2016 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania

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2016 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania
Flag of Pennsylvania.svg
← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 →
  Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton
Party Republican Democratic
Home state New York New York
Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine
Electoral vote 20 0
Popular vote 2,970,733 2,926,441
Percentage 48.18% 47.46%

Pennsylvania Presidential Election Results 2016.svg
County Results

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county.

The 2016 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania took place on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States elections in which all fifty states and the District of Columbia participated. Pennsylvania voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote.

On April 26, 2016, in the presidential primaries, voters selected the Democratic, Republican, and Green parties' respective nominees for president. Pennsylvania is a closed primary state, meaning voters must have been previously registered with a particular political party in order to vote for one of that parties' candidates, to participate in their respective party primary.[1]

The Republican party candidate was businessman and former host of The Apprentice (an American reality television program), Donald Trump, who won Pennsylvania by 44,292 votes out of more than six million cast, a difference of 0.72% and the narrowest margin in a presidential election for the state in 176 years, since 1840 when William Henry Harrison defeated Martin Van Buren by just 0.12%.

Prior to the election, Pennsylvania was expected to be close as polling showed the results within the margin of error. However, most election experts viewed Pennsylvania as solidly Clinton.[2][3] On Election Day, Pennsylvania swung to Donald Trump. Trump carried 56 of the state's 67 counties, predominantly rural or semi-rural counties, while Clinton carried much of the Philadelphia metropolitan area as well as other cities including Pittsburgh, Harrisburg and Scranton. Nonetheless, some areas of traditional Democratic strength such as Luzerne County, where Wilkes-Barre is located, saw swings in margins of up to 25% toward Donald Trump, making him the first Republican candidate for president to carry Pennsylvania since George H. W. Bush in 1988. 2016 would also be the first presidential election in which Pennsylvania voted to the right of the nation since 1948. Pennsylvania's vote for Donald Trump marked the fall of the Democratic Blue Wall, a block of over 240 electoral votes that voted solidly Democratic from 1992 to 2012.

Pennsylvania had been one of the eleven states to vote twice for Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996 which Hillary Clinton lost in 2016.

Primaries[edit]

Democratic primary[edit]

Results of the Democratic primary by county.
  Hillary Clinton
  Bernie Sanders
Pennsylvania Democratic primary, April 26, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 935,107 55.61% 106 20 126
Bernie Sanders 731,881 43.53% 83 0 83
Rocky De La Fuente 14,439 0.86% 0 0 0
Total 1,681,427 100% 189 20 209
Source: The Green Papers, Pennsylvania State Elections Official Results

Republican primary[edit]

Republican primary results by county.
  Donald Trump
Pennsylvania Republican primary, April 26, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 902,593 56.61% 17 42 59
Ted Cruz 345,506 21.67% 0 4 4
John Kasich 310,003 19.44% 0 3 3
Ben Carson (withdrawn) 14,842 0.93% 0 0 0
Marco Rubio (withdrawn) 11,954 0.75% 0 0 0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) 9,577 0.60% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 5 5
Total: 1,594,475 100.00% 17 54 71
Source: The Green Papers

Green Party[edit]

Pennsylvania held a series of caucuses throughout April, culminating with a meeting on April 30 in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, where delegates were assigned.[4][5]

Pennsylvania Green Party presidential caucuses, April 17, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage National delegates
America Symbol.svg Jill Stein - - 8
William Kreml - - 1
Sedinam Kinamo Christin Moyowasifza Curry - - -
Darryl Cherney - - -
Kent Mesplay - - -
Total - 100.00% 9

Democratic National Convention[edit]

From July 25 to July 28, 2016, Philadelphia hosted the 2016 Democratic National Convention. It was held at the Wells Fargo Center with ancillary meetings at the Pennsylvania Convention Center. Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton was elected as the party's nominee for president by a 59.67% majority of delegates present at the convention roll call, defeating primary rival Senator Bernie Sanders, who received 39.16% of votes from delegates, and becoming the first female candidate to be formally nominated by a major national party as a presidential candidate in the United States. Her running mate, Senator Tim Kaine, the junior United States Senator from Virginia was chosen by delegates as the party's nominee for vice president by acclamation.

