2012 United States House of Representatives elections in California
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All 53 California seats to the United States House of Representatives | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in California |
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The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in California were held on November 6, 2012, with a primary election on June 5, 2012. Voters elected the 53 U.S. representatives from the state, one from each of the state's 53 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election and a U.S. Senate election.
According to The Cook Political Report and Roll Call, the most competitive districts were the 7th, 10th, 26th, 36th, and 52nd; additionally, the 3rd, 9th, 24th, 41st, and 47th were rated as less than safe.[1][2] Roll Call additionally listed the 21st district as competitive. Voters in 14 districts elected new representatives: the 1st, 2nd, 7th, 8th, 15th, 21st, 26th, 29th, 35th, 36th, 41st, 47th, 51st, and 52nd. Two districts, the 30th and the 44th, had two incumbents running against each other.
This was the first election using congressional districts drawn by the California Citizens Redistricting Commission. The districts, based on the 2010 United States census, were approved on August 15, 2011.[3] It was also the first non-special election to use the nonpartisan blanket primary system established by Proposition 14. As a result, eight districts featured general elections with two candidates of the same party: the 15th, 30th, 35th, 40th, 43rd, and 44th with two Democrats; and the 8th and 31st with two Republicans.
Overview[edit]
Statewide[edit]
| United States House of Representatives elections in California, 2012 Primary election — June 5, 2012 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Votes | Percentage | Candidates | Advancing to general | Seats contesting | |
| Democratic | 2,643,313 | 53.41% | 107 | 56 | 50 | |
| Republican | 2,072,433 | 41.87% | 98 | 46 | 44 | |
| No party preference | 189,783 | 3.83% | 25 | 4 | 4 | |
| Green | 26,674 | 0.54% | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| Libertarian | 14,787 | 0.30% | 4 | 0 | 0 | |
| Peace and Freedom | 2,415 | 0.05% | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Valid votes | 4,949,405 | 92.89% | — | — | — | |
| Invalid votes | 378,891 | 7.11% | — | — | — | |
| Totals | 5,328,296 | 100.00% | 242 | 106 | — | |
| Voter turnout | 31.06% | |||||
| United States House of Representatives elections in California, 2012 General election — November 6, 2012 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats | +/– | |
| Democratic | 7,392,703 | 60.57% | 38 |  4
| |
| Republican | 4,530,012 | 37.12% | 15 |  4
| |
| No party preference | 281,642 | 2.31% | 0 | 
| |
| Valid votes | 12,204,357 | 92.44% | — | — | |
| Invalid or blank votes | 997,801 | 7.56% | — | — | |
| Totals | 13,202,158 | 100.00% | 53 | — | |
| Voter turnout | 72.36% | ||||
District 1[edit]
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 Results by county LaMalfa: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | ||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district is based in inland Northern California and includes Chico and Redding. Incumbent Republican Wally Herger, who represented the 2nd district from 1987 to 2013, retired.[4] The district had a PVI of R+10.
Primary election[edit]
Republican candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Sam Aanestad, former state senator[6]
- Gregory Cheadle, real estate broker[7]
- Michael Dacquisto, attorney
- Pete Stiglich, retired Air Force Colonel and candidate for this seat in 2010[8]
Declined[edit]
- Wally Herger, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Nathan Arrowsmith
Campaign[edit]
Reed was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] In March 2012, the California Republican Party declined to make an endorsement in the 1st district.[11]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Doug LaMalfa | 66,527 | 37.9 | |
| Democratic | Jim Reed | 43,409 | 24.8 | |
| Republican | Sam Aanestad | 25,224 | 14.4 | |
| Republican | Michael Dacquisto | 10,530 | 6.0 | |
| Republican | Pete Stiglich | 10,258 | 5.8 | |
| Democratic | Nathan Arrowsmith | 8,598 | 4.9 | |
| No party preference | Gary Allen Oxley | 5,901 | 3.4 | |
| Republican | Gregory Cheadle | 4,939 | 2.8 | |
| Total votes | 175,386 | 100.0 | ||
General Election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
- Labor unions
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Doug LaMalfa | 168,827 | 57.4 | |
| Democratic | Jim Reed | 125,386 | 42.6 | |
| Majority | 43,441 | 14.8 | ||
| Total votes | 294,213 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 2[edit]
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 Results by county Huffman: 60–70% 70–80% Roberts: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district is based in California's North Coast and includes Marin County and Eureka. Democrat Lynn Woolsey, who represented the 6th district from 1993 to 2013, retired.[19] The district had a PVI of D+19.
