Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election

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Opinion polling for UK general elections
2010 election
Opinion polls
2015 election
Opinion polls • Leadership approval
2017 election
Opinion polls • Leadership approval
2019 election
Opinion polls • Leadership approval
Next election
Opinion polls • Leadership approval

In the run up to the next United Kingdom general election, various organisations are expected to carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.

The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 12 December 2019, to the present day. Under current fixed-term legislation, the next general election would take place in May 2024,[1] though the government has proposed legislation to repeal this law.[2]

Graphical summary[edit]

The chart below shows opinion polls conducted for the next United Kingdom general election. The trend lines are local regressions (LOESS).

Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election after 2019 (LOESS).svg

National poll results[edit]

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. The 'party lead' column shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. In the instance of a tie, the figures with the highest percentages are shaded and displayed in bold. Some opinion polls do not cover Northern Ireland, which has different major political parties from the rest of the United Kingdom. This distinction is made in the table below by the use of "GB" (mainland Great Britain, not including Northern Ireland) or "UK" (the whole United Kingdom, including Northern Ireland) in the area column.

The parties with the largest numbers of votes in the 2019 general election are listed here. Other parties are listed in the "Others" column.

2021[edit]

For events during the year, see 2021 in the United Kingdom.
Pollster Client Dates
conducted 		Area Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Green Others Lead
Survation N/A 5–13 Jul UK 2,119 43% 32% 9% 5% 6%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 5%
 11%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 12 Jul GB 2,000 41% 33% 12% 4% 6%
4%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 1%
 8%
Kantar Public N/A 7–12 Jul GB 1,057 44% 31% 12% 6% 4%
4%
Reform UK on 1%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
 13%
SavantaComRes N/A 9–11 Jul UK 2,137 40% 35% 9% 4% 6% 7% 5%
Opinium The Observer 8–9 Jul GB 2,001 43% 35% 6% 5% 6%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 2%
Other on 3%
 8%
YouGov The Times 7–8 Jul GB 2,054 42% 30% 9% 5% 7%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 3%
 12%
Ipsos MORI Evening Standard 2–8 Jul GB 1,053 40% 31% 13% 6% 6%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 1%
Reform UK on 0%
Other on 2%
 9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 5 Jul GB 2,000 43% 34% 8% 4% 6%
6%
Reform UK on 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
 9%
SavantaComRes N/A 2–4 Jul UK 2,176 41% 35% 8% 3% 4%
9%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 5%
 6%
1 Jul Batley and Spen by-election[3]
YouGov The Times 29–30 Jun GB 1,762 42% 31% 10% 5% 6%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 2%
 11%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 28 Jun GB 2,000 41% 34% 9% 5% 5%
5%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 2%
 7%
SavantaComRes N/A 25–27 Jun GB 2,148 42% 33% 9% 4% 5%
8%
Reform UK on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 5%
 9%
Survation N/A 25–26 Jun UK 1,001 41% 35% 10% 3% 5%
6%
Other on 6%
 6%
Opinium The Observer 23–25 Jun GB 2,000 43% 35% 7% 5% 5%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
 8%
YouGov The Times 23–24 Jun GB 1,758 42% 30% 9% 5% 7%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 4%
Other on 2%
 12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 21 Jun GB 2,000 44% 33% 10% 4% 4%
6%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
 11%
SavantaComRes N/A 18–20 Jun UK 2,191 44% 30% 10% 4% 5%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 1%
Other on 4%
 14%
Deltapoll N/A 17–20 Jun GB 2,343 41% 35% 10% 2% 5%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
UKIP on 3%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 2%
 6%
17 Jun Chesham and Amersham by-election[4]
YouGov The Times 16–17 Jun GB 1,642 45% 31% 6% 5% 7%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 4%
Other on 2%
 14%
Survation N/A 11–15 Jun UK 2,024 41% 33% 8% 4% 7%
6%
Other on 6%
 9%
Number Cruncher Politics N/A 7–14 Jun UK 1,517 45% 34% 5% 5% 7%
5%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
 11%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 13 Jun GB 2,000 44% 34% 9% 4% 5%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 1%
 10%
SavantaComRes N/A 11–13 Jun UK 2,108 41% 34% 8% 5% 6%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 4%
 7%
Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday 10–12 Jun GB 1,608 46% 34% 7% 2% 5%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 3%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 0%
 12%
Opinium The Observer 10–11 Jun GB 2,002 43% 34% 6% 6% 7%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
 9%
YouGov The Times 9–10 Jun GB 1,630 44% 31% 7% 5% 9%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 2%
 13%
Survation N/A 9–10 Jun UK 2,017 42% 35% 9% 4% 5%
5%
Other on 5%
 7%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 7 Jun GB 2,000 43% 36% 7% 5% 5%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 1%
Other on 2%
 7%
Kantar Public N/A 3–7 Jun GB 1,122 45% 32% 8% 4% 6%
5%
Reform UK on 2%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
 13%
SavantaComRes N/A 4–6 Jun UK 2,089 44% 32% 8% 4% 5%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 4%
 12%
YouGov The Times 2–3 Jun GB 1,703 46% 30% 6% 4% 9%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 2%
 16%
Ipsos MORI Evening Standard 28 May – 3 Jun GB 1,002 44% 35% 6% 5% 7%
1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Reform UK on 0%
Other on 0%
 9%
Survation N/A 1–2 Jun UK 1,533 41% 33% 9% 4% 6%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 5%
 8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 31 May GB 2,000 45% 34% 8% 4% 5%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 2%
 11%
SavantaComRes N/A 28–30 May UK 2,180 42% 32% 9% 4% 5%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 4%
 10%
Opinium The Observer 27–28 May GB 2,004 42% 36% 6% 5% 5%
5%
UKIP on 1%
Reform UK on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
 6%
