United States presidential election in Kentucky, 2016

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United States presidential election in Kentucky, 2016

← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 →
Turnout 59.10% Decrease

 
Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton
Party Republican Democratic
Home state New York New York
Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine
Electoral vote 8 0
Popular vote 1,202,971 628,854
Percentage 62.5% 32.7%

Kentucky Presidential Election Results 2016.svg
County Results


President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county.

The 2016 United States presidential election in Kentucky was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus The District of Columbia participated. Kentucky voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.

On March 5 and May 17, 2016, in the presidential primaries, Kentucky voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic, Republican, and Libertarian parties' respective nominees for president. Registered members of each party only voted in their party's primary, while voters who were unaffiliated were unable to vote.

Although Kentucky was won twice by southern Democrat Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996, Donald Trump easily carried Kentucky with 62.54% of the vote, to 32.69% of the vote for Hillary Clinton, a margin of 29.85%. Trump won Kentucky by the largest margin of any Republican since Richard Nixon in 1972, and swept counties across the state.[1] Clinton only carried the state's two most urban and populous counties, Jefferson County, home to Louisville, and Fayette County, home to Lexington, both of which traditionally vote Democratic.

Trump made history when he won Elliott County. In the nearly 150-year history of the county, it had voted Democratic in every presidential election, never Republican. Trump ended that tradition and won Elliott County handily with 2,000 votes to Clinton's 740, or 70%-26%.

Primary elections[edit]

Republican caucus[edit]

Republican primary results by county.
  Donald Trump
  Ted Cruz

In order to avoid a local law forbidding one candidate to run for two offices in the same primary, Rand Paul paid to have a presidential caucus, which took place on March 5. Paul dropped out prior to this.[2]

Kentucky Republican caucuses, March 5, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
America Symbol.svg Donald Trump 82,493 35.92% 17 0 17
Ted Cruz 72,503 31.57% 15 0 15
Marco Rubio 37,579 16.36% 7 0 7
John Kasich 33,134 14.43% 7 0 7
Ben Carson (withdrawn) 1,951 0.85% 0 0 0
Rand Paul (withdrawn) 872 0.38% 0 0 0
Uncommitted 496 0.22% 0 0 0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) 305 0.13% 0 0 0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) 174 0.08% 0 0 0
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 65 0.03% 0 0 0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) 64 0.03% 0 0 0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn) 31 0.03% 0 0 0
Total: 229,667 100.00% 40 0 40
Source: The Green Papers, Republican Party of Kentucky

Democratic primary[edit]

Four candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:

Kentucky Democratic primary, May 17, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 212,534 46.76% 28 2 30
Bernie Sanders 210,623 46.33% 27 0 27
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) 5,713 1.26%
Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente 1,594 0.35%
Uncommitted 24,104 5.30% 0 3 3
Total 454,568 100% 55 5 60
Source: The Green Papers, Kentucky Secretary of State

Polling[edit]

Predictions[edit]

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Kentucky as of Election Day.

  1. Los Angeles Times: Strongly Trump[3]
  2. CNN: Solid Trump[4]
  3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Trump[5]
  4. NBC: Likely Trump[6]
  5. RealClearPolitics: Solid Trump[7]
  6. Fox News: Solid Republican[8]
  7. ABC: Solid Trump[9]

Results[edit]

By county[edit]

