Opinion polling for the next Israeli legislative election

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In the run up to the next Israeli legislative election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Israel. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous legislative election, held on 17 March 2015, to the present day. The next legislative election must be held on 5 November 2019, though it may be held earlier if the government chooses to hold early elections.[1]

Seat projections[edit]

Parties[edit]

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest figure in each survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. Israeli polls do not take the electoral threshold (currently 3.25%) into account in a uniform fashion. Some polls report the number of seats each party would win purely according to the percentages, as though there were no threshold; others eliminate parties that poll below the threshold and distribute the 120 available Knesset seats only among those who pass it. As a result, parties that poll at or near the threshold can show[2] inconsistent results, bouncing between 0 and the minimum 3 or 4 seats. Polls may not add up to 120 seats due to rounding or omitted parties that drop out or do not poll consistently.

Date Poll Likud
 
Zionist
Union
Joint
List
Yesh
Atid
Kulanu
 
Jewish
Home
Shas
 
Yisrael
Beiteinu
UTJ
 
Meretz
 
Orly
Levy
Lead
2015 election results 30 24 13 11 10 8 7 6 6 5 6
2018
30 Jul Panels Politics/Walla News[3] 33 12 11 19 6 10 4 6 8 5 6 14
24 Jul Midgam/News Company[4] 32 17 11 19 7 8 5 5 5 6 5 11
12 Jul Maagar Mochot/Makor Rishon[5] 33 11 11 20 9 10 5 5 5 5 6 13
8 Jul Panels Politics/Walla News[6][7] 35 11 12 20 8 10 4 5 5 5 5 18
25 Jun Midgam/News Company[8] 32 15 12 18 8 8 5 5 7 5 5 14
8 Jun Panel HaMidgam Project/Statnet/Ten News[9] 31 15 12 18 8 11 5 5 5 5 5 13
3 Jun Panels Politics/Walla News[10] 34 13 11 16 7 10 5 5 8 5 5 18
1 Jun Smith/Maariv[11] 34 13 12 17 7 9 5 8 5 5 5 17
11 May Panels/Maariv[12] 36 12 12 20 7 9 4 5 5 5 5 19
9 May Geocartography[fn 1] 42 10 18 8 5 9 24
9 May Midgam/News Company[14] 35 14 11 21 6 8 5 5 5 5 5 17
1 May Smith/Channel 20[15] 32 14 12 20 9 10 4 5 5 5 4 13
29 Apr Panels Politics/Walla News[16] 32 13 12 19 8 12 5 5 5 5 4 10
26 Apr Geocartography/Israel Hayom[17] 34 11 11 22 6 9 4 4 9 5 5 14
23 Apr Midgam/News Company[18] 30 17 12 21 6 10 4 5 5 5 5 8
15 Apr Panel Politics/Knesset Channel[19] 31 12 11 20 9 12 5 5 5 5 5 9
3 Apr Panel HaMidgam Project/Statnet/Ten News[20] 32 14 13 21 7 10 4 5 5 5 4 11
29 Mar Smith/Channel 20[21] 32 15 12 19 7 10 5 5 5 5 5 11
22 Mar Meretz leadership primary concludes with Tamar Zandberg's victory[22]
16 Mar Geocartography/Israel Hayom[23] 39 12 10 22 5 8 0 5 9 5 5 19
