United States presidential election in Minnesota, 2016

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United States presidential election in Minnesota, 2016

← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 →
Turnout 74.72%[1] Decrease

  Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee Hillary Clinton Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state New York New York
Running mate Tim Kaine Mike Pence
Electoral vote 10 0
Popular vote 1,367,716 1,322,951
Percentage 46.44% 44.92%

Minnesota Presidential Election Results 2016.svg
County Results

Minnesota 2016 presidential results by county.png
Results by county with size showing number of votes

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county.

The 2016 United States presidential election in Minnesota was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 general election in which all fifty states and the District of Columbia participated.

On March 1, 2016, in the precinct caucuses, Minnesota voted for their preferences for the Democratic, Republican, Green and Libertarian parties' respective nominees for president.

Minnesota was won with a plurality by Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton and a 1.5% margin, the eleventh consecutive Democratic presidential win in the state, which has not voted for a Republican since Richard Nixon in 1972. This was the closest presidential election in Minnesota since 1984, when Walter Mondale carried the state by a 0.2% margin and it was the only state not carried by Ronald Reagan. However, the state voted more Republican than the national average for the first time since 1952. Minnesota had the highest voter turnout in the nation with approximately 75 percent of states' eligible voters participating in the general election.[2]

Caucuses[edit]

Democratic caucuses[edit]

Minnesota Democratic caucuses, 2016

← 2012 March 1, 2016 (2016-03-01) 2020 →

  Bernie Sanders September 2015 cropped.jpg Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
Candidate Bernie Sanders Hillary Clinton
Home state Vermont New York
Delegate count 46 31
Popular vote 126,229 78,381
Percentage 61.69% 38.31%

Minnesota Democratic presidential caucus election results, 2016.svg
Minnesota results by county
  Bernie Sanders
  Hillary Clinton
  Tie

Bernie Sanders received the most votes and the most delegates in the precinct caucuses.[3]

The 2016 turnout was slightly lower than the 2008 tally of 214,066, when Obama won with 142,109 votes, to Clinton's 68,994.

Minnesota Democratic caucuses, March 1, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Bernie Sanders 126,229 61.69% 46 1 47
Hillary Clinton 78,381 38.31% 31 13 44
Uncommitted N/A 0 2 2
Total 204,610 100% 77 16 93
Source: The Green Papers

Bernie Sanders won every congressional district in Minnesota.[4]

Republican caucuses[edit]

Minnesota Republican caucuses, 2016

← 2012 March 1, 2016 (2016-03-01) 2020 →

  Marco Rubio, Official Portrait, 112th Congress.jpg Ted Cruz, official portrait, 113th Congress (cropped 2).jpg Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Candidate Marco Rubio Ted Cruz Donald Trump
Home state Florida Texas New York
Delegate count 17 13 8
Popular vote 41,397 33,181 24,473
Percentage 36.24% 29.04% 21.42%

  Ben Carson by Skidmore with lighting correction.jpg Governor John Kasich.jpg
Candidate Ben Carson John Kasich
Home state Maryland Ohio
Delegate count 0 0
Popular vote 8,422 6,565
Percentage 7.37% 5.75%

Minnesota Republican presidential caucus election results, 2016.svg
Minnesota results by county
  Marco Rubio
  Ted Cruz
  Donald Trump
  Tie

The 38 delegates from Minnesota were allocated in this way. If a candidate received more than 85% of the vote, they would get all of 38 delegates. Otherwise, 24 delegates would be allocated proportionally based on the votes per congressional district (3 votes per district). On top of that, there were 10 at-large delegates and 3 party leaders (the National Committee Man, the National Committee woman, and the chairman of the Minnesota Republican Party). All of the at-large delegates were allocated proportionally based on the popular vote with a mandatory threshold of 10% to receive any delegates; if no one got at least 10%, all candidates would be eligible to get delegates.[5]

Minnesota Republican precinct caucuses, March 1, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
America Symbol.svg Marco Rubio 41,397 36.24% 17 0 17
Ted Cruz 33,181 29.04% 13 0 13
Donald Trump 24,473 21.42% 8 0 8
Ben Carson 8,422 7.37% 0 0 0
John Kasich 6,565 5.75% 0 0 0
Write-ins 207 0.18% 0 0 0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 114,245 100.00% 38 0 38
Source: The Green Papers

