United States Senate election in New Hampshire, 2016

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United States Senate election in New Hampshire, 2016
New Hampshire
2010 ←
November 8, 2016 → 2022

  Kelly Ayotte, Official Portrait, 112th Congress 2.jpg Maggie Hassan inaugural address.jpg
Nominee Kelly Ayotte Maggie Hassan
Party Republican Democratic

New Hampshire Presidential Election Results 2016.svg


Incumbent U.S. Senator

Kelly Ayotte
Republican



The 2016 United States Senate election in New Hampshire will take place on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New Hampshire, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primary election to select the candidates who will appear on the general election ballot took place on September 13, 2016.[1]

Incumbent Republican Senator Kelly Ayotte is running for re-election to a second term in office.[2]

Republican primary[edit]

Ayotte is predicted to face opposition in the primary from a Tea Party candidate. In October 2013, former New Hampshire Republican State Committee Chairman Jack Kimball said: "There is no question in my mind that she will garner a primary challenger".[3]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Polling[edit]

Results[edit]

Republican primary results[23]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kelly Ayotte 86,558 78.55
Republican Jim Rubens 19,139 17.37
Republican Tom Alciere 1,586 1.44
Republican Gerald Beloin 1,252 1.14
Republican Stanley Emanuel 1,187 1.08
Democratic Maggie Hassan (write-in) 301 0.27
Scatter 167 0.15
Total votes 110,190 100.00

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Libertarian convention[edit]

On Saturday, January 16, 2016, the Libertarian Party of New Hampshire selected Brian Chabot to be their nominee for the U.S. Senate.[62][63]

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[64] Tossup September 9, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[65] Tossup September 19, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[66] Tossup September 2, 2016
Daily Kos[67] Tossup September 16, 2016
Real Clear Politics[68] Tossup September 15, 2016

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kelly
Ayotte (R)
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Other Undecided
WBUR/MassINC September 27–29, 2016 502 ± 4.4% 45% 48% 3% 4%
46% 48% 3% 3%
GBA Strategies September 25–27, 2016 600 ± 4.0% 44% 47% 7% 2%
47% 49% 4%
American Research Group September 20–25, 2016 522 ± 4.2% 47% 47% 6%
Monmouth University September 17–20, 2016 400 ± 4.9% 47% 45% 2% 5%
NBC/WSJ/Marist September 6–8, 2016 737 ± 3.6% 52% 44% 4%
Emerson College September 3–5, 2016 600 ± 3.9% 48% 46% 6%
Public Policy Polling August 30–31, 2016 585 ± 4.1% 44% 47% 9%
Public Policy Polling August 26–28, 2016 977 ± 3.0% 45% 47% 8%
WMUR/UNH August 20–28, 2016 433 ± 4.7% 42% 44% 3% 12%
CBS News/YouGov August 10–12, 2016 990 ± 4.3% 41% 42% 17%
Vox Populi Polling (R) August 7–8, 2016 820 ± 3.4% 43% 46% 11%
Public Policy Polling August 5–7, 2016 802 ± 3.5% 42% 47% 11%
WBUR/MassINC July 29–August 1, 2016 609 ± 4.0% 40% 50% 2% 7%
37% 48% 2% 11%
GBA Strategies July 25–27, 2016 600 ± 4.0% 47% 47% 2% 4%
InsideSources/NH Journal July 19–21, 2016 1,166 ± 5.1% 49% 41% 10%
WMUR/UNH July 9–18, 2016 469 ± 4.5% 42% 45% 3% 11%
American Research Group June 24–28, 2016 533 ± 4.2% 51% 42% 7%
Public Policy Polling June 22–23, 2016 578 ± 4.1% 42% 44% 15%
Global Strategy Group June 15–16, 2016 400 ± 4.9% 45% 49% 6%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps June 11–20, 2016 300 ± 5.7% 46% 47% 7%
Public Policy Polling June 8–9, 2016 649 ± 3.9% 44% 47% 8%
Boston Herald/Franklin Pierce University May 25–28, 2016 405 ± 4.9% 48% 47% 5%
Global Strategy Group May 25–26, 2016 400 ± 4.9% 43% 45% 12%
WBUR/MassINC May 12–15, 2016 501 ± 4.4% 46% 48% 2% 4%
Dartmouth College April 11–16, 2016 362 ± 5.2% 37% 35% 28%
WMUR/UNH April 7–17, 2016 553 ± 4.2% 43% 42% 15%
WMUR/UNH February 20–28, 2016 628 ± 3.7% 45% 41% 4% 10%
Marist Poll January 28, 2016 2,258 ± 2.1% 45% 40% 15%
Gravis Marketing January 15–18, 2016 1,197 ± 2.8% 49% 42% 9%
Public Policy Polling January 4–6, 2016 1,036 ± 3.0% 44% 42% 14%
Public Policy Polling November 30–December 2, 2015 990 ± 3.1% 42% 42% 16%
Public Policy Polling October 16–18, 2015 880 ± 3.3% 43% 44% 13%
Gravis Marketing October 5–6, 2015 1,035 ± 3.1% 52% 42% 6%
WMUR/UNH September 21–October 2, 2015 519 ± 4.3% 45% 43% 1% 11%
Public Policy Polling August 21–24, 2015 841 ± 3.4% 44% 43% 13%
NBC News/Marist Poll July, 2015 910 ± 3.2% 50% 42% 8%
WMUR/UNH July 7–20, 2015 472 ± 4.5% 47% 41% 1% 12%
The Tarrance Group July 5–6, 2015 600 ± 4.0% 51% 44% 5%
Fabrizio, Lee and Associates June 25–28, 2015 500  ?? 52% 41% 7%
WMUR/UNH May 6–22, 2015 524 ± 4.3% 45% 43% 2% 9%
Gravis Marketing April 21–22, 2015 1,117 ± 3.0% 51% 43% 6%
Public Policy Polling April 9–13, 2015 747 ± 3.6% 45% 46% 9%
Gravis Marketing March 18–19, 2015 1,110 ± 5.0% 47% 45% 8%
Public Opinion Strategies February 17–18, 2015 424 ± 4.7% 46% 45% 9%
NBC News/Marist February 3–10, 2015 887 ± 3.3% 44% 48% 7%
New England College December 1, 2014 541 ± 4.2% 48.1% 42.5% 4.4% 5%
Public Policy Polling January 9–12, 2014 1,354 ± 2.7% 46% 40% 14%
Public Policy Polling September 13–16, 2013 1,038 ± 3.0% 45% 44% 11%
Public Policy Polling April 19–21, 2013 933 ± 3.2% 44% 46% 10%

