2016 United States presidential election in Oklahoma

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United States presidential election in Oklahoma, 2016

← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 →
Turnout67.91% Increase
  Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg Gary Johnson June 2016.jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Gary Johnson
Party Republican Democratic Libertarian
Home state New York New York New Mexico
Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine William Weld
Electoral vote 7 0 0
Popular vote 949,136 420,375 83,481
Percentage 65.32% 28.93% 5.75%

Oklahoma Presidential Election Results 2016.svg
County results

Trump

  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%

Oklahoma 2016 presidential results by county.png
Results by county showing number of votes by size and candidates by color[1]

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county

The 2016 United States presidential election in Oklahoma was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 general election in which all 50 states and The District of Columbia participated. Oklahoma voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.

On March 1, 2016, in the presidential primaries, Oklahoma voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic and Republican parties' respective nominees for president. Registered members of each party could only vote in their party's primary, while independent voters could only vote in the Democratic primary.[2]

Donald Trump won the election in Oklahoma with 65.3% of the vote. Hillary Clinton received 28.9% of the vote.[3] Considered a safe Republican state, Oklahoma has voted Republican in fifteen of the last sixteen elections.[4] It was also one of two states where Donald Trump won every county, the other being West Virginia. This also marked the fourth consecutive election in which the Republican candidate carried every county in the state.[4]

Gary Johnson, the Libertarian Party candidate, became the first third-party candidate to achieve ballot access in Oklahoma since 2000. He received 5.75% of the vote, the highest percentage for a third party in the state since Ross Perot in 1996. He was the only third-party candidate to successfully file for ballot access in Oklahoma.

Primary elections[edit]

Democratic primary[edit]

Results
Oklahoma Democratic primary, 2016

← 2012 March 1, 2016 (2016-03-01) 2020 →
  Bernie Sanders September 2015 cropped.jpg Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
Candidate Bernie Sanders Hillary Clinton
Home state Vermont New York
Delegate count 21 17
Popular vote 174,228 139,443
Percentage 51.88% 41.52%

Oklahoma Democratic Presidential Primary Election Results by County, 2016.svg
Oklahoma results by county
  Bernie Sanders
  Hillary Clinton
Oklahoma Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Bernie Sanders 174,228 51.88% 21 1 22
Hillary Clinton 139,443 41.52% 17 1 18
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) 7,672 2.28%
Keith Russell Judd 4,386 1.31%
Michael Alan Steinberg 4,171 1.24%
Star Locke (withdrawn) 3,458 1.03%
Rocky De La Fuente 2,485 0.74%
Uncommitted N/A 0 2 2
Total 335,843 100% 38 4 42
Source: The Green Papers, Oklahoma State Election Board

Republican primary[edit]

Oklahoma Republican primary, 2016

← 2012 March 1, 2016 (2016-03-01) 2020 →
  Ted Cruz, official portrait, 113th Congress (cropped 2).jpg Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Candidate Ted Cruz Donald Trump
Home state Texas New York
Delegate count 15 14
Popular vote 158,078 130,267
Percentage 34.37% 28.32%

  Marco Rubio, Official Portrait, 112th Congress.jpg Ben Carson by Skidmore with lighting correction.jpg
Candidate Marco Rubio Ben Carson
Home state Florida Maryland
Delegate count 12 0
Popular vote 119,633 28,601
Percentage 26.01% 6.22%

Oklahoma Republican Presidential Primary Election Results by County, 2016.svg
Oklahoma results by county
  Ted Cruz
  Donald Trump
  Marco Rubio

Twelve candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:[5]

Oklahoma Republican primary, March 1, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
America Symbol.svg Ted Cruz 158,078 34.37% 15 0 15
Donald Trump 130,267 28.32% 14 0 14
Marco Rubio 119,633 26.01% 12 0 12
Ben Carson 28,601 6.22% 0 0 0
John Kasich 16,524 3.59% 0 0 0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) 2,091 0.45% 0 0 0
Rand Paul (withdrawn) 1,666 0.36% 0 0 0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) 1,308 0.28% 0 0 0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) 610 0.13% 0 0 0
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 545 0.12% 0 0 0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn) 375 0.08% 0 0 0
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn) 224 0.05% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 2 0 2
Total: 459,922 100.00% 43 0 43
Source: The Green Papers

Polling[edit]

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Oklahoma as of Election Day.

