Opinion polling for the 2023 New Zealand general election

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Several polling firms have conducted opinion polls during the term of the 53rd New Zealand Parliament (2020–present) for the 2023 New Zealand general election. The regular polls are the quarterly polls produced by Television New Zealand (1 News) conducted by Kantar Public (formerly known as Colmar Brunton) and Discovery New Zealand (Newshub) conducted by Reid Research, along with monthly polls by Roy Morgan Research, and by Curia (Taxpayers' Union). The sample size, margin of error and confidence interval of each poll varies by organisation and date.

The current parliament was elected on 17 October 2020. The next general election is scheduled to take place on October 14, 2023.[1]

Party vote[edit]

Graph of opinion polls conducted. Smoothing is set to span 65%.
By main blocs.

Nationwide polling[edit]

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. The 'party lead' column shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. In the instance of a tie, both figures are shaded and displayed in bold. Percentages may not add to 100 percent due to polls not reporting figures for all minor parties and due to rounding. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between survey organisations.

The parties shown in the table are Labour (LAB), National (NAT), Green (GRN), ACT, Māori (TPM), New Zealand First (NZF), Opportunities (TOP), and New Conservative (NCP). Other parties may have also registered in some polls, but are not listed in this table.

Date[a] Polling organisation Sample size LAB NAT GRN ACT TPM NZF TOP NCP Lead
1–9 Mar 2023 Talbot Mills 1,021 37 34 8 12 3.2 2.9 1.5 – 3
4–8 Mar 2023 1 News–Kantar Public 1,002 36 34 11 11 2.6 3.1 1 0.5 2
2–7 Mar 2023 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,000 35.5 34.8 5.7 9.3 1.4 4.2 1.7 2.5 0.7
Feb 2023 Roy Morgan 943 33 32 12.5 13.5 3.5 2 2.5 0.5 1
12 Feb 2023 Cyclone Gabrielle begins impacting the North Island
2–9 Feb 2023 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,000 34.4 34.4 7.8 11.7 2.1 2.9 2 0.8 Tie
26–31 Jan 2023 Talbot Mills 33 36 11 10 3 3.4 2.3 – 3
25–29 Jan 2023 1 News–Kantar Public 1,008 38 37 7 10 1.4 2.2 1.1 0.6 1
23–28 Jan 2023 Horizon Research 1,147 30.8 25.4 7.7 11.4 2.89 4 1.4 0.9 5.4
27 Jan 2023 2023 North Island floods begin
22–27 Jan 2023 Newshub–Reid Research 38 36.6 8.1 10.7 1.8 2.2 1.5 – 1.4
22 Jan 2023 Chris Hipkins is unanimously elected Leader of the Labour Party.
19 Jan 2023 Jacinda Ardern announces her resignation as Prime Minister of New Zealand, taking effect 25 January 2023.
10–16 Jan 2023 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,000 31.7 37.2 10.6 10.8 1.6 2.8 – – 5.5
Jan 2023 Roy Morgan 948 30 32 12 13.5 4.5 5 1.5 0.5 2
10 Dec 2022 Tama Potaka of the National Party wins the Hamilton West by-election.
1–6 Dec 2022 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,000 33.1 39.4 8.1 10.4 3.5 2.9 – – 6.3
Dec 2022 Talbot Mills 32 35 9 11 3.5 4.3 2.4 – 3
Dec 2022 Roy Morgan 947 27.5 35 11 14.5 4 4 2.5 1 7.5
26–30 Nov 2022 1 News–Kantar Public 1,011 33 38 9 11 2 3.6 1.7 0.6 5
