Opinion polling for the next German federal election

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In the run-up to the next German federal election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Germany. Results of such polls are displayed in this list.

Poll results[edit]

Graphical summary[edit]

Local regression of polls conducted

2022[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke Others Lead
INSA 16–20 May 2022 1,214 21 28 19 10 10 3 9 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 17–19 May 2022 1,162 22 22 26 24 7 10 4 7 2
Kantar 11–17 May 2022 1,425 22 26 21 8 10 5 8 4
Wahlkreisprognose 15–16 May 2022 1,302 23.5 29 23 5.5 7.5 2.5 9 5.5
INSA 13–16 May 2022 2,147 21.5 28 20.5 9 11 3 7 6.5
Forsa 10–16 May 2022 2,502 23 22 27 22 8 8 4 9 5
INSA 9–13 May 2022 1,501 22 27 18 10 10 4 9 5
Infratest dimap 10–11 May 2022 1,226 22 26 20 8 11 4 9 4
YouGov 6–10 May 2022 1,659 20 28 19 9 10 5 8 8
Kantar 4–10 May 2022 1,426 22 26 20 9 10 5 8 4
Wahlkreisprognose 8–9 May 2022 1,610 24 23.5 22.5 10.5 9 3 7.5 0.5
INSA 6–9 May 2022 2,086 22.5 27.5 19 10 10.5 3.5 7 5
Forsa 3–9 May 2022 2,501 23 26 21 9 9 4 8 3
Ipsos 6 May 2022 906 24 25 16 11 11 5 8 1
INSA 2–6 May 2022 1,501 23 27 18 11 10 3 8 4
pollytix 29 Apr4 May 2022 1,303 22 26 17 12 12 5 6 4
Kantar 26 Apr3 May 2022 1,570 23 27 19 9 9 5 8 4
INSA 29 Apr2 May 2022 2,146 23 27 19 9.5 10.5 4.5 6.5 4
Forsa 26 Apr2 May 2022 2,508 23 26 20 9 9 4 9 3
INSA 25–29 Apr 2022 1,202 23 26 18 10 11 4 8 3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 26–28 Apr 2022 1,170 21 25 23 21 9 11 4 7 2
Infratest dimap 25–27 Apr 2022 1,314 24 26 18 9 11 3 9 2
Kantar 19–26 Apr 2022 1,431 23 25 20 9 9 5 9 2
INSA 22–25 Apr 2022 2,056 24 26.5 18 9 11.5 4.5 6.5 2.5
GMS 20–25 Apr 2022 1,003 26 26 18 8 9 4 9 Tie
Forsa 19–25 Apr 2022 2,507 25 24 25 20 9 9 4 9 1
Civey 8–25 Apr 2022 10,011 24 25 20 11 8 4 8 1
Wahlkreisprognose 23 Apr 2022 1,007 24.5 22.5 22 11 8.5 3 8.5 2
INSA 19–22 Apr 2022 1,296 24 26 18 9 11 5 7 2
Kantar 12–19 Apr 2022 1,715 25 25 19 9 9 4 9 Tie
INSA 15–18 Apr 2022 2,073 23.5 26 19 9 11 4.5 7 2.5
Forsa 12–14 Apr 2022 1,501 25 25 25 20 8 9 4 9 Tie
INSA 11–14 Apr 2022 1,402 25 26 17 10 10 5 7 1
Infratest dimap 11–12 Apr 2022 1,226 24 26 18 8 11 4 9 2
YouGov 8–12 Apr 2022 1,643 21 26 18 9 12 6 8 5
Kantar 6–12 Apr 2022 1,960 26 25 19 8 10 4 8 1
INSA 8–11 Apr 2022 2,061 25 27 17.5 9 11 4.5 6 2
Forsa 5–11 Apr 2022 2,500 25 27 24 19 8 9 4 9 3
INSA 4–8 Apr 2022 1,503 25 26 16 10 11 4 8 1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 5–7 Apr 2022 1,230 21 27 24 19 8 11 4 7 3
Infratest dimap 4–6 Apr 2022 1,325 24 25 19 9 11 4 8 1
Allensbach 25 Mar6 Apr 2022 1,075 28 24 17 9 9 6 7 4
Kantar 30 Mar5 Apr 2022 1,437 27 25 19 8 10 4 7 2
Wahlkreisprognose 3–4 Apr 2022 2,450 27 25.5 19 8.5 9 3 8 1.5
INSA 1–4 Apr 2022 2,063 25 26 17.5 10.5 10.5 4.5 6 1
Ipsos 1 Apr 2022 912 25 23 15 12 12 6 7 2
Forsa 29 Mar4 Apr 2022 2,508 24 27 24 19 8 9 4 9 3
INSA 25 Mar1 Apr 2022 1,501 26 26 16 10 11 4 7 Tie
Kantar 23–29 Mar 2022 1,428 25 26 18 9 9 5 8 1
INSA 25–28 Mar 2022 2,070 25 26 16.5 10 10.5 5.5 6.5 1
Forsa 22–28 Mar 2022 2,507 22 24 26 18 9 9 5 9 2
INSA 21–25 Mar 2022 1,205 26 26 16 10 11 5 6 Tie
Kantar 16–22 Mar 2022 1,429 26 25 18 9 9 6 7 1
INSA 18–21 Mar 2022 2,122 24.5 26.5 16.5 11 11 4.5 6 2
Forsa 15–21 Mar 2022 2,501 22 23 27 18 10 9 5 8 4
Allensbach 9–21 Mar 2022 1,041 25 25 17 10.5 10 5 7.5 Tie
Wahlkreisprognose 18–20 Mar 2022 1,923 26.5 25.5 18.5 10 8.5 3 8 1
INSA 14–18 Mar 2022 1,198 26 26 16 10 10 5 7 Tie
Infratest dimap 15–16 Mar 2022 1,254 25 26 17 9 11 4 8 1
Kantar 9–15 Mar 2022 1,416 26 26 19 8 9 5 7 Tie
INSA 11–14 Mar 2022 2,073 25 25.5 15.5 10.5 10.5 5 8 0.5
