Opinion polling for the next German federal election

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In the run-up to the next German federal election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Germany. Results of such polls are displayed in this list.

Poll results[edit]

Graphical summary[edit]

Local regression of polls conducted

2024[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW BSW Others Lead
INSA 12–15 Apr 2024 2,006 16 29.5 13 6 18.5 3 2.5 6.5 5 11
Forsa 9–15 Apr 2024 2,505 23 16 31 12 5 17 5 14 14
INSA 8–12 Apr 2024 1,203 16 30 13 5 18 3 2 6 7 12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 9–11 Apr 2024 1,254 20 16 31 12 4 18 3 6 10 13
YouGov 5–10 Apr 2024 1,588 14 29 15 5 19 4 1 7 6 10
INSA 5–8 Apr 2024 2,084 15 30.5 13 5 18.5 3.5 2.5 6.5 5.5 12
Forsa 2–8 Apr 2024 2,506 24 16 30 13 5 17 5 14 13
Ipsos 5–7 Apr 2024 2,000 15 29 13 5 18 4 3 7 6 11
INSA 2–5 Apr 2024 1,243 15 31 13 5 19 3 2 6 6 12
Infratest dimap 2–3 Apr 2024 1,304 15 30 15 4 18 3 3 5 7 12
INSA 28 Mar2 Apr 2024 2,004 15 30 12.5 5 19.5 3.5 2.5 6.5 5.5 10.5
Forsa 26–28 Mar 2024 1,508 24 16 31 13 4 17 5 14 14
INSA 25–28 Mar 2024 1,210 15 30 13 5 20 3 2 6 6 10
INSA 22–25 Mar 2024 2,008 15.5 30 12.5 5 19.5 3.5 2.5 6.5 5 10.5
Forsa 19–25 Mar 2024 2,503 24 16 31 13 4 17 3 3 5 8 14
INSA 18–22 Mar 2024 1,204 16 30 13 5 19 3 2 6 6 11
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 19–21 Mar 2024 1,296 19 16 31 13 4 18 3 6 9 13
Wahlkreisprognose 18–20 Mar 2024 1,300 19.5 29 14 4 15 3.5 6.5 8.5 9.5
Verian 13–19 Mar 2024 1,480 17 29 15 5 18 3 5 8 11
INSA 15–18 Mar 2024 2,002 16 29.5 12 5 19.5 3.5 2.5 6.5 5.5 10
Forsa 12–18 Mar 2024 2,500 24 16 31 13 4 17 3 3 5 8 14
INSA 11–15 Mar 2024 1,199 15 30 12 5 19 3 2 6 8 11
Allensbach 1–14 Mar 2024 1,027 15 34 14 5 16 3 7 6 18
INSA 8–11 Mar 2024 2,079 14.5 31 12.5 5.5 18.5 3.5 2.5 6.5 5.5 12.5
Forsa 5–11 Mar 2024 2,502 26 15 30 14 5 17 3 3 5 8 13
INSA 4–8 Mar 2024 1,249 15 31 12 5 19 3 2 7 6 12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 5–7 Mar 2024 1,260 19 15 30 15 4 18 3 3 5 7 12
Infratest dimap 4–6 Mar 2024 1,288 16 29 14 5 19 3 6 8 10
YouGov 1–5 Mar 2024 1,762 15 29 14 4 19 4 1 7 7 10
INSA 1–4 Mar 2024 2,024 14.5 30.5 13 5.5 19.5 3 2.5 6.5 5 11
Forsa 27 Feb4 Mar 2024 2,506 15 31 14 5 17 3 3 4 8 14
Ipsos 1–3 Mar 2024 2,000 15 29 14 5 18 3 3 7 6 11
INSA 26 Feb1 Mar 2024 1,200 15 30 13 5 19 3 3 7 5 11
Verian 21–27 Feb 2024 1,392 16 30 15 5 18 3 4 9 12
INSA 23–26 Feb 2024 2,006 15.5 30.5 13 4.5 19 3 3 7.5 4 11.5
Forsa 20–26 Feb 2024 2,503 14 30 15 5 17 3 3 4 9 13
INSA 19–23 Feb 2024 1,203 15 30 13 5 19 3 3 8 4 11
Wahlkreisprognose 21–22 Feb 2024 1,300 14 28.5 12.5 5.5 19 2 2 8.5 8 9.5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 20–22 Feb 2024 1,294 18 15 30 14 4 19 4 5 9 11
Verian 14–20 Feb 2024 1,505 16 29 15 4 19 3 5 9 10
INSA 16–19 Feb 2024 2,007 14.5 30.5 12.5 4.5 19.5 3.5 3 7.5 4.5 11
Forsa 13–19 Feb 2024 2,504 24 15 30 14 5 17 3 3 4 9 13
INSA 12–16 Feb 2024 1,203 14 31 13 4 19 3 3 8 5 12
Allensbach 3–15 Feb 2024 1,053 15 32 14 6 18 3 7 5 14
INSA 9–12 Feb 2024 2,083 15 30 12.5 3.5 20.5 3.5 3 7.5 4.5 9.5
Forsa 6–12 Feb 2024 2,502 25 15 31 14 4 18 3 5 10 13
INSA 5–8 Feb 2024 1,276 15 30 13 4 20 3 3 7 5 10
YouGov 2–6 Feb 2024 2,018 14 31 12 4 20 3 1 7 6 11
INSA 2–5 Feb 2024 2,004 15 30 12.5 4.5 20.5 3.5 3 7.5 3.5 9.5
GMS 31 Jan5 Feb 2024 1,012 16 32 13 4 18 2 3 5 7 14
Forsa 30 Jan5 Feb 2024 2,503 25 15 31 14 4 18 3 3 5 7 13
Ipsos 2–4 Feb 2024 2,000 15 30 13 4 18 4 3 8 5 12
INSA 29 Jan2 Feb 2024 1,202 15 30 13 4 20 4 3 7 4 10
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 30 Jan1 Feb 2024 1,217 20 15 31 13 4 19 3 3 6 6 12
Infratest dimap 29–31 Jan 2024 1,303 16 30 14 4 19 3 5 9 11
INSA 26–29 Jan 2024 2,002 14.5 30 12.5 5 21 3.5 2.5 7 4 9
Forsa 23–29 Jan 2024 2,506 27 15 32 14 3 19 3 3 3 8 13
INSA 22–26 Jan 2024 1,201 14 31 13 4 21 4 2 7 4 10
Wahlkreisprognose 22–24 Jan 2024 1,366 26 17.5 30.5 11 4.5 22 2.5 4 8 8.5
15.5 27.5 12.5 6.5 19 2.5 2 9 5.5 8.5
Verian 16–23 Jan 2024 1,922 16 29 16 4 19 4 3 9 10
pollytix 19–22 Jan 2024 1,530 15 29 12 5 22 4 9 4 7
INSA 19–22 Jan 2024 2,006 13.5 30.5 12.5 5 21.5 3 2.5 11.5 8
Forsa 16–22 Jan 2024 2,503 14 31 14 4 20 4 3 3 7 11
INSA 15–19 Jan 2024 1,203 13 30 13 5 22 3 3 7 4 8
Allensbach 5–18 Jan 2024 1,018 15 34 13.5 6 19.5 4 3 5 14.5
INSA 12–15 Jan 2024 2,004 14 31 12 5 23 4 3 8 8
Forsa 9–15 Jan 2024 2,504 13 31 14 4 22 4 3 9 9
INSA 11–12 Jan 2024 1,002 14 27 12 4 18 3 3 14 5 9
INSA 8–12 Jan 2024 1,202 15 30 12 5 22 4 3 9 8
Verian 9–11 Jan 2024 1,359 14 31 16 4 22 4 3 6 9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 9–11 Jan 2024 1,337 21 13 31 14 4 22 4 4 4 4 9
INSA 5–8 Jan 2024 2,008 16 32 12 5 23 4 3 5 9
YouGov 3–8 Jan 2024 1,614 15 29 12 6 24 5 2 7 5
Forsa 2–8 Jan 2024 2,502 15 30 14 4 22 4 3 8 8
Ipsos 5–7 Jan 2024 2,000 15 30 13 6 22 5 9 8
INSA 2–5 Jan 2024 1,204 16 31 12 5 23 4 3 6 8
Wahlkreisprognose 2–4 Jan 2024 1,500 24 12 34 10.5 4.5 24.5 3 4 7.5 9.5
Infratest dimap 2–3 Jan 2024 1,321 14 31 13 5 22 4 3 8 9
INSA 29 Dec2 Jan 2024 2,002 15 32 13 5 22.5 4 3 5.5 9.5
GMS 27 Dec2 Jan 2024 1,004 14 33 13 6 23 3 3 5 10
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 23.4 25.7 24.2 14.7 11.4 10.4 4.9 2.4 6.3 1.6

