Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2016

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Jump to: navigation, search
United States presidential election polling, 2016
United States
← 2012 November 8, 2016 (2016-11-08) 2020 →

Leading presidential 2016 candidate by electoral vote count.
States in gray have no polling data.
Polls from lightly shaded states are older than September 1, 2016.
This map only represents the most recent statewide polling data;
it is not a prediction for the 2016 election.

General election polls 2016 Clinton v Trump.svg
    Hillary Clinton 216
    Donald Trump 184*
  Margin of error between Clinton and Trump
134*
  No data
4

*No margin of error recorded for Nebraska's congressional districts. Maine and Nebraska both award 1 electoral vote per congressional district and 2 statewide electoral votes. Trump leads in Nebraska's 1st and 3rd congressional districts, while Clinton leads in Maine's 1st congressional district. Nebraska's 2nd congressional district could possibly be within the margin of error and Maine's 2nd congressional district is within the margin of error.

(270 electoral votes needed to win)

Incumbent before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

President-elect

Donald Trump
Republican

This article is a collection of statewide polls for the United States presidential election, 2016. The polls listed here provide early data on opinion polling between the Democratic candidate, the Republican candidate, the Libertarian candidate, and the Green candidate. Prior to the parties' conventions, presumptive candidates were included in the polls. Not all states will conduct polling for the election due to various factors. States that are considered swing states usually put out more polls as more attention is given to the results. For determining a statistical tie, the margin of error provided by the polling source is applied to the result for each candidate. This article displays each candidate's potential electoral vote total and is not a prediction of the current state of the election.

Most recent polling[edit]

Hillary Clinton has a vote lead among states recently polled. State polls with results outside the margin of error presently show 213 potential electoral votes for Clinton and 162 potential electoral votes for Donald Trump. In 14 states and two congressional districts (150 electoral votes), results for Clinton and Trump are within the margin of error. For the two states and one district without recent polling, one state (6 electoral votes) voted for Mitt Romney in the 2012 election, while one state and district (7 electoral votes) voted for Barack Obama. Third party candidates, such as Jill Stein and Gary Johnson, are also included in many statewide polls. They have not received support in statewide polling that surpasses the two main party nominees. Independent candidate Evan McMullin is presently tied with Donald Trump in the state of Utah, but has only been included on a very limited number of statewide polls.

State Date Hillary
Clinton
Donald
Trump
Gary
Johnson
Jill
Stein
Evan
McMullin
Margin of
error
Lead Clinton
potential EVs
Trump
potential EVs
Tied
potential EVs
Result
Nationwide[a] National polling 213 178 134
Alabama September 27, 2016 32% 48% 2.0% 16 9 25.8
Alaska October 21–26, 2016 47% 43% 7% 3% 4.9% 4 3 14.7
Arizona November 4–6, 2016 45% 47% 5% 2% 4.9% 2 11 3.5
Arkansas October 18–25, 2016 36% 59% 4.1% 23 6 26.9
California November 4–6, 2016 58% 35% 3% 2% 4.9% 28 55 30.1
Colorado November 3–4, 2016 48% 43% 4% 2% 1% 3.7% 5 9 4.9
Connecticut September 2–5, 2016 50% 35% 9% 4% 3.0% 15 7 13.6
Delaware September 16–28, 2016 51% 30% 7% 2% 4.1% 21 3 11.4
Florida November 6, 2016 46% 50% 2% 1% 3.3% 4 29 1.2
Georgia November 6, 2016 45% 52% 2% 2.8% 7 16 5.1
Idaho October 23–24, 2016 29% 48% 6% 10% 4.0% 19 4 31.8
Illinois October 27–30, 2016 53% 41% 2% 0% 4.3% 12 20 17.1
Indiana November 1–3, 2016 37% 48% 9% 4.0% 11 11 18.9
Iowa November 1–4, 2016 39% 46% 6% 1% 3.5% 7 6 9.4
Kansas November 1–3, 2016 34% 58% 5.5% 24 6 20.6
Kentucky October 25–30, 2016 37% 54% 1% 1% 1% 4.0% 17 8 29.8
Louisiana October 19–21, 2016 35% 50% 5% 4.4% 15 8 19.6
Maine October 28–30, 2016 46% 42% 12% 2% 3.5% 4 1 3 3
Maryland September 27–30, 2016 63% 27% 4% 2% 4.0% 36 10 26.4
Massachusetts October 23 – November 2, 2016 56% 26% 8% 3% 5.0% 30 11 27.2
Michigan November 6, 2016 47% 49% 3% 1% 2.8% 2 16 0.2
Minnesota October 22–26, 2016 49% 39% 5% 2% 1% 3.9% 10 10 1.5
Missouri November 4–5, 2016 41% 47% 7% 2% 3.5% 6 10 18.6
Montana October 10–12, 2016 36% 46% 11% 3.2% 10 3 20.4
Nebraska September 25–27, 2016 29% 56% 7% 1% 3.6% 27 4 1 25
Nevada November 4–6, 2016 46% 46% 5% 1% 4.9% Tied 6 2.4
New Hampshire November 3–6, 2016 49% 38% 6% 1% 3.7% 11 4 0.4
New Jersey October 27 – November 2, 2016 51% 40% 3% 1% 3.8% 11 14 14.2
New Mexico November 6, 2016 46% 44% 6% 1% 1.8% 2 5 8.2
New York November 3–4, 2016 51% 34% 5% 2% 4.5% 17 29 22.5
North Carolina November 4–6, 2016 44% 44% 3% 3.5% Tied 15 3.6
North Dakota September 12–17, 2016 32% 43% 8% 1% 4.9% 11 3 35.7
Ohio October 27 – November 5, 2016 39% 46% 7% 3% 3.2% 7 18 8.1
Oklahoma October 18–20, 2016 30% 60% 5% 4.3% 30 7 36.4
Oregon October 24–29, 2016 41% 34% 4% 2% 4.4% 7 7 11
Pennsylvania November 3–6, 2016 46% 40% 7% 2% 2.8% 6 20 0.7
Rhode Island October 2–4, 2016 52% 32% 5% 5% 3.4% 20 4 18.5
South Carolina October 30–31, 2016 36% 47% 3% 1% 4.4% 11 9 14.7
South Dakota October 24–26, 2016 35% 49% 7% 4.0% 14 3 29.8
Tennessee October 14–17, 2016 34% 44% 7% 2% 4.4% 10 11 26
Texas October 31 – November 1, 2016 35% 49% 5% 4% 3.6% 14 38 9
Utah November 3–5, 2016 30% 40% 4% 25% 2.7% 10 6 18.1
Vermont October 24–26, 2016 52% 26% 5% 2% 3.0% 26 3 26.4
Virginia November 1–6, 2016 48% 42% 3% 1% 2% 3.6% 6 13 5.3
Washington November 4–6, 2016 55% 39% 4.9% 16 12 16.2
West Virginia September 13–17, 2016 28% 60% 5.0% 32 5 42.2
Wisconsin November 1–2, 2016 49% 41% 3% 1.9% 8 10 0.8
Wyoming October 5–11, 2016 20% 58% 9% 2% 3.6% 38 3 46.3
No recent polling 13

Alabama Alabama[edit]

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 60%–39%
(Republican in 2012) 61%–38%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 62%-34%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 24, 2016.

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
News-5/Strategy Research [1] September 27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 32% Donald Trump 48% 16 3,000 ± 2.0%

Alaska Alaska[edit]

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–38%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–41%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 51%-37%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 24, 2016.

Two-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Alaska Survey Research[2] September 28 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 46% 4 660 ± 3.8%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Election Results November 8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 51% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 14 --- ---
Carciun Research[3] October 21–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 3% 4 400 ± 4.9%
Lake Research Partners[4] October 11–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 3% 1 500 ± 4.4%
Moore Information[5] October 5–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 34% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 2% 3 500 ± 4%
Alaska Survey Research[2] September 28 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 31% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 18% Jill Stein 6% 5 660 ± 3.8%

Arizona Arizona[edit]

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 49%-45%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 20, 2016.

Two-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[6] October 30 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 46% 5 719 ± 3.7%
CNN/ORC[7] October 27 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 51% 5 769 ± 3.5%
Ipsos/Reuters[8] October 6–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 45% 7 1,538 ± 2.8%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[9] September 6–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 42% 1 649 ± 3.8%
Three-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Data Orbital[10] October 11–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 5% 1 550 ± 4.12%
Data Orbital[11] September 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 9% 2 550 ± 4.12%
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Green  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Insights West[12] November 4–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 2 392 ± 4.9%
Data Orbital[13] November 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 3% 8 550 ± 4.12%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[6] October 30 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 3% 5 719 ± 3.7%
CNN/ORC[7] October 27 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% 5 769 ± 3.5%
Saguaro Strategies[14] October 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 1% 1 2,229 ± 3%
Emerson College[15] October 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 2% Jill Stein 2% 4 700 ± 3.6%
Data Orbital[16] October 29–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% 4 550 ± 4.12%
CBS News/YouGov[17] October 26–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% 2 994 ± 4.3%
Data Orbital[18] October 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 2 550 ± 4.12%
Saguaro Strategies[19] October 21–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% 2 2,385 ± 3%
Monmouth University[20] October 21–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% 1 401 ± 4.9%
Data Orbital[21] October 17–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% Tied 550 ± 4.12%
Ipsos/Reuters[8] October 6–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 5 1,538 ± 2.8%
Arizona Republic/Morrison/Cronkite News[22] October 10–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 1% 5 713 ± 3.8%
Highground[23] October 14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 2 400 ±4.88%
Emerson College[24] October 2–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 1% 2 600 ±3.90%
OH Predictive Insights[25] September 28–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% Tied 718 ±3.66%
Insights West[26] September 12–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 1% 5 484 ± 4.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[9] September 6–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 12% Jill Stein 3% 2 649 ± 3.8%

Arkansas Arkansas[edit]

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2012) 61%–37%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 61%-34%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 24, 2016.

Two-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
University of Arkansas[27] October 18–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 59% 23 800 ± 4.1%
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Talk Business/Hendrix College[28] October 21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 33% Donald Trump 56% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2% 23 463 ± 4.6%
Talk Business/Hendrix College[29] September 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 34% Donald Trump 55% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% 21 831 ± 3.4%
Emerson College[30] September 9–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 29% Donald Trump 57% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 3% 28 600 ± 3.9%

California California[edit]

55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 60%–37%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 62%-32%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 24, 2016.

Two-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times[31] October 22–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 58% Donald Trump 32% 26 1,365 ± 2.3%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times[32] September 1–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 58% Donald Trump 33% 25 4,212 ± 2.0%
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Insights West[12] November 4–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 58% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 2% 23 401 ± 4.9%
KABC/SurveyUSA[33] October 28–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 56% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% 21 747 ± 3.6%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times[31] October 22–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 54% Donald Trump 30% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 3% 26 1,365 ± 2.3%
Field Research[34] October 25–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 53% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 3% 20 1,498 ±%
Public Policy Institute of California[35] October 14–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 54% Donald Trump 28% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 5% 26 1,704 ± 3.4%
KABC/SurveyUSA[36] October 13–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 56% Donald Trump 30% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2% 26 725 ± 3.7%
Hoover Institution/YouGov[37] October 4–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 54% Donald Trump 30% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 3% 24 1,250 ± 3.28%
Sacramento State University[38] October 7–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 61% Donald Trump 25% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 3% 36 622 ± 7.0%
KABC/SurveyUSA[39] September 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 59% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 2% 26 732 ± 3.6%
Public Policy Institute of California[40] September 9–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 31% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 5% 16 1,055 ± 4.5%
Insights West[26] September 12–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 62% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 2% Jill Stein 1% 28 515 ± 4.3%
Field Research[41] September 7–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 6% 17 1,426 ±%
SurveyUSA[42] September 8–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 57% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% 25 678 ± 3.8%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times[32] September 1–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 29% Gary Johnson 11% Jill Stein 6% 20 4,212 ± 2.0%

Colorado Colorado[edit]

9 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–46%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 48%-43%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 24, 2016.

Two-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[43] November 3–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 45% 5 704 ± 3.7%
University of Denver[44] October 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 41% 1 550 ± 4.2%
Quinnipiac University[45] October 10–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 40% 11 685 ± 3.7%
Public Policy Polling[46] September 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 44% 7 694 ± 3.7%
CNN/ORC[47] September 20–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 47% 2 784 ± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University[48] September 13–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 47% Tied 644 ± 3.9%
Colorado Mesa University/Rocky Mountain PBS[49] September 14–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 35% 9 540 ± 5.3%
Three-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[50] November 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 6% 1 1,863 ± 2.27%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[51] October 23–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 4% 1 952 ± 3.17%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[52] October 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 5% 2 1,581 ± 2.46%
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Green  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Trafalgar Group[53] October 31 – November 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 4% 1 1,150 ± 3.20%
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News[54] November 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 4% Tied 1,125 ± 2.9%
Magellan Strategies[55] November 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 6 500 ± 4.38%
University of Denver[44] October 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 4% Tied 550 ± 4.2%
Emerson College[15] October 28–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 4% 3 750 ± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University[45] October 10–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 3% 8 685 ± 3.7%
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News[56] October 12–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 5 1,226 ± 2.8%
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News[57] October 3–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 3% Tied 1,246 ± 2.8%
Monmouth University[58] September 29 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 3% 11 400 ± 4.9%
Keating Research[59] September 27–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 3% 11 602 ± 4.0%
Public Policy Polling[46] September 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 6 694 ± 3.7%
CNN/ORC[47] September 20–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 13% Jill Stein 3% 1 784 ± 3.5%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[60] September 22–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 6% 4 799 ± 3.5%
CBS News/YouGov[61] September 21–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 1 991 ± 4.4%
Quinnipiac University[48] September 13–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 2% 2 644 ± 3.9%
Colorado Mesa University/Rocky Mountain PBS[49] September 14–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 12% Jill Stein 3% 7 540 ± 5.3%
Emerson College[30] September 9–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 13% Jill Stein 2% 4 600 ± 3.9%
Five-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Independent % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[43] November 3–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2% Evan McMullin 1% 5 704 ± 3.7%
Keating Research[62] November 2–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% Evan McMullin 1% 5 605 ± 4.0%
CBS News/YouGov[63] October 26–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% Evan McMullin 1% 3 997 ± 4.1%

Connecticut Connecticut[edit]

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 55%-41%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 24, 2016.

Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Green  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Emerson College[64] September 2–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 4% 15 1,000 ± 3.0%

Delaware Delaware[edit]

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 59%–40%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 53%-42%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 26, 2016.

Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Green  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
University of Delaware[65] September 16–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 30% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 21 762 ± 4.1%

Washington, D.C. District of Columbia[edit]

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 92%–7%
(Democratic in 2012) 91%–7%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 91%-4%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 26, 2016.

