Opinion polling for the next Slovenian parliamentary election

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    In the run up to the next Slovenian parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Slovenia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

    The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, held on 24 April 2022, to the present day. The next parliamentary election is scheduled to be held no later than four years since the previous one.[1]

    Pollsters[edit]

    There are three opinion research companies that conduct electoral opinion polling on a regular basis within Slovenia:[citation needed]

    • Mediana, separately conducting electoral public opinion polls for the Slovene daily newspaper Delo, and the Slovene television channel POP TV and its respective multimedia web portal 24ur.com;
    • Ninamedia, jointly published by the Slovene daily newspapers Dnevnik and Večer;
    • Parsifal SC, which conducts opinion polling for the conservative news media enterprise Nova24TV.

    Graphical summary[edit]

    The following graph depicts the evolution of standings of the two main political parties and three other parties in the poll average since last parliamentary elections.

    Poll results[edit]

    For the events during these years, see 2022 in Slovenia.

    Poll results are listed in the table in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest figure in each survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the case of a tie, no figure is shaded. When available, seat projections for 88 out of 90 seats (without seats reserved for minorities) are displayed below the percentages in a smaller font. 46 seats are required for an absolute majority in the National Assembly. The dates of when the poll was conducted are given when available, otherwise, the date of publication is listed.