County Clinton% Clinton# Trump% Trump# Johnson% Johnson# McMullin% McMullin# Stein% Stein# Others% Others# Totals#
Adair 16.07% 1,323 80.61% 6,637 1.71% 141 1.12% 92 0.43% 35 0.06% 5 8,233
Allen 16.66% 1,349 79.87% 6,466 1.99% 161 0.78% 63 0.57% 46 0.14% 11 8,096
Anderson 23.06% 2,634 72.16% 8,242 2.79% 319 1.44% 165 0.47% 54 0.07% 8 11,422
Ballard 19.90% 816 77.08% 3,161 1.88% 77 0.56% 23 0.49% 20 0.10% 4 4,101
Barren 23.12% 4,275 72.93% 13,483 2.46% 455 0.90% 167 0.50% 93 0.08% 15 18,488
Bath 29.67% 1,361 67.19% 3,082 1.64% 75 0.76% 35 0.52% 24 0.22% 10 4,587
Bell 17.70% 1,720 79.89% 7,764 1.48% 144 0.45% 44 0.43% 42 0.04% 4 9,718
Boone 26.08% 15,026 67.83% 39,082 3.99% 2,299 1.32% 763 0.66% 380 0.12% 68 57,618
Bourbon 31.71% 2,791 63.26% 5,569 3.21% 283 1.09% 96 0.59% 52 0.14% 12 8,803
Boyd 29.44% 6,021 66.45% 13,591 2.42% 496 0.82% 168 0.82% 167 0.05% 11 20,454
Boyle 33.07% 4,281 62.10% 8,040 2.82% 365 1.31% 169 0.56% 73 0.14% 18 12,946
Bracken 19.99% 705 76.86% 2,711 1.45% 51 0.99% 35 0.57% 20 0.14% 5 3,527
Breathitt 26.79% 1,537 69.55% 3,991 2.04% 117 0.84% 48 0.61% 35 0.17% 10 5,738
Breckinridge 22.34% 1,960 73.90% 6,484 2.21% 194 0.91% 80 0.54% 47 0.10% 9 8,774
Bullitt 22.89% 8,255 72.67% 26,210 2.67% 964 0.98% 354 0.70% 253 0.09% 33 36,069
Butler 16.98% 947 79.41% 4,428 2.44% 136 0.95% 53 0.00% 0 0.22% 12 5,576
Caldwell 21.09% 1,260 75.43% 4,507 1.97% 118 0.92% 55 0.54% 32 0.05% 3 5,975
Calloway 29.59% 4,749 64.60% 10,367 3.07% 492 1.75% 281 0.93% 150 0.06% 10 16,049
Campbell 34.48% 14,658 58.93% 25,050 4.21% 1,789 1.30% 552 0.99% 422 0.09% 39 42,510
Carlisle 16.61% 432 80.51% 2,094 1.61% 42 0.73% 19 0.46% 12 0.08% 2 2,601
Carroll 28.69% 1,106 67.13% 2,588 2.59% 100 0.86% 33 0.62% 24 0.10% 4 3,855
Carter 22.14% 2,276 73.82% 7,587 2.31% 237 1.06% 109 0.56% 58 0.11% 11 10,278
Casey 11.91% 767 85.14% 5,482 1.88% 121 0.62% 40 0.43% 28 0.02% 1 6,439
Christian 32.55% 7,188 63.89% 14,108 2.15% 474 0.81% 179 0.54% 120 0.06% 14 22,083
Clark 29.04% 4,706 66.09% 10,710 2.80% 453 1.25% 203 0.75% 121 0.07% 12 16,205
Clay 11.11% 752 86.61% 5,861 1.23% 83 0.59% 40 0.38% 26 0.07% 5 6,767
Clinton 12.26% 547 85.37% 3,809 1.34% 60 0.52% 23 0.34% 15 0.18% 8 4,462
Crittenden 15.28% 617 81.50% 3,290 1.88% 76 0.89% 36 0.42% 17 0.02% 1 4,037
Cumberland 14.97% 459 81.60% 2,502 2.19% 67 0.72% 22 0.36% 11 0.16% 5 3,066
Daviess 30.92% 14,163 63.11% 28,907 3.25% 1,488 1.62% 741 0.99% 453 0.12% 55 45,807
Edmonson 18.67% 979 78.85% 4,135 1.47% 77 0.53% 28 0.38% 20 0.10% 5 5,244
Elliott 25.92% 740 70.05% 2,000 2.35% 67 0.74% 21 0.67% 19 0.28% 8 2,855
Estill 19.98% 1,108 76.39% 4,236 2.33% 129 0.63% 35 0.54% 30 0.13% 7 5,545
Fayette 51.19% 69,778 41.74% 56,894 3.84% 5,230 1.93% 2,636 1.16% 1,580 0.14% 197 136,315
Fleming 21.53% 1,348 75.43% 4,722 1.74% 109 0.81% 51 0.32% 20 0.16% 10 6,260
Floyd 24.27% 4,015 72.51% 11,993 2.16% 357 0.60% 100 0.34% 56 0.11% 19 16,540
Franklin 44.91% 10,717 49.52% 11,819 3.04% 725 1.44% 343 0.99% 236 0.10% 25 23,865
Fulton 32.49% 774 65.03% 1,549 1.47% 35 0.67% 16 0.29% 7 0.04% 1 2,382
Gallatin 22.44% 749 73.19% 2,443 3.00% 100 0.72% 24 0.54% 18 0.12% 4 3,338