  1. Los Angeles Times: Strongly Trump[6]
  2. CNN: Solid Trump[7]
  3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Trump[8]
  4. NBC: Likely Trump[9]
  5. RealClearPolitics: Solid Trump[10]
  6. Fox News: Solid Republican[11]
  7. ABC: Solid Trump[12]

Statewide results[edit]

United States presidential election in Oklahoma, 2016[13]
Party Candidate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican Donald Trump 949,136 65.32% 7
Democratic Hillary Clinton 420,375 28.93% 0
Libertarian Gary Johnson 83,481 5.75% 0
Totals 1,452,992 100.00% 7

Analysis[edit]

The Republican Party candidate, Donald Trump, carried Oklahoma with a victory margin of 36.39%.[original research?] While Trump improved over Mitt Romney's 2012 vote total and victory margin, his vote percentage of 65.3% was down from Romney's 66.8%, making 2016 the first time since 1992 the Republican's vote percentage decreased from the previous election.[original research?] Hillary Clinton's vote percentage of 28.9% is the worst for a Democratic candidate in Oklahoma since George McGovern's 24% in the 1972 election.[opinion] Clinton however, did make gains in heavily populated Oklahoma County, its surrounding suburban counties, and Tulsa County.[original research?] In Oklahoma County, Clinton turned a 16.66% advantage for Romney into a 10.5% advantage for Trump, while Trump was held below the 60% mark in Tulsa.[original research?] Gary Johnson's total was more than twice what was needed to preserve recognized status for the Libertarian Party in the state, meaning that in 2018 the LP will be the first alternative party on the ballot for a gubernatorial election since the Reform Party in 1998. [14]

With 65.32% of the popular vote, Oklahoma would prove to be Trump's third strongest state in the 2016 election after Wyoming and West Virginia.[15] The state would also prove to be Gary Johnson's fourth strongest state with 5.75% of the popular vote after New Mexico, North Dakota and Alaska.

Results by county[edit]

Final results by county from the Oklahoma State Election Board.[1]

Trump won all the counties in Oklahoma.

