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Opinion polling for the 2027 French presidential election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2027 French presidential election. The first round is scheduled to be held on 18 April 2027.

First round

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If a candidate receives an absolute majority of the votes (excluding blank and void ballots), the election ends after the first round and the second round does not occur. If a second round occurs, the two candidates who receive the most votes in the first round move on to the second round. Candidates are listed from left to right based on their party's position on the left-right spectrum; when there are several candidates from one party, then they are ordered alphabetically by their last name.

Local regression of polls conducted between the 2022 and 2027 presidential election.
Local regression of polls conducted since September 2024.

October 2026

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Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Nathalie Arthaud
OpinionWay 13–14 Oct 2026 1,043 1% 15% 1% – 2% <0.5% – 13% 5% – 12% – – 4% 6% 1% 35% 5%
OpinionWay 13–14 Oct 2026 1,043 0.5% 14% 3% – 3% – – 13% 7% – 12% – – – 7% 2% 35% 4%
1% 15% 2% – 3% – – 16% 11% – – – – – 9% 2% 37% 4%
1% 15% 2% – 3% – – 15% – – 15% – – – 8% 2% 35% 4%
Ifop 12–14 Oct 2026 1,525 – 16% 2% 2% 2% – – 11.5% 5% – 13% 1.5% – 6% 5% 1% 32% 3%
0.5% 17% 2.5% – 2% – – 16% 13% – – – – – 8% 2% 36% 3%
0.5% 16% 3% – 2.5% – – 13.5% – – 18% – – – 6.5% 2% 35% 3%
– 16% 2.5% – 2% – – 14% 6% – 14% – – – 6.5% 2% 34% 3%
11 Oct 2026 Glucksmann wins the Socialist Primary.
Harris Interactive 5–8 Oct 2026 2,004 1% 18% 2% – 2% – – 10% 5% – 13% – – – 7% 2% 35% 5%
1% 18% 2% – 3% – – 10% – – 17% – – – 7% 2% 36% 4%
1% 18% 2% – 3% – – 11% 12% – – – – – 10% 2% 36% 5%
1% 18% 3% – 4% – 7% – – – 17% – – – 8% 2% 36% 4%
1% 19% 2% – 5% – 7% – 12% – – – – – 10% 2% 37% 5%
Odoxa 24 Sep – 7 Oct 2026 12,005 0.5% 18% 2% – 3% – – 9.5% – – 17% – – – 6.5% 2% 37% 4.5%
1% 18.5% 2% – 3.5% – – 10.5% 11% – – – – – 9% 2% 38% 4.5%

