Opinion polling for the next Polish parliamentary election

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In the run up to the next Polish parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Poland. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, held on 25 October 2015, to the present day. The next general election is scheduled to be held not later than November 2019, though it may be held earlier if a snap election is called.

Graphical summary[edit]

Polish Opinion Polling for the 2019 Election.png

Poll results[edit]

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.


2018[edit]

Polling Firm/Link Last Date
of Polling
Law and Justice Civic Platform Kukiz'15 Nowoczesna Polish People's Party SLD.jpg Liberty Razem Others /
Don't know
Lead
Parliamentary Election October 25, 2015 37.6 24.1 8.8 7.6 5.1 7.6 4.8 3.6 0.8 13.5
Pollster July 12, 2018 40 27 9 5 6 8 2 3 0 13
Kantar Public July 11, 2018 34 23 9 3 4 6 1 2 18 11
IBRiS / "Rz" July 6, 2018 37.4 26.3 5.7 3.2 5.3 9.7 0.0 2.3 10.1[a] 11.1
Pollster / TVP July 5, 2018 42 26 8 5 5 8 6 16
CBOS July 5, 2018 40 16 8 5 3 7 2 0 19 24
Estymator June 28, 2018 42.3 25.2 8.9 5.2 5.5 7.5 1.4 2.6 1.4 17.1
IBRiS / Onet June 22, 2018 37.8 24.6 7.5 3.3 5.7 9.6 0.9 1.3 9.3 13.2
Pollster June 18, 2018 41 27 7 4 5 7 4 5 0 14
Kantar Public June 17, 2018 41 20 6 4 3 6 1 1 18 21
Estymator June 14, 2018 40.7 27.9 8.3 4.2 5.4 8.6 1.9 2.9 0.1 12.8
CBOS June 14, 2018 43 17 8 5 4 4 2 1 16 26
IBRiS / "Rz" June 8, 2018[1] 32.7 26.4 6.2 4.3 6.3 9.6 1.3 3.3 9.9 6.3
Pollster / TVP June 7, 2018 40 28 8 4 5 7 4 4 0 12
Millward Brown May 29, 2018 36 28 6 5 4 5 4 2 10[b] 8
IBRiS / Onet May 25, 2018 33.3 27.6 5.2 4.1 5.3 9.9 2.0 3.2 9.4 5.7
Estymator May 24, 2018 38.9 27.1 10.4 2.9 6.2 9.0 2.3 2.1 1.1 11.8
CBOS May 17, 2018 40 19 10 4 5 6 2 1 13 21
Kantar Public May 16, 2018 36 22 5 4 4 6 2 2 19 14
Estymator May 14, 2018 40.8 28.3 9.8 2.3 5.7 9.7 1.8 1.3 0.3 12.5
IBRiS / "Rz" May 11, 2018 37.6 27.3 6.3 2.9 5.3 10.4 1.5 1.0 7.7 10.3
Pollster / TVP May 11, 2018 43 20 8 6 5 9 4 5 0 23
Pollster April 29, 2018 42 24 9 5 5 7 4 4 0 18
Pollster April 27, 2018 42 23 11 6 4 7 3 4 0 19
Estymator April 26, 2018 38.2 27.3 13.1 3.9 6.2 8.6 1.1 1.3 0.3 10.9
Millward Brown April 26, 2018 33 25 5 6 5 8 4 3 11[c] 8
IBRiS / Onet April 19, 2018 34.5 24.3 9.8 4.5 6.6 9.2 1.5 1.1 8.5[d] 10.2
IPSOS / OKO April 13, 2018 39 21 11 7 4 6 4 2 6 18
CBOS April 12, 2018 46 16 5 4 3 6 2 1 17 30
Kantar Public April 11, 2018 36 23 6 5 3 7 3 1 16 13
Pollster / TVP April 7, 2018 41 23 8 7 5 9 4 3 0 18
Estymator April 5, 2018 39.4 28.3 8.9 4.3 6.0 9.3 1.4 2.1 0.3 11.1
Pollster April 5, 2018 40 21 10 8 5 9 3 4 0 19
IBRiS / "Rz" April 4, 2018 31.8 23.5 8.5 5.1 5.9 12.1 0.9 2.1 10.1 8.3
Pollster / TVP March 30, 2018 39 22 11 7 6 8 3 4 0 17
Millward Brown March 27, 2018 28 22 10 6 5 9 5 2 13[c] 6
Estymator March 22, 2018 46.8 25.7 7.9 4.7 5.1 6.8 0.8 1.7 0.7 21.1
IBRiS / Onet March 17, 2018 37.1 24.0 8.3 6.3 4.4 7.6 0.4 2.0 9.9[e] 13.1
Kantar Public March 14, 2018 37 22 6 5 2 4 1 1 20 15
CBOS March 8, 2018 44 14 6 6 5 5 2 2 16 30
IBRiS / "Rz" March 2, 2018 39.4 22.5 6.8 5.0 5.2 9.7 0.5 1.4 9.5[a] 16.9
IBRiS February 26, 2018 40.6 22.4 6.7 3.6 6.1 7.0 1.2 3.6 9.1 18.2
Estymator February 22, 2018 50.2 22.9 7.3 4.1 5.2 5.9 0.8 3.0 0.6 27.3
Pollster February 22, 2018 47 19 7 6 5 8 3 5 0 28
Kantar Public February 21, 2018 37 20 7 6 5 5 1 2 17 17
IBRiS / Onet February 20, 2018 39.7 19.6 5.5 4.5 6.6 9.4 1.4 3.9 9.3[f] 20.1
Millward Brown February 20, 2018 40 16 6 8 5 3 3 3 16[c] 24
CBOS February 8, 2018 43 17 7 5 4 4 2 1 15 26
IBRiS / "Rz" February 5, 2018 42.7 20.0 5.7 5.3 6.0 7.2 0.4 2.9 9.4[e] 22.7
Pollster January 30, 2018 49 15 8 8 6 6 3 5 0 34
Estymator January 26, 2018 48.7 20.6 9.4 4.4 5.2 6.8 0.8 3.1 1.0 28.1
IBRiS / Onet January 19, 2018 41.5 20.0 7.2 6.1 4.5 6.6 0.8 2.3 10.8 21.5
Kantar Public January 17, 2018 42 14 7 7 4 5 2 2 16 28
CBOS January 17, 2018 44 15 5 6 4 4 2 3 15 29
IPSOS / OKO January 13, 2018 43 19 10 6 3 5 3 2 9 24
IBRiS / "Rz" January 7, 2018[2] 43.4 19.0 6.1 8.4 5.4 6.7 1.1 3.0 6.9 24.4
IBRiS / PS January 5, 2018 41 20 6 7 5 7 1 2 11[g] 21
Pollster January 5, 2018 43 18 9 11 5 6 3 5 0 25