Forsa 8–14 Mar 2022 2,502 25 26 18 9 9 5 8 1
INSA 7–11 Mar 2022 1,201 26 24 16 10 10 6 8 2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 8–10 Mar 2022 1,345 19 27 24 18 9 10 5 7 3
YouGov 4–8 Mar 2022 1,629 23 26 16 9 11 6 8 3
Kantar 2–8 Mar 2022 1,426 25 26 19 8 10 5 7 1
INSA 4–7 Mar 2022 2,103 25 24.5 15.5 11 10.5 6 7.5 0.5
Ipsos 4 Mar 2022 935 25 24 16 11 11 6 7 1
Forsa 1–7 Mar 2022 2,501 22 26 25 18 9 7 6 9 1
INSA 28 Feb4 Mar 2022 1,185 25 25 15 11 11 6 7 Tie
Infratest dimap 28 Feb2 Mar 2022 1,320 25 26 16 9 11 5 8 1
Kantar 23 Feb1 Mar 2022 1,405 26 26 17 8 10 6 7 Tie
INSA 25–28 Feb 2022 2,067 23 27 15.5 11 10.5 6.5 6.5 4
Forsa 24–28 Feb 2022 1,500 25 26 18 9 7 6 9 1
Wahlkreisprognose 24–27 Feb 2022 2,030 26 23.5 17.5 11.5 10.5 4 7 2.5
GMS 23–26 Feb 2022 1,005 24 27 15 10 9 6 9 3
INSA 21–25 Feb 2022 1,405 23 26 15 11 12 7 6 3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 21–23 Feb 2022 1,103 20 26 24 17 9 11 6 7 2
Kantar 16–22 Feb 2022 1,432 26 25 17 9 10 7 6 1
INSA 18–21 Feb 2022 1,539 23 27 14.5 12.5 11 6 6 4
Forsa 15–21 Feb 2022 2,500 23 23 27 17 9 9 6 9 4
INSA 14–18 Feb 2022 1,303 22 27 15 11 12 7 6 5
Infratest dimap 15–16 Feb 2022 1,202 24 26 15 9 12 5 9 2
Allensbach 3–16 Feb 2022 1,033 23 27 15 10.5 10 6 6.5 4
Wahlkreisprognose 13–15 Feb 2022 1,200 25 24.5 17 9.5 9.5 6 8.5 0.5
YouGov 10–15 Feb 2022 1,659 21 27 17 9 11 7 7 6
Kantar 8–15 Feb 2022 1,434 24 24 16 10 12 6 8 Tie
INSA 11–14 Feb 2022 2,141 22.5 26 15 12 12 6 6.5 3.5
Forsa 8–14 Feb 2022 2,504 22 23 27 16 9 9 6 10 4
INSA 7–11 Feb 2022 1,504 22 26 16 11 12 6 7 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 8–10 Feb 2022 1,224 18 25 25 16 9 11 6 8 Tie
pollytix 4–8 Feb 2022 1,547 23 27 15 9 12 8 6 4
Kantar 1–8 Feb 2022 1,287 22 26 16 10 12 6 8 4
INSA 4–7 Feb 2022 2,067 23 26 15 12 11 7 6 3
Ipsos 4 Feb 2022 910 25 24 16 8 12 8 7 1
Forsa 1–7 Feb 2022 2,502 23 22 27 16 9 10 6 10 5
INSA 1–4 Feb 2022 1,202 22 27 16 11 11 6 7 5
Wahlkreisprognose 1–3 Feb 2022 2,330 21 28 19 8.5 10 5.5 8 7
Civey 22 Jan3 Feb 2022 10,070 25 25 15 10 11 6 8 Tie
Infratest dimap 31 Jan2 Feb 2022 1,339 22 27 16 10 12 5 8 5
Kantar 26 Jan1 Feb 2022 1,410 24 24 17 9 11 6 9 Tie
INSA 28–31 Jan 2022 2,247 24 25 15 12.5 10 6.5 7 1
Forsa 25–31 Jan 2022 2,501 23 23 27 16 9 10 6 9 4
INSA 24–28 Jan 2022 1,383 26 24 16 11 11 6 6 2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 25–27 Jan 2022 1,249 21 24 23 18 10 10 7 8 1
YouGov 21–25 Jan 2022 1,602 23 26 15 8 12 8 9 3
Kantar 19–25 Jan 2022 1,415 24 24 18 10 10 6 8 Tie
INSA 21–24 Jan 2022 2,146 26 24 15 11.5 11 6 6.5 2
Forsa 18–24 Jan 2022 2,502 22 25 24 16 10 10 6 9 1
INSA 17–21 Jan 2022 1,204 26 23 16 12 12 6 5 3
Allensbach 6–20 Jan 2022 1,090 27.5 23 14.5 12.5 10 5.5 7 4.5
Infratest dimap 18–19 Jan 2022 1,424 25 24 16 10 12 5 8 1
Wahlkreisprognose 15–18 Jan 2022 1,920 27.5 22.5 17 10.5 10 4.5 8 5
Kantar 12–18 Jan 2022 1,441 26 22 17 9 12 6 8 4
INSA 14–17 Jan 2022 2,130 26 22.5 15.5 12 12 6 6 3.5
Forsa 11–17 Jan 2022 2,504 22 25 25 16 10 10 5 9 Tie
INSA 10–14 Jan 2022 1,504 27 23 16 11 12 5 6 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 11–13 Jan 2022 1,128 21 27 22 16 11 10 6 8 5
Kantar 5–11 Jan 2022 1,426 26 23 17 10 10 6 8 3
INSA 7–10 Jan 2022 2,107 26.5 23 15 12 12 5 6.5 3.5
Forsa 3–10 Jan 2022 3,003 22 25 25 17 10 9 5 9 Tie
Ipsos 6–9 Jan 2022 929 25 21 15 11 12 6 10 4
INSA 3–7 Jan 2022 1,504 27 23 16 12 11 5 6 4
Infratest dimap 3–5 Jan 2022 1,325 26 23 16 11 11 5 8 3
INSA 30 Dec3 Jan 2022 2,060 26.5 23 15.5 11 11.5 6 6.5 3.5
GMS 29 Dec3 Jan 2022 1,003 26 24 16 12 11 4 7 2
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 23.4 25.7 24.1 14.8 11.5 10.3 4.9 8.7 1.6

