Opinion polling for the 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries

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This is a list of nationwide and statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Republican primaries for the 2020 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. The polls included are among Republicans or Republicans and Republican-leaning independents.

Background[edit]

Active campaign
Exploratory committee
Midterm elections
Iowa caucuses
Super Tuesday
Republican convention
Bill Weld 2020 presidential campaignDonald Trump 2020 presidential campaign

National polling[edit]

Since November 2018[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Jeb
Bush
Bob
Corker
Ted
Cruz
Jamie
Dimon
Jeff
Flake
Nikki
Haley
Larry
Hogan
John
Kasich
Mike
Pence
Mitt
Romney
Paul
Ryan
Ben
Sasse
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
Other Undecided
2019
Emerson College May 10–13 384 ± 5.0% 86% 14%
McLaughlin & Associates May 7–11 330 1% 5% 77% 3% 14%
Quinnipiac University Apr 26–29 419 ± 5.6% 3% 84% 3% 1% 8%
HarrisX Apr 26–28 641 ± 4.0% 75% 7% 4% 11%
Morning Consult Apr 19–21 641 ± 4.0% 78% 7% 15%
Ipsos/Reuters Apr 18–19 344 ± 5.9% 1% 1% 5% 4% 10% 60% 2% 16%
Apr 15 Weld announces his candidacy (exploratory committee on Feb 15, 2019)
Emerson College Apr 11–14 324 ± 5.4% 85% 15%
Ipsos/Reuters Mar 25–26 362 ± 5.9% 1% 0% 3% 5% 8% 63% 4% 16%
Morning Consult Mar 22–24 638 ± 4.0% 9% 73% 18%
13% 72% 16%
74% 8% 18%
McLaughlin & Associates Mar 20–24 418 5% 80% 1% 14%
Emerson College Mar 17–18 483 90% 10%
Ipsos/Reuters Mar 5–11 756 ± 4.1% 1% 0% 0% 3% 3% 9% 0% 69% 2% 13%
Monmouth University Mar 1–4 339 ± 5.3% 6% 75% 16%
74% 8% 18%
Ipsos/Reuters Feb 26 – Mar 4 1,086 ± 3.4% 1% 0% 1% 5% 3% 9% 1% 66% 3% 13%
Ipsos/Reuters Feb 19–25 1,138 ± 3.3% 0% 1% 1% 4% 4% 8% 1% 65% 3% 14%
Ipsos/Reuters Feb 12–18 1,040 ± 3.5% 0% 1% 1% 3% 4% 8% 1% 69% 2% 12%
Emerson College Feb 14–16 366 ± 5.1% 85% 15%
McLaughlin & Associates Feb 6–10 413 6% 10% 72% 11%
Monmouth University Jan 25–27 335 ± 5.4% 21% 66% 9%
14% 73% 11%
Zogby Analytics Jan 18–20 307 ± 5.6% 2% 1% 6% 8% 9% 64% 4% 6%
HarrisX Jan 4–5 320 17% 70% 13%
2018
McLaughlin & Associates Dec 10–14 392 2% 5% 9% 72% 12%
Harvard-Harris Nov 27–28 819 3% 5% 2% 2% 6% 6% 5% 1% 44% 2% 16%
HarrisX Nov 16–17 320 17% 66% 17%
9% 70% 21%
13% 69% 18%
14% 67% 19%
19% 69% 12%
20% 65% 15%
8% 70% 21%

Before November 2018[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Bob
Corker
Tom
Cotton
Ted
Cruz
Jeff
Flake
Nikki
Haley
John
Kasich
Mike
Pence
Mitt
Romney
Marco
Rubio
Ben
Sasse
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
2018
Harvard-Harris Jun 24–25 430 15% 85%
GQR Research Jan 6–11 374 4% 1% 4% 3% 11% 5% 5% 62% 0% 5%
2017
Public Policy Polling Dec 11–12 21% 64% 15%
16% 74% 10%
19% 70% 11%
22% 62% 15%
Public Policy Polling Oct 27–29 27% 57% 16%
14% 70% 16%
24% 66% 11%
28% 53% 19%
Public Policy Polling Sep 22–25 15% 68% 17%
18% 68% 13%
21% 59% 21%
Fabrizio Lee Aug 2017 1,500 ± 2.5% 1% 13% 10% 1% 54% 20%
Public Policy Polling Aug 18–21 22% 62% 17%
21% 68% 11%
24% 52% 23%
Opinion Savvy Aug 16–17 220 ± 6.6% 8% 17% 68% 7%
221 ± 6.6% 12% 15% 65% 8%
Marist College Aug 8–12 361 ± 5.2% 23% 64% 10%
33% 56% 8%