2017[edit]

Polling Firm/Link Last Date
of Polling
Law and Justice Civic Platform Kukiz'15 Nowoczesna Polish People's Party SLD.jpg Liberty Razem Others /
Don't know
Lead
Estymator December 28, 2017 45.7 23.4 8.3 6.9 5.5 5.4 1.0 2.9 0.9 22.3
Millward Brown December 22, 2017 38 20 6 8 4 8 3 4 9[b] 18
Pollster December 15, 2017 45 18 8 10 5 6 3 5 0 27
IBRiS / Onet December 14, 2017 40.9 23.8 6.7 8.3 4.1 5.6 1.0 2.3 7.3[h] 17.1
Kantar Public / "Fakt" December 11, 2017 50 17 11 9 3 5 1 2 2 33
CBOS December 7, 2017 41 18 7 11 3 3 2 2 13 23
Kantar Public December 6, 2017 40 17 7 7 5 4 2 1 17 23
IBRiS / "Rz" December 2, 2017 36.4 20.3 6.8 10.5 6.4 6.6 0.4 2.6 10.0[i] 16.1
Pollster November 29, 2017 47 17 10 9 5 5 3 4 0 30
Estymator November 24, 2017 42.8 23.6 9.8 6.0 6.4 5.3 1.3 3.4 1.4 19.2
Pollster November 22, 2017 43 19 11 9 5 6 3 4 0 24
IBRiS / Onet November 18, 2017 37.7 19.1 8.1 7.3 5.1 5.0 1.2 4.3 12.2[j] 18.6
CBOS November 12, 2017 45 17 8 5 4 3 1 2 15 28
Kantar Public November 8, 2017 38 18 9 7 5 4 1 2 16 20
Kantar Public / TVP[k] November 5, 2017 40 20 7 8 4 5 2 2 12 20
IBRiS / "Rz" November 4, 2017[3] 37.0 20.1 8.7 6.9 5.9 6.2 0.3 4.3 10.6[l] 16.9
Estymator October 27, 2017 42.8 22.2 9.1 8.4 5.8 5.4 1.2 3.2 1.9 20.6
IBRiS October 24, 2017 40.2 21.0 7.6 8.2 5.4 5.0 1.1 4.1 7.4 19.2
IBRiS / ZET[m] October 17, 2017 38.4 20.5 9.7 8.4 5.9 5.1 1.5 3.0 7.5 17.9
IBRiS / "SE" October 15, 2017 38.1 19.8 8.2 8.7 3.6 5.0 0.7 5.2 10.7[n] 18.3
CBOS October 12, 2017 47 16 8 6 3 2 2 2 14 31
Kantar Public October 11, 2017 41 18 8 5 5 7 2 2 12 23
IBRiS / "Rz" October 7, 2017[5] 39.8 21.2 6.7 8.9 4.2 5.3 1.6 3.6 8.7 18.6
Kantar Public / "Fakt" September 28, 2017 43 21 13 7 6 4 3 3 0 22
IBRiS / Onet September 26, 2017 38.6 20.1 8.2 8.0 5.8 5.8 1.4 2.4 9.7[o] 18.5
Estymator September 22, 2017 40.4 22.6 9.8 8.9 6.3 4.3 2.3 4.1 1.3 17.8
Pollster September 21, 2017 36 23 11 10 5 6 3 6 0 13
IPSOS / TVP September 14, 2017 39 20 9 11 4 3 3 2 9 19
CBOS September 14, 2017 44 19 8 6 5 3 1 2 12 25
IBRiS / "Rz" September 8, 2017 37.7 19.9 8.0 8.7 5.2 6.0 1.6 5.0 7.9 17.8
Kantar Public September 6, 2017 38 16 9 8 4 4 2 3 16 22
IBRiS / Onet August 28, 2017 36.4 19.6 8.0 10.9 5.4 4.5 3.4 3.4 8.4[p] 16.8
Estymator August 24, 2017 38.4 22.3 10.4 10.2 6.4 5.2 2.4 3.3 1.4 16.1
CBOS August 24, 2017 42 20 8 6 4 4 2 2 12 22
Pollster August 17, 2017 36 22 12 11 5 7 3 4 0 14
IBRiS / "Rz" August 12, 2017 33.4 22.8 7.8 10.6 4.9 5.3 1.7 1.8 11.7[q] 10.6
Kantar Public August 9, 2017 36 18 8 8 4 6 1 2 17 18
IPSOS / OKO August 4, 2017 40.0 21.0 11.0 6.0 4.7 4.2 2.6 2.4 8.1 19.0
Pollster July 31, 2017 33 26 11 9 5 8 4 4 0 7
IPSOS / TVP July 28, 2017 38 24 11 10 3 5 1 2 6 14
IBRiS / Onet July 27, 2017 32.3 20.6 11.9 10.2 5.1 6.2 1.5 3.1 9.1 11.7
Kantar Public / TVP July 24, 2017 35 21 11 10 3 4 1 2 13 14
Kantar Public / "GW"[r] July 22, 2017 33 23 10 9 3 3 4 3 12 10
Millward Brown July 21, 2017 32 23 8 10 4 4 3 3 13[b] 9
IBRiS / "Rz" July 19, 2017[7] 36.5 21.9 8.0 8.6 5.2 7.2 1.2 2.2 9.2 14.6
Kantar Public July 12, 2017 38 19 9 8 3 4 2 1 16[s] 19
Millward Brown July 12, 2017 36 22 8 8 4 6 2 4 10 14
IBRiS / Onet July 7, 2017 32.1 21.8 9.8 9.5 5.0 6.8 1.5 2.8 10.7[t] 10.3
CBOS July 6, 2017 38 22 8 5 3 5 2 1 16 16
IBRiS / "Rz" June 24, 2017[8] 33.7 22.9 10.0 6.2 4.9 6.7 0.8 2.3 12.5[u] 10.8
IPSOS / OKO June 21, 2017 41 26 12 7 5 4 3 4 0 15
IBRiS / Onet June 9, 2017 33.3 25.1 7.9 8.5 4.6 6.5 2.4 2.6 9.1 8.2
Pollster June 8, 2017 32 22 14 9 4 12 5 2 10
CBOS June 8, 2017 42 21 9 4 3 4 1 1 15 21
Kantar Public June 7, 2017 39 18 11 5 5 5 3 1 13[v] 21
Millward Brown June 4, 2017 32 27 9 8 4 6 2 3 9[b] 5
IBRiS / "Rz" May 25, 2017 33.5 26.1 14.1 7.9 4.1 6.1 1.2 2.5 4.5 7.4
Kantar Public May 17, 2017 35 21 10 6 3 3 1 2 19[s] 14
CBOS May 14, 2017 39 26 7 5 4 4 2 2 11[w] 13
Pollster May 12, 2017 30 28 13 8 4 10 3 4 0 2
IBRiS / Onet May 11, 2017 34.7 31.2 10.1 4.4 4.1 5.1 0.0 2.1 8.3[x] 3.5
Kantar Public / "GW" May 8, 2017 28 27 10 5 2 4 2 2 20[s] 1
IPSOS / TVP May 7, 2017 35 27 12 5 4 3 4 2 8[y] 8
PAS-P May 7, 2017 33.0 16.0 17.0 4.5 5.0 5.0 8.0 3.5 8.0 16.0
Kantar Public / TVP April 28, 2017 31 29 9 4 2 5 2 2 16 2
Kantar Public / "GW" April 27, 2017 27 28 12 4 3 5 3 3 15[s] 1
Millward Brown April 25, 2017 29 31 10 5 3 6 3 3 10[b] 2
IBRiS / "Rz" April 21, 2017[9] 31.7 30.0 10.3 6.3 4.4 5.2 0.0 3.4 8.7 1.7
Pollster April 21, 2017 33 27 13 8 3 11 1 4 0 6
Kantar Public / "GW" April 12, 2017 28 27 12 5 4 3 2 2 17[y] 1
Kantar Public April 11, 2017 38 19 11 5 3 4 1 2 17[s] 19
IBRiS / ZET April 11, 2017 32.7 25.7 8.0 6.3 7.0 5.9 0.5 4.5 9.4[t] 7.0
CBOS April 6, 2017 37 26 9 5 4 4 2 2 11 11
Kantar Public / wSieci April 5, 2017 35 26 13 10 4 5 3 3 1 9
Dobra Opinia April 3, 2017 34.3 26.2 9.8 10.8 5.2 5.5 2.2 3.7 2.3[z] 8.1
Pollster April 2, 2017 31 26 11 11 3 12 1 5 0 5
IBRiS / Onet March 30, 2017[10] 30.5 29.2 8.8 7.4 6.6 6.0 1.1 3.9 6.7[aa] 1.3
Millward Brown March 30, 2017 29 27 10 8 4 8 4 2 8 2
Kantar Public / "GW" March 23, 2017 27 24 11 8 3 5 2 3 17[s] 3
IPSOS / OKO March 19, 2017 32 28 10 8 6 5 3 4 4 4
IBRiS / "Rz" March 17, 2017[11] 29.4 27.3 8.1 9.4 6.2 5.1 1.3 4.9 8.3 2.1
CBOS March 9, 2017 37 19 9 8 5 4 2 2 14 18
Kantar Public March 8, 2017 35 21 8 8 4 4 1 2 17[y] 14
Millward Brown March 8, 2017 34 24 5 11 4 3 4 3 12 10
Pollster March 8, 2017 31 20 13 14 5 10 2 5 0 11
IBRiS / Onet March 3, 2017 32.8 18.1 8.1 11.6 6.2 6.2 1.6 3.4 12.0[f] 14.7
Kantar Public February 22, 2017 33 22 8 8 3 3 1 1 21[s] 11
IBRiS / "Rz" February 17, 2017[12] 34.8 17.1 9.8 9.9 6.1 5.7 1.2 3.3 12.1[ab] 17.7
CBOS February 9, 2017 40 17 8 9 3 5 2 2 14 23
IBRiS / Onet February 2, 2017 36.0 20.2 7.7 13.4 5.7 5.2 0.0 3.2 8.6[ac] 15.8
Kantar Public January 27, 2017 36 19 12 9 3 5 2 2 12[v] 17
IBRiS / "Rz" January 20, 2017[13] 37.7 19.1 7.2 11.4 6.9 5.2 0.5 3.0 9.0 18.6
Pollster January 20, 2017 34 16 14 15 4 10 2 5 0 18
CBOS January 15, 2017 37 16 8 9 5 6 2 2 15 21
IBRiS / ZET January 13, 2017 34.9 20.6 5.3 14.0 7.9 5.8 1.4 2.9 7.2[ad] 14.3
IBRiS / Onet January 5, 2017 34.7 17.1 8.6 13.3 5.7 5.9 1.3 3.6 9.8[ae] 17.6
Pollster January 3, 2017 31 11 15 24 4 8 2 5 0 7

