Opinion polling in United Kingdom constituencies, 2010–15

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Prior to the 2015 United Kingdom general election, various polling organisations conducted opinion polling in specific constituencies. The results of publicised opinion polling for individual constituencies are detailed in this article. However, most opinion polling covers Great Britain, where the results are published in this article here.

Opinion polls were conducted gradually from the months after the previous general election held on 6 May 2010, and increased in frequency before the general election which took place on 7 May 2015. Though most opinion polls published are for general election voting intention, some polls shown are for voting intention in separate by-elections.

Polls of individual constituencies are expensive compared to national polling and were previously an infrequent practice in the UK. However, a large number of individual constituency polls have been carried out in this period, most commissioned from independent polling providers by Lord Ashcroft, a Conservative peer and sponsor. In addition to polls listed in this article, other polling of constituencies has been carried out in private, often by political parties.[1]

Given the expense of polling individual constituencies, constituencies are usually only polled if they are of some particular interest, e.g. they are thought to be marginal or facing an impending by-election. The constituencies polled are not necessarily representative of a national average swing. Under the first-past-the-post electoral system the true marginal seats, by definition, will be decisive as to the outcome of the election.[2]

Contents

Constituency polls[edit]

England[edit]

Amber Valley[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015 2015 result 44.0% 34.8% 3.0% 15.9% 2.4% 9.2% over Lab
3–12 Jul 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 34% 35% 4% 23% 3% 2% 1% over Con
14–20 Apr 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 29% 41% 6% 20% 2% 2% 12% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 45,958 38.6% 37.4% 14.4% 2.0% 7.6% 1.2% over Lab

Bedford[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015 2015 result 42.6% 40.2% 4.2% 9.6% 3.1% 0.3% 2.4% over Lab
23–30 Jul 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 28% 38% 14% 15% 3% 2% 10% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 45,102 38.9% 35.9% 19.9% 2.5% 0.9% 2.0% 3.0% over Lab

Bermondsey and Old Southwark[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015 2015 result 11.8% 43.1% 34.3% 6.3% 3.9% 0.5% 8.7% over Lib
3–13 Sep 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 14% 35% 36% 9% 5% 2% 1% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 44,651 17.1% 29.2% 48.4% 1.6% 3.7% 19.1% over Lab

Berwick-upon-Tweed[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015 2015 result 41.1% 14.9% 28.9% 11.2% 3.7% 0.2% 12.2% over Lib
21–28 Aug 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 33% 16% 30% 17% 3% 1% 3% over LD
6 May 2010 General Election Results 38,439 36.7% 13.2% 43.7% 3.2% 3.2% 7% over Con

Birmingham Edgbaston[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 41,293 44.8% 38.3% 2.9% 10.1% 3.3% 3.5% 3.4% over Con
31 Jul–11 Aug 2014 Ashcroft 1001 48% 29% 3% 12% 5% 1% 19% over Con
12–18 May 2014 Ashcroft 1000 44% 33% 5% 13% 4% 1% 11% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 41,571 40.6% 37.6% 15.4% 1.8% 1.1% 3.6% 3.1% over Con

Birmingham Yardley[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 41,313 41.6% 14.0% 25.6% 16.1% 1.7% 1.0% 16.0% over Lab
27–31 Oct 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 31% 12% 34% 19% 2% 1% 3% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 40,850 32.2% 19.2% 39.6% 2.9% 7.3% over Lab

Blackpool North and Cleveleys[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 39,393 36.0% 44.4% 2.4% 14.8% 2.3% 0.1% 8.5% over Lab
30 Mar–4 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 37% 42% 3% 15% 2% 1% 5% over Lab
13–18 Oct 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 32% 35% 5% 24% 3% 1% 3% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 40,591 36.5% 41.8% 13.3% 4.1% - 4.3% 5.3% over Lab

Bognor Regis and Littlehampton[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con LD UKIP Lab Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 47,116 51.3% 9.0% 21.7% 13.8% 4.1% 27.9% over LD
22–24 Nov 2013 Survation/Alan Bown 508 37% 11% 27% 20% 5% 10% over UKIP
6 May 2010 General Election Results 46,852 51.4% 23.5% 6.5% 14.0% 4.5% 27.9% over LD

Bolton West[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 47,576 39.0% 40.6% 4.0% 15.3% - 1.1% 1.6% over Lab
23–31 Jul 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 40% 27% 8% 21% 2% 2% 13% over Con
21–27 Apr 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 41% 28% 10% 17% 2% 1% 13% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 47,576 38.5% 38.3% 17.2% 4.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.2% over Con

Boston and Skegness[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con LD UKIP Lab Green IFE BNP Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 43,339 43.8% 2.3% 33.8% 16.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.7% 10% over UKIP
26 Jan–5 Feb 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 38% 5% 35% 17% 3% 2% 3% over UKIP
5–9 Sep 2014 Survation/Alan Bown 342 26.2% 2.0% 45.5% 20.8% 3.2% 1.0% 1.0% 0.4% 19.3% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 43,125 49.4% 14.8% 9.5% 20.6% 5.3% 0.4% 28.8% over Lab

Bradford East[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green BNP Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 41,406 46.6% 11.3% 29.3% 9.9% 2.1% - 0.5% 17.1% over LD
1–21 Jun 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 45% 12% 23% 15% 2% 3% 22% over LD
6 May 2010 General Election Results 40,457 32.8% 26.8% 33.7% 4.6% 2.0% 0.9% over Lab

Brent Central[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 45,324 62.1% 20.3% 8.4% 3.9% 4.1% 1.2% 41.8% over Con
11–22 Jun 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 54% 13% 19% 7% 5% 1% 35% over LD
6 May 2010 General Election Results 45,324 41.2% 11.2% 44.2% 1.5% 2% 3.0% over Lab

Brentford and Isleworth[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
17–26 Sep 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 32% 45% 10% 7% 4% 1% 13% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 53,765 37.2% 33.6% 23.7% 1.6% 1.5% 2.4% 3.6% over Lab

Brighton Kemptown[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 45,306 39.2% 40.7% 3.0% 9.8% 7.0% 0.4% 1.5% over Lab
11–21 Sep 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 37% 33% 6% 13% 10% 1% 4% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 42,705 34.9% 38.0% 18.0% 3.2% 5.5% 0.5% 3.1% over Lab

Brighton Pavilion[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Green Lab Con LD UKIP Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 54,676 41.8% 27.3% 22.8% 2.8% 5.0% 0.4% 14.6% over Lab
11–20 Nov 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 38% 28% 21% 5% 8% 1% 10% over Lab
5–12 Jun 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 32% 33% 18% 5% 9% 2% 1% over Green
6 May 2010 General Election Results 51,834 31.3% 28.9% 23.7% 13.8% 1.8% 0.4% 2.4% over Lab

Bristol North West[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
17-23 April 2015 Ashcroft 1,005 34% 43% 8% 8% 6% 0% 9% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 50,336 25.9% 38.0% 32.5% 2.3% 1.0% 1.3% 5.5% over LD

Bristol West[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 64,218 35.7% 15.2% 18.8% 3.0% 26.8% 0.4% 8.8% over Green
17-23 April 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 38% 14% 20% 2% 25% 1% 13% over Green
6 May 2010 General Election Results 55,347 27.5% 18.4% 48.0% 1.2% 3.8% 1.1% 20.5% over Lab

