Opinion polling for the next Polish parliamentary election

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In the run up to the next Polish parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Poland. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, held on 13 October 2019, to the present day. The next general election is scheduled to be held not later than November 2023.

Graphical summary[edit]

Polish Opinion Polling for the 2023 Election.png

Poll results[edit]

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

Parties are denoted with en dashes if no indication is given of their level in polls.

2021[edit]

For events during the year, see 2021 in Poland.
Polling firm/
Link 		Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		United
Right 		Agreement Civic
Coalition 		The Left Polish
Coalition 		Kukiz'15 Confederation Poland
2050 		AGRO
unia 		Others /
Don't know 		Lead
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 12–15 Nov 2021 1,069 41 1 23 7 1 2 11 13 1 18
CBOS 4–14 Nov 2021 1,100 29.3 17.9 4.9 2 1 5.5 12.0 27 11.4
Research Partner 5–9 Nov 2021 1,038 33.8 0.6 23.8 7.6 2.2 1.1 9.4 10.8 10.7 10.0
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 5–8 Nov 2021 1,082 37 1 24 9 1 2 10 14 2 13
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 5–6 Nov 2021 1,016 37.6 24.6 9.1 5.7 8.2 12.8 2.0 13.0
United Surveys / WP.pl 5 Nov 2021 1,000 32.6 21.6 7.2 4.6 5.9 16.5 11.7 11.0
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 29 Oct–2 Nov 2021 1,059 39 1 25 8 2 2 9 12 2 14
CBOS 18–28 Oct 2021 1,157 28.4 17.2 4.7 3 7.6 12.2 26 11.2
Pollster / SE.pl 27–28 Oct 2021 1,078 36.58 0.60 25.80 8.56 4.41 1.29 8.77 13.80 0.19 10.78
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 22–25 Oct 2021 1,067 39 0 26 8 2 2 10 12 1 13
Research Partner 22–25 Oct 2021 1,223 35.0 0.7 23.3 7.0 3.0 1.5 7.7 11.3 10.3 11.7
IBRiS / "Rz.pl" 22–23 Oct 2021 1,100 35.8 24.5 9.4 4.6 5.1 13.5 7.1 11.3
United Surveys / WP.pl 22 Oct 2021 1,000 37.1 23.3 8.0 6.2 6.1 12.0 7.3 13.8
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 15–18 Oct 2021 1,096 39 2 26 7 2 2 8 13 1 13
CBOS 4–14 Oct 2021 1,161 34.6 1 15.3 4.1 2 0 5.7 11.5 26 19.3
Kantar / TVN 12–13 Oct 2021 1,000 32 1 26 6 4 0 9 15 7 6
Kantar Public 8–13 Oct 2021 968 32 1 25 7 3 2 6 10 14 7
United Surveys / DGP, RMF 11 Oct 2021 1,000 35.4 27.1 6.7 4.6 6.8 9.5 9.9 8.3
Research Partner 8–11 Oct 2021 1,031 36.2 1.0 21.0 6.7 1.6 0.7 9.4 11.5 11.8 15.2
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 8–11 Oct 2021 1,068 40 2 26 7 2 2 7 12 2 14
United Surveys / WP.pl 8 Oct 2021 1,000 35.4 25.9 7.9 5.8 6.7 9.8 8.5 9.5
7 Oct 2021 Constitutional Tribunal's landmark decision on the primacy of European Union law, sparking protests[1][2]
IBRiS "Wydarzenia" Polsat 6 Oct 2021 1,100 34.3 0.0 21.6 8.0 5.4 8.4 10.5 11.7 12.7
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 1–4 Oct 2021 1,090 37 1 25 7 1 2 11 14 2 12
30 Sep 2021 State of emergency extended for another 60 days[3]
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 24–27 Sep 2021 1,059 38 1 26 8 2 1 9 14 1 12
Research Partner 24–27 Sep 2021 1,036 35.2 0.7 22.4 7.4 2.0 1.1 8.6 11.1 11.4 12.8
IBRiS / "Rz.pl" 24–25 Sep 2021 1,100 34.1 0.0 23.4 7.1 5.0 5.9 12.0 12.5 10.7
United Surveys / WP.pl 24 Sep 2021 1,000 35.6 23.0 6.4 5.3 7.1 11.6 11.0 12.6
IPSOS / "GW", OKO.press 20–23 Sep 2021 1,000 35 0 24 7 4 9 15 7 11
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 17–20 Sep 2021 1,050 37 2 24 7 2 2 12 13 1 13
CBOS 6–16 Sep 2021 1,218 33.5 1 16.0 4.4 1 1 5.3 11.8 26 17.5
Pollster / SE.pl 13–14 Sep 2021 1,048 39.5 0.71 24.54 7.56 4.66 1.08 7.35 14.32 0.28 14.96
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 10–13 Sep 2021 1,063 37 2 27 7 2 2 9 12 2 10
36 2 29[a] 6 2 2 10 12 1 8
Pollster / Salon24.pl 11–12 Sep 2021 1,027 38.87 0.64 25.68 7.84 3.85 0.71 8.21 13.86 0.34 13.19
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 10–11 Sep 2021 1,016 40.2 1.1 24.1 9.0 3.9 1.5 8.8 10.9 0.4 0.1 16.1
Kantar / TVN 9–11 Sep 2021 1,002 30 0 24 5 3 1 8 14 15 6
United Surveys / WP.pl 10 Sep 2021 1,000 36.4 22.3 6.8 5.2 8.8 9.2 11.3 14.1
Kantar Public 3–8 Sep 2021 979 32 1 25 6 3 1 4 12 16 7
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 7 Sep 2021 1,100 36.5 0.3 23.0 8.5 2.9 7.6 11.3 9.9 13.5
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 3–6 Sep 2021 1,051 37 1 26 8 3 1 7 16 1 11
Research Partner 3–6 Sep 2021 1,077 30.5 0.4 22.0 7.2 0.8 1.6 8.5 17.9 11.2 8.5
IBRiS / Onet 3–4 Sep 2021 1,100 36.6 23.1 8.0 4.4 8.0 11.5 8.4 13.5
Pollster / Wiadomości TVP 2–3 Sep 2021 1,047 36.72 25.98 7.53 8.77 14.78 6.22 10.74
IBSP / Stan Polityki 1–3 Sep 2021 1,000 34.61 24.09 7.73 2.65 9.69 15.82 5.07 0.34 10.52
2 Sep 2021 State of emergency declared in Poland; covering 183 localities in Podlaskie and Lublin voivodeships[4]
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 27–30 Aug 2021 1,065 35 1 25 9 3 2 8 17 0 10
IBRiS / "Rz" 27–28 Aug 2021 1,100 35.3 25.7 9.3 4.0 6.4 10.1 9.2 9.6
United Surveys / DGP, RMF 27 Aug 2021 1,000 37.1 25.0 9.0 4.5 8.1 8.4 7.9 12.2
United Surveys / WP.pl 27 Aug 2021 1,000 36.3 25.5 8 4.4 8 10.6 6.4 10.8
Pollster / Wiadomości TVP 26–27 Aug 2021 1,036 37 24 7 10 16 6 13
CBOS 16–26 Aug 2021 1,167 34 <0.5 18 5 3 1 5 11 23 16
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 24 Aug 2021 1,100 35.5 0.0 24.3 7.8 4.2 7.4 11.7 9.1 11.2
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 20–23 Aug 2021 1,057 33 1 26 8 2 2 9 17 2 7
Pollster / TVP Info 15–16 Aug 2021 1,044 34 0.8 26 8 4 1 8 18 0.2 8
Research Partner 13–16 Aug 2021 1,039 30.6 22.2 6.9 2.0 1.3 7.2 17.0 12.8 8.4
27.4 0.6 22.7 5.8 1.8 0.4 5.9 14.5 4.9 16.1 4.7
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 13–16 Aug 2021 1,052 33 2 26 7 2 2 9 18 1 7
Kantar 13 Aug 2021 800 26 26 10 3 0 7 17 7 Tie
Early August 2021 Beginning of the Belarus-Poland border crisis
11 August 2021 Agreement leaves United Right. The ruling coalition loses majority in Sejm[5]
Polling firm/
Link 		Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		United
Right 		Civic
Coalition 		The Left Polish
Coalition 		Kukiz'15 Confederation Poland
2050 		Others /
Don't know 		Lead
Kantar 6–11 Aug 2021 981 35 22 7 4 2 6 9 15 13
10 August 2021 Dismissal of Deputy Prime Minister Jarosław Gowin and several deputy ministers[6]
Nationwide protests against Lex TVN, a controversial media law reform[7]
ewybory.eu 1 Jul–10 Aug 2021 10,088 31.38 29.72 14.10 5.29 10.65 7.83 1.03 1.66
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 6–9 Aug 2021 1,083 34 26 8 2 4 8 17 1 8
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 30 Jul–2 Aug 2021 1,064 34 23 7 3 3 8 21 1 11
Research Partner 30 Jul–2 Aug 2021 1,040 30.8 22.0 6.8 1.7 2.7 6.9 15.4 13.6 8.8
Pollster / SE.pl 30 Jul–2 Aug 2021 1,049 34.48 25.78 8.27 3.07 2.15 9.68 16.29 0.28 8.70
IBRiS / "Rz" 31 Jul–1 Aug 2021 1,094 33.6 27.3 9.1 5.0 5.0 11.1 9.0 6.3
United Surveys / WP.pl 30 Jul 2021 1,000 34.2 27.6 6.9 5.0 5.9 10.0 10.4 6.6
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 23–26 Jul 2021 1,063 36 24 7 2 2 9 19 1 12
35 27[b] 7 2 3 6 19 1 8
IBRiS / Onet 24–25 Jul 2021 1,100 33.6 26.2 7.1 5.0 5.4 10.9 11.8 7.4
IBSP 21–23 Jul 2021 1,001 34.85 26.24 6.38 2.32 7.37 19.76 3.08[c] 8.61
Research Partner 16–19 Jul 2021 1,051 30.2 24.1 7.5 1.8 1.7 5.9 17.4 11.4 6.1
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 16–19 Jul 2021 1,049 34 25 8 2 2 9 19 1 9
Kantar 9–14 Jul 2021 969 30 23 5 4 2 5 15 16 7
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 9–12 Jul 2021 1,062 34 24 9 4 1 7 20 1 10
Kantar / TVN 9–11 Jul 2021 1,000 29 24 7 3 1 7 15 14[d] 5
CBOS 1–11 Jul 2021 1,166 36 16 5 3 1 5 13 21 20
Pollster / SE.pl 6–7 Jul 2021 1,049 35.25 24.30 6.45 4.30 2.60 7.67 18.75 0.68 10.95
United Surveys / WP.pl 5–7 Jul 2021 1,000 35.2 21.3 7.8 5.1 5.6 16.5 8.5 13.9
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 6 Jul 2021 1,100 34.0 20.0 8.2 5.3 7.0 15.5 10.0 14.0
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 29.5[e] 18.9 8.2 5.3 7.8 15.3 15.0[f] 10.6
Research Partner 2–5 Jul 2021 1,041 30.6 18.6 6.4 1.9 3 8.2 19.1 12.1[g] 11.5
United Surveys / DGP, RMF 5 Jul 2021 1,000 33.0 18.6 7.8 6.0 7.0 16.6 11.0 14.4
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 2–5 Jul 2021 1,057 33 21 9 2 2 8 24 1 9
Opinia24 / RMF FM 2–5 Jul 2021 1,000 29 23 8 4 1 10 17 8 6
3 Jul 2021 Borys Budka resignation as PO leader; Donald Tusk acting leader
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 30 Jun 2021 1,100 33.5 16.9 9.5 6.6 8.4 17.1 8.2 16.4
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 30.3[e] 16.8 10.1 5.1 8.2 17.4 12.1[h] 12.9
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 25–28 Jun 2021 1,082 34 17 10 3 2 10 23 1 11
Pollster / SE.pl 26–27 Jun 2021 1,088 35.79 20.96 6.32 4.84 7.99 23.04 1.06 12.75
34.31[e] 21.12 6.42 5.18 7.30 23.88 1.79[i] 10.43
IBRiS / Onet 25–26 Jun 2021 1,100 33.5 16.1 8.3 5.4 9.3 17.9 9.5 15.6
Kantar / TVN 24–25 Jun 2021 1,001 30 19 6 4 1 8 21 11 9
Research Partner 18–21 Jun 2021 1,048 31.2 17.4 7.0 3.1 2.0 6.1 22.5 10.8[j] 8.7
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 18–21 Jun 2021 1,060 33 19 9 4 2 7 25 1 8
32 25[k] 8 3 3 6 22 1 7
20 Jun 2021 The Republicans party is officially founded and joins United Right[8]
IBRiS / "Rz" 19–20 Jun 2021 1,100 34.7 13.0 9.1 5.1 10.3 20.2 7.7 14.5