County Clinton Trump Johnson Total
Adair Votes 1,382 4,787 344 6,513
% 21.22% 73.50% 5.28% 100.00%
Alfalfa Votes 216 1,933 109 2,258
% 9.57% 85.61% 4.83% 100.00%
Atoka Votes 795 4,084 139 5,018
% 15.84% 81.39% 2.77% 100.00%
Beaver Votes 176 1,993 74 2,243
% 7.85% 88.85% 3.30% 100.00%
Beckham votes 960 6,308 284 7,552
percent 12.71% 83.53% 3.76% 100.00%
Blaine votes 711 2,884 198 3,793
percent 18.75% 76.03% 5.22% 100.00%
Bryan votes 2,804 10,478 536 13,818
percent 20.29% 75.83% 3.88% 100.00%
Caddo votes 2,420 6,482 446 9,348
percent 25.89% 69.34% 4.77% 100.00%
Canadian votes 11,674 39,986 3,618 55,278
percent 21.12% 72.34% 6.55% 100.00%
Carter votes 4,002 13,752 780 18,534
percent 21.59% 74.20% 4.21% 100.00%
Cherokee votes 5,456 9,994 1,040 16,490
percent 33.09% 60.61% 6.31% 100.00%
Choctaw votes 1,067 4,206 153 5,426
percent 19.66% 77.52% 2.82% 100.00%
Cimarron votes 71 963 45 1,079
percent 6.58% 89.25% 4.17% 100.00%
Cleveland votes 38,829 62,538 8,083 109,450
percent 35.48% 57.14% 7.39% 100.00%
Coal votes 411 1,898 90 2,399
percent 17.13% 79.12% 3.75% 100.00%
Comanche votes 11,463 19,183 1,918 32,564
percent 35.20% 58.91% 5.89% 100.00%
Cotton votes 424 2,054 124 2,602
percent 16.30% 78.94% 4.77% 100.00%
Craig votes 1,252 4,283 250 5,785
percent 21.64% 74.04% 4.32% 100.00%
Creek votes 5,841 21,575 1,414 28,830
percent 20.26% 74.84% 4.90% 100.00%
Custer votes 2,104 7,826 611 10,541
percent 19.96% 74.24% 5.80% 100.00%
Delaware votes 3,311 11,826 579 15,716
percent 21.07% 75.25% 3.68% 100.00%
Dewey votes 222 1,965 61 2,248
percent 9.88% 87.41% 2.71% 100.00%
Ellis votes 155 1,611 61 1,827
percent 8.48% 88.18% 3.34% 100.00%
Garfield votes 4,397 16,009 1,304 21,710
percent 20.25% 73.74% 6.01% 100.00%
Garvin votes 1,855 8,253 438 10,546
percent 17.59% 78.26% 4.15% 100.00%
Grady votes 3,882 17,316 1,088 22,286
percent 17.42% 77.70% 4.88% 100.00%
Grant votes 288 1,827 86 2,201
percent 13.08% 83.01% 3.91% 100.00%
Greer votes 323 1,482 91 1,896
percent 17.04% 78.16% 4.80% 100.00%
Harmon votes 225 715 37 977
percent 23.03% 73.18% 3.79% 100.00%
Harper votes 134 1,318 47 1,499
percent 8.94% 87.93% 3.14% 100.00%
Haskell votes 882 3,701 155 4,738
percent 18.62% 78.11% 3.27% 100.00%
Hughes votes 961 3,388 177 4,526
percent 21.23% 74.86% 3.91% 100.00%
Jackson votes 1,473 5,969 364 7,806
percent 18.87% 76.47% 4.66% 100.00%
Jefferson votes 365 1,910 75 2,350
percent 15.53% 81.28% 3.19% 100.00%
Johnston votes 786 3,093 139 4,018
percent 19.56% 76.98% 3.46% 100.00%
Kay votes 3,738 12,172 893 16,803
percent 22.25% 72.44% 5.31% 100.00%
Kingfisher votes 786 5,156 189 6,131
percent 12.82% 84.10% 3.08% 100.00%
Kiowa votes 767 2,596 130 3,493
percent 21.96% 74.32% 3.72% 100.00%
Latimer votes 797 3,100 159 4,056
percent 19.65% 76.43% 3.92% 100.00%
Le Flore votes 3,250 13,362 609 17,221
percent 18.87% 77.59% 3.54% 100.00%
Lincoln votes 2,430 10,854 741 14,025
percent 17.33% 77.39% 5.28% 100.00%
Logan votes 4,248 13,633 1,098 18,979
percent 22.38% 71.83% 5.79% 100.00%
Love votes 735 2,922 132 3,789
percent 19.40% 77.12% 3.48% 100.00%
Major votes 310 2,948 149 3,407
percent 9.10% 86.53% 4.37% 100.00%
Marshall votes 1,096 4,206 190 5,492
percent 19.96% 76.58% 3.46% 100.00%
Mayes votes 3,423 11,555 739 15,717
percent 21.78% 73.52% 4.70% 100.00%
McClain votes 2,894 13,169 795 16,858
percent 17.17% 78.12% 4.72% 100.00%
McCurtain votes 1,802 8,656 268 10,726
percent 16.80% 80.70% 2.50% 100.00%
McIntosh votes 2,123 5,505 335 7,963
percent 26.66% 69.13% 4.21% 100.00%
Murray votes 1,087 4,175 266 5,528
percent 19.66% 75.52% 4.81% 100.00%
Muskogee votes 7,977 15,043 1,196 24,216
percent 32.94% 62.12% 4.94% 100.00%
Noble votes 901 3,715 262 4,878
percent 18.47% 76.16% 5.37% 100.00%
Nowata votes 742 3,321 174 4,237
percent 17.51% 78.38% 4.11% 100.00%
Okfuskee votes 943 2,800 200 3,943
percent 23.92% 71.01% 5.07% 100.00%
Oklahoma votes 112,813 141,569 19,560 273,942
percent 41.18% 51.68% 7.14% 100.00%
Okmulgee votes 4,385 8,944 620 13,949
percent 31.44% 64.12% 4.44% 100.00%
Osage votes 5,597 12,577 792 18,966
percent 29.51% 66.31% 4.18% 100.00%
Ottawa votes 2,584 7,631 475 10,690
percent 24.17% 71.38% 4.44% 100.00%
Pawnee votes 1,344 4,729 291 6,364
percent 21.12% 74.31% 4.57% 100.00%
Payne votes 8,788 16,651 2,321 27,760
percent 31.66% 59.98% 8.36% 100.00%
Pittsburg votes 3,711 12,753 807 17,271
percent 21.49% 73.84% 4.67% 100.00%
Pontotoc votes 3,637 10,431 763 14,831
percent 24.52% 70.33% 5.14% 100.00%
Pottawatomie votes 6,015 17,848 1,589 25,452
percent 23.63% 70.12% 6.24% 100.00%
Pushmataha votes 748 3,581 154 4,483
percent 16.69% 79.88% 3.44% 100.00%
Roger Mills votes 151 1,547 61 1,759
percent 8.58% 87.95% 3.47% 100.00%
Rogers votes 7,902 30,913 2,047 40,862
percent 19.34% 75.65% 5.01% 100.00%
Seminole votes 2,071 5,613 353 8,037
percent 25.77% 69.84% 4.39% 100.00%
Sequoyah votes 3,061 10,888 488 14,437
percent 21.20% 75.42% 3.38% 100.00%
Stephens votes 3,086 14,182 636 17,904
percent 17.24% 79.21% 3.55% 100.00%
Texas votes 858 4,621 301 5,780
percent 14.84% 79.95% 5.21% 100.00%
Tillman votes 657 1,944 105 2,706
percent 24.28% 71.84% 3.88% 100.00%
Tulsa votes 87,847 144,258 14,949 247,054
percent 35.56% 58.39% 6.05% 100.00%
Wagoner votes 6,723 23,005 1,572 31,300
percent 21.48% 73.50% 5.02% 100.00%
Washington votes 5,048 15,825 1,351 22,224
percent 22.71% 71.21% 6.08% 100.00%
Washita votes 588 3,854 189 4,631
percent 12.70% 83.22% 4.08% 100.00%
Woods votes 522 2,947 199 3,668
percent 14.23% 80.34% 5.43% 100.00%
Woodward votes 873 6,347 375 7,595
percent 11.49% 83.57% 4.94% 100.00%
Grand total votes 420,375 949,136 83,481 1,452,992
percent 28.93% 65.32% 5.75% 100.00%

