Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election

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In the run up to the next United Kingdom general election, various organisations are expected to carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.

The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 12 December 2019, to the present day. Under current fixed-term legislation, the next general election is scheduled to be held in May 2024,[1] though the government has pledged to repeal this law.[2] Should this happen, a new law would be required to establish a term length limit, as the preceding legislation is no longer in force.[3]

Graphical summary[edit]

The chart below shows opinion polls conducted for the next United Kingdom general election. The trend lines are local regressions (LOESS).

Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election after 2019 (LOESS).svg

National poll results[edit]

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. The 'party lead' column shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. In the instance of a tie, the figures with the highest percentages are shaded and displayed in bold. Some opinion polls do not cover Northern Ireland, which has different major political parties from the rest of the United Kingdom. This distinction is made in the table below by the use of "GB" (mainland Great Britain, not including Northern Ireland) or "UK" (the whole United Kingdom, including Northern Ireland) in the area column.

The parties with the largest numbers of votes in the 2019 general election are listed here. Other parties are listed in the "Others" column.

2021[edit]

Pollster Client Dates
conducted
Area Sample
size
Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Green Others Lead
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 22 Feb GB 2,000 43% 37% 7% 4% 5%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 1%
6%
Kantar Public N/A 18–22 Feb GB 1,114 40% 33% 11% 4% 6%
7%
Reform UK on 3%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
7%
SavantaComRes N/A 19–21 Feb UK 2,189 40% 38% 7% 4% 3%
9%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 5%
2%
YouGov The Times 17–18 Feb GB 1,663 40% 37% 7% 5% 6%
5%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 15 Feb GB 2,000 41% 39% 8% 5% 5%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 1%
2%
SavantaComRes N/A 12–14 Feb UK 2,170 42% 37% 7% 4% 3%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 4%
5%
Opinium The Observer 11–12 Feb UK 2,006 42% 37% 6% 5% 5%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 1%
Reform UK on 0%
Other on 3%
5%
YouGov The Times 9–10 Feb GB 1,660 41% 36% 6% 5% 7%
7%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 8 Feb GB 2,000 43% 38% 7% 5% 4%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 1%
5%
SavantaComRes N/A 5–7 Feb UK 2,119 41% 37% 8% 4% 4%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 4%
4%
Survation N/A 5–6 Feb UK 1,003 39% 33% 9% 5% 7%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 5%
6%
Ipsos MORI Evening Standard 29 Jan4 Feb GB 1,056 42% 38% 7% 5% 8%
0%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 0%
Other on 0%
4%
YouGov The Times 2–3 Feb GB 1,684 41% 37% 6% 5% 6%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 2%
4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 1 Feb GB 2,000 40% 38% 8% 5% 4%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 1%
2%
Number Cruncher Politics ITV 25 Jan1 Feb UK 2,001 43% 37% 5% 5% 5%
5%
Reform UK on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
6%
SavantaComRes N/A 29–31 Jan UK 2,288 41% 38% 6% 5% 3%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 4%
3%
Opinium The Observer 28–29 Jan UK 2,002 41% 38% 7% 5% 4%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 2%
Reform UK on 1%
Other on 1%
3%
YouGov The Times 26–27 Jan GB 1,721 37% 41% 6% 5% 4%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 3%
4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 25 Jan GB 2,000 42% 37% 8% 5% 4%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 2%
5%
Kantar Public N/A 21–25 Jan GB 1,100 40% 37% 10% 4% 5%
4%
Reform UK on 2%
UKIP on 1%
Other on 1%
3%
SavantaComRes N/A 22–24 Jan UK 2,070 40% 37% 8% 5% 3%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 4%
3%
Deltapoll N/A 21–23 Jan GB 1,632 41% 39% 7% 4% 3%
6%
Reform UK on 2%
UKIP on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 1%
2%
YouGov The Times 21–22 Jan GB 1,703 39% 38% 5% 5% 6%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 4%
Other on 2%
1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 18 Jan GB 2,000 40% 38% 8% 4% 5%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 2%
2%
SavantaComRes N/A 15–17 Jan UK 1,914 39% 37% 7% 5% 3%
7%
Reform UK on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 5%
2%
Opinium The Observer 14–15 Jan UK 2,003 37% 41% 6% 6% 4%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 1%
Other on 3%
4%
YouGov The Times 13–14 Jan GB 1,702 38% 39% 5% 5% 6%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 2%
1%
Survation N/A 12–13 Jan UK 1,033 40% 38% 7% 4% 5%
7%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 6%
2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 11 Jan GB 2,000 41% 37% 8% 5% 5%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 1%
4%
SavantaComRes N/A 8–10 Jan UK 1,550 40% 37% 8% 4% 4%
7%
Reform UK on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
3%
Opinium The Observer 6–7 Jan UK 2,003 39% 40% 6% 5% 4%
6%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
1%
6 Jan The Brexit Party is re-registered as Reform UK[4]
YouGov The Times 4–5 Jan GB 1,704 39% 39% 6% 5% 6%
6%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
Tie

