United States Senate elections, 2016

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United States Senate elections, 2016
United States Senate
2014 ←
 November 8, 2016 → 2018
Class 3 (34 of the 100) seats in the United States Senate
51 seats needed for a majority
  Sen Mitch McConnell official.jpg Harry Reid official portrait 2009.jpg
Leader Mitch McConnell Harry Reid (retiring)
Party Republican Democratic
Leader's seat Kentucky Nevada
Last election 54 44
Current seats 54 44
Seats needed Steady Increase 6[Note 1]
Seats up 24 10
 
Party Independent
Current seats 2
Seats up 0

2016 Senate election map.svg
     Democratic incumbent      Retiring Democrat
     Republican incumbent      Retiring Republican
     No election
  1. ^ Assuming that the two Independents continue to caucus with the Democrats.

Elections for the United States Senate will be held on November 8, 2016, with 34 of the 100 seats in the Senate being contested in regular elections whose winners will serve six-year terms from January 3, 2017 until January 3, 2023. All class 3 Senators are up for election; class 3 was last up for election in 2010, when Republicans won a net gain of six seats. Currently, Democrats are expected to have 10 seats up for election, and Republicans are expected to have 24 seats up for election. Special elections may also be held to fill vacancies that occur during the 114th United States Congress. Republicans, having taken control of the Senate in the 2014 election, currently hold the Senate majority with 54 seats.

The 2016 Presidential election, 2016 House elections, 2016 gubernatorial elections, and many state and local elections will also be held on this date.

Partisan composition[edit]

All 34 Class 3 Senators are up for election in 2016; Class 3 currently consists of 10 Democrats and 24 Republicans. Of the Senators not up for election, 35 Senators are Democrats, 30 Senators are Republicans and one Senator is an independent who caucuses with the Senate Democrats. If vacancies occur in Class 1 or Class 2 Senate seats, the state might require a special election to take place during the 114th Congress, possibly concurrently with the other 2016 Senate elections.

Parties Total
Democratic Republican Independent
Last election (2014) 44 54 2 100
Before this election 44 54 2 100
Not up 34 30 2 66
Class 1 (2012→2018) 23 8 2 33
Class 2 (2014→2020) 11 22 0 33
Up 10 24 0 34
Class 3 (2010→2016) 10 24 0 34
Special: Class 1 & 2[1] 0 0 0 0
Incumbent retiring 3 3 — 6
Incumbent running 7 21 — 28

Change in composition[edit]

Senate composition before the elections[edit]

D1 D2 D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8 D9 D10
D20 D19 D18 D17 D16 D15 D14 D13 D12 D11
D21 D22 D23 D24 D25 D26 D27 D28 D29 D30
D40
Running		 D39
Running		 D38
Running		 D37
Running		 D36
Running		 D35
Running		 D34 D33 D32 D31
D41
Running		 D42
Retiring		 D43
Retiring		 D44
Retiring		 I1 I2 R54
Retiring		 R53
Retiring		 R52
Retiring		 R51
Running
Majority →
R41
Running		 R42
Running		 R43
Running		 R44
Running		 R45
Running		 R46
Running		 R47
Running		 R48
Running		 R49
Running		 R50
Running
R40
Running		 R39
Running		 R38
Running		 R37
Running		 R36
Running		 R35
Running		 R34
Running		 R33
Running		 R32
Running		 R31
Running
R21 R22 R23 R24 R25 R26 R27 R28 R29 R30
R20 R19 R18 R17 R16 R15 R14 R13 R12 R11
R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10

Senate composition after the elections[edit]

D1 D2 D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8 D9 D10
D20 D19 D18 D17 D16 D15 D14 D13 D12 D11
D21 D22 D23 D24 D25 D26 D27 D28 D29 D30
TBD TBD TBD TBD I2 I1 D34 D33 D32 D31
TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD
Majority → TBD
TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD
TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD
R21 R22 R23 R24 R25 R26 R27 R28 R29 R30
R20 R19 R18 R17 R16 R15 R14 R13 R12 R11
R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10
Key:
D# Democratic
R# Republican
I# Independent, caucusing with Democrats[2][3]

Latest predictions of competitive seats[edit]

Several sites and individuals publish predictions of competitive seats. These predictions look at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan leanings of the state (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). The predictions assign ratings to each seat, with the rating indicating the predicted advantage that a party has in winning that seat. Most election predictors use "tossup" to indicate that neither party has an advantage, "lean" to indicate that one party has a slight advantage, "likely" or "favored" to indicate that one party has a significant but not insurmountable advantage, and "safe" or "solid" to indicate that one party has a near-certain chance of victory. Some predictions also include a "tilt" rating that indicates that one party has an advantage that is not quite as strong as the "lean" rating would indicate.

All seats classified with at least one rating of anything other than "safe" or "solid" are listed below.

State PVI Incumbent
(Parentheses if
retiring)		 First
elected		 2010
result		 Cook
March 4
2016[4]		 Sab.
March 3
2016[5]		 Roth.
March 4
2016[6]		 DKE
March 4
2016[7]
Alaska R+12 Lisa Murkowski (R) 2004[8] 39.5%[9] Likely R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Arizona R+7 John McCain (R) 1986 59.2% Likely R Lean R Likely R Lean R
California D+9 (Barbara Boxer) (D) 1992 52.2% Likely D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Colorado D+1 Michael Bennet (D) 2010[10] 47.7% Lean D Lean D Lean D Lean D
Florida R+2 (Marco Rubio) (R) 2010 48.9% Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup
Georgia R+6 Johnny Isakson (R) 2004 58.1% Likely R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Illinois D+8 Mark Kirk (R) 2010 48.2% Tossup Lean D Tilt D Tossup
Indiana R+5 (Dan Coats) (R) 2010[11] 56.4% Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R
Iowa D+1 Chuck Grassley (R) 1980 64.5% Likely R Safe R Safe R Likely R
Louisiana R+12 (David Vitter) (R) 2004 56.6% Safe R Likely R Safe R Safe R
Missouri R+5 Roy Blunt (R) 2010 54.3% Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R
Nevada D+2 (Harry Reid) (D) 1986 50.2% Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup
New Hampshire D+1 Kelly Ayotte (R) 2010 60.2% Tossup Tossup Tilt R Tossup
North Carolina R+3 Richard Burr (R) 2004 55.0% Lean R Likely R Lean R Likely R
Ohio R+1 Rob Portman (R) 2010 57.3% Lean R Lean R Tilt R Lean R
Pennsylvania D+1 Pat Toomey (R) 2010 51.0% Lean R Lean R Tilt R Lean R
Wisconsin D+2 Ron Johnson (R) 2010 51.9% Tossup Lean D Tossup Lean D
  Competitive Democratic-held seat
  Competitive Republican-held seat
  Democratic-favored seat
  Republican-favored seat