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ "2016 Election Information". New Hampshire Secretary of State. Retrieved April 6, 2016. 
  2. ^ a b John DiStaso (November 7, 2014). "Ayotte, hoping Senate finally 'gets things done,' says she'll seek reelection". NH Journal. Retrieved December 4, 2014. 
  3. ^ a b c Abby Livingston (October 30, 2013). "For N.H. Republicans, Pain Is Probably Temporary". Roll Call. Retrieved October 30, 2013. 
  4. ^ "Jim Rubens to challenge incumbent Sen. Ayotte in GOP primary". New Hampshire Union Leader. March 5, 2016. Retrieved March 7, 2016. 
  5. ^ Pindell, James (March 13, 2015). "In N.H., a critical US Senate race is already taking shape". The Boston Globe. Retrieved April 9, 2015. 
  6. ^ a b c DiStaso, John (November 2, 2015). "Updated: O'Brien calls secret meeting to discuss primary challenge to Ayotte". WMUR. Retrieved November 2, 2015. 
  7. ^ DiStaso, John (November 2, 2015). "Lamontagne: Ayotte 'most conservative US Senate candidate who can win'". WMUR. Retrieved November 2, 2015. 
  8. ^ Schinella, Tony (April 26, 2015). "Will O'Brien Primary Ayotte in 2016?". Concord Patch. Retrieved May 29, 2015. 
  9. ^ Cline, Drew (July 22, 2015). "Former Speaker Bill O'Brien says a decade in the NH House is enough". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved July 23, 2015. 
  10. ^ Arkin, James (January 8, 2016). "Bolton Endorses 16 for Re-Election to Congress". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved January 10, 2016. 
  11. ^ Tokars, Mike (June 20, 2016). "GOP Calls In The Big Gun: George W. Bush is on the campaign trail". The National Memo. Retrieved June 21, 2016. 
  12. ^ Okun, Eli (September 9, 2016). "On the trail, it's all Hassan and no Trump for Ayotte". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved September 10, 2016. 
  13. ^ a b Wolfe, Rob (March 7, 2016). "Ayotte holds firm on court". Valley News. Retrieved September 18, 2016. 
  14. ^ Troyan, Mary (September 12, 2016). "Lindsey Graham Super PAC runs second ad for Kelly Ayotte in N.H. Senate race". USA Today. Retrieved September 12, 2016. 
  15. ^ Hemingway, Andrew (September 1, 2016). "Another View -- Andrew Hemingway: Why I'm Voting for Kelly Ayotte". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved September 1, 2016. 
  16. ^ Lips, Evan (March 17, 2016). "Ayotte picks up key endorsement from former GOP foe". New Boston Post. Retrieved April 7, 2016. 
  17. ^ Abramson, Alana (August 4, 2016). "Mike Pence endorses John McCain and Kelly Ayotte". ABC News. Retrieved August 4, 2016. 
  18. ^ Levenson, Eric (August 12, 2016). "Mitt Romney will headline a fundraiser for New Hampshire Sen. Kelly Ayotte". boston.com. Retrieved August 13, 2016. 
  19. ^ Sinclair Broadcast Group (August 5, 2016). "Donald Trump endorses Paul Ryan, Senators John McCain and Kelly Ayotte". WJLA-TV. Retrieved August 5, 2016. 
  20. ^ National Republican Senatorial Committee (September 13, 2016). "Retweet to congratulate @KellyAyotte on her primary win tonight! On to November! #NHSen". Twitter. Retrieved September 13, 2016. 
  21. ^ Republican Party of New Hampshire (September 13, 2016). "Congratulations to @KellyAyotte on winning the NH Republican Primary for US Senate". Twitter. Retrieved September 13, 2016. 
