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Opinion polling for the 2025 Chilean presidential election

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In the run-up to the 2025 Chilean presidential election, opinion polls are conducted to assess the intention to vote in Chile during the presidential term of Gabriel Boric. The date range for these opinion polls runs from the first measurement in October 2022, to the day the election is held, 16 November 2025.

Various polls are listed below in reverse chronological order (with the most recent polls first). The order considers the last day of the sampling and only when that period is not known, the date of publication of the poll is shown.

Second round

[edit]
Opinion polls for the second round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election. Each point represents a poll, each line is a local regression that represents the two candidates.
Pollster Date Would not vote DK/NR
Jara
UpCh 		Kast
CpCh
Panel Ciudadano[1][2] 5 Dec 2025 36% 50% 14%
Cadem[3] 3-5 Dec 2025 36% 47% 17%
Start of the two-week polling silence period (30 November 2025)
Encuesta Nacional[4] 30 Nov 2025 39% 61% —
Cadem[5] 29 Nov 2025 34% 46% 20%
Activa[6] 29 Nov 2025 31.6% 45.2% 17.7% 5.5%
Panel Ciudadano[7] 28 Nov 2025 34% 50% 16%
Criteria[8] 27 Nov 2025 35% 51% 14%
Data Influye[9] 22-27 Nov 2025 34% 59% 3% 14%
Atlas Intel[10] 22-26 Nov 2025 35% 56.9% 8.1%
Gallup Marketing & Asesoría[11] 20-26 Nov 2025 38% 59% 3%
Pew Research Center[12] 19-26 Nov 2025 40.4% 59.6% —
CB[13] 18-23 Nov 2025 36.7% 50.9% 12.4%
Criteria[14] 23 Nov 2025 36% 50% 14%
Cadem[15] 21 Nov 2025 34% 46% 20%
Panel Ciudadano[16] 21 Nov 2025 35% 50% 15%
ICSO-UDP[17] 18-21 Nov 2025 34% 44% 11% 11%
Panel Ciudadano[16] 21 Nov 2025 35% 50% 15%
Black & White[18] 18–20 Nov 2025 35% 56% 9%
Gallup Marketing & Asesoría[19] 17–19 Nov 2025 39% 55% 6%
Pew Research Center[20] 17–18 Nov 2025 38.3% 61.7% —
Panel Ciudadano[16] 17 Nov 2025 34% 54% 12%
First round (16 November 2025)
Cadem 13–14 Nov 2025 35% 46% 19%
Cadem 10–12 Nov 2025 34% 44% 22%
Panel Ciudadano 6–7 Nov 2025 33% 47% 20%
Cadem 5–7 Nov 2025 36% 47% 17%
Panel Ciudadano[21] 30–31 Oct 2025 32% 46% 22%
Atlas Intel[22] 25–30 Oct 2025 40% 46% 14%
Criteria[23] 27–29 Oct 2025 33% 51% 16%
LCN[24] 19–28 Oct 2025 44% 56% —
Cadem[25] 22–24 Oct 2025 36% 48% 16%
Panel Ciudadano[26] 22–24 Oct 2025 32% 48% 20%
Criteria[27] 21–23 Oct 2025 35% 46% 19%
Feedback[28] 18–22 Oct 2025 34% 56% 10%
Atlas Intel[29] 15–19 Oct 2025 39% 47% 14%
Panel Ciudadano[30] 16–17 Oct 2025 33% 46% 21%
Activa[31] 15–17 Oct 2025 34.0% 42.0% 16.1% 7.8%
Cadem 15–17 Oct 2025 33% 49% 18%
Criteria 14–17 Oct 2025 36% 48% 16% —
CEP 22 Sep–17 Oct 2025 33% 41% 11% 16%
LCN 3–13 Oct 2025 44% 56% —
Panel Ciudadano 9–10 Oct 2025 31% 46% 23%
Cadem 8–10 Oct 2025 36% 47% 17%
Criteria 7–9 Oct 2025 33% 46% 21% —
Signos Analytics 25 Sep–4 Oct 2025 35.9% 44.0% 7.2% 12.9%
Panel Ciudadano 2–3 Oct 2025 32% 49% 19%
Criteria 30 Sep–2 Oct 2025 36% 47% 17% —
Panel Ciudadano 25–26 Sep 2025 31% 47% 22%
LCN 17–26 Sep 2025 46.0% 54.0% —
Criteria 23–25 Sep 2025 35% 44% 21% —
Panel Ciudadano 18–19 Sep 2025 31% 47% 22%
Criteria 15–17 Sep 2025 35% 46% 19% —
Panel Ciudadano 11–12 Sep 2025 33% 46% 21%
Cadem 10–12 Sep 2025 32% 43% 25%
LCN 2–12 Sep 2025 43.7% 55.8% —
Criteria 11 Sep 2025 35% 46% 19% —
Panel Ciudadano 4–5 Sep 2025 30% 48% 22%
Cadem 3–5 Sep 2025 32% 42% 26%
Criteria 2–4 Sep 2025 36% 45% 19% —
Panel Ciudadano 28–29 Aug 2025 31% 46% 23%
Activa 26–29 Aug 2025 32.9% 37.4% 19.9% 9.8%
LCN 16–28 Aug 2025 43.7% 56.4% —
Criteria 26–28 Aug 2025 33% 47% 20% —
Panel Ciudadano 21–22 Aug 2025 31% 50% 19%
Cadem 20–22 Aug 2025 31% 44% 25%
Criteria 19–21 Aug 2025 32% 50% 18% —
Activa 14–15 Aug 2025 31.9% 40.8% 3.7% 23.6%
Panel Ciudadano 14–15 Aug 2025 32% 48% 20%
Criteria 12–14 Aug 2025 35% 47% 18%
LCN 1–10 Aug 2025 46.5% 53.5% —
Panel Ciudadano 7–8 Aug 2025 32% 50% 18%
Cadem 6–8 Aug 2025 34% 48% 18%
Data Influye 30 Jul–3 Aug 2025 34% 41% 24%
Cadem 30 Jul–1 Aug 2025 37% 49% 14%
Activa 30 Jul–1 Aug 2025 33.5% 41.1% 4.8% 20.5%
Panel Ciudadano 30–31 Jul 2025 33% 49% 18%
Criteria 29–31 Jul 2025 34% 45% 21%
LCN 12–21 Jul 2025 45.8% 54.2% —
Criteria 15–17 Jul 2025 34% 47% 19%
Cadem 9–11 Jul 2025 36% 47% 17%
Data Influye 1–6 Jul 2025 43.7% 43.9% 12.4%
Criteria 1–3 Jul 2025 35% 42% 23%
Panel Ciudadano 29–30 Jun 2025 34% 46% 20%
Cadem 25–27 Jun 2025 30% 50% 11% 9%
LCN 13–21 Jun 2025 46.2% 53.8% —
Cadem 7–9 May 2025 30% 45% 0% 25%

