Opinion polling for the next German federal election

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In the run-up to the next German federal election, various organisations will carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Germany. Results of such polls are displayed in this list.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous federal election, held on 24 September 2017, to the present day. The next election will be held on or before 24 October 2021, unless a snap election is called before then.

Graphical summary[edit]

Opinion polling for the next German federal election (short range).png

Civey (SPON-Wahltrend) has continued to publish daily data since 1 October 2017, the results of which are accounted for in the polling average above but not included in the table below (except if an article on the figures is published in Spiegel Online) or shown as points in the above graph.

Poll results[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. Union SPD AfD FDP Linke Grüne Others Lead
INSA 14–17 Sep 2018 2,054 28.5 17 17.5 9 10.5 13 4.5 11
Forsa 10–14 Sep 2018 2,507 25 30 18 13 8 10 16 5 12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 11–13 Sep 2018 1,339 30 20 15 7 8 16 4 10
Emnid 6–12 Sep 2018 1,978 30 18 15 9 10 13 5 12
INSA 7–10 Sep 2018 2,042 28 17 17.5 9 10.5 13.5 4.5 10.5
GMS 4–10 Aug 2018 1,003 29 17 16 9 9 14 6 12
Forsa 3–7 Sep 2018 2,507 27 31 16 14 9 10 15 5 15
Infratest dimap 3–5 Sep 2018 1,502 29 18 16 8 10 14 5 11
Emnid 30 Aug–5 Sep 2018 2,472 29 17 15 9 10 14 6 12
INSA 31 Aug–3 Sep 2018 2,069 28.5 16 17 9.5 10 13.5 5.5 11.5
Forsa 27–31 Aug 2018 2,503 26 30 17 16 8 8 16 5 13
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 28–30 Aug 2018 1,216 31 18 17 8 8 14 4 13
Emnid 23–29 Aug 2018 2,390 30 19 15 9 9 14 4 11
YouGov 24–28 Aug 2018 1,538 28 17 17 9 11 13 5 11
INSA 24–27 Aug 2018 2,079 28 16.5 16.5 10 10.5 13.5 5 11.5
Forsa 20–24 Aug 2018 2,502 26 30 18 14 8 10 15 5 12
Infratest dimap 20–22 Aug 2018 1,047 29 18 17 8 9 14 5 11
Emnid 16–22 Aug 2018 1,891 30 18 14 9 9 15 5 12
INSA 16–20 Aug 2018 3,129 28 16.5 16 10 12 13.5 4 11.5
Forsa 13–17 Aug 2018 2,503 26 30 18 14 9 10 15 4 12
Emnid 9–15 Aug 2018 2,942 30 17 15 9 9 15 5 13
INSA 10–13 Aug 2018 2,034 29 17.5 17 9.5 11 12.5 3.5 11.5
Forsa 6–10 Aug 2018 2,505 26 30 18 14 10 9 15 4 12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 7–9 Aug 2018 1,294 31 18 16 8 9 15 3 13
Allensbach 27 Jul–9 Aug 2018 1,295 31 20 14.5 9 9 12.5 4 11
Emnid 2–8 Aug 2018 2,502 31 17 14 8 10 15 5 14
Civey 31 Jul–7 Aug 2018 11,907 30.1 17.4 15.8 7.8 9.8 14.0 5.1 12.7
INSA 3–6 Aug 2018 2,096 30 17 17 8.5 11 12.5 4 13
Forsa 30 Jul–3 Aug 2018 2,508 26 31 18 14 10 9 13 5 13
Infratest dimap 30 Jul–1 Aug 2018 1,508 29 18 17 7 9 15 5 11
Emnid 26 Jul–1 Aug 2018 2,478 30 18 15 8 9 15 5 12
GMS 25–31 Jul 2018 1,005 30 17 16 10 10 13 4 13
INSA 27–30 Jul 2018 2,074 29 18 17.5 9 10.5 12 4 11
Forsa 23–27 Jul 2018 2,505 25 32 18 14 9 9 13 5 14
Infratest dimap 24–25 Jul 2018 1,047 30 18 16 8 8 15 5 12
Emnid 19–25 Jul 2018 2,001 29 18 15 9 10 14 5 11
YouGov 20–24 Jul 2018 1,520 30 17 17 9 11 12 4 13
INSA 20–23 Jul 2018 2,056 29 18 17.5 9 10.5 12 4 11
Forsa 16–20 Jul 2018 2,505 25 31 18 15 8 10 13 5 13
Emnid 12–18 Jul 2018 2,476 30 19 15 9 10 12 5 11
INSA 13–16 Jul 2018 2,084 29 17 17.5 9.5 10 13 4 11.5
Forsa 9–13 Jul 2018 2,505 24 31 17 16 9 9 13 5 14
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 9–12 Jul 2018 1,340 31 18 15 7 11 14 4 13
Emnid 5–11 Jul 2018 2,368 30 18 16 9 10 12 5 12
Allensbach 1–12 Jul 2018 1,295 30.5 20 15 9.5 9 12 4 10.5
GMS 5–11 Jul 2018 1,006 30 17 17 9 10 12 5 13
INSA 6–9 Jul 2018 2,061 29 17 17.5 9.5 11 12 4 11.5
Forsa 2–6 Jul 2018 2,502 24 30 17 16 10 9 13 5 13
