2018 United States Senate election in Massachusetts

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United States Senate election in Massachusetts, 2018

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  Elizabeth Warren, official portrait, 114th Congress (cropped)(2).jpg Geoff Diehl crop.jpg
Nominee Elizabeth Warren Geoff Diehl
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,633,371 979,210
Percentage 60.3% 36.2%

2018 US Senate election in Massachusetts results by municipality.svg
Unofficial municipal results

U.S. Senator before election

Elizabeth Warren
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Elizabeth Warren
Democratic

The 2018 United States Senate election in Massachusetts took place on November 6, 2018. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren ran for reelection to a second term. The candidate filing deadline was June 5, 2018, and the primary election was held on September 4, 2018.[1]

Warren won reelection by a wide margin, defeating her Republican opponent, Geoff Diehl.[2]

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominated[edit]

Results[edit]

Results by county:
  Warren—>90%
Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Elizabeth Warren (incumbent) 591,038 98.1
n/a All others 11,558 1.9
n/a Blanks 118,493 n/a
Total votes 721,089 100.0

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominated[edit]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

Eliminated at convention[edit]

  • Darius Mitchell[9]
  • Heidi Wellman[10]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Beth Lindstrom
Governors
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations
Newspapers
John Kingston
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Geoff
Diehl
John
Kingston
Beth
Lindstrom
Other Undecided
MassINC June 22–25, 2018 399 ± 4.9% 26% 12% 15% 5% 41%

Results[edit]

Overall[edit]

Massachusetts United States Senate Republican primary results by municipality, 2018
Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Geoff Diehl 144,043 55.2
Republican John Kingston 69,636 26.7
Republican Beth Lindstrom 46,693 17.9
n/a All others 798 0.3
Total votes 261,170 100.0

By county[edit]

Massachusetts United States Senate Republican primary results by county, 2018:
  Diehl—70–80%
  Diehl—60–70%
  Diehl—50–60%
  Diehl—40–50%
  Kingston—40–50%
County Diehl
%
Diehl
votes
Kingston
%
Kingston
votes
Lindstrom
%
Lindstrom
votes
Barnstable 57.0% 10,761 24.2% 4,573 18.6% 3,513
Berkshire 47.9% 1,221 37.8% 965 13.8% 352
Bristol 61.8% 11,005 23.0% 4,095 15.0% 2,669
Dukes 55.2% 347 25.9% 163 18.9% 119
Essex 53.1% 17,716 28.3% 9,428 18.3% 6,104
Franklin 41.8% 938 42.3% 949 15.3% 343
Hampden 50.5% 7,491 34.0% 5,048 15.0% 2,225
Hampshire 45.7% 1,967 36.7% 1,579 16.9% 725
Middlesex 52.5% 29,084 26.8% 14,852 20.3% 11,218
Nantucket 50.1% 168 29.6% 99 20.3% 68
Norfolk 58.9% 18,749 22.0% 7,009 18.8% 5,992
Plymouth 70.1% 23,242 19.8% 6,549 10.0% 3,316
Suffolk 53.5% 4,792 27.6% 2,471 18.2% 1,628
Worcester 44.8% 16,562 32.1% 11,856 22.8% 8,421
Total 55.2% 144,043 26.7% 69,636 17.9% 46,693

Libertarian primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declined[edit]

Independents[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Declined[edit]

General election[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Elizabeth Warren (D)
State officials
Organizations
Geoff Diehl (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
Governors
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Shiva Ayyadurai (I)
Individuals
Newspapers

Debates[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[116] Solid D September 28, 2018
Inside Elections[117] Solid D September 29, 2017
Sabato's Crystal Ball[118] Safe D September 27, 2017
Fox News[119] Likely D^ July 9, 2018
CNN[120] Solid D July 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics[121] Safe D May 26, 2018

^Highest rating they assert

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Geoff
Diehl (R)
Shiva
Ayyadurai (I)
Other Undecided
MassINC October 25–28, 2018 502 ± 4.4% 54% 32% 6% 3% 3%
Suffolk University October 24–28, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 56% 34% 4% 5%
Western New England University October 10–27, 2018 402 LV ± 5.0% 57% 27% 7% 8%
485 RV ± 4.0% 54% 27% 6% 12%
UMass Lowell October 1–7, 2018 485 LV ± 5.6% 56% 31% 8% 3% 2%
791 RV ± 4.4% 56% 28% 9% 4% 1%
MassINC September 17–21, 2018 506 ± 4.4% 56% 30% 5% 1% 6%
Suffolk University September 13–17, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 54% 24% 6% 16%
Suffolk University June 8–12, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 55% 33% 11%
MassINC May 22–26, 2018 501 ± 4.4% 54% 19% 8% 1% 15%
MassINC March 16–18, 2018 504 ± 4.4% 55% 20% 9% 1% 13%
MassINC November 9–12, 2017 503 ± 4.4% 58% 32% 3% 7%
MassINC June 19–22, 2017 504 ± 4.4% 60% 29% 1% 8%