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

  1. CNN: Leans Clinton[6]
  2. Cook Political Report: Leans Clinton[7]
  3. Electoral-vote.com: Leans Clinton[8]
  4. NBC: Leans Clinton[9]
  5. RealClearPolitics: Tossup[10]
  6. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Clinton[11]

Statewide results[edit]

2016 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania
Party Candidate Running mate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican Donald Trump Mike Pence 2,970,733 48.18% 20
Democratic Hillary Clinton Tim Kaine 2,926,441 47.46% 0
Libertarian Gary Johnson William Weld 146,715 2.38% 0
Green Jill Stein Ajamu Baraka 49,941 0.81% 0
Constitution Darrell Castle Scott Bradley 21,572 0.35% 0
Others / Write-In Votes[citation needed] 50,076 0.81% 0
Totals 6,165,478 100.00% 20
Voter turnout (Voting age population) 60.27%
Source: Pennsylvania Department of State

By congressional district[edit]

Trump won 12 of 18 congressional districts, including the 17th district which elected a Democrat.[12]

District Trump Clinton Representative
1st 18% 80% Bob Brady
2nd 8% 90% Chaka Fattah
Dwight Evans
3rd 61% 35% Mike Kelly
4th 59% 37% Scott Perry
5th 62% 34% Glenn Thompson
6th 48% 48% Ryan Costello
7th 47% 49% Patrick Meehan
8th 48% 48% Mike Fitzpatrick
Brian Fitzpatrick
9th 70% 27% Bill Shuster
10th 66% 30% Tom Marino
11th 60% 36% Lou Barletta
12th 59% 38% Keith Rothfus
13th 32% 65% Brendan Boyle
14th 31% 66% Mike Doyle
15th 52% 44% Charlie Dent
16th 51% 44% Joe Pitts
Lloyd Smucker
17th 53% 43% Matt Cartwright
18th 58% 39% Tim Murphy

By county[edit]

