Opinion polling for the French presidential election, 2012

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This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2012 French presidential election, which was held on 22 April 2012 with a run-off on 6 May 2012.

Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) and utilize the quota method.

First round[edit]

Starting on 12 January 2012, Ifop-Fiducial published a "rolling" poll for Paris Match and Europe 1 which is listed in the tables below as "Ifop-Fiducial" without an asterisk, while separate polls not conducted as part of the "rolling" poll are listed with an asterisk (*).[1] Polls conducted specifically for subsample data are listed with two asterisks (**).

The publication of first-round polls was prohibited after midnight on 20 April 2012.[2]

Graphical summary[edit]

The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the eight major French pollsters. The graphs are smoothed 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).

Jean-Pierre Chevènement of the Citizen and Republican Movement (MRC) withdrew his candidacy on 1 February 2012 after failing to secure significant support.[3] Christine Boutin of the Christian Democratic Party (PCD) renounced her candidacy on 13 February and announced her support for Nicolas Sarkozy,[4] as did Hervé Morin of the New Centre (NC) on 16 February,[5] followed by Frédéric Nihous for Hunting, Fishing, Nature and Traditions (CPNT) on 22 February.[6] On 15 March, Dominique de Villepin of United Republic (RS) announced that he would not secure enough sponsorships to become a candidate "barring a republican miracle", effectively ending his campaign,[7] and Corinne Lepage of Cap21 was absent from the official list of candidates published on 19 March, having also failed to secure at least 500 sponsorships.[8]

Opinion polling for the French presidential election, 2012.png

Official campaign[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Arthaud
LO
Poutou
NPA
Mélenchon
FG
Hollande
PS
Joly
EELV
Bayrou
MoDem
Sarkozy
UMP
Dupont-Aignan
DLR
Le Pen
FN
Cheminade
S&P
2012 election 22 Apr 2012 20.52% 0.56% 1.15% 11.10% 28.63% 2.31% 9.13% 27.18% 1.79% 17.90% 0.25%
Ifop-Fiducial* 18–20 Apr 2012 1,723 25% 0.5% 1% 13.5% 27.5% 2.5% 10% 27% 1.5% 16.5% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 17–20 Apr 2012 2,592 0.5% 1% 13.5% 27% 3% 10.5% 27% 1.5% 16% <0.5%
BVA 18–19 Apr 2012 2,161 24% <0.5% 1.5% 14% 30% 2% 10% 26.5% 2% 14% <0.5%
CSA 18–19 Apr 2012 1,005 1% 1.5% 14.5% 28% 2% 10.5% 25% 1.5% 16% <0.5%
Harris Interactive 18–19 Apr 2012 1,068 0.5% 1.5% 12% 27.5% 3% 11% 26.5% 2% 16% <0.5%
Ipsos 18–19 Apr 2012 1,021 17% <0.5% 1.5% 14% 29% 2% 10% 25.5% 1.5% 16% 0.5%
TNS Sofres 18–19 Apr 2012 1,000 22% <0.5% 1% 13% 27% 3% 10% 27% 2% 17% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 16–19 Apr 2012 2,588 0.5% 1% 13.5% 26% 2.5% 11% 28% 1.5% 16% <0.5%
LH2 17–18 Apr 2012 956 1% 1% 15% 27% 2.5% 10% 26.5% 1.5% 15.5% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–18 Apr 2012 2,552 0.5% 1% 13.5% 26% 3% 11% 27.5% 1.5% 16% <0.5%
BVA 16–17 Apr 2012 1,161 <0.5% 1% 13% 29.5% 2% 12% 27.5% 1% 14% <0.5%
CSA 16–17 Apr 2012 886 0.5% 1% 15% 29% 2% 10% 24% 1.5% 17% <0.5%
OpinionWay 16–17 Apr 2012 1,002 26% 0.5% 2% 13% 27.5% 2% 10% 27.5% 1.5% 16% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–17 Apr 2012 1,709 0.5% 1% 13.5% 26.5% 3% 10.5% 27.5% 1.5% 16% <0.5%
Harris Interactive 12–16 Apr 2012 991 0.5% 1% 12% 27% 2% 11% 28% 1.5% 17% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial* 12–15 Apr 2012 1,808 0.5% 1% 14.5% 28% 3% 9.5% 27% 1% 15.5% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 12–15 Apr 2012 1,711 1% 1% 14% 27.5% 2.5% 10% 27% 1% 16% <0.5%
Ipsos 13–14 Apr 2012 894 19% 1% 1% 14.5% 27% 2.5% 10% 27% 1% 15.5% 0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 10–13 Apr 2012 2,562 0.5% 0.5% 13% 27% 3% 10.5% 28% 1% 16% 0.5%
BVA 11–12 Apr 2012 885 0.5% 0.5% 13% 30% 2% 11% 27% 0.5% 15% 0.5%
TNS Sofres 11–12 Apr 2012 1,000 26% 1% 0.5% 16% 28% 2.5% 9% 26% 1% 16% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 9–12 Apr 2012 2,562 0.5% <0.5% 13.5% 27% 3% 10% 28.5% 1.5% 16% <0.5%
CSA 10–11 Apr 2012 1,013 0.5% 0.5% 17% 27% 1.5% 11% 26% 1% 15% 0.5%
LH2 10–11 Apr 2012 977 1% 1% 13% 29.5% 2.5% 10.5% 27% 1.5% 14% <0.5%
OpinionWay 10–11 Apr 2012 1,007 1% 0.5% 13% 27% 2.5% 10% 28% 2% 16% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 6–11 Apr 2012 2,285 0.5% <0.5% 14% 27% 3% 10% 28% 1.5% 16% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 6–10 Apr 2012 1,425 0.5% <0.5% 14% 27.5% 2.5% 9.5% 28% 1.5% 16.5% <0.5%
Ipsos 6–7 Apr 2012 955 19% 0.5% 0.5% 14.5% 28.5% 1.5% 9.5% 29% 1% 15% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial* 5–7 Apr 2012 1,869 0.5% 0.5% 14% 27% 2.5% 9.5% 28.5% 1% 16.5% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 5–7 Apr 2012 1,002 0.5% 0.5% 13.5% 27% 2.5% 10% 28% 1% 17% <0.5%
Harris Interactive 3–6 Apr 2012 1,033 1% 1% 13% 27% 3% 10% 28% 1% 16% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 3–6 Apr 2012 1,284 0.5% 0.5% 12.5% 26.5% 3% 10% 29% 1.5% 16.5% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 2–5 Apr 2012 1,060 0.5% 1% 13% 26.5% 3% 10% 28.5% 1.5% 16% <0.5%
OpinionWay 3–4 Apr 2012 969 0.5% 1% 14% 26% 2% 11% 28.5% 1% 16% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 31 Mar–4 Apr 2012 1,432 0.5% 1% 12.5% 27% 3% 10.5% 28.5% 1% 16% <0.5%
CSA 2–3 Apr 2012 884 0.5% 0.5% 15% 29% 1.5% 10% 30% 0.5% 13% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 31 Mar–3 Apr 2012 999 0.5% 0.5% 12.5% 27.5% 3% 11% 28.5% 1% 15.5% <0.5%
Harris Interactive 29 Mar–2 Apr 2012 1,059 0.5% 0.5% 14% 26% 3% 10% 29% 1% 16% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 29 Mar–2 Apr 2012 893 0.5% 0.5% 12.5% 27.5% 2.5% 11% 29% 1% 15.5% <0.5%
Ipsos 30–31 Mar 2012 881 20% 1% 0.5% 14.5% 27.5% 2% 10% 29.5% 1% 14% <0.5%
LH2 30–31 Mar 2012 973 0.5% 0.5% 15% 28.5% 2% 12% 27.5% 0.5% 13.5% 0%
BVA 29–31 Mar 2012 2,555 1% 1% 14% 28% 2% 11% 27% 1% 15% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 27–30 Mar 2012 957 0.5% 0.5% 13.5% 27% 2.5% 10.5% 28.5% 1% 16% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 26–29 Mar 2012 950 0.5% <0.5% 14% 26.5% 2.5% 11% 28% 1% 16.5% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–28 Mar 2012 1,211 0.5% 0.5% 14% 26.5% 2.5% 11% 27.5% 1% 16% 0.5%
CSA 26–27 Mar 2012 876 0.5% 0.5% 12.5% 26% 2.5% 12.5% 30% 0.5% 15% <0.5%
OpinionWay 26–27 Mar 2012 1,148 1% 0.5% 11% 27% 2% 12% 28% 1% 17% 0.5%
TNS Sofres 26–27 Mar 2012 1,000 26% 0.5% 0.5% 13.5% 28% 2% 10% 29% 1% 15% 0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–27 Mar 2012 902 <0.5% 0.5% 13.5% 26.5% 2.5% 11.5% 28% 1% 16% 0.5%
Harris Interactive 22–26 Mar 2012 1,231 0.5% 0.5% 13% 27% 3% 11% 28% 1% 16% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial* 22–25 Mar 2012 1,769 0.5% 0.5% 13% 27% 2% 11.5% 28.5% 1% 15.5% 0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 22–25 Mar 2012 887 0.5% 0.5% 13% 26.5% 2.5% 12% 28.5% 0.5% 15.5% 0.5%
Ipsos 23–24 Mar 2012 978 21% 0.5% 0.5% 13% 28% 2% 11.5% 27.5% 1% 16% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 20–23 Mar 2012 942 0.5% 0.5% 12% 27% 3% 12% 28.5% 0.5% 16% <0.5%
BVA 21–22 Mar 2012 926 <0.5% <0.5% 14% 29.5% 2% 12% 28% 1.5% 13% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 19–22 Mar 2012 945 0.5% 0.5% 11% 27.5% 3% 12% 28% 0.5% 17% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 17–21 Mar 2012 1,195 0.5% 0.5% 10.5% 28% 2.5% 12% 28% 1% 17% <0.5%
CSA 19–20 Mar 2012 888 <0.5% <0.5% 13% 28% 2% 13% 30% 0.5% 13.5% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 17–20 Mar 2012 876 0.5% 0.5% 10.5% 28% 2.5% 12% 27.5% 1% 17.5% <0.5%

