13%
Pollster 30 April-4 May 2020 - - 40.57% 10.49% 9.56% 14.39% 4.65% 20.34%
IPSOS 27–29 April 2020[w] 11% - 42% 7% 6% 12% 6% 15%
IPSOS 27–29 April 2020[z] 5% - 63% 2% 5% 7% 7% 11%
IBRiS 27 April 2020 8.9% - 49.7% 6.7% 6.4% 14.1% 5.0% 9.2%
Social Changes 24–27 April 2020[w] - 1%[aa] 54% 7% 6% 10% 8% 14%
Social Changes 24–27 April 2020[z] - 1%[aa] 64% 3% 3% 8% 7% 14%
CBOS 23–27 April 2020 10% 1%[aa] 52% 5% 5% 6% 7% 14%
Estymator 23–24 April 2020 - 0.4% 51.7% 8.4% 7.7% 16.6% 6.4% 8.8%
Social Changes 17–20 April 2020[w] - 1%[aa] 57% 11% 5% 11% 6% 9%
Social Changes 17–20 April 2020[z] - 2%[ab] 65% 5% 5% 6% 7% 10%
Kantar 16–17 April 2020 11% 3% 59% 4% 5% 7% 5% 7%
Social Changes 10–13 April 2020 - 1%[aa] 59% 9% 5% 10% 8% 8%
Estymator 8–9 April 2020 - 0.3% 53.1% 13.4% 9.4% 15.6% 3.3% 4.9%
IBRiS 7 April 2020 7.1% - 52.9% 11.4% 7.3% 12.6% 3.2% 5.5%
Pollster 6–7 April 2020 - - 44.53% 14.23% 6.70% 15.25% 6.21% 13.08%
Maison & Partners[f] 3–7 April 2020 27.9% - 29.5% 10.5% 7.1% 10.6% 3.4% 11.2%
Social Changes 3–6 April 2020 - 2%[ab] 53% 11% 5% 13% 7% 9%
IBRiS 3–4 April 2020 9.9% - 47.6% 12.4% 6.7% 12.0% 5.4% 6.0%
IBSP 31 March-2 April 2020 - 0.29% 44.29% 15.77% 6.24% 15.87% 5.24% 12.30%
29 March 2020 Małgorzata Kidawa-Błońska calls to boycott May postal election
Social Changes 27–30 March 2020 - 1%[aa] 55% 14% 6% 10% 5% 9%
IBRiS 27–28 March 2020[ac] 5.6% - 45.1% 17.2% 8.5% 12.1% 7.5% 3.9%
27–28 March 2020[ad] 5.3% - 54.6% 12.1% 8.7% 6.4% 9.2% 3.7%
Estymator 25–26 March 2020 - 0.9% 49.8% 17.1% 10.8% 15.4% 3.1% 2.9%
Kantar 23–24 March 2020[ae] 6% - 65% 10% 5% 4% 6% 4%
23–24 March 2020[af] 10% - 44% 19% 7% 8% 5% 7%
Social Changes 20–23 March 2020 - - 47% 19% 10% 11% 6% 7%
United Survey 20 March 2020 16.7% - 42.7% 16.6% 5.7% 8.7% 6.6% 2.9%
Pollster 17–18 March 2020 - - 43.19% 21.13% 9.54% 12.96% 4.44% 8.74%
Social Changes 13–17 March 2020 - - 41% 23% 9% 13% 4% 10%
CBOS 5–15 March 2020 10% - 50% 15% 5% 9% 3% 6%
Estymator 12–13 March 2020 - 0.2% 46.4% 20.4% 11.4% 10.1% 4.6% 6.9%
IBSP 10–13 March 2020 - 0.15% 51.36% 19.79% 7.59% 8.98% 5.51% 6.62%
Kantar 6–11 March 2020 13% - 43% 22% 6% 9% 3% 4%
Social Changes 6–10 March 2020 - - 45% 22% 8% 9% 5% 11%
4 March 2020 First case of COVID-19 confirmed in Poland
IBRiS 2 March 2020 5.9% - 41.2% 23.1% 6.1% 11.4% 4.8% 7.6%
Social Changes 28 February-2 March 2020 - - 42% 24% 11% 9% 5% 9%
Estymator 27–28 February 2020 - 0.1% 44.8% 24.4% 9.7% 10.4% 4.9% 5.7%
Indicator 26–28 February 2020 4.3% 1.2% 42.9% 23.3% 9.3% 8.1% 3.7% 7.2%
Pollster 24–26 February 2020 - - 42.44% 22.14% 9.45% 11.71% 4.92% 9.34%
Social Changes 21–24 February 2020 - - 43% 24% 10% 7% 5% 11%
United Survey 22 February 2020 5.8% - 41.9% 22.2% 8.2% 10.4% 4.1% 7.4%
IPSOS 20–22 February 2020 6% - 41% 25% 9% 7% 5% 7%
IBSP 18–20 February 2020 - 0.58% 45.16% 26.42% 8.78% 6.56% 4.44% 8.06%
Social Changes 14–18 February 2020 - - 40% 25% 9% 9% 5% 12%
CBOS 6–16 February 2020 12% 3% 50% 20% 4% 5% 1% 5%
Dobra Opinia 10–14 February 2020 - - 41.34% 24.02% 11.21% 8.11% 5.31% 10.01%
Estymator 12–13 February 2020 - 0.2% 45.3% 26.4% 7.4% 10.1% 4.7% 5.9%
Kantar 7–12 February 2020 17% 1% 40% 21% 7% 5% 3% 6%
Social Changes 7–11 February 2020 - - 46% 24% 9% 7% 5% 9%
IBRiS 7–8 February 2020 4.3% - 43.7% 29.2% 6.9% 4.0% 3.8% 8.1%
IBRiS N/A 8.2% - 41.7% 26.3% 7.7% 5.2% 4.6% 6.3%
5 February 2020 Election is officially announced to be held on May 10th. The campaign starts
Social Changes 1–4 February 2020 - 2%[ag] 42% 25% 10% 6% 3% 12%
Kantar 29-30 January 2020 7% 1% 44% 24% 8% 4% 3% 9%
Maison & Partners[f] 24–28 January 2020 10.0% - 38.3% 22.3% 9.0% 6.3% 3.2% 10.9%
Social Changes 24–27 January 2020 - 2%[ah] 43% 24% 10% 7% 4% 10%
Estymator 23–24 January 2020 - 0.4% 47.1% 24.1% 8.9% 9.3% 4.6% 5.6%
18 January 2020 Krzysztof Bosak is declared as a candidate of the Confederation
Social Changes 17–21 January 2020 - - 44% 24% 8% 9% 4% 11%
Kantar 9-15 January 2020 22% 2% 38% 20% 7% 4% 1% 6%
IBSP 14–16 January 2020 - - 43.73% 26.61% 7.26% 7.77% 5.07% 9.56%
Pollster 14–16 January 2020 - - 44.96% 23.11% 9.09% 7.86% 5.12% 9.86%
Social Changes 10–14 January 2020 - - 45% 22% 9% 8% 3% 13%
United Survey 10–11 January 2020 7.4% - 43.0% 23.3% 7.3% 7.0% 5.3% 6.7%
IBRiS 10-11 January 2020 8.2% - 44% 23.3% 6.6% 7.0% 5.1% 5.7%
Estymator 9–10 January - 47.7% 22.7% 8.8% 9% 4.3% 6.9%
5 January 2020 Robert Biedroń is declared as a candidate of the Left
Social Changes 3–7 January 2020 - 6%[ai] 42% 26% - 9% 4% 13%
Social Changes 27–31 December 2019 - 5%[aj] 43% 26% - 6% 4% 16%
Social Changes 20–24 December 2019 - 7%[ak] 43% 24% - 9% 4% 13%
Estymator 19–20 December 2019 - 8.3%[al] 46.6% 22.4% - 9.2% 4.6% 7.9%
IBSP 17–20 December 2019 - 7.4%[am] 43.9% 26.3% - 7.3% 5.4% 9.7%
Social Changes 13–17 December 2019 - 7%[an] 46% 23% - 7% 4% 13%
Social Changes 28 November-3 December 2019 14% 11%[ao] 37% 22% - 8% - 8%
Pre-2020 polls average