Garrard 19.06% 1,453 77.45% 5,904 2.06% 157 0.87% 66 0.43% 33 0.13% 10 7,623
Grant 19.98% 1,910 76.03% 7,268 2.36% 226 0.80% 76 0.74% 71 0.08% 8 9,559
Graves 19.92% 3,308 76.30% 12,671 2.48% 411 0.67% 112 0.48% 80 0.14% 24 16,606
Grayson 18.52% 1,959 77.71% 8,219 2.45% 259 0.77% 81 0.43% 46 0.11% 12 10,576
Green 15.60% 832 81.98% 4,372 1.58% 84 0.36% 19 0.45% 24 0.04% 2 5,333
Greenup 25.47% 4,146 70.93% 11,546 1.96% 319 0.89% 145 0.67% 109 0.07% 12 16,277
Hancock 28.96% 1,244 64.91% 2,788 3.00% 129 2.03% 87 1.02% 44 0.07% 3 4,295
Hardin 32.31% 13,944 62.50% 26,971 3.27% 1,413 1.02% 440 0.80% 346 0.10% 42 43,156
Harlan 12.75% 1,372 84.87% 9,129 1.45% 156 0.45% 48 0.36% 39 0.12% 13 10,757
Harrison 26.10% 2,031 69.85% 5,435 2.36% 184 1.00% 78 0.59% 46 0.09% 7 7,781
Hart 23.82% 1,730 73.24% 5,320 1.93% 140 0.44% 32 0.54% 39 0.04% 3 7,264
Henderson 34.03% 6,707 61.69% 12,159 2.57% 507 0.90% 177 0.72% 142 0.09% 18 19,710
Henry 25.57% 1,828 69.16% 4,944 3.13% 224 1.23% 88 0.81% 58 0.10% 7 7,149
Hickman 20.82% 449 76.82% 1,657 1.21% 26 0.88% 19 0.28% 6 0.00% 0 2,157
Hopkins 21.18% 4,310 75.09% 15,277 2.35% 478 0.80% 163 0.48% 97 0.10% 20 20,345
Jackson 8.76% 482 88.87% 4,889 1.44% 79 0.49% 27 0.36% 20 0.07% 4 5,501
Jefferson 54.05% 190,836 40.72% 143,768 2.89% 10,188 1.36% 4,785 0.91% 3,224 0.08% 298 353,099
Jessamine 26.34% 6,144 66.34% 15,474 3.55% 829 2.89% 675 0.73% 170 0.15% 34 23,326
Johnson 13.06% 1,250 84.03% 8,043 1.70% 163 0.46% 44 0.63% 60 0.13% 12 9,572
Kenton 33.63% 24,214 59.67% 42,958 4.30% 3,093 1.30% 938 0.98% 703 0.13% 92 71,998
Knott 21.60% 1,245 75.60% 4,357 1.77% 102 0.68% 39 0.00% 0 0.35% 20 5,763
Knox 14.66% 1,761 82.29% 9,885 1.57% 189 0.85% 102 0.53% 64 0.09% 11 12,012
LaRue 20.07% 1,278 75.37% 4,799 2.73% 174 1.26% 80 0.44% 28 0.13% 8 6,367
Laurel 13.85% 3,440 82.92% 20,592 1.90% 473 0.77% 192 0.46% 114 0.09% 22 24,833
Lawrence 17.30% 1,045 79.71% 4,816 1.77% 107 0.61% 37 0.53% 32 0.08% 5 6,042
Lee 16.65% 444 80.65% 2,151 1.57% 42 0.71% 19 0.26% 7 0.15% 4 2,667
Leslie 8.90% 400 89.38% 4,015 0.87% 39 0.40% 18 0.33% 15 0.11% 5 4,492
Letcher 16.88% 1,542 79.84% 7,293 2.30% 210 0.54% 49 0.41% 37 0.03% 3 9,134
Lewis 14.82% 785 82.35% 4,363 1.79% 95 0.64% 34 0.30% 16 0.09% 5 5,298
Lincoln 19.51% 1,865 76.75% 7,338 2.36% 226 0.86% 82 0.46% 44 0.06% 6 9,561
Livingston 19.10% 887 76.86% 3,570 2.48% 115 0.99% 46 0.52% 24 0.06% 3 4,645
Logan 25.28% 2,755 71.36% 7,778 2.10% 229 0.83% 91 0.39% 43 0.03% 3 10,899
Lyon 26.38% 1,045 70.39% 2,789 1.87% 74 0.91% 36 0.38% 15 0.08% 3 3,962
Madison 31.56% 11,793 62.70% 23,431 3.18% 1,189 1.48% 552 0.94% 353 0.14% 53 37,371
Magoffin 22.91% 1,172 74.75% 3,824 1.29% 66 0.66% 34 0.33% 17 0.06% 3 5,116
Marion 33.03% 2,679 63.15% 5,122 2.65% 215 0.73% 59 0.41% 33 0.04% 3 8,111
Marshall 21.99% 3,672 73.79% 12,322 2.55% 426 1.04% 174 0.50% 84 0.12% 20 16,698
Martin 9.18% 363 88.62% 3,503 1.32% 52 0.51% 20 0.33% 13 0.05% 2 3,953
Mason 27.29% 1,970 68.49% 4,944 2.40% 173 1.21% 87 0.53% 38 0.10% 7 7,219
McCracken 29.18% 9,134 66.36% 20,774 2.68% 839 1.02% 320 0.69% 217 0.07% 23 31,307
McCreary 11.50% 664 86.77% 5,012 1.02% 59 0.33% 19 0.31% 18 0.07% 4 5,776