United Surveys / WP.pl 19 Jun 2021 1,000 34.2 14.7 10.4 5.3 7.1 19.0 9.3 15.2
CBOS 7–17 Jun 2021 1,218 35.6 11.3 5.3 2 2 5.5 16.1 22 19.5
Kantar 11–16 Jun 2021 986 30 20 7 4 2 6 14 17 10
14 Jun 2021 Kukiz signs a confidence-and-supply agreement with PiS' Kaczynski[9]
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 11–14 Jun 2021 1,068 35 17 10 3 2 7 25 1 10
11 Jun 2021 Wiosna's general assembly votes to dissolve itself and merge with SLD into New Left[10]
IBRiS / ZET 11 Jun 2021 1,000 32.4 13.0 7.6 4.7 8.1 19.8 14.4 12.6
Research Partner 4–7 Jun 2021 1,106 31.1 16.0 6.8 2.7 2.3 6.1 24.8 9.9 6.3
Pollster / SE.pl 5–6 Jun 2021 1,047 36.18 18.44 7.01 4.92 9.70 23.02 0.73 13.16
35.29[e] 17.79 6.52 5.65 9.70 22.99 2.06[l] 12.30
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 4–6 Jun 2021 1,067 34 16 8 3 3 9 26 1 8
United Surveys / WP.pl 4 Jun 2021 1,000 34.4 14.0 8.1 4.7 7.6 23.0 8.2 11.4
IBRiS / Onet 31 May 2021 1,100 34.9 14.1 8.4 5.0 4.4 20.2 12.9 14.7
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 28–31 May 2021 1,057 35 15 9 3 3 7 27 1 8
IBRiS / Interia 28 May 2021 1,100 40.3 15.9 9.4 4.4 7.3 22.9 -[m] 17.4
United Surveys / DGP, RMF 25 May 2021 1,000 33.7 13.0 8.0 4.3 8.2 22.7 9.9 11.0
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 21–24 May 2021 1,088 34 17 9 2 3 10 24 1 10
IBRiS / "Rz" 21–22 May 2021 1,100 33.6 14.6 10.4 4.9 6.9 18.6 11.0 15.0
United Surveys / WP.pl 21 May 2021 1,000 34.8 13.2 9.1 5.3 5.7 22.1 9.8 12.7
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 20–21 May 2021 1,022 38.4 14.6 10.8 4.7 1.9 7.1 22.2 0.3 16.2
Pollster / SE.pl 19–20 May 2021 1,013 38.10 19.20 7.26 4.95 8.72 20.90 0.87 17.20
36.14[e] 18.84 6.93 5.84 8.60 21.03 2.62[n] 15.11
PGB Opinium 18–20 May 2021 1,011 31.7 14.7 8.1 3.5 0.7 8.7 23.4 9.2 8.3
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 19 May 2021 1,100 34.4 14.2 9.5 5.2 6.9 20.4 9.4 14.0
TBA 29.6[e] NaN[o] NaN
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 14–17 May 2021 1,064 33 16 9 3 3 12 23 1 10
Research Partner 14–17 May 2021 1,098 30.9 16.6 6.4 1.7 2.0 7.7 20.5 14.2 10.4
UCE RESEARCH / WP 15–16 May 2021 1,122 35.66 17.34 5.60 3 6.43 9.74 20.53 1.7 15.13
CBOS 6–16 May 2021 1,163 32.8 11.0 5.5 2 1 6.1 17.1 19 15.7
IBSP 13–14 May 2021 1,001 30.80 15.05 9.98 2.40 11.54 27.68 2.61[p] 3.12
Kantar 7–12 May 2021 984 33 21 6 3 2 5 17 13 12
Kantar 11 May 2021 1,100 32 19 10 4 4 11 21 0 11
United Surveys / DGP, RMF 11 May 2021 1,000 33.5[e] 12.1 9.6 4.3 8.6 21.9 9.9 11.6
34.0 15.7[q] 9.1 6.4[r] 6.9 19.6 8.4 14.4
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 7–10 May 2021 1,073 34 18 7 2 2 10 25 2 9
IBRiS / Onet 8–9 May 2021 1,100 35.1 14.7 9.1 5.6 5.8 19.9 9.8 15.2
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 5 May 2021 1,100 33.9 15.3 10.7 4.5 9.0 18.9 7.7 15.0
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 30.1[e] 15.8 10.1 4.4 10.3 17.9 10.4[s] 12.2
United Surveys / WP.pl 4 May 2021 1,000 35.4 15.1 10.4 5.1 5.7 20.4 7.9 15.0
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 30 Apr–4 May 2021 1,070 34 16 10 2 3 10 23 2 11
Research Partner 30 Apr–3 May 2021 1,127 27.9 17.2 7.2 1.5 1.6 7.7 23.6 13 4.3
Kantar / TVN 27–28 Apr 2021 1,001 30 21 9 3 2 7 20 8 9
Kantar / TVN 25[e] 21 8 3 3 7 21 12[t] 4
IPSOS / OKO.press 26–28 Apr 2021 1,000 33 18 9 2 11 22 5 11
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 23–26 Apr 2021 1,067 32 20 10 2 3 8 24 1 8
IBRiS / Onet 24–25 Apr 2021 1,100 33.1 16.1 10.0 4.4 7.7 17.1 11.6 16.0
Pollster / SE.pl 20 Apr 2021 1,066 35.77 17.34 10.08 5.14 8.64 21.91 1.12 13.86
33.89[e] 16.86 9.66 5.58 8.89 21.38 3.74[u] 12.51
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 20 Apr 2021 1,100 32.6 16.4 11.5 4.9 8.2 15.7 10.7 16.2
30.1[e] 17.3 10.6 4.4 7.3 15.5 14.8[v] 12.8
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 16–19 Apr 2021 1,072 34 16 10 2 3 8 26 1 8
Research Partner 16–19 Apr 2021 1,115 29.4 17.0 9.2 2.4 2.3 8.4 21.1 10.3 8.3
CBOS 8–18 Apr 2021 1,131 32.0 14.2 5.1 1.3 1.2 4.9 15.6 20.9 16.4
United Surveys / WP.pl 16 Apr 2021 1,000 32.2 17.0 7.7 4.9 7.0 17.3 14.0 14.9
30.3[e] 16.6 8.2 5.0 5.7 17.0 17.3[w] 13.3
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 15–16 Apr 2021 1,029 35.9 18.1 10.7 5.2 2.1 6.8 20.9 0.3 15.0
Kantar 9–14 Apr 2021 980 31 22 9 3 2 6 16 11 9
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 9–12 Apr 2021 1,069 33 18 10 2 3 9 24 1 9
IBRiS / "Rz" 9–10 Apr 2021 1,100 31.0 15.2 8.1 5.1 7.2 19.1 14.3 11.9
United Surveys / DGP, RMF 9 Apr 2021 1,000 33.3 17.9 8.9 4.9 4.8 19.0 11.2 14.3
30.2[e] 16.2 10.3 5.0 4.7 16.7 17[x] 13.5
IBSP 7–9 Apr 2021 1,000 30.36 20.32 10.81 2.00 8.77 25.05 2.69[y] 5.31
Research Partner 2–6 Apr 2021 1,129 27.1 17.5 7.3 2.3 2.8 7.6 23.8 11.6 3.3
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 2–5 Apr 2021 1,074 34 24 14 3 3 8 14 10
30 20 13 2 3 8 22 2 8
CBM Indicator / "Rz" 25–30 Mar 2021 1,000 26.1[e] 15.9 8.2 5.1 1.2 6.1 17.8 19.6[z] 8.3
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 26–29 Mar 2021 1,094 32 22 13 3 4 11 15 10
28 17 12 5 4 10 22 2 6
IBRiS / Onet 27–28 Mar 2021 1,100 31.0 17.3 9.1 5.0 7.3 17.2 13.1 13.7
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 19–22 Mar 2021 1,085 32 23 12 4 4 10 15 9
29 18 10 3 4 10 24 2 5
Research Partner 19–22 Mar 2021 1,128 29.8 15.7 8.7 2.3 1.8 8.7 22.1 10.9 7.7
United Surveys / WP.pl 19 Mar 2021 1,000 33.2 18.5 9.3 6.3 6.5 13.2 12.9 14.7
Kantar / Polityka 19 Mar 2021 1,000 28 17 10 2 8 25 10[aa] 3
Kantar / "GW", OKO.press 17–19 Mar 2021 1,000 26 16 8 3 9 23 16 3
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 12–15 Mar 2021 1,078 33 24 13 3 3 10 14 9
31 18 10 2 3 9 25 2 6
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 11–12 Mar 2021 1,025 37.7 17.1 11.6 5.9 2.4 6.8 18.3 0.2 19.4
PGB Opinium 11–12 Mar 2021 1,098 30.0 18.8 8.6 4.1 1.1 8.3 21.6 7.48 8.4
CBOS 1–11 Mar 2021 1,154 33.3 11.3 6.0 2.4 0.8 6.7 17.2 22.3 16.1
Kantar 5–10 Mar 2021 985 30 24 8 3 2 5 14 14 6
Research Partner 5–8 Mar 2021 1,145 26.9 17.9 10.0 1.1 2.5 8.0 22.1 11.4 4.8
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 5–8 Mar 2021 1,054 32 24 13 4 4 10 13 8
31 20 12 3 3 9 20 2 11
Opinia24 / RMF 1–7 Mar 2021 3,007 29 20 9 2 2 8 24 7 5
IBRiS / "Rz" 5–6 Mar 2021 1,100 32.3 18.1 7.4 6.0 6.2 17.9 12.1 14.2
United Surveys / WP.pl 5 Mar 2021 1,000 33.0 17.5 9.6 5.3 5.3 17.7 11.6 15.3
Pollster / SE.pl 3–4 Mar 2021 1,033 39.86 20.32 9.79 4.8 6.95 17.32 0.96 19.54
38.07[e] 20.39 9.61 4.33 7.02 17.79 2.79[ab] 17.68
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 26 Feb–1 Mar 2021 1,071 30 28 12 3 4 10 13 2
28 22 11 3 4 9 21 2 6
IBRiS / Onet 27–28 Feb 2021 1,100 32.9 18.2 10.1 5.9 5.0 17.3 10.6 14.7
IBSP 25–26 Feb 2021 1,001 26.96 18.85 9.34 3.23 6.96 31.26 3.40[ac] 4.30
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 25–26 Feb 2021 1,041 37.6 19.2 11.4 5.5 2.1 6.9 17.1 0.2 18.4
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 19–22 Feb 2021 1,076 33 26 13 3 4 10 11 7
30 19 12 2 4 8 23 2 7
United Surveys / WP.pl 19 Feb 2021 1,000 33.5 19.3 11.4 5.8 6.0 14.6 9.3 14.2
PGB Opinium 15–16 Feb 2021 1,100 31.2 19.0 7.5 4.9 0.5 8.2 20.6 8.0 10.6
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 12–15 Feb 2021 1,095 33 24 15 3 3 9 13 9
30 17 12 3 3 10 23 2 7
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 12–13 Feb 2021 1,022 37.4 21.5 9.7 5.4 2.4 7.1 16.2 0.3 15.9
IPSOS / OKO.press 10–12 Feb 2021 1,014 29 20 10 4 10 20 7 9
CBOS 1–11 Feb 2021 1,179 33.2 12.4 4.4 2.0 1.0 5.5 19.2 22.3 14.0
Kantar 5–10 Feb 2021 676 31 18 7 4 2 7 15 17 13
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 5–8 Feb 2021 1,051 30 25 11 4 6 10 14 5
29 20 10 2 5 9 23 2 6
IBRiS / "Rz" 5–6 Feb 2021 1,100 32 19 8 5 6 18 12 13
United Surveys / WP.pl 5 Feb 2021 1,000 33.5 19.7 8.0 5.6 7.0 15.0 11.2 13.8
Kantar 29 Jan–3 Feb 2021 980 29 23 6 4 2 5 14 17 6
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 29 Jan–1 Feb 2021 1,074 34 23 12 2 4 9 16 11
31 17 9 2 3 9 27 2 4
Pollster / SE.pl 29 Jan–1 Feb 2021 1,081 41.42 23.21 9.73 3.59 5.64 15.25 18.21
IBRiS / Onet 30–31 Jan 2021 1,100 31.1 19.2 8.9 5.5 7.4 16.9 11.1 11.9
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 28–29 Jan 2021 1,029 38.4 21.8 11.1 5.2 2.0 6.7 14.6 0.2 16.6
IBSP 25–26 Jan 2021 1,001 26.96 20.24 7.56 2.61 10.99 27.70 3.94[ad] 0.74
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 22–25 Jan 2021 1,066 31 26 12 5 4 10 12 5
29 21 9 4 3 8 24 2 5
IBRiS / WP.pl 23 Jan 2021 1,100 30.0 19.6 9.5 5.0 7.5 17.5 10.9 10.4
United Surveys / DGP, RMF 22 Jan 2021 1,000 32.5 20.9 10.2 3.6 4.6 16.2 12.0 11.6
PGB Opinium 20-21 Jan 2021 1,100 34.7 20.8 8.6 5.5 0.9 6.5 14.3 8.8 13.9
IBRiS / Fakt.pl 19 Jan 2021 1,100 32.3[e] 20.0 7.4 5.0 6.6 13.5 15.2[ae] 12.3
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 15–18 Jan 2021 1,097 33 29 12 3 4 11 8 4
30 22 10 2 3 10 22 1 8
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 14–15 Jan 2021 1,020 39.6 22.1 10.2 6.6 2.3 6.0 12.9 0.3 17.5
CBOS 4–14 Jan 2021 1,150 35.2 13.7 5.0 2.0 1.0 5.3 18.2 19.6 17.0
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 8–11 Jan 2021 1,085 35 27 12 3 4 10 9 8
32 23 9 2 3 8 22 1 9
IBRiS / "Rz" 8–9 Jan 2021 1,100 33.2 20.6 7.7 5.2 6.4 12.6 14.3 12.6
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 1–5 Jan 2021 1,090 33 29 12 4 4 9 9 4
31 24 10 2 4 7 19 3 7

