Ukrainian parliamentary election, 2006

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Ukrainian parliamentary election, 2006
Ukraine
← 2002 26 March 2006 2007 →

All 450 seats of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine
226 seats needed for a majority
  First party Second party Third party
  Accelerating Infrastructure Development Viktor Yanukovych (8412048532).jpg Julia Tymoshenko 2008.png Yuriy Yekhanurov 2013.jpg
Leader Viktor Yanukovych Yulia Tymoshenko Yuriy Yekhanurov
Party Party of Regions Yulia Tymoshenko Bloc Our Ukraine Bloc
Leader since 2003 2001 2005
Seats won 186 129 81
Seat change Increase 150 Increase 107 Decrease 31
Percentage 32.1% 22.3% 14%
Swing Increase 15 pp Decrease 9.6 pp

  Fourth party Fifth party
  Moroz 2003.jpg Petro Symonenko.jpg
Leader Oleksandr Moroz Petro Symonenko
Party Socialist Party Communist Party
Leader since 1991 1993
Seats won 33 21
Seat change Increase 11 Decrease 44
Percentage 5.7% 3.7%
Swing Decrease 1.2 pp Decrease 16.3 pp

Wahlkreise ukraine 2006 eng.png
Results of the 2006 parliamentary election.

Prime Minister before election

Yuriy Yekhanurov
Our Ukraine

Prime Minister-designate

Viktor Yanukovych
Party of Regions

The Ukrainian parliamentary election took place on 26 March 2006.[1] Election campaigning officially began on 7 July 2005. Between November 26 and 31 December 2005 party lists of candidates were formed.

The election to the Ukrainian parliament, Verkhovna Rada, was held according to the Party-list proportional election system—that is, in a single nationwide electoral district[2] with votes being allocated to the political parties or election blocs rather than to individual candidates. In the previous parliamentary elections half of parliamentary representatives (deputies) were elected on proportional basis, while the other half were elected in single-mandate constituencies.[2]

Following the Orange Revolution and the 2004 presidential elections in December of 2004 Ukrainian parliament adopted significant changes (amendments) to the Constitution of Ukraine by introducing concepts of political coalition, coalition government, imperative mandate as well as transferred some power from the President to the parliament, making Ukraine a parliamentary-presidential democracy. Those amendments were to enter into force on 1 January 2006. The new constitutional amendment also abolished single member-districts and replacing them with an increased multi-member proportional representation. According to the election law and the system adopted, the political parties or election blocs need to collect at least 3% of the national vote in order to gain seats in parliament.

Results[edit]

According to the Central Election Commission of Ukraine 67.13% of registered voters participated in the election.

On April 10 the Central Election Commission (CVK) announced the final results of vote counting; the results can be seen at the Commission's website. As a result of the election, out of 45 parties, only 5 passed the required 3% electoral threshold (see the table below).

Comparing the results with early polls (but not with 2005 opinion polls[3][1]), it was unexpected that President Viktor Yushchenko's party "Our Ukraine" received less than 14% of the national vote, coming third after the Party of Regions, and the Yulia Tymoshenko Bloc.

As per preliminary results, the Ukrainian Communist Party was soundly trounced, getting less than 4% of the vote and 21 deputies as a result, as opposed to their 20% in the 2002 elections.

The People's Opposition Bloc of Natalia Vitrenko did not pass the electoral threshold collecting only 2.93% of total votes recorded, 0.07% short of the required 3% electoral threshold. According to the law the threshold is calculated based on the total number of the voted ballots, including the general non-confidence votes (i.e. ballots of those who voted against all parties listed) as well as invalid votes (e.g. votes for more than one party as such option is not provided by electoral law). If such votes were excluded from the total, then Vitrenko party would have received over 3% of the formal vote. Commenting the preliminary results the leader of the Opposition Bloc, Natalia Vitrenko expressed: "Based on what grounds CVK shows the total number of actual voters as 25,250 thousands? According to CVK data, 2% of votes are invalid, and 1.8% are "against all", therefore these numbers should be excluded. The base for calculations should not be more than 24,500 thousand; and that is 3% out of the votes that CVK counted for out Bloc."[2] Nonetheless, according to the Law on Election, Article 1.4 "The mandates are distributed to the parties (blocs) that obtained no less than three percents of votes of voters that participated in the election"

A set of parties which did not pass the electoral threshold, notably People's Opposition Bloc of Natalia Vitrenko and the Opposition Bloc "Ne Tak" have made claims of the elections being highly falsified and asked for vote recount. Recent reports in the media have indicated that Ukraine's President has also suggested that if necessary a partial recount of the 26 March ballot should be made. If significant mistakes were made in the tally of votes there is a chance for Opposition Block of Natalia Vitrenko to exceed the 3% threshold required by law.