First round

[edit]

Official candidates

[edit]
Opinion polls for the first round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election. Each point represents a poll, each line is a local regression and represents one of the officially registered candidates.
Polling firm Date Other DK/NA
Jara
UpCh 		Kast
PRCh 		Matthei
ChGU 		Kaiser
PNL 		Parisi
PDG 		Ominami
Ind. 		Mayne- Nicholls
Ind. 		Artés
Ind.
Start of the two-week polling silence period (2 November 2025)
Panel Ciudadano[32] 30–31 Oct 2025 26% 21% 14% 14% 10% 1% 3% 1% 5% 5%
Activa[33] 28–31 Oct 2025 24.9% 16.9% 11.2% 12.2% 14.0% 1.9% 3.4% 0.6% 6.2% 8.7%
Atlas Intel[34] 25–30 Oct 2025 33.2% 16.8% 13.9% 16.8% 14.2% 1.0% 1.9% 0.1% 2.0% 0.2%
Black & White[35] 28–29 Oct 2025 30% 23% 17% 20% 7% 1% 3% 1% —
Criteria[36] 27–29 Oct 2025 27% 23% 14% 15% 9% 2% 3% 1% — 6%
Data Influye[37] 23–29 Oct 2025 27% 20% 11% 13% 9% 2% 3% 1% 7% 7%
LCN[38] 17–28 Oct 2025 33.5% 17.7% 19.3% 19.3% 4.5% 0.7% 4.3% 0% —
Second presidential debate (26 October 2025)
Cadem[39] 22–24 Oct 2025 27% 20% 13% 14% 11% 1% 4% 1% 9%
Panel Ciudadano[40] 22–24 Oct 2025 25% 22% 16% 13% 11% 1% 2% 1% 5% 4%
Criteria[41] 21–23 Oct 2025 28% 23% 13% 13% 9% 2% 4% 1% — 7%
Black & White[42] 21–22 Oct 2025 29% 25% 19% 18% 6% 0% 3% 0% —
ICSO-UDP[43] 17–21 Oct 2025 26% 24% 14% 10% 9% 1% 2% 0% — 14%
Atlas Intel[44] 15–19 Oct 2025 32.7% 20.1% 13.8% 13.4% 13.2% 0.7% 2.1% 1.0% 2.7% 0.4%
Panel Ciudadano[45] 16–17 Oct 2025 24% 23% 16% 13% 9% 1% 2% 1% 5% 6%
Activa[46] 15–17 Oct 2025 25.4% 18.7% 12.6% 8.9% 10.4% 3.0% 2.1% 0.6% 9.8% 8.5%
Cadem[47] 15–17 Oct 2025 26% 22% 14% 12% 11% 1% 4% 1% 9%
Criteria[48] 14–17 Oct 2025 29% 24% 15% 12% 9% 1% 3% 0% — 7%
Black & White[49] 14–15 Oct 2025 30% 27% 18% 16% 4% 0% 3% 1% —
LCN[50] 3–13 Oct 2025 36.0% 20.7% 18.3% 16.7% 2.3% 0.7% 4.7% 0.7% —
Panel Ciudadano[51] 9–10 Oct 2025 24% 25% 17% 10% 8% 1% 3% 1% 6% 5%
Criteria[52] 7–9 Oct 2025 26% 26% 17% 10% 8% 1% 3% 1% — 8%
Black & White[53] 7–8 Oct 2025 31% 25% 17% 14% 7% 1% 4% 1% —
Signos Analytics[54] 25 Sep–4 Oct 2025 28.3% 24.2% 13.8% 8.1% 8.8% 2% 1.7% 0.5% 2.3% 10.2%
Panel Ciudadano[55] 2–3 Oct 2025 27% 25% 16% 11% 8% 1% 2% 1% 5% 4%
Cadem[56] 1–3 Oct 2025 27% 23% 15% 11% 10% 1% 4% 0% 9%
Criteria[57] 30 Sep–2 Oct 2025 27% 26% 17% 10% 8% 1% 4% 1% — 6%
Studio Público[58] 26–30 Sep 2025 37.5% 23.9% 11.9% 14.7% 5.1% 0.8% 3.1% 0% 1.1% 1.9%
Panel Ciudadano[59] 25–26 Sep 2025 25% 25% 16% 10% 9% 2% 3% 0% 5% 5%
Cadem[60] 24–26 Sep 2025 26% 23% 17% 11% 9% 1% 5% 0% 8%
Activa[61] 23–26 Sep 2025 23.9% 17.8% 11.7% 10.1% 11.8% 1.4% 2.8% 0.7% 11.3% 8.5%
Data Influye[62] 22–26 Sep 2025 27% 26% 15% 8% 7% 1% 5% 1% 6% 4%