2020[edit]

Pollster Client Dates
conducted
Area Sample
size
Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Green Others Lead
Deltapoll Daily Mirror 26–30 Dec GB 1,608 43% 38% 4% 5% 5%
6%
Brexit Party on 3%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 1%
5%
Focaldata (MRP) N/A 4–29 Dec GB 22,186 36% 38% 9% 4% 7%
7%
Brexit Party on 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
2%
Survation N/A 22 Dec UK 1,011 39% 38% 8% 5% 4%
7%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 6%
1%
YouGov The Times 21–22 Dec GB 1,713 37% 41% 5% 5% 5%
6%
Brexit Party on 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
4%
SavantaComRes Daily Express 18–21 Dec UK 1,433 41% 39% 8% 5% 4%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
2%
Opinium The Observer 16–17 Dec UK 2,001 39% 39% 6% 5% 4%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 3%
Other on 3%
Tie
YouGov The Times 15–16 Dec GB 1,898 39% 37% 6% 5% 6%
7%
Brexit Party on 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
2%
Kantar Public N/A 10–14 Dec GB 1,137 38% 37% 10% 5% 3%
6%
Brexit Party on 3%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
1%
SavantaComRes N/A 11–13 Dec UK 1,295 38% 37% 8% 5% 5%
7%
Brexit Party on 4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
1%
Ipsos MORI Evening Standard 4–10 Dec GB 1,027 41% 41% 6% 5% 5%
2%
Brexit Party on 0%
UKIP on 0%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
Tie
Survation N/A 4–10 Dec UK 3,452 39% 37% 8% 5% 5%
6%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 5%
2%
YouGov The Times 8–9 Dec GB 1,699 37% 37% 8% 5% 6%
7%
Brexit Party on 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
Tie
Opinium The Observer 27 Nov8 Dec UK 6,949 40% 38% 6% 5% 4%
5%
Brexit Party on 0%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 2%
Other on 2%
2%
Opinium The Observer 3–4 Dec UK 2,002 38% 40% 6% 6% 3%
8%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 3%
Other on 4%
2%
YouGov The Times 2–3 Dec GB 1,706 38% 38% 6% 5% 5%
7%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
Tie
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 2 Dec GB 2,000 40% 37% 9% 5% 6%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
3%
SavantaComRes N/A 27–29 Nov UK 1,428 39% 38% 8% 5% 3%
8%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
1%
Deltapoll Daily Mail 26–28 Nov GB 1,525 37% 38% 9% 4% 4%
8%
Brexit Party on 3%
UKIP on 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 0%
1%
Number Cruncher Politics N/A 20–28 Nov GB 1,001 39% 37% 7% 5% 5%
6%
Reform UK/Brexit Party on 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
2%
YouGov The Times 26–27 Nov GB 1,696 37% 40% 5% 6% 5%
8%
Brexit Party on 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
3%
SavantaComRes N/A 20–22 Nov UK 1,272 39% 37% 7% 5% 4%
8%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
2%
Opinium The Observer 19–20 Nov UK 2,001 41% 38% 6% 6% 4%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 2%
Other on 2%
3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 19 Nov GB 2,500 40% 39% 8% 5% 4%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 4%
1%
YouGov The Times 17–18 Nov GB 1,700 38% 37% 7% 6% 6%
7%
Brexit Party on 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
1%
SavantaComRes N/A 13–15 Nov UK 2,075 41% 38% 5% 5% 4%
6%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 4%
3%
YouGov The Times 11–12 Nov GB 1,632 38% 40% 5% 5% 5%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 4%
Other on 1%
2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 11 Nov GB 2,500 40% 40% 7% 5% 5%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
Tie
SavantaComRes N/A 6–9 Nov UK 2,130 40% 36% 8% 5% 5%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Brexit Party on 2%
Other on 3%
4%
Kantar Public N/A 5–9 Nov GB 1,141 40% 36% 8% 5% 5%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
UKIP on 1%
Brexit Party on 2%
Other on 1%
4%
Opinium The Observer 5–6 Nov UK 2,003 38% 42% 7% 5% 3%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 2%
Other on 3%
4%
Survation N/A 5–6 Nov UK 1,034 39% 37% 9% 5% 4%
6%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 4%
2%
YouGov The Times 4–5 Nov GB 1,665 35% 40% 7% 5% 4%
9%
