Jump to content

Opinion polling for the next Slovenian parliamentary election

Page extended-confirmed-protected
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

In the run-up to the Next Slovenian parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Slovenia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, held on 22 March 2026, to the present day. The next parliamentary election is scheduled to be held no later than four years since the previous one.[1]

Pollsters

Public opinion polls on voting intention in Slovenia are mainly conducted regularly by five agencies:

  • Mediana, which conducts separate public opinion polls for the newspaper Delo, RTV Slovenia and for the television channel POP TV and its respective multimedia web portal 24ur.com;
  • Ninamedia, which conducts the Vox Populi public opinion polls for the newspaper Dnevnik and Večer;
  • Parsifal SC, which conducts public opinion polls for the conservative news media enterprise Nova24TV, owned by members of right-wing SDS;
  • Research Center IJEK, which conducts the Pulse of Society public opinion polls and is the think tank of centre-right NSi;
  • Valicon, which conducts polls for Siol.net.

Graphical summary

The following graph depicts the evolution of standings of the main political parties in the polling average since last parliamentary election. The graph shows the average vote share of each party, excluding undecided voters.

Poll results

Poll results are listed in the table in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest figure in each survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the case of a tie, no figure is shaded. When available, seat projections for 88 out of 90 seats (without seats reserved for minorities) are displayed below the percentages in a smaller font. 46 seats are required for an absolute majority in the National Assembly. The dates of when the poll was conducted are given when available, otherwise, the date of publication is listed.

Political parties or lists must surpass the national 4% electoral threshold to qualify for seat allocation.

2026

Date(s) conducted Pollster Client Sample size GS SDS NSF SD DEM L V RES PVP PIR SNS MI! Others Lead
21–24 Sep Mediana[2] POP 716 26.1 30.4 9.0 8.7 5.4 7.8 — 3.7 1.4 3.6 1.9 — 2.2 4.3
1–18 Sep IJEK[3] N/A 643 23.9 27.9 8.8 9.5 4.7 8.7 — 3.9 3.6 3.4 3.0 — 2.4 4.0
14–16 Sep Ninamedia[4] Dnevnik 700 24.8 28.6 10.0[a] 10.2 4.2 9.1 0.7 2.5 3.4 1.8 1.4 1.1 2.1[b] 3.8
7–10 Sep Mediana[5] Delo 717 24.1 29.1 9.9 9.7 4.4 6.2 — 3.8 4.0 3.7 1.7 — 3.5 5.0
17–20 Aug Mediana[6] POP 719 26.3 27.3 10.4 8.5 3.5 6.1 — 5.0 2.5[c] 4.3 2.5[d] — 1.3[e] 1.0
10–12 Aug Ninamedia[7] Dnevnik 700 26.5 26.9 9.3[f] 10.2 4.4 8.7 1.0 3.2 2.7 2.5 1.9 1.4 1.7[g] 0.4
3–6 Aug Mediana[8] Delo 720 25.8 29.6 9.7 6.9 5.3 7.3 — 3.1 2.4 4.5 2.3 — 3.2 3.8
23 July Levica and Vesna ceases to exist.[9]
20–23 Jul Mediana[10] POP 719 24.8 27.8 10.5 8.4 5.8 8.5 4.2 2.4[h] 2.4[i] 2.5 — 1.2[j] 3.0
13–15 Jul Ninamedia[11] Dnevnik 700 25.6 27.3 8.6[k] 10.2 4.2 9.7 — 3.2 — — — — 14.5 1.7
6–9 Jul Mediana[12] Delo 725 25.9 28.3 10.7 7.5 4.7 9.9 4.3 2.9 2.4 1.8 — 1.5 2.4
22–24 Jun Mediana[13] POP 721 27.5 28.4 10.3 9.9 3.5 8.3 3.9 2.5 3.1 1.9 — 0.5 0.9
8–19 Jun IJEK[14] N/A 543 24.4 26.3 11.0 9.0 4.6 9.7 6.4 2.9 2.4 1.9 — 1.4 1.9
8–11 Jun Mediana[15] Delo 719 26.7 26.8 11.1 10.2 5.1 9.1 3.8 1.7 3.0 — — 2.4 0.1
8–10 Jun Ninamedia[16] Dnevnik 700 26.6 28.3 9.5[l] 9.1 4.3 8.3 0.4 3.9 3.2 1.8 1.9 1.2 1.5 1.7
4 June 16th Government of Slovenia is confirmed.[17]
22 May Janez Janša is elected as prime minister.[18]
18–21 May Mediana[19] POP 719 26.6 29.2 8.7 8.0 4.6 6.8 3.7 3.9 2.8 3.4 — 2.3 2.6
4–20 May IJEK[20] N/A 611 24.4 27.1 10.8 10.2 4.5 7.8 4.6 3.5 2.3 3.5 — 1.3 2.7
11–13 May Ninamedia[21] Dnevnik 700 28.9 25.0 11.5[m] 9.3 3.2 9.7 0.4 4.3 2.1 1.6 1.3 0.7 1.7 3.9
8–12 May Valicon[22] Siol 1,527 25.4 25.0 8.9 7.8 4.7 6.1 7.5 3.2 4.8 2.8 1.3 2.8[n] 0.4
5–7 May Mediana[23] Delo 718 29.7 28.7 10.8 5.7 5.5 6.4 4.0 2.3 3.3 1.3 — 2.3 1.0
24 Apr Former speaker of the National Assembly Urška Klakočar Zupančič quits Freedom Movement[24]
21–23 Apr Mediana[25] POP 722 28.0 29.2 10.4 7.1 4.9 6.9 4.6 3.4 1.4 2.9 — 1.4 1.2
13–15 Apr Ninamedia[26] Dnevnik 700 29.3 27.9 8.7[o] 7.3 5.2 5.8 4.4 3.1 2.0 2.8 — 3.5 1.4
1–10 Apr IJEK[28] N/A 675 26.4 28.1 10.9 7.5 6.2 7.7 5.4 2.6 1.4 1.8 0.6 1.6[p] 1.7
10 Apr Zoran Stevanović is elected as speaker of the National Assembly
7–9 Apr Mediana[29] Delo 700 27.6 27.0 10.6 6.4 6.8 6.4 5.6 1.8 2.9 3.5 — 1.4 0.6
23 Mar Pavel Rupar abandons Voice of Pensioners, the party dissolves
22 Mar Election results 1,179,769 28.7 27.9 9.3 6.7 6.7 5.7[q] 5.5 3.1 2.4 2.2 0.5 1.6[r] 0.8