Infratest dimap 3–4 Jul 2018 1,505 30 18 16 8 9 14 5 12
Emnid 28 Jun–4 Jul 2018 1,894 30 17 17 9 9 12 6 13
INSA 29 Jun–2 Jul 2018 2,089 29 19 16.5 9 11 12 3.5 10
Forsa 25–29 Jun 2018 2,508 24 31 17 15 10 10 12 5 14
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 25–28 Jun 2018 1,290 32 18 14 9 10 14 3 14
Emnid 21–28 Jun 2018 1,954 32 19 14 9 9 12 5 13
Infratest dimap 25–26 Jun 2018 1,025 32 19 14 8 9 13 5 13
YouGov 22–26 Jun 2018 1,525 30 17 16 10 11 12 4 13
Civey 19–26 Jun 2018 10,033 29.8 17.7 16.1 8.7 10.1 12.7 4.9 12.1
INSA 22–25 Jun 2018 2,036 29 19.5 16 9 11 11 4.5 9.5
Forsa 18–22 Jun 2018 2,503 24 30 17 15 9 10 13 6 13
Emnid 14–20 Jun 2018 2,336 31 18 16 9 10 12 4 13
INSA 15–18 Jun 2018 2,060 29 19 16 8 12 11 5 10
Forsa 14–15 Jun 2018 1,001 26 30 16 15 10 9 14 6 14
Forsa 11–13 Jun 2018 1,501 23 34 18 13 9 8 12 6 16
Infratest dimap 11–13 Jun 2018 1,506 31 18 15 8 10 13 5 13
Emnid 7–13 Jun 2018 2,310 33 18 15 8 11 11 4 15
Allensbach 1–13 Jun 2018 1,279 33 21 13 9.5 9.5 11 3 12
INSA 8–11 Jun 2018 2,038 31 17 16 8 12 11 5 14
Forsa 4–8 Jun 2018 2,504 23 33 18 13 9 10 12 5 15
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 5–7 Jun 2018 1,284 33 20 13 8 10 13 3 13
Emnid 30 May–6 Jun 2018 1,950 32 19 14 8 11 12 4 13
INSA 1–4 Jun 2018 2,067 32 17 16 8 11.5 11 4.5 15
Forsa 28 May–1 Jun 2018 2,506 25 34 18 13 8 10 12 5 16
YouGov 25–29 May 2018 1,556 33 17 16 9 11 11 3 16
Emnid 24–29 May 2018 1,397 32 18 15 7 11 13 4 14
Civey 22–29 May 2018 11,925 32.2 16.6 15.2 9.2 10.2 12.0 4.6 15.6
INSA 25–28 May 2018 2,062 32 17 15.5 8 12 11.5 4 15
Forsa 22–25 May 2018 2,002 24 33 18 13 8 10 13 5 15
Emnid 17–23 May 2018 1,946 33 17 14 8 11 13 4 16
INSA 18–22 May 2018 2,044 32.5 16.5 15.5 8 11 11.5 5 16
Forsa 14–18 May 2018 2,502 23 33 18 13 9 9 12 6 15
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 15–17 May 2018 1,200 34 20 14 8 9 12 3 14
Infratest dimap 14–16 May 2018 1,009 33 17 14 8 10 13 5 16
GMS 11–16 May 2018 1,003 34 16 14 9 10 12 5 18
Emnid 9–16 May 2018 2,030 33 17 14 9 10 13 4 16
INSA 11–14 May 2018 2,098 32.5 17 15.5 8 11 11.5 4.5 15.5
Forsa 7–11 May 2018 2,004 23 34 17 13 8 10 13 5 17
Infratest dimap 7–8 May 2018 1,507 32 18 15 8 9 13 5 14
Emnid 3–8 May 2018 1,489 33 17 14 9 10 12 5 16
Allensbach 24 Apr–8 May 2018 1,253 34 20 11.5 9 10 11 4.5 14
INSA 4–7 May 2018 2,065 32.5 17 15.5 8.5 10.5 11.5 4.5 15.5
Forsa 30 Apr–4 May 2018 2,003 21 34 18 13 9 10 11 5 16
Emnid 26 Apr–2 May 2018 1,507 34 17 14 8 10 12 5 17
INSA 27–30 Apr 2018 2,097 33 17 15.5 9 10.5 11.5 3.5 16
Forsa 23–27 Apr 2018 2,507 22 34 17 12 9 10 13 5 17
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 24–26 Apr 2018 1,285 34 20 13 7 10 13 3 14
GMS 20–26 Apr 2018 1,005 33 17 13 9 11 12 5 16
Emnid 19–25 Apr 2018 2,350 32 18 14 9 11 12 4 14
YouGov 20–24 Apr 2018 1,573 32 18 15 9 10 12 4 15
INSA 20–23 Apr 2018 2,091 31.5 18 15.5 9.5 10.5 12 3 13.5
Forsa 16–20 Apr 2018 2,503 22 34 18 12 9 10 13 4 16
Infratest dimap 16–18 Apr 2018 1,039 32 17 15 10 10 12 4 15
Emnid 12–18 Apr 2018 2,437 33 18 13 9 11 12 4 15
Allensbach 3–17 Apr 2018 1,279 34 20.5 12 10 9 11 3.5 13.5
INSA 13–16 Apr 2018 2,054 31.5 18.5 15 9 11 11.5 3.5 13
Forsa 9–13 Apr 2018 2,506 23 34 19 12 9 10 12 4 15
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 10–12 Apr 2018 1,159 33 19 13 8 9 14 4 14
Emnid 5–11 Apr 2018 1,786 33 18 14 9 11 11 4 15
INSA 6–9 Apr 2018 2,048 31.5 17.5 15.5 9 12 11.5 3 14
Forsa 3–6 Apr 2018 2,005 23 32 20 13 9 10 11 5 12
Emnid 29 Mar–5 Apr 2018 1,414 34 17 13 8 11 12 5 17
Infratest dimap 3–4 Apr 2018 1,503 33 18 14 9 10 12 4 15
pollytix 23 Mar–4 Apr 2018 1,386 30 19 15 10 11 10 5 11
INSA 29–31 Mar 2018 1,074 32 18 15 10 12 10 3 14
Forsa 26–29 Mar 2018 2,003 23 33 18 13 9 10 12 5 15
Emnid 22–28 Mar 2018 1,982 34 18 12 8 11 12 5 16