By congressional district[edit]

Trump won all five congressional districts.[16]

District Trump Clinton Representative
1st 61% 33% Jim Bridenstine
2nd 73% 23% Markwayne Mullin
3rd 74% 21% Frank Lucas
4th 66% 28% Tom Cole
5th 53% 40% Steve Russell


See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ a b "Official Results General Election — November 8, 2016", OK.gov, The State of Oklahoma
  2. ^ "Oklahoma State Election Board". www.Ok.gov. Retrieved July 19, 2017.
  3. ^ "Oklahoma Election Results 2016". NYTimes.com. 2016. Retrieved July 19, 2017.
  4. ^ a b "History of Oklahoma voting in presidential elections since 1932". KJRH. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2017-07-23.
  5. ^ "Nineteen candidates file for Oklahoma Presidential Primary". Fox23.com. Retrieved January 21, 2016.
  6. ^ "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. 2016-11-06. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  7. ^ "Road to 270: CNN's general election map - CNNPolitics.com". Cnn.com. 2016-11-08. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  8. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President". Centerforpolitics.org. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  9. ^ Todd, Chuck. "NBC's Final Battleground Map Shows Clinton With a Significant Lead". NBC News. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  10. ^ "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  11. ^ "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  12. ^ "The Final 15: The Latest Polls in the Swing States That Will Decide the Election". Abcnews.go.com. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  13. ^ https://www.ok.gov/elections/support/ok_results_seb.pdf
  14. ^ "Libertarian Party makes historic strides in Oklahoma, U.S. elections". reddirtreport.com. November 11, 2016.
  15. ^ "2016 Presidential Election Statistics". Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Retrieved 2018-03-05.
  16. ^ "Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008 – Swing State Project". www.swingstateproject.com.