Brexit Party on 6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
5%
SavantaComRes N/A 30 Oct2 Nov UK 2,126 40% 40% 7% 5% 3%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 2%
Tie
YouGov The Times 28–29 Oct GB 1,658 38% 38% 6% 5% 5%
7%
Brexit Party on 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
Tie
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 28 Oct GB 3,000 39% 41% 7% 4% 4%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 4%
2%
Ipsos MORI Evening Standard 22–28 Oct GB 1,007 37% 42% 8% 6% 5%
3%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
5%
SavantaComRes N/A 23–26 Oct UK 2,111 42% 39% 7% 4% 3%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Brexit Party on 2%
Other on 2%
3%
Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday 22–24 Oct GB 1,589 42% 39% 7% 3% 3%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Brexit Party on 3%
UKIP on 2%
Other on 2%
3%
Opinium The Observer 22–23 Oct UK 2,002 38% 40% 6% 5% 5%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 2%
Other on 3%
2%
YouGov The Times 21–22 Oct GB 1,665 40% 39% 7% 5% 5%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 3%
Other on 2%
1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 21 Oct GB 3,000 40% 40% 7% 5% 4%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
Tie
SavantaComRes N/A 16–18 Oct UK 2,274 42% 36% 8% 4% 3%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 2%
Other on 4%
6%
Number Cruncher Politics Peston 9–17 Oct GB 2,088 41% 38% 5% 5% 6%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Brexit Party on 4%
Other on 1%
3%
YouGov The Times 14–15 Oct GB 1,675 39% 38% 6% 5% 6%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 5%
Other on 1%
1%
SavantaComRes N/A 9–11 Oct UK 2,123 39% 39% 7% 5% 4%
7%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
Tie
Opinium The Observer 8–9 Oct UK 2,001 40% 40% 6% 6% 3%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 3%
Other on 2%
Tie
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 6–7 Oct GB 3,000 41% 39% 8% 4% 4%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
2%
YouGov The Times 6–7 Oct GB 1,673 41% 38% 5% 5% 6%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 3%
Other on 1%
3%
Survation N/A 5–6 Oct UK 1,022 41% 37% 7% 4% 4%
7%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 5%
4%
SavantaComRes N/A 2–4 Oct UK 2,081 42% 39% 7% 4% 3%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 2%
Other on 2%
3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 30 Sep1 Oct GB 4,000 39% 39% 8% 5% 5%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
Tie
YouGov The Times 29–30 Sep GB 1,700 39% 39% 6% 5% 5%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 4%
Other on 1%
Tie
SavantaComRes N/A 25–28 Sep UK 2,112 41% 38% 8% 5% 3%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Brexit Party on 2%
Other on 2%
3%
Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday 24–25 Sep GB 1,583 42% 38% 6% 5% 4%
5%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Brexit Party on 3%
UKIP on 2%
Other on 0%
4%
Opinium The Observer 23–25 Sep UK 2,002 39% 42% 5% 6% 4%
4%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
3%
YouGov The Times 23–24 Sep GB 1,623 41% 38% 6% 4% 5%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 3%
Other on 2%
3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 22–23 Sep GB 2,500 40% 40% 7% 4% 5%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
Tie
Kantar Public N/A 17–21 Sep GB 1,125 40% 38% 9% 4% 4%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 3%
UKIP on 2%
Other on 1%
2%
SavantaComRes N/A 18–20 Sep UK 2,109 40% 37% 8% 5% 3%
7%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Brexit Party on 3%
Other on 4%
3%
Ipsos MORI Evening Standard 11–18 Sep GB 1,013 40% 37% 8% 7% 5%
2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
UKIP on 1%
Other on 1%
3%
YouGov The Times 16–17 Sep GB 1,618 40% 40% 6% 4% 5%
5%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
Tie
Survation N/A 15–16 Sep UK 1,003 40% 38% 7% 5% 4%
6%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 15–16 Sep GB 2,500 41% 39% 8% 5% 5%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
2%
Opinium The Observer 9–11 Sep GB 2,001 42% 39% 6% 5% 4%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 1%
