United States presidential approval rating

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Approval rating of President Trump as of March 2019. Trump's approval rating was highest in Alabama and Wyoming (at 61% each), and lowest in the District of Columbia (at 17%), followed by Vermont (at 32%).[1]
  Approval rating of 60–69%
  Approval rating of 50–59%
  Approval rating of 40–49%
  Approval rating of 30–39%
  Approval rating of 10–19%

In the United States, presidential job approval ratings were introduced by George Gallup in the late 1920s (most likely 1927) to gauge public support for the President of the United States during his term. An approval rating is a percentage determined by a polling which indicates the percentage of respondents to an opinion poll who approve of a particular person or program. Typically, an approval rating is given to a politician based on responses to a poll in which a sample of people are asked whether they approve or disapprove of that particular political figure. A question might ask:

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?[2]

Like most surveys that predict public opinion, the approval rating is subjective. Many unscientific approval rating systems exist that skew popular opinion. However, the approval rating is generally accepted[by whom?] as a statistically valid indicator of the comparative changes in the popular United States mood regarding a President.

In contemporary politics, presidential job approval is highly partisan. Barack Obama in his last year as sitting president achieved a job approval of 70 to 90 among Democrats and 10 to 15 among Republicans,[3] while President Donald Trump in 2018 has a job approval of 80 to 90 among Republicans and 5 to 10 among Democrats.[2] Gallup polling has found that 46% of Americans are either "Democrats or Democratic leaners" while 39% are either "Republicans or Republican leaners".[4]

President Donald Trump[edit]

Most recent polls for President Donald Trump[5][6][7]

Polling group Date Approval Disapproval Unsure Net +/- Sample size[7] Population[7]
Rasmussen Reports[a][8] April 15–17, 2019 50% 50% 0% Tie ≈1,500 Likely voters
Ipsos/Reuters[9] April 15–16, 2019 40% 56% 3% -16% 1,006 All adults
Fox News [b][10] April 14–16, 2019 45% 51% 4% -6% 1,005 Registered voters
Monmouth University[11] April 11–15, 2019 40% 54% 6% -14% 801 All adults
Gallup Poll[c][12] April 1–9, 2019 45% 51% 4% -6% 1,012 All adults
NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist[13] March 25–27, 2019 42% 51% 8% -9% 938 All adults
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[d][14] March 23–27, 2019 43% 53% 4% -10% 1,000 All adults
Quinnipiac University[15] March 21–25, 2019 39% 55% 5% -16% 1,358 Registered voters
Pew Research Center[e][16] March 20–25, 2019 40% 55% 5% -15% 1,503 All adults
Kaiser Family Foundation[f][17] March 13–18, 2019 40% 57% 3% -17% 1,211 All adults
CNN[g][18] March 14–17, 2019 42% 51% 8% -9% 1,003 All adults
Suffolk University/USA Today[19] March 13–17, 2019 48% 49% 3% -1% 1,000 Registered voters
Investor's Business Daily[h][20] February 21–March 2, 2019 41% 53% 3% -12% 907 All adults
ABC News/Washington Post[i][21] January 21–24, 2019 37% 58% 5% -21% 1,001 All adults
CBS News [f][22] January 18–21, 2019 36% 59% 5% -23% 1,102 All adults

Historical comparison[edit]

Historical Gallup Poll approval highs and lows for each President since 1937[23][24][25][j]

