Opinion polling for the next German federal election

In the run-up to the next German federal election, various organisations will carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Germany. Results of such polls are displayed in this list.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous federal election, held on 24 September 2017, to the present day. The next election will be held on or before 24 October 2021, unless a snap election is called before then.

Graphical summary

Civey (SPON-Wahltrend) has continued to publish daily data since 1 October 2017, the results of which are accounted for in the polling average above but not included in the table below (except if an article on the figures is published in Spiegel Online) or shown as points in the above graph.

Poll results

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Abs.	Union	SPD	AfD	FDP	Linke	Grüne	Others	Lead
INSA	14–17 Sep 2018	2,054	–	28.5	17	17.5	9	10.5	13	4.5	11
Forsa	10–14 Sep 2018	2,507	25	30	18	13	8	10	16	5	12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	11–13 Sep 2018	1,339	–	30	20	15	7	8	16	4	10
Emnid	6–12 Sep 2018	1,978	–	30	18	15	9	10	13	5	12
INSA	7–10 Sep 2018	2,042	–	28	17	17.5	9	10.5	13.5	4.5	10.5
GMS	4–10 Aug 2018	1,003	–	29	17	16	9	9	14	6	12
Forsa	3–7 Sep 2018	2,507	27	31	16	14	9	10	15	5	15
Infratest dimap	3–5 Sep 2018	1,502	–	29	18	16	8	10	14	5	11
Emnid	30 Aug–5 Sep 2018	2,472	–	29	17	15	9	10	14	6	12
INSA	31 Aug–3 Sep 2018	2,069	–	28.5	16	17	9.5	10	13.5	5.5	11.5
Forsa	27–31 Aug 2018	2,503	26	30	17	16	8	8	16	5	13
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	28–30 Aug 2018	1,216	–	31	18	17	8	8	14	4	13
Emnid	23–29 Aug 2018	2,390	–	30	19	15	9	9	14	4	11
YouGov	24–28 Aug 2018	1,538	–	28	17	17	9	11	13	5	11
INSA	24–27 Aug 2018	2,079	–	28	16.5	16.5	10	10.5	13.5	5	11.5
Forsa	20–24 Aug 2018	2,502	26	30	18	14	8	10	15	5	12
Infratest dimap	20–22 Aug 2018	1,047	–	29	18	17	8	9	14	5	11
Emnid	16–22 Aug 2018	1,891	–	30	18	14	9	9	15	5	12
INSA	16–20 Aug 2018	3,129	–	28	16.5	16	10	12	13.5	4	11.5
Forsa	13–17 Aug 2018	2,503	26	30	18	14	9	10	15	4	12
Emnid	9–15 Aug 2018	2,942	–	30	17	15	9	9	15	5	13
INSA	10–13 Aug 2018	2,034	–	29	17.5	17	9.5	11	12.5	3.5	11.5
Forsa	6–10 Aug 2018	2,505	26	30	18	14	10	9	15	4	12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	7–9 Aug 2018	1,294	–	31	18	16	8	9	15	3	13
Allensbach	27 Jul–9 Aug 2018	1,295	–	31	20	14.5	9	9	12.5	4	11
Emnid	2–8 Aug 2018	2,502	–	31	17	14	8	10	15	5	14
Civey	31 Jul–7 Aug 2018	11,907	–	30.1	17.4	15.8	7.8	9.8	14.0	5.1	12.7
INSA	3–6 Aug 2018	2,096	–	30	17	17	8.5	11	12.5	4	13
Forsa	30 Jul–3 Aug 2018	2,508	26	31	18	14	10	9	13	5	13
Infratest dimap	30 Jul–1 Aug 2018	1,508	–	29	18	17	7	9	15	5	11
Emnid	26 Jul–1 Aug 2018	2,478	–	30	18	15	8	9	15	5	12
GMS	25–31 Jul 2018	1,005	–	30	17	16	10	10	13	4	13
INSA	27–30 Jul 2018	2,074	–	29	18	17.5	9	10.5	12	4	11
Forsa	23–27 Jul 2018	2,505	25	32	18	14	9	9	13	5	14
Infratest dimap	24–25 Jul 2018	1,047	–	30	18	16	8	8	15	5	12
Emnid	19–25 Jul 2018	2,001	–	29	18	15	9	10	14	5	11
YouGov	20–24 Jul 2018	1,520	–	30	17	17	9	11	12	4	13
INSA	20–23 Jul 2018	2,056	–	29	18	17.5	9	10.5	12	4	11
Forsa	16–20 Jul 2018	2,505	25	31	18	15	8	10	13	5	13
Emnid	12–18 Jul 2018	2,476	–	30	19	15	9	10	12	5	11
INSA	13–16 Jul 2018	2,084	–	29	17	17.5	9.5	10	13	4	11.5
Forsa	9–13 Jul 2018	2,505	24	31	17	16	9	9	13	5	14
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	9–12 Jul 2018	1,340	–	31	18	15	7	11	14	4	13
Emnid	5–11 Jul 2018	2,368	–	30	18	16	9	10	12	5	12
Allensbach	1–12 Jul 2018	1,295	–	30.5	20	15	9.5	9	12	4	10.5
GMS	5–11 Jul 2018	1,006	–	30	17	17	9	10	12	5	13
INSA	6–9 Jul 2018	2,061	–	29	17	17.5	9.5	11	12	4	11.5
Forsa	2–6 Jul 2018	2,502	24	30	17	16	10	9	13	5	13
Infratest dimap	3–4 Jul 2018	1,505	–	30	18	16	8	9	14	5	12
Emnid	28 Jun–4 Jul 2018	1,894	–	30	17	17	9	9	12	6	13
