User:HuntClubJoe/Ottawa South draught 1

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Coordinates: 45°21′33.372″N 75°39′51.696″W / 45.35927000°N 75.66436000°W / 45.35927000; -75.66436000

HuntClubJoe/Ottawa South draught 1
Ontario electoral district
Ottawa South locator map.png
Ottawa South in relation to other electoral districts in Ottawa
Federal electoral district
Legislature House of Commons
MP
 
 
 
David McGuinty
Liberal
District created 1987
First contested 1988
Last contested 2008
District webpage profile, map
Demographics
Population (2006) 117,581
Electors (2006) 86,188
Area (km²) 76
Pop. density (per km²) 1,547.1
Census divisions Ottawa
Census subdivisions Ottawa

Ottawa South (French: Ottawa-Sud) is an Ottawa electoral district in the Canadian province of Ontario. It is represented in the Canadian House of Commons by David McGuinty, brother of Ontario Premier and Ottawa South MPP Dalton McGuinty. The riding was created in 1987 from parts of Ottawa—Vanier, Ottawa Centre and the former Ottawa—Carleton electoral districts. It has been held continuously by Liberal candidates since it was first contested in 1988. Ottawa South is a suburban, generally middle class riding. As of 2006, it had the highest Arab population of any Ontario constituency.

2008 election popular vote map by polling division


Geography[edit]

The riding is located within the city of Ottawa. The riding is presently bounded north and east by Highway 417, on the west by the Rideau River, and on the south by a line beginning at the Rideau River and the former Ottawa city limits, then east to Limebank Road, south to Leitrim Road, east to the CP Rail line, north to Lester Road, then east along Lester and Davidson Road to Conroy Road, north to Hunt Club Road and east along Hunt Club and its prolongation to Highway 417. Neighbouring districts include Ottawa—Vanier to the north, Ottawa—Orleans to the east, Nepean—Carleton to the south and Ottawa West—Nepean and Ottawa Centre to the west.

Ottawa South comprises the neighbourhoods of Riverview, Eastway Gardens, Alta Vista, Riverside Park, Mooney's Bay, Hunt Club Woods, Hunt Club Estate, Hunt Club Chase, South Keys, Ellwood, Heron Gate, Sheffield Glen, Airport-Uplands, Elizabeth Park, Windsor Park Village, and Blossom Park in the city of Ottawa. The total area is 76 km2. There are 233 polling divisions.


Demographics[1][edit]

Total average income, 2005: $39,192

Ethnic origins: British Isles: 43,360 (37.2%), Other North American: 27,650 (23.7%), French: 20,570 (17.6%), Arab: 13,600 (11.7%), Western European: 11,075 (9.5%), Southern European: 10,380 (8.9%), Eastern European: 9,205 (7.9%), East and Southeast Asian: 7,945 (6.8%), African: 7,175 (6.2%), South Asian: 4,725 (4.1%), Caribbean: 3,845 (3.3%), Aboriginal: 3,745 (3.2%), West Asian: 2,420 (2.1%), Latin, Central & South American: 2,380 (2.0%), Northern European: 2,090 (1.8%), Other European: 2,025 (1.7%), Oceania: 145 (0.1%)

Mother tongue*, number of speakers (percentage): English 64,050 (56.5%), French 14,710 (13.0%), Arabic 9,555 (8.4%), Chinese (All)** 3,640 (3.2%), Spanish 2,140 (1.9%), Somali 2,010 (1.8%), Italian 1,760 (1.6%), Persian (Farsi) 1,270 (1.1%), Polish 1,005 (0.9%), German 790 (0.7%), Tagalog (Filipino) 720 (0.6%), Russian 695 (0.6%), Vietnamese 680 (0.6%), Portuguese 640 (0.6%), Urdu 600 (0.5%), Greek 575 (0.5%), Panjabi (Punjabi) 550 (0.5%), Tamil 465 (0.4%), Korean 450 (0.4%), Creoles 450 (0.4%), Other languages 6,640 (5.9%)

"Mother tongue" is defined as the first language learned at home, and still understood at the time of the census.
"Chinese (All)" is the sum of people who identified their mother tongue as Chinese n.o.s. (not otherwise specified), Cantonese, Mandarin and Taiwanese.

