Projection bias

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Projection bias is a feature in human thinking in which one thinks that others have the same priority, attitude or belief that one harbours even if that is unlikely.[citation needed]

The concept of projection bias is different from that of psychological projection in which one thinks that others have a mental state one is unaware of having oneself.

A common example of projection bias is predicting that one's own views will stay the same over time, but that has been shown to be statistically unlikely.[1]


  1. ^ Loewenstein, G.; O'Donoghue, T.; Rabin, M. (1 November 2003). "Projection Bias in Predicting Future Utility". The Quarterly Journal of Economics 118 (4): 1209–1248. doi:10.1162/003355303322552784.