2018 United States Senate election in Virginia

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United States Senate election in Virginia, 2018

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  Tim Kaine, official 113th Congress photo portrait.jpg Corey Stewart 8 by 10 crop.jpg
Nominee Tim Kaine Corey Stewart
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,910,370 1,374,313
Percentage 57.0% 41.0%

Virginia Senate Election Results by County, 2018.svg
County and Independent City Results
Kaine:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Stewart:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. Senator before election

Tim Kaine
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Tim Kaine
Democratic

The 2018 United States Senate election in Virginia took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Virginia, concurrently with other elections to the U.S. Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic Senator Tim Kaine was re-elected to a second term in office, winning this seat by the largest margin since 1988. Although he ultimately lost the election, Corey Stewart received the most votes of any Republican in Virginia midterm and gubernatorial history.

The Republican Party of Virginia central committee voted to select the Republican nominee for Senate by a primary rather than a convention. Corey Stewart won the Republican nomination on June 12, 2018 after defeating Delegate Nick Freitas and Christian minister E.W. Jackson.[1]

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Failed to qualify[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Nick Freitas
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
U.S. Governors
State Senators
State Delegates
Local Officials
Notable Individuals
Party Leadership
  • Morton Blackwell, Republican National Committeeman for Virginia[57]
  • Kishore Thota, Chairman of the Young Republican Federation of Virginia[58]
Organizations
News Publications
  • Arlington Sun Gazette[65]
  • The Reagan Batallion[66]
E. W. Jackson
Cabinet-level officials
U.S. Governors
Statewide Office Holders
Local Officials
  • Suzy Kelly, Chesapeake City Councilwoman, Chairman of the Virginia Chamber of Commerce, CEO of Jo-Kell
Notable individuals
Organizations

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Nick
Freitas
E. W.
Jackson
Corey
Stewart
Other Undecided
Atlantic Media & Research (R-Stewart) May 14–18, 2018 355 ± 5.2% 9% 5% 32%
Christopher Newport University February 5–28, 2018 422 ± 2.5% 6% 7% 16% 5%[71] 66%

Results[edit]

Results by county:
  Stewart—70–80%
  Stewart—60–70%
  Stewart—50–60%
  Stewart—40–50%
  Stewart—<40%
  Tie
  Freitas—<40%
  Freitas—40–50%
  Freitas—50–60%
  Freitas—60–70%
  Freitas—70–80%
Republican primary results[72]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Corey Stewart 136,610 44.87
Republican Nick Freitas 131,321 43.14
Republican E. W. Jackson 36,508 11.99
Total votes 304,439 100.0

Third party candidates[edit]

General election[edit]

The election featured a match-up of two Minnesota-born Virginians: Republican Corey Stewart was born in Duluth, MN and Democrat Tim Kaine was born in Saint Paul, MN.[78] All polls leading up to the election showed Kaine defeating Stewart.

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[79] Solid D September 28, 2018
Inside Elections[80] Solid D January 5, 2017
Sabato's Crystal Ball[81] Safe D February 7, 2018
Fox News[82] Likely D^ July 9, 2018
CNN[83] Solid D July 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics[84] Safe D August 14, 2018

^Highest rating given

Debates/Townhalls[edit]

Host
network/sponsors
Date Link(s) Participants
Tim
Kaine (D)
Corey
Stewart (R)
Matt
Waters (L)
Liberty University October 3, 2018 [1] Invited Invited
WRC-TV September 26, 2018 [2] Invited Invited
Hampton University/Liberty University September 20, 2018 [3] Invited Invited
PBS NewsHour/Virginia Bar Association July 21, 2018 [4] Invited Invited

Endorsements[edit]

Corey Stewart (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Representatives
State officials
Notable individuals
Tim Kaine (D)
Former U.S. Executive Branch Officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Matt Waters (L)
Local Officials
  • Joe Walton, Libertarian nominee for VA-07 in 2018 and former chairman of the Powhatan County Board of Supervisors[116]
Party Leadership
Notable Indviduals
Organizations