September 2026

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Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Ifop 25–29 Sep 2026 1.393 0.5% 15% 2.5% – 3% – – – – – – 11% 8% – 16% – – – 7% 1% 32% – 4%
0.5% 16% 2.5% – 3% – – – – – – 11% – – 21% – – – 8% 1.5% 33% – 3.5%
1% 15% 2.5% – 4% – – – – – – 13% 15% – – – – – 10% 2% 34% – 3.5%
1% 17% 3% – 5.5% – – 4% – – – – 17% – – – – – 11% 1% 36% – 4.5%
1% 16% 3.5% – 5% – – 3% – – – – – – 23% – – – 8% 1.5% 35% – 4%
0.5% 15% 3% – 6% – 3% – – – – – – – 24% – – – 8% 1.5% 35% – 4%
1% 17% 3.5% – 5.5% – – – – 3% – – – – 23% – – – 8% 1% 35% – 3%
1% 17% 3.5% – 6% 1% – – – – – – – – 23% – – – 9% 1.5% 35% – 3%
0.5% 16% 2.5% – 5% – – – – – 8% – – – 22% – – – 7% 1% 34% – 4%
0.5% 14% 2% 3% 3% – – – – – – 9% 7% – 15% 2% – 3.5% 5% 1% 31% – 4%
Harris Interactive 22–24 Sep 2026 1,974 1% 17% 2% – 3% – – – – – – 10% 5% – 13% – – – 7% 2% 35% – 5%
1% 18% 2% – 3% – – – – – – 10% – – 16% – – – 8% 2% 35% – 5%
1% 17% 2% – 3% – – – – – – 11% 12% – – – – – 10% 2% 36% – 6%
1% 18% 3% – 4% – – – – – 7% – – – 16% – – – 9% 2% 35% – 5%
1% 17% 3% – 5% – – – – – 8% – 13% – – – – – 10% 2% 36% – 5%
YouGov 17–21 Sep 2026 1,103 1% 17% 2% – 3% – – – – – – 8% 9% – 12% – – – 8% 2% 34% – 6%
1% 17% 2% – 3% – – – – – – 9% – 3% 13% – – – 8% 2% 35% – 6%
1% 17% 3% – 3% – – – – – – 9% 14% – – – – – 10% 2% 35% – 5%
1% 18% 3% – 7% – – – – – – – – – 17% – – – 8% 2% 37% – 5%
1% 16% 2% – 4% – – 5% – – – – 9% – 12% – – – 8% 2% 35% – 6%
1% 15% 1% 2% 2% – – – – – 4% 5% 8% – 10% 2% 1% 2% 7% 2% 33% – 5%
19 Sep 2026 Dupont-Aignan announces his candidacy.
17 Sep 2026 Zemmour announces his candidacy.
16 Sep 2026 Faure, Glucksmann, Guedj, Maurel and Royal are the 5 candidates of the Socialist Primary.
Cluster17 15–16 Sep 2026 1,943 0.5% 19% 2% – 2.5% – – – – – – 12% – – 19% – – – 7.5% 3% 31% – 3.5%
0.5% 20% 2.5% – 2.5% – – – – – – 14% 13.5% – – – – – 9.5% 3% 31.5% – 3.5%
1% 19.5% 3% – 3% – – – – – 7.5% – – – 19.5% – – 5% 7.5% 4% 30% – –
OpinionWay 9–10 Sep 2026 1001 1% 16% 3% – 3% – – – 1% – 7% – 8% – 16% – – 2% 7% 2% 32% – 2%
1% 17% 4% – 3% – 3% – 1% – – – 8% – 16% – – 2% 7% 3% 33% – 2%
<1% 17% 2% – 3% – – – <1% – – 9% 7% – 15% – – 2% 7% 2% 34% – 2%
Harris Interactive 8–10 Sep 2026 2,052 1% 16% 2% – 3% – – – – – – 9% 8% – 14% – – – 7% 2% 33% – 5%
1% 17% 3% – 3% – – – – – – 10% – – 17% – – – 7% 3% 34% – 5%
1% 17% 2% – 3% – – – – – – 12% 14% – – – – – 9% 2% 35% – 5%
1% 17% 3% – 4% – – – – – 7% – – – 19% – – – 9% 2% 33% – 5%
1% 17% 3% – 4% – – – – – 7% – 15% – – – – – 10% 2% 36% – 5%
OpinionWay 8–9 Sep 2026 1001 <1% 15% 2% – 3% – – – – – – 9% 8% – 15% – – – 8% 2% 34% – 4%
1% 15% 2% – 4% – – – – – – 12% 14% – – – – – 12% 2% 33% – 4%
1% 15% 1% – 3% – – – – – – 10% – – 19% – – – 10% 3% 34% – 4%
Ipsos 3–9 Sep 2026 13,060 0.5% 15.5% 2.5% – 4% – – – – – – 11.5% 6% – 14% – – – 7% 2% 33% – 4%
0.5% 15.5% 2.5% – 4% – – – – – – 12.5% – – 17.5% – – – 8% 2% 33.5% – 4%
0.5% 15.5% 2.5% – 4.5% – – – – – – 13.5% 13% – – – – – 10% 2% 34% – 4.5%
0.5% 16.5% 3% – 5% – – 4.5% – – – – 7.5% – 16% – – – 7% 2% 34% – 4%
0.5% 16.5% 3.5% – 5.5% – – 5% – – – – – – 21% – – – 7.5% 2% 34.5% – 4%
0.5% 17% 3.5% – 5.5% – – 5.5% – – – – 15.5% – – – – – 10.5% 2.5% 35% – 4.5%
6 Sep 2026 Roussel announces his candidacy.
OpinionWay 2–3 Sep 2026 1003 1% 17% 3% – 4% – – – – – – 13% 13% – – – – – 11% – 35% – 3%
1% 16% 3% – 4% – – – – – – 12% – – 20% – – – 8% – 33% – 3%
1% 17% 2% – 3% – – – – – – 11% 7% – 15% – – – 7% – 34% – 3%
Ipsos 31 Aug – 2 Sep 2026 1,500 0.5% 15% 2.5% – 3.5% – – – – – – 11.5% 7.5% – 14.5% – – – 6% 2% 34% – 3%
0.5% 15% 2.5% – 4% – – – – – – 12% – – 19% – – – 7.5% 2% 34.5% – 3%
0.5% 15% 2.5% – 4% – – – – – – 14% 14% – – – – – 9.5% 2.5% 35% – 3%
1% 16% 3% – 5% – – 4.5% – – – – 8.5% – 16.5% – – – 6% 2% 34.5% – 3%
1% 16.5% 3.5% – 5% – – 4.5% – – – – – – 22.5% – – – 7.5% 2% 34.5% – 3%
1% 17% 3.5% – 5.5% – – 5.5% – – – – 15.5% – – – – – 10% 2.5% 36% – 3.5%
Cluster17 31 Aug – 1 Sep 2026 1,711 1% 18% 2% – 2% – – – – – – 11.5% – – 18% 3.5% – – 7.5% 3% 30% – 3.5%
1% 18% 2% – 2.5% – – – – – – 11.5% 13.5% – – 4% – – 9% 3% 31.5% – 4%
1% 17% 2% 4% – – – – – – – 11% – – 17% 3.5% – 4% 6.5% 2% 29% – 3%