2016[edit]

Polling Firm/Link Last Date
of Polling
Law and Justice Civic Platform Kukiz'15 Nowoczesna Polish People's Party United Left Liberty Razem Others /
Don't know
Lead
Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej Teillogo.svg Logo TwojRuch.png
Millward Brown December 22, 2016 35 15 6 24 5 3 3 2 7 11
Kantar Public / CBOS December 22, 2016 35 19 9 18 3 3 2 2 9 16
IPSOS / OKO December 21, 2016 35 21 10 20 3 4 4 2 1 14
IBRiS December 20, 2016 30.3 17.7 9.7 22.3 4.9 3.8 2.5 2.5 6.3 8.0
Pollster December 15, 2016 33 13 12 21 3 8 3 7 0 12
CBOS December 11, 2016 36 16 7 14 3 4 3 2 15 20
IBRiS / Onet December 11, 2016 30.1 15.2 8.6 20.0 5.4 5.2 2.8 4.0 8.7[af] 10.1
Kantar Public December 7, 2016 35 18 8 10 5 4 1 1 2 16 17
Millward Brown / RMF November 25, 2016 34 17 8 19 2 5 4 2 9 15
Pollster November 24, 2016 33 13 10 23 3 8 4 4 2 10
PAS-P November 21, 2016 34.0 13.5 18.0 7.0 7.0 3.5 6.0 2.5 8.5 16.0
IBRiS / "Rz" November 19, 2016[14] 29.7 14.2 9.1 19.9 4.3 4.5 3.5 4.0 10.8[ag] 9.8
Kantar Public November 17, 2016 34 19 8 9 5 4 1 1 2 17 15
CBOS November 13, 2016 38 14 6 17 4 5 2 1 13 21
IBRiS / Onet November 10, 2016 30.6 14.2 7.4 22.4 5.7 4.9 2.0 3.1 9.7[j] 8.2
TNS Poland / "GW" October 26, 2016 29 14 11 19 3 2 1 3 3 15 10
IBRiS / "Rz" October 22, 2016[15] 30.2 16.7 8.9 20.1 5.1 5.7 1.1 2.9 9.3 10.1
CBOS October 19, 2016 38 15 6 16 4 4 3 2 12 22
Dobra Opinia October 16, 2016 33.9 20.7 8.6 17.5 4.2 6.0 2.2 4.2 2.7[ah] 13.2
IBRiS / Onet October 13, 2016 29.3 16.3 6.8 22.9 5.2 5.3 1.4 3.4 9.4[ai] 6.4
TNS Poland October 12, 2016 34 15 9 11 3 3 0 3 3 19 19
Pollster October 11, 2016 24 13 7 18 2 6 5 4 21 6
IBRiS / ZET October 8, 2016 29.8 16.1 6.7 24.3 5.1 4.7 1.6 3.9 7.8[d] 5.5
Millward Brown October 5, 2016 30 16 8 22 2 5 5 4 8 8
IPSOS / OKO September 30, 2016 34 14 11 22 2 3 3 3 8 12
IBRiS / "Rz" September 29, 2016[16] 29.4 12.8 10.0 25.1 3.2 5.2 3.3 5.0 6.0 4.3
IBRiS / "Rz" September 24, 2016[16] 31.8 15.2 10.9 20.4 4.0 5.1 1.9 3.5 7.2 11.4
TNS Poland / "Fakt" September 20, 2016 36.1 17.1 12.6 19.6 2.5 4.9 3.7 1.8 1.7 16.5
IBRiS / Onet September 16, 2016 31.2 18.2 9.0 20.1 3.5 4.1 1.9 2.3 9.7 11.1
Pollster September 15, 2016 23 9 9 15 2 6 4 4 28 8
CBOS September 15, 2016 36 17 6 16 3 3 2 2 15 19
TNS Poland September 14, 2016 36 17 9 11 3 3 1 2 1 17 19
IBRiS / "Rz" August 27, 2016[17] 28.6 17.4 10.6 18.9 5.2 5.3 1.9 3.8 8.3 9.7
CBOS August 25, 2016 41 16 8 12 3 3 2 3 12 25
IBRiS / Onet August 19, 2016 34.3 18.4 10.1 17.9 3.2 4.8 2.5 3.5 5.3 15.9
TNS Poland August 10, 2016 36 18 9 8 5 3 1 3 0 17 18
IBRiS / "Rz" July 30, 2016[18] 31.8 18.3 10.6 18.4 4.1 6.4 3.2 2.2 5.0 13.4
Pollster July 23, 2016 25 12 9 15 2 7 4 3 23 10
IBRiS / Onet July 22, 2016 33.2 17.5 7.9 19.7 3.1 5.3 3.2 2.7 7.4 13.5
Millward Brown July 21, 2016 33 19 7 18 2 4 3 4 10 14
Pollster July 18, 2016 25 10 8 16 4 6 5 5 21 9
Pracownia Mediowa July 8, 2016 24.0 19.8 4.0 15.5 3.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 26.7 4.2
CBOS July 7, 2016 39 15 8 14 3 3 4 3 11 24
TNS Poland July 6, 2016 36 18 8 10 4 4 0 1 2 17 18
IBRiS / "Rz" July 5, 2016[19] 32.2 15.4 10.3 20.6 2.5 5.4 3.3 3.4 6.9 11.6
IPSOS / OKO[aj] June 28, 2016 35 15 7 20 3 2 8 3 7 15
TNS Poland / "GW" June 28, 2016 30 18 9 16 3 3 1 6 4 10 12
IBRiS / Onet June 24, 2016 35.5 15.4 11.0 19.6 3.2 4.7 3.5 2.0 5.1 15.9
