United States gubernatorial elections, 2016

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United States gubernatorial elections, 2016
United States
2015 ←
November 8, 2016 → 2017
12 governorships

United States gubernatorial elections, 2016.png

  Democratic incumbent eligible for re-election
  Term-limited or retiring Democrat
  Republican incumbent eligible for re-election
  Term-limited or retiring Republican
  No election

The United States gubernatorial elections of 2016 will be held on November 8, 2016 in the states of Delaware, Indiana, Missouri, Montana, New Hampshire, North Carolina, North Dakota, Oregon, Utah, Vermont, Washington, and West Virginia. The US territories of Puerto Rico and American Samoa will also hold gubernatorial elections. In addition, special elections may take place (depending on state law) if other gubernatorial seats are vacated. The last regular gubernatorial elections for nine of the twelve states took place in 2012. The last gubernatorial elections for New Hampshire, Oregon, and Vermont took place in 2014, as Oregon is holding a special election due to the resignation of governor John Kitzhaber, and the governors of New Hampshire and Vermont both serve two-year terms. The 2016 gubernatorial elections will take place concurrently with several other federal, state, and local elections, including the 2016 presidential election.

Race summary[edit]

States[edit]

State Incumbent Party First elected Incumbent status Candidates
Delaware Jack Markell Democratic 2008 Term-limited John Carney (D)
Colin Bonini (R)
Lacey Lafferty (R)
Indiana Mike Pence Republican 2012 Running John R. Gregg (D)[1]
Mike Pence (R)[2]
Missouri Jay Nixon Democratic 2008 Term-limited Eric Greitens (R)
John Brunner (R)[3]
Catharine Hanaway (R)[4]
Mike Parson (R)[5]
Chris Koster (D)[6]
Peter Kinder (R)[7]
Bob Dixon (R)
Montana Steve Bullock Democratic 2012 Running Steve Bullock (D)
Mark Perea (R)
Greg Gianforte (R)
Brad Johnson (R)
New Hampshire Maggie Hassan Democratic 2012 Retiring Chris Sununu (R)
Colin Van Ostern (D)[8]
North Carolina Pat McCrory Republican 2012 Running Pat McCrory (R)
Roy Cooper (D)[9]
Kenneth Spaulding (D)
Ken Fortenberry (L)
North Dakota Jack Dalrymple Republican 2012 Retiring Rick Becker (R)
Oregon Kate Brown Democratic 2015[10] Running Kate Brown (D)
Utah Gary Herbert Republican 2010 Running Gary Herbert (R)
Jonathan Johnson (R)
Vermont Peter Shumlin Democratic 2010 Retiring

Shap Smith (D)
Matt Dunne (D)
Sue Minter (D)
Phil Scott (R)

Washington Jay Inslee Democratic 2012 Running Jay Inslee (D)
Bill Bryant (R)[11]
West Virginia Earl Ray Tomblin Democratic 2011 Term-limited Jim Justice (D)
Jeff Kessler (D)
Bill Cole (R)

Territories[edit]

State Incumbent Party First elected Incumbent Status Candidates
American Samoa Lolo Letalu Matalasi Moliga Independent 2012 Unknown
Puerto Rico Alejandro García Padilla Democratic 2012 Unknown

Election predictions[edit]

State CPVI Incumbent[12] Last
race
Cook
July 24,
2015
[13]
DKE
Oct. 14,
2015
[14]
Roth.
June 17,
2015
[15]
Sab.
July 27,
2015
[16]
RCP Govern.
Jan 23,
2015
[17]
Median
prediction[18]
Winner
Delaware D+8 (Jack Markell) (D) 69.3% D Safe D Likely D Safe D Likely D Safe D Safe D TBD
Indiana R+5 Mike Pence (R) 49.4% R Likely R Lean R Lean R Likely R Safe R Likely R TBD
Missouri R+5 (Jay Nixon) (D) 54.6% D Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Vulnerable Tossup TBD
Montana R+7 Steve Bullock (D) 48.9% D Likely D Lean D Lean D Lean D Pot. vuln. Likely D TBD
New Hampshire D+1 (Maggie Hassan) (D) 52.6% D Likely D Tossup Likely D Lean D Pot. vuln. Likely D TBD
North Carolina R+3 Pat McCrory (R) 54.7% R Tossup Tossup Tilt R Lean R Vulnerable Tilt R TBD
North Dakota R+10 (Jack Dalrymple) (R) 63.1% R Likely R Likely R Safe R Likely R Safe R Likely R TBD
Oregon D+5 Kate Brown (D) 49.5% D Safe D Likely D Safe D Likely D Pot. vuln. Likely D TBD
Utah R+22 Gary Herbert (R) 68.3% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R TBD
Vermont D+18 (Peter Shumlin) (D) 46.4% D Likely D Tossup Safe D Lean D Pot. vuln. Likely D TBD
Washington D+5 Jay Inslee (D) 51.5% D Likely D Lean D Safe D Likely D Pot. vuln. Likely D TBD
West Virginia R+13 (Earl Ray Tomblin) (D) 50.4% D Tossup Lean R Tossup Lean R Vulnerable Tossup TBD