Race summary[edit]

State
(linked to
summaries below)		 Incumbent Detail Candidates
Senator Party Electoral
history
Alabama Richard Shelby Republican 1986
1992
1998
2004
2010		 Running Richard Shelby (Republican)[12]
Ron Crumpton (Democratic)[13]
Alaska Lisa Murkowski Republican 2002†
2004
2010		 Running Lisa Murkowski (Republican)[14]
Thomas Lamb (Republican)[15]
Bob Lochner (Republican)[15]
Arizona John McCain Republican 1986
1992
1998
2004
2010		 Running Lennie Clark (Democratic)[16]
Ann Kirkpatrick (Democratic)[17]
John McCain (Republican)[18]
Alex Meluskey (Republican)[19]
David Pizer (Republican)[20]
Clair Van Steenwyk (Republican)[21]
Kelli Ward (Republican)[22]
Arkansas John Boozman Republican 2010 Running John Boozman (Republican)[23]
Conner Eldridge (Democratic)[24]
California Barbara Boxer Democratic 1992
1998
2004
2010		 Retiring Kamala Harris (Democratic)[25]
Loretta Sanchez (Democratic) [26]
Tom Del Beccaro (Republican)[27]
Duf Sundheim (Republican)[28]
Phil Wyman (Republican)[29]
Colorado Michael Bennet Democratic 2009†
2010		 Running Michael Bennet (Democratic)[30]
Robert Blaha (Republican)[31]
Ryan Frazier (Republican)[32]
Darryl Glenn (Republican)[33]
Jack Graham (Republican)[34]
Jon Keyser (Republican)[35]
Peggy Littleton (Republican)[36]
Greg Lopez (Republican)[37]
Tim Neville (Republican)[38]
Donald Rosier (Republican)[39]
Connecticut Richard Blumenthal Democratic 2010 Running Richard Blumenthal (Democratic)[40]
August Wolf (Republican)[41]
Florida Marco Rubio Republican 2010 Retiring to run for President of the United States Carlos Beruff (Republican)[42]
Donald J. DeRenzo (Republican)[43]
Ron DeSantis (Republican)[44]
M. Elisabeth Godwin (Republican)[45]
David Jolly (Republican)[46]
Ilya Katz (Republican)[47]
Carlos Lopez-Cantera (Republican)[48]
Joe Smith (Republican)[43]
Todd Wilcox (Republican)[49]
Richard Coleman (Democratic)[43]
Sam Brian Gibbons (Democratic)[43]
Alan Grayson (Democratic)[50]
Lateresa Jones (Democratic)[51]
Pam Keith (Democratic)[52]
Josh Larose (Democratic)[43]
Patrick Murphy (Democratic)[53]
Georgia Johnny Isakson Republican 2004
2010		 Running Mary Kay Baccalao (Republican)[54]
Derrick Grayson (Republican)[55]
Johnny Isakson (Republican)[56]
Jim Barksdale (Democratic)[57]
Cheryl Copeland (Democratic)[58]
Jim Knox (Democratic)[59]
Hawaii Brian Schatz Democratic 2012†
2014		 Running Brian Schatz (Democratic)[40]
Charles Collins (Republican)[60]
Idaho Mike Crapo Republican 1998
2004
2010		 Running Mike Crapo (Republican)[61]
Jerry Sturgill (Democratic)[62]
Illinois Mark Kirk Republican 2010 Running Mark Kirk (Republican)[63]
Tammy Duckworth (Democratic)[64]
Indiana Dan Coats Republican 1989†
1990
1992
2010		 Retiring Baron Hill (Democratic)[65]
Marlin Stutzman (Republican)[66]
Todd Young (Republican)[67]
Iowa Chuck Grassley Republican 1980
1986
1992
1998
2004
2010		 Running Chuck Grassley (Republican)[68]
Rob Hogg (Democratic)[69]
Tom Fiegen (Democratic)[70]
Bob Krause (Democratic)[71]
Patty Judge (Democratic)[72]
Kansas Jerry Moran Republican 2010 Running Jerry Moran (Republican)[73]
Alvin Zahnter (Republican)[74]
Monique Singh-Bey (Democratic)[75]
Patrick Wiesner (Democrat)[76]
Kentucky Rand Paul Republican 2010 Running Jim Gray (Democratic)[77]
Rory Houlihan (Democratic)[78]
Jeff Kender (Democratic)[79]
Ron Leach (Democratic)[80]
Tom Recktenwald (Democratic)[79]
Grant Short (Democratic)[79]
Sellus Wilder (Democratic)[81]
James Gould (Republican)[79]
Rand Paul (Republican)[82]
Stephen Slaughter (Republican)[79]
Louisiana David Vitter Republican 2004
2010		 Retiring Charles Boustany (Republican)[83]
Joseph Cao (Republican)[84]
John Fleming (Republican)[85]
John Kennedy (Republican)[86]
Rob Maness (Republican)[87]
Troy Hebert (Independent)[88]
Foster Campbell (Democratic)[89]
Caroline Fayard (Democratic)[90]
Maryland Barbara Mikulski Democratic 1986
1992
1998
2004
2010		 Retiring Freddie Donald Dickson Jr.(Democratic)[91]
Donna Edwards (Democratic)[92]
Ralph Jaffe (Democratic)[91]
Theresa Scaldaferri (Democratic)[91]
Charles U. Smith (Democratic)[91]
Violet Staley (Democratic)[91]
Blaine Taylor (Democratic)[91]
Ed Tinus (Democratic)[91]
Chris Van Hollen (Democratic)[93]
Lih Young (Democratic)[91]
Chris Chafee (Republican)[91]
Sean Connor (Republican)[91]
Richard Douglas (Republican)[94]
John R. Graziani (Republican)[91]
Greg Holmes (Republican)[91]
Joseph David Hooe (Republican)[91]
Chrys Kefalas (Republican)[95]
Mark McNicholas (Republican)
Lynn Richardson (Republican)[91]
Anthony Seda (Republican)[91]
Richard Shawver (Republican)[91]
Kathy Szeliga (Republican)[96]
Dave Wallace (Republican)[91]
Garry T. Yarrington (Republican)[91]
Missouri Roy Blunt Republican 2010 Running Roy Blunt (Republican)[97]
Kristi Nichols (Republican)[98]
Bernie Mowinski (Republican)[98]
Jason Kander (Democratic)[99]
Cori Bush (Democratic)[100]
Wana Dubie (Democratic)[101]
Nevada Harry Reid Democratic 1986
1992
1998
2004
2010		 Retiring Catherine Cortez Masto (Democratic)[102]
Joe Heck (Republican)[103]
New Hampshire Kelly Ayotte Republican 2010 Running Kelly Ayotte (Republican)[104]
Jim Rubens (Republican)[105]
Maggie Hassan (Democratic)[106]
New York Chuck Schumer Democratic 1998
2004
2010		 Running Chuck Schumer (Democratic)[40]
Wendy Long (Republican)[107]
North Carolina Richard Burr Republican 2004
2010		 Running Richard Burr (Republican)[108]
Deborah Ross (Democratic)[109]
North Dakota John Hoeven Republican 2010 Running John Hoeven (Republican)[110]
Ohio Rob Portman Republican 2010 Running Rob Portman (Republican)[111]
Ted Strickland (Democratic)[112]
Oklahoma James Lankford Republican 2014 Running James Lankford (Republican)[40]
Oregon Ron Wyden Democratic 1996
1998
2004
2010		 Running Mark Callahan (Republican)[113]
Sam Carpenter (Republican)[114]
Dan Laschober (Republican)[115]
Steven Reynolds (Republican)[116]
Faye Stewart (Republican)[117]
Kevin Stine (Democratic)[118]
Paul Weaver (Democratic)[116]
Ron Wyden (Democratic)[40]
Pennsylvania Pat Toomey Republican 2010 Running Pat Toomey (Republican)[119]
Kathleen McGinty (Democratic)[120]
Joe Sestak (Democratic)[121]
John Fetterman (Democratic)[122]
Joseph Vodvarka (Democratic)[123]
South Carolina Tim Scott Republican 2013†
2014		 Running Tim Scott (Republican)[40]
Thomas Dixon (Democratic)[124]
South Dakota John Thune Republican 2004
2010		 Running John Thune (Republican)[125]
Jay Williams (Democratic)[126]
Utah Mike Lee Republican 2010 Running William R. Gaskill (Republican)[127]
Mike Lee (Republican)[128]
Craig Oliver (Democratic)[129]
Misty K. Snow (Democratic)[130]
Jonathan Swinton (Democrat)[131]
Jade Tuan Quoc Vo (Democratic)[132]
Vermont Patrick Leahy Democratic 1974
1980
1986
1992
1998
2004
2010		 Running Patrick Leahy (Democratic)[133]
Washington Patty Murray Democratic 1992
1998
2004
2010		 Running Patty Murray (Democratic)[134]
Chris Vance (Republican)[135]
Wisconsin Ron Johnson Republican 2010 Running Russ Feingold (Democratic)[136]
Ron Johnson (Republican)[137]