July 2026 – August 2026

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Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
30 Aug 2026 Faure announces his candidacy and will participate in the PS primary.
Elabe 26–28 Aug 2026 1,501 1.5% 3% 14% – – – 11.5% 3.5% – 17% 2% – 6.5% 3% 34% 4%
1.5% 3% 14% – – – 14% 3% 12% – 2.5% – 9.5% 2% 34.5% 4%
2% 3.5% 14% – – 7.5% – 4% – 19.5% – – 6% 2.5% 34% 4%
1.5% 4% 14% 6% – 8% – – 12.5% – – – 9% 2.5% 34.5% 4.5%
1.5% 4.5% 14.5% – 3.5% – – 4% – 20.5% 2.5% – 7% 2.5% 35.5% 4%
1.5% 3% 14.5% – – – 12.5% 4% 6.5% 14.5% – – 7% 2.5% 34% 4%
27 Aug 2026 First debate of 7 candidates: Retailleau, Glucksmann, Le Pen, Philippe, Mélenchon, Tondelier and Attal.
Ifop 24–25 Aug 2026 1.598 0.5% 3% 16% – – – 11% 3% 8% 14.5% – – 6% 1.5% 33% 3.5%
0.5% 3% 17% – – – 15% 3% 14% – – – 9% 1.5% 34% 3%
1% 3% 17% – – – 12% 3% – 18% – – 8% 1.5% 33% 3.5%
1% 3% 17% – – – 18% 3% – – – – 12% 2% 35% 3%
1% – 18% – – – 15% – – 19% – – 8% 2.5% 33% 3.5%
1.5% – 18.5% – – – 17% – 15% – – – 9% 2% 34% 3%
1.5% – 19% – – 12% – – – 21% – – 8% 2% 34% 2.5%
23 Aug 2026 Glucksmann announces his candidacy.
Harris Interactive 18–19 Aug 2026 1,764 1% 2% 16% – – – 10% 3% 8% 14% – – 6% 2% 35% 3%
1% 3% 17% – – 8% – 4% 14% – – – 9% 2% 38% 4%
1% 2% 17% – – – 11% 3% 15% – – – 9% 2% 37% 3%
1% 3% 17% – – – 10% 3% – 17% – – 7% 3% 35% 4%
1% 3% 17% – – 8% – 4% – 19% – – 7% 2% 35% 4%
Cluster17 22–24 Jul 2026 1,506 1% 2% 18% – – – 10% 3% – 18% 3% – 8% 3% 30% 4%
1% 2% 18% – – – 10% 3% 14% – 4% – 10% 4% 30% 4%
Elabe 9–10 Jul 2026 1,503 1% 2.5% 16% – – – 10.5% 3.5% – 16.5% 2.5% – 8% 1.5% 35% 3%
1.5% 2.5% 14.5% – – – 11.5% 3.5% 13.5% – 3.5% – 11% 1.5% 34% 3.5%
1.5% 2.5% 14.5% 6% – 9% – – – 19% – – 9% 1.5% 35% 2.5%
1.5% 2.5% 15% 6% – 8% – – 15.5% – – – 11% 1.5% 35.5% 3.5%
1% 2.5% 14.5% – – – 8.5% 4% 7.5% 14% – – 8.5% 1.5% 35% 3%
2% 3% 15% – – 8% – 4% – 18% 3% – 8% 1.5% 34.5% 3%
Verian 9–10 Jul 2026 1,047 – 2% 15% – – – 11% – 8% 17% – – 7% – 37% 3%
OpinionWay 8–9 Jul 2026 963 <1% 2% 13% – – – 9% 5% 7% 18% – – 8% – 35% 3%
1% 2% 15% – – – 9% 4% – 22% – – 9% – 34% 4%
1% 2% 15% – – – 10% 5% 16% – – – 12% – 36% 3%
Harris Interactive 7–8 Jul 2026 1,582 1% 2% 16% – – – 10% 2% 8% 14% – – 7% 1% 35% 4%
1% 3% 16% – – 8% – 5% 16% – – – 8% 2% 36% 5%
1% 3% 16% – – – 11% 3% 16% – – – 9% 1% 36% 4%
1% 3% 16% – – 8% – 4% – 20% – – 8% 1% 35% 4%
1% 2% 16% – – – 11% 3% – 20% – – 8% 2% 34% 4%
Ifop 7–8 Jul 2026 984 0.5% 2% 15% – – – 12% 4% 15% – – – 10% 2% 36% 3.5%
0.5% 3% 15% – – – 9% 3.5% – 19% – – 8% 2% 36% 4%
7 Jul 2026 An appeals court rules that Le Pen can run for public office again. Le Pen announces her candidacy.

January 2026 – June 2026

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Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Ipsos 27–28 May 2026 1,500 1% – 4% 13.5% – – 7% – 4% 9.5% 14.5% – – 8.5% 1.5% 32% 4.5% –
1% – 3% 13% – – – 11% 4% 8.5% 14% – – 8.5% 1.5% 31% 4.5% –
Ifop 26–28 May 2026 1,368 0.5% – 3% 13% – – – 11.5% 3.5% 16% – – – 11.5% 2% 32% 4% –
0.5% – 3% 13% – – – 11% 4% – 19% – – 9% 1.5% 33% 4% –
Harris Interactive 25–27 May 2026 1,744 1% – 4% 15% – – – 11% 3% 15% – – – 11% 2% 32% 6% –
1% – 3% 14% – – – 11% 3% – 19% – – 10% 2% 31% 6% –
22 May 2026 Gabriel Attal announces his candidacy.[1]
Harris Interactive 22 Apr 2026 2,000 1% – 4% 12% – – – 12% 4% 14% – – – 13% 2% 33% 5% –
1% – 4% 12% – – – 11% 4% – 19% – – 10% 1% 32% 6% –
Elabe 25–27 Mar 2026 1,504 1% – 2.5% 12% – – – 12.5% 4% 11.5% – 6% – 10% 2.5% 34% 4% –
0.5% – 3.5% 11.5% – – 8.5% – 5% – 22% 2.5% – 8.5% 3% 31.5% – 3.5%
Ifop 26–27 Feb 2026 1,393 2% – 2% 11% – – – 12% 4.5% 10% – 4.5% – 12% 3% 35% 4% –
1% – 2% 10% – – – 11% 4% – 16% 5% – 11% 2% 34% 4% –

March – December 2025

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Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Elabe 30–31 Oct 2025 1,501 1.5% – 3% 11.5% – – – 12% 4.5% 12.5% – 5% – 8% 2.5% 34% 6.5% –
Harris Interactive 7 Oct 2025 1,124 1% – 3% 14% – – – 12% 3% – 16% – – 10% 1% 34% – 6%
1% – 3% 14% – – – 14% 3% 12% – – – 11% 2% 34% – 6%
Cluster17 30 Sep – 1 Oct 2025 1,534 1.5% – 3% 15% – – – 15% – 12% – – – 14% 3.5% 30.5% – 5.5%
Ifop 24–25 Sep 2025 1,210 1% – 3% 12% – – – 15% – – 16% 5% – 9% 2% 33% – 4%
Ifop 19–20 May 2025 1,114 1% – 3% 13.5% – 4.5% – – 5% – 21% – – 16% 2% 31% – 3%
Harris Interactive 19 May 2025 1,071 1% – 3% 14% – – – 10% 3% – 21% – – 12% – 31% – 5%
1% – 3% 15% – – – 11% 3% 15% – – – 16% – 31% – 5%
Odoxa 23–24 Apr 2025 1,005 1% 2% 3% 12% – – – 11.5% 3% – 20.5% – – 10% 2% 32% – 3%
Ifop/Hexagone 11–18 Apr 2025 9,128 0.5% – 2% 10% 5.5% – – 10% – – 21% – – 9% 2% 32% – 4%
Elabe 2–4 Apr 2025 1,413 1% 2% 6% 10% – 5.5% – – 5.5% – 23.5% – – 8% 3% 32% – 3.5%
0.5% 2% 5% 9.5% – – – 10.5% 4% – 24% – 4.5% – 3% 33.5% – 3.5%
1% 2% 5.5% 11% – 4% – – 6% 18% – – – 10% 3% 36% – 3.5%
31 Mar 2025 Marine Le Pen is barred from running for public office for five years.