Order President Highest approval Lowest approval High –
Low
Highest disapproval Highest margin Lowest margin Final poll Approval
average[23]
Polls
per year
45[26][27][28][29] Trump 45 (01/29/17, 06/17/18)[27] 35 (10/29/17, 12/01/17)[26] 10 62 (10/29/17, 10/30/17, 12/01/17) [26] 1 (01/24/17) [26] -29 (10/29/17, 12/01/17) [26] 39[28]
44[30][31] Obama 69 (01/24/09) 38 (09/05/14)[k] 31 57 (10/10/14) 56 (01/23-24/09) −18 (10/10/14) 59 (01/19/17) 47.9 348.4
43[32] G. W. Bush 90 (9/21/01) 25 (10/05/08, 10/12/08, 11/02/08) 65 71 (10/10/08) 83 (09/22/01) −46 (10/12/08) 34 (01/11/09) 49.4 33.7
42[33] Clinton 73 (12/19/98) 37 (06/06/93) 36 54 (09/07/94) 45 (12/17/00) −14 (09/07/94) 66 (01/14/01) 55.1 28.5
41[34] G. H. W. Bush 89 (02/28/91) 29 (08/02/92, 10/13/92) 60 60 (07/31/92) 82 (03/03/91) −30 (08/02/92, 10/13/92) 56 (01/11/93) 60.9 39.5
40[35] Reagan 71 (01/30/86) 35 (01/31/83) 36 56 (01/28/83) 52 (01/30/86) −21(01/31/83) 63 (12/29/88) 52.8 37.0
39[36] Carter 74 (03/15/77) 28 (06/26/79, 10/02/79) 46 59 (06/26/79) 66 (03/15/77) −31 (06/26/79) 34 (12/08/80) 45.5 22.7
38[37] Ford 70 (08/13/74) 36 (03/25/75) 34 46 (04/15/75, 11/18/75) 67 (08/13/74) −7 (02/25/75, 03/25/75, 04/15/75) 53 (12/13/76) 47.2 14.7
37[38] Nixon 66 (01/23/73) 24 (01/02/74) 42 66 (08/05/74) 57 (03/17/69) −42 (08/05/74) 24 (08/05/74) 49.1 17.7
36[39] Johnson 79 (03/05/64) 34 (08/12/68) 45 52 (08/12/68) 75 (12/10/63) −18 (08/12/68) 49 (01/06/69) 55.1 15.3
35[40] Kennedy 83 (03/05/62) 56 (09/10/63) 27 30 (09/12/63, 11/08/63) 78 (03/05/62) 27 (09/10/63) 58 (11/13/63) 70.1 13.7
34[41] Eisenhower 77 (11/22/55, 12/19/56) 47 (03/25/58) 30 36 (03/25/58) 66 (04/02/53, 12/19/56) 12 (03/25/58) 59 (12/13/60) 65.0 14.4
33[42] Truman 87 (08/22/45) 22 (11/16/51, 02/14/52) 65 67 (01/06/52) 85 (08/22/45) −43 (01/04/52) 32 (12/16/52) 45.4 8.4
32[43] F. D. Roosevelt 83 (01/08/42) 48 (08/18/39) 35 46 (05/22/38, 05/29/38, 11/07/38) 73 (01/23/42) 65 (12/15/43) 63

Graphs[edit]

Gallup Poll graphs of approval ratings for Presidents of the United States

See also[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ Rolling 3-day average of 500 likely voters each day; no neutral/unsure choice.
  2. ^ Conducted by Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R).
  3. ^ Monthly averages.
  4. ^ Conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R).
  5. ^ Conducted by Abt Associates.
  6. ^ a b Conducted by SSRS of Glen Mills, Pennsylvania.
  7. ^ Conducted by SSRS.
  8. ^ Conducted by TIPP, a division of TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence.
  9. ^ Conducted by Langer Research Associates and Abt Associates of Rockville, MD.
  10. ^ Only the results of Gallup polls are included as no other poll results exist for presidents before President Clinton.
  11. ^ Last of eight, sometimes overlapping, 3-day averages.