Pollster June 20, 2016 29 9 8 19 2 5 4 5 19 10
PAS-P June 12, 2016 41 14 19 6 4.5 3 7 1.5 4 22
Millward Brown June 10, 2016 36 14 7 21 2 4 5 3 8 15
CBOS June 9, 2016 35 15 9 14 2 5 3 3 14 20
TNS Poland June 8, 2016 40 17 9 9 2 3 1 4 2 13 23
IBRiS / "Rz" June 4, 2016[21] 32.7 18.2 7.9 19.3 4.6 3.7 5.0 2.9 5.7 13.4
CBOS May 29, 2016[22] 36 16 6 14 5 4 3 3 13 20
IBRiS / Onet May 27, 2016 32.6 16.2 7.5 21.1 4.2 4.9 3.9 3.8 5.8 11.5
Pollster[ak] May 25, 2016 28 12 7 17 2 7 5 2 20 11
Millward Brown May 24, 2016 37 17 5 20 4 5 4 3 5[b] 17
Millward Brown / "GW" May 22, 2016 34 14 4 19 4 5 6 3 11[al] 15
TNS Poland May 18, 2016 39 17 7 11 4 4 0 2 2 14 22
Dobra Opinia May 17, 2016 37.1 19.0 9.0 18.0 3.9 4.0 0.0 4.7 2.6 1.7[am] 18.1
CBOS May 12, 2016[24] 34 16 8 18 4 4 0 3 2 11 16
TNS Poland / "GW"[an] May 10, 2016 34 17 9 20 2 3 0 4 2 9 14
IBRiS / "Rz" May 8, 2016[26] 33.1 11.9 10.4 20.7 5.3 5.6 0.0 3.0 3.2 6.8 12.4
IBRiS / Onet April 29, 2016 34.0 16.0 8.4 22.5 3.5 5.1 0.0 1.4 1.9 7.2 11.5
Pollster April 28, 2016 28 12 9 20 3 6 0 4 3 15 8
Millward Brown April 28, 2016 33 15 7 22 3 4 0 4 3 9[b] 11
IBRiS April 14, 2016[27] 30.9 12.8 13.1 20.4 4.6 4.6 0.0 2.7 3.0 7.9 10.5
TNS Poland April 13, 2016 34 18 8 9 3 3 2 2 2 19 16
TNS Poland / "GW" April 13, 2016 32 15 12 17 3 4 0 4 3 10 15
IBRiS / "Rz" April 8, 2016[28] 27.6 15.0 11.7 21.9 4.6 4.6 0.0 4.9 3.1 6.6 5.7
Pollster April 7, 2016 26 12 10 19 2 6 0 4 5 16 7
CBOS April 7, 2016[29] 38 13 8 18 3 4 0 2 3 11 20
IBRiS / Onet April 1, 2016[30] 29.3 14.3 11.5 22.7 2.4 4.1 0.0 5.0 4.6 6.1 6.6
Millward Brown March 23, 2016 29 17 10 18 3 6 0 5 5 7 11
CBOS March 19, 2016[31] 34 14 12 16 3 4 0 6 2 9 18
IBRiS March 17, 2016[32] 33.5 15.7 6.7 23.5 3.3 5.4 0.0 2.5 3.7 5.7 10.0
TNS Poland / "GW" March 16, 2016 26 15 14 19 2 3 1 5 4 11 7
IBRiS / "Rz" March 12, 2016[33] 32.9 18.9 8.3 22.1 3.6 4.7 0.0 2.1 2.3 5.1 10.8
TNS Poland March 9, 2016[34] 38 12 9 13 5 3 0 2 1 17 25
CBOS March 9, 2016[35] 37 18 8 17 3 3 0 2 2 10 19
IBRiS / Onet March 4, 2016[36] 33.9 17.9 7.4 23.5 2.9 4.2 0.0 2.7 3.2 4.3 10.4
Millward Brown February 26, 2016 32 17 8 22 2 4 0 3 3 9 10
Pollster February 23, 2016 27 11 11 22 5 5 0 4 3 12 5
Dobra Opinia February 16, 2016 34.5 18.0 11.6 18.4 4.2 4.8 0.0 4.0 3.1 1.5[ao] 16.1
IBRiS / "Rz" February 13, 2016[37] 30.5 14.4 8.6 23.7 3.6 4.8 0.0 2.7 2.2 9.5 6.8
TNS Poland February 10, 2016[38] 40 15 9 13 5 2 1 3 2 10 25
CBOS February 10, 2016[39] 34 14 11 19 2 3 0 3 2 12 15
Pollster February 8, 2016 26 12 10 21 4 4 0 3 3 17 5
PAS-P February 6, 2016 39 14 19 7 3.5 3 7.5 2 5 20
IBRiS / Onet February 5, 2016[40] 30.3 15.2 6.9 26.2 4.6 5.7 0.0 3.6 2.7 4.8 4.1
TNS Poland / "GW" January 31, 2016 28 19 8 22 4 19 6
TNS Poland / "Fakt" January 28, 2016 31.2 21.1 9.5 24.4 2.0 3.5 4.2 3.5 0.6 6.8
CBOS January 28, 2016[41] 36 14 11 18 2 3 1 4 2 9 18
TNS Poland January 27, 2016[42] 37 17 10 13 4 4 4 1 10 20
TNS Poland January 20, 2016 38 16 11 15 3 2 3 2 10 22
Pollster January 18, 2016 27 12 8 24 4 5 4 3 13 3
IBRiS / "Rz" January 16, 2016[43] 31.6 13.6 4.8 28.2 4.6 5.0 0 2.9 1.7 7.6 3.4
Millward Brown January 14, 2016 30 14 9 27 2 5 0 4 1 8 3
CBOS January 14, 2016[44] 39 13 9 22 2 2 1 3 3 6 17
PressMix January 9, 2016 48 7 5 9 2 1 0 1 4 23 36
IBRiS / Onet January 7, 2016[45] 27.3 16.2 7.0 29.6 4.5 5.4 3.3 2.2 4.5 2.3