3–8 Nov 2022 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,000 35.3 37.6 7.8 9.9 1.6 3.8 2.1 0.9 2.3
Nov 2022 Roy Morgan 926 25.5 39 12 11 4 3.5 2.5 0.5 13.5
31 Oct – 7 Nov 2022 Talbot Mills 34 35 9 10 3.2 4.4 2 – 1
25 Oct – 3 Nov 2022 Newshub–Reid Research 32.3 40.7 9.5 10 1.9 3.3 1.2 – 8.4
20–25 Oct 2022 Horizon Research 911 31.4 28.3 11.8 13.1 1.8 6.8 1.7 1.5 3.05
2–11 Oct 2022 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,000 34.4 39.2 7.2 9.4 2.1 2.1 3.4 1 4.8
Oct 2022 Roy Morgan 951 29 32 15.5 12.5 3 3.5 3 0.5 3
Oct 2022 Talbot Mills 35 35 9 11 2.2 4 – – Tie
Sep 2022 Roy Morgan 942 29.5 36 12.5 12.5 3.5 1 2.5 0.5 6.5
17–21 Sep 2022 1 News–Kantar Public 1,001 34 37 9 9 1.6 3 1.3 1 3
12 Sep 2022 The COVID-19 Protection Framework officially ends.
1–9 Sep 2022 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,000 33.4 37 9.9 12.4 1.5 1.6 0.7 1.5 3.6
31 Aug – 7 Sep 2022 Talbot Mills 35 38 8 9 3 – – – 3
Aug 2022 Roy Morgan 947 35 35.5 9 10.5 5 1.5 1 0.5 0.5
3–11 Aug 2022 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,200 35.2 34 9.5 11 3.5 2.6 – – 1.2
28 Jul – 8 Aug 2022 Talbot Mills 36 37 9 10 – – – – 1
30 Jul – 3 Aug 2022 1 News–Kantar Public 1,023 33 37 9 11 2.3 2.6 1.9 0.7 4
29 Jul – 3 Aug 2022 Horizon Research 1,044 34.1 31.4 10.2 10.7 2.2 3.5 1.7 2.7 2.7
Jul 2022 Roy Morgan 937 34 35 10.5 11 4 1.5 2.5 1 1
3–10 Jul 2022 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,200 34.7 37 8.5 10 3.7 2.8 – – 2.3
30 May – 26 Jun 2022 Roy Morgan 947 33.5 39 10 9.5 1.5 1.5 2 0.5 5.5
18 Jun 2022 Sam Uffindell of the National Party wins the Tauranga by-election.
1–12 Jun 2022 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,200 34.2 37.4 8.3 9.4 1.8 2.3 3.0 1.4 3.2
2–10 Jun 2022 Talbot Mills 1,200 36 35 10 8 3.1 3.3 – – 1
26 Apr – 22 May 2022 Roy Morgan 934 31.5 40 11.5 10 1 3 1 0.5 8.5
21–25 May 2022 1 News–Kantar Public 1,002 35 39 10 7 1.9 1.3 1.7 1.2 4
19 May 2022 The 2022 Budget is delivered.
4–11 May 2022 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,000 34.2 36.8 9.7 10.9 2.4 1.8 1.4 1.3 2.6
29 Apr – 10 May 2022 Talbot Mills[b] 37 36 8 7 3 4 – – 1
18–27 Apr 2022 Newshub–Reid Research 1,000 38.2 40.5 8.4 6.4 2.5 1.7 0.9 0.7 2.3
28 Mar – 24 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan 918 33.5 37.5 10.5 10 1.5 2.5 2 0.5 4
13 Apr 2022 New Zealand shifts from the Red Light setting to the Orange Light setting of the COVID-19 Protection Framework.
7–13 Apr 2022 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,000 36.8 37.8 9.4 8.4 3.6 1.7 – – 1
28 Feb – 27 Mar 2022 Roy Morgan 944 32 38 10.5 9 2 4 1.5 0.5 6
2–7, 14–15 Mar 2022 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,000 36.2 35.3 12.4 11.2 0.2 1.8 0.1 0.6 0.9
5–8 Mar 2022 1 News–Kantar Public 1,000 37 39 9 8 2.3 2.2 1.3 0.9 2
31 Jan – 27 Feb 2022 Roy Morgan 963 32 38 11 11.5 2 2 1 1 6
1–10 Feb 2022 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,000 42.3 38.4 6.3 6.6 1.0 1.5 2.0 – 3.9
22 Jan – 4 Feb 2022 Newshub–Reid Research 1,000 44.3 31.3 9.6 8.0 2.0 1.8 1.5 1.1 13
4–30 Jan 2022 Roy Morgan 951 33 35 10.5 13.5 2.5 2.5 1.5 1.0 2
22–26 Jan 2022 1 News–Kantar Public 1,000 40 32 9 11 1.6 1.8 1.6 1 8
