2016 United States Senate election in Kansas

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United States Senate election in Kansas, 2016

← 2010 November 8, 2016 2022 →
  Jerry Moran, official portrait, 112th Congress headshot.jpg 3x4.svg 3x4.svg
Nominee Jerry Moran Patrick Wiesner Robert Garrard
Party Republican Democratic Libertarian
Popular vote 732,376 379,740 65,760
Percentage 62.2% 32.2% 5.6%

Kansas Senate Election Results by County, 2016.svg
County Results

Moran:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

Wiesner:      60–70%

U.S. Senator before election

Jerry Moran
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Jerry Moran
Republican

The 2016 United States Senate election in Kansas was held on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Kansas, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on August 2.

Incumbent Republican Senator Jerry Moran won re-election to a second term in office.

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Declined[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jerry
Moran
Dennis
Pyle
Milton
Wolf
Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies* February 28-March 3, 2015 500 ± 4.38% 73% 9% 18%
70% 18% 12%

*Internal poll for Jerry Moran campaign

Results[edit]

Republican primary results [10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jerry Moran 230,907 79.09%
Republican D.J. Smith 61,056 20.91%
Total votes 291,963 100.00%

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Patrick Wiesner, attorney and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and 2014[11]
  • Monique Singh-Bey, member of Universal African Peoples Organization[12]

Declined[edit]

Results[edit]

Results by county:
  Singh-Bey—60–70%
  Wiesner—80–90%
  Wiesner—70–80%
  Wiesner—60–70%
  Wiesner—50–60%
Democratic primary results [10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Patrick Wiesner 59,522 62.94%
Democratic Monique Singh-Bey 35,042 37.06%
Total votes 94,564 100.00%

Libertarian primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Libertarian primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Robert Garrard   100.00%
Total votes   100.00%

Independent[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declined[edit]

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[16] Safe R September 9, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] Safe R September 19, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[18] Safe R September 2, 2016
Daily Kos[19] Safe R September 16, 2016
Real Clear Politics[20] Safe R September 15, 2016

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jerry
Moran (R)
Patrick
Wiesner (D)
Robert
Garrard (L)
Undecided
KSN News/SurveyUSA July 8–11, 2016 537 ± 4.3% 52% 33% 15%
KSN News/SurveyUSA August 3–7, 2016 566 ± 4.2% 52% 32% 6% 10%
KSN News/SurveyUSA September 6–11, 2016 565 ± 4.2% 50% 34% 6% 11%
KSN News/SurveyUSA October 11–15, 2016 549 ± 4.2% 56% 31% 5% 8%
KSN News/SurveyUSA October 26–30, 2016 596 ± 4.1% 55% 31% 6% 8%
SurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 1,273 ± 4.6% 56% 39% 5%
SurveyMonkey October 26–November 1, 2016 1,164 ± 4.6% 57% 38% 5%
SurveyMonkey October 27–November 2, 2016 1,123 ± 4.6% 57% 38% 5%
SurveyMonkey October 28–November 3, 2016 1,162 ± 4.6% 58% 38% 4%
Fort Hays State University November 1–3, 2016 313 ± 3.5% 77% 13% 10% 0%
SurveyMonkey October 31–November 6, 2016 1,139 ± 4.6% 58% 38% 4%
SurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 1,311 ± 4.6% 59% 37% 4%

Results[edit]

United States Senate election in Kansas, 2016 [21]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Republican Jerry Moran 732,376 62.18% -8.16%
Democratic Patrick Wiesner 379,740 32.24% +6.08%
Libertarian Robert D. Garrard 65,760 5.58% +3.46%
Independent DJ Smith 46 0.00% N/A
Majority 352,636 29.94%
Total votes 1,177,922 100.00%
Republican hold Swing

References[edit]

  1. ^ a b Alexis Levinson (November 19, 2014). "Huelskamp Open to Moran Primary Challenge". Roll Call. Retrieved November 19, 2014.
  2. ^ a b Wingerter, Justin (June 2, 2016). "Rep. Lynn Jenkins drops a challenger, Sen. Jerry Moran gains one at the filing deadline". Topeka Capital-Journal. Retrieved June 2, 2016.
  3. ^ Clarkin, Mary (April 5, 2016). "Pompeo doesn't rule out a Senate race while criticizing Moran". Hays Daily News. Retrieved April 5, 2016.
  4. ^ Alexis Levinson (January 8, 2015). "Congressman Says Wife Nixed Senate Run". Roll Call. Retrieved January 8, 2015.
  5. ^ a b c d e f g h i Cheney, Kyle (December 29, 2014). "16 in '16: The new battle for the Senate". Politico. Retrieved December 29, 2014.
  6. ^ Clarkin, Mary (April 27, 2015). "Ex-Congressman Tiahrt bound for D.C. lobbying firm". The Hutchinson News. Retrieved May 30, 2015.
  7. ^ Alexis Levinson (July 29, 2014). "In Kansas, Conservatives Suffer From Mississippi Hangover". Roll Call. Retrieved September 11, 2014.
  8. ^ Wingerter, Justin (November 3, 2015). "Prospective 2016 U.S. Senate contender Milton Wolf tries to terminate his campaign committee". The Topeka Capital-Journal. Retrieved November 11, 2015.
  9. ^ Kraske, Steve (February 19, 2016). "Milton Wolf hints, but won't commit, to another race this year for the U.S. Senate from Kansas". The Kansas City Star. Retrieved March 22, 2016.
  10. ^ a b "2016 Official Primary Results". Kansas Secretary of State. August 2, 2016. Retrieved November 18, 2016.
  11. ^ Clarkin, Mary (February 4, 2016). "Democrat Patrick Wiesner files for Jerry Moran's Senate seat". The Hutchinson News. Retrieved February 5, 2016.
  12. ^ Mason, Tori (December 1, 2015). "Topeka native announces candidacy for U.S. Senate". WIBW. Retrieved March 10, 2016.
  13. ^ a b c Helling, Dave (November 12, 2015). "Kansas Democrats see an opening but fear they can't take advantage". The Kansas City Star. Retrieved March 22, 2016.
  14. ^ Sullivan, Sean (April 11, 2014). "Why Kathleen Sebelius's political career is (probably) over". The Washington Post. Retrieved November 17, 2014.
  15. ^ Kraske, Steve (January 20, 2015). "Kathleen Sebelius criticizes Gov. Sam Brownback's vision for Kansas". The Kansas City Star. Retrieved May 30, 2015.
  16. ^ "2016 Senate Race Ratings for September 9, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 9, 2016.
  17. ^ "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
  18. ^ "2016 Senate Ratings (September 2, 2016)". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2016.
  19. ^ "Election Outlook: 2016 Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved September 17, 2016.
  20. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 15, 2016.
  21. ^ "2016 General Election Official Results" (PDF). Kansas Secretary of State. November 8, 2016. Retrieved January 3, 2017.

External links[edit]

Official campaign websites