2023[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW Others Lead
INSA 28–29 Dec 2023 1,001 15 32 12 5 23 4 3 6 9
INSA 22–27 Dec 2023 2,000 15 32 12 5 23 4 3 6 9
Forsa 19–22 Dec 2023 14 31 14 5 22 3 11 9
INSA 18–22 Dec 2023 1,202 15 32 12 5 22 4 3 7 10
Infratest dimap 18–20 Dec 2023 1,210 14 32 14 5 21 3 4 7 11
Verian 13–19 Dec 2023 1,421 15 31 15 4 21 4 10 10
INSA 15–18 Dec 2023 2,002 15.5 31.5 12.5 5 23 4 2.5 6 8.5
Forsa 12–18 Dec 2023 2,501 26 14 31 13 5 23 3 11 8
INSA 11–15 Dec 2023 1,202 15 32 12 5 23 4 2 7 9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12–14 Dec 2023 1,146 21 14 32 14 5 22 4 3 6 10
Allensbach 1–14 Dec 2023 1,013 17 34 15 5 18 3.5 3 4.5 16
Verian 6–12 Dec 2023 1,515 15 30 16 5 20 4 10 10
INSA 8–11 Dec 2023 2,008 16 30 12.5 6 22.5 4 3 6 7.5
GMS 6–11 Dec 2023 1,001 14 32 15 5 22 2 3 7 10
Forsa 5–11 Dec 2023 2,501 27 14 31 13 5 22 4 11 9
INSA 4–8 Dec 2023 1,203 16 30 12 6 22 4 3 7 8
Infratest dimap 4–6 Dec 2023 1,364 14 32 15 4 21 3 3 8 11
YouGov 1–6 Dec 2023 1,669 14 30 14 6 23 4 2 7 7
Verian 29 Nov5 Dec 2023 1,402 14 30 17 4 20 4 11 10
INSA 1–4 Dec 2023 2,006 15.5 29.5 13 6 22.5 3.5 3 7 7
Forsa 28 Nov4 Dec 2023 2,501 14 30 14 5 22 4 11 8
Ipsos 1–3 Dec 2023 2,000 16 29 13 6 21 5 10 8
INSA 27 Nov1 Dec 2023 1,202 16 30 13 6 22 3 3 7 8
Verian 20–28 Nov 2023 1,806 17 29 16 5 19 4 10 10
Wahlkreisprognose 25–27 Nov 2023 1,200 25 15 31 13 5 26 3.5 6.5 5
INSA 24–27 Nov 2023 2,007 15.5 30.5 12.5 6 22 4 3 6.5 8.5
Forsa 21–27 Nov 2023 2,500 25 14 30 15 5 21 4 11 9
INSA 20–24 Nov 2023 1,202 16 30 12 6 22 4 3 7 8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 21–23 Nov 2023 1,242 22 15 31 15 5 22 4 8 9
Verian 14–21 Nov 2023 1,452 16 29 17 5 20 4 9 9
INSA 17–20 Nov 2023 2,003 16.5 30 13 5.5 21 4.5 3 6.5 9
Forsa 14–20 Nov 2023 2,501 26 15 30 14 5 21 3 3 9 9
INSA 13–17 Nov 2023 1,201 16 30 13 6 21 4 3 7 9
Allensbach 1–16 Nov 2023 1,047 17 32 13.5 6 19 3.5 4 5 13
Verian 8–14 Nov 2023 1,421 16 28 16 6 20 4 10 8
INSA 10–13 Nov 2023 2,008 16.5 30.5 13.5 5 21.5 4.5 3 5.5 9
Forsa 7–13 Nov 2023 2,504 14 30 14 5 21 4 3 9 9
INSA 6–10 Nov 2023 1,204 17 30 14 5 21 4 3 6 9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 7–9 Nov 2023 1,234 21 16 30 15 5 21 4 3 6 9
Infratest dimap 7–8 Nov 2023 1,195 15 30 15 5 21 4 3 7 9
YouGov 3–7 Nov 2023 1,732 15 29 15 5 22 5 2 7 7
Kantar 1–7 Nov 2023 1,443 16 28 16 6 20 4 3 7 8
INSA 3–6 Nov 2023 2,006 16.5 29.5 13.5 5.5 22 4.5 3 5.5 7.5
Forsa 31 Oct6 Nov 2023 2,502 15 29 14 5 21 4 3 9 8
Ipsos 3–5 Nov 2023 2,000 17 28 15 6 20 5 9 8
INSA 30 Oct3 Nov 2023 1,204 16 30 13 6 22 4 3 6 8
Infratest dimap 30 Oct1 Nov 2023 1,314 16 30 14 4 22 5 3 6 8
Kantar 25–31 Oct 2023 1,418 17 27 16 5 21 4 10 6
INSA 27–30 Oct 2023 2,010 16.5 30.5 13 5.5 21 4 3.5 6 9.5
Forsa 24–30 Oct 2023 2,501 26 15 29 14 5 22 3 3 9 7
INSA 23–27 Oct 2023 1,216 16 31 13 6 21 4 3 6 10
Wahlkreisprognose 23–25 Oct 2023 1,300 24 14.5 30 14 6 22 4 9.5 8
Kantar 18–24 Oct 2023 1,422 16 28 16 5 20 5 10 8
INSA 20–23 Oct 2023 2,004 16.5 28.5 13 5.5 22 5 3.5 6 6.5
Forsa 17–23 Oct 2023 2,504 14 31 14 5 21 4 3 8 10
INSA 16–20 Oct 2023 1,202 16 29 13 5 22 5 4 6 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 17–19 Oct 2023 1,252 21 15 30 14 5 21 5 3 7 9
Allensbach 6–19 Oct 2023 1,010 17 34 13 5 19 3 4 5 15
Kantar 11–17 Oct 2023 1,388 14 31 15 5 21 4 3 7 10
INSA 13–16 Oct 2023 2,006 16.5 28 13 6 23 4.5 4 5 5
Forsa 10–16 Oct 2023 2,501 22 14 32 14 4 21 4 3 8 11
INSA 9–13 Oct 2023 1,202 17 28 13 6 23 5 4 4 5
Infratest dimap 10–11 Oct 2023 1,203 15 29 13 5 23 4 4 5 6
YouGov 6–10 Oct 2023 1,842 16 29 15 5 21 6 2 5 8
Kantar 4–10 Oct 2023 1,386 16 27 15 6 22 5 3 6 5
INSA 6–9 Oct 2023 2,001 17 27 13.5 6 22.5 5 3 6 4.5
Forsa 4–9 Oct 2023 2,003 18 28 14 6 20 4 10 8
Ipsos 6–8 Oct 2023 2,000 17 26 14 7 22 5 9 4
INSA 2–6 Oct 2023 1,201 17 27 14 6 22 5 3 6 5
INSA 29 Sep2 Oct 2023 2,010 18 26.5 13.5 7 22 5 2.5 5.5 4.5
Forsa 26–29 Sep 2023 2,004 25 18 28 14 5 20 4 11 8
INSA 25–29 Sep 2023 1,206 18 26 14 7 22 5 3 5 4
Kantar 26–28 Sep 2023 1,391 16 26 16 7 21 5 9 5
Infratest dimap 25–27 Sep 2023 1,302 16 28 14 6 22 4 3 7 6
Kantar 20–26 Sep 2023 1,356 16 27 15 7 21 5 9 6
Wahlkreisprognose 24–25 Sep 2023 1,200 24 18.5 24 15 6.5 23 3.5 9.5 1
INSA 22–25 Sep 2023 2,003 17.5 27 13.5 6.5 21.5 5 3 6 5.5
Forsa 19–25 Sep 2023 2,503 27 17 27 14 6 21 4 11 6
INSA 18–22 Sep 2023 1,203 17 27 14 6 22 5 3 6 5
Kantar 13–19 Sep 2023 1,370 17 27 15 7 21 4 9 6
INSA 15–18 Sep 2023 2,008 17 26.5 14.5 6 21 5 3.5 6.5 5.5
GMS 13–18 Sep 2023 1,002 16 27 15 6 23 4 9 4
Forsa 12–18 Sep 2023 2,504 27 17 27 14 6 22 4 10 5
INSA 11–15 Sep 2023 1,204 17 27 15 6 21 5 3 6 6
Allensbach 4–15 Sep 2023 1,030 18 30 14 7 19 5 7 11
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12–14 Sep 2023 1,201 21 17 26 16 6 21 5 3 6 5
Infratest dimap 12–13 Sep 2023 1,222 16 28 15 7 22 4 8 6
Kantar 6–12 Sep 2023 1,442 16 26 15 7 22 5 9 4
INSA 8–11 Sep 2023 2,002 18 26.5 14 7 22 4.5 8 4.5
Forsa 5–11 Sep 2023 2,505 28 17 27 13 7 21 4 11 6
INSA 4–8 Sep 2023 1,201 18 27 13 7 22 5 8 5
YouGov 1–6 Sep 2023 1,833 16 29 14 5 23 5 1 8 6
Kantar 30 Aug5 Sep 2023 1,441 17 26 15 6 21 5 10 5
INSA 1–4 Sep 2023 2,010 17.5 26.5 13.5 7.5 21.5 4.5 9 5
Forsa 29 Aug4 Sep 2023 2,506 16 27 14 7 21 4 11 6
Ipsos 1–3 Sep 2023 2,000 17 26 14 8 21 6 8 5
INSA 28 Aug1 Sep 2023 1,195 18 27 13 7 21 5 9 6
Infratest dimap 28–30 Aug 2023 1,310 16 29 14 6 22 4 9 7
Kantar 23–29 Aug 2023 1,330 18 25 15 7 20 5 10 5
INSA 25–28 Aug 2023 2,006 18 26.5 14.5 7 21 4.5 8.5 5.5
Forsa 22–28 Aug 2023 2,504 29 17 26 14 7 21 4 11 5
Wahlkreisprognose 22–27 Aug 2023 1,200 26 20.5 25 13 7.5 22 4 8 3
INSA 21–25 Aug 2023 1,285 18 27 14 7 21 5 8 6
Kantar 16–22 Aug 2023 1,426 18 26 14 7 20 5 10 6
INSA 18–21 Aug 2023 2,008 18.5 26.5 14 8 20.5 5 7.5 6
Forsa 15–21 Aug 2023 2,506 29 18 26 14 7 20 4 11 6
INSA 14–18 Aug 2023 1,203 18 27 14 8 21 5 7 6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 15–17 Aug 2023 1,288 26 19 26 15 7 20 5 8 6
Infratest dimap 15–16 Aug 2023 1,216 17 27 14 7 21 4 10 6
Allensbach 4–16 Aug 2023 1,026 19 29 14 7 19 5 7 10
Kantar 9–15 Aug 2023 1,426 18 26 15 7 19 5 10 7
INSA 11–14 Aug 2023 2,002 19.5 26 13.5 7 21 4.5 8.5 5
Forsa 8–14 Aug 2023 2,501 28 17 25 15 7 21 4 11 4
INSA 7–11 Aug 2023 1,200 20 26 13 7 21 5 8 5
GMS 2–9 Aug 2023 1,004 17 27 14 7 21 4 10 6
Kantar 2–8 Aug 2023 1,330 19 27 16 6 18 6 8 8
INSA 4–7 Aug 2023 2,004 19 27 14.5 7.5 20.5 4.5 7 6.5
Forsa 1–7 Aug 2023 2,502 28 17 25 15 7 21 4 11 4
Ipsos 4–6 Aug 2023 1,000 17 26 15 8 22 5 7 4
INSA 31 Jul4 Aug 2023 1,203 19 27 14 7 21 5 7 6
Infratest dimap 31 Jul2 Aug 2023 1,297 17 27 15 7 21 4 9 6
Kantar 26 Jul1 Aug 2023 1,310 19 27 16 6 19 5 8 8
YouGov 25 Jul2 Aug 2023 1,756 17 27 14 5 23 6 1 7 4
INSA 28–31 Jul 2023 2,003 18.5 26.5 14 6.5 21.5 5 8 5
Forsa 25–31 Jul 2023 2,500 28 17 25 15 6 21 5 11 4
INSA 24–28 Jul 2023 1,200 18 26 14 7 22 5 8 4
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 2023 1,525 23 20.5 25 13 7 20.5 4.5 3 6.5 4.5
Kantar 19–25 Jul 2023 1,402 18 27 16 6 20 5 8 7
INSA 21–24 Jul 2023 2,006 18.5 26.5 14 7.5 21.5 4.5 7.5 5
Forsa 18–24 Jul 2023 2,504 28 18 27 14 6 19 5 11 8
INSA 17–21 Jul 2023 1,266 18 26 14 7 22 5 8 4
Infratest dimap 18–19 Jul 2023 1,235 18 28 13 7 20 4 10 8
Allensbach 7–19 Jul 2023 1,011 19 29 16 7 18 4 7 10
Kantar 12–18 Jul 2023 1,403 18 26 16 7 20 5 8 6
INSA 14–17 Jul 2023 2,004 18 27 14 7 20.5 5 8.5 6.5
Forsa 11–17 Jul 2023 2,502 26 18 26 15 7 20 4 10 6
INSA 10–14 Jul 2023 1,184 18 27 14 7 20 5 9 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 11–13 Jul 2023 1,347 27 17 27 16 7 20 4 9 7
Kantar 5–11 Jul 2023 1,393 19 26 15 7 20 5 8 6
INSA 7–10 Jul 2023 2,008 19 26 14 7 20.5 5 8.5 5.5
Ipsos 7–9 Jul 2023 1,000 18 26 14 7 22 5 8 4
Forsa 4–7 Jul 2023 2,003 25 18 27 14 7 19 5 10 8
INSA 3–7 Jul 2023 1,204 19 27 13 7 20 5 9 7
Infratest dimap 3–5 Jul 2023 1,305 18 28 14 7 20 4 9 8
YouGov 30 Jun4 Jul 2023 1,694 18 27 14 6 21 6 1 6 6
Kantar 28 Jun4 Jul 2023 1,403 18 27 15 6 20 5 9 7
INSA 30 Jun3 Jul 2023 2,897 19 25.5 14.5 6.5 21 5 8.5 4.5
GMS 28 Jun3 Jul 2023 1,005 17 28 14 7 20 4 10 8
Forsa 27 Jun3 Jul 2023 2,501 25 18 27 15 6 19 5 10 8
INSA 26–30 Jun 2023 1,401 19 26 14 7 20 5 9 6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 27–29 Jun 2023 1,379 24 18 28 16 6 19 5 8 9
Kantar 20–27 Jun 2023 1,408 18 26 15 7 19 5 10 7
INSA 23–26 Jun 2023 2,004 19.5 26.5 13.5 6.5 20.5 4.5 9 6
Forsa 20–26 Jun 2023 2,506 25 18 27 15 7 19 4 10 8
Wahlkreisprognose 22–25 Jun 2023 1,399 25 21 24 14.5 6 21 4.5 9 3
INSA 19–23 Jun 2023 1,203 20 26 13 7 20 4 10 6
Allensbach 9–22 Jun 2023 1,039 19 31 15 8 17 4 6 12
Infratest dimap 20–21 Jun 2023 1,191 17 29 15 6 19 4 10 10
Kantar 14–20 Jun 2023 1,406 19 27 15 7 20 4 8 7
INSA 16–19 Jun 2023 2,006 20 26.5 13.5 7.5 20 4.5 8 6.5
Forsa 13–19 Jun 2023 2,503 25 18 27 15 7 19 4 10 8
INSA 12–16 Jun 2023 1,203 20 27 13 8 19 4 9 7
Civey 9–16 Jun 2023 10,031 19 25 16 7 20 5 8 5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 13–15 Jun 2023 1,224 21 19 28 16 6 18 5 8 9
Kantar 6–13 Jun 2023 1,387 20 27 15 6 19 5 8 7
INSA 9–12 Jun 2023 2,003 20 27 13 8 19.5 4.5 8 7
Forsa 6–12 Jun 2023 2,504 24 18 29 14 7 19 4 9 10
INSA 5–9 Jun 2023 1,201 20 27 13 8 19 5 8 7
YouGov 2–7 Jun 2023 1,628 19 28 13 5 20 6 1 7 8
Kantar 31 May6 Jun 2023 1,402 20 27 15 7 18 5 8 7
INSA 2–5 Jun 2023 2,009 19 26.5 13.5 9 19 5 8 7.5
GMS 31 May5 Jun 2023 1,001 18 29 15 7 19 4 8 10
Forsa 30 May5 Jun 2023 2,505 23 18 30 14 7 17 4 10 12
Ipsos 2–4 Jun 2023 1,000 20 28 13 8 19 6 6 8
Wahlkreisprognose 1–2 Jun 2023 1,100 24 21 27 13 8 19 4 8 6
INSA 30 May2 Jun 2023 1,205 19 27 13 9 19 5 8 8
Infratest dimap 30–31 May 2023 1,302 18 29 15 7 18 4 9 11
INSA 26–30 May 2023 2,004 20.5 28 13 8.5 18 4.5 7.5 7.5
Kantar 23–30 May 2023 1,379 20 27 15 8 17 5 8 7
Forsa 23–26 May 2023 2,001 23 18 29 14 7 17 5 10 11
INSA 22–26 May 2023 1,207 20 28 13 9 18 4 8 8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 23–25 May 2023 1,257 24 20 28 16 6 17 5 8 8
Kantar 16–23 May 2023 1,321 18 29 15 8 16 5 9 11
INSA 19–22 May 2023 2,004 20.5 27.5 14 8.5 17 5 7.5 7
Forsa 16–22 May 2023 2,003 18 30 14 7 16 5 10 12
INSA 15–19 May 2023 1,195 21 28 14 8 17 5 7 7
Kantar 9–16 May 2023 1,401 18 28 16 8 16 5 9 10
INSA 12–15 May 2023 2,010 20 28 14.5 8.5 16.5 5 7.5 8
Forsa 9–15 May 2023 2,503 25 17 30 15 8 16 4 10 13
INSA 8–12 May 2023 1,205 20 28 15 9 16 4 8 8
Infratest dimap 9–10 May 2023 1,220 18 28 16 8 16 5 9 10
Allensbach 28 Apr10 May 2023 1,001 18 32 16 8 15 5 6 14
YouGov 5–9 May 2023 1,700 16 31 16 5 17 6 2 7 14
Kantar 3–9 May 2023 1,405 18 29 17 8 16 5 7 11
INSA 5–8 May 2023 2,008 20 28 14 9 16.5 4.5 8 8
Forsa 2–8 May 2023 2,505 18 29 16 7 16 4 10 11
Ipsos 5–7 May 2023 1,000 19 29 15 8 16 5 8 10
INSA 2–5 May 2023 1,204 20 28 14 9 16 4 9 8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 2–4 May 2023 1,225 28 19 30 17 6 15 5 8 11
Infratest dimap 2–3 May 2023 1,360 17 30 16 7 16 5 9 13
INSA 28 Apr2 May 2023 2,006 21 27 15 8 16.5 4.5 8 6
Kantar 26 Apr2 May 2023 1,394 17 31 16 8 16 4 8 14
Wahlkreisprognose 26–30 Apr 2023 1,400 24 21 27.5 14 10.5 15 3.5 8.5 6.5
Forsa 25–28 Apr 2023 2,007 17 30 16 7 16 4 10 13
INSA 24–28 Apr 2023 1,202 21 28 14 8 16 5 8 7
Kantar 18–25 Apr 2023 1,426 18 30 16 7 16 5 8 12
INSA 21–24 Apr 2023 2,004 20 27.5 14.5 9 16 4.5 8.5 7.5
Forsa 18–24 Apr 2023 2,506 23 18 30 16 7 15 4 10 12
INSA 17–21 Apr 2023 1,202 20 28 15 9 16 4 8 8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 18–20 Apr 2023 1,266 24 18 31 18 6 15 4 8 13
Kantar 12–18 Apr 2023 1,407 19 29 17 7 15 4 9 10
Allensbach 3–18 Apr 2023 1,007 20 31 15 7.5 16 5 5.5 11
INSA 14–17 Apr 2023 2,008 21 27.5 15 8 16 4.5 8 6.5
Forsa 11–17 Apr 2023 2,508 24 18 29 17 7 15 4 10 11
INSA 11–14 Apr 2023 1,204 21 27 15 8 16 5 8 6
Infratest dimap 11–12 Apr 2023 1,204 19 29 17 7 15 4 9 10
INSA 6–11 Apr 2023 2,005 20 27.5 15.5 8 16 4.5 8.5 7.5
Kantar 5–11 Apr 2023 1,367 21 27 17 8 14 5 8 6
Forsa 4–6 Apr 2023 1,501 25 18 30 18 7 14 4 10 12
INSA 3–6 Apr 2023 1,204 20 28 16 8 16 4 8 8
Infratest dimap 3–5 Apr 2023 1,304 18 30 17 7 15 4 9 12
Ipsos 3–4 Apr 2023 1,000 21 27 17 8 15 4 8 6
YouGov 30 Mar4 Apr 2023 1,522 20 30 15 6 17 6 1 6 10
Kantar 29 Mar4 Apr 2023 1,269 20 27 18 8 14 5 8 7
INSA 31 Mar3 Apr 2023 2,007 20 28 15.5 7.5 16 4.5 8.5 8
GMS 29 Mar3 Apr 2023 1,007 19 31 17 6 15 4 8 12
Forsa 28 Mar3 Apr 2023 2,502 25 18 29 18 7 14 4 10 11
INSA 27–31 Mar 2023 1,200 21 27 16 8 16 4 8 6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 28–30 Mar 2023 1,379 25 19 30 17 7 15 5 7 11
Kantar 21–28 Mar 2023 1,387 18 28 19 7 15 4 9 10
INSA 24–27 Mar 2023 2,004 20.5 28 16 8 15.5 4 8 7.5
Forsa 21–27 Mar 2023 2,506 24 19 29 18 6 14 4 10 10
Wahlkreisprognose 23–26 Mar 2023 1,200 23 23 26.5 15 7.5 13.5 4 10.5 3.5
INSA 20–24 Mar 2023 1,203 21 28 16 8 15 4 8 7
Kantar 14–21 Mar 2023 1,504 18 28 18 7 15 5 9 10
INSA 17–20 Mar 2023 2,006 21.5 28 15 7.5 16 5 7 6.5
Forsa 14–20 Mar 2023 2,503 23 19 29 18 6 14 5 9 10
INSA 13–17 Mar 2023 1,202 21 28 15 8 16 5 7 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 14–16 Mar 2023 1,146 24 21 29 19 5 14 5 7 8
Infratest dimap 14–15 Mar 2023 1,215 18 30 16 7 15 5 9 12
Allensbach 2–15 Mar 2023 1,101 21 31 16 6.5 15 4.5 6 10
Kantar 8–14 Mar 2023 1,432 19 28 18 7 15 5 8 9
INSA 10–13 Mar 2023 2,002 21.5 28.5 15.5 7.5 16 4 7 7
Forsa 7–13 Mar 2023 2,505 22 20 29 17 6 14 5 9 9
INSA 6–10 Mar 2023 1,268 21 29 16 7 15 4 8 8
YouGov 3–7 Mar 2023 1,649 20 28 16 6 17 7 1 6 8
Kantar 1–7 Mar 2023 1,504 19 29 19 7 13 5 8 10
INSA 3–6 Mar 2023 2,007 20 29.5 15.5 7.5 15.5 5 7 9.5
Forsa 28 Feb6 Mar 2023 2,504 20 31 17 5 13 5 9 11
Ipsos 3–4 Mar 2023 1,000 20 27 18 7 15 5 8 7
INSA 27 Feb3 Mar 2023 1,203 20 30 16 7 15 5 7 10
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 28 Feb2 Mar 2023 1,165 24 21 29 18 5 15 5 7 8
Infratest dimap 27 Feb1 Mar 2023 1,311 18 31 17 6 14 5 9 13
Wahlkreisprognose 27 Feb1 Mar 2023 1,419 25 23.5 32 15.5 5 14 3 7 8.5
Kantar 21–28 Feb 2023 1,722 20 28 18 6 14 6 8 8
INSA 24–27 Feb 2023 2,010 20.5 29.5 15.5 7.5 15.5 4.5 7 9
Forsa 21–27 Feb 2023 2,501 22 20 31 17 5 13 5 9 11
INSA 20–24 Feb 2023 1,200 21 29 16 7 15 5 7 8
Kantar 14–21 Feb 2023 1,373 21 29 17 6 15 5 7 8
INSA 17–20 Feb 2023 2,006 21.5 29 15.5 7 15.5 5 6.5 7.5
GMS 15–20 Feb 2023 1,004 19 29 17 7 15 5 8 10
Forsa 14–20 Feb 2023 2,510 19 31 17 6 13 5 9 12
INSA 13–17 Feb 2023 1,207 21 29 16 7 16 5 6 8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 14–16 Feb 2023 1,361 25 20 30 19 5 14 5 7 10
Infratest dimap 14–15 Feb 2023 1,216 19 29 17 6 15 5 9 10
Kantar 8–14 Feb 2023 1,386 21 26 18 7 15 5 8 5
INSA 10–13 Feb 2023 2,005 20 28 16 7.5 16 5 7.5 8
Forsa 7–13 Feb 2023 2,505 23 21 28 18 6 13 5 9 7
INSA 6–10 Feb 2023 1,457 20 28 16 8 16 5 7 8
YouGov 3–9 Feb 2023 1,736 19 27 16 6 17 6 2 7 8
Allensbach 27 Jan9 Feb 2023 1,088 22.5 30 16 7.5 14 4 6 7.5
Kantar 31 Jan7 Feb 2023 1,410 21 25 19 7 15 5 8 4
INSA 3–6 Feb 2023 2,008 21 27 16 8 15.5 5 7.5 6
Forsa 31 Jan6 Feb 2023 2,502 24 21 28 18 7 13 5 8 7
Ipsos 3 Feb 2023 1,000 20 26 17 8 16 5 8 6
INSA 30 Jan3 Feb 2023 1,462 21 28 16 8 15 5 7 7
Infratest dimap 30 Jan1 Feb 2023 1,328 20 27 18 7 15 4 9 7
Kantar 25–31 Jan 2023 1,405 21 25 19 7 15 5 8 4
INSA 27–30 Jan 2023 2,007 20.5 28.5 16 7.5 15 5 7.5 8
Forsa 24–30 Jan 2023 2,503 20 27 19 7 13 5 9 7
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jan 2023 1,421 26 24 24 18 6.5 14.5 3.5 9.5 Tie
INSA 24–27 Jan 2023 1,506 20 29 16 7 15 5 8 9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 24–26 Jan 2023 1,345 26 21 27 19 6 15 6 6 6
Kantar 18–24 Jan 2023 1,392 21 27 19 7 14 5 7 6
INSA 20–23 Jan 2023 2,009 20.5 28 16.5 7.5 15 4.5 8 7.5
Forsa 17–23 Jan 2023 2,502 23 19 28 20 7 12 5 9 8
INSA 16–21 Jan 2023 1,504 20 28 16 7 15 5 9 8
Infratest dimap 17–18 Jan 2023 1,211 19 29 19 6 14 4 9 10
Allensbach 5–18 Jan 2023 1,023 21 31 17 6 14 4.5 6.5 10
Kantar 11–17 Jan 2023 1,418 20 27 20 6 14 5 8 7
Wahlkreisprognose 15–16 Jan 2023 1,500 21.5 24.5 17 8 16.5 3.5 9 3
INSA 13–16 Jan 2023 2,006 21 28 16.5 7.5 15 5 7 7
Forsa 10–16 Jan 2023 2,500 24 18 28 20 7 13 5 9 8
INSA 9–13 Jan 2023 1,202 20 27 17 8 15 5 8 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 10–12 Jan 2023 1,259 26 20 27 21 6 14 6 6 6
Civey 5–12 Jan 2023 10,065 18 28 20 7 14 5 8 8
Ipsos 9–10 Jan 2023 1,000 19 27 18 7 15 6 8 8
YouGov 6–10 Jan 2023 1,561 18 27 17 8 16 6 1 6 9
Kantar 4–10 Jan 2023 1,398 19 28 18 7 14 4 10 9
INSA 6–9 Jan 2023 2,006 20 27 17.5 7.5 15 5 8 7
Forsa 3–9 Jan 2023 2,502 23 18 29 20 7 13 5 8 9
INSA 2–6 Jan 2023 1,465 20 27 18 7 15 5 8 7
Infratest dimap 2–4 Jan 2023 1,314 18 29 19 6 15 5 8 10
GMS 28 Dec3 Jan 2023 1,002 19 29 17 7 14 5 9 10
INSA 29 Dec2 Jan 2023 2,010 20 27 17.5 7.5 15 4.5 8.5 7
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 23.4 25.7 24.2 14.7 11.4 10.4 4.9 2.4 6.3 1.6