Pre-2020 opinion polls[edit]

Poll source Date(s) administered Don't know/
Abstain
Others
Duda
PiS[1]
Other
PiS
Tusk
PO
Other
PO
Czarzasty
SLD
Kukiz
K'15
Petru
.N
Lubnauer
.N
Kosiniak-Kamysz
PSL
Biedroń
Wiosna
Zandberg
Razem
Korwin-Mikke
KORWiN
Rzepliński
IN
Nowacka
IN
Social Changes 19–24 July 2019 - 1.9%[ap] 45% - 21% 6.9%[aq] - 6.7% - - 4.3% 8.2% - 3.4% - 2.7%
Kantar Public 16–19 May 2019 2% - 41% - 27% - - 7% - - 6% 11% 1% 5% - -
Kantar Public 8–10 May 2019 8% - 41% - 28% - - 7% - - 5% 6% 1% 4% - -
IBSP 7–9 May 2019 - 0.4% 43.7% - 34.7% - 1.3% 5.2% - - 6.3% 6.9% - 1.4% - -
Pollster 4–6 April 2019 - - 38% - 27% - 1% 6% - 0% 5% 16% 2% 5% - -
Ariadna 22–26 February 2019 24% - 34% - 20% - - 6% - - 1% 12% 1% - - 2%
IBSP 31 January-6 February 2019 3.0% - 38.8% - 37.8% - 0.7% 2.2% - - 6.1% 8.9% - 2.4% - -
IBRiS 13 November 2018 9% - 37% - 36% - - 4% - - 3% 10% - 1% - -
Ariadna 17–21 August 2018 14% 34% 7%[ar] 21% - - 6% - - 1% 14% 1% 2% - -
Pollster 11–12 July 2018 - 19% 32% - 21% - - 7% - - - 17% - 4% - -
Millward Brown 25–26 April 2018 6% 4% 44% - 24% - - 4% - - 2% 15% 1% - - -
Pollster 5 April 2018 - 4%[as] 36% - 26% - - 7% - 3% 2% 19% - 3% - -
IBRiS 4 April 2018 9.3% - 33.5% - 33.0% - - 6.8% - - 3.0% 11.4% 1.3% 1.7% - -
Pollster 3–5 January 2018 - - 39% - 21% - 1% 9% - 2% 3% 15% 3% 4% - 3%
Ariadna 29 September-2 October 2017 14.3% - 42.7% - 17.1% - 0.4% 9.6% - - 0.9% 12.7% 1.0% - - 1.3%
Pollster 16–17 August 2017 - - 39% 6% [at] 31% 1% [au] 3% 7% 2% - 3% - 3% 5% - -
Ariadna 28–31 July 2017 14% - 37% - 23% - 0% 7% - - 2% 14% 2% - - 1%
IBRiS 26–27 July 2017 9.9% 1.2%[av] 36.2% - 20.5% - - 7.7% 1.5% - 4.1% 16.3% - 2.6% - -
Ariadna 23–26 June 2017 14% - 35% - 23% - 2% 11% - - 4% 9% 1% - - 1%
Ariadna 9–12 June 2017 14% - 32% - 27% - 1% 9% - - 1% 12% 1% - - 3%
21% - 34% - - 8% 1% 8% - - 4% 17% 2% - - 5%
Ariadna 12–16 May 2017 15.4% - 31.9% - 26.9% - - 8% - - - 17.8% - - - -
Kantar Public 26–27 April 2017 10% 1% 38% - 31% - - 12% - - - 8% - - - -
Dobra Opinia 30 March-3 April 2017 - - 37.4% - 25.8% - - 9.5% 7.9% - 4.8% 11.1% - 3.5% - -
Pollster 7–8 March 2017 - 8% 45% - 25% 4%[aw] 5% 2% - - 8% - 3% - -
Pollster 2–3 January 2017 - 17.18% 41.23% 2.19%[ax] 11.55% 4.37%[ay] - 7.36% 7.89% - - 2.62% 0.44% 3.93% 1.27% -
IPSOS 19–21 December 2016 16% 1% 36% 1% 18% 1%[az] 5% 8% - - 8% 1% - - -
Pollster 5–8 February 2016 - 9% 38% - 16%[ba] - 14% 17% - 3% - - - - -
Presidential election 10 May 2015 - 7.3% 34.8% - - 33.8%[bb] - 20.8% - - - - - 3.3% - -


Second round[edit]

Duda v. Trzaskowski[edit]

Duda vs Trzaskowski polling.png




Poll source Date(s)
administered
Undecided/would not vote
Duda
PiS[1]
Trzaskowski
PO


LATE POLL:
IPSOS LATE POLL
12–13 July 2020 51.0% 49.0%
LATE POLL:
IPSOS LATE POLL
12 July 2020 50.8% 49.2%