March 2023 – March 2025

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Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Ifop 26–27 Mar 2025 1,119 1% 1% 4% 12% – – – 4% – – – – 3% – – – – – – – 25% – – 5% – – 4% – 36% 5%
1% 1% 3% 13% – – – 5% – – – – 3% – – – – – – – 21% – – – – 11% 3% – 34% 5%
1% 1% 4% 13% – – – 5% – – – – 3% 20% – – – – – – – – – 8% – – 3% – 37% 5%
1% 1% 2% 13% – – – – – 11% – – 3% – – – – – – – 20% – – 5% – – 3% – 35% 5%
Ifop 6–9 Dec 2024 1,101 1% 0.5% 3% 12% – – – 5% – – – – 4.5% 20% – – – – – – – 1% – 8% – – 3% – 38% 4%
1% 0.5% 3% 11% – – – – 7% – – – 4% – – – – – – – 24% 1.5% – 6% – – 3% – 35% 4%
0.5% 0.5% 3% 12% – – – 4% – – – – 4.5% – – – – – – – 25% 1% – 6% – – 3.5% – 36% 4%
1% 0.5% 3% 12% – – – 4% – – – – 5% – – – – – – – 26% 1.5% – 6.5% – – 3.5% 34% – 3%
OpinionWay 11–12 Sep 2024 1,009 – – 4% 10% – – – – – 14% – 1% – – – – – – – – 26% – – 5% – – – – 35% 5%
1% 2% – 15% – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – 31% – 7% – – – – – 40% 4%
– – 3% 10% – – – – – 12% – 1% – 8% – – – – – – 23% – – 5% – – – – 34% 4%
1% 2% – 14% – – – – – – – – – 10% – – – – – – 25% – – 6% – – – – 38% 4%
– – – 4% 10% – – – – 14% – 1% – – – – – – – – 28% – – 4% – – – 35% – 4%
– – 4% 10% – – – – – 14% – 1% – – – – – – – – 27% – – – 4% – – – 36% 4%
Ifop 6–9 Sep 2024 1,107 1% 1% 6% 10% – – – 4% – – – – 6% 24% – – – – – – – 3% – 5% – – 2% – 35% 3%
1% 1% 5% 10% – – – – 8% – – – 5% 22% – – – – – – – 3% – 5% – – 2% – 35% 3%
1% 1.5% 6% 9% – – – 4% – – – – 5% – – – – – – – 27% 3% – 4% – – 2% – 34% 3.5%
0.5% 1% 6% 9.5% – – – – 7% – – – 5% – – – – – – – 26% 2% – 4% – – 2% – 34% 3%
Harris Interactive 7–8 Jul 2024 2,496 1% 2% 3% 15% – – – – – 14% - – 3% 20% – – – – – – – – – 5% – – 2% – 31% 4%
1% 1% 3% 15% – – – – – 14% – – 3% – – – – – - – 22% – – 5% – – 2% – 31% 3%
1% 2% 5% 16% – – – 6% – – – – 4% 23% – – – – – – – – – 5% – – 2% – 32% 4%
1% 2% 4% 17% – – – 5% – – – – 4% – – – – – - – 24% – – 5% – – 2% – 32% 4%
Ifop 16–18 Apr 2024 1,090 1% 2% 5% 13% – – – 3% – – – – 2% 22% – – – – – – – 2.5% – 8% – – 2.5% 30% – 9%
1.5% 0.5% 4.5% 14% – – – 3% – – – – 2% – – – – – – – 26% – – 5% – – 2% 33% – 7%
2% 1.5% 6% 15% – – – 5.5% – – – – 3% – – – – 12% – – – 2% – 8.5% – – 2% – 36% 6.5%
1.5% 1.5% 5% 16% – – – 4.5% – – – – 2.5% – – – – – 14% – – 2% – 8% – – 3% – 35% 7%
1% 2% 4% 14% – – – 4% – – – – 3% 20% – – – – – – – 2% – 7% – – 2% – 35% 6%
1.5% 1.5% 4.5% 13% – – – 4.5% – – – – 2% – – – – – – – 24% 2% – 5% – – 3% – 34% 5%
1.5% 1% 5% 13% – – – 4% – – – – 2.5% – – – – – – – 24% 2% 6% – – – 2% – 33% 6%
1% 2% 5.5% 12% – – – – 8% – – – – – – – – – – – 24% 2% – 5% – – 2% – 32% 6.5%
1.5% 2% 5% – 7% – – 3.5% – – – – 3% – – – – – – – 26% 3% – 5% – – 2.5% – 35% 6.5%
Cluster17 2–5 Apr 2024 1,686 – 2% – – 29% – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – 25% – – 4.5% – – 3% – 31% 6.5%
– 3% – 18% – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – 31% – – 5% – – 4% – 32% 7%
Ifop 31 Jan – 1 Feb 2024 1,081 1.5% 1.5% 4% 14% – – – 2% – – – – 2% 22% – – – – – – – 3% – 5.5% – – 2.5% – 36% 6%
1.5% 1.5% 4.5% 14% – – – 2% – – – – 2.5% – – – – – – – 22% 3% – 4.5% – – 2.5% – 36% 6%
Ifop 9–10 Jan 2024 1,144 1% 2% 5% 14.5% – – – 4% – – – – 1% 24% – – – – – – – 2.5% – 6% – – 3% 28% – 9%
0.5% 1.5% 6% 15% – – – 3.5% – – – – 1.5% – – – – – – – 26% 2.5% – 6% – – 2.5% 27% – 8%
0.5% 2% 6.5% 14% – – – 3.5% – – – – 1.5% 23% – – – – – – – 2.5% – 6% – – 2% – 32% 6.5%
0.5% 1.5% 6% 13% – – – 3% – – – – 2% – – – – – – – 25% 2.5% – 5% – – 2% – 33% 6.5%
Ifop 24–25 Oct 2023 1,179 1% 1% 6% 14% – – – 5% – – – – 2% 19% – – – – – – – 4% – 6% – – 3% – 33% 6%
1.5% 1.5% 6% 15% – – – 6% – – – – 2% – – – – 16% – – – 3.5% – 6% – – 2.5% – 33% 7%
1.5% 1% 7% 15% – – – 5.5% – – – – 2% – – – – – 18% – – 3% – 6% – – 2.5% – 32% 6.5%
1.5% 2% 7.5% – 7% – – 4% – – – – 2% – – – – – – – 26% 2.5% – 6% – – 3% – 32% 6.5%
1% 2% 6% 14% – – – 4% – – – – 1% – – – – – – – 25% 2.5% – 5% – – 2% – 31% 6.5%
Harris Interactive 1–4 Sep 2023 2,525 1% 2% 6% 16% – 7% – – – – 5% – – – – – – – 16% – – – – 7% – – 2% – 32% 6%
1% 2% 6% 16% – 8% – – – – 6% – – – – – – 14% – – – – – 7% – – 2% – 32% 6%
1% 2% 6% 16% – 9% – – – – 5% – – – 11% – – – – – – – – 9% – – 2% – 33% 6%
1% 2% 6% 17% – 10% – – – – 7% – – – – 5% – – – – – – – 10% – – 3% – 33% 6%
1% 2% 5% 16% – 8% – – – – 7% – – 12% – – – – – – – – – 8% – – 2% – 32% 7%
1% 2% 6% 17% – 9% – – – – 6% – – – – – 9% – – – – – – 9% – – 2% – 33% 6%
1% 2% 6% 16% – 10% – – – – 6% – – – – – – – – 8% – – – 9% – – 3% – 33% 6%
1% 2% 6% 16% – 5% – – – – 5% – – – – – – – – – 22% – – 5% – – 2% – 30% 6%
OpinionWay 12–13 Apr 2023 1,038 1% 3% – 17% – – – 6% – – – 2% – – – – – – – – 32% – – 7% – – – 23% – 9%
Harris Interactive 6–7 Apr 2023 1,320 1% 1% 4% 16% – 5% – – – – 4% – – – – – – – – – 24% – – 5% – – 2% – 30% 7%
1% 1% 5% 18% – 7% – – – – 5% – – – – – – – 16% – – – – 5% – – 2% – 32% 7%
1% 1% 5% 19% – 8% – – – – 5% – – – – – – 10% – – – – – 7% – – 2% – 33% 8%
1% 1% 4% 17% – – 3% – – – 4% – – – – – – – – – 24% – – 5% – – 2% – 31% 7%
Ifop 30–31 Mar 2023 1,105 1% 2.5% 5% 17% – – – 3% – – – – 1% – – – – – – – 26% 2% – 5% – – 2.5% – 29% 6%
1% 2.5% – 22% – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – 28% 2.5% – 4% – – 3% – 31% 6%
1% 2.5% 6% 20% – – – 2% – – – – 1% – – – – – 18% – – 2.5% – 6% – – 3% – 32% 6%
0.5% 2.5% 5% 20% – – – 3% – – – – 2% – – – – 11% – – – 2% – 8% – – 4% – 35% 7%
1% 1.5% 6.5% 20% – – – 2% – – – – 1% – – – – – – 9% – 3% – 10% – – 3% – 36% 7%
2022 election 10 Apr 2022 – 0.56% 0.76% 2.28% 21.95% – – – – – 4.63% – – – – – – – – – – 3.13% – – – – 2.06% – 23.15% 7.07%

