2018 United States Senate election in Minnesota

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2018 United States Senate election in Minnesota

← 2012 November 6, 2018 2024 →
Turnout63.89%
  Amy Klobuchar, official portrait, 113th Congress (cropped 2).jpg JimNewberger (cropped).jpg
Nominee Amy Klobuchar Jim Newberger
Party DFL Republican
Popular vote 1,566,174 940,437
Percentage 60.31% 36.21%

MNSenate18.svg
Results by county

Klobuchar:      40-50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

Newberger:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%

MNUSSEN18Precinct.svg
County Results


Klobuchar:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90%      90-100%
Tie:      
Newberger:      20-30%      30-40%      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90%      90-100%
No Vote:      



U.S. Senator before election

Amy Klobuchar
DFL

Elected U.S. Senator

Amy Klobuchar
DFL

The 2018 United States Senate election in Minnesota took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a United States Senator from Minnesota. Democratic incumbent Amy Klobuchar was easily reelected to a third term in office. This election was held alongside a special election for Minnesota's other Senate seat, which was held by Al Franken until he resigned in January 2018. U.S. House elections, a gubernatorial election, State House elections, and other elections were also held.

The candidate filing deadline was June 5, 2018, and the primary election was held on August 14, 2018.[1]

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominated[edit]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

  • Steve Carlson[3]
  • Stephen A. Emery[3]
  • David R. Groves[3]
  • Leonard J. Richards[3]

Endorsements[edit]

Amy Klobuchar
Organizations

Results[edit]

Results by county:
Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party primary results, Minnesota 2018[13]
Party Candidate Votes %
DFL Amy Klobuchar (incumbent) 557,306 95.70%
DFL Steve Carlson 9,934 1.71%
DFL Stephen Emery 7,047 1.21%
DFL David Groves 4,511 0.77%
DFL Leonard Richards 3,552 0.61%
Total votes 582,350 100%

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominated[edit]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

  • Merrill Anderson,[3] Past Candidate (Mayor of Minneapolis), Past Candidate (Governor of Minnesota)
  • Rae Hart Anderson[3]
  • Rocky De La Fuente, 2016 Reform Party Presidential Nominee and perennial candidate[3]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Jim Newberger
State Legislators
  • Senator Andrew Matthews, SD15, Vice Chair, Energy and Utilities Committee.
  • Senator Dave Brown, SD15, Retired
  • Senator Bruce Anderson, SD 29
  • Senator Julie Rosen, SD23, Finance Committee Chair.
  • Senator Bill Ingebrigsten, SD 8, Chair of the Environment and Natural Resources Finance Committee.
  • Senator Dan Hall, SD 56, Chair of the Local Government Finance Committee
  • Representative Joyce Peppin, 34A, Majority Leader
  • Representative Ron Kresha, 9B, Majority Whip.
  • Representative Patrick Garofalo, 58B, Chair of the Growth and Energy Affordibility Committee.
  • Representative Bob Gunther, 23A, Chair of the Legacy Committee,
  • Representative Steve Drazkowski, 21B, Chair of the Property Tax Committee.
  • Representative Paul Anderson, 12B, Chair of the Agriculture Policy Committee.
  • Representative Dan Fabian, 1A, Chair of the Environment and Natural Resources Committee.
  • Representative Sondra Erickson, 15A, Chair of the Education Inovation Policy Committee.
  • Representative Tony Albright, 55B, Vice Chair of the Health and Human Services Finance Committee.
  • Representative Jerry Hertaus, 33A, Vice Chair of the Property Tax Committee.
  • Representative Jeff Backer, 12A, Vice Chair of the Agriculture Policy Committee.
  • Representative Cindy Pugh, 33B, Vice Chair of the Government Operations and Elections Committee.
  • Representative Mark Uglem, 36A, Vice Chair of the Capital Investment Committee.
  • Representative Marion O'Neill, 29B, Chair of Employee Relations Sub Committee
  • Representative Peggy Bennett, 27A, Vice Chair of the Education Finance Committee.
  • Representative Dale Lueck, 10B, Vice Chair of the Mining, Forestry and Tourism SubCommittee.
  • Representative Dennis Smith, 34B, Vice Chair of the Civil Law and Data Practices Committee.
  • Representative Josh Heintzeman, 10A, Vice Chair of the Environment and Natural Resources Committee.
  • Representative Duane Quam, 25A
  • Representative Sandy Layman, 5B
  • Representative Jeff Howe, 13A.
  • Representative Nick Zerwas, 30A.
  • Representative Bob Loonan, 55A.
  • Representative Steve Green, 2B.
  • Representative John Poston, 9A.
  • Representative Tony Jurgens, 54B.
  • Representative Cal Bahr, 31B.
  • Representative Roz Peterson, 56B
  • Representative Glenn Gruenhagen, 18B
  • Representative Kathy Lohmer, 39B
  • Representative Anne Neu, 32B
  • Representative Eric Lucero, 30B
  • Representative Drew Christensen, 56A
Individuals
Organizations
  • Chinese American Alliance Action[19]
Newspapers

