Thurrock (UK Parliament constituency)

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Thurrock
Borough constituency
for the House of Commons
Outline map
Boundary of Thurrock in Essex.
Outline map
Location of Essex within England.
County Essex
Electorate 77,667 (December 2010)[1]
Major settlements Grays, Tilbury, South Ockendon and Chafford
Current constituency
Created 1945
Member of parliament Jackie Doyle-Price (Conservative)
Number of members One
Created from South East Essex
Overlaps
European Parliament constituency East of England

Thurrock is a constituency[n 1] represented in the House of Commons of the UK Parliament since 2010 by Jackie Doyle-Price, a Conservative.[n 2]

Boundaries[edit]

Thurrock in Essex, showing boundaries used from 1945 to 1950.

1945-1983: The Urban District of Thurrock.

1983-2010: The Borough of Thurrock wards of Aveley, Belhus, Chadwell St Mary, East Tilbury, Grays Thurrock North, Grays Thurrock Town, Little Thurrock, Ockendon, Stifford, Tilbury, and West Thurrock.

2010–present: The Borough of Thurrock wards of Aveley and Uplands, Belhus, Chadwell St Mary, Chafford and North Stifford, Grays Riverside, Grays Thurrock, Little Thurrock Blackshots, Little Thurrock Rectory, Ockendon, South Chafford, Stifford Clays, Tilbury Riverside and Thurrock Park, Tilbury St Chads, West Thurrock, and South Stifford.

History[edit]

History of boundaries

The loss of the area to the east was of a similar landscape and built environment, except for Canvey Island which demographically has a high retired proportion of its population. Its scant social housing contrasts with its modest incomes and fewer than average large gardens and large houses as is common in coastal communities.

History of results

Thurrock was for 38 years from and including 1945 a large-majority Labour seat in parliamentary elections. The post-Falklands War election in 1983 gave majority of less than 4% of the vote to a recently-split Labour Party — for which see SDP. A Conservative gained the Thurrock seat in 1987 with a small majority. In 1992 the division was regained by a Labour candidate, namely Andrew MacKinlay, who was during his tenure as MP criticised for his questioning technique used of weapons expert Dr. David Kelly.

In the 2010 general election, a Conservative gained the seat, with Jackie Doyle-Price being elected as the MP with a majority of 92 votes, the third most marginal in that election.[2] The 2015 result gave the seat the 8th most marginal majority of the Conservative Party's 331 seats by percentage of majority.[3]

The seat has bellwether outcome status since 1997.

Prominent frontbenchers

Dr Oonagh McDonald was Opposition Spokesman on Defence from 1981–1983, and then Opposition Spokesman on Treasury and Economic Affairs from 1983–1987.

Constituency profile[edit]

Held by the Conservatives with a majority of just over 300 votes, Thurrock is a marginal seat between the Conservatives and Labour. This industrial Essex seat, east of London, includes the towns of Grays, Tilbury and Purfleet and 18 miles of the north bank of the Thames.

Historically known for quarrying and heavy industry, it is now a retail destination thanks to the Lakeside shopping centre. Retail and distribution are big employers, while Tilbury Power Station has closed and Coryton oil refinery is being redeveloped as a business park. Tilbury is also London's major port, handling millions of tonnes of cargo a year and is a major cruise ship terminal.

Workless claimants, registered jobseekers, were in November 2012 higher than the national average of 3.8%, at 4.8% of the population based on a statistical compilation by The Guardian. The regional average for the Eastern England region was considerably lower, at 3.2% of the population.[4]

Members of Parliament[edit]

Election Member[5] Party Notes
1945 Leslie Solley Labour
1949 Labour Independent Group
1950 Hugh Delargy Labour Died May 1976
1976 by-election Oonagh McDonald Labour
1987 Tim Janman Conservative
1992 Andrew MacKinlay Labour
2010 Jackie Doyle-Price Conservative

Elections[edit]

Elections in the 2010s[edit]

At the 2015 general election the already-marginal seat became a 3-way ultra-marginal seat. Less than 1,000 votes separated the top three candidates.

In 2017, the Conservatives needed to defend against both UKIP and Labour to hold it. It was number 1 on UKIP's 2017 target list, the party only needed a 0.98% swing to win the seat from third place.[6] The constituency was also at number 7 on Labour's target list, with a 0.54% swing needed for their candidate to win the seat.[7] In the event, the swing to Labour was around 0.2% and the Conservatives held the seat. This marks the third consecutive time Thurrock has been won by a majority of under 1,000 votes, making it the most marginal seat in Essex by a substantial margin (the next most marginal, Rochford and Southend East as of the 2017 general election, has a majority of more than 5,500 votes).

