Saanich—Gulf Islands

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Saanich—Gulf Islands
British Columbia electoral district
Saanich—Gulf Islands.png
Saanich—Gulf Islands based on other Vancouver Island federal electoral districts (2003 boundaries).
Federal electoral district
Legislature House of Commons
MP
 
 		  
Elizabeth May
Green
District created 1987
First contested 1988
Last contested 2015
District webpage profile, map
Demographics
Population (2011)[1] 104,285
Electors (2015) 83,970
Area (km²)[1] 518
Pop. density (per km²) 201.3
Census divisions Capital
Census subdivisions Saanich, Central Saanich, Sidney, North Saanich, Capital F, Capital G, Capital H, Cole Bay 3, Union Bay 4, East Saanich 2, South Saanich 1

Saanich—Gulf Islands is a federal electoral district in British Columbia, Canada, that has been represented in the Canadian House of Commons since 1988. It is named for its geographical location across the Gulf Islands and Saanich Peninsula in the Vancouver Island region.

Demographics[edit]

More than 21 per cent of the residents are immigrants, and more than 19 per cent are older than 65, making this the riding with the third largest senior population in Canada. The riding has a median age of 48.3, making it the riding with the highest median age in Canada.[2] The average family income is $70,814; unemployment is 5.9 per cent.

According to the Canada 2011 Census; 2013 representation[3][4]

Ethnic groups: 83.9% White, 5.5% Chinese, 3.8% Aboriginal, 2.3% South Asian
Languages: 85.0% English, 3.9% Chinese, 1.6% German, 1.6% French, 1.2% Punjabi
Religions: 46.9% Christian (12.2% Catholic, 10.6% Anglican, 7.8% United Church, 2.2% Baptist, 1.7% Lutheran, 1.5% Presbyterian, 1.1%% Pentecostal, 10.0% Other), 1.3% Buddhist, 1.2% Sikh, 47.3% No religion
Median income (2010): $32,967
Average income (2010): $43,972

Geography[edit]

The riding of Saanich—Gulf Islands consists of the north part of the Municipality of Saanich, as well as the municipalities of Central Saanich, North Saanich, and Sidney on Vancouver Island. The district also includes a number of the southern Gulf Islands, including Salt Spring Island, the Pender Islands, Galiano Island, Mayne Island and Saturna Island. The district's southeastern border runs along the University of Victoria.

History[edit]

The electoral district was created in 1987 from Esquimalt—Saanich and Cowichan—Malahat—The Islands ridings.

In the 2008 election, there were allegations of electoral fraud around Gary Lunn's campaign.[5]

The 2012 federal electoral boundaries redistribution concluded that the electoral boundaries of Saanich—Gulf Islands should be adjusted, and a modified electoral district of the same name will be contested in future elections.[6] The redefined Saanich—Gulf Islands loses a small portion of its current territory in the urbanized portion of Saanich to the new district of Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke. These new boundaries were legally defined in the 2013 representation order, which came into effect upon the call of the 42nd Canadian federal election, scheduled for October 2015.[7]

Political geography[edit]

Despite the usually close vote between the various right-leaning parties, the Canadian Alliance, Reform and Conservative parties have consistently won here for the past decade. Since 1953, the riding and its predecessor, Esquimalt-Saanich, have only gone to a non-conservative candidate four times: 1968 to Liberal David Anderson, in 1988 to New Democrat Lynn Hunter, and in 2011 and 2015 to Green party leader Elizabeth May. The 1988 Conservative loss is attributed to vote splitting between the Progressive Conservatives and the new Reform party.

Riding associations[edit]

Riding associations are the local branches of political parties:

Party Association Name CEO HQ Address HQ City
Conservative Saanich--Gulf Islands Conservative Association Ryan T. Trelford Post Office Box 606 Saanichton
Green Saanich--Gulf Islands Green Party EDA David Charles Post Office Box 20076 Sidney
Liberal Saanich--Gulf Islands Federal Liberal Association Paul H. McKivett 460-580 Hornby Street Vancouver
New Democratic Saanich--Gulf Islands Federal NDP Riding Association Irene A. Wright 105-121 Atkins Road Salt Spring Island

Members of Parliament[edit]

This riding has elected the following Members of Parliament:

Parliament Years Member Party
Saanich—Gulf Islands
Riding created from Esquimalt—Saanich
and Cowichan—Malahat—The Islands
34th  1988–1993     Lynn Hunter New Democratic
35th  1993–1997     Jack Frazer Reform
36th  1997–2000 Gary Lunn
 2000–2000     Alliance
37th  2000–2003
 2003–2004     Conservative
38th  2004–2006
39th  2006–2008
40th  2008–2011
41st  2011–2015     Elizabeth May Green
42nd  2015–Present

Current Member of Parliament[edit]

Its Member of Parliament is Green Party leader Elizabeth May. She was elected in 2011 and is the first Green MP to be elected to the House of Commons. She defeated Conservative Incumbent and cabinet minister Gary Lunn.