YouGov The Times 27–28 May GB 1,705 43% 29% 8% 5% 8%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 2%
 14%
Survation Daily Mail 27–28 May UK 1,010 43% 33% 10% 5% 5%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 5%
 10%
Number Cruncher Politics N/A 27–28 May UK 1,001 44% 32% 7% 5% 8%
4%
Reform UK on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
 12%
Survation N/A 25–26 May UK 1,041 44% 33% 8% 4% 6%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 4%
 11%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 24 May GB 2,000 43% 33% 10% 4% 5%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 2%
 10%
SavantaComRes N/A 21–23 May UK 2,215 43% 34% 9% 4% 4%
8%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 5%
 9%
YouGov The Times 19–20 May GB 1,699 46% 28% 8% 5% 8%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 1%
 18%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 17 May GB 2,000 42% 33% 10% 4% 6%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 2%
 9%
SavantaComRes N/A 14–16 May UK 2,131 43% 32% 8% 4% 5%
8%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 5%
 11%
Find Out Now (MRP) The Sunday Telegraph 13–15 May GB 14,715 43% 30% 11% 5% 9%
3%
Reform UK on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
 13%
Opinium The Observer 13–14 May GB 2,004 44% 31% 8% 5% 7%
6%
UKIP on 2%
Reform UK on 0%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
 13%
13 May Airdrie and Shotts by-election[5]
YouGov The Times 11–12 May GB 1,647 45% 30% 7% 5% 8%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 2%
 15%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 10 May GB 2,000 45% 34% 8% 4% 5%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 2%
 11%
SavantaComRes N/A 7–9 May UK 2,152 42% 34% 8% 5% 4%
8%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 5%
 8%
6 May Local elections in England and Wales, Scottish and Welsh parliament elections,
and the Hartlepool by-election[6][7][8][9]
YouGov The Times 4–5 May GB 1,683 43% 33% 7% 5% 6%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 2%
 10%
Panelbase N/A 4–5 May GB 1,003 45% 36% 6% 4% 5%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
 9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 3 May GB 2,000 40% 38% 7% 4% 5%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 1%
 2%
SavantaComRes N/A 30 Apr – 2 May UK 2,242 40% 36% 8% 4% 4%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 4%
 4%
Focaldata The Sunday Times 29–30 Apr GB 1,555 40% 39% 6% 4% 4%
6%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
 1%
Opinium The Observer 28–30 Apr GB 2,001 42% 37% 7% 5% 4%
5%
UKIP on 2%
Reform UK on 0%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
 5%
Number Cruncher Politics N/A 28–29 Apr UK 1,001 43% 34% 5% 5% 7%
5%
Reform UK on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
 9%
Survation Daily Mail 27–29 Apr UK 1,077 39% 38% 9% 4% 6%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 5%
 1%
YouGov The Times 27–28 Apr GB 1,803 44% 33% 7% 4% 7%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 1%
 11%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 26 Apr GB 2,000 44% 34% 8% 5% 4%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 1%
 10%
Kantar Public N/A 22–26 Apr GB 1,115 41% 33% 10% 5% 7%
5%
Reform UK on 3%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 1%
 8%
BMG The Independent 22–26 Apr GB 1,500 39% 35% 9% 4% 6%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 2%
 4%
SavantaComRes N/A 23–25 Apr UK 2,144 42% 35% 8% 5% 3%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 4%
 7%
Opinium The Observer 21–23 Apr GB 2,000 44% 33% 7% 6% 5%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 2%
Reform UK on 0%
Other on 3%
 11%
YouGov The Times 21–22 Apr GB 1,730 44% 34% 5% 5% 7%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 2%
 10%
Ipsos MORI Evening Standard 16–22 Apr GB 1,090 40% 37% 8% 6% 5%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 1%
 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 19 Apr GB 2,000 44% 34% 10% 4% 4%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 2%
 10%
Survation N/A 15–19 Apr UK 1,008 40% 34% 9% 4% 7%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 6%
 6%
SavantaComRes N/A 16–18 Apr UK 2,094 43% 34% 7% 5% 4%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 1%
Other on 5%
 9%
YouGov The Times 13–14 Apr GB 1,689 43% 29% 8% 5% 8%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 2%
 14%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 12 Apr GB 2,000 43% 36% 7% 4% 5%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 2%
 7%
SavantaComRes N/A 9–11 Apr UK 2,174 42% 35% 7% 5% 4%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 4%
 7%
Survation N/A 8–10 Apr UK 1,009 43% 35% 8% 3% 4%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 5%
 8%
Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday 8–10 Apr GB 1,608 45% 36% 6% 2% 4%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
UKIP on 2%
Reform UK on 4%
Other on 1%
 9%
Opinium The Observer 8–9 Apr GB 2,006 45% 36% 6% 6% 4%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 1%
Reform UK on 0%
Other on 2%
 9%
YouGov The Times 7–8 Apr GB 1,708 41% 34% 6% 5% 6%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 3%
 7%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 5 Apr GB 2,000 44% 34% 9% 4% 5%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 2%
 10%
SavantaComRes N/A 2–4 Apr UK 2,065 42% 35% 8% 4% 3%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 4%
 7%
YouGov The Times 31 Mar – 1 Apr GB 1,736 42% 34% 7% 5% 6%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 2%
 8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 29 Mar GB 2,000 44% 36% 7% 4% 4%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 2%
 8%
Kantar Public N/A 25–29 Mar GB 1,102 42% 34% 9% 7% 4%
5%
Reform UK on 2%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
 8%
Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday 25–27 Mar GB 1,610 44% 36% 6% 2% 4%
8%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
UKIP on 4%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 1%
 8%
YouGov The Times 25–26 Mar GB 1,742 42% 32% 8% 5% 7%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 2%
 10%
Opinium The Observer 25–26 Mar GB 2,002 41% 37% 6% 6% 5%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 2%
Reform UK on 1%
Other on 2%
 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 22 Mar GB 2,000 42% 36% 9% 4% 6%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 1%
 6%
SavantaComRes N/A 19–21 Mar UK 2,098 42% 38% 6% 4% 3%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 4%