Over 22% of voters who supported minor candidates (with less than the 3%) will not be represented by the parties elected due to the electoral method used (party list proportional representation with an election threshold).

e • d  Summary of the 26 March 2006 Verkhovna Rada election results
Parties and coalitions Votes  % ±pp Seats +/-
Party of Regions 8,148,745 32.14 [a]
186 / 450
Increase 150
Yulia Tymoshenko Bloc Fatherland
Ukrainian Social Democratic Party
5,652,876 22.30 Increase 15.04
129 / 450
Increase 107
Our Ukraine Our Ukraine
People's Movement of Ukraine
Party of Industrialists and Entrepreneurs of Ukraine
Congress of Ukrainian Nationalists
Ukrainian Republican Party "Sobor"
Christian Democratic Union
3,539,140 13.96 Decrease 9.61
81 / 450
Decrease 31
Socialist Party of Ukraine 1,444,224 5.70 Decrease 1.17
33 / 450
Increase 11
Communist Party of Ukraine 929,591 3.67 Decrease 16.32
21 / 450
Decrease 44
Bloc of Natalia Vitrenko "People's Opposition" Progressive Socialist Party of Ukraine
Rus
743,704 2.93 Decrease 0.30 Steady 0
People's Bloc of Lytvyn People's Party
Party of All-Ukrainian Union of the Left "Justice"
Ukrainian Peasant Democratic Party
619,905 2.45 New New
Ukrainian People's Bloc of Kostenko and Plyushch Ukrainian People's Party
Party of Free Peasants and Entrepreneurs of Ukraine
Ukraine United
476,155 1.88 New New
Viche 441,912 1.74 Decrease 0.29[b] Steady 0
Civil Bloc "PORA-PRP" Pora!
Reforms and Order Party
373,478 1.47 New New
Opposition Bloc "Ne Tak" Social Democratic Party of Ukraine (united)
Women for the Future
Center
Republican Party of Ukraine
257,106 1.01 Decrease 7.38[c] Decrease 27
Revival 245,188 0.97 New New
Yuriy Karmazin Bloc Motherland Defenders Party
Party of Peace and Unity
National-Democratic Association "Ukraine"
165,881 0.65 New New
Party of Greens of Ukraine 137,858 0.54 Decrease 0.77 Steady 0
Block NDP People's Democratic Party
Democratic Party of Ukraine
Christian Liberal Party of Ukraine
Christian Democratic Party of Ukraine
126,586 0.50 New New
Party of Environmental Salvation "EKO+25%" 120,238 0.47 New New
Ukrainian Party "Green Planet" 96,734 0.38 New New
Freedom 91,321 0.36 [d]
Peasant Party of Ukraine 79,160 0.31 Decrease 0.07 Steady 0
Lazarenko Bloc Hromada
Social Democratic Union
Social Democratic Party of Ukraine
76,950 0.30 Increase 0.03[e] Steady 0
Party of National Economic Development of Ukraine 60,195 0.24 [f] Decrease 1
For Union Union
Socialist Ukraine
Slavic Party
Vitchyzna
51,569 0.20 New New
Party of Pensioners of Ukraine 51,097 0.20 [d]
State — Labour Union All-Ukrainian Party of Workers
State
36,396 0.14 Decrease 0.20[g] Steady 0
Third Force 34,963 0.14 New New
People's Movement of Ukraine for Unity 34,723 0.14 Decrease 0.02[h] Steady 0
Party of Putin Policy 30,917 0.12 New New
All-Ukrainian Party of People's Trust 29,899 0.12 [d]
Ukrainian Party of Honor, Struggle against Corruption and Organized Crime 28,818 0.11 New New
Party of Patriotic Forces of Ukraine 26,553 0.10 New New
Ukrainian Conservative Party 25,123 0.10 New New
Labour Ukraine 24,942 0.10 [a] Decrease 10
Power of People Pensioners Protection Party
All-Ukrainian Party of Spirituality and Patriotism
For the Welfare and Protection of the People
24,243 0.10 New New
Social-environmental Party "Union. Chornobyl. Ukraine" 23,987 0.09 New New
Social Christian Party 22,953 0.09 New New
Bloc of Borys Olijnyk and Myhailo Syrota Labour Party Ukraine
Information Ukraine
Party of Health
21,649 0.09 New New
Yevhen Marchuk - Unity Party of Freedom
Solidarity of Women of Ukraine
Unity
17,004 0.07 Decrease 1.02[i] Decrease 4
Ukrainian National Assembly 16,379 0.06 Increase 0.01 Decrease 1
Party of Social Security 14,649 0.06 New New
Block of Nonpartisans "The Sun" United Family
Women of Ukraine
12,620 0.05 New New
All-Ukrainian Party "New Force" 12,522 0.05 Decrease 0.05 Steady 0
Liberal Party of Ukraine 12,098 0.05 [j] Decrease 1
European Capital 12,027 0.05 New New
Patriots of Ukraine Patriotic Party of Ukraine
Ukrainian National Conservative Party
11,503 0.05 Decrease 0.06[k] Steady 0
Forward, Ukraine! 6,934 0.03 [j] Decrease 1
Against all 449,650 1.77 Decrease 0.68
Invalid ballot papers 490,595 1.94 Decrease 1.78
Total 25,352,380 100 450
Registered voters/turnout 37,528,884 67.55 Decrease 1.72
Source: Central Electoral Commission
Notes:
  1. ^ a b During the previous election the party ran as a part of For United Ukraine! electoral alliance
  2. ^ Result is compared to the Team of Winter Generation electoral alliance, a part of which Viche was at the previous election
  3. ^ Result is compared to the combined totals of Social Democratic Party of Ukraine (united) and Women for the Future
  4. ^ a b c The party did not participate in the previous election
  5. ^ Result is compared to the Social Democratic Party of Ukraine
  6. ^ In the previous election this party did not participate in party voting, but only in single-member constituencies
  7. ^ Result is compared to the All-Ukrainian Party of Workers
  8. ^ Result is compared to the Popular Movement of Ukraine Bloc, a part of which People's Movement of Ukraine for Unity was at the previous election
  9. ^ Result is compared to Unity electoral alliance
  10. ^ a b During the previous election the party ran as a part of Our Ukraine electoral alliance
  11. ^ Result is compared to the "Against All" electoral alliance

