United States presidential election in North Dakota, 2016

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United States presidential election in North Dakota, 2016

← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 →
Turnout 61.29% Increase

  Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg Gary Johnson June 2016.jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Gary Johnson
Party Republican Democratic Libertarian
Home state New York New York New Mexico
Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine William Weld
Electoral vote 3 0 0
Popular vote 216,794 93,758 21,434
Percentage 63.0% 27.2% 6.2%

North Dakota Presidential Election Results 2016.svg
County Results


North Dakota 2016 presidential results by county.png
Results by county showing number of votes by size and candidates by color

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county.

The 2016 United States presidential election in North Dakota was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus The District of Columbia participated. North Dakota voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.

On June 7, 2016, as part of the Democratic Party presidential primaries, North Dakota voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic party's nominees for president. As North Dakota does not have a voter registration system,[1] all voters could choose to participate in this caucus. Due to a disagreement about the binding of delegates between state and national party leaders, no Republican Party primary or caucus was held. Instead, delegates were chosen at the state party convention April 1–3.[2]

Donald Trump won the election in North Dakota with 62.9% of the vote. Hillary Clinton received 27.2% of the vote.[3] The state also gave Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson, who was born in North Dakota, his second best showing with 6.2% of the vote, only behind the 9.3% of the vote he received in his home state of New Mexico.

Primary elections[edit]

Democratic caucus[edit]

Three candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:

North Dakota Democratic caucuses, June 7, 2016
Candidate District delegates State delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Bernie Sanders 253 64.21% 13 1 14
Hillary Clinton 101 25.63% 5 1 6
Uncommitted 40 10.15% 0 0 0
Total 394 100% 18 5 23
Source: The Green Papers

Republican convention[edit]

The North Dakota Republican Party did not hold a presidential preference caucus or primary, but instead selected 28 Republican National Convention delegates unpledged to any particular candidate at the state party convention, which was held April 1–3, 2016.[2] A generally pro-Cruz slate of delegates was elected to the convention.[4] Cruz had the support of 14 delegates before he dropped out of the race. Three of them switched to Trump on May 27 along with all 13 of the uncommitted delegates giving Trump the majority of commitments and the support of 17 delegates (Trump had the support of 1 delegate before Cruz dropped out).

North Dakota Republican state convention, April 1–3, 2016
Candidate Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
America Symbol.svg Donald Trump 0 17 17
Ted Cruz 0 11 11
John Kasich 0 0 0
(available) 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 0 28 28
Source: The Green Papers

Voting history[edit]

North Dakota joined the Union in November 1889 and has participated in all elections from 1892 onwards.

Since 1900, North Dakota voted Democratic 17.24 percent of the time and Republican 82.76 percent of the time.

Since 1968, the state has always voted Republican.

Predictions[edit]

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for North Dakota as of Election Day.

  1. Los Angeles Times: Strongly Trump[5]
  2. CNN: Solid Trump[6]
  3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Trump[7]
  4. NBC: Likely Trump[8]
  5. RealClearPolitics: Solid Trump[9]
  6. Fox News: Solid Republican[10]
  7. ABC: Solid Trump[11]

Analysis[edit]

Republican nominee Donald Trump won North Dakota in a 36-percentage-point routing over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton, thus carrying the state's 3 electoral votes.[12] Like many neighboring majority-white, largely rural Great Plains and prairie states, North Dakota has not supported a Democratic candidate for president since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964.

North Dakota politics are dominated by the farm, with a largely white and older populace who are socially conservative. Though the state's farming population has briefly flirted with populism, that movement is now mostly faded from North Dakota politics, as farms in North Dakota are no longer tilled by solitary yeoman and are no longer family-owned as much, and are replaced by agribusinesses.[13]

In recent presidential elections, Bakken shale oil has been a major driver of conservative success in the state, as its economy is increasingly fueled by the North Dakota oil boom and its population grows suspect of the environmental movement championed by Democrats. The main oil boom has taken place in the counties west and northwest of Bismarck, where Donald Trump won sometimes north of 80% of the vote.[14]

Donald Trump won in Grand Forks County which contains the city of Grand Forks, in Cass County which contains the city of Fargo, and in Burliegh County which contains the capital city of Bismarck. He also swept most of the rural and deeply conservative counties of the state, sometimes taking more than 80% of the vote in a county. Clinton won resoundingly in Sioux County, which is majority Native American and is the site of the Dakota Access Pipeline Protest by its inhabitants, the Sioux Indian tribe.