17 October 2011 to 19 March 2012[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Arthaud
LO
Poutou
NPA
Mélenchon
FG
Chevènement
MRC
Hollande
PS
Joly
EELV
Bayrou
MoDem
Lepage
Cap21
Villepin
RS
Morin
NC
Nihous
CPNT
Sarkozy
UMP
Boutin
PCD
Dupont-Aignan
DLR
Le Pen
FN
Cheminade
S&P
Harris Interactive 15–19 Mar 2012 1,097 0.5% 1% 11% 28% 3% 12% 0.5% 27% 1% 16% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 15–19 Mar 2012 881 0.5% 0.5% 10.5% 27.5% 3% 12.5% <0.5% 0.5% 27.5% 0.5% 17% <0.5%
Ifop 16–17 Mar 2012 961 0.5% 0.5% 11% 27% 2.5% 13% 27.5% 0.5% 17.5% <0.5%
Ipsos 16–17 Mar 2012 950 20% 0.5% 0.5% 11.5% 28.5% 2% 13% <0.5% 27.5% 1.5% 15% <0.5%
LH2 16–17 Mar 2012 962 0% 1% 11% 30.5% 2.5% 12.5% 27.5% 0.5% 14.5% 0%
Ifop-Fiducial 13–16 Mar 2012 928 0.5% 0.5% 10.5% 26.5% 3% 13% <0.5% 1% 27.5% 0.5% 17% <0.5%
OpinionWay 14–15 Mar 2012 1,183 0.5% 1% 10% 27.5% 2% 13% 0.5% 1% 27.5% 1% 16%
Ifop-Fiducial 12–15 Mar 2012 928 0.5% 0.5% 10% 26.5% 2.5% 13.5% <0.5% 1% 28% 0.5% 17% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 11–14 Mar 2012 1,187 0.5% 0.5% 10.5% 27% 2% 13% 0.5% 1% 28% 0.5% 16.5% <0.5%
CSA 12–13 Mar 2012 861 0.5% <0.5% 11% 28% 1% 13% 0.5% 1% 28% 1% 16% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 11–13 Mar 2012 875 0.5% 0.5% 10% 27.5% 2% 12.5% 0.5% 1% 28.5% 0.5% 16.5% <0.5%
TNS Sofres 12 Mar 2012 1,000 28% 0.5% 0.5% 10% 30% 3% 11.5% <0.5% 1.5% 26% 1% 16% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial* 11–12 Mar 2012 1,638 0.5% <0.5% 10% 27% 2.5% 13% 0.5% 1% 28.5% 1% 16% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 8–12 Mar 2012 874 0.5% <0.5% 9.5% 28.5% 2.5% 12% 0.5% 1% 28% 1% 16.5% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 6–9 Mar 2012 922 0.5% 0.5% 9.5% 29% 2.5% 11.5% 1% 1% 27% 0.5% 17%
Ifop-Fiducial 5–8 Mar 2012 924 <0.5% 0.5% 9.5% 29% 2.5% 12% 1% 1% 26.5% 0.5% 17.5%
OpinionWay 5–7 Mar 2012 1,098 0.5% 0.5% 8% 29% 3% 13% 0.5% 1.5% 26% 1% 17%
Ifop-Fiducial 3–7 Mar 2012 1,182 <0.5% <0.5% 8.5% 29.5% 3% 12.5% 1% 1% 26% 0.5% 18%
Ifop-Fiducial 3–6 Mar 2012 877 <0.5% <0.5% 8% 29.5% 3% 12.5% 1% 1% 26% 0.5% 18.5%
CSA 5 Mar 2012 888 <0.5% <0.5% 10% 30% 2% 13% 0.5% 1.5% 28% <0.5% 15%
Harris Interactive 1–5 Mar 2012 975 1% 1% 9% 27% 3% 13% 1% 1% 25% 1% 18%
Ifop-Fiducial 1–5 Mar 2012 867 0.5% <0.5% 7.5% 29% 3% 12% 1% 1% 26% 1% 19%
BVA 2–3 Mar 2012 761 1% 1% 8% 33% 2% 13% <0.5% 2% 25% 1% 14% <0.5%
Ipsos 2–3 Mar 2012 966 22% 0.5% 0.5% 9.5% 29.5% 2% 12.5% 0.5% 1.5% 25% 1% 17.5%
LH2 2–3 Mar 2012 971 1% 1% 8.5% 30.5% 4.5% 15% <0.5% 1% 23% 0.5% 15%
Ifop-Fiducial 28 Feb–2 Mar 2012 912 0.5% 0.5% 8% 29% 3% 12% 0.5% 1.5% 25.5% 1% 18.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 27 Feb–1 Mar 2012 929 0.5% 0.5% 8% 29% 3% 12.5% 0.5% 1.5% 25.5% 1% 18%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–29 Feb 2012 1,187 0.5% 0.5% 8.5% 28% 3% 12% 0.5% 1% 26.5% 1.5% 18%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–28 Feb 2012 888 0.5% 0.5% 9% 28% 2.5% 12% 0.5% 1% 27% 1% 18%
TNS Sofres 27 Feb 2012 1,000 26% <0.5% <0.5% 9.5% 30% 2.5% 10.5% 1% 1% 28% <0.5% 17% 0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial* 23–26 Feb 2012 1,723 0.5% 0.5% 8.5% 28.5% 3% 12.5% 0.5% 1% 27% 1% 17%
Ifop-Fiducial 23–26 Feb 2012 882 0.5% 0.5% 9% 28% 3% 12% 0.5% 1% 27% 1% 17.5%
Ipsos 24–25 Feb 2012 959 25% 0.5% 0.5% 8% 31.5% 2.5% 11.5% 0.5% 1% 27% 1% 16%
Ifop-Fiducial 21–24 Feb 2012 931 0.5% 1% 8% 27.5% 3% 12.5% 0.5% 1.5% <0.5% 26.5% 1% 18%
Ifop-Fiducial 20–23 Feb 2012 931 0.5% 1% 8% 28.5% 2.5% 11.5% 0.5% 1.5% <0.5% 26.5% 1% 18.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 18–22 Feb 2012 1,180 0.5% 0.5% 8.5% 29% 2.5% 11% 1% 1.5% <0.5% 27% 0.5% 18%
Ifop-Fiducial 18–21 Feb 2012 874 0.5% 0.5% 8.5% 29% 2.5% 11% 1% 2% <0.5% 27% 0.5% 17.5%
CSA 20 Feb 2012 891 0.5% <0.5% 9% 28% 3% 11% 0.5% 2% 0.5% 27% 1.5% 17%
Ifop-Fiducial 16–20 Feb 2012 872 0.5% <0.5% 9% 29% 2.5% 11% 1% 2% <0.5% 27% 0.5% 17.5%
Ipsos 17–18 Feb 2012 969 23% 0.5% 0.5% 9% 32% 3% 11% 1% 1.5% <0.5% 25% 0.5% 16%
LH2 17–18 Feb 2012 967 1% <0.5% 8% 32% 3% 13% 0.5% 1.5% 0.5% 26% 0.5% 14%
OpinionWay 17–18 Feb 2012 975 0.5% 0.5% 8% 29% 2% 13% 0.5% 2% 0.5% 27% 0.5% 16.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–17 Feb 2012 938 0.5% <0.5% 8.5% 29.5% 2.5% 12% 0.5% 2.5% <0.5% <0.5% 26% 1% 17%
BVA 15–16 Feb 2012 930 <0.5% <0.5% 9% 31% 3% 13% <0.5% 2% <0.5% <0.5% 26% 1% 15% <0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 13–16 Feb 2012 939 1% <0.5% 7.5% 29.5% 2.5% 11.5% 0.5% 2.5% <0.5% 0.5% 26.5% 1% 17%
Ifop-Fiducial 11–15 Feb 2012 1,174 0.5% <0.5% 8% 30% 3% 11.5% 1% 2% <0.5% 0.5% 25.5% <0.5% 0.5% 17.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 11–14 Feb 2012 867 0.5% <0.5% 7.5% 30% 3.5% 11.5% 1% 2% <0.5% 0.5% 25.5% <0.5% 0.5% 17.5%
Harris Interactive 9–13 Feb 2012 954 <0.5% <0.5% 8% 28% 4% 13% 1% 1% <0.5% <0.5% 24% 1% 20%
Ifop-Fiducial 9–13 Feb 2012 870 <0.5% 0.5% 8% 30% 3% 12% 0.5% 2% <0.5% 0.5% 24.5% 0.5% 0.5% 18%
Ifop-Fiducial* 9–12 Feb 2012 1,723 <0.5% 0.5% 8.5% 30% 3% 12.5% 0.5% 2% <0.5% <0.5% 25% <0.5% 0.5% 17.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 7–10 Feb 2012 923 0.5% 0.5% 8% 31% 3% 10.5% <0.5% 2% 0.5% <0.5% 24.5% <0.5% 0.5% 19%
Ifop-Fiducial 6–9 Feb 2012 913 1% <0.5% 8% 31% 3% 10% 0.5% 1.5% 0.5% <0.5% 24.5% <0.5% 0.5% 19.5%
OpinionWay 6–8 Feb 2012 1,215 0.5% 0.5% 7% 29% 3% 13% 0.5% 1% 0.5% 0.5% 25.5% 0.5% 0.5% 18%
Ifop-Fiducial 4–8 Feb 2012 1,179 1% <0.5% 8% 30.5% 3% 10.5% 0.5% 1% 0.5% 0.5% 24% <0.5% 0.5% 20%
CSA 6–7 Feb 2012 869 0.5% 0.5% 8% 30% 2% 13% <0.5% 1% <0.5% <0.5% 26% 0.5% 1% 17.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 4–7 Feb 2012 871 1% <0.5% 8% 30% 2.5% 11% 0.5% 1% 0.5% 0.5% 24% <0.5% 0.5% 20.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 2–6 Feb 2012 876 1% 0.5% 8.5% 30% 2.5% 11.5% <0.5% 1% 0.5% 0.5% 23.5% <0.5% 1% 19.5%
BVA 3–4 Feb 2012 779 <0.5% <0.5% 7% 34% 2% 14% <0.5% 1% <0.5% <0.5% 26% <0.5% <0.5% 16% <0.5%
Ipsos 3–4 Feb 2012 953 26% 1% 0.5% 8.5% 32% 2% 12.5% <0.5% 2% <0.5% <0.5% 25% <0.5% <0.5% 16%
3% 1% 10% 33.5% 3% 16% <0.5% 2% 0.5% <0.5% 28.5% 0.5% 1.5%
LH2 3–4 Feb 2012 955 1% 7.5% 34% 3% 12% 0.3% 1.5% 0% 25.5% 0.2% 15%
Ifop 31 Jan–3 Feb 2012 922 1% 1% 9% 33% 3% 17% 33% 3%
Ifop-Fiducial 0.5% 0.5% 8% 29.5% 2.5% 12.5% <0.5% 1% 0.5% 0.5% 24.5% <0.5% 1% 19%
Ifop-Fiducial 30 Jan–2 Feb 2012 917 0.5% 0.5% 7.5% <0.5% 30.5% 2.5% 12.5% <0.5% 1% 0.5% 0.5% 24.5% 0.5% 0.5% 18.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 29 Jan–1 Feb 2012 1,166 0.5% 0.5% 8% 0.5% 30.5% 2.5% 12% <0.5% 1% <0.5% <0.5% 24.5% 0.5% <0.5% 19.5%
BVA 30–31 Jan 2012 1,407 <0.5% <0.5% 8% <0.5% 34% 3% 12% <0.5% 2% <0.5% <0.5% 25% <0.5% 1% 15%
Ifop-Fiducial 29–31 Jan 2012 866 0.5% 0.5% 7.5% 0.5% 31% 2.5% 12% <0.5% 1% <0.5% <0.5% 23.5% 0.5% 0.5% 20%
TNS Sofres 30 Jan 2012 1,000 26% <0.5% <0.5% 9% <0.5% 31.5% 3% 12% 0.5% 1.5% <0.5% <0.5% 26% <0.5% 0.5% 16%
Ifop-Fiducial* 29–30 Jan 2012 1,387 0.5% <0.5% 7.5% 0.5% 31% 3% 11.5% 0.5% 1% 0.5% <0.5% 24.5% <0.5% 0.5% 19%
Ifop-Fiducial 27–30 Jan 2012 871 0.5% 0.5% 8% 0.5% 29.5% 2.5% 12.5% 0.5% 1% 0.5% <0.5% 23% <0.5% 0.5% 20.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–27 Jan 2012 935 0.5% 0.5% 8% 0.5% 28% 3% 13.5% 0.5% 1.5% 1% <0.5% 22% <0.5% 0.5% 20.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 23–26 Jan 2012 926 <0.5% 0.5% 8% 0.5% 27% 3.5% 13.5% 0.5% 2% 0.5% <0.5% 23% 0.5% 0.5% 20%
OpinionWay 23–25 Jan 2012 1,087 0.5% 0.5% 8% 0.5% 27.5% 3% 14% 1% 1% 1% 24% 1% 1% 17%
Ifop-Fiducial 21–25 Jan 2012 1,178 0.5% 0.5% 7.5% 0.5% 27.5% 3% 13% 0.5% 2% 0.5% 0.5% 23% 0.5% 0.5% 20%
CSA 23–24 Jan 2012 898 <0.5% <0.5% 9% <0.5% 31% 2% 15% <0.5% 1% <0.5% 25% <0.5% <0.5% 17%
Ifop-Fiducial 21–24 Jan 2012 864 0.5% 0.5% 7.5% 0.5% 27.5% 3% 13% 0.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.5% 23.5% 0.5% 0.5% 19%
Ifop-Fiducial 20–23 Jan 2012 877 0.5% 0.5% 7% 0.5% 27% 2.5% 13.5% 0.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.5% 23.5% 0.5% 0.5% 20%
Harris Interactive 19–22 Jan 2012 1,029 0.5% <0.5% 8% <0.5% 27% 4% 14% <0.5% 1% 0.5% 0.5% 23% 0.5% 1% 20%
Ifop-Fiducial 17–20 Jan 2012 937 0.5% 0.5% 8% 0.5% 26.5% 3.5% 13% <0.5% 3% 0.5% <0.5% 23% <0.5% <0.5% 21%
BVA 18–19 Jan 2012 959 0.5% <0.5% 7% <0.5% 30% 4% 13% <0.5% 1.5% 1% <0.5% 23% 0.5% 1.5% 18%
Ifop-Fiducial 16–19 Jan 2012 923 0.5% 0.5% 8.5% <0.5% 27% 3.5% 12% 0.5% 2.5% 1% <0.5% 23% <0.5% <0.5% 21%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–18 Jan 2012 1,168 0.5% 0.5% 8% 0.5% 28% 3% 12.5% 0.5% 1.5% 1% <0.5% 24% <0.5% <0.5% 20%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–17 Jan 2012 864 <0.5% 0.5% 7.5% 0.5% 28.5% 2.5% 12.5% 1% 1.5% 1% <0.5% 24.5% <0.5% 0.5% 19.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 13–16 Jan 2012 872 <0.5% <0.5% 7% 0.5% 28.5% 3% 12.5% 0.5% 1.5% 0.5% <0.5% 25% <0.5% 1% 20%
Ipsos 13–14 Jan 2012 948 23% 1% <0.5% 7.5% <0.5% 29% 3% 14% 0.5% 3% <0.5% <0.5% 23% <0.5% 0.5% 18%
LH2 13–14 Jan 2012 966 0.5% 0% 8.5% 0.5% 30% 3% 14% 0.5% 2% 0% 23.5% 0.5% 0% 17%
Ifop-Fiducial* 11–13 Jan 2012 1,550 0.5% 0.5% 7.5% 0.5% 28% 3% 12.5% <0.5% 2% 0.5% <0.5% 24% <0.5% 1% 20%
Ifop-Fiducial 10–13 Jan 2012 942 0.5% 0.5% 6.5% 0.5% 27% 3.5% 12.5% <0.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.5% 24% <0.5% 1% 21.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 9–12 Jan 2012 943 0.5% 0.5% 6.5% 0.5% 27% 3.5% 13% <0.5% 2% 1% <0.5% 23.5% <0.5% 0.5% 21.5%
OpinionWay 10–11 Jan 2012 967 0.5% 1% 6% 0.5% 27% 3% 15% 0.5% 2% 1% 25% 0.5% 1% 17%
CSA 9–10 Jan 2012 875 <0.5% 0.5% 7% <0.5% 29% 2% 13% <0.5% 3% <0.5% 26% 0.5% <0.5% 19%
TNS Sofres** 6–9 Jan 2012 2,007 0.5% <0.5% 7% 1% 30% 4% 11% 0.5% 2.5% <0.5% <0.5% 25% <0.5% 0.5% 18%
BVA 6–7 Jan 2012 815 1% <0.5% 8% 1% 28% 4% 11% 1% 4% <0.5% <0.5% 24% 1% <0.5% 17%
Ifop 4–6 Jan 2012 1,163 0.5% 0.5% 6% <0.5% 28% 3% 12% 0.5% 2.5% 1% <0.5% 26% 0.5% 0.5% 19%
OpinionWay 16–19 Dec 2011 913 0.5% 1% 7.5% 0.5% 27% 4% 14% 0.5% 2% 1% 24% 1% 1% 16%
Harris Interactive 13–15 Dec 2011 1,031 0.5% <0.5% 6% 1% 28% 4% 11% 0.5% 3% 0.5% <0.5% 25% 0.5% 1% 19%
Ifop 13–15 Dec 2011 937 <0.5% <0.5% 6.5% 0.5% 27.5% 5% 11% 1% 3.5% 0.5% <0.5% 24% <0.5% 0.5% 20%
OpinionWay 13–15 Dec 2011 912 0.5% 1% 6% 0.5% 29% 3% 11% 0.5% 3% 1% 25% 1% 1.5% 17%
CSA 12–13 Dec 2011 859 1% 0.5% 6% 1% 32% 3% 11% 0.5% 2% <0.5% 26% 0.5% 0.5% 16%
LH2 9–10 Dec 2011 953 <0.5% <0.5% 6.5% 0.5% 31.5% 4.5% 13% <0.5% 1% 1% 26% 1% 1% 13.5%
BVA 2–3 Dec 2011 798 <0.5% <0.5% 7% 1% 35% 3% 9% 1% 1% <0.5% <0.5% 24.5% 1% 0.5% 17%
Ipsos 2–3 Dec 2011 955 24% 1% <0.5% 7.5% 0.5% 32% 6% 7% 0.5% 2% <0.5% <0.5% 25.5% <0.5% 0.5% 17%
Ifop 29–30 Nov 2011 934 <0.5% <0.5% 7.5% 0.5% 29.5% 4% 8.5% 0.5% 1.5% 1% <0.5% 26% 0.5% 1% 19.5%
TNS Sofres 25–26 Nov 2011 1,003 30% 0.5% 0.5% 8% 0.5% 31% 5% 7% 0.5% 1% 0.5% 28% <0.5% 1% 16.5%
OpinionWay 23–24 Nov 2011 952 1% 1% 7% 1% 30% 5% 7% 1% 1% 26% 1% 1% 18%
BVA 18–19 Nov 2011 784 <0.5% <0.5% 5% 3% 32% 4% 7% 2% 1% <0.5% 27% <0.5% 1% 18%
LH2 18–19 Nov 2011 830 0.5% 0% 7% 1.5% 30% 6% 7% 0.5% 2% 0.5% 29% 0.5% 0.5% 15%
Ifop 14–16 Nov 2011 1,146 0.5% 0.5% 7% <0.5% 32.5% 4% 6% 0.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.5% 26% 0.5% 1% 19%
CSA 14–15 Nov 2011 822 1% 0.5% 5% 1% 34% 4% 7% 0.5% 1.5% 1% 27% 0.5% 1% 16%
BVA 4–5 Nov 2011 796 <0.5% <0.5% 5% 1% 36% 5% 6% 3% <0.5% <0.5% 25% 0.5% 0.5% 18%
Ifop 2–4 Nov 2011 1,843 <0.5% 0.5% 6% <0.5% 32.5% 4.5% 7% 1% 2% 1% <0.5% 25.5% <0.5% 1% 19%
Ipsos 28–29 Oct 2011 970 25% 1% 1% 6% 35% 6% 5.5% 2% 24% 0.5% 19%
LH2 21–22 Oct 2011 813 0.5% 0% 6.5% 39% 5% 8.5% 0% 1.5% 0.5% 24% 0% 0.5% 14%
Ifop 18–20 Oct 2011 941 0.5% 0.5% 6% <0.5% 35% 4.5% 6.5% 0.5% 2% 1% 0.5% 25% 0.5% 0.5% 17%
BVA 17–18 Oct 2011 753 2% <0.5% 6% 39% 4% 7% 23% 19%
CSA 17 Oct 2011 859 1% 0.5% 5% 35% 3% 9% 0.5% 2% 1% 25% 1.5% 0.5% 16%

