Opinion polling for the 2011 Turkish general election
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Opinion polling has been commissioned throughout the duration of the 23rd parliamentary term and in the leadup to the 2011 election by various organisations. The sample size, margin of error and confidence interval of each poll varies by organisation and date.
Poll results
[edit]Results of several polling organisations together:
Date | Organisation | AK Party | CHP | MHP | BDP | SP | DSP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
May 2010 | SONAR[1] | 31.09 | 32.48 | 18.59 | 4.27 | 3.74 | 3.53 |
June 2010 | Denge[2] | 42.4 | 27.2 | 11.6 | 6.1 | 4.3 | – |
July 2010 | SONAR[3] | 31.1 | 33.5 | 15.5 | 5.1 | 3.3 | 3.1 |
August 2010 | Konsensus[4] | 40.1 | 30.6 | 12.0 | – | – | – |
August 2010 | SONAR[5] | 37.23 | 31.20 | 13.59 | 4.02 | 2.39 | 3.29 |
September 2010 | Andy-ar[6] | 44.1 | 25.3 | 10.3 | 5.7 | 5.8 | – |
November 2010 | AKP[7] | 46.8 | 25.0 | 12.7 | 6.0 | 2.0 | – |
December 2010 | Konsensus[8] | 40.9 | 26.0 | 15.6 | 7.5 | – | – |
December 2010 | A&G[9] | 44.0 | 31.0 | 10.0 | – | – | – |
December 2010 | ORC[10] | 40.7 | 23.3 | 12.1 | 5.9 | 5.4 | – |
January 2011 | Metropoll[11] | 43.5 | 30.7 | 13.8 | 6.5 | 1.3 | – |
February 2011 | USADEM[12] | 46.70 | 27.40 | 11.21 | 7.65 | – | – |
March 2011 | İKSara[13] | 48 | 28 | 15 | 4,5 | 1 | – |
March 2011 | MetroPoll[14] | 48.3 | 27.5 | 11.7 | 6.6 | 2 | – |
March 2011 | Konsensus[15] | 46.4 | 25.8 | 13.6 | 5.7 | 2 | – |
April 9, 2011 | GENAR[16] | 47.9 | 24.4 | 12.2 | 4.5 | 2.8 | – |
April 2011 | ORC[17][18] | 50.1 | 24.5 | 11.7 | 4.0 | 6.1 | – |
April 30, 2011 | GENAR[19] | 48.7 | 25.2 | 11.9 | 6.4 | - | – |
April 2011 | İKSara[20] | 46.4 | 30.3 | 13.5 | 5.4 | 1.4 | – |
April 2011 | Marmara[21] | 47.1 | 27.4 | 11.2 | 6.0 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
April 2011 | AKAM[22] | 41.8 | 25.8 | 15.1 | 6.0 | 3.6 | – |
20 May 2011 | ORC[23] | 49.5 | 25.2 | 11.3 | 5.1 | 6.8 | – |
Poll results by Andy-Ar
[edit]Results of Andy-Ar:
Date | AK Party | CHP | MHP | BDP | SP | DP | DSP | BBP | HSP | Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
November 2010[24] | 46.4 | 24.7 | 10.2 | 5.9 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 2.9 | 5.4 |
December 2010[25] | 46,8 | 26,1 | 10,6 | 5,9 | 1,7 | 0,9 | 0,5 | 2,6 | 2,8 | 2,1 |
January 2011[26] | 48,3 | 25,2 | 10,6 | 6,9 | 2,2 | 0,5 | 0,3 | 2,1 | 1,1 | 2,8 |
February 2011[27] | 48,8 | 26,2 | 10,4 | 6,8 | 1,6 | 0,4 | 0,4 | 2,6 | 0,9 | 1,9 |
March 2011[28] | 48,2 | 26,8 | 11,2 | 5.8 | 1,2 | – | – | 2,2 | 2,1 | 2.5 |
April 2011[29] | 51.2 | 28.8 | 10.7 | 4.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
May 2011[30] | 52 | 27 | 10.5 | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Poll results by Konsensus
[edit]Results of Konsensus Research & Consultanty:
Date | AK Party | CHP | MHP | BDP | SP | Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
June 2010 | 40,6 | 30,6 | 12,0 | 5,4 | 2,3 | 9,6 |
July 2010 | 41,1 | 29,8 | 12,7 | 6,2 | 3,8 | 6,2 |
August 2010 | 44,9 | 27,0 | 12,3 | 5,2 | 3,0 | 7,6 |
September 2010 | 46,9 | 24,5 | 10,6 | 8,7 | 3,5 | 5,8 |
October 2010 | 44,8 | 25,1 | 12,9 | 6,7 | 3,4 | 7,1 |
November 2010 | 40,9 | 26,0 | 14,2 | 7,5 | 2,5 | 8,9 |
December 2010 | 46,0 | 26,5 | 12,5 | 6,7 | 3,2 | 5,1 |
January 2011 | 49,6 | 26,8 | 11,1 | 6,9 | 0,8 | 4,0 |
February 2011 | 46,4 | 25,8 | 13,6 | 5,7 | 2,2 | 6,3 |
March/April 2011[31] | 48,9 | 25,8 | 10,9 | 6,0 | 1,8 | 2,5 |
May 2011[32] | 48,6 | 28,3 | 11,6 | 6,0 | 1,2 | 1,7 |
References
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