INSA	29 Jun–2 Jul 2018	2,089	–	29	19	16.5	9	11	12	3.5	10
Forsa	25–29 Jun 2018	2,508	24	31	17	15	10	10	12	5	14
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	25–28 Jun 2018	1,290	–	32	18	14	9	10	14	3	14
Emnid	21–28 Jun 2018	1,954	–	32	19	14	9	9	12	5	13
Infratest dimap	25–26 Jun 2018	1,025	–	32	19	14	8	9	13	5	13
YouGov	22–26 Jun 2018	1,525	–	30	17	16	10	11	12	4	13
Civey	19–26 Jun 2018	10,033	–	29.8	17.7	16.1	8.7	10.1	12.7	4.9	12.1
INSA	22–25 Jun 2018	2,036	–	29	19.5	16	9	11	11	4.5	9.5
Forsa	18–22 Jun 2018	2,503	24	30	17	15	9	10	13	6	13
Emnid	14–20 Jun 2018	2,336	–	31	18	16	9	10	12	4	13
INSA	15–18 Jun 2018	2,060	–	29	19	16	8	12	11	5	10
Forsa	14–15 Jun 2018	1,001	26	30	16	15	10	9	14	6	14
Forsa	11–13 Jun 2018	1,501	23	34	18	13	9	8	12	6	16
Infratest dimap	11–13 Jun 2018	1,506	–	31	18	15	8	10	13	5	13
Emnid	7–13 Jun 2018	2,310	–	33	18	15	8	11	11	4	15
Allensbach	1–13 Jun 2018	1,279	–	33	21	13	9.5	9.5	11	3	12
INSA	8–11 Jun 2018	2,038	–	31	17	16	8	12	11	5	14
Forsa	4–8 Jun 2018	2,504	23	33	18	13	9	10	12	5	15
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	5–7 Jun 2018	1,284	–	33	20	13	8	10	13	3	13
Emnid	30 May–6 Jun 2018	1,950	–	32	19	14	8	11	12	4	13
INSA	1–4 Jun 2018	2,067	–	32	17	16	8	11.5	11	4.5	15
Forsa	28 May–1 Jun 2018	2,506	25	34	18	13	8	10	12	5	16
YouGov	25–29 May 2018	1,556	–	33	17	16	9	11	11	3	16
Emnid	24–29 May 2018	1,397	–	32	18	15	7	11	13	4	14
Civey	22–29 May 2018	11,925	–	32.2	16.6	15.2	9.2	10.2	12.0	4.6	15.6
INSA	25–28 May 2018	2,062	–	32	17	15.5	8	12	11.5	4	15
Forsa	22–25 May 2018	2,002	24	33	18	13	8	10	13	5	15
Emnid	17–23 May 2018	1,946	–	33	17	14	8	11	13	4	16
INSA	18–22 May 2018	2,044	–	32.5	16.5	15.5	8	11	11.5	5	16
Forsa	14–18 May 2018	2,502	23	33	18	13	9	9	12	6	15
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	15–17 May 2018	1,200	–	34	20	14	8	9	12	3	14
Infratest dimap	14–16 May 2018	1,009	–	33	17	14	8	10	13	5	16
GMS	11–16 May 2018	1,003	–	34	16	14	9	10	12	5	18
Emnid	9–16 May 2018	2,030	–	33	17	14	9	10	13	4	16
INSA	11–14 May 2018	2,098	–	32.5	17	15.5	8	11	11.5	4.5	15.5
Forsa	7–11 May 2018	2,004	23	34	17	13	8	10	13	5	17
Infratest dimap	7–8 May 2018	1,507	–	32	18	15	8	9	13	5	14
Emnid	3–8 May 2018	1,489	–	33	17	14	9	10	12	5	16
Allensbach	24 Apr–8 May 2018	1,253	–	34	20	11.5	9	10	11	4.5	14
INSA	4–7 May 2018	2,065	–	32.5	17	15.5	8.5	10.5	11.5	4.5	15.5
Forsa	30 Apr–4 May 2018	2,003	21	34	18	13	9	10	11	5	16
Emnid	26 Apr–2 May 2018	1,507	–	34	17	14	8	10	12	5	17
INSA	27–30 Apr 2018	2,097	–	33	17	15.5	9	10.5	11.5	3.5	16
Forsa	23–27 Apr 2018	2,507	22	34	17	12	9	10	13	5	17
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	24–26 Apr 2018	1,285	–	34	20	13	7	10	13	3	14
GMS	20–26 Apr 2018	1,005	–	33	17	13	9	11	12	5	16
Emnid	19–25 Apr 2018	2,350	–	32	18	14	9	11	12	4	14
YouGov	20–24 Apr 2018	1,573	–	32	18	15	9	10	12	4	15
INSA	20–23 Apr 2018	2,091	–	31.5	18	15.5	9.5	10.5	12	3	13.5
Forsa	16–20 Apr 2018	2,503	22	34	18	12	9	10	13	4	16
Infratest dimap	16–18 Apr 2018	1,039	–	32	17	15	10	10	12	4	15
Emnid	12–18 Apr 2018	2,437	–	33	18	13	9	11	12	4	15
Allensbach	3–17 Apr 2018	1,279	–	34	20.5	12	10	9	11	3.5	13.5
INSA	13–16 Apr 2018	2,054	–	31.5	18.5	15	9	11	11.5	3.5	13
Forsa	9–13 Apr 2018	2,506	23	34	19	12	9	10	12	4	15
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	10–12 Apr 2018	1,159	–	33	19	13	8	9	14	4	14
Emnid	5–11 Apr 2018	1,786	–	33	18	14	9	11	11	4	15
INSA	6–9 Apr 2018	2,048	–	31.5	17.5	15.5	9	12	11.5	3	14
Forsa	3–6 Apr 2018	2,005	23	32	20	13	9	10	11	5	12
Emnid	29 Mar–5 Apr 2018	1,414	–	34	17	13	8	11	12	5	17
Infratest dimap	3–4 Apr 2018	1,503	–	33	18	14	9	10	12	4	15
pollytix	23 Mar–4 Apr 2018	1,386	–	30	19	15	10	11	10	5	11
INSA	29–31 Mar 2018	1,074	–	32	18	15	10	12	10	3	14
Forsa	26–29 Mar 2018	2,003	23	33	18	13	9	10	12	5	15
Emnid	22–28 Mar 2018	1,982	–	34	18	12	8	11	12	5	16
YouGov	23–27 Mar 2018	1,579	–	34	17	15	8	11	11	4	17