YouGov 23–27 Mar 2018 1,579 34 17 15 8 11 11 4 17
Civey 20–27 Mar 2018 11,868 31.2 17.2 15.4 9.3 10.5 11.9 4.5 14.0
INSA 23–26 Mar 2018 2,051 32.5 17 15 10 12 10.5 3 15.5
Forsa 19–23 Mar 2018 2,502 23 31 19 14 9 11 12 4 12
Infratest dimap 20–21 Mar 2018 1,038 33 19 13 9 10 12 4 14
GMS 16–21 Mar 2018 1,003 33 18 13 10 10 11 5 15
Emnid 15–21 Mar 2018 1,972 34 18 13 9 10 12 4 16
INSA 16–19 Mar 2018 2,066 32 17.5 15 10 12 10.5 3 14.5
Forsa 12–16 Mar 2018 2,502 25 34 19 13 8 10 11 5 15
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 13–15 Mar 2018 1,214 32 19 13 9 11 12 4 13
Allensbach 2–15 Mar 2018 1,256 34 19 12.5 10 10 11 3.5 15
Emnid 8–14 Mar 2018 1,959 33 19 14 9 10 11 4 14
INSA 9–12 Mar 2018 2,033 32 17.5 15 9.5 12 11 3 14.5
Forsa 5–9 Mar 2018 2,507 24 34 18 12 9 10 13 4 16
Emnid 1–7 Mar 2018 1,869 33 19 13 8 10 12 5 14
INSA 5 Mar 2018 1,052 33 15 15 10 12 12 3 18
Forsa 4–5 Mar 2018 1,502 26 34 19 13 9 9 12 4 15
Forsa 26 Feb–2 Mar 2018 2,505 25 35 18 13 9 9 12 4 17
Infratest dimap 26–28 Feb 2018 1,502 34 18 15 9 9 11 4 16
YouGov 26–28 Feb 2018 1,585 32 16 16 8 12 12 4 16
Emnid 22–28 Feb 2018 1,890 33 16 15 9 11 12 4 17
Civey 20–27 Feb 2018 11,878 33.7 18.1 12.1 8.1 10.4 12.6 5.0 15.6
INSA 23–26 Feb 2018 1,063 32.5 15.5 16 9 12 12 3 16.5
Forsa 19–23 Feb 2018 2,506 25 35 18 13 9 9 12 4 17
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 20–22 Feb 2018 1,360 33 17 14 8 11 12 5 16
Infratest dimap 20–21 Feb 2018 1,052 34 17 14 9 10 12 4 17
Emnid 15–21 Feb 2018 1,985 33 17 15 10 11 11 3 16
Civey 13–20 Feb 2018 11,909 32.2 16.5 14.6 9.4 10.0 12.5 4.8 15.7
INSA 16–19 Feb 2018 2,040 32 15.5 16 9 11 13 3.5 16
Forsa 12–16 Feb 2018 2,501 24 34 16 13 9 10 13 5 18
Infratest dimap 13–15 Feb 2018 1,001 33 16 15 9 11 13 3 17
Allensbach 2–15 Feb 2018 1,271 32 17.5 13 11 9.5 12 5 14.5
Emnid 8–14 Feb 2018 1,478 33 19 14 9 10 11 4 14
Civey 9–13 Feb 2018 11,841 33.3 16.4 13.2 9.3 10.2 12.8 4.8 16.9
INSA 9–12 Feb 2018 2,608 29.5 16.5 15 10.5 11.5 13 4 13
Forsa 5–9 Feb 2018 ? ? 31 17 13 10 10 13 5 14
Forsa 7–8 Feb 2018 1,003 31 18 13 10 10 13 5 13
Emnid 1–7 Feb 2018 1,226 34 20 12 9 9 11 5 14
GMS 1–7 Feb 2018 1,007 32 18 14 9 9 13 5 14
INSA 2–5 Feb 2018 2,034 30.5 17 15 10 11 12.5 4 13.5
Forsa 29 Jan–2 Feb 2018 2,507 24 33 18 13 9 9 13 5 15
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 30 Jan–1 Feb 2018 1,302 31 19 14 7 11 14 4 12
Infratest dimap 29–31 Jan 2018 1,502 33 18 14 10 11 11 3 15
Emnid 25–31 Jan 2018 1,247 33 20 13 9 10 11 4 13
INSA 26–29 Jan 2018 2,073 33.5 17.5 14 9 11 11 4 16
Forsa 22–26 Jan 2018 2,505 25 34 18 12 9 10 12 5 16
Infratest dimap 22–24 Jan 2018 1,043 33 19 12 10 10 11 5 14
Emnid 18–24 Jan 2018 1,513 34 20 12 8 10 11 5 14
YouGov 19–23 Jan 2018 1,566 34 19 14 8 11 10 4 15
Forsa 22 Jan 2018 1,282 34 17 13 8 11 12 5 17
INSA 22 Jan 2018 1,169 31.5 18 14 10 11 10 5.5 13.5
Forsa 15–19 Jan 2018 2,501 23 34 18 12 8 10 12 6 16
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 16–18 Jan 2018 1,332 33 20 12 8 10 12 5 13
Allensbach 5–18 Jan 2018 1,221 34 21 12 10 8.5 10.5 4 13
Forsa 15–17 Jan 2018 1,504 34 18 12 8 10 12 6 16
Emnid 11–17 Jan 2018 1,419 33 21 13 8 10 10 5 12
INSA 12–15 Jan 2018 2,000 31.5 18.5 14 9.5 11.5 10 5 13
Forsa 8–12 Jan 2018 2,501 22 33 20 11 9 9 12 6 13
Emnid 4–10 Jan 2018 1,899 34 21 13 8 9 11 4 13
INSA 5–8 Jan 2018 2,028 31.5 19.5 13.5 10 11 10 4.5 12
Civey 11 Dec 2017–8 Jan 2018 11,880 31.1 19.3 14.5 9.3 9.9 11.1 4.8 11.8
Forsa 2–5 Jan 2018 2,503 22 34 20 10 9 9 12 6 14
Infratest dimap 2–3 Jan 2018 1,506 33 21 13 9 9 11 4 12
Emnid 21 Dec 2017–3 Jan 2018 1,440 33 20 12 9 9 12 5 13
INSA 29 Dec 2017–2 Jan 2018 2,012 32.5 19.5 13 10 11 10 4 13
GMS 27 Dec 2017–2 Jan 2018 1,005 32 20 14 9 10 11 4 12
YouGov 25–27 Dec 2017 1,489 33 21 13 9 10 10 4 12