12 Mar Panel HaMidgam Project/Statnet/Ten News[24] 32 15 13 24 7 10 5 5 5 5 6
12 Mar Midgam/News Company[25] 30 15 12 22 7 10 4 4 6 5 5 9
11 Mar Former defense minister Moshe Ya'alon announces his intention to form a new party and run in the next election[26]
8 Mar Panels Politics/Walla News[27] 30 14 10 25 7 10 4 7 5 8 6
8 Mar Maagar Mochot/Israel Hayom[28] 34 12 10 24 6 14 2 5 8 5 10
6 Mar Independent MK Orly Levy announces her intention to form a new party and run in the next election[29]
4 Mar Panel HaMidgam Project/Statnet/Ten News[30] 29 15 12 24 8 10 5 7 5 5 5
1 Mar Panels Politics/Walla News[31] 31 16 10 23 8 10 4 5 8 5 6
28 Feb Geocartography/Israel Hayom[32] 36 11 10 24 5 10 4 5 10 5 13
21–22 Feb Midgam/News Company[33] 29 16 11 24 7 9 5 7 7 5 4
21 Feb Panel HaMidgam Project/Statnet/Ten News[34] 28 17 12 23 8 10 5 7 5 5 4
19 Feb Geocartography/Israel Hayom[35] 34 14 11 20 8 14 0 5 9 5 14
14 Feb Maariv[36] 28 16 11 24 7 10 5 7 7 5 6
14 Feb Panel HaMidgam Project/Ten News[37] 29 18 11 25 5 10 5 5 7 5 2
14 Feb Midgam/News Company[38] 29 17 11 22 9 10 5 5 7 5 4
1 Feb Geocartography[39] 30 14 8 24 7 12 5 8 7 5 6
21 Jan Panels Politics/Walla News[40] 24 18 11 25 8 13 4 5 8 5 1
12 Jan Maariv[41] 22 17 11 27 9 13 4 5 8 5 5
10–11 Jan Midgam/News Company[42] 27 16 12 24 7 10 5 7 7 5 1
2017
28 Dec Geocartography[43] 33 14 9 26 8 10 4 4 7 5 5
25–27 Dec Maagar Mochot/Makor Rishon[44] 25 14 11 25 10 14 4 5 7 5 1
18–19 Dec Geocartography[45] 24 14 9 27 7 20 0 5 9 5 3
8 Dec Geocartography[46] 33 12 13 16 7 14 6 6 9 4 17
4 Dec News Company[47] 26 20 12 22 6 10 5 7 7 5 2
1 Dec Panels Politics/Maariv[48] 27 18 11 25 7 10 4 5 8 5 Tie
26 Nov Ten News[49] 26 19 11 24 9 10 4 5 7 5 Tie
19 Nov Walla News[50] 27 21 11 21 9 10 3 5 8 5 6
1 Nov Ten News[51] 28 22 12 22 7 10 4 5 5 5 4
1 Nov News Company[52] 26 21 12 20 9 10 4 5 8 5 3
28 Oct Channel 10[53] 28 22 12 21 7 10 3 5 5 5 5
17 Oct Panels Politics[54] 28 21 11 22 7 10 4 5 7 5 3
21 Sep Panels Politics[55] 30 17 11 24 6 10 4 5 8 5 4
22 Aug Geocartography[56] 34 15 10 14 10 13 5 5 9 5 20
13 Aug Panels[57] 27 17 11 21 9 10 5 7 8 5 4
6 Aug Panel HaMidgam Project/Channel 10[58] 27–31 20–22 11 16–18 7 9–10 5 8 7 5 5–11
3 Aug Maagar Mochot/Makor Rishon[59] 31 16 13 22 9 10 4 5 5 5 10
27 Jul Panel HaMidgam Project/Channel 10[60] 28 20 10 17 7 13 6 7 7 5 8
23 Jul Geocartography[61] 32 18 10 18 5 9 5 9 9 5 14
21 Jul Panels/Maariv/Jerusalem Post[62] 24 19 11 22 9 13 5 5 7 5 2
12 Jul Geocartography/Kol Brama[63] 29 19 11 21 8 10 4 4 9 5 8
12 Jul Panels/Walla[63] 25 19 12 21 8 12 5 5 8 5 4
11 Jul Panel HaMidgam Project/Channel 10[64] 30 24 8 16 6 14 5 7 5 5 5
11 Jul Midgam/Channel 2[65] 26 20 13 18 8 13 5 5 7 5 5
10 Jul Second round of Labor leadership election concludes with Avi Gabbay's victory[66]
