2016 United States presidential election in Missouri

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Jump to navigation Jump to search
United States presidential election in Missouri, 2016

← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 →
Turnout66.56% Increase
  Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton
Party Republican Democratic
Home state New York New York
Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine
Electoral vote 10 0
Popular vote 1,594,511 1,071,068
Percentage 56.77% 38.14%

Missouri Presidential Election Results 2016.svg
County Results

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county.

The 2016 United States presidential election in Missouri was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus The District of Columbia participated. Missouri voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.

On March 15, 2016, in the presidential primaries, voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic, Republican, and Libertarian parties' respective nominees for president. Voters could choose any one party's primary in which to vote.

Donald Trump won the election in Missouri with 56.4% of the vote. Hillary Clinton received 37.9% of the vote.[1] Trump's 18.5-point margin of victory in the state was almost double that of Mitt Romney's from 2012. Clinton carried only four jurisdictions: Boone County, home to Columbia and the University of Missouri; Jackson County, which includes most of Kansas City; St. Louis County; and St. Louis City.

With 38.1% of the vote, Hillary Clinton obtained the lowest percentage as a Democratic presidential nominee in the state since George McGovern's 37.7% in 1972, further cementing the state's drift towards the Republican Party, and away from its long held status as a bellwether state.

Primary elections[edit]

Democratic primary[edit]

County results of the Missouri Democratic presidential primary, 2016.
  Hillary Clinton
  Bernie Sanders

Nine candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:[2]

Missouri Democratic primary, March 15, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 310,600 49.61% 36 11 47
Bernie Sanders 309,073 49.37% 35 0 35
Uncommitted 3,697 0.59% 0 2 2
Henry Hewes 651 0.10% 0 0 0
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) 437 0.07% 0 0 0
Jon Adams 428 0.07% 0 0 0
Rocky De La Fuente 340 0.05% 0 0 0
Willie Wilson 305 0.05% 0 0 0
Keith Judd 284 0.05% 0 0 0
John Wolfe 245 0.04% 0 0 0
Total % 71 13 84
S\Insert paragraphource:The Green Papers

Republican primary[edit]

  Donald Trump
  Ted Cruz

Twelve candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:[2]

Missouri Republican primary, March 15, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
America Symbol.svg Donald Trump 383,631 40.84% 37 0 37
Ted Cruz 381,666 40.63% 15 0 15
John Kasich 94,857 10.10% 0 0 0
Marco Rubio 57,244 6.09% 0 0 0
Ben Carson (withdrawn) 8,233 0.88% 0 0 0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) 3,361 0.36% 0 0 0
Uncommitted 3,225 0.34% 0 0 0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) 2,148 0.23% 0 0 0
Rand Paul (withdrawn) 1,777 0.19% 0 0 0
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 1,681 0.18% 0 0 0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn) 732 0.08% 0 0 0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) 615 0.07% 0 0 0
Jim Lynch (withdrawn) 100 0.01% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 939,270 100.00% 52 0 52
Source: The Green Papers

Libertarian primary[edit]

The Missouri primary ran on March 15, 2016, alongside those of the Republican, Democratic, and Constitution parties. 40% of the electorate voted to stand uncommitted to any candidate. Austin Petersen, running in his home state, finished second, with 29% of the statewide vote, which was double that of Steve Kerbel from Colorado, who finished third, with 14%. Petersen comfortably won the support of voters in the state's capital, Jefferson City, and its surrounding counties, but was fell heavily behind the uncommitted vote in the state's two largest cities, Kansas City and St. Louis. Kerbel won three counties around Springfield, while Marc Allan Feldman, Cecil Ince, and Rhett Smith all won a sprawl of counties across the state; in most of these counties, however, only a single vote was cast. No votes were cast for Libertarian Party candidates in the northwestern counties of Harrison, Holt, Mercer, and Worth.[3]

Missouri Libertarian presidential primary, March 15, 2016[3]
Candidate Votes Percentage
America Symbol.svg Uncommitted 1,183 40.61%
Austin Petersen 854 29.32%
Steve Kerbel 401 13.77%
Marc Allan Feldman 242 8.31%
Cecil Ince 134 4.60%
Rhett Smith 99 3.40%
Total 2,913 100%

General election[edit]

Polling[edit]

Predictions[edit]

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Missouri as of Election Day.

