Polish parliamentary election, 2015
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Parliamentary elections to both the Sejm and Senate will be held in Poland on 25 October 2015.
Contents
Background[edit]
The previous elections in 2011 resulted in a Civic Platform–Polish People's Party government. All seats of both Houses are up for re-election.
Politics of Poland[edit]
The President of Poland has the power to dissolve the Sejm by his own will. Unlike other countries the President can refuse to dissolve the parliament at the request of the Prime Minister or the Sejm and all the parties represented in Parliament. If the Prime Minister resigns, the President must nominate a new Prime Minister after listening to all the parties represented in Parliament and then the nominee must be confirmed by the Assembly of the Republic.
Date[edit]
The date of the election, October 25, was set by the previous President of Poland, Bronisław Komorowski. The latest possible date for the election to be held was in November 2015, four years after the previous election. Prior to the announcement of the election date, the most likely dates were thought to be in October or November.
Monitors[edit]
It is possible that again delegations from their electoral boards and of political parties representatives from different countries will monitore the election, in Poland. There is and was a discussion regarding this topic like 2011.
Electoral system[edit]
The process of election for the Sejm is through open party-list proportional representation via the D'hondt method in multi-seat constituencies, with a 5% threshold for single parties and 8% threshold for coalitions (requirements waived for national minorities). The senate is elected using first-past-the-post voting in single-member districts.[3]
To be included on a ballot, a senate candidate must present 2000 signatures of support from their constituents.[4] For Sejm elections, the threshold is 5000 signatures per constituency, though that requirement is waived for parties who have already registered lists in at least half of all constituencies[5] (21 out of 41 as of this election).
Overall, the Sejm includes 460 MPs. Should a party with 231 or more deputies representing the Parliament, it has an absolute majority and could thus without a coalition partner to govern autonomously. The constitution can be amended with a supermajority of two-thirds, or 307 deputies.
Parties standing in the election[edit]
Nationwide committees[edit]
Regional committees[edit]
Opinion polls[edit]
Opinion polling institutes[edit]
In the run up to the election, following organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention:
• Estymator
• IBRiS
• Ipsos
• Millward Brown
• TNS Poland
• Dobra Opinia
• PressMix
• ewybory.eu
• GfK Polonia
• CBOS
• Arianda
Poll results[edit]
The poll results are listed in the table below:
| Date | Polling Firm | PO | PiS | PSL | SLD | TR | ZL | K'15 | .N | KORWiN | Razem | Others | Lead | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 October | IBRiS | 24,4% | 35,3% | 4,7% | w.ZL | 8,1% | 6,7% | 6,2% | 4,4% | 2,5% | 7,7% | 10,9% | ||||||
| 19-20 October | TNS Poland | 26,3% | 32,5% | 4,8% | w.ZL | 7,5% | 10,4% | 6,1% | 5,3% | 0,0% | 7,1% | 6,2% | ||||||
| 19 October | IBRiS | 22% | 36% | 6% | w.ZL | 11% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 9% | 14% | ||||||
| 16 October | IBRiS | 22,9% | 35,3% | 5,5% | w.ZL | 10,7% | 5,3% | 7,1% | 3,8% | 0,9% | 8,5% | 12,4% | ||||||
| 14–15 October | IPSOS | 22% | 36% | 5% | w.ZL | 8% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 11% | 14% | ||||||
| 13–15 October | Millward Brown | 22% | 32% | 5% | w.ZL | 10% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 13% | 10% | ||||||
| 7–15 October | CBOS | 27% | 34% | 3% | w.ZL | 6% | 8% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 11% | 7% | ||||||
| 14 October | TNS Poland | 30,1% | 38,9% | 5,5% | w.ZL | 7,9% | 5,5% | 6,7% | 4,7% | 0,0% | 0,7% | 8,8% | ||||||
| 13–14 October | Estymator | 24% | 40% | 6% | w.ZL | 9% | 6% | 4% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 16% | ||||||
| 13 October | IBRiS | 20,3% | 36,2% | 6,4% | w.ZL | 11,1% | 5,9% | 8,4% | 3,1% | 0,5% | 7,9% | 15,9% | ||||||
| 8 October | IBRiS | 22,2% | 35,8% | 6,7% | w.ZL | 9,3% | 6,2% | 8,6% | 2,3% | 0,2% | 8,1% | 13,6% | ||||||
| 7–8 October | Ipsos | 25% | 36% | 6% | w.ZL | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 10% | 11% | ||||||
| 7–8 October | Millward Brown | 19% | 35% | 5% | w.ZL | 11% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 1% | 12% | 16% | ||||||
| 7 October | TNS Poland | 27,7% | 42% | 3,7% | w.ZL | 8,8% | 6% | 8% | 3,1% | 0,0% | 0,7% | 14,3% | ||||||
| 2–7 October | TNS Poland | 24% | 36% | 4% | w.ZL | 4% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 19% | 12% | ||||||
| 6 October | IBRiS | 23,8% | 33,4% | 6,6% | w.ZL | 9,5% | 5,8% | 9,3% | 3,2% | 0,0% | 8,5% | 9,4% | ||||||
| 30 Sep-5 Oct | Dobra Opinia | 25,8% | 38,2% | 5,3% | w.ZL | 8,6% | 9,2% | 6,6% | 4,7% | 1,3% | 12,4% | |||||||
| 2–3 October | IBRiS | 24% | 34% | 6% | w.ZL | 10% | 8% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 10% | ||||||
| 1 October | IBRiS | 23,2% | 35,6% | 6,2% | w.ZL | 9,3% | 7% | 8,1% | 2,5% | 0,5% | 7,6% | 12,4% | ||||||
| 30 Sept.-1 Oct. | Millward Brown | 22% | 32% | 4% | w.ZL | 12% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 9% | 10% | ||||||
| 29 September | IBRiS | 24,3% | 36% | 6,6% | w.ZL | 7,3% | 6,9% | 8,1% | 3% | 0,7% | 7,1% | 11,7% | ||||||
| 28–29 September | Estymator | 26% | 42% | 6% | w.ZL | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 16% | ||||||
| 24–25 September | PressMix | 21% | 44% | 6% | w.ZL | 6% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 10% | 23% | ||||||
| 24 September | IBRiS | 27,3% | 37,6% | 5% | w.ZL | 7,8% | 5% | 6% | 3,6% | 0,6% | 7% | 10,3% | ||||||