No polling was conducted post August 1, 2016

Florida Florida[edit]

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2012) 50%–49%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 49%-48%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 26, 2016.

Two-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[66] November 3–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 46% Tied 884 ± 3.3%
CNN/ORC[67] October 27 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 49% 1 773 ± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University[68] October 27 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 45% 2 626 ± 3.9%
Gravis Marketing/One America News Network[69] October 31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 49% 2 1,995 ± 2.2%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College[70] October 25–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 48% 3 814 ± 3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[71] October 25–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 46% Tied 779 ± 3.5%
University of North Florida[72] October 20–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 44% 2 836 ± 3.4%
Bloomberg/Selzer[73] October 21–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 46% 1 953 ± 3.2%
Quinnipiac University[45] October 10–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 45% 4 660 ± 3.8%
Public Policy Polling[74] October 12–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 44% 5 985 ± 3.1%
Ipsos/Reuters[75] October 5–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 40% 2 1,532 ± 2.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[76] October 3–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 44% 2 700 ± 3.7%
University of North Florida[77] September 27 – October 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 40% 7 696 ± 3.8%
Quinnipiac University[78] September 27 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 44% 5 545 ± 4.2%
Public Policy Polling[46] September 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 45% 3 826 ± 3.4%
Florida Chamber Political Institute[79] September 15–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 42% 3 617 ± 4.0%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College[80] September 10–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 43% Tied 867 ± 3.3%
CNN/ORC[81] September 7–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 50% 4 788 ± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling[82] September 4–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 46% 1 744 ± 3.6%
Three-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[83] November 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 48% Gary Johnson 2% 3 2,352 ± 2.02%
Remington Research/Axiom Strategies[84] October 23–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 48% Gary Johnson 2% 4 989 ± 3.11%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[85] October 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 2% Tied 1,646 ± 2.41%
Florida Chamber Political Institute[79] September 15–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 8% 2 617 ± 4.0%
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Green  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Trafalgar Group[86] November 6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 50% Gary Johnson 2% Jill Stein 1% 4 1,100 ± 2.89%
Quinnipiac University[66] November 3–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 2% Jill Stein 1% 1 884 ± 3.3%
CBS News/YouGov[87] November 2–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2% Tied 1,188 ± 3.6%
Breitbart News/Gravis Marketing[88] November 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 0% 1 1,220 ± 2.8%
Fox 13/Fox 35/Opinion Savvy[89] November 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% 4 603 ± 4.0%
CNN/ORC[67] October 27 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% 2 773 ± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University[68] October 27 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 2% Jill Stein 2% 1 626 ± 3.9%
Gravis Marketing/One America News Network[69] October 31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 2% Jill Stein 1% 3 1,995 ± 2.2%
Trafalgar Group[90] October 27–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 2% Jill Stein 1% 4 1,150 ± 2.9%
TargetSmart/William & Mary[91] October 25–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 2% 8 718 N/A
Emerson College[92] October 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 0% 1 500 ± 4.3%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College[70] October 25–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2% 4 814 ± 3.4%
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News Network[93] October 25–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 1% Jill Stein 0% 1 1,301 ± 2.7%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[71] October 25–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 1 779 ± 3.5%
Dixie Strategies[94] October 25–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 2% Jill Stein 1% 4 698 ± 3.7%
Saint Leo University[95] October 22–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% 13 1,028 ± 3.0%
University of North Florida[72] October 20–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 3% 4 836 ± 3.4%
Bloomberg/Selzer[73] October 21–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2% 2 953 ± 3.2%
SurveyUSA/Bay News 9/News 13[96] October 20–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 2% Jill Stein 1% 3 1,251 ± 2.8%
Florida Atlantic University[97] October 21–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 2% 3 500 ± 4.3%
CBS News/YouGov[98] October 20–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 2% 3 1,042 ± 3.6%
Opinion Savvy/Fox 13/Fox 35[99] October 20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 2% 4 538 ± 4.2%
Florida Chamber Political Institute[100] October 16–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% 4 507 ± 4.4%
Quinnipiac University[45] October 10–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% 4 660 ± 3.8%
Public Policy Polling[74] October 12–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% 4 985 ± 3.1%
Ipsos/Reuters[75] October 5–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 4 1,532 ± 2.9%
Opinion Savvy[101] October 10–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% 3 533 ± 4.2%
Florida Atlantic University[102] October 5–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 1% Jill Stein 0% 6 400 ± 4.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[76] October 3–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 3% 3 700 ± 3.7%
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News[103] October 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 2% Jill Stein 1% 2 821 ± 3.4%
Emerson College[24] October 2–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 3% 1 600 ± 3.90%
University of North Florida[77] September 27 – October 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 3% 3 696 ± 3.8%
Quinnipiac University[78] September 27 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 5 545 ± 4.2%
Opinion Savvy/Fox 13/Fox 35[104] September 28–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2% 1 619 ± 4.0%
Mason-Dixon[105] September 27–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 1% 4 820 ± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling[46] September 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% 2 826 ± 3.4%
Suffolk University[106] September 19–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% 1 500 ± 4.4%
Monmouth University[107] September 16–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 1% 5 400 ± 4.9%
Saint Leo University[108] September 10–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 5 502 ± 4.5%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College[80] September 10–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 2% 1 867 ± 3.3%
CNN/ORC[81] September 7–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 1% 3 788 ± 3.5%
CBS News/YouGov[109] September 7–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 2 1,193 ± 3.5%
JMC Analytics[110] September 7–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% 4 781 ± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling[82] September 4–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% 1 744 ± 3.6%

Georgia (U.S. state) Georgia[edit]

16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–45%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 51%-46%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 24, 2016.

Two-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[6] October 30 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 47% 1 707 ±3.7%
Quinnipiac University[111] October 20–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 46% Tied 707 ± 3.7%
Quinnipiac University[48] September 13–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 50% 6 638 ± 3.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[9] September 6–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 46% 3 625 ± 3.9%
Three-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Landmark Communications/Rosetta Stone[112] November 6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 3% 3 1,200 ± 2.8%
Landmark Communications/Rosetta Stone[113] November 2–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 48% Gary Johnson 4% 2 1,000 ± 3.1%
Opinion Survey/Fox 5 Atlanta[114] November 2–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 6% 4 538 ± 4.2%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[6] October 30 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 8% 1 707 ±3.7%
WXIA-TV/SurveyUSA[115] October 25–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 3% 7 593 ± 4.2%
Quinnipiac University[111] October 20–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 8% 1 707 ± 3.7%
Landmark Communications/Rosetta Stone[116] October 20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 5% 4 600 ± 4.0%
Opinion Savvy/Fox 5 Atlanta[117] October 20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 50% Gary Johnson 3% 4 570 ± 4.1%
Atlantic Journal Constitution[118] October 17–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 9% 2 839 ± 4.3%
Clout Research[119] October 15–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 2% 3 627 ± 3.9%
Landmark Communications/Rosetta Stone[120] October 11–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 48% Gary Johnson 4% 6 1,400 ± 2.7%
Landmark Communications/Rosetta Stone[121] September 21–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 6% 4 600 ± 4.0%
JMC Analytics[122] September 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 5% 6 600 ± 4.0%
Quinnipiac University[48] September 13–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 9% 7 638 ± 4.9%
Monmouth University[123] September 15–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 8% 3 401 ± 4.9%
Opinion Savvy/Fox 5 Atlanta[124] September 14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 10% 4 568 ± 4.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[9] September 6–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 10% 2 625 ± 3.9%
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Green  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Trafalgar Group[125] November 6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 52% Gary Johnson 2% Jill Stein 0% 7 1,250 ± 2.76%
Emerson College[15] October 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 51% Gary Johnson 2% Jill Stein 3% 9 650 ± 3.8%
Emerson College[30] September 9–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 3% 6 600 ± 3.9%

Hawaii Hawaii[edit]

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 72%–27%
(Democratic in 2012) 71%–28%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 62%-30%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 26, 2016.

No polls conducted yet

Idaho Idaho[edit]

4 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 61%–36%
(Republican in 2012) 64%–32%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 59%-27%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 26, 2016.

Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Other % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Heat Street/Rasmussen Reports[126] October 23–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 29% Donald Trump 48% Gary Johnson 6% Evan McMullin 10% 19 750 ± 4.0%
Emerson College[127] October 21–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 23% Donald Trump 52% Gary Johnson 4% Evan McMullin 10% 29 1,023 ± 3.0%
Dan Jones & Associates[128] September 28 – October 9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 30% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 3% 10 608 ± 3.97%

Illinois Illinois[edit]

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 56%-39%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 26, 2016.

Two-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Loras College[129] October 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 37% 11 600 ± 4.0%
Loras College[130] September 13–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 33% 14 600 ± 4.0%
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green Party % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Emerson College[131] October 27–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 53% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 2% Jill Stein 0% 12 500 ± 4.3%
Loras College[129] October 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 11 600 ± 4.0%
Victory Research[132] October 16–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 15 1,200 ± 2.83%
Illinois Public Opinion Strategies[133] October 13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 1% 18 664 ± 3.5%
Southern Illinois University[134] September 27 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 53% Donald Trump 28% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 25 865 ± 3.3%
Victory Research[135] September 21–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% 14 1,200 ± 2.83%
Emerson College[136] September 19–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 3% 6 700 ± 3.6%
Loras College[130] September 13–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 30% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 13 600 ± 4.0%
We Ask America[137] September 12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% 18 955 ± 3.17%

Indiana Indiana[edit]

11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
(Republican in 2012) 54%–44%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 57%-38%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 27, 2016.

Three-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
WTHR/Howey Politics Indiana[138] November 1–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 48% Gary Johnson 9% 11 600 ± 4.0%
Gravis Marketing[139] October 30 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 5% 10 399 ± 4.9%
Monmouth University[140] October 27–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 50% Gary Johnson 4% 11 402 ± 4.9%
Gravis Marketing[141] October 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 5% 11 596 ± 2.3%
WISH-TV/Ball State University[142] October 10–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 9% 6 544 ± 4.8%
Monmouth University[143] October 11–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 9% 4 402 ± 4.9%
WTHR/Howey Politics Indiana[144] October 3–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 11% 5 600 ± 4%
WTHR/Howey Politics Indiana[145] September 6–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 11% 7 600 ± 4%
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Lucid/The Times-Picayune[146] October 7–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 3% 8 1,313 ± %

Iowa Iowa[edit]

6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 51%-42%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 27, 2016.

Two-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Simpson College/RABA Research[147] November 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 46% 2 1,076 ± 3.0%
Quinnipiac University[111] October 20–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 47% 1 791 ± 3.5%
Loras College[148] September 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 42% Tied 491 ± 4.4%
Quinnipiac University[48] September 13–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 50% 6 612 ± 4%
Simpson College/RABA Research[149] September 6–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 43% 1 1,054 ± 3.0%
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Green  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co.[150] November 1–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 1% 7 800 ± 3.5%
Emerson College[151] November 1–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 4% 3 700 ± 3.6%
Loras College[152] November 1–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 3% 1 500 ± 4.4%
Quinnipiac University[111] October 20–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% Tied 791 ± 3.5%
Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co.[153] October 3–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 4 800 ± 3.5%
Loras College[148] September 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 1% Tied 491 ± 4.4%
Quinnipiac University[48] September 13–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 2% 7 612 ± 4%
Monmouth University[154] September 12–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 2% 8 404 ± 4.9%
Simpson College/RABA Research[149] September 6–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 3% 1 1,054 ± 3.0%
Five-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Independent % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Simpson College/RABA Research[147] November 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% Evan McMullin 2% 3 1,076 ± 3.0%

Kansas Kansas[edit]

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 57%-36%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 27, 2016.

Two-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Fort Hays State University[155] November 1–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 34% Donald Trump 58% 24 313 ± 5.5%
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
SurveyUSA/KSN News[156] October 26–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 1% 11 624 ± 4.0%
SurveyUSA/KSN News[157] October 11–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 11 581 ± 4.1%
SurveyUSA/KSN News[158] September 6–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 48% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 2% 12 595 ± 4.1%

Kentucky Kentucky[edit]

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 57%–41%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 27, 2016.

Two-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
RunSwitch PR[159] October 26–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 32% Donald Trump 56% 24 811 ± 3.44%
Five-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Independent % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Western Kentucky University[160] October 25–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 54% Gary Johnson 1% Jill Stein 1% Evan McMullin 1% 17 602 ± 4.0%

Louisiana Louisiana[edit]

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–40%
(Republican in 2012) 58%–41%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 27, 2016.

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Southern Media & Opinion Research[161] October 19–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 35% Donald Trump 50% Gary Johnson 5% 15 500 ± 4.4%
Southern Media & Opinion Research[162] September 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 33% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 8% 16 500 ± 4.4%
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Green  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
University of New Orleans[163] October 15–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 35% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 14 603 ± 4.0%
Mason-Dixon[164] October 17–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 34% Donald Trump 54% Gary Johnson 2% Jill Stein 1% 20 625 ± 4.0%
JMC Analytics[165] October 11–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% 7 800 ± 3.5%
JMC Analytics[166] September 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 35% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 10 905 ± 3.3%

Maine Maine[edit]

4 electoral votes (Statewide vote worth 2 EVs; 1st and 2nd congressional districts worth 1 EV each)
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 27, 2016.

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Maine People's Resource Center[167] October 24–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 40% 7 812 ± 3.4%
Maine People's Resource Center[168] October 14–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 39% 10 890 ± 3.3%
Maine People's Resource Center[169] October 7–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 40% 9 892 ± 3.3%
Maine People's Resource Center[170] September 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 40% 5 835 ± 3.4%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Green  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Emerson College[131] October 28–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 12% Jill Stein 2% 4 750 ± 3.5%
Maine People's Resource Center[167] October 24–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 4% 5 812 ± 3.4%
University of New Hampshire[171] October 20–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 3% 11 670 ± 3.8%
Maine People's Resource Center[168] October 14–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 4% 6 890 ± 3.3%
Maine People's Resource Center[169] October 7–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 3% 8 892 ± 3.3%
University of New Hampshire[172] September 15–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 12% Jill Stein 3% 4 513 ± 4.3%
Maine People's Resource Center[170] September 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 11% Jill Stein 5% Tied 835 ± 3.4%
Colby College/Boston Globe[173] September 4–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 5% 3 779 ± 3.6%
Emerson College[64] September 2–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 12% Jill Stein 2% 9 800 ± 3.4%

Maryland Maryland[edit]

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 62%–36%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 27, 2016.

Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Green  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Washington Post/University of Maryland[174] September 27–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 63% Donald Trump 27% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2% 36 706 ± 4.0%
Goucher Poll[175] September 17–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 58% Donald Trump 25% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 33 514 ± 4.3%

Massachusetts Massachusetts[edit]

11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 61%–38%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 14, 2016.