2015[edit]

Polling Firm/Link Last Date
of Polling
Law and Justice Civic Platform Kukiz'15 Nowoczesna Polish People's Party United Left Liberty Razem Others /
Don't know
Lead
Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej Teillogo.svg Logo TwojRuch.png
PAS-P December 20, 2015 38 16 21 6 6 4 4 3 2 17
IBRiS / "WP" December 17, 2015[46] 27.9 12.7 7.7 30.8 3.8 6.1 5.0 1.9 4.1 2.9
Millward Brown December 17, 2015 33 14 6 28 4 4 0 4 1 6 5
IBRiS / "SE" December 15, 2015[47] 27.3 14.4 7.9 30.9 5.6 5.3 3.9 1.6 3.1 3.6
IBRiS / "Rz" December 12, 2015[48] 29.8 14.8 5.3 25.3 5.7 7.4 5.7 1.7 4.3 4.5
TNS Poland / "GW" December 11, 2015 27 16 12 24 4 6 4 7 3
IPSOS / TVP December 11, 2015 33 17 6 18 3 6 6 2 9 15
CBOS December 10, 2015[49] 35 15 8 21 3 3 1 3 3 8 14
TNS Poland December 9, 2015[50] 42 17 12 10 3 4 2 1 9 25
PressMix December 6, 2015 45 10 10 12 4 3 3 6 7 33
IBRiS / Onet December 5, 2015[51] 31.8 18.0 6.1 20.0 6.4 7.9 3.7 1.3 4.8 11.8
Millward Brown December 3, 2015 32 19 7 20 4 6 4 2 6 12
IBRiS / "Rz" November 28, 2015[52] 34.6 14.8 7.0 22.8 4.9 5.4 5.4 1.5 3.6 11.8
Estymator November 27, 2015 42 16 8 17 4 4 4 3 2 25
IPSOS / TVP November 19, 2015 35 18 10 10 4 4 6 3 10 17
Millward Brown November 18, 2015 35 22 7 9 5 7 5 4 6 13
IBRiS / "Rz" November 14, 2015[53] 35.3 19.6 6.9 13.8 5.1 7.8 4.0 2.9 4.6 15.7
TNS Poland November 12, 2015[54] 44 17 9 8 4 5 3 1 9 27
IBRiS / Onet November 6, 2015[55] 34.4 19.9 7.6 13.5 5.0 8.9 3.8 4.2 2.7 14.5
IBRiS / "Rz" November 3, 2015[56] 35.7 19.0 10.4 11.8 4.1 5.8 3.6 5.1 4.5 16.7
Parliamentary Election October 25, 2015 37.6 24.1 8.8 7.6 5.1 7.6 4.8 3.6 0.8 13.5