Primary election[edit]
Democratic candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Jared Huffman, state assembly member[20]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Susan Adams, Nurse Practitioner and Marin County Board of Supervisors member[20]
- Andy Caffrey[21]
- William Courtney, physician and researcher[21]
- Larry Fritzlan, therapist[22]
- Stacey Lawson, businesswoman and chemical engineer[20]
- Tiffany Renée, former Petaluma City Council member[20]
- Norman Solomon, journalist and activist[20]
Declined[edit]
- Noreen Evans, state senator[23]
- Gavin Newsom, incumbent Lieutenant Governor of California[24][25]
- Pam Torliatt, Mayor of Petaluma[26][27]
- Shirlee Zane, Sonoma County supervisor[28]
Republican candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Daniel Roberts, Vietnam War veteran and investment company president[29]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Mike Halliwell, college professor[22]
Declined[edit]
Independent candidates[edit]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Brooke Clarke, small business owner[22]
- John Lewallen
Green Party candidates[edit]
Declined[edit]
- Marnie Glickman (Green), co-chair of the Marin County Green Party[30]
- Nancy Mancias (Green), co-chair of the Marin County Green Party
Campaign[edit]
Regional delegates of the California Democratic Party met in January 2012 but did not endorse a nominee as no candidate received 50 per cent of the vote. Huffman received 48 per cent, Solomon 37 per cent, Adams 12 per cent and Lawson one percent.[31] Meanwhile, Roberts received the endorsement of the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
Endorsements[edit]
Polling[edit]
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Susan Adams (D) |
Andy Caffrey (D) |
William Courtney (D) |
Mike Halliwell (R) |
Jared Huffman (D) |
Stacey Lawson (D) |
Tiffany Renée (D) |
Daniel Roberts (R) |
Norman Solomon (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Research Partners (D-Solomon) | April 17–19, 2012 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 8% | — | — | 3% | 18% | 5% | — | 3% | 10% | 47% |
| Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates (D-Huffman) | March 23–29, 2012 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 5% | — | — | 5% | 24% | 9% | — | 7% | 5% | 45% |
| Lake Research Partners (D-Solomon) | October 18–20, 2011 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 4% | 2% | 3% | — | 16% | 4% | 1% | 12% | 11% | 46% |
| Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates (D-Huffman) | October 5–9, 2011 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 5% | 4% | — | — | 20% | 5% | 3% | 18% | 7% | 37% |
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jared Huffman | 63,922 | 37.5 | |
| Republican | Daniel Roberts | 25,635 | 15.0 | |
| Democratic | Norman Solomon | 25,462 | 14.9 | |
| Democratic | Stacey Lawson | 16,946 | 9.9 | |
| Democratic | Susan Adams | 14,041 | 8.2 | |
| Republican | Mike Halliwell | 10,008 | 5.9 | |
| No party preference | Brooke Clarke | 3,715 | 2.2 | |
| Democratic | Tiffany Renée | 3,033 | 1.8 | |
| No party preference | John Lewallen | 2,488 | 1.5 | |
| Democratic | William L. Courtney | 2,385 | 1.4 | |
| Democratic | Andy Caffrey | 1,737 | 1.0 | |
| Democratic | Larry Fritzlan | 1,151 | 0.7 | |
| Total votes | 170,523 | 100.0 | ||
General Election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
- Labor unions
- AFL-CIO[17]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[18]
- National Association of Letter Carriers[32]
- Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Majority Makers" Program[33]
- Human Rights Campaign[34]
- Sierra Club[35]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jared Huffman | 226,216 | 71.2 | |
| Republican | Daniel Roberts | 91,310 | 28.8 | |
| Total votes | 317,526 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 3[edit]
The 3rd district is based in north central California and includes Davis, Fairfield, and Yuba City. Incumbent Democrat John Garamendi, who represented the 10th district from 2009 to 2013, ran for re-election. The district had a PVI of D+1.
Primary election[edit]
Democratic candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- John Garamendi, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Kim Vann, Colusa County Board of Supervisors member[36]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Tony Carlos, Sutter County deputy district attorney[37]
- Eugene Ray, realtor
- Rick Tubbs, pilot[38]
Withdrawn[edit]
Campaign[edit]
Garamendi received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] In March 2012, the California Republican Party declined to make an endorsement in the 3rd district.[39]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | John Garamendi (incumbent) | 59,546 | 51.5 | |
| Republican | Kim Vann | 30,254 | 26.2 | |
| Republican | Rick Tubbs | 17,902 | 15.5 | |
| Republican | Tony Carlos | 5,541 | 4.8 | |
| Republican | Eugene Ray | 2,438 | 2.1 | |
| Total votes | 115,681 | 100.0 | ||
General Election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
- Organizations
Polling[edit]
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Garamendi (D) |
Kim Vann (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBA Strategies (D-House Majority PAC) | August 26–27, 2012 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 54% | 39% | 7% |
| DCCC (D) | July 25, 2012 | 303 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 52% | 37% | 11% |
Predictions[edit]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[43] | Likely D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[44] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[45] | Likely D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[46] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[47] | Lean D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[48] | Likely D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[49] | Lean D | November 4, 2012 |
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | John Garamendi (incumbent) | 126,882 | 54.2 | |
| Republican | Kim Vann | 107,086 | 45.8 | |
| Majority | 19,796 | 8.4 | ||
| Total votes | 233,968 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 4[edit]
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 Results by county McClintock: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Uppal: 50–60% 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||
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The 4th district is based in east central California and includes Lake Tahoe, Roseville, and Yosemite National Park. Incumbent Republican Tom McClintock, who has represented the 4th district since 2009, ran for re-election. The district had a PVI of R+10.
Primary election[edit]
Republican candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Tom McClintock, incumbent U.S. Representative
Declined[edit]
- Dan Lungren, incumbent U.S. Representative for the 3rd district (running in the 7th)[50][51]
Democratic candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Jack Uppal, retired semiconductor engineer[52]
Campaign[edit]
Uppal was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012 with McClintock receiving the endorsement of the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11][10]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom McClintock (incumbent) | 114,311 | 64.8 | |
| Democratic | Jack Uppal | 62,130 | 35.2 | |
| Total votes | 176,441 | 100.0 | ||
General Election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
- Labor unions
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom McClintock (incumbent) | 197,803 | 61.1 | |
| Democratic | Jack Uppal | 125,885 | 38.9 | |
| Total votes | 323,688 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 5[edit]
The 5th district is based in the North Bay and includes Napa, Santa Rosa, and Vallejo. Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson, who had represented the 1st district from 1999 to 2013, ran for re-election. The district had a PVI of D+18.