2022[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke Others Lead
INSA 27–29 Dec 2022 1,205 20 26 18 7 15 5 9 6
INSA 19–22 Dec 2022 1,203 21 27 17 8 14 5 8 6
YouGov 16–21 Dec 2022 1,608 19 30 17 7 14 5 9 11
INSA 16–19 Dec 2022 2,005 21 27.5 17.5 7.5 14.5 4.5 7.5 6.5
Forsa 13–19 Dec 2022 2,503 24 19 28 19 7 13 5 9 9
INSA 12–16 Dec 2022 1,501 21 27 18 7 15 5 7 6
Kantar 13–15 Dec 2022 1,717 19 29 18 7 14 5 8 10
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12–15 Dec 2022 1,365 22 20 28 20 6 15 5 6 8
Allensbach 2–15 Dec 2022 1,035 22 30 18 7.5 12 4.5 6 8
INSA 9–12 Dec 2022 2,007 20 28.5 18 7 15.5 4.5 6.5 8.5
Kantar 7–12 Dec 2022 1,429 18 28 19 7 14 5 9 9
Forsa 6–12 Dec 2022 2,506 24 19 29 19 7 12 5 9 10
Wahlkreisprognose 7–9 Dec 2022 1,500 22.5 25 16.5 7 14.5 4 10.5 2.5
INSA 2–9 Dec 2022 1,502 20 28 18 7 15 4 8 8
Infratest dimap 6–7 Dec 2022 1,259 18 29 18 6 15 5 9 11
Kantar 30 Nov6 Dec 2022 1,443 19 27 19 6 15 5 9 8
INSA 3–5 Dec 2022 2,008 20.5 28 17 7 14.5 5 8 7.5
Forsa 29 Nov5 Dec 2022 2,500 25 19 29 19 7 12 5 9 10
Ipsos 2–3 Dec 2022 1,000 19 27 19 7 14 6 8 8
INSA 28 Nov2 Dec 2022 1,502 20 28 17 7 15 5 8 8
Civey 25 Nov2 Dec 2022 10,016 19 28 21 7 13 4 8 7
GMS 28 Nov1 Dec 2022 1,005 18 28 21 7 12 4 10 7
Infratest dimap 28–30 Nov 2022 1,318 18 30 18 5 15 5 9 12
Kantar 22–29 Nov 2022 1,414 18 27 20 7 14 5 9 7
INSA 25–28 Nov 2022 2,006 21 27 17.5 7 15 5 7.5 6
Forsa 22–28 Nov 2022 2,505 24 19 29 20 6 12 5 9 9
INSA 21–25 Nov 2022 1,501 21 27 18 7 15 5 7 6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 22–24 Nov 2022 1,273 26 19 28 22 5 14 6 6 6
Kantar 15–22 Nov 2022 1,430 19 29 19 7 13 4 9 10
INSA 18–21 Nov 2022 2,004 20 28 17 7.5 15 5 7.5 8
Forsa 15–21 Nov 2022 2,502 25 19 28 20 6 13 5 9 8
INSA 14–18 Nov 2022 1,314 20 28 17 7 15 5 8 8
Allensbach 5–17 Nov 2022 1,042 20 29.5 20 7 14 4 5.5 9.5
Kantar 9–15 Nov 2022 1,443 20 27 19 7 13 5 9 7
INSA 11–14 Nov 2022 2,010 20.5 27.5 17.5 7 15 4.5 8 7
Forsa 8–14 Nov 2022 2,503 25 19 28 20 6 14 4 9 8
INSA 8–11 Nov 2022 1,255 21 28 18 7 15 4 7 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 8–10 Nov 2022 1,310 23 19 28 22 5 15 5 6 6
Infratest dimap 8–9 Nov 2022 1,225 18 28 19 7 14 4 10 9
YouGov 4–9 Nov 2022 1,608 18 29 20 5 16 7 6 9
Wahlkreisprognose 7–8 Nov 2022 1,300 24.5 25.5 16 8.5 14 3.5 8 1
Kantar 2–8 Nov 2022 1,442 21 26 20 7 14 5 7 5
Ipsos 4–7 Nov 2022 1,000 19 27 20 7 13 6 8 7
INSA 4–7 Nov 2022 2,007 21 27 17.5 8 14.5 4.5 7.5 6
Forsa 1–7 Nov 2022 2,502 24 19 28 19 6 14 5 9 9
INSA 1–4 Nov 2022 1,286 21 27 17 8 15 5 7 6
Infratest dimap 31 Oct2 Nov 2022 1,307 19 28 19 6 14 5 9 9
Kantar 25 Oct2 Nov 2022 1,516 21 26 19 8 14 5 7 5
INSA 28–31 Oct 2022 2,009 20.5 26 18 9 15 4.5 7 5.5
Forsa 25–31 Oct 2022 2,503 23 20 27 20 6 14 4 9 7
INSA 24–28 Oct 2022 1,230 20 26 18 9 15 5 7 6
Kantar 19–25 Oct 2022 1,406 21 25 20 7 15 5 7 4
GMS 19–25 Oct 2022 1,002 18 28 20 6 15 4 9 8
INSA 21–24 Oct 2022 2,007 20.5 26.5 17.5 8.5 15 4.5 7.5 6
Forsa 18–24 Oct 2022 2,502 22 19 28 20 6 14 4 9 8
Wahlkreisprognose 18–21 Oct 2022 1,910 22 25 17.5 8 16 3.5 8 3
INSA 17–21 Oct 2022 1,503 20 27 18 8 15 5 7 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 18–20 Oct 2022 1,389 22 19 28 21 6 15 5 6 7
Kantar 12–18 Oct 2022 1,435 22 23 20 7 16 4 8 1
INSA 14–17 Oct 2022 2,000 19.5 27.5 18.5 7.5 15.5 4.5 7 8
Forsa 11–17 Oct 2022 2,505 20 27 20 6 14 4 9 7
INSA 10–14 Oct 2022 1,327 19 28 18 8 15 5 7 9
Allensbach 1–13 Oct 2022 1,021 19 30.5 19 7 14 5 5.5 11.5
Infratest dimap 11–12 Oct 2022 1,225 19 26 20 6 15 5 9 6
YouGov 7–12 Oct 2022 1,617 16 29 19 6 15 6 9 10
Kantar 5–11 Oct 2022 1,433 20 25 21 6 15 5 8 4
Forsa 4–10 Oct 2022 2,501 24 18 28 20 6 14 5 9 8
INSA 4–10 Oct 2022 2,005 19.5 27.5 19 7.5 15 5 6.5 8
Ipsos 7–9 Oct 2022 1,000 18 27 21 7 13 6 8 6
INSA 4–7 Oct 2022 1,315 19 27 19 8 15 5 7 8
Wahlkreisprognose 3–6 Oct 2022 1,923 21 25 16 9 16 4.5 8.5 4
Infratest dimap 3–5 Oct 2022 1,307 17 28 19 7 15 5 9 9
Kantar 28 Sep4 Oct 2022 1,864 18 27 20 8 14 6 7 7
INSA 30 Sep3 Oct 2022 2,008 19 27.5 18.5 8 15 5.5 6.5 8.5
Forsa 27–30 Sep 2022 2,001 25 18 28 20 6 14 5 9 8
INSA 26–30 Sep 2022 1,210 19 28 18 8 15 6 6 9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 27–29 Sep 2022 1,355 27 18 27 22 7 14 5 7 5
Kantar 22–27 Sep 2022 1,381 19 27 21 8 13 5 7 6
INSA 23–26 Sep 2022 2,102 18 27.5 19.5 8 15 5.5 6.5 8
Forsa 20–26 Sep 2022 2,505 23 18 28 20 7 13 5 9 8
INSA 19–23 Sep 2022 1,255 19 28 19 8 14 5 7 9
Wahlkreisprognose 20–22 Sep 2022 1,700 22 26 18 8 13.5 4 8.5 4
Kantar 14–20 Sep 2022 1,444 19 27 20 7 14 5 8 7
GMS 14–20 Sep 2022 1,003 18 28 21 7 13 4 9 7
INSA 16–19 Sep 2022 2,080 18.5 28.5 19 7.5 14 5.5 7 9.5
Forsa 13–19 Sep 2022 2,506 23 19 28 19 7 13 5 9 9
INSA 12–16 Sep 2022 1,476 19 28 19 7 13 6 8 9
Infratest dimap 13–14 Sep 2022 1,224 17 28 21 7 14 5 8 7
Allensbach 1–14 Sep 2022 1,030 20 30 19 7 13 5.5 5.5 10
YouGov 9–13 Sep 2022 1,635 16 29 19 6 14 7 8 10
Kantar 7–13 Sep 2022 1,443 20 26 21 7 13 5 8 5
Forsa 6–13 Sep 2022 2,501 19 28 20 6 13 5 9 8
INSA 9–12 Sep 2022 2,039 18 28 20 8 13.5 5.5 7 8
Wahlkreisprognose 9–11 Sep 2022 1,300 20 25.5 19 7 14 5.5 9 5.5
INSA 5–9 Sep 2022 1,443 19 27 20 8 13 5 8 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 6–8 Sep 2022 1,299 25 19 28 23 6 13 5 6 5
Kantar 31 Aug6 Sep 2022 1,416 20 25 21 8 12 5 9 4
INSA 2–5 Sep 2022 2,004 18 28 20.5 7.5 13.5 5.5 7 7.5
Forsa 30 Aug5 Sep 2022 2,500 25 18 26 24 7 11 5 9 2
Ipsos 2–4 Sep 2022 1,000 19 26 21 8 12 6 8 5
INSA 29 Aug2 Sep 2022 1,203 19 28 20 8 13 5 7 8
Infratest dimap 29–31 Aug 2022 1,324 17 27 22 8 13 5 8 5
Kantar 24–30 Aug 2022 1,411 21 24 22 8 12 5 8 2
INSA 26–29 Aug 2022 2,138 19 27.5 20.5 8 13 5.5 6.5 7
Forsa 23–29 Aug 2022 2,503 25 17 26 25 7 11 5 9 1
INSA 22–26 Aug 2022 1,204 20 28 21 8 12 5 6 7
Civey 18–25 Aug 2022 10,014 19 27 22 7 11 5 9 5
Kantar 17–23 Aug 2022 1,431 19 26 23 7 12 5 8 3
INSA 19–22 Aug 2022 2,091 18.5 28 21 7.5 13 5.5 6.5 7
Forsa 16–22 Aug 2022 2,505 25 18 26 25 7 11 4 9 1
INSA 15–19 Aug 2022 1,427 19 28 21 8 12 5 7 7
Wahlkreisprognose 16–18 Aug 2022 1,433 18 25 26 6 14 3 8 1
Allensbach 5–18 Aug 2022 1,038 19.5 29 21 8 12 5 5.5 8
Infratest dimap 16–17 Aug 2022 1,273 18 28 23 7 12 4 8 5
Kantar 10–16 Aug 2022 1,429 20 28 23 6 12 4 7 5
INSA 12–15 Aug 2022 2,146 19 28 22 8 12 5 6 6
Forsa 9–15 Aug 2022 2,500 28 18 26 25 6 11 4 10 1
INSA 8–12 Aug 2022 1,502 19 27 22 9 12 5 6 5
Wahlkreisprognose 6–12 Aug 2022 2,920 16 24 25.5 8 14.5 3.5 8.5 1.5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 9–11 Aug 2022 1,389 25 19 26 26 7 12 4 6 Tie
YouGov 5–10 Aug 2022 1,595 19 27 21 6 14 6 8 6
Kantar 3–9 Aug 2022 1,422 21 27 22 7 11 5 7 5
Ipsos 5–8 Aug 2022 1,000 19 27 22 8 11 5 8 5
INSA 5–8 Aug 2022 2,099 18 27 21.5 8 12.5 5.5 7.5 5.5
Forsa 2–8 Aug 2022 2,504 26 18 26 24 7 10 5 10 2
INSA 1–5 Aug 2022 1,701 19 27 21 9 12 5 7 6
Infratest dimap 1–3 Aug 2022 1,313 17 28 23 7 13 4 8 5
Kantar 26 Jul2 Aug 2022 1,426 21 25 23 6 11 5 9 2
INSA 29 Jul1 Aug 2022 2,144 18.5 26.5 22 8 12 5 8 4.5
Forsa 26 Jul1 Aug 2022 2,504 18 27 24 7 10 5 9 3
INSA 25–29 Jul 2022 1,202 19 26 22 9 12 5 7 4
Kantar 19–26 Jul 2022 1,413 21 26 22 7 11 5 8 4
INSA 22–25 Jul 2022 2,043 18.5 26.5 22 8 12 5 8 4.5
GMS 20–25 Jul 2022 1,005 18 27 23 9 10 5 8 4
Forsa 19–25 Jul 2022 2,510 22 19 26 24 6 10 5 10 2
INSA 18–22 Jul 2022 1,501 18 27 23 8 12 5 7 4
Allensbach 8–21 Jul 2022 1,006 22 27.5 22 7 11 5 5.5 5.5
Infratest dimap 19–20 Jul 2022 1,210 19 27 22 7 12 4 9 5
Wahlkreisprognose 19–20 Jul 2022 1,400 22 24 24 8.5 10.5 3.5 7.5 Tie
Kantar 13–19 Jul 2022 1,392 19 25 23 8 11 5 9 2
INSA 15–18 Jul 2022 2,062 18.5 26.5 22 8 12 4.5 8.5 4.5
Forsa 12–18 Jul 2022 2,501 20 26 24 6 9 5 10 2
Civey 11–18 Jul 2022 10,018 20 27 23 7 10 5 8 4
INSA 11–15 Jul 2022 1,277 19 26 22 8 11 5 9 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12–14 Jul 2022 1,167 25 21 26 25 6 11 5 6 1
Kantar 6–12 Jul 2022 1,433 20 25 24 8 11 4 8 1
INSA 8–11 Jul 2022 2,044 20 27 21 8.5 11 4.5 8 6
Forsa 5–11 Jul 2022 2,503 22 19 26 24 7 9 5 10 2
INSA 4–8 Jul 2022 1,202 19 28 22 8 10 4 9 6
Wahlkreisprognose 5–6 Jul 2022 1,700 22 25 22 8 10 4 9 3
Infratest dimap 4–6 Jul 2022 1,327 19 27 23 8 11 4 8 4
YouGov 1–5 Jul 2022 1,655 19 28 20 7 12 5 9 8
Kantar 28 Jun5 Jul 2022 1,426 20 25 24 7 10 5 9 1
INSA 1–4 Jul 2022 2,066 19 28 21 9.5 11 4 7.5 7
Forsa 28 Jun4 Jul 2022 2,502 23 20 26 24 8 9 4 9 2
Ipsos 1–2 Jul 2022 1,000 22 26 20 9 10 5 8 4
INSA 27 Jun2 Jul 2022 1,253 20 27 22 9 11 4 7 5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 28–30 Jun 2022 1,186 20 21 27 25 6 10 5 6 2
Kantar 21–28 Jun 2022 1,410 20 26 25 8 10 4 7 1
INSA 24–27 Jun 2022 2,101 20 27 21.5 9 10.5 4 8 5.5
Forsa 21–27 Jun 2022 2,500 22 20 26 24 8 9 4 9 2
Wahlkreisprognose 23–26 Jun 2022 2,430 22 25 21 7 12 4 9 3
INSA 20–24 Jun 2022 1,414 20 26 22 9 11 4 8 4
Infratest dimap 21–22 Jun 2022 1,248 20 26 23 8 12 4 7 3
Kantar 14–21 Jun 2022 1,769 20 26 24 8 10 4 8 2
INSA 17–20 Jun 2022 2,063 19.5 28 21 9.5 10 4 8 7
GMS 15–20 Jun 2022 1,003 21 29 21 8 8 4 9 8
Forsa 14–20 Jun 2022 2,504 25 19 28 23 8 9 4 9 5
INSA 13–17 Jun 2022 1,501 20 27 21 9 10 4 9 6
Allensbach 3–17 Jun 2022 1,046 23 27 22 8 10 4.5 5.5 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 13–15 Jun 2022 1,133 22 22 26 25 6 10 5 6 1
Kantar 8–14 Jun 2022 1,895 20 28 22 8 9 4 9 6
INSA 10–13 Jun 2022 2,082 20 27.5 21 9.5 10.5 3.5 8 6.5
Forsa 7–13 Jun 2022 2,511 20 20 27 23 8 9 4 9 4
INSA 7–10 Jun 2022 1,203 21 27 21 9 10 4 8 6
Wahlkreisprognose 7–8 Jun 2022 1,603 22 24 20 7 13 6 8 2
Ipsos 3–7 Jun 2022 1,000 23 27 19 9 10 4 8 4
YouGov 3–7 Jun 2022 1,633 18 30 21 7 12 6 7 9
INSA 3–7 Jun 2022 2,055 20 27 21.5 9.5 10.5 3.5 8 5.5
Kantar 1–7 Jun 2022 1,428 22 26 23 9 8 4 8 3
Forsa 31 May3 Jun 2022 2,002 20 19 27 23 8 10 4 9 4
INSA 30 May3 Jun 2022 1,501 22 27 20 9 9 4 9 5
Infratest dimap 30 May1 Jun 2022 1,226 21 27 21 8 11 4 8 6
Wahlkreisprognose 30 May1 Jun 2022 1,500 18 27 25.5 8 9 4 8.5 1.5
Kantar 24–31 May 2022 1,428 20 28 23 8 8 4 9 5
INSA 27–30 May 2022 2,056 22 27 20.5 8.5 10 3.5 8.5 5
GMS 25–30 May 2022 1,005 22 30 20 8 7 4 9 8
Forsa 24–30 May 2022 2,004 21 19 29 24 7 9 4 8 5
INSA 23–27 May 2022 1,337 23 27 19 9 9 4 9 4
Kantar 17–24 May 2022 1,422 21 27 21 8 9 5 9 6
INSA 20–23 May 2022 2,100 22 28.5 20 8.5 10.5 3 7.5 6.5
Forsa 17–23 May 2022 2,505 22 21 28 23 7 9 4 8 5
Civey 16–23 May 2022 10,050 22 27 20 8 11 5 7 5
INSA 16–20 May 2022 1,214 21 28 19 10 10 3 9 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 17–19 May 2022 1,162 22 22 26 24 7 10 4 7 2
Allensbach 6–18 May 2022 1,118 24 29 20.5 8 9 4.5 5 5
Kantar 11–17 May 2022 1,425 22 26 21 8 10 5 8 4
Wahlkreisprognose 15–16 May 2022 1,302 23.5 29 23 5.5 7.5 2.5 9 5.5
INSA 13–16 May 2022 2,147 21.5 28 20.5 9 11 3 7 6.5
Forsa 10–16 May 2022 2,502 23 22 27 22 8 8 4 9 5
INSA 9–13 May 2022 1,501 22 27 18 10 10 4 9 5
Infratest dimap 10–11 May 2022 1,226 22 26 20 8 11 4 9 4
YouGov 6–10 May 2022 1,659 20 28 19 9 10 5 8 8
Kantar 4–10 May 2022 1,426 22 26 20 9 10 5 8 4
Wahlkreisprognose 8–9 May 2022 1,610 24 23.5 22.5 10.5 9 3 7.5 0.5
INSA 6–9 May 2022 2,086 22.5 27.5 19 10 10.5 3.5 7 5
Forsa 3–9 May 2022 2,501 23 26 21 9 9 4 8 3
Ipsos 6 May 2022 906 24 25 16 11 11 5 8 1
INSA 2–6 May 2022 1,501 23 27 18 11 10 3 8 4
pollytix 29 Apr4 May 2022 1,303 22 26 17 12 12 5 6 4
Kantar 26 Apr3 May 2022 1,570 23 27 19 9 9 5 8 4
INSA 29 Apr2 May 2022 2,146 23 27 19 9.5 10.5 4.5 6.5 4
Forsa 26 Apr2 May 2022 2,508 23 26 20 9 9 4 9 3
INSA 25–29 Apr 2022 1,202 23 26 18 10 11 4 8 3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 26–28 Apr 2022 1,170 21 25 23 21 9 11 4 7 2
Infratest dimap 25–27 Apr 2022 1,314 24 26 18 9 11 3 9 2
Kantar 19–26 Apr 2022 1,431 23 25 20 9 9 5 9 2
INSA 22–25 Apr 2022 2,056 24 26.5 18 9 11.5 4.5 6.5 2.5
GMS 20–25 Apr 2022 1,003 26 26 18 8 9 4 9 Tie
Forsa 19–25 Apr 2022 2,507 25 24 25 20 9 9 4 9 1
Civey 8–25 Apr 2022 10,011 24 25 20 9 11 4 7 1
Wahlkreisprognose 23 Apr 2022 1,007 24.5 22.5 22 11 8.5 3 8.5 2
INSA 19–22 Apr 2022 1,296 24 26 18 9 11 5 7 2
Kantar 12–19 Apr 2022 1,715 25 25 19 9 9 4 9 Tie
INSA 15–18 Apr 2022 2,073 23.5 26 19 9 11 4.5 7 2.5
Forsa 12–14 Apr 2022 1,501 25 25 25 20 8 9 4 9 Tie
INSA 11–14 Apr 2022 1,402 25 26 17 10 10 5 7 1
Infratest dimap 11–12 Apr 2022 1,226 24 26 18 8 11 4 9 2
YouGov 8–12 Apr 2022 1,643 21 26 18 9 12 6 8 5
Kantar 6–12 Apr 2022 1,960 26 25 19 8 10 4 8 1
INSA 8–11 Apr 2022 2,061 25 27 17.5 9 11 4.5 6 2
Forsa 5–11 Apr 2022 2,500 25 27 24 19 8 9 4 9 3
INSA 4–8 Apr 2022 1,503 25 26 16 10 11 4 8 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 5–7 Apr 2022 1,230 21 27 24 19 8 11 4 7 3
Infratest dimap 4–6 Apr 2022 1,325 24 25 19 9 11 4 8 1
Allensbach 25 Mar6 Apr 2022 1,075 28 24 17 9 9 6 7 4
Kantar 30 Mar5 Apr 2022 1,437 27 25 19 8 10 4 7 2
Wahlkreisprognose 3–4 Apr 2022 2,450 27 25.5 19 8.5 9 3 8 1.5
INSA 1–4 Apr 2022 2,063 25 26 17.5 10.5 10.5 4.5 6 1
Ipsos 1 Apr 2022 912 25 23 15 12 12 6 7 2
Forsa 29 Mar4 Apr 2022 2,508 24 27 24 19 8 9 4 9 3
INSA 25 Mar1 Apr 2022 1,501 26 26 16 10 11 4 7 Tie
Kantar 23–29 Mar 2022 1,428 25 26 18 9 9 5 8 1
INSA 25–28 Mar 2022 2,070 25 26 16.5 10 10.5 5.5 6.5 1
Forsa 22–28 Mar 2022 2,507 22 24 26 18 9 9 5 9 2
INSA 21–25 Mar 2022 1,205 26 26 16 10 11 5 6 Tie
Kantar 16–22 Mar 2022 1,429 26 25 18 9 9 6 7 1
INSA 18–21 Mar 2022 2,122 24.5 26.5 16.5 11 11 4.5 6 2
Forsa 15–21 Mar 2022 2,501 22 23 27 18 10 9 5 8 4
Allensbach 9–21 Mar 2022 1,041 25 25 17 10.5 10 5 7.5 Tie
Wahlkreisprognose 18–20 Mar 2022 1,923 26.5 25.5 18.5 10 8.5 3 8 1
INSA 14–18 Mar 2022 1,198 26 26 16 10 10 5 7 Tie
Infratest dimap 15–16 Mar 2022 1,254 25 26 17 9 11 4 8 1
Kantar 9–15 Mar 2022 1,416 26 26 19 8 9 5 7 Tie
INSA 11–14 Mar 2022 2,073 25 25.5 15.5 10.5 10.5 5 8 0.5
Forsa 8–14 Mar 2022 2,502 25 26 18 9 9 5 8 1
INSA 7–11 Mar 2022 1,201 26 24 16 10 10 6 8 2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 8–10 Mar 2022 1,345 19 27 24 18 9 10 5 7 3
YouGov 4–8 Mar 2022 1,629 23 26 16 9 11 6 8 3
Kantar 2–8 Mar 2022 1,426 25 26 19 8 10 5 7 1
INSA 4–7 Mar 2022 2,103 25 24.5 15.5 11 10.5 6 7.5 0.5
Ipsos 4 Mar 2022 935 25 24 16 11 11 6 7 1
Forsa 1–7 Mar 2022 2,501 22 26 25 18 9 7 6 9 1
INSA 28 Feb4 Mar 2022 1,185 25 25 15 11 11 6 7 Tie
Infratest dimap 28 Feb2 Mar 2022 1,320 25 26 16 9 11 5 8 1
Kantar 23 Feb1 Mar 2022 1,405 26 26 17 8 10 6 7 Tie
INSA 25–28 Feb 2022 2,067 23 27 15.5 11 10.5 6.5 6.5 4
Forsa 24–28 Feb 2022 1,500 25 26 18 9 7 6 9 1
Wahlkreisprognose 24–27 Feb 2022 2,030 26 23.5 17.5 11.5 10.5 4 7 2.5
GMS 23–26 Feb 2022 1,005 24 27 15 10 9 6 9 3
INSA 21–25 Feb 2022 1,405 23 26 15 11 12 7 6 3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 21–23 Feb 2022 1,103 20 26 24 17 9 11 6 7 2
Kantar 16–22 Feb 2022 1,432 26 25 17 9 10 7 6 1
INSA 18–21 Feb 2022 1,539 23 27 14.5 12.5 11 6 6 4
Forsa 15–21 Feb 2022 2,500 23 23 27 17 9 9 6 9 4
INSA 14–18 Feb 2022 1,303 22 27 15 11 12 7 6 5
Infratest dimap 15–16 Feb 2022 1,202 24 26 15 9 12 5 9 2
Allensbach 3–16 Feb 2022 1,033 23 27 15 10.5 10 6 6.5 4
Wahlkreisprognose 13–15 Feb 2022 1,200 25 24.5 17 9.5 9.5 6 8.5 0.5
YouGov 10–15 Feb 2022 1,659 21 27 17 9 11 7 7 6
Kantar 8–15 Feb 2022 1,434 24 24 16 10 12 6 8 Tie
INSA 11–14 Feb 2022 2,141 22.5 26 15 12 12 6 6.5 3.5
Forsa 8–14 Feb 2022 2,504 22 23 27 16 9 9 6 10 4
INSA 7–11 Feb 2022 1,504 22 26 16 11 12 6 7 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 8–10 Feb 2022 1,224 18 25 25 16 9 11 6 8 Tie
pollytix 4–8 Feb 2022 1,547 23 27 15 9 12 8 6 4
Kantar 1–8 Feb 2022 1,287 22 26 16 10 12 6 8 4
INSA 4–7 Feb 2022 2,067 23 26 15 12 11 7 6 3
Ipsos 4 Feb 2022 910 25 24 16 8 12 8 7 1
Forsa 1–7 Feb 2022 2,502 23 22 27 16 9 10 6 10 5
INSA 1–4 Feb 2022 1,202 22 27 16 11 11 6 7 5
Wahlkreisprognose 1–3 Feb 2022 2,330 21 28 19 8.5 10 5.5 8 7
Civey 22 Jan3 Feb 2022 10,070 25 25 15 10 11 6 8 Tie
Infratest dimap 31 Jan2 Feb 2022 1,339 22 27 16 10 12 5 8 5
Kantar 26 Jan1 Feb 2022 1,410 24 24 17 9 11 6 9 Tie
INSA 28–31 Jan 2022 2,247 24 25 15 12.5 10 6.5 7 1
Forsa 25–31 Jan 2022 2,501 23 23 27 16 9 10 6 9 4
INSA 24–28 Jan 2022 1,383 26 24 16 11 11 6 6 2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 25–27 Jan 2022 1,249 21 24 23 18 10 10 7 8 1
YouGov 21–25 Jan 2022 1,602 23 26 15 8 12 8 9 3
Kantar 19–25 Jan 2022 1,415 24 24 18 10 10 6 8 Tie
INSA 21–24 Jan 2022 2,146 26 24 15 11.5 11 6 6.5 2
Forsa 18–24 Jan 2022 2,502 22 25 24 16 10 10 6 9 1
INSA 17–21 Jan 2022 1,204 26 23 16 12 12 6 5 3
Allensbach 6–20 Jan 2022 1,090 27.5 23 14.5 12.5 10 5.5 7 4.5
Infratest dimap 18–19 Jan 2022 1,424 25 24 16 10 12 5 8 1
Wahlkreisprognose 15–18 Jan 2022 1,920 27.5 22.5 17 10.5 10 4.5 8 5
Kantar 12–18 Jan 2022 1,441 26 22 17 9 12 6 8 4
INSA 14–17 Jan 2022 2,130 26 22.5 15.5 12 12 6 6 3.5
Forsa 11–17 Jan 2022 2,504 22 25 25 16 10 10 5 9 Tie
INSA 10–14 Jan 2022 1,504 27 23 16 11 12 5 6 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 11–13 Jan 2022 1,128 21 27 22 16 11 10 6 8 5
Kantar 5–11 Jan 2022 1,426 26 23 17 10 10 6 8 3
INSA 7–10 Jan 2022 2,107 26.5 23 15 12 12 5 6.5 3.5
Forsa 3–10 Jan 2022 3,003 22 25 25 17 10 9 5 9 Tie
Ipsos 6–9 Jan 2022 929 25 21 15 11 12 6 10 4
INSA 3–7 Jan 2022 1,504 27 23 16 12 11 5 6 4
Infratest dimap 3–5 Jan 2022 1,325 26 23 16 11 11 5 8 3
INSA 30 Dec3 Jan 2022 2,060 26.5 23 15.5 11 11.5 6 6.5 3.5
GMS 29 Dec3 Jan 2022 1,003 26 24 16 12 11 4 7 2
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 23.4 25.7 24.2 14.7 11.4 10.4 4.9 8.7 1.6