 4%
YouGov The Times 18–19 Mar GB 1,692 43% 34% 5% 5% 7%
6%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
 9%
BMG The Independent 16–19 Mar GB 1,498 39% 37% 9% 4% 6%
5%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
 2%
Number Cruncher Politics N/A 12–16 Mar UK 1,001 42% 37% 7% 5% 5%
5%
Reform UK on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
 5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 15 Mar GB 2,000 43% 36% 7% 4% 5%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 1%
 7%
SavantaComRes N/A 12–14 Mar UK 2,092 39% 37% 8% 4% 4%
8%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 4%
 2%
Opinium The Observer 11–12 Mar GB 2,001 43% 37% 6% 5% 4%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 1%
Reform UK on 0%
Other on 2%
 6%
Ipsos MORI Evening Standard 5–12 Mar GB 1,009 45% 38% 6% 5% 5%
1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 0%
Other on 1%
 7%
YouGov The Times 9–10 Mar GB 1,680 42% 33% 7% 4% 6%
6%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
 9%
Survation Sunday Mirror 9–10 Mar UK 1,037 43% 33% 9% 5% 5%
5%
Reform UK on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
 10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 8 Mar GB 2,000 45% 36% 7% 4% 4%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 1%
 9%
SavantaComRes N/A 5–7 Mar UK 2,129 42% 36% 8% 4% 4%
8%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 4%
 6%
6 Mar Richard Tice becomes leader of Reform UK[10]
YouGov The Times 3–4 Mar GB 1,715 45% 32% 6% 5% 7%
5%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
 13%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 1 Mar GB 1,500 44% 38% 7% 4% 3%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 1%
 6%
SavantaComRes N/A 26–28 Feb UK 2,182 43% 36% 7% 4% 3%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 3%
 7%
YouGov The Times 25–26 Feb GB 1,637 41% 36% 5% 5% 7%
5%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
 5%
Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday 24–26 Feb GB 1,527 42% 38% 6% 2% 4%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
UKIP on 3%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 1%
 4%
Opinium The Observer 24–26 Feb GB 2,003 43% 36% 7% 6% 4%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 1%
Reform UK on 0%
Other on 2%
 7%
Survation N/A 23–25 Feb UK 1,002 42% 34% 7% 5% 6%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 5%
 8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 22 Feb GB 2,000 43% 37% 7% 4% 5%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 1%
 6%
Kantar Public N/A 18–22 Feb GB 1,114 40% 33% 11% 4% 6%
7%
Reform UK on 3%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
 7%
SavantaComRes N/A 19–21 Feb UK 2,189 40% 38% 7% 4% 3%
9%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 5%
 2%
YouGov The Times 17–18 Feb GB 1,663 40% 37% 7% 5% 6%
5%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 15 Feb GB 2,000 41% 39% 8% 5% 5%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 1%
 2%
SavantaComRes N/A 12–14 Feb UK 2,170 42% 37% 7% 4% 3%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 4%
 5%
Opinium The Observer 11–12 Feb UK 2,006 42% 37% 6% 5% 5%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 1%
Reform UK on 0%
Other on 3%
 5%
YouGov The Times 9–10 Feb GB 1,660 41% 36% 6% 5% 7%
7%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
 5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 8 Feb GB 2,000 43% 38% 7% 5% 4%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 1%
 5%
SavantaComRes N/A 5–7 Feb UK 2,119 41% 37% 8% 4% 4%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 4%
 4%
Survation N/A 5–6 Feb UK 1,003 39% 33% 9% 5% 7%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 5%
 6%
Ipsos MORI Evening Standard 29 Jan – 4 Feb GB 1,056 42% 38% 7% 5% 8%
0%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 0%
Other on 0%
 4%
YouGov The Times 2–3 Feb GB 1,684 41% 37% 6% 5% 6%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 2%
 4%
Find Out Now N/A 2 Feb GB 5,002 39% 38% 7% 6%[a] 6%
4%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 1%
 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 1 Feb GB 2,000 40% 38% 8% 5% 4%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 1%
 2%
Number Cruncher Politics ITV 25 Jan – 1 Feb UK 2,001 43% 37% 5% 5% 5%
5%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
 6%
SavantaComRes N/A 29–31 Jan UK 2,288 41% 38% 6% 5% 3%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 4%
 3%
Opinium The Observer 28–29 Jan UK 2,002 41% 38% 7% 5% 4%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 2%
Reform UK on 1%
Other on 1%
 3%
YouGov The Times 26–27 Jan GB 1,721 37% 41% 6% 5% 4%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 3%
 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 25 Jan GB 2,000 42% 37% 8% 5% 4%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 2%
 5%
Kantar Public N/A 21–25 Jan GB 1,100 40% 37% 10% 4% 5%
4%
Reform UK on 2%
UKIP on 1%
Other on 1%
 3%
SavantaComRes N/A 22–24 Jan UK 2,070 40% 37% 8% 5% 3%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 4%
 3%
Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday 21–23 Jan GB 1,632 41% 39% 7% 4% 3%
6%
Reform UK on 2%
UKIP on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 1%
 2%
YouGov The Times 21–22 Jan GB 1,703 39% 38% 5% 5% 6%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 4%
Other on 2%
 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 18 Jan GB 2,000 40% 38% 8% 4% 5%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 2%
 2%
SavantaComRes N/A 15–17 Jan UK 1,914 39% 37% 7% 5% 3%
7%
Reform UK on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 5%
 2%
Opinium The Observer 14–15 Jan UK 2,003 37% 41% 6% 6% 4%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 1%
Other on 3%
 4%
YouGov The Times 13–14 Jan GB 1,702 38% 39% 5% 5% 6%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 2%
 1%
Survation N/A 12–13 Jan UK 1,033 40% 38% 7% 4% 5%
7%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 6%
 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 11 Jan GB 2,000 41% 37% 8% 5% 5%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 1%
 4%
SavantaComRes N/A 8–10 Jan UK 1,550 40% 37% 8% 4% 4%
7%
Reform UK on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
 3%
Opinium The Observer 6–7 Jan UK 2,003 39% 40% 6% 5% 4%
6%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
 1%
6 Jan The Brexit Party is re-registered as Reform UK[11]
YouGov The Times 4–5 Jan GB 1,704 39% 39% 6% 5% 6%
6%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
 Tie

