Opinion polling for the next Slovak parliamentary election

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In the run up to the next Slovak parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Slovakia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, held on 29 February 2020, to the present day.[citation needed] The next parliamentary election is scheduled to be held 24 February 2024, though it may be held earlier if a snap election is called.[citation needed]

Electoral polling[edit]

Graphical summary[edit]

Voting intention estimates[edit]

Voting intention estimates made by polling firms that are members of the European Society for Opinion and Marketing Research (ESOMAR) and the Slovak Association of Research Agencies (SAVA). They are conducted in the form of telephone and personal interviews with selected persons, who form a representative sample reflecting the demographic parameters of the population of Slovakia. Respondents are asked: "Imagine that a parliamentary election would be held in Slovakia next Saturday. Would you vote in them and if so, which party would you vote for?" Respondents are read a list of currently active political parties.

Results are published that include only the answers of respondents who would vote for a particular party. The table shows political parties that have exceeded the electoral threshold in the last election or oscillate around 4 percent or more in polls. The electoral threshold is 5% for a single party, 7% for two-, three-party alliances; 10% for four-or-more party alliance. 76 seats are required for an absolute majority in the National council.

Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
OĽaNO SMER
–SSD
SR ĽSNS PS SaS KDH ALI HLAS
–SD
REP Others Lead
Focus[1] 16–23
Nov 2021
1,000 7.9%
15
15.0%
28
6.1%
11
4.8%
0
7.7%
14
11.5%
22
2.1%
0
6.1%
11
4.4%
0
19.2%
36
6.8%
13
8.4% 4.2%
AKO[2] 8–16
Nov 2021
1,000 9.7%
18
13.0%
24
6.8%
13
3.5%
0
8.7%
16
13.6%
25
2.2%
0
5.4%
10
4.2%
0
18.5%
34
5.6%
10
8.8% 4.9%
Focus[3] 20–27
Oct 2021
1,009 8.4%
15
15.5%
27
6.3%
11
3.8%
0
6.9%
12
12.2%
21
2.8%
0
6.1%
11
5.2%
9
19.3%
34
5.5%
10
8.0% 3.8%
AKO[4] 4–7
Oct 2021
1,000 9.2%
17
13.8%
25
7.4%
13
2.3%
0
8.6%
16
14.5%
26
2.1%
0
5.9%
11
4.5%
0
18.2%
33
5.0%
9
8.5% 3.7%
AKO[5] 6–13
Sep 2021
1,000 9.9%
18
13.9%
25
6.8%
12
2.7%
0
8.7%
15
14.5%
26
1.7%
0
6.6%
12
3.8%
0
18.8%
33
5.2%
9
7.4% 4.3%
Focus[6] 1–7
Sep 2021
1,002 8.2%
14
14.4%
25
6.7%
12
4.6%
0
7.0%
12
11.7%
21
2.2%
0
6.1%
11
5.5%
10
18.5%
33
6.8%
12
8.3% 4.1%
AKO[7] 10–15
Aug 2021
1,000 9.8%
19
11.3%
22
6.6%
13
3.9%
0
8.9%
17
14.7%
29
3.0%
0
6.3%
12
3.3%
0
19.5%
38
4.5%
0
8.2% 4.8%
AKO[8] 6–12
Jul 2021
1,000 8.8%
17
10.9%
21
7.8%