Two-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Western New England University[176] September 24 – October 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 65% Donald Trump 30% 35 403 ± 5.0%
WBUR/MassINC[177] September 7–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 60% Donald Trump 31% 29 506 ± 4.4%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Western New England University[178] October 23 – November 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 56% Donald Trump 26% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 30 417 ± 5.0%
Suffolk University[179] October 24–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 57% Donald Trump 25% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 3% 32 500 ±4.4%
WBUR/MassINC[180] October 13–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 54% Donald Trump 28% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 3% 26 502 ±4.4%
Western New England University[176] September 24 – October 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 58% Donald Trump 26% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 4% 32 403 ± 5.0%
UMass Amherst/WBZ Poll[181] September 15–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 3% 13 700 ± 4.3%
WBUR/MassINC[177] September 7–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 54% Donald Trump 28% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 4% 26 500 ± 4.3%
Emerson College[64] September 3–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 2% 17 500 ± 4.3%

Michigan Michigan[edit]

16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–45%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 27, 2016.

Two-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[43] November 3–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 44% 6 957 ± 3.2%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[182] November 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 45% 5 1,007 ± 3.1%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[183] November 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 46% 5 1,150 ± 2.89%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[184] November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 44% 5 887 ± 3.29%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[185] October 31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 45% 6 737 ± 3.61%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[186] October 30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 42% 9 953 ± 3.17%
Michigan State University[187] September 1 – October 30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 32% 20 746 ± 3.6%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[188] October 25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 44% 6 1,030 ± 2.78%
EPIC-MRA[189] October 22–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 37% 8 600 ± 4.0%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[190] October 23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 43% 8 1,241 ± 2.78%
MRG[191] October 16–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 38% 8 600 ± 4.0%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[192] October 18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 53% Donald Trump 41% 12 1,102 ± 2.59%
Ipsos/Reuters[193] October 6–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 36% 4 1,370 ± 3.0%
Detroit News[194] October 10–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 33% 14 600 ± 4.0%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[195] September 27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 44% 5 1,956 ± 2.2%
EPIC-MRA[196] September 10–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 38% 4 600 ± 4.0%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[197] September 6–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 42% 5 940 ± 3.2%
Three-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Target Insyght[198] September 18–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 8% 5 600 ± 4%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Green  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Trafalgar Group[199] November 6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% 2 1,200 ± 2.77%
Public Policy Polling[43] November 3–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 5 957 ± 3.2%
Strategic National[200] November 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 3% Tied 573 ± 4.09%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[182] November 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 3% 5 1,007 ± 3.1%
EPIC-MRA[201] November 1–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 4 600 ± 4.0%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[183] November 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 3% 3 1,150 ± 2.89%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[184] November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 3% 3 887 ± 3.29%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[185] October 31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% 7 737 ± 3.61%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[186] October 30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 6 953 ± 3.17%
Strategic National[202] October 29–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 1 500 ± 4.4%
Michigan State University[187] September 1 – October 30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 28% Gary Johnson 11% Jill Stein 4% 19 746 ± 3.6%
Emerson College[203] October 25–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 3% 7 500 ± 4.3%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[188] October 25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% 6 1,030 ± 2.78%
EPIC-MRA[189] October 22–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 3% 7 600 ± 4.0%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[190] October 23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% 8 1,241 ± 2.78%
MRG[191] October 16–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 3% 5 600 ± 4.0%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[192] October 18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 13 1,102 ± 2.95%
Ipsos/Reuters[193] October 6–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 4 1,370 ± 3.0%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[204] October 11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 4% 10 1,429 ± 2.59%
Detroit News[194] October 10–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 31% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 5% 11 600 ± 4.0%
EPIC-MRA[205] October 1–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 3% 11 600 ± 4.0%
The Detroit News/WDIV-TV[206] September 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 3% 7 600 ± 4.0%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[195] September 27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 1% 5 1,956 ± 2.2%
EPIC-MRA[196] September 10–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 4% 3 600 ± 4.0%
Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Poll[197] September 6–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 1% 6 940 ± 3.2%

Minnesota Minnesota[edit]

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–45%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 27, 2016.

Two-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV[207] October 22–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 53% Donald Trump 42% 11 656 ± 3.9%
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV[208] September 16–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 43% 6 625 ± 4%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV[207] October 22–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 10 656 ± 3.9%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[209] September 23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2% Tied 906 ± 3.3%
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV[208] September 16–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 7 625 ± 4%
Star Tribune[210] September 12–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 6 625 ± 4%
Five-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Independent % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon[211] October 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 1% Evan McMullin 1% 8 625 ± 4.0%

Mississippi Mississippi[edit]

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–44%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 27, 2016.

No polling conducted post September 1, 2016

Missouri Missouri[edit]

10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 49.4%–49.2%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 27, 2016.

Two-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[212] October 31 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 52% 11 1,083 ± 3.0%
MO Scout/BK Strategies[213] October 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 53% 14 1,698 ± 2.38%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[214] September 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 5% 10 1,279 ± 3%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Green  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Emerson College[215] November 4–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 6 750 ± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling[216] November 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 50% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2% 13 871 ± 3.3%
Remington Research Group[217] October 31 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 51% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% 12 1,722 ± 2.36%
DHM Research[218] October 27 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% 9 508 ± 4.4%
Emerson College[15] October 28–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 52% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 15 650 ± 3.8%
Monmouth University[219] October 28–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 52% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2% 14 405 ± 4.9%
Mason-Dixon[220] October 24–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% 5 625 ± 4%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[221] October 23–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 50% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% 11 2,559 ± 1.94%
Emerson College[222] October 17–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 8 600 ± 3.9%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[223] October 9–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% 5 2,171 ± 2.1%
Monmouth University[224] October 9–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 5 406 ± 4.9%
CBS News/YouGov[225] September 21–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 9 1,087 ± 3.9%
Emerson College[30] September 9–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 34% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 6% 13 600 ± 3.9%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[226] September 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 9 1,275 ± 3%

Montana Montana[edit]

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 49%–47%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–42%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 27, 2016.

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Mason-Dixon[227] October 10–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 11% 10 1,003 ± 3.2%
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Green  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Montana State University Billings[228] October 3–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 27% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 16 590 ± 4.0%

Nebraska Nebraska[edit]

5 electoral votes (Statewide vote worth 2 EVs; 1st, 2nd, and 3rd congressional districts worth 1 EV each)
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 27, 2016.

Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Green  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Emerson College[229] September 25–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 29% Donald Trump 56% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 1% 27 700 ± 3.6%

Nevada Nevada[edit]

6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Aggregate polls Poll numbers verified as of October 27, 2016.

Two-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[212] October 31 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 45% 3 688 ± 3.7%
CNN/ORC[230] October 27 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 51% 6 790 ± 3.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[231] October 20–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 45% Tied 707 ±3.7%
CNN/ORC[232] October 10–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 46% 4 698 ± 3.5%
Clarity Campaign Labs[233] October 10–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 43% Tied 1,010 ± 3.1%
Public Policy Polling[234] October 10–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 43% 4 986 ± 3.1%
Fox News[235] September 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 46% 4 704 ± 3.5%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[236] September 10–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 46% 3 400 ± 4.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[9] September 6–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 44% 1 627 ± 3.9%
Public Policy Polling[237] September 6–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 42% 3 815 ± 3.4%

Three-way

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[238] November 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 3% 1 1,793 ± 2.31%
JMC Analytics/8 News NOW[239] October 28 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 4% Tied 600 ± 4.0%
CNN/ORC[230] October 27 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 5% 6 790 ± 3.5%
Remington Research/Axiom Strategies[240] October 23–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 48% Gary Johnson 4% 4 787 ± 3.49%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[231] October 20–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 10% Tied 707 ±3.7%
Las Vegas Review-Journal/Bendixen & Amandi International[241] October 20–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 6% 7 800 ± 3.5%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[242] October 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 4% 3 1,332 ± 2.68%
KTNV/Rasmussen Reports[243] October 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 6% 4 826 ± 3.5%
Monmouth University[244] October 14–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 7% 7 413 ± 4.8%
CNN/ORC[232] October 10–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 7% 2 698 ± 3.5%
CBS News/YouGov[245] October 12–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 4% 6 996 ± 4.5%
JMC Analytics/8 News NOW[246] October 10–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 4% 2 600 ± 4.0%
Public Opinion Strategies[247] October 11–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 10% 6 600 ± 4%
UNLV/Hart Research[248] September 27 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 8% 3 700 ± 3.8%
Las Vegas Review-Journal/Bendixen & Amandi International[249] September 27–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 5% 1 800 ± 3.5%
Fox News[235] September 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 8% 3 704 ± 3.5%
KTNV/Rasmussen Reports[250] September 16–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 11% 3 800 ± 4%
Insights West[26] September 12–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 6% 3 398 ± 4.9%
Monmouth University[251] September 11–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 8% 2 406 ± 4.9%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Insights West[12] November 4–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% Tied 387 ± 4.9%
Gravis Marketing[252] November 3–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 3% 2 1,158 ± 2.9%
Emerson College[215] November 4–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% 1 600 ± 3.9%
Trafalgar Group[253] November 1–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 50% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% 5 1,100 ± 3.02%
Emerson College[92] October 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 0% 2 550 ± 4.1%
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News Network[254] October 25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% Tied 875 ± 3.3%
Emerson College[24] October 2–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 4% Tied 700 ± 3.6%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[236] September 10–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 3% Tied 400 ± 4.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[9] September 6–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 1 627 ± 3.9%

Five-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % IAPN % Unaffiliated % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Suffolk University[255] September 27–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 7% Darrell Castle 1% Rocky De La Fuente 1% 6 500 ± 4.4%

New Hampshire New Hampshire[edit]

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 28, 2016.

Two-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
UMass Lowell/7News[256] October 28 – November 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 45% 1 695 ± 4.28%
Public Policy Polling[212] October 31 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 43% 5 781 ± 3.5%
MassInc/WBUR[257] October 29 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 44% 2 500 ± 4.4%
InsideSources/NH Journal[258] October 26–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 47% 1 408 ± 5.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[231] October 20–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 39% 8 768 ±3.5%
MassInc/WBUR[259] October 10–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 41% 5 501 ± 4.4%
Public Policy Polling[260] October 7–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 37% 11 600 ± 4%
MassInc/WBUR[261] September 27–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 38% 9 502 ± 4.4%
GBA Strategies[262] September 25–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 40% 6 600 ± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[9] September 6–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 41% 1 737 ± 3.6%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
University of New Hampshire[263] November 3–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 1% 11 701 ± 3.7%
Emerson College[215] November 4–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 3% 1 1,000 ± 3.0%
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News[264] November 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 2 1,001 ± 2.1%
American Research Group[265] October 31 – November 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 48% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% 5 600 ± 4.0%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe[266] October 31 – November 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% Tied 500 ± 4.4%
UMass Lowell/7News[256] October 28 – November 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% Tied 695 ± 4.28%
MassInc/WBUR[257] October 29 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 3% 1 500 ± 4.4%
University of New Hampshire/WMUR[267] October 26–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 1% 7 641 ± 3.9%
Emerson College[203] October 23–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 3 600 ± 3.9%
Monmouth University[268] October 22–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 1% 4 401 ± 4.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College[231] October 20–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 4% 9 768 ± 3.5%
UMass Amherst/WBZ Poll[269] October 17–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 5 772 ± 4.5%
Emerson College[222] October 17–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 6% 8 900 ± 3.2%
University of New Hampshire[270] October 11–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 2% 15 770 ± 3.5%
MassInc/WBUR[259] October 10–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 11% Jill Stein 3% 3 501 ± 4.4%
UMass Lowell/7News[271] October 7–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 2% 6 517 ± 4.9%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe[272] October 3–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% 2 500 ± 4.4%
MassInc/WBUR[261] September 27–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 13% Jill Stein 4% 7 502 ± 4.4%
GBA Strategies[262] September 25–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 11% Jill Stein 4% 7 600 ± 4.0%
American Research Group[273] September 20–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 1% 4 522 ± 4.2%
Monmouth University[274] September 17–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 1% 9 400 ± 4.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[9] September 6–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 15% Jill Stein 3% 2 737 ± 3.6%
Emerson College[64] September 3–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 14% Jill Stein 4% 5 600 ± 3.9%
Five-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Independent % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
InsideSources/NH Journal[258] October 26–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2% Evan McMullin 1% 2 408 ± 5.1%

New Jersey New Jersey[edit]

14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 24, 2016.

Two-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Fairleigh Dickinson University[275] October 12–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 40% 11 579 ± 4.3%
Stockton College[276] September 22–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 40% 6 638 ± 3.9%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Stockton University[277] October 27 – November 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% 11 678 ± 3.75%
Fairleigh Dickinson University[275] October 12–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 4% 14 293 ± 5.7%
Rutgers-Eagleton[278] September 6–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 29% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 4% 21 735 ± 3.8%
Emerson College[64] September 2–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 4 800 ± 3.4%

New Mexico New Mexico[edit]

5 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–43%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 24, 2016.

Two-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Research & Polling Inc[279] September 27–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 34% 10 501 ± 4.4%
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Green  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Zia Poll[280] November 6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 1% 2 8,439 ± 1.8%
Research & Polling Inc[281] November 1–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 11% Jill Stein 3% 5 504 ± 4.4%
Breitbart News/Gravis Marketing[282] November 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 11% Jill Stein 3% 8 1,327 ± 2.7%
Zia Poll[283] November 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 1% 3 1,102 ± 3.0%
Zia Poll[284] October 24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 2% 5 1,899 ± 2.25%
Zia Poll[285] October 11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 12% Jill Stein 2% 10 1,536 ± 2.5%
SurveyUSA[286] September 28 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 14% Jill Stein 2% 13 594 ± 4.1%
Research & Polling Inc[279] September 27–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 35% Donald Trump 31% Gary Johnson 24% Jill Stein 2% 4 501 ± 4.4%

New York (state) New York[edit]

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 63%–35%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 24, 2016.

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
NBC 4 New York/Wall Street Journal/Marist[287] September 21–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 57% Donald Trump 33% 24 676 ± 3.8%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian
Independence
% Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Siena College[288] November 3–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 17 617 ± 4.5%
Siena College[289] October 13–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 54% Donald Trump 30% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 4% 24 611 ± 4.6%
NBC 4 New York/Wall Street Journal/Marist[287] September 21–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 31% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 5% 21 676 ± 3.8%
Siena College[290] September 11–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 30% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 21 600 ± 5.0%

North Carolina North Carolina[edit]

15 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
(Republican in 2012) 50%–48%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 24, 2016.