8 July to 16 October 2011[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Arthaud
LO
Poutou
NPA
Mélenchon
FG
Chevènement
MRC
Hollande
PS
Aubry
PS
Royal
PS
Strauss-Kahn
PS
Joly
EELV
Bayrou
MoDem
Villepin
RS
Borloo
PR
Nihous
CPNT
Sarkozy
UMP
Fillon
UMP
Juppé
UMP
Boutin
PCD
Dupont-Aignan
DLR
Le Pen
FN
Ipsos 30 Sep–1 Oct 2011 962 27% 1% 0.5% 8% 32% 5% 5.5% 4% 6.5% 21% 0.5% 16%
2% 0.5% 7% 29% 5% 6% 5% 7% 22% 0.5% 16%
1.5% 0.5% 9% 22% 7% 8.5% 4% 8% 23% 0.5% 16%
LH2 30 Sep–1 Oct 2011 843 0.5% 0% 8% 31% 7% 8% 2% 7% 21% 0.5% 0% 15%
1% 0% 10% 25% 7.5% 9% 3% 9% 21% 0% 0% 14.5%
0.5% 0% 8.5% 30% 7.5% 7.5% 3% 11% 15% 1% 1% 15%
0% 0% 9% 30% 8.5% 8% 3% 9% 16% 0% 0.5% 16%
CSA 19–20 Sep 2011 835 1.5% 0.5% 6% 28% 4% 7% 5% 5% 24% 0.5% 0.5% 18%
0.5% 0.5% 6% 27% 5% 6% 5% 5% 25% 0.5% 0.5% 19%
1% 0.5% 8% 19% 6% 7% 5% 6% 26% 1% 0.5% 20%
Harris Interactive 31 Aug–5 Sep 2011 888 1% <1% 3% 28.5% 8% 7% 3% 7% 23.5% 1% 18%
1% <1% 5% 24% 7% 8% 3% 7% 24% 1% 20%
<1% 1% 7% 15% 10% 9% 4% 9% 24% 1% 20%
Ipsos 2–3 Sep 2011 963 31% 2% 0.5% 5% 30% 5% 6% 4.5% 7% 22% 1% 17%
2.5% 0.5% 5.5% 27% 6% 6% 3.5% 7% 23% 1% 18%
2% 0.5% 8.5% 19% 7% 7% 5% 9% 23% 1% 18%
LH2 2–3 Sep 2011 818 0.5% 0% 4% 35% 6% 6% 2% 6% 27% 2% 0.5% 11%
0.5% 0% 5% 30% 4.5% 6% 3.5% 8.5% 27% 2% 1% 12%
1% 0.5% 5% 18% 10% 8% 4% 10% 29% 2% 0.5% 12%
Ifop 30 Aug–2 Sep 2011 1,918 <0.5% 0.5% 6% 0.5% 29% 6% 6% 2.5% 6% 0.5% 23.5% 0.5% 0.5% 18.5%
<0.5% 0.5% 6% 1% 25% 6% 6.5% 3% 6.5% 1% 24% 0.5% 0.5% 19.5%
<0.5% 0.5% 7% 1.5% 17% 9% 8% 3% 8% 1% 25% 0.5% 0.5% 19%
CSA 22–23 Aug 2011 863 1% 0.5% 6.5% 27% 5% 7% 3% 8% 26% 0.5% 0.5% 15%
0.5% 0.5% 7% 26% 5% 7% 4% 8% 26% 0.5% 0.5% 15%
1% 1% 9% 19% 7% 9% 4% 8% 26% 0.5% 0.5% 15%
Ifop 19–21 Jul 2011 948 <0.5% <0.5% 4% 0.5% 28% 7% 6.5% 2.5% 7.5% <0.5% 23% 0.5% 0.5% 20%
0.5% 0.5% 4% 1% 25% 7% 7.5% 2% 8% <0.5% 23.5% 0.5% 0.5% 20%
0.5% 0.5% 6% 1% 16% 9.5% 9% 3% 8.5% <0.5% 25% 0.5% <0.5% 20.5%
CSA 11 Jul 2011 850 2% 0.5% 7% 26% 5% 6% 2% 8% 26% 0.5% 1% 16%
1% 0.5% 6.5% 25% 5% 6% 2% 9% 27% 1% 1% 16%
1% 0.5% 8.5% 17% 7% 6% 2% 11% 28% 1% 1% 17%
BVA 8–9 Jul 2011 782 1% <0.5% 4% 31% 5% 6% 4% 9% 23% 1% <0.5% 16%
1% 1% 5% 28% 5% 7% 4% 7% 24% 1% <0.5% 17%
1% <0.5% 7% 20% 7% 7% 4% 10% 25% 1% <0.5% 18%
Ipsos 8–9 Jul 2011 955 31% 2% 1% 5% 29% 7.5% 5% 3% 8% 22% 0.5% 17%
2% 1% 4.5% 29% 7% 5% 3% 8% 22% 0.5% 18%
3% 1% 7% 17% 9% 6% 3.5% 11% 24% 0.5% 18%
LH2 8–9 Jul 2011 827 1% 0.5% 5% 1% 29% 6% 11% 3% 7.5% 21% 1% 1% 13%
1.5% 0% 5% 1% 26% 6% 10% 4.5% 8% 21.5% 0.5% 1% 15%
1.5% 0% 7% 2% 13.5% 10% 13% 4% 10% 23% 0% 1% 15%