General election results[edit]

United States presidential election in North Dakota, 2016
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Donald Trump and Mike Pence 216,794 62.96%
Democratic Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine 93,758 27.23%
Libertarian Gary Johnson and William Weld 21,434 6.22%
Write-in 6,397 1.86%
Green Jill Stein and Ajamu Baraka 3,780 1.10%
Constitution Darrell Castle and Scott Bradley 1,833 0.53%
American Delta Rocky De La Fuente and Michael Steinberg 364 0.11%
Majority 123,036 35.73%
Total votes 344,360 100.00%
Republican win

County results[edit]

Results by county were as follows.[15][16]

Vote Break Down by County
Donald Trump
Republican
Hillary Clinton
Democrat
Gary Johnson
Libertarian
Write-in
Various Parties
Jill Stein
Green
Darrell Castle
Constitution
Rocky De La Fuente
American Delta
Margin Total
County Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes Turnout
Adams 909 74.63% 216 17.73% 65 5.34% 7 0.57% 8 0.66% 13 1.07% 0 0.00% 693 56.90% 1,218 64.31%
Barnes 3,160 59.13% 1,597 29.88% 407 7.62% 86 1.61% 47 0.88% 41 0.77% 6 0.11% 1,563 29.25% 5,344 61.46%
Benson 929 46.20% 842 41.87% 112 5.57% 69 3.43% 41 2.04% 17 0.85% 1 0.05% 87 4.33% 2,011 45.97%
Billings 495 81.82% 59 9.75% 33 5.45% 7 1.16% 4 0.66% 6 0.99% 1 0.17% 436 72.07% 605 83.56%
Bottineau 2,494 71.38% 736 21.06% 177 5.07% 43 1.23% 30 0.86% 11 0.31% 3 0.09% 1,758 50.32% 3,494 67.61%
Bowman 1,446 80.92% 227 12.70% 79 4.42% 16 0.90% 13 0.73% 4 0.22% 2 0.11% 1,219 68.22% 1,787 73.82%
Burke 895 85.08% 119 11.31% 26 2.47% 4 0.38% 5 0.48% 3 0.29% 0 0.00% 776 73.77% 1,052 62.09%
Burleigh 32,532 67.80% 10,881 22.68% 2,772 5.67% 1,052 2.19% 480 1.00% 263 0.55% 49 0.10% 21,651 45.12% 47,979 69.67%
Cass 39,816 49.26% 31,361 38.80% 6,085 7.53% 1,852 2.29% 1,209 1.50% 399 0.49% 99 0.12% 8,455 10.46% 80,821 62.88%
Cavalier 1,357 67.65% 476 23.73% 110 5.48% 35 1.74% 19 0.95% 7 0.35% 2 0.10% 881 43.92% 2,006 67.72%
Dickey 1,667 69.26% 554 23.02% 123 5.11% 19 0.79% 23 0.96% 15 0.62% 6 0.25% 1,113 46.24% 2,407 61.91%
Divide 867 71.12% 245 20.10% 71 5.82% 22 1.80% 9 0.74% 2 0.16% 3 0.25% 622 51.02% 1,219 65.18%
Dunn 1,771 78.96% 358 15.96% 60 2.67% 24 1.07% 14 0.62% 15 0.67% 1 0.04% 1,413 63.00% 2,243 66.93%
Eddy 791 64.26% 355 28.84% 53 4.31% 10 0.81% 15 1.22% 6 0.49% 1 0.08% 436 35.42% 1,231 68.22%
Emmons 1,677 84.65% 215 10.85% 52 2.62% 17 0.86% 10 0.50% 9 0.45% 1 0.05% 1,462 73.80% 1,981 73.57%
Foster 1,241 72.19% 347 20.19% 96 5.58% 15 0.87% 10 0.58% 9 0.52% 1 0.06% 894 52.00% 1,719 67.06%
Golden Valley 796 83.18% 99 10.34% 40 4.18% 11 1.15% 4 0.42% 7 0.73% 0 0.00% 697 72.84% 957 69.58%
Grand Forks 16,340 53.81% 10,851 35.74% 2,004 6.60% 612 2.02% 383 1.26% 138 0.45% 37 0.12% 5,489 18.07% 30,365 55.00%
Grant 1,108 80.23% 185 13.40% 65 4.71% 10 0.72% 7 0.51% 6 0.43% 0 0.00% 923 66.83% 1,381 73.65%
Griggs 847 66.96% 298 23.56% 93 7.35% 18 1.42% 6 0.47% 1 0.08% 2 0.16% 549 43.40% 1,265 68.73%
Hettinger 1,050 81.02% 168 12.96% 46 3.55% 17 1.31% 5 0.39% 9 0.69% 1 0.08% 882 68.04% 1,296 64.51%
Kidder 1,111 80.74% 179 13.01% 64 4.65% 12 0.87% 7 0.51% 2 0.15% 1 0.07% 932 67.73% 1,376 73.90%