2021 Alternative scenarios[edit]

Polling firm/
Link 		Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		The Left Civic
Coalition 		Poland
2050 		Polish
Coalition 		Agreement United
Right 		Kukiz'15 Confederation AGRO
unia 		Others /
Don't know 		Lead
IBRiS "Wydarzenia" Polsat 6 Oct 2021 1,100 41.3 36.4 9.8 12.5 4.9
25.8 14.0 36.4 8.4 15.2 10.6
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 24–27 Sep 2021 1,059 9 26 18 36 2 8 1 10
IPSOS / "GW", OKO.press 21–23 Sep 2021 1,000 7 37 4 34 11 6 3
IBSP / Stan Polityki 1–3 Sep 2021 1,000 9.95 37.86 35.60 9.84 6.42 0.33 2.26
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 20–23 Aug 2021 1,057 8 25 18 4 32 2 9 2 7
Pollster / SE.pl 30 Jul–2 Aug 2021 1,049 9.55 39.09 35.33 3.93 10.20 1.90 3.76
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 20–21 May 2021 1,022 7.3 8.8[af] 14.4[af] 17.6 3.9 38.6 7.4 2.0 21.0
Research Partner 14–17 May 2021 1,098 4.9 8.1 32.1[ag] 2.1 31.5 1.6 7.2 12.5 0.6
IPSOS / OKO.press 26–28 Apr 2021 1,000 49 32 11 8 17
United Surveys / WP.pl 5 Mar 2021 1,000 8.7 14.2[ah] 12.1 11.6[ah] 34.8 4.8 13.8 20.6
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 20–21 Feb 2021 1,100 14.5 17.1[ai] 13.9 12.4[ai] 36.4 [ai] 5.6 0.1 19.3
PGB Opinium 15–16 Feb 2021 1,100 56.0 33.6 10.3 5.5 22.4
IPSOS / OKO.press 10–12 Feb 2021 1,014 57 29 10 4 28

2020[edit]