Notes;

  1. ↑ Polled separate.
    8.6 - N.Si
    0.9 - SLS
    0.5 - Focus of Marko Lotrič
  2. ↑ 0.5 - Greens of Slovenia
    0.5 - Party of Generations
    0.4 - For a Healthy Society
    0.2 - None of This
  3. ↑ The poll grouped the party with others and reported only a rounded percentage.
  4. ↑ The poll grouped the party with others and reported only a rounded percentage.
  5. ↑ The poll reported only a rounded percentage.
  6. ↑ Polled separate.
    7.6 - N.Si
    1.0 - SLS
    0.7 - Focus of Marko Lotrič
  7. ↑ 0.7 - Greens of Slovenia
    0.5 - Party of Generations
    0.3 - For a Healthy Society
    0.2 - None of This
  8. ↑ The poll grouped the party with others and reported only a rounded percentage.
  9. ↑ The poll grouped the party with others and reported only a rounded percentage.
  10. ↑ The poll reported only a rounded percentage.
  11. ↑ Polled as N.Si not the NSF alliance.
  12. ↑ Polled separate.
    8.8 - N.Si
    0.4 - SLS
    0.3 - Focus of Marko Lotrič
  13. ↑ Combined result of N.Si and SLS
  14. ↑ 0.9 - Alternative for Slovenia
    0.9 - Voice of Pensioners (polled, despite dissolving)
  15. ↑ Polled as New Slovenia not as the NSi, SLS, FOKUS alliance [27]
  16. ↑ 0.6 - Greens of Slovenia and Party of Generations
    0.6 - Alternative for Slovenia
  17. ↑ As part of Levica and Vesna
  18. ↑ 0.5 - Greens of Slovenia and Party of Generations
    0.4 - Alternative for Slovenia
    0.4 - Voice of Pensioners
    0.3 - Karl Erjavec - Trust Party
    0.0 - Unity
    0.0 - Solution - Party of Pensioners Velenje, Slovenia

Seat projection

46 seats needed for a majority.

MRP polls

Month
published
Pollster Client GS SDS NSF SD DEM LV RES Others[a]
Jul 2026 Ninamedia[30] Dnevnik 26 28 9 11 4 10 0 2
Jun 2026 Odmev[31] N/A 27 28 10 10 4 9 0 2
May 2026 Odmev[32] N/A 27 27 10 8 4 7 5 2
May 2026 IJEK[33] N/A 25 27 11 10 4 7 4 2
May 2026 Odmev[34] N/A 31 30 11 5 5 6 0 2
Apr 2026 Odmev[35] N/A 27 27 10 7 5 6 5 2
Apr 2026 Ninamedia[36] Dnevnik 29 28 9 7 5 6 4 2
Apr 2026 IJEK[37] N/A 27 27 10 7 6 6 5 2
Apr 2026 Odmev[38] N/A 26 27 10 7 6 7 5 2
Mar 2026 2026 Election 29 28 9 6 6 5 5 2

Leadership polls

Leaders' ratings

Poll results showing the public opinion on all political party leaders rated from 1 to 5. The results are shown in the table below in reverse chronological order (showing the most recent first).

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Lead
Mediana 20–23 Jul 2026 3.2 3.2 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 Tie

Cabinet approval/disapproval ratings

Poll results showing public opinion on the performance of the Government are shown in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first.