EXIT POLL:
IPSOS 21:00 UTC+2
12 July 2020 50.4% 49.6%
12 July 2020 12 July 2020 (second round)
Social Changes 8-10 July 2020 47% 46% 7%
IBRiS 9 July 2020 45.7% 47.4% 6.9%
CBOS 30 June–9 July 2020 44.4% 44.6% 11.0%
Kantar 8–9 July 2020 45.9% 46.4% 7.7%
Pollster 8–9 July 2020 50.72% 49.28% -
Indicator 8–9 July 2020 45.9% 44.7% 9.4%
CBOS 29 June – 9 July 2020 50.0% 38.0% 12%
IBRiS 8 July 2020 44.4% 45.3% 10.3%
PGB Opinium 7–9 July 2020 49.16% 50.84% -
IPSOS 7–8 July 2020 50% 47% 3%
Kantar 3–8 July 2020 44% 45% 11%
Social Changes 3–7 July 2020 47% 46% 7%
IBRiS 4 July 2020 48.7% 47.8% 3.5%
United Surveys 4 July 2020 46.8% 45.9% 7.4%
IBRiS 4 July 2020 45.9% 47.2% 6.9%
PGB Opinium 2–4 July 2020 49.62% 50.38% -
Estymator 2–3 July 2020 50.9% 49.1% -
Kantar 2–3 July 2020 46% 47% 7%
IBRiS 1 July 2020 49.0% 46.4% 4.6%
Indicator 30 June–2 July 2020 50.7% 49.3% -
IPSOS 30 June–1 July 2020 48% 49% 3%
Pollster 30 June–1 July 2020 51.14% 48.86% -
Kantar 30 June 2020 44% 45% 11%
IBRiS 28 June 2020 45.8% 48.1% 6.1%
Indicator 28 June 2020 50.9% 49.1% -
Kantar 28 June 2020 45.4% 44.7% 9.9%
28 June 2020 28 June 2020 (first round)
Social Changes 26–27 June 2020 48% 43% 9%
IBRiS 26 June 2020 45.8% 48.1% 6.1%
IBSP 25–26 June 2020[bc] 48.51% 51.49% -
Indicator 23–26 June 2020 50.9% 49.1% -
Estymator 24–25 June 2020 50.6% 49.4% -
Pollster 24–25 June 2020 44.83% 46.48% 8.69%
Kantar 24–25 June 2020 47% 45% 8%
IBRiS 24 June 2020 48.7% 47.5% 3.8%
IPSOS 22–23 June 2020 43% 47% 9%
Social Changes 19–23 June 2020 46% 44% 10%
Pollster 22 June 2020 51% 49% -
IBRiS 20 June 2020 45.6% 45.5% 8.9%
IBRiS 19–20 June 2020 45.2% 46.0% 8.8%
United Survey 19 June 2020 45.8% 46.9% 7.4%
Estymator 18–19 June 2020 50.9% 49.1% -
Kantar 17–18 June 2020 48% 48% 4%
IPSOS 16–17 June 2020 46% 46% 8%
Social Changes 12–16 June 2020 45% 43% 12%
Maison & Partners[f] 12–15 June 2020 43% 46% 11%
Estymator 12–13 June 2020 50.7% 49.3% -
IBRiS 12–13 June 2020 48.8% 48.0% 3.2%
Pollster 9–10 June 2020 53% 47% -
Kantar 5–10 June 2020 41% 43% 16%
Social Changes 5–9 June 2020 47% 45% 8%
Estymator 3–4 June 2020 51.1% 48.9% -
Pollster 2–3 June 2020 53% 47% -
N/A[bd] 1–2 June 2020 47% 53% -
Social Changes 29 May–2 June 2020 46% 42% 12%
United Survey 29 May 2020 44.5% 44.3% 11.2%
IBRiS 29 May 2020 49.0% 46.4% 4.6%
SWPS 28–29 May 2020 43% 57% -
Pollster[be] 26–27 May 2020 51.32% 48.68% -
Social Changes 22–25 May 2020 46% 45% 9%
Maison & Partners[f] N/A May 2020 49% 42% 9%
IBRiS 22–23 May 2020 49.6% 44.7% 5.7%
Estymator 21–22 May 2020 54.2% 45.8% -
N/A[bf] N/A May 2020 45% 55% -
Kantar 18–19 May 2020 48% 41% 11%
Social Changes 11–18 May 2020 48% 41% 11%
Pollster 15–17 May 2020 53% 47% -
United Survey 15 May 2020 49.3% 40.5% 10.2%
IBSP 31 January–6 February 2019 47.9% 49.3% 2.8%