| 23–24 September | IPSOS | 26% | 38% | 6% | w.ZL | 5% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 8% | 12% | ||||||
| 17–23 September | CBOS | 30% | 34% | 5% | w.ZL | 5% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 8% | 4% | ||||||
| 22 September | IBRiS | 25,5% | 36,9% | 5,8% | w.ZL | 8,3% | 4,7% | 7,3% | 3,6% | 0,9% | 7% | 11,4% | ||||||
| 17–21 September | Dobra Opinia | 25,7% | 39,2% | 5,8% | w.ZL | 8,1% | 9,8% | 5,5% | 4,7% | 1,2% | 0% | 13,5% | ||||||
| 19–20 September | Millward Brown | 22% | 33% | 6% | w.ZL | 8% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 2% | 11% | 11% | ||||||
| 16–20 September | ewybory.eu | 25% | 38,4% | 5% | w.ZL | 12,8% | 6,7% | 4,5% | 4,2% | 0,9% | 2,5% | 13,4% | ||||||
| 18–19 September | IBRiS | 22% | 39% | 5% | w.ZL | 8% | 4% | 6% | - | - | 16% | 17% | ||||||
| 13 September | IBRiS | 21,8% | 36,4% | 5,2% | w.ZL | 8,8% | 6,1% | 5,7% | 3,0% | 1,3% | 13,1% | 14,6% | ||||||
| 9–13 September | ewybory.eu | 24,2% | 37,1% | 5,5% | w.ZL | 15,3% | 5,5% | 4% | 6,3% | 0,1% | 2,1% | 12,9% | ||||||
| 10–11 September | IPSOS | 24% | 35% | 5% | w.ZL | 6% | 9% | 4% | 4% | - | 13% | 11% | ||||||
| 4–9 September | TNS Poland | 23% | 38% | 2% | w.ZL | 3% | 7% | 2% | 2% | - | 23% | 15% | ||||||
| 7 September | Millward Brown | 25% | 38% | 5% | w.ZL | 9% | 6% | 7% | 5% | - | ? | 13% | ||||||
| 3–7 September | GfK Polonia | 31,1% | 43,3% | 3,9% | w.ZL | 5,5% | 6,8% | 2,7% | 3,2% | 0,1% | 3,4% | 12,2% | ||||||
| 4–6 September | Millward Brown | 25% | 36% | 4% | w.ZL | 10% | 6% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 10% | 11% | ||||||
| 4–5 September | IBRiS | 23% | 38% | 5% | w.ZL | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | - | 12% | 15% | ||||||
| 28 August | IBRiS | 19% | 39,1% | 5,2% | w.ZL | 8,3% | 7% | 5,6% | 2,5% | 0,4% | 3,7% | 20,1% | ||||||
| 26–27 August | Estymator | 26% | 43% | 7% | w.ZL | 8% | 4% | 4% | 2% | - | 6% | 17% | ||||||
| 17–24 August | CBOS | 27% | 36% | 4% | w.ZL | 4% | 12% | 4% | 1% | - | 11% | 9% | ||||||
| 24 August | Millward Brown | 27% | 37% | 4% | w.ZL | 11% | 6% | 5% | 4% | - | 5% | 10% | ||||||
| 17–23 August | ewybory.eu | 21,2% | 46,9% | 5% | w.ZL | 12% | 4,5% | 2,9% | 2,8% | 0,1% | 4,6% | 25,7% | ||||||
| 20 August | IBRIS | 19% | 40,4% | 5,4% | w.ZL | 9,5% | 4,7% | 6,5% | 2,2% | - | 12.3% | 21,4% | ||||||
| 15 August | IBRIS | 24% | 36% | 6% | w.ZL | 8% | 6% | 6% | 0% | 1,1% | 14% | 14% | ||||||
| 14 August | Estymator | 28% | 41% | 6% | w.ZL | 6% | 6% | 4% | 2% | - | 7% | 13% | ||||||
| 14 August | Arianda | 25,4% | 36,1% | 3,9% | 3,8% | 0% | N/A | 13,5% | 4,1% | 2,9% | - | 10,1% | 10,7% | |||||
| 7–12 August | TNS Poland | 22% | 41% | 4% | w.ZL | 4% | 11% | 1% | 2% | - | 14% | 19% | ||||||
| 10 August | Millward Brown | 26% | 35% | 3% | w.ZL | 8% | 12% | 5% | 3% | - | 9% | 9% | ||||||
| 6–10 August | GfK Polonia | 29,9% | 42,3 | 4,1% | w.ZL | 4,2% | 9,8% | 2,3% | 3,8% | - | 3,6% | 12,4% | ||||||
| 8 August | TNS Poland | 21,9% | 34,4% | - | w.ZL | 7,4% | 10,1% | 5,2% | 0% | - | ? | 12,5% | ||||||
| 3–8 August | ewybory.eu | 24,5% | 45,1% | 4,4% | w.ZL | 10,5% | 5,5% | 1,8% | 3,2% | - | 3,7% | 20,6% | ||||||
| 3 August | IBRiS | 23% | 35% | 6% | w.ZL | 7% | 7% | 5% | 0% | - | 17% | 12% | ||||||
| 24–31 July | ewybory.eu | 26,7% | 40,3% | 4% | w.ZL | 9,2% | 8,5% | 1,8% | 4,3% | - | 4,1% | 13,6% | ||||||
| 30 July | Estymator | 29% | 43% | 5% | w.ZL | 4% | 9% | 4% | 2% | - | 3% | 14% | ||||||
| 29 July | GfK Polonia | 30% | 47% | 3,7% | w.ZL | 1,1% | 10,5% | 1% | 2,2% | - | 4,5% | 17% | ||||||
| 25 July | Arianda | 23% | 37% | 4% | 6% | 0% | N/A | 16% | 4% | 5% | - | 5% | 14% | |||||
| 18 July | IBRiS | 24% | 35% | 4% | 3% | 1% | N/A | 13% | 6% | 1% | - | 1% | 11% | |||||
| 17 July | TNS Poland | 23% | 37% | 3% | 3% | 0% | N/A | 14% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 14% | |||||
| 16 July | Millward Brown | 23% | 33% | 5% | w.ZL | 7% | 18% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 10% | ||||||
| 16 July | Estymator | 28% | 43% | 5% | 5% | 0% | N/A | 10% | 4% | 2% | - | ? | 15% | |||||
| 8 July | CBOS | 29% | 36% | 3% | 3% | 1% | N/A | 11% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 10% | 7% | |||||
| 7 July | IBRiS | 26% | 33% | 4% | 2% | 0% | N/A | 14% | 6% | 3% | - | 2% | 7% | |||||
| 5 July | Millward Brown | 25% | 34% | 5% | w.ZL | 6% | 16% | 6% | 4% | - | 1% | 9% | ||||||
| 2 July | TNS Poland | 27% | 38% | 2% | w.ZL | 3% | 13% | 0% | 3% | - | 1% | 11% | ||||||
| 29 June | GfK Polonia | 28,8% | 43,1% | 3,2% | 2,6% | 0,3% | N/A | 15,1% | 2,1 % | 2% | - | 0,5% | 14,3% | |||||
| 27 June | Estymator | 25% | 36% | 6% | 4% | 1% | N/A | 20% | 0% | 2% | - | ? | 11% | |||||
| 23 June | Dobra Opinia | 25,8% | 37,2% | 4% | 3,5% | 0,9% | N/A | 19,3% | 4,6% | 3,8% | - | 0,9% | 11,4% | |||||
| 24 June | IBRiS | 24% | 35,5% | 4,2% | 2,9% | 0,7% | N/A | 18,3% | 5,2% | 1,6% | - | ? | 11,5% | |||||
| 23 June | Millward Brown | 23% | 33% | 5% | 4% | 1% | N/A | 19% | 8% | 3% | - | 3% | 10% | |||||
| 21 June | IBRiS | 26% | 28% | 5% | 4% | 0% | N/A | 21% | 5% | 2% | - | ? | 2% | |||||
| 17 June | TNS Poland | 20% | 34% | 3% | 4% | 1% | N/A | 17% | 1% | 2% | - | 1% | 14% | |||||
| 17 June | CBOS | 25% | 31% | 4% | 4% | 1% | N/A | 19% | 4% | 2% | - | 8% | 6% | |||||
| 11 June | Estymator | 19% | 33% | 4% | 4% | 2% | N/A | 29% | 3% | 2% | - | ? | 4% | |||||
| 11 June | Millward Brown | 19% | 30% | 3% | 5% | 3% | N/A | 24% | 7% | 4% | - | 1% | 6% | |||||
| 9 June | TNS Poland | 24% | 32% | 3% | 2% | 0% | N/A | 20% | 3% | 2% | - | 1% | 8% | |||||
| 8 June | IBRiS | 21% | 24% | 3% | 3% | 0% | N/A | 24,2% | 8% | 3% | - | ? | 0,2% | |||||
| 4 June | ewybory.eu | 19,3% | 35,1% | 2,1% | 4,6% | 2,2% | N/A | 28% | 2,5% | 4,1% | - | 0,8% | 7,1% | |||||
| 3 June | CBOS | 31% | 33% | 1% | 4% | 1% | N/A | 14% | 3% | 2% | - | 0% | 2% | |||||