Election results[edit]

Canadian federal election, 2015
Party Candidate Votes % ∆% Expenditures
Green Elizabeth May 37,076 54.35% +7.93 –
Conservative Robert Boyd 13,263 19.44% -17.04 –
Liberal Tim Kane 11,430 16.76% +10.70 –
New Democratic Alicia Cormier 6,181 9.06% -1.98 –
Libertarian Meghan Jess Porter 268 0.39% +0.39 –
Total valid votes/Expense limit 68,218 100.0     $221,816.53
Total rejected ballots – – –
Turnout – – –
Eligible voters 83,970
Source: Elections Canada[8][9]
2011 federal election redistributed results[10]
Party Vote  %
  Green 28,993 46.42
  Conservative 22,785 36.48
  New Democratic 6,898 11.04
  Liberal 3,787 6.06
Canadian federal election, 2011
Party Candidate Votes % ∆% Expenditures
Green Elizabeth May 31,890 46.33 +35.88 $87,738
Conservative Gary Lunn 24,544 35.66 −7.77 $89,604
New Democratic Edith Loring-Kuhanga 8,185 11.89 +6.20 $66,273
Liberal Renée Hetherington 4,208 6.11 −33.25 $50,002
Total valid votes/Expense limit 68,827 100.0     $293,617
Total rejected ballots 160 0.23
Turnout 68,987 75.25
Eligible voters 91,673
Green gain from Conservative Swing +21.82
Canadian federal election, 2008
Party Candidate Votes % ∆%
Conservative Gary Lunn 27,988 43.43 +6.28
Liberal Briony Penn 25,367 39.36 +13.28
Green Andrew Lewis 6,732 10.45 +0.51
New Democratic Julian West 3,667 5.69 −20.85
Libertarian Dale P. Leier 246 0.38 –
Western Block Patricia O'Brien 195 0.3 +0.03
Canadian Action Jeremy Arney 139 0.2 –
Christian Heritage Dan Moreau 114 0.2 –
Total valid votes 64,448 100.0  
Total rejected ballots 179 0.27
Turnout 64,639 70.40
Conservative hold Swing −3.50
Julian West was selected as the New Democratic Party candidate for the 2008 election, but withdrew after the filing deadline following a scandal.[11] Because of the late withdrawal his name did appear on the ballot.
Canadian federal election, 2006
Party Candidate Votes % ∆% Expenditures
Conservative Gary Lunn 24,416 37.15 +2.58 $80,272
New Democratic Jennifer Burgis 17,455 26.54 +4.96 $50,412
Liberal Sheila Orr 17,144 26.08 −0.70 $79,489
Green Andrew Lewis 6,533 9.94 −6.77 $19,061
Western Block Patricia O'Brien 183 0.27 – $0
Total valid votes 65,721 100.0  
Total rejected ballots 134 0.20
Turnout 65,855 73.2
Conservative hold Swing −1.19
Canadian federal election, 2004
Party Candidate Votes % ∆% Expenditures
Conservative Gary Lunn 22,050 34.57 −18.86 $81,613
Liberal David Mulroney 17,082 26.78 −5.51 $61,819
New Democratic Jennifer Burgis 13,763 21.58 +13.56 $40,318
Green Andrew Lewis 10,662 16.71 +11.20 $79,731
Independent Mary Moreau 214 0.33 – $12
Total valid votes 63,771 100.0  
Total rejected ballots 159 0.25
Turnout 63,930 73.97
Conservative hold Swing −6.68
Conservative change is from a combination of Canadian Alliance and Progressive Conservative votes.
Canadian federal election, 2000
Party Candidate Votes % ∆% Expenditures
Alliance Gary Lunn 25,392 43.15 +0.09 $61,497
Liberal Karen Knott 19,002 32.29 +0.82 $63,669
Progressive Conservative Don Page 6,049 10.28 +2.76 $10,385
New Democratic Pat O'Neill 4,721 8.02 −6.31 $9,666
Green Wally Du Temple 3,243 5.51 +2.77 $7,217
Natural Law Kathleen Lapeyrouse 217 0.36 −0.07 $100
Independent Dan Moreau 123 0.20 –
Communist Charley Stimac 88 0.14 – $189
Total valid votes 58,835 100.0  
Total rejected ballots 165 0.28
Turnout 59,000 70.60
Alliance hold Swing −0.36
Canadian Alliance change is based on the Reform Party.
Canadian federal election, 1997
Party Candidate Votes % ∆% Expenditures
Reform Gary Lunn 24,275 43.06 +5.91 $61,075
Liberal Clark Roberts 17,742 31.47 +5.45 $59,743
New Democratic Chuck Beyer 8,080 14.33 −4.53 $29,672
Progressive Conservative Marilyn Loveless 4,243 7.52 −4.00 $23,349
Green Julia Lerner 1,546 2.74 – $745
Natural Law Andy Guest 248 0.43 −0.31 $321
Canadian Action Valerie Rampone 234 0.41 – $4,335
Total valid votes 56,368 100.0  
Total rejected ballots 181 0.32
Turnout 56,549 74.26
Reform hold Swing +0.23
Canadian federal election, 1993
Party Candidate Votes % ∆%
Reform Jack Frazer 26,016 37.15 +24.67
Liberal Alex Phillips 18,226 26.02 +8.40
New Democratic Lynn Hunter 13,207 18.86 -16.54
Progressive Conservative Marilyn Loveless 8,070 11.52 -21.94
National Judith Rayburn 3,730 5.33 –
Natural Law Andy Guest 521 0.74 –
Independent C.R. Bob Ward 215 0.31 –
Canada Party Arleigh Rolind 52 0.07 –
Total valid votes 70,037 100.0  
Reform gain from New Democratic Swing +8.14
Canadian federal election, 1988
Party Candidate Votes %
New Democratic Lynn Hunter 23,168 35.40
Progressive Conservative Patrick D. Crofton 21,900 33.46
Liberal Kathryn Clout 11,534 17.62
Reform Bob Slavick 8,165 12.48
Independent Patrick Kelly 216 0.33
Libertarian William St. John Buckler 214 0.33
Independent Doug Christie 172 0.26
Communist Ernie Knott 78 0.12
Total valid votes 65,447 100.0  
This riding was created from Esquimalt—Saanich and Cowichan—Malahat—The Islands, which elected a Progressive Conservative and a New Democrat, respectively, in the previous election. Patrick Crofton was the incumbent from Esquimalt—Saanich.