Second round

[edit]

This round occurs if no candidate earns an absolute majority of the votes (excluding blank and void ballots) in the first round. The two candidates who receive the most votes in the first round move on to the second round with the candidate who receives the most votes being declared the winner.

Philippe vs. Le Pen

[edit]
Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Philippe
HOR
Le Pen
RN
Harris Interactive 5–8 Oct 2026 2,004 44% 56%
Harris Interactive 22–24 Sep 2026 1,974 43% 57%
Harris Interactive 8–10 Sep 2026 2,052 45% 55%
Harris Interactive 18–19 Aug 2026 1,764 45% 55%
Harris Interactive 7–8 Jul 2026 1,582 49% 51%
Ifop 7–8 Jul 2026 984 46% 54%
Harris Interactive 25–27 May 2026 1,744 48% 52%
Elabe 25–27 Mar 2026 1,504 53% 47%
Odoxa 23–24 Apr 2025 1,005 54% 46%
Ifop 20–24 Apr 2024 1,081 49% 51%
Ifop/Hexagone 11–18 Apr 2025 9,128 52% 48%
Ifop 31 Jan – 1 Feb 2024 1,081 50% 50%

Attal vs. Le Pen

[edit]
Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Attal
RE
Le Pen
RN
Harris Interactive 8–10 Sep 2026 2,052 44% 56%
Harris Interactive 18–19 Aug 2026 1,764 43% 57%
Harris Interactive 7–8 Jul 2026 1,582 45% 55%
Ifop 7–8 Jul 2026 984 45% 55%
Harris Interactive 25–27 May 2026 1,744 46% 54%
Elabe 25–27 Mar 2026 1,504 49% 51%
Ifop 20–24 Apr 2024 1,081 47% 53%
Ifop 31 Jan – 1 Feb 2024 1,081 49% 51%