2017 General Election: Thurrock [8]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Conservative Jackie Doyle-Price 19,880 39.5 Increase 5.8
Labour John Kent 19,535 38.8 Increase 6.2
UKIP Tim Aker 10,112 20.1 Decrease 11.6
Liberal Democrat Kevin McNamara 798 1.6 Increase 0.3
Majority 345 0.7
Turnout 50,325 64.4
Conservative hold Swing -0.2
General Election 2015: Thurrock[9][10]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Conservative Jackie Doyle-Price 16,692 33.7 −3.1
Labour Polly Billington[11] 16,156 32.6 −4.0
UKIP Tim Aker[12] 15,718 31.7 +24.3
Liberal Democrat Rhodri Jamieson-Ball 644 1.3 −9.4
CISTA Jamie Barnes 244 0.5 N/A
Independent Daniel Munyambu 79 0.2 N/A
All People's Party Aba Kristilolu 31 0.1 N/A
Majority 536 1.1
Turnout 49,564 63.9
Conservative hold Swing 0.4
General Election 2010: Thurrock[13][14]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Conservative Jackie Doyle-Price 16,869 36.8 +3.6
Labour Carl Morris 16,777 36.6 −9.6
Liberal Democrat Carys Davis 4,901 10.7 −0.4
BNP Emma Colgate 3,618 7.9 +2.1
UKIP Clive Broad 3,390 7.4 +4.0
Christian Peoples Arinola Araba 267 0.6 N/A
Majority 92 0.2
Turnout 45,822 59.1 +4.2
Conservative gain from Labour Swing +6.6

Elections in the 2000s[edit]

General Election 2005: Thurrock[15]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Labour Andrew MacKinlay 20,636 47.2 −9.3
Conservative Garry Hague 14,261 32.6 +2.8
Liberal Democrat Earnshaw Palmer 4,770 10.9 +0.6
BNP Nick Geri 2,526 5.8 N/A
UKIP Carol Jackson 1,499 3.4 0.0
Majority 6,375 14.6
Turnout 43,692 54.9 5.9
Labour hold Swing −6.1
General Election 2001: Thurrock[16]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Labour Andrew MacKinlay 21,121 56.5 −6.8
Conservative Mike Penning 11,124 29.8 +3.0
Liberal Democrat John Lathan 3,846 10.3 +2.2
UKIP Christopher Sheppard 1,271 3.4 +1.6
Majority 9,997 26.7
Turnout 37,362 49.0 −16.7
Labour hold Swing

Elections in the 1990s[edit]

General Election 1997: Thurrock[17]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Labour Andrew MacKinlay 29,896 63.3 +17.8
Conservative Andrew Rosindell 12,640 26.8 −16.9
Liberal Democrat Joe White 3,843 8.1 −1.4
UKIP Peter Compobassi 833 1.8 N/A
Majority 17,256 36.55
Turnout 47,212 65.79
Labour hold Swing +17.2
General Election 1992: Thurrock[18][19]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Labour Andrew MacKinlay 24,791 45.9 +4.8
Conservative Tim Janman 23,619 43.7 +1.2
Liberal Democrat Alan J. Banton 5,145 9.5 −7.0
Pensioners' Party Charles Rogers 391 0.7 N/A
Anti-Federalist League Peter Compobassi 117 0.2 N/A
Majority 1,172 2.2 +0.7
Turnout 54,063 78.1 +6.6
Labour gain from Conservative Swing +1.8

Elections in the 1980s[edit]

General Election 1987: Thurrock[20]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Conservative Tim Janman 20,527 42.5
Labour Oonagh McDonald 19,837 41.0
Social Democratic Donald Benson 7,970 16.5
Majority 690 1.43
Turnout 48,334 71.5
Conservative gain from Labour Swing
General Election 1983: Thurrock[21][22]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Labour Oonagh McDonald 17,600 39.21
Conservative T Jallon 15,878 35.37
Social Democratic Donald Benson 9,761 21.74
Independent M Bibby 1,200 2.67
BNP R Sinclair 252 0.6
Communist J Paul 199 0.4
Majority 1,722 3.8
Turnout 44,891 67.7
Labour hold Swing

Elections in the 1970s[edit]

General Election 1979: Thurrock[23]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Labour Oonagh McDonald 33,449 48.55
Conservative Tony Baldry 27,030 39.24
Liberal M Crowson 6,445 9.36
National Front E Burdett 1,358 1.97
Independent B Chattaway 365 0.53
Workers Revolutionary M Daly 242 0.35
Majority 6,419 9.32
Turnout 68,884 75.11
Labour hold Swing
1976 by-election: Thurrock
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Labour Oonagh McDonald 22,191 45.27 -10.30
Conservative Percy Lomax 17,352 35.39 +10.95
Liberal Anthony Charlton 5,977 12.19 -7.80
National Front John Roberts 3,255 6.64 N/A
English National Frank Hansford-Miller 187 0.38 N/A
World Grid Sunshine Room Party Peter Bishop 72 0.15 N/A
Majority 4,839 9.88
Turnout 49,034
Labour hold Swing
General Election October 1974: Thurrock
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Labour Hugh Delargy 34,066 55.57
Conservative P Lomax 14,986 24.44
Liberal A Charlton 12,255 19.99
Majority 19,080 31.12
Turnout 68.54
Labour hold Swing
General Election February 1974: Thurrock
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Labour Hugh Delargy 36,217 52.15
Conservative Graham Bright 17,699 25.48
Liberal Kaye Fleetwood 15,534 22.37
Majority 18,518 26.66
Turnout 78.41
Labour hold Swing
General Election 1970: Thurrock Electorate 84,337
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Labour Hugh Delargy 30,874 55.75
Conservative Graham Bright 19,486 35.18
Liberal Kaye Fleetwood 5,024 9.07
Majority 11,388 20.56
Turnout 55,384 65.67
Labour hold Swing