| 1 June | Millward Brown | 17% | 25% | 3% | 4% | 2% | N/A | 20% | 10% | 4% | - | 14% | 5% | |||||
| 27–28 May | Estymator | 20% | 36% | 4% | 5% | 1% | N/A | 25% | 4% | 1% | - | 1% | 11% | |||||
| Polish presidential election, 2015 - Second Round (24 May) | ||||||||||||||||||
| 22–23 May | IBRiS | 29% | 29% | 4% | 3% | 0% | N/A | 10% | 0% | 4% | - | 1% | Tie | |||||
| 21 May | IBRiS | 22.4% | 29,7% | 3,2% | 4% | 0% | N/A | 21,3% | 5,7% | 0% | - | ? | 4,3% | |||||
| 14–20 May | CBOS | 34% | 35% | 5% | 4% | 2% | N/A | 4% | 0% | 5% | - | 1% | 1% | |||||
| 14 May | Millward Brown | 25% | 25% | 4% | 3% | 1% | N/A | 20% | 5% | 3% | - | ? | Tie | |||||
| 9–14 May | TNS Poland | 28% | 35% | 4% | 8% | 2% | N/A | 0% | 0% | 4% | - | 16% | 7% | |||||
| 14 May | Millward Brown | 34% | 33% | 3% | 5% | 0% | N/A | 0% | 0% | 4% | - | 15+5% | 1% | |||||
| Date | Polling Firm | PO | PiS | SLD | PSL | KNP | TR | SP [a] | PR [a] | KORWiN | Others | Lead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polish presidential election, 2015 - First Round (10 May) | ||||||||||||||||
| 8–9 May | IBRiS | 37% | 35% | 5% | 5% | 1% | 1% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 3% | 13% | 2% | ||||
| 28–29 April | TNS Poland | 34% | 27% | 6% | 4% | 0% | 2% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 5% | 22% | 7% | ||||
| 28 April | Millward Brown | 35% | 31% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 2% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 7% | 15% | 4% | ||||
| 24–25 April | IBRiS | 37% | 32% | 4% | 5% | - | - | (PiS) | (PiS) | 5% | 17% | 5% | ||||
| 16–22 April | CBOS | 36% | 30% | 7% | 6% | 1% | 2% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 6% | 12% | 6% | ||||
| 14–16 April | Estymator | 40% | 34% | 7% | 8% | - | 2% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 4% | 5% | 6% | ||||
| 11–16 April | TNS Poland | 35% | 30% | 6% | 6% | - | 1% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 4% | 18% | 5% | ||||
| 9–13 April | GfK Polonia | 44,7% | 36,3% | 5,6% | 4,4% | 1,1% | 1% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 2,5% | 4,4% | 8,4% | ||||
| 13 April | Millward Brown | 35% | 31% | 7% | 5% | - | 3% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 8% | 11% | 4% | ||||
| April | IBRiS | 36% | 31% | 8% | 6% | - | 3% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 4% | 12% | 5% | ||||
| 7–8 April | TNS Poland | 38% | 30% | 6% | 5% | 1% | 1% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 4% | 15% | 8% | ||||
| 7 April | IBRiS | 38,2% | 33,2% | 6,3% | 5,2% | 0,2% | 1,7% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 4,8% | 5,6% | 5% | ||||
| 30 March | Millward Brown | 35% | 35% | 6% | 5% | - | 3% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 5% | 11% | Tie | ||||
| 27–28 March | IBRiS | 36,3% | 30,2% | 6,8% | 7% | - | 1,8% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 5,4% | 12,5% | 6,1% | ||||
| 16–18 March | Estymator | 38% | 34% | 9% | 8% | 1% | 3% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 5% | 2% | 4% | ||||
| 13–18 March | TNS Poland | 30% | 32% | 8% | 5% | 1% | 2% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 2% | 20% | 2% | ||||
| 11–18 March | CBOS | 42% | 29% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 1% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 3% | 12% | 13% | ||||
| 16 March | Millward Brown | 32% | 34% | 11% | 4% | - | 4% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 4% | 11% | 2% | ||||
| 12–16 March | GfK Polonia | 46,1% | 34,6% | 4,6% | 6,7% | 1,1% | 0,4% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 1,9% | 4,6% | 11,5% | ||||
| 13–14 March | IBRiS | 34,5% | 31,3% | 8,3% | 7,6% | 0,3% | 0,8% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 2,4% | 14,8% | 3,2% | ||||
| 10–11 March | TNS Poland | 36% | 34% | 5% | 6% | 1% | 1% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 3% | 14% | 2% | ||||
| 5–11 March | CBOS | 46% | 27% | 6% | 5% | 1% | 1% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 4% | 19% | |||||
| 27 February | IBRiS | 37% | 32,8% | 7,4% | 7,3% | 0,9% | 1,5% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 3,3% | 4,2% | |||||
| 13–18 February | Millward Brown | 34% | 35% | 8% | 5% | 1% | 1% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 6% | 1% | |||||
| 13–18 February | TNS Poland | 33% | 27% | 9% | 8% | 2% | 1% | (PiS) | (PiS) | - | 6% | |||||
| 15–17 February | Estymator | 39% | 32% | 10% | 11% | 1% | 2% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 4% | 7% | |||||
| 16 February | Millward Brown | 31% | 30% | 10% | 6% | 1% | 4% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 5% | 1% | |||||
| 12–16 February | GfK Polonia | 38,9% | 38% | 6,5% | 8,9% | 0,5% | 1,3% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 1,7% | 0,9% | |||||
| 5–11 February | CBOS | 38% | 28% | 8% | 11% | 4% | 3% | (PiS) | (PiS) | - | 10% | |||||
| 4–5 February | TNS Poland | 34% | 32% | 7% | 9% | 1% | 2% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 1% | 2% | |||||
| 30–31 January | IBRiS | 34,2% | 32,9% | 8,4% | 7,6% | 0,8% | 1,6% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 3,5% | 1,3% | |||||
| 16–21 January | TNS Poland | 31% | 27% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 2% | (PiS) | (PiS) | Did not exist | 4% | |||||
| 15–18 January | GfK Polonia | 38,5% | 37,7% | 6,3% | 8,3% | 2,2% | 1,5% | 0,9% | 0,8% | |||||||
| 16–17 January | IBRiS | 35,6% | 34,7% | 10,2% | 7,8% | 3,7% | 1% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 0,9% | ||||||
| 8–14 January | CBOS | 40% | 29% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 0% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 11% | ||||||
| 12–13 January | TNS Poland | 33% | 33% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | (PiS) | (PiS) | Tie | ||||||