La Cosa Nostra[63] 17–26 Sep 2025 37.7% 22.2% 18.2% 13.8% 2.8% 1.0% 4.0% 0.7% —
Criteria[64] 23–25 Sep 2025 30% 24% 14% 10% 9% 2% 3% 1% — 7%
ICSO-UDP[65] 22–25 Sep 2025 27.0% 24.6% 12.2% 9.6% 9.6% 1.1% 4.8% 0.5% — 10.6%
Black & White[66] 23–24 Sep 2025 30% 26% 19% 11% 6% 1% 4% 1% 3%
Data Veritas[67] 17–20 Sep 2025 32.4% 22.2% 17.1% 15.2% 7.5% 0.1% 3.2% 0.5% 1.9% —
Panel Ciudadano[68] 18–19 Sep 2025 23% 25% 17% 9% 10% 1% 4% 1% 5% 5%
Cadem[69] 17 Sep 2025 26% 24% 16% 9% 11% 1% 5% 1% 7%
Black & White[70] 16–17 Sep 2025 28.9% 25.9% 19.7% 12.2% 4.3% 0.7% 5.5% 0.9% 0.6% 1.5%
Criteria[71] 15–17 Sep 2025 29% 25% 16% 10% 8% 1% 3% 1% — 7%
Panel Ciudadano[72] 11–12 Sep 2025 24% 24% 16% 10% 9% 2% 4% 1% 5% 5%
Criteria[73] 11 Sep 2025 29% 27% 13% 10% 7% 2% 3% 1% — 8%
Atlas Intel[74] 10–14 Sep 2025 38.9% 24.7% 11.8% 9.0% 14.5% — — — 0% 1.2%
Cadem[75] 10–12 Sep 2025 26% 25% 18% 8% 11% 1% 3% 1% 7%
Black & White[76] 10–11 Sep 2025 25.7% 31.6% 17.9% 8.7% 7.1% 0.9% 4.0% 0.9% 1.5% 1.8%
Signos Analytics[77] 9–14 Sep 2025 28.3% 25.4% 13.8% 6.8% 9% 1.5% 1.2% 0.3% 2.5% 11.2%
LCN[78] 2–12 Sep 2025 36.2% 24.7% 20.2% 11.8% 2.2% 1.2% 3.2% 0.7% —
First presidential debate (10 September 2025)
Panel Ciudadano[79] 4–5 Sep 2025 24% 27% 18% 6% 10% 2% 2% 1% 10% —
Cadem[80] 3–5 Sep 2025 28% 26% 16% 8% 11% 1% 2% 1% 7%
Criteria[81] 2–4 Sep 2025 29% 27% 17% 9% 7% 1% 2% 0% — 8%
Black & White[82] 2–3 Sep 2025 31.9% 27.9% 18.2% 9.6% 5.1% 1.6% 1.8% 0.6% 1.2% 2.2%
Data Influye[83] 27–31 Aug 2025 27% 22% 13% 6% 6% 2% 2% 1% 9% 13%
Panel Ciudadano[84] 28–29 Aug 2025 24% 28% 14% 7% 10% 2% 2% 0% 5% 8%
Cadem[85] 27–29 Aug 2025 26% 27% 14% 8% 11% 3% 2% 0% 9%
Activa[86] 26–29 Aug 2025 32.2% 25.4% 17.1% 7.2% 11,1% 3.4% 1.6% 2.0% —
24.6% 19.4% 13.1% 5.5% 8.5% 2.6% 1.2% 1.5% 10.5% 13.1%
LCN[87] 16–28 Aug 2025 36.0% 25.2% 17.3% 11.8% 4.3% 1.3% 3.5% 0.5% —
Criteria[88] 26–28 Aug 2025 27% 28% 14% 8% 9% 2% 2% 1% 9%
Black & White[89] 26–27 Aug 2025 32.0% 29.9% 14.7% 10.8% 4,.5% 1.7% 1.9% 0.9% 2.0% 1.0%
Atlas Intel[90] 20–25 Aug 2025 33.2% 21.6% 18.7% 9.2% 15.8% — — — 1.5%
Panel Ciudadano[91] 21–22 Aug 2025 25% 28% 14% 8% 9% 2% 1% 1% 6% 6%
Cadem[92] 20–22 Aug 2025 27% 28% 14% 7% 11% 1% 1% 1% 9%
Criteria[93] 19–21 Aug 2025 28% 30% 14% 8% 8% 2% 2% 1% — 7%
Black & White[94] 19–20 Aug 2025 30% 35% 14% 11% 5% 0% 2% 0% 2% 1%

Opinion polls before candidate registration

[edit]

Potential candidates are arranged on the left-right axis according to the coalition or party they belong to, with independents, who are outside any coalition, to the right of the table. The highest percentage for each survey is shown shaded and in bold.