INSA 21–22 Dec 2017 2,203 33 20.5 13 10.5 10 9.5 4 12.5
Forsa 18–22 Dec 2017 2,504 21 34 19 12 8 10 12 5 15
Emnid 14–20 Dec 2017 1,861 33 21 12 8 10 11 5 12
INSA 15–18 Dec 2017 2,031 31 21 14 9 11 10 4 10
Forsa 11–15 Dec 2017 2,501 21 33 20 12 8 10 12 5 13
Allensbach 1–14 Dec 2017 1,443 34 21 11 10 9 11.5 3.5 13
Infratest dimap 11–13 Dec 2017 1,029 32 20 13 9 9 12 5 12
Emnid 7–13 Dec 2017 1,865 32 22 13 8 9 11 5 10
INSA 8–11 Dec 2017 2,013 31 22 13.5 9 10.5 10.5 3.5 9
Forsa 9–10 Dec 2017 1,566 34 20 11 8 9 12 6 14
Forsa 4–8 Dec 2017 2,500 22 34 20 11 8 9 12 6 14
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 5–7 Dec 2017 1,353 32 23 12 8 9 12 4 9
Infratest dimap 4–6 Dec 2017 1,504 32 21 13 9 10 11 4 11
Emnid 30 Nov–6 Dec 2017 1,880 33 21 12 9 10 11 4 12
Civey 30 Nov–5 Dec 2017 11,936 31.5 20.4 11.3 11.9 9.2 11.0 4.7 11.1
INSA 1–4 Dec 2017 2,063 31 22 13 10 11 10 3 9
GMS 28 Nov–1 Dec 2017 1,010 32 21 13 10 10 10 4 11
Forsa 27 Nov–1 Dec 2017 2,502 23 34 20 10 8 9 13 6 14
Emnid 23–29 Nov 2017 1,888 33 21 12 9 10 10 5 12
YouGov 24–28 Nov 2017 1,570 32 21 13 9 10 10 5 11
Civey 21–28 Nov 2017 10,024 31.7 20.4 10.6 13.1 8.9 11.0 4.3 11.3
INSA 24–27 Nov 2017 2,003 32 22 13 10 10 10 3 10
Allensbach 22–27 Nov 2017 1,299 33 21.5 11 10 9 11 4.5 11.5
Forsa 20–24 Nov 2017 2,508 24 33 19 11 10 9 12 6 14
Emnid 20–23 Nov 2017 1,225 33 22 11 9 10 10 5 11
INSA 21–22 Nov 2017 1,069 32 21 12 12 10 10 3 11
Civey 20–21 Nov 2017 5,044 29.2 19.5 13.6 13.2 8.4 11.9 4.1 9.7
Forsa 20 Nov 2017 1,789 31 21 12 10 9 12 5 10
Infratest dimap 20 Nov 2017 1,011 32 22 11 10 10 11 4 10
INSA 20 Nov 2017 1,034 30 21 14 11 11 10 3 9
INSA 17–19 Nov 2017 2,027 31 21 14 10 11.5 9.5 3 10
Forsa 13–17 Nov 2017 2,505 21 32 20 12 12 8 11 5 12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 14–16 Nov 2017 1,303 33 21 11 10 9 12 4 12
Infratest dimap 10–15 Nov 2017 1,382 31 21 12 11 10 11 4 10
Emnid 9–15 Nov 2017 1,842 31 21 13 10 9 11 5 10
INSA 10–13 Nov 2017 2,049 32 20 13.5 10.5 10.5 9 4.5 12
Forsa 6–10 Nov 2017 2,506 21 32 20 12 12 9 10 5 12
Infratest dimap 6–8 Nov 2017 1,505 30 21 13 12 9 11 4 9
Emnid 2–8 Nov 2017 1,392 30 22 13 11 10 10 4 8
INSA 3–6 Nov 2017 2,023 31 22 13.5 10.5 10.5 8.5 4 9
Civey 27 Oct–6 Nov 2017 10,012 31.0 20.4 13.7 11.0 9.4 10.2 4.3 10.6
Forsa 30 Oct–3 Nov 2017 2,005 22 32 21 12 11 9 10 5 11
Emnid 26–30 Oct 2017 1,476 31 21 12 10 10 11 5 10
INSA 27–28 Oct 2017 1,024 31 21 13 11 10 10 4 10
Forsa 23–27 Oct 2017 2,500 23 33 20 11 11 9 11 5 13
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 24–26 Oct 2017 1,325 33 21 12 10 9 11 4 12
Emnid 19–25 Oct 2017 2,296 31 22 12 11 9 10 5 9
INSA 23 Oct 2017 1,002 33 21 13 10 10 9 4 12
Forsa 16–20 Oct 2017 2,503 25 31 22 11 11 10 10 5 9
Allensbach 7–19 Oct 2017 1,454 33 20.5 12 12 9 9.5 4 12.5
Infratest dimap 16–18 Oct 2017 1,026 31 21 12 12 9 11 4 10
Emnid 12–18 Oct 2017 2,304 32 21 12 11 9 10 5 11
GMS 12–18 Oct 2017 1,005 31 21 13 12 10 9 4 10
INSA 13–16 Oct 2017 2,011 32 21.5 13 10 9 9.5 5 10.5
Forsa 9–13 Oct 2017 2,501 25 32 20 12 11 9 11 5 12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 10–12 Oct 2017 1,180 31 21 12 11 10 11 4 10
Infratest dimap 9–11 Oct 2017 1,506 32 20 11 11 10 10 6 12
Emnid 5–11 Oct 2017 1,960 31 21 12 11 10 10 5 10
INSA 6–9 Oct 2017 2,015 32 22 13 11 9 9 4 10
Forsa 2–6 Oct 2017 2,001 24 32 20 12 11 9 11 5 12
Emnid 28 Sep–4 Oct 2017 1,490 32 22 12 10 10 9 5 10
Forsa 25–29 Sep 2017 2,005 25 32 20 12 11 10 10 5 12
INSA 27–28 Sep 2017 1,071 31 21 13 12 9 10 4 10
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 26–28 Sep 2017 1,425 32 21 12 10 10 11 4 11
Emnid 25–27 Sep 2017 1,038 33 21 12 11 10 10 3 12
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 23.8 32.9 20.5 12.6 10.7 9.2 8.9 5.0 12.4