2021[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke Others Lead
INSA 27–30 Dec 2021 1,201 27 24 16 10 11 5 7 3
INSA 20–23 Dec 2021 1,195 28 23 15 11 11 5 7 5
INSA 17–20 Dec 2021 2,075 27.5 21.5 14.5 13 11.5 5.5 6.5 6
Forsa 14–20 Dec 2021 2,501 26 24 16 10 9 5 10 2
Wahlkreisprognose 18–19 Dec 2021 1,120 30 21.5 14.5 11.5 10 4 8.5 8.5
INSA 13–18 Dec 2021 1,501 27 23 14 12 12 5 7 4
Kantar 14–16 Dec 2021 1,436 27 22 16 11 11 5 8 5
Allensbach 1–15 Dec 2021 1,069 26 24 15 13 10.5 5 6.5 2
YouGov 10–14 Dec 2021 1,715 27 23 16 10 11 6 8 4
Kantar 8–14 Dec 2021 1,440 27 22 16 11 10 5 9 5
INSA 10–13 Dec 2021 2,221 27 22 14.5 13 11.5 5.5 6.5 5
Forsa 7–13 Dec 2021 2,509 26 23 15 11 10 5 10 3
INSA 6–10 Dec 2021 1,480 26 22 15 13 11 5 8 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 7–9 Dec 2021 1,303 21 28 21 17 12 10 5 7 7
Infratest dimap 7–8 Dec 2021 1,266 26 23 16 12 11 5 7 3
Civey 1–8 Dec 2021 10,043 27 23 15 11 11 5 8 4
Kantar 1–7 Dec 2021 1,439 28 21 15 11 11 5 9 7
INSA 3–6 Dec 2021 2,119 26 22 15 13.5 11.5 5.5 6.5 4
Wahlkreisprognose 1–6 Dec 2021 1,002 29 18 16.5 13.5 11 4 8 11
Forsa 30 Nov6 Dec 2021 2,503 25 22 17 11 10 5 10 3
INSA 29 Nov3 Dec 2021 1,348 26 21 15 13 12 5 8 5
Infratest dimap 29 Nov1 Dec 2021 1,316 25 23 17 12 11 5 7 2
Civey 24 Nov1 Dec 2021 10,078 26 24 15 11 11 5 8 2
Kantar 24–30 Nov 2021 1,425 27 20 16 12 11 6 8 7
INSA 26–29 Nov 2021 2,129 25 21 16 14 11 5.5 7.5 4
Forsa 23–29 Nov 2021 2,509 24 22 17 12 10 5 10 2
INSA 22–26 Nov 2021 1,403 26 21 15 13 12 6 7 5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 23–25 Nov 2021 1,344 19 28 19 17 13 11 5 7 9
Infratest dimap 23–24 Nov 2021 1,239 25 21 17 13 11 5 8 4
Wahlkreisprognose 22–24 Nov 2021 1,002 27 22.5 15.5 11.5 10 5 8.5 4.5
Civey 17–24 Nov 2021 10,064 25 24 15 11 11 5 9 1
YouGov 19–23 Nov 2021 1,797 25 23 16 11 12 6 7 2
Kantar 17–23 Nov 2021 1,424 24 22 18 11 11 6 8 2
INSA 19–22 Nov 2021 2,096 26 22 14 14 11 5.5 7.5 4
Forsa 16–22 Nov 2021 2,501 21 24 22 17 12 10 5 10 2
INSA 15–19 Nov 2021 1,501 26 21 15 13 12 5 8 5
Civey 10–17 Nov 2021 10,077 26 23 15 12 11 5 8 3
Kantar 10–16 Nov 2021 1,433 24 21 18 12 11 6 8 3
INSA 12–15 Nov 2021 2,091 27 21 15 13 11.5 5.5 7 6
Forsa 9–15 Nov 2021 2,510 21 24 22 17 12 10 5 10 2
INSA 8–12 Nov 2021 1,202 26 22 15 13 11 5 8 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 9–11 Nov 2021 1,257 16 28 20 16 13 11 5 7 8
Allensbach 29 Oct11 Nov 2021 1,016 27 23 15 14 9.5 5.5 6 4
Civey 3–10 Nov 2021 9,999 26 22 15 13 11 5 8 4
Kantar 3–9 Nov 2021 1,424 25 21 16 14 10 6 8 4
INSA 5–8 Nov 2021 2,112 26.5 20.5 16 13.5 10.5 5.5 7.7 6
Forsa 2–8 Nov 2021 2,502 25 22 16 14 9 5 9 3
INSA 1–5 Nov 2021 1,212 27 21 15 14 11 5 7 6
Wahlkreisprognose 31 Oct5 Nov 2021 1,200 28 20.5 15.5 14 10.5 4 7.5 7.5
GMS 1–4 Nov 2021 1,005 26 21 16 15 10 4 8 5
Infratest dimap 2–3 Nov 2021 1,329 27 21 16 13 10 5 8 6
Civey 27 Oct3 Nov 2021 10,069 26 22 15 13 11 5 8 4
Kantar 27 Oct2 Nov 2021 1,417 25 22 16 13 10 5 9 3
INSA 29 Oct1 Nov 2021 2,140 27 20 16 13.5 11.5 5 7 7
Forsa 26 Oct1 Nov 2021 2,501 25 21 16 15 9 5 9 4
INSA 25–29 Oct 2021 1,503 27 21 16 13 11 5 7 6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 26–28 Oct 2021 1,208 15 27 20 16 14 11 5 7 7
Infratest dimap 26–27 Oct 2021 1,239 26 22 16 13 10 4 9 4
Civey 20–27 Oct 2021 10,050 25 21 15 14 12 5 8 4
Kantar 19–26 Oct 2021 1,422 25 21 17 14 11 5 7 4
INSA 22–25 Oct 2021 2,105 28 20 16 14 11 5 6 8
Forsa 19–25 Oct 2021 2,510 25 20 17 16 9 5 8 5
INSA 18–22 Oct 2021 1,205 27 20 17 14 11 4 7 7
Civey 13–20 Oct 2021 10,028 25 20 15 15 11 6 8 5
Kantar 13–19 Oct 2021 1,424 25 21 16 13 11 5 9 4
INSA 15–18 Oct 2021 2,140 28 18.5 16 15 11.5 5 6 9.5
Forsa 12–18 Oct 2021 2,502 26 20 16 15 9 5 9 6
INSA 11–15 Oct 2021 1,195 28 19 16 13 11 4 9 9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12–14 Oct 2021 1,329 14 28 19 17 13 11 5 7 9
Allensbach 1–14 Oct 2021 1,045 28 21 15 14 9.5 5 7.5 7
Civey 6–13 Oct 2021 9,999 26 20 14 15 11 6 8 6
Kantar 6–12 Oct 2021 1,410 26 19 17 14 10 5 9 7
INSA 8–11 Oct 2021 2,101 28.5 19.5 16 14.5 11 4 6.5 9
Wahlkreisprognose 7–10 Oct 2021 1,210 27 19 17.5 14 10 4 8.5 8
Forsa 5–11 Oct 2021 2,503 26 20 16 14 9 5 10 6
INSA 4–8 Oct 2021 1,509 28 20 15 14 10 5 8 8
Civey 29 Sep6 Oct 2021 10,009 28 19 15 14 11 6 7 9
Kantar 28 Sep5 Oct 2021 1,985 26 20 17 13 10 5 9 6
INSA 1–4 Oct 2021 2,000 28 21 15.5 13.5 10 4.5 7.5 7
Forsa 27 Sep4 Oct 2021 3,004 26 20 16 14 9 5 10 6
INSA 27 Sep1 Oct 2021 1,254 28 21 16 12 10 5 8 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 28–30 Sep 2021 1,249 15 28 20 16 13 10 5 8 8
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 23.4 25.7 24.2 14.7 11.4 10.4 4.9 8.7 1.6