Other on 1%
3%
YouGov The Times 8–9 Sep GB 1,615 42% 37% 6% 5% 4%
5%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
5%
Number Cruncher Politics Bloomberg 4–8 Sep GB 1,001 42% 38% 6% 5% 5%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 2%
4%
YouGov The Times 3–4 Sep GB 1,633 43% 37% 6% 6% 4%
5%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
6%
Survation N/A 2–4 Sep UK 1,047 40% 38% 8% 5% 4%
5%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 1–2 Sep GB 2,500 43% 37% 8% 4% 4%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
6%
Opinium The Observer 26–28 Aug GB 2,002 40% 40% 6% 5% 3%
2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
UKIP on 2%
Tie
27 Aug Ed Davey is elected leader of the Liberal Democrats[5]
YouGov The Times 24–25 Aug GB 1,669 43% 36% 6% 5% 4%
5%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
7%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 24 Aug GB 2,000 42% 37% 9% 4% 5%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
5%
Survation N/A 21 Aug UK 1,005 41% 37% 9% 5% 4%
4%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 19 Aug GB 2,000 44% 37% 7% 4% 4%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
7%
YouGov The Times 18–19 Aug GB 1,652 40% 38% 6% 5% 6%
6%
Brexit Party on 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
2%
SavantaComRes N/A 14–16 Aug UK 2,083 42% 37% 7% 4% 3%
7%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
5%
Opinium The Observer 13–14 Aug GB 2,005 42% 39% 5% 5% 3%
6%
UKIP on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 12 Aug GB 2,000 43% 36% 9% 4% 4%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
7%
YouGov The Times 11–12 Aug GB 1,634 44% 35% 5% 6% 5%
5%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
9%
Kantar Public N/A 6–10 Aug GB 1,161 42% 35% 8% 6% 3%
6%
Brexit Party on 3%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
7%
YouGov The Times 4–5 Aug GB 1,606 42% 36% 8% 5% 5%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
6%
Ipsos MORI Evening Standard 30 Jul4 Aug GB 1,019 45% 37% 6% 5% 5%
2%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 1%
8%
Survation N/A 31 Jul3 Aug UK 1,019 44% 35% 8% 4% 5%
3%
Brexit Party on 0%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
9%
YouGov The Times 30–31 Jul GB 1,623 43% 35% 6% 5% 5%
5%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
8%
Opinium The Observer 30–31 Jul GB 2,002 41% 38% 6% 6% 4%
6%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 29 Jul GB 2,000 43% 38% 7% 4% 4%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
5%
Opinium The Observer 23–24 Jul GB 2,002 42% 38% 6% 5% 4%
5%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
4%
YouGov The Times 22–23 Jul GB 1,648 44% 35% 7% 5% 4%
5%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 22 Jul GB 2,000 44% 36% 8% 4% 5%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
8%
SavantaComRes N/A 17–19 Jul UK 2,085 43% 37% 6% 5% 2%
7%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
6%
Opinium The Observer 15–17 Jul GB 2,003 44% 36% 6% 6% 4%
4%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 15 Jul GB 2,000 44% 37% 8% 4% 4%
2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 2%
7%
Kantar Public N/A 9–13 Jul GB 1,131 45% 35% 9% 5% 2%
5%
Brexit Party on 2%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
10%
Survation N/A 10–12 Jul UK 2,022 42% 36% 8% 4% 5%
5%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
6%
Opinium The Observer 9–10 Jul GB 2,002 42% 38% 6% 6% 4%
4%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
4%
Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday 9–10 Jul GB 1,541 44% 38% 7% 3% 3%
5%
Brexit Party on 3%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 1%
6%
YouGov The Times 8–9 Jul GB 1,614 46% 36% 6% 5% 3%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 8 Jul GB 2,000 44% 39% 7% 4% 4%
2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 2%
5%
Survation N/A 3–6 Jul UK 1,012 44% 37% 7% 4% 4%
3%
Brexit Party on 0%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
7%
Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday 2–3 Jul GB 1,549 41% 36% 7% 3% 5%
8%
Brexit Party on 4%
UKIP on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 1%