Civey	20–27 Mar 2018	11,868	–	31.2	17.2	15.4	9.3	10.5	11.9	4.5	14.0
INSA	23–26 Mar 2018	2,051	–	32.5	17	15	10	12	10.5	3	15.5
Forsa	19–23 Mar 2018	2,502	23	31	19	14	9	11	12	4	12
Infratest dimap	20–21 Mar 2018	1,038	–	33	19	13	9	10	12	4	14
GMS	16–21 Mar 2018	1,003	–	33	18	13	10	10	11	5	15
Emnid	15–21 Mar 2018	1,972	–	34	18	13	9	10	12	4	16
INSA	16–19 Mar 2018	2,066	–	32	17.5	15	10	12	10.5	3	14.5
Forsa	12–16 Mar 2018	2,502	25	34	19	13	8	10	11	5	15
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	13–15 Mar 2018	1,214	–	32	19	13	9	11	12	4	13
Allensbach	2–15 Mar 2018	1,256	–	34	19	12.5	10	10	11	3.5	15
Emnid	8–14 Mar 2018	1,959	–	33	19	14	9	10	11	4	14
INSA	9–12 Mar 2018	2,033	–	32	17.5	15	9.5	12	11	3	14.5
Forsa	5–9 Mar 2018	2,507	24	34	18	12	9	10	13	4	16
Emnid	1–7 Mar 2018	1,869	–	33	19	13	8	10	12	5	14
INSA	5 Mar 2018	1,052	–	33	15	15	10	12	12	3	18
Forsa	4–5 Mar 2018	1,502	26	34	19	13	9	9	12	4	15
Forsa	26 Feb–2 Mar 2018	2,505	25	35	18	13	9	9	12	4	17
Infratest dimap	26–28 Feb 2018	1,502	–	34	18	15	9	9	11	4	16
YouGov	26–28 Feb 2018	1,585	–	32	16	16	8	12	12	4	16
Emnid	22–28 Feb 2018	1,890	–	33	16	15	9	11	12	4	17
Civey	20–27 Feb 2018	11,878	–	33.7	18.1	12.1	8.1	10.4	12.6	5.0	15.6
INSA	23–26 Feb 2018	1,063	–	32.5	15.5	16	9	12	12	3	16.5
Forsa	19–23 Feb 2018	2,506	25	35	18	13	9	9	12	4	17
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	20–22 Feb 2018	1,360	–	33	17	14	8	11	12	5	16
Infratest dimap	20–21 Feb 2018	1,052	–	34	17	14	9	10	12	4	17
Emnid	15–21 Feb 2018	1,985	–	33	17	15	10	11	11	3	16
Civey	13–20 Feb 2018	11,909	–	32.2	16.5	14.6	9.4	10.0	12.5	4.8	15.7
INSA	16–19 Feb 2018	2,040	–	32	15.5	16	9	11	13	3.5	16
Forsa	12–16 Feb 2018	2,501	24	34	16	13	9	10	13	5	18
Infratest dimap	13–15 Feb 2018	1,001	–	33	16	15	9	11	13	3	17
Allensbach	2–15 Feb 2018	1,271	–	32	17.5	13	11	9.5	12	5	14.5
Emnid	8–14 Feb 2018	1,478	–	33	19	14	9	10	11	4	14
Civey	9–13 Feb 2018	11,841	–	33.3	16.4	13.2	9.3	10.2	12.8	4.8	16.9
INSA	9–12 Feb 2018	2,608	–	29.5	16.5	15	10.5	11.5	13	4	13
Forsa	5–9 Feb 2018	?	?	31	17	13	10	10	13	5	14
Forsa	7–8 Feb 2018	1,003	–	31	18	13	10	10	13	5	13
Emnid	1–7 Feb 2018	1,226	–	34	20	12	9	9	11	5	14
GMS	1–7 Feb 2018	1,007	–	32	18	14	9	9	13	5	14
INSA	2–5 Feb 2018	2,034	–	30.5	17	15	10	11	12.5	4	13.5
Forsa	29 Jan–2 Feb 2018	2,507	24	33	18	13	9	9	13	5	15
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	30 Jan–1 Feb 2018	1,302	–	31	19	14	7	11	14	4	12
Infratest dimap	29–31 Jan 2018	1,502	–	33	18	14	10	11	11	3	15
Emnid	25–31 Jan 2018	1,247	–	33	20	13	9	10	11	4	13
INSA	26–29 Jan 2018	2,073	–	33.5	17.5	14	9	11	11	4	16
Forsa	22–26 Jan 2018	2,505	25	34	18	12	9	10	12	5	16
Infratest dimap	22–24 Jan 2018	1,043	–	33	19	12	10	10	11	5	14
Emnid	18–24 Jan 2018	1,513	–	34	20	12	8	10	11	5	14
YouGov	19–23 Jan 2018	1,566	–	34	19	14	8	11	10	4	15
Forsa	22 Jan 2018	1,282	–	34	17	13	8	11	12	5	17
INSA	22 Jan 2018	1,169	–	31.5	18	14	10	11	10	5.5	13.5
Forsa	15–19 Jan 2018	2,501	23	34	18	12	8	10	12	6	16
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	16–18 Jan 2018	1,332	–	33	20	12	8	10	12	5	13
Allensbach	5–18 Jan 2018	1,221	–	34	21	12	10	8.5	10.5	4	13
Forsa	15–17 Jan 2018	1,504	–	34	18	12	8	10	12	6	16
Emnid	11–17 Jan 2018	1,419	–	33	21	13	8	10	10	5	12
INSA	12–15 Jan 2018	2,000	–	31.5	18.5	14	9.5	11.5	10	5	13
Forsa	8–12 Jan 2018	2,501	22	33	20	11	9	9	12	6	13
Emnid	4–10 Jan 2018	1,899	–	34	21	13	8	9	11	4	13
INSA	5–8 Jan 2018	2,028	–	31.5	19.5	13.5	10	11	10	4.5	12
Civey	11 Dec 2017–8 Jan 2018	11,880	–	31.1	19.3	14.5	9.3	9.9	11.1	4.8	11.8
Forsa	2–5 Jan 2018	2,503	22	34	20	10	9	9	12	6	14
Infratest dimap	2–3 Jan 2018	1,506	–	33	21	13	9	9	11	4	12
Emnid	21 Dec 2017–3 Jan 2018	1,440	–	33	20	12	9	9	12	5	13
INSA	29 Dec 2017–2 Jan 2018	2,012	–	32.5	19.5	13	10	11	10	4	13
GMS	27 Dec 2017–2 Jan 2018	1,005	–	32	20	14	9	10	11	4	12
YouGov	25–27 Dec 2017	1,489	–	33	21	13	9	10	10	4	12