After the Unity for Chile primary

[edit]
Polling firm Date Sample size Margin of error Other DK/NA
Jara
UPCh 		Parisi
PDG 		Matthei
UDI 		Kast
PLR 		Kaiser
PNL
Data Influye[95] 1–6 Jul 2025 1.094 ±2.9% 39% 5% 15% 23% 7% 7%
Cadem[96] 2–4 Jul 2025 703 ±3.7% 26% 10% 18% 22% 6% — 10%
Criteria[97] 1–3 Jul 2025 1,002 N.A. 31% 9% 18% 22% 8% — 9%
B&W[98] 1-2 Jul 2025 929 ±3.2% 39% 5% 18% 25% 9% 4%
Activa[99] 30 Jun-1 Jul 2025 1,006 ±3.1% 33.8% 8.9% 16.8% 17.3% 4.3% 15.3%
Panel Ciudadano[100] 29-30 Jun 2025 3,873 ±2% 26% 7% 19% 23% 9% 11% 5%
Atlas Intel[101] 27–30 Jun 2025 3,869 ±2% 38% 15.2% 18.5% 20.2% 5.8% 2.4%

After the official announcement of candidates

[edit]
Polling firm Date Other DK/NA
Jara
PC 		Winter
FA 		ME-O
Ind. 		Mulet
FRVS 		Tohá
PPD 		Undurraga
PDC 		Parisi
PDG 		Matthei
UDI 		Muñoz
PSC 		Kast
PLR 		Kaiser
PNL 		Carter
Ind. 		Mayne-Nicholls
Ind.
Cadem[102] 25–27 Jun 2025 16% 2% — — 4% — 10% 10% — 24% 4% — — 4% 26%
Cadem[citation needed] 17–19 Jun 2025 13% 4% — — 6% — 7% 12% — 19% 6% — — 4% 29%
Cadem[citation needed] 11–13 Jun 2025 13% 4% — — 6% — 5% 14% — 18% 5% — — 5% 30%
Cadem[103] 4–6 Jun 2025 8% 5% — — 7% — 5% 16% — 17% 7% — — 3% 32%
ICSO-UDP[104] 30 May–4 Jun 2025 7.3% 5.5% 2.7% 0.5% 7.8% — 5.7% 22.8% 1% 22.6% 8.1% — 1.8% — 15%
Criteria[citation needed] 2–4 Jun 2025 7% 5% — — 8% — 4% 24% — 20% 8% — — 10% 14%
Data Influye[105] 28 May–1 Jun 2025 11% 6% 2% — 12% — 3% 17% — 16% 9% — — 8% 17%
Activa[106] 28–30 May 2025 7.4% 3.6% — — 6.4% — 5.8% 21.5% — 17.5% 7.4% — — 17.3% 13.1%
Cadem[107] 28–30 May 2025 7% 3% — — 8% — 6% 19% — 16% 7% — — 3% 31%
Atlas Intel[108] 21–26 May 2025 9.9% 11% — — 16.7% — 12.1% 16.6 — 15,6% 11.2% — — 6.9%
Cadem[109] 22–23 May 2025 5% 5% — — 10% — 4% 17% — 16% 6% — — 5% 32%
Panel Ciudadano[110] 20 May 2025 8% 7% 3% — 10% — 5% 22% — 17% 9% 2% — 17%
Cadem[111] 14–16 May 2025 5% 6% — — 10% — 3% 17% — 17% 6% — — 6% 30%
B&W[112] 13-14 May 2025 13% 8% — 1% 15% — 4% 20% 1% 15% 17% — — — 7%
Criteria[113] 12–14 May 2025 5% 5% 2% — 10% — 2% 26% — 17% 10% — — 10% 13%
Cadem[114] 7–9 May 2025 4% 6% — — 12% — 4% 20% — 14% 6% — 1% 5% 28%
ICSO-UDP[115] 5–9 May 2025 6% 5% 3% 0% 11% 1% 5% 23% 1% 19% 10% — 2% — 15%
Cadem[116] 30 Apr–2 May 2025 6% 6% — — 11% — 4% 22% — 13% 10% — — 5% 23%