† signifies an appointment

Complete list of races[edit]

Thirty-four seats are up for election in 2016:

  • 7 Democrats and 21 Republicans are seeking re-election.
  • 6 Senators (3 Democrats, 3 Republicans) are retiring.

Alabama[edit]

Main article: United States Senate election in Alabama, 2016

Five-term Senator Richard Shelby (Republican) was re-elected with 65.3% of the vote in 2010. He will be 82 years old in 2016. He served in the Senate as a Democrat until switching parties in 1994. Shelby is running for re-election, and is facing four challengers in the Republican primary: ex-state Senator Shadrack McGill, former Marine and Birmingham businessman Jonathan McConnell, Marcus Bowman, and John Martin.[138] On March 1, Shelby won the primary with 64.9% of the vote.[139]

There are two Democratic candidates: Ron Crumpton, patient rights advocate.[13][140] and Charles Nana.[138] Crumpton won the primary with 56.2% of the vote.[139]

Alaska[edit]

Main article: United States Senate election in Alaska, 2016

Two-term Senator Lisa Murkowski (Republican) was appointed in 2002 and elected to a full term in 2004. She was defeated in the Republican primary in 2010 by Joe Miller. She later ran as a write-in candidate in the 2010 general election and was re-elected to a second full term with 39.5% of the vote, making her one of two senators in US history to win election via write-in votes. She will be 59 years old in 2016 and is running for re-election.[14]

Thomas Lamb, a candidate for the State House in 2006, and Bob Lochner have filed to run against Murkowski.[15] Other potential Republican primary challengers include 2010 nominee and 2014 candidate Joe Miller, State Senator Mike J. Dunleavy, former Lieutenant Governor Mead Treadwell, and former Mayor of Anchorage Dan Sullivan.[141]

Potential Democratic candidates include State Senator Dennis Egan, State Representative Andy Josephson, State Senator Bill Wielechowski, State Senator Hollis French and State Senate Minority Leader Johnny Ellis.[142] Former Senator Mark Begich was mentioned as a possible candidate,[143] but has declined to run.[144]