5%
Opinium The Observer 1–3 Jul GB 2,002 41% 37% 8% 5% 4%
5%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Election Maps UK 1 Jul GB 2,000 42% 38% 8% 4% 5%
2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 2%
4%
YouGov The Times 26–28 Jun GB 1,626 45% 37% 5% 5% 4%
3%
Brexit Party on 2%
UKIP on 0%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
8%
Opinium The Observer 25–26 Jun GB 2,001 43% 39% 6% 5% 4%
4%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Election Maps UK 25 Jun GB 2,000 44% 38% 7% 4% 4%
2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 2%
6%
Survation N/A 24–25 Jun UK 2,003 43% 36% 8% 5% 4%
4%
Brexit Party on 0%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 4%
7%
Opinium The Observer 18–19 Jun GB 2,001 44% 40% 5% 5% 3%
3%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 18 Jun GB 2,000 43% 38% 8% 4% 4%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
5%
Kantar Public N/A 11–15 Jun GB 1,124 43% 35% 8% 5% 4%
3%
Brexit Party on 2%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
8%
SavantaComRes The Daily Telegraph 12–14 Jun UK 2,106 40% 36% 9% 5% 3%
8%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 4%
4%
Opinium The Observer 11–12 Jun GB 2,001 44% 39% 6% 5% 2%
2%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 1%
5%
YouGov The Times 11–12 Jun GB 1,693 45% 37% 6% 5% 4%
3%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 11 Jun GB 1,500 41% 39% 9% 5% 4%
2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 2%
2%
Survation N/A 9–10 Jun UK 1,062 42% 36% 8% 5% 4%
5%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
6%
Ipsos MORI Evening Standard 5–10 Jun GB 1,059 43% 38% 10% 4% 1%
4%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 1%
5%
Opinium The Observer 4–5 Jun GB 2,002 43% 40% 6% 5% 3%
3%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
3%
Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday 4–5 Jun GB 1,547 41% 38% 8% 2% 4%
6%
Brexit Party on 3%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 1%
3%
Survation N/A 3 Jun UK 1,018 41% 39% 7% 4% 4%
5%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 3 Jun GB 1,500 43% 36% 9% 4% 5%
4%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
7%
YouGov The Times 29–30 May GB 1,650 45% 35% 6% 5% 5%
3%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
10%
Opinium The Observer 28–29 May GB 2,012 43% 39% 6% 5% 3%
4%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
4%
Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday 27–28 May GB 1,557 43% 38% 8% 3% 4%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 27 May GB 1,500 43% 37% 9% 5% 3%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
6%
YouGov DatapraxisEU 26–27 May GB 2,029 43% 38% 6% 5% 4%
5%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
5%
YouGov The Times 25–26 May GB 1,629 44% 38% 6% 5% 4%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
6%
Survation N/A 22–26 May UK 1,040 46% 33% 8% 5% 4%
4%
Brexit Party on 0%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 4%
13%
Opinium The Observer 21–22 May GB 2,008 47% 35% 6% 5% 3%
3%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 1%
12%
YouGov The Times 18–19 May GB 1,718 48% 33% 6% 5% 5%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
15%
SavantaComRes N/A 15–17 May GB 2,079 46% 33% 7% 4% 4%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
13%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 15 May GB 1,500 47% 35% 9% 4% 3%
2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 2%
12%
Opinium The Observer 13–14 May GB 1,062 49% 34% 6% 5% 3%
3%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
15%
Kantar Public N/A 5–11 May GB 1,130 51% 32% 7% 5% 2%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
19%
Opinium The Observer 5–7 May GB 1,053 49% 33% 6% 5% 5%
3%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 0%
Other on 1%
16%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 6 May GB 1,500 50% 31% 7% 4% 5%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 3%
19%
YouGov The Times 5–6 May GB 1,667 50% 30% 7% 4% 5%
5%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
20%
Opinium The Observer 27 Apr1 May GB 1,072 51% 33% 6% 5% 3%