23 Jan 2022 Nationwide Red Light restrictions are implemented due to the COVID−19 Omicron variant being detected in the community.
10–17 Jan 2022 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,000 41.2 33.0 10.7 11.5 0.5 0.9 1.1 – 8.2
22 Nov – 19 Dec 2021 Roy Morgan 967 35.5 31.5 8.5 18.5 1 2 1 0.5 4
1–8 Dec 2021 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,000 39.5 32.6 10.9 10.6 3.0 2.3 – – 6.9
2 Dec 2021 New Zealand shifts from the COVID-19 alert level system to the new COVID-19 Protection Framework system.
30 Nov 2021 Christopher Luxon is elected Leader of the National Party with Nicola Willis as his deputy.
25 Nov 2021 Judith Collins is removed as National Party leader in a vote of no confidence. Shane Reti is made interim leader.
25 Oct – 21 Nov 2021 Roy Morgan 951 36 26.5 10.5 17.5 3 2.5 1.5 1 9.5
10–17 Nov 2021 Newshub–Reid Research 1,000 42.7 26.9 7.2 16 2.1 2.5 1.2 0.9 15.8
6–10 Nov 2021 1 News–Kantar Public 1,001 41 28 9 14 0.9 3.3 1.2 1.0 13
1–8 Nov 2021 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,000 39.3 26.2 8.6 15.9 2.3 1.7 – – 13.1
29 Oct – 3 Nov 2021 Labour–Talbot Mills[b] 1,023 41 24 9 17 2.4 4.2 – – 17
27 Sep – 24 Oct 2021 Roy Morgan 929 39.5 26 10.5 16 2 2.5 1 1.5 13.5
3–11 Oct 2021 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,000 44.8 22.5 6.4 16.6 1.5 3.6 – – 22.3
28 Sep – 5 Oct 2021 Labour–Talbot Mills[b] 1,200+ 46 22 7 16 1.9 3.8 – – 24
30 Aug – 26 Sep 2021 Roy Morgan 940 45.5 23 9.5 16 2 1.5 1.5 – 22.5
22–26 Sep 2021 1 News–Kantar Public 1,001 43 26 8 14 2.1 2.5 1.2 1.3 17
5–9 Sep 2021 Taxpayers' Union–Curia[b] 1,000 45.8 21.3 9.6 14.9 1.2 2.7 – – 24.5
31 Aug – 6 Sep 2021 Labour–Talbot Mills[b] 1,050 45 26 6 13 2 4.1 – – 19
26 Jul – 22 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan 940 39.5 25 12 13 2.5 2.5 2 – 14.5
17 Aug 2021 Nationwide Level 4 restrictions are implemented due to the COVID−19 Delta variant being detected in the community.
21 Jul – 1 Aug 2021 Labour–Talbot Mills[b] 1,216 43 28 7 13 1.7 4.4 – – 15
22–29 Jul 2021 Newshub–Reid Research 1,000 43.0 28.7 8.5 11.1 1.9 3.4 0.8 1.6 14.3
28 Jun – 25 Jul 2021 Roy Morgan 945 39.5 29 10 13 2.5 2 3 – 10.5
24 Jun – 1 Jul 2021 Labour–Talbot Mills[b] 1,199 48 24 8 11 1.5 5 – – 24
31 May – 27 Jun 2021 Roy Morgan 927 38.5 29.5 12.5 11.5 2.5 1.5 2 – 9
22–26 May 2021 1 News–Kantar Public 1,002 46 29 8 9 1.8 1.2 1.8 1.5 17
26 Apr – 23 May 2021 Roy Morgan 932 45 28.5 11 9 1.5 2 1.5 – 16.5
20 May 2021 The 2021 Budget is delivered.
7–13 May 2021 Newshub–Reid Research 1,000 52.7 27.0 7.1 6.9 1.2 1.9 1.3 1.2 25.7
29 Mar – 25 Apr 2021 Roy Morgan 933 41.5 29.5 13.5 9 2.5 1 0.5 – 12
21–28 Mar 2021 Roy Morgan 924 45.5 23 12 11 1 2.5 2 – 22.5
9–13 Mar 2021 1 News–Kantar Public 1,006 49 27 9 8 1.5 1.8 1.2 1.4 22
25 Jan – 21 Feb 2021 Roy Morgan 924 45 29 13.5 7.5 1 1.5 1 – 16
4–24 Jan 2021 Roy Morgan 937 47 25 11.5 9 2 2 1.5 – 22
23 Nov – 13 Dec 2020 Roy Morgan 923 44 28 10.5 10 2 2 2 – 16
28 Nov – 2 Dec 2020 1 News–Kantar Public 1,004 53 25 8 8 1.5 1.6 0.5 1.1 28
26 Oct – 22 Nov 2020 Roy Morgan 939 44 25.5 12.5 10.5 1.5 1 2 – 18.5
17 Oct 2020 2020 election result[2] N/A 50.0 25.6 7.9 7.6 1.2 2.6 1.5 1.5 24.4
Date[a] Polling organisation Sample size LAB NAT GRN ACT TPM NZF TOP NCP Lead