Some media outlets recorded the votes by congressional district, rather than by county. Rubio won districts 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 in the Minneapolis-Saint Paul area as well as the southern part of the state. Cruz won districts 6, 7 and 8 in the St. Cloud area and rural north.[4]

Green caucuses[edit]

The Green Party of Minnesota held caucuses on March 1 in Saint Paul, Minneapolis, Bemidji, White Bear Lake, Blaine, Grand Rapids, and Willmar.[6] Jill Stein won the caucuses with 84.3% of the vote. The delegates apportioned to each candidate will be decided at the state convention in St. Cloud, Minnesota in June.[7] The results of the caucuses are as follows:[8]

Minnesota Green Party presidential caucus, March 1, 2016[9][10]
Candidate Votes Percentage National delegates
America Symbol.svg Jill Stein - 84.3% 7
Sedinam Moyowasifza-Curry - 5.9% -
William Kreml - 4.8% -
Darryl Cherney - 3.6% -
Kent Mesplay - 1.2% -
Total - 100.00% 7

Libertarian caucuses[edit]

Minnesota Libertarian caucuses, 2016

March 1, 2016 (2016-03-01)

  Garyjohnsonphoto - modified.jpg John McAfee by Gage Skidmore.jpg Austin Petersen by Gage Skidmore.jpg
Candidate Gary Johnson John McAfee Austin Petersen
Home state New Mexico Tennessee Missouri
Popular vote 171 26 17
Percentage 75.66% 11.50% 7.52%

Minnesota Libertarian presidential caucus election results, 2016.svg
Minnesota results by county
  Gary Johnson
  No votes

The Minnesota caucus was run on March 1, 2016, using ranked choice voting. Gary Johnson took over 75% of the 226 first-preference votes cast, with John McAfee a distant second on 11.5% and Austin Petersen third on 7.5%.[11]

Minnesota Libertarian Party presidential caucus, March 1, 2016[12]
Candidate Votes Percentage
Gary Johnson 171 75.66%
John McAfee 26 11.50%
Austin Petersen 17 7.52%
Darryl Perry 4 1.77%
Cecil Ince 2 0.88%
Steve Kerbel 2 0.88%
None of the above 2 0.88%
Marc Allan Feldman 1 0.44%
Shawna Joy Sterling 1 0.44%
Total 226 100.00%

General election[edit]

Polling[edit]

Candidates[edit]

The following had write-in status:[13]

  • Dennis Andrew Ball and Richard Sanders
  • Henry Bartlett and Condoleezza Rice
  • Robert L. Buchanan and Jason A. Washington
  • Richard Duncan and Ricky Johnson
  • Cherunda Fox and Roger Kushner
  • Eric Gerhard and Ken Virnig
  • Joseph Glentz and Mike Hennessy
  • Ben Hartnell and Dave Marshall
  • Tom Hoefling and Steve Schulin
  • Alec Holbeck and John Hulet
  • James Hrenak Jr and Lauren Rasmussen
  • Alan Jacquemotte and Ronalee Evelyn Mueller
  • Lynn Kahn and Kathy Monahan
  • Chris Keniston and Deacon Taylor
  • Roger Koplitz and John Kerry
  • Laurence Kotlikoff and Edward Leamer
  • Gloria La Riva and Eugene Puryear
  • Johnson Immanuel Li and Aida Yuquimpo Li
  • Darin Lynch and Jaci Dukowitz
  • Joseph Maldonado and Douglas Terranova
  • Srinivasa K Mallapadi and Sripriya Mallapadi
  • Michael Andrew Maturen and Juan Antonio Munoz
  • Stephen J. McCarthy and Joyce Meyer
  • Daniel Muffoletto and Jesse Ventura
  • Michael S Olkowski and Daniel E Olkowski
  • Aaron Idean Orwick and Brad Alan Fredricks
  • Micah Payeur and Joshua Payeur
  • Ricky J. Regenold and James Kolden
  • Clifton Roberts and Breeze Harper
  • Matthew Roberts and Charles Clauss
  • Platt Robertson and Scott Falls
  • Marshall Schoenke and James Mitchell Jr.
  • Joe Schriner and Joe Moreaux
  • Derrick Schumacher and Ross Wendling
  • Arthur E. Sidner and Sandra Arcement
  • Michael L. "Mike" Smith and Daniel White
  • Keith Richard Snell and Russell LeBeau
  • Emidio Soltysik and Angela Walker
  • J. J. Vogel Walcutt and Chris Walcutt
  • Kirk Wettschreck and Lori Motzko
  • Jeffrey Ryan Wharton Sr. and Amy Klobuchar
  • Jerome S White (Jerry White) and Niles Niemuth
  • Demetra Jefferson Wysinger and Cedric D. Jefferson
  • Charles R. Zerilli and Ajamu Baraka