Electoral maps[edit]

Maps showing the top six parties support - percentage of total national vote (minimal text)
Party of Regions results (32.14%)
Bloc Yulia Tymoshenko results (22.29%)
Our Ukraine results (13.95%)
Communist Party of Ukraine results (3.66%)
Bloc Lytvyn Party results (2.44%)
Socialist Party of Ukraine results (5.69%)

Parties and electoral blocs registered[edit]

A record number of forty five parties registered for the election, with only five securing the minimum 3% quota required to elect representatives to the Ukrainian parliament. Seats in the Verkhovna Rada are allocated among those parties securing the 3% quota according to the largest remainder method of seat allocation, using the Hare quota. Each party meeting the 3% quota is entitled to appoint one representative for every 1/450 (approximately 0.22%) of the total vote allocated to all parties exceeding the 3% threshold, with remaining seats being awarded to the parties with the largest remaining fractions of 1/450 of the total vote allocated to all parties meeting the 3% threshold.

Name of the party or electoral bloc (number of candidates):

(Parties or blocs which have obtained at least 3% of the vote are in bold)

Exit-polls[edit]

National exit poll 2006 Exit-poll Ukrainian sociology service Exit-poll "FOM-Ukraine"

Source: Korrespondent.net

Polls before the election day[edit]

According to earlier polls, front-runners where Party of Regions on 34%, Yulia Tymoshenko Bloc on 24%, as well as President Yushchenko's People's Union Our Ukraine.

Two other political forces that where virtually assured to pass a 3% barrier where the Socialist Party of Ukraine headed by Oleksander Moroz and the bloc of the current Speaker of Verkhovna Rada, Volodymyr Lytvyn (based on his former Agrarian Party of Ukraine renamed to the People's Party).

The Communist Party of Ukraine, which has progressively received less and less votes with each election (25% in 1998, 20% in 2002), was expected to continue their decline in voter support.