CDU and CSU[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
CDU SPD AfD FDP Linke Grüne CSU Others Lead
INSA 7–10 Sep 2018 2,042 21 17 17.5 9 10.5 13.5 7 4.5 3.5
INSA 31 Aug–3 Sep 2018 2,069 22.7 16 17 9.5 10 13.5 5.8 5.5 5.7
INSA 24–27 Aug 2018 2,079 23 16.5 16.5 10 10.5 13.5 5 5 6.5
INSA 16–20 Aug 2018 3,129 22 16.5 16 10 12 13.5 6 4 5.5
INSA 10–13 Aug 2018 2,034 22 17.5 17 9.5 11 12.5 7 3.5 4.5
INSA 3–6 Aug 2018 2,096 24 17 17 8.5 11 12.5 6 4 7
INSA 27–30 Jul 2018 2,074 24 18 17.5 9 10.5 12 5 4 6
Forsa 23–27 Jul 2018 2,505 27 18 14 9 9 13 5 5 9
INSA 20–23 Jul 2018 2,056 24 18 17.5 9 10.5 12 5 4 6
Forsa 16–20 Jul 2018 2,505 26 18 15 8 10 13 5 5 8
INSA 13–16 Jul 2018 2,084 23 17 17.5 9.5 10 13 6 4 5.5
Forsa 9–13 Jul 2018 2,505 26 17 16 9 9 13 5 5 9
INSA 6–9 Jul 2018 2,061 24 17 17.5 9.5 11 12 5 4 6.5
INSA 29 Jun–2 Jul 2018 2,089 23 19 16.5 9 11 12 6 3.5 4
Forsa 25–29 Jun 2018 2,508 26 17 15 10 10 12 5 5 9
INSA 22–25 Jun 2018 2,036 23 19.5 16 9 11 11 6 4.5 4
INSA 15–18 Jun 2018 2,060 23 19 16 8 12 11 6 5 4
INSA 8–11 Jun 2018 2,038 24.2 17 16 8 12 11 6.8 5 7.2
INSA 1–4 Jun 2018 2,067 27.0 17 16 8 11.5 11 5.0 4.5 10.0
INSA 25–28 May 2018 2,062 25.6 17 15.5 8 12 11.5 6.4 4 8.6
INSA 18–22 May 2018 2,044 26.9 16.5 15.5 8 11 11.5 5.6 5 10.4
INSA 11–14 May 2018 2,098 26.9 17 15.5 8 11 11.5 5.6 4.5 9.9
INSA 4–7 May 2018 2,065 25.3 17 15.5 8.5 10.5 11.5 7.2 4.5 8.3
INSA 27–30 Apr 2018 2,097 26.7 17 15.5 9 10.5 11.5 6.3 3.5 9.7
INSA 20–23 Apr 2018 2,091 26.0 18 15.5 9.5 10.5 12 5.5 3 8.0
INSA 13–16 Apr 2018 2,054 25.2 18.5 15 9 11 11.5 6.3 3.5 6.7
INSA 6–9 Apr 2018 2,048 27.0 17.5 15.5 9 12 11.5 4.5 3 9.5
INSA 29–31 Mar 2018 1,074 26.7 18 15 10 12 10 5.3 3 8.7
INSA 23–26 Mar 2018 2,051 26.9 17 15 10 12 10.5 5.6 3 9.9
INSA 16–19 Mar 2018 2,066 25.0 17.5 15 10 12 10.5 7.0 3 7.5
INSA 9–12 Mar 2018 2,033 25.9 17.5 15 9.5 12 11 6.1 3 8.4
INSA 5 Mar 2018 1,052 28.5 15 15 10 12 12 4.5 3 13.5
INSA 23–26 Feb 2018 1,063 26.8 15.5 16 9 12 12 5.7 3 10.8
INSA 16–19 Feb 2018 2,040 25.2 15.5 16 9 11 13 6.8 3.5 9.2
INSA 9–12 Feb 2018 2,608 24.1 16.5 15 10.5 11.5 13 5.4 4 7.6
INSA 2–5 Feb 2018 2,034 24.6 17 15 10 11 12.5 5.9 4 7.6
INSA 26–29 Jan 2018 2,073 26.7 17.5 14 9 11 11 6.8 4 9.2
INSA 22 Jan 2018 1,169 25.6 18 14 10 11 10 5.9 5.5 7.6
INSA 12–15 Jan 2018 2,000 25.4 18.5 14 9.5 11.5 10 6.1 5 6.9
INSA 5–8 Jan 2018 2,028 25.2 19.5 13.5 10 11 10 6.3 4.5 5.7
INSA 29 Dec 2017–2 Jan 2018 2,012 26.9 19.5 13 10 11 10 5.6 4 7.4
INSA 21–22 Dec 2017 2,203 26.9 20.5 13 10.5 10 9.5 6.1 4 6.4
INSA 15–18 Dec 2017 2,031 24.8 21 14 9 11 10 6.2 4 3.8
INSA 8–11 Dec 2017 2,013 25.6 22 13.5 9 10.5 10.5 5.4 3 3.6
INSA 1–4 Dec 2017 2,063 25.0 22 13 10 11 10 6.0 3 3.0
INSA 24–27 Nov 2017 2,003 25.2 22 13 10 10 10 6.8 3 3.2
INSA 17–19 Nov 2017 2,027 24.7 21 14 10 11.5 9.5 6.3 3 3.7
INSA 10–13 Nov 2017 2,049 25.7 20 13.5 10.5 10.5 9 6.3 4.5 5.7
INSA 3–6 Nov 2017 2,023 24.6 22 13.5 10.5 10.5 8.5 6.4 4 2.6
INSA 27–28 Oct 2017 1,024 25.7 21 13 11 10 10 5.3 4 4.7
INSA 23 Oct 2017 1,002 28.1 21 13 10 10 9 4.9 4 7.1
INSA 13–16 Oct 2017 2,011 26.7 21.5 13 10 9 9.5 5.3 5 5.2
INSA 6–9 Oct 2017 2,015 25.7 22 13 11 9 9 6.3 4 3.7
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 26.8 20.5 12.6 10.7 9.2 8.9 6.2 5.0 6.3