Retiring and term-limited Democratic incumbents[edit]

Jack Markell (Delaware)[edit]

Two-term incumbent Governor Jack Markell is term-limited in 2016.[19] Former Democratic Delaware Attorney General Beau Biden, the son of Vice President Joe Biden, announced his intention to run and was seen as the front-runner in the Democratic primary and general election but died of brain cancer at the age of 46 on May 30, 2015.[20][21] Congressman John Carney, a former Lieutenant Governor of Delaware who ran for governor in 2008, is seeking the Democratic nomination.[22] State Representative Michael Ramone is a possible candidate for the Republicans.[23]

Jay Nixon (Missouri)[edit]

Two-term incumbent Governor Jay Nixon is term-limited in 2016.[24]

Missouri Attorney General Chris Koster is running for the Democratic nomination.[25] Former Lieutenant Governor of Missouri Joe Maxwell is a potential Democratic candidate,[26][27] while U.S. Senator and 2004 gubernatorial nominee Claire McCaskill[28] and State Treasurer Clint Zweifel declined to run for governor.[29]

Former Speaker of the Missouri House of Representatives Catherine Hanaway, businessman John Brunner, State Senator Bob Dixon, former Navy SEAL Eric Greitens, and Lieutenant Governor Peter Kinder are running for the Republican nomination.[30] State Representative Bart Korman and U.S. Representative Blaine Luetkemeyer are other potential Republican candidates.[31][32][33] Former Missouri Auditor Tom Schweich had been a candidate for governor before he committed suicide in February 2015.[34]

Maggie Hassan (New Hampshire)[edit]

Two-term incumbent Governor Maggie Hassan is forgoing a run for re-election to run to run for the U.S. Senate. She won a second term in 2014 with 53% of the vote against Republican businessman Walt Havenstein. Hassan will be 58 years old in 2016.

Executive Councilor Colin Van Ostern, State Senator Donna Soucy and former Deputy Secretary of State and Director of Securities Regulation Mark Connolly are possible Democratic candidates.[35]

Executive Councilor Christopher Sununu is running for the Republican nomination.[36] Nashua Mayor Donnalee Lozeau may also run for the Republican nomination.[37]

Peter Shumlin (Vermont)[edit]

Three-term incumbent Peter Shumlin declined to seek re-election.[38] He was re-elected with 46.4% of the vote in 2014. As he did not receive a majority of the vote, the Vermont General Assembly was required to choose the winner. The Vermont Assembly chose Shumlin over Republican nominee Scott Milne by 110 votes to 69.[39]

House Speaker Shap Smith and former state senator Matt Dunne are running for the Democratic nomination for governor.[40] Potential Democratic candidates include Congressman Peter Welch and former lieutenant governor Doug Racine.[41][42]

Lieutenant Governor Phil Scott is running for the Republican nomination.[40] Other potential Republican candidates include former state senator and former Vermont Auditor of Accounts Randy Brock, former Libertarian gubernatorial candidate Dan Feliciano, and 2014 Republican gubernatorial nominee Scott Milne.[41][42]

Earl Ray Tomblin (West Virginia)[edit]

Governor Earl Ray Tomblin is term-limited in 2016.[43] Tomblin was first elected in a 2011 special election after Joe Manchin resigned after being elected to the United States Senate. Tomblin then won election to a full term in 2012.

Possible Democratic candidates include former U.S. Senator Carte Goodwin, West Virginia Secretary of State Natalie Tennant, former Speaker of the West Virginia House of Delegates Rick Thompson, West Virginia State Treasurer John Perdue, State Senator Mike Green and State Delegates Doug Reynolds and Doug Skaff.[44][45][46]

Potential Republican candidates include U.S. Representatives David McKinley and Evan Jenkins, West Virginia Attorney General Patrick Morrisey, State Delegate Erikka Storch and Olympic gymnast Mary Lou Retton.[46]

Retiring Republican incumbents[edit]

Jack Dalrymple (North Dakota)[edit]

One-term incumbent Governor Jack Dalrymple declined to seek re-election.[47] Dalrymple was elected to his first full term with 63.1% of the vote in 2012, after first taking the seat in 2010 after John Hoeven resigned to become a U.S. Senator. Dalrymple was previously Lieutenant Governor of North Dakota from 2000 to 2010.