    Fieldwork date Polling firm Publisher(s) Sample size GS SDS NSi SD Levica SLS K Res. GZD NP–DD PPS ND SNS Vesna Others None Und. Abst. Lead Source
    9–12 Jan 2023 Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 700 27.8
    33     		22.5
    27     		9.1
    11     		8.3
    10     		6.3
    7     		– – – – – – – – – 2.6 – 18.8 4.6 5.3 [2]
    3–5 Jan 2023 Mediana Delo 715 29.1 21.7 5.5 7.1 4.6 0.9 0.8 1.8 – 1.0 1.6 0.4 1.2 1.6 – 7.6 12.0 3.1 7.4 [3][4]
    19–22 Dec 2022 Mediana POPTV 719 29.9 18.6 8.5 6.8 4.9 1.8 0.5 3.1 – 1.1 1.7 0.9 1.5 1.6 0.5 4.6 11.0 1.9 11.3 [5]
    12–14 Dec 2022 Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 700 29.2
    35     		21.6
    26     		8.9
    11     		8.2
    10     		5.2
    6     		– – – – – – – – – 1.7 – 18.7 6.5 7.6 [6]
    5–8 Dec 2022 Mediana Delo 718 34.1 18.7 7.2 6.5 3.6 1.3 0.0 3.0 – 0.3 1.2 0.4 0.8 1.6 0.7 6.0 11.7 0.4 15.4 [7]
    21–24 Nov 2022 Mediana POPTV 723 33.6 20.1 6.5 6.5 4.2 2.6 0.1 2.2 – 1.0 2.0 0.7 2.1 0.8 1.3 4.7 10.4 1.0 13.5 [8]
    13 Nov 2022 2022 Slovenian presidential election - second round
    7–11 Nov 2022 Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 700 31.3
    35     		23.8
    26     		9.7
    11     		8.3
    9     		5.8
    7     		– – – – – – – – – 2.7 – 14.6 3.8 7.5 [9]
    7–9 Nov 2022 Mediana Delo 718 31.0 22.6 7.0 6.0 4.7 1.1 0.6 2.2 – 1.1 1.5 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.1 4.6 10.0 0.4 8.4 [10]
    23 Oct 2022 2022 Slovenian presidential election - first round
    17–19 Oct 2022 Mediana POPTV 724 30.0 17.9 7.7 7.4 5.2 0.4 0.2 3.5 – 1.6 1.1 1.0 1.9 1.2 1.0 4.7 12.2 2.4 12.1 [11]
    10–14 Oct 2022 Parsifal Nova24TV 705 24.8 23.7 8.2 6.6 5.0 – – – – – – – – – 5.4 4.4 14.2 7.8 1.1 [12]
    10–12 Oct 2022 Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 700 29.8
    34     		24.1
    27     		9.8
    11     		8.0
    9     		6.0
    7     		– – – – – – – – – 1.1 – 16.2 5.0 5.7 [13]
    3–6 Oct 2022 Mediana Delo 719 29.2 21.9 6.4 5.9 5.7 1.3 1.1 3.2 – 1.1 1.7 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.0 4.5 11.9 0.2 7.3 [14]
    19–22 Sep 2022 Mediana POPTV 729 30.9 17.9 4.8 5.6 4.4 0.8 0.6 3.6 – 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.7 1.4 1.3 5.4 15.4 2.3 13.0 [15]
    12–15 Sep 2022 Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 700 33.4
    37     		23.9
    27     		9.0
    10     		6.8
    8     		4.7
    6     		– – – – – – – – – 2.0 – 16.8 3.4 9.5 [16]
    5–8 Sep 2022 Mediana Delo 723 29.9 21.7 8.1 6.4 4.9 2.0 0.0 2.7 – 1.5 2.3 0.3 1.8 0.7 1.2 1.4 10.6 4.3 8.2 [17]
    30 Aug–2 Sep 2022 Parsifal Nova24TV 703 29.3 22.5 7.3 6.6 3.6 – – – – – – – – – 4.9 2.5 12.1 11.1 6.8 [18]
    29–31 Aug 2022 Parsifal Planet TV 704 25.9 22.4 4.9 4.4 3.0 0.5 – 2.2 – – 2.6 – 1.7 2.0 – 30.4 3.5 [19]
    22–25 Aug 2022 Mediana POPTV 721 31.4 23.4 5.5 5.0 5.3 0.8 0.0 3.0 – 0.7 1.6 0.4 1.3 1.0 1.6 4.5 12.0 2.2 8.0 [20]
    8–10 Aug 2022 Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 700 33.8
    39     		23.7
    28     		8.1
    9     		5.3
    6     		4.9
    6     		– – – – – – – – – 1.1 – 19.3 3.8 10.1 [21]
    12–14 Jul 2022 Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 700 33.1
    40     		22.2
    26     		7.9
    9     		5.5
    7     		5.1
    6     		– – – – – – – – – 3.6 – 18.4 4.2 10.9 [22]
    4–7 Jul 2022 Mediana Delo 716 30.2 18.9 6.8 7.0 4.7 2.7 2.4 1.7 1.1 2.4 0.5 0.5 1.3 0.2 – 12.7 4.9 11.3 [23]
    27 Jun 2022 The List of Marjan Šarec and the Party of Alenka Bratušek merge with the Freedom Movement
    Fieldwork date Polling firm Publisher(s) Sample size GS SDS NSi SD Levica LMŠ PoS Res. SAB GZD NP–DD PPS ND SNS Vesna Others None Und. Abst. Lead Source
    22–24 Jun 2022 Parsifal Nova24TV 727 30.3 22.6 6.6 6.8 3.7 – – – – – – – – – – 5.2 3.2 13.1 8.5 7.7 [24]
    20–23 Jun 2022 Mediana POPTV 719 28.4 18.9 6.8 5.8 4.1 2.3 – 3.0 1.9 – – – – – 1.8 – 5.4 8.6 4.0 9.5 [25]
    14–16 Jun 2022 Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 700 33.1
    40     		21.9
    26     		6.7
    8     		5.8
    7     		5.9
    7     		3.0
    0     		1.8
    0     		0.7
    0     		1.1
    0     		– – – – 0.4
    0     		0.4
    0     		0.8 – 13.5 4.9 11.2 [26]
    6–9 Jun 2022 Mediana Delo 714 31.0 21.4 7.1 5.8 4.2 2.3 1.6 2.0 1.9 – 0.8 1.6 1.7 0.6 0.8 0.4 – 7.0 4.4 9.6 [27]
    16–19 May 2022 Parsifal Nova24TV 703 30.4 24.8 8.8 5.6 4.8 4.0 – – 2.0 – – – – – – 2.7 3.1 6.9 6.8 8.2 [28]
    16–19 May 2022 Mediana POPTV 724 30.6 19.7 4.3 6.9 4.1 2.1 2.9 2.9 1.5 1.2 1.9 1.7 1.6 0.9 1.3 1.2 4.6 6.8 – 10.9 [29]
    10–12 May 2022 Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 700 38.4
    45     		19.9
    23     		5.8
    7     		6.0
    7     		5.5
    6     		2.5
    0     		1.7
    0     		– – – – 1.3
    0     		– – 1.0
    0     		4.6 – 8.8 4.5 18.5 [30]
    9 May 2022[a] Mediana Delo — 36.9 25.3 8.5 6.2 5.9 2.9 2.8 1.0 2.7 – 0.8 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.5 2.7 – – 38.8 11.4 [31][32]
    24 April 2022 2022 election results 1,168,542 34.5 23.5 6.9 6.7 4.4 3.7 3.4 2.9 2.6 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.4 3.7 (31.1) 11.0
    88 41 27 8 7 5 – – – – – – – – – – – – 14
    1. ^ Publication date