Primary election[edit]
Democratic candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Mike Thompson, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Randy Loftin, tax and financial planning adviser[22]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Stewart Cilley, accountant
Campaign[edit]
Thompson received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012[10] while Loftin was endorsed by the California Republican Party in March.[11]
Endorsements[edit]
- Organizations
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mike Thompson (incumbent) | 95,748 | 72.2 | |
| Republican | Randy Loftin | 22,137 | 16.7 | |
| Republican | Stewart Cilley | 14,734 | 11.1 | |
| Total votes | 132,619 | 100.0 | ||
General Election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
- Organizations
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mike Thompson (incumbent) | 202,872 | 74.5 | |
| Republican | Randy Loftin | 69,545 | 25.5 | |
| Total votes | 272,417 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 6[edit]
The 6th district is based in north central California and includes Sacramento. Incumbent Democrat Doris Matsui, who represented the 5th district from 2005 to 2013, ran for re-election here. The district had a PVI of D+13.
Primary election[edit]
Democratic candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Doris Matsui, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Joseph McCray Sr., business owner
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Erik Smitt
Campaign[edit]
Matsui was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Doris Matsui (incumbent) | 67,174 | 71.4 | |
| Republican | Joseph McCray, Sr. | 15,647 | 16.6 | |
| Republican | Erik Smitt | 11,254 | 12.0 | |
| Total votes | 94,075 | 100.0 | ||
General election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Doris Matsui (incumbent) | 160,667 | 75.1 | |
| Republican | Joseph McCray, Sr. | 53,406 | 24.9 | |
| Total votes | 214,073 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 7[edit]
The 7th district is based in north central California and includes eastern Sacramento County. Incumbent Republican Dan Lungren, who represented the 3rd district from 2005 to 2013 and previously served from 1979 until 1989, ran for re-election. The district had a PVI of R+3.
Primary election[edit]
Republican candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Dan Lungren, incumbent U.S. Representative
Declined[edit]
- Darren Spellman, Calaveras County Board of Supervisors member[58]
Democratic candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
Declined[edit]
- Alyson Huber, state assembly member[60]
Campaign[edit]
Bera received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] Lungren was endorsed by the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Dan Lungren (incumbent) | 63,586 | 52.7 | |
| Democratic | Ami Bera | 49,433 | 41.0 | |
| No party preference | Curt Taras | 3,854 | 3.2 | |
| Libertarian | Douglas Arthur Tuma | 3,707 | 3.1 | |
| Total votes | 120,580 | 100.0 | ||
General election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
- Labor unions
- AFL-CIO[17]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[18]
- National Association of Letter Carriers[32]
- Organizations
Debates[edit]
- Complete video of debate, September 25, 2012
Polling[edit]
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dan Lungren (R) |
Ami Bera (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D-CREDO) | October 25–26, 2012 | 792 (LV) | ± ?% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
| Garin-Hart-Yang (D-House Majority PAC/SEIU) | August 21–23, 2012 | 401 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
Predictions[edit]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Tossup | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[44] | Tilts D (flip) | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[45] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[46] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[47] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[48] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[49] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ami Bera | 141,241 | 51.7 | |
| Republican | Dan Lungren (incumbent) | 132,050 | 48.3 | |
| Majority | 9,191 | 3.4 | ||
| Total votes | 273,291 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | ||||
Aftermath[edit]
In May 2016, Babulal Bera, Ami Bera's father, pleaded guilty to two felony counts of election fraud affecting the 2010 and 2012 elections,[63] and was convicted of illegally funneling $250,000 to Bera's campaigns between 2010 and 2012.[64]
District 8[edit]
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 Results by county Cook: 50–60% Imus: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||
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The 8th district is based in the eastern High Desert and includes Victorville and Yucaipa. Incumbent Republican Jerry Lewis, who represented the 41st district from 2003 to 2013 and its predecessors since 1983, retired.[65] The district had a PVI of R+12.
Primary election[edit]
Republican candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Paul Cook, state assembly member[66]
- Gregg Imus, co-founder of the Minuteman Civil Defense Corps of California[67]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Dennis Albertsen, computer scientist
- George Craig
- Bill Jensen, former Mayor of Hesperia[67]
- Phillip Liberatore, accountant[68]
- Ryan McEachron, Mayor of Victorville;[67]
- Brad Mitzelfelt, San Bernardino County Supervisor[69]
- Joseph Napolitano
- Angela Valles, member of the Victorville City Council[67]
Declined[edit]
- Jerry Lewis, incumbent U.S. Representative[70]
Democratic candidates[edit]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Jackie Conaway, law office manager and nominee for the 25th district in 2008 & 2010[71]
- John Pinkerton, President of Victor Valley College Board of Trustees
Independent candidates[edit]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Anthony Adams, former Republican state assembly member[68]
Campaign[edit]
Conaway was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] In March 2012, the California Republican Party declined to endorse a candidate in the 8th district.[72]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Gregg Imus | 12,754 | 15.6 | |
| Republican | Paul Cook | 12,517 | 15.3 | |
| Republican | Phil Liberatore | 12,277 | 15.0 | |
| Democratic | Jackie Conaway | 11,674 | 14.3 | |
| Republican | Brad Mitzelfelt | 8,801 | 10.8 | |
| Democratic | John Pinkerton | 7,941 | 9.7 | |
| Republican | Angela Valles | 4,924 | 6.0 | |
| Republican | Ryan McEachron | 3,181 | 3.9 | |
| No party preference | Anthony Adams | 2,750 | 3.4 | |
| Republican | Bill Jensen | 1,850 | 2.3 | |
| Republican | George T. Craig | 1,376 | 1.7 | |
| Republican | Joseph D. Napolitano | 1,050 | 1.3 | |
| Republican | Dennis L. Albertsen | 761 | 0.9 | |
| Total votes | 81,856 | 100.0 | ||
Endorsements[edit]
- Organizations
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Paul Cook | 103,093 | 57.4 | |
| Republican | Gregg Imus | 76,551 | 42.6 | |
| Total votes | 179,644 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 9[edit]
The 9th district is based in the Central Valley and includes the San Joaquin Delta and Stockton. Incumbent Democrat Jerry McNerney, who represented the 11th district from 2007 to 2013, ran for re-election here. The district had a PVI of D+2.