  1. New York Times[4]: Solid Trump
  2. FiveThirtyEight:[5] Solid Trump
  3. Los Angeles Times:[6] Leans Trump
  4. RealClearPolitics:[7] Likely Trump

Results[edit]

The statewide election results were as follows.[8]

U.S. President and Vice President Party Votes % of Votes
Donald J. Trump, Michael R. Pence Republican 1,594,511 56.772%
Hillary Rodham Clinton, Timothy Michael Kaine Democratic 1,071,068 38.135%
Gary Johnson, Bill Weld Libertarian 97,359 3.466%
Jill Stein, Ajamu Baraka Green 25,419 0.905%
Darrell L. Castle, Scott N. Bradley Constitution 13,092 0.466%
Evan McMullin, Nathan Johnson Write-in 7,071 0.252%
Tom Hoefling, Steve Schulin Write-in 48 0.002%
Laurence Kotlikoff, Edward Leamer Write-in 28 0.001%
"Rocky" Roque De La Fuente, Michael Steinberg Write-in 6 0.000%
Marshall Schoenke, James Creighton Mitchell Jr. Write-in 3 0.000%
Matias Mollin, Andy Oliver Write-in 0 0.0000%

By county[edit]

County Clinton% Clinton# Trump% Trump# Others% Others# Total
Adair County 34.23% 3,500 58.97% 6,030 6.81% 696 10,226
Andrew County 22.37% 2,045 72.92% 6,665 4.70% 430 9,140
Atchison County 19.82% 541 75.46% 2,060 4.73% 129 2,730
Audrain County 25.54% 2,570 69.39% 6,981 5.07% 510 10,061
Barry County 18.56% 2,710 78.25% 11,428 3.20% 467 14,605
Barton County 13.39% 795 83.50% 4,959 3.12% 185 5,939
Bates County 20.15% 1,618 74.72% 6,001 5.13% 412 8,031
Benton County 21.12% 2,025 75.21% 7,213 3.67% 352 9,590
Bollinger County 12.42% 705 85.04% 4,827 2.54% 144 5,676
Boone County 49.04% 41,125 43.16% 36,200 7.80% 6,543 83,868
Buchanan County 33.69% 12,013 59.79% 21,320 6.52% 2,326 35,659
Butler County 17.59% 3,036 79.09% 13,650 3.32% 573 17,259
Caldwell County 19.43% 838 74.95% 3,232 5.61% 242 4,312
Callaway County 25.99% 4,989 68.03% 13,057 5.98% 1,147 19,193
Camden County 21.18% 4,768 75.26% 16,944 3.56% 802 22,514
Cape Girardeau County 22.93% 8,492 72.94% 27,017 4.13% 1,529 37,038
Carroll County 17.08% 745 79.80% 3,480 3.12% 136 4,361
Carter County 15.30% 436 81.54% 2,324 3.16% 90 2,850
Cass County 29.12% 14,846 64.91% 33,098 5.97% 3,046 50,990
Cedar County 16.08% 1,011 79.85% 5,021 4.07% 256 6,288
Chariton County 22.37% 888 74.33% 2,950 3.30% 131 3,969
Christian County 20.49% 8,508 74.51% 30,946 5.00% 2,077 41,531
Clark County 21.83% 724 74.13% 2,458 4.04% 134 3,316
Clay County 41.12% 45,304 52.17% 57,476 6.71% 7,396 110,176
Clinton County 25.20% 2,572 69.23% 7,067 5.57% 569 10,208
Cole County 29.20% 10,913 65.86% 24,616 4.94% 1,845 37,374
Cooper County 24.19% 1,932 70.42% 5,624 5.38% 430 7,986
Crawford County 18.39% 1,824 77.86% 7,724 3.75% 372 9,920
Dade County 16.12% 637 80.59% 3,184 3.29% 130 3,951
Dallas County 17.07% 1,272 79.10% 5,895 3.84% 286 7,453
Daviess County 19.53% 730 74.02% 2,767 6.45% 241 3,738
DeKalb County 17.94% 824 77.06% 3,540 5.01% 230 4,594
Dent County 14.40% 978 82.46% 5,600 3.14% 213 6,791
Douglas County 14.76% 984 82.30% 5,486 2.94% 196 6,666
Dunklin County 22.31% 2,360 75.87% 8,026 1.82% 192 10,578
Franklin County 24.63% 12,341 70.70% 35,430 4.67% 2,342 50,113
Gasconade County 20.40% 1,520 76.10% 5,670 3.50% 261 7,451
Gentry County 19.88% 605 75.71% 2,304 4.40% 134 3,043
Greene County 33.06% 42,728 60.38% 78,035 6.55% 8,468 129,231
Grundy County 17.62% 780 78.18% 3,462 4.20% 186 4,428
Harrison County 15.56% 574 80.37% 2,965 4.07% 150 3,689
Henry County 23.89% 2,357 71.71% 7,075 4.40% 434 9,866
Hickory County 21.51% 1,016 74.98% 3,542 3.51% 166 4,724
Holt County 14.73% 347 81.78% 1,926 3.48% 82 2,355
Howard County 26.36% 1,283 67.32% 3,277 6.33% 308 4,868
Howell County 16.51% 2,881 79.59% 13,893 3.90% 681 17,455
Iron County 21.86% 933 74.33% 3,173 3.82% 163 4,269
Jackson County 41.11% 71,237 52.84% 91,557 6.05% 10,481 173,275
Jasper County 21.88% 10,572 72.57% 35,070 5.55% 2,684 48,326
Jefferson County 29.71% 31,568 64.98% 69,036 5.30% 5,634 106,238
