St Austell and Newquay (UK Parliament constituency)

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Coordinates: 50°22′30″N 4°55′34″W / 50.375°N 4.926°W / 50.375; -4.926

St Austell and Newquay
County constituency
for the House of Commons
Outline map
Boundary of St Austell and Newquay in Cornwall for the 2010 general election.
Outline map
Location of Cornwall within England.
County Cornwall
Electorate 75,974 (December 2010)[1]
Major settlements St Austell, Newquay
Current constituency
Created 2010
Member of parliament Steve Double (Conservative Party)
Number of members One
Created from North Cornwall
South East Cornwall
Truro & St Austell
Overlaps
European Parliament constituency South West England
Sketchmap of 2010 parliamentary constituencies in Cornwall - click to enlarge

St Austell and Newquay is a constituency[n 1] represented in the House of Commons of the UK Parliament since 2015 by Steve Double, a Conservative.[n 2]

History[edit]

2010 election

The seat on creation in 2010 had, based on complex forecasts involving its three constitutive seats, factoring in to different degrees the recent local election results, a widely varying notional Liberal Democrat majority (see results below). In analysis, one forecast suggested that the seat would prove to be a safe seat whereas another suggested an extremely marginal seat. The majority achieved was lower than an average of the two forecasts but by no means the most slender of majorities achieved in that election.

In 2010, the Labour Party candidate polled in line with results of the recent decades in the forerunner seats, with 7.2% of the vote. Mebyon Kernow, the Cornish independence party, achieved its highest share of the vote in any constituency but narrowly lost its deposit by not reaching the 5% threshold.

2015 election

The seat was won by a Conservative on a majority of more than 15% which would rarely be termed marginal, however approximately half the electorate of the seat fell within areas represented by a Liberal or Liberal Democrat MP between October 1974 and 2015 - Truro (later adopting a suffix- and St Austell). In terms of the important consideration of length of tenure the seat fails to be describable as in any analysis "safe".

Boundaries[edit]

The Borough of Restormel wards of Bethel, Crinnis, Edgcumbe North, Edgcumbe South, Fowey and Tywardreath, Gannel, Gover, Mevagissey, Mount Charles, Poltair, Rialton, Rock, St Blaise, St Columb, St Enoder, St Ewe, St Stephen, and Treverbyn.

The constituency was created for the 2010 general election, following a review of parliamentary representation by the Boundary Commission, which increased the number of seats in the county from five to six.[2] It has the same boundaries as the former Borough of Restormel, with the exception of the ward of Lostwithiel, which remains in the South East Cornwall constituency. Previously, the historic area was divided between the North Cornwall, South East Cornwall and Truro and St Austell seats.[3]

Constituency profile[edit]

Workless claimants (registered jobseekers) were in November 2012 higher than the national average of 3.8%, at 4.2% of the population based on a statistical compilation by The Guardian.[4]

Members of Parliament[edit]

Election Member[5] Party
2010 Steve Gilbert Liberal Democrats
2015 Steve Double Conservative

Elections[edit]

Elections in the 2010s[edit]

General Election 2015: St Austell and Newquay[6][7]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Conservative Steve Double 20,250 40.2 +0.2
Liberal Democrat Steve Gilbert 12,077 24.0 -18.8
UKIP David Mathews[8] 8,503 16.9 +13.2
Labour Deborah Hopkins 5,150 10.2 +3.1
Green Steve Slade 2,318 4.6 N/A
Mebyon Kernow Dick Cole 2,063 4.1 -0.2
Majority 8,173 16.2
Turnout 50,361 65.7 +3.8
Conservative gain from Liberal Democrat Swing
General Election 2010: St Austell and Newquay[9][10]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Liberal Democrat Steve Gilbert 20,189 42.7 -4.5
Conservative Caroline Righton 18,877 40.0 +5.1
Labour Lee Jameson 3,386 7.2 -6.6
Mebyon Kernow Dick Cole 2,007 4.2 +4.2
UKIP Clive Medway 1,757 3.7 -0.4
BNP James Fitton 1,022 2.2 +2.2
Majority 1,312 2.8
Turnout 47,238 61.9 -3.0
Liberal Democrat hold Swing -4.8

Notional election result[edit]

The official Rallings & Thrasher notional results for the 2005 election gave the Liberal Democrats a notional majority of 5,723 votes (12.44%).

The alternative UKPollingReport estimates gave a much smaller notional Liberal Democrat majority of 630 in 2005.[11]

See also[edit]

Notes and references[edit]

Notes
  1. ^ A county constituency (for the purposes of election expenses and type of returning officer)
  2. ^ As with all constituencies, the constituency elects one Member of Parliament (MP) by the first past the post system of election at least every five years.
References
  1. ^ "Electorate Figures - Boundary Commission for England". 2011 Electorate Figures. Boundary Commission for England. 4 March 2011. Archived from the original on 6 November 2010. Retrieved 13 March 2011. 
  2. ^ "Final recommendations for Parliamentary constituencies in the county of Cornwall and the Isles of Scilly". Boundary Commission for England. 2005-01-09. Archived from the original on 2009-11-02. Retrieved 2010-04-26. 
  3. ^ Fifth periodical report - Volume 4 Mapping for the Non-Metropolitan Counties and the Unitary Authorities, The Stationery Office, 26 February 2007, ISBN 0-10-170322-8 
  4. ^ Unemployment claimants by constituency The Guardian
  5. ^ Leigh Rayment's Historical List of MPs – Constituencies beginning with "S" (part 1)[self-published source][better source needed]
  6. ^ "Election Data 2015". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 17 October 2015. Retrieved 17 October 2015. 
  7. ^ "St Austell & Newquay Parliamentary constituency". Election 2015. BBC News. Retrieved 16 May 2015. 
  8. ^ http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide/staustellandnewquay/
  9. ^ "Election Data 2010". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 26 July 2013. Retrieved 17 October 2015. 
  10. ^ "2010 Election". BBC News. Retrieved 2010-05-07. 
  11. ^ UK Polling Report. "St Austell and Newquay". Retrieved 11 August 2009.