2025

[edit]
Polling firm Date Other DK/NA
Artés
PC(AP) 		Jadue
PC 		Jara
PC 		Vallejo
PC 		Vodanovic
FA 		ME-O
Ind. 		Mulet
FREVS 		Bachelet
PS 		Tohá
PPD 		Mirosevic
PL 		Orrego
Ind. 		Parisi
PDG 		Matthei
UDI 		Kast
PLR 		Kaiser
PNL 		Carter
Ind. 		Lorenzini
Ind.
Activa[117] 26–28 Feb 2025 — 1.7% — 1.8% 3.6% — — 15.9% 1.9% — — 1.7% 24.3% 10.6% 9.7% — 1.5% 13.9% 13.4%
Criteria[118] 24-26 Feb 2025 — — — 2% 3% — — 18% 3% — — — 26% 10% 11% — — 15%
Signos[119] 9–14 Feb 2025 — — — 2.6% 7.8% — 1.2% 17.3% 8.8% — — 1.8% 23.4% 10.2% 15.8% 3.7% — 5.7% 1.7%
Panel Ciudadano (sólo inmigrantes)[120] 6-7 Feb 2025 — — — 1% 2% 1% — 15% 2% — — 2% 24% 12% 13% 3% — 14%
Cadem[121] 5–7 Feb 2025 — 1% 1% 1% 4% — — 12% 3% 2% — 1% 20% 8% 13% — — 4% 30%
Criteria[122] 3–5 Feb 2025 — — — 2% 3% — — 13% 3% — — 2% 26% 9% 11% — — 12% 19%
Activa[123][124] 30–31 Jan 2025 0.3% — 0.4% 1.1% 2.8% 1.5% — 12.2% 3.2% 0.6% 0.3% 1.1% 27,4% 9.6% 7.7% 0.6% 3% 16% 15%
Atlas Intel[125] 27–31 Jan 2025 — — — 6.1% 9.3% — — 5.6% 13.1% — — 6.1% 19.4% 8.7% 19% — — 12.7%
Signos[126] 22–27 Jan 2025 — — — 3.9% 13.2% — — 4.2% 6.1% — — 2.8% 24.8% 11.3% 15l3% 5.7% — 10.6% 2,1%
Panel Ciudadano[127] 14–15 Jan 2025 — 1% — 2% 1% 1% — 7% 3% — — 2% 26% 11% 7% 1% — 38%
Cadem[128] 8–10 Jan 2025 — — — 2% 3% — — 5% 2% — — 2% 23% 9% 10% — — 6% 38%
Criteria[129] 6–8 Jan 2025 — — — 3% 5% 2% — 11% 3% — — — 28% 10% 7% 2% — 11% 18%

2024

[edit]
Polling firm Date
Jadue
 Vallejo Vodanovic Winter
 Bachelet
PS 		Tohá
PPD 		Piñera
ChV 		Matthei
UDI 		Kast
PLR 		Parisi
PDG 		ME-O Carter
Ind. 		Kaiser
Ind. 		Others DK/NR
Independent
Cadem[130] 12–14 Jun 2024 2% 3% — — 6% 3% — 20% 14% 2% — 1% 2% 6% 41%
Criteria[131] 31 May – 3 Jun 2024 — 4% — — 10% 3% — 25% 13% 3% 2% — — 2% 38%
Activa[132] 29–31 May 2024 2,4% 5,2% — — 9,8% 2,4% — 26,2% 12,1% 1,8% — — 2,3% 24,2% 13,6%
Panel Ciudadano[133] 13–14 May 2024 — 6% 2% — 11% 5% — 27% 18% 4% 3% 4% 3% 2% 15%
Cadem[134] 8–10 May 2024 — 3% — 1% 3% 3% — 24% 14% 2% 1% 2% 2% 8% 37%
La Cosa Nostra[135] 24 Apr – 5 May 2024 — 7,4% — 5,1% 16,2% 10,7% — 33,6% 12,6% 1,8% 2,0% — 5,2% 5,4% —
Feedback[136] 26 Apr – 3 May 2024 — 2% 2% 2% 11% 5% — 26% 16% — — 2% 7% 5% 21%
Criteria[137] 26–29 Apr 2024 2% 6% — — 10% 4% — 30% 12% 3% 2% — 2% 2% 27%
Activa[138] 24–26 Apr 2024 — 3,5% — — 7,1% — — 28,5% 15,6% — 2,2% — — 22,7% 20,4%
Cadem[139] 17–19 Apr 2024 — 3% — — 7% 3% — 24% 14% 1% 1% 1% 2% 6% 38%
Cadem[140] 3–5 Apr 2024 1% 3% — — 4% 2% — 25% 12% 1% — 1% 1% 8% 42%
Criteria[141] 28 Mar – 1 Apr 2024 — 6% — — 7% 2% — 27% 15% 3% — — 2% 3% 35%
Activa[142] 27–28 Mar 2024 — 4,5% — — 8,1% — — 24,9% 11,7% 2,5% 1,6% — 2,5% 26,6% 17,6%
Cadem[143] 13–15 Mar 2024 1% 3% 1% — 4% 2% — 21% 12% 2% — 2% 2% 10% 40%
Criteria[144] 1–4 Mar 2024 — 5% — — 7% 2% — 31% 17% — 2% — — 4% 32%
Activa[145] 28–29 Feb 2024 — 3,3% — — 9,5% 2,1% — 26,2% 10,6% 1,7% — 1,6% 1,6% 24.8% 18,6%
Panel Ciudadano[146] 23–24 Feb 2024 — 6% — 2% 10% 4% — 30% 16% 4% 3% 4% 3% 2% 16%
Cadem[147] 14–16 Feb 2024 1% 4% — — 6% 2% — 22% 19% 1% — 3% 1% 8% 33%
Death of former president Sebastián Piñera (6 February)
Activa[148] 25–26 Jan 2024 — 5,1% — — 6,8% 1,5% 11,1% 17,8% 13,3% 1,7% — — — 20,7% 22,0%
Cadem[149] 10–12 Jan 2024 1% 2% — — 5% 2% 5% 16% 14% 1% — 1% — 8% 45%
Criteria[150] 4–8 Jan 2024 — 6% — — 10% — 4% 24% 17% 3% 2% 2% — 17% 15%

