Opinion polling for the next Slovak parliamentary election

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In the run up to the next Slovak parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Slovakia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, held on 5 March 2016, to the present day.

Party vote[edit]

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

5-point average trend line of poll results from 5 March 2016 to the present day, with each line corresponding to a political party.
Date Polling firm Sample size Smer–SD SaS OĽaNO SNS Kotleba–ĽSNS Sme Rodina Most–Híd KDH SMK-MKP PS SPOLU Lead
18-25 September 2018 Focus[1] 1,015 22.4% 13.5% 10.3% 9.2% 10.0% 8.2% 5.1% 5.5% 3.1% 4.4% 3.1% 8.9%
30-5 August/September 2018 AKO[2] 1,000 21.2% 16.0% 9.4% 10.9% 8.6% 9.5% 6.3% 7.6% 3.0% 4.6% 2.3% 5.2%
15-17 August 2018 AKO[3] 1,000 21.4% 15.7% 8.4% 11.0% 10.9% 10.8% 5.3% 6.1% 3.0% 4.1% 3.3% 5.7%
2-9 August 2018 Focus[4] 1,007 20.7% 12.2% 8.7% 9.4% 10.1% 10.0% 5.7% 7.1% 4.1% 4.2% 3.3% 8.5%
18-21 June 2018 AKO[5] 1,000 21.0% 15.5% 8.6% 10.2% 11.1% 9.3% 6.3% 7.2% 2.4% 4.0% 3.8% 5.5%
4-11 June 2018 Focus[6] 1,015 21.7% 12.4% 10.0% 9.8% 9.7% 8.1% 5.6% 6.7% 4.0% 3.9% 2.9% 9.3%
16-21 May 2018 AKO[7] 1,000 21.5% 16.7% 9.1% 10.1% 10.4% 9.1% 5.6% 6.7% 2.5% 3.9% 3.6% 4.8%
24-30 April 2018 Focus[8] 1,005 20.5% 13.2% 9.1% 10.1% 9.3% 9.1% 5.8% 6.8% 3.3% 3.6% 2.8% 7.3%
20-24 April 2018 AKO[9] 1,000 21.4% 16.1% 8.7% 10.9% 10.3% 9.0% 6.8% 6.9% 1.9% 3.8% 3.7% 5.3%
4-7 April 2018 AKO[10] 1,000 20.7% 17.1% 9.1% 10.7% 10.0% 8.6% 5.6% 8.6% 2.7% 3.2% 2.8% 3.6%
14 - 22 March Robert Fico resigns as Prime Minister, Peter Pellegrini is elected as replacement, end of government crisis
7-13 March 2018 Focus[11] 1,012 20.2% 14.0% 10.4% 10.0% 10.1% 10.4% 5.6% 7.0% 4.1% 1.4% 1.1% 6.2%
21 February Murder of Ján Kuciak, start of government crisis
21-26 February 2018 AKO[12] 1,000 24.7% 16.2% 10.2% 9.9% 8.2% 9.6% 6.3% 7.7% 3.4% 1.6% 1.6% 8.5%
23-28 January 2018 Focus[13] 1,012 25.5% 13.1% 11.4% 8.6% 8.1% 9.0% 5.7% 7.4% 3.9% 1.9% Not polled 12.4%
2018
Date Polling firm Sample size Smer–SD SaS OĽaNO NOVA SNS Kotleba–ĽSNS Sme Rodina Most–Híd SIEŤ KDH SMK-MKP Lead
14-18 November 2017 AKO[14] 1,000 24.8% 17.8% 12.5% w.OĽaNO 8.9% 8.4% 9.2% 5.8% 0.5% 7.0% 4.3% 7.0%
