Opinion polling for the next Slovenian parliamentary election

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In the run up to the next Slovenian parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Slovenia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, held on 3 June 2018, to the present day. The next parliamentary election is scheduled to be held no later than four years since the previous one.[1]

Pollsters[edit]

There are, principally, four opinion research companies that conduct election polling on a regular basis within Slovenia, generally publishing on a monthly basis:

  • Mediana, published by the Slovenian television channel POP TV and its respective multimedia web portal 24ur.com,
  • Ninamedia, jointly published by the public broadcaster RTV SLO and Slovene daily newspaper Dnevnik,
  • Delo Stik, which is the in-house opinion polling organisation of the Slovenian daily newspaper Delo,
  • Parsifal SC, which conducts opinion polling for the conservative media conglomerate, Nova24TV (the company is (like the news agency itself[2]) closely tied to the largest Slovenian conservative party, SDS[3][4]).[citation needed]

Additionally, irregular polling is conducted by Slovene opinion research companies Valicon, and Episcenter.[citation needed]

Poll results[edit]

Poll results are listed in the table in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest figure in each survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the case of a tie, no figure is shaded.

Date Polling firm/Publisher(s) Sample size Šarec cabinet C&S Opposition Non-parliamentary
LMŠ SD SMC PAB DeSUS The Left SDS NSi SNS SLS PPS DD AČZS Oth. None Und. Abst. Lead Source
12-14 Mar 2019 Ninamedia/RTVSLO/Dnevnik 700 28.0 8.1 0.4 1.9 3.1 6.2 13.7 8.2 2.4 1.7 1.0 20.1 5.4 14.3 [5][6]
26 Feb-7 Mar 2019 Mediana/Delo 729 19.4 6.7 0.8 1.5 2.8 8.1 16.0 6.8 2.1 1.9 1.1 1.1 0.2 0.4 10.0 18.3 0.8 3.4 [7]
24 Feb 2019 Mediana/POPTV 707 20.6 5.4 2.5 3.3 3.3 6.7 16.1 4.8 2.5 2.9 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.6 8.2 17.4 1.4 4.5 [8]
12-14 Feb 2019 Ninamedia/RTVSLO/Dnevnik 700 31.3 8.9 2.7 2.9 2.9 6.2 11.6 3.9 2.5 2.5 0.7 19.7 4.2 19.7 [9][10]
11-14 Feb 2019 Parsifal/Nova24TV 712 13.1 12.6 4.7 4.2 3.7 3.7 18.2 5.6 2.3 10.7 1.4 15.9 5.1 [11]
29 Jan-6 Feb 2019 Mediana/Delo 731 22.4 5.8 2.7 2.4 1.7 5.9 15.1 5.2 2.6 1.4 2.7 1.2 1.3 1.1 11.8 14.3 7.3 [12][13]
14 Jan 2019 Parsifal/Nova24TV 16.4 7.4 1.9 1.6 4.1 4.6 18.1 4.2 2.2 2.6 0.9 0.8 0.5 13.1 18.0 3.2 1.7 [14]
27 Jan 2019 Mediana/POPTV 707 16.0 9.2 1.7 1.9 2.4 7.6 16.6 3.2 3.8 4.0 2.5 0.5 1.0 0.2 8.4 17.5 0.3 0.6 [15]