Potential Republican candidates include appointed Lieutenant Governor Drew Wrigley and Attorney General Wayne Stenehjem.[17]

Potential Democratic candidates include former Congressman Earl Pomeroy, state Senator George B. Sinner, former state Senator Ryan Taylor, and state Senate Minority Leader Mac Schneider.[17] Senator Heidi Heitkamp declined to run for governor.[48]

Democratic incumbent eligible for re-election[edit]

Alejandro García Padilla (Puerto Rico)[edit]

One-term incumbent Governor Alejandro García Padilla is eligible to run for re-election. García Padilla is a member of the Popular Democratic Party of Puerto Rico as well as the Democratic Party.[49] García Padilla was elected in 2012 with 47.73% of the vote. García Padilla will be 45 years old in 2016. Resident Commissioner of Puerto Rico Pedro Pierluisi, who is affiliated with the New Progressive Party and the Democratic Party, is a possible candidate.[50]

Democratic incumbents running for re-election[edit]

Kate Brown (Oregon)[edit]

Governor John Kitzhaber, who won reelection in 2014 with 49.9% of the vote, announced his resignation on February 13, 2015, amid controversy surrounding his fiancee's consulting contracts and work within his administration.[51] Kate Brown, Oregon's Secretary of State, was sworn in as Governor on February 18, 2015. In accordance with the Constitution of Oregon, a special election will be held in 2016 for the remainder of the term which Kitzhaber was elected to in 2014. Brown is running for re-election.[52]

Steve Bullock (Montana)[edit]

One-term incumbent Governor Steve Bullock is running for re-election. Bullock was elected in 2012 with 48.9% of the vote. He previously served as Attorney General of Montana from 2009 to 2013. Bullock will be 50 years old in 2016.

Former Secretary of State Brad Johnson is running for the Republican nomination.[53] Montana Attorney General Timothy C. Fox had been speculated as a potential candidate, but instead chose to run for re-election.[54]

Jay Inslee (Washington)[edit]

One-term incumbent Governor Jay Inslee is running for re-election. Inslee was elected in 2012 with 51.54% of the vote against Republican Attorney General Rob McKenna. Inslee previously served as a U.S. Representative from 1993 to 1995 and from 1999 to 2012. Inslee will be 65 years old in 2016. Potential Republican candidates include Seattle Port Commissioner Bill Bryant,[55] U.S. Representatives Jaime Herrera Beutler, Cathy McMorris Rodgers and Dave Reichert, State Senators Michael Baumgartner, Bruce Dammeier, Andy Hill and Steve Litzow and State Representatives Jan Angel and Cathy Dahlquist.[56][55][57]

Republican incumbents running for re-election[edit]

Pat McCrory (North Carolina)[edit]

One-term incumbent Governor Pat McCrory is running for re-election.[58] McCrory was elected in 2012 with 54.7% of the vote. McCrory previously served as Mayor of Charlotte from 1995 to 2009. McCrory will be 60 years old in 2016.

For the Democrats, North Carolina Attorney General Roy Cooper[59] and former State Representative Kenneth Spaulding are declared candidates.[60] James Protzman, a former Chapel Hill town council member, had declared his candidacy, but later withdrew from the race.[60][61] Other potential Democratic candidates include United States Secretary of Transportation Anthony Foxx.

Gary Herbert (Utah)[edit]

One-term incumbent Governor Gary Herbert is running for re-election.[62] Herbert will be 69 in 2016. He was the Lieutenant Governor of Utah from 2005 to 2009 and became Governor after Jon Huntsman, Jr. resigned to become United States Ambassador to China. He won the seat in a 2010 special election and was elected to his first full term with 68.4% of the vote in 2012.

Potential Republican candidates include businessman Jonathan Johnson.[62] Former Democratic U.S. Representative Jim Matheson may run.[63]

Mike Pence (Indiana)[edit]

One-term incumbent Governor Mike Pence is running for re-election. Pence won in 2012 with 49.6% of the vote. Pence previously served as a U.S. Representative from 2001 to 2013 and was Chairman of the House Republican Conference from 2009 to 2011. Pence had expressed interest in running for President of the United States in the 2016 presidential election, but declined.

The 2012 Democratic nominee, former State House Speaker John R. Gregg, is running for the Democratic nomination.[64] State Representative Karen Tallian and Indiana Superintendent of Public Instruction Glenda Ritz both withdrew their candidacies.[65][66] Potential Democratic candidates include State Representative Terri Austin, South Bend Mayor Peter Buttigieg, former Lieutenant Governor Kathy Davis, Kokomo Mayor Greg Goodnight, former United States Attorney for the Southern District of Indiana and former Secretary of State of Indiana Joe Hogsett, President and CEO of the Biocrossroads Initiative and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2000 David Johnson, Hammond Mayor Thomas McDermott, Jr., physician, former Commissioner for the Indiana State Department of Health and candidate for Indiana's 7th congressional district in 2008 Woody Myers, State House Minority Leader Scott Pelath, Lafayette Mayor Tony Roswarski, former State Senate Minority Leader and nominee for Lieutenant Governor in 2012 Vi Simpson, U.S. Representative Pete Visclosky and former Evansville Mayor Jonathan Weinzapfel.[67][68][69][70][71][72] Former Governor and Senator Evan Bayh had considered running,[67] but decided against it.[69]

Independent incumbent eligible for re-election[edit]

Lolo Letalu Matalasi Moliga (American Samoa)[edit]

One-term incumbent Governor Lolo Letalu Matalasi Moliga is eligible to run for re-election.[73] Moliga was elected in 2012 with 52.9% of the vote in the second round, after taking 33.5% of the vote in the first round. American Samoa requires a second round of voting if no candidate takes a majority of the vote in the first round.

References[edit]

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  19. ^ DE Const. art. III, § 5
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External links[edit]