Primary election[edit]
Democratic candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Jerry McNerney, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Ricky Gill, student at the UC Berkeley School of Law and former member of the California State Board of Education[73]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- John McDonald, technology executive,[74]
Declined[edit]
- Tony Amador, retired US Marshal and candidate for this seat in 2010
- Brad Goehring, farmer and candidate for this seat in 2010[75]
- David Harmer, businessman and nominee for this seat in 2010[76]
Campaign[edit]
Gill was endorsed by the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jerry McNerney (incumbent) | 45,696 | 47.8 | |
| Republican | Ricky Gill | 38,488 | 40.2 | |
| Republican | John McDonald | 11,458 | 12.0 | |
| Total votes | 95,642 | 100.0 | ||
General Election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
- Organizations
Polling[edit]
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jerry McNerney (D) |
Ricky Gill (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy Group (D-DCCC) | October 8–10, 2012 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 38% | 15% |
| Tarrance (R-Gill) | September 30–October 2, 2012 | 409 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
| Tarrance (R-Gill) | July 24–26, 2012 | 402 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 47% | 45% | 9% |
| Lake Research Partners (D-McNerney) | July 8–11, 2012 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 33% | 18% |
Predictions[edit]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Tossup | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[44] | Tilts D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[45] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[46] | Lean D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[47] | Lean D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[48] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[49] | Lean D | November 4, 2012 |
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jerry McNerney (incumbent) | 118,373 | 55.6 | |
| Republican | Ricky Gill | 94,704 | 44.4 | |
| Majority | 23,669 | 11.2 | ||
| Total votes | 213,077 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 10[edit]
The 10th district is based in the Central Valley and includes Modesto and Tracy. Incumbent Democrat Dennis Cardoza, who represented the 18th district from 2003 to 2013, retired.[77] Incumbent Republican Jeff Denham, who represented the 19th district from 2011 to 2013, ran for re-election here. The district had a PVI of R+5.
Primary election[edit]
Republican candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Jeff Denham, incumbent U.S. Representative for the 19th district
Democratic candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- José Hernández, former NASA astronaut[78]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Mike Barkley, lawyer and certified public accountant;[79]
Declined[edit]
- Dennis Cardoza, incumbent U.S. Representative for the 18th district[80]
Independent candidates[edit]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Chad Condit, son of former U.S. Representative Gary Condit
- Troy McComack, small business owner
Campaign[edit]
Hernandez was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jeff Denham (incumbent) | 45,779 | 49.2 | |
| Democratic | José Hernández | 26,072 | 28.0 | |
| No party preference | Chad M. Condit | 13,983 | 15.0 | |
| Democratic | Michael J. "Mike" Barkley | 5,028 | 5.4 | |
| No party preference | Troy Wayne McComack | 2,114 | 2.3 | |
| Total votes | 92,976 | 100.0 | ||
General Election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
- Labor unions
- AFL-CIO[17]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[18]
- National Association of Letter Carriers[32]
- Organizations
Polling[edit]
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jeff Denham (R) |
José Hernández (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum Analysis (D-Hernandez) | September 29– October 1, 2012 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 45% | 43% | 12% |
| DCCC (D) | September 10, 2012 | 382 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 46% | 11% |
| Public Policy Polling (D-Democracy for America) | August 7–9, 2012 | 751 (LV) | ± ?% | 48% | 41% | 12% |
Predictions[edit]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Tossup | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[44] | Tilts R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[45] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[46] | Lean R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[47] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[48] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[49] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jeff Denham (incumbent) | 110,265 | 52.7 | |
| Democratic | José Hernández | 98,934 | 47.3 | |
| Majority | 11,331 | 5.4 | ||
| Total votes | 209,199 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 11[edit]
The 11th district is based in the East Bay and includes Concord and Richmond. Incumbent Democrat George Miller, who represented the 7th district from 1975 to 2013, ran for re-election here. The district had a PVI of D+17.
Primary election[edit]
Democratic candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- George Miller, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- John Fitzgerald, small business owner[82]
- Cheryl Sudduth, public policy advocate
Republican candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Virginia Fuller, nurse[82]
Campaign[edit]
Miller received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | George Miller (incumbent) | 76,163 | 58.5 | |
| Republican | Virginia Fuller | 40,333 | 31.0 | |
| Democratic | John Fitzgerald | 9,092 | 7.0 | |
| Democratic | Cheryl Sudduth | 4,635 | 3.6 | |
| Total votes | 130,223 | 100.0 | ||
General election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | George Miller (incumbent) | 200,743 | 69.7 | |
| Republican | Virginia Fuller | 87,136 | 30.3 | |
| Total votes | 287,879 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 12[edit]
The 12th district is based in the Bay Area and includes most of San Francisco. House Democratic Leader and former Speaker Nancy Pelosi, who represented the 8th district from 1993 to 2013 and previously represented the 5th district from 1987 until 1993, ran for re-election here. The district had a PVI of D+35.