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tim
Kaine (D)
Corey
Stewart (R)
Matt
Waters (L)
Other Undecided
University of Mary Washington/SSRS September 4–9, 2018 512 LV ± 5.8% 52% 36% 5% 0% 4%
704 RV ± 5.0% 51% 33% 5% 1% 7%
801 A ± 4.6% 49% 30% 6% 1% 9%
Cygnal/POOLHOUSE (R) August 22–24, 2018 1,119 ± 2.8% 50% 46% 4%
Roanoke College August 12–19, 2018 512 ± 4.3% 51% 34% 4% 11%
Virginia Commonwealth University July 10–30, 2018 757 ± 3.6% 49% 26% 5% 20%
Quinnipiac University June 21–25, 2018 1,082 ± 3.7% 54% 36% 0% 9%
Roanoke College May 20–30, 2018 555 ± 4.2% 44% 33% 23%
Christopher Newport University February 5–28, 2018 1,562 ± 2.5% 56% 32% 1% 11%
University of Mary Washington/PSRAI September 5–12, 2017 562 LV ± 5.2% 53% 36% 7%
867 RV ± 4.1% 54% 39% 1% 4%

Results[edit]

United States Senate election in Virginia, 2018[124]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Democratic Tim Kaine (incumbent) 1,910,370 57.00% +4.13%
Republican Corey Stewart 1,374,313 41.01% -5.95%
Libertarian Matt Waters 61,565 1.84% N/A
n/a Write-ins 5,125 0.15% -0.02%
Total votes 3,351,373 100.0% N/A
Democratic hold