  22. ^ Morrongiello, Gabby (September 6, 2016). "U.S. Chamber of Commerce endorses Ayotte in heated N.H. Senate race". Washington Examiner. Retrieved September 19, 2016. 
  23. ^ "2016 United States Senate - Republican Primary". New Hampshire Secretary of State. Retrieved September 22, 2016. 
  24. ^ Cahn, Emily (October 5, 2015). "Maggie Hassan Will Run for Senate in New Hampshire (Video)". Roll Call. Retrieved October 5, 2015. 
  25. ^ a b c d e f g h i John DiStaso (November 14, 2014). "Analysis: NH Democrats already have deep bench for top races in 2016". New Hampshire Journal. Retrieved November 14, 2014. 
  26. ^ Kyle Trygstad (December 17, 2014). "N.H. Democrats Prep Kelly Ayotte Challenge". Roll Call. Retrieved December 18, 2014. 
  27. ^ Morris, Allie (October 31, 2015). "Mark Connolly, New Castle resident, announces intent to run for governor". Concord Monitor. Retrieved November 2, 2015. 
  28. ^ "Ayotte-Lynch race? No dice". The Telegraph. December 20, 2012. Retrieved December 4, 2014. 
  29. ^ Landrigan, Kevin; Steinhauser, Paul (July 15, 2015). "Kuster going for third term in US House, not a US Senate bid". NH1 News. Retrieved November 2, 2015. 
  30. ^ James Pindell (November 25, 2014). "Bedford Democrat quietly preparing to run for U.S. Senate against Ayotte". WMUR. Retrieved December 1, 2014. 
  31. ^ DiStaso, John (February 10, 2015). "Democratic political newcomer O'Connor files candidacy for 1st District U.S. House seat". NH Journal. Retrieved April 9, 2015. 
  32. ^ Paul Steinhauser (December 11, 2014). "Paul Steinhauser: Rep. Carol Shea-Porter talks 2016, achievements in Congress". NH1. Retrieved December 12, 2014. 
  33. ^ DiStaso, John. "Shea-Porter announces she's running for US House again in 2016". WMUR.com. Manchester Hearst Properties Inc. Retrieved 20 September 2015. 
  34. ^ McElveen, Josh (October 8, 2015). "Democrat Colin Van Ostern running for governor". WMUR. Retrieved October 8, 2015. 
  35. ^ Steinhauser, Paul (May 6, 2016). "Steinhauser: Vice President Biden jumps into Ayotte-Hassan battle". NH1 News. Retrieved August 14, 2016. 
  36. ^ Steinhauer, Jennifer (September 4, 2016). "Gun control groups divide their loyalties in senate races". The New York Times. Retrieved September 4, 2016. 
  37. ^ "NH-Sen: Sen. Dick Durbin (D. IL) helps Maggie Hassan (D) get ready to defeat Kelly Ayotte (R)". Daily Kos. March 30, 2016. Retrieved August 13, 2016. 
  38. ^ "NH-Sen: Gabby Giffords group keeps up the momentum for Maggie Hassan (D) to defeat Kelly Ayotte (R)". Daily Kos. August 6, 2016. Retrieved September 4, 2016. 
  39. ^ Kirsten Gillibrand (December 31, 2015). "Proud to support @TammyforIL @DonnaFEdwards @KamalaHarris @Maggie_Hassan @Ann_Kirkpatrick @CatherineForNV & @KatieMcGintyPA for Senate.". Twitter. Retrieved January 13, 2016. 
  40. ^ "NH-Sen: Sen. Martin Heinrich (D. NM) helps Maggie Hassan (D) get ready to defeat Kelly Ayotte (R)". Daily Kos. March 9, 2016. Retrieved August 13, 2016. 
  41. ^ "NH-Sen: Sen. Mazie Hirono (D. HI) helps Maggie Hassan (D) get ready to defeat Kelly Ayotte (R)". Daily Kos. October 14, 2015. Retrieved August 13, 2016. 
  42. ^ "NH-Sen: Will & Grace's Debra Messing goes all in for Maggie Hassan (D)". Daily Kos. September 1, 2016. Retrieved September 4, 2016. 
  43. ^ Bowman, Bridget (July 19, 2016). "Murphy announces support for first gun control candidates". Roll Call. Retrieved August 14, 2016. 