Analysis[edit]

Minnesota swung 6.2% Republican from the 2012 presidential election, a much larger shift than the nation at large. Hillary Clinton received fewer votes in the state than any Democratic candidate since Al Gore in 2000, and a smaller percentage of the total vote than any candidate since Bill Clinton in 1992. Notably, this election marked the first time since 1952 that the Democratic candidate performed worse in Minnesota than in the nation at large. Hillary Clinton won the national popular vote by 2.1% but won Minnesota by just 1.5%, or 44,765 votes, making the state 0.6% more Republican than the nation as a whole. Minnesota has been a primarily Democratic state in national elections since 1932. However, Donald Trump only increased his vote share compared to Mitt Romney in 2012 by 2,726 votes.

Due to the Republican gains made by Trump throughout the state, Clinton was dependent on her wins in Hennepin (Minneapolis) and Ramsey (St. Paul) counties, the two most populous counties in the state, and the Arrowhead Region in the northeastern corner of the state.[14] Two counties, Morrison and Todd, gave Trump over 70% of the vote, making this the first election since 1968 either major party candidate won a county with over 70%, with Trump also being the first Republican since Dwight D. Eisenhower to do so since 1956.

Results[edit]

Candidate Vice President Popular vote Percentage Electors
Hillary Clinton Tim Kaine 1,367,716 46.44% 10
Donald Trump Mike Pence 1,322,951 44.92% 0
Gary Johnson William Weld 112,972 3.84% 0
Evan McMullin Mindy Finn 53,076 1.80% 0
Jill Stein Howie Hawkins 36,985 1.26% 0
Dan Vacek Mark Elworth, Jr. 11,291 0.38% 0
Darrell Castle Scott Bradley 9,456 0.32% 0
Alyson Kennedy Osborne Hart 1,672 0.06% 0
Rocky De La Fuente Michael Steinberg 1,431 0.05% 0
Mike Maturen Juan Muñoz 244 0.01% 0
Other Registered Write-in 303 0.01% 0
Unregistered Write-in 26,716 0.91% 0
Total 2,968,281 100% 0

By congressional district[edit]

Trump won 5 of 8 congressional districts.[15]

District Trump Clinton Representative
1st 53% 38% Tim Walz
2nd 46% 45% John Kline
Jason Lewis
3rd 41% 50% Erik Paulsen
4th 30% 61% Betty McCollum
5th 18% 73% Keith Ellison
6th 59% 33% Tom Emmer
7th 61% 31% Collin Peterson
8th 54% 38% Rick Nolan

Source:[16]

By county[edit]