7-13 November 2017 Focus[15] 1,017 24.8% 14.2% 12.5% w.OĽaNO 8.0% 8.4% 8.5% 5.6% 0.0% 7.2% 3.6% 10.6%
4-11 October 2017 Focus[16] 1,003 26.2% 13.8% 8.5% w.OĽaNO 8.1% 10.1% 9.4% 6.0% 0.0% 7.3% 4.2% 12.4%
18-20 September 2017 AKO[17] 1,000 27.3% 16.1% 8.9% w.OĽaNO 9.0% 10.9% 9.2% 7.3% 0.0% 5.1% 4.2% 11.2%
11-18 September 2017 Focus[18] 1,000 26.0% 14.0% 9.6% w.OĽaNO 8.7% 10.4% 9.1% 6.0% 0.0% 6.4% 4.0% 12.0%
21-23 August 2017 AKO[19] 1,000 25.0% 18.1% 8.9% w.OĽaNO 9.1% 11.0% 9.4% 7.5% 0.0% 6.0% 3.9% 6.9%
18-23 August 2017 Polis[20] 1,220 27.3% 16.8% 9.0% w.OĽaNO 7.2% 14.2% 7.2% 5.2% 0.0% 5.5% 4.2% 10.5%
18-24 July 2017 Polis[21] 1,208 27.8% 15.8% 9.4% w.OĽaNO 9.5% 11.2% 6.4% 5.5% 0.0% 6.0% 4.7% 12.0%
14-19 July 2017 AKO[22] 1,000 25.8% 16.0% 9.2% w.OĽaNO 10.4% 10.3% 8.6% 7.6% 0.0% 6.8% 3.1% 9.8%
13-24 July 2017 Focus[23] 1,025 26.4% 14.2% 9.2% w.OĽaNO 10.3% 9.1% 8.2% 6.2% 0.0% 6.3% 4.0% 12.2%
14-19 June 2017 AKO[24] 1,000 26.0% 16.1% 10.0% w.OĽaNO 11.7% 9.7% 8.7% 7.0% 0.0% 6.0% 3.1% 9.9%
13-19 June 2017 Polis[25] 1,208 28.0% 16.5% 9.1% w.OĽaNO 9.5% 11.8% 7.4% 5.2% 0.0% 6.0% 5.3% 11.5%
31-4 May/June 2017 Focus[26] 1,012 26.2% 13.4% 9.6% w.OĽaNO 10.2% 10.9% 7.4% 6.9% 0.6% 5.7% 4.0% 12.8%
13-19 May 2017 Polis[27] 1,366 28.8% 16.0% 9.3% w.OĽaNO 9.3% 11.1% 6.8% 5.2% 0.0% 6.2% 4.7% 12.8%
24-26 April 2017 AKO[28] 1,000 27.1% 17.6% 8.9% w.OĽaNO 11.4% 10.5% 7.1% 6.4% 0.6% 6.2% 3.5% 9.5%
20-25 April 2017 Polis[29] 1,353 27.8% 14.7% 11.7% w.OĽaNO 9.8% 11.9% 7.0% 5.3% 0.6% 5.2% 5.1% 13.1%
4-9 April 2017 Focus[30] 1,006 26.6% 13.7% 9.2% w.OĽaNO 9.9% 10.1% 8.1% 6.9% 0.6% 5.4% 4.3% 12.9%
11-17 March 2017 Polis[31] 1,209 27.5% 14.5% 12.2% w.OĽaNO 10.3% 12.2% 7.0% 5.4% 1.0% 5.5% 3.4% 13.0%
13-15 March 2017 AKO[32] 1,000 28.0% 17.4% 9.1% w.OĽaNO 11.3% 11.0% 6.6% 7.5% 1.0% 5.1% 2.2% 10.6%
18-25 February 2017 Polis[33] 1,311 27.1% 13.8% 12.1% w.OĽaNO 9.0% 13.0% 8.1% 5.4% 1.0% 5.4% 3.3% 13.3%
6-18 February 2017 Focus[34] 1,512 25.5% 13.8% 9.7% w.OĽaNO 10.1% 10.4% 8.5% 6.0% 1.0% 5.5% 4.3% 11.7%
10-14 February 2017 AKO[35] 1,000 27.7% 16.3% 9.1% w.OĽaNO 11.4% 10.5% 6.6% 8.1% 1.0% 5.6% 2.9% 11.4%
21-27 January 2017 Focus[36] 1,008 27.9% 13.2% 10.2% w.OĽaNO 10.1% 10.2% 7.4% 6.4% 1.0% 5.3% 3.4% 14.7%