Whilst some parties have nominated over 400 candidates, it was always unlikely that any single Party would elect over 200 members. In order to form a Government, under Ukraine's constitution, parties will need to form a coalition with two or more voting blocks within the first month following the declaration of the polls.

Razumkov Centre Poll[edit]

Each 2 weeks Razumkov Centre held a representative national survey.

Table 1 shows the results for the parties likely to pass the three percent threshold.

Graph showing latest poll #3,Jan(2)by Razumkov published Feb 2006
Table 1: Ukrainian parliamentary election, 2006, Survey
Party or electoral bloc Nov. 2005 [3] Jan. 2006 (1) [4] Jan. 2006 (2) [5]
Party of Regions 17.5% 24.7% 27.4%
Bloc "Our Ukraine" 13.5% 15.4% 16.9%
Yuliya Tymoshenko Bloc 12.4% 12.0% 12.7%
Socialist Party of Ukraine 5.6% 4.6% 6.3%
Communist Party of Ukraine 5.8% 4.6% 6.2%
Lytvyn's People's Bloc 3.3% 3.0% 3.4%
Nataliya Vitrenko Bloc "People's Opposition" 2.6%[6] 2.5% 1.8%
Other 5.3% 7.7% 7.4%
Against all 6.7% 3.9% 4.1%
Will not vote 6.4% 2.5% 3.1%
Does not know/no opinion 20.9% 19.1% 10.5%
Not answered - - 0.2%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
number of respondents 1993 2290 2016
precision (p-value) 2.3% 2.1% 2.3%

The latest Razumkov poll shows a consolidation of voter opinion and if the results of the poll are a true indication of voter intention the voter participation rate will be above 90% of registered voters. Voting in Ukraine is not compulsory. Votes below the 3% threshold are discarded which increases the proportional share of seats allocated to the remaining party/blocs. There is still 10.5% of voters undecided.

Kyiv International Institute of Sociology[edit]

Kyiv International Institute of Sociology presented the latest poll on 9 February based on a survey during 20–27 January[7].

Table 2 shows the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS) poll results for the parties likely to pass the three percent threshold.

Graph showing poll results by Kyiv International Institute of Sociology published Feb 2006
Regional division used by KIIS
Table 2: Ukrainian parliamentary election, January 2006, Survey
Party or electoral bloc Ukraine West Center South East
Party of Regions 29.9% 5.0% 8.5% 43.5% 68.1%
Bloc "Our Ukraine" 18.5% 38.4% 23.4% 9.6% 2.3%
Yuliya Tymoshenko Bloc 10.4% 16.6% 16.6% 5.3% 2.0%
Socialist Party of Ukraine 4.0% 2.1% 8.9% 2.0% 1.5%
Communist Party of Ukraine 4.5% 0.9% 4.3% 6.5% 6.0%
Lytvyn's People's Bloc 2.6% 1.8% 3.8% 3.7% 0.4%
Nataliya Vitrenko Bloc "People's Opposition" 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 2.5% 1.8%
Civic Bloc "Pora" 0.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.7% 0.2%
Greens Party 0.6% 0.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2%
Ukrainian People's Bloc of Kostenko and Plyusch 0.5% 1.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Opposition Bloc "Ne Tak" 0.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.7% 0.7%
Other (less than 0.4% each) 3.0% 1.6% 4.1% 3.6% 1.9%
Undecided 13.5% 20.5% 13.7% 12.6% 7.3%
Against all 5.7% 4.2% 10.2% 3.3% 4.0%
Does not vote 4.3% 4.3% 4.0% 5.2% 3.6%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

The map to the right shows the non administrative regional division used by KIIS: The Western region (orange) comprises the eight oblasts of the west - Volyn, Rivne, Lviv, Ivano-Frankivsk, Ternopil, Khmelnytskyi, Transcarpathia, and Chernivtsi oblasts; the Central region (yellow) is made up by Zhytomyr, Vinnytsia, Kirovohrad, Cherkasy, Poltava, Sumy, Chernihiv and Kiev oblasts as well as the city of Kiev; the Southern region (light blue) consists of Dnipropetrovsk, Odessa, Mykolayiv, Kherson, Zaporizhzhia oblasts, the Autonomous Republic of Crimea and the city of Sevastopol; the Eastern region (dark blue) includes Kharkiv, Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts

World reaction[edit]

Lesser Coat of Arms of Ukraine.svg
This article is part of a series on the
politics and government of
Ukraine
Constitution