Primary election[edit]
Democratic candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Nancy Pelosi, incumbent U.S. Representative and House Minority Leader
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Americo Artura Diaz, self-employed designer
- David Peterson, businessman
- Summer Justice Shields
Republican candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- John Dennis, real estate developer
Green candidates[edit]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Barry Hermanson
Campaign[edit]
Pelosi was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Nancy Pelosi (incumbent) | 89,446 | 74.9 | |
| Republican | John Dennis | 16,206 | 13.6 | |
| Green | Barry Hermanson | 6,398 | 5.4 | |
| Democratic | David Peterson | 3,756 | 3.1 | |
| Democratic | Summer Justice Shields | 2,146 | 1.9 | |
| Democratic | Américo Arturo Díaz | 1,499 | 1.3 | |
| Total votes | 119,451 | 100.0 | ||
General Election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
- Organizations
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Nancy Pelosi (incumbent) | 253,709 | 85.1 | |
| Republican | John Dennis | 44,478 | 14.9 | |
| Total votes | 298,187 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 13[edit]
The 13th district is based in the East Bay and includes Berkeley and Oakland. Democrat Barbara Lee, who represented the 9th district from 1998 to 2013, ran for re-election here. The district had a PVI of D+37.
Primary election[edit]
Democratic candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Barbara Lee, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Justin Jelincic[82]
Independent candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Marilyn Singleton, physician
Campaign[edit]
Lee received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Barbara Lee (incumbent) | 94,709 | 83.1 | |
| No party preference | Marilyn M. Singleton | 13,502 | 11.8 | |
| Democratic | Justin Jelincic | 5,741 | 5.0 | |
| Total votes | 113,952 | 100.0 | ||
General Election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Barbara Lee (incumbent) | 250,436 | 86.8 | |
| No party preference | Marilyn M. Singleton | 38,146 | 13.2 | |
| Total votes | 288,582 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 14[edit]
The 14th district is based in the Bay Area and includes most of San Mateo County. Incumbent Democrat Jackie Speier, who represented the 12th district from 2008 to 2013, ran for re-election here. The district had a PVI of D+23.
Primary election[edit]
Democratic candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Jackie Speier, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Mike Maloney, perennial candidate[86]
Republican candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Deborah Bacigalupi, businesswoman
Campaign[edit]
Speier was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jackie Speier (incumbent) | 80,850 | 74.3 | |
| Republican | Deborah Bacigalupi | 23,299 | 21.4 | |
| Democratic | Michael J. Moloney | 4,607 | 4.2 | |
| Total votes | 108,756 | 100.0 | ||
General Election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
- Organizations
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jackie Speier (incumbent) | 203,828 | 78.9 | |
| Republican | Deborah Bacigalupi | 54,455 | 21.1 | |
| Total votes | 258,283 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 15[edit]
The 15th district is based in the East Bay and includes Hayward and Livermore. Incumbent Democrat Pete Stark, who represented the 13th district from 1993 to 2013 and its predecessors since 1973, ran for re-election here. The district had a PVI of D+15.
Primary election[edit]
Democratic candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Eric Swalwell, Alameda County deputy district attorney and member of the Dublin city council[87]
- Pete Stark, incumbent U.S. Representative
Independent candidates[edit]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Christopher Pareja, businessman
Campaign[edit]
Stark received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] Eric Swalwell won the Tri Valley Democratic Club's Straw Poll on February 20[88]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Pete Stark (incumbent) | 39,943 | 42.1 | |
| Democratic | Eric Swalwell | 34,347 | 36.0 | |
| No party preference | Christopher "Chris" J. Pareja | 20,618 | 21.7 | |
| Total votes | 94,908 | 100.0 | ||
General election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Eric Swalwell | 120,388 | 52.1 | |
| Democratic | Pete Stark (incumbent) | 110,646 | 47.9 | |
| Majority | 9,742 | 4.2 | ||
| Total votes | 231,034 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 16[edit]
The 16th district is based in the Central Valley and includes Fresno and Merced. Incumbent Democrat Jim Costa, who represented the 20th district from 2005 to 2013, ran for re-election here. The district had a PVI of D+2.
Primary election[edit]
Democratic candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Loraine Goodwin, physician and member of the California Democratic State Central Committee
Declined[edit]
- Dennis Cardoza, incumbent U.S. Representative for the 18th district[90]
Republican candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Brian Whelan, farmer and attorney[91]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Mark Garcia, small business owner
- Johnny Tacherra, farmer
Declined[edit]
- Jeff Denham, incumbent U.S. Representative for the 19th district
- Case Lawrence, entrepreneur[92]
- Clint Olivier, member of the Fresno City Council[91]
- Jim Patterson, former Mayor of Fresno[89][91]
- Mark Pazin, Merced County Sheriff[91]
- Andy Vidak, farmer and nominee for this seat in 2010[91]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jim Costa (incumbent) | 25,355 | 42.7 | |
| Republican | Brian Daniel Whelan | 15,053 | 25.3 | |
| Republican | Johnny M. Tacherra | 6,776 | 11.4 | |
| Republican | Mark Garcia | 6,529 | 11.0 | |
| Democratic | Loraine Goodwin | 5,703 | 9.6 | |
| Total votes | 59,416 | 100.0 | ||
General Election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
- Organizations
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Contender" Program[13]
- National Right to Life Committee[15]
Predictions[edit]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[93] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[44] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[45] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[46] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[47] | Lean D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[48] | Safe D | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[49] | Likely D | November 4, 2012 |
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jim Costa (incumbent) | 84,649 | 57.4 | |
| Republican | Brian Daniel Whelan | 62,801 | 42.6 | |
| Majority | 21,848 | 14.8 | ||
| Total votes | 147,450 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 17[edit]
The 17th district is based in the Bay Area and includes Sunnyvale, Cupertino, Santa Clara, Fremont, and Milpitas. Democrat Mike Honda, who represented the 15th district from 2001 to 2013, ran for re-election here.