Results[edit]

Results by county:
Republican Party primary results, Minnesota 2018[13]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jim Newberger 201,531 69.50%
Republican Merrill Anderson 45,492 15.69%
Republican Rae Hart Anderson 25,883 8.93%
Republican Roque "Rocky" de la Fuente 17,051 5.88%
Total votes 289,957 100%

Minor parties and independents[edit]

Candidates[edit]

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[23] Solid D September 28, 2018
Inside Elections[24] Solid D December 7, 2017
Sabato's Crystal Ball[25] Safe D December 7, 2017
Fox News[26] Likely D^ July 9, 2018
CNN[27] Solid D July 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics[28] Safe D August 14, 2018

^Highest rating given

Debates[edit]

On August 24, MPR News hosted a debate between Amy Klobuchar and Jim Newberger at the Minnesota State Fair.[29]

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of October 17, 2018
Candidate (party) Total receipts Total disbursements Cash on hand
Amy Klobuchar (D) $10,139,499 $7,700,359 $5,086,325
Jim Newberger (R) $210,846 $191,815 $19,030
Source: Federal Election Commission[30]

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Amy
Klobuchar (D)
Jim
Newberger (R)
Paula
Overby (G)
Dennis
Schuller (LMN)
Other Undecided
Change Research November 2–4, 2018 953 55% 40% 2% 3%
Research Co. November 1–3, 2018 450 ± 4.6% 53% 33% 2% 12%
SurveyUSA October 29–31, 2018 600 ± 5.3% 57% 34% 1% 7%
Mason-Dixon October 15–17, 2018 800 ± 3.5% 56% 33% 2% 2% 8%
Change Research October 12–13, 2018 1,413 50% 41% 2% 5% 2%
Marist College September 30 – October 4, 2018 637 LV ± 4.9% 60% 32% 4% <1% 4%
63% 33% <1% 4%
860 RV ± 4.2% 59% 32% 5% <1% 5%
62% 33% <1% 5%
Mason-Dixon September 10–12, 2018 800 ± 3.5% 60% 30% 1% 3% 6%
SurveyUSA September 6–8, 2018 574 ± 4.9% 53% 38% 2% 8%
Suffolk University August 17–20, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 54% 34% 1% 1% 11%
Emerson College August 8–11, 2018 500 ± 4.6% 50% 26% 24%
BK Strategies June 24–25, 2018 1,574 ± 2.5% 57% 37% 6%

Results[edit]

United States Senate election in Minnesota, 2018[31]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
DFL Amy Klobuchar (incumbent) 1,566,174 60.31% -4.92%
Republican Jim Newberger 940,437 36.21% +5.68%
LMN Dennis Schuller 66,236 2.55% N/A
Green Paula Overby 23,101 0.89% N/A
Write-in 931 0.04% N/A
Total votes 2,596,879 100% N/A
DFL hold

Voter demographics[edit]

Edison Research exit poll
Demographic subgroup Klobuchar Newberger No
Answer
% of
Voters
Gender
Men 54 45 1 46
Women 67 32 1 54
Age
18–24 years old 79 19 2 6
25–29 years old 60 39 1 5
30–39 years old 63 35 2 12
40–49 years old 57 42 1 13
50–64 years old 61 38 1 29
65 and older 60 39 1 35
Race
White 59 40 1 89
Black 86 12 2 5
Latino N/A N/A N/A 3
Asian N/A N/A N/A 2
Other N/A N/A N/A 2
Race by gender
White men 52 47 1 40
White women 65 34 1 49
Black men N/A N/A N/A 3
Black women N/A N/A N/A 2
Latino men N/A N/A N/A 1
Latino women N/A N/A N/A 1
Others N/A N/A N/A 4
Education
High school or less 59 40 1 17
Some college education 55 43 2 23
Associate degree 54 44 2 17
Bachelor's degree 66 34 N/A 26
Advanced degree 75 25 N/A 16
Education and race
White college graduates 68 31 1 38
White no college degree 53 46 1 51
Non-white college graduates 79 20 1 4
Non-white no college degree 82 17 1 7
Whites by education and gender
White women with college degrees 74 25 1 21
White women without college degrees 59 40 1 28
White men with college degrees 61 39 N/A 17
White men without college degrees 46 53 1 23
Non-whites 80 18 2 11
Income
Under $30,000 67 28 5 14
$30,000–49,999 63 35 2 20
$50,000–99,999 55 44 1 36
$100,000–199,999 64 36 N/A 23
Over $200,000 N/A N/A N/A 7
Party ID
Democrats 98 2 N/A 39
Republicans 18 81 1 32
Independents 62 36 2 29
Party by gender
Democratic men 96 4 N/A 14
Democratic women 99 1 N/A 25
Republican men 16 84 N/A 15
Republican women 20 78 2 17
Independent men 56 42 2 16
Independent women 69 29 2 13
Ideology
Liberals 96 3 1 27
Moderates 76 23 1 39
Conservatives 17 82 1 33
Marital status
Married 55 44 1 67
Unmarried 69 28 3 33
Gender by marital status
Married men 51 47 2 31
Married women 58 42 N/A 36
Unmarried men 59 38 3 15
Unmarried women 79 19 2 18
First-time midterm election voter
Yes 59 40 1 13
No 64 35 1 87
Most important issue facing the country
Health care 78 20 2 50
Immigration 29 70 1 22
Economy 37 62 1 18
Gun policy N/A N/A N/A 7
Area type
Urban 73 26 1 40
Suburban 58 41 1 32
Rural 49 49 2 28
Source: CNN[32]