For events during the year, see 2020 in Poland.
Polling firm/
Link 		Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		United
Right 		Civic
Coalition 		The Left Polish
Coalition 		Kukiz'15 Confederation Poland
2050 		Others /
Don't know 		Lead
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 28–29 Dec 2020 1,031 39.2 23.6 10.9 7.4 4.8 12.9 1.2 15.6
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 25–28 Dec 2020 1,040 35 25 13 3 5 9 10 10
33 19 11 3 4 8 20 2 13
IBRiS / WP.pl 21–22 Dec 2020 1100 33.2 23.6 8.9 6.0 4.5 9.1 14.7 9.7
CBM Indicator / "Rz" 17–22 Dec 2020 1000 25.7[e] 20.3 8.6 5.4 3.4 6.5 13.2 16.9[aj] 5.4
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 18–21 Dec 2020 1,096 33 26 14 2 5 9 11 7
31 20 11 4 2 10 20 2 11
IBRiS / Onet.pl 16 Dec 2020 1,100 33.0 22.3 7.1 6.1 4.9 11.0 15.5[ak] 10.7
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 11–14 Dec 2020 1,092 36 26 12 4 3 10 9 10
34 20 10 4 3 8 19 2 14
Pollster / SE.pl 12 Dec 2020 1,067 40.05 26.29 8.52 5.27 6.03 12.44 1.40 13.76
IBRiS / WP.pl 11–12 Dec 2020 1,100 34.0 23.4 9.7 6.2 4.0 14.4 8.3 10.6
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 10–11 Dec 2020 1,023 38.3 24.9 10.9 5.7 2.4 4.4 13.2 0.2 13.4
PGB Opinium 9–10 Dec 2020 1,100 33.7 23.8 9.0 4.8 0.7 5.9 13.6 8.6 9.9
CBOS 30 Nov–10 Dec 2020 1,010 31.1 18.1 3.9 2.0 2.0 5.1 15.6 22.2 13.0
Kantar Public 4–9 Dec 2020 987 25 25 8 5 2 6 13 16 Tie
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 4–8 Dec 2020 1,079 31 27 13 3 3 10 13 4
28 22 11 3 3 10 22 1 6
26 Nov 2020 The Polish Coalition parts ways with member party Kukiz'15
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 17–30 Nov 2020 1,079 32 28 14 3 11 12 4
29 21 12 3 10 23 2 6
United Surveys / DGP, RMF 27–28 Nov 2020 1,000 33.6 23.0 9.8 6.1 4.7 11.8 11.0 10.6
IBRiS / WP.pl 27 Nov 2020 1,100 32.7 22.4 10.1 5.8 5.4 12.6 11.0 10.3
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 26–27 Nov 2020 1,019 36.9 27.4 9.6 4.8 5.2 15.8 0.3 9.5
IPSOS / OKO.press 23–25 Nov 2020 1,000 29 23 10 4 9 20 5 6
Kantar Public / TVN 20–23 Nov 2020 1,003 27 25 8 4 7 14 15 2
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 20–23 Nov 2020 1,058 33 26 13 5 10 13 7
32 21 10 4 9 21 3 11
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 13–16 Nov 2020 1,049 32 31 12 6 8 11 1
28 24 10 6 7 22 3 4
CBOS 5–15 Nov 2020 1,052 29.8 16.3 6.0 2.5 6.8 16.3 22.3 13.5
IBRiS / WP.pl 13–14 Nov 2020 1,100 33.0 24.1 8.4 5.0 2.3 13.1 14.0 8.9
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 12–13 Nov 2020 1,025 36.8 29.3 9.4 4.6 6.6 12.7 0.6 7.5
Kantar Public 6–12 Nov 2020 981 30 24 6 6 6 13 15 6
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 6–9 Nov 2020 1,088 32 29 15 7 9 8 3
31 21 12 5 8 22 1 9
IBRiS / Onet 3 Nov 2020 1,100 28.7 24.7 7.0 5.1 5.1 11.3 18.0 4.0
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 30 Oct–2 Nov 2020 1,080 30 27 14 6 10 13 3
United Surveys / RMF 31 Oct 2020 1,000 30.9 25.3 6.0 2.7 4.9 14.7 15.4 5.6
IBRiS / "Rz" 30–31 Oct 2020 1,100 28.0 23.1 6.2 2.8 4.4 14.9 20.6 4.9
IBRiS / WP.pl 30 Oct 2020 1,100 29.0 24.0 6.9 3.3 5.3 14.9 16.6 5.0
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 29–30 Oct 2020 1,017 33.4 26.8 10.4 4.1 8.7 13.0 3.6 6.6
CBOS 19–29 Oct 2020 1,040 31.3 18.1 6.9 3.7 8.1 9.7 22.2 13.2
Pollster / SE.pl 27–28 Oct 2020 1,022 37.83 31.57 9.76 5.12 5.98 8.35 1.39 6.26
PGB Opinium 26–28 Oct 2020 1,100 32.6 25.5 8.2 4.1 9.3 12.8 7.5 7.1
Kantar Public / "GW" 26–27 Oct 2020 1,000 26 24 8 3 8 18 13 2
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 23–26 Oct 2020 1,069 37 26 13 6 11 7 11
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 22–23 Oct 2020 1,021 39.8 27.0 7.0 4.3 9.2 12.2 0.5 12.8
22 Oct 2020 Constitutional Tribunal's landmark decision on abortions, sparking protests[11][12]
IBRiS / Onet.pl 20 Oct 2020 1,100 37.0 26.8 7.5 3.8 7.2 8.7 9.0 10.2
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 16–19 Oct 2020 1,069 39 26 11 7 12 5 13
IBRiS / WP.pl 16 Oct 2020 1,100 36.1 28.2 6.4 2.5 7.8 9.4 9.6 7.9
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 9–12 Oct 2020 1,083 36 27 14 5 12 6 9
CBOS 28 Sep–8 Oct 2020 1,133 40.4 15.7 5.3 3.1 8.1 7.7 19.7 24.7
Kantar Public 2–7 Oct 2020 977 36 28 7 4 5 9 9 8
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 2–5 Oct 2020 1,076 36 20 13 4 10 15 2 16
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 38 24 14 6 11 7 14
IBRiS / WP.pl 2 Oct 2020 1,100 41.6 22.1 7.2 4.0 7.5 9.0 8.5 19.5
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 25–28 Sep 2020 1,067 42 25 11 7 9 6 17
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 25–26 Sep 2020 1,014 42.9 25.6 6.4 5.2 8.2 11.4 0.3 17.3
43.6 29.2 8.9 6.8 9.8 1.7 14.4
Pollster / SE.pl 21–22 Sep 2020 1,076 39.3[e] 24.2 8.3 5.7 8.5 9.9 4.1 15.2
CBM Indicator / "Rz" 21–22 Sep 2020 603 36.3[e] 25.9 7.5 4.3 8.0 12.9 10.4
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 18–21 Sep 2020 1,058 40 27 15 5 9 4 13
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 37 20 12 5 10 15 1 17
IBRiS / "Rz" 19 Sep 2020 1,100 36.0[e] 21.8 6.1 3.4 8.2 9.2 15.3 14.2
United Surveys / RMF 18–19 Sep 2020 1,000 40.5 23.3 6.0 5.0 6.7 9.1 9.4 17.2
IBRiS / WP.pl 18 Sep 2020 1,100 40.9 22.4 5.4 3.2 8.1 11.2 8.8 18.5
CBOS 7–17 Sep 2020 1,149 40.7 22.0 5.1 2.7 7.6 21.9 18.7
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 11–14 Sep 2020 1,055 42 26 10 7 8 7 16
Kantar Public 4–9 Sep 2020 977 39 26 4 4 6 11 10 13
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 4–7 Sep 2020 1,095 42 25 12 6 9 6 17
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 37 7[af] 20[af] 4 3 7 22 0 15
IBRiS / WP.pl 4–5 Sep 2020 1,100 41.3 28.6 6.7 5.9 8.4 9.1 12.7
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 28–31 Aug 2020 1,078 42 26 11 7 8 6 16
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 36 6[af] 20[af] 4 3 7 23 1 13
CBOS 18–27 Aug 2020 44 19[af] 0.2[af] 4 3 8 2.3 19.5 25
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 21–24 Aug 2020 1,062 41 25 13 6 9 6 16
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 36 5[af] 20[af] 5 2 9 23 1 11
IBRiS / WP.pl 21–22 Aug 2020 1,100 38.6 23.8 5.1 5.4 7.3 8.4 11.4 14.8
United Surveys / RMF 21 Aug 2020 1,100 41.3 22.5[af] 6.8[af] 3.2 2.4 6.7 7.1 10.1 12
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 14–17 Aug 2020 1,078 43 26 11 6 9 5 17
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 13–14 Aug 2020 1,022 44.0 29.8 9.6 6.9 8.5 1.2 14.2
42.1 25.9 7.3 5.2 6.8 12.4 0.3 16.2
Kantar Public 7–12 Aug 2020 971 38 23[af] 5[af] 6 3 4 5 16 15
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 7–10 Aug 2020 1,078 43 29 11 4 8 5 14
IBRiS / WP.pl 6–7 Aug 2020 1,100 36.0 31.0 9.1 5.0 6.7 12.2 5.0
34.3 27.1 5.6 2.8 6.1 11.7 12.3 7.2
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 31 Jul–3 Aug 2020 1,081 41 30 11 6 8 4 11
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 39 21 9 3 7 20 1 18
IBRiS / KO 29 Jul 2020 1,100 36 33 6 5 6 14 3
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 24–27 Jul 2020 1,062 43 29 8 7 9 4 14
IBRiS / WP.pl 24–25 Jul 2020 1,100 39.2 26.5 9.8 5.1 9.3 10.1 12.7
38.8 25.6 4.8 2.0 6.6 11.8 10.4 13.2
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 23–24 Jul 2020 1,034 43.9 30.8 9.4 6.5 8.8 0.6 13.1
41.5 24.7 8.7 5.4 7.9 11.4 0.4 16.8
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 17–20 Jul 2020 1,076 42 28 10 5 11 4 14
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 39 19 6 3 9 23 1 16
United Surveys / RMF 18 Jul 2020 1,100 37.5 29.1 8.0 5.4 8.7 11.3 8.4
IBRiS / Onet 17–18 Jul 2020 1,100 39.7 28.1 9.9 5.8 8.0 8.6 11.6
Presidential election, 2nd round 12 Jul 2020 20,458,911 51.03 48.97 - - - - - 2.06
Pollster / SE.pl 8–9 Jul 2020 1,058 41.40 23.02 9.98 4.24 8.54 12.12 0.70 18.38
CBOS 30 Jun–9 Jul 2020 1,339 42.3 23.9 5.7 3.2 7.2 17.7 28.4
IBRiS / Onet 4 Jul 2020 1,100 38.0 23.6 7.3 5.2 7.3 11.9 6.8 14.4
Presidential election, 1st round 28 Jun 2020 19,425,459 43.50 30.46 2.22 2.46 6.78 13.87 0.79 13.04
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 26–27 Jun 2020 1,045 42 25 14 8 9 2 17
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 41 20 9 5 6 18 1 21
IBSP 25–26 Jun 2020 1,092 43.85 30.94 8.88 6.15 9.75 0.43 12.91
CBOS 15–25 Jun 2020 1,378 44.2 23.9 6.6 4.1 5.6 15.6 20.3
IPSOS / OKO.press 22–23 Jun 2020 1,017 35 23 9 8 10 16 12
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 19–23 Jun 2020 1,066 40 30 13 7 8 2 10
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 38 20 11 4 7 19[al] 1 18
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 18–19 Jun 2020 1,017 42.8 28.4 9.6 10.4 7.5 0.3 14.4
Pollster / SE.pl 16–17 Jun 2020 1,047 41.3 29.6 10.7 9.1 8.8 0.5 11.7
IPSOS / OKO.press 15–16 Jun 2020 1,017 37 24 10 6 10 13 13
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 12–16 Jun 2020 1,065 39 28 13 9 8 3 11
Pollster / SE.pl 9–10 Jun 2020 1,091 42.2 26.5 11.4 8.9 9.7 1.3 15.7
Kantar Public 5–10 Jun 2020 986 37 31 7 7 7 10 6
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 5–9 Jun 2020 1,069 42 26 13 9 8 2 16
Kantar Public / PO 8 Jun 2020 1,000 36 29 8 5 10 12 7
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 3–4 Jun 2020 1,022 42.6 27.4 10.1 11.4 7.2 1.3 15.2
CBOS 22 May–4 Jun 2020 1,308 46.4 19.7 5.1 5.0 5.8 18.0 26.7
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 29 May–2 Jun 2020 1,058 43 24 13 8 9 3 19
IBRiS / "Rz" 29 May 2020 1,100 41.0 24.3 9.0 11.2 7.5 7.0 16.7
Pollster / SE.pl 26–27 May 2020 1,038 39.9 26.0 14.1 9.4 9.5 1.1 13.9
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 22–25 May 2020 1,056 42 24 14 9 9 2 18
IBRiS / WP.pl 22–23 May 2020 1,100 40.3 23.4 8.1 13.4 6.6 8.2 16.9
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 21–22 May 2020 1,100 41.9 26.1 11.6 11.9 6.6 1.9 15.8
Kantar Public 18–19 May 2020 954 37 23 8 7 11 14 14
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 11–18 May 2020 1,062 47 21 14 8 7 3 26
Pollster / SE.pl 15–17 May 2020 1,089 38.5 24.5 13.6 12.6 9 1.8 14.0
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 14–15 May 2020 1,025 45.8 17.3 12.8 14.1 8.9 1.1 28.5
44.1 13.4 10.2 12.9 8.8 10.6[al] 0 30.7
Kantar Public / KO 14 May 2020 1,000 41.1 29.7 10.3 8.0 9.7 1.2 11.4
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 12–14 May 2020 1,070 47 18 12 11 9 3 29
IBRiS / Onet 8–9 May 2020 1,100 37.7 15.6 8.2 12.8 8.7 17.0 22.1
Kantar Public / KO 8 May 2020 1,000 39.3 28.5 13.0 9.4 8.9 0.9 10.8
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 6–7 May 2020 1,073 52 17 12 8 10 1 35
Pollster / SE.pl 30 Apr–4 May 2020 1,109 40.2 23.7 14.7 11.0 9.4 1.0 16.5
IPSOS / OKO.press 27–29 Apr 2020 1,016 38 16 10 8 8 20[am] 22
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 24–27 Apr 2020 1,081 52 17 12 8 9 2 35
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 23–24 Apr 2020 1,018 42.7 19.7 14.4 15.8 7.2 0.2 23.0
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 17–20 Apr 2020 1,063 53 17 12 7 10 1 36
Kantar Public 16–17 Apr 2020 954 36 21 11 12 8 12 15
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 10–13 Apr 2020 1,060 52 15 11 8 11 3 37
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 8–9 Apr 2020 1,023 45.4 20.4 15.9 12.6 5.4 0.3 25.0
Pollster / SE.pl 6–7 Apr 2020 1,054 44.0 22.4 15.7 8.7 7.7 1.5 21.6
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 3–6 Apr 2020 1,064 49 18 14 10 9 0 31
IBSP / wp.pl 31 Mar–2 Apr 2020 1,002 42.0 27.1 12.5 9.6 8.7 0.1 14.9
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 27–30 Mar 2020 1,062 51 21 12 7 8 1 30
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 25–26 Mar 2020 1,032 44.3 22.9 15.0 12.3 5.2 0.3 21.4
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 20–23 Mar 2020 1,055 44 24 16 8 8 0 20
Pollster / SE.pl 17–18 Mar 2020 1,077 41.9 23.8 15.4 10.2 8.2 0.5 18.1
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 13–17 Mar 2020 1,065 40 26 17 10 7 0 14
CBOS 5–15 Mar 2020 919 49.1 20.6 7.7 7.0 6.9 8.7 28.5
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 12–13 Mar 2020 1,028 42.0 25.3 15.2 10.3 6.5 0.7 16.7
IBSP / wp.pl 10–13 Mar 2020 1,002 47.6 21.9 12.4 8.1 9.8 0.2 25.7
Kantar Public 6–11 Mar 2020 981 41 28 10 7 5 9 13
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 6–10 Mar 2020 1,063 45 24 15 9 7 0 21
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 28 Feb–2 Mar 2020 1,052 41 26 18 7 8 0 15
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 27–28 Feb 2020 1,031 41.7 28.6 13.4 9.6 6.2 0.5 13.1
Pollster / SE.pl 24–26 Feb 2020 1,097 41.4 25.1 14.4 9.8 8.3 1.0 16.3
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 21–24 Feb 2020 1,090 41 25 16 8 9 1 16
IPSOS / OKO.press 20–22 Feb 2020 1,013 38 26 13 7 8 8[an] 12
IBSP / wp.pl 18–20 Feb 2020 1,000 38.4 30.9 13.4 7.9 9.0 0.4 7.5
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 14–18 Feb 2020 1,053 39 25 16 11 9 0 14
CBOS 6–16 Feb 2020 994 44 24 9 5 6 12 20
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 12–13 Feb 2020 1,009 40.6 29.8 13.2 9.3 6.4 0.7 10.8
Kantar Public 7–12 Feb 2020 969 41 26 10 7 4 12 15
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 7–11 Feb 2020 1,085 42 25 15 8 8 2 17
IBRiS / "Rz" 7–8 Feb 2020 1,100 35.9 27.2 15.6 7.3 6.3 7.7 8.7
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 1–4 Feb 2020 1,080 39 28 15 9 7 2 11
Kantar Public / TVN 29–30 Jan 2020 1,000 35 30 13 7 7 8 5
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 24–27 Jan 2020 1,062 39 27 17 9 7 1 12
IBRiS / RMF 24–25 Jan 2020 1,100 38 26 15 7 6 8 12
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 23–24 Jan 2020 1,027 43.5 29.7 11.8 8.7 5.9 0.4 13.8
Pollster / SE.pl 22–23 Jan 2020 1,091 40.5 27.4 14.7 8.3 8.5 0.7 13.1
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 17–21 Jan 2020 1,054 41 26 17 7 8 1 15
IBSP / wp.pl 14–16 Jan 2020 1,001 37.8 31.3 13.3 7.4 9.7 0.5 6.5
Pollster / SE.pl 14–16 Jan 2020 1,075 41.1 27.5 14.5 8.5 8.1 0.3 13.6
CBOS 9–16 Jan 2020 1,069 44 23 10 7 5 11 21
Kantar Public 9–15 Jan 2020 984 38 28 13 6 3 12 10
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 10–14 Jan 2020 1,057 42 23 18 8 8 1 19
IBRiS / "Rz" 10–11 Jan 2020 1,100 37.3 26.9 12.9 4.7 5.0 13.2 10.4
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 9–10 Jan 2020 1,018 45.4 28.2 10.5 8.6 6.4 0.9 17.2
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 3–7 Jan 2020 1,033 41 24 16 10 8 1 17