8-10 Jan 2019 Ninamedia/RTVSLO/Dnevnik 700 18.0 11.7 3.1 2.5 2.9 7.1 16.9 4.1 1.7 3.1 0.1 21.8 7.0 1.1 [16][17]
3-10 Jan 2019 Mediana/Delo 743 13.9 6.5 3.7 3.4 2.0 6.8 16.2 5.4 4.1 3.0 1.1 0.7 1.3 0.7 7.1 21.2 0.1 2.3 [18][19]
23 Dec 2018 Mediana/POPTV 707 10.7 9.0 3.8 2.1 4.5 8.9 17.5 5.2 3.7 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.7 9.1 17.7 0.5 6.7 [20]
11-13 Dec 2018 Ninamedia/RTVSLO/Dnevnik 700 12.8 12.3 3.1 2.4 3.0 6.9 18.7 5.9 2.4 3.2 20.8 8.4 5.9 [21]
26 Nov-6 Dec 2018 Mediana/Delo 717 8.5 10.5 4.9 2.2 3.5 6.7 18.1 4.2 3.2 5.5 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.6 7.8 15.8 1.4 7.6 [22][23]
13-22 Nov 2018 Mediana/POPTV/Delo 714 7.0 8.9 3.7 3.2 3.4 6.1 18.3 5.5 3.8 3.8 2.0 0.6 1.1 0.8 9.4 16.7 0.9 9.4 [24][25]
19-20 Nov 2018 Ninamedia/RTVSLO/Dnevnik 700 12.2 14.7 5.0 2.3 3.7 8.1 18.0 6.2 3.7 2.1 17. 6.4 5.8 [26][27][28]
28 Oct 2018 Mediana/POPTV 725 8.5 7.2 3.1 3.1 3.3 6.2 19.5 5.1 2.5 2.5 0.9 1.1 0.5 0.5 8.8 23.3 0.6 11.0 [29]
14 Oct 2018 Ninamedia/RTVSLO/Dnevnik 700 13.8 12.2 4.1 2.9 3.9 7.3 16.8 4.9 1.8 3.2 19.9 9.2 3.0 [30][31]
3-11 Oct 2018 Mediana/Delo 725 8.9 4.8 3.7 2.2 18.6 4.9 3.2 9.7 [32]
23 Sep 2018 Mediana/POPTV 705 7.7 8.1 3.7 4.3 3.0 6.1 18.3 5.4 2.6 1.0 1.2 0.8 0.6 0.9 10.8 22.5 0.5 10.2 [33]
11-13 Sep 2018 Ninamedia/RTVSLO 700 10.2 9.8 7.1 3.7 3.0 6.2 23.7 6.1 2.4 1.1 19.9 6.8 13.5 [34][35]
30 Aug-6 Sep 2018 Mediana/Delo 715 7.2 6.6 4.4 3.2 4.0 6.9 17.9 4.7 3.2 3.0 14.6 18.5 10.7 [36]
26 Aug 2018 Mediana/POPTV 712 9.1 6.9 4.3 3.2 1.9 6.4 20.9 4.4 3.1 0.7 1.8 1.0 0.6 0.6 12.4 19.8 0.6 11.8 [37]
13-15 Aug 2018 Ninamedia/RTVSLO/Dnevnik 700 10.1 10.1 3.1 1.7 3.2 6.8 24.0 4.8 2.3 2.3 19.7 11.7 12.9 [38][39]
29 Jul 2018 Mediana/POPTV 730 10.4 7.0 4.8 3.8 1.7 7.4 20.0 5.1 4.1 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.9 9.4 18.1 9.6 [40]
10-12 Jul 2018 Ninamedia/RTVSLO/Dnevnik 700 10.7 8.8 8.9 3.0 3.1 7.6 25.3 4.8 2.2 2.6 13.6 9.5 14.6 [41][42][43]
23 Jun 2018 Mediana/POPTV 743 10.1 8.2 5.6 3.5 2.7 8.4 24.7 4.6 3.8 2.0 0.9 0.9 0.6 1.0 6.4 13.3 14.6 [44]
18-20 Jun 2018 Parsifal/Nova24TV 611 12.7 9.3 4.3 3.2 9.9 21.5 4.2 4.2 8.8 [45]
12-14 Jun 2018 Ninamedia/RTVSLO/Dnevnik 700 11.6 9.2 9.2 3.8 3.1 8.8 25.1 3.2 3.4 4.3 14.3 3.9 13.5 [46][47]
5-6 Jun 2018 Parsifal/Nova24TV 690 12.2 8.8 5.5 3.5 1.2 7.5 23.0 4.3 3.4 4.2 2.4 7.0 17.1 10.8 [48]
3 Jun 2018 Election results 891,097 12.6 9.9 9.8 5.1 4.9 9.3 24.9 7.2 4.2 2.6 2.2 1.5 1.1 4.7 47.4 12.3 [49]
90 13 10 10 5 5 9 25 7 4

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