Broxtowe[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green BNP Others Lead
26 Jun–4 Jul 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 30% 39% 7% 18% 4% 1% 1% 9% over Con
8–13 Apr 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 30% 44% 10% 13% 1% 1% 1% 14% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 52,727 39.0% 38.3% 16.9% 2.3% 0.8% 2.7% 0.7% over Lab

Burnley[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green BNP Others Lead
27–30 Oct 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 11% 38% 23% 25% 2% 1% 1% 13% over UKIP
6 May 2010 General Election Results 41,845 16.6% 31.3% 35.7% 2.2% 9.0% 5.2% 4.3% over Lab

Bury North[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
2-14 October 2014 Ashcroft 1,004 32% 41% 5% 20% 2% 1% 9% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 44,961 40.2% 35.2% 17% 2.9% - 4.8% 5% over Lab

Camborne and Redruth[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green MK OMRLP Others Lead
24–26 Mar 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 37% 24% 13% 14% 8% 3% 13% over Lab
25 Nov 2014 Survation/University of Exeter 500 30.0% 22.4% 6.3% 33.0% 6.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 3% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 42,493 37.6% 16.3% 37.4% 5.1% 1.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.2% over LD

Cambridge[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
24–28 Mar 2015 Ashcroft 1000 17% 31% 40% 3% 9% 9% over Lab
3–12 Sep 2014 Ashcroft 1000 19% 33% 32% 7% 8% 1% 1% over LD
4–8 Apr 2014 ICM/Lord Oakeshott 500 18% 41% 28% 5% 5% 2% 13% over LD
6 May 2010 General Election Results 50,130 25.6% 24.3% 39.1% 2.4% 7.6% 1.0% 13.5% over Con

Cannock Chase[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green BNP Others Lead
16–24 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,002 38% 32% 5% 21% 3% 1% 6% over Con
22–27 Oct 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 32% 27% 8% 30% 2% 1% 2% over UKIP
6 May 2010 General Election Results 45,559 33.1% 40.1% 17.0% 3.5% 4.8% 1.6% 7% over Lab

Carlisle[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
11-16 Jul 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 30% 41% 5% 18% 3% 3% 11% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 42,200 39.3% 37.3% 15.6% 2.3% 1.5% 4.1% 2.0% over Lab

Carshalton and Wallington[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
29 Oct–6 Nov 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 12% 23% 43% 17% 3% 1% 20% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 45,918 8.7% 36.8% 48.3% 2.9% 0.8% 2.4% 11.5% over Con

Castle Point[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
15–24 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 12% 41% 2% 36% 3% 5% 5% over UKIP
26 Jan–5 Feb 2015 Ashcroft 1,002 16% 37% 3% 36% 2% 6% 1% over UKIP
6 May 2010 General Election Results 45,026 14.7% 44.0% 9.4% - 31.9% 17.0% over Ind

Cheadle[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
15–22 Aug 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 19% 30% 34% 13% 2% 3% 4% over CON
26 May-1 Jun 2014 Ashcroft 1,003 21% 29% 32% 15% 2% 1% 3% over CON
6 May 2010 General Election Results 52,512 9.4% 40.8% 47.1% 2.7% 6.3% over CON

Cheltenham[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
27 Oct-1 Nov 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 7% 34% 42% 11% 5% 1% 8% over CON
6 May 2010 General Election Results 52,768 5.1% 41.2% 50.5% 2.3% 0.9 9.3% over CON

Chippenham[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
14-20 Aug 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 39% 14% 24% 16% 6% 1% 15% over LD
26 May-1 Jun 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 35% 12% 26% 19% 7% 1% 9% over LD
6 May 2010 General Election Results 52,385 41.0% 6.9% 45.8% 3.4% 0.9% 2% 4.8% over Con

City of Chester[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
26 Feb-5 Mar 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 45% 34% 7% 10% 3% 1% 11% over Con
13–18 Oct 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 37% 36% 7% 15% 5% 1% 1% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 46,853 35.1% 40.6% 19.1% 2.6% 1.1% 1.5% 5.5% over Lab

Clacton[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab UKIP LD Green Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 44,207 36.7% 14.4% 44.4% 1.8% 1.9% - 7.8% over Con
9 Oct 2014 Clacton by-election Result 35,365 24.6% 11.2% 59.7% 1.4% 2.7% 1.2% 35.1% over Con
29 Aug–1 Sep 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 27% 19% 48% 3% 3% <0.5% 21% over Con
29 Aug–1 Sep 2014 Ashcroft (By-election polling) 1,001 24% 16% 56% 2% 1% 1% 32% over Con
28–29 Aug 2014 Survation (By-election polling) 700 20% 13% 64% 2% 1% <0.5% 44% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 43,123 53.0% 25.0% 12.9% 1.2% 7.8% 28.0% over Lab

Cleethorpes[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
2-11 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 38% 36% 6% 15% 3% 1% 2% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 44,966 42.1% 32.6% 18.2% 7.1% - 3.9% 9.5% over Lab

Colchester[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
4–14 Nov 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 17% 22% 36% 18% 6% 1% 14% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 46,139 12.3% 32.9% 48.0% 2.9% 1.5% 2.4% 15.1% over Con

Colne Valley[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
16–22 April 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 35% 37% 8% 11% 6% 2% 2% over Lab
2–12 Feb 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 34% 33% 9% 13% 9% 1% 1% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 55,296 26.4% 37.0% 28.2% 2.1% 1.6% 4.7% 8.7% over LD

Corby[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
10–17 Sep 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 40% 30% 5% 21% 2% 2% 10% over Con
15 Nov 2012 Corby by-election Result 35,665 48.4% 26.6% 5.0% 14.3% 1.1% 4.6% 21.8% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 54,180 38.6% 42.2% 14.5% 4.7% 3.6% over Lab

Crewe and Nantwich[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab UKIP LD Others Lead
2–9 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 38% 41% 13% 4% 1% 3% over Con
22–24 Nov 2013 Survation/Alan Bown 500 33% 46% 11% 6% 5% 13% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 51,084 45.8% 34.0% 2.8% 15.0% 2.3% 11.8% over Lab

Croydon Central[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab UKIP LD Green Others Lead
26-30 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,003 44% 40% 10% 2% 3% 0% 4% over Lab
3–12 Mar 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 37% 41% 13% 3% 5% 1% 4% over Con
14–18 Oct 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 33% 39% 19% 4% 4% 1% 6% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 49,757 39.5% 33.5% 2.0% 13.2% 1.2% 10.6% 6.0% over Lab

Derby North[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
28 May-4 Jun 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 23% 44% 17% 12% 2% 2% 21% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 45,080 31.7% 33% 28% 1.8% 5.4% 1.3% over Con

Dewsbury[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
15-23 Jul 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 30% 40% 4% 18% 6% 3% 10% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 54,008 35% 32.2% 16.9% - 1.6% 14.3% 2.8% over Lab

Doncaster North[edit]

Note: Michael Ashcroft initially published incorrect results for his 18–23 Nov 2014 poll,[3] erroneously showing only a small Labour lead. The corrected poll results are below.