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size Janez Janša's cabinet
Approve Disapprove Undecided Net
Mediana 20–23 Jul 2026 719 36.8 46.6 16.6 9.8
Ninamedia 13–15 Jul 2026 700 33.7 49.6 16.7 15.9
Mediana 21–24 Jun 2026 721 38 44 17 6.0

Notes

  1. ↑ 2 seats are reserved for MPs of the Italian and Hungarian minorities.

References

  1. ↑ "Legislationline". www.legislationline.org. Archived from the original on 2018-05-03. Retrieved 2016-07-05.
  2. ↑ "Vladi in SDS zrasla podpora, Han najbolj priljubljen". 24ur.com (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2026-09-30.
  3. ↑ "»Utrip družbe, september 2026«; ijek.si". ijek.si.
  4. ↑ "»Vox populi: Janša povečuje razliko do Goloba, Resnica daleč od parlamenta«; dnevnik.si". dnevnik.si.
  5. ↑ "Preobrat: Feratovićevi Pirati po Delu na mesto Stevanovićeve Resni.ce". siol.net (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2026-08-16.
  6. ↑ "Priljubljenost politikov: po dveh letih preobrat na samem vrhu". 24ur.com (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2026-07-29.
  7. ↑ "»Vox populi: Danes bi vlado sestavljala levica, Resnica pa tone«; dnevnik.si". dnevnik.si.
  8. ↑ "Preobrat: Feratovićevi Pirati po Delu na mesto Stevanovićeve Resni.ce". siol.net (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2026-08-16.
  9. ↑ "Zakaj sta se razšli Levica in Vesna?". 24ur.com.
  10. ↑ "Afera Mijič Stevanovića potisnila na dno lestvice. Kdo je pri vrhu?". 24ur.com (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2026-07-29.
  11. ↑ "Anketa: Resni.ca bi ostala pod parlamentarnim pragom; rtvslo.si". rtvslo.si.
  12. ↑ "Dve odstotni točki razkoraka med SDS in GS". delo.si (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2026-07-13.
  13. ↑ "Vlado podpira manj kot 40 odstotkov vprašanih, med strankami vodi SDS". 24ur.com (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2026-06-29.
  14. ↑ "»Utrip družbe, junij 2026«; ijek.si". ijek.si.
  15. ↑ "Nova razmerja moči: kdo bi danes prišel v parlament in kdo bi ostal pred vrati". www.delo.si (in Slovenian). Retrieved 2026-06-15.
  16. ↑ "Demokrati bi šli v zgodovino, Levica z največjim skokom; rtvslo.si". rtvslo.si.
  17. ↑ "Janševa vlada ukrepa: umaknili palestinsko zastavo in kadrovali". 24ur.com.
  18. ↑ "Janez Janša, četrtič". delo.si.
  19. ↑ "Padec podpore vodilni trojici in vrnitev Prebiliča med najljubše politike". 24ur.com.
  20. ↑ "Najbolj lojalno volilno bazo imata SDS in SD; ijeka.si". ijek.si.
  21. ↑ "Demokrati bi šli v zgodovino, Levica z največjim skokom; dnevnik.si". dnevnik.si.
  22. ↑ "Kaj bi bilo drugače, če bi bile volitve še enkrat?; siol.net". siol.net.
  23. ↑ "Kakšen bi bil izid, če bi volili še enkrat?; delo.si". delo.si.
  24. ↑ "Urška Klakočar Zupančič izstopila iz Gibanja Svoboda". rtvslo.si.
  25. ↑ "Povolilno javno mnenje: noben blok ne bi dobil večine". 24ur.com.
  26. ↑ "Nezadovoljni z izidom volitev, a bi spet volili enako; dnevnik.si". dnevnik.si.
  27. ↑ "Nezadovoljni z izidom volitev, a bi spet volili enako; dnevnik.si". dnevnik.si.
  28. ↑ "Najbolj lojalno volilno bazo imata SDS in SD; ijeka.si". ijek.si.
  29. ↑ "Najbolj lojalno volilno bazo imata SDS in SD; delo.si". delo.si.
  30. ↑ "Anketa: Resni.ca bi ostala pod parlamentarnim pragom; rtvslo.si". rtvslo.si.
  31. ↑ "Sam svoj mandatar". volilna-napoved.si. June 2026.
  32. ↑ "Sam svoj mandatar". volilna-napoved.si. May 2026.
  33. ↑ "Utrip družbe". ijek.si. May 20, 2026.
  34. ↑ "Sam svoj mandatar". volilna-napoved.si. May 12, 2026.
  35. ↑ "Sam svoj mandatar". siol.net. March 20, 2026.
  36. ↑ "Anketa: 70 odstotkov volivcev nezadovoljnih z izidi, preverite, kakšen bi bil rezultat volitev, če bi volili sedaj". vecer.com. April 15, 2026.
  37. ↑ "Utrip družbe, april 2026" (PDF). ijek.si. March 20, 2026.
  38. ↑ "Sam svoj mandatar". siol.net. March 20, 2026.