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ "United States Senate election in Minnesota, 2018 - Ballotpedia". Retrieved March 3, 2017.
  2. ^ Sherry, Allison (December 25, 2016). "Klobuchar will run again for Senate, rules herself out for governor's race". Star Tribune. Retrieved December 26, 2016.
  3. ^ a b c d e f g "Candidate Filings". candidates.sos.state.mn.us. Retrieved 2018-06-08.
  4. ^ "Our Candidates - CWA Political". CWA Political.
  5. ^ "EMILY's List Endorses Nine Democratic Women Senators for Re-Election in 2018". EMILY's List. February 10, 2017. Retrieved February 13, 2017.
  6. ^ Tiffany Muller (July 6, 2017). "End Citizens United Endorses Senator Amy Klobuchar for Re-election". End Citizens United.
  7. ^ "Amy Klobuchar – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org.
  8. ^ "Endorsements - League of Conservation Voters".
  9. ^ NCPSSM. "Candidates We Endorse and Support". Retrieved 18 December 2018.
  10. ^ "NRDC Action Fund announces first wave of 2018 Senate endorsements". www.nrdcactionfund.org. January 5, 2018.
  11. ^ "Population Connection Action Fund Endorsements". Population Connection.
  12. ^ "Minnesota – Official UAW Endorsements". uawendorsements.org. United Automobile Workers.
  13. ^ a b "Minnesota 2018 Primary Election Results". Minnesota Secretary of State. Retrieved 28 May 2019.
  14. ^ Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. (August 5, 2017). "Challenger emerges to run against U.S. Sen. Amy Klobuchar — GOP state Rep. Jim Newberger". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Retrieved August 5, 2017.
  15. ^ "GOP endorses Housley, Newberger for U.S. Senate". Retrieved 29 August 2018.
  16. ^ "Pawlenty won't run for Senate in Minnesota". Retrieved 29 August 2018.
  17. ^ [1][dead link]
  18. ^ Lindell, Mike (31 October 2018). "My friend @NewbergerJim will be one of the best US Senators ever!pic.twitter.com/gZCkRCQ1nw". Retrieved 18 December 2018.
  19. ^ "CAA Endorsing James Newberger For US Senate". Jim Newberger for US Senate.
  20. ^ "Our View / Endorsement: Newberger already focused on Klobuchar". Duluth News Tribune. July 24, 2018.
  21. ^ McMullen, Maureen (November 11, 2017). "Transgender candidate announces U.S. Senate campaign in Minn., seeking Green Party endorsement". Duluth News Tribune. Retrieved January 25, 2018.
  22. ^ Golden, Erin (June 16, 2018). "Legal pot advocates join Minnesota races for state, federal offices". Star Tribune. Retrieved June 17, 2018.
  23. ^ "2018 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved December 7, 2017.
  24. ^ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved December 7, 2017.
  25. ^ "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved December 7, 2017.
  26. ^ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Retrieved July 10, 2018.
  27. ^ "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  28. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved August 14, 2018.
  29. ^ Pugmire, Tim. "Sen. Amy Klobuchar and state Rep. Jim Newberger debate at the State Fair". Retrieved 29 August 2018.
  30. ^ "Campaign finance data". Retrieved October 31, 2018.
  31. ^ "Minnesota Secretary Of State - 2018 General Election Results". www.sos.state.mn.us. Retrieved 18 December 2018.
  32. ^ "Minnesota Senate election exit poll". CNN. Retrieved November 20, 2018.

External links[edit]

Official campaign websites