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green BNP Others Lead
18–23 Nov 2014 Ashcroft, Corrected 1,000 13% 54% 4% 25% 2% 1% 2% 29% over UKIP
6 May 2010 General Election Results 41,483 21.0% 47.3% 14.9% 4.3% 6.8% 5.6% 26.3% over Con

Dover[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
2-9 April 2015 Ashcroft 1,002 32% 40% 3% 20% 4% - 8% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 50,385 33.5% 44% 15.8% 3.5% - 3.2% 10.5% over Lab

Dudley North[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con UKIP LD Others Lead
20–27 Nov 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 37% 24% 34% 3% 3% 3% over UKIP
28 Apr–4 May 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 40% 24% 27% 4% 5% 13% over UKIP
22–24 Nov 2013 Survation 526 45% 25% 23% 2% 5% 20% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 38,602 38.7% 37.0% 8.5% 10.5% 5.3% 1.7% over Con

Dudley South[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Lead
7-10 April 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 35% 39% 3% 18% 4% 4% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 38,165 33% 43.1% 15.7% 8.2% - 10.1% over Lab

Ealing Central and Acton[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
1–6 Dec 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 34% 40% 11% 6% 7% 2% 6% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 47,200 38.0% 30.1% 27.6% 1.6% 1.6% 1.0% 7.9% over Lab

Eastbourne[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
27 Aug-5 Sep 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 7% 25% 46% 18% 2% 2% 21% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 52,142 4.8% 40.7% 47.3% 2.5% - 4.6% 6.6% over Con

Eastleigh[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size LD Con UKIP Lab Green Others Lead
20–28 Aug 2014 Ashcroft 538 40% 25% 21% 12% 2% 1% 15% over Con
29 May–6 Jun 2014 Ashcroft 523 39% 27% 22% 10% 2% 0% 12% over Con
14–17 Apr 2014 Survation/Alan Bown 369 27.1% 28.2% 31.6% 11.5% 1.0% 0.6% 3.4% over Con
28 Feb 2013 Eastleigh by-election Result 42,649 32.1% 25.4% 27.8% 9.8% 4.9% 4.3% over UKIP
22–24 Feb 2013 Ashcroft (By-election polling)[4] 416 33% 28% 23% 12% 4% 5% over Con
19–22 Feb 2013 Populus/Times (By-election polling)[5] 408 33% 28% 25% 11% 4% 5% over Con
18–22 Feb 2013 Survation/Mail on Sunday (By-election polling) 402 29% 33% 21% 13% 4% 4% over LD
6–8 Feb 2013 Survation/Mail on Sunday[6] 321 36% 33% 16% 13% 0.3% 0.1% 3% over Con
4–5 Feb 2013 Ashcroft (By-election polling)[7] 314 31% 34% 15% 19% 1% 1% 3% over LD
2–5 Aug 2010 Ashcroft 513 31% 43% 20% 6% 12% over LD
6 May 2010 General Election Results 53,650 46.5% 39.3% 3.6% 9.6% 1.0% 7.2% over Con

Elmet and Rothwell[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
8–13 Dec 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 39% 35% 6% 16% 3% 1% 4% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 55,789 42.6% 34.5% 16.3% 2.9% 3.6% 8.1% over Lab

Enfield North[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
17–25 Sep 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 34% 44% 3% 12% 3% 3% 10% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 44,453 42.3% 38.5% 12.2% 2.1% 1.1% 3.9% 3.8% over Lab

Erewash[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
3-14 Oct 2014 Ashcroft 1,003 30% 38% 5% 22% 3% 2% 8% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 47,642 39.5% 34.2% 17.5% 1.8% 1.1% 2.9% 5.3% over Lab

Finchley and Golders Green[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Lead
7-11 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 43% 41% 6% 6% 4% 2% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 47,157 33.7% 46% 17% 1.7% 1.6% 12.3% over Lab

Folkestone and Hythe[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con LD UKIP Lab Green Others Lead
3–4 Apr 2014 Survation/Mail on Sunday 529 36.4% 9.6% 32.9% 17.8% 1.9% 1.5% 3.5% over UKIP
22–24 Nov 2013 Survation/Alan Bown 548 35% 10% 28% 21% 4% 2% 7% over UKIP
6 May 2010 General Election Results 52,800 49.4% 30.3% 4.6% 10.8% 1.2% 3.6% 19.1% over LD

Gloucester[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
24 Mar–4 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 40% 36% 9% 12% 3% 1% 4% over Lab
24 Sep–2 Oct 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 34% 33% 12% 18% 3% 0% 1% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 50,764 39.9% 35.2% 19.2% 3.6% 1% 1.1% 4.8% over Lab

Great Grimsby[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con UKIP LD Others Lead
15–24 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1000 42% 24% 25% 5% 4% 17% over UKIP
20–27 Nov 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 35% 20% 34% 8% 4% 1% over UKIP
5–11 May 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 38% 21% 26% 10% 5% 12% over UKIP
18–22 Oct 2013 Survation 506 40% 21% 23% 11% 5% 17% over UKIP
6 May 2010 General Election Results 32,954 32.7% 30.5% 6.2% 22.4% 8.1% 2.2% over Con

Great Yarmouth[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab UKIP LD Green Others Lead
15–24 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 36% 34% 24% 2% 4% 1% 2% over Lab
11–16 Jul 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 33% 28% 32% 3% 3% 1% 1% over UKIP
21–27 Apr 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 32% 31% 29% 5% 2% 1% 1% over Lab
22–24 Nov 2013 Survation/Alan Bown 507 27% 37% 30% 3% 2% 7% over UKIP
6 May 2010 General Election Results 43,057 43.1% 33.2% 4.8% 14.4% 1.0% 3.5% 9.9% over Lab

Halesowen and Rowley Regis[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
24 Feb–5 Mar 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 37% 39% 4% 15% 3% 2% 2% over Con
24 Sep–3 Oct 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 34% 35% 2% 24% 4% 1% 1% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 43,979 41.2% 36.6% 14.8% 6.4% 1.0% 4.6% over Lab

Halifax[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
12–18 May 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 43% 26% 8% 18% 2% 3% 17% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 43,555 37.4% 34% 19.1% 1.5% - 8% 3.4% over Con

Hampstead and Kilburn[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab UKIP LD Green Others Lead
23 Jul–3 Aug 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 30% 47% 2% 13% 6% 1% 17% over Con
21–27 Apr 2014 Ashcroft 1,003 30% 41% 3% 19% 6% 0% 11% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Result 52,822 32.7% 32.8% 0.8% 31.2% 1.4% 1% 0.1% over Con

Harlow[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
2-10 April 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 34% 44% 3% 16% 2% 1% 10% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 53,878 33.7% 44.9% 13.7% 3.6% - 4.2% 11.2% over Lab

Harrogate and Knaresborough[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
5-12 Jun 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 11% 41% 24% 16% 8% 0% 17% over LD
6 May 2010 General Election Results 53,134 6.4% 45.7% 43.8% 2% - 2.1% 1.9% over LD

Harrow East[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
31 Mar–4 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 40% 44% 4% 8% 3% 1% 4% over Con
1–7 Dec 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 40% 37% 6% 13% 3% 0% 3% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 48,006 44.7% 37.6% 14.3% 1.9% 1.7% 7.1% over Lab

Hastings and Rye[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
17-25 Sep 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 40% 31% 5% 19% 3% 1% 9% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 49,814 37.1% 41.1% 15.7% 2.8% - 3.3% 4% over Lab