2023

[edit]
Polling firm Date Sample
size 		Others Blank vote /
Undecided
Jadue Vallejo Siches Elizalde Bachelet Tohá Sichel Piñera Matthei Kast Marinovic Parisi Carter Jiles
Ind. Ind. Ind.
Cadem[151] 8-10 November 2023 710 1 5 4 4 - 2 19 17 - 4 2 - 8 34
Research Chile[152] 22 October 2023 832 1 7 - - 9 9 2 2 26 18 - 2 2 - - 13
Research Chile 22-26 September 2023 813 1 6 - - 8 11 1 2 28 17 - 2 2 - - 16
Research Chile[153] 3-5 July 2023 786 1 8 - - 5 9 1 1 23 22 - 2 5 0 16
Cadem[154] 5-7 July 2023 705 - 5.2 - - 5.2 - - 8.6 13.8 36.2 - 3.4 3.4 -
Research Chile[155] 5-7 Jun 2023 805 1 9 - - 7 10 1 0 22 18 - 2 5 0
Research Chile[156] 8-10 May 2023 765 1 9 - 7 5 2 1 22 27 2 2 6 1 11
Cadem[157][158] 3-5 May 2023 703 1 4 – – 2 1 - 4 13 20 1 2 4 – 7[a] 42
Research Chile[159] 10-12 Apr 2023 823 1 6 – – 4 6 1 0 25 12 1 4 10 – 7[b] 22
Activa/Pulso Ciudadano[160] 21-24 Mar 2023 912 1.7 4 – – 5.4 1.5 – 6.8 16.3 15.7 – 2.2 3.9 – 22.1[c] 20.8
Research Chile[161] 6-8 Mar 2023 882 2 9 – – 6 6 2 – 25 11 2 4 5 1 8[d] 20
Research Chile[162] 6-7 Feb 2023 805 2 9 – – 5 4 2 – 25 12 1 4 3 0 6[e] 26
Research Chile[163] 9–10 Jan 2023 803 2 8 – – – 6 3 – 27 17 3 4 3 1 3 20

2022

[edit]
Polling firm Date Sample
size 		Others Blank vote /
Undecided
Jadue Vallejo Siches Elizalde Bachelet Tohá Sichel Piñera Matthei Kast Marinovic Parisi Carter Jiles
Ind. Ind. Ind.
Encuestas Chile[164] 24 Mar –

31 Dec 2022

4,782 1 1 0 0 1 1 3 1 15 12 1 8 2 0 0 38
Cadem[165] 28–30 Dec 2022 705 1 – – – 3 1 1 4 9 13 – 1 1 – 12 54
Research Chile[166] 13-15 Dec 2022 800 2.1 9.5 – – – 5.3 3.3 – 20.6 15.8 2.5 3 – 0.6 19 25
Cadem[167] 26–28 Oct 2022 706 1 3 1 1 3 2 1 5 8 11 – 5 1 1 7 50
Election Results 19 Dec 2021 – 55.9[f] 44.1[g] – – – – –
21 Nov 2021 25.8[f] 11.6[h] 12.8[i] 27.9 12.8 – – 9.1[j] –

Other polling

[edit]

The following polls were conducted for hypothetical second-round matchups.

Jara vs. Parisi

[edit]
Pollster Date Jara
UpCh 		Parisi
PDG 		Would not vote Undecided/No answer
Cadem[168] 20–22 Aug 2025 33% 33% 34%
Criteria[169] 19–21 Aug 2025 34% 31% 35% —
Cadem[170] 6–8 Aug 2025 36% 39% 25%
Cadem[171] 30 Jul – 1 Aug 2025 38% 38% 24%
Cadem[172] 25–27 Jun 2025 32% 44% 24%

Jara vs. Matthei

[edit]
Pollster Date Jara
UpCh 		Matthei
ChV 		Would not vote Undecided/No answer
Panel Ciudadano[173] 21–22 Aug 2025 29% 44% 27%
Cadem[174] 20–22 Aug 2025 33% 40% 27%
Criteria[175] 19–21 Aug 2025 32% 42% 26% —
Activa[176] 14–15 Aug 2025 31,2% 34,1% 4,7% 30%
Panel Ciudadano[177] 14–15 Aug 2025 32% 42% 26%
Criteria[178] 12–14 Aug 2025 33% 42% 25%
LCN[179] 1–10 Aug 2025 42,6% 57,4% —
Panel Ciudadano[180] 7–8 Aug 2025 32% 44% 24%
Cadem[181] 6–8 Aug 2025 37% 46% 17%
Data Influye[182] 30 Jul – 3 Aug 2025 38% 48% 13%
Cadem[183] 30 Jul – 1 Aug 2025 37% 42% 21%
Activa[184] 30 Jul – 1 Aug 2025 29,8% 40,4% 5,7% 24,1%
Panel Ciudadano[185] 30–31 Jul 2025 32% 41% 27%
Criteria[186] 29–31 Jul 2025 34% 40% 26%
LCN[187] 12–21 Jul 2025 41,5% 58,5% —
Criteria[188] 15–17 Jul 2025 34% 40% 26%
Cadem[189] 9–11 Jul 2025 37% 42% 21%
Data Influye[190] 1–6 Jul 2025 41% 43% 16%
Criteria[191] 1–3 Jul 2025 35% 40% 25%
Panel Ciudadano[192] 29–30 Jun 2025 32% 44% 24%
Cadem[193] 25–27 Jun 2025 31% 50% 9% 10%
LCN[194] 18–24 May 2025 38,0% 62,0% —
Cadem[195] 7–9 May 2025 24% 54% 0% 22%
Cadem[196] 26–28 Mar 2025 20% 60% 1% 19%
Cadem[197] 5–7 Mar 2025 17% 56% 2% 25%
Cadem[198] 5–7 Feb 2025 20% 54% 1% 25%