13 May to 7 July 2011[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Arthaud
LO
(nominee)
NPA
Martin
NPA
Mélenchon
FG
Chevènement
MRC
Hollande
PS
Aubry
PS
Royal
PS
Delanoë
PS
Fabius
PS
Hulot
SE
Joly
EELV
Bayrou
MoDem
Villepin
RS
Borloo
PR
Sarkozy
UMP
Dupont-Aignan
DLR
Le Pen
FN
Ifop 21–23 Jun 2011 937 0.5% 0.5% 6.5% 1.5% 26.5% 6.5% 6% 3% 7% 21% <0.5% 21%
0.5% 0.5% 7% 1% 26% 6.5% 6% 3% 7.5% 21% 0.5% 20.5%
CSA 20–21 Jun 2011 825 1% 1.5% 7% 27% 7% 5% 3% 9% 23% 0.5% 16%
1% 2% 7% 23% 7.5% 7% 3% 10% 23% 0.5% 16%
1% 2% 10% 15% 9% 8% 4% 10.5% 24% 0.5% 16%
1% 1.5% 7% 27% 4% 7% 3% 10% 23% 0.5% 16%
1% 2% 7% 25.5% 4% 6% 4% 11% 23% 0.5% 16%
1% 2% 8.5% 17% 5% 9% 4% 13% 24% 0.5% 16%
Ipsos 18–20 Jun 2011 965 30% 1.5% 0.5% 7% 32% 7.5% 5% 3% 7% 19% 0.5% 17%
1% 0.5% 7% 30% 7% 5% 4% 8% 19% 0.5% 18%
2% 1% 9.5% 19% 8.5% 7% 4.5% 11% 19% 0.5% 18%
Ifop 9–10 Jun 2011 923 0.5% 0.5% 6% 1.5% 26% 6% 7% 3% 6% 22% 0.5% 21%
0.5% 1% 6.5% 1% 23% 6% 8% 3.5% 6.5% 21.5% 0.5% 22%
Harris Interactive 3–5 Jun 2011 1,449 0% 0% 7% 27% 6% 6% 2% 7% 23% 1% 21%
0% 0% 7% 25% 6% 6% 2% 7% 24% 1% 22%
0% 0% 8% 17% 7% 7% 3% 9% 26% 1% 22%
BVA 20–21 May 2011 960 1% 1% 6% 27% 12% 4% 5% 6% 21% <0.5% 17%
1% 1% 5% 24% 12% 6% 5% 7% 22% <0.5% 17%
2% 1% 6% 29% 13% 8% 22% 19%
2% 1% 6% 26% 13% 10% 23% 19%
TNS Sofres 20–21 May 2011 960 32% 1% <0.5% 3.5% 31% 8% 5.5% 3% 7% 22% 19%
1% <0.5% 3% 28% 7% 5.5% 3.5% 8% 24% 20%
1% <0.5% 4% 28% 9% 5% 3% 7% 24% 19%
1% <0.5% 7% 18% 10.5% 7% 3.5% 9% 24% 20%
1% <0.5% 5.5% 17.5% 12% 6% 3.5% 9.5% 24.5% 20.5%
1% 0.5% 6% 15% 11% 8% 4% 9.5% 24.5% 20.5%
Ifop 17–19 May 2011 1,897 0.5% 1% 6% 1% 26% 6% 5% 3.5% 6.5% 22.5% 1% 21%
Ipsos 18 May 2011 1,014 27% 2% 0.5% 4% 29% 11% 5% 3% 9% 19% 0.5% 17%
1% 0.5% 4% 27% 11% 5% 4% 9% 21% 0.5% 17%
2% 0.5% 6% 16% 13% 7% 6% 12% 19% 0.5% 18%
CSA 16 May 2011 838 1% 2% 5% 23% 6% 7% 4% 8% 22% 2% 20%
1% 2% 5% 23% 6% 7% 4% 8% 23% 2% 19%
1% 2% 5% 18% 6% 9% 4% 10% 23% 2% 20%
Ipsos 13–14 May 2011 948 2% 1% 6% 26% 11% 5% 4% 8% 19% 1% 17%
2% 1% 5% 25% 9% 6% 5% 9% 19% 1% 18%
2% 1% 8% 16% 12% 7% 6% 11% 19% 1% 17%