Hazel Grove[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Lead
4–15 Nov 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 15% 29% 35% 17% 4% 6% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 41,981 12.5% 33.6% 48.8% 5.1% 15.2% over Con

Hendon[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
18–29 Jun 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 34% 49% 4% 9% 1% 1% 15% over Con
31 Mar–6 Apr 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 36% 44% 7% 11% 2% 1% 8% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 46,374 42.3% 42.1% 12.4% 2.1% 1.1% 0.2% over Lab

Heywood and Middleton[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
9 Oct 2014 Heywood and Middleton by-election Result 28,472 40.9% 12.3% 5.1% 38.7% 3.1% 2.2% over UKIP
30 Sep–4 Oct 2014 Ashcroft (By-election polling) 1,000 47% 16% 5% 28% 4% 19% over UKIP
30 Sep 2014 Survation/The Sun (By-election polling) 551 50% 13% 4% 31% 3% 19% over UKIP
6 May 2010 General Election Results 46,125 40.1% 27.2% 22.7% 2.6% - 7.4% 12.9% over Con

High Peak[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
17-23 April 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 38% 40% 7% 10% 5% 1% 2% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 50,337 31.6% 40.9% 21.8% 3.4% 1.8% 0.4% 9.3% over Lab

Hornsey and Wood Green[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
3 Mar 2015 Liberal Democrats
(fieldwork by Survation)
325 15% 37% 36% 4% 7% 1% 1% over LD
3–13 Sep 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 14% 43% 30% 3% 8% 1% 13% over LD
6 May 2010 General Election Results 55,042 16.7% 34.0% 46.5% 2.3% 0.6% 12.5% over Lab

Hove[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 52,214 39.9% 42.3% 3.6% 6.3% 6.8% 1.1% 2.4% over Con
1–4 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,002 37% 43% 5% 5% 9% 1% 6% over Con
17–27 Sep 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 34% 37% 6% 11% 12% - 3% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 49,819 36.7% 33.0% 22.6% 2.4% 5.2% 0.2% 3.7% over Lab

Ipswich[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
24 Sep-2 Oct 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 38% 31% 6% 19% 5% 1% 7% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 46,291 34.7% 39.1% 18.2% 2.9% 1.7% 3.3% 4.4% over Lab

Keighley[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
20-26 Oct 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 37% 31% 5% 23% 3% 1% 6% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 47,692 35.8% 41.9% 14.8% 3.1% - 4.4% 6.1% over Lab

Kingston and Surbiton[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
29 Oct–8 Nov 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 30% 16% 38% 10% 6% 1% 8% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 57,111 36.5% 9.3% 49.8% 2.5% 1% 0.8% 13.3% over Con

Kingswood[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
28 Mar–3 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 42% 33% 5% 15% 4% 1% 9% over Lab
3-14 Oct 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 34% 32% 6% 23% 4% 1% 2% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 47,906 40.4% 35.3% 16.8% 3.2% 0.8% 3.4% 5.1% over Lab

Lancaster and Fleetwood[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
26 Jun-4 Jul 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 27% 41% 4% 18% 10% 1% 14% over Con
8-13 Apr 2014 Ashcroft 1,002 29% 43% 6% 12% 9% 1% 14% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 42,701 36.1% 35.2% 19.1% 4.4% 2.7% 0.8% over Lab

Lewes[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 50,540 38.0% 9.9% 35.9% 10.7% 5.5% - 2.1% over LD
11-20 Nov 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 29% 9% 37% 15% 7% 2% 8% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 50,088 36.7% 5% 52% 3.4% 1.5% 1.4% 15.3% over Con

Lincoln[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
14-21 Jul 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 39% 35% 6% 17% 3% 1% 4% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 45,721 35.2% 37.5% 20.2% 2.2% - 4.8% 2.3% over Lab

Loughborough[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
31 Mar–3 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 45% 36% 3% 12% 3% 1% 9% over Lab
22-25 Oct 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 40% 37% 5% 12% 3% 3% 3% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 52,838 41.6% 34.5% 18.3% 1.8% - 3.9% 7.1% over Lab

Manchester Withington[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
11–21 Jun 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 56% 7% 22% 4% 10% 1% 34% over LD
6 May 2010 General Election Results 45,075 40.5% 11.1% 44.6% 1.5% 1.8% 0.4% 4.1% over Lab

Mid Dorset and North Poole[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
31 Jul–9 Aug 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 38% 8% 32% 19% 3% 1% 6% over LD
12–18 May 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 39% 8% 32% 17% 3% 1% 7% over LD
6 May 2010 General Election Results 46,788 44.5% 5.9% 45.1% 4.5% - - 0.6% over Con

Milton Keynes South[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
7-10 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 37% 39% 8% 10% 4% 2% 2% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 55,333 41.6% 32.2% 17.7% 3.7% 1.4% 3.3% 9.4% over Lab

Morecambe and Lunesdale[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
1-4 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 36% 42% 5% 12% 5% 1% 6% over Con
7-11 Jul 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 34% 37% 6% 18% 4% 2% 3% over Con
14-20 Apr 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 37% 39% 5% 12% 3% 1% 2% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 43,436 41.5% 39.5% 13.3% 4.2% 1.4% - 2% over Lab

Morley and Outwood[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
5–11 May 2014 Ashcroft 1,003 41% 24% 5% 20% 2% 8% 17% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 48,856 37.6% 35.3% 16.8% 3.1% - 7.2% 2.3% over Con

Newark[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Others Lead
5 Jun 2014 Newark by-election Result 38,707 45.0% 17.7% 3% 25.9% 8% 19% over UKIP
2–3 Jun 2014 Survation 678 42% 22% 4% 27% 5% 15% over UKIP
27 May–1 Jun 2014 Ashcroft (By-election polling) 1,000 42% 20% 6% 27% 5% 15% over UKIP
27–28 May 2014 Survation/The Sun 606 36% 27% 5% 28% 5% 8% over UKIP
6 May 2010 General Election Results 51,228 53.9% 22.3% 20.0% 3.8% 31.5% over Lab

Newton Abbot[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
5-12 Jun 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 13% 39% 20% 20% 7% 1% 19% over LD/UKIP
6 May 2010 General Election Results 48,283 7% 43% 41.9% 6.4% 1.5% 1.1% 31.5% over LD

North Cornwall[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
24-29 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,002 36% 5% 38% 14% 5% 3% 2% over Con
12-20 Mar 2015 Ashcroft 1,004 36% 6% 38% 13% 6% 1% 2% over Con
15-20 Aug 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 33% 10% 33% 20% 3% 1% Tied
26 May-1 Jun 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 31% 8% 31% 24% 5% 2% Tied
6 May 2010 General Election Results 46,844 41.7% 4.2% 48.1% 4.9% - 1.1% 6.4% over Con

North Devon[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
24-26 Mar 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 38% 8% 31% 16% 6% 2% 7% over LD
29 Oct-6 Nov 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 30% 9% 29% 23% 7% 2% 1% over LD
6 May 2010 General Election Results 51,321 36% 7.2% 47.4% 7.2% 1.4% 2.8% 11.4% over Con

North East Cambridgeshire[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
26 Jan–5 Feb 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 17% 46% 7% 25% 4% 1% 21% over UKIP
6 May 2010 General Election Results 52,064 17.8% 51.6% 20% 5.4% - 5.2% 31.6% over LD

