Opinion polling for the Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2004

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Iowa[edit]

Candidate 6 December 2002 29 January 2003 20 June 2003 26 July 2003 22 September 2003 23 September 2003 1 October 2003 8 October 2003 21 October 2003 18 November 2003 2 December 2003 6 January 2004 7 January 2004 13 January 2004 15 January 2004
John Kerry 18% 24% 15% 14% 20% 13% 17% 16% 9% 15% 9% 15% 18% 21% 26%
Wesley Clark - - - - 7% 6% 7% 6% 7% 3% 4% 2% 4% 2% 2%
Howard Dean 1% 8% 15% 23% 21% 17% 23% 26% 21% 29% 26% 23% 30% 22% 20%
John Edwards 4% 9% 5% 5% 10% 7% 6% 8% 7% 8% 5% 9% 11% 18% 23%
Joe Lieberman 16% 13% 11% 10% 6% 4% 3% 2% 5% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1%
Dick Gephardt 26% 23% 25% 21% 18% 24% 20% 27% 22% 21% 22% 18% 23% 18% 18%
Dennis Kucinich - - 3% 4% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 4% 3% 5% 3%
Al Sharpton - 2% - - - 1% - - - - - 1% - - 1%
Carol Moseley Braun - - 1% 1% 1% 1% - 2% 1% - 1% 2% - - 1%

Source: Arizona - 2004 Presidential Polls

New Hampshire[edit]

Primary polling taken by American Research Group during the last few days of campaigning ( January 23 to January 27, 2004 ) showed that former New Hampshire poll leader as well as national leader Howard Dean was steadily gaining ground on Kerry.

Candidate January 23 to 25 poll tracking January 24 to 26 poll tracking
John Kerry 38% 35%
Howard Dean 20% 25%
John Edwards 16% 15%
Wesley Clark 15% 13%
Joe Lieberman 5% 6%

Gathered from ARG's 2004 NH Democratic Tracking Poll [1]

Margin of Error +/- 4

Tracking polling showed that Dean had been catching up to Kerry in the days before the primary, cutting Kerry's 18 point lead to 10 points in a matter of days. With Dean dropping and Kerry rising, it became apparent that the battle for 1st place in New Hampshire would be close. Also, for third place, Wesley Clark, John Edwards and Joe Lieberman were the only ones fighting for third. With Clark and Edwards both taking hits going into the primary, a Lieberman on the rise, the fight for 1st place and third place, according to polls would be intense.

Missouri[edit]

Candidate 22 January 2004 29 January 2004 29 January 2004 1 February 2004
John Kerry 25% 37% 44% 56%
John Edwards 9% 11% 14% 17%
Howard Dean 6% 7% 9% 9%
Wesley Clark 3% 6% 5% 6%
Al Sharpton 1% 2% 2% 4%
Joe Lieberman 2% 6% 5% 3%
Dennis Kucinich 1% - 1% -
Dick Gephardt 3% - 1% -

Source: Missouri - 2004 Presidential Polls

Delaware[edit]

Candidate 29 January 2004
John Kerry 27%
Joe Lieberman 16%
Howard Dean 14%
John Edwards 9%
Wesley Clark 8%
Dennis Kucinich 1%
Al Sharpton 1%

Source: Delaware - 2004 Presidential Polls

Arizona[edit]

Candidate 22 December 2003 9 January 2004 24 January 2004 29 January 2004 1 February 2004
John Kerry 6% 3% 24% 29% 42%
Wesley Clark 15% 34% 21% 22% 28%
Howard Dean 26% 27% 10% 13% 15%
John Edwards 1% 3% 15% 8% 7%
Joe Lieberman 9% 6% 7% 3% 6%
Dick Gephardt - 6% - - -
Dennis Kucinich 1% - - 2% 1%
Al Sharpton - - - 1% -
Carol Moseley Braun - 1% - - -

Source: Arizona - 2004 Presidential Polls

References[edit]