CDU vs. CSU[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
CDU SPD AfD FDP Linke Grüne CSU Others Lead
INSA 8–11 Jun 2018 2,038 22 17 11 6 12 10 18 4 4
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 26.8 20.5 12.6 10.7 9.2 8.9 6.2 5.0 6.3

By state[edit]

Baden-Württemberg[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
CDU SPD Grüne FDP AfD Linke Others Lead
Forsa 8–22 Feb 2018 1,003 35 13 17 11 12 8 4 18
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 34.4 16.4 13.5 12.7 12.2 6.4 4.5 18.0

Bavaria[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
CSU SPD AfD FDP Grüne Linke FW Others Lead
INSA 25–27 Jun 2018 1,231 37 14 16 7 13 5 4 4 21
Forsa 21–22 Jun 2018 1,033 36 13 15 9 14 7 6 21
Forsa 8–22 Feb 2018 1,027 40 13 12 8 14 6 ? 7 26
GMS 1–9 Feb 2018 1,510 39 14 14 8 12 5 3 5 25
GMS 27 Dec 2017–1 Jan 2018 1,007 38 15 14 9 10 5 4 5 23
INSA 12–13 Dec 2017 1,003 37 15 13 9 12 6 4 4 22
GMS 27–29 Nov 2017 1,006 36 15 14 9 11 6 4 5 21
Forsa 6–9 Nov 2017 1,017 36 15 13 11 12 6 7 21
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 38.8 15.3 12.4 10.2 9.8 6.1 2.7 4.8 23.5

Berlin[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
CDU Linke SPD Grüne AfD FDP Others Lead
Forsa 21–30 Aug 2018 1,004 21 19 15 20 15 6 4 1
Forsa 16–26 Jul 2018 1,009 21 20 15 18 15 7 4 1
Forsa 20–28 Jun 2018 1,009 21 19 17 18 13 8 4 2
Forsa 22–31 May 2018 1,004 23 19 16 18 12 8 4 4
Forsa 17–26 Apr 2018 1,001 23 19 17 16 12 8 5 4
Forsa 19–28 Mar 2018 1,003 23 20 17 15 13 8 4 3
Forsa 12–22 Feb 2018 1,006 25 19 17 15 11 8 5 6
Forsa 15–25 Jan 2018 1,008 24 19 18 15 11 7 6 5
Forsa 12–21 Dec 2017 1,002 24 19 18 15 11 6 7 5
Forsa 13–23 Nov 2017 1,002 23 18 19 14 11 8 7 4
Forsa 17–26 Oct 2017 1,011 23 18 20 13 11 9 6 3
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 22.7 18.8 17.9 12.6 12.0 8.9 7.1 3.9

Brandenburg[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
CDU AfD SPD Linke FDP Grüne Others Lead
Forsa 7–9 Nov 2017 1,002 26 20 16 19 8 6 5 6
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 26.7 20.2 17.6 17.2 7.1 5.0 6.3 6.5