Glucksmann vs. Le Pen

[edit]
Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Glucksmann
PP
Le Pen
RN
Elabe 26–28 Aug 2026 1,501 43% 57%

Mélenchon vs. Le Pen

[edit]
Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Mélenchon
LFI
Le Pen
RN
Harris Interactive 5–8 Oct 2026 2,004 33% 67%
Harris Interactive 22–24 Sep 2026 1,974 31% 69%
Harris Interactive 8–10 Sep 2026 2,052 33% 67%
Harris Interactive 18–19 Aug 2026 1,764 32% 68%
Cluster17 22–24 Jul 2026 1,506 39% 61%
Harris Interactive 7–8 Jul 2026 1,582 33% 67%
Ifop 7–8 Jul 2026 984 30% 70%
Harris Interactive 25–27 May 2026 1,744 33% 67%
Cluster17 2–5 Apr 2024 1,686 35% 65%
Ifop 31 Jan – 1 Feb 2024 1,081 36% 64%

Ruffin vs. Le Pen

[edit]
Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Ruffin
PD [fr]
Le Pen
RN
Cluster17 2–5 Apr 2024 1,686 50% 50%

Declined to be candidates

[edit]

Philippe vs. Bardella

[edit]
Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Philippe
HOR
Bardella
RN
Harris Interactive 25–27 May 2026 1,744 46% 54%
Odoxa 20–21 May 2026 1,005 48% 52%
Odoxa 25–26 Mar 2026 1,005 52% 48%
Elabe 25–27 Mar 2026 1,504 51.5% 48.5%
Odoxa 19–20 Nov 2025 1,300 47% 53%
Odoxa 23–24 Apr 2025 1,005 54% 46%
Ifop/Hexagone 11–18 Apr 2025 9,128 50% 50%

Attal vs. Bardella

[edit]
Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Attal
RE
Bardella
RN
Harris Interactive 25–27 May 2026 1,744 43% 57%
Odoxa 19–20 Nov 2025 1,300 44% 56%
Ifop/Hexagone 11–18 Apr 2025 9,128 48% 52%

Glucksmann vs. Bardella

[edit]
Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Glucksmann
PP
Bardella
RN
Elabe 25–27 Mar 2026 1,504 41.5% 58.5%
Odoxa 19–20 Nov 2025 1,300 42% 58%

Mélenchon vs. Bardella

[edit]
Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Mélenchon
LFI
Bardella
RN
Harris Interactive 25–27 May 2026 1,744 32% 68%
Elabe 25–27 Mar 2026 1,504 28.5% 71.5%
Odoxa 19–20 Nov 2025 1,300 26% 74%
Ifop/Hexagone 11–18 Apr 2025 9,128 33% 67%

Retailleau vs. Bardella

[edit]
Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Retailleau
LR
Bardella
RN
Elabe 25–27 Mar 2026 1,504 42% 58%
Ifop/Hexagone 11–18 Apr 2025 9,128 47% 53%

Scenario polling

[edit]

Generic candidates

[edit]
Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Generic EXG
Generic LFI
Generic NFP
Generic PS/PP
Generic ENS
Generic DIV
Generic LR
Generic UDR
Generic DLF
Generic RN
Generic REC!
Harris Interactive 24–25 Apr 2025 1,035 3% – 26% – 19% 1% 10% 2% 2% 34% 3%
2% 8% 20% – 18% 1% 10% 2% 2% 34% 3%
3% – 16% 13% 17% 1% 10% 1% 2% 34% 3%

Bardella runs

[edit]

Due to the National Front assistants affair and her ensuing embezzlement conviction, Marine Le Pen was initially barred from running for public office for five years on 31 March 2025. Therefore, there was speculation that Jordan Bardella would run instead. However, on 7 July 2026, her election ban was shortened to 15 months, allowing her to run.

Cluster 17 Poll

[edit]

The Cluster 17 study presents three scenarios featuring different candidates. Édouard Philippe appears in the first scenario but not Gabriel Attal; however, the latter is included in the second scenario. Raphaël Glucksmann is absent only from the third scenario, where he is replaced by François Hollande. Finally, Éric Zemmour appears in the first two scenarios but not the last, where he is replaced by David Lisnard.[2]