Alternative scenarios[edit]

Some polls gauge voting intention in case an electoral coalition is created by two or more opposition parties.

Polling Firm/Link Last Date
of Polling
Law and Justice Civic Platform Nowoczesna Polish People's Party Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej Teillogo.svg Razem Kukiz'15 Liberty Others /
Don't know
Lead
IBRiS / "Fakt" May 9, 2018 36.9 33.4 5.7 10.0 5.5 8.5 3.5
Pollster April 29, 2018 38 35 5 6 3 8 5 0 3
IBRiS / Onet April 19, 2018 34.9 29.6 6.2 8.0 11.0 10.3 5.3
IPSOS / OKO April 13, 2018 34 27 14[ap] 2 12 5 6 7
Kantar Public April 10, 2018 29 32 3 7 2 10 2 15 3
IBRiS March 26, 2018 35.2 33.0 3.5 4.5 3.0 9.0 0 11.2 2.2
Kantar Public March 20, 2018 34 27 4 4 4 12 2 12 7
IBRiS / "Rz" March 2, 2018 38.2[aq] 22.0 5.0 5.1 9.3 1.4 6.8 0.5 12.2[ar] 16.2
IPSOS / OKO January 13, 2018 42 28 11[ap] 11 3 5 14
IBRiS / ZET October 17, 2017 35.1 36.8 2.2 1.6 11.9 5.0 7.4 1.7
Ariadna[as] July 31, 2017 23.8 16.7 5.8 2.4 3.8 4.0 11.7 1.9 29.9[at] 7.1
Kantar Public / "Rz" July 25, 2017 31 38 5 3 15 3 5 7
Kantar Public / "Rz" July 25, 2017 32 35 6 4 3 13 2 5 3
Kantar Public / "GW" July 22, 2017 32 36 7[au] 14 3 8 4
Ariadna / "DGP" July 10, 2017 37.2 28.7 2.9 5.3 1.5 9.0 2.0 13.4 8.5
IPSOS / OKO June 28, 2016 32 38 4 12 6 8 6
Pollster May 25, 2016 27 11 28 3 6 5 20 1
TNS Poland / "GW" May 10, 2016 33 38[av] 3 13 6 7 5

Seat projections[edit]

Polling Firm/Link Last Date
of Polling
Law and Justice Civic Platform Kukiz'15 Nowoczesna Polish People's Party Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej Teillogo.svg Liberty Razem Others Majority
Estymator June 28, 2018 236 133 39 8 17 26 0 0 1 6
Estymator June 14, 2018 229 150 33 0 14 33 0 0 1 Hung
Estymator May 24, 2018 218 142 44 0 20 35 0 0 1 Hung
Estymator May 14, 2018 226 142 41 0 14 36 0 0 1 Hung
Estymator April 26, 2018 209 142 56 0 19 33 0 0 1 Hung
Estymator April 5, 2018 210 157 37 0 18 37 0 0 1 Hung
IBRiS / "Rz" April 4, 2018 194 135 42 10 20 58 0 0 1 Hung
Estymator March 22, 2018 258 139 29 0 11 22 0 0 1 28
Estymator February 22, 2018 284 121 29 0 11 14 0 0 1 54
Estymator January 26, 2018 277 105 41 0 11 25 0 0 1 47
IBRiS / PS January 5, 2018 256 118 18 23 17 27 0 0 1 26
Estymator December 28, 2017 265 121 35 19 11 8 0 0 1 35
IBRiS / Onet December 14, 2017 250 137 27 31 0 14 0 0 1 20
Kantar Public / "Fakt" December 11, 2017 285 88 48 30 0 8 0 0 1 55
Estymator November 24, 2017 246 130 42 11 21 9 0 0 1 16
Estymator October 27, 2017 248 114 40 28 18 11 0 0 1 18
Kantar Public / "Fakt" September 28, 2017 221 108 66 35 30 0 0 0 0 Hung
IBRiS / Onet September 26, 2017 241 111 41 30 20 16 0 0 1 11
Estymator September 22, 2017 235 124 44 34 22 0 0 0 1 5
Estymator August 24, 2017 221 119 45 42 23 9 0 0 1 Hung
IBRiS / "Rz" June 24, 2017 204 145 45 22 8 35 0 0 1 Hung
IBRiS / Onet May 11, 2017 213 186 49 0 0 11 0 0 1 Hung
Millward Brown April 25, 2017 172 195 45 20 0 27 0 0 1 Hung
IBRiS / "Rz" April 21, 2017[9] 193 181 49 22 0 14 0 0 1 Hung
IBRiS / ZET April 11, 2017 204 151 39 17 27 21 0 0 1 Hung
IBRiS / "Rz" March 17, 2017[11] 176 160 45 41 22 10 0 5 1 Hung
IBRiS / "Rz" January 20, 2017[13] 232 104 31 54 27 11 0 0 1 2
IBRiS / "Rz" October 22, 2016[15] 188 87 44 107 18 15 0 0 1 Hung
Parliamentary Election October 25, 2015 235 138 42 28 16 0 0 0 1 5