14-20 January 2017 Polis[37] 1,359 27.4% 13.2% 12.2% w.OĽaNO 10.0% 11.1% 7.4% 5.6% 1.0% 5.9% 4.4% 14.2%
2-10 January 2017 AKO[38] 1,000 27.7% 13.1% 8.7% w.OĽaNO 12.7% 11.5% 7.7% 6.1% 1.2% 7.1% 3.2% 14.6%
2017
11-20 December 2016 Polis[39] 1,275 27.7% 15.9% 9.5% w.OĽaNO 10.6% 11.0% 7.7% 6.0% 1.0% 5.5% 4.0% 11.8%
2-9 December 2016 AKO[40] 1,000 26.8% 15.8% 8.0% w.OĽaNO 14.1% 10.1% 8.4% 7.0% 1.1% 5.5% 2.9% 11.0%
23-29 November 2016 Focus[41] 1,008 23.3% 13.6% 8.2% w.OĽaNO 13.7% 8.8% 7.9% 6.8% 1.2% 5.9% 4.4% 9.6%
3-10 November 2016 AKO[42] 1,000 27.5% 15.4% 8.9% w.OĽaNO 14.4% 10.0% 6.9% 6.1% 1.2% 5.6% 3.5% 12.1%
28-7 October/November 2016 Focus[43] 1,020 26.9% 12.1% 8.0% w.OĽaNO 12.8% 8.4% 7.5% 6.7% 1.6% 6.3% 3.9% 13.1%
17-22 October 2016 AKO[44] 1,000 27.5% 17.7% 6.4% w.OĽaNO 15.4% 8.7% 6.2% 7.2% 0.7% 5.9% 3.7% 9.8%
15-22 October 2016 Polis[45] 1,409 27.1% 14.0% 8.5% w.OĽaNO 14.0% 10.1% 6.8% 8.2% 0.5% 4.6% 3.9% 13.1%
12-20 September 2016 AKO[46] 1,000 29.6% 17.5% 9.5% w.OĽaNO 13.1% 11.1% 4.3% 5.8% 0.8% 4.2% 2.6% 12.1%
8-14 September 2016 Focus[47] 1,009 27.7% 13.5% 8.2% w.OĽaNO 12.6% 8.3% 6.8% 7.7% 1.4% 6.0% 3.6% 14.2%
11-16 August 2016 Focus[48] 1,002 27.0% 13.7% 9.7% w.OĽaNO 14.0% 8.9% 6.9% 6.1% 1.4% 4.6% 3.6% 13.0%
22-28 July 2016 AKO[49] 1,000 29.9% 17.1% 7.0% w.OĽaNO 14.0% 11.6% 5.0% 6.3% 1.0% 4.1% 2.8% 12.8%
25-1 June/July 2016 Polis[50] 1,433 26.2% 16.6% 9.0% w.OĽaNO 13.5% 10.7% 4.8% 5.4% 1.1% 5.1% 4.5% 9.6%
14-20 June 2016 Focus[51] 1,003 26.4% 14.1% 9.9% w.OĽaNO 14.5% 8.4% 6.9% 5.9% 1.4% 4.8% 3.5% 11.9%
4-11 May 2016 AKO[52] 1,000 29.8% 16.2% 7.1% w.OĽaNO 12.4% 11.7% 5.8% 7.1% 1.8% 4.2% 3.4% 13.6%
3-9 May 2016 Focus[53] 1,003 28.7% 13.0% 8.8% w.OĽaNO 11.2% 8.9% 5.9% 6.0% 3.5% 4.3% 4.0% 15.7%
22-29 April 2016 Polis[54] 1,502 30.7% 14.5% 9.5% w.OĽaNO 12.2% 9.8% 4.2% 6.0% 2.0% 3.9% 4.2% 16.2%
4-7 April 2016 AKO[55] 1,000 28.8% 16.2% 6.9% w.OĽaNO 13.7% 10.9% 5.4% 6.5% 1.8% 4.4% 3.8% 12.6%
11-16 March 2016 Focus[56] 1,023 27.5% 12.5% 10.0% w.OĽaNO 11.1% 8.8% 7.8% 5.9% 3.6% 4.1% 4.3% 15.0%
10-14 March 2016 Polis[57] 1,096 30.0% 15.9% 11.0% w.OĽaNO 11.9% 9.5% 4.4% 5.3% 2.3% 3.9% 4.7% 14.1%
2016
5 Mar 2016 2016 elections 2,648,184 28.3% 12.1% 11.0% w.OĽaNO 8.6% 8.0% 6.6% 6.5% 5.6% 4.9% 4.1% 16.2%