See also[edit]

References[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ a b Stastistics Canada: 2011
  2. ^ "Census « Pundits' Guide to Canadian Federal Elections". Punditsguide.ca. Retrieved 2010-05-13. 
  3. ^ http://www12.statcan.gc.ca/nhs-enm/2011/dp-pd/prof/details/page.cfm?Lang=E&Geo1=FED2013&Code1=59027&Data=Count&SearchText=Saanich&SearchType=Begins&SearchPR=01&A1=All&B1=All&Custom=&TABID=1
  4. ^ http://www12.statcan.gc.ca/nhs-enm/2011/dp-pd/prof/details/page.cfm?Lang=E&Geo1=FED2013&Code1=59027&Data=Count&SearchText=Saanich&SearchType=Begins&SearchPR=01&A1=All&B1=All&Custom=&TABID=1
  5. ^ Colonist, Times (2008-10-30). "Saanich-Gulf Islands election tactics under microscope". Canada.com. Retrieved 2010-05-13. 
  6. ^ Final Report – British Columbia 
  7. ^ Timeline for the Redistribution of Federal Electoral Districts 
  8. ^ Elections Canada – Confirmed candidates for Saanich—Gulf Islands, 30 September 2015
  9. ^ Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates
  10. ^ Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections
  11. ^ Colonist, Times (2008-09-24). "Departure of NDP candidate throws race wide open". Canada.com. Retrieved 2010-05-13. 

External links[edit]
New Democratic
Van Island (41st Parl).png
Conservative
Green
  • Saanich—Gulf Islands
New ridings for the
2015 election
British Columbia Interior
Fraser Valley and
the Southern Lower Mainland
Vancouver and
the Northern Lower Mainland
Vancouver Island

Coordinates: 48°41′42″N 123°24′11″W / 48.695°N 123.403°W / 48.695; -123.403

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