15
3.5%
0
8.4%
17
13.8%
27
3.1%
0
6.2%
12
4.3%
0
20.8%
41
3.8%
0
8.6% 7.0%
AKO[9] 7–11
Jun 2021
1,000 9.0%
17
10.6%
20
7.8%
14
3.0%
0
8.3%
15
13.9%
26
3.6%
0
5.3%
10
5.2%
9
21.0%
39
2.8%
0
9.5% 7.1%
Focus[10] 2–9
Jun 2021
1,011 8.2%
15
12.0%
23
7.6%
14
4.8%
0
6.3%
12
12.8%
24
3.4%
0
5.8%
11
5.7%
10
21.6%
41
4.6%
0
7.2% 8.8%
Focus[11] 11–19
May 2021
1,008 8.8%
18
11.8%
24
7.2%
15
4.9%
0
6.1%
12
12.3%
25
3.5%
0
5.7%
11
4.8%
0
22.4%
45
4.5%
0
8.0% 10.1%
AKO[12] 13–17
May 2021
1,000 9.9% 9.6% 7.4% 2.1% 8.5% 13.8% 4.0% 5.0% 5.3% 22.5% 3.5% 8.4% 8.7%
AKO[1] 12–17
Apr 2021
1,000 10.0% 9.2% 7.4% 2.9% 8.3% 13.8% 4.3% 4.5% 4.2% 23.9% 3.1% 8.4% 10.1%
Focus[2] 31 Mar
–7 Apr 2021
1,001 9.2% 10.9% 7.4% 4.3% 6.2% 11.2% 4.8% 5.7% 5.0% 22.3% 4.7% 8.3% 11.1%
AKO[3] 8–12
Mar 2021
1,000 13.1% 8.7% 5.9% 4.3% 8.0% 14.3% 4.3% 5.2% 1.5% 24.9% N/A 9.8% 10.6%
Focus[4] 17–24
Feb 2021
1,018 10.4% 9.2% 5.2% 6.6% 6.7% 12.9% 5.2% 4.9% 4.7% 23.0% N/A 11.2% 10.1%
AKO[5] 8–11
Feb 2021
1,000 13.8% 8.5% 5.1% 3.8% 7.2% 15.1% 5.4% 4.9% 3.5% 25.0% N/A 7.7% 9.9%
Focus[6] 12–19
Jan 2021
1,005 10.1% 9.1% 5.1% 9.7% 5.2% 13.3% 4.2% 4.4% 3.9% 24.3% N/A 10.7% 11.0%
AKO[7] 17–19
Dec 2020
1,000 14.2% 9.0% 5.7% 5.7% 6.5% 16.2% 4.7% 4.7% 3.1% 22.8% N/A 7.4% 6.6%
Focus[8] 8–14
Dec 2020
1,000 11.0% 9.8% 5.4% 8.2% 6.0% 15.8% 4.4% 4.9% 4.1% 20.1% N/A 10.3% 4.3%
Focus[9] 18–25
Nov 2020
1,004 14.0% 9.5% 6.1% 9.6% 5.9% 12.1% 4.1% 5.1% 3.8% 19.1% N/A 10.7% 5.1%
Focus[10] 7–15
Oct 2020
1,014 15.1% 10.5% 7.3% 9.8% 5.4% 10.7% 4.8% 5.2% 3.6% 18.7% N/A 8.9% 3.6%
AKO[11] 1–9
Oct 2020
1,000 15.3% 8.3% 8.8% 8.5% 6.2% 13.4% 4.2% 3.0% 2.9% 18.8% N/A 10.6% 3.5%
Focus[12] 26 Aug
–2 Sep 2020
1,022 18.4%
35
10.9%
21
9.1%
17
8.5%
16
5.9%
11
9.9%
19
3.9%
0
4.5%
0
3.8%
0
16.2%
31
N/A 8.9% 2.2%
AKO[13] 7–17
Jul 2020
1,000 23.5%
44
10.7%
20
6.4%
12
7.9%
15
5.2%
10
9.4%
18
4.0%
0
3.0%
0
2.5%
0
16.7%
31
N/A 10.7% 6.8%
Focus[14] 17–24
Jun 2020
1,009 21.2%
41
19.0%
37
12.8%
25
9.6%
18
6.2%
12
9.2%
17
3.6%
0
4.6%
0
4.5%
0
N/A N/A 9.3% 2.2%
Focus[15] 14–21
May 2020
1,011 22.9%
43
21.6%
41
11.2%
21
9.7%
18
6.5%
12
8.0%
15
4.3%
0
4.8%
0
4.2%
0
N/A N/A 6.8% 1.3%
Focus[16] 15–19
Apr 2020
1,016 24.4%
45
21.8%
40
11.5%
21
9.2%
17
7.6%
14
6.8%
13
3.2%
0
4.5%
0
2.8%
0
N/A N/A 8.2% 2.6%
AKO[17] 14–17
Apr 2020
1,000 29.9%
56
18.3%
34
10.0%
18
6.4%
12
6.9%
12
9.7%
18
3.0%
0
3.7%
0
4.4%
0
N/A N/A 7.7% 11.6%
Focus[18] 18–21
Mar 2020
1,023 23.3%
43
21.6%
40
11.5%
21
7.3%
14
5.9%
11
5.8%
11
5.2%
10
4.1%
0
3.5%
0
N/A N/A 11.8% 1.7%
2020 parliamentary election 25.02%
53
18.29%
38
8.24%
17
7.97%
17
6.96%
0
6.22%
13
5.77%
12
4.65%
0
3.91%
0
N/A N/A 12.97% 6.73%
Others Lead
OĽaNO SMER
–SD
SR ĽSNS PS
SPOLU
SaS KDH MKÖ
–MKS
HLAS
–SD
REP