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ a b Includes: 0.0% – Congress of the New Right.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g Includes: 1% – National Movement.
  3. ^ a b c Includes: 0% – National Movement.
  4. ^ a b Includes: 1.1% – Congress of the New Right.
  5. ^ a b Includes: 0.4% – Congress of the New Right.
  6. ^ a b Includes: 0.6% – Congress of the New Right.
  7. ^ Includes: 3% – Free and Solidary, 0% – National Movement.
  8. ^ Includes: 0.3% – Congress of the New Right.
  9. ^ Includes: 0.4% – Congress of the New Right, 0.0% – Right Wing of the Republic.
  10. ^ a b Includes: 0.6% – Congress of the New Right, 0.0% – Right Wing of the Republic.
  11. ^ Includes undecided voters.
  12. ^ Includes: 1.5% – Congress of the New Right, 0.0% – Right Wing of the Republic.
  13. ^ The poll includes an alternative scenario: Coalition of PO, .N and PSL – 36.8%, PiS – 35.1%, Kukiz'15 – 11.9%, Liberty – 5.0%, SLD – 2.2%, Razem – 1.6%, others – 7.4%.[4]
  14. ^ Includes: 1.7% – Congress of the New Right.
  15. ^ Includes: 0.5% – Congress of the New Right, 0.0% – Right Wing of the Republic.
  16. ^ Includes: 1.6% – Congress of the New Right, 0.0% – Right Wing of the Republic.
  17. ^ Includes: 0.8% – Congress of the New Right, 0.0% – Right Wing of the Republic.
  18. ^ The poll includes an alternative scenario: Coalition of PO, .N and PSL – 36%, PiS – 32%, Kukiz'15 – 14%, Coalition of SLD, Razem and The Greens – 7%, Liberty – 3%, others – 8%.[6]
  19. ^ a b c d e f g Includes: 1% – Your Movement.
  20. ^ a b Includes: 0.5% – Congress of the New Right, 0.5% – Right Wing of the Republic.
  21. ^ Includes: 1.2% – Congress of the New Right.
  22. ^ a b Includes: 2% – Your Movement.
  23. ^ Includes: 1% – Free and Solidary.
  24. ^ Includes: 0.0% – Congress of the New Right, 0.0% – Right Wing of the Republic.
  25. ^ a b c Includes: 0% – Your Movement.
  26. ^ Includes: 1.6% – National Movement, 0.7% – German Minority.
  27. ^ Includes: 0.4% – Right Wing of the Republic.
  28. ^ Includes: 1.0% – Congress of the New Right.
  29. ^ Includes: 0.0% – Congress of the New Right, 0.8% – Right Wing of the Republic.
  30. ^ Includes: 0.7% – Congress of the New Right, 0.7% – Right Wing of the Republic.
  31. ^ Includes: 0.8% – Congress of the New Right, 0.5% – Right Wing of the Republic.
  32. ^ Includes: 0.9% – Congress of the New Right, 0.0% – Right Wing of the Republic.
  33. ^ Includes: 0.6% – Congress of the New Right, 0.6% – Right Wing of the Republic.
  34. ^ Includes: 1.5% – National Movement, 1.1% – German Minority.
  35. ^ Includes: 0.9% – Congress of the New Right, 0.5% – Right Wing of the Republic.
  36. ^ The poll includes an alternative scenario: Coalition of PO, .N, PSL and SLD – 38%, PiS – 32%, Kukiz'15 – 12%, KORWiN – 6%, Razem – 4%, others – 8%.[20]
  37. ^ The poll includes an alternative scenario: Coalition of .N, PSL, SLD – 28%, PiS – 27%, PO – 11%, Kukiz'15 – 6%, KORWiN – 5%, Razem – 3%, others – 20%.[23]
  38. ^ Includes: 2% – National Movement.
  39. ^ Includes: 1.7% – National Movement.
  40. ^ The poll includes an alternative scenario: Coalition of PO, .N, PSL, SLD and TR – 38%, PiS – 33%, Kukiz'15 – 13%, KORWiN – 6%, Razem – 3%, others – 7%.[25]
  41. ^ Includes: 0.8% – National Movement, 0.7% – German Minority.
  42. ^ a b The coalition includes the Polish Initiative of Barbara Nowacka, committees of Robert Biedroń, The Greens party, women's and urban movements.
  43. ^ Excludes Alliance and United Poland.
  44. ^ Includes: 0.8% – Alliance, 0.4% – United Poland, 0.0% – Congress of the New Right.
  45. ^ The poll measures voting intention in case voting is made obligatory.
  46. ^ Includes: 21.4% – invalid votes, 4.8% – new centre party, 2.3% – new right-wing party, 1.4% – new left-wing party.
  47. ^ The coalition includes The Greens party.
  48. ^ The coalition includes TR party.

References[edit]

