Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election

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In the run up to the next United Kingdom general election, various organisations are expected to carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.

The date range for these opinion polls is from after the previous general election, held on 7 May 2015, to the present day. Under fixed-term legislation, the next general election is scheduled to be held on 7 May 2020.

Most opinion polls cover only Great Britain.

Poll results[edit]

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order.[1] The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. The "Lead" column shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. In the instance of a tie, no figure is shaded but both are displayed in bold. Poll results are generally rounded to the nearest percentage point (where a result is less than 0.5%, but more than zero, it is indicated by '*').

The six parties with the largest numbers of votes in the 2015 general election are listed here. Other parties are listed in the "Other" column.

  Labour Party
  Conservative Party
  UK Independence Party
  Liberal Democrats
  Scottish National Party
  Green Party (the combined Green Party of England and Wales and Scottish Green Party)

2015[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab UKIP LD SNP Green Others Lead
26–28 Jun ComRes/Daily Mail 1,002 39% 27% 11% 9% 5% 6% 3% 12%
14–16 Jun Ipsos MORI/London Evening Standard 1,005 39% 30% 8% 9% 7%[a] 6% * 9%
12–14 Jun ICM/The Guardian 1,004 37% 31% 13% 8% 5% 5% 1% 6%
29–31 May ComRes/Daily Mail 1,000 41% 29% 10% 8% 5% 5% 3% 12%
25–26 May YouGov/The Sun 1,709 41% 30% 13% 7% 4% 4% 1% 11%
8–9 May Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,027 40% 31% 12% 6% 5% 3% 2% 9%
7 May General Election results (GB only)[2][3] 29,980,107 37.8% 31.2% 12.9% 8.1% 4.9% 3.8% 1.4% 6.6%

Sub-national polling[edit]

Wales[edit]

Date(s) conducted

Polling organisation/client

Sample size

Lab

Con

UKIP

Plaid

LD

Green

Others

Lead
24-26 Jun 2015 YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer 1,151 37% 28% 15% 12% 4% 3% 1% 9%
7 May 2015 General Election results 1,498,433 36.9% 27.2% 13.6% 12.1% 6.5% 2.6% 1.0% 9.7%


See also[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ Ipsos MORI combines support for the Scottish National Party and Plaid Cymru in its headline voting intention figures.

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Westminster Voting Intention". UK Opinion Bee. Retrieved 31 January 2015. 
  2. ^ "Election 2015: Results - National". BBC. Retrieved 9 May 2015. 
  3. ^ "Election 2015: Results - Northern Ireland". BBC. Retrieved 9 May 2015. 

External links[edit]