Results[edit]

United States Senate election in Massachusetts, 2018[122]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Democratic Elizabeth Warren (incumbent) 1,633,371 60.34% +6.60%
Republican Geoff Diehl 979,210 36.17% -10.02%
Independent Shiva Ayyadurai 91,710 3.39% N/A
n/a Write-ins 2,799 0.10% +0.03%
Total votes 2,707,090 100.0% N/A
Democratic hold

References[edit]

  1. ^ "United States Senate election in Massachusetts, 2018 - Ballotpedia". Retrieved March 3, 2017.
  2. ^ Gavin, Christopher (November 6, 2018). "Here's an updating list of the 2018 Massachusetts election winners". Boston.com. Retrieved November 6, 2018.
  3. ^ Hagan, Lisa (January 6, 2017). "Warren says she will run for reelection". The Hill. Retrieved January 7, 2017.
  4. ^ McGrane, Victoria (January 6, 2017). "Warren announces she's running for re-election". The Boston Globe. Retrieved January 11, 2017.
  5. ^ a b [1]
  6. ^ O'Sullivan, Jim (August 2, 2017). "Trump backer Geoff Diehl launches bid to unseat Elizabeth Warren". The Boston Globe. Retrieved August 2, 2017.
  7. ^ O'Sullivan, Jim (August 21, 2017). "GOP's Beth Lindstrom to launch challenge to Elizabeth Warren in 2018". The Boston Globe. Retrieved August 21, 2017.
  8. ^ "Kingston formally launches US Senate bid for Republican nomination - The Boston Globe".
  9. ^ "MITCHELL, DARIUS - Candidate overview - FEC.gov". FEC.gov.
  10. ^ "WELLMAN, HEIDI M - Candidate overview - FEC.gov". FEC.gov.
  11. ^ Murphy, Matt (April 12, 2017). "Weighing another run, Gomez sees Warren as beatable". WWLP. Retrieved April 14, 2017.
  12. ^ Phillips, Frank (January 10, 2017). "GOP businessman may challenge Elizabeth Warren for re-election". The Boston Globe. Retrieved January 12, 2017.
  13. ^ Phillips, Frank (March 13, 2017). "Businessman Rick Green decides against US Senate bid". The Boston Globe. Retrieved March 15, 2017.
  14. ^ Firozi, Paulina (August 16, 2016). "Curt Schilling considers challenging Elizabeth Warren". The Hill. Retrieved August 16, 2016.
  15. ^ "Libertarian Bill Weld will head up a fund-raising event . . . for the GOP - The Boston Globe".
  16. ^ a b Cassidy, Chris (January 7, 2017). "Liz Warren running into wrath of Donald Trump". Boston Herald. Retrieved January 11, 2017.
  17. ^ "Libertarian Bill Weld will head up a fund-raising event . . . for the GOP - The Boston Globe". Retrieved 29 August 2018.
  18. ^ "Beth Lindstrom on Twitter".
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  26. ^ "Rep. Jay Barrows endorses Beth Lindstrom for U.S. Senate". Beth Lindstrom For US Senate. June 28, 2018.
  27. ^ Beth Lindstrom for U.S. Senate. "Latest endorsement: "She's been actively getting to know people in the state personally - learning which issues matter most to them, what is working well, and what changes are needed." -Representative Steve Howitt #masen #mapoli #bospoli". Facebook.
  28. ^ "Beth Lindstrom on Twitter".
  29. ^ "Beth Lindstrom on Twitter".
  30. ^ "Mayor Mark Hawke endorses Beth Lindstrom for U.S. Senate". Beth Lindstrom For US Senate. July 19, 2018.
  31. ^ Beth Lindstrom. "THonored to receive the endorsement of #Peabody City Councilor-at-Large Anne Manning-Martin! #masen #mapoli #bospoli". Twitter.
  32. ^ "Maggie's List Proudly Endorses Beth Lindstrom for U.S Senate". Maggie's List. March 14, 2018. Retrieved March 21, 2018.
  33. ^ "Beth Lindstrom". VIEW PAC.
  34. ^ "RightNOW Women PAC Endorses Beth Lindstrom". Beth Lindstrom For US Senate. January 3, 2018.
  35. ^ Beth Lindstrom. "Today, I was formally endorsed by the New England Police Benevolent Association. The NEPBA represents close to 4,000 Law Enforcement Professionals in Massachusetts. #masen #mapoli". Twitter.
  36. ^ "Endorsement: Beth Lindstrom is clear GOP choice for Senate". The Boston Globe. August 23, 2018.
  37. ^ "EDITORIAL: Lindstrom is best hope for GOP in senate race". The Lowell Sun. August 29, 2018.
  38. ^ a b c d e f g "John Kingston". www.facebook.com.