28 February to 12 May 2011[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Arthaud
LO
Besancenot
NPA
(nominee)
NPA
Mélenchon
FG
Chevènement
MRC
Strauss-Kahn
PS
Aubry
PS
Hollande
PS
Royal
PS
Hulot
SE
Joly
EELV
Bayrou
MoDem
Villepin
RS
Morin
NC
Borloo
PR/UMP
Sarkozy
UMP
Dupont-Aignan
DLR
Le Pen
FN
Ifop 10–12 May 2011 933 0.5% 1% 5.5% 1% 26% 7% 5.5% 4% 5.5% 21.5% 0.5% 22%
0.5% 1% 5% 1.5% 23% 7.5% 6% 3.5% 6.5% 22% 0.5% 23%
0.5% 1% 5.5% 1% 28% 6% 7% 6.5% 22% 22.5%
LH2 6–7 May 2011 575 1% 1% 4% 3% 23% 11% 8% 6% 9% 16% 1% 17%
565 0.5% 1% 4% 2% 22% 11% 7% 4.5% 11% 19% 1% 17%
575 0.5% 1% 4% 2% 21.5% 11% 7% 5% 10% 19% 1% 18%
560 0.5% 1% 6% 2% 15% 13.5% 8% 5% 11% 20% 1% 17%
561 1% 0.5% 5% 1% 24% 9% 8% 5.5% 9% 18% 1% 18%
CSA 26 Apr 2011 831 1% 4% 5% 26% 9% 5% 4% 4% 21% 1% 20%
1% 4% 5% 27% 9% 7% 5% 22% 1% 19%
1% 4% 5% 27% 8% 6% 8% 21% 1% 19%
1% 5% 5% 28% 9% 8% 23% 2% 19%
Ifop 20–21 Apr 2011 917 0.5% 4% 5% 27% 7% 5% 4% 7.5% 20% 1% 19%
0.5% 4% 4.5% 20% 8.5% 6.5% 4% 9.5% 21.5% 1% 20%
1% 4.5% 4.5% 21% 8% 6% 4.5% 8.5% 21% 1% 20%
0.5% 4% 6% 16% 9% 6.5% 5% 11% 21% 1% 20%
1% 5% 5.5% 30% 8.5% 7% 22.5% 20.5%
0.5% 5% 5% 25% 5.5% 6% 4% 8% 21% 1% 19%
Harris Interactive 19–20 Apr 2011 926 1% 4% 4% 30% 6% 4% 3% 7% 19% 1% 21%
1% 5% 5% 21% 5% 5% 5% 9% 20% 1% 23%
1% 5% 5% 22% 6% 5% 5% 8% 19% 1% 23%
1% 5% 6% 15% 8% 7% 6% 10% 19% 1% 22%
OpinionWay 6–7 Apr 2011 991 0.8% 2.9% 4.2% 1.9% 21.7% 7.4% 8.5% 3.7% 7.8% 19.1% 1.4% 20.6%
CSA 28–29 Mar 2011 841 1% 9% 4% 33% 3% 7% 4.5% 2% 18% 0.5% 18%
0.5% 9% 3% 26% 3% 8% 7% 2% 22% 0.5% 19%
0.5% 11% 3.5% 24% 4% 6% 7% 2% 22% 1% 19%
0.5% 9% 6% 17% 5% 10% 7.5% 3% 22% 1% 19%
BVA 25–26 Mar 2011 826 1% 7% 4% 29% 7% 4% 6% 5% 17% 1% 19%
0.5% 6% 4% 24% 8% 5% 7% 6% 19% 0.5% 20%
Ipsos 25–26 Mar 2011 965 1% 6% 4% 34% 5% 5% 5% 1% 17% 1% 21%
1% 6% 4% 25% 5% 7% 8% 1% 20% 1% 22%
1% 6% 5% 23% 5% 7% 8% 1% 21% 1% 22%
2% 7% 6% 17% 7% 8% 9% 1% 20% 1% 22%
Ipsos 14 Mar 2011 948 2% 6% 5% 33% 5% 5% 5% 1% 18% 1% 19%
2% 6% 5% 23% 5% 8% 7% 1% 21% 1% 21%
2% 7% 5% 23% 5% 8% 6% 1% 21% 1% 21%
2% 7% 6% 17% 7% 10% 7% 1% 21% 1% 21%
CSA 9–10 Mar 2011 853 1% 8% 6% 30% 4% 5% 4% 1% 19% 1% 21%
1% 8% 5% 22% 3% 6% 6% 1% 24% 1% 23%
1% 8% 5% 18% 5% 8% 7% 1% 24% 1% 22%
1% 8% 5% 19% 6% 7% 6% 1% 24% 1% 22%
Ifop 7–9 Mar 2011 1,046 1% 4% 5% 29% 5.5% 6% 3% 1% 23% 1.5% 21%
1% 4% 5% 24% 6% 7% 4.5% 1.5% 24% 1% 22%
1% 4% 5% 23% 6.5% 7.5% 4% 2% 24% 1% 22%
1% 5% 6% 19% 7% 8% 5% 2% 24% 1% 22%
Harris Interactive 5–6 Mar 2011 1,347 1% 6% 7% 23% 7% 6% 4% 1% 20% 1% 24%
1% 6% 6% 20% 7% 8% 5% 1% 21% 1% 24%
Harris Interactive 28 Feb–3 Mar 2011 1,618 1% 5% 5% 21% 7% 8% 7% 1% 21% 1% 23%

20 August 2010 to 27 February 2011[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Schivardi
POI
Arthaud
LO
Besancenot
NPA
Mélenchon
FG
Strauss-Kahn
PS
Aubry
PS
Hollande
PS
Royal
PS
Montebourg
PS
Hulot
SE
Joly
EELV/EE
Bayrou
MoDem
Villepin
RS/UMP
Morin
NC
Borloo
PR/UMP
Sarkozy
UMP
Fillon
UMP
Copé
UMP
Dupont-Aignan
DLR
Le Pen
FN
CSA 21–22 Feb 2011 1,005 1% 8% 6% 28% 4% 5.5% 5% 1% 23% 0.5% 18%
1% 8% 6% 33% 5% 4.5% 5% 1% 18% 0.5% 18%
1% 8% 6% 34% 4% 5.5% 9% 1% 12% 0.5% 19%
1% 8% 7% 33% 5% 5.5% 9% 1% 12% 0.5% 18%
TNS Sofres 18–19 Feb 2011 1,000 1% 7% 6.5% 29% 6% 5% 3.5% 4% 21% 17%
0.5% 7% 7% 24% 6% 5% 4.5% 4.5% 24% 17.5%
1% 8% 7% 22% 6.5% 5% 5% 4% 23% 18.5%
1% 8% 7.5% 19% 8% 5% 5% 5% 24% 17.5%
1% 8% 7.5% 15% 8% 6% 5.5% 5% 25% 19%
Ifop 16–17 Feb 2011 949 1% 5.5% 6% 26% 7% 7% 4% 2% 22% 0.5% 19%
1% 5% 5.5% 22% 7% 8% 5% 2.5% 23% 1% 20%
CSA 14–15 Feb 2011 1,005 1% 7% 6% 29% 5% 8% 4% 22% 1% 17%
1% 7% 6% 22% 6% 9% 5% 26% 1% 17%
1% 7% 7% 20% 6% 10% 5% 26% 1% 17%
1% 7% 8% 18% 7% 10% 5% 26% 1% 17%
OpinionWay 20–21 Jan 2011 982 0% 1% 5% 9% 29% 6% 5% 25% 2% 18%
0% 1% 5% 8% 25% 6% 7% 28% 2% 18%
0% 1% 5% 7% 28% 8% 6% 25% 2% 18%
0% 1% 4% 7% 22% 10% 8% 28% 2% 18%
CSA 17–18 Jan 2011 847 2% 5% 5% 30% 6% 6% 5% 23% 1% 17%
1% 6% 5% 22% 6% 9% 6% 27% 1% 17%
1% 6% 5% 20% 8% 9% 7% 26% 1% 17%
1% 4% 5% 21% 8% 10% 7% 26% 1% 17%
BVA 14–15 Jan 2011 804 <0.5% 7% 4% 31% 6% 5% 3% 2% 25% 17%
<0.5% 7% 5% 23% 5% 6% 5% 5% 27% 17%
Ifop 12–13 Jan 2011 830 1% 3.5% 6.5% 23% 6% 8% 6% 2% 26.5% 1% 16.5%
CSA 7–8 Jan 2011 1,001 1% 7% 5% 30% 4% 6% 3% 25% 1% 18%
1% 6% 6% 22% 4% 9% 6% 28% 1% 17%
TNS Sofres 19–20 Nov 2010 1,000 1.5% 6.5% 6% 27% 6.5% 6% 4% 5% 24% 13.5%
1% 6.5% 6% 23% 8% 7% 4% 6.5% 25% 13%
1% 7% 6.5% 16.5% 8% 8% 5% 8.5% 25.5% 14%
1% 6.5% 7% 17% 9% 7% 4% 8.5% 26% 14%
Ifop 18–19 Nov 2010 811 1% 4.5% 6% 29% 6% 7.5% 6% 2% 24% 1% 13%
1% 5% 6% 22% 7.5% 9% 7% 2.5% 27% 1% 12%
1% 6% 7% 18% 8% 9.5% 8.5% 2% 27% 1% 12%
1% 5.5% 7.5% 18% 8% 9.5% 7.5% 2% 27% 1% 13%
Ifop 16–18 Nov 2010 931 0.5% 4% 6.5% 23% 7% 7% 5% 7% 26% 1% 13%
Harris Interactive 9–10 Nov 2010 910 0.5% 4.5% 7% 20% 11% 8% 9% 26% 14%
0.5% 4.5% 7% 20% 11% 9% 8% 26% 14%
Ifop 12–14 Oct 2010 930 1% 5% 5% 25% 7% 8.5% 7% 26% 1.5% 14%
BVA 10–11 Sep 2010 962 2% 7% 5% 28% 9% 8% 8.5% 1.5% 20% 11%
1% 5% 4% 25% 10% 10% 10% 3% 21% 11%
TNS Sofres 20–21 Aug 2010 1,000 1% 9% 5% 25% 9% 6% 6% 1% 26% 12%
1% 7% 4% 22% 9% 7% 7% 2% 28% 13%
1% 8% 5% 16% 11% 7% 8% 2% 29% 13%
1% 8% 5% 16% 12% 7% 7% 2% 29% 13%

29 October 2009 to 19 August 2010[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Arthaud
LO
Besancenot
NPA
Buffet
PCF
Mélenchon
FG
Strauss-Kahn
PS
Aubry
PS
Hollande
PS
Royal
PS
Duflot
EE/LV
Joly
EE
Tapie
PRG
Bayrou
MoDem
Villepin
RS/UMP
Morin
NC
Borloo
PR/UMP
Sarkozy
UMP
Fillon
UMP
Dupont-Aignan
DLR
Le Pen
FN
Ifop 8–9 Jul 2010 834 1% 7% 5% 26% 4% 9% 10% 26% 1% 11%
CSA 7–8 Jul 2010 809 0.5% 7% 2.5% 30% 5% 9% 2% 31% 13%
Ifop 3–4 Jun 2010 981 1% 5% 6% 24% 5% 3% 8% 7% 27% 1% 13%
Ifop 27–28 May 2010 814 1% 7% 5% 29% 5% 8% 6% 25% 1% 13%
1% 5% 5% 24% 5% 11% 8% 27% 1% 13%
2% 7% 6% 18% 5% 12% 9% 27% 2% 12%
1% 7% 6% 18% 6% 12% 9% 28% 1% 12%
CSA 19–20 May 2010 779 1% 6% 3% 30% 5% 8% 36% 11%
BVA 23–24 Apr 2010 947 1% 5% 6% 24% 12% 7% 6% 28% 11%
Ifop 20–22 Apr 2010 934 1% 3% 6% 25% 8% 7% 7% 3% 25% 2% 13%
Ifop 25–26 Mar 2010 855 1% 5% 6% 27% 9% 7% 6% 26% 2% 11%
CSA 24–25 Mar 2010 843 2% 5% 2% 31% 6% 7% 35% 12%
CSA 2–3 Mar 2010 757 3% 6% 3% 27% 10% 11% 7% 25% 8%
3% 7% 3% 21% 11% 11% 9% 27% 8%
CSA 2–3 Feb 2010 802 1% 7% 3% 22% 9% 10% 10% 29% 9%
1% 6% 3% 19% 8% 12% 10% 32% 9%
Ifop 29–30 Oct 2009 892 1% 9% 3% 20% 5% 14% 8% 28% 1% 11%