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[66] November 3–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 45% 3 870 ± 3.3%
Public Policy Polling[212] October 31 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 47% 2 1,169 ± 2.9%
Quinnipiac University[68] October 27 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 46% 2 602 ± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[291] October 25–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 44% 6 780 ± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University[111] October 20–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 44% 6 702 ± 3.7%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College[292] October 20–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 41% 8 792 ± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling[293] October 21–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 46% 3 875 ± 3.3%
Ipsos/Reuters[294] October 6–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 43% 2 1,233 ± 3.2%
Time Warner Cable News/SurveyUSA[295] October 14–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 46% 2 651 ± 3.9%
CNN/ORC[296] October 10–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 48% 2 788 ± 3.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[297] October 10–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 43% 5 743 ± 3.6%
Bloomberg/Selzer[298] September 29 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 45% 1 805 ± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University[78] September 27 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 46% 3 507 ± 4.4%
Public Policy Polling[46] September 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 45% 4 861 ± 3.3%
Fox News[299] September 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 47% 5 734 ± 3.9%
Public Policy Polling[300] September 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 47% Tied 1,024 ± 3.1%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[236] September 10–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 45% 3 400 ± 4.9%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
New York Times Upshot/Siena College[301] November 4–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 3% Tied 800 ± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University[66] November 3–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 3% 2 870 ± 3.3%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[302] November 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 48% Gary Johnson 3% 3 2,596 ± 1.92%
Quinnipiac University[68] October 27 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 3% 3 602 ± 4.0%
WRAL-TV News/SurveyUSA[303] October 28–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 51% Gary Johnson 3% 7 659 ±3.9%
Remington Research/Axiom Strategies[304] October 23–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 2% 2 1,176 ± 2.85%
Emerson College[92] October 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 4% 3 650 ± 3.8%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[291] October 25–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 8% 6 780 ± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University[111] October 20–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 5% 4 702 ± 3.7%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College[292] October 20–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 8% 7 792 ± 3.5%
Monmouth University[305] October 20–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 4% 1 402 ± 4.9%
Public Policy Polling[293] October 21–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 4% 3 875 ± 3.3%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[306] October 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 3% 3 1,746 ± 2.33%
Civitas[307] October 14–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 5% 2 600 ± 4.0%
Time Warner Cable News/SurveyUSA[295] October 14–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 6% 2 651 ± 3.9%
CNN/ORC[296] October 10–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 4% 1 788 ± 3.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[297] October 10–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 9% 4 743 ± 3.6%
Suffolk University[308] October 10–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 5% 2 500 ± 4.4%
High Point University[309] October 1–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 8% 1 479 ± 4.5%
WRAL-TV/SurveyUSA[310] September 29 – October 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 5% 2 656 ± 3.9%
Quinnipiac University[78] September 27 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 7% 3 507 ± 4.4%
Public Policy Polling[46] September 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 7% 2 861 ± 3.3%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[311] September 23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 7% 1 694 ± 3.7%
Meredith College[312] September 18–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 6% 3 487 ± 4.43%
High Point University[313] September 17–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 10% 1 404 ± 4.9%
Fox News[299] September 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 6% 5 734 ± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling[300] September 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 6% 2 1,024 ± 3.1%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College[314] September 16–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 11% Tied 782 ± 3.6%
Civitas[315] September 11–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 5% Tied 600 ± 4%
Suffolk University[316] September 5–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 4% 3 500 ± 4.4%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Green  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Breitbart News/Gravis Marketing[317] November 1–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 2% 3 1,250 ± 2.8%
Trafalgar Group[318] October 27 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 0% 5 1,154 ± 2.88%
CBS News/YouGov[319] October 26–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 0% 3 992 ± 4.1%
Elon University[320] October 23–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% 1 710 ± 3.7%
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News Network[321] October 25–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 1% Jill Stein 1% 2 1,273 ± 2.8%
Ipsos/Reuters[294] October 6–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% 2 1,233 ± 3.2%
Emerson College[322] October 10–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 3% 4 600 ± 3.9%
Bloomberg/Selzer[298] September 29 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 1 805 ± 3.5%
Elon University[323] September 27–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 0% 6 660 ± 3.81%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[236] September 10–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 3% 4 400 ± 4.9%
Elon University[324] September 12–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 0% 1 644 ± 3.86%

North Dakota North Dakota[edit]

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 58%–39%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 20, 2016.

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green Party % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
DFM Research[325] September 12–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 32% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 1% 11 400 4.9%

Ohio Ohio[edit]

18 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–48%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 20, 2016.

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Columbus Dispatch[326] October 27 – November 5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 47% 1 1,151 ±2.9%
Quinnipiac University[68] October 27 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 47% 3 589 ± 4.0%
Quinnipiac University[45] October 10–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 48% 1 624 ± 3.9%
CNN/ORC[327] October 10–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 50% 3 774 ± 3.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[297] October 10–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 45% Tied 724 ± 3.6%
Ipsos/Reuters[328] October 6–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 41% 3 1,200 ±3.2%
Baldwin Wallace University[329] October 9–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 38% 10 1,152 ± 3%
Public Policy Polling[330] October 5–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 47% 1 872 ± 3.5%
TargetSmart/William and Mary[331] October 3–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 43% 3 812 ± %
Anzalone Liszt Grove[332] September 27 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 44% 2 800 ± 3.46%
Quinnipiac University[78] September 27 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 49% 3 497 ± 4.4%
Target Smart/William & Mary[333] September 15–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 40% 3 652 ± %
Fox News[334] September 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 45% 5 737 ± 3.5%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[236] September 10–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 46% Tied 400 ± 4.9%
Bloomberg/Selzer[335] September 9–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 48% 5 802 ± 3.5%
CNN/ORC[336] September 7–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 50% 4 769 ± 3.5%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[337] November 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 4% 1 2,557 ± 1.94%
Remington Research/Axiom Strategies[338] October 23–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 48% Gary Johnson 3% 5 1,187 ± 2.84%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[339] October 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 4% 4 1,971 ± 2.2%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Green  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Emerson College[215] November 4–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 3% 7 900 ± 3.2%
CBS News/YouGov[340] November 2–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 2% 1 1,189 ± 4.1%
TargetSmart/William and Mary[341] October 31 – November 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 3 844 ± %
Quinnipiac University[68] October 27 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 5 589 ± 4.0%
Emerson College[92] October 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 1% Tied 800 ± 3.4%
Trafalgar Group[342] October 24–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 2% Jill Stein 1% 5 1150 ± 2.89%
Quinnipiac University[45] October 10–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 1% Tied 624 ± 3.9%
CNN/ORC[327] October 10–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 48% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2% 4 774 ± 3.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[297] October 10–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 4% 1 724 ± 3.6%
Emerson College[322] October 10–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 2 600 ± 3.9%
Ipsos/Reuters[328] October 6–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 2% 4 1,200 ± 3.2%
Baldwin Wallace University[329] October 9–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 3% 9 1,152 ± 3%
CBS News/YouGov[343] October 5–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 4 997 ± 3.9%
Public Policy Polling[330] October 5–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 1 872 ± 3.5%
TargetSmart/William and Mary[331] October 3–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% 2 812 ± %
Monmouth University[344] October 1–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% 2 405 ± 4.9%
Anzalone Liszt Grove[332] September 27 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 1% 2 800 ± 3.46%
Quinnipiac University[78] September 27 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 1% 5 497 ± 4.4%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[345] September 22–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 1% 1 850 ± 3.4%
Target Smart/William & Mary[333] September 15–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 2% 3 652 ± %
Fox News[334] September 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 5 737 ± 3.5%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[236] September 10–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 11% Jill Stein 4% 2 400 ± 4.9%
Bloomberg/Selzer[335] September 9–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 3% 5 802 ± 3.5%
CNN/ORC[336] September 7–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 2% 5 769 ± 3.5%
CBS News/YouGov[346] September 7–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 7 994 ± 3.9%

Five-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Green  % Independent  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Suffolk University[347] October 17–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 2% Jill Stein 1% Richard Duncan 1% Tied 500 ± 4.4%
Suffolk University[348] September 12–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% Richard Duncan 1% 3 500 ± 4.4%

Oklahoma Oklahoma[edit]

7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 66%–34%
(Republican in 2012) 67%–33%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 20, 2016.

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
SoonerPoll[349] October 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 30% Donald Trump 60% Gary Johnson 5% 30 530 ± 4.26%
SoonerPoll[350] September 13–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 51% Gary Johnson 6% 15 515 ± 4.32%

Oregon Oregon[edit]

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–42%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 20, 2016.

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Green  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Fox 12/Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall, Inc.[351] October 24–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2% 7 504 ± 4.4%
Riley Research/KGW[352] October 4–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 5% 10 608 ± 3.97%
DHM Research[353] October 6–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 5% 7 600 ± 4.0%
KATU-TV/SurveyUSA[354] October 10–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 4% 10 654 ± 3.9%
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News[355] October 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2% 8 1,248 ± 2.8%
Hoffman Research[356] September 29 – October 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 12 605 ± 4%
iCitizen[357] September 2–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 28% Gary Johnson 11% Jill Stein 3% 15 610 ± 4.0%
DHM Research[358] September 1–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 25% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 3% 13 517 ± 4.3%

Pennsylvania Pennsylvania[edit]

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–47%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 28, 2016.

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[359] October 30 – November 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 42% 6 420 ± 5.5%
Public Policy Polling[212] October 31 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 44% 4 1,050 ± 3.0%
CNN/ORC[360] October 27 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 46% 5 799 ± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University[68] October 27 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 44% 6 612 ± 4.0%
Gravis Marketing/One America News Network[361] October 31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 49% 2 2,606 ± 1.9%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[362] October 20–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 41% 5 420 ± 5.5%
Ipsos/Reuters[363] October 6–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 39% 6 1,467 ±2.9%
Quinnipiac University[45] October 10–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 45% 6 660 ± 3.8%
Bloomberg/Selzer[364] October 7–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 42% 9 806 ± 3.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[76] October 3–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 39% 12 709 ± 3.7%
Quinnipiac University[78] September 27 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 43% 5 535 ± 4.2%
Public Policy Polling[46] September 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 44% 5 886 ± 3.3%
CNN/ORC[365] September 20–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 47% 3 771 ± 3.5%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[366] September 19–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 41% 3 486 ± 5.0%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[236] September 10–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 42% 9 400 ± 4.9%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[367] September 12–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 38% 9 405 ± 5.5%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[368] November 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 4% 1 2,683 ± 1.89%
Remington Research/Axiom Strategies[369] October 23–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 3% 2 1,249 ± 2.77%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[370] October 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 5% 3 1,997 ± 2.19%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Green  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Gravis Marketing[371] November 3–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 6 1,220 ± 2.8%
Trafalgar Group[372] November 3–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 48% Gary Johnson 2% Jill Stein 1% 1 1,300 ± 2.68%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[359] October 30 – November 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 4 405 ± 5.5%
Harper Polling[373] November 2–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 2% Jill Stein 1% Tied 504 ± 4.4%
Breitbart News/Gravis Marketing[374] November 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 2% Jill Stein 2% 2 1,016 ± 3.1%
Susquehanna Polling & Research, Inc[375] October 31 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 2% Jill Stein 2% 2 681 ± 3.76%
Monmouth University[376] October 29 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% 4 403 ± 4.9%
CNN/ORC[360] October 27 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 3% 4 799 ± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University[68] October 27 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 3% 5 612 ± 4.0%
Gravis Marketing/One America News Network[361] October 31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 2% 1 2,606 ± 1.9%
Franklin & Marshall College[377] October 26–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2% 11 652 ± 5.1%
Breitbart News/Gravis Marketing[378] October 25–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 2% 3 3,217 ± 1.7%
CBS News/YouGov[379] October 26–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 8 1,091 ± 3.7%
Emerson College[203] October 25–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 0% 5 550 ± 4.1%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[362] October 20–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 2% 6 420 ± 5.5%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College[380] October 23–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 3% 7 824 ± 3.4%
Emerson College[222] October 17–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 4% 4 800 ± 3.4%
Ipsos/Reuters[363] October 6–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 7 1,467 ± 2.9%
Quinnipiac University[45] October 10–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 1% 6 660 ± 3.8%
Bloomberg/Selzer[364] October 7–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 4% 9 806 ± 3.5%
Lucid/The Times-Picayune[381] October 7–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 7 1,747 ± %
Susquehanna Polling & Research, Inc[382] October 4–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2% 4 764 ± 3.5%
CBS News/YouGov[343] October 5–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2% 8 997 ± 4.2%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[76] October 3–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 4% 12 709 ± 3.7%
Monmouth University[383] September 30 – October 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 10 402 ± 4.9%
Franklin & Marshall College[384] September 28 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 0% 9 496 ± 6.1%
Quinnipiac University[78] September 27 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 4 535 ± 4.2%
Public Policy Polling[46] September 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 6 886 ± 3.3%
CNN/ORC[365] September 20–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 3% 1 771 ± 3.5%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[385] September 23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 3% 3 949 ± 3.2%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[366] September 19–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 2 486 ± 5.0%
Mercyhurst University[386] September 12–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 3% 1 420 ± 4.8%
Harper Polling[387] September 21–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 1% 2 500 ± 4.4%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[236] September 10–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 3% 8 400 ± 4.9%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[367] September 12–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 14% Jill Stein 5% 8 405 ± 5.5%

Rhode Island Rhode Island[edit]

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–35%
(Democratic in 2012) 63%–35%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 28, 2016.

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Emerson College[24] October 2–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 5% 20 600 ± 3.9%
Emerson College[64] September 2–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 4% 3 800 ± 3.4%

South Carolina South Carolina[edit]

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–44%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 28, 2016.

Three-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Starboard Communications[388] September 7–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 35% Donald Trump 48% Gary Johnson 7% 13 600 ± 4.8%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Green  % Independent  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Starboard Communications[389] October 30–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 3% Evan McMullin 1% 11 600 ± 4.4%
Winthrop University[390] September 18–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 3% 4 475 ± 4.5%
Trafalgar Group[391] September 6–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 53% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% 15 1,247 ± 2.77%

South Dakota South Dakota[edit]

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 58%–40%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 28, 2016.

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Mason-Dixon[392] October 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 7% 7 400 5.0%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Other candidate % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Nielson Brothers Polling[393] October 24–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 35% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 7% Darrell Castle 1% 14 600 4%
Remington Research Group[394] October 19–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 48% Gary Johnson 6% Darrell Castle 2% 11 1,115 2.93%

Tennessee Tennessee[edit]

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 59%–39%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 28, 2016.

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
MTSU[395] September 28 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 50% 10 472 ± 5.0%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Green  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
iCitizen[396] October 14–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 34% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 10 508 ± 4.4%
MTSU[395] September 28 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 50% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% 12 472 ± 5.0%
Vanderbilt University[397] September 19 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 33% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 1% 11 1000 ± 3.4%

Texas Texas[edit]

38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2012) 57%–41%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 28, 2016.