County Clinton% Clinton# Trump% Trump# Others% Others# Total
Aitkin County 33.95% 3,134 59.76% 5,516 6.29% 581 9,231
Anoka County 40.64% 75,500 50.25% 93,339 9.11% 16,919 185,758
Becker County 30.24% 5,208 63.18% 10,880 6.58% 1,134 17,222
Beltrami County 40.29% 8,688 50.00% 10,783 9.71% 2,093 21,564
Benton County 28.12% 5,640 64.17% 12,872 7.71% 1,546 20,058
Big Stone County 33.43% 921 58.37% 1,608 8.2% 226 2,755
Blue Earth County 42.95% 14,428 46.64% 15,667 10.41% 3,498 33,593
Brown County 27.31% 3,763 63.20% 8,708 9.49% 1,308 13,779
Carlton County 46.46% 8,460 44.81% 8,160 8.74% 1,591 18,211
Carver County 38.62% 21,508 52.17% 29,056 9.21% 5,132 55,696
Cass County 30.93% 4,949 62.39% 9,982 6.68% 1,068 15,999
Chippewa County 31.79% 1,978 60.50% 3,764 7.71% 480 6,222
Chisago County 30.69% 9,278 61.01% 18,441 8.3% 2,509 30,228
Clay County 44.12% 12,971 46.07% 13,543 9.81% 2,884 29,398
Clearwater County 25.91% 1,100 68.90% 2,925 5.18% 220 4,245
Cook County 56.32% 1,912 34.05% 1,156 9.63% 327 3,395
Cottonwood County 29.33% 1,678 64.31% 3,679 6.36% 364 5,721
Crow Wing County 30.64% 10,982 62.18% 22,287 7.18% 2,573 35,842
Dakota County 47.74% 110,483 43.03% 99,583 9.24% 21,374 231,440
Dodge County 29.12% 3,102 61.26% 6,527 9.62% 1,025 10,654
Douglas County 28.58% 6,227 64.11% 13,966 7.31% 1,592 21,785
Faribault County 29.05% 2,153 62.86% 4,659 8.09% 600 7,412
Fillmore County 35.02% 3,872 56.73% 6,271 8.25% 912 11,055
Freeborn County 37.64% 6,041 54.88% 8,808 7.49% 1,202 16,051
Goodhue County 36.73% 9,446 54.60% 14,041 8.67% 2,230 25,717
Grant County 31.82% 1,105 59.40% 2,063 8.78% 305 3,473
Hennepin County 63.13% 429,288 28.20% 191,770 8.66% 58,919 679,977
Houston County 39.09% 4,145 52.96% 5,616 7.95% 843 10,604
Hubbard County 29.75% 3,423 63.11% 7,261 7.14% 821 11,505
Isanti County 26.92% 5,657 64.88% 13,635 8.2% 1,724 21,016
Itasca County 37.75% 9,015 54.10% 12,920 8.14% 1,945 23,880
Jackson County 27.21% 1,492 65.81% 3,609 6.98% 383 5,484
Kanabec County 28.46% 2,327 63.96% 5,230 7.58% 620 8,177
Kandiyohi County 33.37% 7,266 58.72% 12,785 7.9% 1,721 21,772
Kittson County 34.51% 823 56.56% 1,349 8.93% 213 2,385
Koochiching County 36.24% 2,306 56.09% 3,569 7.67% 488 6,363
Lac qui Parle County 33.81% 1,305 59.40% 2,293 6.79% 262 3,860
Lake County 47.19% 3,077 44.96% 2,932 7.85% 512 6,521
Lake of the Woods County 24.67% 553 68.69% 1,540 6.65% 149 2,242
Le Sueur County 30.88% 4,623 61.33% 9,182 7.79% 1,166 14,971
Lincoln County 28.49% 860 63.96% 1,931 7.55% 228 3,019
Lyon County 31.31% 3,825 59.40% 7,256 9.28% 1,134 12,215
Mahnomen County 44.54% 930 47.46% 991 8.% 167 2,088
Marshall County 25.43% 1,225 66.60% 3,208 7.97% 384 4,817
Martin County 25.95% 2,733 67.06% 7,062 6.99% 736 10,531
McLeod County 26.47% 4,978 64.63% 12,155 8.9% 1,674 18,807
Meeker County 25.98% 3,191 65.98% 8,104 8.04% 987 12,282
Mille Lacs County 28.50% 3,710 64.07% 8,340 7.43% 967 13,017
Morrison County 20.65% 3,637 73.38% 12,925 5.97% 1,052 17,614
Mower County 41.98% 7,437 49.81% 8,823 8.21% 1,455 17,715
Murray County 27.74% 1,295 63.71% 2,974 8.55% 399 4,668
Nicollet County 43.58% 7,886 46.62% 8,437 9.8% 1,774 18,097
Nobles County 31.66% 2,733 61.39% 5,299 6.95% 600 8,632
Norman County 38.76% 1,264 52.10% 1,699 9.14% 298 3,261
Olmsted County 45.26% 36,268 44.51% 35,668 10.22% 8,193 80,129
Otter Tail County 28.74% 9,340 64.43% 20,939 6.83% 2,221 32,500
Pennington County 31.97% 2,147 59.57% 4,000 8.46% 568 6,715
Pine County 33.16% 4,580 59.31% 8,191 7.53% 1,040 13,811
Pipestone County 23.44% 1,127 69.43% 3,338 7.13% 343 4,808
Polk County 31.85% 4,712 60.69% 8,979 7.47% 1,105 14,796
Pope County 33.33% 2,106 60.03% 3,793 6.65% 420 6,319
Ramsey County 65.07% 177,738 25.95% 70,894 8.97% 24,511 273,143
Red Lake County 28.71% 540 60.66% 1,141 10.63% 200 1,881
Redwood County 24.79% 1,887 67.49% 5,137 7.71% 587 7,611
Renville County 27.83% 2,117 64.29% 4,890 7.88% 599 7,606
Rice County 44.50% 14,437 47.56% 15,429 7.94% 2,577 32,443
Rock County 28.37% 1,373 63.88% 3,091 7.75% 375 4,839
Roseau County 23.78% 1,856 69.85% 5,451 6.37% 497 7,804
Scott County 37.99% 28,502 53.24% 39,948 8.77% 6,579 75,029
Sherburne County 27.53% 13,293 64.31% 31,053 8.15% 3,937 48,283
Sibley County 25.14% 1,954 66.80% 5,193 8.07% 627 7,774
St. Louis County 51.39% 57,771 39.70% 44,630 8.91% 10,021 112,422
Stearns County 32.13% 25,576 59.83% 47,617 8.04% 6,399 79,592
Steele County 32.54% 6,241 58.39% 11,198 9.07% 1,740 19,179
Stevens County 39.20% 2,116 51.85% 2,799 8.95% 483 5,398
Swift County 33.76% 1,686 59.33% 2,963 6.91% 345 4,994
Todd County 23.21% 2,783 70.75% 8,485 6.05% 725 11,993
Traverse County 35.04% 630 58.34% 1,049 6.62% 119 1,798
Wabasha County 32.67% 3,866 59.07% 6,989 8.26% 977 11,832
Wadena County 24.29% 1,684 69.76% 4,837 5.96% 413 6,934
Waseca County 29.40% 2,838 61.81% 5,967 8.78% 848 9,653
Washington County 46.51% 67,086 44.67% 64,428 8.82% 12,721 144,235
Watonwan County 36.29% 1,814 55.38% 2,768 8.32% 416 4,998
Wilkin County 27.04% 893 64.48% 2,129 8.48% 280 3,302
Winona County 43.59% 11,366 46.49% 12,122 9.92% 2,586 26,074
Wright County 29.21% 20,334 62.16% 43,274 8.63% 6,010 69,618
Yellow Medicine County 28.89% 1,524 64.10% 3,382 7.01% 370 5,276