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Tracking Trump: The President's Standing Across America". Morning Consult. Retrieved April 5, 2019.
  2. ^ a b "Presidential Approval Ratings – Donald Trump". Gallup. Retrieved February 13, 2017.
  3. ^ "Presidential Approval Ratings -- Barack Obama". Gallup. Retrieved October 14, 2018.
  4. ^ "Gallup Historical Trends: Party Affiliation". GALLUP News. Gallop, Inc. Retrieved October 23, 2017.
  5. ^ "President Trump: Job Ratings". PollingReport.com. Retrieved December 26, 2018.
  6. ^ "President Trump Job Approval". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved December 26, 2018.
  7. ^ a b c "How (un)popular is Donald Trump?". fivethirtyeight.com. Retrieved December 26, 2018.
  8. ^ "Trump Approval Index History". Retrieved February 26, 2018.
  9. ^ "Trump approval at reuters.com". Retrieved June 17, 2017.
  10. ^ "Fox News Poll". April 18, 2019.
  11. ^ "Trump's Tax Time Troubles". April 17, 2019.
  12. ^ "Trump Job Approval". Retrieved January 10, 2018.
  13. ^ "NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll of 938 National Adults" (PDF). March 29, 2019.
  14. ^ "NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey" (PDF). April 8, 2019.
  15. ^ "84% Of U.S. Voters Want To See Mueller Report, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Dems Divided On Support For Israelis Or Palestinians". March 26, 2019.
  16. ^ "MARCH 2019 POLITICAL SURVEY" (PDF). March 28, 2019.
  17. ^ "KFF Health Tracking Poll – March 2019". March 26, 2019.
  18. ^ "CNN March 2019" (PDF). March 18, 2019.
  19. ^ "Suffolk University/USA Today Final" (PDF). March 22, 2019.
  20. ^ "Investor's Business Daily/TIPP Poll - March 2019" (PDF). March 13, 2019.
  21. ^ "Washington Post-ABC News poll Jan. 21-24". January 25, 2019.
  22. ^ "Americans Say Border Wall Issue Not Worth a Shutdown, Even as Partisans Dig In". January 23, 2019.
  23. ^ a b "Presidential Approval Ratings – Gallup Historical Statistics and Trends". Gallup. Retrieved August 16, 2011.
  24. ^ Lydia Saad (March 29, 2017). "Trump's Approval Rating Unusually Low, Unusually Early". Gallup. Retrieved April 1, 2017.
  25. ^ The American Presidency Project at UC Santa Barbara.
  26. ^ a b c d e "Gallup Daily: Trump Job Approval". Gallup. Retrieved January 27, 2017.
  27. ^ a b "Trump Job Approval (Weekly)". Gallup. Retrieved January 22, 2018.
  28. ^ a b "Presidential Approval Ratings -- Donald Trump". Gallup. Retrieved October 9, 2018.
  29. ^ Jeffrey M. Jones (April 24, 2018). "Trump's Fifth-Quarter Job Approval Up; Still Historically Low". Gallup.
  30. ^ Graphical display and numbers of Gallup "daily tracking" polls
  31. ^ "Presidential Approval Ratings -- Barack Obama".
  32. ^ "Gallup.com". Gallup.com. Retrieved August 16, 2011.
  33. ^ "Presidential Approval Ratings -- Bill Clinton". gallup.com. Retrieved January 26, 2017.
  34. ^ "Presidential Job Approval for George H. W. Bush". American Presidency Project.
  35. ^ "Presidential Job Approval for Ronald Reagan". American Presidency Project.
  36. ^ "Presidential Job Approval for Jimmy Carter". American Presidency Project.
  37. ^ "Presidential Job Approval for Gerald Ford". American Presidency Project.
  38. ^ "Presidential Job Approval for Richard Nixon". American Presidency Project.
  39. ^ "Presidential Job Approval for Lyndon B. Johnson". American Presidency Project.
  40. ^ "Presidential Job Approval for John F. Kennedy". American Presidency Project.
  41. ^ Presidential Job Approval for "Dwight D. Eisenhower". American Presidency Project.
  42. ^ "Presidential Job Approval for Harry S. Truman". American Presidency Project.
  43. ^ "Presidential Job Approval for Franklin D. Roosevelt". American Presidency Project.

External links[edit]