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  43. ^ Guckert, Josh (October 5, 2016). "Poll: William Weld Nearly Tied with Elizabeth Warren in 2018 Senate Race". The Libertarian Republic. Retrieved December 23, 2016.
  44. ^ Buell, Spencer (November 11, 2017). "Shiva Ayyadurai Is Running for Senate as an Independent". Boston Magazine. Retrieved November 13, 2017.
  45. ^ "WATERS, ALLEN - Candidate overview - FEC.gov". FEC.gov.
  46. ^ "DEVINE, JOHN - Candidate overview - FEC.gov". FEC.gov.
  47. ^ Koczela, Steve (January 16, 2018). "Gomez leaves GOP, eyes independent bid against Warren". CommonWealth Magazine. Retrieved January 17, 2018.
  48. ^ "Kingston Hits Elizabeth Warren Over Ties To Ousted New York Attorney General - NewBostonPost". newbostonpost.com. Retrieved 29 August 2018.
  49. ^ Editorial, Board (2018-10-24). "Elizabeth Warren deserves a second term in the US Senate". The Boston Globe. Retrieved 2018-10-24.
  50. ^ "2018 Council-endorsed Senate Candidates - Council for a Livable World". Council for a Livable World.
  51. ^ Hagen, Lisa (January 20, 2017). "Major progressive group unveils first 2018 Senate endorsements". The Hill. Retrieved January 29, 2017.
  52. ^ "EMILY's List Endorses Nine Democratic Women Senators for Re-Election in 2018". EMILY's List. February 10, 2017. Retrieved February 13, 2017.
  53. ^ Tiffany Muller (July 26, 2017). "End Citizens United Endorses Senator Elizabeth Warren for Re-election". End Citizens United.
  54. ^ "Elizabeth Warren – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org.
  55. ^ "2018 Senate Endorsees - JStreet".
  56. ^ "LCV Action Fund Endorses Senator Elizabeth Warren". League of Conservation Voters. April 23, 2018.
  57. ^ "LegitPAC - LegitAction". legitaction.com.
  58. ^ Stewart, Brian (August 1, 2017). "MoveOn Endorses Six Senators' Re-Election Bids, Backing 'Health Care Heroes' for Helping Lead Effort to Stop Trumpcare From Becoming Law, Embracing Progressive Policies in Trump Era". MoveOn.org. Retrieved September 10, 2017.
  59. ^ "NRDC Action Fund announces first wave of 2018 Senate endorsements". www.nrdcactionfund.org. January 5, 2018.
  60. ^ "Population Connection Action Fund Endorsements". Population Connection.
  61. ^ "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements".
  62. ^ "Massachusetts– Official UAW Endorsements". uawendorsements.org. United Automobile Workers.
  63. ^ Mike Pence Endorses Elizabeth Warren’s Challenger Geoff Diehl
  64. ^ Stout, Matt (March 28, 2018). "Sean Spicer is coming to town — to raise money for a Warren opponent". Boston Globe.
  65. ^ Dumcius, Gintautas (September 8, 2018). "Massachusetts Gov. Charlie Baker says he backs GOP's November ticket, including Sen. Elizabeth Warren's opponent". masslive.com.
  66. ^ Young, Shannon (May 10, 2018). "Maine Gov. Paul LePage to campaign for US Senate candidate Geoff Diehl". masslive.com.
  67. ^ "Geoff Diehl on Twitter".
  68. ^ "Clark Endorses Diehl". Diehl for Senate. August 23, 2018.
  69. ^ "Cole endorses Diehl". Diehl for Senate. August 24, 2018.
  70. ^ Richard, Barry (September 12, 2018). "AREA POLITICIANS NEED TO BE TRUTHFUL ABOUT WARREN [OPINION]". wbsm.com.
  71. ^ "Geoff Diehl on Twitter".
  72. ^ Sullivan, Mark (March 26, 2018). "Campaign Notebook: Central Mass. Republicans pick sides in bid to oust Sen. Elizabeth Warren". telegram.com.
  73. ^ "Geoff Diehl on Twitter". Twitter.
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  76. ^ "Geoff Diehl on Twitter". Twitter.
  77. ^ Geoff Diehl. "Stoneham Selectwoman Caroline Colarusso endorses Geoff Diehl for U.S. Senate!". Facebook.
  78. ^ a b "POLITICAL NOTEBOOK: Housing issue gets spotlight at Dem forum". The Framingham Tab. August 26, 2018.
  79. ^ "Diehl Endorsed by Sheriff Cummings". CapeCod.com. July 25, 2018.
  80. ^ "EVANGELIDIS ENDORSES DIEHL". Diehl for Senate. September 27, 2018.
  81. ^ Geoff Diehl. "Thrilled to have the endorsement of Weymouth @MayorBobHedlund! Remember to vote Geoff Diehl for U.S. Senate on Tuesday, September 4. #TheRealDiehl #mapoli #masen #masen2018 #magop". Twitter.