2019[edit]

For events during the year, see 2019 in Poland.
Polling firm/
Link 		Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		United Right Civic Coalition The Left Polish Coalition Confederation Others /
Don't know 		Lead
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 27–31 Dec 2019 1,042 41 23 17 8 9 2 18
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 20–24 Dec 2019 1,044 41 23 17 8 9 2 18
IBSP / wp.pl 22 Dec 2019 39.1 27.9 16.1 7.0 9.8 0.1 11.2
Pollster / SE.pl 20–22 Dec 2019 1,060 43.5 25.5 14.4 8.1 8.0 0.5 18.0
IBRiS / "Rz" 19–20 Dec 2019 1,100 39.8 26.8 9.9 7.5 6.1 9.9 13.0
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 19–20 Dec 2019 1,021 44.2 27.9 11.8 8.8 6.6 0.7 16.3
Kantar Public / TVN 17–18 Dec 2019 1,003 41 27 12 7 7 6 14
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 13–17 Dec 2019 1,029 40 23 18 7 10 2 17
Kantar Public 6–11 Dec 2019 971 39 26 11 8 6 10 13
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 6–10 Dec 2019 1,037 40 22 19 10 8 1 18
IBRiS / RMF 6–7 Dec 2019 1,100 35 25 12 5 7 16 10
CBOS 28 Nov–5 Dec 2019 971 45.2 21.7 11.2 6.2 6.3 9.4 23.5
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 28 Nov–3 Dec 2019 1,028 40 24 16 9 9 2 16
Kantar Public / PO 29–30 Nov 2019 ~1,000 35 28 14 9 12 2 7
Pollster / SE.pl 27 Nov 2019 44.6 23.3 14.9 7.8 8.4 1.0 21.3
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 22–26 Nov 2019 1,037 40 24 18 10 6 2 16
IBRiS / "Rz" 22–23 Nov 2019 1,100 39.6 24.8 12.8 6.0 6.2 10.6 14.8
Kantar Public 15–20 Nov 2019 972 38 27 10 7 6 12 11
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 15–19 Nov 2019 1,029 40 25 17 8 9 1 15
CBOS 7–17 Nov 2019 996 45.7 20.0 11.6 8.8 6.2 7.7 25.7
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 8–12 Nov 2019 1,028 42 25 15 9 8 1 17
Kantar Public / "WO" 5–12 Nov 2019 1,502 38 27 14 7 9 5 11
Pollster / SE.pl 5–6 Nov 2019 1,099 46.4 25.0 12.7 8.8 5.7 1.4 21.4
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 1–5 Nov 2019 1,033 43 24 17 8 7 1 19
CBM Indicator / TVP 31 Oct–4 Nov 2019 1,000 44.0 26.1 14.4 8.8 6.2 0.5 17.9
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 25–30 Oct 2019 1,040 41.1 24.9 15.9 9.8 8.3 0.0 16.2
IPSOS / OKO.press 21–23 Oct 2019 1,004 41 23 15 9 7 5[ao] 18
IBRiS / "Rz" 18–19 Oct 2019 1,100 41.3 21.7 12.3 7.1 6.5 11.1 19.6
Kantar Public 11–16 Oct 2019 986 39 27 14 7 7 6 12
Parliamentary election 13 Oct 2019 43.6 27.4 12.6 8.6 6.8 1.0 16.2

Parties[edit]