INSA	21–22 Dec 2017	2,203	–	33	20.5	13	10.5	10	9.5	4	12.5
Forsa	18–22 Dec 2017	2,504	21	34	19	12	8	10	12	5	15
Emnid	14–20 Dec 2017	1,861	–	33	21	12	8	10	11	5	12
INSA	15–18 Dec 2017	2,031	–	31	21	14	9	11	10	4	10
Forsa	11–15 Dec 2017	2,501	21	33	20	12	8	10	12	5	13
Allensbach	1–14 Dec 2017	1,443	–	34	21	11	10	9	11.5	3.5	13
Infratest dimap	11–13 Dec 2017	1,029	–	32	20	13	9	9	12	5	12
Emnid	7–13 Dec 2017	1,865	–	32	22	13	8	9	11	5	10
INSA	8–11 Dec 2017	2,013	–	31	22	13.5	9	10.5	10.5	3.5	9
Forsa	9–10 Dec 2017	1,566	–	34	20	11	8	9	12	6	14
Forsa	4–8 Dec 2017	2,500	22	34	20	11	8	9	12	6	14
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	5–7 Dec 2017	1,353	–	32	23	12	8	9	12	4	9
Infratest dimap	4–6 Dec 2017	1,504	–	32	21	13	9	10	11	4	11
Emnid	30 Nov–6 Dec 2017	1,880	–	33	21	12	9	10	11	4	12
Civey	30 Nov–5 Dec 2017	11,936	–	31.5	20.4	11.3	11.9	9.2	11.0	4.7	11.1
INSA	1–4 Dec 2017	2,063	–	31	22	13	10	11	10	3	9
GMS	28 Nov–1 Dec 2017	1,010	–	32	21	13	10	10	10	4	11
Forsa	27 Nov–1 Dec 2017	2,502	23	34	20	10	8	9	13	6	14
Emnid	23–29 Nov 2017	1,888	–	33	21	12	9	10	10	5	12
YouGov	24–28 Nov 2017	1,570	–	32	21	13	9	10	10	5	11
Civey	21–28 Nov 2017	10,024	–	31.7	20.4	10.6	13.1	8.9	11.0	4.3	11.3
INSA	24–27 Nov 2017	2,003	–	32	22	13	10	10	10	3	10
Allensbach	22–27 Nov 2017	1,299	–	33	21.5	11	10	9	11	4.5	11.5
Forsa	20–24 Nov 2017	2,508	24	33	19	11	10	9	12	6	14
Emnid	20–23 Nov 2017	1,225	–	33	22	11	9	10	10	5	11
INSA	21–22 Nov 2017	1,069	–	32	21	12	12	10	10	3	11
Civey	20–21 Nov 2017	5,044	–	29.2	19.5	13.6	13.2	8.4	11.9	4.1	9.7
Forsa	20 Nov 2017	1,789	–	31	21	12	10	9	12	5	10
Infratest dimap	20 Nov 2017	1,011	–	32	22	11	10	10	11	4	10
INSA	20 Nov 2017	1,034	–	30	21	14	11	11	10	3	9
INSA	17–19 Nov 2017	2,027	–	31	21	14	10	11.5	9.5	3	10
Forsa	13–17 Nov 2017	2,505	21	32	20	12	12	8	11	5	12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	14–16 Nov 2017	1,303	–	33	21	11	10	9	12	4	12
Infratest dimap	10–15 Nov 2017	1,382	–	31	21	12	11	10	11	4	10
Emnid	9–15 Nov 2017	1,842	–	31	21	13	10	9	11	5	10
INSA	10–13 Nov 2017	2,049	–	32	20	13.5	10.5	10.5	9	4.5	12
Forsa	6–10 Nov 2017	2,506	21	32	20	12	12	9	10	5	12
Infratest dimap	6–8 Nov 2017	1,505	–	30	21	13	12	9	11	4	9
Emnid	2–8 Nov 2017	1,392	–	30	22	13	11	10	10	4	8
INSA	3–6 Nov 2017	2,023	–	31	22	13.5	10.5	10.5	8.5	4	9
Civey	27 Oct–6 Nov 2017	10,012	–	31.0	20.4	13.7	11.0	9.4	10.2	4.3	10.6
Forsa	30 Oct–3 Nov 2017	2,005	22	32	21	12	11	9	10	5	11
Emnid	26–30 Oct 2017	1,476	–	31	21	12	10	10	11	5	10
INSA	27–28 Oct 2017	1,024	–	31	21	13	11	10	10	4	10
Forsa	23–27 Oct 2017	2,500	23	33	20	11	11	9	11	5	13
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	24–26 Oct 2017	1,325	–	33	21	12	10	9	11	4	12
Emnid	19–25 Oct 2017	2,296	–	31	22	12	11	9	10	5	9
INSA	23 Oct 2017	1,002	–	33	21	13	10	10	9	4	12
Forsa	16–20 Oct 2017	2,503	25	31	22	11	11	10	10	5	9
Allensbach	7–19 Oct 2017	1,454	–	33	20.5	12	12	9	9.5	4	12.5
Infratest dimap	16–18 Oct 2017	1,026	–	31	21	12	12	9	11	4	10
Emnid	12–18 Oct 2017	2,304	–	32	21	12	11	9	10	5	11
GMS	12–18 Oct 2017	1,005	–	31	21	13	12	10	9	4	10
INSA	13–16 Oct 2017	2,011	–	32	21.5	13	10	9	9.5	5	10.5
Forsa	9–13 Oct 2017	2,501	25	32	20	12	11	9	11	5	12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	10–12 Oct 2017	1,180	–	31	21	12	11	10	11	4	10
Infratest dimap	9–11 Oct 2017	1,506	–	32	20	11	11	10	10	6	12
Emnid	5–11 Oct 2017	1,960	–	31	21	12	11	10	10	5	10
INSA	6–9 Oct 2017	2,015	–	32	22	13	11	9	9	4	10
Forsa	2–6 Oct 2017	2,001	24	32	20	12	11	9	11	5	12
Emnid	28 Sep–4 Oct 2017	1,490	–	32	22	12	10	10	9	5	10
Forsa	25–29 Sep 2017	2,005	25	32	20	12	11	10	10	5	12
INSA	27–28 Sep 2017	1,071	–	31	21	13	12	9	10	4	10
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	26–28 Sep 2017	1,425	–	32	21	12	10	10	11	4	11
Emnid	25–27 Sep 2017	1,038	–	33	21	12	11	10	10	3	12
2017 federal election	24 Sep 2017	–	23.8	32.9	20.5	12.6	10.7	9.2	8.9	5.0	12.4