Anchorage attorney and veteran Margaret Stock is running as an Independent candidate.[145]

Arizona[edit]

Main article: United States Senate election in Arizona, 2016

Five-term Senator and Republican Presidential candidate in 2008 John McCain was re-elected with 59.3% of the vote in 2010. He will be 80 years old in 2016. Despite speculation that he might retire,[146] McCain is running for re-election.[18]

McCain may face a strong primary challenge, particularly from Tea Party groups.[147][148] Fair Tax activist Alex Meluskey,[19] businessman David Pizer,[20] talk radio host Clair Van Steenwyk,[21] and State Senator Kelli Ward[22] are running for the Republican nomination. Representatives Matt Salmon and David Schweikert were both mentioned as possible candidates,[149] but both chose not to run.[150][151] Other potential Republican candidates include former Governor Jan Brewer,[152] businesswoman and 2014 gubernatorial candidate Christine Jones,[153] former Governor of Alaska and 2008 Vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin,[154] former U.S. Representative John Shadegg,[155] and former Arizona Attorney General Grant Woods,.[155]

Congresswoman Ann Kirkpatrick[17] and teacher Lennie Clark[16] are running for the Democratic nomination. Other potential Democratic candidates include U.S. Representative Ruben Gallego, former Surgeon General and 2012 nominee Richard Carmona, 2014 gubernatorial nominee Fred DuVal, Phoenix Mayor Greg Stanton, and retired astronaut Mark Kelly, who is the husband of ex-Congresswoman Gabrielle Giffords.[156][157]

Arkansas[edit]

Main article: United States Senate election in Arkansas, 2016

One-term Senator John Boozman (Republican) defeated two-term Senator Blanche Lincoln with 58.0% of the vote in 2010. He will be 65 years old in 2016. Despite speculation that he might retire following health problems,[158][159] Boozman is running for re-election.[23] Fellow Republican Curtis Coleman, who ran against Boozman in 2010 but came in fifth place, is running again.[160]

Connor Eldridge, the former U.S. Attorney for the Western District of Arkansas, is the only Democrat who met the filing deadline.[161]

Frank Gilbert is the candidate for the Libertarian Party,[162][163][164] and Jason Tate is running a write-in campaign.[165]

California[edit]

Main article: United States Senate election in California, 2016

Four-term Senator Barbara Boxer (Democrat) was re-elected with 52.1% of the vote in 2010. Boxer declined to run for re-election.[166]

California Attorney General Kamala Harris is running,[25] as is U.S. Representative Loretta Sanchez.[26] Other potential Democratic candidates include U.S. Representative John Garamendi and former US Army Secretary Louis Caldera.[167][168] Among the potential candidates who declined to run were Governor Jerry Brown, Lieutenant Governor Gavin Newsom, U.S. Representatives Xavier Becerra and Adam Schiff, and Mayor Eric Garcetti.

Former State Republican Party Chairs Tom Del Beccaro[27] and Duf Sundheim,[28] and former State Senator Phil Wyman[29][169] are running, along with John Estrada,[170] Mark Hardie,[171] Don Krampe,[172] Tom Palzer,[173] Al Ramirez,[174] and Karen Roseberry.[175] State Assemblymen Rocky Chavez was running as well,[176] but has withdrawn from the race.[177] Other potential Republican candidates include former U.S. Representatives Mary Bono, David Drier, and Doug Ose, President and CEO of Hewlett-Packard and nominee for Governor in 2010 Meg Whitman, former Lieutenant Governor of California Abel Maldonado, and former State Assemblyman and 2014 gubernatorial candidate Tim Donnelly. Republicans who were once considered potential candidates but ruled out runs include San Diego Mayor Kevin Faulconer, former Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for Financial Stability and 2014 gubernatorial nominee Neel Kashkari, U.S. Representative Darrell Issa and businesswoman and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010 Carly Fiorina.[178]

Independent Mike Beitiks is running on a single-issue climate change platform.[179]

Polling conducted by the Field Poll in October 2015 (months before Chavez withdrew from the race) indicates that Harris is well ahead in the race so far, having support of 30% of likely voters, compared to Rep. Sanchez with 17%, Assemblyman Chavez with 9%, Del Beccaro with 6%, and Sundheim with 3%.[180]

Colorado[edit]

Main article: United States Senate election in Colorado, 2016

One-term Senator Michael Bennet (Democrat) was appointed in 2009 and elected to a full term with 47.7% of the vote in 2010. He will be 51 years old in 2016. He is running for re-election.[30]

Businessman Robert Blaha,[31] former Aurora councilman Ryan Frazier,[32] El Paso County Commissioners Darryl Glenn,[33] and Peggy Littleton,[36] former Colorado State University Athletic Director Jack Graham,[34] State Representative Jon Keyser,[35] former SBA director Greg Lopez,[37] State Senator Tim Neville,[38] and Jefferson County Commissioner Donald Rosier[39][181] are running for the Republican nomination. Other potential Republican candidates include State Treasurer Walker Stapleton, former Secretary of State Scott Gessler, State Senator Owen Hill, U.S. Representative Ken Buck, former State Representatives Amy Stephens and Rob Witwer, and former United States Secretary of the Interior Gale Norton.[182][183][184]

Connecticut[edit]

Main article: United States Senate election in Connecticut, 2016

One-term Senator Richard Blumenthal (Democrat) was elected with 55.1% of the vote in 2010. He will be 70 years old in 2016. He is running for re-election.[40]

Former Olympic athlete August Wolf[41] is running for the Republican nomination. Another potential candidate is former West Hartford Town Councilor Joe Visconti, who ran for CT-01 in 2008 and ran as an Independent for Governor in 2014.[185] Former U.S. Comptroller General and 2014 candidate for Lieutenant Governor David M. Walker,[186][187] former U.S. Representative and 2010 candidate Rob Simmons,[188] and economist and former CNBC television host Lawrence Kudlow have declined to run.[189][190]