CDU and CSU[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPD CDU Grüne FDP AfD CSU Linke FW BSW Others Lead
INSA 12–15 Apr 2024 2,006 16 23.5 13 6 18.5 6 3 2.5 6.5 5 5
INSA 5–8 Apr 2024 2,084 15 23.5 13 5 18.5 7 3.5 2.5 6.5 5.5 5
INSA 28 Mar2 Apr 2024 2,004 15 23.5 12.5 5 19.5 6.5 3.5 2.5 6.5 5.5 4
INSA 22–25 Mar 2024 2,008 15.5 23.5 12.5 5 19.5 6.5 3.5 2.5 6.5 5 4
INSA 15–18 Mar 2024 2,002 16 23.5 12 5 19.5 6 3.5 2.5 6.5 5.5 4
INSA 8–11 Mar 2024 2,079 14.5 25.5 12.5 5.5 18.5 5.5 3.5 2.5 6.5 5.5 7
INSA 1–4 Mar 2024 2,007 14.5 24.5 13 5.5 19.5 6 3 2.5 6.5 5 5
INSA 23–26 Feb 2024 2,006 15.5 24 13 4.5 19 6.5 3 3 7.5 4 5
INSA 16–19 Feb 2024 2,007 14.5 24 12.5 4.5 19.5 6.5 3.5 3 7.5 4.5 4.5
INSA 9–12 Feb 2024 2,083 15 23.5 12.5 3.5 20.5 6.5 3.5 3 7.5 4.5 3
INSA 2–5 Feb 2024 2,004 15 24 12.5 4.5 20.5 6 3.5 3 7.5 3.5 3.5
INSA 26–29 Jan 2024 2,002 14.5 23.5 12.5 5 21 6.5 3.5 2.5 7 4 2.5
INSA 19–22 Jan 2024 2,006 13.5 23.5 12.5 5 21.5 7 3 2.5 11.5 2
INSA 12–15 Jan 2024 2,004 14 24 12 5 23 7 4 3 8 1
INSA 5–8 Jan 2024 2,008 16 25 12 5 23 7 4 3 5 2
INSA 29 Dec2 Jan 2024 2,002 15 25 13 5 22.5 7 4 3 5.5 2.5
INSA 22–27 Dec 2023 2,000 15 25 12 5 23 7 4 3 6 2
INSA 15–18 Dec 2023 2,002 15,5 24.5 12.5 5 23 7 4 2.5 6 1.5
INSA 8–11 Dec 2023 2,008 16 23.5 12.5 6 22.5 6.5 4 3 6 1
INSA 1–4 Dec 2023 2,006 15.5 23 13 6 22.5 6.5 3.5 3 7 0.5
INSA 24–27 Nov 2023 2,007 15.5 24.5 12.5 6 22 6 4 3 6.5 2.5
INSA 17–20 Nov 2023 2,008 16.5 25.5 13 5.5 21 4.5 4.5 3 6.5 4.5
INSA 10–13 Nov 2023 2,008 16.5 24.5 13.5 5 21.5 6 4.5 3 5.5 3
INSA 3–6 Nov 2023 2,006 16.5 23 13.5 5.5 22 6.5 4.5 3 5.5 1
INSA 27–30 Oct 2023 2,010 16.5 23.5 13 5.5 21 7 4 3.5 6 2.5
INSA 20–23 Oct 2023 2,004 16.5 22 13 5.5 22 6.5 5 3.5 6 Tie
INSA 13–16 Oct 2023 2,006 16.5 21.5 13 6 23 6.5 4.5 4 5 1.5
INSA 6–9 Oct 2023 2,001 17 20.5 13.5 6 22.5 6.5 5 3 6 2
INSA 29 Sep2 Oct 2023 2,010 18 21 13.5 7 22 5.5 5 2.5 5.5 1
INSA 22–25 Sep 2023 2,003 17.5 20.5 13.5 6.5 21.5 6.5 5 3 6 1
INSA 15–18 Sep 2023 2,008 17 21 14.5 6 21 5.5 5 3.5 6.5 Tie
INSA 8–11 Sep 2023 2,002 18 19.5 14 7 22 7 4.5 8 2.5
INSA 1–4 Sep 2023 2,010 17.5 20 13.5 7.5 21.5 6.5 4.5 9 1.5
INSA 25–28 Aug 2023 2,006 18 20.5 14.5 7 21 6 4.5 8.5 0.5
INSA 18–21 Aug 2023 2,008 18.5 19.5 14 8 20.5 7 5 7.5 1
INSA 11–14 Aug 2023 2,002 19.5 19.5 13.5 7 21 6.5 4.5 8.5 1.5
INSA 4–7 Aug 2023 2,004 19 22 14.5 7.5 20.5 5 4.5 7 1.5
INSA 28–31 Jul 2023 2,003 18.5 20 14 6.5 21.5 6.5 5 8 1.5
INSA 21–24 Jul 2023 2,006 18.5 20.5 14 7.5 21.5 6 4.5 7.5 1
INSA 14–17 Jul 2023 2,004 18 20 14 7 20.5 7 5 8.5 0.5
INSA 7–10 Jul 2023 2,008 19 21 14 7 20.5 5 5 8.5 0.5
INSA 30 Jun3 Jul 2023 2,897 19 20.5 14.5 6.5 21 5 5 8.5 0.5
INSA 23–26 Jun 2023 2,004 19.5 20 13.5 6.5 20.5 6.5 4.5 9 0.5
INSA 16–19 Jun 2023 2,006 20 20.5 13.5 7.5 20 6 4.5 8 0.5
INSA 9–12 Jun 2023 2,003 20 21 13 8 19.5 6 4.5 8 1
INSA 2–5 Jun 2023 2,009 19 20.5 13.5 9 19 6 5 8 1.5
INSA 26–30 May 2023 2,004 20.5 23 13 8.5 18 5 4.5 7.5 2.5
INSA 19–22 May 2023 2,004 20.5 21 14 8.5 17 6.5 5 7.5 0.5
INSA 12–15 May 2023 2,010 20 22 14.5 8.5 16.5 6 5 7.5 2
INSA 5–8 May 2023 2,008 20 22 14 9 16.5 6 4.5 8 2
INSA 28 Apr2 May 2023 2,006 21 21 15 8 16.5 6 4.5 8 Tie
INSA 21–24 Apr 2023 2,004 20 21 14.5 9 16 6.5 4.5 8.5 1
INSA 14–17 Apr 2023 2,008 21 20.5 15 8 16 7 4.5 8 0.5
INSA 6–11 Apr 2023 2,005 20 22 15.5 8 16 5.5 4.5 8.5 2
INSA 31 Mar3 Apr 2023 2,007 20 22 15.5 7.5 16 6 4.5 8.5 2
INSA 24–27 Mar 2023 2,004 20.5 23 16 8 15.5 5 4 8 2.5
INSA 17–20 Mar 2023 2,006 21.5 22 15 7.5 16 6 5 7 0.5
INSA 10–13 Mar 2023 2,002 21.5 22 15.5 7.5 16 6.5 4 7 0.5
INSA 3–6 Mar 2023 2,007 20 23.5 15.5 7.5 15.5 6 5 7 3.5
INSA 24–27 Feb 2023 2,010 20.5 23.5 15.5 7.5 15.5 6 4.5 7 3
INSA 17–20 Feb 2023 2,006 21.5 24 15.5 7 15.5 5 5 6.5 2.5
INSA 10–13 Feb 2023 2,005 20 21 16 7.5 16 7 5 7.5 1
INSA 3–6 Feb 2023 2,008 21 20 16 8 15.5 7 5 7.5 1
INSA 27–30 Jan 2023 2,007 20.5 21 16 7.5 15 7.5 5 7.5 0.5
INSA 20–23 Jan 2023 2,009 20.5 22 16.5 7.5 15 6 4.5 8 1.5
INSA 13–16 Jan 2023 2,006 21 21 16.5 7.5 15 7 5 7 Tie
INSA 6–9 Jan 2023 2,006 20 21 17.5 7.5 15 6 5 8 1
INSA 29 Dec2 Jan 2023 2,010 20 21 17.5 7.5 15 6 4.5 8.5 1
INSA 16–19 Dec 2022 2,005 21 22 17.5 7.5 14.5 5.5 4.5 7.5 1
INSA 9–12 Dec 2022 2,007 20 21.5 18 7 15.5 7 4.5 6.5 1.5
INSA 3–5 Dec 2022 2,008 20.5 22 17 7 14.5 6 5 8 1.5
INSA 25–28 Nov 2022 2,006 21 21 17.5 7 15 6 5 7.5 Tie
INSA 18–21 Nov 2022 2,004 20 22 17 7.5 15 6 5 7.5 2
INSA 11–14 Nov 2022 2,010 20.5 21 17.5 7 15 6.5 4.5 8 0.5
INSA 4–7 Nov 2022 2,007 21 21 17.5 8 14.5 6 4.5 7.5 Tie
INSA 28–31 Oct 2022 2,009 20.5 20 18 9 15 6 4.5 7 0.5
INSA 21–24 Oct 2022 2,007 20.5 20.5 17.5 8.5 15 6 4.5 7.5 Tie
INSA 14–17 Oct 2022 2,000 19.5 20.5 18.5 7.5 15.5 7 4.5 7 1
INSA 7–10 Oct 2022 2,005 19.5 20.5 19 7.5 15 7 5 6.5 1
INSA 30 Sep3 Oct 2022 2,008 19 21.5 18.5 8 15 6 5.5 6.5 2.5
INSA 23–26 Sep 2022 2,102 18 21.5 19.5 8 15 6 5.5 6.5 2
INSA 16–19 Sep 2022 2,080 18.5 22 19 7.5 14 6.5 5.5 7 3
INSA 9–12 Sep 2022 2,039 18 22 20 8 13.5 6 5.5 7 2
INSA 2–5 Sep 2022 2,004 18 22 20.5 7.5 13.5 6 5.5 7 1.5
INSA 26–29 Aug 2022 2,138 19 22.5 20.5 8 13 5 5.5 6.5 2
INSA 19–22 Aug 2022 2,091 18.5 22 21 7.5 13 6 5.5 6.5 1
INSA 12–15 Aug 2022 2,146 19 22 22 8 12 6 5 6 Tie
INSA 5–8 Aug 2022 2,099 18 21 21.5 8 12.5 6 5.5 7.5 0.5
INSA 29 Jul1 Aug 2022 2,144 18.5 20.5 22 8 12 6 5 8 1.5
INSA 22–25 Jul 2022 2,043 18.5 21.5 22 8 12 5 5 8 0.5
INSA 15–18 Jul 2022 2,062 18.5 21.5 22 8 12 5 4.5 8.5 0.5
INSA 8–11 Jul 2022 2,044 20 21.5 21 8.5 11 5.5 4.5 8 0.5
INSA 1–4 Jul 2022 2,066 19 23 21 9.5 11 5 4 7.5 2
INSA 24–27 Jun 2022 2,101 20 22 21.5 9 10.5 5 4 8 0.5
INSA 17–20 Jun 2022 2,063 19.5 21 21 9.5 10 7 4 8 Tie
INSA 10–13 Jun 2022 2,082 20 21.5 21 9.5 10.5 6 3.5 8 0.5
INSA 3–7 Jun 2022 2,055 20 21.5 21.5 9.5 10.5 5.5 3.5 8 Tie
INSA 27–30 May 2022 2,056 22 20.5 20.5 8.5 10 6.5 3.5 8.5 1.5
INSA 20–23 May 2022 2,100 22 22 20 8.5 10.5 6.5 3 7.5 Tie
INSA 13–16 May 2022 2,147 21.5 23 20.5 9 11 5 3 7 1.5
INSA 6–9 May 2022 2,086 22.5 21 19 10 10.5 6.5 3.5 7 1.5
INSA 29 Apr2 May 2022 2,146 23 21 19 9.5 10.5 6 4.5 6.5 2
INSA 22–25 Apr 2022 2,056 24 20 18 9 11.5 6.5 4.5 6.5 4
INSA 15–18 Apr 2022 2,073 23.5 20 19 9 11 6 4.5 7 3.5
INSA 8–11 Apr 2022 2,061 25 20 17.5 9 11 7 4.5 6 5
INSA 1–4 Apr 2022 2,063 25 21 17.5 10.5 10.5 5 4.5 6 4
INSA 25–28 Mar 2022 2,070 25 21 16.5 10 10.5 5 5.5 6.5 4
INSA 18–21 Mar 2022 2,122 24.5 20.5 16.5 11 11 6 4.5 6 4
INSA 11–14 Mar 2022 2,073 25 19.5 15.5 10.5 10.5 6 5 8 5.5
INSA 4–7 Mar 2022 2,103 25 19 15.5 11 10.5 5.5 6 7.5 6
INSA 18–21 Feb 2022 1,539 23 22 14.5 12.5 11 5 6 6 1
INSA 11–14 Feb 2022 2,141 22.5 21 15 12 12 5 6 6.5 1.5
INSA 4–7 Feb 2022 2,067 23 20 15 12 11 6 7 6 3
INSA 28–31 Jan 2022 2,147 24 20 15 12.5 10 5 6.5 7 4
INSA 21–24 Jan 2022 2,146 26 19 15 11.5 11 5 6 6.5 7
INSA 14–17 Jan 2022 2,130 26 17 15.5 12 12 5.5 6 6.5 9
INSA 7–10 Jan 2022 2,107 26.5 18 15 12 12 5 5 6.5 8.5
INSA 31 Dec3 Jan 2022 2,060 26.5 17 15.5 11 11.5 6 6 6.5 9.5
INSA 17–20 Dec 2021 2,075 27.5 17 14.5 13 11.5 4.5 5.5 6.5 10.5
INSA 10–13 Dec 2021 2,221 27 17 14.5 13 11.5 5 5.5 6.5 10
INSA 3–6 Dec 2021 2,119 26 17 15 13.5 11.5 5 5.5 6.5 9
INSA 26–29 Nov 2021 2,129 25 17 16 14 11 4 5.5 7.5 8
INSA 19–22 Nov 2021 2,096 26 18 14 14 11 4 5.5 7.5 8
INSA 12–15 Nov 2021 2,091 27 16.5 15 13 11.5 4.5 5.5 7 10.5
INSA 5–8 Nov 2021 2,112 26.5 16.5 16 13.5 10.5 4 5.5 7.5 10
INSA 22–25 Oct 2021 2,105 28 16 16 14 11 4 5 6 12
INSA 15–18 Oct 2021 2,140 28 13.5 16 15 11.5 5 5 6 12
INSA 8–11 Oct 2021 2,101 28.5 14 16 14.5 11 5.5 4 6.5 12.5
INSA 1–4 Oct 2021 2,000 28 15 15.5 13.5 10 6 4.5 7.5 12.5
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 25.7 19.0 14.7 11.4 10.4 5.2 4.9 2.4 6.3 6.8

Scenario polls[edit]

New party scenarios[edit]

Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht[a]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW BSW Others Don't Know Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 2–4 Jan 2024 1,500 24 13 28.5 11.5 6 23.5 3 2 6 6.5 5
Wahlkreisprognose 25–27 Nov 2023 1,200 25 14.5 28 12.5 5.5 23.5 3 6 7 4.5
INSA 9–10 Nov 2023 1,004 17 24 13 5 17 2 3 14 5 7
INSA 26–27 Oct 2023 1,005 15 29 12 5 17 4 14 2 12
Wahlkreisprognose 23–25 Oct 2023 1,300 24 15.5 26.5 12.5 5.5 18 3 13 6 8.5
INSA 20–23 Oct 2023 2,004 15.5 26.5 12.5 5.5 18 4 12 6 8.5
INSA 28–31 Jul 2023 2,003 17 23 14 6 16 3 15 6 6
YouGov 14–19 Jul 2023 2,317 5 14 25 12 5 19 5 2 5 9 6
Wahlkreisprognose 27 Feb1 Mar 2023 1,419 25 22 26 14 4 13 2 14 5 4
Wahlkreisprognose 20–22 Sep 2022 1,700 20 24 17 7 11 3 10 8 4
Boris Palmer list
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke Liste Palmer Others Don't Know Lead
INSA 28–31 Jul 2023 2,003 19 22 15 8 20 5 5 6 2

Leadership scenarios[edit]

Friedrich Merz as CDU/CSU chancellor candidate
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW BSW Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 25–27 Nov 2023 1,200 15.5 26.5 10 5 24.5 3 6.5 9 2
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 2023 1,525 22.5 20 14 6.5 20 4 5 8 2.5
Boris Pistorius as SPD chancellor candidate
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW BSW Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 25–27 Nov 2023 1,200 24 23 9 4 23 2 7 8 1
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 2023 1,525 27.5 17 13.5 6 20 3.5 3 9.5 7.5
Hendrik Wüst as CDU/CSU chancellor candidate
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 2023 1,525 21.5 23 13.5 5 22 4.5 2 8.5 1.5
Markus Söder as CDU/CSU chancellor candidate
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 2023 1,525 21 28 15 6.5 19.5 3.5 1 5.5 7
Sahra Wagenknecht as Linke lead candidate
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 2023 1,525 21 21 15 7 16 12 2 6 Tie

Other scenarios[edit]

National-wide CSU
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPD CDU Grüne FDP AfD CSU Linke Others Lead
INSA 28–31 Jul 2023 2,003 17 20 15 6 20 10 5 8 Tie
CDU/CSU open for cooperation with AfD
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke FW Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 2023 1,525 25 16.5 14.5 9 19 3.5 6 6.5 6

By state[edit]

Bavaria[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
CSU SPD Grüne FDP AfD Free Voters Linke Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 2–5 Dec 2022 1,944 33 18 15 6 12 8 2 6 15
Forsa 23 May3 Jun 2022 1,049 36 12 22 8 8 - 2 12 14
Forsa 27 Apr13 May 2022 1,235 34 14 21 8 8 7 2 6 13
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 31.7 18.0 14.1 10.5 9.0 7.5 2.8 6.4 13.7

Brandenburg[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPD AfD CDU FDP Grüne Linke BSW Others Lead
Forsa 6–10 Jan 2024 1,007 17 33 20 4 8 6 3 9 13
Wahlkreisprognose 4–11 Sep 2022 1,100 25 25 14 5 12.5 9 9.5 Tie
Wahlkreisprognose 9–17 May 2022 1,001 35.5 16.5 15.5 4 14 5.5 9 19
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 29.5 18.1 15.3 9.3 9.0 8.5 10.3 11.4

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPD AfD CDU Linke FDP Grüne BSW Others Lead
Forsa 10–16 Jan 2024 1,002 15 32 22 8 3 8 5 7 10
Infratest dimap 13–16 Sep 2023 1,182 21 32 21 7 4 8 7 11
Forsa 18–23 Jan 2023 1,004 20 23 22 11 4 10 10 1
Infratest dimap 13–18 Oct 2022 1,168 25 24 20 10 4 9 8 1
Infratest dimap 1–4 Jun 2022 1,183 25 18 23 9 5 12 8 2
Forsa 14–18 Mar 2022 1,001 29 16 21 10 6 9 9 8
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 29.1 18.0 17.4 11.1 8.2 7.8 8.4 11.1

North Rhine-Westphalia[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPD CDU Grüne FDP AfD Linke BSW Others Lead
Forsa 5–14 Mar 2024 1,502 18 32 16 5 14 3 4 8 14
Forsa 29 May7 Jun 2023 1,506 23 30 15 7 15 3 7 7
Forsa 27–28 Mar 2023 1,005 22 32 18 6 10 4 8 10
Forsa 21–26 Sep 2022 1,511 21 30 22 6 10 4 7 9
Wahlkreisprognose 27–30 Jun 2022 1,040 25.5 25 22 8 8.5 3 8 0.5
Forsa 16 Feb 2022 1,008 25 30 25 6 6 2 6 5
Forsa 26 Jan2 Feb 2022 2,006 28 25 18 10 8 4 7 3
Forsa 26 Nov7 Dec 2021 2,009 29 23 18 12 7 4 7 6
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 29.1 26.0 16.1 11.4 7.3 3.7 6.5 3.1

Rhineland-Palatinate[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPD CDU Grüne FDP AfD Linke Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 11–18 May 2022 1,042 30 30.5 19 5 5 1.5 9 0.5
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 29.4 24.7 12.6 11.7 9.2 3.3 9.2 4.7

Saxony[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
AfD SPD CDU Linke FDP Grüne BSW Others Lead
Forsa 7–10 Jan 2024 1,507 36 9 23 6 4 8 4 7 13
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 24.6 19.3 17.2 9.3 11.0 8.6 9.9 5.3

Saxony-Anhalt[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPD CDU AfD Linke FDP Grüne BSW Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 21–29 Jan 2024 1,000 12 20 28 5 5 5 17 8 8
Wahlkreisprognose 13–21 Feb 2022 1,005 21.5 21.5 19.5 13 7.5 7.5 9.5 Tie
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 25.4 21.0 19.6 9.6 9.5 6.5 8.4 4.4

Schleswig-Holstein[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPD CDU Grüne FDP AfD Linke Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 10–19 Feb 2022 2,000 28 22.5 22 10 6 4.5 7 5.5
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 28.0 22.0 18.3 12.5 6.8 3.6 8.7 6.0

Thuringia[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
AfD SPD CDU Linke FDP Grüne BSW Others Lead
Forsa 6–10 Jan 2024 1,253 36 12 23 9 3 6 3 8 13
Wahlkreisprognose 5–11 Dec 2022 1,016 32 19.5 18.5 8.5 5 7.5 9 12.5
Wahlkreisprognose 3–4 Apr 2022 994 22.5 27 18 8 6 8.5 10 4.5
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 24.0 23.4 16.9 11.4 9.0 6.5 8.7 0.6

Chancellor polling[edit]

These polls were conducted before the announcement of each party's candidate for Chancellor; they gauged opinion on various politicians who were considered to be plausible candidates for their respective parties.