Pre-first round polls[edit]

Duda v. Hołownia[edit]

Duda vs Hołownia polls average




Poll source Date(s)
administered
Undecided/would not vote
Duda
PiS[1]
Hołownia
IN
Indicator 23–26 June 2020 50.6% 49.4% -
IPSOS 22–23 June 2020 44% 49% 7%
Social Changes 19–23 June 2020 45% 44% 11%
Pollster 22 June 2020 48% 52% -
IPSOS 16–17 June 2020 44% 48% 8%
Social Changes 12–16 June 2020 44% 44% 12%
Maison & Partners[f] 12–15 June 2020 42% 50% 8%
Estymator 12–13 June 2020 49.8% 50.2% -
Pollster 9–10 June 2020 53% 47% -
Social Changes 5–9 June 2020 45% 47% 8%
Kantar 5–10 June 2020 41% 43% 16%
Estymator 3–4 June 2020 50.4% 49.6% -
Pollster 2–3 June 2020 52% 48% -
Social Changes 29 May–2 June 2020 46% 45% 9%
United Survey 29 May 2020 43.4% 43.1% 13.5%
SWPS 28–29 May 2020 39% 61% -
Pollster 26–27 May 2020 55.43% 44.57% -
Social Changes 22–25 May 2020 46% 45% 9%
Maison & Partners[f] N/A May 2020 46% 47% 7%
IBRiS 22–23 May 2020 49.8% 45.4% 4.8%
Estymator 21–22 May 2020 50.9% 49.1% -
Kantar 18–19 May 2020 47% 45% 8%
Maison & Partners[f] 15–18 May 2020[r] 38% 51% 11%
15–18 May 2020[s] 47% 46% 7%
Social Changes 11–18 May 2020 46% 44% 10%
Pollster 15–17 May 2020 51% 49% -
Social Changes 1–4 May 2020 56% 35% 9%
Social Changes 17–20 April 2020 62% 30% 8%
Kantar 16–17 April 2020 69% 23% 8%
Social Changes 10–13 April 2020 61% 28% 11%
Maison & Partners[f] 3–7 April 2020 34% 43% 23%
Social Changes 3–6 April 2020 55% 31% 14%
Social Changes 27–30 March 2020 57% 32% 11%
Social Changes 20–23 March 2020 49% 38% 13%
Kantar 6–11 March 2020 46% 30% 24%
Social Changes 6–10 March 2020 46% 41% 13%
Social Changes 28 February-2 March 2020 43% 42% 15%
Indicator 26–28 February 2020 53.2% 46.8% -
Pollster 24–26 February 2020 51.99% 48.01% -
Social Changes 21–24 February 2020 44% 42% 14%
IPSOS 20–22 February 2020 47% 45% 8%
IBSP 18–20 February 2020 52.08% 47.92% -
Social Changes 14–18 February 2020 44% 42% 14%
CBOS 6–16 February 2020 54% 27% 19%
Dobra Opinia 10–14 February 2020 50.4% 49.6% -
Kantar 7–12 February 2020 47% 36% 17%
Social Changes 7–11 February 2020 48% 39% 13%
Social Changes 1–4 February 2020 44% 42% 14%
Maison & Partners[f] 24–28 January 2020 44% 43% 13%
Social Changes 24–27 January 2020 46% 38% 16%
Social Changes 17–21 January 2020 45% 37% 18%
Social Changes 10–14 January 2020 47% 38% 15%
United Survey 10–11 January 2020 51.4% 31.2% 17.4%
Social Changes 3–7 January 2020 44% 41% 15%
Social Changes 27–31 December 2019 42% 41% 17%