McLean 21.64% 988 74.05% 3,381 3.00% 137 0.96% 44 0.33% 15 0.02% 1 4,566
Meade 24.74% 3,026 70.80% 8,660 2.72% 333 0.87% 107 0.79% 97 0.07% 8 12,231
Menifee 25.19% 700 72.33% 2,010 1.55% 43 0.50% 14 0.40% 11 0.04% 1 2,779
Mercer 22.63% 2,395 73.12% 7,740 2.60% 275 0.95% 101 0.64% 68 0.06% 6 10,585
Metcalfe 21.13% 976 75.56% 3,491 1.86% 86 0.89% 41 0.48% 22 0.09% 4 4,620
Monroe 12.04% 601 85.71% 4,278 1.52% 76 0.46% 23 0.26% 13 0.00% 0 4,991
Montgomery 27.58% 3,158 68.60% 7,856 2.31% 264 0.79% 91 0.59% 68 0.13% 15 11,452
Morgan 21.07% 1,006 75.98% 3,628 1.32% 63 0.90% 43 0.54% 26 0.19% 9 4,775
Muhlenberg 25.05% 3,272 71.92% 9,393 1.76% 230 0.82% 107 0.34% 44 0.11% 14 13,060
Nelson 30.93% 6,434 64.57% 13,431 2.72% 565 0.97% 201 0.63% 131 0.19% 40 20,802
Nicholas 27.70% 787 68.88% 1,957 2.29% 65 0.67% 19 0.32% 9 0.14% 4 2,841
Ohio 20.00% 2,080 76.38% 7,942 1.99% 207 1.01% 105 0.62% 64 0.00% 0 10,398
Oldham 31.25% 10,268 62.30% 20,469 3.74% 1,229 1.80% 590 0.86% 282 0.05% 15 32,853
Owen 21.24% 1,062 74.89% 3,745 2.44% 122 0.86% 43 0.50% 25 0.08% 4 5,001
Owsley 14.55% 256 83.80% 1,474 1.36% 24 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.28% 5 1,759
Pendleton 19.38% 1,164 76.64% 4,604 2.41% 145 1.10% 66 0.45% 27 0.02% 1 6,007
Perry 20.20% 2,136 77.17% 8,158 1.59% 168 0.54% 57 0.44% 47 0.06% 6 10,572
Pike 17.35% 4,280 80.06% 19,747 1.67% 413 0.50% 124 0.35% 86 0.06% 15 24,665
Powell 25.66% 1,272 70.87% 3,513 2.38% 118 0.44% 22 0.54% 27 0.10% 5 4,957
Pulaski 15.01% 4,208 81.67% 22,902 2.00% 562 0.78% 218 0.45% 127 0.09% 24 28,041
Robertson 21.92% 222 74.93% 759 1.88% 19 0.79% 8 0.49% 5 0.00% 0 1,013
Rockcastle 13.68% 915 83.83% 5,609 1.30% 87 0.75% 50 0.37% 25 0.07% 5 6,691
Rowan 37.24% 3,295 58.48% 5,174 2.34% 207 0.77% 68 0.96% 85 0.21% 19 8,848
Russell 13.37% 1,093 83.96% 6,863 1.87% 153 0.59% 48 0.00% 0 0.21% 17 8,174
Scott 31.88% 7,715 62.20% 15,052 3.52% 853 1.66% 402 0.57% 139 0.16% 39 24,200
Shelby 30.50% 6,276 64.12% 13,196 3.06% 629 1.57% 324 0.67% 138 0.08% 17 20,580
Simpson 28.47% 2,144 67.41% 5,077 2.66% 200 0.86% 65 0.50% 38 0.09% 7 7,531
Spencer 20.19% 1,921 75.63% 7,196 2.49% 237 1.17% 111 0.46% 44 0.06% 6 9,515
Taylor 22.58% 2,553 73.59% 8,320 2.06% 233 1.26% 142 0.47% 53 0.04% 5 11,306
Todd 21.80% 1,042 75.58% 3,612 1.34% 64 0.56% 27 0.54% 26 0.17% 8 4,779
Trigg 23.51% 1,587 73.04% 4,931 1.79% 121 0.87% 59 0.67% 45 0.12% 8 6,751
Trimble 23.14% 879 72.96% 2,771 2.32% 88 0.74% 28 0.53% 20 0.31% 12 3,798
Union 21.43% 1,331 75.69% 4,701 1.85% 115 0.53% 33 0.47% 29 0.03% 2 6,211
Warren 35.01% 16,966 59.18% 28,673 3.31% 1,605 1.56% 757 0.86% 415 0.08% 38 48,454
Washington 25.20% 1,420 71.20% 4,013 1.97% 111 1.06% 60 0.30% 17 0.27% 15 5,636
Wayne 17.91% 1,431 79.72% 6,371 1.45% 116 0.51% 41 0.38% 30 0.04% 3 7,992
Webster 21.36% 1,240 75.75% 4,397 1.91% 111 0.59% 34 0.38% 22 0.02% 1 5,805
Whitley 15.01% 2,067 82.13% 11,312 1.76% 242 0.75% 103 0.30% 41 0.07% 9 13,774
Wolfe 28.58% 753 68.46% 1,804 1.59% 42 0.99% 26 0.34% 9 0.04% 1 2,635
Woodford 36.56% 4,958 56.75% 7,697 3.90% 529 1.81% 246 0.86% 117 0.12% 16 13,563
Totals 32.68% 628,854 62.52% 1,202,971 2.79% 53,752 1.18% 22,780 0.72% 13,913 0.10% 1,879 1,924,149

