United States presidential approval rating

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Jump to: navigation, search
Approval ratings of Barack Obama by state, 2015. Approval of the president is highest in Hawaii, at 58 percent, and lowest in West Virginia, at 24 percent.
  >50%
  40–49%
  30–39%
  <30%

In the United States, presidential job approval ratings were introduced by George Gallup in the late 1930s (probably 1937) to gauge public support for the President of the United States during his or her term. An approval rating is a percentage determined by a polling which indicates the percentage of respondents to an opinion poll who approve of a particular person or program. Typically, an approval rating is given to a political figure based on responses to a poll in which a sample of people are asked whether they approve or disapprove of that particular political figure. A typical question might ask:

"Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?"[1]

Like most surveys that predict public opinion, the approval rating is subjective. Many unscientific approval rating systems exist that skew popular opinion. However, the approval rating is generally accepted as a statistically valid indicator of the comparative changes in the popular United States mood regarding a president.

President Donald Trump[edit]

Most recent polls for President Donald Trump:[2]

Polling group Date Approval Disapproval Unsure Sample size
Gallup Poll[a][3] February 20–22, 2017 43% 52% 5% ≈1,500
Rasmussen Reports[b][4] February 20–22, 2017 52% 47% 1% ≈1,500
CBS News February 17–21, 2017 39% 51% 10% 1,280
Quinnipiac University February 16–21, 2017 38% 55% 7% 1,323
Fox News[c] February 11–13, 2017 48% 47% 6% 1,013
Pew Research Center February 7–12, 2017 39% 56% 6% 1,503
Morning Consult/Politico[5] February 9–10, 2017 49% 45% 6% 1,791
CNN/ORC[6] January 31–February 2, 2017 44% 53% 3% 1,002

President Barack Obama[edit]

Last polls for President Barack Obama:[7][8][9]

Polling group Date Approval Disapproval Unsure Sample size
Gallup Poll[d] January 17–19, 2017 59% 37% 4% ≈1,500
Rasmussen Reports[e] January 15–17, 2017 62% 38% 0% ≈1,500
Fox News[f] January 15–17, 2017 57% 39% 7% 1,006
ABC News/The Washington Post January 12–15, 2017 60% 38% 2% 1,005
CNN/ORC January 12–15, 2017 60% 39% 1% 1,000
Monmouth University January 12–15, 2017 58% 38% 6% 801
NBC/The Wall Street Journal[g] January 12–15, 2017 56% 40% 4% 1,000
Quinnipiac University January 5–9, 2017 55% 39% 5% 899
CBS News December 9–13, 2016 56% 36% 8% 1,259
Bloomberg Politics[h] December 2–5, 2016 54% 42% 4% 999

Historical comparison[edit]

Historical Gallup Poll approval highs and lows for each President since 1937:[10][11][i]

Order President Highest Approval Lowest Approval High –
Low
Highest Disapproval Highest Margin Lowest Margin Last poll Approval
Average[10]
Polls
per year
45[12] Trump 46 (01/24/17) 38 (02/16/17) 8 56 (02/16/17) 1 (01/24/17) -18 (02/16/17) 42.2
44[13][14] Obama 69 (01/24/09) 38 (09/05/14) [j] 31 57 (10/10/14) 56 (01/23-24/09) -18 (10/10/14) 59 (01/19/17) 47.9 348.4
43[15] Bush (G.W.) 90 (9/21/01) 25 (10/05/08, 10/12/08, 11/02/08) 65 71 (10/10/08) 83 (09/22/01) -46 (10/12/08) 34 (01/11/09) 49.4 33.7
42[16] Clinton 73 (12/19/98) 37 (06/06/93) 36 54 (09/07/94) 45 (12/17/00) -14 (09/07/94) 66 (01/14/01) 55.1 28.5
41[17] Bush (G.H.W.) 89 (02/28/91) 29 (08/02/92, 10/13/92) 60 60 (07/31/92) 82 (03/03/91) -30 (08/02/92, 10/13/92) 56 (01/11/93) 60.9 39.5
40[18] Reagan 71 (01/30/86) 35 (01/31/83) 36 56 (01/28/83) 52 (01/30/86) -21(01/31/83) 63 (12/29/88) 52.8 37.0
39[19] Carter 74 (03/15/77) 28 (06/26/79, 10/02/79) 46 59 n(06/26/79) 66 (03/15/77) -31 (06/26/79) 34 (12/08/80) 45.5 22.7
38[20] Ford 70 (08/13/74) 36 (03/25/75) 34 46 (04/15/75, 11/18/75) 26 (08/13/74) -7 (02/25/75, 03/25/75, 04/15/75) 53 (12/13/76) 47.2 14.7
37[21] Nixon 66 (01/23/73) 22 (01/02/74) 44 66 (08/05/74) 57 (03/17/69 -42 (08/05/74) 24 (08/05/74) 49.1 17.7
36[22] Johnson 79 (03/05/64) 34 (08/12/68) 45 52 (08/12/68) 75 (12/10/63) -18 (08/12/68) 49 (01/06/69) 55.1 15.3
35[23] Kennedy 83 (03/05/62) 56 (09/10/63) 27 30 (09/12/63, 11/08/63) 78 (03/05/62) 27 (09/10/63) 58 (11/13/63) 70.1 13.7
34[24] Eisenhower 77 (11/22/55, 12/19/56) 47 (07/14/60) 30 36 (03/25/58) 66 (04/02/53, 12/19/56) 12 (03/25/58) 59 (12/13/60) 65.0 14.4
33[25] Truman 91 (08/22/45) 22 (11/16/51, 02/14/52, ) 69 67 (01/06/52) 89 (08/22/45) -43 (01/04/52) 32 (12/16/52) 45.4 8.4
32[26] Franklin D. Roosevelt 84 (01/08/42) 48 (08/18/39) 36 46 (05/22/38, 05/29/38, 11/07/38) 65 (12/15/43) 63