Two-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[6] October 30 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 49% 8 679 ± 3.8%
Texas Lyceum[398] September 1–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 42% 6 502 ± 4.37%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Austin American-Statesman/Crosswind[399] October 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 7% 7 800 ± 3.5%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Green  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Emerson College[400] October 31 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 35% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 4% 14 700 ± 3.6%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[6] October 30 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 9 679 ± 3.8%
KTVT-CBS 11/Dixie Strategies Poll[401] October 27–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 52% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 0% 13 980 ± 3.13%
Texas Tribune/University of Texas[402] October 14–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 3 959 ± 3.16%
CBS News/YouGov[403] October 20–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 46% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% 3 1,031 ± 4.4%
University of Houston[404] October 7–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% 3 1,000 ± 3.0%
SurveyUSA/TEGNA[405] October 10–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 47% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% 4 638 ± 4.0%
KTVT-CBS 11/Dixie Strategies Poll[406] September 29 – October 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% 7 780 ± 3.5%
Texas Lyceum[398] September 1–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 32% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 3% 7 502 ± 4.37%
Emerson College[407] September 7–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 6% 6 700 ± 3.6%

Utah Utah[edit]

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 62%–34%
(Republican in 2012) 73%–25%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 28, 2016.

Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Independent % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Trafalgar Group[408] November 3–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 30% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 4% Evan McMullin 25% 10 1,352 ± 2.67%
Rasmussen Reports[409] October 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 31% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 3% Evan McMullin 21% 11 750 ± 4.0%
Rasmussen Reports[410] October 23–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 28% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 4% Evan McMullin 29% 3 750 ± 4.0%
Five-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Independent % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Y2 Analytics[411] November 1–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 24% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 3% Evan McMullin 28% 5 500 ± 4.38%
Emerson College[400] November 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 20% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 2% Evan McMullin 28% 12 1,000 ± 3.0%
Monmouth University[412] October 30 – November 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 31% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% Evan McMullin 24% 6 402 ± 4.9%
Gravis Marketing[413] October 30–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 29% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% Evan McMullin 24% 6 1,424 ± 2.6%
Dan Jones & Associates[414] October 20–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 24% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% Evan McMullin 30% 2 823 ± 3.42%
Emerson College[222] October 17–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 24% Donald Trump 27% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 0% Evan McMullin 31% 4 700 ± 3.6%
Rasmussen Reports[415] October 15–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 28% Donald Trump 30% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% Evan McMullin 29% 1 750 ± 4.0%
CBS News/YouGov[416] October 12–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 20% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 1% Evan McMullin 20% 17 951 ± 5.7%
Monmouth University[417] October 10–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 28% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 1% Evan McMullin 20% 6 403 ± 4.9%
Y2 Analytics[418][419] October 10–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 26% Donald Trump 26% Gary Johnson 14% Jill Stein 1% Evan McMullin 22% Tied 500 ± 4.4%
Dan Jones & Associates[420] September 12–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 25% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 13% Jill Stein 1% Evan McMullin 12% 9 820 ± 3.4%
Six-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Constitution % Independent % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Dan Jones & Associates[421] October 12–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 25% Donald Trump 30% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% Darrell Castle 1% Evan McMullin 29% 1 818 ± 3.97%
Dan Jones & Associates[422] September 1–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 24% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 13% Jill Stein 0% Darrell Castle 2% Evan McMullin 9% 15 605 ± 3.98%

Vermont Vermont[edit]

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 67%–30%
(Democratic in 2012) 67%–31%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 28, 2016.

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
RRH Elections[423] October 24–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 26% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 26 1,052 ± 3.0%
WCAX[424] October 19–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 22% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 5% 28 603 ± 3.99%
Castleton University/Vermont Public Radio[425] September 29 – October 14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 17% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 3% 28 650 ± 3.9%
Emerson College[64] September 2–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 26% Gary Johnson 13% Jill Stein 7% 21 600 ± 3.9%

Virginia Virginia[edit]

13 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–47%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 28, 2016.

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[43] November 3–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 45% 6 1,238 ± 2.8%
Roanoke College[426] October 29 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 40% 9 654 ± 3.8%
Washington Post/Schar School[427] October 27–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 45% 6 1,024 ± 3.5%
Hampton University[428] October 26–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 44% 3 802 ± 4.57%
Winthrop University[429] October 23–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 43% 6 712 ± 3.6%
Quinnipiac University[111] October 20–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 53% Donald Trump 40% 13 749 ± 3.6%
Hampton University[430] September 28 – October 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 34% 12 800 ± 4.4%
Public Policy Polling[46] September 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 43% 6 811 ± 3.4%
Christopher Newport University[431] September 15–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 38% 10 1,003 ± 3.9%
Quinnipiac University[48] September 13–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 43% 7 659 ± 3.8%
Roanoke College[432] September 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 40% 11 841 ± 3.4%
University of Mary Washington[433] September 6–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 41% 5 685 ± 4.4%
Public Policy Polling[434] September 9–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 42% 8 878 ± 3.3%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[435] November 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 4% 2 3,076 ± 1.77%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[436] October 23–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 3% 5 1,106 ± 2.94%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[437] October 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 3% 5 1,787 ± 2.31%
Emerson College[322] October 10–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 6% 3 600 ± 3.9%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Green  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Breitbart News/Gravis Marketing[438] November 1–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% 5 1,362 ± 2.7%
Emerson College[131] October 28–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 45% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% 4 800 ± 3.4%
Washington Post/Schar School[427] October 27–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 6 1,024 ± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University[111] October 20–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2% 12 749 ± 3.6%
Public Policy Polling[46] September 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 1% 6 811 ± 3.4%
CBS News/YouGov[439] September 21–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 1% 8 1,237 ± 3.3%
Quinnipiac University[48] September 13–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 1% 6 659 ± 3.8%
Roanoke College[432] September 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 1% 7 841 ± 3.4%
Public Policy Polling[434] September 9–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2% 6 878 ± 3.3%

Five-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Green  % Independent  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Christopher Newport University[440] November 1–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein <1% Evan McMullin 2% 6 1,193 ± 3.6%
Public Policy Polling[43] November 3–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% Evan McMullin 1% 5 1,238 ± 2.8%
Roanoke College[426] October 29 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% Evan McMullin 1% 7 654 ± 3.8%
Winthrop University[429] October 23–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% Evan McMullin 2% 5 712 ± 3.6%
Christopher Newport University[441] October 23–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 1% Evan McMullin 1% 7 814 ± 4.2%
Christopher Newport University[442] October 16–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 1% Evan McMullin 3% 12 834 ± 3.9%
Tarrance Group[443] October 12–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1% Evan McMullin 2% 9 500 ± 4.1%
Christopher Newport University[444] October 11–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 29% Gary Johnson 11% Jill Stein 2% Evan McMullin 3% 15 809 ± 3.6%
Roanoke College[445] October 2–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 1% Evan McMullin 1% 9 814 ± 3.4%
Christopher Newport University[446] September 27–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 12% Jill Stein 1% Evan McMullin 2% 7 892 ± 3.7%
Christopher Newport University[431] September 15–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 15% Jill Stein 3% Evan McMullin 3% 6 1,003 ± 3.9%
University of Mary Washington[433] September 6–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 1% Evan McMullin 3% 3 685 ± 4.4%

Washington (state) Washington[edit]

12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 28, 2016.

Two-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Insights West[12] November 4–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 55% Donald Trump 39% 16 402 ± 4.9%
KCTS 9/YouGov[447] October 6–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 53% Donald Trump 39% 14 750 ± 4.4%
Strategies 360[448] September 29 – October 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 33% 17 500 ± 4.4%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Green  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
SurveyUSA[449] October 31 – November 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 2% 12 681 ± 3.8%
Elway Poll[450] October 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 31% Gary Johnson 1% Jill Stein 1% 17 502 ± 4.5%
Strategies 360[448] September 29 – October 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 31% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 4% 16 500 ± 4.4%
Emerson College[229] September 25–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 5% 6 700 ± 3.6%
Insights West[26] September 12–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 16% Jill Stein 6% 12 505 ± 4.4%

West Virginia West Virginia[edit]

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2012) 62%–36%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 28, 2016.

Two-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Garin-Hart-Yang[451] September 13–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 28% Donald Trump 60% 32 500 ± 5.0%
Three-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Just Win Strategies[452] September 8–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 30% Donald Trump 57% Gary Johnson 4% 27 600 ± 4%

Wisconsin Wisconsin[edit]

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–46%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 28, 2016.

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[212] October 31 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 41% 7 891 ± 3.3%
Loras College[453] October 31 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% 2 500 ± 4.4%
Public Policy Polling[454] October 18–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 38% 12 804 ± 3.9%
Marquette University[455] October 6–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 42% 4 878 ± 3.9%
Marquette University[456] September 15–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% 2 677 ± 4.8%

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[457] November 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 3% 8 2,720 ± 1.88%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[458] October 23–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 4% 4 1,172 ± 2.86%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[459] October 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 41% Gary Johnson 5% 5 1,795 ± 2.31%

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Libertarian  % Green  % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Loras College[453] October 31 – November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 2% 6 500 ± 4.4%
Marquette University[460] October 26–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 3% 6 1,190 ± 3.5%
Emerson College[92] October 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 1% 5 400 ± 4.9%
McLaughlin & Associates[461] October 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% 5 600 ± 4.0%
Monmouth University[462] October 15–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 1% 7 403 ± 4.9%
St Norbert College[463] October 13–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 1% Jill Stein 3% 8 664 ± 3.8%
Marquette University[455] October 6–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 3% 7 878 ± 3.9%
Loras College[464] October 5–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 8% Jill Stein 2% 8 500 ± 4.4%
CBS News/YouGov[343] October 5–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% 4 993 ± 4.3%
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News[465] October 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% 8 1,102 ± 3.0%
Emerson College[136] September 19–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 11% Jill Stein 2% 7 700 ± 3.6%
Marquette University[456] September 15–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 11% Jill Stein 2% 3 677 ± 4.8%

Wyoming Wyoming[edit]

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 65%–33%
(Republican in 2012) 69%–28%

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of October 28, 2016.

Four-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green Party % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Wyoming Survey and Analysis Center[466] October 5–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 20% Donald Trump 58% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 2% 38 722 ± 3.6%
DFM Research[467] September 6–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 19% Donald Trump 54% Gary Johnson 10% Jill Stein 2% 35 402 ± 4.9%

See also[edit]

General election polling
Democratic primary polling
Republican primary polling
Older polling

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ These results reflect only polls done on or after September 1, 2016.