Polling firm/
Link 		Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		United Right [ap] Civic Coalition The Left Polish Coalition K'15 Confederation Poland 2050
R PiS SP P PO .N IP Z SLD W LR PSL KORWiN RN KKP Others Don't know Lead
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 6 Jul 2021 1,100 1.5 29.5 0.9 1.2 18.9 8.2 5.3 7.8 15.3 11.4 10.6
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 30 Jun 2021 1,100 0.0 30.3 1.2 1.4 16.8 10.1 5.1 8.2 17.4 9.5 12.9
Pollster / SE.pl 26–27 Jun 2021 1,088 N/A 34.31 0.59 0.46 21.12 6.42 5.18 7.30 23.88 0.74 10.43
Pollster / SE.pl 5–6 Jun 2021 1,047 N/A 35.29 1.06 0.54 17.79 6.52 5.65 9.70 22.99 0.46 12.30
Pollster / SE.pl 19–20 May 2021 1,013 N/A 36.14 0.72 1.20 18.84 6.93 5.84 8.60 21.03 0.70 15.11
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 5 May 2021 1,100 N/A 30.1 1.0 1.7 15.8 10.1 4.4 10.3 17.9 7.7 12.2
Kantar / TVN 28 Apr 2021 1,001 N/A 25 1 2 21 8 3 3 7 21 9 4
Pollster / se.pl 20 Apr 2021 1,066 N/A 33.89 1.63 0.95 16.86 9.66 5.58 8.89 21.38 1.00 12.51
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 20 Apr 2021 1,100 N/A 30.1 2.2 1.6 17.3 10.6 4.4 7.3 15.5 11.0 12.8
United Surveys / WP.pl 16 Apr 2021 1,000 N/A 30.3 2.1 1.4 17.0 8.2 5.0 5.7 17.0 13.8 13.3
United Surveys / DGP, RMF 9 Apr 2021 1,000 N/A 30.2 2.2 1.8 16.2 10.3 5.0 4.7 16.7 13.0 13.5
CBM Indicator / "Rz" 25–30 Mar 2021 1,000 N/A 26.1 5.2 1.6 15.9 0.4 8.2 5.1 1.2 6.1 17.8 12.4 8.3
Pollster / SE.pl 3–4 Mar 2021 1,033 N/A 38.07 1.04 0.8 20.39 9.61 4.33 7.02 17.79 0.95 17.68
IBRiS / Fakt.pl 19 Jan 2021 1,100 N/A 32.3 1.2 1.0 20.0 7.4 5.0 6.6 13.5 13.0 12.3
CBM Indicator / "Rz" 17–22 Dec 2020 1,000 N/A 25.7 5.4 2.8 20.3 8.6 5.4 3.4 6.5 13.2 8.7 5.4
CBM Indicator / "Rz" 21–22 Sep 2020 603 N/A 36.3 3.5 1.7 25.9 7.5 4.3 8.0 5.8 7.1 10.4
Pollster / SE.pl 21–22 Sep 2020 1,076 N/A 39.3 2.4 0.7 24.2 8.4 5.7 8.5 9.9 0.9 15.1
IBRiS / "Rz" 19 Sep 2020 1,100 N/A 36.0 1.4 1.4 21.8 6.1 3.4 8.2 9.2 12.5 14.2
United Surveys / RMF 18–19 Sep 2020 1,000 N/A 35.7 1.5 1.3 21.2 6.2 4.5 7.0 9.8 12.8 14.5
IBRiS / WP.pl 18 Sep 2020 1,100 N/A 35.0 1.5 1.2 21.8 5.8 3.0 8.2 10.6 12.9 13.2
IBRiS / ZET 4 May 2020 1,100 N/A 40.5 0.6 0.5 16.4 8.2 10.3 8.7 14.5 23.6
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 1–5 Nov 2019 1,033 N/A 38 20 2 – – 10 8 2 6 5 4 2 – 3[aq] 18
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 25–30 Oct 2019 1,040 N/A 37.7 21.5 2.5 – – 7.6 7.4 3.7 6.8 5.7 4.3 2.2 – 0.6[ar] 16.2
IPSOS / OKO.press 21–23 Oct 2019 1,004 N/A 35.7 3.3 1.2 17.5 2.5 1.4 1.1 4.9 5.5 4.1 6.4 1.9 3.1 1.9 1.3 8.2 18.2

Seat projections[edit]

Polling Firm/Link Fieldwork
Period 		Sample Size United Right Civic Coalition The Left Polish Coalition Kukiz'15 Confederation Poland 2050 Others Majority
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 5–6 Nov 2021 1,016 209 119 32 13 30 56 1 Hung
IPSOS / "GW", OKO.press 20–23 Sep 2021 1,000 205 124 21 0 39 70 1 Hung
Pollster / Salon24.pl 11–12 Sep 2021 1,027 218 128 25 0 0 30 58 1 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 10–11 Sep 2021 1,016 230 121 30 0 0 34 44 1 Hung
IBSP / Stan Polityki 1–3 Sep 2021 1,000 191 121 22 0 44 74 8[as] Hung
United Surveys / DGP, RMF 27 Aug 2021 1,000 218 140 37 0 32 33 0 Hung
ewybory.eu 1 Jul–10 Aug 2021 10,088 165 159 60 11 41 24 0 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 20–21 May 2021 1,022 215 67 43 0 0 21 113 1 Hung
IBSP / Stan Polityki 13–14 May 2021 1,001 166 65 37 0 50 141 1 Hung
United Surveys / WP.pl 4 May 2021 1,000 211 74 44 11 0 10 109 1 Hung
IPSoS / oko.press 26–28 Apr 2021 1,000 186 87 31 0 46 109 1 Hung
Stan Polityki 16 Apr 2021 163 91 40 0 33 132 1 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 15–16 Apr 2021 1,029 200 85 41 10 0 18 105 1 Hung
United Surveys / DGP, RMF 9 Apr 2021 1,000 198 97 38 12 11 104 0 Hung
191[e] 93 52 15 12 96 1 Hung
Stan Polityki 2 Apr 2021 159 88 33 0 39 140 1 Hung
Stan Polityki 19 Mar 2021 152 91 39 0 36 141 1 Hung
Kantar / "GW", OKO.press 17–19 Mar 2021 1,000 166 84 31 0 42 136 1 Hung
Estymator / doRzeczy.pl 11–12 Mar 2021 1,025 209 82 49 14 0 16 89 1 Hung
Stan Polityki 5 Mar 2021 146 90 36 0 35 152 1 Hung
Estymator / doRzeczy.pl 25–26 Feb 2021 1,041 212 90 46 12 0 17 82 1 Hung
Stan Polityki 19 Feb 2021 158 92 30 0 38 141 1 Hung
United Surveys / WP.pl 19 Feb 2021 1,000 196 106 49 9 21 79 0 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 12–13 Feb 2021 1,022 211 102 38 12 0 19 77 1 Hung
IPSOS / OKO.press 10–12 Feb 2021 1,014 172 96 41 0 43 107 1 Hung
IBRiS / "Rz" 5–6 Feb 2021 1,100 199 99 34 11 15 101 1 Hung
Stan Polityki 5 Feb 2021 159 88 30 0 38 144 1 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 28–29 Jan 2021 1,029 220 104 44 11 0 15 65 1 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 14–15 Jan 2021 1,020 225 109 39 19 0 9 58 1 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 28–29 Dec 2020 1,031 219 121 45 22 0 52 1 Hung
CBM Indicator / "Rz" 17–22 Dec 2020 1000 161[e] 123 40 18 0 26 73 19[at] Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 10–11 Dec 2020 1,023 216 128 42 15 0 0 58 1 Hung
Kantar Public 4–9 Dec 2020 987 167 147 37 16 0 20 72 1 Hung
26 Nov 2020 The Polish Coalition parts ways with member party Kukiz'15
Polling Firm/Link Fieldwork
Period 		Sample Size United Right Civic Coalition The Left Polish Coalition Confederation Poland 2050 Others Majority
United Surveys / DGP, RMF 27–28 Nov 2020 1,000 201 134 45 20 0 59 1 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 26–27 Nov 2020 1,019 210 135 35 0 4 75 1 Hung
IPSOS / OKO.press 23–25 Nov 2020 1,000 161 120 42 0 33 103 1 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 12–13 Nov 2020 1,025 210 144 35 0 12 58 1 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 29–30 Oct 2020 1,017 194 131 39 0 35 60 1 Hung
Kantar Public / "GW" 26–27 Oct 2020 1,000 153 140 33 0 33 100 1 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 25–26 Sep 2020 1,014 233 139 28 20 39 1 3
238 123 14 11 30 43 1 8
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 22–23 Sep 2020 1,021 220 132 20 0 36 51 1 Hung
IBRiS / "Rz" 19 Sep 2020 1,100 229[e] 130 22 0 36 43 0 Hung
United Surveys / RMF 18–19 Sep 2020 1,000 242 132 15 12 20 38 1 12
237[e] 122 22 0 32 46 1 7
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 13–14 Aug 2020 1,022 237 139 33 21 29 1 7
234 127 23 8 14 53 1 4
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 23–24 Jul 2020 1,034 238 144 32 15 30 1 8
231 119 28 11 25 45 1 1
IBSP 25–26 Jun 2020 1,092 231 145 29 14 40 1 1
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 18–19 Jun 2020 1,017 231 137 35 40 16 1 1
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 3–4 Jun 2020 1,022 226 133 36 48 16 1 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 21–22 May 2020 1,100 226 123 45 55 10 1 Hung
Kantar Public 18–19 May 2020 954 219 129 41 22 49 1 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 14–15 May 2020 1,025 240 77 48 61 33 1 10
242 57 35 55 33 37 1 12
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 23–24 Apr 2020 1,018 222 91 57 74 15 1 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 8–9 Apr 2020 1,023 244 93 68 51 3 1 14
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 25–26 Mar 2020 1,032 240 101 63 52 3 1 10
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 12–13 Mar 2020 1,028 229 118 63 40 9 1 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 27–28 Feb 2020 1,031 226 136 54 33 10 1 Hung
IBSP / wp.pl 18–20 Feb 2020 1,000 203 147 52 24 33 1 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 12–13 Feb 2020 1,009 220 142 55 33 9 1 Hung
IBSP[au] 3 Feb 2020 204 151 61 22 21 1 Hung
Kantar Public / TVN 29–30 Jan 2020 1,000 193 163 59 22 22 1 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 23–24 Jan 2020 1,027 237 140 44 30 8 1 7
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 9–10 Jan 2020 1,018 244 137 37 29 12 1 14
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 19–20 Dec 2019 1,021 237 135 45 31 11 1 7
Kantar Public / PO 29–30 Nov 2019 ~1,000 179 139 62 30 49 1 Hung
Kantar Public / "WO" 5–12 Nov 2019 1,502 202 137 66 20 35 0 Hung
IPSOS / OKO.press 21–23 Oct 2019 1,004 218 116 67 38 20 1 Hung
Parliamentary election 13 Oct 2019 235 134 49 30 11 1 5

Alternative seat projections[edit]

Following set of projections is the result of continuous simulations carried out by Election Research Team of University of Lodz. The simulations use models of the spatial distribution of votes for individual parties, based on historical data.