2021[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. SPD Union Grüne FDP AfD Linke Others Lead
INSA 27–30 Dec 2021 1,201 27 24 16 10 11 5 7 3
INSA 20–23 Dec 2021 1,195 28 23 15 11 11 5 7 5
INSA 17–20 Dec 2021 2,075 27.5 21.5 14.5 13 11.5 5.5 6.5 6
Forsa 14–20 Dec 2021 2,501 26 24 16 10 9 5 10 2
Wahlkreisprognose 18–19 Dec 2021 1,120 30 21.5 14.5 11.5 10 4 8,5 8.5
INSA 13–18 Dec 2021 1,501 27 23 14 12 12 5 7 4
Kantar 14–16 Dec 2021 1,436 27 22 16 11 11 5 8 5
Allensbach 1–15 Dec 2021 1,069 26 24 15 13 10.5 5 6.5 2
YouGov 10–14 Dec 2021 1,715 27 23 16 10 11 6 8 4
Kantar 8–14 Dec 2021 1,440 27 22 16 11 10 5 9 5
INSA 10–13 Dec 2021 2,221 27 22 14.5 13 11.5 5.5 6.5 5
Forsa 7–13 Dec 2021 2,509 26 23 15 11 10 5 10 3
INSA 6–10 Dec 2021 1,480 26 22 15 13 11 5 8 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 7–9 Dec 2021 1,303 21 28 21 17 12 10 5 7 7
Infratest dimap 7–8 Dec 2021 1,266 26 23 16 12 11 5 7 3
Civey 1–8 Dec 2021 10,043 27 23 15 11 11 5 8 4
Kantar 1–7 Dec 2021 1,439 28 21 15 11 11 5 9 7
INSA 3–6 Dec 2021 2,119 26 22 15 13.5 11.5 5.5 6.5 4
Wahlkreisprognose 1–6 Dec 2021 1,002 29 18 16.5 13.5 11 4 8 11
Forsa 30 Nov6 Dec 2021 2,503 25 22 17 11 10 5 10 3
INSA 29 Nov3 Dec 2021 1,348 26 21 15 13 12 5 8 5
Infratest dimap 29 Nov1 Dec 2021 1,316 25 23 17 12 11 5 7 2
Civey 24 Nov1 Dec 2021 10,078 26 24 15 11 11 5 8 2
Kantar 24–30 Nov 2021 1,425 27 20 16 12 11 6 8 7
INSA 26–29 Nov 2021 2,129 25 21 16 14 11 5.5 7.5 4
Forsa 23–29 Nov 2021 2,509 24 22 17 12 10 5 10 2
INSA 22–26 Nov 2021 1,403 26 21 15 13 12 6 7 5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 23–25 Nov 2021 1,344 19 28 19 17 13 11 5 7 9
Infratest dimap 23–24 Nov 2021 1,239 25 21 17 13 11 5 8 4
Wahlkreisprognose 22–24 Nov 2021 1,002 27 22.5 15.5 11.5 10 5 8.5 4.5
Civey 17–24 Nov 2021 10,064 25 24 15 11 11 5 9 1
YouGov 19–23 Nov 2021 1,797 25 23 16 11 12 6 7 2
Kantar 17–23 Nov 2021 1,424 24 22 18 11 11 6 8 2
INSA 19–22 Nov 2021 2,096 26 22 14 14 11 5.5 7.5 4
Forsa 16–22 Nov 2021 2,501 21 24 22 17 12 10 5 10 2
INSA 15–19 Nov 2021 1,501 26 21 15 13 12 5 8 5
Civey 10–17 Nov 2021 10,077 26 23 15 12 11 5 8 3
Kantar 10–16 Nov 2021 1,433 24 21 18 12 11 6 8 3
INSA 12–15 Nov 2021 2,091 27 21 15 13 11.5 5.5 7 6
Forsa 9–15 Nov 2021 2,510 21 24 22 17 12 10 5 10 2
INSA 8–12 Nov 2021 1,202 26 22 15 13 11 5 8 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 9–11 Nov 2021 1,257 16 28 20 16 13 11 5 7 8