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Trump Support Slipping Slightly in Alabama". Strategy Research. News-5 WKRG. September 29, 2016. Retrieved October 14, 2016. 
  2. ^ a b "New poll shows Trump leading in the presidential race in Alaska, but not by much". Alaska Survey Research. Alaska Dispatch News. October 9, 2016. Retrieved October 9, 2016. 
  3. ^ "New Poll Shows Clinton Leads Trump by 4 Points in Alaska" (PDF). Carciun Research. Retrieved October 29, 2016. 
  4. ^ Reynolds, Casey. "MIDNIGHT SUN EXCLUSIVE: New Poll Shows Trump-Clinton Tied In Alaska". The Midnight Sun. Lake Research Partners. Retrieved 17 October 2016. 
  5. ^ "Murkowski Polling Data Shows Clinton Down Only 3 Points In Alaska". Moore Information. The Midnight Sun. October 7, 2016. Retrieved October 8, 2016. 
  6. ^ a b c d e f "Polls: Trump Ahead in Arizona and Texas, Deadlocked in Georgia". Wall Street Journal/Marist College. NBC News. November 3, 2016. Retrieved November 4, 2016. 
  7. ^ a b "CNN/ORC International Poll Arizona" (PDF). ORC International. CNN. November 2, 2016. Retrieved November 3, 2016. 
  8. ^ a b "State Poll: Arizona". Reuters. Ipsos. October 19, 2016. Retrieved October 25, 2016. 
  9. ^ a b c d e f g h "Clinton, Trump Deadlocked in Battleground States: Polls". Marist. NBC News/Wall Street Journal. September 11, 2016. Retrieved September 11, 2016. 
  10. ^ "Clinton and Trump Tied in New Arizona Poll". Data Orbital. October 14, 2016. Retrieved October 15, 2016. 
  11. ^ "Trump Leads Arizona by Narrow Margin". Data Orbital. September 26, 2016. Retrieved September 26, 2016. 
  12. ^ a b c d "Clinton is Ahead of Trump as U.S. Presidential Election Approaches". Insights West. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 22, 2016. 
  13. ^ "Arizona Statewide Poll Results" (PDF). Data Orbital. November 4, 2016. 
  14. ^ "Arizona Survey of 2,229 registered likely voters conducted October 29-31". Saguaro Strategies. November 3, 2016. Retrieved November 4, 2016. 
  15. ^ a b c d "Emerson College Polls: Colorado Flips to Clinton While Trump Takes Back Arizona and Puts Georgia and Missouri Out of Reach. Blunt/Kander tied in MO Senate Race." (PDF). Emerson College. November 2, 2016. Retrieved November 2, 2016. 
  16. ^ "Arizona Statewide Poll Results" (PDF). Data Orbital. November 1, 2016. Retrieved November 1, 2016. 
  17. ^ "CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker Arizona" (PDF). YouGov. CBS News. October 30, 2016. Retrieved October 30, 2016. 
  18. ^ "Arizona Statewide Poll Results" (PDF). Data Orbital. October 28, 2016. Retrieved October 29, 2016. 
  19. ^ "Arizona Survey of 2,385 likely voters conducted October 22-24, 2016". Saguaro Strategies. October 27, 2016. Retrieved October 28, 2016. 
  20. ^ "Clinton, Trump Neck and Neck; McCain on Track for Reelection". Monmouth University. October 25, 2016. Retrieved October 25, 2016. 
  21. ^ "Arizona Statewide Poll Results" (PDF). Data Orbital. October 20, 2016. Retrieved October 21, 2016. 
  22. ^ "Poll: Clinton up 5 points over Trump in Arizona". www.azcentral.com. October 19, 2016. Retrieved October 19, 2016. 
  23. ^ "Latest Poll Shows Arizona is Officially a Battleground State". Highground Public Affairs Consultant. October 17, 2016. Retrieved October 18, 2016. 
  24. ^ a b c d "Emerson College Poll Clinton and Trump Keep It Close in Florida, Nevada and Arizona but Clinton Surges in Rhode Island. GOP Could Lock Up Three Senate Seats" (PDF). Emerson College. October 6, 2016. Retrieved October 6, 2016. 
  25. ^ "Arizona is a Statistical Dead Heat for President". OH Predictive Insights. October 6, 2016. Retrieved October 7, 2016. 
  26. ^ a b c d "Trump Leads in Arizona and Nevada, Clinton in California and Washington". www.insightswest.com. September 21, 2016. Retrieved September 21, 2016. 
  27. ^ "Trump, Boozman maintain big leads in Arkansas" (PDF). University of Arkansas. November 2, 2016. Retrieved November 3, 2016. 
  28. ^ "Trump, Boozman maintain big leads in Arkansas". Hendrix College. October 24, 2016. Retrieved October 24, 2016. 
  29. ^ "Poll: Donald Trump extends lead over Hillary Clinton in Arkansas". Hendrix College. September 22, 2016. Retrieved September 22, 2016. 
  30. ^ a b c d "Emerson Poll: Trump Leads Clinton Nationally; Arkansas, Georgia, Missouri Remain Red; Colorado is Leaning Trump; Pneumonia Diagnosis Appears to Be Hurting Clinton" (PDF). Emerson College. September 15, 2016. Retrieved September 15, 2016. 
  31. ^ a b "USC Dornsife College of Letters, Arts, and Sciences/Los Angeles Times Frequency Questionnaire". Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research. Los Angeles Times/USC Dornsife. November 4, 2016. Retrieved November 5, 2016. 
  32. ^ a b "Clinton holds wide lead in California; third-party candidates are strong among younger voters". USC Dornsife. Los Angeles Times. September 12, 2016. Retrieved September 12, 2016. 
  33. ^ "Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #23322" (PDF). SurveyUSA. KABC. November 1, 2016. Retrieved November 1, 2016. 
  34. ^ "Poll says Clinton cruising to victory in California, but may not match Obama". UC Berkeley's Institute of Governmental Studies/YouGov. Field Research. November 2, 2016. 
  35. ^ "PPIC STATEWIDE SURVEY OCTOBER 2016" (PDF). Public Policy Institute of California. October 27, 2016. Retrieved October 27, 2016. 
  36. ^ "On Eve of Final Presidential Debate, Trump in California Risks Getting Smaller Percentage of Popular Vote Than Any Republican Candidate in the Past 100 Years; Recreational Marijuana Prop 64 Still Leads Ever-So-Slightly; Harris Safe:". SurveyUSA. KABC. October 17, 2016. Retrieved October 18, 2016. 
  37. ^ "Hoover Institution Golden State Poll" (PDF). YouGov. Hoover Institution. November 1, 2016. Retrieved November 1, 2016. 
  38. ^ "General Election October 2016 Survey of Californians" (PDF). CALSPEAKS Opinion Research Center at the Institute for Social Research. Sacramento State University. October 28, 2016. Retrieved October 29, 2016. 
  39. ^ "Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #23178" (PDF). SurveyUSA. KABC. September 29, 2016. Retrieved September 30, 2016. 
  40. ^ "PPIC STATEWIDE SURVEY SEPTEMBER 2016" (PDF). Public Policy Institute of California. Retrieved September 21, 2016. 
  41. ^ "CLINTON'S LEAD IN CALIFORNIA SLIPS AS HER IMAGE AMONG VOTERS DECLINES" (PDF). UC Berkeley's Institute of Governmental Studies/YouGov. Field Research. September 20, 2016. Retrieved September 20, 2016. 
  42. ^ "In California, Immediately Prior to Pneumonia Reveal, Clinton Far Ahead of Trump; Harris Atop Sanchez in Fight for Boxer's Open Senate Seat; Death Penalty Likely to Survive, But Ballot Measures on Recreational Marijuana, Background Checks & New Cigarette Tax Ahead At This Hour". SurveyUSA. September 12, 2016. Retrieved September 12, 2016. 
  43. ^ a b c d e f "Clinton Leads by 5 in Colorado, Michigan, Virginia" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. November 4, 2016. Retrieved November 5, 2016. 
  44. ^ a b "Colorado Election and Issues" (PDF). University of Denver. November 2, 2016. 
  45. ^ a b c d e f g h "INDEPENDENTS PUT CLINTON UP IN FLORIDA, COLORADO, PENNSYLVANIA AND TIED IN OHIO, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY SWING STATE POLL FINDS" (PDF). Quinnipiac University. October 17, 2016. Retrieved October 18, 2016. 
  46. ^ a b c d e f g h i j "Clinton Leads in Key Battlegrounds; Seen As Big Debate Winner" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. Vote Vets.org Action Fund. September 29, 2016. Retrieved September 29, 2016. 
  47. ^ a b "CNN/ORC International Colorado" (PDF). ORC International. CNN. September 26, 2016. Retrieved September 26, 2016. 
  48. ^ a b c d e f g h "TRUMP NARROWS GAP IN COLORADO, VIRGINIA, PULLS AHEAD IN GEORGIA, IOWA, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY SWING STATE POLL FINDS" (PDF). Quinnipiac University. September 22, 2016. Retrieved September 22, 2016. 
  49. ^ a b "The Presidential Race in Colorado" (PDF). Franklin & Marshall College. Colorado Mesa University. September 22, 2016. Retrieved September 22, 2016. 
  50. ^ "COLORADO STATEWIDE 2016" (PDF). Remington Research Group/ Axiom Strategies. Huffington Post. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 7, 2016. 
  51. ^ "COLORADO STATEWIDE 2016" (PDF). Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies. Real Clear Politics. October 31, 2016. Retrieved October 31, 2016. 
  52. ^ "COLORADO STATEWIDE 2016" (PDF). Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies. Huffington Post. October 25, 2016. Retrieved October 25, 2016. 
  53. ^ "CO Presidential Election Survey" (PDF). Trafalgar Group. November 4, 2016. 
  54. ^ "Current Colorado Polling". Gravis Marketing. Breitbart News. November 3, 2016. Retrieved November 5, 2016. 
  55. ^ "COLORADO 2016 PRESIDENTIAL VOTER OPINION SURVEY" (PDF). Magellan Strategies. November 3, 2016. Retrieved November 4, 2016. 
  56. ^ "Exclusive–Breitbart/Gravis Poll: Clinton Opens Lead Over Trump 44-39 in Colorado, Gains 5 Points in a Week". Gravis Marketing. Breitbart News. October 15, 2016. Retrieved October 16, 2016. 
  57. ^ "Exclusive – Breitbart/Gravis Colorado Poll: Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton Tied in Key Western Battleground State". Gravis Marketing. Breitbart News. October 8, 2016. Retrieved October 9, 2016. 
  58. ^ "Clinton maintains double digit lead". Monmouth University. Retrieved October 3, 2016. 
  59. ^ "Colorado Presidential Tracking Poll–September 27-29, 2016" (PDF). Keating Research. Huffington Post. October 3, 2016. Retrieved October 4, 2016. 
  60. ^ "Current Colorado Polling". Gravis Marketing. Breitbart. September 25, 2016. Retrieved September 25, 2016. 
  61. ^ "Colorado" (PDF). YouGov. CBS News. September 25, 2016. Retrieved September 25, 2016. 
  62. ^ "Clinton holds a 5 point lead in Colorado; Bennet up by 11 points" (PDF). Keating Research. November 4, 2016. Retrieved November 5, 2016. 
  63. ^ "CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker Colorado" (PDF). YouGov. CBS News. October 30, 2016. Retrieved October 30, 2016. 
  64. ^ a b c d e f g "Polls: Trump Threatens to Flip New Jersey, Rhode Island; Clinton Leads in New England States". www.peoplespunditdaily.com. Retrieved September 7, 2016. 
  65. ^ "New survey: Clinton leads Trump 51% to 30% among likely voters in Delaware Trump leads Sussex County, but far behind in New Castle County" (PDF). Center for Political Communication. University of Delaware. October 3, 2016. Retrieved October 4, 2016. 
  66. ^ a b c d "FLORIDA AND NORTH CAROLINA TOO CLOSE TO CALL, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY SWING STATE POLL FINDS; RUBIO UP IN FLORIDA, NORTH CAROLINA SENATE RACE TIED" (PDF). Quinnipiac University. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 7, 2016. 
  67. ^ a b "CNN/ORC International Poll Florida" (PDF). ORC International. CNN. November 2, 2016. Retrieved November 3, 2016. 
  68. ^ a b c d e f g h "Clinton Up In Pennsylvania, As Trump Moves Up In Ohio, With Florida And North Carolina Too Close To Call, Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll Finds" (PDF). Quinnipiac University. November 2, 2016. Retrieved November 2, 2016. 
  69. ^ a b "Florida Polling Results" (PDF). Gravis Marketing. One America News Network. November 3, 2016. Retrieved November 4, 2016. 
  70. ^ a b "The New York Times - Siena College Poll" (PDF). Siena College. October 30, 2016. Retrieved October 30, 2016. 
  71. ^ a b "NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll October 30, 2016 Florida Questionnaire". Marist College. NBC News/Wall Street Journal. October 30, 2016. Retrieved October 30, 2016. 
  72. ^ a b "UNF poll: Clinton leads Trump in four-way race". Public Opinion Research Laboratory. University of North Florida. October 27, 2016. Retrieved October 27, 2016. 
  73. ^ a b "Bloomberg Politics Florida Poll". Selzer & Company. Bloomberg. October 26, 2016. Retrieved October 26, 2016. 
  74. ^ a b "Clinton's Florida Lead Continues to Grow" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. October 14, 2016. Retrieved October 15, 2016. 
  75. ^ a b "State Poll: FLORIDA". Ipsos. Reuters. October 14, 2016. Retrieved October 25, 2016. 
  76. ^ a b c d "Polls: Clinton Ahead in Florida, Pennsylvania". Marist College. NBC News/Wall Street Journal. October 9, 2016. Retrieved October 10, 2016. 
  77. ^ a b "Poll of Likely Voters Shows that Florida Swings Towards Hillary Clinton". Public Opinion Research Laboratory. University of North Florida. October 6, 2016. Retrieved October 6, 2016. 
  78. ^ a b c d e f g h "CLINTON WON DEBATE; UP IN FLORIDA, DOWN IN OHIO, ON PLUS SIDE OF CLOSE RACES IN NORTH CAROLINA, PENNSYLVANIA, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY SWING STATE POLL FIND" (PDF). Quinnipiac University. October 3, 2016. Retrieved October 4, 2016. 
  79. ^ a b "New Florida Chamber of Commerce Statewide Poll Shows Presidential Race Too Close to Call in Florida". Florida Chamber Political Institute. September 26, 2016. Retrieved September 26, 2016. 
  80. ^ a b "New York Times Upshot - Siena College Poll" (PDF). Siena College. September 19, 2016. Retrieved September 19, 2016. 
  81. ^ a b "CNN/ORC International Poll Florida" (PDF). ORC International. CNN. September 14, 2016. Retrieved September 14, 2016. 
  82. ^ a b "Presidential Race Up for Grabs in Florida" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. September 7, 2016. Retrieved September 7, 2016. 
  83. ^ "FLORIDA STATEWIDE 2016" (PDF). Remington Research Group/ Axiom Strategies. Huffington Post. November 4, 2016. Retrieved November 7, 2016. 
  84. ^ "FLORIDA STATEWIDE 2016" (PDF). Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies. Real Clear Politics. October 31, 2016. Retrieved October 31, 2016. 
  85. ^ "FLORIDA STATEWIDE 2016" (PDF). Remington Research Group/ Axiom Strategies. Huffington Post. October 25, 2016. Retrieved October 25, 2016. 
  86. ^ "FL Presidential Election Survey". Trafalgar Group. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 7, 2016. 
  87. ^ "CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker Florida" (PDF). YouGov. CBS News. November 6, 2016. Retrieved November 6, 2016. 