Duda v. Kosiniak-Kamysz[edit]

Duda vs Kosiniak-Kamysz polls average




Poll source Date(s)
administered
Undecided/would not vote
Duda
PiS[1]
Kosiniak-Kamysz
PSL
Indicator 23–26 June 2020 51.9% 48.1% -
Social Changes 19–23 June 2020 44% 41% 15%
Pollster 22 June 2020 50% 50% -
IPSOS 16–17 June 2020 45% 45% 11%
Social Changes 12–16 June 2020 44% 42% 14%
Estymator 12–13 June 2020 50.1% 49.9% -
Pollster 9–10 June 2020 51% 49% -
Social Changes 5–9 June 2020 45% 44% 11%
Estymator 3–4 June 2020 50.9% 49.1% -
Pollster 2–3 June 2020 51% 49% -
Social Changes 29 May–2 June 2020 46% 42% 12%
United Survey 29 May 2020 45.3% 45.3% 9.4%
Pollster 26–27 May 2020 51.99% 48.01% -
Social Changes 22–25 May 2020 46% 44% 10%
IBRiS 22–23 May 2020 47.7% 47.0% 5.3%
Estymator 21–22 May 2020 53.2% 46.8% -
Kantar 18–19 May 2020 50% 39% 11%
Social Changes 11–18 May 2020 48% 40% 12%
Pollster 15–17 May 2020 51% 49% -
Social Changes 1–4 May 2020 56% 31% 13%
Social Changes 17–20 April 2020 59% 30% 11%
Kantar 16–17 April 2020 66% 22% 12%
Social Changes 10–13 April 2020 60% 28% 12%
Maison & Partners[f] 3–7 April 2020 35% 41% 24%
Social Changes 3–6 April 2020 56% 34% 10%
Social Changes 27–30 March 2020 56% 34% 10%
Social Changes 20–23 March 2020 49% 39% 12%
United Survey 20 March 2020 49.2% 36.6% 14.2%
IBSP 10–13 March 2020 54.91% 45.09% -
Kantar 6–11 March 2020 47% 35% 18%
Social Changes 6–10 March 2020 48% 41% 11%
Social Changes 28 February-2 March 2020 43% 42% 15%
Indicator 26–28 February 2020 53.1% 46.9% -
Social Changes 21–24 February 2020 47% 40% 13%
United Survey 22 February 2020 43.9% 45.9% 10.3%
IPSOS 20–22 February 2020 47% 45% 8%
IBSP 18–20 February 2020 52.23% 47.77% -
Social Changes 14–18 February 2020 42% 39% 19%
CBOS 6–16 February 2020 54% 31% 15%
Dobra Opinia 10–14 February 2020 50.8% 49.2% -
Social Changes 7–11 February 2020 48% 40% 12%
Social Changes 1–4 February 2020 45% 39% 16%
Maison & Partners[f] 24–28 January 2020 47% 41% 12%
Social Changes 24–27 January 2020 46% 38% 16%
Social Changes 17–21 January 2020 45% 39% 16%
Social Changes 10–14 January 2020 48% 36% 16%
United Survey 10–11 January 2020 49.1% 36.0% 14.8%
Social Changes 3–7 January 2020 45% 39% 16%
Social Changes 27–31 December 2019 46% 34% 20%
Social Changes 28 November-3 December 2019 46% 34% 20%


Duda v. Biedroń[edit]