Jara vs. Kaiser

[edit]
Pollster Date Jara
UpCh 		Kaiser
PNL 		Would not vote Undecided/No answer
Cadem[199] 20–22 Aug 2025 36% 30% 34%
Cadem[200] 6–8 Aug 2025 41% 35% 24%
Cadem[201] 30 Jul – 1 Aug 2025 39% 32% 29%
LCN[202] 12–21 Jul 2025 49,3% 50,2% —
Cadem[203] 25–27 Jun 2025 37% 31% 16% 16%
Cadem[204] 7–9 May 2025 30% 37% 1% 32%

Matthei vs. Kast

[edit]
Pollster Date Matthei
ChV 		Kast
PRCh 		Would not vote Undecided/No answer
Cadem[205] 20–22 Aug 2025 28% 36% 36%
Activa[206] 14–15 Aug 2025 27,1% 33,7% 8,1% 31,1%
Activa[207] 30 Jul – 1 Aug 2025 25,7% 31,1% 8,0% 35,2%
Cadem[208] 9–11 Jul 2025 31% 37% 32%
Data Influye[209] 1–6 Jul 2025 24% 28% 48%
Panel Ciudadano[210] 29–30 Jun 2025 32% 35% 33%
Cadem[211] 25–27 Jun 2025 34% 37% 14% 15%
Panel Ciudadano[212] 20 May 2025 32% 30% 9% 29%
Cadem[213] 7–9 May 2025 44% 30% 1% 25%
Cadem[214] 26–28 Mar 2025 44% 34% 2% 20%
Cadem[215] 5–7 Mar 2025 41% 31% 3% 25%
Cadem[216] 5–7 Feb 2025 43% 29% 2% 26%
Cadem[217] 8–10 Jan 2025 52% 28% 2% 18%
Cadem[218] 11–13 Dec 2024 57% 21% 2% 20%
Activa[219] 28–29 Nov 2024 39,9% 29,0% — 31,1%
Cadem[220] 27–29 Nov 2024 54% 27% 1% 18%
Panel Ciudadano[221] 25–26 Nov 2024 40% 24% 29% 7%
Panel Ciudadano[222] 28–29 Oct 2024 40% 24% 31% 5%
Panel Ciudadano[223] 16–17 Sep 2024 44% 19% 29% 7%
Cadem[224] 11–13 Sep 2024 61% 21% 2% 16%
Cadem[225] 7–9 Aug 2024 61% 22% 3% 14%
Cadem[226] 12–14 Jun 2024 52% 29% 2% 17%
Panel Ciudadano[227] 12–13 Jun 2024 41% 23% 27% 9%
Cadem[228] 3–5 Apr 2024 56% 25% 1% 18%
Panel Ciudadano[229] 23–24 Feb 2024 48% 23% 26% 4%

Matthei vs. Kaiser

[edit]
Pollster Date Matthei
ChV 		Kaiser
PNL 		Would not vote Undecided/No answer
Cadem[230] 25–27 Jun 2025 48% 19% 15% 18%
Cadem[231] 7–9 May 2025 48% 21% 2% 29%
Cadem[232] 26–28 Mar 2025 47% 27% 1% 25%
Cadem[233] 5–7 Mar 2025 43% 32% 3% 22%
Cadem[234] 5–7 Feb 2025 50% 27% 1% 22%
Cadem[235] 8–10 Jan 2025 58% 21% 1% 20%
Cadem[236] 11–13 Dec 2024 64% 13% 2% 21%

Enríquez-Ominami vs. Matthei

[edit]
Pollster Date ME-O
Ind. 		Matthei
ChV 		Would not vote Undecided/No answer
LCN[237] 18–24 May 2025 37,0% 63,0% —
Cadem[238] 5–7 Mar 2025 23% 51% 2% 24%
Cadem[239] 27–29 Nov 2024 21% 60% 1% 18%
Cadem[240] 12–14 Jun 2024 29% 57% 2% 12%

Enríquez-Ominami vs. Kast

[edit]
Pollster Date ME-O
Ind. 		Kast
PRCh 		Would not vote Undecided/No answer
Cadem[241] 27–29 Nov 2024 31% 46% 1% 22%
Cadem[242] 12–14 Jun 2024 37% 49% 1% 13%

Parisi vs. Matthei

[edit]
Pollster Date Parisi
PDG 		Matthei
ChV 		Would not vote Undecided/No answer
Cadem[243] 25–27 Jun 2025 37% 39% 11% 13%
Cadem[244] 7–9 May 2025 24% 48% 1% 27%

Parisi vs. Kast

[edit]
Pollster Date Parisi
PDG 		Kast
PRCh 		Would not vote Undecided/No answer
Cadem[245] 25–27 Jun 2025 29% 41% 13% 17%

Other scenarios

[edit]

In addition to the second-round scenarios mentioned previously, pollsters conducted surveys with other possible pairings of presidential pre-candidates who later decided not to participate in the election or lost their pact's primary election.