Johnson County 28.06% 5,930 64.92% 13,719 7.02% 1,483 21,132
Knox County 20.27% 379 75.72% 1,416 4.01% 75 1,870
Laclede County 15.91% 2,553 80.25% 12,881 3.84% 617 16,051
Lafayette County 25.53% 4,053 69.21% 10,988 5.26% 835 15,876
Lawrence County 17.36% 2,901 78.31% 13,089 4.34% 725 16,715
Lewis County 20.96% 934 75.04% 3,344 3.99% 178 4,456
Lincoln County 22.33% 5,575 72.75% 18,159 4.92% 1,228 24,962
Linn County 22.19% 1,240 73.17% 4,088 4.64% 259 5,587
Livingston County 19.70% 1,265 75.99% 4,879 4.31% 277 6,421
Macon County 20.29% 1,548 75.98% 5,798 3.73% 285 7,631
Madison County 18.89% 1,005 77.09% 4,102 4.02% 214 5,321
Maries County 17.64% 794 79.13% 3,561 3.22% 145 4,500
Marion County 23.14% 2,994 72.80% 9,419 4.06% 525 12,938
McDonald County 16.12% 1,329 80.07% 6,599 3.81% 314 8,242
Mercer County 12.38% 216 85.16% 1,486 2.46% 43 1,745
Miller County 15.33% 1,750 81.33% 9,285 3.34% 381 11,416
Mississippi County 28.21% 1,458 69.65% 3,600 2.15% 111 5,169
Moniteau County 18.11% 1,237 78.29% 5,347 3.60% 246 6,830
Monroe County 20.52% 853 76.01% 3,159 3.46% 144 4,156
Montgomery County 20.61% 1,119 76.02% 4,127 3.37% 183 5,429
Morgan County 20.04% 1,768 76.64% 6,760 3.32% 293 8,821
New Madrid County 26.27% 1,933 71.63% 5,270 2.09% 154 7,357
Newton County 18.76% 4,990 77.25% 20,553 4.00% 1,063 26,606
Nodaway County 26.74% 2,529 67.46% 6,380 5.80% 549 9,458
Oregon County 18.53% 865 78.64% 3,671 2.83% 132 4,668
Osage County 14.08% 998 82.60% 5,856 3.33% 236 7,090
Ozark County 16.07% 724 80.78% 3,639 3.15% 142 4,505
Pemiscot County 32.30% 1,947 65.77% 3,964 1.92% 116 6,027
Perry County 17.39% 1,520 79.04% 6,908 3.57% 312 8,740
Pettis County 23.87% 4,324 70.73% 12,810 5.39% 977 18,111
Phelps County 25.69% 4,766 68.50% 12,709 5.81% 1,078 18,553
Pike County 24.46% 1,806 71.44% 5,274 4.09% 302 7,382
Platte County 40.85% 20,057 52.82% 25,933 6.33% 3,110 49,100
Polk County 19.12% 2,631 75.84% 10,438 5.04% 694 13,763
Pulaski County 21.66% 2,922 73.22% 9,876 5.12% 690 13,488
Putnam County 15.05% 353 82.52% 1,936 2.43% 57 2,346
Ralls County 21.61% 1,138 75.37% 3,969 3.02% 159 5,266
Randolph County 22.15% 2,283 73.03% 7,529 4.82% 497 10,309
Ray County 28.43% 3,090 65.36% 7,104 6.21% 675 10,869
Reynolds County 17.77% 540 79.20% 2,406 3.03% 92 3,038
Ripley County 15.03% 830 81.86% 4,522 3.11% 172 5,524
Saline County 30.07% 2,789 64.45% 5,977 5.48% 508 9,274
Schuyler County 18.29% 354 77.74% 1,505 3.98% 77 1,936
Scotland County 18.55% 365 77.49% 1,525 3.96% 78 1,968
Scott County 20.72% 3,575 76.31% 13,168 2.97% 513 17,256
Shannon County 19.88% 776 75.97% 2,966 4.15% 162 3,904
Shelby County 18.62% 606 77.54% 2,524 3.84% 125 3,255
St. Charles County 34.14% 68,626 60.52% 121,650 5.34% 10,729 201,005
St. Clair County 20.22% 936 75.62% 3,501 4.17% 193 4,630
St. Francois County 25.27% 6,250 70.64% 17,468 4.08% 1,010 24,728
St. Louis County 55.69% 286,704 39.32% 202,434 5.00% 25,720 514,858
Ste. Genevieve County 30.02% 2,542 64.90% 5,496 5.09% 431 8,469
Stoddard County 14.11% 1,876 83.36% 11,079 2.53% 336 13,291
Stone County 17.43% 2,887 79.42% 13,158 3.15% 522 16,567
Sullivan County 21.16% 526 75.78% 1,884 3.06% 76 2,486
Taney County 18.60% 4,373 77.72% 18,276 3.68% 866 23,515
Texas County 15.77% 1,728 81.01% 8,875 3.22% 353 10,956
Vernon County 19.85% 1,707 75.97% 6,533 4.17% 359 8,599
Warren County 24.80% 3,915 70.39% 11,111 4.80% 758 15,784
Washington County 20.75% 1,926 75.93% 7,048 3.32% 308 9,282
Wayne County 16.45% 948 80.84% 4,658 2.71% 156 5,762
Webster County 18.98% 3,177 76.69% 12,840 4.34% 726 16,743
Worth County 18.64% 195 77.25% 808 4.11% 43 1,046
Wright County 14.41% 1,170 82.61% 6,707 2.98% 242 8,119
Kansas City 76.00% 97,735 19.17% 24,654 4.83% 6,212 128,601
St. Louis City 79.45% 104,235 15.88% 20,832 4.67% 6,124 131,191