Hesse[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
CDU SPD AfD FDP Grüne Linke Others Lead
Forsa 8–22 Feb 2018 1,035 31 19 10 12 14 10 4 12
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 30.9 23.5 11.9 11.5 9.7 8.1 4.4 7.3

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
CDU AfD Linke SPD FDP Grüne Others Lead
Forsa 24–28 Jun 2018 1,002 30 21 19 12 5 8 5 9
Forsa 2–11 Jan 2018 1,001 33 18 18 15 5 6 5 15
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 33.1 18.6 17.8 15.1 6.2 4.3 4.9 14.5

Lower Saxony[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
CDU SPD FDP AfD Grüne Linke Others Lead
Forsa 8–22 Feb 2018 1,004 36 24 9 8 12 7 4 12
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 34.9 27.4 9.3 9.1 8.7 7.0 3.6 7.5

North Rhine-Westphalia[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
CDU SPD FDP AfD Grüne Linke Others Lead
Forsa 8–22 Feb 2018 1,015 34 21 11 9 11 8 6 13
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 32.6 26.0 13.1 9.4 7.6 7.5 3.8 6.7

Rhineland-Palatinate[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
CDU SPD AfD FDP Grüne Linke Others Lead
Infratest dimap 5–7 Mar 2018 1,001 34 23 12 9 12 7 3 11
Infratest dimap 8–12 Dec 2017 1,003 39 24 9 8 12 5 3 15
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 35.9 24.1 11.2 10.4 7.6 6.8 3.9 11.7

Preferred Chancellor[edit]

Merkel–Nahles[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Merkel
CDU/CSU
Nahles
SPD
Neither
Forsa 10–14 Sep 2018 2,507 46 14 40
Forsa 3–7 Sep 2018 2,507 46 13 41
Forsa 27–31 Aug 2018 2,503 47 13 40
Forsa 20–24 Aug 2018 2,502 47 13 40
Forsa 13–17 Aug 2018 2,503 47 14 39
Forsa 6–10 Aug 2018 2,505 46 14 40
Forsa 30 Jul–3 Aug 2018 2,508 48 14 38
Forsa 23–27 Jul 2018 2,505 49 14 37
Forsa 16–20 Jul 2018 2,505 48 13 39
Forsa 9–13 Jul 2018 2,505 48 12 40
Forsa 2–6 Jul 2018 2,502 46 14 40
Forsa 18–22 Jun 2018 2,503 46 15 39
Forsa 11–15 Jun 2018 2,502 46 13 41
Forsa 4–8 Jun 2018 2,504 49 14 37
Forsa 28 May–1 Jun 2018 2,506 49 13 38
Forsa 22–25 May 2018 2,002 50 12 38
Forsa 14–18 May 2018 2,502 49 13 38
Forsa 7–11 May 2018 2,004 50 13 37
Forsa 30 Apr–4 May 2018 2,003 49 13 38
Forsa 23–27 Apr 2018 2,507 49 13 38
Forsa 16–20 Apr 2018 2,503 50 13 37
Forsa 9–13 Apr 2018 2,506 51 15 34
Forsa 3–6 Apr 2018 2,005 49 15 36
Forsa 26–29 Mar 2018 2,003 51 13 36
Forsa 19–23 Mar 2018 2,502 50 13 37
Forsa 12–16 Mar 2018 2,502 50 13 37
Forsa 5–9 Mar 2018 2,507 48 12 40
Forsa 26 Feb–2 Mar 2018 2,505 48 14 38
Forsa 19–23 Feb 2018 2,506 48 14 38
Forsa 12–16 Feb 2018 2,501 47 16 37
Forsa 5–9 Feb 2018 ? 46 23 31
Forsa 7–8 Feb 2018 1,003 46 23 31
Forsa 30 Oct–3 Nov 2017 2,005 58 17 25

Merkel–Scholz[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Merkel
CDU/CSU
Scholz
SPD
Neither
Forsa 3–7 Sep 2018 2,507 42 20 38
Forsa 27–31 Aug 2018 2,503 42 20 38
Forsa 20–24 Aug 2018 2,502 42 23 35
Forsa 13–17 Aug 2018 2,503 42 22 36
Forsa 6–10 Aug 2018 2,505 41 23 36
Forsa 23–27 Jul 2018 2,505 42 22 36
Forsa 16–20 Jul 2018 2,505 42 23 35
Forsa 2–6 Jul 2018 2,502 42 21 37
Forsa 18–22 Jun 2018 2,503 42 22 36
Forsa 11–15 Jun 2018 2,502 42 20 38
Forsa 4–8 Jun 2018 2,504 44 21 35
Forsa 28 May–1 Jun 2018 2,506 44 20 36
Forsa 22–25 May 2018 2,002 44 20 36
Forsa 14–18 May 2018 2,502 45 20 35
Forsa 7–11 May 2018 2,004 46 20 34
Forsa 30 Apr–4 May 2018 2,003 47 20 33
Forsa 23–27 Apr 2018 2,507 44 20 36
Forsa 9–13 Apr 2018 2,506 46 21 33
Forsa 3–6 Apr 2018 2,005 44 21 35
Forsa 26–29 Mar 2018 2,003 46 21 33
Forsa 19–23 Mar 2018 2,502 45 21 34
Forsa 12–16 Mar 2018 2,502 45 21 34
Forsa 5–9 Mar 2018 2,507 43 23 36
Forsa 26 Feb–2 Mar 2018 2,505 45 20 35
Forsa 5–9 Feb 2018 ? 44 29 27
Forsa 7–8 Feb 2018 1,003 45 27 28