Florida[edit]

Main article: United States Senate election in Florida, 2016

One-term Senator Marco Rubio (Republican) was elected in a three-way race with 48.9% of the vote in 2010. In April 2014, Rubio stated that he would not run for both the Senate and President in 2016, as Florida law prohibits a candidate from appearing twice on a ballot.[191] In April 2015, he announced that he would run for President and would not seek re-election.[192]

U.S. Representatives Ron DeSantis and David Jolly, Lieutenant Governor Carlos Lopez-Cantera, combat veteran Todd Wilcox,[193] real estate developer Carlos Beruff,[194] retired college lecturer Ilya Katz,[47] Donald J. DeRenzo, Pastor M. Elisabeth Godwin, and Chiropractor Joe Smith are running for the Republican nomination.[43][195] Other potential Republican candidates include Florida Commissioner of Agriculture Adam Putnam, U.S. Representatives Curt Clawson and Ted Yoho, former Mayor of St. Petersburg Rick Baker, and Bill McCollum, former Florida Attorney General, former U.S. Representative, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2000, candidate in 2004, and candidate for Governor in 2010.[196][197][198] Ben Carson, retired neurosurgeon and candidate for President in 2016 is also mentioned as a potential candidate.[199]

U.S. Representatives Patrick Murphy[53] and Alan Grayson,[50] attorney Pam Keith,[52] Independent candidate for Lieutenant Governor in 2014 Lateresa Jones, Richard Coleman, Sam Brian Gibbons, and Josh Larose are running for the Democratic nomination.[43][200] Other potential candidates include U.S. Representative Gwen Graham[201] and former Minority Leader of the Florida House of Representatives Dan Gelber.[202]

Georgia[edit]

Main article: United States Senate election in Georgia, 2016

Two-term Senator Johnny Isakson (Republican) was re-elected with 58.1% of the vote in 2010. He will be 71 years old in 2016. He is running for re-election.[56] In 2015, Isakson announced he was being treated for Parkinson's disease, but stated that his treatment would not interfere with his re-election campaign or his ability to serve another term.[203]

Derrick Grayson, candidate for the state's other Senate seat in 2014,[55] and teacher Lee Benedict are running against Isakson for the Republican nomination.[204] Other potential candidates include former U.S. Representative Paul Broun and U.S. Representative Tom Price.[205][206] Former Florida U.S. Representative Allen West has ruled out running for the seat.[56]

Investment firm executive Jim Barksdale,[57] project manager Cheryl Copeland,[58] businessman John Coyne,[207] and USAF veteran Jim Knox[59] are running for the Democratic nomination. Other potential Democratic candidates include former President of the Georgia School Boards Association, Valarie Wilson,[208] U.S. Attorney Ed Tarver,[209] and former state senator Regina D. Thomas.[210] Atlanta Mayor Kasim Reed has ruled out a run.[211]

Hawaii[edit]

Main article: United States Senate election in Hawaii, 2016

In 2012, Hawaii Governor Neil Abercrombie appointed Lieutenant Governor Brian Schatz (Democrat) to take the place of deceased nine-term Senator Daniel Inouye. Schatz won a 2014 special election to serve the remainder of Inouye's term. Schatz is running for re-election.[40]

Former U.S. Representative and 2014 Senate candidate Colleen Hanabusa may challenge Schatz in the primary again,[212] while U.S. Representative Tulsi Gabbard declined to seek the Democratic nomination for the seat.[213]

Charles Collins, a Republican who ran for the Senate in 2012 and for Governor in 2014, is seeking the nomination again this year.[60]

Idaho[edit]

Main article: United States Senate election in Idaho, 2016

Three-term Senator Mike Crapo (Republican) was re-elected with 71.1% of the vote in 2010. Crapo will be 65 years old in 2016. He is seeking re-election to a fourth term.[61] U.S Representative Raul Labrador declined to challenge Crapo in the Republican primary.[214][215]

Jerry Sturgill is running for the Democratic nomination.[62]

Perennial candidate Marvin "Pro-Life" Richardson is running as an independent.[216][217]

Illinois[edit]

Main article: United States Senate election in Illinois, 2016

One-term Senator Mark Kirk (Republican) was elected with 48.4% of the vote in 2010. He will be 57 years old in 2016. Kirk suffered a stroke in January 2012 that kept him away from the Senate until January 2013.[218] In June 2013, he confirmed that he was planning to run for re-election,[219] but there has been some speculation that he might retire.[220] In November 2014, Kirk reiterated that he was going to run for re-election, saying: "No frickin' way am I retiring."[221]

Joe Walsh, a former U.S. Representative and conservative talk radio host, declined to challenge Kirk in the Republican primary.[222] Two others filed for the right to challenge Senator Kirk in the primary: businessman James Marter,[223] and Elizabeth Pahlke,[224] but Pahlke has been disqualified, so only Marter will be on the ballot running against Sen. Kirk.[225] On March 15, Kirk won the primary with 70.6% of the vote.[226]

U.S. Representative Tammy Duckworth,[227] President and CEO of the Chicago Urban League Andrea Zopp,[228] and State Senator Napoleon Harris are running for the Democratic nomination.[229][230] On March 15, Duckworth won the primary with 64.4% of the vote.[226]

Jim Brown, a teacher and former businessman, has announced he is running as an independent.[231]

Chris Aguayo, an Iraq/Afghan war Veteran and Veterans Party State Chair, has announced he is running representing the Veterans Party.[232]

Indiana[edit]

Main article: United States Senate election in Indiana, 2016

Three-term Senator Dan Coats (Republican) was elected with 54.6% of the vote in 2010; Coats served in the Senate from 1989 to 1999 and then returned to serve another term from 2010 to 2016. Coats is not running for re-election.[233] Republican candidates include U.S. Representatives Marlin Stutzman[66] and Todd Young.[67] Coats's chief of Staff Eric Holcomb was a candidate but withdrew from the race.[234][235]