3%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 0%
Other on 1%
18%
Survation N/A 27–28 Apr UK 1,023 48% 31% 8% 4% 5%
5%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 3%
17%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 26 Apr GB 1,500 50% 33% 7% 5% 4%
1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 1%
17%
Opinium The Observer 21–23 Apr GB 2,000 50% 33% 7% 5% 3%
2%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Brexit Party on 0%
Other on 1%
17%
Kantar Public N/A 16–20 Apr GB 1,118 54% 28% 9% 4% 4%
2%
Brexit Party on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
26%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 17 Apr GB 1,500 52% 31% 8% 4% 3%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
21%
YouGov The Times 16–17 Apr GB 2,015 53% 32% 5% 4% 3%
3%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
21%
Opinium The Observer 15–17 Apr GB 2,000 51% 32% 6% 5% 3%
2%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Brexit Party on 0%
Other on 1%
19%
Opinium The Observer 7–9 Apr GB 2,005 55% 29% 5% 5% 4%
2%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Brexit Party on 0%
Other on 1%
26%
BMG The Independent 7–9 Apr GB 1,541 46% 29% 10% 3% 6%
5%
Brexit Party on 2%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
17%
4 Apr Keir Starmer is elected leader of the Labour Party[6]
Opinium The Observer 1–3 Apr GB 2,000 53% 30% 7% 5% 3%
3%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 0%
Other on 1%
23%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 1–2 Apr UK 2,000 49% 29% 8% 4% 4%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 5%
20%
YouGov The Times 1–2 Apr GB 1,631 52% 28% 8% 5% 5%
3%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
24%
Opinium The Observer 26–27 Mar GB 2,006 54% 28% 6% 5% 3%
3%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 0%
Other on 1%
26%
Number Cruncher Politics Bloomberg 24–26 Mar GB 1,010 54% 28% 7% 4% 4% 26%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 23 Mar GB 1,500 47% 29% 8% 5% 5%
6%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 5%
18%
Opinium The Observer 19–20 Mar GB 2,005 51% 31% 7% 5% 3%
3%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 0%
Other on 1%
20%
Ipsos MORI Evening Standard 13–16 Mar GB 1,003 52% 30% 9% 4% 4% 22%
Opinium The Observer 12–13 Mar GB 2,005 49% 32% 6% 5% 5%
4%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Brexit Party on 0%
Other on 1%
17%
Kantar Public N/A 5–9 Mar GB 1,171 50% 29% 11% 4% 1%
5%
Brexit Party on 2%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
21%
BMG The Independent 3–6 Mar GB 1,498 45% 28% 11% 3% 6%
6%
Brexit Party on 3%
UKIP on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
17%
SavantaComRes Sunday Express 19–20 Feb GB 2,005 47% 31% 9% 4% 4% 16%
Opinium The Observer 12–14 Feb GB 2,007 47% 32% 7% 6% 4%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
15%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 12 Feb GB 1,216 49% 31% 9% 4% 4%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 2%
18%
YouGov The Times 9–10 Feb GB 1,694 48% 28% 10% 4% 6%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
20%
BMG The Independent 4–7 Feb GB 1,503 41% 29% 11% 5% 8%
7%
Brexit Party on 3%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
12%
Ipsos MORI Evening Standard 31 Jan3 Feb GB 1,001 47% 30% 11% 4% 5%
3%
Brexit Party on 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
Other on 1%
17%
YouGov The Times 31 Jan2 Feb GB 1,575 49% 30% 8% 4% 5%
4%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 1%
19%
Survation N/A 30–31 Jan UK 1,015 44% 33% 10% 5% 3%
5%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Other on 2%
11%
YouGov The Times 24–26 Jan GB 1,628 49% 29% 10% 5% 4%
3%
Brexit Party on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
20%
Opinium The Observer 15–17 Jan GB 1,978 47% 30% 9% 5% 4%
6%
Brexit Party on 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1%
UKIP on 0%
Other on 2%
17%
BMG The Independent 8–10 Jan GB 1,508 44% 29% 11% 3% 5%
6%
Brexit Party on 4%
UKIP on 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
15%
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 UK 43.6% 32.1% 11.6% 3.9% 2.7% 6.7% 11.5%
GB 44.7% 32.9% 11.8% 4.0% 2.8% 4.3% 11.8%