7 Jul Panels/Maariv[67] 25–26 16–17 12 20–21 8–9 12 5–6 6 7 6–7 4–6
5 Jul Midgam/Channel 2 News[68] 28–29 14–15 13 20–21 10–11 9 5 7 6 6 7–9
5 Jul Midgam Panel + Statnet/Walla News[69] 21–22 18 13 23 9–10 11 7 5 7 5 1-2
4 Jul First round of Labor leadership election concludes with Avi Gabbay and Amir Peretz advancing to the second round[70]
26 May Midgam/Channel 2[71] 30 12 13 22 7 9 7 7 7 6 8
26 May Geocartography[72][73] 26 11 13 24 6 11 4 8 9 8 2
27 Apr Jewish Home leadership primaries concludes with Naftali Bennett's victory[74]
27 Apr Geocartography/Radio 103FM[75] 23 11 13 25 7 13 6 7 9 6 2
22 Apr Channel 22[76] 28 12 13 24 7 10 7 6 7 6 4
5 Apr Old Dialog/Channel 10[77] 27 10 12 29 6 10 6 6 7 7 2
29 Mar Walla[78] 24 10 12 28 7 13 6 7 7 6 4
24 Mar Panels/Maariv/Jerusalem Post[79] 25 10 13 28 7 13 6 7 7 5 3
17 Mar Channel 10[80] 26 10 13 25 6 13 6 7 7 7 1
20 Jan Panels[81] 23 9 13 26 7 13 7 7 8 7 3
17 Jan Channel 2[82] 24 11 13 26 7 12 7 7 7 6 2
12 Jan Walla[83] 24 9 12 27 6 13 7 9 7 6 3
9 Jan Geocartography/Globes[84] 22 13 13 27 6 9 6 7 10 7 5
5 Jan Teleseker/Channel 1[85] 22 13 12 26 5 14 7 9 6 6 4
1 Jan Smith/Reshet Moreshet[86] 28 13 12 22 7 11 7 7 7 6 6
2016
30 Dec Statnet/Channel 10[87] 23 8 12 27 7 12 8 10 7 6 4
2 Dec Midgam/iPanel[88] 25 10 13 25 7 11 7 8 7 7 Tie
4 Nov Smith/Reshet Bet[89] 26 13 13 21 7 12 7 8 7 6 5
2 Oct Panels Politics/Maariv[90] 22 10 13 27 6 14 7 9 7 5 5
26 Sep TNS/Channel 1[91] 21 12 13 25 6 13 8 9 7 6 4
9 Sep Geocartography/Channel 1[92] 23 11 13 27 6 11 4 9 9 7 4
6 Sep Midgam/iPanel[93] 22 13 13 24 6 14 8 10 7 6 2
11 Aug Maagar Mochot[94] 27 10 13 21 6 13 8 9 7 6 6
7 Aug Geocartography[95] 25 8 13 22 6 16 7 7 11 5 3
3 Jun Jerusalem Post/Smith Poll[96] 27 15 13 19 7 11 6 8 8 6 8
29 May Geocartography/Kol Chai[97] 27 8 13 21 7 14 4 8 10 8 6
27 May Smith/Reshet Bet[98] 28 15 13 19 6 10 7 8 8 6 9
17 May Geocartography/Channel 1[99] 27 11 13 24 6 8 4 9 10 8 3
17 May Panels Politics/Maariv[100] 26 13 11 18 6 14 7 11 7 7 8
16 May Midgam/iPanel[101] 27 17 13 18 7 10 6 9 7 6 9
16 May Midgam/Statnet[102] 25 13 14 20 9 12 5 9 5 6 5
25 Mar Smith/Reshet Bet[103] 26 17 12 19 7 11 7 8 7 6 7
24 Mar Dialog[104] 27 15 13 20 7 12 7 7 7 5 7
9 Mar TNS/Channel 1[105] 25 15 13 21 6 12 7 8 7 6 4
5 Mar Midgam/Channel 2[106] 26 18 13 19 7 11 6 8 7 5 7
26 Feb Smith/Reshet Bet[107] 27 19 13 18 7 11 6 7 6 6 8
19 Feb Panels Politics[108] 27 15 12 18 6 12 7 10 7 6 9
28 Jan Maagar Mochot[109] 30 18 13 18 4 9 8 9 6 5 12
21 Jan Channel 10[110] 27 15 14 16 7 13 7 10 7 4 11
1 Jan Midgam/Yediot Achranot[111] 25 18 13 18 7 12 6 8 7 6 7
2015
30 Nov Maagar Mochot[112] 31 20 13 15 5 9 8 8 6 5 11
2015 election results 30 24 13 11 10 8 7 6 6 5 6
Date Poll Lead
Likud
 