| 12 January | Millward Brown | 34% | 34% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 0% | (PiS) | (PiS) | Tie | ||||||
| 2–3 January | IBRiS | 33,9% | 32% | 5,9% | 6,8% | 6,1% | 1,9% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 1,9% | ||||||
| 2015 | ||||||||||||||||
| 18–19 December | IBRiS | 32,8% | 29,8% | 5,9% | 7,7% | 6,1% | 1,2% | (PiS) | (PiS) | Did not exist | 3% | |||||
| 10–11 December | TNS Poland | 31% | 34% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 3% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 3% | ||||||
| 4–11 December | CBOS | 43% | 28% | 7% | 9% | 4% | 1% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 15% | ||||||
| 5–10 December | TNS Poland | 34% | 29% | 9% | 9% | 3% | 2% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 5% | ||||||
| 4–7 December | GfK Polonia | 38,2% | 40% | 7% | 7,7% | 1% | 1,5% | 1,7% | 1,8% | |||||||
| 5–6 December | IBRiS | 33% | 30% | 8% | 8% | 5% | - | (PiS) | (PiS) | 3% | ||||||
| 20–23 November | GfK Polonia | 38,2% | 35,9% | 6,6% | 8,1% | 3,9% | 2,3% | 1,6% | 2,3% | |||||||
| 21–22 November | IBRiS | 36% | 31% | 7% | 8% | 5% | - | (PiS) | (PiS) | 5% | ||||||
| 18–21 November | Millward Brown | 33% | 30% | 10% | 9% | 3% | 2% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 3% | ||||||
| 16 November | Local election results | 26,3% | 26,9% | 8,8% | 23,9% | 3,9% | 1% [b] | (PiS) | (PiS) | 0,6% | ||||||
| 6–16 November | CBOS | 38% | 27% | 9% | 8% | 4% | 1% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 11% | ||||||
| 12–13 November | TNS Poland | 32% | 28% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 2% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 4% | ||||||
| 7–13 November | TNS Poland | 26% | 29% | 11% | 9% | 3% | 2% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 3% | ||||||
| 10–12 November | Estymator | 38% | 35% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 1% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 3% | ||||||
| 7–8 November | IBRiS | 33% | 30% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 3% | ||||||
| 5 November | TNS Poland | 32% | 27% | 9% | 5% | 5% | 1% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 5% | ||||||
| 17–18 October | IBRiS | 33% | 33% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 1% | (PiS) | (PiS) | Tie | ||||||
| 16–19 October | Millward Brown | 34% | 30% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 2% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 4% | ||||||
| 9–15 October | CBOS | 34% | 34% | 9% | 6% | 7% | 2% | (PiS) | (PiS) | Tie | ||||||
| 3–8 October | TNS Poland | 28% | 27% | 14% | 9% | 3% | 2% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 1% | ||||||
| 2–6 October | GfK Polonia | 37,6% | 37,8% | 8,4% | 7% | 3% | 1,1% | 1,5% | 0,2% | |||||||
| 3–4 October | IBRiS | 34% | 32% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 1% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 2% | ||||||
| 2 October | TNS Poland | 34% | 28% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 2% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 6% | ||||||
| 19–20 September | IBRiS | 33% | 33% | 11% | 6% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 1% | Tie | ||||||
| 11–17 September | CBOS | 38% | 33% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 2% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 5% | ||||||
| 5–9 September | TNS Poland | 27% | 31% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 4% | ||||||
| 5–8 September | GfK Polonia | 37,8% | 41,5% | 7,4% | 4,7% | 3,9% | 1,3% | 0,8% | 3,7% | |||||||
| 4–5 September | TNS Poland | 34% | 28% | 9% | 5% | 5% | 2% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 6% | ||||||
| 2 September | Millward Brown | 31% | 32% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 4% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 1% | ||||||
| 19–25 August | CBOS | 26% | 32% | 9% | 6% | 7% | 4% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 6% | ||||||
| 22–23 August | IBRiS | 25% | 33% | 12% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 8% | ||||||
| 8–14 August | TNS Poland | 26% | 31% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 2% | (PiS) | (PiS) | 5% | ||||||
| 8–9 August | IBRiS | 24% | 33% | 11% | 6% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 9% | ||||||
| 25–26 July | IBRiS | 25% | 36% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 11% | ||||||
| 25 July | GfK Polonia | 27,7% | 42,4% | 9,6% | 5,9% | 5,4% | 2,2% | 1,3% | 1,1% | 14,7% | ||||||
| 18 July | TNS Poland | 23% | 35% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 12% | ||||||
| 10–13 July | Millward Brown | 26% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 7% | ||||||
| 11–12 July | IBRiS | 25% | 31% | 11% | 5% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 6% | ||||||
| 10 July | CBOS | 29% | 24% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 5% | ||||||
| 27–28 June | IBRiS | 24% | 32% | 10% | 5% | 11% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 8% | ||||||
| 23 June | TNS Poland | 24% | 31% | 8% | 5% | 10% | - | - | - | 7% | ||||||
| 17 June | Millward Brown | 25% | 32% | 10% | 4% | 8% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 7% | ||||||
| 13–14 June | IBRiS | 28% | 32% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 4% | ||||||
| 6–11 June | TNS Poland | 28% | 36% | 10% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 8% | ||||||
| 5–11 June | CBOS | 32% | 24% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 8% | ||||||
| 30–31 May | IBRiS | 26% | 30% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 4% | ||||||
| 27 May | IBRiS | 28% | 30% | 11% | 7% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | ||||||
| 25 May | European Parliament election | 32,1% | 31,8% | 9,5% | 6,8% | 7,1% | 3,6% | 4% | 3,2% | 0,3% | ||||||