Against unnamed primary challenger[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
2019
Morning Consult May 10–12 695 ± 4.0% 84% 15% 3%
Morning Consult May 3–6 680 ± 4.0% 85% 13% 2%
Morning Consult Apr 28–29 692 ± 4.0% 84% 13% 2%
Morning Consult Apr 19–21 641 ± 4.0% 79% 18% 4%
Morning Consult Apr 12–14 367 83% 15% 2%
358 82% 15% 3%
Morning Consult Apr 1–7 11,986 ± 1.0% 76% 20%
Morning Consult Mar 25–31 11,549 ± 1.0% 78% 20%
Morning Consult Mar 18–24 12,090 ± 1.0% 77% 19%
Morning Consult Mar 11–17 11,542 ± 1.0% 78% 20%
Morning Consult Mar 4–10 13,682 ± 1.0% 77% 20%
Morning Consult Feb 25 – Mar 3 11,154 ± 1.0% 77% 20%
Morning Consult Feb 18–24 13,782 ± 1.0% 77% 20%
Morning Consult Feb 11–17 13,974 ± 1.0% 77% 21%
Morning Consult Feb 4–10 10,685 ± 1.0% 77% 20%
2018
Public Religion Research Institute Sep 17 – Oct 1 927 66% 33% 1%
Saint Leo University May 25–31 63% 24% 13%
USC Dornsife/LAT Dec 15 – Jan 15 1,530 ± 3.0% 75% 25%
Emerson College Jan 8–11 198 68% 18% 14%
2017
Public Policy Polling Dec 11–12 70% 24% 6%
Public Religion Research Institute Oct 18–30 846 59% 34% 7%
Public Policy Polling Oct 27–29 57% 36% 8%
Public Policy Polling Sep 22–25 61% 27% 12%
Public Policy Polling Aug 18–21 57% 29% 13%

Statewide polling[edit]

The statewide polls are ordered by the scheduled date of the state's primary or caucus.

Iowa caucus[edit]

The Iowa Republican caucus is currently scheduled to take place on February 3, 2020.[1]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Michael
Bloomberg
John
Kasich
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
Undecided
Emerson College Mar 21–24, 2019 207 ± 6.9% 8% 93%
90% 10%
Emerson College Jan 30 – Feb 2, 2019 280 10% 90%

New Hampshire primary[edit]

The New Hampshire Republican primary is currently scheduled to take place on February 11, 2020.[1]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tom
Cotton
Ted
Cruz
Jeff
Flake
Larry
Hogan
John
Kasich
Mike
Pence
Mitt
Romney
Marco
Rubio
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
Other Undecided
Monmouth University May 2–7, 2019 427 ± 4.8% 72% 12% 1% 2%
Suffolk University Apr 25–28, 2019 394 ± 4.9% 0% 9% 70% 8% 12%
72% 17% 10%
University of New Hampshire Apr 10–18, 2019 208 ± 6.8% 1% 10% 76% 5% 8%
University of New Hampshire Feb 18–26, 2019 218 ± 6.6% 17% 68% 3% 12%
Emerson College Feb 21–22, 2019 328 ± 5.4% 82% 18%
Praecones Analytica Jan 16–21, 2019 330 24% 70% 6%
Suffolk University Apr 26–30, 2018 315 ± 5.5% 15% 72% 13%
23% 68% 8%
28% 63% 9%
23% 66% 11%
University of New Hampshire Apr 13–22, 2018 202 ± 6.8% 19% 67% 0% 14%
American Research Group Mar 21–27, 2018 420 ± 5.0% 4% 34% 51% 11%
33% 49% 18%
42% 48% 9%
5% 7% 11% 36% 41%
American Research Group Aug 4–6, 2017 600 ± 4.0% 52% 40% 8%
52% 27% 32%
Against unnamed primary challenger
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire Apr 10–18, 2019 208 ± 6.8% 63% 14% 23%
University of New Hampshire Feb 18–26, 2019 218 ± 6.6% 56% 15% 29%
University of New Hampshire Aug 2–19, 2018 199 ± 6.9% 56% 20% 24%
University of New Hampshire Apr 13–22, 2018 202 ± 6.8% 55% 19% 27%
University of New Hampshire Jan 28 – Feb 10, 2018 157 ± 7.8% 60% 18% 23%
University of New Hampshire Oct 3–15, 2017 191 ± 7.1% 47% 23% 30%