Elections in the 1960s[edit]

General Election 1966: Thurrock Electorate 72,502
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Labour Hugh Delargy 31,998 60.67
Conservative Cedric J Hodgson 14,094 26.72
Liberal James C Moran 6,648 12.61
Majority 17,904 33.95
Turnout 72.74
Labour hold Swing
General Election 1964: Thurrock Electorate 71,519
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Labour Hugh Delargy 30,372 57.22
Conservative Robert McCrindle 14,615 27.53
Liberal A Noel H Blackburn 8,094 15.25
Majority 15,757 29.68
Turnout 53,081 74.22
Labour hold Swing

Elections in the 1950s[edit]

General Election 1959: Thurrock Electorate 67,054
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Labour Hugh Delargy 32,270 61.52
Conservative William E McNamara 20,188 38.48
Majority 12,082 23.03
Turnout 52,458 78.23
Labour hold Swing
General Election 1955: Thurrock Electorate 63,030
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Labour Hugh Delargy 31,375 66.16
Conservative Gerald A Petty 16,046 33.84
Majority 15,329 32.33
Turnout 75.24
Labour hold Swing
General Election 1951: Thurrock Electorate 53,157
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Labour Hugh Delargy 28,851 65.55
Conservative Godfrey Lagden 15,166 34.45
Majority 13,685 31.09
Turnout 82.81
Labour hold Swing
General Election 1950: Thurrock Electorate 50,962
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Labour Hugh Delargy 22,893 52.68
Conservative Airey Neave 13,306 30.62
Independent Labour Leslie Solley 4,250 9.78
Liberal William Harold Henry Siddons 3,010 6.93
Majority 9,587 22.06
Turnout 85.28
Labour hold Swing

Election in the 1940s[edit]

General Election 1945: Thurrock
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Labour Leslie Solley 23,171 70.05
Conservative T Adam 9,909 29.95
Majority 13,262 40.09
Turnout 76.89
Labour hold Swing

See also[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ A county constituency (for the purposes of election expenses and type of returning officer)
  2. ^ As with all constituencies, the constituency elects one Member of Parliament (MP) by the first past the post system of election at least every five years.

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Electorate Figures – Boundary Commission for England". 2011 Electorate Figures. Boundary Commission for England. 4 March 2011. Archived from the original on 6 November 2010. Retrieved 13 March 2011. 
  2. ^ The 2010 marginality of the result placed the seat immediately behind the majorities of Dan Byles (Con), 54 votes and Michelle Gildernew (SF), 2 votes
  3. ^ List of Conservative MPs elected in 2015 by % majority UK Political.info. Retrieved 2017-01-29
  4. ^ Unemployment claimants by constituency The Guardian
  5. ^ Leigh Rayment's Historical List of MPs – Constituencies beginning with "T" (part 1)
  6. ^ [1]
  7. ^ [2]
  8. ^ "STATEMENT OF PERSONS NOMINATED, NOTICE OF POLL AND SITUATION OF POLLING STATIONS Election of a Member of Parliament for Thurrock" (PDF). Thurrock Council. Retrieved 15 May 2017. 
  9. ^ "Election Data 2015". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 17 October 2015. Retrieved 17 October 2015. 
  10. ^ "Thurrock". bbc.co.uk. 
  11. ^ "The Labour Party". labour.org.uk. Archived from the original on 5 August 2013. 
  12. ^ "Tim Aker announced as UKIP candidate for Thurrock". Your Thurrock. Retrieved 2014-02-20. 
  13. ^ "Election Data 2010". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 26 July 2013. Retrieved 17 October 2015. 
  14. ^ "BBC NEWS – Election 2010 – Thurrock". BBC News. 
  15. ^ "Election Data 2005". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015. 
  16. ^ "Election Data 2001". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015. 
  17. ^ "Election Data 1997". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015. 
  18. ^ "Election Data 1992". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015. 
  19. ^ "UK General Election results April 1992". Richard Kimber's Political Science Resources. Politics Resources. 9 April 1992. Retrieved 6 December 2010. 
  20. ^ "Election Data 1987". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015. 
  21. ^ "Election Data 1983". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015. 
  22. ^ "UK General Election results: June 1983 [Archive]". politicsresources.net. 
  23. ^ "UK General Election results: May 1979 [Archive]". politicsresources.net. 

Coordinates: 51°29′N 0°19′E / 51.48°N 0.32°E / 51.48; 0.32