North East Somerset[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
7-11 April 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 28% 44% 9% 10% 8% 1% 16% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 51,203 31.7% 41.3% 22.3% 3.4% 1.3% - 9.6% over Lab

North Warwickshire[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
18–28 Jun 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 41% 30% 2% 22% 2% 2% 11% over Con
31 Mar–6 Apr 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 43% 35% 3% 15% 3% 1% 8% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 47,265 40.1% 40.2% 11.6% 2.8% 0.9% 0.1% over Lab

Norwich North[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
24-30 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 38% 36% 6% 12% 8% 1% 2% over Con
4–12 Feb 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 35% 34% 5% 18% 10% 0% 1% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 42,573 31.4% 40.6% 18.3% 4.4% 2.9% 2.4% 9.2% over Lab

Norwich South[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
11–21 Jun 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 33% 18% 12% 15% 20% 1% 13% over Green
6 May 2010 General Election Results 47,551 28.7% 22.9% 29.4% 2.4% 14.9% 1.7% 0.7% over Lab

Nuneaton[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green BNP Others Lead
26 Feb-5 Mar 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 39% 34% 4% 14% 8% 1% 5% over Con
24 Sep–3 Oct 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 39% 36% 3% 19% 2% 1% 3% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 44,646 36.9% 41.5% 15.3% 6.3% - 4.6% over Lab

Oxford West and Abingdon[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
21–28 Aug 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 18% 38% 30% 9% 4% <0.5% 8% over LD
30 May–5 Jun 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 18% 36% 25% 11% 8% 1% 11% over LD
6 May 2010 General Election Results 56,480 10.6% 42.3% 42.0% 2.7% 2.1% 0.3% 0.3% over LD

Pendle[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
31 Mar–4 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 41% 37% 8% 10% 4% 1% 4% over Lab
8–14 Dec 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 36% 33% 11% 17% 2% 1% 3% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 45,045 38.9% 30.9% 20.2% 3.3% 6.7% 8.0% over Lab

Plymouth Moor View[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
15–23 Jul 2014 Ashcroft 506 35% 26% 5% 30% 2% 1% 5% over UKIP
6 May 2010 General Election Results 41,526 37.2% 33.3% 16.9% 7.7% 1.0% 4.0% 3.8% over Con

Plymouth Sutton & Devonport[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
15–23 Jul 2014 Ashcroft 506 39% 26% 6% 21% 8% 1% 8% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 43,894 31.7% 34.3% 24.7% 6.5% 2.1% 0.7% 2.6% over Lab

Portsmouth South[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
29 Oct–6 Nov 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 20% 30% 25% 17% 6% 1% 5% over LD
6 May 2010 General Election Results 41,264 13.7% 33.3% 45.9% 2.1% 1.7% 3.4% 12.6% over Con

Redcar[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
27 Aug–6 Sep 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 44% 12% 18% 23% 2% 1% 21% over UKIP
17–19 Apr 2014 ICM/Lord Oakeshott 500 47% 15% 15% 19% 2% 2% 28% over UKIP
6 May 2010 General Election Results 41,963 32.7% 13.8% 45.2% 4.5% 3.8% 12.5% over Lab

Rochester and Strood[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
15–22 April 2015 Ashcroft 1000 36% 24% 3% 33% 4% 1% 3% over UKIP
20 Nov 2014 Rochester and Strood by-election Result 40,065 34.8% 16.8% 0.9% 42.1% 4.2% 2.2% 7.3% over Con
7–10 Nov 2014 Ashcroft 543 36% 21% 2% 35% 5% 1% 1% over UKIP
7–10 Nov 2014 Ashcroft (By-election polling) 543 32% 17% 2% 44% 4%[8] 1% 12% over Con
27–28 Oct 2014 Survation 1,012 33% 16% 1% 48% 1.7% 2% 15% over Con
17–21 Oct 2014 ComRes[9] 949 30% 21% 3% 43% 2% 1% 13% over Con
4 Oct 2014 Survation/Mail on Sunday 677 31% 25% 2% 40% 1% 0.4% 9% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 47,971 49.2% 28.5% 16.3% 1.5% 4.5% 20.7% over Lab

Rother Valley[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab UKIP LD Green BNP Others Lead
24–29 Nov 2014 Ashcroft 480 18% 40% 34% 4% 3% <0.5% 2% 6% over UKIP
6 May 2010 General Election Results 46,768 28.4% 40.9% 5.6% 17.3% 7.7% 12.5% over Con

Sheffield Hallam[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
4 May 2015 ICM/Guardian1 501 35% 12% 42% 7% 3% 2% 7% over Lab
22–28 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 37% 15% 36% 7% 4% 1% 1% over LD
22–28 Mar 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 36% 16% 34% 7% 6% 1% 2% over LD
22–29 Jan 2015 Survation/Unite 1,011 33% 22% 23% 9% 12% <0.5% 10% over LD
20–22 Nov 2014 Ashcroft 962 30% 19% 27%[10] 13% 10% 1% 3% over LD
29 Apr–4 May 2014 ICM/Lord Oakeshott 500 33% 24% 23% 10% 8% 1% 9% over Con
1–4 Oct 2010 Populus/Ashcroft 1,000 31% 28% 33% N/A N/A 8% 2% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Result 51,135 16.1% 23.5% 53.4% 2.3% 1.8% 2.7% 29.9% over Con

1: These figures represent the results when respondents were presented with named candidates. When asked to think only about the political parties [the methodology used by the Ashcroft polls] the figures showed a small Labour lead.[11]

Solihull[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
31 Jul–10 Aug 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 12% 37% 28% 16% 6% 1% 9% over LD
12–18 May 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 12% 37% 28% 16% 6% 1% 9% over LD
6 May 2010 General Election Results 55,129 8.9% 42.6% 42.9% 2.2% 3.5% 0.3% over Con

Southampton Itchen[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
24 Feb-7 Mar 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 35% 30% 7% 20% 8% 5% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 44,412 36.8% 36.3% 20.8% 4.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.4% over Con

South Basildon and East Thurrock[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
26 Jan–5 Feb 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 28% 35% 3% 29% 3% 1% 6% over UKIP
6 May 2010 General Election Results 44,735 31.0% 43.9% 13.4% 5.9% - 5.9% 12.9% over Lab

South Swindon[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
22–28 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 37% 36% 6% 16% 4% - 1% over Lab
3–12 Mar 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 36% 35% 5% 19% 4% 2% 1% over Lab
1–6 Dec 2014 Ashcroft 508 34% 34% 7% 20% 4% 1% Tied
6 May 2010 General Election Results 47,119 41.8% 34.3% 17.6% 4.3% 1.3% 0.7% 7.5% over Lab

South Thanet[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab UKIP LD Others Lead
22-28 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 34% 26% 32% 3% 5% 2% over UKIP
22 April 2015 Survation/Alan Bown [12] 1,057 30% 26% 39% 2% 3% 9% over Con
13-18 March 2015 ComRes/Chartwell Political 1,003 31% 29% 30% 5% 5% 1% over UKIP
18–20 Feb 2015 Survation/Alan Bown [13] 1,011 27% 28% 38% 2% 5% 10% over Lab
23–24 Nov 2014 Ashcroft 1,003 33% 27% 32% 4% 4% 1% over UKIP
11–16 July 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 29% 29% 33% 4% 5% 4% over Con & Lab
21–27 April 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 32% 31% 27% 7% 3% 1% over Lab
22–24 Nov 2013 Survation 515 28% 35% 30% 5% 2% 5% over UKIP
6 May 2010 General Election Results 45,933 48.0% 31.4% 5.5% 15.1% 16.6% over Lab