County[13] Donald John Trump
Republican
Hilary Rodham Clinton
Democratic
Gary Earl Johnson
Libertarian
Jill Ellen Stein
Green
Darrell Lane Castle
Constitution
Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # % # % # % # %
Adams 31,423 66.17% 14,219 29.94% 1,251 2.63% 405 0.85% 191 0.40% 17,204 36.23% 47,489
Allegheny 259,480 39.91% 367,617 56.55% 16,102 2.48% 5,097 0.78% 1,818 0.28% -108,137 -16.63% 650,114
Armstrong 23,484 74.27% 7,178 22.70% 685 2.17% 141 0.45% 130 0.41% 16,306 51.57% 31,618
Beaver 48,167 57.64% 32,531 38.93% 2,022 2.42% 496 0.59% 355 0.42% 15,636 18.71% 83,571
Bedford 19,552 82.72% 3,645 15.42% 260 1.10% 102 0.43% 78 0.33% 15,907 67.30% 23,637
Berks 96,626 52.78% 78,437 42.85% 5,247 2.87% 1,974 1.08% 781 0.43% 18,189 9.94% 183,065
Blair 39,135 71.27% 13,958 25.42% 1,256 2.29% 338 0.62% 222 0.40% 25,177 45.85% 54,909
Bradford 18,141 70.57% 6,369 24.77% 893 3.47% 137 0.53% 168 0.65% 11,772 45.79% 25,708
Bucks 164,361 47.74% 167,060 48.52% 8,556 2.49% 3,121 0.91% 1,199 0.35% -2,699 -0.78% 344,297
Butler 64,428 66.37% 28,584 29.45% 3,062 3.15% 615 0.63% 382 0.39% 35,844 36.93% 97,071
Cambria 42,258 67.00% 18,867 29.91% 1,270 2.01% 413 0.65% 264 0.42% 23,391 37.09% 63,072
Cameron 1,589 72.69% 531 24.29% 53 2.42% 6 0.27% 7 0.32% 1,058 48.40% 2,186
Carbon 18,743 65.13% 8,936 31.05% 691 2.40% 265 0.92% 141 0.49% 9,807 34.08% 28,776
Centre 35,274 46.32% 37,088 48.71% 2,644 3.47% 798 1.05% 344 0.45% -1,814 -2.38% 76,148
Chester 116,114 43.20% 141,682 52.71% 7,930 2.95% 2,247 0.84% 827 0.31% -25,568 -9.51% 268,800
Clarion 12,576 71.72% 4,273 24.37% 469 2.67% 115 0.66% 102 0.58% 8,303 47.35% 17,535
Clearfield 24,932 72.75% 8,200 23.93% 776 2.26% 220 0.64% 143 0.42% 16,732 48.82% 34,271
Clinton 10,022 65.10% 4,744 30.82% 470 3.05% 121 0.79% 37 0.24% 5,278 34.29% 15,394
Columbia 18,004 63.78% 8,934 31.65% 883 3.13% 265 0.94% 142 0.50% 9,070 32.13% 28,228
Crawford 24,987 66.65% 10,971 29.26% 1,046 2.79% 271 0.72% 217 0.58% 14,016 37.38% 37,492
Cumberland 69,076 56.80% 47,085 38.72% 3,975 3.27% 939 0.77% 542 0.45% 21,991 18.08% 121,617
Dauphin 60,863 46.51% 64,706 49.44% 3,498 2.67% 1,177 0.90% 628 0.48% -3,843 -2.94% 130,872
Delaware 110,667 37.18% 177,402 59.60% 5,992 2.01% 2,588 0.87% 985 0.33% -66,735 -22.42% 297,634
Elk 10,025 69.49% 3,853 26.71% 401 2.78% 79 0.55% 68 0.47% 6,172 42.78% 14,426
Erie 60,069 48.57% 58,112 46.99% 3,871 3.13% 1,139 0.92% 488 0.39% 1,957 1.58% 123,679
Fayette 34,590 64.33% 17,946 33.38% 853 1.59% 232 0.43% 146 0.27% 16,644 30.96% 53,767
Forest 1,683 70.10% 626 26.07% 60 2.50% 19 0.79% 13 0.54% 1,057 44.02% 2,401
Franklin 49,768 71.37% 17,465 25.05% 1,712 2.46% 450 0.65% 336 0.48% 32,303 46.33% 69,731
Fulton 5,694 84.09% 912 13.47% 93 1.37% 37 0.55% 35 0.52% 4,782 70.62% 6,771
Greene 10,849 68.82% 4,482 28.43% 284 1.80% 83 0.53% 66 0.42% 6,367 40.39% 15,764
Huntingdon 14,494 73.55% 4,539 23.03% 425 2.16% 96 0.49% 152 0.77% 9,955 50.52% 19,706
Indiana 24,888 65.89% 11,528 30.52% 936 2.48% 220 0.58% 198 0.52% 13,360 35.37% 37,770
Jefferson 15,192 78.00% 3,650 18.74% 432 2.22% 110 0.56% 94 0.48% 11,542 59.26% 19,478
Juniata 8,273 79.14% 1,821 17.42% 201 1.92% 71 0.68% 88 0.84% 6,452 61.72% 10,454
Lackawanna 48,384 46.77% 51,983 50.25% 1,935 1.87% 896 0.87% 258 0.25% -3,599 -3.48% 103,456
Lancaster 137,914 57.20% 91,093 37.78% 8,555 3.55% 2,021 0.84% 1,529 0.63% 46,821 19.42% 241,112
Lawrence 25,428 62.40% 14,009 34.38% 870 2.13% 248 0.61% 198 0.49% 11,419 28.02% 40,753
Lebanon 40,525 65.53% 18,953 30.65% 1,647 2.66% 422 0.68% 298 0.48% 21,572 34.88% 61,845
Lehigh 73,690 45.77% 81,324 50.51% 4,027 2.50% 1,402 0.87% 550 0.34% -7,634 -4.74% 160,993
Luzerne 78,688 58.29% 52,451 38.86% 2,339 1.73% 1,178 0.87% 327 0.24% 26,237 19.44% 134,983
Lycoming 35,627 70.46% 13,020 25.75% 1,311 2.59% 384 0.76% 223 0.44% 22,607 44.71% 50,565
Mckean 11,635 71.40% 4,025 24.70% 408 2.50% 151 0.93% 77 0.47% 7,610 46.70% 16,296
Mercer 31,544 60.30% 18,733 35.81% 1,370 2.62% 415 0.79% 247 0.47% 12,811 24.49% 52,309
Mifflin 14,094 75.77% 3,877 20.84% 476 2.56% 80 0.43% 74 0.40% 10,217 54.93% 18,601
Monroe 33,386 47.86% 33,918 48.63% 1,502 2.15% 758 1.09% 188 0.27% -532 -0.76% 69,752
Montgomery 162,731 37.44% 256,082 58.91% 10,934 2.52% 3,704 0.85% 1,236 0.28% -93,351 -21.48% 434,687
Montour 5,288 61.80% 2,857 33.39% 287 3.35% 73 0.85% 51 0.60% 2,431 28.41% 8,556
Northampton 71,736 49.98% 66,272 46.18% 3,690 2.57% 1,371 0.96% 450 0.31% 5,464 3.81% 143,519
Northumberland 25,427 69.43% 9,788 26.73% 931 2.54% 296 0.81% 180 0.49% 15,639 42.70% 36,622
Perry 15,616 73.81% 4,632 21.89% 619 2.93% 163 0.77% 128 0.60% 10,984 51.91% 21,158
Philadelphia 108,748 15.37% 584,025 82.53% 7,115 1.01% 6,679 0.94% 1,064 0.15% -475,277 -67.16% 707,631
Pike 16,056 61.51% 9,256 35.46% 492 1.88% 226 0.87% 71 0.27% 6,800 26.05% 26,101
Potter 6,251 80.31% 1,302 16.73% 165 2.12% 35 0.45% 31 0.40% 4,949 63.58% 7,784
Schuylkill 44,001 69.99% 16,770 26.67% 1,414 2.25% 449 0.71% 235 0.37% 27,231 43.31% 62,869
Snyder 11,725 71.66% 4,002 24.46% 455 2.78% 111 0.68% 70 0.43% 7,723 47.20% 16,363
Somerset 27,379 76.54% 7,376 20.62% 678 1.90% 166 0.46% 174 0.49% 20,003 55.92% 35,773
Sullivan 2,291 73.05% 750 23.92% 65 2.07% 14 0.45% 16 0.51% 1,541 49.14% 3,136
Susquehanna 12,891 68.34% 5,123 27.16% 568 3.01% 192 1.02% 89 0.47% 7,768 41.18% 18,863
Tioga 13,614 74.29% 3,901 21.29% 548 2.99% 139 0.76% 123 0.67% 9,713 53.00% 18,325
Union 10,622 60.81% 6,180 35.38% 450 2.58% 143 0.82% 73 0.42% 4,442 25.43% 17,468
Venango 16,021 68.62% 6,309 27.02% 733 3.14% 149 0.64% 136 0.58% 9,712 41.60% 23,348
Warren 12,477 67.68% 5,145 27.91% 549 2.98% 130 0.71% 133 0.72% 7,332 39.77% 18,434
Washington 61,386 60.51% 36,322 35.80% 2,643 2.61% 733 0.72% 366 0.36% 25,064 24.71% 101,450
Wayne 16,244 67.63% 7,008 29.18% 466 1.94% 206 0.86% 94 0.39% 9,236 38.45% 24,018
Westmoreland 116,522 64.01% 59,669 32.78% 4,367 2.40% 936 0.51% 557 0.31% 56,853 31.23% 182,051
Wyoming 8,837 67.23% 3,811 28.99% 323 2.46% 116 0.88% 57 0.43% 5,026 38.24% 13,144
York 128,528 62.40% 68,524 33.27% 6,484 3.15% 1,568 0.76% 882 0.43% 60,004 29.13% 205,986
Totals 2,970,733 48.58% 2,926,441 47.85% 146,715 2.40% 49,941 0.82% 21,572 0.35% 44,292 0.72% 6,115,402