  88. ^ "Current Florida Polling". Gravis Marketing. Breitbart News Network. November 4, 2016. Retrieved November 8, 2016. 
  89. ^ "Florida 2016 General Election Poll" (PDF). Opinion Savvy. Fox 13/ Fox 35. November 3, 2016. Retrieved November 3, 2016. 
  90. ^ "FL Presidential Election Survey". Trafalgar Group. November 1, 2016. Retrieved November 1, 2016. 
  91. ^ "TargetSmart/William & Mary Release Florida Poll of Early and Likely Voters". TargetSmart/William & Mary. November 1, 2016. Retrieved October 2, 2016. 
  92. ^ a b c d e "Emerson Polls: Clinton With Mostly Slim Leads in 4 of 5 Battleground States" (PDF). Emerson College. October 29, 2016. Retrieved October 29, 2016. 
  93. ^ "Current Florida Polling". Gravis Marketing. Breitbart News Network. October 29, 2016. Retrieved October 30, 2016. 
  94. ^ "Dixie Strategies Poll: Trump Leading Hillary in Florida". www.newsmax.com. Dixie Strategies. October 27, 2016. Retrieved October 27, 2016. 
  95. ^ "Saint Leo University Polling Institute October 2016 – FLORIDA Results (without ballot measures)" (PDF). St. Leo University. October 28, 2016. Retrieved October 28, 2016. 
  96. ^ "Exclusive Florida Decides Poll: Presidential race to come down to wire". SurveyUSA. October 25, 2016. Retrieved October 25, 2016. 
  97. ^ "Trump Closing to Within Three Points of Clinton in Florida". Florida Atlantic University. October 26, 2016. Retrieved October 26, 2016. 
  98. ^ "CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker Florida" (PDF). YouGov. CBS News. October 23, 2016. Retrieved October 24, 2016. 
  99. ^ "Florida 2016 General Election Poll" (PDF). Opinion Savvy. Fox 13/Fox35. October 21, 2016. Retrieved October 21, 2016. 
  100. ^ "New Florida Chamber of Commerce Statewide Poll Shows Presidential Race Leaning Toward Hillary Clinton in Florida". Florida Chamber Political Institute. October 21, 2016. Retrieved October 21, 2016. 
  101. ^ "Florida 2016 General Election Poll" (PDF). Opinion Savvy. October 12, 2016. Retrieved October 13, 2016. 
  102. ^ "Clinton Opens Six-Point Lead over Trump in Florida". Florida Atlantic University. October 13, 2016. Retrieved October 13, 2016. 
  103. ^ "Current Florida Polling" (PDF). Gravis Marketing. Real Clear Politics/Breitbart News. October 5, 2016. Retrieved October 8, 2016. 
  104. ^ "Florida 2016 General Election Poll" (PDF). Opinion Savvy. Fox 13/Fox35. September 30, 2016. Retrieved October 1, 2016. 
  105. ^ "POST-DEBATE: CLINTON HOLDS NARROW LEAD IN FLORIDA". Mason-Dixon Polling & Research. Politico. September 30, 2016. Retrieved September 30, 2016. 
  106. ^ "Suffolk University Poll Shows a Statistical Tie in Florida". Suffolk University. September 22, 2016. Retrieved September 22, 2016. 
  107. ^ "Clinton Maintains Lead; Tight Race for Senate". Monmouth University. September 20, 2016. Retrieved September 20, 2016. 
  108. ^ "New Saint Leo Survey Shows Presidential Race between Clinton and Trump Narrowing in Florida and Across U.S.". Saint Leo University. September 20, 2016. Retrieved September 20, 2016. 
  109. ^ "CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker Florida" (PDF). YouGov. CBS News. September 11, 2016. 
  110. ^ "Florida Poll Results" (PDF). JMC Analytics. September 12, 2016. 
  111. ^ a b c d e f g h "CLINTON CATCHES TRUMP FOR TIES IN GEORGIA, IOWA; SHE’S UP IN NORTH CAROLINA AND RUNNING AWAY IN VIRGINIA QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY SWING STATE POLL FINDS" (PDF). Quinnipiac University. October 27, 2016. Retrieved October 28, 2016. 
  112. ^ "Landmark/Rosetta Stone Releases Final Sunday Poll of Georgia Voters for President, Senate". Landmark Communications/Rosetta Stone. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 7, 2016. 
  113. ^ "Landmark Communications/Rosetta Stone Statewide Poll of 1000 Likely Georgia Voters" (PDF). Landmark Communications/Rosetta Stone. Huffington Post. November 5, 2016. Retrieved November 6, 2016. 
  114. ^ "Georgia 2016 General Election Poll" (PDF). Opinion Survey. Fox 5 Atlanta. October 31, 2016. Retrieved October 31, 2016. 
  115. ^ "EXCLUSIVE POLL: Donald Trump will win Georgia". SurveyUSA. WXIA-TV. October 31, 2016. Retrieved October 31, 2016. 
  116. ^ "Statewide Poll of 600 Likely Georgia Voters" (PDF). Landmark Communications/Rosetta Stone. October 21, 2016. Retrieved October 21, 2016. 
  117. ^ "Georgia 2016 General Election Poll 10/21/16" (PDF). Opinion Savvy. Fox 5 Atlanta. October 21, 2016. Retrieved October 21, 2016. 
  118. ^ "AJC poll: Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are deadlocked in Georgia". Atlantic Journal Constitution. October 21, 2016. Retrieved October 21, 2016. 
  119. ^ "Exclusive: Poll shows many Georgians unfazed by Trump's lewd audio". Clout Research. Z Politics. October 19, 2016. Retrieved October 20, 2016. 
  120. ^ "Statewide Poll of 1400 Likely Georgia Voters" (PDF). Landmark Communications/Rosetta Stone. October 13, 2016. Retrieved October 14, 2016. 
  121. ^ "Statewide Poll of 600 Likely Georgia Voters" (PDF). Landmark Communications/Rosetta Stone. September 23, 2016. 
  122. ^ "Georgia Poll Results Trump 44%, Clinton 38% (Others 6%, 12% undecided)" (PDF). JMC Analytics. September 23, 2016. 
  123. ^ "Trump Narrowly Leads Clinton". Monmouth University. September 19, 2016. Retrieved September 19, 2016. 
  124. ^ "Georgia 2016 General Election Poll 9/15/16" (PDF). Opinion Savvy. Fox 5 Atlanta. September 15, 2016. Retrieved September 15, 2016. 
  125. ^ "GA Presidential Election Survey". Trafalgar Group. November 7, 2016. 
  126. ^ "Questions - Election 2016: Idaho President - October 23-24, 2016". Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research. HeatStreet. October 27, 2016. Retrieved October 27, 2016. 
  127. ^ "Emerson College Poll: Idaho Shows "Mormon Corridor" is Closed to Trump. GOP Incumbent Mike Crapo Has a 33-Point Lead in the Senate Race" (PDF). Emerson College Polling Society. Real Clear Politics. October 25, 2016. Retrieved October 26, 2016. 
  128. ^ "Poll: Clinton Gaining on Trump in Idaho". Idaho Politics Weekly. October 17, 2016. Retrieved October 17, 2016. 
  129. ^ a b "Loras College Statewide Illinois Survey October 2016—Toplines and Crosstabs" (PDF). Loras College. Retrieved November 1, 2016. 
  130. ^ a b "Loras College Statewide Survey Illinois September 2016" (PDF). Loras College. Retrieved September 19, 2016. 
  131. ^ a b c "Emerson College Polls: Clinton Leads in Virginia (+4), Maine (+4) and Illinois(+12) and Is Holding Her Own with Independents and Whites. Following Kirk's Debate Gaffe, Duckworth Surges in Illinois Senate Race" (PDF). Emerson College Polling Society. Real Clear Politics. November 1, 2016. Retrieved November 1, 2016. 
  132. ^ "The Illinois Poll" (PDF). Victory Research. Huffington Post. October 24, 2016. Retrieved October 25, 2016. 
  133. ^ "Poll: Clinton Thumping Trump in Illinois by 19-points, Leading in DuPage Too". Illinois Public Opinion Strategies. October 20, 2016. Retrieved October 20, 2016. 
  134. ^ "Clinton Leads Trump; Duckworth Leads Kirk in Illinois" (PDF). Paul Simon Public Policy Institute. Southern Illinois University. October 4, 2016. Retrieved October 5, 2016. 
  135. ^ "The Illinois Poll" (PDF). Victory Research. September 26, 2016. Retrieved October 2, 2016. 
  136. ^ a b "Clinton Leads Trump by 6 in Illinois and 7 in Wisconsin, Democrats Feingold and Duckworth Lead in Senate Races" (PDF). Emerson College. September 22, 2016. Retrieved September 22, 2016. 
  137. ^ "Illinoisans wish for new presidential nominees, poll finds". We Ask America. Reboot Illinois. September 13, 2016. Retrieved September 13, 2016. 
  138. ^ "EXCLUSIVE WTHR/HPI Poll: Trump up double digits over Clinton in Indiana". Public Opinion Strategies. WTHR/Howey Politics Indiana. November 4, 2016. Retrieved November 4, 2016. 
  139. ^ "Current Indiana Polling" (PDF). Gravis Marketing. Real Clear Politics. November 2, 2016. Retrieved November 5, 2016. 
  140. ^ "Young Catches Up to Bayh for Senate; Trump Widens Lead for President". Monmouth University. October 31, 2016. Retrieved November 1, 2016. 
  141. ^ "Current Indiana Polling". Gravis Marketing. October 25, 2016. Retrieved October 25, 2016. 
  142. ^ "Hoosier Survey: Trump leads in Indiana, Pence helps". Hoosier Survey. WISH-TV. October 20, 2016. Retrieved October 20, 2016. 
  143. ^ "Prez Contest Tightens; Bayh Maintains Senate Edge". Monmouth University. October 14, 2016. Retrieved October 15, 2016. 
  144. ^ "EXCLUSIVE WTHR/HPI Poll: Clinton, Trump presidential race tightens in Indiana". Public Opinion Strategies. WTHR/Howey Politics Indiana. October 6, 2016. Retrieved October 7, 2016. 
  145. ^ "EXCLUSIVE WTHR/HPI Poll: Trump has solid lead on Clinton in Indiana". Public Opinion Strategies. WTHR/Howey Politics Indiana. September 9, 2016. Retrieved September 10, 2016. 
  146. ^ "The Times-Picayune/Lucid 2016 Battleground State Poll" (PDF). Lucid. The Times-Picayune. October 18, 2016. Retrieved October 18, 2016. 
  147. ^ a b "A Survey of Likely Iowa Voters" (PDF). RABA Research. Simpson College. November 3, 2016. Retrieved November 4, 2016. 
  148. ^ a b "Clinton and Trump tied in Iowa, Grassley opens strong lead, Loras College Poll finds". Loras College. September 26, 2016. Retrieved September 26, 2016. 
  149. ^ a b "New poll: Trump, Clinton neck and neck in Iowa". Simpson College/RABA Research. The Des Moines Register. September 12, 2016. Retrieved September 12, 2016. 
  150. ^ "Iowa Poll: Trump opens 7-point lead over Clinton". Selzer & Co. Des Moines Register. November 5, 2016. Retrieved November 5, 2016. 
  151. ^ "Emerson College Poll: Iowa Leaning For Trump 44% to 41%. Grassley, Coasting to a Blowout, Likely to Retain Senate Seat" (PDF). Emerson College. November 4, 2016. Retrieved November 4, 2016. 
  152. ^ "Loras College Statewide Iowa Survey" (PDF). Public Opinion Survey Center. Loras College. November 5, 2016. Retrieved November 6, 2016. 
  153. ^ "Iowa Poll: Donald Trump leads Hillary Clinton by 4 points". Selzer & Co. Des Moines Register. October 8, 2016. Retrieved October 8, 2016. 
  154. ^ "Trump Widens Lead Over Clinton". Monmouth University. September 15, 2016. Retrieved September 15, 2016. 
  155. ^ "Trump, Moran have comfortable leads in Kansas, new poll shows". Fort Hays State University. The Wichita Eagle. November 4, 2016. 
  156. ^ "KSN News poll shows Trump leading in Kansas a week away from election". SurveyUSA. KSN News. November 1, 2016. Retrieved November 2, 2016. 
  157. ^ "KSN News poll continues to show strong support for Trump in Kansas". SurveyUSA. KSN News. October 18, 2016. Retrieved October 18, 2016. 
  158. ^ "KSN News Poll shows Trump leading Clinton in Kansas". KSN News. September 13, 2016. Retrieved September 13, 2016. 
  159. ^ "RunSwitch PR Releases Late October Political Survey Rand Paul, Donald Trump lead with a week to go". Cygnal. RunSwitch PR. October 30, 2016. Retrieved October 31, 2016. 
  160. ^ "THE BIG RED POLL The 2016 Kentucky General Election October 25-30, 2016" (PDF). Western Kentucky University|Social Science Research Center. FiveThirtyEight. November 1, 2016. Retrieved November 1, 2016. 
  161. ^ "SMOR LOUISIANA POLL October 2016" (PDF). Southern Media & Opinion Research. Huffington Post. October 27, 2016. Retrieved October 27, 2016. 
  162. ^ "SMOR LOUISIANA POLL September 2016". Southern Media & Opinion Research. September 21, 2016. 
  163. ^ "THE 2016 SENATE AND PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS IN LOUISIANA" (PDF). University of New Orleans. October 27, 2016. Retrieved October 27, 2016. 
  164. ^ "Exclusive Poll: Trump holds strong lead over Clinton in Louisiana". Mason-Dixon Polling & Research. FOX 8/Raycom Media. October 21, 2016. Retrieved October 22, 2016. 
  165. ^ "Statewide Poll Results Trump 45%, Clinton 38% (5% third party, 12% undecided)" (PDF). JMC Analytics. October 17, 2016. 
  166. ^ "Statewide Poll Results Trump 45%, Clinton 35% (8% third party, 13% undecided)" (PDF). JMC Analytics. September 26, 2016. 
  167. ^ a b "MAINE PEOPLE’S RESOURCE CENTER PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY" (PDF). Main People's Resource Center. November 1, 2016. Retrieved November 1, 2016. 
  168. ^ a b "MAINE PEOPLE’S RESOURCE CENTER PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY" (PDF). Main People's Resource Center. October 21, 2016. Retrieved October 21, 2016. 
  169. ^ a b "MAINE PEOPLE’S RESOURCE CENTER PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY" (PDF). Main People's Resource Center. October 12, 2016. Retrieved October 13, 2016. 
  170. ^ a b "MAINE PEOPLE’S RESOURCE CENTER PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY" (PDF). Main People's Resource Center. August 20, 2016. Retrieved September 20, 2016. 
  171. ^ "Clinton extends her lead in latest Maine Sunday Telegram poll of voters". University of New Hampshire. Portland Press Herald. October 30, 2016. Retrieved October 30, 2016. 
  172. ^ "For the first time, it looks like Maine's electoral votes will be split". University of New Hampshire. Portland Press Herald. September 25, 2016. Retrieved September 25, 2016. 
  173. ^ "In Maine, Clinton, Trump are in a tight race". SurveyUSA. The Boston Globe. September 13, 2016. Retrieved September 14, 2016. 
  174. ^ "Larry Hogan's approval soars, buoyed by his disavowal of Donald Trump". University of Maryland. Washington Post. October 6, 2016. Retrieved October 6, 2016. 
  175. ^ "Clinton and Van Hollen Lead in Maryland" (PDF). Field Politics Center. Goucher Poll. September 22, 2016. Retrieved September 23, 2016. 
  176. ^ a b "POLL: CLINTON MAINTAINS BIG LEAD OVER TRUMP IN BAY STATE" (PDF). Western New England University Polling Institute. October 6, 2016. Retrieved October 7, 2016. 
  177. ^ a b "Massachusetts Statewide Poll" (PDF). WBUR/MassINC. September 14, 2016. Retrieved September 14, 2016. 
  178. ^ "Massachusetts Statewide Survey, Oct. 23–Nov. 2, 2016 Tables" (PDF). Western New England University Polling Institute. November 3, 2016. Retrieved November 4, 2016. 
  179. ^ "Massachusetts General Election & Statewide Issues October 27, 2016". Suffolk University Political Research Center. Boston Globe. October 27, 2016. Retrieved October 27, 2016. 