LaMoure 1,481 68.85% 502 23.34% 109 5.07% 26 1.21% 13 0.60% 16 0.74% 4 0.19% 979 45.51% 2,151 67.26%
Logan 888 83.22% 114 10.68% 38 3.56% 14 1.31% 5 0.47% 6 0.56% 2 0.19% 774 72.54% 1,067 72.60%
McHenry 2,050 72.70% 490 17.38% 189 6.70% 48 1.70% 20 0.71% 19 0.67% 4 0.14% 1,560 55.32% 2,820 63.08%
McIntosh 1,100 76.07% 235 16.25% 71 4.91% 16 1.11% 10 0.69% 12 0.83% 2 0.14% 865 59.82% 1,446 65.61%
McKenzie 3,670 78.55% 698 14.94% 172 3.68% 66 1.41% 35 0.75% 28 0.60% 3 0.06% 2,972 63.61% 4,672 60.82%
McLean 3,860 72.62% 1,081 20.34% 256 4.82% 57 1.07% 29 0.55% 24 0.45% 8 0.15% 2,779 52.28% 5,315 72.59%
Mercer 3,759 80.29% 621 13.26% 190 4.06% 66 1.41% 21 0.45% 21 0.45% 4 0.09% 3,138 67.03% 4,682 70.00%
Morton 11,336 71.60% 3,080 19.45% 914 5.77% 263 1.66% 141 0.89% 82 0.52% 16 0.10% 8,256 52.15% 15,832 70.26%
Mountrail 2,582 62.88% 1,220 29.71% 166 4.04% 54 1.32% 56 1.36% 24 0.58% 4 0.10% 1,362 33.17% 4,106 56.91%
Nelson 1,025 59.70% 536 31.22% 114 6.64% 22 1.28% 11 0.64% 9 0.52% 0 0.00% 489 28.48% 1,717 71.85%
Oliver 830 81.61% 119 11.70% 47 4.62% 11 1.08% 3 0.29% 5 0.49% 2 0.20% 711 69.91% 1,017 72.09%
Pembina 2,208 70.03% 681 21.60% 167 5.30% 55 1.74% 28 0.89% 12 0.38% 2 0.06% 1,527 48.43% 3,153 57.10%
Pierce 1,437 69.39% 431 20.81% 132 6.37% 47 2.27% 9 0.43% 14 0.68% 1 0.05% 1,006 48.58% 2,071 61.95%
Ramsey 3,217 60.64% 1,505 28.37% 405 7.63% 86 1.62% 44 0.83% 43 0.81% 5 0.09% 1,712 32.27% 5,305 60.79%
Ransom 1,210 51.29% 838 35.52% 247 10.47% 37 1.57% 22 0.93% 4 0.17% 1 0.04% 372 15.77% 2,359 57.56%
Renville 993 76.80% 201 15.55% 71 5.49% 19 1.47% 4 0.31% 5 0.39% 0 0.00% 792 61.25% 1,293 65.44%
Richland 4,767 62.79% 2,064 27.19% 493 6.49% 123 1.62% 76 1.00% 54 0.71% 15 0.20% 2,703 35.60% 7,592 59.68%
Rolette 1,217 32.41% 2,099 55.90% 156 4.15% 83 2.21% 175 4.66% 17 0.45% 8 0.21% -882 -23.49 3,755 39.84%
Sargent 1,088 54.48% 694 34.75% 167 8.36% 17 0.85% 18 0.90% 6 0.30% 7 0.35% 394 19.73 1,997 66.52%
Sheridan 650 82.59% 95 12.07% 29 3.68% 6 0.76% 1 0.13% 6 0.76% 0 0.00% 555 70.52% 787 73.79%
Sioux 260 21.10% 758 61.53% 25 2.03% 52 4.22% 128 10.39% 5 0.41% 4 0.32% -498 -40.43% 1,232 45.51%
Slope 362 84.19% 43 10.00% 19 4.42% 1 0.23% 3 0.70% 2 0.47% 0 0.00% 319 74.19% 430 74.24%
Stark 9,755 79.17% 1,753 14.23% 526 4.27% 158 1.28% 60 0.49% 63 0.51% 7 0.06% 8,002 64.94% 12,322 54.34%
Steele 538 53.85% 361 36.14% 75 7.51% 12 1.20% 6 0.60% 7 0.70% 0 0.00% 177 17.71% 999 67.10%
Stutsman 6,718 66.15% 2,498 24.60% 574 5.65% 188 1.85% 109 1.07% 55 0.54% 13 0.13% 4,220 41.55% 10,155 61.49%
Towner 733 63.35% 305 26.36% 90 7.78% 19 1.64% 7 0.61% 3 0.26% 0 0.00% 428 36.99% 1,157 66.28%
Traill 2,265 57.59% 1,241 31.55% 292 7.42% 62 1.58% 35 0.89% 36 0.92% 2 0.05% 1,024 26.04% 3,993 64.05%
Walsh 2,995 64.60% 1,167 25.17% 330 7.12% 88 1.90% 32 0.69% 23 0.50% 1 0.02% 1,828 39.43% 4,636 56.27%
Ward 18,636 67.98% 5,806 21.18% 2,055 7.50% 496 1.81% 242 0.88% 152 0.55% 25 0.09% 12,830 46.80% 27,412 52.00%
Wells 1,796 75.37% 419 17.58% 101 4.24% 28 1.17% 14 0.59% 23 0.97% 2 0.08% 1,377 57.79% 2,383 71.93%
Williams 10,069 78.62% 1,735 13.55% 631 4.93% 219 1.71% 74 0.85% 74 0.85% 5 0.04% 8,334 65.07% 12,807 54.16%