Graphs[edit]

Gallup Poll graphs of approval ratings for Presidents of the United States:

See also[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ Rolling 3-day average.
  2. ^ Rolling 3-day average of 500 likely voters each day
  3. ^ Conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R).
  4. ^ Rolling 3-day average.
  5. ^ Rolling 3-day average of 500 likely voters each day.
  6. ^ Conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R).
  7. ^ Conducted by the polling organizations of Peter D. Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R).
  8. ^ Conducted by Selzer and Co.
  9. ^ Only the results of Gallup polls are included, as no other poll results exist for presidents before President Clinton.
  10. ^ Last of eight, sometimes overlapping 3-day averages

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Presidential Approval Ratings – Donald Trump". gallup.com. Retrieved February 13, 2017. 
  2. ^ "Trump - Polling Report". Retrieved January 27, 2017. 
  3. ^ "Gallup Daily: Trump Job Approval". Retrieved February 21, 2017. 
  4. ^ "Daily Presidential Tracking Poll". Retrieved February 21, 2017. 
  5. ^ "National Tracking Poll". Retrieved February 16, 2017. 
  6. ^ "CNN". Retrieved February 3, 2017. 
  7. ^ "President Obama: Job Ratings at PollingReport.com". Retrieved August 9, 2015. 
  8. ^ "Gallup Daily: Obama Job Approval". Retrieved August 14, 2016. 
  9. ^ "Daily Presidential Tracking Poll". Retrieved August 14, 2016. 
  10. ^ a b "Presidential Approval Ratings – Gallup Historical Statistics and Trends". Gallup.com. Retrieved August 16, 2011. 
  11. ^ The American Presidency Project at UC Santa Barbara
  12. ^ Inc., Gallup,. "Gallup Daily: Trump Job Approval". Gallup.com. Retrieved 2017-01-27. 
  13. ^ Graphical display and numbers of Gallup "daily tracking" polls
  14. ^ "Presidential Approval Ratings -- Barack Obama". 
  15. ^ "Gallup.com". Gallup.com. Retrieved August 16, 2011. 
  16. ^ Inc., Gallup,. "Presidential Approval Ratings -- Bill Clinton". gallup.com. Retrieved January 26, 2017. 
  17. ^ http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/data/popularity.php?pres=41 Presidential Job Approval for George Bush] at the American Presidency Project.
  18. ^ http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/data/popularity.php?pres=40 Presidential Job Approval for Ronald Reagan] at the American Presidency Project.
  19. ^ http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/data/popularity.php?pres=39 Presidential Job Approval for Jimmy Carter] at the American Presidency Project.
  20. ^ http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/data/popularity.php?pres=38 Presidential Job Approval for Gerald Ford] at the American Presidency Project.
  21. ^ http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/data/popularity.php?pres=37 Presidential Job Approval for Richard Nixon] at the American Presidency Project.
  22. ^ http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/data/popularity.php?pres=36 Presidential Job Approval for Lyndon B. Johnson] at the American Presidency Project.
  23. ^ http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/data/popularity.php?pres=35 Presidential Job Approval for John F. Kennedy] at the American Presidency Project.
  24. ^ http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/data/popularity.php?pres=34 Presidential Job Approval for Dwight Eisenhower] at the American Presidency Project.
  25. ^ http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/data/popularity.php?pres=33 Presidential Job Approval for Harry Truman] at the American Presidency Project.
  26. ^ http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/data/popularity.php?pres=32 Presidential Job Approval for Franklin D. Roosevelt] at the American Presidency Project.

External links[edit]