| 24–25 May | IBRiS | 25% | 30% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 5% | ||||||
| 9–14 May | TNS Poland | 25% | 32% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 7% | ||||||
| 7–14 May | CBOS | 27% | 23% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 4% | ||||||
| 13 May | IBRiS | 28% | 30% | 11% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||||||
| 8–10 May | IBRiS | 29% | 29% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 2% | Tie | ||||||
| 29 April | IBRiS | 26% | 28% | 12% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 2% | ||||||
| 24–25 April | IBRiS | 25% | 30% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||||||
| 14 April | IBRiS | 26% | 28% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 2% | ||||||
| 8 April | Millward Brown | 31% | 29% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | - | - | 2% | ||||||
| 4–9 April | TNS Poland | 29% | 32% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | ||||||
| 3–9 April | CBOS | 28% | 21% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | ||||||
| 2–3 April | TNS Poland | 31% | 30% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 1% | ||||||
| 1 April | IBRiS | 28% | 31% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 3% | ||||||
| 20–21 March | Estymator | 36% | 33% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 3% | ||||||
| 18 March | IBRiS | 27% | 29% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 5% | ||||||
| 6–12 March | CBOS | 26% | 24% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||||||
| 7–8 March | IBRiS | 25% | 30% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 5% | ||||||
| 6–7 March | TNS Poland | 26% | 31% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 5% | ||||||
| 4 March | IBRiS | 25% | 31% | 12% | 6% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 6% | ||||||
| 18 February | IBRiS | 23% | 30% | 12% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 7% | ||||||
| 6–12 February | CBOS | 25% | 26% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | ||||||
| 6–7 February | TNS Poland | 26% | 29% | 10% | 3% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 3% | ||||||
| 4 February | IBRiS | 24% | 32% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 8% | ||||||
| 24–26 January | Millward Brown | 24% | 32% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 8% | ||||||
| 21 January | IBRiS | 23% | 29% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 6% | ||||||
| 15–16 January | Estymator | 33,5% | 31,6% | 13,9% | 8,2% | 1,9% | 3,3% | 1,7% | 5,4% | 1,9% | ||||||
| 9–15 January | CBOS | 24% | 25% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 1% | ||||||
| 10–11 January | IBRiS | 27% | 29% | 14% | 5% | - | 2% | 0% | 3% | 2% | ||||||
| 6 January | IBRiS | 24% | 29% | 12% | 6% | - | 3% | 1% | - | 5% | ||||||
| 2014 | ||||||||||||||||
| 17 December | IBRiS | 23% | 30% | 15% | 6% | - | 3% | 2% | - | Did not exist | 7,3% | |||||
| 16 December | IBRiS | 23,8% | 31,1% | 14,5% | 5% | - | 4,6% | 3% | 4% | 7,3% | ||||||
| 13–16 December | TNS Poland | 26% | 29% | 10% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 3% | ||||||
| 5–12 December | CBOS | 23% | 23% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 2% | - | Tie | ||||||
| 6–11 December | TNS Poland | 23% | 28% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 3% | - | 5% | ||||||
| 9–10 December | Estymator | 28,2% | 31,5% | 13,4% | 7,3% | 3,9% | 5,4% | 3% | 6,6% | 3,3% | ||||||
| 9 December | Millward Brown | 25% | 31% | 10% | 5% | - | 6% | - | 6% | 6% | ||||||
| 5–8 December | GfK Polonia | 33,8% | 39,5% | 9,8% | 5,8% | 2,3% | 3,2% | 2,4% | - | 5,7% | ||||||
| 3 December | IBRiS | 19% | 32% | 15% | 6% | - | 5% | 3% | - | 13% | ||||||
| 22–25 November | TNS Poland | 28% | 28% | 7% | 7% | - | 8% | - | - | Tie | ||||||
| 22–23 November | IBRiS | 19% | 29% | 15% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 3% | - | 10% | ||||||
| 20–21 November | TNS Poland | 34% | 36% | 12% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 2% | - | 2% | ||||||
| 8–15 November | TNS Poland | 22% | 31% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 3% | - | 9% | ||||||
| 7–14 November | CBOS | 24% | 25% | 10% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 1% | - | 1% | ||||||
| 8–9 November | IBRiS | 20% | 31% | 15% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 3% | - | 11% | ||||||
| 25–26 October | Millward Brown | 27% | 35% | 9% | - | 5% | 7% | - | - | 8% | ||||||
| 22–24 October | TNS Poland | 41% | 32% | 11% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 2% | - | 9% | ||||||
| 22 October | IBRiS | 22% | 30% | 13% | 7% | - | 4% | 3% | - | 8% | ||||||
| 18–19 October | IBRiS | 22% | 31% | 14% | 6% | - | 5% | - | - | 9% | ||||||
| 3–9 October | CBOS | 22% | 28% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 2% | - | 6% | ||||||
| 8 October | IBRiS | 24% | 30% | 14% | 6% | - | 4% | 2% | - | 6% | ||||||
| 20–21 September | IBRiS | 24% | 30% | 13% | 5% | - | 5% | - | - | 6% | ||||||
| 17 September | IBRiS | 22% | 32% | 13% | 5% | - | 6% | 4% | - | 10% | ||||||
| 13–15 September | Millward Brown | 27% | 33% | 10% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 2% | - | 6% | ||||||
| 5–12 September | CBOS | 25% | 23% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 0% | - | 2% | ||||||
| 10 September | Millward Brown | 25% | 30% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 8% | 2% | - | 5% | ||||||
| 10 September | IBRiS | 20% | 31% | 15% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4%[c] | 11% | ||||||
| 7–10 September | TNS Poland | 28% | 26% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 3% | - | 2% | ||||||
| 23–24 August | IBRiS | 22% | 33% | 15% | 5% | - | 3% | 3% | - | 11% | ||||||