Seat predictions[edit]

Pollster Client Dates
conducted
Sample
size
Area Con Lab SNP Lib Dem DUP SF Plaid Cymru Green Alliance SDLP Others Majority
Focaldata (MRP) Best for Britain 4–29 Dec 2020 22,186 GB 284 282 57 2 N/A N/A 5 1 N/A N/A 19[a] Con short 42
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 UK 365 202 48 11 8 7 4 1 1 2 1 80

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ Includes the speaker and the parties of Northern Ireland

Polling in the nations and regions[edit]

London[edit]

Graph of opinion polls conducted
Pollster Client Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Lab Con Lib Dem Green Reform Other Lead
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 13–14 Jan 2021 1,500 48% 27% 14% 8% 2% 3% 21%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 15–17 Oct 2020 2,000 53% 26% 12% 6% 3% 27%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 7–8 Sep 2020 2,000 50% 29% 12% 6% 3% 21%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies N/A 5–7 Aug 2020 2,500 48% 29% 14% 7% 2% 19%
YouGov Queen Mary University of London 2–6 Mar 2020 1,002 46% 34% 11% 7% 1% 1% 12%
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 48.1% 32% 14.9% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5% 16.1%

Scotland[edit]

Graph of opinion polls conducted
Pollster Client Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
SNP Con Lab Lib Dem Green Reform Other Lead
Survation Scot Goes Pop 11–13 Jan 2021 1,020 48% 19% 23% 7% - 25%
Survation N/A 4–9 Dec 2020 1,009 51% 20% 21% 6% 3% 30%
Panelbase Scot Goes Pop 5–11 Nov 2020 1,020 50% 21% 20% 5% 2% 29%
YouGov The Times 6–10 Nov 2020 1,089 53% 19% 17% 4% 3% 3% 34%
Survation N/A 28 Oct4 Nov 2020 1,059 52% 18% 20% 8% 2% 32%
JL Partners Politico 17–21 Sep 2020 1,016 56% 18% 15% 7% 3% 0% 0% 38%
Survation N/A 2–7 Sep 2020 1,018 51% 20% 21% 6% 3% 30%
YouGov The Times 6–10 Aug 2020 1,142 54% 20% 16% 5% 2% 2% 0% 34%
Panelbase The Sunday Times 30 Jun3 Jul 2020 1,026 53% 21% 19% 6% 2% 32%
Panelbase Scot Goes Pop 1–5 Jun 2020 1,022 51% 21% 19% 6% 2% <1% 30%
Panelbase Wings Over Scotland 1–5 May 2020 1,086 50% 26% 17% 5% 2% <1% 24%
YouGov N/A 24–27 Apr 2020 1,095 51% 25% 15% 6% 2% 0% 1% 26%
Panelbase The Sunday Times 24–26 Mar 2020 1,023 48% 27% 16% 5% 3% 21%
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 45.0% 25.1% 18.6% 9.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.3% 19.9%

Wales[edit]

Graph of opinion polls conducted
Pollster Client Dates
conducted