Duda vs Biedroń polls average




Poll source Date(s)
administered
Undecided/would not vote
Duda
PiS[1]
Biedroń
LEFT
Indicator 23–26 June 2020 55.7% 44.3% -
Social Changes 19–23 June 2020 44% 40% 16%
Pollster 22 June 2020 56% 44% -
Social Changes 12–16 June 2020 45% 39% 16%
Pollster 9–10 June 2020 53% 47% -
Social Changes 5–9 June 2020 47% 41% 12%
Pollster 2–3 June 2020 56% 44% -
Social Changes 29 May–2 June 2020 46% 38% 16%
United Survey 29 May 2020 46.1% 40.9% 13.0%
Pollster 26–27 May 2020 55.07% 44.93% -
Social Changes 22–25 May 2020 45% 40% 15%
Kantar 18–19 May 2020 52% 35% 13%
Social Changes 11–18 May 2020 48% 37% 15%
Social Changes 1–4 May 2020 57% 29% 14%
Social Changes 17–20 April 2020 63% 25% 12%
Kantar 16–17 April 2020 66% 23% 11%
Social Changes 10–13 April 2020 62% 24% 14%
Social Changes 3–6 April 2020 60% 27% 13%
Social Changes 27–30 March 2020 58% 30% 12%
Social Changes 20–23 March 2020 50% 37% 13%
Kantar 6–11 March 2020 48% 31% 21%
Social Changes 6–10 March 2020 51% 35% 14%
Social Changes 28 February-2 March 2020 47% 39% 14%
Indicator 26–28 February 2020 55.1% 44.9% -
Social Changes 21–24 February 2020 49% 36% 15%
IPSOS 20–22 February 2020 51% 41% 8%
IBSP 18–20 February 2020 54.64% 45.36% -
Social Changes 14–18 February 2020 47% 38% 15%
CBOS 6–16 February 2020 56% 27% 17%
Dobra Opinia 10–14 February 2020 57% 43% -
Kantar 7–12 February 2020 48% 33% 19%
Social Changes 7–11 February 2020 49% 36% 15%
Social Changes 1–4 February 2020 48% 37% 15%
Social Changes 24–27 January 2020 48% 37% 15%
Social Changes 17–21 January 2020 47% 35% 18%
Social Changes 10–14 January 2020 48% 34% 18%
United Survey 10–11 January 2020 54.1% 31.0% 14.8%
IBRiS 13 November 2018 49% 41% 10%
Millward Brown 25–26 April 2018 58% 40% 2%
IBRiS 14–15 October 2017 51.4% 35.1% 13.5%
Ariadna 28–31 July 2017 51% 32% 17%
Ariadna 12–16 May 2017 47% 31% 22%
Ariadna 12–16 May 2017 28.3% 28.1% 43.6%[bg]
IPSOS 17–19 March 2017 46.9% 34.6% 18.4%
Millward Brown 20–22 May 2016 49% 32% 19%


Duda v. Bosak[edit]

Duda vs Bosak polls average




Poll source Date(s)
administered
Undecided/would not vote
Duda
PiS[1]
Bosak
KWiN
Indicator 23–26 June 2020 52.0% 48.0% -
Social Changes 19–23 June 2020 41% 34% 25%
Pollster 22 June 2020 58% 42% -
Social Changes 12–16 June 2020 40% 33% 27%
Estymator 12–13 June 2020 60.1% 39.9% -
Pollster 9–10 June 2020 61% 39% -
Social Changes 5–9 June 2020 42% 32% 26%
Pollster 2–3 June 2020 60% 40% -
Social Changes 29 May–2 June 2020 44% 29% 27%
United Survey 29 May 2020 46.3% 30.7% 23.0%
Pollster 26–27 May 2020 58.53% 41.47% -
Social Changes 22–25 May 2020 42% 33% 25%
Social Changes 11–18 May 2020 47% 30% 23%
Social Changes 1–4 May 2020 57% 27% 16%
Social Changes 17–20 April 2020 60% 21% 19%
Social Changes 10–13 April 2020 61% 26% 13%
Social Changes 3–6 April 2020 55% 23% 22%
Social Changes 27–30 March 2020 56% 23% 21%
Social Changes 20–23 March 2020 52% 24% 24%
Social Changes 6–10 March 2020 49% 23% 28%
Social Changes 28 February-2 March 2020 47% 25% 28%
Indicator 26–28 February 2020 61.9% 38.1% -
Social Changes 21–24 February 2020 49% 24% 27%
Social Changes 14–18 February 2020 45% 24% 31%
CBOS 6–16 February 2020 56% 13% 31%
Dobra Opinia 10–14 February 2020 74.5% 25.5% -
Social Changes 7–11 February 2020 52% 23% 25%
Social Changes 1–4 February 2020 47% 22% 31%

Duda v. Kidawa-Błońska[edit]

Duda vs Kidawa-Błońska polls average
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Undecided/would not vote
Duda
PiS[1]
Kidawa-Błońska
PO
Social Changes 1–4 May 2020 60% 26% 14%
Social Changes 17–20 April 2020 61% 28% 11%
Kantar 16–17 April 2020 69% 21% 10%
Social Changes 10–13 April 2020 62% 25% 13%
Maison & Partners[f] 3–7 April 2020 38% 37% 25%
Social Changes 3–6 April 2020 57% 29% 14%
Social Changes 27–30 March 2020 58% 30% 12%
Kantar 23–24 March 2020[af] 53% 39% 8%
Social Changes 20–23 March 2020 51% 38% 11%
United Survey 20 March 2020 55.6% 35.9% 8.5%
IBSP 10–13 March 2020 55.88% 44.12% -
Kantar 6–11 March 2020 48% 38% 14%
Social Changes 6–10 March 2020 48% 38% 14%
Social Changes 28 February-2 March 2020 44% 43% 13%
Indicator 26–28 February 2020 53.9% 46.1% -
Pollster 24–26 February 2020 53.83% 46.17% -
Social Changes 21–24 February 2020 46% 42% 12%
United Survey 22 February 2020 49.6% 41.6% 8.8%
IPSOS 20–22 February 2020 48% 46% 6%
IBSP 18–20 February 2020 51.62% 48.38% -
Social Changes 14–18 February 2020 45% 43% 12%
CBOS 6–16 February 2020 54% 29% 17%
Dobra Opinia 10–14 February 2020 50.3% 49.7% -
Kantar 7–12 February 2020 49% 37% 14%
Social Changes 7–11 February 2020 48% 41% 11%
Social Changes 1–4 February 2020 46% 42% 12%
Maison & Partners[f] 24-28 January 2020 49% 42% 9%
Social Changes 24–27 January 2020 47% 40% 13%
Social Changes 17–21 January 2020 45% 39% 16%
IBSP 14–16 January 2020 50.09% 49.91% -
Social Changes 10–14 January 2020 47% 38% 15%
United Survey 10–11 January 2020 47.8% 40.8% 11.4%
Social Changes 3–7 January 2020 45% 42% 13%
Social Changes 27–31 December 2019 45% 42% 13%
Pollster 20–22 December 2019 54.14% 45.86% -
IBSP 17–20 December 2019 50.67% 49.33% -
Social Changes 28 November-3 December 2019 46% 39% 15%