2021[edit]

Polling Firm/Link Publication date Simulation result United Right Civic Coalition The Left Polish Coalition Poland 2050 Confederation German Minority Others Majority
Research Partner 7 Apr 2021 results 169 89 28 0 137 36 1 0 Hung
CBM Indicator / "Rz" 6 Apr 2021 results 171[av] 89[aw] 39 15 104 23 1 18[ax] Hung
results 210 86 36 13 97 17 1 0 Hung
Social Changes / wPolityce.p 1 Apr 2021 results 205 132 68 0 54 1 0 Hung
156 83 53 9 114 44 1 0 Hung
Kantar / Polityka 31 Mar 2021 results 164 82 42 0 136 35 1 0 Hung
IBRiS / Onet 30 Mar 2021 results 191 90 39 13 96 30 1 Hung
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 25 Mar 2021 results 206 140 64 0 49 1 0 Hung
164 87 37 0 128 43 1 0 Hung
Research Partner 24 Mar 2021 results 177 81 35 0 126 40 1 0 Hung
United Surveys / WP.pl 21 Mar 2021 results 211 98 40 21 67 22 1 Hung
Kantar / "GW", OKO.press 21 Mar 2021 results 162 85 34 0 135 43 1 0 Hung
results 145 99 45 0 133 37 1 0 Hung
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 18 Mar 2021 results 205 139 66 0 49 1 0 Hung
170 85 37 0 128 39 1 0 Hung
Kantar 15 Mar 2021 results 197 145 34 0 76 7 1 0 Hung
PGB Opinium 13 Mar 2021 results 177 93 33 0 117 39 1 0 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 13 Mar 2021 results 208 83 49 14 91 17 1 0 Hung
CBOS 12 Mar 2021 results 235 62 25 0 105 32 1 0 5
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 10 Mar 2021 results 203 140 67 0 49 1 0 Hung
174 91 53 0 102 39 1 0 Hung
Opinia24 / RMF 10 Mar 2021 results 167 95 35 0 128 34 1 0 Hung
IBRiS / "Rz" 8 Mar 2021 results 205 96 29 19 95 15 1 Hung
United Surveys / WP.pl 7 Mar 2021 results 206 92 42 17 96 6 1 Hung
221[ay] 77 40 61[ah] 60 0 1 Hung
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 4 Mar 2021 results 188 162 61 0 48 1 0 Hung
157 110 46 0 107 39 1 0 Hung
Pollster / SE.pl 4 Mar 2021 results 224 93 36 0 86 20 1 Hung
216[e] 97 35 0 89 22 1 0[az] Hung
IBRiS / Onet 2 Mar 2021 results 203 94 46 18 93 5 1 Hung
IBSP 1 Mar 2021 results 149 89 34 0 168 19 1 0 Hung
Estymator / doRzeczy.pl 27 Feb 2021 results 210 91 48 13 83 14 1 0 Hung
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 24 Feb 2021 results 201 147 64 0 47 1 0 Hung
168 89 52 0 119 31 1 0 Hung
Estymator / doRzeczy.pl 23 Feb 2021 results 196[ay] 81 63 53[ba] 61 5 1 Hung
United Surveys / WP.pl 22 Feb 2021 results 199 101 55 18 75 11 1 Hung
Stan Polityki 19 Feb 2021 results 158 91 35 0 137 38 1 0 Hung
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 17 Feb 2021 results 204 133 80 0 42 1 0 Hung
166 78 52 0 122 41 1 0 Hung
PGB Opinium 17 Feb 2021 results 185 96 28 0 113 37 1 0 Hung
PGB Opinium 17 Feb 2021 results 160 262 (United Opposition) 37[bb] 1 32
Kantar 16 Feb 2021 results 212 108 29 0 89 21 1 0 Hung
Estymator / doRzeczy.pl 14 Feb 2021 results 206 105 37 13 77 21 1 0 Hung
IPSOS / OKO.press 14 Feb 2021 results 137 285 (United Opposition) 37 1 55
IPSOS / OKO.press 13 Feb 2021 results 169 99 40 0 106 45 1 Hung
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 12 Feb 2021 results 193 145 54 0 47 1 20[bc] Hung
167 93 38 0 118 39 1 4[bd] Hung
CBOS 12 Feb 2021 results 236 76 0 0 128 19 1 0 6
Kantar 9 Feb 2021 results 202 143 25 0 82 7 1 0 Hung
United Surveys / WP.pl 8 Feb 2021 results 200 106 31 18 77 27 1 Hung
IBRiS / "Rz" 8 Feb 2021 results 203 101 35 13 94 13 1 Hung
Stan Polityki 5 Feb 2021 results 162 88 33 0 138 38 1 0 Hung
Pollster / SE.pl 4 Feb 2021 results 234 116 36 0 68 5 1 4
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 3 Feb 2021 results 214 136 65 0 44 1 0 Hung
169 81 33 0 139 37 1 0 Hung
IBRiS / Onet.pl 2 Feb 2021 results 189 97 36 16 90 31 1 Hung
IBSP 1 Feb 2021 results 146 96 25 0 147 45 1 0 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 30 Jan 2021 results 218 103 47 11 66 14 1 0 Hung
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 28 Jan 2021 results 190 148 61 13 47 1 0 Hung
163 104 34 0 126 32 1 0 Hung
United Surveys / WP.pl 26 Jan 2021 results 207 116 46 0 90 0 1 Hung
IBRiS / WP.pl 25 Jan 2021 results 184 98 40 13 95 29 1 Hung
IBRiS / Fakt.pl 22 Jan 2021 results 209[e] 110 30 14 72 24 1 0[be] Hung
215 108 29 14 71 22 1 Hung
PGB Opinium 22 Jan 2021 results 209 110 34 14 72 20 1 0 Hung
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 20 Jan 2021 results 197 159 54 0 49 1 0 Hung
165 105 39 0 109 41 1 0 Hung
Estymator / doRzeczy.pl 16 Jan 2021 results 222 111 40 19 59 8 1 0 Hung
CBOS 15 Jan 2021 results 243 80 14 0 111 11 1 0 13
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 14 Jan 2021 results 208 148 56 0 47 1 0 Hung
177 114 33 0 107 28 1 0 Hung
IBRiS / "Rz" 11 Jan 2021 results 213 115 31 15 64 21 1 Hung
191 165 71 32 1 Hung
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 6 Jan 2021 results 199 163 55 0 42 1 0 Hung
179 123 39 0 94 24 1 0 Hung

Government approval ratings[edit]

President Andrzej Duda[edit]

Date(s)
conducted 		Polling organisation/client Sample size Question
wording 		Approve Disapprove Don't know Net approval
8–12 Oct 2021 Kantar Public 1,002 Approve/Disapprove 30% 59% 11% –29%
26 Sep 2021 Pollster / SE.pl Approve/Disapprove 34% 58% 8% –24%
24–25 Sep 2021 IBRiS / "RZ" 1,100 Approve/Disapprove 45.0% 47.7% 7.3% –2.7%
3–8 Sep 2021 Kantar Public 1,008 Approve/Disapprove 35% 57% 8% –22%
16–26 Aug 2021 CBOS 1,167 Approve/Disapprove 44% 46% 10% –2%
9–14 Jul 2021 Kantar Public 1,004 Approve/Disapprove 31% 61% 8% –30%
7–17 Jun 2021 CBOS 1,218 Approve/Disapprove 46% 43% 11% +3%
11–15 Jun 2021 Kantar Public 1,011 Approve/Disapprove 34% 56% 10% –22%
6–16 May 2021 CBOS 1,163 Approve/Disapprove 45% 44% 11% +1%
7–12 May 2021 Kantar Public 1,005 Approve/Disapprove 36% 55% 9% –19%
9–14 Apr 2021 Kantar Public 1,006 Approve/Disapprove 31% 62% 7% –31%
5–10 Mar 2021 Kantar Public 1,014 Approve/Disapprove 31% 60% 9% –29%
5 Mar 2021 United Surveys 1,000 Approve/Disapprove 29.9% 60.6% 9.5% –30.7%
29 Jan–3 Feb 2021 Kantar Public 1,011 Approve/Disapprove 32% 59% 9% –27%
4–9 Dec 2020 Kantar Public 1,015 Approve/Disapprove 32% 58% 10% –26%
6–12 Nov 2020 Kantar Public 1,010 Approve/Disapprove 32% 59% 9% –27%
2–7 Oct 2020 Kantar Public 1,012 Approve/Disapprove 38% 52% 10% –14%

Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki[edit]

Date(s)
conducted 		Polling organisation/client Sample size Question
wording 		Approve Disapprove Don't know Net approval
5 Nov 2021 United Surveys / WP.pl 1,000 Approve/Disapprove 40.0% 59.2% 0.8% –19.2%
4–14 Oct 2021 CBOS 1,161 Approve/Disapprove 38% 46% 16% –8%
8–12 Oct 2021 Kantar Public 1,002 Approve/Disapprove 29% 61% 10% –32%
24–25 Sep 2021 IBRiS / "RZ" 1,100 Approve/Disapprove 41.6% 49.3% 9.1% –7.7%
6–15 Sep 2021 CBOS 1,218 Approve/Disapprove 37% 47% 16% –10%
3–8 Sep 2021 Kantar Public 1,008 Approve/Disapprove 34% 56% 10% –22%
9–14 Jul 2021 Kantar Public 1,004 Approve/Disapprove 31% 59% 10% –28%
7–17 Jun 2021 CBOS 1,218 Approve/Disapprove 40% 43% 17% –3%
11–15 Jun 2021 Kantar Public 1,011 Approve/Disapprove 34% 57% 9% –23%
6–16 May 2021 CBOS 1,163 Approve/Disapprove 39% 44% 17% –5%
7–12 May 2021 Kantar Public 1,005 Approve/Disapprove 35% 56% 9% –21%
8–9 May 2021 IBRiS / Onet 1,100 Approve/Disapprove 42.9% 50.2% 6.9% –7.3%
9–14 Apr 2021 Kantar Public 1,006 Approve/Disapprove 30% 63% 7% –33%
1–11 Mar 2021 CBOS 1,154 Approve/Disapprove 39% 48% 13% –9%
5–10 Mar 2021 Kantar Public 1,014 Approve/Disapprove 30% 60% 10% –30%
29 Jan–3 Feb 2021 Kantar Public 1,011 Approve/Disapprove 28% 63% 9% –35%
4–9 Nov 2020 Kantar Public 1,015 Approve/Disapprove 28% 62% 10% –34%
6–12 Nov 2020 Kantar Public 1,010 Approve/Disapprove 29% 62% 10% –33%
19–29 Oct 2020 CBOS 1,040 Approve/Disapprove 36% 49% 16% –13%
2–7 Oct 2020 Kantar Public 1,012 Approve/Disapprove 35% 54% 11% –19%