  180. ^ "WBUR Poll: Clinton Maintains Big Lead Over Trump In Mass.". WBUR. MassINC. October 18, 2016. Retrieved October 18, 2016. 
  181. ^ "Toplines" (PDF). UMass Amherst/WBZ Poll. September 26, 2016. Retrieved September 26, 2016. 
  182. ^ a b "FOX 2 Mitchell Poll: Clinton's lead increases to 5 percent in Michigan". Mitchell Research & Communications. Fox 2 Detroit. November 6, 2016. Retrieved November 6, 2016. 
  183. ^ a b "Clinton Maintains 3% Lead in Michigan" (PDF). Mitchell Research & Communications. Fox 2 Detroit. November 3, 2016. Retrieved November 4, 2016. 
  184. ^ a b "FOX 2 MItchell Poll: Clinton's lead cut to 3 percent over Trump in Michigan". Mitchell Research & Communications. Fox 2 Detroit. November 2, 2016. Retrieved November 2, 2016. 
  185. ^ a b "FOX 2 Mitchell Poll: Clinton's lead up to 7 percent over Trump". Mitchell Research & Communications. Fox 2 Detroit. November 1, 2016. Retrieved November 1, 2016. 
  186. ^ a b "MITCHELL POLL: Clinton's lead over Trump stays at 6% in Michigan". Mitchell Research & Communications. Fox 2 Detroit. October 31, 2016. Retrieved October 31, 2016. 
  187. ^ a b "2016 General Election Survey Results" (PDF). Institute of Public Policy and Social Research. Michigan State University. November 3, 2016. Retrieved November 3, 2016. 
  188. ^ a b "FOX 2 Mitchell Poll: Clinton Lead Now 6% over Trump in Michigan". Mitchell Research & Communications. Fox 2 Detroit. October 26, 2016. Retrieved October 27, 2016. 
  189. ^ a b "Donald Trump narrows Hillary Clinton's lead to 7 in Michigan". EPIC-MRA. Detroit Free Press. October 27, 2016. Retrieved October 27, 2016. 
  190. ^ a b "Clinton Lead Cut to 8% in Michigan" (PDF). Mitchell Research & Communications. Fox 2 Detroit. October 24, 2016. Retrieved October 25, 2016. 
  191. ^ a b "Michigan Poll: Trump Trails Clinton by Five Percent" (PDF). Marketing Resource Group. October 21, 2016. Retrieved October 21, 2016. 
  192. ^ a b "Clinton Leads by 13% in Michigan before Last Debate" (PDF). Mitchell Research & Communications. Fox 2 Detroit. October 19, 2016. Retrieved October 21, 2016. 
  193. ^ a b "State Poll: Michigan". Ipsos. Reuters. October 18, 2016. Retrieved November 3, 2016. 
  194. ^ a b "Poll: Clinton widens Mich. lead as Trump support slides". Glengariff Group. The Detroit News. October 12, 2016. Retrieved October 13, 2016. 
  195. ^ a b "Clinton Lead Stays at 5% in Michigan Despite Scoring 2:1 Debate Win" (PDF). Mitchell Research and Communications. Fox 2 Detroit. September 28, 2016. Retrieved September 29, 2016. 
  196. ^ a b "Poll: Donald Trump gaining on Hillary Clinton in Michigan". EPIC-MRA. Detroit Free Press/WXYZ-TV. September 15, 2016. Retrieved September 16, 2016. 
  197. ^ a b "Clinton Lead Cut in Half from August" (PDF). Mitchell Research and Communications. Fox 2 Detroit. September 9, 2016. 
  198. ^ "Clinton 46%, Trump 41%, Johnson 8% In New Michigan Poll" (PDF). Target Insyght. Governmental Consultant Services, Inc./MIRS. September 27, 2016. Retrieved October 3, 2016. 
  199. ^ "MI Presidential Election Survey". Trafalgar Group. November 7, 2016. 
  200. ^ "EXCLUSIVE: Trump Surging, Now Tied With Clinton In Michigan". Strategic National. The Daily Caller. November 4, 2016. 
  201. ^ "Free Press poll: Donald Trump gains on Hillary Clinton as race in Michigan tightens". EPIC-MRA. Detroit Free Press. November 4, 2016. 
  202. ^ "EXCLUSIVE: Trump Within One Point Of Clinton In Michigan". Strategic National. The Daily Caller. November 2, 2016. Retrieved November 2, 2016. 
  203. ^ a b c "Emerson College Polls: Clinton Expands Her Lead in Michigan (to +7), and Pennsylvania (+5). In New Hampshire, Trump Closes to Within 3 Points. Ayotte Has a 6-point Edge in NH Senate Race. McGinty Up By 2 in PA" (PDF). Emerson College. October 28, 2016. Retrieved October 28, 2016. 
  204. ^ "Clinton Lead Doubles to 10% in Michigan Wins Second Debate" (PDF). Mitchell Research & Communications. Fox 2 Detroit. October 12, 2016. Retrieved October 13, 2016. 
  205. ^ "Poll: Clinton retakes 11-point lead over Trump in Michigan". EPIC-MRA. Detroit Free Press. October 6, 2016. Retrieved October 6, 2016. 
  206. ^ "Poll: Clinton holds 7-point lead in Michigan". Glengariff Group. The Detroit News. September 29, 2016. 
  207. ^ a b "Out of Time, Trump Fails to Make Inroads in Minnesota Against Clinton, Who Now Leads By 10 With 12 Days Left". SurveyUSA. KSTP-TV. October 29, 2016. Retrieved October 29, 2016. 
  208. ^ a b "In Minnesota, Clinton 7 Atop Trump on Eve Of 1st Presidential Debate". SurveyUSA. KSTP-TV. September 25, 2016. Retrieved September 25, 2016. 
  209. ^ "Current Minnesota Polling". Gravis Marketing. Breitbart. September 25, 2016. Retrieved September 26, 2016. 
  210. ^ "Minnesota Poll: Clinton keeps lead, but Trump gains". Star Tribune. September 18, 2016. Retrieved September 18, 2016. 
  211. ^ "In Minnesota Poll, Clinton widens lead over Trump". Mason-Dixon. Star Tribune. October 24, 2016. Retrieved October 24, 2016. 
  212. ^ a b c d e f "Voters in Key Senate Battlegrounds Overwhelmingly Support Common Sense Gun Legislation" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. November 3, 2016. Retrieved November 6, 2016. 
  213. ^ "Blunt opens up lead on Kander in new poll". MO Scout/BK Strategies. The Missouri Times. October 31, 2016. Retrieved October 31, 2016. 
  214. ^ "POLL: Koster lead increases again, Trump up 10 points". Remington Research Group. The Missouri Times. September 28, 2016. Retrieved September 28, 2016. 
  215. ^ a b c d "Emerson College Polls: Emerson Map Shows Many Tight Races But a Lopsided Win for Clinton in the Electoral College. Senate Map Gives Dems at Least 50 Seats" (PDF). Emerson College Polling Society. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 7, 2016. 
  216. ^ "Koster Keeps Advantage in Missouri, Even As Trump Lead Widens" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. November 2, 2016. Retrieved November 2, 2016. 
  217. ^ "Less than one week out, new poll shows Greitens up for first time". Remington Research Group. The Missouri Times. November 2, 2016. Retrieved November 2, 2016. 
  218. ^ "Missouri Survey 2016 Election & Rail Questions" (PDF). DHM Research. November 2, 2016. Retrieved November 2, 2016. 
  219. ^ "Senate Race Remains Neck and Neck; Trump Widens Edge for President". Monmouth University. November 1, 2016. Retrieved November 1, 2016. 
  220. ^ "Trump leads Clinton, Blunt-Kander a virtual tie in Missouri". Mason-Dixon Polling & Research. St. Louis Post-Dispatch. October 27, 2016. Retrieved October 28, 2016. 
  221. ^ "Greitens trims Koster's lead as Trump surges in Missouri". Remington Research Group. The Missouri Times. October 26, 2016. Retrieved October 26, 2016. 
  222. ^ a b c d "Emerson College Polls: Utah breaking for third-party candidate McMullin. Trump loses ground in New Hampshire, Pennsylvania and Missouri. Ayotte (R-NH) and Blunt (R-MO) are tied in Senate bids, while Toomey (R-PA) is holding on." (PDF). Emerson College. October 19, 2016. Retrieved October 19, 2016. 
  223. ^ "POLL: Koster, Trump lead in Missouri; lt. gov. too close to call". Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies. The Missouri Times. October 13, 2016. Retrieved October 13, 2016. 
  224. ^ "Trump Holds Lead; Blunt Clings to Narrow Senate Edge". Monmouth University. October 12, 2016. Retrieved October 13, 2016. 
  225. ^ "Missouri" (PDF). YouGov. CBS News. September 25, 2016. Retrieved September 25, 2016. 
  226. ^ "Poll shows Republicans, Koster doing well". Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies. The Missouri Times. September 6, 2016. Retrieved September 6, 2016. 
  227. ^ "Trump leads in Montana, but voters aren't that fond of their choices". Mason-Dixon Polling & Research. Lee Newspapers. October 15, 2016. Retrieved October 15, 2016. 
  228. ^ "MSU Billings Poll of Montana" (PDF). Montana State University Billings. October 25, 2016. Retrieved October 25, 2016. 
  229. ^ a b "Emerson Poll: Washington State Looks Safe for Democrats in the Presidential and Senate Races; Trump Has a Wide Lead in Nebraska" (PDF). Emerson College. September 28, 2016. Retrieved September 29, 2016. 
  230. ^ a b "CNN/ORC International Poll" (PDF). ORC International. CNN. November 2, 2016. Retrieved November 2, 2016. 
  231. ^ a b c d "Polls: Clinton Holds 9 Point Lead in New Hampshire; Tied in Nevada". Marist College. NBC News/Wall Street Journal. October 26, 2016. Retrieved October 26, 2016. 
  232. ^ a b "CNN/ORC International Poll" (PDF). ORC International. CNN. October 17, 2016. Retrieved October 17, 2016. 
  233. ^ "NV Senate 2016" (PDF). Clarity Campaign Labs. October 13, 2016. Retrieved October 14, 2016. 
  234. ^ "Nevada Republicans Abandon Heck For Abandoning Trump" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. October 12, 2016. Retrieved October 13, 2016. 
  235. ^ a b "Fox News Poll: Nevada". Anderson Robbins Research/Shaw & Company Research. Fox News. September 21, 2016. Retrieved September 21, 2016. 
  236. ^ a b c d e f g h "Consolidating Democrats: The strategy that gives a governing majority" (PDF). Greenberg Quinlan Rosner. Women's Voices/Women Vote Action Fund. September 23, 2016. Retrieved September 24, 2016. 
  237. ^ "White House, Senate races very close in Nevada". Public Policy Polling. September 12, 2016. Retrieved September 12, 2016. 
  238. ^ "NEVADA STATEWIDE 2016" (PDF). Remington Research Group/ Axiom Strategies. Huffington Post. November 4, 2016. Retrieved November 7, 2016. 
  239. ^ "#NVElection: 8 News NOW Poll finds Clinton, Trump races tied". JMC Analytics & Polling. 8 News NOW. November 2, 2016. Retrieved November 2, 2016. 
  240. ^ "NEVADA STATEWIDE 2016" (PDF). Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies. Real Clear Politics. October 31, 2016. Retrieved October 31, 2016. 
  241. ^ "RJ poll shows Clinton pulling away from Trump in Nevada". Bendixen & Amandi International. Las Vegas Review-Journal. October 24, 2016. Retrieved October 24, 2016. 
  242. ^ "NEVADA STATEWIDE 2016" (PDF). Remington Research Group/ Axiom Strategies. Huffington Post. October 25, 2016. Retrieved October 25, 2016. 
  243. ^ "KTNV/RASMUSSEN POLL: Clinton pulls ahead of Trump in Nevada as early voting starts". Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. KTNV. October 24, 2016. Retrieved October 24, 2016. 
  244. ^ "Clinton Retakes Lead". Monmouth University. October 18, 2016. Retrieved October 18, 2016. 
  245. ^ "CBS News 2016 Battleground TrackerNevada". YouGov. CBS News. October 15, 2016. Retrieved October 16, 2016. 
  246. ^ "#NVDebate: Tight race between Clinton and Trump". JMC Analytics & Polling. 8 News NOW. October 14, 2016. Retrieved October 16, 2016. 
  247. ^ "Heck hanging onto lead, Trump falling behind in new GOP poll". Public Opinion Strategies. KNTV Action News. October 13, 2016. Retrieved October 14, 2016. 
  248. ^ "NEW POLL: Nevada races for president, Senate remain close". Hart Research. UNLV Boyd School of Law. October 4, 2016. Retrieved October 5, 2016. 
  249. ^ "RJ's Nevada Poll shows Clinton and Trump are in statistical tie". Bendixen & Amandi International. Las Vegas Review-Journal. October 1, 2016. Retrieved October 1, 2016. 
  250. ^ "Questions - Election 2016: Nevada President - September 16-18, 2016". Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. Rasmussen Reports. September 20, 2016. Retrieved September 20, 2016. 
  251. ^ "Trump Overtakes Clinton". Monmouth University. September 14, 2016. Retrieved September 14, 2016. 
  252. ^ "Gravis Marketing Final Nevada Poll". Gravis Marketing. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 7, 2016. 
  253. ^ "NV Presidential Election Survey". Trafalgar Group. November 5, 2016. 
  254. ^ "Current Nevada Polling". Gravis Marketing. Breitbart News Network. October 28, 2016. Retrieved October 29, 2016. 
  255. ^ "Suffolk University Nevada Poll Shows Clinton Leading by 6 Points". Suffolk University. September 30, 2016. Retrieved October 1, 2016. 
  256. ^ a b "UMass Lowell/7News Survey of New Hampshire Voters" (PDF). University of Massachusetts Lowell. November 3, 2016. 
  257. ^ a b "WBUR Poll New Hampshire 2016 General Election" (PDF). MassInc Polling Group. WBUR. November 3, 2016. Retrieved November 3, 2016. 
  258. ^ a b "NH Statewide Horserace Poll" (PDF). Praecones Analytica. NH Journal. October 31, 2016. Retrieved October 31, 2016. 
  259. ^ a b "WBUR Poll New Hampshire 2016 General Election" (PDF). MassInc Polling Group. WBUR. October 14, 2016. Retrieved October 14, 2016. 
  260. ^ "Candidates Opposed to Gun Violence Prevention in Trouble in New Hampshire". Public Policy Polling. October 12, 2016. Retrieved November 2, 2016. 
  261. ^ a b "WBUR Poll New Hampshire 2016 General Election" (PDF). MassInc Polling Group. WBUR. September 30, 2016. Retrieved September 30, 2016. 
  262. ^ a b "Hassan Opens Up Slight Lead in Race for Senate in New Hampshire" (PDF). Gerstein Bocian Agne. September 29, 2016. Retrieved October 1, 2016. 
  263. ^ "New UNH poll: Democrats Clinton, Hassan, Van Ostern lead Republican foes". University of New Hampshire. WMUR. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 7, 2016. 
  264. ^ "Current New Hampshire Polling". Gravis Marketing. Breitbart News. November 4, 2016. Retrieved November 4, 2016. 
  265. ^ "2016 New Hampshire President". American Research Group. November 3, 2016. Retrieved November 3, 2016. 
  266. ^ "Suffolk University/Boston Globe Poll Shows Even Race for President in New Hampshire". Suffolk University. Boston Globe. November 3, 2016. Retrieved November 3, 2016. 
  267. ^ "NH RACES TIGHTEN ENTERING FINAL WEEK" (PDF). University of New Hampshire. WMUR. October 31, 2016. Retrieved 31 October 2016. 
  268. ^ "Clinton Lead Narrows; Senate Race Tightens". Monmouth University. October 26, 2016. Retrieved October 27, 2016. 
  269. ^ "UMass Amherst/WBZ Poll of NH Likely Voters" (PDF). UMass Amherst/WBZ Poll. October 27, 2016. Retrieved October 27, 2016. 
  270. ^ Smith, Andrew E.; Azem, Zachary S. "THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL" (PDF). College of Liberal Arts. University of New Hampshire. Retrieved 20 October 2016. 
  271. ^