Duda v. Tusk[edit]

Duda vs Tusk polls average
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Undecided/would not vote
Duda
PiS[1]
Tusk
PO
Kantar Public 16–19 May 2019 55% 44% 1%
Kantar Public 8–10 May 2019 56% 40% 4%
IBSP 7–9 May 2019 48.4% 47.3% 4.3%
Ariadna 22–26 February 2019 46% 36% 18%
IBSP 31 January-6 February 2019 45.3% 52.9% 1.8%
Millward Brown 19–20 November 2018 50% 45% 5%
IBRiS 13 November 2018 46% 44% 10%
Pollster 9–10 August 2018 51% 49% -
IBRiS 26–27 July 2018 50% 45% 5%
Pollster 13–14 June 2018 52.5% 47.5% -
Millward Brown 25–26 April 2018 53% 44% 3%
Kantar Public 20–21 November 2017 48% 27% 25%
IBRiS 14–15 October 2017 49.4% 37.8% 12.8%
Ariadna 29 September-2 October 2017 47.5% 36.0% 16.5%
Pollster 20–21 September 2017 47% 53% -
Ariadna 28–31 July 2017 45% 41% 14%
Millward Brown 11–12 July 2017 52% 44% 4%
Pollster 30 June-4 July 2017 52% 48% -
Ariadna 23–26 June 2017 45% 38% 17%
IPSOS 19–21 June 2017 49.9% 37.2% 13%
Ariadna 12–16 May 2017 33% 33.8% 33.2%
Ariadna 12–16 May 2017 30.8% 27.4% 41.8%[bh]
Millward Brown 24–25 April 2017 45% 50% 5%
Pollster 20–21 April 2017 39% 49% 12%
IPSOS 17–19 March 2017 43.7% 43.9% 12.4%
Millward Brown 5 October 2016 49% 45% 6%
Millward Brown 20–22 May 2016 47% 41% 12%

Duda v. Kukiz[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Undecided/would not vote
Duda
PiS[1]
Kukiz
K'15
Ariadna 12–16 May 2017 26.4% 16.3% 57.3%[bi]
IPSOS 17–19 March 2017 44.9% 26.7% 28.4%
Millward Brown 20–22 May 2016 44% 26% 30%

Duda v. Petru[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Undecided/would not vote
Duda
PiS[1]
Petru
.N
Millward Brown 20–22 May 2016 47% 41% 12%

Duda v. Schetyna[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Undecided/would not vote
Duda
PiS[1]
Schetyna
PO
Millward Brown 20–22 May 2016 48% 33% 19%

Duda v. Sikorski[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Undecided/would not vote
Duda
PiS[1]
Sikorski
PO
Social Changes 11–18 May 2020 50% 36% 14%

Duda v. Nowacka[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Undecided/would not vote
Duda
PiS[1]
Nowacka
TR
Millward Brown 20–22 May 2016 50% 30% 20%

Kaczyński v. Tusk[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Undecided/would not vote
Kaczyński
PiS[1]
Tusk
PO
Pollster 9–10 August 2018 35% 65% -
IBRiS 26–27 July 2018 41% 50% 9%