CDU and CSU

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	CDU	SPD	AfD	FDP	Linke	Grüne	CSU	Others	Lead
INSA	7–10 Sep 2018	2,042	21	17	17.5	9	10.5	13.5	7	4.5	3.5
INSA	31 Aug–3 Sep 2018	2,069	22.7	16	17	9.5	10	13.5	5.8	5.5	5.7
INSA	24–27 Aug 2018	2,079	23	16.5	16.5	10	10.5	13.5	5	5	6.5
INSA	16–20 Aug 2018	3,129	22	16.5	16	10	12	13.5	6	4	5.5
INSA	10–13 Aug 2018	2,034	22	17.5	17	9.5	11	12.5	7	3.5	4.5
INSA	3–6 Aug 2018	2,096	24	17	17	8.5	11	12.5	6	4	7
INSA	27–30 Jul 2018	2,074	24	18	17.5	9	10.5	12	5	4	6
Forsa	23–27 Jul 2018	2,505	27	18	14	9	9	13	5	5	9
INSA	20–23 Jul 2018	2,056	24	18	17.5	9	10.5	12	5	4	6
Forsa	16–20 Jul 2018	2,505	26	18	15	8	10	13	5	5	8
INSA	13–16 Jul 2018	2,084	23	17	17.5	9.5	10	13	6	4	5.5
Forsa	9–13 Jul 2018	2,505	26	17	16	9	9	13	5	5	9
INSA	6–9 Jul 2018	2,061	24	17	17.5	9.5	11	12	5	4	6.5
INSA	29 Jun–2 Jul 2018	2,089	23	19	16.5	9	11	12	6	3.5	4
Forsa	25–29 Jun 2018	2,508	26	17	15	10	10	12	5	5	9
INSA	22–25 Jun 2018	2,036	23	19.5	16	9	11	11	6	4.5	4
INSA	15–18 Jun 2018	2,060	23	19	16	8	12	11	6	5	4
INSA	8–11 Jun 2018	2,038	24.2	17	16	8	12	11	6.8	5	7.2
INSA	1–4 Jun 2018	2,067	27.0	17	16	8	11.5	11	5.0	4.5	10.0
INSA	25–28 May 2018	2,062	25.6	17	15.5	8	12	11.5	6.4	4	8.6
INSA	18–22 May 2018	2,044	26.9	16.5	15.5	8	11	11.5	5.6	5	10.4
INSA	11–14 May 2018	2,098	26.9	17	15.5	8	11	11.5	5.6	4.5	9.9
INSA	4–7 May 2018	2,065	25.3	17	15.5	8.5	10.5	11.5	7.2	4.5	8.3
INSA	27–30 Apr 2018	2,097	26.7	17	15.5	9	10.5	11.5	6.3	3.5	9.7
INSA	20–23 Apr 2018	2,091	26.0	18	15.5	9.5	10.5	12	5.5	3	8.0
INSA	13–16 Apr 2018	2,054	25.2	18.5	15	9	11	11.5	6.3	3.5	6.7
INSA	6–9 Apr 2018	2,048	27.0	17.5	15.5	9	12	11.5	4.5	3	9.5
INSA	29–31 Mar 2018	1,074	26.7	18	15	10	12	10	5.3	3	8.7
INSA	23–26 Mar 2018	2,051	26.9	17	15	10	12	10.5	5.6	3	9.9
INSA	16–19 Mar 2018	2,066	25.0	17.5	15	10	12	10.5	7.0	3	7.5
INSA	9–12 Mar 2018	2,033	25.9	17.5	15	9.5	12	11	6.1	3	8.4
INSA	5 Mar 2018	1,052	28.5	15	15	10	12	12	4.5	3	13.5
INSA	23–26 Feb 2018	1,063	26.8	15.5	16	9	12	12	5.7	3	10.8
INSA	16–19 Feb 2018	2,040	25.2	15.5	16	9	11	13	6.8	3.5	9.2
INSA	9–12 Feb 2018	2,608	24.1	16.5	15	10.5	11.5	13	5.4	4	7.6
INSA	2–5 Feb 2018	2,034	24.6	17	15	10	11	12.5	5.9	4	7.6
INSA	26–29 Jan 2018	2,073	26.7	17.5	14	9	11	11	6.8	4	9.2
INSA	22 Jan 2018	1,169	25.6	18	14	10	11	10	5.9	5.5	7.6
INSA	12–15 Jan 2018	2,000	25.4	18.5	14	9.5	11.5	10	6.1	5	6.9
INSA	5–8 Jan 2018	2,028	25.2	19.5	13.5	10	11	10	6.3	4.5	5.7
INSA	29 Dec 2017–2 Jan 2018	2,012	26.9	19.5	13	10	11	10	5.6	4	7.4
INSA	21–22 Dec 2017	2,203	26.9	20.5	13	10.5	10	9.5	6.1	4	6.4
INSA	15–18 Dec 2017	2,031	24.8	21	14	9	11	10	6.2	4	3.8
INSA	8–11 Dec 2017	2,013	25.6	22	13.5	9	10.5	10.5	5.4	3	3.6
INSA	1–4 Dec 2017	2,063	25.0	22	13	10	11	10	6.0	3	3.0
INSA	24–27 Nov 2017	2,003	25.2	22	13	10	10	10	6.8	3	3.2
INSA	17–19 Nov 2017	2,027	24.7	21	14	10	11.5	9.5	6.3	3	3.7
INSA	10–13 Nov 2017	2,049	25.7	20	13.5	10.5	10.5	9	6.3	4.5	5.7
INSA	3–6 Nov 2017	2,023	24.6	22	13.5	10.5	10.5	8.5	6.4	4	2.6
INSA	27–28 Oct 2017	1,024	25.7	21	13	11	10	10	5.3	4	4.7
INSA	23 Oct 2017	1,002	28.1	21	13	10	10	9	4.9	4	7.1
INSA	13–16 Oct 2017	2,011	26.7	21.5	13	10	9	9.5	5.3	5	5.2
INSA	6–9 Oct 2017	2,015	25.7	22	13	11	9	9	6.3	4	3.7
2017 federal election	24 Sep 2017	–	26.8	20.5	12.6	10.7	9.2	8.9	6.2	5.0	6.3