Seat projections[edit]

Date Polling firm Smer–SD SaS OĽaNO SNS Kotleba–ĽSNS Sme Rodina Most–Híd KDH SMK-MKP PS SPOLU Govt-Opposition
August 2018 AKO[58] 36 27 14 19 18 17 9 10 0 0 0 64 - 86
2-9 August 2018 Focus[59] 37 22 15 17 18 18 10 13 0 0 0 64 - 86
18-21 June 2018 AKO[60] 35 26 15 17 19 16 10 12 0 0 0 62 - 88
4-11 June 2018 Focus[61] 39 22 18 18 17 14 10 12 0 0 0 67 - 83
16-21 May 2018 AKO[62] 36 28 15 17 18 15 10 11 0 0 0 63 - 87
24-30 April 2018 Focus[63] 37 24 16 18 17 16 10 12 0 0 0 65 - 85
20-24 April 2018 AKO[64] 36 27 14 18 17 15 11 12 0 0 0 65 - 85
4-7 April 2018 AKO[65] 34 29 15 18 17 14 9 14 0 0 0 61 - 89
7-13 March 2018 Focus[66] 35 24 18 17 17 18 9 12 0 0 0 61 - 89
21-26 February 2018 AKO[67] 40 26 17 16 13 16 10 12 0 0 0 66 - 84
23-28 January 2018 Focus[68] 43 22 19 15 14 15 10 12 0 0 Not polled 68 - 82
2018
Date Polling firm Smer–SD SaS OĽaNO NOVA SNS Kotleba–ĽSNS Sme Rodina Most–Híd SIEŤ KDH SMK-MKP Govt-Opposition
14-18 November 2017 AKO[69] 40 28 20 w.OĽaNO 14 13 15 9 0 11 0 63 - 87
7-13 November 2017 Focus[70] 42 24 21 w.OĽaNO 14 14 14 9 0 12 0 65 - 85
4-11 October 2017 Focus[71] 44 23 14 w.OĽaNO 14 17 16 10 0 12 0 68 - 82
18-20 September 2017 AKO[72] 44 26 14 w.OĽaNO 14 17 15 12 0 8 0 70 - 80
11-18 September 2017 Focus[73] 43 23 16 w.OĽaNO 15 17 15 10 0 11 0 68 - 82
21-23 August 2017 AKO[74] 40 29 14 w.OĽaNO 14 17 15 12 0 9 0 66 - 84
18-23 August 2017 Polis[75] 44 27 15 w.OĽaNO 12 23 12 8 0 9 0 64 - 86
18-24 July 2017 Polis[76] 46 26 15 w.OĽaNO 16 18 10 9 0 10 0 71 - 79
14-19 July 2017 AKO[77] 41 25 14 w.OĽaNO 17 16 14 12 0 11 0 70 - 80
13-24 July 2017 Focus[78] 44 24 15 w.OĽaNO 17 15 14 10 0 11 0 71 - 79
14-19 June 2017 AKO[79] 41 25 16 w.OĽaNO 19 15 14 11 0 9 0 71 - 79
13-19 June 2017 Polis[80] 43 25 14 w.OĽaNO 14 18 11 8 0 9 9 65 - 85
31-4 May/June 2017 Focus[81] 44 22 16 w.OĽaNO 17 18 12 12 0 9 0 73 - 77
13-19 May 2017 Polis[82] 47 26 15 w.OĽaNO 15 18 11 8 0 10 0 70 - 80
24-26 April 2017 AKO[83] 43 28 14 w.OĽaNO 18 16 11 10 0 10 0 71 - 79
20-25 April 2017 Polis[84] 42 22 18 w.OĽaNO 15 18 11 8 0 8 8 65 - 85