South West Surrey[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con LD UKIP Lab Green Others Lead
4–5 Dec 2014 Survation/Unite 587 57% 8% 15% 11% 7% 1% 42% over UKIP
6 May 2010 General Election Results 57,259 58.7% 30.2% 2.6% 6.0% 1.2% 1.4% 28.5% over LD

St Austell and Newquay[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
15 Mar 2015 Ashcroft 1002 32% 10% 26% 20% 6% 4% 6% over LD
6–16 Aug 2014 Ashcroft 493 27% 13% 26% 25% 6% 3% 1% over LD
19–25 May 2014 Ashcroft[14] 473 32% 10% 24% 25% 4% 5% 7% over UKIP
6 May 2010 General Election Results 47,238 40.0% 7.2% 42.7% 3.7% 6.4% 2.8% over Con

Stevenage[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
8–13 Dec 2014 Ashcroft 497 38% 33% 7% 18% 3% 0% 5% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 44,651 33.4% 41.4% 16.6% 4.5% 4.1% 8.0% over Lab

Stockton South[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
31 Mar–4 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1000 39% 44% 3% 9% 1% 3% 5% over Con
6–12 Nov 2014 Survation/Unite 571 39.1% 36.5% 2.8% 18.2% 3.1% 0.2% 2.6% over Lab
26 Jun–4 Jul 2014 Ashcroft 521 35% 38% 4% 19% 2% 2% 3% over Con
7–13 Apr 2014 Ashcroft 512 36% 43% 5% 12% 0% 3% 7% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 50,284 38.9% 38.3% 15.1% 2.9% 4.8% 0.6% over Lab

Stroud[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
11–16 Jul 2014 Ashcroft 561 30% 41% 6% 11% 11% <0.5% 11% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 57,973 40.8% 38.6% 15.4% 2.2% 2.7% 0.2% 2.2% over Lab

Sutton and Cheam[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
6-16 August 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 11% 27% 45% 14% 3% 0% 18% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 48,508 7.0% 42.4% 45.7% 2.0% 0.5% 2.5% 3.3% over Con

Thurrock[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab UKIP LD Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 49,964 33.7% 32.6% 31.7% 1.3% 0.7% 1.1% over Lab
17-23 April 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 30% 31% 35% 1% 3% 4% over Lab
18–26 June 2014 Ashcroft 1,002 28% 30% 36% 2% 4% 6% over Lab
31 Mar–6 Apr 2014 Ashcroft 394 27% 37% 29% 4% 3% 8% over UKIP
6 May 2010 General Election Results 45,822 36.8% 36.6% 7.4% 10.7% 8.5% 0.2% over Lab

Torbay[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 48,079 8.7% 40.7% 33.8% 13.6% 3.2% 0.0% 6.9% over LD
12-21 Mar 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 11% 33% 34% 17% 3% 1% 1% over Con
27 Aug - 6 Sep 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 15% 30% 30% 21% 3% 1% Tied
6 May 2010 General Election Results 49,210 6.6% 38.7% 47.0% 5.3% 1.0% 1.4% 8.3% over Con

Twickenham[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab UKIP LD Green BNP Others Lead
11-16 Apr 2014 ICM/Oakeshott 501 34% 23% 5% 32% 4% 1% 1% 2% over LD
6 May 2010 General Election Results 59,721 34.1% 7.7% 1.5% 54.4% 1.1% 1.1% 0.2% 20.3% over Con

Warwick & Leamington[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
1–6 Dec 2014 Ashcroft 534 38% 34% 7% 14% 7% <0.5% 4% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 49,032 42.6% 35.4% 18.3% 1.9% 1.4% 0.4% 7.2% over Lab

Watford[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 56,149 43.5% 26.0% 18.1% 9.8% 2.4% 0.3% 17.4% over Lab
11–20 Nov 2014 Ashcroft 525 30% 24% 28% 14% 3% 0% 2% over LD
20–28 Aug 2014 Ashcroft 525 27% 29% 25% 14% 4% 1% 2% over Con
19 May–6 Jun 2014 Ashcroft 524 29% 25% 24% 16% 6% 0% 4% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 55,208 34.9% 26.7% 32.4% 2.2% 1.6% 2.2% 2.6% over LD

Weaver Vale[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
14-22 Jul 2014 Ashcroft 1,001 32% 41% 6% 18% 2% 1% 9% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 43,990 38.5% 36.3% 18.6% 2.3% 0.8% 3.4% 2.2% over Lab

Wirral West[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
24-30 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 43% 46% 3% 5% 2% 0% 3% over Con
3–12 Mar 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 37% 42% 5% 10% 5% 1% 5% over Con
22–26 Oct 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 38% 39% 6% 12% 4% 1% 1% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 39,372 42.5% 36.3% 16.8% 2.3% 2.1% 6.2% over Lab

Witney[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con LD UKIP Lab Green Others Lead
2–4 Dec 2014 Survation/Unite 531 53% 4% 19% 16% 7% 1% 34% over UKIP
6 May 2010 General Election Results 57,769 58.8% 19.4% 3.5% 13.0% 4.1% 1.2% 39.4% over LD

Worcester[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green BNP Others Lead
3–12 Mar 2015 Ashcroft 1,002 38% 33% 4% 15% 7% 2% 5% over Lab
13–19 Oct 2014 Ashcroft 1,002 34% 36% 5% 17% 7% 1% 2% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 48,974 39.5% 33.4% 19.4% 2.8% 1.5% 2.5% 0.7% 6.1% over Lab

Wyre Forest[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green BNP ICHC Others Lead
11–20 Nov 2014 Ashcroft 518 32% 16% 7% 27% 5% <1% - 13% 5% over UKIP
6 May 2010 General Election Results 50,899 36.9% 14.3% 11.9% 2.9% 2.2% 31.7% 5.2% over ICHC

Wythenshawe and Sale East[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab UKIP Con LD Others Lead
13 Feb 2014 Wythenshawe by-election Result 23,961 55.3% 18.0% 14.5% 4.9% 7.3% 37.3% over UKIP
3–5 Feb 2014 Ashcroft (By-election polling) 1,009 61% 15% 14% 5% 4% 46% over UKIP
6 May 2010 General Election Results 40,751 44.1% 3.4% 25.6% 22.3% 4.6% 18.6% over Con

Northern Ireland[edit]

Belfast East[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size DUP APNI UUP PUP TUV SF UKIP Green SDLP Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 39,682 49.3% 42.8% 2.1% 0.3% 2.8% 6.5% over APNI
12–28 Jan 2015 LucidTalk 820 34.4% 28.7% 14.6% 6.5% 2.8% 1.8% 1.6% 1.5% 0.8% 7.5% 5.7% over APNI
6 May 2010 General Election Results 34,488 32.8% 37.2% 21.2% 5.4% 2.4% 1.1% 4.4% over DUP

Scotland[edit]