Education, 25-64 year olds:
No certificate, diploma or degree: 6,130 (9.8%)
High school certificate or equivalent: 13,785 (22.1%)
Apprenticeship or trades certificate or diploma: 3,595 (5.8%)
College, CEGEP or other non-university certificate or diploma: 11,685 (18.8%)
University certificate, diploma or degree: 27,105 (43.5%)


Members of Parliament[edit]

The riding has elected the following Members of Parliament:

Parliament Years Member Party
Ottawa—Carleton, Ottawa Centre, and Ottawa—Vanier prior to 1987
34th 1988–1993     John Manley Liberal
35th 1993–1997
36th 1997–2000
37th 2000–2004
38th 2004–2006     David McGuinty Liberal
39th 2006–2008
40th 2008–present


Federal electoral district history[edit]

The district was created in 1987. 65.7% of the new riding's area was added from Ottawa—Carleton, 20.1% from Ottawa Centre and 14.2% from Ottawa—Vanier.

Ottawa South in 1987 showing the districts it was carved from


1988[edit]

Barry Turner was the incumbent going into the 1988 race, as the MP for the defunct Ottawa—Carleton riding. Turner had a reputation as a hard working MP, but would be defeated by tax lawyer John Manley. This was on the heels of a nationwide phone and mail campaign by the Public Service Alliance of Canada to defeat Progressive Conservative candidates, in protest of the Mulroney government's cuts to the civil service.

Ontario general election, 1988
Party Candidate Votes
Liberal John Manley 27,740 50.9 +14.2 $60,329
Progressive Conservative Barry Turner 19,134 35.1 -10.0 $43,380
New Democratic John Fryer 7,392 13.6 -3.2 $42,207
Libertarian Marc A. Shindler 146 0.3
Commonwealth of Canada Jack C. Chambers 90 0.2
Independent Charles Boylan 54 0.1
Difference 8,606 15.8
Valid votes 54,502
     Liberal gain from Progressive Conservative Swing +12.1

^ Change based on redistributed results.


1993[edit]

Manley was re-elected in the midst of a landslide victory for the opposition Liberals, and was named Minister of Industry by Prime Minister Jean Chrétien. Doug Walkinshaw, a consulting engineer, was the Reform Party candidate. Joe Anton, an auditor for Revenue Canada, defeated the mayor of Kanata for the Progressive Conservative nomination. Economist Ursule Critoph was the NDP candidate.

Ontario general election, 1993
Party Candidate Votes
Liberal John Manley 35,705 66.3 +15.4 $116,684
Reform Doug Walkinshaw 7,749 14.4 n/a $46,281
Progressive Conservative Joe Anton 6,580 12.2 -22.9 $18,730
New Democratic Ursule Critoph 2,116 3.9 -9.7 $39,876
National George Shirreff 1,024 1.9 n/a"
Green Joe Palmer 391 0.7 n/a
Natural Law Ronald J.D. Parker 243 0.5 n/a
Marxist–Leninist Louise Waldman 140 0.1 n/a
Difference 27,956 51.9
Valid votes 53,875
     Liberal hold Swing +19.1 +7.0


1997[edit]

Before the 1997 election, the riding changed its boundaries slightly. The old 1987 version encompassed 95% of the new 1994 version, with the remaining 5% coming from nearby Carleton-Gloucester. John Manley was re-elected with another majority, garnering more than three times the votes of his closest adversary, the Reform Party's Carla Marie Dancey. Progressive Conservative Keith Beardsley, a staffer to MP Gerry Weiner, placed third. Marcella Munro of the NDP placed fourth.