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  83. ^ "Everett's Marchese Backs Diehl for U.S. Senate". Diehl for Senate. October 27, 2018.
  84. ^ a b "Diehl Wins Taunton Endorsements". Diehl for Senate. August 23, 2018.
  85. ^ "SHERIFF MCDONALD ENDORSES DIEHL: Law Enforcement Overwhelmingly Backs Geoff Diehl". Diehl for Senate. October 17, 2018.
  86. ^ Geoff Diehl. "Melrose Alderman Monica Medeiros endorses Geoff Diehl for U.S. Senate!". Facebook.
  87. ^ Geoff Diehl. "Thank you to #Hanson Board of Selectman Chair Ken Mitchell for your endorsement. Together we will put our communities and all of #MassachusettsFirst! #mapoli #masen #masen2018 #magop". Twitter.
  88. ^ Battenfeld, Joe (August 15, 2018). "Herman Cain reappears in support of Diehl's 'long shot' bid [+audio]". Boston Herald.
  89. ^ Howie Carr. "Good morning everyone! Big day today. Don't forget to vote for Geoff Diehl. @DiehlForSenate". Twitter.
  90. ^ "New Bedford's Constantine Endorses Diehl". Diehl for Senate. September 18, 2018.
  91. ^ "Larry Ellison Endorses Geoff Diehl". Diehl for Senate. October 29, 2018.
  92. ^ a b "DIEHL WINS BIG ENDORSEMENT". Diehl for Senate. April 11, 2018.
  93. ^ "DIEHL WINS BIG ENDORSEMENT: Malone Endorses Diehl". Diehl for Senate. August 31, 2018.
  94. ^ "Captain Dave Endorses Diehl for Senate". Diehl for Senate. August 28, 2018.
  95. ^ "McNamara Endorses Diehl". Diehl for Senate. July 11, 2018.
  96. ^ "STEPHEN MOORE TO HEADLINE EVENT FOR DIEHL". Diehl for Senate. July 26, 2018.
  97. ^ "Geoff Diehl on Twitter".
  98. ^ https://news.wgbh.org/2018/04/28/politics-government/gop-endorses-baker-gov-diehl-us-senate-pro-trump-lively-makes-ballot
  99. ^ "DIEHL WINS BIG ENDORSEMENT". Diehl for Senate. August 27, 2018.
  100. ^ a b "Everett Police Patrolman's Association Endorse Diehl for U.S. Senate". GoLocalWorcester. August 27, 2018.
  101. ^ [2]
  102. ^ [3]
  103. ^ Geoff Diehl. "BREAKING: I am proud to have earned the endorsement of the @NRA - National Rifle Association of America ahead of our Tuesday Primary. I'll always stand with law-abiding gun owners to protect our #2A #mapoli #masen #masen2018 #magop". Twitter.
  104. ^ "Worcester police union backs Republican Geoff Diehl for U.S. Senate". Worcester Magazine. September 26, 2018.
  105. ^ "Law Enforcement Backing Diehl". Diehl for Senate. October 2, 2018.
  106. ^ "Diehl Wins Federal Law Enforcement Nod". Diehl for Senate. October 6, 2018.
  107. ^ "Diehl Gets New Endorsement". CapeCod.com. October 11, 2018.
  108. ^ a b "New Bedford and Marshfield Police Back Diehl". CapeCod.com. October 25, 2018.
  109. ^ LaFratta, Kristin (October 25, 2018). "Massachusetts Police Association endorses Geoff Diehl for U.S. Senate". masslive.com.
  110. ^ "Editorial endorsement: Geoff Diehl a strong challenge for Liz Warren". Boston Herald. August 20, 2018.
  111. ^ "Editorial: Geoff Diehl for U.S. Senate". Boston Herald. October 23, 2018. Retrieved October 23, 2018.
  112. ^ "Fake Indian, Meet Real Indian". 3 December 2017.
  113. ^ "Dr Shiva Ayyadurai on the Hypocrisy of the Establishment Elites". YouTube. December 30, 2017. Retrieved December 30, 2017.
  114. ^ "Schilling Endorses 'My Choice' for Senate, and it Isn't Him". RollCall. 6 March 2017.
  115. ^ "New GOP option for Warren's seat breaks old mold". The Lowell Sun. April 7, 2017. Retrieved October 23, 2018.
  116. ^ "2018 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  117. ^ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  118. ^ "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  119. ^ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Retrieved July 10, 2018.
  120. ^ "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  121. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  122. ^ https://www.sec.state.ma.us/ele/elepdf/2018_Return_of_Votes.pdf

External links[edit]

Official campaign websites