  1. ^ Rzeczpospolita, Defensywa Prawa i Sprawiedliwości (10.06.2018)
  2. ^ Rzeczpospolita, PiS przed zmianą mocniejszy (08.01.2018)
  3. ^ Rzeczpospolita, PiS traci, opozycja w szachu (07.11.2017)
  4. ^ Nowy sondaż IBRIS dla Radia ZET. Blok Zjednoczonej Opozycji miałby spore szanse, Radiozet.pl (20 October 2017)
  5. ^ Rzeczpospolita, Sondaż IBRiS dla "Rzeczpospolitej": PiS - 40 proc., PO - 21 proc., Nowoczesna - 9 proc. (08.10.2017)
  6. ^ Sondaż dla "Gazety Wyborczej": "Zjednoczona Opozycja" wygrywa z PiS, Onet.pl (25 July 2017)
  7. ^ Rzeczpospolita, Pis zyskuje poparcie, PO traci. (21.07.2017)
  8. ^ Rzeczpospolita, W czerwcu wybory wygrałoby PiS, ale raczej bez szans na samodzielne rządy. Do Sejmu weszłaby też lewica. (26.06.2017)
  9. ^ a b Rzeczpospolita, Sondaż IBRIS: PiS - 31,7 proc., PO - 30 proc. (23.04.2017)
  10. ^ Kwietniowy sondaż IBRiS dla Onetu. Niewielka przewaga PiS nad PO
  11. ^ a b Rzeczpospolita, Sondaż IBRiS dla "Rzeczpospolitej": PiS - 29 proc., PO - 27 proc. (19.03.2017)
  12. ^ Rzeczpospolita, Sondaż: PiS i PO tracą poparcie, Kukiz'15 zyskuje (22.02.2017)
  13. ^ a b Rzeczpospolita, Sondaż IBRiS: PiS z bezwzględną większością w Sejmie (22.01.2017)
  14. ^ Rzeczpospolita, Sondaż: PO wciąż traci do Nowoczesnej, PiS na czele (23.11.2016)
  15. ^ a b Rzeczpospolita, Sondaż dla "Rzeczpospolitej": PiS nie zyskałby dziś samodzielnej większości w Sejmie (24.10.2016)
  16. ^ a b Onet.pl, "Rzeczpospolita": nowy sondaż, PiS wyraźnie traci (03.10.2016)
  17. ^ Rzeczpospolita, Sondaż IBRiS dla „Rzeczpospolitej": Spada poparcie PiS (30.08.2016)
  18. ^ Rzeczpospolita, Sondaż IBRiS dla "Rzeczpospolitej": PiS na czele, PO przed Nowoczesną (03.08.2016)
  19. ^ Interia.pl, Sondaż dla "Rz": PiS na prowadzeniu. Partii rośnie niebezpieczny konkurent? (05.07.2016)
  20. ^ "Kodalicja" wygrywa wybory. Tylko jak utworzyć rząd w takim Sejmie?, Oko.press (4 July 2016)
  21. ^ Rzeczpospolita, Stankiewicz: Platforma walczy ze sobą (14.06.2016)
  22. ^ Sondaż: wzrost poparcia dla PiS, Nowoczesna traci, TVN24, 30.05.2016
  23. ^ Nowy SONDAŻ dla SE.pl: KOD bez PO WYGRYWA z PiS, Super Express (27 May 2016)
  24. ^ Sondaż: PiS traci, ale wciąż nie ma sobie równych. PO zyskuje, Radio ZET, 13.05.2016
  25. ^ Koalicja lepsza od PiS. Sondaż TNS dla "Gazety Wyborczej", Gazeta Wyborcza (12 May 2016)
  26. ^ Rzeczpospolita, Sondaż: 500plus pomaga notowaniom PiS (14.05.2016)
  27. ^ Fakt24.pl, Wielka porażka Schetyny. Nawet Kukiz ma lepsze notowania
  28. ^ Ewybory.eu, Sondaż IBRiS dla „Rzeczpospolitej” (09.04.2016)
  29. ^ Najnowszy sondaż: PiS i Nowoczesna zyskują poparcie. PO i Kukiz'15 - tracą, Gazeta Prawna, 08.04.2016
  30. ^ Onet.pl, Wiadomości, Sondaż IBRiS dla Onetu. Liderem partia Jarosława Kaczyńskiego
  31. ^ CBOS: PiS - 34 proc.; Nowoczesna - 16 proc.; PO - 14 proc., Rzeczpospolita, 21.03.2016
  32. ^ Ewybory.eu, Sondaż IBRiS (17.03.2016)
  33. ^ Ewybory, Sondaż IBRiS dla “Rzeczpospolitej” (12.03.2016)
  34. ^ Rzeczpospolita, Sondaż: PiS z ogromną przewagą nad opozycją
  35. ^ Sondaż CBOS: PiS - 37 proc., PO - 18 proc. Cztery partie w Sejmie, Wiadomości, 10.03.2016
  36. ^ Onet.pl, Wiadomości, Sondaż IBRiS dla Onetu: PiS umacnia się na prowadzeniu
  37. ^ Rzeczpospolita.pl, Sondaż: Co trzeci Polak wybiera PiS
  38. ^ Gazeta.pl, Sondaż TNS Polska: Rośnie poparcie dla PiS. Pięć ugrupowań powyżej progu
  39. ^ PiS wciąż na prowadzeniu. W Sejmie cztery partie [SONDAŻ CBOS], Gazeta Wyborcza, 11.02.2016
  40. ^ Onet.pl, Wiadomości, Sondaż IBRiS dla Onetu. PiS nadal na prowadzeniu
  41. ^ Sondaż CBOS. PiS na prowadzeniu przed Nowoczesną i PO, Polskie Radio, 29.01.2016
  42. ^ TVN24, Nowy sondaż: PiS na szczycie z gigantyczną przewagą
  43. ^ RP.pl, PiS na czele, Nowoczesna goni
  44. ^ Sondaż CBOS: PiS daleko przed .Nowoczesną, Rzeczpospolita, 15.01.2016
  45. ^ Onet.pl, Wiadomości, Sondaż IBRiS dla Onetu: niespodziewany lider, PiS na drugim miejscu
  46. ^ WP.pl, Sondaż: Tomasz Siemoniak wygrałby z Grzegorzem Schetyną w wyborach wewnętrznych w PO
  47. ^ Super Express, SE.pl, Sensacyjny SONDAŻ IBRiS dla Super Expressu: Petru WYPRZEDZIŁ Kaczyńskiego
  48. ^ RP.pl, Sondaż: PiS traci poparcie. Petru zyskuje
  49. ^ CBOS: 35 proc. poparcia dla PiS, Nowoczesna wyprzedza PO [SONDAŻ], Gazeta Wyborcza, 11.12.2015
  50. ^ WP Wiadomości, Sondaż TNS Polska: 42 proc. chcących głosować popiera PiS, 17 proc. PO
  51. ^ Onet.pl, Wiadomości, Sondaż IBRiS dla Onetu: Prawo i Sprawiedliwość zdecydowanym liderem
  52. ^ Sondaż: PiS stabilnie, Nowoczesna nową PO
  53. ^ RP.pl Duża przewaga PiS. Petru goni PO
  54. ^ TVN24, Sondaż: PiS wygrywa z PO jeszcze wyraźniej niż 25 października
  55. ^ Onet.pl, Wiadomości, Pierwszy powyborczy sondaż IBRiS dla Onetu: liderzy tracą
  56. ^ RP.pl, Sondaż: Petru szybko goni Platformę

External links[edit]