2020[edit]

For events during the year, see 2020 in the United Kingdom.
Pollster Client Dates
conducted 		Area Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Green Others Lead
Deltapoll Daily Mirror 26–30 Dec GB 1,608 43% 38% 4% 5% 5%
6%
Brexit Party on 3%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 1%
 5%
Focaldata (MRP) N/A 4–29 Dec GB 22,186 36% 38% 9% 4% 7%
7%
Brexit Party on 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
 2%
Survation N/A 22 Dec UK 1,011 39% 38% 8% 5% 4%
7%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 6%
 1%
YouGov The Times 21–22 Dec GB 1,713 37% 41% 5% 5% 5%
6%
Brexit Party on 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
 4%
SavantaComRes Daily Express 18–21 Dec UK 1,433 41% 39% 8% 5% 4%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
 2%
Opinium The Observer 16–17 Dec UK 2,001 39% 39% 6% 5% 4%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 3%
Other on 3%
 Tie
YouGov The Times 15–16 Dec GB 1,898 39% 37% 6% 5% 6%
7%
Brexit Party on 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
 2%
Kantar Public N/A 10–14 Dec GB 1,137 38% 37% 10% 5% 3%
6%
Brexit Party on 3%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
 1%
SavantaComRes N/A 11–13 Dec UK 1,295 38% 37% 8% 5% 5%
7%
Brexit Party on 4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
 1%
Ipsos MORI Evening Standard 4–10 Dec GB 1,027 41% 41% 6% 5% 5%
2%
Brexit Party on 0%
UKIP on 0%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
 Tie
Survation N/A 4–10 Dec UK 3,452 39% 37% 8% 5% 5%
6%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 5%
 2%
YouGov The Times 8–9 Dec GB 1,699 37% 37% 8% 5% 6%
7%
Brexit Party on 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
 Tie
Opinium The Observer 27 Nov – 8 Dec UK 6,949 40% 38% 6% 5% 4%
5%
Brexit Party on 0%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 2%
Other on 2%
 2%
Opinium The Observer 3–4 Dec UK 2,002 38% 40% 6% 6% 3%
8%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 3%
Other on 4%
 2%
YouGov The Times 2–3 Dec GB 1,706 38% 38% 6% 5% 5%
7%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
 Tie
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 2 Dec GB 2,000 40% 37% 9% 5% 6%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
 3%
SavantaComRes N/A 27–29 Nov UK 1,428 39% 38% 8% 5% 3%
8%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
 1%
Deltapoll Daily Mail 26–28 Nov GB 1,525 37% 38% 9% 4% 4%
8%
Brexit Party on 3%
UKIP on 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 0%
 1%
Number Cruncher Politics N/A 20–28 Nov GB 1,001 39% 37% 7% 5% 5%
6%
Reform UK/Brexit Party on 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
 2%
YouGov The Times 26–27 Nov GB 1,696 37% 40% 5% 6% 5%
8%
Brexit Party on 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
 3%
SavantaComRes N/A 20–22 Nov UK 1,272 39% 37% 7% 5% 4%
8%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
 2%
Opinium The Observer 19–20 Nov UK 2,001 41% 38% 6% 6% 4%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 2%
Other on 2%
 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 19 Nov GB 2,500 40% 39% 8% 5% 4%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 4%
 1%
YouGov The Times 17–18 Nov GB 1,700 38% 37% 7% 6% 6%
7%
Brexit Party on 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
 1%
SavantaComRes N/A 13–15 Nov UK 2,075 41% 38% 5% 5% 4%
6%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 4%
 3%
YouGov The Times 11–12 Nov GB 1,632 38% 40% 5% 5% 5%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 4%
Other on 1%
 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 11 Nov GB 2,500 40% 40% 7% 5% 5%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
 Tie
SavantaComRes N/A 6–9 Nov UK 2,130 40% 36% 8% 5% 5%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Brexit Party on 2%
Other on 3%
 4%
Kantar Public N/A 5–9 Nov GB 1,141 40% 36% 8% 5% 5%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
UKIP on 1%
Brexit Party on 2%
Other on 1%
 4%
Opinium The Observer 5–6 Nov UK 2,003 38% 42% 7% 5% 3%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 2%
Other on 3%
 4%
Survation N/A 5–6 Nov UK 1,034 39% 37% 9% 5% 4%
6%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 4%
 2%
YouGov The Times 4–5 Nov GB 1,665 35% 40% 7% 5% 4%
9%
Brexit Party on 6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
 5%
SavantaComRes N/A 30 Oct – 2 Nov UK 2,126 40% 40% 7% 5% 3%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 2%
 Tie
YouGov The Times 28–29 Oct GB 1,658 38% 38% 6% 5% 5%
7%
Brexit Party on 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
 Tie
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 28 Oct GB 3,000 39% 41% 7% 4% 4%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 4%
 2%
Ipsos MORI Evening Standard 22–28 Oct GB 1,007 37% 42% 8% 6% 5%
3%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
 5%
SavantaComRes N/A 23–26 Oct UK 2,111 42% 39% 7% 4% 3%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Brexit Party on 2%
Other on 2%
 3%
Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday 22–24 Oct GB 1,589 42% 39% 7% 3% 3%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Brexit Party on 3%
UKIP on 2%
Other on 2%
 3%
Opinium The Observer 22–23 Oct UK 2,002 38% 40% 6% 5% 5%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 2%
Other on 3%
 2%
YouGov The Times 21–22 Oct GB 1,665 40% 39% 7% 5% 5%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 3%
Other on 2%
 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 21 Oct GB 3,000 40% 40% 7% 5% 4%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
 Tie
SavantaComRes N/A 16–18 Oct UK 2,274 42% 36% 8% 4% 3%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 2%
Other on 4%
 6%
Number Cruncher Politics Peston 9–17 Oct GB 2,088 41% 38% 5% 5% 6%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Brexit Party on 4%
Other on 1%
 3%
YouGov The Times 14–15 Oct GB 1,675 39% 38% 6% 5% 6%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 5%
Other on 1%
 1%
SavantaComRes N/A 9–11 Oct UK 2,123 39% 39% 7% 5% 4%
7%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
 Tie
Opinium The Observer 8–9 Oct UK 2,001 40% 40% 6% 6% 3%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 3%
Other on 2%
 Tie
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 6–7 Oct GB 3,000 41% 39% 8% 4% 4%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
 2%
YouGov The Times 6–7 Oct GB 1,673 41% 38% 5% 5% 6%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 3%
Other on 1%
 3%
Survation N/A 5–6 Oct UK 1,022 41% 37% 7% 4% 4%
7%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 5%
 4%
SavantaComRes N/A 2–4 Oct UK 2,081 42% 39% 7% 4% 3%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 2%
Other on 2%
 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 30 Sep – 1 Oct GB 4,000 39% 39% 8% 5% 5%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
 Tie
YouGov The Times 29–30 Sep GB 1,700 39% 39% 6% 5% 5%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 4%
Other on 1%
 Tie
SavantaComRes N/A 25–28 Sep UK 2,112 41% 38% 8% 5% 3%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Brexit Party on 2%
Other on 2%
 3%
Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday 24–25 Sep GB 1,583 42% 38% 6% 5% 4%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Brexit Party on 3%
UKIP on 2%
Other on 0%
 4%
Opinium The Observer 23–25 Sep UK 2,002 39% 42% 5% 6% 4%
4%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
 3%
YouGov The Times 23–24 Sep GB 1,623 41% 38% 6% 4% 5%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 3%
Other on 2%
 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 22–23 Sep GB 2,500 40% 40% 7% 4% 5%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
 Tie
Kantar Public N/A 17–21 Sep GB 1,125 40% 38% 9% 4% 4%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 3%
UKIP on 2%
Other on 1%
 2%
SavantaComRes N/A 18–20 Sep UK 2,109 40% 37% 8% 5% 3%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Brexit Party on 3%
Other on 4%
 3%
Ipsos MORI Evening Standard 11–18 Sep GB 1,013 40% 37% 8% 7% 5%
2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
UKIP on 1%
Other on 1%
 3%
YouGov The Times 16–17 Sep GB 1,618 40% 40% 6% 4% 5%
5%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
 Tie
Survation N/A 15–16 Sep UK 1,003 40% 38% 7% 5% 4%
6%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 15–16 Sep GB 2,500 41% 39% 8% 5% 5%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
 2%
Opinium The Observer 9–11 Sep GB 2,001 42% 39% 6% 5% 4%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 1%
Other on 1%
 3%
YouGov The Times 8–9 Sep GB 1,615 42% 37% 6% 5% 4%
5%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
 5%
Number Cruncher Politics Bloomberg 4–8 Sep GB 1,001 42% 38% 6% 5% 5%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 2%
 4%
YouGov The Times 3–4 Sep GB 1,633 43% 37% 6% 6% 4%
5%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
 6%
Survation N/A 2–4 Sep UK 1,047 40% 38% 8% 5% 4%
5%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 1–2 Sep GB 2,500 43% 37% 8% 4% 4%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
 6%
Opinium The Observer 26–28 Aug GB 2,002 40% 40% 6% 5% 3%
2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
UKIP on 2%
 Tie
27 Aug Ed Davey is elected leader of the Liberal Democrats[12]
YouGov The Times 24–25 Aug GB 1,669 43% 36% 6% 5% 4%
5%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
 7%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 24 Aug GB 2,000 42% 37% 9% 4% 5%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
 5%
Survation N/A 21 Aug UK 1,005 41% 37% 9% 5% 4%
4%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 19 Aug GB 2,000 44% 37% 7% 4% 4%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
 7%
YouGov The Times 18–19 Aug GB 1,652 40% 38% 6% 5% 6%
6%
Brexit Party on 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
 2%
SavantaComRes N/A 14–16 Aug UK 2,083 42% 37% 7% 4% 3%
7%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
 5%
Opinium The Observer 13–14 Aug GB 2,005 42% 39% 5% 5% 3%
6%
UKIP on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 12 Aug GB 2,000 43% 36% 9% 4% 4%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
 7%
YouGov The Times 11–12 Aug GB 1,634 44% 35% 5% 6% 5%
5%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
 9%
Kantar Public N/A 6–10 Aug GB 1,161 42% 35% 8% 6% 3%
6%
Brexit Party on 3%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
 7%
YouGov The Times 4–5 Aug GB 1,606 42% 36% 8% 5% 5%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
 6%
Ipsos MORI Evening Standard 30 Jul – 4 Aug GB 1,019 45% 37% 6% 5% 5%
2%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 1%
 8%
Survation N/A 31 Jul – 3 Aug UK 1,019 44% 35% 8% 4% 5%
3%
Brexit Party on 0%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
 9%
YouGov The Times 30–31 Jul GB 1,623 43% 35% 6% 5% 5%
5%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
 8%
Opinium The Observer 30–31 Jul GB 2,002 41% 38% 6% 6% 4%
6%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 29 Jul GB 2,000 43% 38% 7% 4% 4%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
 5%
Opinium The Observer 23–24 Jul GB 2,002 42% 38% 6% 5% 4%
5%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
 4%
YouGov The Times 22–23 Jul GB 1,648 44% 35% 7% 5% 4%
5%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
 9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 22 Jul GB 2,000 44% 36% 8% 4% 5%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
 8%
SavantaComRes N/A 17–19 Jul UK 2,085 43% 37% 6% 5% 2%
7%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
 6%
Opinium The Observer 15–17 Jul GB 2,003 44% 36% 6% 6% 4%
4%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
 8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 15 Jul GB 2,000 44% 37% 8% 4% 4%
2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 2%
 7%
Kantar Public N/A 9–13 Jul GB 1,131 45% 35% 9% 5% 2%
5%
Brexit Party on 2%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
 10%
Survation N/A 10–12 Jul UK 2,022 42% 36% 8% 4% 5%
5%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
 6%
Opinium The Observer 9–10 Jul GB 2,002 42% 38% 6% 6% 4%
4%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
 4%
Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday 9–10 Jul GB 1,541 44% 38% 7% 3% 3%
5%
Brexit Party on 3%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 1%
 6%
YouGov The Times 8–9 Jul GB 1,614 46% 36% 6% 5% 3%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
 10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 8 Jul GB 2,000 44% 39% 7% 4% 4%
2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 2%
 5%
Survation N/A 3–6 Jul UK 1,012 44% 37% 7% 4% 4%
3%
Brexit Party on 0%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
 7%
Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday 2–3 Jul GB 1,549 41% 36% 7% 3% 5%
8%
Brexit Party on 4%
UKIP on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 1%
 5%
Opinium The Observer 1–3 Jul GB 2,002 41% 37% 8% 5% 4%
5%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Election Maps UK 1 Jul GB 2,000 42% 38% 8% 4% 5%
2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 2%
 4%
YouGov The Times 26–28 Jun GB 1,626 45% 37% 5% 5% 4%
3%
Brexit Party on 2%
UKIP on 0%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
 8%
Opinium The Observer 25–26 Jun GB 2,001 43% 39% 6% 5% 4%
4%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Election Maps UK 25 Jun GB 2,000 44% 38% 7% 4% 4%
2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 2%
 6%
Survation N/A 24–25 Jun UK 2,003 43% 36% 8% 5% 4%
4%
Brexit Party on 0%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 4%
 7%
Opinium The Observer 18–19 Jun GB 2,001 44% 40% 5% 5% 3%
3%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 18 Jun GB 2,000 43% 38% 8% 4% 4%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
 5%
Kantar Public N/A 11–15 Jun GB 1,124 43% 35% 8% 5% 4%
3%
Brexit Party on 2%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
 8%
SavantaComRes The Daily Telegraph 12–14 Jun UK 2,106 40% 36% 9% 5% 3%
8%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
 4%
Opinium The Observer 11–12 Jun GB 2,001 44% 39% 6% 5% 2%
2%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 1%
 5%
YouGov The Times 11–12 Jun GB 1,693 45% 37% 6% 5% 4%
3%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