31 October 2007 to 28 October 2009[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Schivardi
PT
Laguiller
LO
Besancenot
LCR/NPA
Buffet
PCF
Bové
SE
Royal
PS
Aubry
PS
Voynet
LV
Nihous
CPNT
Bayrou
MoDem
Sarkozy
UMP
Villiers
MPF
Le Pen
FN
OpinionWay 17–18 Jun 2009 1,006 0.5% 1% 8% 3% 4% 21% 4% 0.5% 13% 33% 3% 9%
0.5% 1% 9% 2% 5% 19% 4% 0.5% 14% 33% 3% 9%
OpinionWay 29–30 Apr 2009 1,014 0.5% 2% 9% 2% 1% 21% 3% 0.5% 20% 30% 4% 7%
Ifop 23–24 Apr 2009 854 1% 2% 8% 3% 1% 20.5% 4% 2% 19% 28% 4% 7.5%
OpinionWay 30 Apr–2 May 2008 1,005 0% 1% 8% 2% 2% 27% 1% 1% 16% 33% 2% 7%
CSA 26 Feb 2008 856 <0.5% 2% 7% 2% 1% 26% 1% <0.5% 19% 32% 1% 9%
Ifop 31 Oct–2 Nov 2007 1,008 0.5% 1.5% 7% 2% 1.5% 22% 1.5% 1% 17% 35% 2% 9%
2007 election 22 Apr 2007 16.23% 0.34% 1.33% 4.08% 1.93% 1.32% 25.87% 1.57% 1.15% 18.57% 31.18% 2.23% 10.44%

By region[edit]

Corsica
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Arthaud
LO
Poutou
NPA
Mélenchon
FG
Hollande
PS
Joly
EELV
Bayrou
MoDem
Sarkozy
UMP
Dupont-Aignan
DLR
Le Pen
FN
Cheminade
S&P
2012 election 22 Apr 2012 25.73% 0.31% 1.17% 9.85% 24.28% 2.29% 5.01% 31.41% 1.07% 24.39% 0.21%
OpinionWay 4–5 Apr 2012 502 0.5% 1% 12% 28% 3% 10% 32% 0.5% 13% 0%
Réunion
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Arthaud
LO
Poutou
NPA
Mélenchon
FG
Hollande
PS
Joly
EELV
Bayrou
MoDem
Sarkozy
UMP
Dupont-Aignan
DLR
Le Pen
FN
Cheminade
S&P
2012 election 22 Apr 2012 34.41% 0.60% 0.87% 6.73% 53.29% 2.13% 6.83% 17.96% 1.00% 10.31% 0.29%
Ipsos 12–16 Apr 2012 451 0.5% 1% 12% 43% 3.5% 10.5% 18.5% 0% 11% 0%
Ipsos 20–27 Mar 2012 446 2% 0.5% 12.5% 39% 2.5% 9.5% 24% 0.5% 9.5% 0%
French residents overseas
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Arthaud
LO
Poutou
NPA
Mélenchon
FG
Hollande
PS
Joly
EELV
Bayrou
MoDem
Lepage
Cap21
Villepin
RS
Sarkozy
UMP
Dupont-Aignan
DLR
Le Pen
FN
Cheminade
S&P
2012 election 22 Apr 2012 60.93% 0.28% 0.70% 8.31% 28.32% 5.44% 11.37% 38.01% 1.25% 5.95% 0.36%
OpinionWay 12–23 Mar 2012 2,031 0% 0.5% 8% 27% 4% 13% 0.5% 2% 37% 1% 7%

By commune[edit]

Aubagne
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Arthaud
LO
Poutou
NPA
Mélenchon
FG
Hollande
PS
Joly
EELV
Bayrou
MoDem
Sarkozy
UMP
Dupont-Aignan
DLR
Le Pen
FN
Cheminade
S&P
2012 election 22 Apr 2012 18.73% 0.34% 0.75% 18.67% 21.06% 2.08% 5.83% 25.50% 1.43% 24.15% 0.18%
CSA 29–30 Mar 2012 801 1% 1% 24% 22% 2% 6% 23% 0% 21% 0%

Second round[edit]

Starting on 12 January 2012, Ifop-Fiducial published a "rolling" poll for Paris Match and Europe 1 which is listed in the tables below as "Ifop-Fiducial" without an asterisk, while separate polls not conducted as part of the "rolling" poll are listed with an asterisk (*).[1] Polls conducted specifically for subsample data are listed with two asterisks (**).

The publication of second-round polls was prohibited after midnight on 4 May 2012.[2]

Graphical summary[edit]

The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the eight major French pollsters. The graphs are 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).

