|Publisher||Harvard Business Review Press; 1st edition (May 1, 1997)|
|Followed by||The Innovator's Solution|
The Innovator's Dilemma: When New Technologies Cause Great Firms to Fail, first published in 1997, is the best-known work of the Harvard professor and businessman Clayton Christensen. It expands on the concept of disruptive technologies, a term he coined in a 1995 article "Disruptive Technologies: Catching the Wave". It describes how large incumbent companies lose market share by listening to their customers and providing what appears to be the highest-value products, but new companies that serve low-value customers with poorly developed technology can improve that technology incrementally until it is good enough to quickly take market share from established business. Christensen recommends that large companies maintain small, nimble divisions that attempt to replicate this phenomenon internally to avoid being blindsided and overtaken by startup competitors.
Clayton Christensen demonstrates how successful, outstanding companies can do everything "right" and still lose their market leadership – or even fail – as new, unexpected competitors rise and take over the market. There are two key parts to this dilemma.
- Value to innovation is an S-curve: Improving a product takes time and many iterations. The first of these iterations provide minimal value to the customer but in time the base is created and the value increases exponentially. Once the base is created then each iteration is dramatically better than the last. At some point the most valuable improvements are complete and the value per iteration is minimal again. So in the middle is the most value, at the beginning and end the value is minimal.
- Incumbent sized deals: The incumbent has the luxury of a huge customer set but high expectations of yearly sales. New entry next generation products find niches away from the incumbent customer set to build the new product. The new entry companies do not require the yearly sales of the incumbent and thus have more time to focus and innovate on this smaller venture.
For this reason, the next generation product is not being built for the incumbent's customer set and this large customer set is not interested in the new innovation and keeps demanding more innovation with the incumbent product. Unfortunately, this incumbent innovation is limited to the overall value of the product as it is at the latter end of the S-curve. Meanwhile, the new entrant is deep into the S-curve and providing significant value to the new product. By the time the new product becomes interesting to the incumbent's customers it is too late for the incumbent to react to the new product. At this point it is too late for the incumbent to keep up with the new entrant's rate of improvement, which by then is on the near-vertical portion of its S-curve trajectory.
Through this compelling multi-industry study, Christensen introduces his seminal theory of "disruptive innovation" that has changed the way managers and CEOs around the world think about innovation.
Christensen then argues that the following are common principles that incumbents must address:
- Resource dependence: Current customers drive a company's use of resources
- Small markets struggle to impact an incumbent's large market
- Disruptive technologies have fluid futures, as in, it is impossible to know what they will disrupt once matured
- Incumbent organizations' value is more than simply their workers, it includes their processes and core capabilities which drive their efforts
- Technology supply may not equal market demand. The attributes that make disruptive technologies unattractive in established markets are often the ones that have the greatest value in emerging markets
He also argues the following strategies assist incumbents in succeeding against the disruptive technology:
- They develop the disruptive technology with the "right" customers. Not necessarily their current customer set
- They place the disruptive technology into an autonomous organization that can be rewarded with small wins and small customer sets
- They fail early and often to find the correct disruptive technology
- They allow the disruption organization to utilize all of the company's resources when needed but are careful to make sure the processes and values were not those of the company
Shortly after the release of the book, it received the Global Business Book Award as the best business book of the year (1997). The Economist also named it as one of the six most important books about business ever written".
Impact on business world
The term disruptive technologies was first described in depth with this book by Christensen; but the term was later changed to disruptive innovation in a later book (The Innovator's Solution). A disruptive innovation is an innovation that creates a new market and value network that will eventually disrupt an already existing market and replace an existing product.
Since the book was published, various articles have been written, both critiquing and supporting Clayton Christensen's work.
The Innovator's Dilemma proved popular; not only was it reprinted, but a follow-up book entitled The Innovator's Solution was published. His books Disrupting Class about education and The Innovator's Prescription about health care both utilize ideas from The Innovator's Dilemma.
An empirical study replicated the Innovator's Dilemma's main prediction that incumbents innovate less than entrants in a study of the hard disk industry. It found the main reason for the comparable lack of innovation by incumbents lies in the reduced incentives to innovate due to product cannibalization.
- Bower, Joseph L. & Christensen, Clayton M. (1995). However the concept of new technologies leading to wholesale economic change is not a new idea since Joseph Schumpeter adapted the idea of creative destruction from Karl Marx. Schumpeter (1949) in one of his examples used "the railroadization of the Middle West as it was initiated by the Illinois Central". He wrote, "The Illinois Central not only meant very good business whilst it was built and whilst new cities were built around it and land was cultivated, but it spelled the death sentence for the [old] agriculture of the West. "Disruptive Technologies: Catching the Wave" Harvard Business Review, January–February 1995.
- Christensen, Clayton M. (15 December 2015). The Innovator's Dilemma: When New Technologies Cause Great Firms to Fail. Harvard Business Review Press. ISBN 9781633691797. Retrieved 19 January 2018 – via Google Books.
- Innosight,(2014). Clayton Christensen-Innosight Co-founder. [online] Available at: http://www.innosight.com/about-us/clayton-christensen.cfm [Accessed 15 Oct. 2014].
- "Aiming high", Jun 30th 2011. http://www.economist.com/node/18894875
- Christensen, Clayton (2011). The Innovator's Dilemma: The Revolutionary Book That Will Change the Way You Do Business. HarperBusiness. pp. 336. ISBN 978-0062060242.
- Christensen, Clayton (2003). The Innovator's Solution: Creating and Sustaining Successful Growth. Harvard Business School Press. ISBN 1578518520.
- Christensen, Clayton; Johnson, Curtis; Horn, Michael (2010). Disrupting Class: How Disruptive Innovation Will Change the Way the World Learns (2 ed.). p. 272. ISBN 9780071749107.
- Christensen, Clayton; Grossman, Jerome H.; Hwang, Jason (2008). The Innovator's Prescription: A Disruptive Solution for Health Care. McGraw-Hill. p. 496. ISBN 9780071592086.
- Igami, Mitsuru (June 2017). "Estimating the Innovator's Dilemma: Structural Analysis of Creative Destruction in the Hard Disk Drive Industry, 1981–1998". Journal of Political Economy. 125 (3): 798–847. doi:10.1086/691524. ISSN 0022-3808.
- Jill Lepore, "What the Theory of 'Disruptive Innovation' Gets Wrong", The New Yorker, June 23, 2014.
- Igami, Mitsuru (2017). "Estimating the Innovator's Dilemma: Structural Analysis of Creative Destruction in the Hard Disk Drive Industry, 1981–1998". Journal of Political Economy. 125 (3): 798–847. doi:10.1086/691524. S2CID 222427427.
- "Estimating the innovator's dilemma: Q&A with Yale economist Mitsuru Igami" (Interview). Interviewed by Mike Cummings. YaleNews. June 5, 2017.