Subnational polling[edit]

Tauranga[edit]

Date Polling organisation Sample size LAB NAT ACT GRN NZF TPM Lead
19–29 May 2022 Newshub–Reid Research[3] 27.9 51.5 7.1 2.8 2.9 4.7 23.6
17 Oct 2020 2020 election result[2] N/A 42.0 32.5 8.9 5.5 3.6 0.35 9.5

Preferred prime minister[edit]

Preferred prime minister

Some opinion pollsters ask voters who they would prefer as prime minister. The phrasing of questions and the treatment of refusals, as well as "don't know" answers, differ from poll to poll. To qualify for this table, this person must reach at least 3 percent in three separate polls. The table below includes private polls conducted by Talbot Mills (previously called UMR; conducted for Labour) and Curia (conducted for the Taxpayers' Union, formerly for National), which may be cherry-picked and therefore may not properly indicate ongoing trends.

Date[a] Polling organisation Sample size Hipkins Luxon Seymour Peters Ardern Collins Lead
1–9 Mar 2023 Talbot Mills 1,021 39 23 – – – – 16
4–8 Mar 2023 1 News–Kantar Public 1,002 27 17 6 3 2 0.2 10
2–7 Mar 2023 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,000 30 21 8 – 7 – 9
1–9 Feb 2023 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,000 30 26 8 3.5 9 – 4
26–31 Jan 2023 Talbot Mills 35 27 9 – – – 8
25–29 Jan 2023 1 News–Kantar Public 1,008 23 22 6 2 5 0.3 1
22–27 Jan 2023 Newshub–Reid Research 19.6 18.8 8 2.9 12.4 – 0.8
22 Jan 2023 Chris Hipkins is unanimously elected Leader of the Labour Party.
19 Jan 2023 Jacinda Ardern announces her resignation as Prime Minister of New Zealand, taking effect 25 January 2023.
1–6 Dec 2022 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,000 26.3 7.1 3.4 35.3 — 9
26–30 Nov 2022 1 News–Kantar Public 1,011 0.2 23 6 2 29 0.1 6
3–8 Nov 2022 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,000 21.1 6.1 2.5 35 — 13.9
31 Oct – 7 Nov 2022 Talbot Mills 24 — – 40 – 16
25 Oct – 3 Nov 2022 Newshub–Reid Research 21.5 7.3 4.2 29.9 – 8.4
2–11 Oct 2022 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,000 22.5 7.3 3.6 32.9 — 10.4
17–21 Sep 2022 1 News–Kantar Public 1,001 0.2 21 4 2 30 0.1 9
1–9 Sep 2022 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,000 25.9 6.6 2.6 36.5 — 10.6
31 Aug – 7 Sep 2022 Talbot Mills 26 — – 38 – 12
3–11 Aug 2022 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,200 19.5 7.7 4.2 39.5 — 20
28 Jul – 8 Aug 2022 Talbot Mills 26 9 – 39 – 13
30 Jul – 3 Aug 2022 1 News–Kantar Public 1,023 0.2 22 5 2 30 0.2 8
3–10 Jul 2022 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,200 22.4 6.1 2.3 41.2 — 18.8
1–12 Jun 2022 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,200 28 5.6 3.8 39.7 — 11.7
2–10 Jun 2022 Talbot Mills 1,200 29 8 42 13
21–25 May 2022 1 News–Kantar Public 1,002 – 25 3 1 33 0.1 8
4–11 May 2022 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,000 27.9 – – 35.1 — 7.2
18–27 Apr 2022 Newshub–Reid Research 23.9 5.1 — 36.3 – 12.4
7–13 Apr 2022 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,000 28.6 4.8 2.6 36.3 — 7.7
2–7, 14–15 Mar 2022 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,000 26.6 4.4 5.5 38.7 — 12.1
5–8 Mar 2022 1 News–Kantar Public 1,000 0.3 25 5 2 34 0.3 9
1–10 Feb 2022 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,000 28.5 2.4 1.8 38.9 1.5 10.4
22 Jan – 4 Feb 2022 Newshub–Reid Research 17.8 7.9 — 43.3 – 25.5
22–26 Jan 2022 1 News–Kantar Public 1,000 0.1 17 6 1.0 35 0.2 18
10–17 Jan 2022 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,000 18.4 8.4 0.9 37.5 3.8 19.1
1–8 Dec 2021 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,000 20.4 5.6 2.4 39.1 0.8 18.7
30 Nov 2021 Christopher Luxon is elected Leader of the National Party.
25 Nov 2021 Judith Collins is removed as National Party leader in a vote of no confidence.
10–17 Nov 2021 Newshub–Reid Research 1,000 2.5 11.9 — 41.7 6.1 29.8
6–10 Nov 2021 1 News–Kantar Public 1,001 – 4 11 1 39 5 28
1–8 Nov 2021 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,000 4.1 10.5 1.5 34 6.3 23.5
29 Oct – 3 Nov 2021 Talbot Mills 1,023 2 15 — 47 10 32
3–11 Oct 2021 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,000 2.3 12.3 1.3 47.2 5.2 34.9
28 Sep – 5 Oct 2021 Talbot Mills 1,200+ – 16 — 51 9 35
22–26 Sep 2021 1 News–Kantar Public 1,001 0.1 3 11 0.7 44 5 33
5–9 Sep 2021 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,000 3.3 9.3 1.5 50.8 4.4 41.5
31 Aug – 6 Sep 2021 Talbot Mills 1,050 1.3 14 — 55 13 41
21 Jul – 1 Aug 2021 Talbot Mills 1,216 2.1 14 — 50 11 36
22–29 Jul 2021 Newshub–Reid Research 1,000 – 8.6 — 45.5 8.2 36.9
24 Jun – 1 Jul 2021 Talbot Mills 1,199 – 12 — 55 10 43
22–26 May 2021 1 News–Kantar Public 1,002 – 3 6 1 48 9 39
7–13 May 2021 Newshub–Reid Research 1,000 2.4 — — 48.1 5.6 42.5
9–13 Mar 2021 1 News–Kantar Public 1,006 – 2 4 0.7 43 8 35
28 Nov – 2 Dec 2020 1 News–Kantar Public 1,004 0.3 2 4 1 58 12 46