Opinion polling for the French presidential election, 2012 Hollande–Sarkozy.png

Hollande–Sarkozy[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Hollande
PS
Sarkozy
UMP
2012 election 6 May 2012 19.65% 51.64% 48.36%
Ifop-Fiducial* 2–4 May 2012 1,766 18% 52% 48%
Ifop-Fiducial 1–4 May 2012 1,225 52% 48%
BVA 3 May 2012 2,161 52.5% 47.5%
CSA 3 May 2012 1,002 53% 47%
Ipsos 3 May 2012 1,018 18% 52.5% 47.5%
TNS Sofres 3 May 2012 1,000 20% 53.5% 46.5%
Harris Interactive 2–3 May 2012 1,072 53% 47%
OpinionWay 2–3 May 2012 2,009 52.5% 47.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 30 Apr–3 May 2012 968 53% 47%
Ifop-Fiducial 28 Apr–2 May 2012 1,229 53% 47%
LH2 27 Apr–2 May 2012 1,077 53% 47%
BVA 30 Apr–1 May 2012 1,387 20% 53.5% 46.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 28 Apr–1 May 2012 904 53.5% 46.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 26–30 Apr 2012 898 54% 46%
Ifop-Fiducial* 26–29 Apr 2012 1,876 54% 46%
Ipsos 27–28 Apr 2012 988 18% 53% 47%
LH2 27–28 Apr 2012 958 54% 46%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–27 Apr 2012 963 55% 45%
Harris Interactive 25–26 Apr 2012 1,032 55% 45%
Ifop-Fiducial 23–26 Apr 2012 966 54.5% 45.5%
BVA 24–25 Apr 2012 2,285 54.5% 45.5%
CSA 24–25 Apr 2012 1,009 54% 46%
TNS Sofres 24–25 Apr 2012 1,000 21% 55% 45%
Ifop-Fiducial 22–25 Apr 2012 1,507 55% 45%
OpinionWay 23–24 Apr 2012 1,145 54% 46%
Ifop-Fiducial 22–24 Apr 2012 1,185 55% 45%
Ifop-Fiducial 22–23 Apr 2012 865 55% 45%
BVA 22 Apr 2012 678 53% 47%
CSA 22 Apr 2012 1,009 56% 44%
Harris Interactive 22 Apr 2012 1,088 54% 46%
Ifop-Fiducial* 22 Apr 2012 1,004 54.5% 45.5%
Ipsos 22 Apr 2012 1,090 19% 54% 46%
OpinionWay 22 Apr 2012 7,900 54% 46%
Ifop-Fiducial* 18–20 Apr 2012 1,723 54.5% 45.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 17–20 Apr 2012 2,592 54% 46%
BVA 18–19 Apr 2012 2,161 57% 43%
CSA 18–19 Apr 2012 1,005 57% 43%
Harris Interactive 18–19 Apr 2012 1,068 54% 46%
Ipsos 18–19 Apr 2012 1,021 56% 44%
TNS Sofres 18–19 Apr 2012 1,000 55% 45%
Ifop-Fiducial 16–19 Apr 2012 2,588 53.5% 46.5%
LH2 17–18 Apr 2012 956 56% 44%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–18 Apr 2012 2,552 54% 46%
BVA 16–17 Apr 2012 1,161 56% 44%
CSA 16–17 Apr 2012 886 58% 42%
OpinionWay 16–17 Apr 2012 1,002 26% 55% 45%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–17 Apr 2012 1,709 54.5% 45.5%
Harris Interactive 12–16 Apr 2012 991 53% 47%
Ifop-Fiducial* 12–15 Apr 2012 1,808 55.5% 44.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 12–15 Apr 2012 1,711 55% 45%
Ipsos 13–14 Apr 2012 894 56% 44%
Ifop-Fiducial 10–13 Apr 2012 2,562 54.5% 45.5%
BVA 11–12 Apr 2012 885 56% 44%
TNS Sofres 11–12 Apr 2012 1,000 56% 44%
Ifop-Fiducial 9–12 Apr 2012 2,562 54% 46%
CSA 10–11 Apr 2012 1,013 57% 43%
LH2 10–11 Apr 2012 977 55% 45%
OpinionWay 10–11 Apr 2012 1,007 54% 46%
Ifop-Fiducial 6–11 Apr 2012 2,285 54% 46%
Ifop-Fiducial 6–10 Apr 2012 1,425 54% 46%
Ipsos 6–7 Apr 2012 955 55% 45%
Ifop-Fiducial* 5–7 Apr 2012 1,869 53% 47%
Ifop-Fiducial 5–7 Apr 2012 1,002 53.5% 46.5%
Harris Interactive 3–6 Apr 2012 1,033 53% 47%
Ifop-Fiducial 3–6 Apr 2012 1,284 53% 47%
Ifop-Fiducial 2–5 Apr 2012 1,060 53% 47%
OpinionWay 3–4 Apr 2012 969 53% 47%
Ifop-Fiducial 31 Mar–4 Apr 2012 1,432 53.5% 46.5%
CSA 2–3 Apr 2012 884 54% 46%
Ifop-Fiducial 31 Mar–3 Apr 2012 999 53.5% 46.5%
Harris Interactive 29 Mar–2 Apr 2012 1,059 53% 47%
Ifop-Fiducial 29 Mar–2 Apr 2012 893 54% 46%
Ipsos 30–31 Mar 2012 881 55% 45%
LH2 30–31 Mar 2012 973 54% 46%
BVA 29–31 Mar 2012 2,555 56% 44%
Ifop-Fiducial 27–30 Mar 2012 957 54% 46%
Ifop-Fiducial 26–29 Mar 2012 950 54% 46%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–28 Mar 2012 1,211 54% 46%
CSA 26–27 Mar 2012 876 53% 47%
OpinionWay 26–27 Mar 2012 1,148 54% 46%
TNS Sofres 26–27 Mar 2012 1,000 55% 45%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–27 Mar 2012 902 54% 46%
Harris Interactive 22–26 Mar 2012 1,231 54% 46%
Ifop-Fiducial* 22–25 Mar 2012 1,769 54% 46%
Ifop-Fiducial 22–25 Mar 2012 887 53.5% 46.5%
Ipsos 23–24 Mar 2012 978 54% 46%
Ifop-Fiducial 20–23 Mar 2012 942 54% 46%
BVA 21–22 Mar 2012 926 54% 46%
Ifop-Fiducial 19–22 Mar 2012 945 55% 45%
Ifop-Fiducial 17–21 Mar 2012 1,195 55% 45%
CSA 19–20 Mar 2012 888 54% 46%
Ifop-Fiducial 17–20 Mar 2012 876 54.5% 45.5%
Harris Interactive 15–19 Mar 2012 1,097 56% 44%
Ifop-Fiducial 15–19 Mar 2012 881 54% 46%
Ifop 16–17 Mar 2012 961 54% 46%
Ipsos 16–17 Mar 2012 950 56% 44%
LH2 16–17 Mar 2012 962 55% 45%
Ifop-Fiducial 13–16 Mar 2012 928 54% 46%
OpinionWay 14–15 Mar 2012 1,183 55% 45%
Ifop-Fiducial 12–15 Mar 2012 928 53.5% 46.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 11–14 Mar 2012 1,187 54% 46%
CSA 12–13 Mar 2012 861 54% 46%
Ifop-Fiducial 11–13 Mar 2012 875 54% 46%
TNS Sofres 12 Mar 2012 1,000 58% 42%
Ifop-Fiducial* 11–12 Mar 2012 1,638 54.5% 45.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 8–12 Mar 2012 874 55% 45%
Ifop-Fiducial 6–9 Mar 2012 922 55% 45%
Ifop-Fiducial 5–8 Mar 2012 924 55% 45%
OpinionWay 5–7 Mar 2012 1,098 56% 44%
Ifop-Fiducial 3–7 Mar 2012 1,182 55.5% 44.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 3–6 Mar 2012 877 56% 44%
CSA 5 Mar 2012 888 56% 44%
Harris Interactive 1–5 Mar 2012 975 56% 44%
Ifop-Fiducial 1–5 Mar 2012 867 56.5% 43.5%
BVA 2–3 Mar 2012 761 59% 41%
Ipsos 2–3 Mar 2012 966 58% 42%
LH2 2–3 Mar 2012 971 58% 42%
Ifop-Fiducial 28 Feb–2 Mar 2012 912 57% 43%
Ifop-Fiducial 27 Feb–1 Mar 2012 929 56.5% 43.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–29 Feb 2012 1,187 55.5% 44.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–28 Feb 2012 888 55% 45%
TNS Sofres 27 Feb 2012 1,000 57% 43%
Ifop-Fiducial* 23–26 Feb 2012 1,723 56.5% 43.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 23–26 Feb 2012 882 55.5% 44.5%
Ipsos 24–25 Feb 2012 959 58% 42%
Ifop-Fiducial 21–24 Feb 2012 931 56% 44%
Ifop-Fiducial 20–23 Feb 2012 931 56% 44%
Ifop-Fiducial 18–22 Feb 2012 1,180 56% 44%
Ifop-Fiducial 18–21 Feb 2012 874 56% 44%
CSA 20 Feb 2012 891 56% 44%
Ifop-Fiducial 16–20 Feb 2012 872 56% 44%
Ipsos 17–18 Feb 2012 969 59% 41%
LH2 17–18 Feb 2012 967 55% 45%
OpinionWay 17–18 Feb 2012 975 56% 44%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–17 Feb 2012 938 56% 44%
BVA 15–16 Feb 2012 930 56% 44%
Ifop-Fiducial 13–16 Feb 2012 939 56% 44%
Ifop-Fiducial 11–15 Feb 2012 1,174 57% 43%
Ifop-Fiducial 11–14 Feb 2012 867 57% 43%
Harris Interactive 9–13 Feb 2012 954 57% 43%
Ifop-Fiducial 9–13 Feb 2012 870 57.5% 42.5%
Ifop-Fiducial* 9–12 Feb 2012 1,723 57.5% 42.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 7–10 Feb 2012 923 57.5% 42.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 6–9 Feb 2012 913 57.5% 42.5%
OpinionWay 6–8 Feb 2012 1,215 56% 44%
Ifop-Fiducial 4–8 Feb 2012 1,179 57.5% 42.5%
CSA 6–7 Feb 2012 869 60% 40%
Ifop-Fiducial 4–7 Feb 2012 871 57% 43%
Ifop-Fiducial 2–6 Feb 2012 876 58% 42%
BVA 3–4 Feb 2012 779 58% 42%
Ipsos 3–4 Feb 2012 953 59% 41%
LH2 3–4 Feb 2012 955 57% 43%
Ifop-Fiducial 31 Jan–3 Feb 2012 922 57.5% 42.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 30 Jan–2 Feb 2012 917 57% 43%
Ifop-Fiducial 29 Jan–1 Feb 2012 1,166 57% 43%
BVA 30–31 Jan 2012 1,407 57% 43%
Ifop-Fiducial 29–31 Jan 2012 866 58% 42%
TNS Sofres 30 Jan 2012 1,000 58% 42%
Ifop-Fiducial* 29–30 Jan 2012 1,387 58% 42%
Ifop-Fiducial 27–30 Jan 2012 871 57.5% 42.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–27 Jan 2012 935 57% 43%
Ifop-Fiducial 23–26 Jan 2012 926 56% 44%
OpinionWay 23–25 Jan 2012 1,087 56% 44%
Ifop-Fiducial 21–25 Jan 2012 1,178 57% 43%
CSA 23–24 Jan 2012 898 60% 40%
Ifop-Fiducial 21–24 Jan 2012 864 57% 43%
Ifop-Fiducial 20–23 Jan 2012 877 56.5% 43.5%
Harris Interactive 19–22 Jan 2012 1,029 55% 45%
Ifop-Fiducial 17–20 Jan 2012 937 57% 43%
BVA 18–19 Jan 2012 959 57% 43%
Ifop-Fiducial 16–19 Jan 2012 923 57% 43%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–18 Jan 2012 1,168 56.5% 43.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 14–17 Jan 2012 864 56% 44%
Ifop-Fiducial 13–16 Jan 2012 872 56% 44%
Ipsos 13–14 Jan 2012 948 59% 41%
LH2 13–14 Jan 2012 966 57% 43%
Ifop-Fiducial* 11–13 Jan 2012 1,550 57% 43%
Ifop-Fiducial 10–13 Jan 2012 942 56.5% 43.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 9–12 Jan 2012 943 57% 43%
OpinionWay 10–11 Jan 2012 967 55% 45%
CSA 9–10 Jan 2012 875 57% 43%
TNS Sofres** 6–9 Jan 2012 2,007 59% 41%
BVA 6–7 Jan 2012 815 57% 43%
Ifop 4–6 Jan 2012 1,163 54% 46%
OpinionWay 16–19 Dec 2011 913 57% 43%
Harris Interactive 13–15 Dec 2011 1,031 57% 43%
Ifop 13–15 Dec 2011 937 56% 44%
OpinionWay 13–15 Dec 2011 912 57% 43%
CSA 12–13 Dec 2011 859 58% 42%
LH2 9–10 Dec 2011 953 57% 43%
BVA 2–3 Dec 2011 798 59% 41%
Ipsos 2–3 Dec 2011 955 60% 40%
Ifop 29–30 Nov 2011 934 56% 44%
TNS Sofres 25–26 Nov 2011 1,003 60% 40%
OpinionWay 23–24 Nov 2011 952 58% 42%
BVA 18–19 Nov 2011 784 58% 42%
LH2 18–19 Nov 2011 830 58% 42%
CSA 14–15 Nov 2011 822 59% 41%
BVA 4–5 Nov 2011 796 61% 39%
Ifop 2–4 Nov 2011 1,843 57% 43%
Ipsos 28–29 Oct 2011 970 62% 38%
LH2 21–22 Oct 2011 813 60% 40%
Ifop 18–20 Oct 2011 941 60% 40%
BVA 17–18 Oct 2011 753 64% 36%
CSA 17 Oct 2011 859 62% 38%
LH2 30 Sep–1 Oct 2011 843 60% 40%
LH2 2–3 Sep 2011 818 57% 43%
Ifop 30 Aug–2 Sep 2011 1,918 59% 41%
Ifop 19–21 Jul 2011 948 57% 43%
BVA 8–9 Jul 2011 782 58% 42%
LH2 8–9 Jul 2011 827 60% 40%
Harris Interactive 3–5 Jun 2011 1,449 60% 40%
BVA 20–21 May 2011 960 62% 38%
TNS Sofres 20–21 May 2011 960 58% 42%
LH2 6–7 May 2011 576 60% 40%
Ifop 20–21 Apr 2011 917 56% 44%
TNS Sofres 18–19 Feb 2011 1,000 56% 44%
CSA 14–15 Feb 2011 1,005 54% 46%
CSA 17–18 Jan 2011 847 55% 45%
TNS Sofres 19–20 Nov 2010 1,000 55% 45%
Ifop 18–19 Nov 2010 811 53% 47%
TNS Sofres 20–21 Aug 2010 1,000 50% 50%
CSA 4–5 Nov 2009 910 43% 57%