Charles Richardson ran as a Libertarian Party candidate.[82]
Primary election[edit]
Democratic candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Mike Honda, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Evelyn Li, cardiologist and founder of patient advocate organization
Campaign[edit]
Honda received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] Li was endorsed by the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mike Honda (incumbent) | 60,252 | 66.7 | |
| Republican | Evelyn Li | 24,916 | 27.6 | |
| No party preference | Charles Richardson | 5,163 | 5.7 | |
| Total votes | 90,331 | 100.0 | ||
General Election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mike Honda (incumbent) | 159,392 | 73.5 | |
| Republican | Evelyn Li | 57,336 | 26.5 | |
| Total votes | 216,728 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 18[edit]
The 18th district is based in the Bay Area and includes Palo Alto, Redwood City, and Saratoga. Democrat Anna Eshoo, who represented the 14th district from 1993 to 2013, ran for re-election.
Primary election[edit]
Democratic candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Anna Eshoo, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- William Parks
Republican candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
Green candidates[edit]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Carol Brouillet, part of the Occupy movement[86]
Campaign[edit]
Eshoo was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] Chapman received the endorsement of the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Anna Eshoo (incumbent) | 86,851 | 61.5 | |
| Republican | Dave Chapman | 42,174 | 29.8 | |
| Democratic | William Parks | 6,504 | 4.6 | |
| Green | Carol Brouillet | 5,777 | 4.1 | |
| Total votes | 141,306 | 100.0 | ||
General Election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Anna Eshoo (incumbent) | 212,831 | 70.5 | |
| Republican | Dave Chapman | 89,103 | 29.5 | |
| Total votes | 301,934 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 19[edit]
The 19th district is based in the South Bay and includes most of San Jose. Democrat Zoe Lofgren, who represented the 16th district from 1995 to 2013, ran for re-election here.
Primary election[edit]
Democratic candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Zoe Lofgren, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Robert Murray
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Phat Nguyen
Campaign[edit]
Lofgren received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] Murray was endorsed by the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Zoe Lofgren (incumbent) | 60,726 | 65.2 | |
| Republican | Robert Murray | 21,421 | 23.0 | |
| Republican | Phat Nguyen | 7,192 | 7.7 | |
| No party preference | Jay Cabrera | 3,829 | 4.1 | |
| Total votes | 93,168 | 100.0 | ||
General Election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Zoe Lofgren (incumbent) | 162,300 | 73.2 | |
| Republican | Robert Murray | 59,313 | 26.8 | |
| Total votes | 221,613 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 20[edit]
| ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
 Results by county Farr: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
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The 20th district is based in the Central Coast and includes Monterey and Santa Cruz. Democrat Sam Farr, who represented the 17th district from 1993 to 2013, ran for re-election here.
Primary election[edit]
Democratic candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Sam Farr, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Art Dunn, Vice President of Ansavoice Communications
Republican candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Jeff Taylor, farmer
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Mike LeBarre
Campaign[edit]
Farr was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Sam Farr (incumbent) | 68,895 | 64.4 | |
| Republican | Jeff Taylor | 23,905 | 22.3 | |
| Republican | Mike LeBarre | 5,487 | 5.1 | |
| Democratic | Art Dunn | 4,095 | 3.8 | |
| Green | Eric Petersen | 2,211 | 2.1 | |
| No party preference | Robert Paul Kabat | 1,733 | 1.6 | |
| No party preference | Dan Caudle | 703 | 0.7 | |
| Total votes | 107,029 | 100.0 | ||
General Election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Sam Farr (incumbent) | 172,996 | 74.1 | |
| Republican | Jeff Taylor | 60,566 | 25.9 | |
| Total votes | 233,562 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 21[edit]
| ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
 Results by county Valadao: 50–60% 60–70% Hernandez: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
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The 21st district is based in the Central Valley and includes Hanford and parts of Bakersfield. This new district had no incumbent.