Ontario general election, 1997
Party Candidate Votes
Liberal John Manley 31,725 59.0 -7.3 $50,315
Reform Carla Marie Dancey 8,522 15.9 +1.5 $24,092
Progressive Conservative Keith Beardsley 8,115 15.1 +2.9 $23,773
New Democratic Marcella Munro 4,374 8.2 +4.3 $23,462
Green Maria Von Fickenstein 440 0.8 +0.1 $0
Canadian Action Paula Williams 281 0.5 n/a $1,364
Natural Law Richard Michael Wolfson 167 0.3 -0.2 $0
Marxist–Leninist Anna di Carlo 140 0.3 +0.2 $0
Difference 23,203 43.2 -8.7
Rejected Ballots 382 0.7
Turnout 54,146 72.3
     Liberal hold Swing -4.4 -23.5


2000[edit]

In 2000, Manley defeated investment counselor Brad Darbyson, the Canadian Alliance candidate. Finishing in third was engineer Kevin Lister, the Progressive Conservative candidate and native Albertan. The NDP's Jeannie Page placed fourth.

Ontario general election, 2000
Party Candidate Votes
Liberal John Manley 26,585 51.3 -7.7 $51,901
Canadian Alliance Brad Darbyson 12,677 24.5 +8.6 $40,183
Progressive Conservative Kevin Lister 8,096 15.6 +0.4 $23,923
New Democratic Jeannie Page 3,463 6.7 -1.5 $11,522
Marijuana Ron Whalen 679 1.3 n/a
Natural Law James Hea]141 0.3 0.0
Marxist–Leninist Marsha Fine 80 0.2 -0.1
Communist Mick Panesar 69 0.1 n/a $246
Difference 13,908 26.9 -16.3
Rejected Ballots 231 0.4 -0.3
Turnout 52,021 62.0 -10.3
     Liberal hold Swing -8.2 -3.8

^ Canadian Alliance change compares to the vote total for the Reform Party candidate in 1997.


2004[edit]

Map of the results by poll in 2004.

The riding's boundaries had very little change. 99.7% of the riding remained intact, taking 0.3% from Ottawa-Vanier. John Manley retired prior to the 2004 election. He was one of several Liberal MPs to retire who were loyal to Jean Chrétien. David McGuinty, a lawyer and brother of Ontario Premier Dalton McGuinty, won the Liberal nomination. The newly-formed Conservative Party nominated Alan Riddell, also a lawyer, who received bad press when it was reported he had been driving with a suspended license. The Conservatives would benefit from the combined votes of the former PC and Canadian Alliance parties, but would still fall short by over five thousand votes. Monia Mazigh, the wife of Maher Arar, was the NDP candidate. While considered a strong candidate due to her high profile in the media, as well being a Muslim in a riding with a considerable Muslim minority, she placed third. The Green Party's John Ford placed fourth, garnering almost 6% of the popular vote in the party's first run in Ottawa South.


Ontario general election, 2004
Party Candidate Votes
Liberal David McGuinty 25,956 43.8 -7.5 $74,148
Conservative Alan Riddell 20,622 34.8 -5.3 $57,520
New Democratic Monia Mazigh 8,080 13.6 +6.9 $73,230
Green John Ford 3,398 5.7 n/a $2,205
Marijuana John Akpata 495 0.8 -0.5
Progressive Canadian Brad Thomson 375 0.6 n/a $2,743
Independent Raymond Aubin 225 0.4 n/a $988
Marxist–Leninist Saroj Bains 79 0.1 -0.1
Difference 5,334 9.0 -17.9
Rejected Ballots 361 0.6 +0.2
Turnout 59,591 69.7 +7.7
     Liberal hold Swing -1.1 +7.1

^Change from 2000 is not based on redistributed results. Conservative Party change is based on the combination of Canadian Alliance and Progressive Conservative Party totals from the 2000 election. Poll-by-poll results


2004 Party Nomination Contests[edit]

Liberal Party of Canada
Candidate Residence March 6, 2004
Camille Awada Ottawa
Diane Deans Ottawa
John Samuel Ottawa
David McGuinty Ottawa X
Conservative Party of Canada
Candidate Residence March 8, 2004
Brad Darbyson Ottawa
Terry Kilrea Nepean
Alan Riddell Ottawa X
New Democratic Party
Candidate Residence April 14, 2004
Jeannie Page Ottawa
Monia Mazigh Nepean X