Allensbach 29 Oct11 Nov 2021 1,016 27 23 15 14 9.5 5.5 6 4
Civey 3–10 Nov 2021 9,999 26 22 15 13 11 5 8 4
Kantar 3–9 Nov 2021 1,424 25 21 16 14 10 6 8 4
INSA 5–8 Nov 2021 2,112 26.5 20.5 16 13.5 10.5 5.5 7.7 6
Forsa 2–8 Nov 2021 2,502 25 22 16 14 9 5 9 3
INSA 1–5 Nov 2021 1,212 27 21 15 14 11 5 7 6
Wahlkreisprognose 31 Oct5 Nov 2021 1,200 28 20.5 15.5 14 10.5 4 7.5 7.5
GMS 1–4 Nov 2021 1,005 26 21 16 15 10 4 8 5
Infratest dimap 2–3 Nov 2021 1,329 27 21 16 13 10 5 8 6
Civey 27 Oct3 Nov 2021 10,069 26 22 15 13 11 5 8 4
Kantar 27 Oct2 Nov 2021 1,417 25 22 16 13 10 5 9 3
INSA 29 Oct1 Nov 2021 2,140 27 20 16 13.5 11.5 5 7 7
Forsa 26 Oct1 Nov 2021 2,501 25 21 16 15 9 5 9 4
INSA 25–29 Oct 2021 1,503 27 21 16 13 11 5 7 6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 26–28 Oct 2021 1,208 15 27 20 16 14 11 5 7 7
Infratest dimap 26–27 Oct 2021 1,239 26 22 16 13 10 4 9 4
Civey 20–27 Oct 2021 10,050 25 21 15 14 12 5 8 4
Kantar 19–26 Oct 2021 1,422 25 21 17 14 11 5 7 4
INSA 22–25 Oct 2021 2,105 28 20 16 14 11 5 6 8
Forsa 19–25 Oct 2021 2,510 25 20 17 16 9 5 8 5
INSA 18–22 Oct 2021 1,205 27 20 17 14 11 4 7 7
Civey 13–20 Oct 2021 10,028 25 20 15 15 11 6 8 5
Kantar 13–19 Oct 2021 1,424 25 21 16 13 11 5 9 4
INSA 15–18 Oct 2021 2,140 28 18.5 16 15 11.5 5 6 9.5
Forsa 12–18 Oct 2021 2,502 26 20 16 15 9 5 9 6
INSA 11–15 Oct 2021 1,195 28 19 16 13 11 4 9 9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 12–14 Oct 2021 1,329 14 28 19 17 13 11 5 7 9
Allensbach 1–14 Oct 2021 1,045 28 21 15 14 9.5 5 7.5 7
Civey 6–13 Oct 2021 9,999 26 20 14 15 11 6 8 6
Kantar 6–12 Oct 2021 1,410 26 19 17 14 10 5 9 7
INSA 8–11 Oct 2021 2,101 28.5 19.5 16 14.5 11 4 6.5 9
Wahlkreisprognose 7–10 Oct 2021 1,210 27 19 17.5 14 10 4 8.5 8
Forsa 5–11 Oct 2021 2,503 26 20 16 14 9 5 10 6
INSA 4–8 Oct 2021 1,509 28 20 15 14 10 5 8 8
Civey 29 Sep6 Oct 2021 10,009 28 19 15 14 11 6 7 9
Kantar 28 Sep5 Oct 2021 1,985 26 20 17 13 10 5 9 6
INSA 1–4 Oct 2021 2,000 28 21 15.5 13.5 10 4.5 7.5 7
Forsa 27 Sep4 Oct 2021 3,004 26 20 16 14 9 5 10 6
INSA 27 Sep1 Oct 2021 1,254 28 21 16 12 10 5 8 7
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 28–30 Sep 2021 1,249 15 28 20 16 13 10 5 8 8
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 23.4 25.7 24.1 14.8 11.5 10.3 4.9 8.7 1.6