Scholz vs. Merz vs. Habeck[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Scholz
SPD
Merz
Union
Habeck
Grüne
Neither
Forsa 9–15 Apr 2024 2,505 17 22 16 45
INSA 11–12 Apr 2024 1,003 20 30 14 36
Forsa 2–8 Apr 2024 2,506 18 21 17 44
Forsa 26–28 Mar 2024 1,508 19 22 17 42
Forsa 19–25 Mar 2024 2,503 18 22 17 43
Forsa 12–18 Mar 2024 2,500 16 21 18 45
Forsa 5–11 Mar 2024 2,502 15 21 19 45
Forsa 27 Feb4 Mar 2024 2,506 15 23 18 44
Forsa 20–26 Feb 2024 2,503 15 25 18 42
Forsa 13–19 Feb 2024 2,504 14 24 18 44
Forsa 6–12 Feb 2024 2,502 15 23 19 43
Forsa 30 Jan5 Feb 2024 2,503 12 25 19 44
Forsa 23–29 Jan 2024 2,506 12 24 19 45
Forsa 16–22 Jan 2024 2,503 13 25 17 45
Forsa 9–15 Jan 2024 2,504 15 24 15 46
Forsa 2–8 Jan 2024 2,502 15 24 15 46
Forsa 19–22 Dec 2023 15 25 17 43
Forsa 12–18 Dec 2023 2,501 15 24 18 43
Forsa 5–11 Dec 2023 2,501 15 24 18 43
Forsa 28 Nov4 Dec 2023 2,501 16 24 18 42
Forsa 21–27 Nov 2023 2,500 17 22 19 42
Forsa 14–20 Nov 2023 2,501 19 21 18 42
Forsa 7–13 Nov 2023 2,504 19 22 18 41
Forsa 31 Oct6 Nov 2023 2,502 20 21 17 42
Forsa 24–30 Sep 2023 2,501 20 20 16 44
Forsa 17–23 Sep 2023 2,504 20 21 15 44
Forsa 10–16 Sep 2023 2,501 19 20 17 44
Forsa 4–9 Sep 2023 2,003 22 20 16 42
Forsa 26–29 Sep 2023 2,004 22 20 16 42
Forsa 19–25 Sep 2023 2,503 22 20 16 42
Forsa 12–18 Sep 2023 2,504 21 19 16 44
Forsa 4–11 Sep 2023 2,505 21 19 16 44
Forsa 29 Aug4 Sep 2023 2,506 21 20 16 43
Forsa 22–28 Aug 2023 2,504 21 19 15 45
Forsa 15–21 Aug 2023 2,506 21 19 15 45
Forsa 8–14 Aug 2023 2,501 21 18 15 46
Forsa 1–7 Aug 2023 2,502 21 17 16 46
Forsa 25–31 Jul 2023 2,500 22 18 17 43
Forsa 18–24 Jul 2023 2,504 23 20 16 41
Forsa 11–17 Jul 2023 2,502 23 20 17 40
Forsa 4–7 Jul 2023 2,003 22 20 16 42
Forsa 27 Jun3 Jul 2023 2,501 21 20 16 43
Forsa 20–26 Jun 2023 2,506 23 20 16 41
Forsa 13–19 Jun 2023 2,503 25 20 15 40
Forsa 6–12 Jun 2023 2,504 25 21 15 39
Forsa 30 May5 Jun 2023 2,505 25 23 14 38
Forsa 23–26 May 2023 2,001 25 23 14 38
Forsa 16–22 May 2023 2,003 26 22 13 39
Forsa 9–15 May 2023 2,503 24 23 14 39
Forsa 2–8 May 2023 2,505 24 22 15 39
Wahlkreisprognose 26–30 Apr 2023 1,400 31 26 8 35
Forsa 25–28 Apr 2023 2,007 23 22 16 39
Forsa 18–24 Apr 2023 2,506 22 24 16 38
Forsa 11–17 Apr 2023 2,508 23 25 17 35
Forsa 4–6 Apr 2023 1,501 21 23 18 38
Forsa 28 Mar3 Apr 2023 2,502 23 21 17 39
Forsa 21–27 Mar 2023 2,506 24 22 18 36
Wahlkreisprognose 23–26 Mar 2023 1,200 29 18 13 40
Forsa 14–20 Mar 2023 2,503 26 21 17 36
Forsa 7–13 Mar 2023 2,505 27 21 17 35
Forsa 28 Feb6 Mar 2023 2,504 25 20 19 36
Wahlkreisprognose 27 Feb1 Mar 2023 1,419 27 17 11 45
Forsa 21–27 Feb 2023 2,501 27 19 19 35
Forsa 14–20 Feb 2023 2,510 25 20 19 36
Forsa 7–13 Feb 2023 2,505 27 20 20 33
Forsa 31 Jan6 Feb 2023 2,502 26 20 20 34
Forsa 24–30 Jan 2023 2,503 25 21 20 34
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jan 2023 1,421 26 16 12 46
Forsa 17–23 Jan 2023 2,502 23 21 21 35
Wahlkreisprognose 15–16 Jan 2023 1,500 22 21 15 42
Forsa 10–16 Jan 2023 2,500 22 20 20 38
Forsa 3–9 Jan 2023 2,502 21 20 20 39
Forsa 13–19 Dec 2022 2,503 23 19 20 38
Forsa 6–12 Dec 2022 2,506 24 19 19 38
Wahlkreisprognose 7–9 Dec 2022 1,500 24 22 13 41
Forsa 29 Nov5 Dec 2022 2,500 22 20 20 38
Forsa 22–28 Nov 2022 2,505 23 20 20 37
Forsa 15–21 Nov 2022 2,502 22 20 20 38
Forsa 8–14 Nov 2022 2,503 21 20 20 39
Wahlkreisprognose 7–8 Nov 2022 1,300 25 22 13 40
Forsa 1–7 Nov 2022 2,502 22 19 19 40
Forsa 25–31 Oct 2022 2,503 23 19 19 39
Forsa 18–24 Oct 2022 2,502 24 19 18 39
Wahlkreisprognose 18–21 Oct 2022 1,910 28 19 15 38
Forsa 11–17 Oct 2022 2,505 23 19 19 39
Forsa 4–10 Oct 2022 2,501 24 18 17 41
Wahlkreisprognose 3–6 Oct 2022 1,923 28 25 14 33
Forsa 27–30 Sep 2022 2,001 22 20 17 41
Forsa 20–26 Sep 2022 2,505 22 22 17 39
Wahlkreisprognose 20–22 Sep 2022 1,700 29 25 15 31
Forsa 13–19 Sep 2022 2,506 23 22 18 37
Forsa 6–13 Sep 2022 2,501 21 20 21 38
Wahlkreisprognose 9–11 Sep 2022 1,300 30 24 15 31
INSA 9 Sep 2022 1,000 24 23 19 34
Forsa 30 Aug5 Sep 2022 2,500 21 18 25 36
Forsa 23–29 Aug 2022 2,503 20 16 27 37
Forsa 16–22 Aug 2022 2,505 20 16 25 39
INSA 19 Aug 2022 1,002 18 19 25 38
Wahlkreisprognose 16–18 Aug 2022 1,433 36 13 30 21
Forsa 9–15 Aug 2022 2,500 22 16 26 36
Wahlkreisprognose 6–12 Aug 2022 2,920 32 15 28 25
Forsa 2–8 Aug 2022 2,504 24 16 27 33
Forsa 26 Jul1 Aug 2022 2,504 23 18 28 31
INSA 29 Jul 2022 1,002 24 18 21 37
Forsa 19–25 Jul 2022 2,510 25 17 30 28
Wahlkreisprognose 19–20 Jul 2022 1,400 39 11 32 18
Forsa 15–18 Jul 2022 2,002 26 17 31 26
Wahlkreisprognose 23–26 Jun 2022 2,430 40 13 31 16
Wahlkreisprognose 7–8 Jun 2022 1,603 38 13 27 22
Wahlkreisprognose 30 May1 Jun 2022 1,500 35 14 29 21
Wahlkreisprognose 15–16 May 2022 1,302 37 21 25 17
Wahlkreisprognose 8–9 May 2022 1,610 38 21 24 17

Scholz vs. Merz vs. Baerbock[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Scholz
SPD
Merz
Union
Baerbock
Grüne
Neither
Forsa 9–15 Apr 2024 2,505 20 25 17 38
INSA 11–12 Apr 2024 1,003 18 32 17 33
Forsa 2–8 Apr 2024 1,506 21 24 16 39
Forsa 26–28 Mar 2024 1,508 22 25 16 37
Forsa 19–25 Mar 2024 2,503 21 25 16 38
Forsa 12–18 Mar 2024 2,500 19 24 17 40
Forsa 5–11 Mar 2024 2,502 18 24 19 39
Forsa 27 Feb4 Mar 2024 2,506 18 26 17 39
Forsa 20–26 Feb 2024 2,503 18 27 18 37
Forsa 13–19 Feb 2024 2,504 17 27 18 38
Forsa 6–12 Feb 2024 2,502 18 26 18 38
Forsa 30 Jan5 Feb 2024 2,503 16 28 18 38
Forsa 23–29 Jan 2024 2,506 15 28 17 40
Forsa 16–22 Jan 2024 2,503 16 28 16 40
Forsa 9–15 Jan 2024 2,504 17 27 15 41
Forsa 2–8 Jan 2024 2,502 17 27 15 41
Forsa 19–22 Dec 2023 18 28 17 37
Forsa 12–18 Dec 2023 2,501 19 27 17 37
Forsa 5–11 Dec 2023 2,501 18 28 17 37
Forsa 28 Nov4 Dec 2023 2,501 19 27 17 37
Forsa 21–27 Nov 2023 2,500 19 25 17 39
Forsa 14–20 Nov 2023 2,501 22 24 16 38
Forsa 7–13 Nov 2023 2,504 22 25 16 37
Forsa 31 Oct6 Nov 2023 2,502 23 24 16 37
Forsa 24–30 Sep 2023 2,501 22 23 17 38
Forsa 17–23 Sep 2023 2,504 23 23 17 37
Forsa 10–16 Sep 2023 2,501 22 22 18 38
Forsa 4–9 Sep 2023 2,003 23 22 18 37
Forsa 26–29 Sep 2023 2,004 24 22 17 37
Forsa 19–25 Sep 2023 2,503 24 22 18 36
Forsa 12–18 Sep 2023 2,504 23 21 17 39
Forsa 4–11 Sep 2023 2,505 23 22 17 38
Forsa 29 Aug4 Sep 2023 2,506 22 22 17 39
Forsa 22–28 Aug 2023 2,504 22 21 17 40
Forsa 15–21 Aug 2023 2,506 22 21 16 41
Forsa 8–14 Aug 2023 2,501 22 20 16 42
Forsa 1–7 Aug 2023 2,502 22 19 18 41
Forsa 25–31 Jul 2023 2,500 24 21 18 37
Forsa 18–24 Jul 2023 2,504 25 23 17 35
Forsa 11–17 Jul 2023 2,502 25 22 18 35
Forsa 4–7 Jul 2023 2,003 24 22 18 36
Forsa 27 Jun3 Jul 2023 2,501 23 23 19 35
Forsa 20–26 Jun 2023 2,506 24 23 19 34
Forsa 13–19 Jun 2023 2,503 26 23 19 32
Forsa 6–12 Jun 2023 2,504 26 23 19 32
Forsa 30 May5 Jun 2023 2,505 26 25 19 30
Forsa 23–26 May 2023 2,001 27 25 19 29
Forsa 16–22 May 2023 2,003 27 24 18 31
Forsa 9–15 May 2023 2,503 25 25 18 32
Forsa 2–8 May 2023 2,505 26 24 18 32
Wahlkreisprognose 26–30 Apr 2023 1,400 30 25 13 32
Forsa 25–28 Apr 2023 2,007 25 25 19 31
Forsa 18–24 Apr 2023 2,506 24 26 19 31
Forsa 11–17 Apr 2023 2,508 25 27 18 30
Forsa 4–6 Apr 2023 1,501 24 25 19 32
Forsa 28 Mar3 Apr 2023 2,502 24 23 20 33
Forsa 21–27 Mar 2023 2,506 26 24 20 30
Wahlkreisprognose 23–26 Mar 2023 1,200 28 18 14 40
Forsa 14–20 Mar 2023 2,503 28 24 19 29
Forsa 7–13 Mar 2023 2,505 28 23 18 31
Forsa 28 Feb6 Mar 2023 2,504 28 23 19 30
Wahlkreisprognose 27 Feb1 Mar 2023 1,419 26 17 14 43
Forsa 21–27 Feb 2023 2,501 30 22 18 30
Forsa 14–20 Feb 2023 2,510 28 22 19 31
Forsa 7–13 Feb 2023 2,505 30 22 19 29
Forsa 31 Jan6 Feb 2023 2,502 30 22 18 30
Forsa 24–30 Jan 2023 2,503 27 23 19 31
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jan 2023 1,421 26 15 15 44
Forsa 17–23 Jan 2023 2,502 25 24 22 29
Wahlkreisprognose 15–16 Jan 2023 1,500 23 23 20 34
Forsa 10–16 Jan 2023 2,500 24 23 23 30
Forsa 3–9 Jan 2023 2,502 24 23 22 31
Forsa 13–19 Dec 2022 2,503 24 22 21 33
Forsa 6–12 Dec 2022 2,506 24 22 22 32
Wahlkreisprognose 7–9 Dec 2022 1,500 26 18 15 41
Forsa 29 Nov5 Dec 2022 2,500 24 22 22 32
Forsa 22–28 Nov 2022 2,505 24 22 22 32
Forsa 15–21 Nov 2022 2,502 25 22 22 31
Forsa 8–14 Nov 2022 2,503 24 22 22 32
Wahlkreisprognose 7–8 Nov 2022 1,300 27 17 14 42
Forsa 1–7 Nov 2022 2,502 24 21 20 35
Forsa 25–31 Oct 2022 2,503 25 20 20 35
Forsa 18–24 Oct 2022 2,502 25 20 19 36
Wahlkreisprognose 18–21 Oct 2022 1,910 29 21 16 34
Forsa 11–17 Oct 2022 2,505 24 21 21 34
Forsa 4–10 Oct 2022 2,501 25 20 20 35
Wahlkreisprognose 3–6 Oct 2022 1,923 28 24 16 32
Forsa 27–30 Sep 2022 2,001 23 22 19 36
Forsa 20–26 Sep 2022 2,505 23 23 19 35
Wahlkreisprognose 20–22 Sep 2022 1,700 28 24 17 31
Forsa 13–19 Sep 2022 2,506 23 23 20 34
Forsa 6–13 Sep 2022 2,501 23 23 20 34
Forsa 30 Aug5 Sep 2022 2,500 23 21 23 33
Forsa 23–29 Aug 2022 2,503 23 19 24 34
Forsa 16–22 Aug 2022 2,505 26 17 23 34
Forsa 9–15 Aug 2022 2,500 29 17 22 32
Wahlkreisprognose 8–9 May 2022 1,610 38 20 23 19
Wahlkreisprognose 23 Apr 2022 1,007 37 13 24 26