Zionist
Union
Joint
List
Yesh
Atid
Kulanu
 
Jewish
Home
Shas
 
Yisrael
Beiteinu
UTJ
 
Meretz
 
Orly
Levy

Blocs[edit]

The table below shows the overall seats of the current coalition and the current opposition in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, based on the individual performance of each party in the opinion polls listed in the table above. The table takes into account only parties that are currently represented in the Knesset, and thus may show totals that fall below 120 seats. The table is based on the current composition of the Coalition (Likud + Kulanu + Jewish Home + Shas + Israel Beiteinu + UTJ) and Opposition (Zionist Union + Yesh Atid + Joint List + Meretz). The highest figure in each survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading bloc's colour. The Overall Seats section reflects the seats of every party that participates in the survey and is currently represented in the Knesset, while the Overall Seats above Threshold section only shows the seats of parties that pass the electoral threshold (3.25%) and are currently represented in the Knesset.

Date Poll Overall Seats Overall Seats above Threshold
Current coalition Current opposition Lead Current coalition Current opposition Lead
2015 election results 67 53 14 67 53 14
2018
3 June 2018 Panels Politics/Walla News[10] 70 50 20 70 50 20
9 May 2018 Midgam/News Company[14] 66 54 12 66 54 12
23 Apr 2018 Midgam/News Company[18] 60 60 Tie 60 60 Tie
15 Apr 2018 Panel Politics/Knesset Channel[19] 67 53 14 67 53 14
3 Apr 2018 Panel HaMidgam Project/Statnet/Ten News[20] 62 58 4 62 58 4
12 Mar 2018 Panel HaMidgam Project/Statnet/Ten News[24] 64 56 8 64 56 8
12 Mar 2018 Midgam/News Company[25] 62 58 4 62 58 4
8 Mar 2018 Panels Politics/Walla! News[27] 67 53 14 67 53 14
8 Mar 2018 Maagar Mochot/Israel Hayom[28] 69 51 18 67 51 16
4 Mar 2018 Panel HaMidgam Project/Statnet/Ten News[50] 64 56 8 64 56 8
2017
19 Nov 2017 Hamidgam Project Panel/Walla! News[30] 62 58 4 59 58 1
01 Nov 2017 Hamidgam Project Panel/Channel 10[51] 59 61 2 59 61 2
01 Nov 2017 Midgam/Channel 2[52] 62 58 4 62 58 4
28 Oct 2017 Hamidgam Project Panel/Channel 10[53] 58 60 2 55 60 5
17 Oct 2017 Panels Politics/Walla! News[54] 61 59 2 61 59 2
21 Sep 2017 Panels Politics/Mako[55] 63 57 6 63 57 6
22 Aug 2017 Geocartography/Maariv[56] 76 44 32 76 44 32
13 Aug 2017 Panels Politics/Maariv[57] 66 54 12 66 54 12
6 Aug 2017 Hamidgam Project Panel/ Channel 10[58] 64 56 8 64 56 8
3 Aug 2017 Maagar Mochot/Makor Rishon[59] 66 54 12 66 54 12
27 Jul 2017 Hamidgam Project Panel/ Channel 10[60] 68 52 16 68 52 16
23 Jul 2017 Geocartography/ Haredim 10[61] 70 50 20 70 50 20
21 Jul 2017 Panels Politics/Maariv[62] 63 57 6 63 57 6
12 Jul 2017 Geocartography/Kol Brama[63] 64 56 8 64 56 8
12 Jul 2017 Panels Politics /Walla! News[63] 63 57 6 63 57 6
11 Jul 2017 Hamidgam Project Panel/ Channel 10[64] 67 53 14 67 53 14
11 Jul 2017 Midgam/Channel 2[65] 64 56 8 64 56 8
2015 election results 67 53 14 67 53 14