Nevada caucus[edit]

The date of the Nevada Republican caucus has not yet been set.[1]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
Undecided
Emerson College Mar 28–30, 2019 263 ± 6.1% 92% 8%

South Carolina primary[edit]

The date of the Nevada Republican caucus has not yet been set.[1]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Bob
Corker
Jeff
Flake
Nikki
Haley
John
Kasich
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
Undecided
Emerson College Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2019 380 ± 5.1% 90% 10%
Change Research Feb 15–18, 2019 720 2% 91% 8%
2% 93% 5%
21% 67% 11%
3% 91% 6%
90% 3% 7%

Massachusetts primary[edit]

The Massachusetts Republican primary is currently scheduled to take place on March 3, 2020.[1]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Charlie
Baker
Jeff
Flake
John
Kasich
Mike
Pence
Mitt
Romney
Paul
Ryan
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
Undecided
Emerson College Apr 4–7, 2019 183 ± 7.2% 82% 18%
YouGov/UMass Amherst Nov 7–14, 2018 227 30% 1% 3% 7% 2% 40% 16%
225 33% 1% 7% 26% 8% 2% 22%

Texas primary[edit]

The Texas Republican primary is currently scheduled to take place on March 10, 2020.[1]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
Undecided
Emerson College Apr 25–28, 2019 344 ± 5.3% 87% 13%

Utah primary[edit]

The Utah Republican primary is currently scheduled to take place on March 3, 2020.[1]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Mitt
Romney
Undecided
OH Predictive Insights Mar 15–27, 2019 275 ± 5.9% 37% 55% 8%

Michigan primary[edit]

The Michigan Republican primary is currently scheduled to take place on March 10, 2020.[1]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
Undecided
Emerson College Mar 7–10, 2019 306 ± 5.6% 89% 11%

Ohio primary[edit]

The Ohio Republican primary is currently scheduled to take place on March 10, 2020.[1]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
John
Kasich
Donald
Trump
Undecided
Baldwin Wallace University Feb 28 – Mar 9, 2018 261 ± 6.0% 27% 62%

Florida primary[edit]

The Florida Republican primary is currently scheduled to take place on March 17, 2020.[1]

Against unnamed primary challenger
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
Saint Leo University May 25–31, 2018 68% 18% 13%

Colorado primary[edit]

The Colorado Republican primary is currently scheduled to take place in March 2020.[1]

Against unnamed primary challenger
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
Magellan Strategies Jan 30–31 and Feb 4, 2019 622 ± 3.9% 78% 17% 5%

Wisconsin primary[edit]

The Wisconsin Republican primary is currently scheduled to take place on April 7, 2020.[1]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
Undecided
Emerson College Mar 15–17, 2019 293 89% 11%

Delaware primary[edit]

The Delaware Republican primary is currently scheduled to take place on April 28, 2020.[1]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
John
Kasich
Donald
Trump
Undecided
Gravis Marketing Jul 24–29, 2018 288 ± 5.8% 9% 67% 25%

Maryland primary[edit]

The Maryland Republican primary is currently scheduled to take place on April 28, 2020.[1]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Larry
Hogan
Donald
Trump
Undecided
Gonzales Research Apr 29 – May 4, 2019 203 ± 7.0% 24% 68% 8%

Pennsylvania primary[edit]

The Pennsylvania Republican primary is currently scheduled to take place on April 28, 2020.[1]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
Undecided
Emerson College Mar 26–28, 2019 311 ± 5.5% 90% 10%

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o Putnam, Josh (January 18, 2019). "The 2020 Presidential Primary Calendar". Frontloading HQ. Retrieved April 1, 2019.

External links[edit]