References[edit]

  1. ^ Hřích, Václav (20 April 2021). "Prieskum volebných preferencií do NR SR – APRÍL 2021" (PDF) (Press release). Bratislava. AKO. Retrieved 20 April 2021.
  2. ^ "Press release" (PDF). www.focus-research.sk. 11 April 2020. Retrieved 11 April 2021.
  3. ^ Hřích, Václav (15 March 2021). "Prieskum volebných preferencií do NR SR – MAREC 2021" (PDF) (Press release). Bratislava. AKO. Retrieved 26 March 2021.
  4. ^ "Press release" (PDF). www.focus-research.sk. 28 February 2020. Retrieved 31 March 2021.
  5. ^ Hřích, Václav (12 February 2021). "Prieskum volebných preferencií do NR SR – FEBRUÁR 2021" (PDF) (Press release). Bratislava. AKO. Retrieved 26 March 2021.
  6. ^ "Hlas sa šplhá k 25 percentám. OĽaNO má 10 percent, spor premiéra so Sulíkom už pripravil o preferencie aj SaS" (PDF). dennikn.sk. Retrieved 31 March 2021.
  7. ^ Hřích, Václav (21 December 2020). "Prieskum volebných preferencií do NR SR – DECEMBER 2020" (PDF) (Press release). Bratislava. AKO. Retrieved 26 March 2021.
  8. ^ "Press release" (PDF). www.focus-research.sk. 16 December 2020. Retrieved 31 March 2021.
  9. ^ "Prieskum: Z konfliktu SaS a OĽaNO ťaží Sulík, rastie aj Pellegriniho Hlas". SME.sk (in Slovak). 29 November 2020. Retrieved 29 November 2020.
  10. ^ "Press release" (PDF). www.focus-research.sk. 18 October 2020. Retrieved 31 March 2021.
  11. ^ "Prieskum: Pellegriniho Hlas prvýkrát predbehol OĽaNO, výrazne rastie SaS". Slovensko (in Slovak). 14 October 2020. Retrieved 31 March 2021.
  12. ^ "Press release" (PDF). www.focus-research.sk. 9 June 2020. Retrieved 31 March 2021.
  13. ^ "Prieskum volebných preferenciído NR SR –JÚL2020po 100 dňoch novej vlády" (PDF). ako.sk. 2020. Retrieved 31 March 2021.
  14. ^ "S Pellegrinim aj bez neho. Exkluzívny prieskum ukazuje, ako by nová strana zamiešala preferenciami". tvnoviny.sk (in Slovak). 28 June 2020. Retrieved 27 March 2021.
  15. ^ "Press release" (PDF). www.focus-research.sk. 24 May 2020. Retrieved 31 March 2021.
  16. ^ "Press release" (PDF). www.focus-research.sk. 19 April 2020. Retrieved 31 March 2021.
  17. ^ "Prieskum volebných preferenciído NR SR" (PDF). ako.sk. 2020. Retrieved 31 March 2021.
  18. ^ "Press release" (PDF). www.focus-research.sk. 19 April 2020. Retrieved 31 March 2021.