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Office of the State Of Minnesota Secretary of State". www.sos.state.mn.us. Retrieved 2017-07-22. 
  2. ^ "Office of the State Of Minnesota Secretary of State". www.sos.state.mn.us. Retrieved 2017-07-22. 
  3. ^ "Statement from Chairman Ken Martin on Precinct Caucuses". Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party. March 3, 2016. Retrieved March 4, 2016. 
  4. ^ a b "Results from the Minnesota caucuses". graphics.latimes.com. Retrieved 2016-04-26. 
  5. ^ "Minnesota Republican Delegation 2016". www.thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved 2017-02-24. 
  6. ^ "Green Party Minnesota Sunflower Seed - February 2016". Minnesota Green Party. 2016-02-19. Retrieved 2016-02-20. [permanent dead link]
  7. ^ "Jill Stein Wins GPMN Presidential Straw Poll". 2016-03-02. Retrieved 2016-03-02. 
  8. ^ "Stein wins 84.3% in Minnesota Green presidential caucuses". 2016-03-02. Retrieved 2016-03-02. 
  9. ^ "Stein wins in Boston and Worcester". Green Party Watch. 2 March 2016. Retrieved 5 March 2016. 
  10. ^ "Unofficial results show Stein easily winning Massachusetts Green-Rainbow Party presidential primary". Green Party Watch. 2 March 2015. Retrieved 5 March 2016. 
  11. ^ "2016 LPMN Caucus Results of presidential preference poll". Libertarian Party of Minnesota. 1 March 2016. Retrieved 20 March 2016. 
  12. ^ "2016 LPMN Caucus Results of presidential preference poll". Libertarian Party of Minnesota. Retrieved 2016-06-19. 
  13. ^ http://www.sos.state.mn.us/media/2741/2016-minnesota-registered-write-ins-federal-offices-complete-and-final-list.pdf
  14. ^ http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/
  15. ^ https://www.cookpolitical.com/introducing-2017-cook-political-report-partisan-voter-index
  16. ^ Simon, Steve (29 November 2016). "State of Minnesota Canvassing Report" (PDF). Minnesota Secretary of State. State of Minnesota. Retrieved 2 December 2016. 

External links[edit]