Former U.S. Representative Baron Hill is running for the Democratic nomination.[65] Former non-profit director John Dickerson also announced he was going to run, but has suspended his campaign.[236][237]

Iowa[edit]

Main article: United States Senate election in Iowa, 2016

Six-term Senator Chuck Grassley (Republican) was re-elected with 64.5% of the vote in 2010. He will be 83 years old in 2016. Grassley is running for re-election.[238][239]

Talk radio host Robert Rees has announced he is challenging Grassley for the Republican nomination.[240] If Grassley should change his mind and retire, potential Republican candidates would include U.S. Representative Steve King, former U.S. Representative Tom Latham, and State Representative and Grassley's grandson Pat Grassley.[156][241]

Ex-Lt Governor Patty Judge,[72] State Senator Rob Hogg,[69] former state Senator Tom Fiegen,[70] and former State Representatives Bob Krause,[71] and Ray Zirkelbach[242] are running for the Democratic nomination. Other potential Democratic candidates include US Agriculture Secretary and former Governor Tom Vilsack, U.S. Representative Dave Loebsack, former First Lady and 2012 IA-04 nominee Christie Vilsack, Senate Majority Leader Michael Gronstal, former Governor Chet Culver, and retired NFL quarterback Kyle Orton.[156][239][243][244]

Kansas[edit]

Main article: United States Senate election in Kansas, 2016

One-term Senator Jerry Moran (Republican) was elected with 70.3% of the vote in 2010. He will be 62 years old in 2016. He is running for re-election.[73] Radiologist and 2014 Senate candidate Milton R. Wolf is a potential primary challenger for Moran, while U.S. Representative Tim Huelskamp declined to run.[73][156][245][246] Truck driver, Vietnam War veteran Alvin Zahnter is running against Moran.[74]

Patrick Wiesner, an attorney and a candidate for the Senate in 2010 and 2014, and Monique Singh-Bey[75] have filed to run for the Democratic nomination.[76] Other potential candidates include Wichita Mayor Carl Brewer, 2014 Governor nominee Paul Davis, former Kansas City Mayor Joe Reardon, former U.S. Representative and 2008 nominee Jim Slattery, and 2014 KS-02 nominee Margie Wakefield.[156]

2014 Independent Senate candidate Greg Orman could run again, either as an Independent or a Democratic candidate.[156]

Kentucky[edit]

Main article: United States Senate election in Kentucky, 2016

One-term Senator Rand Paul (Republican) was elected with 55.7% of the vote in 2010. He will be 53 years old in 2016. Paul has filed for re-election,[82] although he was also running for President of the United States in 2016.[247] Although Kentucky law does not allow for a candidate to appear twice on the same ballot, Paul successfully convinced the Kentucky GOP to adopt a caucus system for 2016, allowing Paul to run for president and for the Senate simultaneously.[248] Kentucky law still bars Paul from appearing twice on the ballot in the general election.[248] However, on February 3, 2016, Paul ended his campaign for the presidency and will run for reelection.[249] James Gould and Stephen Slaughter have filed to run against Paul.[79]

Lexington Mayor Jim Gray,[77] Rory Houlihan,[78] Ron Leach,[80] and Sellus Wilder[81] are running for the Democratic nomination, as are Jeff Kender, Tom Recktenwald (who was a candidate in 2014), and Grant Short.[79]

Louisiana[edit]

Main article: United States Senate election in Louisiana, 2016

Two-term Senator David Vitter (Republican) was re-elected with 56.6% of the vote in 2010. After losing the 2015 gubernatorial race, Vitter chose to retire from the Senate at the end of his term.[40][250]

Republicans who are running for the seat include U.S. Representatives Charles Boustany[83] and John Fleming,[85] former U.S. Representative Joseph Cao,[84] State Treasurer John Neely Kennedy,[86] and retired U.S. Air Force Colonel Rob Maness.[87] Other potential Republican candidates are Public Service Commissioner Erik Skrmetta,[251] 2014 candidate for LA-05 Zach Dasher,[251] state representative Paul Hollis,[252] and former President of Jefferson Parish John Young.[253]

Democratic candidates include Public Service Commissioner Foster Campbell[89] and Caroline Fayard, an attorney and candidate for Lieutenant Governor in 2010.[90] Other potential Democratic candidates include businessman Josh Pellerin, state legislators Robert Johnson, Eric LaFleur, and Gary Smith, Jr., and Mayor of Alexandria Jacques Roy.[254][255][256] Former U.S. Senator Mary Landrieu and her brother, New Orleans Mayor Mitch Landrieu, declined to run.[257]

Maryland[edit]

Main article: United States Senate election in Maryland, 2016

Five-term Senator Barbara Mikulski (Democrat) was re-elected with 61.8% of the vote in 2010. She is the longest-serving female Senator and the longest-serving woman in the history of the U.S. Congress. She is not seeking reelection.[258]

The candidates who have filed for the Democratic nomination are: U.S. Representatives Donna Edwards[92] and Chris Van Hollen,[93] Freddie Donald Dickson, Jr., Ralph Jaffe, Theresa Scaldaferri, Charles Smith, Violate Staley, Blaine Taylor, Ed Tinus, and Lih Young.[91]

The Republican candidates who have filed are former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense and Senate candidate in 2012 Richard Douglas,[94] Chrys Kefalas,[95] State Delegate Kathy Szeliga,[96] Chris Chaffee, Sean Connor, John Graziani, Greg Holmes, Joseph David Hooe, Mark McNicholas, Lynn Richardson, Anthony Seda, Richard Shawver, Dave Walle, and Garry T. Yarrington.[91]

Missouri[edit]