CDU and CSU[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPD CDU Grüne FDP AfD CSU Linke Others Lead
INSA 13–16 May 2022 2,147 21.5 23 20.5 9 11 5 3 7 1.5
INSA 6–9 May 2022 2,086 22.5 21 19 10 10.5 6.5 3.5 7 1.5
INSA 29 Apr2 May 2022 2,146 23 21 19 9,5 10.5 6 4.5 6.5 2
INSA 22–25 Apr 2022 2,056 24 20 18 9 11.5 6.5 4.5 6.5 4
INSA 15–18 Apr 2022 2,073 23.5 20 19 9 11 6 4.5 7 3.5
INSA 8–11 Apr 2022 2,061 25 20 17.5 9 11 7 4.5 6 5
INSA 1–4 Apr 2022 2,063 25 21 17.5 10.5 10.5 5 4.5 6 4
INSA 25–28 Mar 2022 2,070 25 21 16.5 10 10.5 5 5.5 6.5 4
INSA 18–21 Mar 2022 2,122 24.5 20.5 16.5 11 11 6 4.5 6 4
INSA 11–14 Mar 2022 2,073 25 19.5 15.5 10.5 10.5 6 5 8 5.5
INSA 4–7 Mar 2022 2,103 25 19 15.5 11 10.5 5.5 6 7.5 6
INSA 18–21 Feb 2022 1,539 23 22 14.5 12.5 11 5 6 6 1
INSA 11–14 Feb 2022 2,141 22.5 21 15 12 12 5 6 6.5 1.5
INSA 4–7 Feb 2022 2,067 23 20 15 12 11 6 7 6 3
INSA 28–31 Jan 2022 2,147 24 20 15 12.5 10 5 6.5 7 4
INSA 21–24 Jan 2022 2,146 26 19 15 11.5 11 5 6 6.5 7
INSA 14–17 Jan 2022 2,130 26 17 15.5 12 12 5.5 6 6.5 9
INSA 7–10 Jan 2022 2,107 26.5 18 15 12 12 5 5 6.5 8.5
INSA 31 Dec3 Jan 2022 2,060 26.5 17 15.5 11 11.5 6 6 6.5 9.5
INSA 17–20 Dec 2021 2,075 27.5 17 14.5 13 11.5 4.5 5.5 6.5 10.5
INSA 10–13 Dec 2021 2,221 27 17 14.5 13 11.5 5 5.5 6.5 10
INSA 3–6 Dec 2021 2,119 26 17 15 13.5 11.5 5 5.5 6.5 9
INSA 26–29 Nov 2021 2,129 25 17 16 14 11 4 5.5 7.5 8
INSA 19–22 Nov 2021 2,096 26 18 14 14 11 4 5.5 7.5 8
INSA 12–15 Nov 2021 2,091 27 16.5 15 13 11.5 4.5 5.5 7 10.5
INSA 5–8 Nov 2021 2,112 26.5 16.5 16 13.5 10.5 4 5.5 7.5 10
INSA 22–25 Oct 2021 2,105 28 16 16 14 11 4 5 6 12
INSA 15–18 Oct 2021 2,140 28 13.5 16 15 11.5 5 5 6 12
INSA 8–11 Oct 2021 2,101 28.5 14 16 14.5 11 5.5 4 6.5 12.5
INSA 1–4 Oct 2021 2,000 28 15 15.5 13.5 10 6 4.5 7.5 12.5
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 25.7 18.9 14.8 11.5 10.3 5.2 4.9 8.7 6.8