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ GRAHAM MOOMAW. "Divided Virginia GOP committee chooses primary to decide Kaine challenger for 2018 U.S. Senate race". Richmond Times-Dispatch. Retrieved December 10, 2017.
  2. ^ "Tim Kaine kicks off Senate re-election bid, says he plans to win 'the economic argument'". Richmond.com. April 2, 2018. Retrieved April 2, 2018.
  3. ^ Portnoy, Jenna (December 9, 2017). "Del. Nick Freitas jumps into GOP field to challenge Sen. Tim Kaine in 2018". The Washington Post. Retrieved December 10, 2017.
  4. ^ Portnoy, Jenna (December 11, 2017). "E.W. Jackson announces U.S. Senate campaign, attacks Corey Stewart". The Washington Post. Retrieved December 11, 2017.
  5. ^ Wilson, Patrick (July 12, 2017). "Corey Stewart to announce run for U.S. Senate on Thursday, sources say". Richmond Times-Dispatch. Retrieved July 12, 2017.
  6. ^ Martin, Jeanine (February 14, 2018). "Fifth Republican files for Senate–Updated".
  7. ^ "Committee/Candidate Search". classic.fec.gov.
  8. ^ Portnoy, Jenna (February 13, 2018). "Adviser to Trump campaign files to run as a Republican against Sen. Kaine". The Washington Post. Retrieved February 13, 2018.
  9. ^ "Veteran of 20 years, Ivan Raiklin, announces U.S. Senate run". SalemTimes-register.com. November 16, 2017. Retrieved December 10, 2017.
  10. ^ a b c d e f g Spiker, DJ (October 7, 2016). "An Early Look at 2017". Bearing Drift. Retrieved October 20, 2016.
  11. ^ a b c d e f g Arkin, James (October 4, 2016). "GOP Starts to Eye Race to Replace Kaine in Senate". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 4, 2016.
  12. ^ a b c d e f Severns, Maggie (November 6, 2016). "Fiorina tops GOP list for potential Virginia Senate contest". Politico. Retrieved November 17, 2016.
  13. ^ a b c Schapiro, Jeff E. (July 30, 2016). "Kaine VP bid fully nationalizes Va. politics". Richmond Times-Dispatch. Retrieved October 4, 2016.
  14. ^ Butler, Ryan (October 25, 2016). "Gilmore Considering Senate Run if Clinton, Kaine Elected". The Loudoun Tribune. Retrieved November 17, 2016.
  15. ^ Cain, Andrew (November 11, 2016). "Forbes a candidate for Trump's Navy secretary, Wittman considers his options". Richmond Times-Dispatch. Retrieved November 17, 2016.
  16. ^ Kaczynski, Andrew (September 8, 2017). "Virginia Senate race: Carly Fiorina rules out run, Jim Gilmore 'considering' candidacy". CNN. Retrieved September 8, 2017.
  17. ^ "Shak Hill Announces Candidacy for VA 10th District Congressman". Fairfax Free Citizen. August 2, 2016. Retrieved August 9, 2016.
  18. ^ a b "I'm totally helping Corey, this'll be fun". July 14, 2017.
  19. ^ JohnFredericksShow (April 27, 2017). "Bob McDonnell, Former Governor of Virginia: I'm Not Running For U.S. Senate In '18" – via YouTube.
  20. ^ "Trower: 2018 U.S. Senate GOP Top 10 Potential Candidates to Win Against Kaine - Bearing Drift". June 23, 2017.
  21. ^ akoma@insidenova.com, Alex Koma. "More Republicans to join Stewart in '18 Senate primary".
  22. ^ "UVA Law School on Twitter".
  23. ^ a b "Rand Paul endorses "liberty Republican" Nick Freitas to challenge Virginia Sen. Tim Kaine". Rare.us. 5 January 2018.
  24. ^ "I'm excited to announce that Ron Paul has endorsed my run for U.S. Senate!". March 1, 2018 – via Facebook.
  25. ^ "Nick Freitas". www.facebook.com.
  26. ^ "Nick Freitas". www.facebook.com.
  27. ^ "Endorsements". Nick4Senate.com. Retrieved December 10, 2017.
  28. ^ "David Suetterlein on Twitter". Twitter. Retrieved January 2, 2018.
  29. ^ "Virginia State Senator Bill DeSteph Endorses Nick Freitas for U.S. Senate". February 27, 2018.
  30. ^ Mark Obenshain. "It's a real treat to have my friend and US Senate candidate @NickForVA in the Shenandoah Valley tonight. Nick Freitas will be a great Senator!". Twitter.
  31. ^ a b "A state lawmaker gives Corey Stewart competition for GOP Senate nomination". March 9, 2018.
  32. ^ Greg Habeeb. "Lots of folks asking me who they should vote for in the @VA_GOP Primary next Tuesday. Honestly, this is an absolute no-brainer. @NickForVA is one of the best young candidates we've had in years and would make an amazing Senator". Twitter.
  33. ^ Steve Landes. "Vote Nick Freitas for U.S. Senate!". Twitter.
  34. ^ "Delegate Dave LaRock on Twitter".
  35. ^ "Delegate Mike Webert joins the Republican line-up supporting #Nick4Senate! #LibertyRising". Twitter.com. February 2, 2018.
  36. ^ "Delegate Jason Miyares joins the long list of Republicans, like Senator Rand Paul and Virginia Senator Bryce Reeves, endorsing my run for U.S. Senate". Facebook.com. February 26, 2018.
  37. ^ "U.S. Senate Candidate Nick Freitas Announces New Wave of Endorsements". Nick Freitas for U.S. Senate. May 17, 2018.
  38. ^ "Our campaign is proud to announce an endorsement from Woodstock Mayor Jeremy D. McCleary. Thank you, Mayor! #Nick4Senate #LibertyRising". Twitter.com. January 16, 2018.
  39. ^ Ron Meyer. "Excited to join @RandPaul on Saturday to rally @NickForVA to victory for US Senate! #LibertyRising". Twitter.