January – June 2026

[edit]
Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Ifop 22–24 Jun 2026 1,415 0.5% 3% 13% – – – 10% 3.5% – – – 19% – 9% 2% 36% – 4%
0.5% 3% 13% – – – 9% 2.5% 8% – 14% – 8% 2% 36% – 4%
0.5% 2.5% 13% – – – 11% 3.5% 15% – – – – 11% 2% 37% – 4.5%
1.5% – 15% – – 9% – – – – – 21% – 10% 3% 37% – 3.5%
1.5% – 14% – – – 11% – – – – 20% – 11% 2.5% 36% – 4%
OpinionWay 10–11 Jun 2026 1,001 1% – 16% – – – 16% – – – – 19% – 9% 2% 34% – 3%
1% 3% 13% – – – 13% – – – – 19% – 8% 2% 33% – 3%
1% 4% 13% – – – 14% – 14% – – – – 9% 2% 35% – 4%
Ipsos 27–28 May 2026 1,500 1% 3% 13.5% – – 7% – 4% 9.5% – – 13.5% – 8% 1.5% 34% – 4%
1% 4% 13% – – – 11% 4% 8.5% – – 13% – 7.5% 1.5% 33.5% – 4%
1% 3% 13.5% – – 7.5% – 4% – – – 19% – 9% 1.5% 35.5% – 4%
1% 3.5% 13.5% – – 8% – 5% 17.5% – – – – 10% 1.5% 36% – 4%
1% 3% 13% – – – 13% 4% – – – 17.5% – 9% 1.5% 34% – 4%
1% 3% 13% – – – 14% 4% 14.5% – – – – 10% 1.5% 35% – 4%
Ifop 26–28 May 2026 1,368 0.5% 3% 12.5% 3% – – 9% 4% – – – 20% – 9% 2.5% 34% – 3%
0.5% 6% 13.5% – 4% – – 4% – – – 21% – 10% 2.5% 35% – 3.5%
1% 3% 13.5% – – 8% – 5% 18.5% – – – – 10% 2% 35% – 3.5%
0.5% 4% 14% – – 8% – 5% – – – 20% – 9% 1.5% 34% – 4%
1.5% – 15% – – 11% – – – – – 22% – 10% 2.5% 34% – 4%
1% – 15% – – – 12% – – – – 22% – 10% 3% 33% – 4%
0.5% 3% 13% – – – 11% 4% 16% – – – 2.5% 10% 2.5% 34% – 3%
0.5% 2.5% 13% – – – 9% 4% 9% – – 14% – 8% 2% 34% – 4%
0.5% 3.5% 13% – – – 10% 4% – – – 18% 2.5% 9% 2% 34% – 3.5%
Harris Interactive 25–27 May 2026 1,744 1% 3% 14% – – – 10% 3% 9% – – 13% – 8% 2% 32% – 5%
1% 4% 15% – – – 11% 3% 14% – – – – 10% 2% 34% – 6%
1% 3% 15% – – – 10% 3% – – – 17% – 9% 2% 34% – 6%
Odoxa 20–21 May 2026 1,005 0.5% 2.5% 16% – – – 11% 4% – – – 17% – 9% 2% 32% – 6%
Harris Interactive 28–30 Apr 2026 1,725 1% 3% 13% – – – 12% 4% 14% – – – – 12% 1% 35% – 5%
1% 4% 12% – – – 11% 4% – – – 19% – 9% 1% 34% – 5%
OpinionWay 26–27 Mar 2026 1,009 1% – 14% – – 12% – – – – – 18% – 11% – 38% 5% –
1% – 13% – – – 15% – 15% – – – – 14% – 38% 5% –
Elabe 25–27 Mar 2026 1,504 1% 4% 12% – 4.5% – – 4.5% – – – 25.5% 3% – 2.5% 38% 5% –
0.5% 3% 13% – – – 12.5% 5% – 8% – – 5% 8.5% 2.5% 38.5% 3.5% –
1% 3% 11% 8% – – 12% – – – 6.5% – 5.5% 9.5% 2.5% 37.5% – 3.5%
0.5% 3% 10.5% – – – 10.5% 4.5% – – – 20.5% 3% 7% 2.5% 36% – 3%
Odoxa 25–26 Mar 2026 1,005 1% 2% 12% – – – 10% 5% – – – 21% – 8% 2% 34% 5% –
1% 2% 13% – – – 10% 4% – – – 25% – – 2% 38% 5% –
Harris Interactive 22 Mar 2026 1,000 1% 3% 13% – – – 14% 5% 13% – – – – 10% 2% 36% – 5%
1% 3% 11% – – – 14% 4% – – – 18% – 7% 2% 35% – 5%
Ifop 26–27 Feb 2026 1,393 2% 3% 11% – 5% – – 5% – – – 19% – 11% 3.5% 36% – 4.5%
2% 3% 11% – – 8% – 5% – – – 18% – 11% 2% 36% – 4%
2% 3% 10% – – – 12% 4% 11% – – – 4% 12% 2% 36% – 4%
1.5% 3% 10% – – – 13% 4% – 8% – – 5% 13% 2.5% 37% – 3%
2% 3% 10% – – – 13% 4.5% – – 6% – 5% 13% 3% 37% – 3.5%
1% 2% 11% – – – 10% 4% – – – 16% 3.5% 10% 2.5% 36% – 4%
2% 2.5% 12% – – – 11% 4.5% – – – 23% – – 3% 37% – 5%
2% 3% 12% – – – 16% 5% – – – – – 17% 3% 38% – 4%
Ifop 1–6 Feb 2026 1,137 1% 3% 13% – – – 9% 3% 8% – – 11% 2% 6% 2% 36% – 4%