Preferred Prime Minister polling[edit]

Some opinion pollsters have asked voters which party leader they would prefer as Prime Minister.

Date Polling Firm Benjamin Netanyahu Yair Lapid Avi Gabbay Naftali Bennett Avigdor Liberman Moshe Kahlon Moshe Ya'alon Ehud Barak Gideon Sa'ar Tzipi Livni Benny Gantz
25 Jun 2018 Midgam/News company 34 9 3 3 5 13
8 Jun 2018 Channel 10 39 13 7 6 4
12 Mar 2018 Knesset Channel 35 12 4 6 2 7 9
12 Mar 2018 Midgam/News company 36 12 8 6
08 Mar 2018 Panels Politics/Walla! News 39 16 11
01 Mar 2018 Walla/Panels Politics 37 20 9
21 Jan 2018 Walla/Panels Politics 33 18 11
10-11 Jan 2018 Midgam/iPanel 35 23
2017
27-29 Dec 2017 Maagar Mochot/Makor Rishon 24 18 6 6 3 17
4 Dec 2017 News Company 35/39 20 19
1 Dec 2017 Panels Politics/Maariv 26 18 9 6 4 5
19 Nov 2017 News Walla 31 14 7 9 7
9 Nov 2017 Panels Politics/Maariv 36 11 14 5 3 4
28 Oct 2017 Channel 10 28 11 11 5 3 6
17 Oct 2017 Panels Politics 33 16 13 6 2 4
21 Sep 2017 Panels Politics 23 12 10 6 4 3 15
27 Jul 2017 Panel HaMidgam Project/Channel 10 32 14 13 7 7
21 Jul 2017 Panels/Maariv/Jerusalem Post 26 14 12 8 3 8
12 Jul 2017 Panels/Walla 35 16 16 7 3 7
11 Jul 2017 Panel HaMidgam Project/Channel 10 37 12 14 8 7
11 Jul 2017 Midgam/Channel 2 34 12 13 6
Date Polling Firm Benjamin Netanyahu Yair Lapid Isaac Herzog Naftali Bennett Avigdor Liberman Gabi Ashkenazi Moshe Ya'alon Ehud Barak Gideon Sa'ar
26 May 2017 Midgam/Channel 2 35 14 4 5 6 9
05 Apr 2017 Old Dialog/Channel 10 23 18 4 5 4 11
12 Jan 2017 Walla 37 33
5 Jan 2017 Teleseker/Channel 1 23 21 4 7 5 6 4
2016
30 Dec 2016 Statnet/Channel 10 27 15 5 7 9
21 Jan 2016 Channel 10 35 9 11 11 9

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ Survey partially released by Army Radio.[13]

References[edit]

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  78. ^ "Walla Poll: Only 16% think Netanyahu wants elex; Yesh Atid 28, Likud 24, Bayit Yehudi 13, Joint List 12, Zionist Union 10". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 29 March 2017. 
  79. ^ "Panels Poll: Only 21% want early elections; Yesh Atid 28, Likud 25, Bayit Yehudi 13, Joint List 13, Zionist Union 10". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 24 March 2017. 
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