| 13 August | TNS Poland | 32% | 43% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 1% | - | 11% | ||||||
| 9 August | IBRiS | 25,6% | 33,8% | 14,1% | 6,2% | 3% | 6% | 2,2% | - | 8,2% | ||||||
| 2–8 August | TNS Poland | 25% | 29% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 4% | - | 4% | ||||||
| 1–12 August | CBOS | 25% | 24% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 2% | - | 1% | ||||||
| 6 August | IBRiS | 24% | 35% | 15% | 5% | - | 3% | 3% | - | 11% | ||||||
| 23 July | IBRiS | 26% | 32% | 15% | 5% | - | 3% | 4% | - | 6% | ||||||
| 19 July | IBRiS | 24,7% | 30,4% | 14,3% | 5,1% | 0,7% | 4,9% | 3,3% | - | 5,7% | ||||||
| 12–15 July | TNS Poland | 34% | 40% | 13% | 2% | 1% | 6% | 2% | - | 6% | ||||||
| 4–11 July | CBOS | 24% | 26% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 1% | - | 2% | ||||||
| 5–10 July | TNS Poland | 26% | 30% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 2% | - | 4% | ||||||
| 9 July | IBRiS | 25% | 33% | 17% | 5% | - | 3% | 3% | - | 8% | ||||||
| 3 July | Millward Brown | 26% | 35% | 10% | 5% | - | 6% | - | - | 9% | ||||||
| 26 June | IBRiS | 27% | 32% | 16% | 7% | - | 3% | 5% | - | 5% | ||||||
| 21 June | IBRiS | 26% | 31% | 15% | 6% | - | 6% | - | - | 5% | ||||||
| 12–13 June | TNS Poland | 32% | 39% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 2% | - | 7% | ||||||
| 6–12 June | CBOS | 23% | 27% | 14% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 2% | - | 4% | ||||||
| 11 June | IBRiS | 26% | 32% | 15% | 4% | - | 4% | 5% | - | 6% | ||||||
| 4–11 June | CBOS | 24% | 26% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 2% | - | 2% | ||||||
| 28–29 May | Millward Brown | 26% | 30% | 16% | 5% | 5% | 10% | - | - | 4% | ||||||
| 28 May | IBRiS | 27% | 30% | 14% | 4% | - | 6% | 3% | - | 3% | ||||||
| 24 May | IBRiS | 27% | 32% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 6% | 3% | - | 5% | ||||||
| 11–16 May | TNS Poland | 25% | 28% | 12% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 3% | - | 3% | ||||||
| 9–15 May | CBOS | 23% | 26% | 9% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 2% | - | 3% | ||||||
| 10 May | IBRiS | 26% | 28% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 3%[c] | 2% | ||||||
| 7 May | IBRiS | 31% | 30% | 13% | 5% | - | 6% | 3% | - | 1% | ||||||
| 26 April | IBRiS | 30% | 31% | 13% | 6% | - | 3% | 4% | - | 1% | ||||||
| 23 April | IBRiS | 28% | 29% | 12% | 6% | - | 6% | 5% | - | 1% | ||||||
| 12 April | IBRiS | 29% | 29% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 3% | - | Tie | ||||||
| 4–10 April | CBOS | 25% | 23% | 8% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 3% | - | 2% | ||||||
| 9 April | IBRiS | 31% | 30% | 13% | 6% | - | 4% | 4% | - | 1% | ||||||
| 18 March | IBRiS | 32% | 31% | 15% | 5% | - | 5% | 3% | - | 1% | ||||||
| 18 March | Millward Brown | 28% | 28% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 10% | 1% | - | Tie | ||||||
| 7–13 March | CBOS | 25% | 22% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 1% | - | 3% | ||||||
| 8 March | IBRiS | 32% | 28% | 14% | 7% | - | 4% | 4% | - | 4% | ||||||
| 5 March | Millward Brown | 32% | 31% | 9% | 6% | - | 7% | 1% | - | 1% | ||||||
| 5 March | IBRiS | 32% | 30% | 14% | 5% | - | 6% | 4% | - | 2% | ||||||
| 22–26 February | TNS Poland | 29% | 26% | 12% | 5% | 1% | 5% | 2% | - | 3% | ||||||
| 18 February | IBRiS | 33% | 29% | 14% | 4% | - | 3% | 5% | - | 4% | ||||||
| 13–14 February | TNS Poland | 35% | 34% | 15% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 3% | - | 1% | ||||||
| 8–11 February | TNS Poland | 33% | 29% | 6% | 6% | 2% | 6% | 2% | - | 5% | ||||||
| 8–9 February | IBRiS | 30% | 27% | 13% | 5% | - | 4% | 5% | - | 5% | ||||||
| 31 Jan - 6 Feb | CBOS | 25% | 24% | 7% | 8% | 2% | 5% | 3% | - | 1% | ||||||
| 4 February | IBRiS | 30% | 28% | 13% | 5% | - | 7% | 6% | - | 2% | ||||||
| 30 January | IBRiS | 29% | 30% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 7% | 2% | - | 1% | ||||||
| 26–27 January | Millward Brown | 30% | 25% | 13% | 6% | - | 11% | 2% | - | 5% | ||||||
| 22 January | IBRiS | 31% | 29% | 11% | 8% | - | 4% | 2% | - | 2% | ||||||
| 11–14 January | TNS Poland | 29% | 23% | 10% | 6% | - | 7% | 4% | - | 6% | ||||||
| 3–9 January | CBOS | 31% | 22% | 8% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 3% | - | 9% | ||||||
| 8 January | IBRiS | 29% | 31% | 13% | 7% | - | 4% | 2% | - | 2% | ||||||
| 2013 | ||||||||||||||||
| 14–19 December | TNS Poland | 32% | 22% | 9% | 6% | - | 6% | - | - | Did not exist | 10% | |||||
| 18 December | IBRiS | 33% | 29% | 13% | 6% | - | 6% | 2% | - | 4% | ||||||
| 8–9 December | Millward Brown | 33% | 28% | 8% | 6% | - | 8% | - | - | 5% | ||||||
| 6–9 December | TNS Poland | 34% | 26% | 7% | 7% | 1% | 6% | 2% | - | 8% | ||||||
| 5–6 December | TNS Poland | 36% | 31% | 14% | 6% | - | 8% | 2% | - | 5% | ||||||
| 30 Nov - 6 Dec | CBOS | 32% | 20% | 8% | 8% | 2% | 5% | 3% | - | 12% | ||||||
| 4 December | IBRiS | 29% | 28% | 13% | 7% | - | 4% | 3% | - | 1% | ||||||
| 29 November | TNS Poland | 28% | 28% | 7% | 7% | - | 8% | - | - | Tie | ||||||
| 20 November | IBRiS | 36% | 27% | 9% | 4% | - | 4% | 3% | - | 9% | ||||||
| 19 November | Millward Brown | 37% | 26% | 11% | 6% | - | 9% | - | - | 11% | ||||||
| 8–17 November | CBOS | 34% | 18% | 9% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 3% | - | 16% | ||||||
| 13 November | IBRiS | 29,4% | 30,3% | 13,5% | 5% | - | 6,1% | - | - | 0,9% | ||||||
| 7–8 November | TNS Poland | 42% | 30% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 8% | 1% | - | 12% | ||||||
| 6 November | IBRiS | 31% | 30% | 11% | 6% | - | 7% | 5% | - | 1% | ||||||
| 31 October | Millward Brown | 33% | 29% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 4% | - | 4% | ||||||
| 23 October | IBRiS | 33% | 31% | 12% | 5% | - | 6% | 5% | - | 2% | ||||||