Airdrie and Shotts[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 44,286 7.7% 34.1% 1.5% 2.5% - 53.9% 0.3% 19.8% over Lab
14–22 Jan 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 7% 39% 1% 5% 1% 47% 0% 8% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 35,849 8.7% 58.2% 8.1% 23.5% 1.5% 34.6% over SNP

Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 52,209 19.8% 27.3% 1.6% 2.5% - 48.8% - 21.6% over Lab
10–19 Feb 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 21% 31% 2% 3% 0% 42% 1% 11% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 45,893 25.5% 47.1% 9.3% 18.0% 21.6% over Con

Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 55,038 36.0% 4.9% 18.7% 2.4% 1.1% 36.6% 0.2% 0.6% over Con
13-16 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 30% 9% 28% 3% 1% 29% 0% 1% over SNP
6 May 2010 General Election Results 40,014 33.8% 10.2% 45.4% 1.2% 9.2% 0.3% 11.6% over Con

Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 50,698 6.3% 33.9% 1.1% 2.1% - 56.6% - 22.7% over Lab
7–17 Jan 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 6% 43% 1% 3% 1% 46% 1% 3% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 41,635 8.1% 66.6% 8.5% 16.8% 49.8% over SNP

Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 49,382 7.9% 30.0% 2.2% - - 59.9% - 29.9% over Lab
14–22 Jan 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 6% 34% 2% 3% 3% 52% 1% 18% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 41,150 8.3% 57.2% 9.5% 23.8% 1.2% 33.3% over SNP

Dumfries and Galloway[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 55,432 29.9% 24.7% 1.7% 2.3% 41.4% 11.5% over Con
19–26 Feb 2015 Ashcroft 1,002 30% 28% 2% 4% 2% 34% 0% 4% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 52,173 31.6% 45.9% 8.8% 1.3% 12.3% 14.3% over Con

Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 52,134 39.8% 14.8% 2.7% 2.8% 1.6% 38.3% - 1.5% over SNP
24-29 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 31% 17% 5% 4% 2% 42% - 11% over Con
9-15 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 34% 20% 4% 2% 2% 36% 1% 2% over Con
10–19 Feb 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 34% 18% 7% 4% 2% 34% 1% Tied
6 May 2010 General Election Results 45,892 38.0% 28.9% 19.8% 1.4% 1.1% 10.8% 9.1% over Lab

Dundee West[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 44,714 8.6% 23.7% 2.4% - 2.7% 61.9% 0.7% 38.2% over Lab
23–30 Jan 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 6% 25% 3% 2% 5% 59% 0% 34% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 37,126 9.3% 48.5% 11.4% 28.9% 1.9% 19.6% over SNP

East Dunbartonshire[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 54,871 8.6% 12.3% 36.3% 1.0% 1.5% 40.3% - 4.0% over LD
10-16 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 12% 16% 29% 1% 1% 40% 0% 11% over LD
6 May 2010 General Election Results 47,948 15.5% 34.1% 38.7% 1.1% 10.5% - 4.6% over Lab

East Renfrewshire[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 56,825 21.9% 34.0% 1.8% 1.6% 40.6% 6.5% over Lab
24-30 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 20% 36% 3% 1% 1% 39% 3% over Lab
11-16 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,002 25% 31% 3% 1% 1% 40% 9% over Lab
16–26 Feb 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 26% 34% 2% 1% 3% 33% 1% over SNP
6 May 2010 General Election Results 51,181 30.4% 50.8% 9.2% 0.7% 8.9% 20.4% over Con

Edinburgh North and Leith[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
14 - 17 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 14% 29% 6% 1% 6% 43% 0% 14% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 47,356 14.9% 37.5% 33.8% 2.2% 9.6% 1.6% 3.5% over LD

Edinburgh South[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
13 - 17 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 16% 34% 8% 1% 4% 37% 1% 3% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 43,801 21.6% 34.7% 34.0% 2.0% 7.7% - 0.7% over LD

Edinburgh South West[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
11–19 Feb 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 19% 27% 4% 2% 7% 40% 0% 13% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 45,462 24.3% 42.8% 18.0% 1.9% 12.2% 0.8% 18.6% over Con

Glasgow Central[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
5–10 Jan 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 5% 35% 3% 3% 7% 45% 2% 10% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 30,572 7.1% 52.0% 16.4% 0.8% 2.6% 17.5% 3.6% 34.5% over SNP

Glasgow East[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
5–8 Jan 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 4% 37% 1% 4% 2% 51% 2% 14% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 32,164 4.5% 61.6% 5.0% 0.6% 24.7% 3.5% 36.8% over SNP

Glasgow North[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
5–10 Jan 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 5% 33% 4% 1% 11% 45% 1% 12% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 29,613 7.1% 44.5% 31.3% 3.2% 11.9% 2.0% 13.2% over LD

Glasgow North East[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
5–8 Jan 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 4% 46% 1% 5% 4% 39% 1% 7% over SNP
6 May 2010 General Election Results 29,409 5.3% 68.3% 7.7% 14.1% 4.4% 54.2% over SNP

Glasgow North West[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
7–17 Jan 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 7% 38% 3% 2% 5% 44% 1% 6% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 35,582 9.9% 54.1% 15.8% 2.5% 15.3% 2.5% 38.3% over LD

Glasgow South[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
7–16 Jan 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 9% 33% 2% 3% 3% 48% 1% 15% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 40,094 11.5% 51.7% 11.8% 2.4% 20.1% 2.5% 31.6% over SNP

Glasgow South West[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
11-16 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,003 6% 34% 2% 3% 1% 55% 1% 21% over Lab
7–15 Jan 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 4% 42% 2% 5% 2% 45% 1% 3% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 31,781 6.6% 62.5% 9.0% 16.3% 5.5% 46.2% over SNP

Gordon[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
22–29 Jan 2015 Ashcroft 1,002 11% 14% 26% 4% 1% 43% 1% 17% over LD
6 May 2010 General Election Results 48,775 18.7% 20.1% 36.0% 1.5% 22.2% 1.4% 13.8% over SNP

Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
20–29 Jan 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 10% 13% 21% 4% 1% 50% 1% 29% over LD
23–26 May 2014 ICM/Oakeshott 500 12% 25% 16% 7% 4% 32% 3% 7% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 47,086 13.3% 22.1% 40.7% 1.2% 1.7% 18.7% 2.5% 18.6% over Lab

Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
19–26 Feb 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 7% 39% 3% 3% 3% 45% 0% 6% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 45,802 9.3% 64.5% 9.3% 1.7% 14.3% 0.9% 50.2% over SNP

Motherwell and Wishaw[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
14–22 Jan 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 5% 39% 1% 3% 1% 50% 1% 11% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 39,123 9.4% 61.1% 9.8% 18.2% 1.6% 42.9% over SNP

North East Fife[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
10-16 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 16% 9% 30% 4% 1% 43% 1% 13% over LD
6 May 2010 General Election Results 40,064 21.8% 17.1% 44.3% 2.6% - 14.2% - 22.6% over Con

Paisley and Renfrewshire South[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election Results 46,226 7.6% 38.6% 2.2% 50.9% 0.6% 12.3% over Lab
11-16 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,005 6% 39% 1% 2% 1% 50% 1% 11% over Lab
22–29 Jan 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 6% 40% 2% 1% 2% 48% 1% 8% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 39,998 9.9% 59.6% 9.5% 18.1% 2.9% 41.5% over SNP