By state[edit]

Brandenburg[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPD AfD CDU FDP Grüne Linke Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 9–17 May 2022 1,001 35.5 16.5 15.5 4 14 5.5 9 19
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 29.5 18.1 15.3 9.3 9.0 8.5 10.3 11.4

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPD AfD CDU Linke FDP Grüne Others Lead
Forsa 14–18 Mar 2022 1,001 29 16 21 10 6 9 9 8
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 29.1 18.0 17.4 11.1 8.2 7.8 8.4 11.1

North Rhine-Westphalia[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPD CDU Grüne FDP AfD Linke Others Lead
Forsa 16 Feb 2022 1,008 25 30 25 6 6 2 6 5
Forsa 26 Jan2 Feb 2022 2,006 28 25 18 10 8 4 7 3
Forsa 26 Nov7 Dec 2021 2,009 29 23 18 12 7 4 7 6
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 29.1 26.0 16.1 11.4 7.3 3.7 6.5 3.1

Rhineland-Palatinate[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPD CDU Grüne FDP AfD Linke Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 11–18 May 2022 1,042 30 30.5 19 5 5 1.5 9 0.5
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 29.4 24.7 12.6 11.7 9.2 3.3 9.2 4.7

Saxony-Anhalt[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPD CDU AfD Linke FDP Grüne Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 13–21 Feb 2022 1,005 21.5 21.5 19.5 13 7.5 7.5 9.5 Tie
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 25.4 21.0 19.6 9.6 9.5 6.5 8.4 4.4

Schleswig-Holstein[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPD CDU Grüne FDP AfD Linke Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 10–19 Feb 2022 2,000 28 22.5 22 10 6 4.5 7 5.5
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 28.0 22.0 18.3 12.5 6.8 3.6 8.7 6.0

Thuringia[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
AfD SPD CDU Linke FDP Grüne Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 3–4 Apr 2022 994 22.5 27 18 8 6 8.5 10 4.5
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 24.0 23.4 16.9 11.4 9.0 6.5 8.7 0.6

Chancellor polling[edit]

These polls were conducted before the announcement of each party's Chancellor candidate, and gauged opinion on various politicians who were considered to be plausible candidates for their respective parties.

Graph of opinion polls conducted

Scholz vs. Merz[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Scholz
SPD
Merz
Union
Neither
INSA 20 May 2022 1,003 26 15 51
Wahlkreisprognose 15–16 May 2022 1,302 42 26 32
Forsa 10–16 May 2022 2,502 42 19 39
Wahlkreisprognose 8–9 May 2022 1,610 46 26 28
Forsa 3–9 May 2022 2,501 42 18 40
Forsa 26 Apr2 May 2022 2,508 43 19 38
Forsa 19–25 Apr 2022 2,507 42 18 40
Wahlkreisprognose 23 Apr 2022 1,007 45 16 39
Forsa 12–14 Apr 2022 1,501 43 18 39
Forsa 5–11 Apr 2022 2,500 42 18 40
Wahlkreisprognose 3–4 Apr 2022 2,450 51 17 32
Forsa 29 Mar4 Apr 2022 2,508 43 18 39
Forsa 22–28 Mar 2022 2,507 42 20 38
Forsa 15–21 Mar 2022 2,501 44 20 36
Wahlkreisprognose 18–20 Mar 2022 3,923 51.5 21.5 27
Forsa 8–14 Mar 2022 2,502 46 19 35
Forsa 1–7 Mar 2022 2,501 48 19 33
Forsa 24–28 Feb 2022 1,500 45 20 35
Wahlkreisprognose 24–27 Feb 2022 2,030 49 19 32
Forsa 15–21 Feb 2022 2,500 42 20 38
Wahlkreisprognose 13–15 Feb 2022 1,220 43 25 32
Forsa 8–14 Feb 2022 2,504 40 21 39
Forsa 1–7 Feb 2022 2,502 40 22 38
Wahlkreisprognose 2–3 Feb 2022 2,330 42 31 27
Forsa 25–31 Jan 2022 2,501 43 21 36
Forsa 18–24 Jan 2022 2,502 48 19 33
Forsa 11–17 Jan 2022 2,504 48 17 35
Wahlkreisprognose 11–12 Jan 2022 1,030 54 19 27
Forsa 3–10 Jan 2022 3,003 49 18 33
Forsa 14–20 Dec 2021 2,501 50 18 32
Wahlkreisprognose 18–19 Dec 2021 1,120 55 20 25
Forsa 23–29 Nov 2021 2,509 45 18 37
Forsa 16–22 Nov 2021 2,501 45 19 36
Forsa 9–15 Nov 2021 2,510 46 19 35
Wahlkreisprognose 11–12 Nov 2021 1,004 44 21 35
Forsa 2–8 Nov 2021 2,502 52 17 31

Scholz vs. Söder[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Scholz
SPD
Söder
Union
Neither
INSA 20 May 2022 1,003 32 29 35
Wahlkreisprognose 18–19 Dec 2021 1,120 49 28 23
Forsa 2–8 Nov 2021 2,502 39 33 28
Forsa 5–11 Oct 2021 2,503 37 33 30

Scholz vs. Wüst[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Scholz
SPD
Wüst
Union
Neither
INSA 20 May 2022 1,003 32 14 44

Scholz vs. Günther[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Scholz
SPD
Günther
Union
Neither
INSA 20 May 2022 1,003 32 12 43

Scholz vs. Merz vs. Habeck[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Scholz
SPD
Merz
Union
Habeck
The Greens
Neither
Wahlkreisprognose 15–16 May 2022 1,302 37 21 25 17
Wahlkreisprognose 8–9 May 2022 1,610 38 21 24 17