March – December 2025

[edit]
Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Odoxa 19–20 Nov 2025 1,300 1% – 3% 12% – – – 14.5% 6.5% 11% – – – – – – – 10% – 3% 36% – – 3% – – –
1% – 3% 11% – – – 13.5% 6% – – – – 17% – – – 8% – 2% 35% – – 3.5% – – –
Verian 18–20 Nov 2025 938 – – 3% 12% – – – 13% 5.5% – – – – 17% – – – 7.5% – 2% 36.5% – – 4% – – –
– – 3% 12% – – – 13% 5% – – – – 17% – – – 7.5% 1% 2% 35.5% – – 4% – – –
– – 3% 12% – – – 12.5% 5% – – – – 16.5% – – – 7.5% – 2% 35.5% – – 4% 2% – –
– – 3% 11.5% – – – 11.5% 5% – – – – 17% – – – 7.5% – 2% 35.5% – – 4% – 3% –
– – 3% 11% – – – 13% 5% – – – – 17% – – – 7.5% – 2% 35.5% – – 4% – – 2%
Elabe 30–31 Oct 2025 1,501 1% – 4.5% 12.5% – 5.5% – – 5.5% – – – – 19.5% 4% – 3% – – 2.5% 36.5% – 6% – – – –
1% – 3% 12% – – 6.5% – 5.5% – – – – 19% 4% 5.5% – – – 2.5% 35% – – 6% – – –
1.5% – 3% 13% – – – 13% 5% – 7% – – – 5% – – 8% – 2% 37.5% 4.5% – – – – –
1% – 3% 12.5% – – – 11% 4.5% – – – – 15.5% 3% – – 8% – 2% 35% – – 4.5% – – –
Harris Interactive 7 Oct 2025 1,124 1% – 3% 14% – – – 14% 3% 12% – – – – – – – 11% – 1% 35% – – 6% – – –
1% – 3% 14% – – – 12% 3% – – – – 15% – – – 10% – 1% 35% – – 6% – – –
Cluster17 30 Sep – 1 Oct 2025 1,534 1% – 4% 14% – 8% – – – – – – – 19.5% – – – 13% – 4.5% 30% – – 5.5% – – –
1% – 3% 15% – – – 15% – – – – – 15% – – – 12% – 3.5% 30% – – 5.5% – – –
1% – 4% 15% – – – – 7.5% – – – – 19.5% – – – 12.5% – 4% 31% – – 5.5% – – –
Ifop 24–25 Sep 2025 1,210 1% – 5% 13% – 7% – – – – – – – 19% 4.5% – – 10% – 2% 34% – – 4.5% – – –
1.5% – 4% 13% – – – 14% – 10% – – – – 4% – – 12% – 2.5% 34% – – 5% – – –
1% – 4% 13% – – – 16% – – 7% – – – 5% – – 13% – 2% 35% – – 4% – – –
2% – 4% 13% – – – 16% – – – – 3% – 6% – – 13% – 3% 35% – – 5% – – –
1% – 3.5% 12% – – – 15% – – – – – 16% 4% – – 9% – 2% 33% – – 4.5% – – –
Ifop 19–20 May 2025 1,114 1% – 3.5% 13% – 4.5% – – 4.5% – – – – 21% – – – 16% – 2% 31% – – 3.5% – – –
Harris Interactive 19 May 2025 1,071 1% – 3% 14% – – – 11% 3% 15% – – – – – – – 17% – – 31% – – 5% – – –
1% – 3% 14% – – – 10% 3% – – – – 21% – – – 13% – – 30% – – 5% – – –
Odoxa 23–24 Apr 2025 1,005 1% 2% 3% 12% – – – 12% 4% – – – – 20% – – – 9.5% – 2% 31.5% – – 3% – – –
Ifop/Hexagone 11–18 Apr 2025 9,128 2% – – 12% 10% – – – – – – – – 26% – – – 10% – 3% 33% – – 4% – – –
1% – 2.5% 10% 5% – – 10% 3% 14% – – – – – – – 14% – 2% 33% – – 4% – – –
1% – 2.5% 10% 4.5% – – 9% 2% 8% – – – 15% 2% – – 7.5% – 2.5% 32% – – 4% – – –
1% – 2.5% 10% 5% – – 10% 3% – – – – 24% – – 3% – – 2.5% 35% – – 4% – – –
1% – 2.5% 10% 5% – – 10% 2.5% – – – – 22% 2% – – 8% – 2% 33% – – 4% – – –
1% – 2.5% 10% 5% – – 10% 2.5% – – – – 22% – – – 8% – 2% 33% – – 4% – – –
1.5% – – 13% – – – 15% – – – – – 22% – – – 9% – 2.5% 33% – – 4% – – –
Elabe 2–4 Apr 2025 1,413 1.5% 2% 5.5% 10.5% – 4% – – 4.5% 18% – – – – – – 4.5% – – 4% 35.5% – – 5% – – –
1% 1.5% 5.5% 10% – 6% – – 6% – – – – 23% – – – 9% – 2.5% 31.5% – – 4% – – –
1% 1.5% 4.5% 9.5% – – – 10.5% 3.5% – – – – 20.5% 2.5% – – 8.5% – 3% 31% – – 4% – – –
Harris Interactive 31 Mar 2025 1,162 1% 1% 4% 13% – 5% – – 4% – – – – 25% – – 4% – – 2% 36% – – 5% – – –
1% 1% 4% 13% – 5% – – 4% – – – – 23% – – – 7% – 2% 35% – – 5% – – –

Re-run of the 2022 election

[edit]

Macron is not eligible to run for a third consecutive term.

First round

[edit]
Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Cluster17 18–20 Oct 2023 1,580 0.5% 0.5% 5% 17.5% 2% 5% 24.5% 3% 3.5% 3% 29.5% 6.5%
Odoxa 5–6 Apr 2023 1,005 1% 1% 5% 19% 2% 4% 23% 3% 3% 2% 32% 5%
Elabe 3–5 Apr 2023 1,808 0.5% 1% 4% 18.5% 1.5% 5% 23% 2.5% 3.5% 2.5% 31% 7%
Ifop 30–31 Mar 2023 1,105 0.5% 1% 5% 17% 2% 5% 25% 1.5% 4% 2% 31% 6%
Cluster17 4–6 Nov 2022 2,151 0.5% 1% 3% 20% 1% 5% 30% 2.5% 3% 2.5% 25.5% 6%
Ifop 25–26 Oct 2022 1,125 0.5% 1% 3% 17% 2% 6% 29% 1.5% 3% 2% 30% 5%
2022 election 10 Apr 2022 – 0.56% 0.76% 2.28% 21.95% 1.74% 4.63% 27.85% 3.13% 4.78% 2.06% 23.15% 7.07%

Second round

[edit]
Polling

firm

Fieldwork

date

Sample

size

Abstention
Macron
RE
Le Pen
RN
Odoxa 5–6 Apr 2023 1,005 – 46% 54%
Elabe 3–5 Apr 2023 1,808 – 45% 55%
Cluster17 4–6 Nov 2022 2,151 – 51.5% 48.5%
Ifop 25–26 Oct 2022 1,125 – 53% 47%
2022 election 24 Apr 2022 – 28.01% 58.55% 41.45%

Footnotes

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ↑ Rose, Michel (22 May 2026). "Former premier Attal enters race for French president, sparking battle for centrist vote". Reuters. Retrieved 12 September 2026.
  2. ↑ "publicsenat.fr". publicsenat.fr (in French). 2026-09-24. Retrieved 2026-09-27.