Merkel–Schulz[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Merkel
CDU/CSU
Schulz
SPD
Neither
Forsa 7–8 Feb 2018 1,003 44 12 44
Forsa 29 Jan–2 Feb 2018 2,507 46 14 40
Forsa 22–26 Jan 2018 2,505 47 15 38
Forsa 15–19 Jan 2018 2,501 46 18 36
Forsa 8–12 Jan 2018 2,501 46 19 35
Forsa 2–5 Jan 2018 2,503 47 18 35
Forsa 18–22 Dec 2017 2,504 47 19 34
Forsa 11–15 Dec 2017 2,501 48 21 31
Forsa 4–8 Dec 2017 2,500 49 20 31
Forsa 27 Nov–1 Dec 2017 2,502 50 19 31
Forsa 20–24 Nov 2017 2,508 51 19 30
Forsa 13–17 Nov 2017 2,505 49 20 31
Forsa 6–10 Nov 2017 2,506 50 22 28
Forsa 30 Oct–3 Nov 2017 2,005 52 22 26
Forsa 23–27 Oct 2017 2,500 49 21 30
Forsa 16–20 Oct 2017 2,503 48 21 31
Forsa 9–13 Oct 2017 2,501 48 20 32
Forsa 2–6 Oct 2017 2,001 49 21 30
Forsa 25–29 Sep 2017 2,005 49 22 29

Preferred coalition[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
CDU/CSU
SPD
CDU/CSU
FDP
SPD
Grüne
CDU/CSU
Grüne
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 11–13 Sep 2018 1,339 15 8 11 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 28–30 Aug 2018 1,216 16 11 8 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 7–9 Aug 2018 1,294 13 8 9 9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 9–12 Jul 2018 1,340 14 9 10 6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 25–28 Jun 2018 1,290 14 11 9 6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 5–7 Jun 2018 1,284 18 10 10 6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 15–17 May 2018 1,200 19 9 9 8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 24–26 Apr 2018 1,285 16 10 10 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 10–12 Apr 2018 1,159 14 13 11 9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 13–15 Mar 2018 1,214 18 13 10 5

Constituency projection[edit]

Source Date Union SPD AfD FDP Linke Grüne
election.de 13 Sep 2018 213 61 17 0 5 3
INSA 11 Sep 2018 214 58 13 0 9 5
INSA 3 Sep 2018 237 38 13 0 5 6
INSA 28 Aug 2018 236 46 7 0 5 5
INSA 21 Aug 2018 235 40 8 0 10 6
election.de 16 Aug 2018 213 61 17 0 5 3
INSA 14 Aug 2018 229 57 4 0 4 5
INSA 7 Aug 2018 232 55 4 0 4 4
INSA 31 Jul 2018 218 61 9 0 8 3
INSA 24 Jul 2018 227 60 3 0 4 5
election.de 18 Jul 2018 214 60 17 0 5 3
INSA 16 Jul 2018 241 40 9 0 5 4
INSA 9 Jul 2018 236 50 4 0 5 4
INSA 2 Jul 2018 221 65 3 0 5 5
INSA 25 Jun 2018 214 67 7 0 8 3
INSA 18 Jun 2018 211 61 6 0 16 5
election.de 15 Jun 2018 229 59 4 0 5 2
INSA 11 Jun 2018 244 35 8 0 9 3
INSA 4 Jun 2018 261 29 1 0 4 4
INSA 28 May 2018 256 31 4 0 4 4
election.de 24 May 2018 240 49 4 0 4 2
election.de 23 Apr 2018 239 48 4 0 5 3
election.de 20 Mar 2018 237 51 4 0 5 2
election.de 16 Feb 2018 230 54 7 0 5 3
election.de 19 Jan 2018 240 49 2 0 5 3
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 231 59 3 0 5 1

By probability[edit]

Source Date Union SPD AfD FDP Linke Grüne
Safe Likely Lean Safe Likely Lean Safe Likely Lean Safe Likely Lean Likely Lean
election.de 13 Sep 2018 122 28 63 5 18 38 1 2 14 0 3 1 1 1 2
election.de 16 Aug 2018 123 26 64 5 18 38 1 2 14 0 3 1 1 1 2
election.de 18 Jul 2018 142 30 42 13 16 31 3 1 13 0 4 0 1 0 3
election.de 15 Jun 2018 118 54 57 2 17 40 0 1 3 0 2 2 1 0 2
election.de 24 May 2018 130 59 51 2 12 35 0 1 3 0 2 2 0 0 2
election.de 23 Apr 2018 128 61 50 2 12 34 0 1 3 0 2 2 1 0 3
election.de 20 Mar 2018 127 59 51 2 13 36 0 1 3 0 2 2 1 0 2
election.de 16 Feb 2018 118 57 55 2 14 38 0 1 6 0 2 2 1 0 3
election.de 19 Jan 2018 128 63 49 2 12 35 0 1 1 0 2 2 1 0 3
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 231 59 3 0 5 1

Second place[edit]

Source Date Union SPD AfD FDP Linke Grüne
election.de 13 Sep 2018 81 158 44 0 2 14
election.de 16 Aug 2018 81 159 43 0 2 14
election.de 18 Jul 2018 80 159 44 0 2 14
election.de 15 Jun 2018 67 175 40 0 7 10
election.de 24 May 2018 57 183 44 0 6 9
election.de 23 Apr 2018
election.de 20 Mar 2018 60 184 43 0 7 5
election.de 16 Feb 2018 66 169 39 0 9 16
election.de 19 Jan 2018 57 181 32 0 13 16
2017 federal election 24 Sep 2017 66 185 33 0 10 5

See also[edit]

External links[edit]