| 16 October | TNS Poland | 34% | 23% | 8% | 5% | 1% | 6% | 3% | - | 3% | ||||||
| 5–12 October | TNS Poland | 27% | 28% | 10% | 5% | - | 7% | - | - | 1% | ||||||
| 11 October | Millward Brown | 27% | 30% | 12% | 5% | - | 6% | 5% | - | 3% | ||||||
| 4–10 October | CBOS | 28% | 24% | 8% | 5% | - | 4% | 3% | - | 4% | ||||||
| 2 October | IBRiS | 28% | 28% | 14% | 6% | - | 5% | 5% | - | Tie | ||||||
| 18 September | IBRiS | 32% | 29% | 12% | 5% | - | 6% | 5% | - | 3% | ||||||
| 5–16 September | CBOS | 31% | 23% | 8% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 3% | - | 8% | ||||||
| 7–10 September | TNS Poland | 28% | 26% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 3% | - | 2% | ||||||
| 4 September | IBRiS | 31% | 27% | 13% | 5% | - | 7% | 5% | - | 4% | ||||||
| 14–22 August | CBOS | 36% | 22% | 8% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 2% | - | 14% | ||||||
| 21 August | IBRiS | 30% | 29% | 13% | 5% | - | 6% | 4% | - | 1% | ||||||
| 2–5 August | TNS Poland | 29% | 24% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 7% | 3% | - | 5% | ||||||
| 31 July | IBRiS | 32% | 26% | 12% | 6% | - | 6% | 4% | - | 6% | ||||||
| 17 July | IBRiS | 34% | 25% | 13% | 6% | - | 6% | 4% | - | 9% | ||||||
| 5–12 July | CBOS | 32% | 25% | 9% | 4% | - | 5% | 3% | - | 7% | ||||||
| 3 July | IBRiS | 33% | 25% | 14% | 6% | - | 5% | 5% | - | 8% | ||||||
| 14–20 June | CBOS | 32% | 20% | 9% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 3% | - | 12% | ||||||
| 19 June | IBRiS | 33% | 23% | 14% | 7% | - | 8% | 4% | - | 10% | ||||||
| 14–17 June | TNS Poland | 30% | 23% | 8% | 6% | 1% | 9% | 1% | - | 7% | ||||||
| 5 June | IBRiS | 29% | 28% | 11% | 6% | - | 7% | 5% | - | 1% | ||||||
| 10–16 May | CBOS | 27% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 2% | 7% | 3% | - | 6% | ||||||
| 10–13 May | TNS Poland | 28% | 25% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 10% | 2% | - | 3% | ||||||
| 9–10 May | TNS Poland | 34% | 34% | 12% | 5% | - | 9% | 3% | - | Tie | ||||||
| 8 May | IBRiS | 31% | 25% | 12% | 4% | - | 9% | 7% | - | 6% | ||||||
| 13–18 April | TNS Poland | 30% | 25% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 4% | - | 5% | ||||||
| 12–18 April | CBOS | 29% | 22% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 4% | - | 7% | ||||||
| 17 April | IBRiS | 30% | 27% | 12% | 5% | - | 10% | 5% | - | 3% | ||||||
| 3 April | IBRiS | 27% | 25% | 13% | 5% | - | 12% | 6% | - | 2% | ||||||
| 20 March | IBRiS | 31% | 26% | 11% | 9% | - | 10% | 4% | - | 5% | ||||||
| 16 March | Millward Brown | 29% | 26% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 14% | 1% | - | 3% | ||||||
| 8–14 March | CBOS | 29% | 23% | 8% | 8% | 2% | 8% | 3% | - | 6% | ||||||
| 6 March | IBRiS | 32% | 26% | 11% | 8% | - | 11% | 5% | - | 6% | ||||||
| 1–4 March | TNS Poland | 29% | 22% | 9% | 5% | 1% | 12% | 2% | - | 7% | ||||||
| 8–9 February | Millward Brown | 27% | 22% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 17% | 5% | - | 5% | ||||||
| 3–9 February | CBOS | 33% | 19% | 8% | 7% | 2% | 9% | 3% | - | 14% | ||||||
| 7 February | IBRiS | 35% | 21% | 12% | 8% | - | 11% | 3% | - | 14% | ||||||
| 2–6 February | TNS Poland | 28% | 26% | 9% | 5% | 1% | 10% | 2% | - | 2% | ||||||
| 27 January | Millward Brown | 33% | 22% | 8% | 9% | - | 13% | 2% | - | 11% | ||||||
| 24 January | IBRiS | 34% | 22% | 13% | 7% | - | 13% | 4% | - | 12% | ||||||
| 19–23 January | TNS Poland | 37% | 22% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 8% | 1% | - | 15% | ||||||
| 5–11 January | CBOS | 40% | 18% | 4% | 7% | 2% | 8% | 2% | - | 22% | ||||||
| 10 January | IBRiS | 36% | 23% | 11% | 7% | 2% | 9% | 4% | - | 13% | ||||||
| 2012 | ||||||||||||||||
| 20 December | TNS Poland | 38% | 23% | 10% | 7% | - | 11% | - | - | Did not exist | 15% | |||||
| 8–11 December | TNS Poland | 38% | 27% | 6% | 7% | - | 8% | 2% | - | 11% | ||||||
| 1–8 December | CBOS | 43% | 21% | 5% | 7% | 1% | 6% | 2% | - | 22% | ||||||
| 1–6 December | IBRiS | 37% | 23% | 12% | 7% | - | 10% | - | - | 14% | ||||||
| 1–4 December | TNS Poland | 36% | 19% | 6% | 6% | 1% | 10% | 2% | - | 17% | ||||||
| 30 Nov-1 Dec | TNS Poland | 43% | 23% | 9% | 5% | - | 10% | 2% | - | 20% | ||||||
| 30 November | Millward Brown | 37% | 25% | 8% | 7% | - | 9% | 3% | - | 12% | ||||||
| 22 November | IBRiS | 42% | 24% | 8% | 7% | - | 11% | - | - | 18% | ||||||
| 17–20 November | TNS Poland | 34% | 24% | 9% | 5% | 1% | 8% | 3% | - | 10% | ||||||
| 4–13 November | CBOS | 42% | 21% | 7% | 7% | 1% | 9% | - | - | 21% | ||||||
| 4–8 November | TNS Poland | 42% | 22% | 7% | 5% | - | 7% | - | - | 20% | ||||||
| 5–7 November | IBRiS | 39% | 26% | 7% | 7% | - | 11% | - | - | 13% | ||||||
| 4–5 November | Millward Brown | 37% | 21% | 5% | 6% | - | 10% | 9%[d] | - | 16% | ||||||
| 2–3 November | TNS Poland | 44% | 26% | 8% | 7% | - | 10% | - | - | 18% | ||||||
| 25 October | IBRiS | 38% | 29% | 8% | 7% | - | 13% | - | - | 9% | ||||||
| 23 October | Millward Brown | 39% | 27% | 7% | 8% | 2% | 12% | - | - | 12% | ||||||
| 13–16 October | TNS Poland | 45% | 25% | 8% | 6% | 1% | 12% | - | - | 20% | ||||||
| 14 October | IBRiS | 38% | 28,6% | 4,5% | 5,6% | 2,4% | 12,5% | - | - | 9,4% | ||||||
| 9 October | 2011 general election | 39,2% | 29,9% | 8,2% | 8,4% | 1,1% | 10% | - | - | 9,3% | ||||||
| 2011 | ||||||||||||||||
- Notes
- ^ a b Law and Justice, United Poland, and Poland Together have concluded an electoral alliance, and as such are considered a single entity by most pollsters.
- ^ Your Movement did not present lists in all regions in the local elections.
- ^ a b In this poll, the people surveyed were asked how they would vote in the hypothetical event of Jarosław Gowin launching his own party.
- ^ In this poll, the people surveyed were asked how they would vote in the hypothetical event of Zbigniew Ziobro launching his own party.