According to Arabic newsmedia Aljazeera, Party of the regions had alleged that the general elections had been marred by irregularities and poor organisation as the first exit polls were published. But while acknowledging some organisational problems, most other parties and Western observers have given the vote a largely clean bill of health. [8]

Russian newspaper Izvestia predicts that Ukraine can expect more political instability and worsening economic situation. [9]

According to Russian Gazeta.ru, Tymoshenko, Yushchenko and the Socialists can form a coalition. Yulia Tymoshenko was sure she will become a new PM. Yushchenko and Georgian President Saakishvili already congratulated her with victory. [10],[11],[12]

According to Russian RIAN, Tymoshenko promised to reconsider the Russian-Ukrainian gas deal. [13]

Washington Post informed that Yushchenko's party was beaten into a humiliating third place in parliamentary elections as the pro-Russian party of the man he defeated for the presidency 16 months ago appeared headed for a clear victory, according to exit polls. The Party of Regions, led by Viktor Yanukovych, who was defeated by Yushchenko in 2004 following massive street protests known as the Orange Revolution, secured a commanding 33.3 percent of the vote, according to one poll. A second exit poll gave his party 27.5 percent. [14]

On 27 March, Arabic Aljazeera reported that Yulia Tymoshenko, the former PM, had scored a triumph in parliamentary elections with her own bloc coming second and placing her in a position to form a coalition government. Viktor Yanukovich's pro-Russian Regions party won the most seats, but Tymoshenko emerged as a rejuvenated political figure, saying that "Orange Revolution" liberals could close ranks to keep the pro-Russian party in opposition. The outcome was a double humiliation for Viktor Yushchenko, the president, who defeated Yanukovich in a presidential poll re-run after December's 2004 street protests, and later fell out with Tymoshenko, his former Orange Revolution comrade. [15]

According to Forbes.com, Tymoshenko urged her estranged Orange Revolution allies to form a united front against their old pro-Russian nemesis, who was leading in early results from a weekend parliamentary election. Proposed coalition talks, which were supposed to get under way Monday, were delayed indefinitely.[16]

Russian online media Lenta.ru reported that activists of Vitrenko's party erected tents and started boycotting the premises of Ukrainian Central Election Commission in protest of alleged violations. [17]. According to Interfax-Ukraine[18], the tents are mostly empty. [19]

Coalition and government[edit]

Following the 2004 constitutional amendments, a concept of coalition government replaced the existing concept of majority government.

The formation of coalition government was delayed and triggered post-election political "trade offs". On 22 June 2006 there finally was signed a coalition agreement between Bloc of Yulia Tymoshenko, Bloc "Our Ukraine", and the Socialist Party of Ukraine forming the Coalition of Democratic Forces. However, political trading continued on and appointment of new government was getting suspended. Because of delay, the Socialist Party withdrew its signature from the coalition agreement and on 7 July 2006 signed new coalition agreement with the Party of Regions and the Communist Party of Ukraine forming the so called Alliance of National Unity. That led to re-appointment of Viktor Yanukovych as Prime Minister on 4 August, with the backing of 30 deputies of the "Our Ukraine" Bloc, after the parties agreed on the principals of state policy expressed in the Universal of National Unity.

The political scandal led to early parliamentary elections after the President Viktor Yushchenko dissolved the parliament.

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ Razumkov Centre: 21 листопада 2005 Рейтинг політичних партій України (Центр ім.О. Разумков) (Conducted 3–13 November 2005, published 21 November 2005, Ukrainian only, edited)
  2. ^ Razumkov Centre: 20 січня 2006 Електоральні рейтинги партій і блоків (Центр ім.О. Разумков) (Conducted 12–17 January 2006, published 20 January, Ukrainian only, edited)
  3. ^ Razumkov Centre: 8 лютого 2006 Наміри голосування на виборах до Верховної Ради України та ідеологічні орієнтації громадян (Центр ім.О. Разумков) (Conducted 26–31 January 2006, published 8 February, Ukrainian only, edited)
  4. ^ The November survey included Vitrenko's Progressive Socialist Party of Ukraine. In January it was replaced with Nataliya Vitrenko Bloc "People's Opposition", which also includes the Party "Rus'-Ukrainian Union" (RUS')
  5. ^ Kiev International Institute of Sociology:Report Documentation Link

External links[edit]