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John Edensor Littlewood, who was Skewes's research supervisor, had proved in Littlewood (1914) that there is such a number (and so, a first such number); and indeed found that the sign of the difference changes infinitely often. All numerical evidence then available seemed to suggest that was always less than . Littlewood's proof did not, however, exhibit a concrete such number .
In Skewes (1955), without assuming the Riemann hypothesis, Skewes proved that there must exist a value of below
Skewes's task was to make Littlewood's existence proof effective: exhibiting some concrete upper bound for the first sign change. According to Georg Kreisel, this was at the time not considered obvious even in principle.
More recent estimates
These upper bounds have since been reduced considerably by using large scale computer calculations of zeros of the Riemann zeta function. The first estimate for the actual value of a crossover point was given by Lehman (1966), who showed that somewhere between and there are more than consecutive integers with . Without assuming the Riemann hypothesis, H. J. J. te Riele (1987) proved an upper bound of . A better estimate was discovered by Bays & Hudson (2000), who showed there are at least consecutive integers somewhere near this value where and suggested that there are probably at least . Bays and Hudson found a few much smaller values of where gets close to ; the possibility that there are crossover points near these values does not seem to have been definitely ruled out yet, though computer calculations suggest they are unlikely to exist. Chao & Plymen (2010) gave a small improvement and correction to the result of Bays and Hudson. Saouter & Demichel (2010) found a smaller interval for a crossing, which was slightly improved by Zegowitz (2010). The same source shows that there exists a number violating below . This can be reduced to , assuming the Riemann hypothesis. Stoll & Demichel (2011) gave .
|Year||near x||# of complex
|2000||1.39822×10316||1×106||Bays and Hudson|
|2010||1.39801×10316||1×107||Chao and Plymen|
|2010||1.397166×10316||2.2×107||Saouter and Demichel|
|2011||1.397162×10316||2.0×1011||Stoll and Demichel|
There is no explicit value known for certain to have the property though computer calculations suggest some explicit numbers that are quite likely to satisfy this.
Even though the natural density of the positive integers for which does not exist, Wintner (1941) showed that the logarithmic density of these positive integers does exist and is positive. Rubinstein & Sarnak (1994) showed that this proportion is about 0.00000026, which is surprisingly large given how far one has to go to find the first example.
Riemann gave an explicit formula for π(x), whose leading terms are (ignoring some subtle convergence questions)
where the sum is over zeros ρ of the Riemann zeta function. The largest error term in the approximation (if the Riemann hypothesis is true) is , showing that is usually larger than . The other terms above are somewhat smaller, and moreover tend to have different complex arguments so mostly cancel out. Occasionally however, many of the larger ones might happen to have roughly the same complex argument, in which case they will reinforce each other instead of cancelling and will overwhelm the term .
The reason why the Skewes number is so large is that these smaller terms are quite a lot smaller than the leading error term, mainly because the first complex zero of the zeta function has quite a large imaginary part, so a large number (several hundred) of them need to have roughly the same argument in order to overwhelm the dominant term. The chance of random complex numbers having roughly the same argument is about 1 in . This explains why is sometimes larger than and also why it is rare for this to happen. It also shows why finding places where this happens depends on large scale calculations of millions of high precision zeros of the Riemann zeta function. The argument above is not a proof, as it assumes the zeros of the Riemann zeta function are random which is not true. Roughly speaking, Littlewood's proof consists of Dirichlet's approximation theorem to show that sometimes many terms have about the same argument.
In the event that the Riemann hypothesis is false, the argument is much simpler, essentially because the terms for zeros violating the Riemann hypothesis (with real part greater than 1/2) are eventually larger than .
The reason for the term is that, roughly speaking, counts not primes, but powers of primes weighted by , and is a sort of correction term coming from squares of primes.
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