 8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 11 Jun GB 1,500 41% 39% 9% 5% 4%
2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 2%
 2%
Survation N/A 9–10 Jun UK 1,062 42% 36% 8% 5% 4%
5%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
 6%
Ipsos MORI Evening Standard 5–10 Jun GB 1,059 43% 38% 10% 4% 1%
4%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 1%
 5%
Opinium The Observer 4–5 Jun GB 2,002 43% 40% 6% 5% 3%
3%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
 3%
Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday 4–5 Jun GB 1,547 41% 38% 8% 2% 4%
6%
Brexit Party on 3%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 1%
 3%
Survation N/A 3 Jun UK 1,018 41% 39% 7% 4% 4%
5%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 3 Jun GB 1,500 43% 36% 9% 4% 5%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
 7%
YouGov The Times 29–30 May GB 1,650 45% 35% 6% 5% 5%
3%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
 10%
Opinium The Observer 28–29 May GB 2,012 43% 39% 6% 5% 3%
4%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
 4%
Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday 27–28 May GB 1,557 43% 38% 8% 3% 4%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
 5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 27 May GB 1,500 43% 37% 9% 5% 3%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
 6%
YouGov DatapraxisEU 26–27 May GB 2,029 43% 38% 6% 5% 4%
5%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
 5%
YouGov The Times 25–26 May GB 1,629 44% 38% 6% 5% 4%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
 6%
Survation N/A 22–26 May UK 1,040 46% 33% 8% 5% 4%
4%
Brexit Party on 0%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 4%
 13%
Opinium The Observer 21–22 May GB 2,008 47% 35% 6% 5% 3%
3%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 1%
 12%
YouGov The Times 18–19 May GB 1,718 48% 33% 6% 5% 5%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
 15%
SavantaComRes N/A 15–17 May GB 2,079 46% 33% 7% 4% 4%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
 13%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 15 May GB 1,500 47% 35% 9% 4% 3%
2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 2%
 12%
Opinium The Observer 13–14 May GB 1,062 49% 34% 6% 5% 3%
3%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
 15%
Kantar Public N/A 5–11 May GB 1,130 51% 32% 7% 5% 2%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
 19%
Opinium The Observer 5–7 May GB 1,053 49% 33% 6% 5% 5%
3%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 0%
Other on 1%
 16%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 6 May GB 1,500 50% 31% 7% 4% 5%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
 19%
YouGov The Times 5–6 May GB 1,667 50% 30% 7% 4% 5%
5%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
 20%
Opinium The Observer 27 Apr – 1 May GB 1,072 51% 33% 6% 5% 3%
3%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 0%
Other on 1%
 18%
Survation N/A 27–28 Apr UK 1,023 48% 31% 8% 4% 5%
5%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
 17%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 26 Apr GB 1,500 50% 33% 7% 5% 4%
1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 1%
 17%
Opinium The Observer 21–23 Apr GB 2,000 50% 33% 7% 5% 3%
2%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Brexit Party on 0%
Other on 1%
 17%
Kantar Public N/A 16–20 Apr GB 1,118 54% 28% 9% 4% 4%
2%
Brexit Party on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
 26%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 17 Apr GB 1,500 52% 31% 8% 4% 3%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
 21%
YouGov The Times 16–17 Apr GB 2,015 53% 32% 5% 4% 3%
3%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
 21%
Opinium The Observer 15–17 Apr GB 2,000 51% 32% 6% 5% 3%
2%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Brexit Party on 0%
Other on 1%
 19%
Opinium The Observer 7–9 Apr GB 2,005 55% 29% 5% 5% 4%
2%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Brexit Party on 0%
Other on 1%
 26%
BMG The Independent 7–9 Apr GB 1,541 46% 29% 10% 3% 6%
5%
Brexit Party on 2%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
 17%
4 Apr Keir Starmer is elected leader of the Labour Party[13]
Opinium The Observer 1–3 Apr GB 2,000 53% 30% 7% 5% 3%
3%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 0%
Other on 1%
 23%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 1–2 Apr UK 2,000 49% 29% 8% 4% 4%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 5%
 20%
YouGov The Times 1–2 Apr GB 1,631 52% 28% 8% 5% 5%
3%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
 24%
Opinium The Observer 26–27 Mar GB 2,006 54% 28% 6% 5% 3%
3%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 0%
Other on 1%
 26%
Number Cruncher Politics Bloomberg 24–26 Mar GB 1,010 54% 28% 7% 4% 4%
2%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
 26%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 23 Mar GB 1,500 47% 29% 8% 5% 5%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 5%
 18%
Opinium The Observer 19–20 Mar GB 2,005 51% 31% 7% 5% 3%
3%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 0%
Other on 1%
 20%
Ipsos MORI Evening Standard 13–16 Mar GB 1,003 52% 30% 9% 4% 4%
1%
Brexit Party on 0%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
 22%
Opinium The Observer 12–13 Mar GB 2,005 49% 32% 6% 5% 5%
4%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 0%
Other on 1%
 17%
Kantar Public N/A 5–9 Mar GB 1,171 50% 29% 11% 4% 1%
5%
Brexit Party on 2%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
 21%
BMG The Independent 3–6 Mar GB 1,498 45% 28% 11% 3% 6%
6%
Brexit Party on 3%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
 17%
SavantaComRes Sunday Express 19–20 Feb GB 2,005 47% 31% 9% 4% 4%
4%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
 16%
Opinium The Observer 12–14 Feb GB 2,007 47% 32% 7% 6% 4%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
 15%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 12 Feb GB 1,216 49% 31% 9% 4% 4%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
 18%
YouGov The Times 9–10 Feb GB 1,694 48% 28% 10% 4% 6%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
 20%
BMG The Independent 4–7 Feb GB 1,503 41% 29% 11% 5% 8%
7%
Brexit Party on 3%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
 12%
Ipsos MORI Evening Standard 31 Jan – 3 Feb GB 1,001 47% 30% 11% 4% 5%
3%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
 17%
YouGov The Times 31 Jan – 2 Feb GB 1,575 49% 30% 8% 4% 5%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
 19%
Survation N/A 30–31 Jan UK 1,015 44% 33% 10% 5% 3%
5%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 2%
 11%
YouGov The Times 24–26 Jan GB 1,628 49% 29% 10% 5% 4%
3%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
 20%
Opinium The Observer 15–17 Jan GB 1,978 47% 30% 9% 5% 4%
6%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 2%
 17%
BMG The Independent 8–10 Jan GB 1,508 44% 29% 11% 3% 5%
6%
Brexit Party on 4%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
 15%
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 UK – 43.6% 32.1% 11.6% 3.9% 2.7% 6.7% 11.5%
GB 44.7% 32.9% 11.8% 4.0% 2.8% 4.3% 11.8%