By first round vote[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
(11.10% in the first round)
François Bayrou
(9.13% in the first round)
Marine Le Pen
(17.90% in the first round)
Hollande Sarkozy No vote Hollande Sarkozy No vote Hollande Sarkozy No vote
Ifop-Fiducial* 2–4 May 2012 1,766 84% 4% 12% 29% 42% 29% 16% 54% 30%
Ifop-Fiducial 1–4 May 2012 1,225 84% 4% 12% 31% 37% 32% 19% 55% 26%
BVA 3 May 2012 2,161 87% 4% 9% 36% 40% 24% 22% 57% 21%
CSA 3 May 2012 1,002 81% 7% 12% 25% 38% 37% 17% 57% 26%
Ipsos 3 May 2012 1,018 76% 6% 18% 30% 38% 32% 15% 54% 31%
TNS Sofres 3 May 2012 1,000 85% 2% 13% 37% 32% 31% 7% 52% 41%
Harris Interactive 2–3 May 2012 1,072 91% 4% 5% 42% 41% 17% 20% 58% 22%
OpinionWay 2–3 May 2012 2,009 77% 9% 14% 35% 39% 26% 19% 50% 31%
Ifop-Fiducial 30 Apr–3 May 2012 968 86% 5% 9% 32% 34% 34% 18% 50% 32%
Ifop-Fiducial 28 Apr–2 May 2012 1,229 82% 5% 10% 26% 32% 42% 16% 45% 39%
LH2 27 Apr–2 May 2012 1,077 93% 2% 5% 39% 31% 30% 22% 50% 28%
BVA 30 Apr–1 May 2012 1,387 87% 4% 9% 36% 36% 28% 21% 57% 22%
Ifop-Fiducial 28 Apr–1 May 2012 904 85% 6% 9% 28% 32% 40% 15% 46% 39%
Ifop-Fiducial 26–30 Apr 2012 898 86% 4% 10% 33% 27% 40% 18% 44% 38%
Ifop-Fiducial* 26–29 Apr 2012 1,876 80% 6% 14% 28% 31% 41% 18% 43% 39%
Ipsos 27–28 Apr 2012 988 80% 3% 17% 34% 40% 26% 14% 54% 32%
LH2 27–28 Apr 2012 958 73% 2% 25% 30% 31% 39% 20% 45% 35%
Ifop-Fiducial 24–27 Apr 2012 963 85% 4% 11% 33% 31% 36% 23% 45% 32%
Harris Interactive 25–26 Apr 2012 1,032 92% 2% 6% 41% 36% 23% 21% 48% 31%
Ifop-Fiducial 23–26 Apr 2012 966 81% 5% 14% 33% 37% 30% 23% 45% 32%
BVA 24–25 Apr 2012 2,285 89% 5% 6% 38% 41% 21% 26% 47% 27%
CSA 24–25 Apr 2012 1,009 85% 5% 10% 42% 36% 22% 23% 53% 24%
TNS Sofres 24–25 Apr 2012 1,000 82% 6% 12% 32% 39% 29% 16% 51% 33%
Ifop-Fiducial 22–25 Apr 2012 1,507 81% 3% 16% 40% 35% 25% 21% 44% 35%
OpinionWay 23–24 Apr 2012 1,145 91% 2% 7% 36% 41% 23% 27% 47% 26%
Ifop-Fiducial 22–24 Apr 2012 1,185 82% 3% 15% 43% 34% 23% 21% 43% 36%
Ifop-Fiducial 22–23 Apr 2012 865 82% 2% 16% 44% 35% 21% 22% 42% 36%
BVA 22 Apr 2012 678 90% 6% 4% 36% 39% 25% 20% 57% 23%
CSA 22 Apr 2012 1,009 91% 3% 6% 40% 25% 35% 27% 52% 21%
Harris Interactive 22 Apr 2012 1,088 83% 2% 15% 38% 32% 30% 17% 44% 39%
Ifop-Fiducial* 22 Apr 2012 1,004 83% 6% 11% 32% 38% 30% 31% 48% 21%
Ipsos 22 Apr 2012 1,090 86% 3% 11% 33% 32% 35% 18% 60% 22%
OpinionWay 22 Apr 2012 7,900 77% 5% 18% 34% 37% 29% 18% 37% 45%

By region[edit]

Corsica
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Hollande
PS
Sarkozy
UMP
2012 election 6 May 2012 23.67% 44.13% 55.87%
OpinionWay 27–30 Apr 2012 404 47% 53%
Réunion
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Hollande
PS
Sarkozy
UMP
2012 election 6 May 2012 27.14% 71.49% 28.51%
Ipsos 12–16 Apr 2012 451 74% 26%
Ipsos 20–27 Mar 2012 446 67% 33%
French residents overseas
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Hollande
PS
Sarkozy
UMP
2012 election 6 May 2012 57.82% 46.95% 53.05%
OpinionWay 12–23 Mar 2012 2,031 74% 26%

By commune[edit]

Aubagne
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Hollande
PS
Sarkozy
UMP
2012 election 6 May 2012 19.10% 48.59% 51.41%
CSA 29–30 Mar 2012 801 57% 43%

Aubry–Sarkozy[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Aubry
PS
Sarkozy
UMP
LH2 30 Sep–1 Oct 2011 843 57% 43%
LH2 2–3 Sep 2011 818 54% 46%
Ifop 30 Aug–2 Sep 2011 1,918 54% 46%
Ifop 19–21 Jul 2011 948 53% 47%
BVA 8–9 Jul 2011 782 58% 42%
LH2 8–9 Jul 2011 827 58% 42%
Harris Interactive 3–5 Jun 2011 1,449 58% 42%
BVA 20–21 May 2011 960 59% 41%
TNS Sofres 20–21 May 2011 960 56% 44%
LH2 6–7 May 2011 565 56% 44%
Ifop 20–21 Apr 2011 917 55% 45%
OpinionWay 6–7 Apr 2011 991 56.0% 44.0%
TNS Sofres 18–19 Feb 2011 1,000 56% 44%
CSA 14–15 Feb 2011 1,005 54% 46%
CSA 17–18 Jan 2011 847 56% 44%
BVA 14–15 Jan 2011 804 57% 43%
TNS Sofres 19–20 Nov 2010 1,000 55% 45%
Ifop 18–19 Nov 2010 811 52% 48%
Harris Interactive 9–10 Nov 2010 910 51% 49%
TNS Sofres 20–21 Aug 2010 1,000 53% 47%
CSA 7–8 Jul 2010 809 52% 48%
CSA 19–20 May 2010 779 51% 49%
CSA 24–25 Mar 2010 843 52% 48%
CSA 2–3 Feb 2010 802 48% 52%
CSA 4–5 Nov 2009 910 47% 53%

Royal–Sarkozy[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Royal
PS
Sarkozy
UMP
LH2 2–3 Sep 2011 818 49% 51%
Harris Interactive 3–5 Jun 2011 1,449 51% 49%
LH2 6–7 May 2011 554 50% 50%
Ifop 20–21 Apr 2011 917 51% 49%
TNS Sofres 18–19 Feb 2011 1,000 52% 48%
CSA 14–15 Feb 2011 1,005 50% 50%
CSA 17–18 Jan 2011 847 50% 50%
TNS Sofres 19–20 Nov 2010 1,000 52% 48%
Ifop 18–19 Nov 2010 811 53% 47%
TNS Sofres 20–21 Aug 2010 1,000 49% 51%
CSA 4–5 Nov 2009 910 45% 55%
LH2 2–3 May 2008 1,004 53% 47%
OpinionWay 30 Apr–2 May 2008 1,005 50% 50%
CSA 26 Feb 2008 856 51% 49%
Ifop 31 Oct–2 Nov 2007 1,008 45% 55%
2007 election 6 May 2007 16.03% 46.94% 53.06%

Strauss-Kahn–Sarkozy[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Strauss-Kahn
PS
Sarkozy
UMP
BVA 8–9 Jul 2011 782 54% 46%
LH2 6–7 May 2011 574 65% 35%
Ifop 20–21 Apr 2011 917 61% 39%
TNS Sofres 18–19 Feb 2011 1,000 63% 37%
CSA 14–15 Feb 2011 1,005 61% 39%
CSA 17–18 Jan 2011 847 64% 36%
BVA 14–15 Jan 2011 804 64% 36%
TNS Sofres 19–20 Nov 2010 1,000 62% 38%
Ifop 18–19 Nov 2010 811 59% 41%
TNS Sofres 20–21 Aug 2010 1,000 59% 41%
CSA 2–3 Feb 2010 802 52% 48%
CSA 4–5 Nov 2009 910 51% 49%

Sarkozy–Le Pen[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Sarkozy
UMP
Le Pen
FN
Harris Interactive 3–5 Jun 2011 1,449 63% 37%
LH2 6–7 May 2011 517 74% 26%
Ifop 20–21 Apr 2011 917 73% 27%
OpinionWay 6–7 Apr 2011 991 63.3% 36.7%

Hollande–Le Pen[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Hollande
PS
Le Pen
FN
LH2 6–7 May 2011 584 76% 24%
Ifop 20–21 Apr 2011 917 72% 28%

Aubry–Le Pen[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Aubry
PS
Le Pen
FN
LH2 6–7 May 2011 562 71% 29%
Ifop 20–21 Apr 2011 917 69% 31%
OpinionWay 6–7 Apr 2011 991 63.2% 36.8%

Strauss-Kahn–Le Pen[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Strauss-Kahn
PS
Le Pen
FN
LH2 6–7 May 2011 589 77% 23%
Ifop 20–21 Apr 2011 917 75% 25%

Aubry–Fillon[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Aubry
PS
Fillon
UMP
Harris Interactive 9–10 Nov 2010 910 49% 51%
BVA 10–11 Sep 2010 962 51% 49%
CSA 2–3 Mar 2010 757 51% 49%

Strauss-Kahn–Fillon[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Strauss-Kahn
PS
Fillon
UMP
BVA 10–11 Sep 2010 962 55% 45%
CSA 2–3 Mar 2010 757 54% 46%

Delanoë–Sarkozy[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Delanoë
PS
Sarkozy
UMP
CSA 4–5 Nov 2009 910 47% 53%

Bayrou–Sarkozy[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Bayrou
MoDem
Sarkozy
UMP
CSA 4–5 Nov 2009 910 49% 51%

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ a b "« La présidentielle en temps réel » avec le rolling Ifop - Paris Match - Europe 1 - Fiducial" (PDF). Ifop. 11 January 2012. Retrieved 24 February 2018. 
  2. ^ a b "Communiqué du 20 avril 2012". Commission des sondages. 20 April 2012. Retrieved 24 February 2018. 
  3. ^ Sylvia Zappi (1 February 2012). "Sans moyens ni soutiens, Chevènement a tenté son baroud d'honneur". Le Monde. Retrieved 24 February 2018. 
  4. ^ Béatrice Houchard (13 February 2012). "Christine Boutin retire sa candidature". Le Figaro. Retrieved 24 February 2018. 
  5. ^ "Présidentielle : Hervé Morin se retire et se rallie à Nicolas Sarkozy". Sud Ouest. Agence France-Presse. 16 February 2012. Retrieved 24 February 2018. 
  6. ^ "Nihous renonce à se présenter et soutient Sarkozy". RTL. 22 February 2012. Retrieved 24 February 2018. 
  7. ^ ""Sauf miracle", Dominique de Villepin ne sera pas candidat à la présidentielle". Le Monde. Agence France-Presse. 15 March 2012. Retrieved 24 February 2018. 
  8. ^ "Dix candidats en lice pour l'élection présidentielle". Le Parisien. 19 March 2012. Retrieved 24 February 2018. 

External links[edit]