Scholz vs. Merz[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Scholz
SPD
Merz
Union
Neither
Wahlkreisprognose 18–20 Mar 2024 1,300 26 26 48
Wahlkreisprognose 21–22 Feb 2024 1,300 23 25 52
INSA 25–26 Jan 2024 1,001 21 28 51
Wahlkreisprognose 22–24 Jan 2024 1,366 21 32 47
Forsa 9–15 Jan 2024 1,502 27 28 45
INSA 4–5 Jan 2024 1,004 23 26 51
Wahlkreisprognose 2–4 Jan 2024 1,500 17 34 49
INSA 14–15 Dec 2023 1,001 17 18 65
Forsa 28 Nov4 Dec 2023 2,501 36 32 32
Wahlkreisprognose 25–27 Nov 2023 1,200 19 29 52
Wahlkreisprognose 23–25 Oct 2023 1,300 25 24 51
Wahlkreisprognose 24–25 Sep 2023 1,200 27 24 49
INSA 7–8 Sep 2023 1,001 23 15 62
Wahlkreisprognose 22–27 Aug 2023 1,200 23 20 57
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 2023 1,525 26 24 50
Wahlkreisprognose 22–25 Jun 2023 1,399 31 21 48
INSA 15–16 Jun 2023 1,003 25 16 59
Wahlkreisprognose 1–2 Jun 2023 1,100 28 27 45
Wahlkreisprognose 26–30 Apr 2023 1,400 36 30 34
Wahlkreisprognose 23–26 Mar 2023 1,200 33 21 46
Wahlkreisprognose 27 Feb1 Mar 2023 1,419 33 20 47
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jan 2023 1,421 33 19 48
Wahlkreisprognose 15–16 Jan 2023 1,500 29 25 46
Wahlkreisprognose 7–9 Dec 2022 1,500 38 21 41
Wahlkreisprognose 7–8 Nov 2022 1,300 37 21 42
Wahlkreisprognose 18–21 Oct 2022 1,910 36 24 40
Wahlkreisprognose 3–6 Oct 2022 1,923 36 29 35
Wahlkreisprognose 20–22 Sep 2022 1,700 36 24 40
Wahlkreisprognose 16–18 Aug 2022 1,433 40 13 47
Wahlkreisprognose 6–12 Aug 2022 2,920 42 13 45
Wahlkreisprognose 19–20 Jul 2022 1,400 46 16 38
Forsa 12–18 Jul 2022 2,501 40 18 42
Forsa 5–11 Jul 2022 2,503 43 17 40
Forsa 28 Jun4 Jul 2022 2,502 43 17 40
Forsa 21–27 Jun 2022 2,500 42 19 39
Wahlkreisprognose 23–26 Jun 2022 2,430 46 15 39
Forsa 14–20 Jun 2022 2,504 39 20 41
Forsa 7–13 Jun 2022 2,511 38 21 41
Wahlkreisprognose 7–8 Jun 2022 1,603 46 16 38
Forsa 31 May3 Jun 2022 2,002 41 20 39
Wahlkreisprognose 30 May1 Jun 2022 1,500 45 18 37
Forsa 24–30 May 2022 2,004 39 20 41
Forsa 17–23 May 2022 2,505 41 19 40
INSA 20 May 2022 1,003 26 15 59
Wahlkreisprognose 15–16 May 2022 1,302 42 26 32
Forsa 10–16 May 2022 2,502 42 19 39
Wahlkreisprognose 8–9 May 2022 1,610 46 26 28
Forsa 3–9 May 2022 2,501 42 18 40
Forsa 26 Apr2 May 2022 2,508 43 19 38
Forsa 19–25 Apr 2022 2,507 42 18 40
Wahlkreisprognose 23 Apr 2022 1,007 45 16 39
Forsa 12–14 Apr 2022 1,501 43 18 39
Forsa 5–11 Apr 2022 2,500 42 18 40
Wahlkreisprognose 3–4 Apr 2022 2,450 51 17 32
Forsa 29 Mar4 Apr 2022 2,508 43 18 39
Forsa 22–28 Mar 2022 2,507 42 20 38
Forsa 15–21 Mar 2022 2,501 44 20 36
Wahlkreisprognose 18–20 Mar 2022 3,923 51.5 21.5 27
Forsa 8–14 Mar 2022 2,502 46 19 35
Forsa 1–7 Mar 2022 2,501 48 19 33
Forsa 24–28 Feb 2022 1,500 45 20 35
Wahlkreisprognose 24–27 Feb 2022 2,030 49 19 32
Forsa 15–21 Feb 2022 2,500 42 20 38
Wahlkreisprognose 13–15 Feb 2022 1,220 43 25 32
Forsa 8–14 Feb 2022 2,504 40 21 39
Forsa 1–7 Feb 2022 2,502 40 22 38
Wahlkreisprognose 2–3 Feb 2022 2,330 42 31 27
Forsa 25–31 Jan 2022 2,501 43 21 36
Forsa 18–24 Jan 2022 2,502 48 19 33
Forsa 11–17 Jan 2022 2,504 48 17 35
Wahlkreisprognose 11–12 Jan 2022 1,030 54 19 27
Forsa 3–10 Jan 2022 3,003 49 18 33
Forsa 14–20 Dec 2021 2,501 50 18 32
Wahlkreisprognose 18–19 Dec 2021 1,120 55 20 25
Forsa 23–29 Nov 2021 2,509 45 18 37
Forsa 16–22 Nov 2021 2,501 45 19 36
Forsa 9–15 Nov 2021 2,510 46 19 35
Wahlkreisprognose 11–12 Nov 2021 1,004 44 21 35
Forsa 2–8 Nov 2021 2,502 52 17 31

Scholz vs. Merz vs. Baerbock vs. Weidel vs. Wagenknecht[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Scholz
SPD
Merz
Union
Baerbock
Grüne
Weidel
AfD
Wagenknecht
BSW
Neither
Wahlkreisprognose 18–20 Mar 2024 1,300 15 18 10 11 12 34
Wahlkreisprognose 21–22 Feb 2024 1,300 13 17 10 12 11 37
Wahlkreisprognose 22–24 Jan 2024 1,366 11 19 10 12 11 37
Wahlkreisprognose 2–4 Jan 2024 1,500 10 22 11 18 8 31
Wahlkreisprognose 25–27 Nov 2023 1,200 16 19 9 17 8 31
Wahlkreisprognose 23–25 Oct 2023 1,300 18 16 9 14 13 30

Pistorius vs. Merz vs. Baerbock vs. Weidel vs. Wagenknecht[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Pistorius
SPD
Merz
Union
Baerbock
Grüne
Weidel
AfD
Wagenknecht
BSW
Neither
Wahlkreisprognose 18–20 Mar 2024 1,300 27 18 12 11 11 21
Wahlkreisprognose 25–27 Nov 2023 1,200 31 12 10 16 10 21

Scholz vs. Söder[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Scholz
SPD
Söder
Union
Neither
Forsa 9–15 Jan 2024 1,502 27 40 33
INSA 4–5 Jan 2024 1,004 20 36 44
INSA 7–8 Sep 2023 1,001 26 32 42
INSA 15–16 Jun 2023 1,003 30 31 39
INSA 20 May 2022 1,003 32 29 39
Wahlkreisprognose 18–19 Dec 2021 1,120 49 28 23
Forsa 2–8 Nov 2021 2,502 39 33 28
Forsa 5–11 Oct 2021 2,503 37 33 30

Scholz vs. Wüst[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Scholz
SPD
Wüst
Union
Neither
Forsa 9–15 Jan 2024 1,502 20 51 29
INSA 15–16 Jun 2023 1,003 24 38 38
INSA 20 May 2022 1,003 27 34 39

Pistorius vs. Merz[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Pistorius
SPD
Merz
Union
Neither
INSA 4–5 Jan 2024 1,004 25 23 52
Wahlkreisprognose 2–4 Jan 2024 1,500 32 28 40
Wahlkreisprognose 25–27 Nov 2023 1,200 30 29 41
Wahlkreisprognose 22–27 Aug 2023 1,200 41 18 41

Pistorius vs. Söder[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Pistorius
SPD
Söder
Union
Neither
INSA 4–5 Jan 2024 1,004 25 34 41

Scholz vs. Merz vs. Baerbock vs. Weidel[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Scholz
SPD
Merz
Union
Baerbock
Grüne
Weidel
AfD
Neither
Wahlkreisprognose 24–25 Sep 2023 1.200 20 16 15 18 31
Forsa 20–26 Jun 2023 2.506 25 23 19 9 24

Scholz vs. Merz vs. Weidel[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Scholz
SPD
Merz
Union
Weidel
AfD
Neither
Wahlkreisprognose 22–27 Aug 2023 1,200 21 15 17 47
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jul 2023 1,525 24 18 16 42
Wahlkreisprognose 22–25 Jun 2023 1,399 27 15 15 43
Wahlkreisprognose 1–2 Jun 2023 1,100 25 22 16 37
Wahlkreisprognose 26–30 Apr 2023 1,400 34 22 11 33
Wahlkreisprognose 23–26 Mar 2023 1,200 33 18 13 36
Wahlkreisprognose 27 Feb1 Mar 2023 1,419 31 15 13 41
Wahlkreisprognose 26–27 Jan 2023 1,421 30 14 14 42
Wahlkreisprognose 15–16 Jan 2023 1,500 24 17 16 43
Wahlkreisprognose 7–9 Dec 2022 1,500 31 18 13 38
Wahlkreisprognose 7–8 Nov 2022 1,300 26 18 17 39

Scholz vs. Merz vs. Habeck vs. Weidel[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Scholz
SPD
Merz
Union
Habeck
Grüne
Weidel
AfD
Neither
Forsa 20–26 Jun 2023 2.506 27 24 17 10 22

Scholz vs. Habeck[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Scholz
SPD
Habeck
Grüne
Neither
Wahlkreisprognose 16–18 Aug 2022 1,433 36 32 32
Wahlkreisprognose 6–12 Aug 2022 2,920 38 33 29

Merz vs. Habeck[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Merz
Union
Habeck
Grüne
Neither
Wahlkreisprognose 16–18 Aug 2022 1,433 19 30 51
Wahlkreisprognose 6–12 Aug 2022 2,920 18 32 50

Scholz vs. Günther[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Scholz
SPD
Günther
Union
Neither
INSA 20 May 2022 1,003 32 12 56

Scholz vs. Röttgen[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Scholz
SPD
Röttgen
Union
Neither
Forsa 23–29 Nov 2021 2,509 45 19 36
Forsa 16–22 Nov 2021 2,501 45 20 35
Forsa 9–15 Nov 2021 2,510 45 21 34
Wahlkreisprognose 11–12 Nov 2021 1,004 41 20 39
Forsa 2–8 Nov 2021 2,502 51 20 29

Scholz vs. Braun[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Scholz
SPD
Braun
Union
Neither
Forsa 23–29 Nov 2021 2,509 50 11 39
Forsa 16–22 Nov 2021 2,501 50 12 38
Wahlkreisprognose 11–12 Nov 2021 1,004 42 22 36

Scholz vs. Laschet[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Scholz
SPD
Laschet
Union
Neither
YouGov 19–23 Nov 2021 2,167 46 6 48
Forsa 26 Oct1 Nov 2021 2,501 50 8 42
Forsa 19–25 Oct 2021 2,510 52 8 40
Forsa 12–18 Oct 2021 2,502 53 8 39
Forsa 5–11 Oct 2021 2,503 52 8 40
Forsa 27 Sep4 Oct 2021 3,004 52 9 39
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 28–30 Sep 2021 1,249 76 13 11
Infratest dimap 27 Sep 2021 1,084 62 16 22
Forsa 27 Sep 2021 1,006 56 11 33
YouGov 26 Sep 2021 1,596 43 13 43

Scholz vs. Kretschmer[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Scholz
SPD
Kretschmer
Union
Neither
Wahlkreisprognose 11–12 Nov 2021 1,004 41 19.5 39.5

Preferred coalition[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPD
Grüne
Union
FDP
SPD
Grüne
FDP
Union
SPD
Union
Grüne
SPD
Grüne
Linke
SPD
FDP
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 9–11 Apr 2024 1,254 11 11 2 20 8 2 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 19–21 Mar 2024 1,296 12 11 2 20 8 2 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 5–7 Mar 2024 1,260 15 9 1 20 7 2 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 20–22 Feb 2024 1,294 12 13 2 18 9 2 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 30 Jan1 Feb 2024 1,217 10 9 2 23 8 1 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 9–11 Jan 2024 1,337 13 8 1 19 7 2 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12–14 Dec 2023 1,146 13 14 2 16 6 1 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 21–23 Nov 2023 1,242 15 10 1 19 8 2 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 7–9 Nov 2023 1,234 16 9 2 17 10 2 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 17–19 Oct 2023 1,252 13 10 1 18 8 2 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12–14 Sep 2023 1,201 18 13 3 14 7 3 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 15–17 Aug 2023 1,288 16 11 3 15 6 2 2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 11–13 Jul 2023 1,346 14 11 3 15 8 4 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 27–29 Jun 2023 1,379 17 10 2 19 6 3 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 13–15 Jun 2023 1,224 19 11 3 19 6 2 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 23–25 May 2023 1,257 15 11 3 17 7 4 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 2–4 May 2023 1,225 16 13 3 15 7 3 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 18–20 Apr 2023 1,266 19 12 2 16 9 2 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 28–30 Mar 2023 1,379 18 12 3 15 7 2 2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 14–16 Mar 2023 1,146 21 11 4 14 9 2 2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 28 Feb2 Mar 2023 1,165 19 10 2 17 10 2 2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 14–16 Feb 2023 1,361 18 10 3 13 12 3 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 24–26 Jan 2023 1,345 20 10 5 10 11 2 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 10–12 Jan 2023 1,259 19 11 4 12 9 3 2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12–15 Dec 2022 1,365 21 11 4 11 11 2 2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 22–24 Nov 2022 1,273 21 12 3 12 9 2 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 8–10 Nov 2022 1,310 24 9 3 11 11 3 2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 18–20 Oct 2022 1,389 23 11 3 11 9 2 2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 27–29 Sep 2022 1,355 20 11 5 10 9 3 2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 6–8 Sep 2022 1,299 18 13 6 10 9 3 3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 9–11 Aug 2022 1,389 19 8 6 10 13 4 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12–14 Jul 2022 1,167 19 7 5 8 14 2 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 28–30 Jun 2022 1,186 22 8 5 11 15 2 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 13–15 Jun 2022 1,133 20 7 6 10 15 3 3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 17–19 May 2022 1,162 22 8 7 10 16 2 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 26–28 Apr 2022 1,170 21 10 10 10 7 4 2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 5–7 Apr 2022 1,230 23 8 9 14 7 4 2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 8–10 Mar 2022 1,345 18 11 12 15 5 3 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 21–23 Feb 2022 1,103 17 11 9 12 5 5 3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 8–10 Feb 2022 1,224 16 13 11 15 5 4 2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 25–27 Jan 2022 1,249 16 11 11 9 6 4 3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 11–13 Jan 2022 1,128 16 11 12 10 4 5 5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 7–9 Dec 2021 1,303 16 10 12 10 6 4 4

Constituency projections[edit]

Direct mandates[edit]