    References[edit]

    1. ^ "Legislationline". www.legislationline.org. Retrieved 2016-07-05.
    2. ^ "AKTUALNA VPRAŠANJA – JANUAR 2023". ninamedia.si (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2023-01-20.
    3. ^ "Anketa Dela: Podpora vladi in Svobodi se lomi". domovina.je (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2023-01-14.
    4. ^ "Anketa: Ta mesec precejšni padec podpore vladi in Gibanju Svoboda". rtvslo.si (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2023-01-14.
    5. ^ "Gibanje Svoboda še vedno močno vodi, vladi podpora nekoliko padla". www.24ur.com (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2022-12-26.
    6. ^ "AKTUALNA VPRAŠANJA – DECEMBER 2022". ninamedia.si (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2022-12-20.
    7. ^ "Anketa: Prva vladna kriza se še ne odraža v javnem mnenju". rtvslo.si (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2022-12-11.
    8. ^ "Golobovi vladi rekordna podpora, za Pahorjem najbolj priljubljen Logar". www.24ur.com (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2022-12-05.
    9. ^ "AKTUALNA VPRAŠANJA – NOVEMBER 2022". ninamedia.si (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2022-11-22.
    10. ^ "Golob zdrsnil s prvega mesta, a ima vseeno razloge za dobro voljo". slovenskenovice.si (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2022-11-16.
    11. ^ "Vlada oktobra še vedno z več kot 50-odstotno podporo". www.24ur.com (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2022-10-25.
    12. ^ "(ANKETA) Golobova stranka se potaplja, ampak tega vam ne bodo povedali…". demokracija.si (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2022-10-24.
    13. ^ "AKTUALNA VPRAŠANJA – OKTOBER 2022". ninamedia.si (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2022-11-22.
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    16. ^ "Vox populi: Na predsedniških volitvah bi največ glasov dobil Logar". rtvslo.si (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2022-09-20.
    17. ^ "Ura resnice: to si po prvih 100 dneh Golobove vlade mislijo Slovenci". slovenskenovice.si (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2022-09-27.
    18. ^ "[Javnomnenjska anketa] Golobova stranka pada, Janša se mu nevarno približuje". nova24tv.si (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2022-09-08.
    19. ^ "Na vrhu brez sprememb, Tonin drži tretje mesto #video". siol.net (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2022-09-08.
    20. ^ "Anketa POP TV: vlada s počitnic z rekordno podporo za svoje delo, poletje koristi tudi Resni.ci". domovina.je (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2022-08-30.
    21. ^ "Vox populi: v prvem krogu predsedniških volitev bi zmagal Logar, v drugem Pirc Musar". rtvslo.si (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2022-08-21.
    22. ^ "AKTUALNA VPRAŠANJA – JULIJ 2022". ninamedia.si (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2022-08-21.
    23. ^ "Hud padec Roberta Goloba: to kažejo nove ankete" [Severe fall of Robert Golob: this is what new polls show]. www.slovenskenovice.si (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2022-07-11.
    24. ^ "[Javnomnenjska anketa] Podpora Gibanju Svoboda po volitvah že začela upadati" [[Opinion poll] Support for Freedom Movement has already started to drop after the election] (in Slovenian). 2022-05-21. Retrieved 2022-07-17.
    25. ^ "Anketa POP TV: Golobovo vlado podpira 53,1 odstotka vprašanih" [POP TV poll: Golob's government supported by 53.1% of responders]. www.mladina.si (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2022-06-28.
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    29. ^ "Vsak tretji bi glasoval za Golobovo Gibanje Svoboda" [Each third voter would vote for Golob's Freedom Movement]. www.24ur.com (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2022-05-26.
    30. ^ "Prvič po 20 letih je neka politična stranka po volitvah v anketah izrazito okrepila svoj položaj" [For the first time after 20 years has a political party reinforced its position after an election]. Mladina.si (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2022-05-26.
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    32. ^ "Anketa Dela: Še dodatno pridobile tri najuspešnejše stranke" [Delo poll: The three most successful parties have gained even more]. www.siol.net (in Slovenian). Retrieved 26 May 2022.
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