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ Jaeger, Alvin. "North Dakota….The Only State Without Voter Registration" (PDF). 
  2. ^ a b Nowatzki, Mike. "With ND Republicans unable to cast votes for presidential nominee, Cramer launches online straw poll". Forum of Fargo-Moorhead. Retrieved 26 February 2016. 
  3. ^ https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/north-dakota
  4. ^ http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/ND-R
  5. ^ "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. 2016-11-06. Retrieved 2016-11-13. 
  6. ^ "Road to 270: CNN's general election map - CNNPolitics.com". Cnn.com. 2016-11-08. Retrieved 2016-11-13. 
  7. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President". Centerforpolitics.org. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13. 
  8. ^ Todd, Chuck. "NBC's Final Battleground Map Shows Clinton With a Significant Lead". NBC News. Retrieved 2016-11-13. 
  9. ^ "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved 2016-11-13. 
  10. ^ "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13. 
  11. ^ "The Final 15: The Latest Polls in the Swing States That Will Decide the Election". Abcnews.go.com. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13. 
  12. ^ "North Dakota Election Results 2016". Retrieved 2016-11-12. 
  13. ^ Cohen, Micah (2012-10-14). "An Extra Ingredient in North Dakota Politics: Oil". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved 2016-11-12. 
  14. ^ Cohen, Micah (2012-10-14). "An Extra Ingredient in North Dakota Politics: Oil". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved 2016-11-12. 
  15. ^ "Secretary of State - Election Night Results". results.sos.nd.gov. Retrieved 2017-06-18. 
  16. ^ "Secretary of State - Voter Turnout". results.sos.nd.gov. Retrieved 2017-06-18. 

External links[edit]