Government approval rating[edit]

The government approval rating is a statistic which measures the proportion of people who say they think the country is heading in the right direction or wrong direction politically.

Government approval rating
Date[a] Polling organisation Sample size Right direction Wrong direction Do not know Lead
Feb 2023 Roy Morgan 943 42.5 47.5 10 5
Jan 2023 Roy Morgan 948 40 49 11 9
Dec 2022 Roy Morgan 947 32 57 11 25
Nov 2022 Roy Morgan 926 35 55 10 20
31 Oct – 7 Nov 2022 Talbot Mills 41 49 10 8
Oct 2022 Roy Morgan 951 42 50 8 8
2–11 Oct 2022 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,000 29 56 15 27
Sep 2022 Roy Morgan 942 37.5 51.5 11 14
1–9 Sep 2022 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,000 32 54 14 22
31 Aug – 7 Sep 2022 Talbot Mills 44 49 7 5
Aug 2022 Roy Morgan 947 37.5 53 9.5 15.5
28 Jul – 8 Aug 2022 Talbot Mills 42 50 8 8
Jul 2022 Roy Morgan 937 40.5 51 8.5 10.5
30 May – 26 Jun 2022 Roy Morgan 947 39 51.5 9.5 12.5
1–12 Jun 2022 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,200 36 50 14 14
2–10 Jun 2022 Talbot Mills 1,200 50 42 8 8
26 Apr – 22 May 2022 Roy Morgan 934 40 50 10 10
4–11 May 2022 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,000 34 48 18 14
29 Apr – 10 May 2022 Talbot Mills 51 40 9 11
28 Mar – 24 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan 913 43 49.5 7.5 6.5
28 Feb – 27 Mar 2022 Roy Morgan 944 39 51.5 9.5 12.5
31 Jan – 27 Feb 2022 Roy Morgan 963 42.5 47.5 10 5
4–30 Jan 2022 Roy Morgan 951 48.5 42 9.5 6.5
22 Nov – 19 Dec 2021 Roy Morgan 967 42.5 44.5 13 2
25 Oct – 21 Nov 2021 Roy Morgan 951 46 44.5 9.5 1.5
1–8 Nov 2021 Taxpayers' Union–Curia 1,000 44 45 11 1
27 Sep – 24 Oct 2021 Roy Morgan 929 48 38.5 13.5 9.5
28 Sep – 5 Oct 2021 Talbot Mills 1,200 63 30 7 33
30 Aug – 26 Sep 2021 Roy Morgan 940 57 32 11 25
26 Jul – 22 Aug 2021 Roy Morgan 940 52.5 37.5 10 15
28 Jun – 25 Jul 2021 Roy Morgan 945 55.5 34.5 10 21
31 May – 27 Jun 2021 Roy Morgan 927 57 33 10 24
26 Apr – 23 May 2021 Roy Morgan 932 62.5 28.5 9 34
29 Mar – 25 Apr 2021 Roy Morgan 933 62.5 26.5 11 36
21–28 Mar 2021 Roy Morgan 924 61.5 26 12.5 35.5
25 Jan – 21 Feb 2021 Roy Morgan 924 69.5 20 10.5 49.5
4–24 Jan 2021 Roy Morgan 937 71.5 18.5 10 53
23 Nov – 13 Dec 2020 Roy Morgan 923 71.5 18 10.5 53.5
26 Oct – 22 Nov 2020 Roy Morgan 939 69.5 20 10.5 49.5