Counties that swung from Democratic to Republican[edit]

Counties that swung from Republican to Democratic[edit]

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ "About Voting and Elections". Votespa.com. 2015-05-19. Retrieved 2016-04-10.
  2. ^ "Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein". realclearpolitics.com. 2016-11-05.
  3. ^ "Clinton Has Solid Lead in Electoral College; Trump's Winning Map Is Unclear". The New York Times. 2016-11-06. Retrieved 2018-10-30. The final nonpartisan live interview polls there show Mrs. Clinton ahead by a comfortable margin of four to six points. The state will probably be close, but it's quite clear that she has the edge.
  4. ^ "2016 PA Green Party Caucus Information and Schedule". Pennsylvania Green Party. 2016-04-09. Retrieved 2016-04-10.
  5. ^ "#Greens, join us in caucusing and voting for our GP of PA Presidential Candidates in April". Pennsylvania Green Party. 2016-04-09. Retrieved 2016-04-10.
  6. ^ Chalian, David (4 November 2016). "Road to 270: CNN's new election map". CNN. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
  7. ^ "2016 Electoral Scorecard". The Cook Political Report. 7 November 2016. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
  8. ^ "2016 Predicted Electoral Map". Electoral-vote.com. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
  9. ^ Todd, Chuck (7 November 2016). "NBC's final battleground map shows a lead for Clinton". NBC News. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
  10. ^ "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
  11. ^ Sabato, Larry (7 November 2016). "The Crystal Ball's 2016 Electoral College ratings". University of Virginia Center for Politics. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
  12. ^ "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index". The Cook Political Report.
  13. ^ "Pennsylvania Elections – County Breakdown Results". electionreturns.pa.gov. November 8, 2016. Retrieved December 28, 2019.

External links[edit]