4-9 April 2017 Focus[85] 45 23 15 w.OĽaNO 17 17 13 11 0 9 0 73 - 77
11-17 March 2017 Polis[86] 44 23 19 w.OĽaNO 16 19 11 9 0 9 0 69 - 81
13-15 March 2017 AKO[87] 44 27 14 w.OĽaNO 18 17 8 12 0 8 0 74 - 76
18-25 February 2017 Polis[88] 43 22 19 w.OĽaNO 14 21 13 9 0 9 0 66 - 84
6-18 February 2017 Focus[89] 43 23 16 w.OĽaNO 17 18 14 10 0 9 0 70 - 80
10-14 February 2017 AKO[90] 44 26 14 w.OĽaNO 18 16 10 13 0 9 0 75 - 75
21-27 January 2017 Focus[91] 46 22 17 w.OĽaNO 17 17 12 10 0 9 0 73 - 77
14-20 January 2017 Polis[92] 44 21 20 w.OĽaNO 16 18 12 9 0 10 0 69 - 81
2-10 January 2017 AKO[93] 44 21 14 w.OĽaNO 20 18 12 10 0 11 0 74 - 76
2017
11-20 December 2016 Polis[94] 44 25 15 w.OĽaNO 17 18 12 10 0 9 0 71 - 79
2-9 December 2016 AKO[95] 42 25 13 w.OĽaNO 22 16 13 11 0 8 0 75 - 75
23-29 November 2016 Focus[96] 40 23 14 w.OĽaNO 23 15 13 12 0 10 0 75 - 75
3-10 November 2016 AKO[97] 44 24 14 w.OĽaNO 23 16 11 9 0 9 0 76 - 74
28-7 October/November 2016 Focus[98] 46 20 13 w.OĽaNO 22 14 13 11 0 11 0 79 - 71
17-22 October 2016 AKO[99] 44 28 10 w.OĽaNO 24 14 10 11 0 9 0 79 - 71
15-22 October 2016 Polis[100] 46 24 14 w.OĽaNO 24 17 11 14 0 0 0 84 - 66
12-20 September 2016 AKO[101] 52 30 16 w.OĽaNO 23 19 0 10 0 0 0 85 - 65
8-14 September 2016 Focus[102] 46 22 13 w.OĽaNO 21 14 11 13 0 10 0 80 - 70
11-16 August 2016 Focus[103] 47 24 17 w.OĽaNO 24 15 12 11 0 0 0 82 - 68
22-28 July 2016 AKO[104] 50 28 12 w.OĽaNO 23 19 8 10 0 0 0 83 - 67
25-1 June/July 2016 Polis[105] 45 29 16 w.OĽaNO 23 19 0 9 0 9 0 77 - 73
14-20 June 2016 Focus[106] 46 25 17 w.OĽaNO 25 15 12 10 0 0 0 81 - 69
4-11 May 2016 AKO[107] 50 27 12 w.OĽaNO 21 19 9 12 0 0 0 83 - 67
3-9 May 2016 Focus[108] 52 24 16 w.OĽaNO 20 16 11 11 0 0 0 83 - 67
22-29 April 2016 Polis[109] 56 26 17 w.OĽaNO 22 18 0 11 0 0 0 89 - 61
4-7 April 2016 AKO[110] 49 28 12 w.OĽaNO 23 18 9 11 0 0 0 83 - 67
11-16 March 2016 Focus[111] 50 22 18 w.OĽaNO 20 16 14 10 0 0 0 80 - 70
10–14 March 2016 Polis[112] 54 29 20 w.OĽaNO 21 17 0 9 0 0 0 84 - 66
2016
5 Mar 2016 2016 elections 49 21 19 w.OĽaNO 15 14 11 11 10 0 0 81 - 69

