Opinion polling for the next Slovak parliamentary election

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In the run up to the next Slovak parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Slovakia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, held on 29 February 2020, to the present day. The next general election is scheduled to be held not later than 29 February 2024, though it may be held earlier if a snap election is called.

Party vote[edit]

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

Polls of trusted and reputable agencies that are members of the Slovak Association of Research Agencies and ESOMAR.

Graphical summary of the opinion polls conducted by all agencies
Date Polling
firm
Sample
size
OĽaNO
[a]
Smer–
SD
Sme Rodina Kotlebovci–
ĽSNS
[b]
PS SPOLU SaS Za ľudí KDH MKÖ-
MKS
[c]
SNS Dobrá voľba Vlasť Most–
Híd
Hlas–
SD
Lead
7–15 Oct 2020 Focus[1] 1,014 15.1% 10.5% 7.3% 9.8% 5.4% 0.3% 10.7% 4.8% 5.2% 3.2% 2.1% 2.1% 1.6% 2.4% 18.7% 3.6%
1–9 Oct 2020 AKO[2] 1,000 15.3% 8.3% 8.8% 8.5% 6.2% 1.8% 13.4% 4.2% 3.0% 2.4% 2.4% 2.8% 1.0% 1.9% 18.8% 3.5%
14–18 Sep 2020 Median SK[3] 1,007 17.0% 9.1% 8.7% 8.8% 6.6% 1.3% 11.9% 3.4% 4.2% 2.3% 2.5% 1.8% 2.5% 16.9% 0.1%
26 Aug–2 Sep 2020 Focus[4] 1,022 18.4% 10.9% 9.1% 8.5% 5.9% 0.6% 9.9% 3.9% 4.5% 3.1% 3.0% 1.9% 1.3% 1.7% 16.2% 2.2%
7–17 Jul 2020 AKO[5] 1,000 23.5% 10.7% 6.4% 7.9% 5.2% 2.2% 9.4% 4.0% 3.0% 2.5% 1.4% 2.6% 2.7% 1.0% 16.7% 6.8%
17–24 Jun 2020 Focus[6] 1,009 21.2% 19.0% 12.8% 9.6% 6.2% 0.8% 9.2% 3.6% 4.6% 3.7% 2.1% 2.4% 2.2% 1.5% 2.2%
20.3% 9.5% 9.6% 8.3% 5.9% 0.8% 8.8% 3.5% 4.0% 3.4% 1.3% 0.8% 2.0% 1.4% 19.3%[d] 1.0%
14–21 May 2020 Focus[7][8] 1,011 22.9% 21.6% 11.2% 9.7% 6.5% 0.2% 8.0% 4.3% 4.8% 4.2% 1.4% 2.0% 1.3% 1.5% 1.3%
21.8% 9.6%[e] 8.8% 8.0% 5.5% 7.1% 4.2% 4.5% 3.9% 0.9% 1.4% 1.1% 1.1% 21.4%[e] 0.4%
15–19 Apr 2020 Focus[9] 1,016 24.4% 21.8% 11.5% 9.2% 7.6% 6.8% 3.2% 4.5% 2.8% 1.6% 1.1% 2.3% 1.8% 2.6%
14–17 Apr 2020 AKO[10] 1,000 29.9% 18.3% 10.0% 6.4% 6.9% 0.9% 9.7% 3.0% 3.7% 4.4% 2.2% 2.2% 1.9% 0.6% N/A 11.6%
18–21 Mar 2020 Focus[9] 1,023 23.3% 21.6% 11.5% 7.3% 5.9% 5.8% 5.2% 4.1% 3.5% 3.4% 2.4% 3.1% 1.3% N/A 1.7%
29 February 2020 2020 elections 25.0% 18.3% 8.2% 8.0% 7.0% 6.2% 5.8% 4.7% 3.9% 3.2% 3.1% 2.9% 2.1% N/A 6.7%
Lead
OĽaNO
[a]
Smer–
SD
Sme Rodina Kotlebovci–
ĽSNS
[b]
PS SPOLU SaS Za ľudí KDH MKÖ-
MKS
[c]
SNS Dobrá voľba Vlasť Most–Híd Hlas–
SD

Seat projections[edit]

Date Polling
firm
OĽaNO[a] Smer–SD Sme Rodina Kotlebovci–
ĽSNS
[b]
PS SPOLU SaS Za ľudí KDH MKÖ-
MKS
[c]
SNS Dobrá voľba Vlasť Most–Híd Hlas–
SD
Govt. Opp.
7–15 Oct 2020 Focus[1] 27 19 13 18 10 20 9 34 60 90
1–9 Oct 2020 AKO[2] 29 16 17 16 12 25 35 71 79
26 Aug–2 Sept 2020 Focus[4] 35 21 17 16 11 19 31 71 79
7–17 Jul 2020 AKO[5] 44 20 12 15 10 18 31 74 76
17–24 June 2020 Focus[6] 41 37 25 18 12 17 N/A 83 67
37 17 18 15 11 16 36 71 79
14–21 May 2020 Focus[7][8] 43 41 21 18 12 15 N/A 79 71
40 17 16 15 10 13 39 69 81
15–19 Apr 2020 Focus[9] 45 40 21 17 14 13 N/A 79 71
14–17 Apr 2020 AKO[10] 56 34 18 12 12 18 N/A 92 58
18–21 Mar 2020 Focus 47 43 23 15 12 10 N/A 92 58
29 February 2020 2020 elections 53 38 17 17 13 12 N/A 95 55
Date Polling
firm
Govt. Opp.
OĽaNO [a] Smer–SD Sme Rodina Kotlebovci–
ĽSNS
[b]
PS SPOLU SaS Za ľudí KDH MKÖ-
MKS
[c]
SNS Dobrá voľba Vlasť Most–Híd Hlas–
SD

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ a b c d OĽaNO ran a common list in last election with NOVA, Kresťanská únia, and ZMENA ZDOLA under its name.
  2. ^ a b c d K-ĽSNS ran a common list in last election with KDŽP-Aliancia za Slovensko, Národná Koalícia, Doma Dobre, and Priama Demokracia under its name.
  3. ^ a b c d SMK ran a common list in last elections with Maďarské Forum, and Maďarská Spolupatričnosť under name MKO-MKS.
  4. ^ As Peter Pellegrini's New Party in Scenario that new party of Prime Minister Peter Pellegrini is founded.
  5. ^ a b Scenario: Former Prime Minister Peter Pellegrini leaves Smer-SD and founds new party.

References[edit]