CDU vs. CSU

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	CDU	SPD	AfD	FDP	Linke	Grüne	CSU	Others	Lead
INSA	8–11 Jun 2018	2,038	22	17	11	6	12	10	18	4	4
2017 federal election	24 Sep 2017	–	26.8	20.5	12.6	10.7	9.2	8.9	6.2	5.0	6.3

By state

Baden-Württemberg

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	CDU	SPD	Grüne	FDP	AfD	Linke	Others	Lead
Forsa	8–22 Feb 2018	1,003	35	13	17	11	12	8	4	18
2017 federal election	24 Sep 2017	–	34.4	16.4	13.5	12.7	12.2	6.4	4.5	18.0

Bavaria

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	CSU	SPD	AfD	FDP	Grüne	Linke	FW	Others	Lead
INSA	25–27 Jun 2018	1,231	37	14	16	7	13	5	4	4	21
Forsa	21–22 Jun 2018	1,033	36	13	15	9	14	7	–	6	21
Forsa	8–22 Feb 2018	1,027	40	13	12	8	14	6	?	7	26
GMS	1–9 Feb 2018	1,510	39	14	14	8	12	5	3	5	25
GMS	27 Dec 2017–1 Jan 2018	1,007	38	15	14	9	10	5	4	5	23
INSA	12–13 Dec 2017	1,003	37	15	13	9	12	6	4	4	22
GMS	27–29 Nov 2017	1,006	36	15	14	9	11	6	4	5	21
Forsa	6–9 Nov 2017	1,017	36	15	13	11	12	6	–	7	21
2017 federal election	24 Sep 2017	–	38.8	15.3	12.4	10.2	9.8	6.1	2.7	4.8	23.5

Berlin

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	CDU	Linke	SPD	Grüne	AfD	FDP	Others	Lead
Forsa	21–30 Aug 2018	1,004	21	19	15	20	15	6	4	1
Forsa	16–26 Jul 2018	1,009	21	20	15	18	15	7	4	1
Forsa	20–28 Jun 2018	1,009	21	19	17	18	13	8	4	2
Forsa	22–31 May 2018	1,004	23	19	16	18	12	8	4	4
Forsa	17–26 Apr 2018	1,001	23	19	17	16	12	8	5	4
Forsa	19–28 Mar 2018	1,003	23	20	17	15	13	8	4	3
Forsa	12–22 Feb 2018	1,006	25	19	17	15	11	8	5	6
Forsa	15–25 Jan 2018	1,008	24	19	18	15	11	7	6	5
Forsa	12–21 Dec 2017	1,002	24	19	18	15	11	6	7	5
Forsa	13–23 Nov 2017	1,002	23	18	19	14	11	8	7	4
Forsa	17–26 Oct 2017	1,011	23	18	20	13	11	9	6	3
2017 federal election	24 Sep 2017	–	22.7	18.8	17.9	12.6	12.0	8.9	7.1	3.9

Brandenburg

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	CDU	AfD	SPD	Linke	FDP	Grüne	Others	Lead
Forsa	7–9 Nov 2017	1,002	26	20	16	19	8	6	5	6
2017 federal election	24 Sep 2017	–	26.7	20.2	17.6	17.2	7.1	5.0	6.3	6.5