Primary election[edit]
Republican candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- David Valadao, state assembly member[95]
Declined[edit]
- Andy Vidak, farmer and nominee for the 20th district in 2010[96]
Democratic candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- John Hernandez, chief executive officer of the Central California Hispanic Chamber of Commerce[97]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
Declined[edit]
- Cruz Bustamante, former Lieutenant Governor and nominee for Governor in 2003[99]
- Dennis Cardoza, incumbent U.S. Representative for the 18th district[80]
- Jim Costa, incumbent U.S. Representative for the 20th district[100]
- Michael Rubio, state senator[101]
Campaign[edit]
Valadao was endorsed by the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | David Valadao | 27,251 | 57.0 | |
| Democratic | John Hernandez | 10,575 | 22.1 | |
| Democratic | Blong Xiong | 9,990 | 20.9 | |
| Total votes | 47,816 | 100.0 | ||
General Election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
- Organizations
- Labor unions
Polling[edit]
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
David Valadao (R) |
John Hernandez (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates (D-Hernandez) | October 13–16, 2012 | 509 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 37% | 22% |
| Moore (R-Valadao) | October 8–9, 2012 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 53% | 33% | 14% |
Predictions[edit]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Likely R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[44] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[45] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[46] | Likely R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[47] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[48] | Likely R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[49] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | David Valadao | 67,164 | 57.8 | ||
| Democratic | John Hernandez | 49,119 | 42.2 | ||
| Majority | 18,045 | 15.6 | |||
| Total votes | 116,283 | 100.0 | |||
| Republican win (new seat) | |||||
District 22[edit]
| ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
 Results by county Nunes: 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
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The 22nd district is based in the Central Valley and includes Clovis, Tulare, and Visalia. Republican Devin Nunes, who represented the 21st district from 2003 to 2013, ran for re-election here.[102]
Primary election[edit]
Republican candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Devin Nunes, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
Campaign[edit]
Nunes received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in March 2012.[11]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Devin Nunes (incumbent) | 67,386 | 70.6 | |
| Democratic | Otto Lee | 28,091 | 29.4 | |
| Total votes | 95,477 | 100.0 | ||
General Election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
- Labor unions
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Devin Nunes (incumbent) | 132,386 | 61.9 | |
| Democratic | Otto Lee | 81,555 | 38.1 | |
| Total votes | 213,941 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 23[edit]
| ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
 Results by county McCarthy: 60–70% 70–80% | ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
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The 23rd district is based in the southern Central Valley and includes parts of Bakersfield. House Majority Whip and Republican Kevin McCarthy, who represented the 22nd district from 2007 to 2013, ran for re-election here.
Primary election[edit]
Republican candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Kevin McCarthy, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic candidates[edit]
No Democrats filed
Independent candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Terry Phillips, former news reporter for Valley Public Radio, CBS, and NBC/Mutual
Campaign[edit]
McCarthy was endorsed by the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Kevin McCarthy (incumbent) | 71,109 | 72.2 | |
| No party preference | Terry Phillips | 17,018 | 17.3 | |
| Republican | Eric Parker | 10,414 | 10.6 | |
| Total votes | 98,541 | 100.0 | ||
General Election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
- Labor unions
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Kevin McCarthy (incumbent) | 158,161 | 73.2 | |
| No party preference | Terry Phillips | 57,842 | 26.8 | |
| Total votes | 216,003 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 24[edit]
| ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
 Results by county Capps: 50–60% 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
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The 24th district is based in the Central Coast and includes San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara. Democrat Lois Capps, who represented California's 23rd congressional district from 2003 to 2013 and the 22nd district from 1998 to 2003, ran for re-election here.
Primary election[edit]
Democratic candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Lois Capps, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Christopher Mitchum, former actor and businessman[105]
Withdrawn[edit]
- Tom Watson
Campaign[edit]
Capps received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] In March 2012, the California Republican Party declined to endorse any candidate, while the Santa Barbara County party endorsed Mitchum.[106]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Lois Capps (incumbent) | 72,356 | 46.4 | |
| Republican | Abel Maldonado | 46,295 | 29.7 | |
| Republican | Christopher Mitchum | 33,604 | 21.5 | |
| No party preference | Matt Boutté | 3,832 | 2.5 | |
| Total votes | 156,087 | 100.0 | ||
General Election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
- Organizations
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Young Guns" Program[13]
- United States Chamber of Commerce[16]
Polling[edit]
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Lois Capps (D) |
Abel Maldonado (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Opinion Strategies (R-Maldonado) | October 1–3, 2012 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| DCCC (D) | July 23, 2012 | 379 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R-Maldonado) | June 26–28, 2012 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
Predictions[edit]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Lean D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[44] | Tilts D | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[45] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[46] | Lean D | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[47] | Lean D | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[48] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[49] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Lois Capps (incumbent) | 156,749 | 55.1 | |
| Republican | Abel Maldonado | 127,746 | 44.9 | |
| Majority | 29,003 | 10.2 | ||
| Total votes | 284,495 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 25[edit]
The 25th district is based in northern Los Angeles County and includes Palmdale and Santa Clarita. Republican Howard McKeon, who has represented the 25th district since 1993, ran for re-election.[108]
Primary election[edit]
Republican candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Howard McKeon, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Dante Acosta, financial advisor