Special pollings[edit]

This section shows polls from Median, which conducts polling more on potential gains and less on seat projections. This section will also include special polling conducted only on certain age groups, half-way polls, meaning that they are not comparable to official polling because it doesn't include all groups of population.

Date Polling firm Sample size Smer–SD SaS OĽaNO NOVA SNS Kotleba–ĽSNS Sme Rodina Most–Híd SIEŤ KDH SMK-MKP Lead
24-20 July/August 2017 Median[113] 1017 27.5% 15.5% 9.0% w.OĽaNO 11.5% 8.5% 6.0% 6.0% 1.0% 8.0% 4.5% 13.0%
15-11 May/June 2017 Median[114] 1017 28.5% 15.5% 10.5% w.OĽaNO 11.5% 8.0% 5.0% 6.0% 1.5% 6.5% 5.0% 14.0%
17-14 April/May 2017 Median[115] 1078 28.5% 14.5% 10.0% w.OĽaNO 11.5% 7.5% 6.5% 6.5% 2.0% 6.5% 4.5% 14.0%
20-19 February/March 2017 Median[116] 1018 27.0% 16.0% 10.0% w.OĽaNO 10.0% 9.0% 6.0% 7.0% 1.5% 6.5% 4.5% 11.0%
23-19 January/February 2017 Median[117] 1026 27.0% 15.5% 9.5% w.OĽaNO 10.0% 9.5% 6.5% 6.5% 2.0% 6.0% 4.5% 11.5%
1-22 December/January 2016/2017 Median[118] 1058 25.0% 15.0% 10.5% w.OĽaNO 11.0% 8.0% 5.5% 7.5% 2.0% 7.0% 4.0% 10.0%
31-27 October/November 2016 Median[119] 1016 29.5% 15.0% 7.0% w.OĽaNO 11.0% 9.5% 5.0% 7.0% 2.0% 7.0% 4.0% 14.5%
September 2016 IVO with Focus[120] 1,803 (aged between 18–39 years) 11.5% 23.4% 11.7% w.OĽaNO 10.5% 23.5% 7.6% 2.5% 0.5% 2.3% 1.6% 0.1%
19-16 September/October 2016 Median[121] 991 30.5% 14.5% 9.0% w.OĽaNO 11.0% 9.0% 4.5% 6.5% 2.0% 6.0% 4.0% 16.0%
22-22 August/September 2016 Median[122] 984 30.5% 15.0% 10.5% w.OĽaNO 12.5% 8.0% 3.5% 7.5% 2.0% 6.0% 3.5% 15.5%
25-21 July/August 2016 Median[123] 1,014 29.0% 16.0% 9.5% w.OĽaNO 12.5% 10.0% 3.0% 7.0% 2.5% 6.0% 3.0% 13.0%
March 2016 IVO with Focus[124] 1,803 (aged between 18–39 years) 13.6% 18.1% 13.4% w.OĽaNO 10.5% 18.1% 7.6% 2.5% 0.5% 2.3% 1.6% 0.0%

References[edit]

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