  40. ^ a b "Freitas announces U.S. Senate bid against Kaine". Culpeper Star-Exponent. December 11, 2017.
  41. ^ "Exclusive: Freitas Receives New Endorsement Out Of Fluvanna County". rwmartinez.com. December 11, 2017.
  42. ^ Josh Thiel. "Proud to support @NickForVA for US Senate with Senator @RandPaul. #LibertyRising". Twitter.
  43. ^ "I'm glad to announce that Bishop Leon Benjamin has endorsed my campaign for U.S. Senate. #LibertyRising #Nick4Senate". Twitter.com. February 12, 2018.
  44. ^ Cassandra Fairbanks. "Dear VA, please get rid of Tim Kaine by voting @NickForVA tomorrow instead of that other guy". Twitter.
  45. ^ Hugh Hewitt. "Voted for @NickForVA today. 9/11 vets and special forces to boot. Young and ready to take on Senator Kaine. Uphill race but a vet worth a vote if you haven't already been to the polls". Twitter.
  46. ^ Charlie Kirk. "He has my full support!". Twitter.
  47. ^ a b "After bruising losses, Republicans gather in Hot Springs to find path out of wilderness". News Leader. December 9, 2017.
  48. ^ "Cliff Maloney Jr. on Twitter".
  49. ^ "Austin Petersen on Twitter".
  50. ^ Cabot Phillips. "If you're looking for a candidate to get excited about, @NickForVA is the one. He's an experienced, principled leader who will defend our conservative values in the Senate. I'm excited to support him!". Twitter.
  51. ^ "#ThePersistence on Twitter".
  52. ^ Erich Reimer. "Tomorrow I'll be voting for @NickForVA, a patriot who served over a decade in the US Army, including in the Special Forces/Green Berets in Iraq, as VA's GOP US Senate nominee". Twitter.
  53. ^ "Kyle Kashuv on Twitter". Twitter.
  54. ^ Nick Freitas. ""As a Second Amendment rights and women's empowerment activist, I only go out of my way to endorse candidates I truly believe will fight for us. Nick Freitas is that fighter. And I know he will fight for Virginia and our Second Amendment rights in Washington." - @antonia_okafor". Twitter.
  55. ^ "Kelley Paul on Twitter".
  56. ^ "Endorsement: Nick Freitas For U.S. Senator From Virginia". ConservativeHQ.com. June 11, 2018.
  57. ^ "A state lawmaker gives Corey Stewart competition for GOP Senate nomination". Washington Post. March 9, 2018.
  58. ^ "For The First Time Ever, A Majority Of Virginia's Young Republicans Federation Members Endorse GOP Primary Candidate, Nick Freitas". April 25, 2018.
  59. ^ "FreedomWorks for America Endorses Nick Freitas in the Virginia Senate Race". FreedomWorks. April 10, 2018.
  60. ^ "The National Association for Gun Rights PAC has endorsed my race for U.S. Senate because they know I'm the only candidate with a proven record of fighting back the gun-grabbing Left. #LibertyRising". Twitter.
  61. ^ "Stewart Snubbed: NRA endorses Nick Freitas in U.S. Senate primary race". InsideNoVA. May 10, 2018.
  62. ^ "The Republican Liberty Caucus Endorses Nick Freitas". Republican Liberty Caucus. May 4, 2018.
  63. ^ "Students For Trump on Twitter".
  64. ^ "Americans for Prosperity endorses Nick Freitas in Virginia Senate GOP primary". Washington Times. June 5, 2018.
  65. ^ "Sun Gazette endorsement: Freitas is only viable choice for Arlington GOP". Insidenova.com. May 31, 2018.
  66. ^ "The Reagan Battalion on Twitter".
  67. ^ "E.W. Jackson". www.facebook.com.
  68. ^ "Huckabee Endorses Jackson". Jackson for US Senate. April 10, 2018.
  69. ^ "E.W. Jackson". www.facebook.com.
  70. ^ "FRC Action PAC Announces Endorsement of E.W. Jackson to U.S. Congress". Family Research Council Action PAC. May 15, 2018.
  71. ^ Ivan Raiklin* 1%, Other 4%. *Failed to qualify.
  72. ^ "2018 June Republican Primary". Results.elections.virginia.gov. Retrieved June 23, 2018.
  73. ^ "Waters to Seek Nomination for US Senate". Standard News Wire. February 21, 2018. Retrieved March 10, 2018.
  74. ^ "Virginia Libertarians Nominate Candidate for U.S. Senate". Bearing Drift. March 11, 2018.
  75. ^ "Waters for US Senate Turns in Over 14,000 Signatures" (Press release). Matt Waters Campaign.
  76. ^ "Constitution Party of Virginia Endorses Matt Waters for US Senate" (PDF) (Press release).
  77. ^ "Former GOP state delegate wants Republicans to write in her name for US Senate instead of voting for Corey Stewart".
  78. ^ "The Minnesota Matchup: Tim Kaine v. Corey Stewart?". Richmond Times-Dispatch. Retrieved 13 June 2018.
  79. ^ "2018 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved December 15, 2017.
  80. ^ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved January 5, 2017.
  81. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 Ratings Changes". www.centerforpolitics.org.
  82. ^ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Retrieved July 10, 2018.
  83. ^ "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  84. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  85. ^ Donald Trump. "Congratulations to Corey Stewart for his great victory for Senator from Virginia. Now he runs against a total stiff, Tim Kaine, who is weak on crime and borders, and wants to raise your taxes through the roof. Don't underestimate Corey, a major chance of winning!". Twitter.