Hesse

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	CDU	SPD	AfD	FDP	Grüne	Linke	Others	Lead
Forsa	8–22 Feb 2018	1,035	31	19	10	12	14	10	4	12
2017 federal election	24 Sep 2017	–	30.9	23.5	11.9	11.5	9.7	8.1	4.4	7.3

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	CDU	AfD	Linke	SPD	FDP	Grüne	Others	Lead
Forsa	24–28 Jun 2018	1,002	30	21	19	12	5	8	5	9
Forsa	2–11 Jan 2018	1,001	33	18	18	15	5	6	5	15
2017 federal election	24 Sep 2017	–	33.1	18.6	17.8	15.1	6.2	4.3	4.9	14.5

Lower Saxony

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	CDU	SPD	FDP	AfD	Grüne	Linke	Others	Lead
Forsa	8–22 Feb 2018	1,004	36	24	9	8	12	7	4	12
2017 federal election	24 Sep 2017	–	34.9	27.4	9.3	9.1	8.7	7.0	3.6	7.5

North Rhine-Westphalia

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	CDU	SPD	FDP	AfD	Grüne	Linke	Others	Lead
Forsa	8–22 Feb 2018	1,015	34	21	11	9	11	8	6	13
2017 federal election	24 Sep 2017	–	32.6	26.0	13.1	9.4	7.6	7.5	3.8	6.7

Rhineland-Palatinate

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	CDU	SPD	AfD	FDP	Grüne	Linke	Others	Lead
Infratest dimap	5–7 Mar 2018	1,001	34	23	12	9	12	7	3	11
Infratest dimap	8–12 Dec 2017	1,003	39	24	9	8	12	5	3	15
2017 federal election	24 Sep 2017	–	35.9	24.1	11.2	10.4	7.6	6.8	3.9	11.7

Preferred Chancellor

Merkel–Nahles

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Merkel CDU/CSU	Nahles SPD	Neither
Forsa	10–14 Sep 2018	2,507	46	14	40
Forsa	3–7 Sep 2018	2,507	46	13	41
Forsa	27–31 Aug 2018	2,503	47	13	40
Forsa	20–24 Aug 2018	2,502	47	13	40
Forsa	13–17 Aug 2018	2,503	47	14	39
Forsa	6–10 Aug 2018	2,505	46	14	40
Forsa	30 Jul–3 Aug 2018	2,508	48	14	38
Forsa	23–27 Jul 2018	2,505	49	14	37
Forsa	16–20 Jul 2018	2,505	48	13	39
Forsa	9–13 Jul 2018	2,505	48	12	40
Forsa	2–6 Jul 2018	2,502	46	14	40
Forsa	18–22 Jun 2018	2,503	46	15	39
Forsa	11–15 Jun 2018	2,502	46	13	41
Forsa	4–8 Jun 2018	2,504	49	14	37
Forsa	28 May–1 Jun 2018	2,506	49	13	38
Forsa	22–25 May 2018	2,002	50	12	38
Forsa	14–18 May 2018	2,502	49	13	38
Forsa	7–11 May 2018	2,004	50	13	37
Forsa	30 Apr–4 May 2018	2,003	49	13	38
Forsa	23–27 Apr 2018	2,507	49	13	38
Forsa	16–20 Apr 2018	2,503	50	13	37
Forsa	9–13 Apr 2018	2,506	51	15	34
Forsa	3–6 Apr 2018	2,005	49	15	36
Forsa	26–29 Mar 2018	2,003	51	13	36
Forsa	19–23 Mar 2018	2,502	50	13	37
Forsa	12–16 Mar 2018	2,502	50	13	37
Forsa	5–9 Mar 2018	2,507	48	12	40
Forsa	26 Feb–2 Mar 2018	2,505	48	14	38
Forsa	19–23 Feb 2018	2,506	48	14	38
Forsa	12–16 Feb 2018	2,501	47	16	37
Forsa	5–9 Feb 2018	?	46	23	31
Forsa	7–8 Feb 2018	1,003	46	23	31
Forsa	30 Oct–3 Nov 2017	2,005	58	17	25

Merkel–Scholz

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Merkel CDU/CSU	Scholz SPD	Neither
Forsa	3–7 Sep 2018	2,507	42	20	38
Forsa	27–31 Aug 2018	2,503	42	20	38
Forsa	20–24 Aug 2018	2,502	42	23	35
Forsa	13–17 Aug 2018	2,503	42	22	36
Forsa	6–10 Aug 2018	2,505	41	23	36
Forsa	23–27 Jul 2018	2,505	42	22	36
Forsa	16–20 Jul 2018	2,505	42	23	35
Forsa	2–6 Jul 2018	2,502	42	21	37
Forsa	18–22 Jun 2018	2,503	42	22	36
Forsa	11–15 Jun 2018	2,502	42	20	38
Forsa	4–8 Jun 2018	2,504	44	21	35
Forsa	28 May–1 Jun 2018	2,506	44	20	36
Forsa	22–25 May 2018	2,002	44	20	36
Forsa	14–18 May 2018	2,502	45	20	35
Forsa	7–11 May 2018	2,004	46	20	34
Forsa	30 Apr–4 May 2018	2,003	47	20	33
Forsa	23–27 Apr 2018	2,507	44	20	36
Forsa	9–13 Apr 2018	2,506	46	21	33
Forsa	3–6 Apr 2018	2,005	44	21	35
Forsa	26–29 Mar 2018	2,003	46	21	33
Forsa	19–23 Mar 2018	2,502	45	21	34
Forsa	12–16 Mar 2018	2,502	45	21	34
Forsa	5–9 Mar 2018	2,507	43	23	36
Forsa	26 Feb–2 Mar 2018	2,505	45	20	35
Forsa	5–9 Feb 2018	?	44	29	27
Forsa	7–8 Feb 2018	1,003	45	27	28