Polling firm Release date Union SPD Grüne AfD Linke FDP BSW
election.de 15 Apr 2024 213 30 12 42 2 0 0
INSA 15 Apr 2024 255 9 13 22 0 0 0
INSA 8 Apr 2024 259 5 11 22 2 0 0
INSA 2 Apr 2024 260 8 12 19 0 0 0
INSA 25 Mar 2024 240 6 10 43 0 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 21 Mar 2024 212 43 7 35 1 0 0
INSA 18 Mar 2024 257 10 9 22 1 0 0
election.de 15 Mar 2024 210 29 14 44 2 0 0
INSA 11 Mar 2024 250 3 10 34 2 0 0
INSA 4 Mar 2024 262 4 11 22 0 0 0
INSA 26 Feb 2024 261 6 13 19 0 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 22 Feb 2024 235 8 6 48 0 0 2
INSA 19 Feb 2024 245 4 10 39 1 0 0
election.de 15 Feb 2024 214 27 12 44 2 0 0
INSA 12 Feb 2024 242 4 10 42 1 0 0
INSA 5 Feb 2024 240 9 11 39 0 0 0
INSA 29 Jan 2024 243 6 10 40 0 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 26 Jan 2024 219 23 6 48 1 0 2
INSA 22 Jan 2024 252 4 10 33 0 0 0
election.de 15 Jan 2024 217 20 13 48 1 0 0
INSA 15 Jan 2024 243 4 8 43 1 0 0
INSA 8 Jan 2024 253 6 6 34 0 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 4 Jan 2024 230 4 4 61 0 0 0
INSA 2 Jan 2024 244 4 10 39 2 0 0
INSA 27 Dec 2023 242 3 7 46 1 0 0
INSA 18 Dec 2023 244 5 10 39 1 0 0
election.de 15 Dec 2023 217 20 13 48 1 0 0
INSA 11 Dec 2023 230 9 11 48 1 0 0
INSA 4 Dec 2023 225 9 14 50 1 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 27 Nov 2023 221 14 4 60 0 0 0
INSA 27 Nov 2023 243 6 10 39 1 0 0
INSA 20 Nov 2023 237 12 13 35 2 0 0
election.de 15 Nov 2023 203 31 16 47 2 0 0
INSA 13 Nov 2023 233 12 13 40 1 0 0
INSA 6 Nov 2023 231 14 14 38 2 0 0
INSA 30 Oct 2023 242 10 10 36 1 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 25 Oct 2023 220 23 7 31 0 0 18
INSA 23 Oct 2023 230 15 13 39 2 0 0
INSA 16 Oct 2023 210 24 11 53 1 0 0
election.de 15 Oct 2023 190 43 17 47 2 0 0
INSA 9 Oct 2023 202 23 17 56 1 0 0
INSA 2 Oct 2023 200 40 16 41 2 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 25 Sep 2023 153 62 21 62 1 0 0
INSA 25 Sep 2023 199 32 15 51 2 0 0
INSA 18 Sep 2023 198 31 20 48 2 0 0
INSA 11 Sep 2023 194 30 18 56 1 0 0
INSA 4 Sep 2023 198 33 17 49 2 0 0
election.de 1 Sep 2023 185 49 16 47 2 0 0
INSA 28 Aug 2023 194 30 23 50 2 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 28 Aug 2023 151 78 12 57 1 0 0
INSA 21 Aug 2023 194 35 19 50 1 0 0
election.de 18 Aug 2023 181 51 18 47 2 0 0
INSA 14 Aug 2023 189 49 16 43 2 0 0
INSA 7 Aug 2023 200 53 17 29 0 0 0
election.de 4 Aug 2023 183 48 19 47 2 0 0
INSA 31 Jul 2023 198 41 17 41 2 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 27 Jul 2023 154 79 13 51 2 0 0
INSA 24 Jul 2023 201 44 18 34 2 0 0
election.de 21 Jul 2023 188 46 16 46 3 0 0
INSA 17 Jul 2023 208 30 19 40 2 0 0
INSA 10 Jul 2023 210 41 19 27 2 0 0
election.de 7 Jul 2023 184 49 17 46 3 0 0
INSA 3 Jul 2023 190 46 23 38 2 0 0
INSA 26 Jun 2023 197 43 16 41 2 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 26 Jun 2023 139 82 19 57 2 0 0
election.de 23 Jun 2023 189 48 16 43 3 0 0
INSA 19 Jun 2023 194 47 15 41 2 0 0
INSA 12 Jun 2023 215 47 15 20 2 0 0
election.de 9 Jun 2023 190 48 16 42 3 0 0
INSA 5 Jun 2023 214 47 17 19 2 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 2 Jun 2023 168 85 12 32 2 0 0
INSA 30 May 2023 227 48 13 10 1 0 0
election.de 26 May 2023 196 49 16 35 3 0 0
INSA 22 May 2023 217 51 18 11 2 0 0
INSA 15 May 2023 229 41 19 9 1 0 0
election.de 12 May 2023 196 49 16 35 3 0 0
INSA 8 May 2023 225 42 20 10 2 0 0
INSA 2 May 2023 207 51 22 17 2 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 30 Apr 2023 182 75 10 29 3 0 0
election.de 28 Apr 2023 196 49 18 33 3 0 0
INSA 24 Apr 2023 218 44 19 17 1 0 0
INSA 17 Apr 2023 216 48 19 15 1 0 0
election.de 16 Apr 2023 191 54 19 32 3 0 0
INSA 11 Apr 2023 212 46 23 17 1 0 0
INSA 3 Apr 2023 221 48 19 9 2 0 0
election.de 2 Apr 2023 191 54 19 32 3 0 0
INSA 27 Mar 2023 214 49 25 10 1 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 27 Mar 2023 159 99 14 24 3 0 0
INSA 20 Mar 2023 224 54 17 3 1 0 0
election.de 19 Mar 2023 185 60 19 32 3 0 0
INSA 13 Mar 2023 217 51 20 10 1 0 0
election.de 10 Mar 2023 193 56 18 29 3 0 0
INSA 6 Mar 2023 233 37 18 10 1 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 1 Mar 2023 192 73 11 22 1 0 0
INSA 27 Feb 2023 243 36 19 0 1 0 0
election.de 24 Feb 2023 191 57 19 29 3 0 0
INSA 20 Feb 2023 223 51 24 0 1 0 0
INSA 13 Feb 2023 228 45 23 1 2 0 0
election.de 10 Feb 2023 178 61 25 32 3 0 0
INSA 6 Feb 2023 203 50 27 17 2 0 0
INSA 30 Jan 2023 216 39 23 19 2 0 0
election.de 27 Jan 2023 181 59 27 29 3 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 27 Jan 2023 134 109 23 30 3 0 0
INSA 23 Jan 2023 211 49 26 11 2 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 16 Jan 2023 149 93 22 33 2 0 0
INSA 16 Jan 2023 223 46 25 4 1 0 0
election.de 13 Jan 2023 181 57 29 29 3 0 0
INSA 9 Jan 2023 212 45 31 9 2 0 0
INSA 2 Jan 2023 216 48 32 3 0 0 0
election.de 30 Dec 2022 179 61 29 27 3 0 0
INSA 19 Dec 2022 214 50 30 3 2 0 0
election.de 16 Dec 2022 182 54 31 29 3 0 0
INSA 12 Dec 2022 214 45 31 7 2 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 9 Dec 2022 146 100 20 31 2 0 0
INSA 5 Dec 2022 219 50 27 1 2 0 0
election.de 2 Dec 2022 180 55 32 29 3 0 0
INSA 28 Nov 2022 212 52 33 0 2 0 0
INSA 21 Nov 2022 210 44 28 15 2 0 0
election.de 18 Nov 2022 177 55 32 32 3 0 0
INSA 14 Nov 2022 215 49 30 4 1 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 8 Nov 2022 141 113 18 24 3 0 0
INSA 7 Nov 2022 205 50 33 9 2 0 0
election.de 4 Nov 2022 174 57 33 32 3 0 0
INSA 31 Oct 2022 203 51 36 7 2 0 0
election.de 21 Oct 2022 174 57 33 32 3 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 21 Oct 2022 145 96 24 31 3 0 0
INSA 17 Oct 2022 219 40 36 3 1 0 0
INSA 10 Oct 2022 212 38 38 8 2 0 0
election.de 7 Oct 2022 177 54 33 32 3 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 6 Oct 2022 149 99 17 31 3 0 0
INSA 4 Oct 2022 219 35 39 5 1 0 0
INSA 26 Sep 2022 209 30 39 19 2 0 0
election.de 23 Sep 2022 180 55 33 28 3 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 22 Sep 2022 150 102 19 26 2 0 0
INSA 19 Sep 2022 211 28 37 17 2 0 0
INSA 12 Sep 2022 218 35 42 3 1 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 11 Sep 2022 154 90 22 30 3 0 0
election.de 9 Sep 2022 177 59 38 23 2 0 0
INSA 5 Sep 2022 209 24 44 19 3 0 0
INSA 29 Aug 2022 206 37 42 12 2 0 0
election.de 26 Aug 2022 177 60 41 19 2 0 0
INSA 22 Aug 2022 214 28 45 10 2 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 19 Aug 2022 140 73 55 30 1 0 0
INSA 15 Aug 2022 203 33 48 13 2 0 0
election.de 12 Aug 2022 174 61 43 19 2 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 12 Aug 2022 146 49 69 34 1 0 0
INSA 8 Aug 2022 215 29 50 3 2 0 0
INSA 1 Aug 2022 196 32 51 18 2 0 0
election.de 29 Jul 2022 171 66 42 18 2 0 0
INSA 25 Jul 2022 196 32 51 18 2 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 20 Jul 2022 136 89 52 21 1 0 0
INSA 18 Jul 2022 197 34 51 15 2 0 0
election.de 15 Jul 2022 174 69 39 15 2 0 0
INSA 11 Jul 2022 205 43 46 3 2 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 6 Jul 2022 145 94 45 14 1 0 0
INSA 4 Jul 2022 216 37 43 1 2 0 0
election.de 1 Jul 2022 175 70 38 14 2 0 0
INSA 27 Jun 2022 212 42 45 0 0 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 26 Jun 2022 144 98 37 18 2 0 0
INSA 20 Jun 2022 216 32 46 3 2 0 0
election.de 17 Jun 2022 177 70 37 13 2 0 0
INSA 13 Jun 2022 194 44 45 15 1 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 8 Jun 2022 144 94 33 24 4 0 0
INSA 7 Jun 2022 203 43 47 5 1 0 0
election.de 3 Jun 2022 178 71 36 12 2 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 1 Jun 2022 168 62 57 11 1 0 0
INSA 30 May 2022 204 49 44 0 2 0 0
INSA 23 May 2022 213 48 37 1 0 0 0
election.de 20 May 2022 157 97 31 12 2 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 16 May 2022 162 89 34 13 1 0 0
INSA 16 May 2022 202 46 40 10 1 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 9 May 2022 138 100 45 15 1 0 0
INSA 9 May 2022 209 52 33 3 2 0 0
election.de 6 May 2022 145 110 28 13 3 0 0
INSA 2 May 2022 199 62 35 1 2 0 0
INSA 25 Apr 2022 182 77 30 8 2 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 24 Apr 2022 121 128 36 13 1 0 0
election.de 22 Apr 2022 144 115 24 13 3 0 0
INSA 19 Apr 2022 182 74 37 4 2 0 0
INSA 11 Apr 2022 179 83 27 8 2 0 0
election.de 8 Apr 2022 144 116 23 13 3 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 5 Apr 2022 128 134 25 11 1 0 0
INSA 4 Apr 2022 184 86 27 1 1 0 0
INSA 28 Mar 2022 165 93 22 16 3 0 0
election.de 25 Mar 2022 161 104 19 12 3 0 0
INSA 21 Mar 2022 192 74 27 3 3 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 21 Mar 2022 132 133 23 10 1 0 0
election.de 11 Mar 2022 150 115 19 12 3 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 27 Feb 2022 128 131 22 16 2 0 0
election.de 25 Feb 2022 159 103 18 16 3 0 0
INSA 21 Feb 2022 213 66 16 2 2 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 15 Feb 2022 143 117 20 16 3 0 0
INSA 14 Feb 2022 203 71 20 3 2 0 0
election.de 11 Feb 2022 158 103 18 17 3 0 0
INSA 7 Feb 2022 196 81 19 1 2 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 3 Feb 2022 195 63 28 10 3 0 0
INSA 31 Jan 2022 178 100 18 0 3 0 0
election.de 28 Jan 2022 133 121 20 21 4 0 0
INSA 24 Jan 2022 146 129 19 2 3 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 18 Jan 2022 124 139 17 16 3 0 0
INSA 17 Jan 2022 125 140 23 9 2 0 0
election.de 14 Jan 2022 129 129 19 19 3 0 0
INSA 10 Jan 2022 128 142 19 8 2 0 0
INSA 3 Jan 2022 118 137 19 23 2 0 0
election.de 31 Dec 2021 111 148 20 17 3 0 0
INSA 20 Dec 2021 108 160 17 11 3 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 19 Dec 2021 102 167 12 15 3 0 0
election.de 17 Dec 2021 109 149 20 18 3 0 0
INSA 13 Dec 2021 114 153 17 12 3 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 6 Dec 2021 75 176 24 21 3 0 0
INSA 6 Dec 2021 118 145 20 13 3 0 0
election.de 3 Dec 2021 111 143 22 19 4 0 0
INSA 29 Nov 2021 112 140 27 13 7 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 24 Nov 2021 123 140 16 17 3 0 0
INSA 22 Nov 2021 122 147 15 12 3 0 0
election.de 19 Nov 2021 103 153 20 19 4 0 0
INSA 15 Nov 2021 99 160 20 17 2 0 0
INSA 8 Nov 2021 110 158 23 5 3 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 7 Nov 2021 125 137 16 18 3 0 0
election.de 5 Nov 2021 101 156 20 18 4 0 0
INSA 25 Oct 2021 84 176 21 14 3 1 0
election.de 22 Oct 2021 101 154 20 20 4 0 0
Wahlkreisprognose 10 Oct 2021 113 145 20 18 3 0 0
election.de 8 Oct 2021 108 148 20 19 4 0 0
INSA 4 Oct 2021 94 163 21 19 2 0 0
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 143 121 16 16 3 0 0

By probability[edit]

Polling firm Release date Union SPD Grüne AfD Linke
Safe Likely Lean Safe Likely Lean Safe Likely Lean Safe Likely Lean Safe Likely Lean
election.de 15 Apr 2024 114 62 37 1 6 23 1 3 8 3 19 20 0 1 1
election.de 15 Mar 2024 111 61 38 1 5 23 1 4 9 5 22 17 0 1 1
election.de 15 Feb 2024 113 62 39 1 4 22 1 2 9 5 25 14 0 1 1
election.de 15 Jan 2024 106 71 40 1 4 15 1 2 10 9 28 11 0 1 0
election.de 15 Dec 2023 107 68 42 1 4 15 1 3 9 9 27 12 0 1 0
election.de 15 Nov 2023 94 72 37 1 6 24 1 4 11 11 25 11 0 1 1
election.de 15 Oct 2023 69 83 38 1 11 31 1 5 11 17 24 6 0 1 1
election.de 1 Sep 2023 65 78 42 2 16 31 1 5 10 16 23 8 0 1 1
election.de 18 Aug 2023 63 74 44 2 23 26 1 5 12 16 22 9 0 1 1
election.de 4 Aug 2023 66 74 43 2 17 29 1 7 11 16 22 9 0 1 1
election.de 21 Jul 2023 73 74 41 1 18 27 1 5 10 9 26 11 0 1 2
election.de 7 Jul 2023 71 73 40 2 18 29 1 6 10 9 25 12 0 1 2
election.de 23 Jun 2023 78 71 40 2 18 28 1 5 10 7 22 14 1 0 2
election.de 9 Jun 2023 85 70 35 1 16 31 1 5 10 2 24 16 1 0 2
election.de 26 May 2023 88 63 45 2 18 29 1 5 10 1 17 17 1 1 1
election.de 12 May 2023 89 62 45 2 18 29 1 6 9 1 16 18 1 1 1
election.de 28 Apr 2023 91 62 43 1 17 31 1 6 11 1 15 17 1 1 1
election.de 16 Apr 2023 85 64 42 2 18 34 1 7 11 1 14 17 1 1 1
election.de 2 Apr 2023 82 63 46 2 20 32 1 7 11 1 15 16 1 1 1
election.de 19 Mar 2023 77 65 43 2 26 32 1 6 12 1 14 17 1 1 1
election.de 10 Mar 2023 83 62 48 2 23 31 1 7 10 1 13 15 1 1 1
election.de 24 Feb 2023 80 63 48 2 25 30 1 7 11 1 13 15 1 1 1
election.de 10 Feb 2023 66 66 46 5 26 30 1 9 15 1 14 17 1 1 1
election.de 27 Jan 2023 69 70 42 3 25 31 1 9 17 1 13 15 1 1 1
election.de 13 Jan 2023 67 70 44 3 25 29 3 11 15 1 13 15 1 1 1
election.de 30 Dec 2022 67 68 44 4 24 33 3 11 15 1 13 13 1 1 1
election.de 16 Dec 2022 71 67 44 2 26 26 3 11 17 1 13 15 1 1 1
election.de 2 Dec 2022 66 71 43 3 24 28 3 12 17 1 13 15 1 1 1
election.de 18 Nov 2022 67 70 40 2 25 28 3 12 17 1 14 17 1 1 1
election.de 4 Nov 2022 61 71 42 4 24 29 3 13 17 1 14 17 1 1 1
election.de 21 Oct 2022 61 70 43 3 24 30 3 13 17 1 14 17 1 1 1
election.de 7 Oct 2022 67 69 41 2 25 27 3 13 17 1 14 17 1 1 1
election.de 23 Sep 2022 66 70 44 2 25 28 3 13 17 0 14 14 1 1 1
election.de 9 Sep 2022 58 71 48 4 21 34 4 14 20 0 10 13 1 1 0
election.de 26 Aug 2022 57 67 53 4 21 35 5 17 19 0 8 11 1 1 0
election.de 12 Aug 2022 53 69 52 4 22 35 5 20 18 0 8 11 1 1 0
election.de 29 Jul 2022 52 64 55 4 28 34 4 17 21 0 8 10 1 1 0
election.de 15 Jul 2022 52 64 58 4 33 32 4 15 20 0 5 10 1 0 1
election.de 1 Jul 2022 51 66 58 5 33 32 4 13 21 0 3 11 1 0 1
election.de 17 Jun 2022 54 64 59 5 35 30 3 13 21 0 1 12 1 0 1
election.de 3 Jun 2022 53 67 58 5 36 30 3 13 20 0 1 11 1 0 1
election.de 20 May 2022 47 51 59 12 44 41 2 12 17 0 4 8 1 0 1
election.de 6 May 2022 44 52 49 15 44 51 2 10 16 0 5 8 1 0 2
election.de 22 Apr 2022 46 51 47 15 46 54 2 9 13 0 6 7 1 1 1
election.de 8 Apr 2022 46 51 47 16 43 57 2 8 13 0 6 7 1 0 2
election.de 25 Mar 2022 51 51 59 12 46 46 2 4 13 0 5 7 1 1 1
election.de 11 Mar 2022 48 51 51 15 44 56 2 4 13 0 4 8 1 1 1
election.de 25 Feb 2022 53 50 56 12 42 49 2 3 13 0 7 9 1 1 1
election.de 11 Feb 2022 49 51 58 12 44 47 2 3 13 0 7 10 1 1 1
election.de 28 Jan 2022 41 50 42 22 42 57 2 6 12 0 9 12 1 1 2
election.de 14 Jan 2022 37 50 42 27 44 58 2 5 12 0 9 10 1 1 1
election.de 31 Dec 2021 30 41 40 31 57 60 2 5 13 1 7 9 1 0 2
election.de 17 Dec 2021 30 41 38 33 58 58 2 5 13 1 7 10 1 1 1
election.de 3 Dec 2021 27 42 42 28 55 60 2 8 12 1 10 8 1 1 2
election.de 19 Nov 2021 26 39 38 35 55 63 2 5 13 1 8 10 1 1 2
election.de 5 Nov 2021 25 35 41 40 57 59 2 6 12 1 9 8 1 0 3
election.de 22 Oct 2021 26 35 40 39 54 61 2 5 13 1 10 9 1 1 2
election.de 8 Oct 2021 28 42 38 30 59 59 2 5 13 1 9 9 1 1 2
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 143 121 16 16 3

Second place[edit]

Polling firm Release date SPD Union Grüne AfD Linke FDP FW
election.de 15 Apr 2024 118 79 39 62 1 0 0
election.de 15 Mar 2024 113 80 39 66 1 0 0
election.de 15 Feb 2024 111 75 36 76 1 0 0
election.de 15 Jan 2024 102 72 34 88 3 0 0
election.de 15 Dec 2023 105 72 37 83 2 0 0
election.de 15 Nov 2023 105 81 32 79 2 0 0
election.de 15 Oct 2023 106 84 29 78 2 0 0
election.de 1 Sep 2023 108 89 30 70 2 0 0
election.de 18 Aug 2023 112 91 30 64 2 0 0
election.de 4 Aug 2023 111 90 32 64 2 0 0
election.de 21 Jul 2023 116 86 34 62 1 0 0
election.de 7 Jul 2023 118 89 34 57 1 0 0
election.de 23 Jun 2023 120 85 37 56 1 0 0
election.de 9 Jun 2023 123 87 38 50 1 0 0
election.de 26 May 2023 130 82 44 42 1 0 0
election.de 12 May 2023 132 82 45 39 1 0 0
election.de 28 Apr 2023 135 83 43 37 1 0 0
election.de 16 Apr 2023 132 87 44 35 1 0 0
election.de 2 Apr 2023 132 87 44 35 1 0 0
election.de 19 Mar 2023 133 92 45 27 2 0 0
election.de 10 Mar 2023 136 86 47 28 2 0 0
election.de 24 Feb 2023 137 87 45 28 2 0 0
election.de 10 Feb 2023 137 92 44 24 2 0 0
election.de 27 Jan 2023 128 92 52 25 2 0 0
election.de 13 Jan 2023 127 91 55 24 2 0 0
election.de 30 Dec 2022 126 92 54 25 2 0 0
election.de 16 Dec 2022 125 91 57 24 2 0 0
election.de 2 Dec 2022 123 92 58 24 2 0 0
election.de 18 Nov 2022 121 95 59 22 2 0 0
election.de 4 Nov 2022 123 95 57 22 2 0 0
election.de 21 Oct 2022 122 94 59 22 2 0 0
election.de 7 Oct 2022 119 95 62 21 2 0 0
election.de 23 Sep 2022 118 92 64 23 2 0 0
election.de 9 Sep 2022 117 90 72 16 4 0 0
election.de 26 Aug 2022 116 88 74 18 3 0 0
election.de 12 Aug 2022 117 90 73 15 4 0 0
election.de 29 Jul 2022 122 89 71 13 4 0 0
election.de 15 Jul 2022 124 87 70 14 4 0 0
election.de 1 Jul 2022 124 88 69 14 4 0 0
election.de 17 Jun 2022 129 88 65 13 4 0 0
election.de 3 Jun 2022 132 87 65 11 4 0 0
election.de 20 May 2022 128 99 55 14 3 0 0
election.de 6 May 2022 127 114 43 13 2 0 0
election.de 22 Apr 2022 127 113 42 13 4 0 0
election.de 8 Apr 2022 127 114 42 13 3 0 0
election.de 25 Mar 2022 135 102 42 15 4 1 0
election.de 11 Mar 2022 130 112 41 12 4 0 0
election.de 25 Feb 2022 135 109 35 15 4 0 0
election.de 11 Feb 2022 137 103 38 16 4 0 0
election.de 28 Jan 2022 122 120 40 13 4 0 0
election.de 14 Jan 2022 120 125 36 13 4 1 0
election.de 31 Dec 2021 111 135 35 12 4 2 0
election.de 17 Dec 2021 110 135 34 14 4 2 0
election.de 3 Dec 2021 104 126 46 17 4 2 0
election.de 19 Nov 2021 104 133 41 15 4 2 0
election.de 5 Nov 2021 108 128 41 17 3 2 0
election.de 22 Oct 2021 103 130 40 19 5 2 0
election.de 8 Oct 2021 107 129 39 18 4 2 0
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 129 115 33 14 4 2 2

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ BSW was established as an official political party on 8 January 2024.

External links[edit]