  44. ^ "NH-Sen: Sen. Gary Peters (D. MI) helps Maggie Hassan (D) get ready to defeat Kelly Ayotte (R)". Daily Kos. November 8, 2015. Retrieved August 13, 2016. 
  45. ^ "NH-Sen: Award winning novelist Jodi Picoult endorses Maggie Hassan (D) for U.S. Senate". Daily Kos. May 16, 2016. Retrieved August 13, 2016. 
  46. ^ Hagen, Lisa (August 29, 2016). "Sanders endorses Dem candidates in critical senate races". The Hill. Retrieved August 29, 2016. 
  47. ^ "New Hampshire's senior Senator knows that we need Maggie in the U.S. Senate fighting for our families". Facebook. July 1, 2016. Retrieved August 2, 2016. 
  48. ^ a b "DSCC endorses Maggie Hassan in New Hampshire's Senate race". Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. October 9, 2015. Retrieved August 13, 2016. 
  49. ^ Distaso, John (May 23, 2016). "WMUR exclusive: Elizabeth Warren to keynote NH Democrats' state convention". WMUR-TV. Retrieved August 2, 2016. 
  50. ^ DiStaso, John (July 11, 2016). "WMUR.com first: EMILY's List, AFSCME PACs combine on $2.5 million pro-Hassan ad buy". WMUR-TV. Retrieved August 13, 2016. 
  51. ^ "Largest Federal Employee Union Endorses Maggie Hassan for U.S. Senate". PR Newswire. August 10, 2016. Retrieved August 14, 2016. 
  52. ^ "RELEASE: AFT-NH endorses Governor Maggie Hassan for U.S. Senate". maggiehassan.com. August 30, 2016. Retrieved September 26, 2016. 
  53. ^ "ARS PAC endorses Maggie Hassan for U.S. Senate, launches new ad to hold Senator Kelly Ayotte accountable for votes to protect gun background check loopholes". Americans for Responsible Solutions. May 25, 2016. Retrieved September 4, 2016. 
  54. ^ "Maggie Hassan for U.S. Senate - New Hampshire". Daily Kos. Retrieved September 4, 2016. 
  55. ^ "EMILY's List endorses Maggie Hassan for Senate in New Hampshire". EMILY's List. October 8, 2015. Retrieved August 13, 2016. 
  56. ^ Colwell, Kate (September 22, 2016). "FoE Action endorses Gov. Maggie Hassan for U.S. Senate". Friends of the Earth Action. Retrieved September 25, 2016. 
  57. ^ Lorenz, Brandon (August 3, 2016). "HRC endorses Gov. Maggie Hassan of New Hampshire for U.S. Senate". Human Rights Campaign. Retrieved August 5, 2016. 
  58. ^ "New Hampshire". April 5, 2016. Retrieved September 3, 2016. 
  59. ^ "ICYMI: NH1 News: Planned Parenthood Endorses Hassan". maggiehassan.com. May 12, 2016. Retrieved August 13, 2016. 
  60. ^ "Professional Firefighters of NH endorse Hassan for Senate". Seacoastonline.com. July 13, 2016. Retrieved August 13, 2016. 
  61. ^ Berman, Jonathon (August 3, 2016). "Sierra Club endorses Governor Maggie Hassan for U.S. Senate". Sierra Club. Retrieved August 5, 2016. 
  62. ^ "LPNH 2016 State Convention recap". Libertarian Party of New Hampshire. Retrieved September 21, 2016. 
  63. ^ "LP on the ballot in New Hampshire". Libertarian Party. Retrieved September 21, 2016. 
  64. ^ "2016 Senate Race Ratings for September 9, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 9, 2016. 
  65. ^ "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2016. 
  66. ^ "2016 Senate Ratings (September 2, 2016)". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2016. 
  67. ^ "Election Outlook: 2016 Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved September 17, 2016. 
  68. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 15, 2016. 

External links[edit]

Official campaign websites