By congressional district[edit]

Trump won 6 of 8 congressional districts.[9]

District Trump Clinton Representative
1st 19% 77% Lacy Clay
2nd 53% 42% Ann Wagner
3rd 67% 28% Blaine Luetkemeyer
4th 65% 29% Vicky Hartzler
5th 40% 55% Emanuel Cleaver
6th 63% 31% Sam Graves
7th 70% 25% Billy Long
8th 75% 21% Jason Smith

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Missouri Election Results 2016". The New York Times. Retrieved 2018-07-09.
  2. ^ a b http://www.memphisdemocrat.com/notice-of-primary-election/
  3. ^ a b "State of Missouri - Election Night Results". Missouri Secretary of State. Government of Missouri. 16 March 2016. Archived from the original on 18 March 2016. Retrieved 16 March 2016.
  4. ^ Aisch, Gregor; Katz, Josh (2016-09-08). "Missouri - 2016 Election Forecast". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2017-03-28.
  5. ^ Silver, Nate (2016-06-29). "Missouri | 2016 Election Forecast | FiveThirtyEight". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved 2017-03-28.
  6. ^ Lauter, David; Barabak, Mark Z.; Kim, Kyle; Arm; Emamdjomeh. "The race to 270". www.latimes.com. Retrieved 2017-03-28.
  7. ^ "RealClearPolitics - 2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". www.realclearpolitics.com. Retrieved 2017-03-28.
  8. ^ IT, Missouri Secretary of State -. "State of Missouri - Election Night Results". enr.sos.mo.gov. Retrieved 2017-03-28.
  9. ^ https://www.cookpolitical.com/introducing-2017-cook-political-report-partisan-voter-index

External links[edit]