Main article: United States Senate election in Missouri, 2016

One-term Senator Roy Blunt (Republican) was elected with 54.3% of the vote in 2010. He will be 66 years old in 2016. He is running for re-election.[97] Former U.S. Representative and 2012 Senate nominee Todd Akin was rumored to be a possible candidate, but declined to run.[259][260] Two candidates are running against Blunt for the Republican nomination: sales manager, tea party activist, and 2010 candidate Kristi Nichols and retired Army sergeant and perennial candidate Bernie Mowinski.[98]

For the Democrats, Secretary of State Jason Kander,[99] Pastor Cori Bush,[100][261] and activist Chief Wana Dubie[101] are running. Governor Jay Nixon and State Treasurer Clint Zweifel chose not to seek election to the Senate.[262][263]

Nevada[edit]

Main article: United States Senate election in Nevada, 2016

Five-term Senator and Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid (Democrat) was re-elected with 50.2% of the vote in 2010. Reid is not seeking re-election.[264] Former Nevada Attorney General Catherine Cortez Masto is seeking the Democratic nomination.[102] Congressman Joe Heck is seeking the Republican nomination.[103]

New Hampshire[edit]

Main article: United States Senate election in New Hampshire, 2016

One-term Senator Kelly Ayotte (Republican) was elected with 60.2% of the vote in 2010. She will be 48 years old in 2016. Ayotte is running for re-election.[104] She has also been speculated to be a potential candidate for the Republican nomination for Vice President of the United States in 2016.[265] If she is the Vice Presidential nominee, she can appear on the ballot twice and run for re-election at the same time.[265][266] If she does run, Ayotte may face a primary challenge from the Tea Party.[266] Jim Rubens, a former state senator, candidate for Governor in 1998 and for the Senate in 2014, has announced a challenge to Ayotte in the primary.[105][267]

Governor Maggie Hassan is running for the Democratic nomination.[106] Other potential candidates include Executive Councilor Chris Pappas, State Senators Dan Feltes and Donna Soucy, Portsmouth City Councilor and daughter of U.S. Senator Jeanne Shaheen Stefany Shaheen, and campaign manager for Senator Shaheen Mike Vlacich.[268]

RealClearPolitics has taken three polls conducted in January 2016 by PPP, Gravis, and NBC/WSJ/Marist, averaged them to calculate that Sen. Ayotte is leading Gov. Hassan by 46.0% to 41.3%.[269]

New York[edit]

Main article: United States Senate election in New York, 2016

Three-term Senator Chuck Schumer (Democrat) was re-elected with 66% of the vote in 2010. He will be 66 years old in 2016. He is running for re-election.[40] If reelected, Chuck Schumer is widely expected to succeed Harry Reid as the leader of the Senate Democrats.[270]

Wendy Long, the Republican nominee in 2012, has announced she is running.[107] Other potential Republican candidates include U.S. Representatives Chris Gibson and Peter T. King.[271] U.S. Representative Richard L. Hanna, Manhattan Republican Party Chairwoman Adele Malpass, and former CNBC television host Larry Kudlow[272] were also mentioned as possible candidates, but all have declined to run.[271][273]

North Carolina[edit]

Main article: United States Senate election in North Carolina, 2016

Two-term Senator Richard Burr (Republican) was re-elected with 55% of the vote in 2010. He will be 61 years old in 2016. There had been speculation that Burr might retire,[274] but he is running for re-election.[108][275]

Three Republicans challenged Sen. Burr in the primary: Greg Brannon,[276] Larry Holmquist,[277] and former Superior Court Judge Paul Wright.[278] On March 15, Burr won the primary with 61.4% of the vote.[279]

Former state representative Deborah Ross,[109] Spring Lake Mayor Chris Rey,[280] businessman Kevin Griffin,[281] and retired U.S. Army Captain Ernest Reeves[282] ran for the Democratic nomination. Former U.S. Senator Kay Hagan,[283] state treasurer Janet Cowell,[284] and Anthony Foxx, the United States Secretary of Transportation and former Mayor of Charlotte, declined to run.[285] On March 15, Ross won the primary with 62.4% of the vote.[286]

Polling conducted by Public Policy Polling in January 2016 found Burr leading Deborah Ross 43% to 33%.[287]

North Dakota[edit]

Main article: United States Senate election in North Dakota, 2016

One-term Senator John Hoeven (Republican) was elected with 76.2% of the vote in 2010. He will be 59 years old in 2016. He is running for re-election.[110]

Potential Democratic candidates include state Senator George B. Sinner, state Representative Corey Mock, and USDA State Director Jasper Schneider.[288]

On November 7, 2015, the Libertarian party nominated Robert Marquette.

Ohio[edit]

Main article: United States Senate election in Ohio, 2016

One-term Senator Rob Portman (Republican) was elected with 57.3% of the vote in 2010. He will be 60 years old in 2016. He is running for re-election. Portman is considered a potential candidate for Vice President in 2016.[289][290][291] He has ruled out running for two offices at the same time, even though Ohio law does allow it.[292] He had considered running for President, but decided not to.[111] Potential Republican candidates if Portman vacates the seat include Ohio State Treasurer Josh Mandel and U.S. Representative Steve Stivers.[289]

The National Organization for Marriage and other socially conservative groups, unhappy with Portman's public backing for same-sex marriage, have pledged to back a primary challenger. Tea Party groups, who heavily backed Portman in 2010, have said that they are unlikely to do the same if he runs for re-election.[citation needed] Two candidates filed to challenge him: Don Elijah Eckhart, who ran for OH-15 as an independent in 2008,[293] and Melissa Strzala, but Strzala was disqualified.[294]

Former Governor Ted Strickland, Cincinnati City Councilman P.G. Sittenfeld, and occupational therapist Kelli Prather are running for the Democratic nomination.[295][296][297] Former State Representative Bob Hagan had filed papers to run[298] but later withdrew from the race.[299]

Oklahoma[edit]

Main article: United States Senate election in Oklahoma, 2016

Two-term Senator Tom Coburn (Republican) was re-elected with 70.64% of the vote in 2010, but chose to leave office before the end of his term after being diagnosed with prostate cancer. James Lankford won the 2014 special election to serve the remainder of Coburn's term.[300] Lankford is running for re-election.[40]

Former Congressman Dan Boren is viewed by some Oklahoma political operatives as the only Democrat who could make the 2016 race competitive, but is seen as unlikely to run.[301] Lankford's 2014 special election opponent Constance N. Johnson has said that she plans to run again.[302]

Oregon[edit]

Main article: United States Senate election in Oregon, 2016

Three-term Senator Ron Wyden (Democrat) was re-elected with 57.3% of the vote in 2010. He will be 67 years old in 2016. He is running for re-election.[40]

Medford City Councilor Kevin Stine[118] and retired locomotive engineer Paul Weaver[116] are challenging Wyden for the Democratic nomination.