Sample
size
Lab Con Plaid Cymru Lib Dem Reform Green Other Lead
YouGov ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 11–14 Jan 2021 1,018 36% 33% 17% 3% 5% 4% 2% 3%
YouGov ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 26–30 Oct 2020 1,013 43% 32% 13% 3% 5% 3% 2% 11%
YouGov ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 28 Aug4 Sep 2020 1,110 41% 33% 15% 2% 4% 3% 2% 8%
YouGov ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 29 May1 Jun 2020 1,021 39% 35% 15% 5% 2% 3% 1% 4%
YouGov ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 3–7 Apr 2020 1,008 34% 46% 11% 4% 3% 2% 0% 12%
YouGov ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 20–26 Jan 2020 1,037 36% 41% 13% 5% 3% 2% 1% 5%
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 40.9% 36.1% 9.9% 6.0% 5.4% 1.0% 0.7% 4.8%

Other polling[edit]

Selected Conservative seats gained from Labour in 2019[edit]

Pollster Client Dates
conducted
Sample
size
Con Lab Lib Dem Other Lead
JL Partners Channel 4 News 19–30 Nov 2020 499 41% 47% 3% 8% 6%
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 47.7% 39.1% 4.8% 8.3% 8.6%

Ethnic minority voters[edit]

Pollster Client Dates
conducted
Sample
size
Lab Con Lib Dem SNP Green Others Lead
Number Cruncher Politics ITV 25 Jan1 Feb 2021 1,000 58% 22% 6% 2% 8%
4%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 1%
36%
Number Cruncher Politics ITV 9–17 Oct 2020 1,000 60% 22% 5% 3% 5%
3%
Plaid Cymru on 0%
Brexit Party on 2%
Other on 1%
38%
2019 general election[7] 12 Dec 2019 64% 20% 12% 2% 1% 1% 44%

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ Tufft, Ben (8 May 2015). "When will the next UK General Election be held?". The Independent. Retrieved 29 December 2019. The act specifies that future elections will be held on the first Thursday of May, every five years.
  2. ^ "Full transcript: The Queen's Speech". The Spectator. 19 December 2019. Retrieved 30 January 2020.
  3. ^ Hazell, Robert (5 February 2020). "Can Boris Johnson simply repeal the Fixed-term Parliaments Act?". The Constitution Unit.
  4. ^ "Party registration decisions". Electoral Commission. 6 January 2021. Retrieved 6 January 2021.
  5. ^ "Davey wins Liberal Democrat leadership race". BBC News. 27 August 2020. Retrieved 29 August 2020.
  6. ^ "Labour leadership winner: Sir Keir Starmer". BBC News. 4 April 2020. Retrieved 29 August 2020.
  7. ^ "How Britain voted in the 2019 election". Ipsos MORI. 20 December 2019. Retrieved 5 February 2021.