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ Includes: 0.5% – Marek Jakubiak, 0.3% – Stanisław Żółtek, 0.3% – Paweł Tanajno, 0.3% – Waldemar Witkowski, 0.2% – Mirosław Piotrowski.
  2. ^ Includes: 0.5% – Marek Jakubiak, 0.3% – Stanisław Żółtek, 0.3% – Paweł Tanajno, 0.3% – Waldemar Witkowski, 0.2% – Mirosław Piotrowski.
  3. ^ Includes: 0.7% – Marek Jakubiak, 0.3% – Stanisław Żółtek, 0.2% – Paweł Tanajno, 0.1% – Waldemar Witkowski, 0.0% – Mirosław Piotrowski.
  4. ^ Includes: 1% – Waldemar Witkowski.
  5. ^ Includes: 1% – Paweł Tanajno, 1% – Stanisław Żółtek, 0% – Marek Jakubiak, 0% – Mirosław Piotrowski.
  6. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q Hołownia's campaign staff internal poll
  7. ^ Includes: 0.5% – Stanisław Żółtek, 0.4% – Marek Jakubiak, 0.2% – Paweł Tanajno, 0.1% – Mirosław Piotrowski, 0.0% – Waldemar Witkowski.
  8. ^ Includes: 0.6% – Paweł Tanajno, 0.4% – Waldemar Witkowski, 0.2% – Stanisław Żółtek, 0.1% – Marek Jakubiak, 0.1% – Mirosław Piotrowski.
  9. ^ Includes: 1% – Marek Jakubiak, 1% – Mirosław Piotrowski.
  10. ^ Includes: 1% – Marek Jakubiak.
  11. ^ PiS / Duda's campaign staff internal poll
  12. ^ 5% others
  13. ^ Includes: 0.1% – Marek Jakubiak.
  14. ^ Includes: 1% – Marek Jakubiak, 0% – Stanisław Żółtek, 0% – Paweł Tanajno, 0% – Mirosław Piotrowski.
  15. ^ Includes: 0.1% – Marek Jakubiak, 0.0% – Stanisław Żółtek, 0.3% – Paweł Tanajno, 0% – Mirosław Piotrowski.
  16. ^ a b Includes: 1% – Marek Jakubiak, 0% – Paweł Tanajno, 0% – Mirosław Piotrowski, 0% – Stanisław Żółtek.
  17. ^ Includes: 2% – Marek Jakubiak, 2% – Stanisław Żółtek, <1% – Paweł Tanajno, <1% – Mirosław Piotrowski.
  18. ^ a b The poll measures voting intention in case election is held in traditional form in July.
  19. ^ a b The poll measures voting intention in case election is held next Sunday (24 May).
  20. ^ Includes: 1% – Marek Jakubiak, 1% – Paweł Tanajno, 0% – Mirosław Piotrowski, 0% – Stanisław Żółtek.
  21. ^ Includes: 0.82% – Paweł Tanajno, 0.80% – Marek Jakubiak, 0.43% – Mirosław Piotrowski, 0.08% – Stanisław Żółtek.
  22. ^ Includes: 1% – Paweł Tanajno, 0% – Marek Jakubiak, 0% – Mirosław Piotrowski, 0% – Stanisław Żółtek.
  23. ^ a b c d e The poll measures voting intention in case voting in person at polling stations is conducted.
  24. ^ Includes: 0.0% – Stanisław Żółtek, 0.0% – Paweł Tanajno, 0.0% – Mirosław Piotrowski, 0.0% – Marek Jakubiak.
  25. ^ a b Includes: 1% – Marek Jakubiak, 1% – Paweł Tanajno, 1% – Stanisław Żółtek, 1% – Mirosław Piotrowski.
  26. ^ a b c d The poll measures voting intention in case all-postal voting is conducted.
  27. ^ a b c d e f Includes: 1% – Marek Jakubiak.
  28. ^ a b Includes: 2% – Marek Jakubiak.
  29. ^ The poll measures voting intention in case the election is held during the polling period.
  30. ^ The poll measures voting intention in case the election is held on 10 May 2020.
  31. ^ The poll measures voting intention in case the election is held during the coronavirus pandemic.
  32. ^ a b The poll measures voting intention in case the election is held after the end of the coronavirus pandemic.
  33. ^ Includes: 2% – Piotr Liroy-Marzec.
  34. ^ Includes: 2% – Piotr Liroy-Marzec.
  35. ^ Includes: 6% – Adrian Zandberg.
  36. ^ Includes: 5% – Adrian Zandberg.
  37. ^ Includes: 7% – Adrian Zandberg.
  38. ^ Includes: 8.3% – Adrian Zandberg.
  39. ^ Includes: 7.2% – Adrian Zandberg.
  40. ^ Includes: 7% – Adrian Zandberg.
  41. ^ Includes: 7% – Adrian Zandberg, 4% – Grzegorz Braun.
  42. ^ Includes: 1.9% – Grzegorz Braun.
  43. ^ Includes: 5.2% – Rafał Trzaskowski, 1.7% – Bartosz Arłukowicz.
  44. ^ Includes: 5% – Mateusz Morawiecki, 1% – Jarosław Kaczyński, 1% – Zbigniew Ziobro.
  45. ^ Includes: 4% – Monika Jaruzelska.
  46. ^ Includes: 6% – Beata Szydło
  47. ^ Includes: 1% – Grzegorz Schetyna
  48. ^ Includes: 1.2% – Marian Kowalski.
  49. ^ Includes: 4% – Bronisław Komorowski
  50. ^ Includes: 1.60% – Beata Szydło, 0.59% – Jarosław Kaczyński
  51. ^ Includes: 3.96% – Bronisław Komorowski, 0.24% – Grzegorz Schetyna, 0.17% – Ewa Kopacz
  52. ^ Includes: 1% – Grzegorz Schetyna
  53. ^ Includes: 3% – Grzegorz Schetyna
  54. ^ Bronisław Komorowski
  55. ^ The poll has been updated with exit poll data.
  56. ^ PiS / Duda's campaign staff internal poll
  57. ^ Determined people, without undecided ones
  58. ^ PiS / Duda's campaign staff internal poll
  59. ^ 13.8% undecided, 29.8% would not vote
  60. ^ 17.3% undecided, 24.5% would not vote
  61. ^ 16.7% undecided, 40.6% would not vote

References[edit]

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p The President of Poland traditionally resigns from party membership after taking office. Although Duda is officially an independent, his campaign is endorsed and funded by Law and Justice.