Merkel–Schulz

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Merkel CDU/CSU	Schulz SPD	Neither
Forsa	7–8 Feb 2018	1,003	44	12	44
Forsa	29 Jan–2 Feb 2018	2,507	46	14	40
Forsa	22–26 Jan 2018	2,505	47	15	38
Forsa	15–19 Jan 2018	2,501	46	18	36
Forsa	8–12 Jan 2018	2,501	46	19	35
Forsa	2–5 Jan 2018	2,503	47	18	35
Forsa	18–22 Dec 2017	2,504	47	19	34
Forsa	11–15 Dec 2017	2,501	48	21	31
Forsa	4–8 Dec 2017	2,500	49	20	31
Forsa	27 Nov–1 Dec 2017	2,502	50	19	31
Forsa	20–24 Nov 2017	2,508	51	19	30
Forsa	13–17 Nov 2017	2,505	49	20	31
Forsa	6–10 Nov 2017	2,506	50	22	28
Forsa	30 Oct–3 Nov 2017	2,005	52	22	26
Forsa	23–27 Oct 2017	2,500	49	21	30
Forsa	16–20 Oct 2017	2,503	48	21	31
Forsa	9–13 Oct 2017	2,501	48	20	32
Forsa	2–6 Oct 2017	2,001	49	21	30
Forsa	25–29 Sep 2017	2,005	49	22	29

Preferred coalition

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	CDU/CSU SPD		CDU/CSU FDP		SPD Grüne		CDU/CSU Grüne
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	11–13 Sep 2018	1,339	15		8		11		7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	28–30 Aug 2018	1,216	16		11		8		7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	7–9 Aug 2018	1,294	13		8		9		9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	9–12 Jul 2018	1,340	14		9		10		6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	25–28 Jun 2018	1,290	14		11		9		6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	5–7 Jun 2018	1,284	18		10		10		6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	15–17 May 2018	1,200	19		9		9		8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	24–26 Apr 2018	1,285	16		10		10		7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	10–12 Apr 2018	1,159	14		13		11		9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen	13–15 Mar 2018	1,214	18		13		10		5

Constituency projection

Source	Date	Union	SPD	AfD	FDP	Linke	Grüne
election.de	13 Sep 2018	213	61	17	0	5	3
INSA	11 Sep 2018	214	58	13	0	9	5
INSA	3 Sep 2018	237	38	13	0	5	6
INSA	28 Aug 2018	236	46	7	0	5	5
INSA	21 Aug 2018	235	40	8	0	10	6
election.de	16 Aug 2018	213	61	17	0	5	3
INSA	14 Aug 2018	229	57	4	0	4	5
INSA	7 Aug 2018	232	55	4	0	4	4
INSA	31 Jul 2018	218	61	9	0	8	3
INSA	24 Jul 2018	227	60	3	0	4	5
election.de	18 Jul 2018	214	60	17	0	5	3
INSA	16 Jul 2018	241	40	9	0	5	4
INSA	9 Jul 2018	236	50	4	0	5	4
INSA	2 Jul 2018	221	65	3	0	5	5
INSA	25 Jun 2018	214	67	7	0	8	3
INSA	18 Jun 2018	211	61	6	0	16	5
election.de	15 Jun 2018	229	59	4	0	5	2
INSA	11 Jun 2018	244	35	8	0	9	3
INSA	4 Jun 2018	261	29	1	0	4	4
INSA	28 May 2018	256	31	4	0	4	4
election.de	24 May 2018	240	49	4	0	4	2
election.de	23 Apr 2018	239	48	4	0	5	3
election.de	20 Mar 2018	237	51	4	0	5	2
election.de	16 Feb 2018	230	54	7	0	5	3
election.de	19 Jan 2018	240	49	2	0	5	3
2017 federal election	24 Sep 2017	231	59	3	0	5	1

By probability

Source	Date	Union			SPD			AfD			FDP	Linke			Grüne
		Safe	Likely	Lean	Safe	Likely	Lean	Safe	Likely	Lean	–	Safe	Likely	Lean	Likely	Lean
election.de	13 Sep 2018	122	28	63	5	18	38	1	2	14	0	3	1	1	1	2
election.de	16 Aug 2018	123	26	64	5	18	38	1	2	14	0	3	1	1	1	2
election.de	18 Jul 2018	142	30	42	13	16	31	3	1	13	0	4	0	1	0	3
election.de	15 Jun 2018	118	54	57	2	17	40	0	1	3	0	2	2	1	0	2
election.de	24 May 2018	130	59	51	2	12	35	0	1	3	0	2	2	0	0	2
election.de	23 Apr 2018	128	61	50	2	12	34	0	1	3	0	2	2	1	0	3
election.de	20 Mar 2018	127	59	51	2	13	36	0	1	3	0	2	2	1	0	2
election.de	16 Feb 2018	118	57	55	2	14	38	0	1	6	0	2	2	1	0	3
election.de	19 Jan 2018	128	63	49	2	12	35	0	1	1	0	2	2	1	0	3
2017 federal election	24 Sep 2017	231			59			3			0	5			1

Second place

Source	Date	Union	SPD	AfD	FDP	Linke	Grüne
election.de	13 Sep 2018	81	158	44	0	2	14
election.de	16 Aug 2018	81	159	43	0	2	14
election.de	18 Jul 2018	80	159	44	0	2	14
election.de	15 Jun 2018	67	175	40	0	7	10
election.de	24 May 2018	57	183	44	0	6	9
election.de	23 Apr 2018
election.de	20 Mar 2018	60	184	43	0	7	5
election.de	16 Feb 2018	66	169	39	0	9	16
election.de	19 Jan 2018	57	181	32	0	13	16
2017 federal election	24 Sep 2017	66	185	33	0	10	5

See also

• Opinion polling for the German federal election, 2017
• Opinion polling for the German federal election, 2013

External links

• Wahlrecht.de (in German)
• pollytix-Wahltrend (in German)
• DAWUM Wahltrend (in German)