Scholz vs. Merz vs. Baerbock[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Scholz
SPD
Merz
Union
Baerbock
The Greens
Neither
Wahlkreisprognose 8–9 May 2022 1,610 38 20 23 19
Wahlkreisprognose 23 Apr 2022 1,007 37 13 24 26

Scholz vs. Röttgen[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Scholz
SPD
Röttgen
Union
Neither
Forsa 23–29 Nov 2021 2,509 45 19 36
Forsa 16–22 Nov 2021 2,501 45 20 35
Forsa 9–15 Nov 2021 2,510 45 21 34
Wahlkreisprognose 11–12 Nov 2021 1,004 41 20 39
Forsa 2–8 Nov 2021 2,502 51 20 29

Scholz vs. Braun[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Scholz
SPD
Braun
Union
Neither
Forsa 23–29 Nov 2021 2,509 50 11 39
Forsa 16–22 Nov 2021 2,501 50 12 38
Wahlkreisprognose 11–12 Nov 2021 1,004 42 22 36

Scholz vs. Laschet[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Scholz
SPD
Laschet
Union
Neither
YouGov 19–23 Nov 2021 2,167 46 6 48
Forsa 26 Oct1 Nov 2021 2,501 50 8 42
Forsa 19–25 Oct 2021 2,510 52 8 40
Forsa 12–18 Oct 2021 2,502 53 8 39
Forsa 5–11 Oct 2021 2,503 52 8 40
Forsa 27 Sep4 Oct 2021 3,004 52 9 39
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 28–30 Sep 2021 1,249 76 13 11
Infratest dimap 27 Sep 2021 1,084 62 16 22
Forsa 27 Sep 2021 1,006 56 11 33
YouGov 26 Sep 2021 1,596 43 13 43

Scholz vs. Kretschmer[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Scholz
SPD
Kretschmer
Union
Neither
Wahlkreisprognose 11–12 Nov 2021 1,004 41 19.5 39.5

Preferred coalition[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPD
Grüne
Union
FDP
SPD
Grüne
FDP
SPD
Union
Union
Grüne
SPD
Grüne
Linke
SPD
FDP
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 26–28 Apr 2022 1,170 21 10 10 10 7 4 2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 5–7 Apr 2022 1,230 23 8 9 14 7 4 2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 8–10 Mar 2022 1,345 18 11 12 15 5 3 4
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 21–23 Feb 2022 1,103 17 11 9 12 5 5 3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 8–10 Feb 2022 1,224 16 13 11 15 5 4 2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 25–27 Jan 2022 1,249 16 11 11 9 6 4 3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 11–13 Jan 2022 1,128 16 11 12 10 4 5 5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 7–9 Dec 2021 1,303 16 10 12 10 6 4 4

Constituency projections[edit]

Direct mandates[edit]

Graphic of possible distribution of direct mandates
Polling firm Release date Union SPD Grüne AfD Linke FDP
election.de 20 May 2022 157 97 31 12 2 0
Wahlkreisprognose 16 May 2022 162 89 34 13 1 0
INSA 16 May 2022 202 46 40 10 1 0
Wahlkreisprognose 9 May 2022 138 100 45 15 1 0
INSA 9 May 2022 209 52 33 3 2 0
election.de 6 May 2022 145 110 28 13 3 0
INSA 2 May 2022 199 62 35 1 2 0
INSA 25 Apr 2022 182 77 30 8 2 0
Wahlkreisprognose 24 Apr 2022 121 128 36 13 1 0
election.de 22 Apr 2022 144 115 24 13 3 0
INSA 19 Apr 2022 182 74 37 4 2 0
INSA 11 Apr 2022 179 83 27 8 2 0
election.de 8 Apr 2022 144 116 23 13 3 0
Wahlkreisprognose 5 Apr 2022 128 134 25 11 1 0
INSA 4 Apr 2022 184 86 27 1 1 0
INSA 28 Mar 2022 165 93 22 16 3 0
election.de 25 Mar 2022 161 104 19 12 3 0
INSA 21 Mar 2022 192 74 27 3 3 0
Wahlkreisprognose 21 Mar 2022 132 133 23 10 1 0
election.de 11 Mar 2022 150 115 19 12 3 0
Wahlkreisprognose 27 Feb 2022 128 131 22 16 2 0
election.de 25 Feb 2022 159 103 18 16 3 0
INSA 21 Feb 2022 213 66 16 2 2 0
Wahlkreisprognose 15 Feb 2022 143 117 20 16 3 0
INSA 14 Feb 2022 203 71 20 3 2 0
election.de 11 Feb 2022 158 103 18 17 3 0
INSA 7 Feb 2022 196 81 19 1 2 0
Wahlkreisprognose 3 Feb 2022 195 63 28 10 3 0
INSA 31 Jan 2022 178 100 18 0 3 0
election.de 28 Jan 2022 133 121 20 21 4 0
INSA 24 Jan 2022 146 129 19 2 3 0
Wahlkreisprognose 18 Jan 2022 124 139 17 16 3 0
INSA 17 Jan 2022 125 140 23 9 2 0
election.de 14 Jan 2022 129 129 19 19 3 0
INSA 10 Jan 2022 128 142 19 8 2 0
INSA 3 Jan 2022 118 137 19 23 2 0
election.de 31 Dec 2021 111 148 20 17 3 0
INSA 20 Dec 2021 108 160 17 11 3 0
Wahlkreisprognose 19 Dec 2021 102 167 12 15 3 0
election.de 17 Dec 2021 109 149 20 18 3 0
INSA 13 Dec 2021 114 153 17 12 3 0
Wahlkreisprognose 6 Dec 2021 75 176 24 21 3 0
INSA 6 Dec 2021 118 145 20 13 3 0
election.de 3 Dec 2021 111 143 22 19 4 0
INSA 29 Nov 2021 112 140 27 13 7 0
Wahlkreisprognose 24 Nov 2021 123 140 16 17 3 0
INSA 22 Nov 2021 122 147 15 12 3 0
election.de 19 Nov 2021 103 153 20 19 4 0
INSA 15 Nov 2021 99 160 20 17 2 0
INSA 8 Nov 2021 110 158 23 5 3 0
Wahlkreisprognose 7 Nov 2021 125 137 16 18 3 0
election.de 5 Nov 2021 101 156 20 18 4 0
INSA 25 Oct 2021 84 176 21 14 3 1
election.de 22 Oct 2021 101 154 20 20 4 0
Wahlkreisprognose 10 Oct 2021 113 145 20 18 3 0
election.de 8 Oct 2021 108 148 20 19 4 0
INSA 4 Oct 2021 94 163 21 19 2 0
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 143 121 16 16 3 0