- Cathie Wright, daughter of former state senator Catherine Wright[109]
Declined[edit]
- Elton Gallegly, incumbent U.S. Representative for the 24th district[110][111]
Democratic candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
Campaign[edit]
Rogers was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] McKeon received the endorsement of the California Republican Party in March 2012.[106]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Howard McKeon (incumbent) | 39,997 | 50.5 | |
| Democratic | Lee Rogers | 23,542 | 29.7 | |
| Republican | Dante Acosta | 10,387 | 13.1 | |
| Republican | Cathie Wright | 5,215 | 6.6 | |
| Total votes | 79,141 | 100.0 | ||
General Election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
- Labor unions
- Organizations
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Howard McKeon (incumbent) | 129,593 | 54.8 | |
| Democratic | Lee Rogers | 106,982 | 45.2 | |
| Majority | 22,611 | 9.6 | ||
| Total votes | 236,575 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 26[edit]
The 26th district is based in the southern Central Coast and includes Oxnard and Thousand Oaks. Republican Elton Gallegly, who represented the 24th district from 2003 to 2013 and its predecessors since 1987, retired.[114]
Primary election[edit]
Republican candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
Declined[edit]
- Glen Becerra, member of the Simi Valley City Council[115]
- David Dreier, incumbent U.S. Representative for the 26th district[116]
- Elton Gallegly, incumbent U.S. Representative for the 24th district
- Keith Millhouse, member of the Moorpark City Council[117]
- Greg Totten, Ventura County District Attorney[115]
Democratic candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Julia Brownley, state assembly member[118]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Albert Maxwell Goldberg, real estate agent and broker
- Jess Herrera, commissioner of the Oxnard Harbor District[119]
- David Cruz Thayne, businessman and former professional tennis player[117]
Withdrawn[edit]
- Steve Bennett, member of the Ventura County Board of Supervisors[120]
- David Pollock, member of the Moorpark City Council[121][122]
- Esequiel Ruelas, retired longshoreman[123] but ended his campaign and endorsed Brownley.[118]
Declined[edit]
- Mary Anne Rooney, commissioner of the Oxnard Harbor District[117]
- Richard Francis, former Mayor of Ventura[120][124]
- Fran Pavley, state senator[125]
- Brad Sherman, incumbent U.S. Representative for the 27th district[121][126]
Independent candidates[edit]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Linda Parks, member of the Ventura County Board of Supervisors (and previously a registered Republican)[127]
Withdrawn[edit]
- Akiva Werbalowsky, permaculture designer[128][129]
Campaign[edit]
At the California Democratic Party convention, held in February 2012, delegates voted to make no endorsement.[130] In March 2012, Strickland was endorsed by the California Republican Party.[106]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tony Strickland | 49,043 | 44.1 | |
| Democratic | Julia Brownley | 29,892 | 26.9 | |
| No party preference | Linda Parks | 20,301 | 18.3 | |
| Democratic | Jess Herrera | 7,244 | 6.5 | |
| Democratic | David Cruz Thayne | 2,809 | 2.5 | |
| Democratic | Alex Maxwell Goldberg | 1,880 | 1.7 | |
| Total votes | 111,169 | 100.0 | ||
General Election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
Debates[edit]
- Complete video of debate, October 2, 2012
Polling[edit]
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tony Strickland (R) |
Julia Brownley (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulchin Research (D-Brownley) | July 15–19, 2012 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
Predictions[edit]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Tossup | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[44] | Tossup | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[45] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[46] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[47] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[48] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[49] | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Julia Brownley | 139,072 | 52.7 | |
| Republican | Tony Strickland | 124,863 | 47.3 | |
| Majority | 14,209 | 5.4 | ||
| Total votes | 263,935 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | ||||
District 27[edit]
The 27th district is based in the San Gabriel Foothills and includes Alhambra and Pasadena. Democrat Judy Chu, who represented the 32nd district from 2009 to 2013, ran for re-election here.[132]
Primary election[edit]
Democratic candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Judy Chu, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Jack Orswell, small business owner
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Bob Duran, tax attorney and businessman
Campaign[edit]
Chu received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10] Orswell received the endorsement of the California Republican Party in March 2012.[11]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Judy Chu (incumbent) | 50,203 | 57.8 | |
| Republican | Jack Orswell | 20,868 | 24.0 | |
| Republican | Bob Duran | 15,819 | 18.2 | |
| Total votes | 86,890 | 100.0 | ||
General Election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Judy Chu (incumbent) | 154,191 | 64.0 | |
| Republican | Jack Orswell | 86,817 | 36.0 | |
| Total votes | 241,008 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 28[edit]
The 28th district is based in the northern Los Angeles suburbs and includes Burbank and Glendale as well as parts of central Los Angeles. Democrat Adam Schiff, who represented the 29th district from 2003 to 2013 and the 27th district from 2001 to 2003, ran for re-election here.[133]
Primary election[edit]
Democratic candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Adam Schiff, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Sal Genovese, community services administrator
- Jonathan Ryan Kalbfeld, entrepreneur and software engineer
- Massie Munroe, Civil Engineer
Republican candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Phil Jennerjahn, political consultant, candidate for Mayor of Los Angeles in 2009 and for the 33rd District in 2010
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Garen Mailyan, security officer
- Jenny Worman, actress and Hollywood stand-in
Campaign[edit]
Schiff was endorsed by the California Democratic Party in February 2012.[10]
Endorsements[edit]
- Organizations
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Adam Schiff (incumbent) | 42,797 | 59.0 | |
| Republican | Phil Jennerjahn | 12,633 | 17.4 | |
| Republican | Jenny Worman | 5,978 | 8.2 | |
| Republican | Garen Mailyan | 3,749 | 5.2 | |
| Democratic | Sal Genovese | 2,829 | 3.9 | |
| Democratic | Massie Munroe | 2,437 | 3.4 | |
| Democratic | Jonathan Ryan Kalbfeld | 2,119 | 2.9 | |
| Total votes | 72,542 | 100.0 | ||
General Election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Adam Schiff (incumbent) | 188,703 | 76.5 | |
| Republican | Phil Jennerjahn | 58,008 | 23.5 | |
| Total votes | 246,711 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 29[edit]
The 29th district is based in the northeastern San Fernando Valley. This new district had no incumbent.
Primary election[edit]
Democratic candidates[edit]
Advanced to general[edit]
- Tony Cardenas, member of the Los Angeles City Council[134