Law and Justice government[edit]

Date(s)
conducted 		Polling organisation/client Sample size Question
wording 		Approve Disapprove Neither Don't know Net approval Notes
4–14 Oct 2021 CBOS 1,161 Approve/Disapprove 33% 38% 25% 5% –5%
8–12 Oct 2021 Kantar Public 1,002 Approve/Disapprove 28% 62% 10% –34%
6–15 Sep 2021 CBOS 1,218 Approve/Disapprove 34% 38% 24% 4% –4% PiS government
39% 49% 12% –10% Morawiecki's government
3–8 Sep 2021 Kantar Public 1,008 Approve/Disapprove 32% 57% 11% –25%
9–14 Jul 2021 Kantar Public 1,004 Approve/Disapprove 28% 62% 10% –34%
7–17 Jun 2021 CBOS 1,218 Approve/Disapprove 34% 35% 27% 4% –1% PiS government
42% 44% 14% –2% Morawiecki's government
11–15 Jun 2021 Kantar Public 1,011 Approve/Disapprove 32% 59% 9% –27%
6–16 May 2021 CBOS 1,163 Approve/Disapprove 34% 40% 21% 5% –6% PiS government
41% 46% 13% –5% Morawiecki's government
7–12 May 2021 Kantar Public 1,005 Approve/Disapprove 32% 57% 11% –25%
9–14 Apr 2021 Kantar Public 1,006 Approve/Disapprove 28% 64% 8% –36%
1–11 Mar 2021 CBOS 1,154 Approve/Disapprove 32% 44% 21% 3% –12% PiS government
39% 51% 10% –12% Morawiecki's government
5–10 Mar 2021 Kantar Public 1,014 Approve/Disapprove 28% 62% 10% –34%
29 Jan–3 Feb 2021 Kantar Public 1,011 Approve/Disapprove 26% 65% 9% –39%
4–9 Dec 2020 Kantar Public 1,015 Approve/Disapprove 26% 64% 10% –38%
6–12 Nov 2020 Kantar Public 1,010 Approve/Disapprove 26% 65% 9% –39%
19–29 Oct 2020 CBOS 1,040 Approve/Disapprove 33% 43% 20% 4% –10% PiS government
35% 52% 12% –17% Morawiecki's government
2–7 Oct 2020 Kantar Public 1,012 Approve/Disapprove 34% 55% 11% –21%

Government preparations to the second COVID-19 wave[edit]

Date(s)
conducted 		Polling organisation / Publisher Sample size Question
wording 		WELL prepared BADLY prepared Neither Don't know Net approval
Mid October 2020 RMF24 & DGP N/A Has government prepared Poland and health service for the second wave of the coronavirus epidemic? 26.4% 67.9% N/A 5.7% –41.5%
October 2020 SW Research / RP.pl N/A Has government prepared Poland and Poles well for the second wave of the coronavirus epidemic? 18% 59.9% N/A 23.30% –41.9%

Government dealing with COVID-19 pandemic[edit]

Date(s)
conducted 		Polling organisation
/ Publisher 		Sample size Question
wording 		is in control is NOT in control Neither Don't know Net approval
27–28 Apr 2021 Kantar / TVN 1,001 Has the Polish government done everything to prevent Poles from dying in such large numbers as a result of the pandemic? 29% 59% - 12% –30%
30–31 March 2021 SW Research / RP.pl 800 Is the government in control of the coronavirus epidemic in Poland? 14.5% 52.1% 27% 6.4% –37.6%
Mid October 2020 RMF24 & DGP N/A Is the government in control of the coronavirus epidemic in Poland? 32.5% 60% N/A 7.5% –27.5%

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ Rafał Trzaskowski as party leader
  2. ^ Rafał Trzaskowski as party leader
  3. ^ AGROunia – 2.50%
  4. ^ others 1%, don't know 13%
  5. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z PiS party only, excludes other United Right coalition members.
  6. ^ United Poland – 0.9%, Agreement – 1.2%, The Republicans – 1.5%
  7. ^ others 0.5%, don't know 11.6%
  8. ^ United Poland – 1.2%, Agreement – 1.4%, The Republicans – 0.0%
  9. ^ United Poland – 0.59%, Agreement – 0.46%
  10. ^ 0.9% others, 9.9% don't know
  11. ^ Donald Tusk as party leader
  12. ^ United Poland – 1.06%, Agreement – 0.54%
  13. ^ Without undecided voters
  14. ^ United Poland – 1.20%, Agreement – 0.72%
  15. ^ United Poland – 1.7%, Agreement – 2.6%
  16. ^ AGROunia – 2.40%
  17. ^ Borys Budka and Rafał Trzaskowski as party leaders
  18. ^ Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz and Bronisław Komorowski as party leaders
  19. ^ United Poland – 1.0%, Agreement – 1.7%
  20. ^ United Poland – 1%, Agreement – 2%
  21. ^ United Poland – 1.63%, Agreement – 0.95%
  22. ^ United Poland – 2.2%, Agreement – 1.6%
  23. ^ United Poland – 2.1%, Agreement – 1.4%
  24. ^ United Poland – 2.2%, Agreement – 1.8%
  25. ^ AGROunia – 2.08%
  26. ^ United Poland – 5.2%, Agreement – 1.6%, The Greens – 0.4%
  27. ^ Don't know - 8%, others - 2%
  28. ^ United Poland - 1.04%, Agreement - 0.8%
  29. ^ AGROunia - 3.01%
  30. ^ AGROunia - 3.67%
  31. ^ United Poland - 1.2%, Agreement - 1.0%
  32. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n The Civic Coalition and "Rafał Trzaskowski's movement" or New Solidarity (later branded Wspólna Polska) were counted separately
  33. ^ Party of Szymon Hołownia and Rafał Trzaskowski
  34. ^ a b c Scenario with a "Polish Coalition", which would include the Polish People's Party, Agreement, and Civic Platform's breakaway conservative wing.
  35. ^ a b c Scenario with an extended "Polish Coalition", which would include the Polish People's Party, Agreement, Civic Platform's breakaway conservative wing, and Kukiz'15.
  36. ^ United Poland - 5.4%, Agreement - 2.8%
  37. ^ AGROunia – 2%
  38. ^ a b Respondents were suggested "Szymon Hołownia's party", then unregistered.
  39. ^ Includes: 6% – Nonpartisan Local Government Activists.
  40. ^ Includes: 3% – Nonpartisan Local Government Activists.
  41. ^ Includes: 1% – Nonpartisan local government activists.
  42. ^ Member of United Right and the Morawiecki's 2nd cabinet until 11 August 2021.
  43. ^ Includes: 1% – Federation for the Republic.
  44. ^ Includes: 0.6% – Federation for the Republic.
  45. ^ AGROunia – 7
  46. ^ United Poland – 18
  47. ^ Projection based on polls aggregation: 38.1% – PiS, 31.6% – KO, 14.6% – The Left, 7.5% – PSL-KP, 7.6% – Konfederacja, 0.7% – others.
  48. ^ Excluding United Poland and Agreement.
  49. ^ Excluding the Greens.
  50. ^ United Poland: 18.
  51. ^ a b Excludes Agreement
  52. ^ Agreement: 0, United Poland: 0
  53. ^ Coalition of Polish People's Party, Agreement, Kukiz'15 and conservative wing of Civic Platform
  54. ^ Coalition of Confederation and Kukiz'15
  55. ^ Kukiz'15: 20
  56. ^ Kukiz'15: 4
  57. ^ Agreement: 0, United Poland: 0

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Constitutional Tribunal: EU treaties partially unconstitutional". tvn24.pl. 7 October 2021.
  2. ^ "Dziś w Polsce prounijne manifestacje opozycji. Straż Narodowa organizuje kontrmanifestację [RELACJA NA ŻYWO]". onet.pl. 10 October 2021.
  3. ^ "Sejm wyraził zgodę na przedłużenie stanu wyjątkowego przy granicy Polski z Białorusią". tvn24.pl. 30 September 2021.
  4. ^ "ROZPORZĄDZENIE PREZYDENTA RZECZYPOSPOLITEJ POLSKIEJ z dnia 2 września 2021 r. w sprawie wprowadzenia stanu wyjątkowego na obszarze części województwa podlaskiego oraz części województwa lubelskiego" (PDF). tvn24.pl.
  5. ^ "To już przesądzone. Porozumienie opuszcza koalicję rządową". businessinsider.com.pl. 11 August 2021.
  6. ^ "Jarosław Gowin poza rządem: to koniec Zjednoczonej Prawicy [The end of United Right government]". onet.pl. 10 August 2021.
  7. ^ "Protesty w obronie wolnych mediów w kilkudziesięciu miastach [Protests in defense of free media in dozens of cities]". tvn24.pl. 10 August 2021.
  8. ^ "Powstała Partia Republikańska – nowa siła polityczna Adama Bielana. Na sali Jarosław Kaczyński". wprost.pl. 1 Jul 2021.
  9. ^ "Porozumienie Kaczyńskiego z Kukizem zawarte. "Podejmiemy to ryzyko"". tvn24.pl. 14 Jun 2021.
  10. ^ "Zgromadzenie ogólne Wiosny podjęło decyzję o samorozwiązaniu partii". pap.pl. 14 Jun 2021.
  11. ^ "Wyrok ws. aborcji. Jest uzasadnienie TK do wyroku z 22 października 2020 r." www.rp.pl (in Polish). Retrieved 2021-05-04.
  12. ^ "Pawłowicz przerwała rozprawę w sprawie konstytucyjności prawa UE". wyborcza.pl. Retrieved 2021-05-04.

External links[edit]

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