Information technology consultant and 2014 candidate Mark Callahan,[113] businessman Sam Carpenter,[114] business consultant Dan Laschober,[115] Steven Reynolds,[116] and Lane County commissioner Faye Stewart[117] are running for the Republican nomination.

Pennsylvania[edit]

Main article: United States Senate election in Pennsylvania, 2016

One-term Senator Pat Toomey (Republican) was elected with 51% of the vote in 2010. He will be 54 years old in 2016. Toomey is seeking re-election.[119]

Everett Stern, a security intelligence consultant and whistleblower of the HSBC money laundering scandal, announced that he would challenge Toomey for the Republican nomination,[303] but has missed the filing deadline, so Toomey will be unopposed in the primary.

Democratic candidates include Katie McGinty, former Chief of Staff to Governor Tom Wolf and former Secretary of the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection,[120] former Congressman Joe Sestak, who defeated incumbent Senator Arlen Specter for the 2010 Democratic nomination, but lost to Toomey in the general election,[121] the current mayor of Braddock, Pennsylvania, John Fetterman,[122] who is an AmeriCorps alum and Harvard University graduate,[304] and small businessman and senate candidate in 2010 and 2012 Joseph Vodvarka.[123] Allentown Mayor Ed Pawlowski announced his candidacy for the seat but suspended his campaign due to an FBI investigation of Allentown.[305]

South Carolina[edit]

Main article: United States Senate election in South Carolina, 2016

Two-term Republican Senator Jim DeMint (Republican) was re-elected with 61.48% of the vote in 2010. He resigned at the start of 2013 to become President of The Heritage Foundation and U.S. Representative Tim Scott (Republican) of South Carolina's 1st congressional district was appointed to replace him by Governor Nikki Haley.[306] Scott subsequently won the special election in 2014 for the remaining two years of the term. Scott is running for re-election[40] and he is also a potential Republican Vice Presidential nominee.[307][308]

If Scott becomes the Vice Presidential nominee and does not run for re-election, potential Republican candidates include Congressmen Mick Mulvaney,[309] Jeff Duncan and Mark Sanford, along with State Senator Tom Davis, State Treasurer Curtis Loftis and State Attorney General Alan Wilson.[307] Darla Moore has also been mentioned as a potential candidate for either party.[307]

On the Democratic side, pastor Thomas Dixon is running.[124]

South Dakota[edit]

Main article: United States Senate election in South Dakota, 2016

Two-term Senator John Thune (Republican) ran unopposed and was re-elected with 100% in 2010. He will be 55 years old in 2016. He is running for re-election.[125]

Jay Williams, Chair of the Yankton County Democratic Party, and candidate for the State House in 2010 and 2014, is running for the Democratic nomination.[126] Other potential Democratic candidates include State Senator Bernie Hunhoff[310] and filmmaker and former television news producer Sam Hurst.[311] Former U.S. Representative Stephanie Herseth Sandlin, Sioux Falls Mayor Mike Heuther, and 2014 nominee Rick Weiland have declined to run.[312][313]

Utah[edit]

Main article: United States Senate election in Utah, 2016

One-term Senator Mike Lee (Republican) was elected with 61.6% of the vote in 2010. He will be 45 years old in 2016. He is running for re-election.[128] State party chair Thomas Wright, former State Senator Dan Liljenquist, State Senator Aaron Osmond, Congressman Jason Chaffetz, Congressman Chris Stewart, and Mitt Romney's son Josh Romney[314][315][316] were mentioned as potential primary challengers, but they all declined to run.[317][318] Former Governor of Utah and former United States Secretary of Health and Human Services Mike Leavitt has also denied interest in running.[319]

Running for the Democratic nomination is marriage therapist Jonathan Swinton.[131] Former congressman Jim Matheson is a potential Democratic candidate, although he may instead choose to run for Governor of Utah.[316]

Vermont[edit]

Main article: United States Senate election in Vermont, 2016

Seven-term Senator Patrick Leahy (Democrat) was re-elected with 64.4% of the vote in 2010. He will be 76 years old in 2016. Leahy is seeking re-election.[133]

The GOP nominee for Governor in 2014, Scott Milne, has indicated he may run against Leahy.[320]

Washington[edit]

Main article: United States Senate election in Washington, 2016

Four-term Senator Patty Murray (Democrat) was re-elected with 52.15% of the vote in 2010. She will be 66 years old in 2016. She is running for re-election.[134]

The only declared Republican candidate is former State Representative and former chair of the Washington State Republican Party Chris Vance.[135] Congressman Dave Reichert was considered a potential Republican candidate[321] but chose to run for reelection.[322]

Wisconsin[edit]

Main article: United States Senate election in Wisconsin, 2016

One-term Senator Ron Johnson (Republican) defeated three-term Senator Russ Feingold (Democrat) with 51.9% of the vote in 2010. He will be 61 years old in 2016. He is running for re-election.[137]

On May 14, 2015, Feingold announced that he would seek a rematch against Johnson for his former Senate seat.[136] Immediately after his announcement, the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee endorsed Feingold's candidacy.[323] Businesswoman and 2014 gubernatorial nominee Mary Burke has declared that she is not seeking statewide office in 2016.[324]

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ Subject to change if vacancies occur in Class 1 or Class 2 Senate seats.
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