Seat predictions[edit]

Most polls are reported in terms of the overall popular vote share, and the pollsters do not typically project how these shares would equate to numbers of seats in the House of Commons. Other organisations including Electoral Calculus make rolling projections based on an aggregate of publicly available polls.

A small number of large polls have been carried out in order to run multilevel regression with poststratification (MRP) models, which output predictions for each constituency.[14]

Pollster Client Dates
conducted 		Sample
size 		Area Con Lab SNP Lib Dem DUP SF Plaid Cymru Green Alliance SDLP Others Majority
Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus (MRP) The Sunday Telegraph 13–15 May 2021 14,715 GB 386 172 58 9 N/A N/A 5 2 N/A N/A N/A 122
Focaldata (MRP) Best for Britain 4–29 Dec 2020 22,186 N/A 284 282 57 2 N/A N/A 5 1 N/A N/A 19[b] −82
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 32,131,661 UK 365 202 48 11 8 7 4 1 1 2 1 80

Polling in the nations and regions[edit]

England and Wales[edit]

Graph of opinion polls conducted
Pollster Client Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Green Others Lead
Find Out Now The Constitution Society 4–6 Jun 2021 14,596 45% 36% 6% 1% 11% 9%
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 46.6% 34.3% 12.1% 2.9% 4.1% 12.3%

London[edit]

Graph of opinion polls conducted
Pollster Client Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Lab Con Lib Dem Green Reform Other Lead
Panelbase N/A 4–5 May 2021 1,002 47% 32% 12% 6% – 4% 15%
YouGov N/A 2–4 May 2021 1,141 51% 33% 7% 7% 1% 1% 18%
Opinium N/A 28 Apr – 3 May 2021 1,005 47% 32% 11% 6% 0% 4%[c] 15%
Opinium N/A 7–10 Apr 2021 1,093 49% 33% 9% 6% 0% 4%[d] 16%
YouGov Queen Mary University of London 29 Mar – 1 Apr 2021 1,192 50% 31% 8% 7% 2% 2% 19%
Opinium N/A 17–20 Mar 2021 1,100 49% 34% 9% 6% 0% 3%[e] 15%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 13–14 Jan 2021 1,500 48% 27% 14% 8% 2% 3% 21%
YouGov Queen Mary University of London 16–19 Nov 2020 TBA 55% 30% 7% 5% 3% 1% 25%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 15–17 Oct 2020 2,000 53% 26% 12% 6% – 3% 27%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 7–8 Sep 2020 2,000 50% 29% 12% 6% – 3% 21%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 5–7 Aug 2020 2,500 48% 29% 14% 7% – 2% 19%
YouGov Queen Mary University of London 2–6 Mar 2020 1,002 46% 34% 11% 7% 1% 1% 12%
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 48.1% 32% 14.9% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5% 16.1%

Scotland[edit]

Graph of opinion polls conducted
Pollster Client Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		SNP Con Lab Lib Dem Green Reform Other Lead
Panelbase The Sunday Times 16–24 Jun 2021 1,287 47% 25% 18% 6% – – 4% 22%
YouGov The Times 2–4 May 2021 1,144 48% 22% 19% 5% 4% 1% 2% 26%
Survation DC Thomson 30 Apr – 4 May 2021 1,008 48% 22% 20% 7% 1% – 1% 26%
Opinium Sky News 28 Apr – 3 May 2021 1,015 47% 25% 20% 6% 1% 0% 1% 22%
BMG Research The Herald 27–30 Apr 2021 1,023 48% 20% 20% 7% 3% 0% 1% 28%
Survation Good Morning Britain 23–26 Apr 2021 1,008 46% 22% 22% 8% – – 2% 24%
Panelbase Scot Goes Pop 21–26 Apr 2021 1,075 45% 22% 19% 7% 4% 0% 3% 23%
Survation DC Thomson 20–22 Apr 2021 1,037 47% 21% 22% 8% 1% – 1% 25%
YouGov The Times 16–20 Apr 2021 1,204 48% 24% 19% 4% 3% 1% 2% 24%
Opinium Sky News 1–6 Apr 2021 1,023 50% 24% 19% 4% 1% – 1% 26%
Survation The Courier 29–30 Mar 2021 1,021 49% 21% 21% 8% 1% – 0% 28%
YouGov The Times 19–22 Mar 2021 TBA 49% 24% 17% 4% 4% 1% 1% 25%
BMG Research The Herald 16–19 Mar 2021 1,021 47% 21% 19% 7% 3% 1% 2% 26%
Survation The Courier 11–18 Mar 2021 1,452 49% 21% 21% 7% 1% – 1% 28%
Opinium Sky News 11–16 Mar 2021 1,096 50% 23% 19% 5% 3% 1% 0% 27%
YouGov The Times 4–8 Mar 2021 1,100 50% 23% 17% 5% 3% 1% 1% 27%
27 Feb 2021 Anas Sarwar becomes leader of Scottish Labour[15]
Survation Daily Record 25–26 Feb 2021 1,011 48% 23% 21% 6% – – 2% 25%
Survation Scot Goes Pop 11–13 Jan 2021 1,020 48% 19% 23% 7% – – 3% 25%
Survation N/A 4–9 Dec 2020 1,009 51% 20% 21% 6% 3% – – 30%
Panelbase Scot Goes Pop 5–11 Nov 2020 1,020 50% 21% 20% 5% 2% – – 29%
YouGov The Times 6–10 Nov 2020 1,089 53% 19% 17% 4% 3% 3% – 34%
Survation N/A 28 Oct – 4 Nov 2020 1,059 52% 18% 20% 8% – – 2% 32%
JL Partners Politico 17–21 Sep 2020 1,016 56% 18% 15% 7% 3% 0% 0% 38%
Survation N/A 2–7 Sep 2020 1,018 51% 20% 21% 6% – – 3% 30%
YouGov The Times 6–10 Aug 2020 1,142 54% 20% 16% 5% 2% 2% 0% 34%
5 Aug 2020 Douglas Ross becomes leader of the Scottish Conservatives[16]
Panelbase The Sunday Times 30 Jun – 3 Jul 2020 1,026 53% 21% 19% 6% – – 2% 32%
Panelbase Scot Goes Pop 1–5 Jun 2020 1,022 51% 21% 19% 6% 2% – <1% 30%
Panelbase Wings Over Scotland 1–5 May 2020 1,086 50% 26% 17% 5% 2% – <1% 24%
YouGov N/A 24–27 Apr 2020 1,095 51% 25% 15% 6% 2% 0% 1% 26%
Panelbase The Sunday Times 24–26 Mar 2020 1,023 48% 27% 16% 5% 3% – – 21%
14 Feb 2020 Jackson Carlaw becomes leader of the Scottish Conservatives[17]
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 45.0% 25.1% 18.6% 9.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.3% 19.9%