  86. ^ "Former Congressman Virgil Goode is here in support of Corey Stewart". Twitter.
  87. ^ "With Corey Stewart atop the ticket, Virginia Republicans are in turmoil".
  88. ^ "Bishop E W Jackson". www.facebook.com. Retrieved November 6, 2018.
  89. ^ Stewart, Corey. "Pleased to announce @JerryFalwellJr's support. He was instrumental in electing @realDonaldTrump. Falwell's endorsement is proof positive conservative Republicans will take back Virginia in 2018". Twitter.com. Retrieved December 10, 2017.
  90. ^ "Corey Stewart". www.facebook.com.
  91. ^ "Malik Obama on Twitter". Retrieved November 6, 2018.
  92. ^ Jennifer Wexton. "Look who surprised our volunteers in #VA10 this afternoon – thank you so much @BarackObama for inspiring our team with just one day to go!". Twitter.
  93. ^ "WI, FL & VA-Sen: Sen. Dick Durbin (D. IL) Helps These Democrats Keep Up The Resistance". Daily Kos. October 30, 2017.
  94. ^ Doug Jones. "Louise and I were honored to host my friend and colleague @timkaine at our home last night. Tim is a true public servant and a strong, steady leader we need to keep in the Senate!". Twitter.
  95. ^ "Former GOP Senator John Warner crosses party lines, endorses Kaine for Senate". Retrieved November 6, 2018.
  96. ^ Mark Warner. ".@TimKaine is a uniter not a divider. He's a heck of a Senator, and I'm proud to call him my friend. Let's go out there and get him re-elected". Twitter.
  97. ^ Tom Perriello. "Feeling ⁦@timkaine⁩ 2018 after that crushing debate yesterday! #TK4VA". Twitter.
  98. ^ Donald McEachin. "I hope to see @Vangie4Congress, @ElaineLuriaVA, @LeslieCockburn, @JenniferForVA, @SpanbergerVA07, @flacc4congress, & @JenniferWexton join @timkaine, @markwarnerva, @ElectConnolly, @BobbyScott4VA3, @DonBeyerVA and me in Congress! #BlueWave". Twitter.
  99. ^ Don Beyer. "We must reelect @timkaine". Twitter.
  100. ^ Gerry Connolly. "Looking forward to another great campaign alongside my friend @timkaine". Twitter.
  101. ^ Ralph Northam. "Virginians are looking for leaders with a moral compass—that's my friend @timkaine all the way. He speaks to the best in us, his opponent speaks to the worst. I'm ready to work hard to send him back to the Senate— are you ready to join us?". Twitter.
  102. ^ Justin Fairfax. "#BlueWave2018! Virginia, let's re-elect @timkaine, @BobbyScott4VA3, @Donald_McEachin, & @ElectConnolly — & elect @Vangie4Congress, @ElaineLuriaVA, @LeslieCockburn, @JenniferForVA, @SpanbergerVA07, @flacc4congress, & @JenniferWexton. #WeRiseTogether". Twitter.
  103. ^ Terry McAuliffe. ".@timkaine is a great Senator and an even better man. @DSMcAuliffe and I will be with Tim and Anne every step of the way. Game on!". Twitter.
  104. ^ "Virginia – Official UAW Endorsements". uawendorsements.org. United Automobile Workers.
  105. ^ Roberts, Cecil (May 24, 2018). "UMWA endorses Kaine for reelection to U.S. Senate - UMWA". UMWA. United Mine Workers of America National Council of the Coal Miners Political Action Committee.
  106. ^ Patrick, Andrew (May 8, 2018). "Coalition to Stop Gun Violence Endorses Kaine for Re-Election". The Coalition to Stop Gun Violence.
  107. ^ "2018 Council-endorsed Senate Candidates - Council for a Livable World". Council for a Livable World.
  108. ^ "Tim Kaine – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org.
  109. ^ "2018 Senate Endorsees - JStreet".
  110. ^ Sittenfeld, Tiernan; Town, Michael (June 1, 2018). "On the Anniversary of Trump's Decision to Withdraw From Paris Agreement, LCV Action Fund Endorses Senator Tim Kaine for Re-Election - League of Conservation Voters". League of Conservation Voters.
  111. ^ "Candidates We Endorse and Support - NCPSSM". www.ncpssm.org. Retrieved November 6, 2018.
  112. ^ "Federal Endorsements by the NOW PAC | National Organization for Women Political Action Committees". nowpac.org. August 23, 2017.
  113. ^ Curtis, Kevin (June 7, 2018). "NRDC Action Fund : NRDC Action Fund endorses Sen. Tim Kaine for re-election". www.nrdcactionfund.org.
  114. ^ "Population Connection Action Fund Endorsements". Population Connection.
  115. ^ Beall, Corrina; Shippee, Bob; Addleson, Kate (May 22, 2018). "Sierra Club endorses Sen. Tim Kaine for re-election". Augusta Free Press.
  116. ^ "MattWaters.com". www.facebook.com.
  117. ^ "Jason Schultz (L) on Twitter".
  118. ^ a b c d "Browse Receipts - FEC.gov". FEC.gov.
  119. ^ a b "Browse Receipts - FEC.gov". FEC.gov.
  120. ^ "Dan McLaughlin on Twitter". Retrieved November 6, 2018.
  121. ^ "Daniel McAdams on Twitter". Retrieved November 6, 2018.
  122. ^ "CPV Jun 28th 2018 Press Release.pdf".
  123. ^ "Libertarian Youth Caucus". www.facebook.com. Retrieved November 6, 2018.
  124. ^ "2018 November General". https://www.elections.virginia.gov/. External link in |website= (help)

External links[edit]

Official campaign websites