Briefly summary[edit]
The following parties (nationwide committees) partially or confidentially have to fear for marching to both, in the Sejm and Senate. Due to not achieving the 5% threshold for single parties and 8% threshold for coalitions:
• United Left[32][33][34][35][36] (PSL)
• Polish People's Party[36][37][37] (PSL)
• Coalition for the Renewal of the Republic - Freedom and Hope[32][38][39][40] (KORWiN)
• Kukiz'15[36][40][41][42] (K'15)
• .Modern[33][43][44][45] (.N)
• Together[38] (Razem)
(Status: Middle October 2015)
References[edit]
- ^ http://www.tvn24.pl/wiadomosci-z-kraju,3/beata-szydlo-kandydatem-pis-na-premiera,553202.html
- ^ a b c "Sejm parliamentary groups". Sejm. Retrieved 7 February 2015.
- ^ "Election Resources on the Internet: Elections to the Polish Sejm, Part I". electionresources.org. Retrieved 2014-08-03.
- ^ http://www.senat.gov.pl/gfx/senat/userfiles/_public/k8eng/noty/howare.pdf
- ^ http://www.sejm.gov.pl/english/sejm/pos.htm
- ^ http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0a448cc4-367b-11e4-95d3-00144feabdc0,Authorised=false.html?siteedition=uk&_i_location=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ft.com%2Fcms%2Fs%2F0%2F0a448cc4-367b-11e4-95d3-00144feabdc0.html%3Fsiteedition%3Duk&_i_referer=&classification=conditional_standard&iab=barrier-app
- ^ https://books.google.de/books?id=K79sdX-amEgC&pg=PA30&redir_esc=y#v=onepage&q&f=false
- ^ https://books.google.de/books?id=I5MjBT9lQLwC&pg=PA143&redir_esc=y#v=onepage&q&f=false
- ^ Copsey, Nathaniel (2013). Poland:An Awkward Partner Redeemed. The Member States of the European Union (Second ed.) (Oxford University Press). p. 191.
- ^ Szczerbiak, Aleks (2012). Poland Within the European Union: New awkward partner or new heart of Europe?. Routledge. p. 2.
- ^ De Waele, Jean-Michel; Pacześniak, Anna (2012). The Europeanisation of Poland's political parties and party system. Europeanisation and Party Politics (ECPR Press). p. 125.
- ^ http://www.sobieski.org.pl/tworzenie-szans-dla-wszystkich/
- ^ Easton, Adam (7 October 2011). "Poland heads into close-fought election". BBC News. Retrieved 5 June 2012.
- ^ "Poland's crumbling government". The Economist. 25 September 2006. Retrieved 5 June 2012.
- ^ "Law and Justice". Encyclopædia Britannica Online. Encyclopædia Britannica. Retrieved 7 June 2012.
- ^ Szczerbiak, Aleks (2012), Poland Within the European Union: New awkward partner or new heart of Europe?, Routledge, pp. 1, 13
- ^ Porter-Szűcs, Brian (2011), Faith and Fatherland: Catholicism, Modernity, and Poland, Oxford University Press, p. 201
- ^ Minkenberg, Michael (2007), "Between Tradition and Transition: the Central European Radical Right and the New European Order", Europe for the Europeans: The Foreign and Security Policy of the Populist Radical Right (Ashgate): 261
- ^ Jennifer Lees-Marshment (2 July 2009). Political Marketing: Principles and Applications. Routledge. pp. 103–. ISBN 978-1-134-08411-1.
- ^ http://www.thenews.pl/1/9/Artykul/223624,Polands-United-Left-puts-forward-candidate-for-PM
- ^ a b c http://fakty.interia.pl/raporty/raport-wybory-parlamentarne-2015/aktualnosci/news-do-zjednoczonej-lewicy-dolaczyl-nowy-koalicjant,nId,1885559
- ^ http://wbj.pl/united-left-presents-its-new-leader-and-pm-candidate/
- ^ http://zjednoczona-lewica.pl/
- ^ a b c http://www.bpb.de/nachschlagen/lexika/lexikon-der-wirtschaft/20092/marxismus
- ^ a b http://www.internationalviewpoint.org/spip.php?article949
- ^ a b http://www.partiapracy.pl/
- ^ http://www.thenews.pl/1/9/Artykul/194558,Maverick-MEP-KorwinMikke-launches-new-party
- ^ "Maverick MEP Korwin-Mikke launches new party - National". Thenews.pl. 2015-01-23. Retrieved 2015-03-05.
- ^ http://student-sgh.blogspot.de/
- ^ http://wpolityce.pl/kultura/250365-kulturalny-flesz-dnia-kukiz-vs-piersi-wildstein-vs-peszek-shirley-temple
- ^ "Partia Razem. Nowa partia dla prekariuszy". Gazeta Wyborcza. Retrieved 2015-09-26.
- ^ a b http://wyborcza.pl/1,75478,19030384,sondaz-tns-po-odrabia-straty-ale-pis-moglby-wciaz-rzadzic.html
- ^ a b http://wpolityce.pl/polityka/268155-nowy-sondaz-tns-polska-pis-wysoko-przed-platforma-w-sejmie-tylko-trzy-partie-sprawdz-wyniki
- ^ http://wiadomosci.onet.pl/tylko-w-onecie/najnowszy-sondaz-ibris-dla-onetu-pis-i-po-dystansuja-konkurentow/fx9ejg
- ^ http://ewybory.eu/sondaz-estymator-dla-newsweeka-polska-30-09-2015/
- ^ a b c http://pressmix.eu/2015/10/01/najnowszy-sondaz-wyborczy-a-imie-jego-czterdziesci-i-cztery/
- ^ a b http://wyborcza.pl/1,75478,18993401,samodzielna-wiekszosc-dla-pis-w-sondazu-tns-polska.html
- ^ a b http://www.radiozet.pl/Wybory-2015/Wybory-parlamentarne-Sondaz-NOWY-00012851
- ^ http://fakty.interia.pl/raporty/raport-wybory-parlamentarne-2015/aktualnosci/news-sondaz-cbos-platforma-zmniejsza-dystans-do-pis,nId,1905258
- ^ a b http://fakty.tvn24.pl/fakty-ekstra,52/sondaz-poparcia-dla-partii-wciaz-duza-przewaga-pis-nad-po,582050.html
- ^ http://wiadomosci.onet.pl/tylko-w-onecie/sondaz-ibris-dla-onetu-pawel-kukiz-poza-sejmem/yrgm9c
- ^ http://www.se.pl/wiadomosci/polityka/triumf-pis-i-upadek-kukiza-co-z-lewica-najnowszy-sondaz-dla-super-expressu_665634.html
- ^ http://wiadomosci.onet.pl/kraj/sondaz-dla-wiadomosci-tvp1-po-traci-poparcie-pis-niezmiennie-na-czele/xb6990
- ^ http://ewybory.eu/sondaz-estymator-dla-newsweeka-polska-15-10-2015/
- ^ http://wiadomosci.wp.pl/kat,1342,title,Najnowszy-sondaz-TNS-Polska-Sejm-bez-lewicy-i-PSL,wid,17840295,wiadomosc.html?ticaid=115c81
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