Pollster Date Bachelet
PS 		Matthei
UDI 		Would not vote Undecided/No answer
Cadem[246] 5–7 Feb 2025 37% 45% 2% 16%
Cadem[247] 8–10 Jan 2025 43% 47% 0% 10%
Cadem[248] 11–13 Dec 2024 39% 51% 1% 9%
Criteria[249] 29 Nov – 2 Dec 2024 32% 44% 24%
Activa[250] 28–29 Nov 2024 31,8% 46,4% — 21,8%
Cadem[251] 27–29 Nov 2024 34% 50% 1% 15%
Panel Ciudadano[252] 25–26 Nov 2024 30% 47% 17% 6%
Panel Ciudadano[253] 28–29 Oct 2024 31% 47% 17% 5%
Panel Ciudadano[254] 16–17 Sep 2024 31% 47% 15% 7%
Cadem[255] 11–13 Sep 2024 38% 54% 1% 7%
Cadem[256] 7–9 Aug 2024 45% 49% 1% 5%
Criteria[257] 1–5 Aug 2024 33% 45% 22%
Criteria[258] 28 Jun – 1 Jul 2024 35% 43% 22%
Cadem[259] 12–14 Jun 2024 42% 49% 0% 9%
Panel Ciudadano[260] 12–13 Jun 2024 28% 45% 20% 7%
Cadem[261] 3–5 Apr 2024 39% 53% 0% 8%
Panel Ciudadano[262] 23–24 Feb 2024 32% 46% 17% 5%
Panel Ciudadano[263] 20–21 Dec 2023 28% 45% 22% 5%
Pollster Date Bachelet
PS 		Kast
PRCh 		Would not vote Undecided/No answer
Criteria[264] 29 Nov – 2 Dec 2024 37% 36% 27%
Activa[265] 28–29 Nov 2024 36,7% 39,8% — 23,5%
Cadem[266] 27–29 Nov 2024 44% 39% 2% 15%
Panel Ciudadano[267] 25–26 Nov 2024 34% 39% 21% 6%
Panel Ciudadano[268] 28–29 Oct 2024 35% 40% 20% 5%
Panel Ciudadano[269] 16–17 Sep 2024 35% 33% 23% 8%
Cadem[270] 11–13 Sep 2024 49% 38% 2% 11%
Cadem[271] 7–9 Aug 2024 52% 38% 2% 8%
Criteria[272] 1–5 Aug 2024 40% 34% 26%
Criteria[273] 28 Jun – 1 Jul 2024 42% 32% 26%
Cadem[274] 12–14 Jun 2024 48% 42% 1% 9%
Panel Ciudadano[275] 12–13 Jun 2024 34% 39% 19% 8%
Cadem[276] 3–5 Apr 2024 46% 39% 1% 14%
Panel Ciudadano[277] 23–24 Feb 2024 33% 43% 19% 6%
Panel Ciudadano[278] 20–21 Dec 2023 36% 41% 19% 4%
Pollster Date Bachelet
PS 		Carter
Ind. 		Would not vote Undecided/No answer
Panel Ciudadano[279] 12–13 Jun 2024 33% 30% 26% 11%
Pollster Date Bachelet
PS 		Orrego
Ind. 		Would not vote Undecided/No answer
Panel Ciudadano[280] 16–17 Sep 2024 36% 15% 36% 13%
Pollster Date Frei
DC 		Matthei
UDI 		Would not vote Undecided/No answer
Cadem[281] 5–7 Feb 2025 25% 50% 1% 24%
Cadem[282] 8–10 Jan 2025 29% 55% 0% 16%
Cadem[283] 11–13 Dec 2024 29% 57% 1% 13%
Pollster Date Lagos W.
PPD 		Matthei
UDI 		Would not vote Undecided/No answer
Cadem[284] 5–7 Feb 2025 20% 53% 1% 26%
Pollster Date Marcel
Ind. 		Matthei
UDI 		Would not vote Undecided/No answer
Cadem[285] 5–7 Feb 2025 22% 55% 1% 22%
Cadem[286] 11–13 Sep 2024 18% 67% 1% 14%
Cadem[287] 7–9 Aug 2024 22% 65% 2% 11%
Pollster Date Marcel
Ind. 		Kast
PRCh 		Would not vote Undecided/No answer
Cadem[288] 11–13 Sep 2024 32% 42% 3% 23%
Cadem[289] 7–9 Aug 2024 34% 43% 3% 20%
Pollster Date Matthei
UDI 		Carter
Ind. 		Would not vote Undecided/No answer
Panel Ciudadano[290] 12–13 Jun 2024 46% 15% 30% 9%
Pollster Date Mirosevic
PL 		Matthei
UDI 		Would not vote Undecided/No answer
Cadem[291] 5–7 Mar 2025 17% 57% 2% 24%
Cadem[292] 27–29 Nov 2024 16% 62% 1% 21%
Pollster Date Mirosevic
PL 		Kast
PRCh 		Would not vote Undecided/No answer
Cadem[293] 27–29 Nov 2024 22% 47% 1% 30%
Pollster Date Winter
FA 		Kaiser
PNL 		Would not vote Undecided/No answer
Cadem[294] 7–9 May 2025 25% 37% 38%

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ Mario Marcel with 4%, Ignacio Briones with 2%, Vlado Mirosevic with 1%
  2. ^ Mario Marcel with 4%, Ignacio Briones with 2%, Vlado Mirosevic with 1%
  3. ^ Leonardo Farkas with 3.6, Marco Enríquez-Ominami with 1.7, others with 17
  4. ^ Mario Marcel with 4, Ignacio Briones with 3, Germán Codina with 1, Manuel Monsalve with 0
  5. ^ Mario Marcel with 3, Ignacio Briones with 2, Germán Codina with 1, Manuel Monsalve with 0
  6. ^ a b Gabriel Boric as Apruebo Dignidad candidate
  7. ^ José Antonio Kast
  8. ^ Yasna Provoste
  9. ^ Sebastián Sichel
  10. ^ Marco Enríquez-Ominami (7.6%) and Eduardo Artés (1.5%)

References

[edit]
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