2006[edit]

2006 election popular vote map by polling division

David McGuinty was re-elected after two years as a Liberal back-bencher. The race was closer than 2004, as McGuinty faced a tough challenge from Conservative Allan Cutler, the man who blew the whistle on the Liberal Sponsorship Scandal. The margin of victory was closer than in 2004, with McGuinty coming out on top. Cutler's nomination was not without controversy though, as 2004 Conservative candidate Alan Riddell was pressured by Stephen Harper and Conservative Party Council president Don Plett not to seek nomination in exchange for $50,000 to cover his expenses. Running for the NDP was the Lebanese-born economist Henri Sader, who maintained Monia Mazigh's strong polling despite lower campaign spending. Running again for Greens again was John Ford, and running for the Progressive Canadian Party again was Brad Thomson who had all but dropped out, endorsing McGuinty. The Marijuana Party planned on running Tim Meehan, but he did not gain ballot access.

Ontario general election, 2006
Party Candidate Votes
Liberal David McGuinty 27,158 44.15 +0.33 $78,559
Conservative Allan Cutler 23,028 37.43 +2.62 $74,021
New Democratic Henri Sader 8,138 13.23 -0.41 $30,456
Green John Ford 2,913 4.74 -1.00 $2,095
Progressive Canadian Brad Thomson 273 0.44 -0.2 $2,743
Difference 4,124 6.71 -2.29
Rejected Ballots 298 0.5 -0.1
Turnout 61,808 71.71 +2.00
     Liberal hold Swing -1.48 +0.1

2006 Party Nomination Contests[edit]

Liberal Party of Canada
Candidate Residence May 9, 2005
David McGuinty Ottawa X
Conservative Party of Canada
Candidate Residence May 17, 2005
Barry Turner Nepean X
Federal popular vote graph
Conservative Party of Canada
Candidate Residence November 25, 2005
Allan S. Cutler Nepean X
New Democratic Party
Candidate Residence November 10, 2005
Sandra Griffith-Bonaparte Ottawa
Henri Sader Ottawa X
Green Party of Canada
Candidate Residence August 29, 2005
John Ford Ottawa X

2008[edit]

In opposition, McGuinty served as the Liberal Party's environment critic. He faced nominal opposition from three lesser-known candidates. The Conservative candidate was Lebanese-born Elie Salibi, the director of international sales with Corel. The NDP candidate was Hijal De Sarkar, a Carleton University political science student of Bengali descent. The Green candidate was Qais Ghanem, a Yemeni-born doctor. Former Libertarian Party leader Jean-Serge Brisson also ran, with Al Gullon running under the Progressive Canadian banner. McGuinty was able to increase his 2006 vote total, and lead over his closest opponent, to be re-elected.


Ontario general election, 2008
Party Candidate Votes
Liberal David McGuinty 29,035 49.9% +5.7% $82,793
Conservative Elie Salibi 19,417 33.4% -4.0% $89,808
New Democratic Hijal De Sarkar 4,920 8.5% -4.7% $5,110
Green Qais Ghanem 3,939 6.8% +2.1% $20,330
Libertarian Jean-Serge Brisson 244 0.4% +0.4%
Progressive Canadian Al Gullon 620 1.1% +0.7% $92
Total valid votes/Expense limit 58,175 100%   $89,843
Total rejected ballots 346
Turnout 58,521  %
     Liberal hold Swing +4.83

Nomination contests for the 2008 federal election

Liberal Party of Canada
Candidate Residence  ?
David McGuinty Ottawa X
Conservative Party of Canada
Candidate Residence February 23, 2007
Elie Salibi Ottawa X
George M. Brown Ottawa
New Democratic Party
Candidate Residence September 11, 2008
Hijal De Sarkar Ottawa X
Green Party of Canada
Candidate Residence June 16, 2007
Qais Ghanem Ottawa X
Peter Tretter Ottawa
  1. ^ "2006 Census Profile - Summary Version" (PDF). 15 May 2010. Retrieved 19 September 2010. 


See also[edit]

External links[edit]