Ross, Skye and Lochaber[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
9-15 Apr 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 7% 6% 33% 2% 3% 48% 1% 15% over LD
16–26 Feb 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 8% 9% 35% 2% 5% 40% 1% 5% over LD
6 May 2010 General Election Results 34,838 12.2% 15.1% 52.6% 1.9% 2.2% 15.1% 0.8% 37.5% over Lab

West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
11–19 Feb 2015 Ashcroft 1,001 25% 10% 20% 3% 2% 39% 0% 14% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 45,195 30.3% 13.6% 38.4% 0.9% 15.7% 1.1% 8.1% over Con

West Dunbartonshire[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab LD UKIP Green SNP Others Lead
14–22 Jan 2015 Ashcroft 1,000 6% 38% 1% 4% 2% 47% 1% 9% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 42,266 7.7% 61.3% 8.1% 1.6% 20.1% 1.2% 41.2% over SNP

Wales[edit]

Brecon and Radnorshire[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Plaid Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
27 Oct–1 Nov 2014 Ashcroft 553 8% 15% 27% 31% 17% 2% 0% 4% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 38,845 2.5% 10.5% 36.5% 46.2% 2.3% 0.9% 1.1% 9.6% over Con

Cardiff Central[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Plaid Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
19–22 Sep 2014 Ashcroft 542 9% 36% 17% 24% 9% 5% <0.5% 12% over LD
6 May 2010 General Election Results 36,151 3.4% 28.8% 21.6% 41.4% 2.1% 1.6% 1.0% 12.6% over Lab

Cardiff North[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Plaid Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
18–27 Jun 2014 Ashcroft 1,000 7% 41% 30% 6% 12% 3% 1% 11% over Con
31 Mar–6 Apr 2014 Ashcroft 461 7% 41% 34% 8% 8% 1% <0.5% 7% over Con
6 May 2010 General Election Results 47,630 3.3% 37.1% 37.5% 18.3% 2.4% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% over Lab

Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Plaid Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
8–13 Dec 2014 Ashcroft 515 16% 29% 33% 4% 14% 3% 1% 4% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 40,507 10.4% 32.7% 41.1% 12.1% 2.8% 0.9% 8.5% over Lab

Vale of Glamorgan[edit]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Plaid Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
2–12 Feb 2015 Ashcroft 532 12% 32% 38% 4% 10% 3% 1% 6% over Lab
6 May 2010 General Election Results 48,667 5.5% 32.9% 41.8% 15.2% 3.1% 0.9% 0.5% 8.8% over Lab

Multiple constituency polling[edit]

Some polls are carried out in specified subsets of marginal constituencies. Most of the polls for Lord Ashcroft were compilations of polls in individual constituencies.

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client No of Seats
surveyed
Incumbents by party Sample size Con Lab UKIP LD Green Others
1–14 Dec 2014 Ashcroft 8 8 Con 8,000 36% 35% 14% 6% 5%[15] 2%
20–29 Nov 2014 Ashcroft 4 4 Lab 4,002 22% 37% 33% 5% 2%[16] 1%
15–24 Nov 2014 ComRes/ITV News 40 25 Con, 15 Lab 743 31% 39% 18% 7% 4% <0.5%
2–27 Oct 2014 Ashcroft 12 12 Con 12,008 32% 35% 23% 5% 4% 1%
10 Sep–3 Oct 2014 Ashcroft 11 11 Con 11,002 32% 38% 18% 5% 5% 1%
18–26 Sep 2014 ComRes/ITV News 40 25 Con, 15 Lab 766 30% 41% 17% 6% 5% 2%
31 Jul–14 Sep 2014 Ashcroft 5 5 LibDem 5,000 15% 38% 10% 28% 6% 3%
31 Jul–6 Sep 2014 Ashcroft 17 2 Con, 15 LibDem 8,909 32% 13% 17% 32% 4% 1%
11 Jul–11 Aug 2014 Ashcroft 8 8 Con 8,005 30% 40% 8% 17% 5% 1%
11 Jul–11 Aug 2014 Ashcroft 4 4 Lab 4,001 30% 43% 9% 13% 4% 1%
18 Jun–16 Jul 2014 Ashcroft 14 14 Con 14,004 31% 38% 4% 21% 4% 2%
18–25 Jun 2014 ComRes/ITV News 40 25 Con, 15 Lab 795 31% 36% 17% 7% 6% 3%
11–22 Jun 2014 Ashcroft 4 4 LD 1,963 12% 47% 10% 19% 9% 2%
11 May–14 Jun 2014 Ashcroft 17 6 Con, 11 LibDem 8,728 33% 14% 18% 28% 6%[17] 1%
15–20 May 2014 ComRes/Independent 40 25 Con, 15 Lab 1,030 33% (−4) 35% (−2) 17% (+14) 8% (−10) 4% 2%
31 Mar–18 May 2014 Ashcroft 26 14 Con, 12 Lab 26,025 29% 41% 18% 8% 4%
1 Aug–5 Sep 2013 Ashcroft 40 40 Con 12,809 30% 35% 12% 13% 10%

Explanatory notes[edit]

The Lord Ashcroft polls typically ask two voting intention questions, with the second question asking the respondent to think "specifically about your own constituency and the candidates who are likely to stand there".[2] This latter question is reported in the tables above.

Most polling companies are members of the British Polling Council and abide by its disclosure rules; however, Michael Ashcroft, who commissioned many of these polls, is not a BPC member, despite having been invited to join. However, he contracts the conduct of his polls to BPC members.[18]

See also[edit]

References and notes[edit]

  1. ^ Patrick Wintour. "Lib Dem polling brings hope of future coalition role". the Guardian. 
  2. ^ a b "Introducing the New Statesman Political Index: Lib Dems to win at least 30 seats". newstatesman.com. 
  3. ^ "Ed Miliband and Doncaster North: a correction (and apology) – Lord Ashcroft Polls". lordashcroftpolls.com. 
  4. ^ Percentages for UKIP/Others based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
  5. ^ Percentages for UKIP/Others based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
  6. ^ Percentage for Greens based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
  7. ^ Percentages for UKIP/Green/Others based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
  8. ^ Based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/won't say
  9. ^ By-election polling
  10. ^ This poll originally, erroneously, showed a small lead for the LDs: see http://lordashcroftpolls.com/2015/02/sheffield-hallam-doncaster-north-thanet-south/#more-7536
  11. ^ Sheffield Hallam Constituency Poll for The Guardian - ICM Media Centre, 4 May 2015
  12. ^ Candidates named in the poll.
  13. ^ Candidates named in the poll.
  14. ^ Share for Greens based on a table that did not further prompt "don't know" and refusers.
  15. ^ Based on a mean of the (non-aggregated) shares of 3%, 9%, 3%, 3%, 3%, 5%, 3% and 7% in the eight constituencies
  16. ^ Based on non-aggregated shares of 3%, 2%, 2% and 2% in the four constituencies
  17. ^ Based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
  18. ^ "Sheffield Hallam, Doncaster North and Thanet South". Michael Ashcroft. Retrieved 2015-02-07. "Minutes of the Annual General Meeting 2013". British Polling Council. Retrieved 2014-05-19. 

PThe dates when the fieldwork for this poll was carried out is unknown, therefore the date of publication has been given.

Notes[edit]

External links[edit]