By probability[edit]

Polling firm Release date Union SPD Grüne AfD Linke
Safe Likely Lean Safe Likely Lean Safe Likely Lean Safe Likely Lean Safe Likely Lean
election.de 6 May 2022 44 52 49 15 44 51 2 10 16 0 5 8 1 0 2
election.de 22 Apr 2022 46 51 47 15 46 54 2 9 13 0 6 7 1 1 1
election.de 8 Apr 2022 46 51 47 16 43 57 2 8 13 0 6 7 1 0 2
election.de 25 Mar 2022 51 51 59 12 46 46 2 4 13 0 5 7 1 1 1
election.de 11 Mar 2022 48 51 51 15 44 56 2 4 13 0 4 8 1 1 1
election.de 25 Feb 2022 53 50 56 12 42 49 2 3 13 0 7 9 1 1 1
election.de 11 Feb 2022 49 51 58 12 44 47 2 3 13 0 7 10 1 1 1
election.de 28 Jan 2022 41 50 42 22 42 57 2 6 12 0 9 12 1 1 2
election.de 14 Jan 2022 37 50 42 27 44 58 2 5 12 0 9 10 1 1 1
election.de 31 Dec 2021 30 41 40 31 57 60 2 5 13 1 7 9 1 0 2
election.de 17 Dec 2021 30 41 38 33 58 58 2 5 13 1 7 10 1 1 1
election.de 3 Dec 2021 27 42 42 28 55 60 2 8 12 1 10 8 1 1 2
election.de 19 Nov 2021 26 39 38 35 55 63 2 5 13 1 8 10 1 1 2
election.de 5 Nov 2021 25 35 41 40 57 59 2 6 12 1 9 8 1 0 3
election.de 22 Oct 2021 26 35 40 39 54 61 2 5 13 1 10 9 1 1 2
election.de 8 Oct 2021 28 42 38 30 59 59 2 5 13 1 9 9 1 1 2
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 143 121 16 16 3

Second place[edit]

Polling firm Release date SPD Union Grüne AfD Linke FDP FW
election.de 6 May 2022 127 114 43 13 2 0 0
election.de 22 Apr 2022 127 113 42 13 4 0 0
election.de 8 Apr 2022 127 114 42 13 3 0 0
election.de 25 Mar 2022 135 102 42 15 4 1 0
election.de 11 Mar 2022 130 112 41 12 4 0 0
election.de 25 Feb 2022 135 109 35 15 4 0 0
election.de 11 Feb 2022 137 103 38 16 4 0 0
election.de 28 Jan 2022 122 120 40 13 4 0 0
election.de 14 Jan 2022 120 125 36 13 4 1 0
election.de 31 Dec 2021 111 135 35 12 4 2 0
election.de 17 Dec 2021 110 135 34 14 4 2 0
election.de 3 Dec 2021 104 126 46 17 4 2 0
election.de 19 Nov 2021 104 133 41 15 4 2 0
election.de 5 Nov 2021 108 128 41 17 3 2 0
election.de 22 Oct 2021 103 130 40 19 5 2 0
election.de 8 Oct 2021 107 129 39 18 4 2 0
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 129 115 33 14 4 2 2

References[edit]

External links[edit]