Wales[edit]

Graph of opinion polls conducted
Pollster Client Dates
conducted 		Sample
size 		Lab Con Plaid Cymru Lib Dem Reform Green Other Lead
YouGov ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 2–4 May 2021 1,071 37% 36% 14% 3% 4% 3% 3% 1%
YouGov ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 18–21 Apr 2021 1,142 37% 33% 18% 2% 3% 4% 3% 4%
Opinium Sky News 9–19 Apr 2021 2,005 42% 33% 14% 3% – 3% 5%[f] 9%
YouGov ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 16–19 Mar 2021 1,174 35% 35% 17% 4% 2% 3% 3% Tie
24 Jan 2021 Andrew RT Davies becomes leader of the Welsh Conservatives[18]
YouGov ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 11–14 Jan 2021 1,018 36% 33% 17% 3% 5% 4% 2% 3%
YouGov ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 26–30 Oct 2020 1,013 43% 32% 13% 3% 5% 3% 2% 11%
YouGov ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 28 Aug – 4 Sep 2020 1,110 41% 33% 15% 2% 4% 3% 2% 8%
YouGov ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 29 May – 1 Jun 2020 1,021 39% 35% 15% 5% 2% 3% 1% 4%
YouGov ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 3–7 Apr 2020 1,008 34% 46% 11% 4% 3% 2% 0% 12%
YouGov ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 20–26 Jan 2020 1,037 36% 41% 13% 5% 3% 2% 1% 5%
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 40.9% 36.1% 9.9% 6.0% 5.4% 1.0% 0.7% 4.8%

Other polling[edit]

Selected Conservative seats gained from Labour in 2019[edit]

See also: Red wall (British politics)
Graph of opinion polls conducted
Pollster Client Dates
conducted 		Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Other Lead
Focaldata The Times 29–30 Apr 2021 573 44% 45% 1% 3% 1%
JL Partners Channel 4 News 17–25 Mar 2021 500 47% 43% 4% 6% 4%
JL Partners Channel 4 News 19–30 Nov 2020 499 41% 47% 3% 8% 6%
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 47.7% 39.1% 4.8% 8.3% 8.6%

Ethnic minority voters[edit]

Graph of opinion polls conducted
Pollster Client Dates
conducted 		Area Sample
size 		Lab Con Lib Dem SNP Green Others Lead
Number Cruncher Politics ITV 7–14 Jun 2021 501 51% 28% 7% 3% 9%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 1%
 25%
Number Cruncher Politics ITV 25 Jan – 1 Feb 2021 1,000 58% 22% 6% 2% 8%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 1%
 36%
Number Cruncher Politics ITV 9–17 Oct 2020 UK 1,000 60% 22% 5% 3% 5%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Brexit Party on 2%
Other on 1%
 38%
2019 general election (Ipsos MORI)[19] 12 Dec 2019 GB 27,591 64% 20% 12% 2% 1% 1% 44%

See also[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ SNP and Plaid Cymru listed together.
  2. ^ Includes the speaker and the parties of Northern Ireland
  3. ^ Including UKIP on 2%
  4. ^ Including UKIP on 2%
  5. ^ Including UKIP on 2%
  6. ^ Including UKIP on 3%

References[edit]

  1. ^ Tufft, Ben (8 May 2015). "When will the next UK General Election be held?". The Independent. Retrieved 29 December 2019. The act specifies that future elections will be held on the first Thursday of May, every five years.
  2. ^ "Johnson to restore power to choose general election date". Shropshire Star. Retrieved 13 May 2021.
  3. ^ "Batley and Spen: Labour hold seat in by-election". BBC News. 2 July 2021. Retrieved 2 July 2021.
  4. ^ "Chesham and Amersham by-election won by Lib Dems". BBC News. 18 June 2021. Retrieved 18 June 2021.
  5. ^ "SNP holds Airdrie and Shotts seat in by-election". BBC News. 14 May 2021. Retrieved 15 May 2021.
  6. ^ "England local elections 2021 - BBC News". BBC News. Retrieved 15 May 2021.
  7. ^ "Scottish Parliament election 2021". BBC News. Retrieved 15 May 2021.
  8. ^ "Welsh Parliament election 2021". BBC News. Retrieved 15 May 2021.
  9. ^ "Elections 2021: Conservatives hail historic Labour defeat in Hartlepool by-election". BBC News. 7 May 2021. Retrieved 15 May 2021.
  10. ^ "Nigel Farage: Brexit-backing politician to quit as leader of Reform UK". BBC News. 6 March 2021. Retrieved 8 March 2021.
  11. ^ "Party registration decisions". Electoral Commission. 6 January 2021. Retrieved 6 January 2021.
  12. ^ "Davey wins Liberal Democrat leadership race". BBC News. 27 August 2020. Retrieved 29 August 2020.
  13. ^ "Labour leadership winner: Sir Keir Starmer". BBC News. 4 April 2020. Retrieved 29 August 2020.
  14. ^ "YouGov UK General Election MRP Estimates – February 2019" (PDF). YouGov. 11 February 2019. Archived (PDF) from the original on 12 February 2019. Retrieved 22 May 2019.
  15. ^ "Anas Sarwar elected as new leader of Scottish Labour Party". Labour List. 27 February 2021. Retrieved 8 March 2021.
  16. ^ "Douglas Ross confirmed as Scottish Conservative leader". BBC News. 5 August 2020. Retrieved 8 March 2021.
  17. ^ "Scottish Conservatives: Jackson Carlaw succeeds Ruth Davidson as leader". BBC News. 14 February 2020. Retrieved 8 March 2021.
  18. ^ "Andrew RT Davies returns as Welsh Conservatives leader". BBC News. 24 January 2021. Retrieved 15 May 2021.
  19. ^ "How Britain voted in the 2019 election". Ipsos MORI. 20 December 2019. Retrieved 5 February 2021.
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