By congressional district[edit]

Trump won 5 of 6 congressional districts.

District Trump Clinton Representative
1st 72% 24% Ed Whitfield
James Comer
2nd 68% 28% Brett Guthrie
3rd 40% 55% John Yarmuth
4th 65% 29% Thomas Massie
5th 80% 18% Hal Rogers
6th 55% 39% Andy Barr

Counties that swung from Democratic to Republican[edit]

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Presidential General Election Results Comparison - Kentucky". Uselectionatlas.org. Retrieved 2016-11-13. 
  2. ^ "Kentucky caucus moves forward without Rand Paul | News". Richmondregister.com. 2016-02-14. Retrieved 2016-11-13. 
  3. ^ "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. 2016-11-06. Retrieved 2016-11-13. 
  4. ^ "Road to 270: CNN's general election map - CNNPolitics.com". Cnn.com. 2016-11-08. Retrieved 2016-11-13. 
  5. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President". Centerforpolitics.org. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13. 
  6. ^ Todd, Chuck. "NBC's Final Battleground Map Shows Clinton With a Significant Lead". NBC News. Retrieved 2016-11-13. 
  7. ^ "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved 2016-11-13. 
  8. ^ "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13. 
  9. ^ "The Final 15: The Latest Polls in the Swing States That Will Decide the Election". Abcnews.go.com. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13. 

External links[edit]