Forecasts[edit]

Source Seats in Parliament[i] Likely
government
formation(s)
LAB NAT GRN ACT MRI Total
Talbot Mills[4]
1–9 Mar 2023 poll 		47 44 10 15 4 120 Labour–Green–Māori (61)
1 News–Kantar Public[5]
4–8 Mar 2023 poll 		46 43 14 14 3 120 Labour–Green–Māori (63)
Taxpayers' Union–Curia[6]
2–7 Mar 2023 poll 		49 48 8 13 2 120 National–ACT (61)
Roy Morgan Research[7]
Feb 2023 poll 		42 41 16 17 4 120 Labour–Green–Māori (62)
Horizon Research[8]
23–28 Jan 2023 poll 		47 39 12 18 4 120 Labour–Green–Māori (63)
Newshub–Reid Research[9]
22–27 Jan 2023 poll 		48 46 10 14 2 120 Hung Parliament
2020 result[2]
17 Oct 2020 election 		65 33 10 10 2 120 Labour (65)
  1. ^ Forecasted seats are calculated using the Electoral Commission's MMP seat allocation calculator, based on polling results.

See also[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ a b c d These are the survey dates of the poll, or if the survey dates are not stated, the date the poll was released.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g Private poll

References[edit]

  1. ^ "'I no longer have enough in the tank': Jacinda Ardern resigns as New Zealand Prime Minister". ABC News. 19 January 2023. Retrieved 19 January 2023.
  2. ^ a b c "2020 GENERAL ELECTION – OFFICIAL RESULTS AND STATISTICS". ElectionResults.govt.nz. Electoral Commission. Retrieved 28 February 2021.
  3. ^ "Tauranga by-election: On the campaign trail and behind the scenes with National, ACT and Labour". Newshub. Retrieved 21 June 2022.
  4. ^ Coughlan, Thomas (21 March 2023). "National leader Christopher Luxon falls to new low in poll". New Zealand Herald.
  5. ^ Desmarais, Felix (13 March 2023). "Poll: Labour could lead coalition govt, Luxon slumps in PM ratings". 1 News. TVNZ.
  6. ^ Purves, Callum. "Taxpayers' Union – Curia Poll: March 2023". Taxpayers' Union.
  7. ^ "New Zealand: Labour/Greens level with National/Act NZ on 45.5% each after Chris Hipkins becomes Prime Minister". Roy Morgan Research. 10 March 2023.
  8. ^ Manch, Thomas (11 February 2023). "Labour leads, Māori Party the kingmaker in latest poll". Stuff.
  9. ^ Lynch, Jenna (30 January 2023). "Newshub-Reid Research Poll: Chris Hipkins is Labour's saviour but hung Parliament on cards for election 2023". Newshub.
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